WEBVTT - Colin Cowherd Podcast - Sharp or Square - Betting The AFC + NFC Championship Games! Best Prop Bets, Daniels Set To Be The “Mahomes” Of The NFC? 0:00:01.440 --> 0:00:13.640 The volume all right, Chad Millman, co host of the 0:00:13.680 --> 0:00:17.919 Favorites Sharper Square. All odds provided by DraftKings. So I 0:00:18.000 --> 0:00:20.440 had a rare I don't think I had an undefeated 0:00:20.480 --> 0:00:24.560 week this year three and oh last week. And I 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:26.800 think it's actually easier in the playoffs. I've had back 0:00:26.800 --> 0:00:29.240 to back weeks because the quarterbacks are all you know, 0:00:29.280 --> 0:00:33.080 it's sudden death, it's the best quarterbacks. Yeah, it's don't 0:00:33.080 --> 0:00:34.960 want to start with this before we start with anything. 0:00:35.600 --> 0:00:38.320 You know, there's this sense that, you know, Kansas City, 0:00:38.440 --> 0:00:42.400 Jason McIntyre's on this thing about the calls going a 0:00:42.440 --> 0:00:46.640 certain way, and I always point back, Kansas City's gotten 0:00:46.640 --> 0:00:50.800 the benefit of the calls. Well, my argument is, we 0:00:50.880 --> 0:00:53.960 all know coaching matters more in football than managing in 0:00:54.000 --> 0:00:58.680 baseball or coaching in basketball. We know coaching college or pro. 0:01:00.000 --> 0:01:02.440 You've seen Jim Harbaugh take over the worst defense make 0:01:02.480 --> 0:01:04.959 it the best. Coaching matters in football more than other sports. 0:01:05.000 --> 0:01:07.200 You have like a phone book that offensive players have 0:01:07.240 --> 0:01:12.399 to memorize and system scheme, culture building. And I remember 0:01:12.520 --> 0:01:15.160 when I lived in Connecticut watching all the Patriot games, 0:01:15.280 --> 0:01:17.880 and I can remember watching for years and it just 0:01:17.920 --> 0:01:20.360 popping into my head when they were playing a team 0:01:20.360 --> 0:01:23.000 and a team fumbled, I'm like, God, I don't think 0:01:23.000 --> 0:01:27.320 the Patriots have fumbled since Thanksgiving. And you went back 0:01:27.360 --> 0:01:29.920 and looked and they literally were the team in the 0:01:29.959 --> 0:01:33.920 league that didn't fumble. And I'd asked Patriot players about this, 0:01:34.000 --> 0:01:37.080 They're like, oh, yeah, Bill would not let you stretch 0:01:37.400 --> 0:01:40.240 for extra yards. That was a fine, that was a suspension. 0:01:40.280 --> 0:01:42.080 You could only do it if it was fourth down 0:01:42.080 --> 0:01:44.080 in the ends. Otherwise you were not allowed to stretch. 0:01:44.680 --> 0:01:46.600 And I look at the Chiefs and I say to myself, 0:01:47.640 --> 0:01:52.440 really good coaches are really good teachers, and you can 0:01:52.640 --> 0:01:57.760 teach your way out of penalties with good communication, thorough repetition. 0:01:58.160 --> 0:02:02.200 Damian Woody always told me Patriot practice was different than 0:02:02.240 --> 0:02:05.520 every other practice has Detroit his Jets practices. So what 0:02:05.680 --> 0:02:09.520 your take on the Chiefs get all the calls, because 0:02:09.560 --> 0:02:11.240 if you go back and look at the penalties during 0:02:11.320 --> 0:02:15.160 the New England era, they were last penalized as well. 0:02:16.800 --> 0:02:17.880 I think it's bullshit. 0:02:18.280 --> 0:02:24.720 I think it's a media constructed argument because people are 0:02:24.760 --> 0:02:29.639 looking for reasons as to why the Chiefs keep winning 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:37.679 other than they have a generationally great quarterback, a generationally 0:02:37.919 --> 0:02:43.400 if not historically great coach. Our mutual friend Ryan Risillo 0:02:43.880 --> 0:02:47.600 had a great stat on his podcast the other day. 0:02:48.240 --> 0:02:51.320 The past two years, Kansas City opponents have been flagged 0:02:51.320 --> 0:02:54.640 for forty eight penalties in the fourth quarter in ot 0:02:55.400 --> 0:02:59.640 of one score games. Colin, how many have the Chiefs 0:02:59.680 --> 0:03:10.160 had in the same period, twelve forty seven. So let's 0:03:10.240 --> 0:03:13.200 not get off, Okay, Well, you have in the Chiefs 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:19.239 are a coach who has found the perfect cheak code 0:03:19.840 --> 0:03:24.799 for his scheme. He's got a guy who is ultra competitive, 0:03:25.320 --> 0:03:29.560 who can make magical plays, who, by the way, as 0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:34.079 Tom Brady pointed out on your show, having to defend 0:03:34.120 --> 0:03:39.280 Patrick Mahomes for four downs in the playoffs is just 0:03:39.440 --> 0:03:43.720 so freaking hard. You don't get to seven conference championship 0:03:43.760 --> 0:03:48.840 games because people are calling penalties against the opponents more often. 