1 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:16,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 2: Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. 3 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 3: I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. 4 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 2: Tracy, Obviously, there's a lot of there's an infinite number 5 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 2: of angles to artificial intelligence and what's going on in 6 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,200 Speaker 2: the industry. But one thing that I find like striking 7 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,880 Speaker 2: about this that feels very different from other stories in tech, 8 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 2: and I don't really know what it's about, is why 9 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 2: you hear it talked about in sort of geopolitical strategic terms, 10 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 2: and why countries, whether it's the US, China, but also 11 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia, Europe, really feel like they need to have 12 00:00:56,360 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 2: like their own domestic model or champion. It's almost like 13 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 2: it's like oil or something where countries have at least 14 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 2: been convinced that it's very important for them to have 15 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:08,199 Speaker 2: some sort of homegrown AI. 16 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:09,039 Speaker 4: Yeah, you're right. 17 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 3: I hadn't really thought about it, but that's absolutely true. 18 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 3: People talk about it almost as a strategic resource at 19 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 3: this point and sort of in existential terms, and you 20 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 3: never saw anyone talking about like the need for a 21 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 3: national SaaS strategy or something like that. 22 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 2: That's exactly what I think right, Like you didn't know 23 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 2: what it's like, Oh, well, we have to have our 24 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 2: own Slack or we have to. 25 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 3: Have our own salesforce. 26 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 2: We have to have our own British salesforce and the 27 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia salesforce. But there's something about AI models and like, 28 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 2: you know, it's sort of about the chips specifically, and 29 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 2: you know everyone wants the chips, right, but there also 30 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 2: seems to be something where like countries want to like 31 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 2: really develop their own models and have their own open 32 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 2: AI or whatever it is. 33 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, I also wonder how much of it has to 34 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 3: do with the data and the idea that like the 35 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 3: data is what you're training the model on, and so 36 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:03,200 Speaker 3: there's like privacy concerns isn't the right word, but you know, 37 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 3: countries want to have some control over their own data. 38 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 3: They don't want full transparency. So I wonder how much 39 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 3: that feeds into it. But you're right, we have gotten 40 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 3: used to talking about the AI arms race in one 41 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 3: way or another, and we should dig into why that is, 42 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 3: like why is it such a competitive piece of technology? 43 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 2: Totally? And I'd say, you know, there's two other things here, 44 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 2: which is that obviously the ultimate in everything these days. 45 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,359 Speaker 2: A lot of it is US China and how US 46 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 2: models and US companies compared to Chinese models and Chinese companies, 47 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 2: which I don't think many Americans have much visibility on, 48 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 2: or at least I certainly don't. I don't really know 49 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 2: what China's AI strategy is. And then there is of 50 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 2: course existing policy and how that might change under a 51 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 2: Trump administration and what that might do both to you 52 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:52,799 Speaker 2: as China relations in general, and I don't know if 53 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 2: that's going to be, you know, some sort of shift 54 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 2: in how Trump might think about AI versus a Biden administration. 55 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 3: It is true that, like certainly the semiconductor portion of 56 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 3: AI is something that has been competitive for a while now, 57 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 3: and we've seen that in both the Trump administration and 58 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 3: continued under Biden. So there is that kind of commonality 59 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 3: running through it. But I am very interested in getting 60 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:18,959 Speaker 3: more of a handle on exactly what China is doing 61 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:22,800 Speaker 3: in this space and what it sees potentially as like 62 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 3: an actual threat here totally. 63 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 2: Well, I'm very excited to say that we have two 64 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 2: perfect guests who really know all the dimensions of this 65 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 2: topic extremely well. We're going to be speaking with Jordan 66 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 2: Schneider He is the founder of the China Talk podcast 67 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 2: and newsletter, one of my favorite sources for understanding what's 68 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 2: going on in China. And we're also going to be 69 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 2: speaking with Kevin Chu. He is the author of the 70 00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 2: Interconnected newsletter and also a hedge fund manager at Interconnected Capital. 