1 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:09,959 Speaker 1: This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. 2 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 2: What is up, straight Fire fan, It's me Jason McIntyre. 3 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 2: Straight Fire for Friday, September sixth. We are recording this 4 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 2: just as the Chiefs survive the Baltimore Ravens ad a 5 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: thriller to open the season twenty seven to twenty. The 6 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:31,640 Speaker 2: Ravens appeared to score a touchdown at the buzzer when 7 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 2: Lamar found Isaiah Likely in the back of the end zone, 8 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 2: but replay showed his toe, his literally maybe his big 9 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 2: toe by less than an inch for sure, was on 10 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 2: the out of bounds line. No touchdown, game over. Chiefs 11 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 2: win twenty seven to twenty Hell of a game. Lot 12 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:53,240 Speaker 2: of takeaways from this one. I'm sorry to Ravens fans. 13 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna come out and say it early. I 14 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 2: did not think Lamar Jackson had a good game at all. 15 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 2: I know that the counting numbers say, oh, he had 16 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 2: two hundred and seventy three yards passing and one hundred 17 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 2: and twenty two yards rushing. How's that not a good game? 18 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:06,919 Speaker 1: Listen. 19 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 2: Lamar is the reason they were trailing for most of 20 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:12,039 Speaker 2: the game because the deep ball accuracy was so off. 21 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:15,479 Speaker 2: Next Gen stats has posted it. Lamar on passes twenty 22 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 2: or more yards, he was one of five. On passes 23 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 2: are fifteen or more yards four of eleven. He was 24 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: not getting it done. Everything was dink and dunk. Rob 25 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 2: pulled the stat that in the first half, Lamar's air 26 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 2: yards was less than one yard per pass. What everything 27 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 2: was behind the line of scrimmage. Now, I will say 28 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 2: this part of the game plan of feeding Justice Hill, 29 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 2: who actually had a much better game than Derreck Henry. 30 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 2: Justice Hill out of the backfield six catches fifty two yards, 31 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 2: took advantage of the Chiefs linebackers who just are They 32 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 2: appear very slow. I'm not gonna get out here and 33 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 2: call guys out by name, but they were just trailing 34 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 2: on everything. Justice Hill shifty and he made guys miss 35 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 2: They They did try to establish the run early. As 36 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 2: you saw, Derrick Henry had, I believe leave on the 37 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 2: first drive alone. He had more carries. I have it 38 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 2: in my notes somewhere. Yeah, Derrick Henry had five carries 39 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 2: on the first drive. Rob g has him in fantasy, 40 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 2: so he's all excited. That's more than any Raven running 41 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 2: back had in the entire AFC title game. So they 42 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:16,959 Speaker 2: made it a point We're going to run the ball. 43 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 2: Lamar had two good completions up thered down early and 44 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 2: then they basically went in the tank until the fourth quarter. 45 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 2: They had the misfield goal, they had Lamar fumble, a 46 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 2: failure on fourth down. It just it wasn't a Crisp 47 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 2: Raven's team. And like I guess, you can get excited 48 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 2: about the takeaway and the drive's late when Lamar's playing 49 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 2: catch up, But overall, I thought Kansas City looked very good. 50 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 2: We haven'ty I mean, we're five minutes into the podcast. 51 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 2: We haven't even talked about Xavier Worthy, the rookie, the 52 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 2: fastest guy at the combine. Nobody feels the need to 53 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:48,839 Speaker 2: get him. Oh, he's a straight line runner. He can't 54 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 2: do much. Kansas City Chiefs get him and he gets 55 00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 2: an end a round on his first touch, goes for 56 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 2: the score, and then he basically runs a straight line pattern. 57 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 2: And they had Pacheco in the flat, which confused the 58 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 2: Ravens and Mahomes easily read it untouched touchdown. Worthy had 59 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 2: two of them. Just a really good night for the Chiefs. 60 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:09,920 Speaker 2: Mahomes did have the bad interception, but I think the 61 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 2: overarching takeaways. Yes, this is a Chiefs offense that looked 62 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 2: pretty damn good. Travis Kelce largely non existent three catches 63 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 2: thirty four yards, which kind of hurt the Tailor Swift aspect. 64 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,239 Speaker 2: I was expecting t Swift to be on there a lot. 65 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 2: I mean, she had a great outfit. The fit was 66 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 2: absolute fire. I'm sure you guys saw it coming into 67 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 2: the arena. It was all over Instagram and they barely 68 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 2: showed her. Oh so, probably because Blake Lively wasn't with her. 69 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 2: You know, Blake Lively obviously gossip girl like YadA, YadA, YadA. 70 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 2: But overall, I would say big picture, Chiefs looked pretty 71 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 2: damn good. The defense had some a few issues at 72 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 2: linebacker undeniably, I feel like the secondary didn't get lit up. Now, 73 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 2: maybe that's the Lamar accuracy, but Lamar undeniably had likely 74 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 2: opened in the end zone for a touchdown. On the 75 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 2: next play, he had Zay Flowers wide open for a 76 00:03:57,640 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 2: touchdown and missed him behind him and it was like, oh, 77 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 2: tore Even had to come down a little hard on Lamar. 