0:03:49.160 --> 0:03:52.440 Ask Lamar Jackson. Lamar Jackson has two MVPs. He might 0:03:52.480 --> 0:03:55.560 get a third. He should get a third. How many 0:03:55.640 --> 0:03:58.560 AFC title games has he played in? How many Super 0:03:58.600 --> 0:04:00.840 Bowls has he played in? He is as brilliant an 0:04:00.840 --> 0:04:04.000 athlete and as brilliant a quarterback as there is in 0:04:04.040 --> 0:04:08.000 the NFL. He's not getting there. Patrick Mahomes and the 0:04:08.040 --> 0:04:10.640 Chiefs do something different, and I think it. I think 0:04:10.680 --> 0:04:12.680 it's in the head of every single team they play. 0:04:14.200 --> 0:04:16.840 Well, let's start off with the Commanders and the Eagles. 0:04:17.480 --> 0:04:21.520 I'm gonna take Philadelphia minus six. I'm also going to 0:04:21.560 --> 0:04:26.599 take the over. I do think they've played twice. Philadelphia 0:04:26.640 --> 0:04:29.200 should have won twice, but Jalen got hurt, Kenny Pickett 0:04:29.200 --> 0:04:31.800 came in. So I think the number I look at 0:04:31.839 --> 0:04:34.640 over two games is average yards per carry, and it's 0:04:34.880 --> 0:04:37.520 five and a half yards for Philadelphia. Well, that's just 0:04:37.640 --> 0:04:40.600 that's a physical mismatch. The O line for Philadelphia is 0:04:40.640 --> 0:04:43.760 almost better to a man than the D line for Washington. 0:04:43.880 --> 0:04:47.560 That's not going to change. That's not scheme. The guards 0:04:47.560 --> 0:04:49.880 for Philadelphia are like six seven and a half. It's 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:52.680 like the biggest guards in league history. There are four 0:04:52.760 --> 0:04:57.080 of Their offensive linemen are like arguably the best in 0:04:57.120 --> 0:05:00.120 the NFL at their position. So they will run the 0:05:00.160 --> 0:05:02.240 ball and they will move the ball. But I do 0:05:02.279 --> 0:05:05.760 think the Commanders will have to score and know what 0:05:05.960 --> 0:05:09.240 going in, so they'll take chances. They'll do some four 0:05:09.320 --> 0:05:12.160 down stuff. So my take is it's a fairly high 0:05:12.200 --> 0:05:16.920 scoring game, which makes me more comfortable laying the six 0:05:17.560 --> 0:05:19.320 with Philadelphia Sharper Square. 0:05:19.880 --> 0:05:22.120 So it was sharp at four and a half, it's 0:05:22.120 --> 0:05:23.880 gotten to six. It actually got up to six and 0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:26.760 a half. And wise guys have been buying back and 0:05:26.800 --> 0:05:28.920 in a lot of the conversations I've had this week, 0:05:28.960 --> 0:05:31.359 and Simon Hunter and I talked about this on the 0:05:31.360 --> 0:05:34.000 Favorites today when we sort of bring in the feedback 0:05:34.240 --> 0:05:38.640 from professional betters, they were liking Washington and it honestly 0:05:38.680 --> 0:05:42.880 doesn't make sense to me or to Simon and apparently. 0:05:42.440 --> 0:05:42.960 To you either. 0:05:43.520 --> 0:05:46.200 Last week people were coming in and they were hammering 0:05:46.560 --> 0:05:50.520 the Rams. I love the Eagles all week, and if 0:05:50.560 --> 0:05:54.560 not for Jake Elliott missing a couple extra points, that 0:05:54.640 --> 0:05:59.160 game is not a push, it's a cover for the Eagles. Yeah, 0:05:59.240 --> 0:06:02.840 same thing this, I don't get it. I feel like 0:06:03.279 --> 0:06:07.720 there's so much recency bias in relation to Jaden Daniels 0:06:08.080 --> 0:06:12.680 and both of these games. Weirdly, there is so much 0:06:12.760 --> 0:06:16.960 public support for the road underdogs against the higher seeds 0:06:17.440 --> 0:06:20.799 because of the status of the quarterbacks and the seasons 0:06:21.080 --> 0:06:23.360 they're having. Josh Allen is having a better year than 0:06:23.400 --> 0:06:26.480 Patrick Mahomes, Jade Daniels having a better year than Jalen 0:06:26.560 --> 0:06:29.240 Hurts but people are forgetting that this Eagles team is 0:06:29.320 --> 0:06:33.560 not built around Jalen Hurts, right, It's built around Saquon Barkley. 0:06:33.600 --> 0:06:35.839 And one of the things that I tried to unpack 0:06:35.920 --> 0:06:38.680 this week when I was thinking about this game is 0:06:39.279 --> 0:06:43.320 the Eagles win so often with explosive plays. We saw 0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:46.280 this past weekend two huge runs from Barkley, a great 0:06:46.360 --> 0:06:50.080 run from Hurtz. That's how they're scoring touchdowns right. Earlier 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:53.200 in the season in November in Philadelphia against the Commanders, 0:06:53.279 --> 0:06:55.320 the Eagles were losing most of that game. I was 0:06:55.360 --> 0:06:58.040 at that game. They won that game because Saquon Bardley 0:06:58.080 --> 0:07:01.640 had two long touchdown runs. So you think about explosive 0:07:01.640 --> 0:07:02.200 play as well. 0:07:02.279 --> 0:07:03.880 Is that random? Can you predict it? 0:07:04.680 --> 0:07:09.159 I think is more random when it's quarterbacks throwing long 0:07:09.200 --> 0:07:13.000 touchdown passes with the circumstances have to be perfect. It's 0:07:13.080 --> 0:07:16.520 less random when it's your running back who has an 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:18.440 offensive line that is as dominant as you. 0:07:18.480 --> 0:07:19.280 Just talked about. 