71 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 2: Writes fantastic stuff like sort of really digging into some 72 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: of the technical and tech sides of all this, so 73 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 2: hopefully we will walk out of here with a little 74 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 2: more understanding. Jordan and Kevin, thank you so much for 75 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 2: coming on OUTE. 76 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 5: Thank you so much for having us first time. 77 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 4: Long time. What a treat. 78 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 2: Love when people say that, I love hearing it reminds 79 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 2: me of like listening to like sports talk radio as 80 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 2: a kid. I'll just start with the question, what is 81 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 2: it about AI? And is it inherent or is it 82 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,719 Speaker 2: sort of the industry's marketing job. But what is it 83 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 2: about AI that unlike a tracing mention, you know, different 84 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 2: from like CRM software, social networking or whatever that countries 85 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 2: really seem to prize having some aspect of it be homegrown. 86 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, I couldn't help a chuckle a little bit when 87 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:36,039 Speaker 5: you guys are doing your intro about the national SAS 88 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 5: or what is your national CRM since I am a 89 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 5: software investor by day. You know, it's really interesting if 90 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 5: you think about how AI, when we talk about it 91 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:47,600 Speaker 5: generally has been the formulated you know, we're really talking 92 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 5: about generative AI, right, large language models in particular. There 93 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 5: are a bunch of other AI machine learning use cases 94 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:55,919 Speaker 5: that we're gonna you know, just stick to the side 95 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 5: for now. There's something very deeply cultural when you start 96 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:03,280 Speaker 5: to model at the entire Internet's information. When it comes 97 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 5: to large language model, right, it's essentially a three dimensional 98 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 5: space where every single token, where every single word has 99 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 5: a line that's drawn from one word to the other. 100 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 5: That kind of formulates knowledge or formulates you know, truth 101 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 5: in a lot of ways. And I would say, so far, 102 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:23,839 Speaker 5: given all the dominant products SHAT, GPT, clode, Gemini, etc. 103 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 5: They've been modeling Internet in general, which has a lot 104 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:29,479 Speaker 5: of content from the American Internet if you want to 105 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 5: think about that, or you know, Western European Internet, and 106 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 5: there are other versions of the Internet in Japan and 107 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 5: China in particular, where the ecosystem is such a wall 108 00:05:38,839 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 5: garden that the way knowledge and culture and thoughts and 109 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 5: the you know, history is being expressed is very different, 110 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 5: and I think that is what triggered a lot of 111 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 5: country to come to an understanding that this AI thing 112 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 5: isn't just a blown up spreadsheet with good UI that 113 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,359 Speaker 5: you can track, you know, pipeline or you know, have 114 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 5: a bunch of messages going around to help your workplace 115 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 5: go a little bit faster. It is a codification of 116 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:09,200 Speaker 5: your people. 117 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 2: And collective truth and culture. 118 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 5: And I will say collectively, your public discourse, maybe even 119 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 5: an element of your private discourse that's been published on 120 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 5: the internet is being codified in a particular large language model. 121 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 4: Just to add to that and bring up the US 122 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 4: China context. So you know, if we take as a 123 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 4: premise that the US and China are in a strategic competition, 124 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 4: what nations do when they try to when they compete 125 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 4: is they try to, you know, maximize national power. What 126 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,359 Speaker 4: is national power composed of how big your economy is 127 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 4: and how powerful your military is. Now, you know, there's 128 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 4: still a lot of debate to be about just how 129 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 4: important AI might be to the future of militaries and 130 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 4: the future of productivity growth, But it is the technology 131 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 4: today that has the most potential to really change long 132 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:57,480 Speaker 4: term military and economic trajectories. And I think we've seen 133 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 4: over the past few years the realization, maybe starting with 134 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 4: the October seventh, twenty twenty two export controls, that having 135 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,440 Speaker 4: a completely open exchange between the US and China is 136 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 4: too much of a risk for American policy makers to stomach. 137 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 4: And sort of in response to that, simultaneously and particularly 138 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 4: in response to the October seventh export controls, you've seen 139 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 4: trying to really aggressively start to invest and support both 140 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 4: their semiconductor as well as broader AI ecosystems. 