78 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 2: The deepo accuracy is a problem, and I will say 79 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 2: rob My biggest issue with Lamar Jackson in this game. 80 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 2: Is his desire to, Hey, I'm gonna win this game 81 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 2: for us. I'm going to so I'm not running out 82 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 2: of bounds on quarterback keepers. When I'm trembling, I'm taking hits, 83 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 2: I'm lowering my shoulder. It's like, what are you doing this? 84 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 2: You got an entire season ahead of you, and he's 85 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 2: taken big shots. I'm talking to you. At some point 86 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:31,919 Speaker 2: in the second half, you could tell Lamar's like not sliding. 87 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 2: I counted zero slides in the game, and I went 88 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 2: out of bounds maybe a couple times. But he's out 89 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 2: there inviting contact and I'm thinking this is unsustainable. Sixteen 90 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 2: carries on hundred twenty two yards but no carries longer 91 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 2: than sixteen yards. So it's a lot of running around 92 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 2: and a lot of hits and you lose the game, 93 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 2: and it's like, that's unsustainable. Lamar cannot be doing that. 94 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 2: He will not survive the season if he's getting dotted 95 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 2: up like that by by defender all season long. So 96 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 2: he's got to win from the pocket. And the problem 97 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 2: Rob is that he couldn't win from the pocket last night, 98 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 2: and that ultimately cost the Ravens a game and the Chiefs, 99 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 2: the defending two time champs, start out one to oh. 100 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, this was an interesting game because if you are 101 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 3: a Lamar Jackson guy, if you're a fan of Lamar, 102 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 3: then you saw everything that you love about him. Okay, 103 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:23,919 Speaker 3: last season there were two hundred and seventy two regular 104 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 3: season games. One time did a quarterback throw for over 105 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,400 Speaker 3: two hundred and rush for over one hundred. Lamar of 106 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 3: Court does that opening night tonight. On the flip side, 107 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 3: if you don't like Lamar and you're one of those 108 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 3: guys who doesn't really believe that his style of play 109 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:43,040 Speaker 3: can win big in the postseason, ultimately, that's what comes 110 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 3: down to. This is one game we all loved watching it. 111 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 3: But these two teams specifically, are not two teams that 112 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 3: we're gonna really panic about week seven, Week eleven, Week fourteen, 113 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,160 Speaker 3: Week one, because we expect both of them to be 114 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:05,159 Speaker 3: there in the postseason. Lamar Jackson last night first half 115 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 3: yards per attempt, air yards per attempt under one because 116 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 3: it was all dink and dunk behind the line of scrimmage. 117 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 3: There was no threat whatsoever of him beating the Chiefs 118 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 3: down the field. And on top of that, it feeds 119 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 3: into this narrative, which I don't know if it's a narrative, 120 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 3: if it's factual that his style of play is not 121 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 3: conducive to playing from behind in his career. Lamar Jackson 122 00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:40,159 Speaker 3: when trailing by at least ten points at halftime is 123 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 3: zero to five. Now this game, specifically, they were not 124 00:06:44,800 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 3: down ten points at half time. Believe they were only 125 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 3: down by three, but the Chiefs scored so quickly in 126 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 3: the third quarter it might as well have been a 127 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 3: ten point deficit because they had the entire second half 128 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 3: to go. And when you ask Lamar Jackson to win 129 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 3: with his arm only, it's just something that he kind 130 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 3: of is always going to leave you wanting more. Case 131 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 3: in point, he makes this great scramble out of out 132 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 3: of the pockets, was right, hits Isaiah Likely, who makes 133 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 3: a lot of guys miss down the field, and it's 134 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 3: a one possession game. Lamar gets them down the field again. 135 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 3: Rashard Batman makes an incredible catchdown the sideline to get 136 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 3: him in scoring position. Three shots at the end zone 137 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 3: in the last nineteen seconds, he misses and open Isaiah Likely, 138 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 3: he misses and opens a Flowers, and then on third 139 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 3: down he hits Likely but because of the way his 140 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 3: momentum was carrying him unfortunately lands out of balance. So 141 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 3: the Lamar Jackson game that we saw last night, again, 142 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 3: if you like Lamar, he had what almost four hundred 143 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 3: yards of the offense by himself against one of the 144 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 3: elite defenses in football. I understand why you would like him. 145 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 3: If you're a guy who's more lukewarm on him at best, 146 00:07:59,200 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 3: kind of where I in it. It's another example as 147 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 3: to why I'm never gonna really feel comfortable with them 148 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 3: in the postseason. Rob Parker said it on The Odd 149 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 3: Couple on Thursday night on Fox Sports Radio. The Baltimore 150 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 3: Ravens are very similar to the Boston Celtics, where they 151 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:20,119 Speaker 3: kept winning in the regular season and winning and winning. 