0:07:19.560 --> 0:07:22.680 Who's by the way, his rushing prop is one hundred 0:07:22.760 --> 0:07:25.240 north of one hundred and thirty yards, which DraftKings has 0:07:25.240 --> 0:07:28.000 announced is the highest total they've ever had for a 0:07:28.080 --> 0:07:31.160 rushing prop in the years that they've been doing business. 0:07:31.240 --> 0:07:35.640 So I'm with you, man, I like the Eagles. I 0:07:35.640 --> 0:07:38.160 think it's the right spot. I think they're the better team. 0:07:38.440 --> 0:07:41.360 I tend to favor the dominant, physical team. 0:07:41.600 --> 0:07:45.960 So yeah, is there a prop you could give our 0:07:46.000 --> 0:07:48.400 audience that you like? I like the over in this game, 0:07:48.440 --> 0:07:49.360 but a prop you. 0:07:49.400 --> 0:07:53.080 Like, zach Er is over three and a half receptions. 0:07:53.120 --> 0:07:56.320 I think that the Eagles defensively on the edges at 0:07:56.320 --> 0:07:58.720 cornerback Quinnyon Mitchell is supposed to play. We already know 0:07:58.720 --> 0:08:01.760 about Cooper Degene and the slab Darius Slay obviously. On 0:08:01.880 --> 0:08:05.920 the other side, that's where Jaden Daniels, who was already 0:08:05.960 --> 0:08:08.160 predisposed to wanting to go to zach ertz if Terry 0:08:08.200 --> 0:08:12.640 McLaurin isn't available, isn't open, I think that that's where 0:08:12.680 --> 0:08:14.360 the offensive opportunities are going to be. 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:15.960 So, Zach Er, it's over three and a half. 0:08:16.800 --> 0:08:18.840 You know, it's interesting. I was talking on the show 0:08:18.880 --> 0:08:22.080 today ten years ago Peyton Manning, Big Ben and Brady, 0:08:22.800 --> 0:08:26.600 where these iconic legends past their prime. In fact, Peyton 0:08:26.680 --> 0:08:29.280 was in Denver, but I remember thinking at the time, 0:08:29.440 --> 0:08:31.960 she's what is the league gonna do? What is the 0:08:32.040 --> 0:08:35.160 league gonna do and now we've got Lamar, Mahomes, Allen 0:08:35.240 --> 0:08:41.000 and Throwin Burrow. Yeah, but in the NFC ten quarterbacks 0:08:41.520 --> 0:08:44.560 in the last ten Super Bowl appearances for NFC teams, 0:08:44.760 --> 0:08:48.120 it's a lot of rotational quarterbacks. That's why it almost 0:08:48.160 --> 0:08:50.760 feels like Jaden Daniels has a shot. Hurts would be 0:08:50.800 --> 0:08:54.120 the second time for him. So I do I said 0:08:54.120 --> 0:08:56.920 this today as I watched Jaden Daniels, and I feel 0:08:56.920 --> 0:09:01.000 like the NFC got their Mahomes that every they'll be 0:09:01.080 --> 0:09:04.840 tailing Washington going forward. I don't think it's a particularly 0:09:05.559 --> 0:09:10.360 warm take. I feel like he is either Lamar or Mahomes. 0:09:10.400 --> 0:09:13.160 But the NFC has had this sort of goff an 0:09:13.200 --> 0:09:19.280 older Stafford, a prickly Aaron Russell, Wilson aging Kyler. Murray's talented, 0:09:19.360 --> 0:09:22.360 but there's just been a lot of these qualifiers and 0:09:22.400 --> 0:09:27.679 they haven't had their no issues, low maintenance, high thrower, 0:09:28.000 --> 0:09:31.280 good mover. I think he's the Mahomes of the NFC. 0:09:32.440 --> 0:09:36.040 What's really going to be interesting. I agree with everything 0:09:36.040 --> 0:09:38.120 you said. What's going to be interesting is next year. 0:09:38.960 --> 0:09:45.280 Next year, the Commanders are already sixteen to one to 0:09:45.360 --> 0:09:50.319 win the Super Bowl. That feels very aggressive. Whyren't we 0:09:50.360 --> 0:09:53.520 saying the same things about c J. Stroud exactly a 0:09:53.600 --> 0:09:54.160 year ago? 0:09:54.559 --> 0:09:55.120 And did c J. 0:09:55.240 --> 0:09:58.960 Stroud not come back down to earth the defenses, not 0:09:59.120 --> 0:10:02.200 spend an off season figuring out that he's not great 0:10:02.720 --> 0:10:07.320 against certain defenses, that it's going to be challenging for 0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:10.560 him to succeed at the level that he did in 0:10:10.600 --> 0:10:11.360 his rookie year. 0:10:11.600 --> 0:10:12.160 And he didn't. 0:10:12.240 --> 0:10:14.480 Not saying he's not great, not saying he's going to 