141 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 3: Wait, so I want to press on this point that 142 00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 3: Kevin also brought up. But the idea of like AI 143 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 3: as a means of like cementing cultural and informational control. 144 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 3: Did anyone play around with the what was it called 145 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 3: like the study? 146 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 4: She thought app? 147 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, it was like the open AI app that was 148 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 3: trained on. Xi Jinping thought, here's. 149 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:56,120 Speaker 4: The funny thing is that app is like actually kind 150 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 4: of vaporware. We tried to find it on China Talk 151 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 4: you guys should all subscribe to and couldn't. And I 152 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 4: think this is one of the really interesting pieces of 153 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 4: the Chinese government and how they're specifically playing on the 154 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 4: sort of AI model side of things. As I've sort 155 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 4: of if you look at a lot of the Chinese 156 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 4: government sponsored projects so far, particularly on the model generation 157 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 4: or like national data set side, and you try to 158 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 4: get to ground truth on them, there's really not a 159 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 4: lot of there there. But that's not to say that 160 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 4: the Chinese sort of VC backed model ecosystem isn't the 161 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 4: real deal. We've seen companies raise multiple billions of dollars 162 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:38,200 Speaker 4: and be able to publish models, which are you know, 163 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 4: maybe six months behind the leading edge when you when 164 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 4: you're looking at open AI or anthropic and the sort 165 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 4: of delta between the government back stuff that you know, 166 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 4: can't pay for the best engineers or what have you 167 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 4: and these you know, DRIPUAI, Moonshot, Ernie it Baydu. Those 168 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:56,079 Speaker 4: folks are really running just as hard as what you're 169 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 4: seeing in the West. 170 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,720 Speaker 3: Let me ask a related question, but in terms of 171 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 3: Chinese AI models, what do we know about the data 172 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 3: sets that they're being trained on and are there any 173 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 3: limitations that are introduced by the fact that you know, 174 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 3: they are being developed within what is ostensibly all walled, 175 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,679 Speaker 3: you know, the Great Firewall of China Internet. Do they 176 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 3: still have access to X China data sets that they 177 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 3: can pull in even if those aren't being sort of 178 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 3: publicly dispensed to normal people. 179 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 5: So I think they definitely do. The one thing that 180 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:32,320 Speaker 5: all these Chinese tech companies, the model makers in particular, 181 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 5: are very aware of, and I would say any tech 182 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 5: company in China has to be aware of, is the 183 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 5: redline that cannot cross when it comes to certain things 184 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 5: that their product may generate, right, And I think this 185 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,439 Speaker 5: is one of the reasons why building a general of 186 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,760 Speaker 5: AI application or company in China is so hard. Yes, 187 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 5: they do have access to you know, Wikipedia or the 188 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:54,559 Speaker 5: Common Crawl, any of the kind of the standard table 189 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:57,560 Speaker 5: stake data sets that you use to train all the 190 00:09:57,640 --> 00:10:00,840 Speaker 5: large language models so far, and then they can inject 191 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 5: some of the data that is available inside the Chinese 192 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 5: Internet kind of garden a wall garden, if you will. 193 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 5: But there are two interesting things about the Chinese Internet right. 194 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 5: One is I'm assuming everybody who's listening to this is 195 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 5: aware of the level of censorship that's in public discourse 196 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:21,319 Speaker 5: on the Chinese Internet. That does not stop Chinese nedicence 197 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,560 Speaker 5: from wanting to express themselves in a certain way. So 198 00:10:24,720 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 5: if you are in a ficianadel of the Chinese language. 199 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 5: You will see a lot of contortions of linguistic kind 200 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 5: of acrobats being used in all kinds of ways to 201 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:38,360 Speaker 5: publish public in China that you can convey certain meanings, 202 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 5: but when it comes to modeling the language actually becomes 203 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,439 Speaker 5: very difficult to model the accuracy of the language. So 204 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 5: that's number one and number two because of again the 205 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,760 Speaker 5: red line of censorship moving at all times, so it's 206 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 5: not like a static target. A lot of contents actually 207 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 5: get deleted on the Chinese Internet. Things just disappear, you know, 208 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 5: if you don't archive of a certain article, when you 209 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 5: read it two days later, it might be gone for 210 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 5: you know, reasons that a lot of people can't even 211 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 5: decipher even if you think about this all the time, 212 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 5: and that reduces the quantity. And I would say the 213 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:14,559 Speaker 5: quality of training data that exists on their Chinese Internet 214 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 5: in particular, that I think is almost built in disadvantage 215 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 5: to a lot of Chinese model makers. They're building their 216 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 5: own lom you know, despite all odds there of course, 217 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,320 Speaker 5: still continuing their effort to do so. 218 00:11:27,520 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 2: One thing I like about some of the AI conversations 219 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 2: is they get into the realm of linguistic and linguistic theory. 