152 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 3: They were always one of the final three or four 153 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 3: teams there in the NBA, but you weren't gonna believe 154 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 3: that they could actually win a championship until they won 155 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 3: a championship. And that's kind of where I feel about 156 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:35,719 Speaker 3: Lamar and this Baltimore Ravens team. 157 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually like the comparison to James Harden, who 158 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 2: was a regular season juggernaut. I mean, there was a 159 00:08:42,880 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 2: time people forget this, like pre COVID maybe twenty eighteen, 160 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 2: twenty nineteen, where it was like, James Harden's the best 161 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,199 Speaker 2: offensive player since Michael Jordan. He's as good as Jordan 162 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 2: was offensively, and you're like, oh, that's a take. And 163 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 2: then you see the numbers and he's largely unstoppable, and 164 00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 2: that's Lamar Jackson in the regular season. And then you 165 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:02,040 Speaker 2: get to the playoffs and defenses are tighter, the passing 166 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 2: windows are even smaller, the pressure gets to you. You 167 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:07,959 Speaker 2: going on the road. Last year they were at home, 168 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 2: and everything just adds up to and he just keeps 169 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 2: up coming up short. It felt to me like he said, man, 170 00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 2: Casey's got my number. I'm one and four against him. 171 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 2: I'm winning this fan game. I'm gonna win this myself. 172 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 2: And he tried to do too much and took a 173 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 2: lot of hits and he just missed on a bunch 174 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:25,840 Speaker 2: of deep passes. Now listen, this guy is not falling 175 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 2: for Baltimore. I do think they were a little fortunate 176 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:32,000 Speaker 2: with the Mahomes interception in the middle of the field, 177 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 2: which was abysmal, and then Mahomes had Pachecko drop a 178 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 2: touchdown pass on the right sideline. It was like right 179 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 2: in the bread basket he dropped it. Of course, I 180 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 2: have Pachecko and fantasy side note, I bet Pachecko over 181 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 2: seventy nine and a half total yards rush you can receiving, 182 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 2: and he didn't do a ton in the first half, 183 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 2: but you could tell like he's got some juice and 184 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 2: bounce and pop and he's tough. He never stops running. 185 00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 2: He landed on seventy eight total yards. It was just unbelievable, 186 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 2: like like, I know people don't like the Vegas knows. 187 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 2: Vegas doesn't know anything. Oh yeah, yeah, nothing. So how 188 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 2: did they line seventy nine and a half yards for Proteco? 189 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 2: Now you could say, well, Jason, did you see Likely's 190 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 2: over under for Isaiah Likely was one and a half catches? 191 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 2: I did not see that, But Vegas was way off 192 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 2: on that. Well, I think everybody was. And to me 193 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 2: it looked like Mark Andrews has washed and Isaiah Likely's 194 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:28,319 Speaker 2: tight end number one. That offense to me is gonna 195 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 2: be Jay Flowers number one option, Isaiah Likely probably number two, 196 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 2: and Derek Henry running the football is number three. And 197 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 2: I got to give a shout out to Justice Hill. 198 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 2: Rob If you look at the final play where Lamar's 199 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 2: running for his life to throw the pass to likely 200 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:45,079 Speaker 2: Justice Hills blocking Chris Jones one v one. 201 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:48,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, that could not have been. When I saw that, 202 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 3: I'm like, this is the terrible idea. 203 00:10:50,880 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 2: But he did. 204 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:52,640 Speaker 1: He did a great job. 205 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 2: I mean, and Jones Jones was getting after and he 206 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 2: must have been absolutely gassed. So yeah, sky not falling 207 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 2: for the Ravens. But it's just it's clear they're not 208 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:03,719 Speaker 2: as good as they were last year in any capacity. 209 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 2: And I mean, next week they're probably gonna smash the Ravens. 210 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,959 Speaker 2: I'm sorry, the Raiders in week two probably destroy them. 211 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 2: Then they get Dallas, tough ish matchup Buffalo Cincinnati, Like 212 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:19,599 Speaker 2: there's a world where they start one and three. I 213 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: don't think Washington's gonna be great. The schedule softens up 214 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:25,559 Speaker 2: in the middle, and they're ultimately gonna win eight or 215 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:28,600 Speaker 2: nine or ten games, probably closer to ten. But I 216 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 2: just don't see it as good as a last year's team. 217 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 2: And the defense obviously struggled mightily to stop Mahomes in 218 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:39,559 Speaker 2: the first half. Rob are you surprised by the little 219 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 2: usage of Kelsey? I mean, it seems like Rashee Rice, 220 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 2: who somehow is supposed to be in trouble with the law, 221 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:49,560 Speaker 2: and then there's like he's playing seven catches one hundred 222 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 2: and three yards, he somehow keeps getting matched up with 223 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 2: linebackers over the middle. Andy Reid just schemes up some 224 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 2: of the best shit. You know, the Ravens, they kept 225 00:11:56,920 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 2: getting stuck with linebackers on Rashee Rice and it's like 226 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:03,719 Speaker 2: that's not great, and Rice kind of ate. But I'm 227 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:06,040 Speaker 2: a little surprised Kelsey just he didn't look like he 228 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 2: had it man. No. 229 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, And as far as the Ravens go, it would 230 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 3: be darn near impossible for them to be better than 231 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 3: they were last year because, as you recall, up until 232 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 3: that game in the AFC Championship game, not only were 233 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 3: they winning, they were just blowing teams out like they 234 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:24,320 Speaker 3: were an absolute jugger out last season, and then they 235 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 3: played their worst game in the worst