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:17.320 be great. But of all the great quarterbacks you just 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:20.640 mentioned when the season began, c J. Stroud was on 0:10:20.679 --> 0:10:21.200 that list. 0:10:21.559 --> 0:10:22.120 Now he's not. 0:10:22.800 --> 0:10:25.760 So next year is there going to be an opportunity 0:10:25.920 --> 0:10:29.760 to fade the Commanders? Like in reality, the Commanders should 0:10:29.800 --> 0:10:33.640 probably be seven seven and a half point underdogs in 0:10:33.679 --> 0:10:36.960 this game. The Eagles are dominant physically on the defensive 0:10:37.000 --> 0:10:39.000 side of the ball and on the offensive side of 0:10:39.040 --> 0:10:40.760 the ball. The Commanders are not going to have their 0:10:40.840 --> 0:10:44.720 right guard Sam Cosmy, who's their best offensive lineman. The 0:10:44.760 --> 0:10:47.839 eagles best defensive lineman is Jalen Carter. And normally you're 0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:50.559 not going to worry about a right guard being out 0:10:50.640 --> 0:10:54.480 as being a challenge for your pass protection. But when 0:10:54.559 --> 0:10:56.839 Jalen Carter is rushing up the middle. Your right guard 0:10:56.920 --> 0:10:58.560 might be the guy who needs to grab a piece 0:10:58.559 --> 0:11:00.640 of him every once in a while. You're now not 0:11:00.679 --> 0:11:03.120 going to have a guy, and so all of a 0:11:03.160 --> 0:11:07.040 sudden these things change. You're already getting the benefit. I 0:11:07.080 --> 0:11:11.559 think of Jaden Daniels being someone who people believe is 0:11:11.600 --> 0:11:15.600 a cheat code, and they're overvaluing that in the scope 0:11:15.600 --> 0:11:16.400 of the entire game. 0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:20.880 Yeah. I will say though, that CJ. Stroud didn't have 0:11:21.000 --> 0:11:28.400 the mobility edge, which I've always thought mobility's best for 0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:32.000 a quarterback in the first two years because as you're 0:11:32.120 --> 0:11:35.720 learning NFL coverages and waiting for the light to go on, 0:11:35.960 --> 0:11:38.439 you can just pick up first downs moving, whereas c J. 0:11:38.600 --> 0:11:41.480 Stroud is going to pick up first downs throwing, and 0:11:41.559 --> 0:11:47.840 so he is much more susceptible. As coverages get more sophisticated, 0:11:47.880 --> 0:11:50.240 you face better teams. He had injuries on the old line. 0:11:50.280 --> 0:11:54.200 They didn't have protection. I think running quarterbacks Lamar. He 0:11:54.320 --> 0:11:58.199 never really dipped mahomes Allen. They just kept getting better. 0:12:00.080 --> 0:12:00.400 Off. 0:12:01.000 --> 0:12:04.560 Was was beholden to how good his O line was. 0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:09.520 You know, bad Whitworth good, Whitworth leaves not as good 0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:12.000 or around that time when Whitworth was aging, and then 0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:14.640 he goes to Detroit. Not good, early line got better, 0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:19.559 He's better, So I think I think Jaden. I think C. J. 0:12:19.679 --> 0:12:25.120 Stroud's NFL comp was Goff, and like Goff, he deteriorates 0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:30.160 with really bad line play significantly, whereas I think Jaden 0:12:30.280 --> 0:12:33.920 is Lamar and Mahomes where it's just ascension because he 0:12:33.960 --> 0:12:37.960 moves the chains while he's figuring out defenses and it 0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:40.120 takes about even Mahomes said it was the beginning of 0:12:40.160 --> 0:12:43.959 year three when everything just sort of slowed down. So 0:12:44.160 --> 0:12:47.760 I don't think I think he's I think we're really 0:12:47.760 --> 0:12:49.120 looking at something special here. 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:50.480 I don't disagree. 0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:53.760 I think the guy is a brilliant player, and I 0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:57.480 think it's more evidence that you want to get quarterbacks 0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:00.520 who have a lot of experience playing in kind, who've 0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:02.400 taken a lot of snaps, who've played a lot of games. 0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:05.840 That's always been a threshold for GMS and coaches who 0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:08.520 are looking to draft quarterbacks. I remember when Philip Rivers 0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:12.200 came out, he had played so many games in college, 0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:14.120 people didn't really know who he. 0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:15.320 Was at NC State. 