220 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 2: Can I just press you on that point about the 221 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:38,640 Speaker 2: nature of the language itself and the effect that that 222 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 2: has on building a high quality model. 223 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 5: Yeah, so, I would say two things that's interesting about 224 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 5: their Chinese language in particular is that one, there are 225 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:50,040 Speaker 5: a lot of homonyms. There are a lot of sounds. 226 00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:52,320 Speaker 5: There are a lot of characters that sound almost exactly 227 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 5: the same. That means, you know, nothing similar. 228 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 3: The famous example is the whole like It's either a 229 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 3: poem or a very long sentence with like ma like force. 230 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 3: And all these ma can be depending on the intonation, 231 00:12:05,800 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 3: can like mean a bunch of different things. You can 232 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 3: construct a whole poem or sentence out of that single syllable. 233 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 5: That's right like ma ma ma right the four tones 234 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:17,720 Speaker 5: of the standard Chinese Mandarin language. And if you just 235 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 5: put that into the tech context, you know, Jack Ma Mayun, 236 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 5: the founder of Ali Baba, has been either a celebrated 237 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 5: entrepreneur or a villain, depending on how you think about 238 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 5: his current public stature. Right. That makes the modeling of 239 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,880 Speaker 5: any let's just say, publicly available information about Jack Ma 240 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 5: pretty difficult when you're also building a generative application on 241 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 5: top of it. And there are a lot of these 242 00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 5: examples in the Chinese linguistic case. That makes not just 243 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:48,719 Speaker 5: the modeling difficult on a technical sense, but also what 244 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 5: can or you cannot generate based on the red lines 245 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 5: that you may or may not have to cross. 246 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, So, just to play Devil's advocate here for a second, 247 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:59,840 Speaker 4: GPT four was trained on zero point two percent Mandarin 248 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:03,079 Speaker 4: and is ninety nine percent as smart in Chinese as 249 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:05,920 Speaker 4: it is in English. And when you look at what 250 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 4: some folks out of the leading Chinese AI labs are saying, 251 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,840 Speaker 4: like they're perfectly happy getting the vast majority of their 252 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 4: training data from English and sort of pourting it over 253 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 4: to Chinese. So there is a little challenge there. But 254 00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 4: I also think it's it's the other thing on this 255 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 4: sort of are the model is going to be lobotomized 256 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 4: because they will be able to be too politically sensitive. 257 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,440 Speaker 4: I mean, look, I feel like this is basically a 258 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 4: solved problem. If you try to make Chatgypt say something 259 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:38,199 Speaker 4: racist or sexist, it basically won't. And if Chinese internet 260 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 4: companies have data sets on anything, it's all the posts 261 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 4: that they've censored over the past twenty years, you know. 262 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 4: Having also tried to do this exercise of getting Chinese 263 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,439 Speaker 4: models to say politically racy stuff. It is a pretty 264 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 4: hard slog. So you know, on the plus side, I think, 265 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 4: you know, not all data that's going to matter for 266 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:59,320 Speaker 4: the future of AI and it's economic and military impact 267 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 4: is going to be linguistic and text based. And you know, 268 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:05,960 Speaker 4: being the world's manufacturing center, putting cameras into all those 269 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 4: factories may help you train a sort of like AI 270 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 4: manufacturing robot a lot better. So there are real trade 271 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,959 Speaker 4: offs here, and it's not just like China is sitting 272 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 4: behind the eight bombs. 