time. As far 236 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 3: as the Chiefs go, this to me says a hell 237 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 3: of a lot more about Patrick Mahomes he does about 238 00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:36,000 Speaker 3: Travis Kelsey, because old Patrick Mahomes, you know, two three 239 00:12:36,040 --> 00:12:38,840 Speaker 3: four years ago, would have just found way to pepper 240 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 3: the ball to Travis Kelcey. Similar to the how he 241 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 3: used to pepper the ball to Tyreek Hill. You know, 242 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 3: he finds a guy he likes, he's gonna throw it 243 00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:48,319 Speaker 3: to him even if he's covered, because Patrick Mahomes is 244 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 3: one of those guys who can throw it into coverage 245 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 3: and he has the kind of arm talent where he 246 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 3: can make things happen. He doesn't have to, you know, 247 00:12:53,840 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 3: because he's that good. But what you saw from him 248 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:01,160 Speaker 3: starting last season, especially down on the home stretch especially 249 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 3: was if you're gonna give me these matchup wins for 250 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 3: my guy versus your guy, like the Rashi Rice thing 251 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 3: you pointed out. Even Chris Collinsworth was saying, they've run 252 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 3: the same play about four different times at different formations 253 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:17,840 Speaker 3: and it's just Rashi Rice isolated against a linebacker. Raschi 254 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:19,800 Speaker 3: Riy is gonna win that every time of the day. 255 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:23,520 Speaker 3: So if you're not gonna stop that, I'm gonna keep 256 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:27,839 Speaker 3: doing it. If you're gonna leave Noah Gray uncovered over 257 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:30,559 Speaker 3: the middle of the field, Justin Watson uncovered over middlefield, 258 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 3: I'm gonna throw them the ball. And now I've gotten 259 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:37,240 Speaker 3: to a point where we've kind of gotten the drop 260 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 3: seats out of our system from last season, where I'm 261 00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 3: much more confident in the guys we have going out there. 262 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 3: Xavier Worthy made the plays when he had opportunities, so 263 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,319 Speaker 3: he didn't have to really make a point to get 264 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 3: Kelsey going like he normally would, because Andy Reid and 265 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 3: that offense, we're just getting his guys open. It didn't 266 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 3: matter that, you know, samaj p Ryan had almost as 267 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 3: many targets as Kelsey, Your Guysaya Pacheco had one less 268 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:09,239 Speaker 3: target than Kelsey. Like, if they're gonna give him those opportunities, 269 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 3: He's a mature quarterback now and he doesn't have to 270 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 3: always be superman. He's gonna take what you give. 271 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 2: I did notice the Chiefs run game twenty carries seventy 272 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 2: two yards. The only play that went longer than five 273 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 2: yards on the ground was the Worthy end around for 274 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:28,320 Speaker 2: the touchdown. Pachecko's longest carry of fifteen was five yards. 275 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 2: Fifteen carries, the longest was five That's a little staggering, 276 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 2: but through the air, Rashi Rice had an explosive play 277 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 2: Worthy obviously the touchdown. Kelsey had one, Pachecko had one. 278 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 2: Justin Watson had won like Mahomes was spreading the ball around. Listen, 279 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 2: I'm kind of sick of the Chiefs, but it's easy 280 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 2: to watch Mahomes do his magic and dance around. Next week, 281 00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:56,720 Speaker 2: not bad Rob Bengals at Kansas City. That's not a 282 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 2: bad Week two game. That'll be the Marquee game at 283 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 2: four twenty five on CB. Yes, Chiefs Begles. Bengals will 284 00:15:03,520 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 2: be coming in one or oh after the win over 285 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:08,840 Speaker 2: the Patriots. And let me segue at this point to 286 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 2: best bets, of which there are far too many for 287 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 2: Week one in the NFL, and a couple for college. 288 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in 289 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at foxsports Radio 290 00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:25,600 Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to 291 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 1: listen live. The only thing better than sitting on your 292 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 1: couch watching the games is making money while you do it. 293 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 1: Here's your best bet. 294 00:15:38,520 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 2: All right, let's hit up the best bets for the weekend. 295 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna get college football out of the way early. 296 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 2: All I have is four plays. I know college football 297 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 2: went well last weekend. As of now, only four plays, 298 00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 2: but they're simply fades of narratives. After last week, I'm 299 00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 2: going against Notre Dame. I took Northern Illinois plus twenty 300 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 2: nine plus twenty eight. I don't know anything about Northern Illinois. 301 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 2: I'm sure they're gonna lose this football game. I just 302 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 2: think Notre Dame after a hard fought, huge win over 303 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 2: Texas A and M on the road, one of those 304 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 2: games where it's like, hey, we got to start this 305 00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 2: season with a win. This game is everything to us. 306 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:20,000 Speaker 2: Notre Dame pulls it out in the fourth quarter. Awesome victory. Right, 307 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 2: they probably lose focus a little bit, go home and 308 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 2: play a week. Northern Illinois team on deck is Perdue 309 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 2: next week. Perdue is not great by any stretch. They 310 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 2: won their first game forty nine nothing, that don't mean jack, 311 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 2: but they have a bye week. My guess is Notre 312 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 2: Dame really dials it back offensively, doesn't show a lot, 313 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 2: and gets out of there with probably, you know, twenty 314 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:45,160 Speaker 2: one to three victory, something where they don't cover the spread. 