0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:17.120 I know I'm throwing a name out there, from like 0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:19.880 twenty five years ago. But I remember this so clearly. 0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:22.240 I was at ESPN the magazine, and we were doing 0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:24.080 a draft issue, and it was the first time I 0:13:24.160 --> 0:13:28.079 ever heard a scout talk about the importance of seeing 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:31.719 quarterbacks on tape with a lot of games as they 0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:35.640 get older. And we're seeing that with Jaden Daniels, like 0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:39.719 his experience level keeps him from being really frightened in 0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:44.840 these experiences because he's so much older than the average 0:13:44.880 --> 0:13:48.920 quarterback coming out, and he's had so many more snaps, 0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:51.480 and he understands the rhythm of the game and understands 0:13:51.520 --> 0:13:54.360 the moment a little bit better in addition to his 0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:58.840 unbelievable talent. But I can guarantee you right now we 0:13:58.880 --> 0:14:01.360 can set a number on it. The number of times 0:14:01.400 --> 0:14:03.880 will set it at seven and a half at. 0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:07.320 This time next year. How many times over. 0:14:07.160 --> 0:14:10.880 The course of Sharper Square have I said to you, well, 0:14:11.440 --> 0:14:15.040 commanders are overvalue here because Jaden Daniels is getting too 0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:18.240 much credit and too much attention. I guarantee I'm going 0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:20.880 to say that an every other week basis to you 0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:22.040 on this show. 0:14:22.520 --> 0:14:25.320 Let's go AFC. I'm riding with the bills. I have 0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:27.680 for the last month. I feel they're the best team 0:14:27.720 --> 0:14:30.120 in football. The Rams had to play a perfect game 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:32.120 at home to slip by in the Rams, I think 0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:34.440 we're a very good team at the end. I'll take 0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:37.480 the one and a half again. I think there's going 0:14:37.520 --> 0:14:40.040 to be points scored. I think there's limitations on stopping 0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:45.400 Allan and Mahomes. I think you get into these games. 0:14:46.320 --> 0:14:50.040 Coaches are more willing. Brady and Andy Reid are more willing. 0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:50.480 To take risks. 0:14:50.560 --> 0:14:53.360 It's sudden death. You empty the playbook because you have 0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:55.520 two weeks to prepare for the Super Bowl, so just 0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:57.920 empty the playbook. I take the over forty seven and 0:14:57.920 --> 0:15:00.680 a half bills plus one and a half. I can 0:15:00.760 --> 0:15:03.240 absolutely see Kansas City winning. I think this is the 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:06.200 best version of Buffalo for two reasons. One, they do 0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:10.000 not turn it over, they're not heavily penalized, and you 0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:12.760 can't get to Josh Allen. They're the mature version, which 0:15:12.800 --> 0:15:16.240 Baltimore hasn't become yet with Lamar. They're still. Like I've 0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:19.760 said this before, Buffalo's always been a Ferrari with Josh Allen. 