273 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 3: I just realized how old I am because I remember 274 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 3: when China's censors like actually physically used to cross things 275 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 3: out in newspapers that were like important in Beijing. This 276 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 3: would have been around like two thousand and four, two 277 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 3: thousand and five. It used to be done by hand. 278 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:49,000 Speaker 3: One thing I wanted to ask, since Kevin brought up 279 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 3: the sort of like vagaries of Chinese politics where one 280 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,400 Speaker 3: day something is really in and the next day something 281 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 3: is very much out, we have seen that bleed into 282 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 3: financial markets and specifically you know, funding for technology, primarily 283 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:10,560 Speaker 3: internet technology SaaS in recent years, but also into housing 284 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:14,720 Speaker 3: and things like that with the three redlines policy. So 285 00:15:14,720 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 3: I'm curious, like, what does the funding environment actually look 286 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,440 Speaker 3: like for AI at the moment? Is there a lot 287 00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:24,440 Speaker 3: of like government support for developing this technology? 288 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 2: And just while you're answering that, like who are some 289 00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 2: of the companies, Yeah, you shouldn't, like who are the 290 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 2: open AI and anthropic of China that we should know 291 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 2: about it? 292 00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 5: Yeah? 293 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,120 Speaker 3: And how are they raising money? Like is most of 294 00:15:33,120 --> 00:15:37,480 Speaker 3: it coming from vcs, vcs or public vironments? 295 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 5: Yeah? So when it comes to the AI model makers, right, 296 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 5: I'll put that in one category of new startups, which 297 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,480 Speaker 5: actually kind of came up around the same time as 298 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 5: all the other ones that we already know here in 299 00:15:49,640 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 5: the US as well. You have Dripai, which is, you know, 300 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 5: purported to be one of the company that's closest to 301 00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 5: open ai. You know, they're avow to all so develop AGI. 302 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 5: They have strong academic roots from Qinghuai University. You have 303 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 5: Moonsha that I think Jordan mentioned. You have zero one 304 00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 5: dot Ai, which is a lee hai Fu's a new 305 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 5: venture building models as well. And I would say they're 306 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:20,680 Speaker 5: probably six or seven Chinese unicorns that currently exist that 307 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 5: receive funding mostly from your Chinese standard vcs. These are 308 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 5: vcs that are just like the Sequoias and the and 309 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 5: reasons of the world. Right, you have Jung Fund, you 310 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 5: have a Hillhouse Capital, you have home Shin who was 311 00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 5: formerly a Sequoia capital China, and a few others pouring 312 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:41,480 Speaker 5: money into this particular lane because one thing I think 313 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 5: we should back up is that this is one of 314 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 5: the very few lanes that vcs in China can actually 315 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 5: put a lot of money into and expect the kind 316 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 5: of return that you would expect from a pure financial 317 00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 5: VC because a lot of other parts of the Chinese 318 00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 5: tech ecosystem has been battered down quite a bit because 319 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 5: of all the differences in the policy crackdown that happened 320 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 5: in the last few years or so. So those are 321 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:08,399 Speaker 5: some of the big model maker players, and a lot 322 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:12,159 Speaker 5: of them are attracting large corporate venture investments from Alibaba 323 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:15,200 Speaker 5: in particular, but also Huaiwi, ten Cent, all the big 324 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:18,600 Speaker 5: dogs pouring into it. Very similar again to what we 325 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 5: have here in the US, where Microsoft, Google and Amazon 326 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 5: all have like their player on the field, if you will, 327 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 5: when it comes to startups, and even some of the 328 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 5: deal structures are similar I think one of Ali Baba's 329 00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 5: deal is that half of the investment they're making has 330 00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 5: to go into cloud credits to use the GPU service 331 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:40,480 Speaker 5: that are in Alibaba Cloud to be able to train 332 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,359 Speaker 5: their model as a way to entice, but also to 333 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 5: tie them into Ali Baba's on ecosystem. So actually they're 334 00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 5: probably more similarities, I would say, than differences when it 335 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 5: comes to the AI model makers funded by vcs, But 336 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:54,800 Speaker 5: that's about a different as similar as it gets. 337 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:58,399 Speaker 2: Jordan, you mentioned the robots and the idea that another 338 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 2: form of data is just all the visual information that's 339 00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,640 Speaker 2: inside a factory, and we did an episode on sort 340 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 2: of the connection with AI and robotics with Josh Wolf 341 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 2: and we talked about some of these ideas. But you know, 342 00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:12,680 Speaker 2: you mentioned you know you're talking about okay, they also 343 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:15,679 Speaker 2: want to achieve AGI. Are there distinct aspects though of 344 00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 2: the strategy that is like oh no, like okay, we 345 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:21,639 Speaker 2: are thinking about AI in the chatbot sense, So that 346 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 2: is the way most people in the US think about 347 00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 2: what these AI companies have delivered. Is it the same 348 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:33,080 Speaker 2: with these Chinese powerhouses or are they thinking about different 349 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,320 Speaker 2: forms of expression maybe in a more industrial manner. Et 350 00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 2: cetera than the sort of chatbot idiom. 