315 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 2: I'm also doing that with Oregon, which looked very pedestrian 316 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:52,640 Speaker 2: in its opener against the Idaho Vandals. I think it 317 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 2: was fourteen to nothing at halftime, and then they messed 318 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,520 Speaker 2: around second half play with their food, and next thing 319 00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 2: you know, it's a close game. Oregon did come close 320 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 2: to covering last week. They also started a walk on center. 321 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:06,200 Speaker 2: I don't know if you guys saw that. Some of 322 00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 2: the stuff I was reading on Oregon like, they kind 323 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 2: of sat two of their best defenders. They had them 324 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 2: play very limited snaps. Basically, they were treating like a 325 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,200 Speaker 2: preseason game. Hey, we got bigger fish to fry. We're 326 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 2: gonna sit a bunch of guys. We're resting. We're not 327 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:20,760 Speaker 2: gonna go all out, which I get Boise State though 328 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 2: coming off a big win. Some guys score six touchdowns. 329 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 2: Boise State gave up forty five points to Georgia Southern. 330 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:28,719 Speaker 2: I don't know what you guys think the Ducks are 331 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:30,439 Speaker 2: gonna do, but they're gonna put it on. So I 332 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 2: took Oregon minus nineteen and minus nineteen and a half. 333 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,080 Speaker 2: These are the last two are a little tougher. Yes, 334 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 2: I want some skin in the game in Texas Michigan. Yes, 335 00:17:39,359 --> 00:17:43,800 Speaker 2: Texas is better. Are they more than a touchdown? Touchdown? 336 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 1: Better? 337 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 2: On the road? Again, don't overreact to what you saw 338 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:51,280 Speaker 2: from Michigan last week. That's all I'll say. They weren't great. 339 00:17:51,359 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 2: It was a very vanilla scheme. It was tinkering and 340 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 2: putting nothing on tape. They'll be ready this week. Okay. 341 00:17:58,080 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 2: I know they lost a lot of guys, and I 342 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:01,399 Speaker 2: don't think to the better team here. I think Texas 343 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:03,560 Speaker 2: is the side. I don't think they're gonna cover. 344 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: Now. 345 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,119 Speaker 2: Maybe maybe they absolutely blast Michigan and send them back 346 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:09,199 Speaker 2: into the Stone Age with a thirty five point victory. 347 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 2: I gotta see that to believe it. Okay, By the way, 348 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:15,479 Speaker 2: this game was posted all summer and it was like, 349 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 2: I believe I saw Texas minus four. So you're telling 350 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,760 Speaker 2: me in a week based on one football game sixty minutes, 351 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 2: Texas looks great, Michigan looks average or weak, and we're 352 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:28,359 Speaker 2: gonna bump up the line three points. I think the 353 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 2: public's coming in hand over fist on Michigan. Will I'm 354 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,639 Speaker 2: sorry on Texas. I will gladly take seven and a 355 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:38,200 Speaker 2: half on Michigan and the final one. And this stinks 356 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 2: because I really wanted to take Nebraska even when we 357 00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 2: had Brad Powers on. You guys can go back and listen. 358 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,359 Speaker 2: He's on the under on Colorado. I don't think Colorado 359 00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 2: is a very good football team. They have a couple 360 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 2: awesome players, undeniable when this line opened. I was honestly expecting, Okay, 361 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 2: it'll probably be Nebraska by two or three, and I'll 362 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 2: take Nebraska. And then they open and it's Nebraska by 363 00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 2: seven and a half. What really, Nebraska, all of us 364 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 2: Nebraska off one good game, hyping a quarterback. They're not 365 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,600 Speaker 2: good defensively. They don't have a lot of talent. If 366 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 2: you look at the most high end talent, Colorado has 367 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 2: more than Nebraska. Now, Colorado doesn't have a lot of talent, 368 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:23,680 Speaker 2: but neither does Nebraska. I just can see Colorado throwing 369 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 2: and throwing and throwing. They're probably gonna be trailing all game, 370 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:27,399 Speaker 2: probably gonna be down twenty one at one point. But 371 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 2: Shador and Travis Hunter, they're not throwing in the towel, 372 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 2: and I expect them to keep chucking and duck in 373 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 2: and come in the back door. So I took Colorado 374 00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:37,360 Speaker 2: getting seven and a half. It's ugly. Listen fading Notre 375 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 2: Dame Colorado on the road, fading Texas Like these are 376 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:44,479 Speaker 2: risky plays, but this is what college football is all 377 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 2: about week to week. All right, let's get to the NFL. 378 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in 379 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio 380 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app. Search FSR to 381 00:19:57,720 --> 00:19:58,399 Speaker 1: listen live. 382 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,440 Speaker 2: Now listen again. These lines have been up for I 383 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:04,400 Speaker 2: don't know, four or five months. Okay, they've been picked at. 384 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 2: There's not a ton of value out there, but I 385 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 2: can't really resist, and I do think, yeah, I think 386 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 2: that I have smarter takes them. What's out there on 387 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:16,880 Speaker 2: certain games. I believe I can find some edges. Here's 388 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 2: what we got. So the biggest bet I have is 389 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:26,400 Speaker 2: on Jack's Dolphins over forty nine. Everything I've researched. Both 390 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 2: defenses very bad, both secondaries, like really really bad. You're 391 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 2: talking about new defensive coordinator in Miami. It looks like 392 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 2: Jalen Ramsey may not even play. They're down like five starters, folks. 