0:15:19.800 --> 0:15:22.680 They just no longer get speeding tickets. They don't make 0:15:22.720 --> 0:15:25.040 the mistakes. They don't get caught like they slow down 0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:28.400 in front of the cops. So they have all the talent, 0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:31.240 but they don't have that sort of and Baltimore's trying 0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:33.760 to work theirself out of this. That's sort of like, 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:36.080 we can't slow down. We just we go one hundred 0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:39.680 miles an hour. So I think they've become they become 0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:43.920 the Chiefs, and I think eventually they're going to beat 0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:46.680 the Chiefs, which they have in the regular season. Sharper 0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:49.480 square bills plus the points sharp ish. 0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:51.960 It's been an interesting number. 0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:55.280 It opened at one and a half, and even though 0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:59.600 the majority of the money, which indicates professional betters like 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:03.160 the bill, and the majority of the tickets, which also 0:16:03.320 --> 0:16:07.560 indicates the public likes the bills, it's kind of stuck 0:16:07.560 --> 0:16:08.520 at one and a half. 0:16:09.000 --> 0:16:10.640 In fact, there's been a. 0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:15.480 Little bit of sort of juice movement, meaning they're making 0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:18.560 it more expensive to bet the one and a half 0:16:18.720 --> 0:16:21.280 on the Chiefs because they want you to take that 0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:22.680 one and a half because pretty soon they're going to 0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:28.680 go to two. I think that you're on the professional side, 0:16:29.360 --> 0:16:33.520 not in a dominant way. I'm going to play devil's advocate. 0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.480 Everything you're saying is right. Josh Allen gets out of 0:16:37.520 --> 0:16:41.120 the pocket. To me, he's as frightening as and frustrating 0:16:41.280 --> 0:16:45.800 as Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes and their running game 0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:50.400 this year has been so freaking good. They played the 0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:54.200 number one team in defensive rush success rate in the 0:16:54.200 --> 0:16:57.960 Broncos and rush them on the ground. They played the 0:16:58.040 --> 0:17:01.240 number two team in defense rushed success rate in the 0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.159 Ravens and crush them on the ground. The Chiefs are 0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:07.960 not nearly as good at defending the run as either 0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:09.960 the Ravens or the Broncos. And they're going to have 0:17:09.960 --> 0:17:12.520 to figure out how to manage Josh Allen when it's 0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:15.760 third and one or fourth and one, who's clearly unstoppable. 0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:18.440 How they're going to have to manage James Cook. All 0:17:18.520 --> 0:17:25.359 that is true, There is zero evidence colin that Patrick 0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:30.800 Mahomes is going to lose this game. Zero like in 0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:35.080 November on in games where the weather is forty degrees 0:17:35.160 --> 0:17:39.879 or less, twenty three and two in his career. The 0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:44.080 last loss was to Tom Brady in twenty nineteen. He's 0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:50.040 won twenty in a row. Andy Reid with Mahomes with 0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:53.240 an extra day of rest, just one extra day of rest, 0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:59.480 which he has twenty and three fourteen and one at home. 0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:00.960 It's just. 0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:04.879 Why would I want to do this. I've been given 0:18:05.040 --> 0:18:08.359 every opportunity to bet the Chiefs as a. 0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:10.520 Short home dog. 0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:17.719 Patrick Mahomes seven straight AFC title games, three Super Bowls 0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:21.720 in the past five years, going for third in a row. 0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:27.359 He is going to challenge Tom Brady as the greatest 0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:30.119 quarterback who's ever played, and he might do it before 0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:34.560 