351 00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 5: So Joe one thing that this is more of a 352 00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:45,280 Speaker 5: recent development. So I think just the last week, Shanghai 353 00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 5: hosted its annual World AI conference, right, and during this 354 00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 5: conference is a big show and there I believe twenty 355 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 5: five different brands of humanoid robots that were on display 356 00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 5: in the expo you know, hall of this center. So 357 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:04,320 Speaker 5: that illustrates I think to you that I think the 358 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,399 Speaker 5: direction I think Tracy asked about this, you know, where's 359 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:07,240 Speaker 5: the funding going to? 360 00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 3: Right? 361 00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:10,720 Speaker 5: I think if the national government were to have a say, 362 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 5: a lot of the funding ought to be go into 363 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 5: AI applications that are what I call heart tech things 364 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 5: that you can actually touch, things that actually do certain 365 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 5: things in the real world, whether it's in a car factory, 366 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 5: in a manufacturing shop, or even actual robots that will 367 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,919 Speaker 5: be in your home. And I think that is the 368 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:32,639 Speaker 5: direction that a lot of Chinese companies that are not 369 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 5: kind of in the model building world are going into. 370 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,919 Speaker 5: And I think there's actually one very important, kind of 371 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 5: larger existential crisis that China's dealing with and a lot 372 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:44,119 Speaker 5: of people don't talk about in the context of AI, 373 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 5: which is that by the end of this century, the 374 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:50,640 Speaker 5: UN is projecting that the entire population of China will 375 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,440 Speaker 5: go down to around eight hundred million to about one 376 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 5: point four billion right now, so roughly have and half 377 00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 5: of that eight hundred million people will be people who 378 00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:04,239 Speaker 5: are sixty years or older. So demography is destiny in 379 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,520 Speaker 5: a lot of ways. And if you're a Chinese policymaker 380 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:09,160 Speaker 5: steering into this abyss that we're just going to basically 381 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:11,920 Speaker 5: rent out of people, then you know, having a lot 382 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 5: of AI robotics is almost a national imperative for China 383 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:20,000 Speaker 5: to solve its own demographic problem with or without, you know, 384 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:21,879 Speaker 5: everything else going on around the world. 385 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:27,360 Speaker 3: Okay, So one of the benefits of having a command 386 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 3: economy essentially is that Chinese policy makers can come out 387 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 3: and say, we want everyone to direct their money away 388 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:40,159 Speaker 3: from I don't know, online internet e commerce platforms and 389 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:45,080 Speaker 3: into hard technology like semiconductors or developing some new chatbot 390 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 3: or something like that. But the downside is that you 391 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:53,479 Speaker 3: can get excess capital to put it politely crowded into 392 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,800 Speaker 3: these things. Is that a concern when it comes to AI, 393 00:20:57,000 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 3: or is it that the technology is so strategically important 394 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 3: and so competitive that it's not really a concern at 395 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:06,159 Speaker 3: the moment, you know. 396 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,840 Speaker 4: So I think it's an interesting contrast you can look 397 00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:12,240 Speaker 4: at between sort of the AI model makers and the 398 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 4: semiconductor and the broader semiconductor ecosystem. So what Kevin laid out, 399 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,239 Speaker 4: which is what I see as well, is basically like 400 00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:23,360 Speaker 4: a largely private sector driven thing with the same kind 401 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,680 Speaker 4: of boom and bust or boom and like question mark 402 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,680 Speaker 4: that we're current living living into in the West, happening 403 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 4: in China. 404 00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:30,480 Speaker 3: Now. 405 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 4: You know, what's happened in the Chinese semiconductor ecosystem over 406 00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:37,919 Speaker 4: the past decade or so is really different. So you know, 407 00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:40,440 Speaker 4: if you're talking about the US Chips Act, which didn't 408 00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 4: come online until twenty twenty two, and it's going to 409 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 4: spend roughly seventy five billion dollars, like we've seen that 410 00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 4: level of investment doubled or even trebled over the past 411 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 4: ten years in the Chinese government, you know, she is 412 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 4: really semiconductor and hardware and industrial pilled. And I think 413 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:01,320 Speaker 4: he also from a long time ago saw the writing 414 00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,960 Speaker 4: on the wall of these you know, of these export 415 00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,920 Speaker 4: restrictions coming on as uh as semi conductors became more 416 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 4: and more, more and more and more strategic technology. 