393 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 2: Jacksonville's gonna move the football in this game Miami. We 394 00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:48,199 Speaker 2: know they're going to torch Wattle Tyreek Hill. This offense 395 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,520 Speaker 2: is gonna be a machine juggernaut. This to me screams 396 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:56,920 Speaker 2: like forty thirty three, Dolphins, thirty eight thirty five, some 397 00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 2: something high scoring. The only thing that could be a 398 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:04,480 Speaker 2: wrinkle here. The only thing is if somehow there's this 399 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 2: big rain storm and I got family in Florida. I 400 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 2: know it rains there every freaking weekend. There's these power 401 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 2: storms for like ten minutes. Then it's fine. This game 402 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,480 Speaker 2: and the Washington Tampa which we'll get to, could be 403 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:17,480 Speaker 2: impacted by rain. So you could end up getting screwed 404 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,359 Speaker 2: if it's a monsoon for an hour. Yeah, over is 405 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 2: not gonna be looking good. But I think McDaniel and 406 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:26,680 Speaker 2: that offense, remember they've had all season, all off season. 407 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 2: McDaniel has to kind of rejigger the offense because remember 408 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 2: at the end of last season, defense started to slow 409 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:34,920 Speaker 2: down Miami a little bit. They knew, hey, you got 410 00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:36,679 Speaker 2: to play press coverage and you got to get to 411 00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:40,760 Speaker 2: to a quick Okay, McDaniel, he's smart, he's out there, 412 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,600 Speaker 2: he knows what's up. He's gonna be totally adjusting everything. 413 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 2: I anticipate a different look from this Miami offense. I 414 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,399 Speaker 2: think he's still gonna be high octane. My gut tells 415 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 2: me this sail's over and hopefully there's no weather impacting it. 416 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,080 Speaker 2: I also kind of lean Jags three and a half, 417 00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,919 Speaker 2: but I didn't bet it. Okay, let me buzz through 418 00:21:59,920 --> 00:22:03,880 Speaker 2: the rest of them. I went under twenty. That's low 419 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 2: in the first half for Raiders Chargers under twenty. The 420 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:13,160 Speaker 2: logic here, this is a Chargers offense. If you if 421 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,320 Speaker 2: you guys have Pro football focus, call it up and look, 422 00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:19,879 Speaker 2: the wide receiver one is back, their slot receiver is new, 423 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 2: their other receiver. It looks like they're gonna start Jerry 424 00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 2: Rice's kid, who I think went in the seventh round. 425 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,640 Speaker 2: He might be the other starter on the outside. You've 426 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:29,560 Speaker 2: got a new tight end, You've got a new right 427 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:33,000 Speaker 2: tackle to rookie and alt, You've got an all new backfield, 428 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:35,600 Speaker 2: and you got justin Herbert Hobbold. I don't know what 429 00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:38,119 Speaker 2: to expect from the Chargers, but I did see that 430 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,120 Speaker 2: the Chargers picked up like a three hundred pounds full back. 431 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:44,960 Speaker 2: What do you think they're gonna use him for? Guys 432 00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:49,199 Speaker 2: like massive blocking, heavy dose of Dobbins and Gus the 433 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 2: bus Like I would not be surprised if they had 434 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:55,600 Speaker 2: forty plus carries for the Chargers offense. And I just 435 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 2: expect this game to be played really tight in some 436 00:22:58,200 --> 00:22:59,680 Speaker 2: not quite in a phone booth. And we know the 437 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 2: Raider they've got one path to victory right defense and 438 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 2: run the football. They're not going to go and be 439 00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:08,119 Speaker 2: have Gardner Minshew dropping back thirty times. It's just not 440 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 2: happening unless they're training. So I anticipate a lot of 441 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:14,720 Speaker 2: ugly football. The familiarity with the divisional matchups you guys 442 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 2: heard earlier in the week. Divisional dogs in week one 443 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:22,119 Speaker 2: are a great play seventeen and four and I believe 444 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 2: the last ten or eleven years. I mean it's I 445 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:28,360 Speaker 2: kind of like the Raiders. I'm not betting them because 446 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:32,199 Speaker 2: I'm rooting Chargers, but I'm of the beliefs that this 447 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 2: is just a super low scoring game. So I got 448 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 2: under twenty in the first half. Raiders Chargers. I went 449 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 2: with let's see what else we got here. Two of 450 00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 2: the bets I made in Vegas. One's probably dead. I 451 00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 2: got Cardinals plus five and a half. Don't love that. 452 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 2: It's the numbers awful. It was at one moment cratering down. 453 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:52,640 Speaker 2: Now it's back up to six and a half. It's 454 00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,399 Speaker 2: probably dead. I don't even know that. I mean, I 455 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:56,680 Speaker 2: liked I bet it at five and a half, so 456 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:58,679 Speaker 2: I guess at six and a half you could consider 457 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:02,920 Speaker 2: taking it. Don't see a lot of stops here from Arizona. 