he's thirty two years old. Like, what am I doing here? 0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:37.040 Why would I bet against Patrick Mahomes. I had a 0:18:37.080 --> 0:18:39.399 buddy call the other day and tell me I'm all 0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:42.199 over the Bills. I'm like, why and why would you 0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:47.080 do that? With confidence? Like you just can't. It's it's hard. 0:18:47.160 --> 0:18:50.520 I get it. I'm afraid of it. But there's no 0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:54.280 way I'm betting against Patrick Mahomes. There is no way. 0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:56.160 But yeah, I like the. 0:18:56.119 --> 0:19:03.000 Over two NFL playoffs. We're talking about NFL playoffs, you 0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:05.040 bet we are get in on the action at DraftKings 0:19:05.080 --> 0:19:07.720 Sports Book, an official sports betting partner of the NFL. 0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:10.800 Scoring touchdowns is a key to winning in the NFL playoffs, 0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:13.200 and the key tou scoring big is betting on them 0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:15.800 At DraftKings the number one place to bet touchdowns. 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So I saw a story this week 0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:50.880 and it just made me laugh where the college football 0:20:50.880 --> 0:20:54.760 game was down three million viewers and everybody was flummixed. 0:20:55.480 --> 0:21:01.439 And I'm like, guys, men like Trump statistically in this election, 0:21:01.680 --> 0:21:06.640 young men love Trump, young men love football. Inauguration Day 0:21:06.720 --> 0:21:11.119 was Monday, That's the day of the National Championship, and 0:21:11.160 --> 0:21:13.560 so the number was down about three million viewers, especially 0:21:13.600 --> 0:21:17.760 when Notre Dame fell behind thirty one to seven. That's 0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:21.160 the answer, right, Like, it wasn't that we hate Ohio 0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:23.639 State and Notre Dame. It was every four years in 0:21:23.720 --> 0:21:28.280 inauguration with a polarizing Trump, who for the record, does 0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.080 very well in this election with young men. 0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:34.320 Yeah, I saw the numbers too, It's so funny you 0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:38.080 say that because I saw the numbers this morning and 0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:42.480 I saw a story just the headline, you know, down 0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:45.080 whatever percent it was ten percent or whatever, it was 0:21:45.200 --> 0:21:46.240 right twelve percent. 0:21:47.040 --> 0:21:48.440 And as soon as I. 0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:50.480 Clicked out, and I'm like, someone's going to try to 0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:54.960 explain why this is. This isn't rocket science trying to 0:21:54.960 --> 0:21:58.879 find patterns when you do year over year comps. You 0:21:58.920 --> 0:22:02.760 can do year over year comps with every podcast in 0:22:02.800 --> 0:22:05.879 the Volume network. You can do it with your show. 0:22:06.600 --> 0:22:11.040 The circumstances are always different. We do this at Action 0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:14.000 all the time too. How come this Monday night game 0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:16.640 is down from the year before, Well, who was the matchup? 0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:18.359 Was it a game where you had Was it a 0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:20.440 night where you had two Monday night games play being 0:22:20.480 --> 0:22:22.359 played instead of one? Because when you have two Monday 0:22:22.440 --> 0:22:26.120 night games, traffic sometimes dips a little bit because attention 0:22:26.280 --> 0:22:29.320 is diverted and games start a little bit earlier, so 0:22:29.320 --> 0:22:34.120 people aren't online as early. Like, there's so many easy 0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:38.000 to unpack answers to so many of the questions that 0:22:38.040 --> 0:22:41.520 are asked in sports. It's phenomenal that we try to 0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.760 make it as complicated as we do. And to your 0:22:44.800 --> 0:22:50.680 point about politics, mixing with sports, and impacting sports. Two 0:22:50.720 --> 0:22:55.960