417 00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:12,639 Speaker 2: She she should ping. Sounds like he could be the 418 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 2: perfect guest if anyone wants to disseminate that. If anyone's listening, 419 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 2: someone who's. 420 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:22,360 Speaker 3: To talk about semi conduct if he if he's. 421 00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:25,120 Speaker 2: Hardware and chip pilled, it sounds like he would be 422 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,200 Speaker 2: a great guest. So let's talk a little bit more. 423 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 2: We know that the Biden administration has imposed, along with 424 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:37,720 Speaker 2: some allies, various limitations on the export of advanced chips 425 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,480 Speaker 2: and so forth. But why don't one of you just 426 00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 2: sort of give us, like the broad outline beyond or 427 00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 2: including the chip limitations of US policy towards you know, 428 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:54,880 Speaker 2: international AI policy towards China, and how we're actively implementing 429 00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:58,320 Speaker 2: the strategic aspect or the geopolitical aspect of AI. 430 00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:01,200 Speaker 4: Again. You know, I started with this idea that AI 431 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:05,040 Speaker 4: is a strategic, dual use technology that has big implications 432 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 4: both for the future of economic growth as well as 433 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,399 Speaker 4: the future of military power. So in September of twenty 434 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:14,479 Speaker 4: twenty two, a few weeks before the October seventh Export controls, 435 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:17,120 Speaker 4: Jake Sulivan gave a speech where he said that it's 436 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,719 Speaker 4: not good enough to just be in the lead, but 437 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:21,960 Speaker 4: that the US needs to have as far a lead 438 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 4: as possible in critical emerging strategic technologies, AI being first 439 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 4: and foremost on that list. So we've seen a number 440 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,959 Speaker 4: of different efforts on you know, from both a data 441 00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,920 Speaker 4: and algorithmic as well as a compute perspective, to make 442 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,760 Speaker 4: sure that America can continue to run faster than China. 443 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:43,280 Speaker 4: So from export controls, you have limitations on the types 444 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 4: of chips which you can be exported into China. We've 445 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 4: had EUV restrictions so that China can't make the most 446 00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:52,280 Speaker 4: advanced chips domestically, the types of chips that the US 447 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,240 Speaker 4: is no longer allowing Chinese firms to buy in country, 448 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:58,439 Speaker 4: We're starting to see more and more restrict you know, 449 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,639 Speaker 4: there's movement the water around restrictions of letting Chinese firms 450 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:07,359 Speaker 4: access those types of chips abroad and with foreign cloud providers. 451 00:24:07,600 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 4: And then there's also starting to be some interesting movement 452 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:14,560 Speaker 4: around restrictions when it comes to both data and algorithms. 453 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 4: On the data side, you're starting to see new data 454 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 4: walls be lifted with regards to electric vehicles in particular, 455 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 4: we'll maybe see more coming forward, and then from an 456 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,880 Speaker 4: algorithmic perspective, you know, two weeks ago open aiy said 457 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:32,000 Speaker 4: that they were no longer comfortable using a giving API 458 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 4: access to developers based in the PRC, and that may 459 00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:41,119 Speaker 4: be a harbinger of something larger. Congress recently gave this 460 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:47,160 Speaker 4: the power to explicitly stop algorithmic exports. So the wall 461 00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,800 Speaker 4: slowly but surely is coming up, and the Chinese developers 462 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:54,399 Speaker 4: and semiconductor ecosystems response to this is really interesting because 463 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 4: you're seeing very aggressive investment on the hardware side. You 464 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 4: see stock piling of chips and even billions of dollars 465 00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:08,440 Speaker 4: of the best of what Nvidia can legally export to them. Smuggling, too, 466 00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 4: is starting to be a real thing we recently saw 467 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,800 Speaker 4: some mainstream coverage of, so you know, there will be 468 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:17,320 Speaker 4: kind of gray areas and people trying to play corner 469 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 4: cases to get more technology and access. Industrial espionage as 470 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 4: well as something that starts starting to bubble up a 471 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:27,439 Speaker 4: bit more. The scandal of sorts with Leopold Ashenbrett are 472 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,119 Speaker 4: getting fired, only for two weeks later Open ai to 473 00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,920 Speaker 4: bring on General Nakasoni, the former head of the NSA, 474 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,120 Speaker 4: to shore up their internal controls, I think is an 475 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:39,640 Speaker 4: interesting leading indicator of what's to come on that front. 476 00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 3: One of the things that you sometimes hear about restrictions on, 477 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:03,280 Speaker 3: for instance, semiconductor exports to China is the idea that 478 00:26:03,359 --> 00:26:07,600 Speaker 3: by cutting off the country from all this external technology, 479 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 3: you're only going to accelerate its own technological progress and 480 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:16,320 Speaker 3: its own development of leading edge chips and things like that. 481 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:21,720 Speaker 3: How much credence do you lend to those types of arguments. 