458 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:04,920 Speaker 2: But at the same time, I don't know how good 459 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 2: this Buffalo defense is. No Milano all new secondary Kyler, 460 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:10,879 Speaker 2: who I have in one fantasy team, is going to 461 00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 2: be jacking'. I anticipate a lot of points. I just 462 00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:17,600 Speaker 2: don't know if they will get enough Arizona to stay 463 00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,160 Speaker 2: within the number. The other one I have is Minnesota, 464 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 2: and I'm probably gonna take them in the contest at 465 00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:26,400 Speaker 2: the Giants Minnesota either one, one and a half two, 466 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,000 Speaker 2: you could go money line. I don't believe in the 467 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 2: Giants at all. I know Dables calling plays now, which 468 00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:35,159 Speaker 2: kind of changes things and maybe makes you can smell 469 00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:39,680 Speaker 2: the desperation from the Giants, desperate times, desperate measures. Maybe 470 00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:43,200 Speaker 2: they come out, well, we got fource feed neighbors. Let's 471 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,399 Speaker 2: ride this defensive front. But the Vikings have a good 472 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:47,439 Speaker 2: defensive line. I think the Vikings should hold of at 473 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 2: Bay and then you get Justin Jefferson matched up on 474 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 2: the outside with a bad Giant secondary feels low scoring. 475 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 2: I just like I like the Vikings to win this. 476 00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 2: I'll probably be on them in the contest. Others that 477 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 2: I have Saints Panthers, which is an ugly game that 478 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 2: absolutely nobody cares about. I have Panthers plus four Panthers 479 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,640 Speaker 2: money line and over forty one. I know that's way 480 00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 2: too heavy on a crap game. I feel like the 481 00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 2: Panthers are undervalued. If you go back to our Adam 482 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 2: Turnoff discussion this summer, we had a great chat about 483 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 2: Carolina and how much better they are. They're improved on 484 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:24,360 Speaker 2: the offensive line, defensive line despite losing Burn's massive, upgraded 485 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 2: head coach, better at wide receiver with Deontay Johnson. I 486 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,040 Speaker 2: think all signs are pointing up for Carolina. Hey j 487 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:34,320 Speaker 2: they can only go up after last year fair And 488 00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 2: at the same time, you look at the Saints and 489 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:39,480 Speaker 2: it's like, ooh, not trending good offensive line could be 490 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,640 Speaker 2: the worst in the NFC, which is crazy. I didn't 491 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 2: realize it was that bad until you really start to 492 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 2: dig in. You're like, oh, okay, so they have a 493 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:50,680 Speaker 2: lave and Taysom Hill's doing what Where's Taysom Hill? But 494 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,199 Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara is what is Alvin Kamara looks kind of 495 00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:57,960 Speaker 2: sort of washed based on last year, and I don't know, 496 00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:59,159 Speaker 2: I don't want to say he's going down here like 497 00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:00,680 Speaker 2: Derek Henry, but these guys have been in the league 498 00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,200 Speaker 2: for a while taking punishment or running back. I don't 499 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 2: know where the Saints get weapons, but I do believe 500 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 2: Caroline is gonna come out surprise the hell out of them, 501 00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 2: and the Saints are going to be forced to be 502 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 2: throwing it all over the field, and all of a 503 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,399 Speaker 2: sudden we get in a bit of a slugfest. Be 504 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,399 Speaker 2: careful on the total of the last seven in this 505 00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,399 Speaker 2: series have gone under, so you know, I got to 506 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 2: just put that out there. Another total I have under 507 00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 2: forty one and Patriots Bengals don't know if Jamar Chase 508 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:27,679 Speaker 2: is going to play. Patriots only have one path to victory, 509 00:26:27,760 --> 00:26:31,719 Speaker 2: Jacoby Brissett handing the football off and making safe checkdown throws. 510 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:35,720 Speaker 2: Almost Lamar Jackson ash ooh, sorry, I went there offensively 511 00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:39,200 Speaker 2: I meant. And maybe the Bengals offense butters a little 512 00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,800 Speaker 2: bit without Chase and then they don't get to forty one. 513 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:44,919 Speaker 2: Another game I'm probably too loaded up on is this 514 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 2: Washington Tampa game, which could be played in the monsoon. 515 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 2: We'll see again Tampa weather in September. It's hurricane season 516 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:54,879 Speaker 2: in Florida. I'd got Washington getting three and a half 517 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 2: Washington money line, and I took the over forty four. 518 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:01,080 Speaker 1: I don't know. 519 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,960 Speaker 2: Maybe it's because Jayden Daniels looks kind of like with 520 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:06,960 Speaker 2: his mannerisms and the way he runs and throws a 521 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,400 Speaker 2: little like RG three, And I remember how RG three 522 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 2: was just such a force right out again in that offense, 523 00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:14,399 Speaker 2: so totally different draft. I made a point to draft 524 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:18,719 Speaker 2: scary Terry McLaurin. I have a feeling this Washington defense, 525 00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 2: oh sorry, offense with Cliff Kingsbury could put up points Washington. 526 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:24,400 Speaker 2: They're gonna have to because the Washington defense is abysmal. 527 00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:27,719 Speaker 2: Outside of the front four, the cornerbacks are awful, and 528 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,520 Speaker 2: I do believe they could have trouble stopping Baker Mayfield. 529 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:34,480 Speaker 2: This feels like a thirty twenty seven type game where 530 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 2: out of the blue, it's a barn burner and there's 531 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:41,760 Speaker 2: points on points on points and the overcashes and I'm 532 00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:43,720 Speaker 2: just hoping Washington can can kind of come in the 533 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:48,119 Speaker 2: back door there, let's see. Obviously, Seattle was probably my 534 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:50,679 Speaker 2: biggest bet this summer, but that was at five as 535 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:52,399 Speaker 2: soon as bo Nix was announced as a starter. Then 536 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:53,600 Speaker 2: it went to five and a half, then it went 537 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,639 Speaker 2: to six. I'm sure we talked about reverse line movement. 538 00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 2: You guys know what that is. Reverse line movement is 539 00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 2: all over this one big time. The public is betting Denver. 540 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,119 Speaker 2: They like Sean Payton, they like bow Knicks, they like 541 00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 2: bo Nix's experience in college. They think Denver's a by low. 542 00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:17,040 Speaker 2: The sharp betters are all over Seattle because of McDonald, 543 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:20,000 Speaker 2: their defensive court, the defensive coordinator for Baltimore who comes 544 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,159 Speaker 2: to Seattle, the offensive coordinator gets an influx no more 545 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,959 Speaker 2: than Pete Carroll. Run the football and play defense. That's 546 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,480 Speaker 2: what Pete Carroll wanted to do. The new OC comes 547 00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,359 Speaker 2: from Washington Grubb and he did like all three wide 548 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,720 Speaker 2: receiver sets. So Jackson Smith the jig, but which he 549 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,480 Speaker 2: had like an underwhelming rookie year only because he didn't 550 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 2: play as much as everybody expected. It seems like he's 551 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,480 Speaker 2: gonna be on the field all the time now, so 552 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:46,200 Speaker 2: I made a point to draft him in fantasy. So 553 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,200 Speaker 2: it feels like with that high octane offense, and Patrick 554 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 2: Shurtan is probably gonna get stuck on DK or Patrick 555 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 2: or Sirtan's gonna just try to lock down one side 556 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:58,480 Speaker 2: of the field. So Lockett and or JSN could eat. 557 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,160 Speaker 2: I just I think this is a Seattle rump. Seattle 558 00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:04,440 Speaker 2: has been, as you guys know, from my haircut incident 559 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 2: with with the herd last two years ago. I've got 560 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:10,440 Speaker 2: to be very yeah, two years ago, I got to 561 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 2: be very careful with the Seahawks. Sometimes I just don't 562 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,680 Speaker 2: understand them. I did put a little bet on them 563 00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:19,720 Speaker 2: at plus six eighty eight to win the NFC West. Listen, 564 00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,000 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna talk too much about this McCaffrey stuff, 565 00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 2: but did you guys see they added to the injury 566 00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:28,000 Speaker 2: report on Thursday not only his calf, but it's his 567 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 2: achilles and it's like cheese, Trent williams ayuk McCaffrey, I 568 00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:37,240 Speaker 2: do things are looking a little rickety in San Franz. 569 00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 2: I'll just leave it at that. At any rate, we'll 570 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:43,200 Speaker 2: do that on Monday. But yeah, so Seattle kind of 571 00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 2: sort of bullet show on what else do we have here? 572 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:52,240 Speaker 2: Is that it that might oh oh, Colts plus three 573 00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 2: and Colts I think I said that Colts plus three 574 00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 2: Colts money line against the Texans. It's a risky play. 575 00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 2: It's as strictly I'm not a trend better as you 576 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 2: guys know. But trends can rear their head in Week 577 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 2: one Divisional Dogs. There's three of them, and we've talked 578 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:11,959 Speaker 2: about them shockingly, Raiders, Panthers, and Colts, and it just 579 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:13,880 Speaker 2: it strikes me as odd that there was all this 580 00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 2: Super Bowl momentum for the Houston Texans and all of 581 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 2: a sudden you start to look back to the end 582 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 2: of last season when it was Houston Indy for a 583 00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:28,480 Speaker 2: spot in the playoffs, and oh wow, Indy with Gardner 584 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 2: Minshew was like, right in the game, they just the 585 00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 2: kid dropped a fourth down pass. I think I talked 586 00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:37,720 Speaker 2: about that this week where it was Cowherd's birthday party 587 00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 2: or whatever, and Chip Kelly was there and he's like, oh, yeah, 588 00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:40,960 Speaker 2: they're gonna do this that, and it was like almost 589 00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:45,960 Speaker 2: exactly happened, and it's like, huh so, now Houston and 590 00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 2: what was a touch and go game in Indy. Houston 591 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 2: has to go back there, and it's like we have 592 00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:56,760 Speaker 2: a healthy Anthony Richardson and you know, Shane Steike in 593 00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,720 Speaker 2: year two in the offense, like I know, there's a 594 00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 2: world here. And by the way, Stichen I remember they 595 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:04,120 Speaker 2: went down I think it was twenty one nothing to 596 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 2: the Rams and then storm back. This team will not quit, 597 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,160 Speaker 2: and I know everybody loves the Texans. They're gonna be good. 598 00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:11,160 Speaker 2: We had David Baker on who said, I think he 599 00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 2: has the Texans in the super Bowl. They might make 600 00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:16,280 Speaker 2: it there. But you just look at this Colts team 601 00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:19,000 Speaker 2: and this number, and I don't know. I just can't 602 00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:20,920 Speaker 2: you get in three at home in a divisional matchup. 603 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:22,880 Speaker 2: I gotta take that. And then I took money line 604 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 2: just for the hell of it. So those are the plays. 605 00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,040 Speaker 2: If I add any on ig you can follow me 606 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:31,760 Speaker 2: on Instagram. I'll put some more on stories. Folks, I'm excited. 607 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,480 Speaker 2: You don't want to shoot your wad opening weekend, but man, 608 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 2: it is. It's like when you go to Vegas to 609 00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 2: party the first night. Everybody goes hard because they're so 610 00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:43,200 Speaker 2: amped up and so excited to be there, and it's like, oh, okay, 611 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,200 Speaker 2: I have nothing left for the rest. Don't be that 612 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:49,120 Speaker 2: guy when it comes to NFL bet So, enjoy Week 613 00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 2: one and we'll be back here on Monday. Talk to 614 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 2: you then.