482 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 5: I think it's a moving target right now. I think 483 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:28,159 Speaker 5: logically you would expect China to put all of this 484 00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 5: resources into building the best GPU possible, right if we 485 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:34,920 Speaker 5: all think AI is going to be the next a 486 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:39,159 Speaker 5: big paradigm shift for national competitiveness, not just market competitiveness 487 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,320 Speaker 5: yet right now, because of I will say, the effectiveness 488 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 5: of US expert control, two rounds of export control, and 489 00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 5: also working with allies around the world to solidify expert control, 490 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,119 Speaker 5: it's actually been a very difficult time for China to 491 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,439 Speaker 5: catch up from the hardware side, both in terms of 492 00:26:55,520 --> 00:27:00,200 Speaker 5: designing the best GPU possible, but also to manufacture the 493 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 5: chips in bulk using its own chip boundry SMIC because 494 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,240 Speaker 5: you know, China's been cut off from TSMC to be 495 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 5: able to meet demand that China itself, its own companies 496 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 5: need to build its own product, let alone expanding to 497 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,880 Speaker 5: you know, other parts around the world. And that's why 498 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,240 Speaker 5: you see all these behaviors still of either Chinese developers 499 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:24,679 Speaker 5: using VPNs and other ways to access open ais APIs, 500 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:28,840 Speaker 5: or you have these sort of smuggling of prevented or 501 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,520 Speaker 5: prohibited in media chips into China to be able to 502 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 5: keep the building of the infrastructure going. And I think 503 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 5: that goes back to what you were talking about Tracy earlier, 504 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,720 Speaker 5: is that there is a limitation to how much the 505 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:45,440 Speaker 5: national government wants certain things to happen and whether that 506 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:48,160 Speaker 5: could actually happen or not when it comes to especially 507 00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 5: building hard tech in China. When it comes to AI 508 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:54,440 Speaker 5: infrastructure in particular, we see a lot of pretty poor 509 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:59,600 Speaker 5: examples of government money being wasted in chip manufacturing already 510 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,720 Speaker 5: in a few years before AI was even really a thing, 511 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 5: and now it's in a very tough spot. I think 512 00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:08,640 Speaker 5: for a lot of people in China to be able 513 00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 5: to overcome the current hurdle, and I think this gap, 514 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:19,080 Speaker 5: this specifically hardware GPU imposed gap, will only widen when 515 00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 5: Nvidia mass produced. It is a black Well chip, which 516 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,919 Speaker 5: is the next generation of GPU that's going to you know, 517 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:30,840 Speaker 5: be produced in bulk starting next year, which has a 518 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:35,200 Speaker 5: huge performance kind of advantage, you know, roughly thirty two 519 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,840 Speaker 5: times more than the A chips, which is what opening 520 00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 5: I used to train GPT for to be able to 521 00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 5: you know, close that gap. So I think unfortunately for 522 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,560 Speaker 5: the Chinese technology builders, the gap will only widen. 523 00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,560 Speaker 3: Jordan, I think you've talked about this before as well, 524 00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,680 Speaker 3: the idea that if China is restricted in the amount 525 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:57,200 Speaker 3: of compute that it has access to, maybe there's a 526 00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:01,800 Speaker 3: scenario where its own aid has just become really really 527 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:03,360 Speaker 3: efficient in one way or another. 528 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 4: Yeah. I mean this is you know, when you're under 529 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,719 Speaker 4: constraints and there's money to be made, and you know, 530 00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 4: engineers will find a way, right, So I on the 531 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 4: compute side, right. You know, it's interesting thinking about Blackwell. 532 00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,560 Speaker 4: Only about ten percent of the gains that it is 533 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 4: making from the past generation came from a node size. 534 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:24,640 Speaker 4: The vast majority of the gains that they've been able 535 00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:27,640 Speaker 4: to squeeze into the Blackwell system are from stuff like 536 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 4: like optics and interconnects and that stuff. High bandwidth memory. 537 00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:34,880 Speaker 4: That's type of stuff is a lot more difficult to 538 00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:38,719 Speaker 4: export control than just one machine coming out of the Netherlands. 539 00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 4: So you know, it's difficult. There's tens of billions of 540 00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:44,680 Speaker 4: dollars of R and D that's been on this stuff. 541 00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:47,680 Speaker 4: But it's sort of an open question to me how 542 00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 4: difficult re engineering all the innovations that went into Blackwell 543 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 4: is going to be versus re engineering an e UV machine, 544 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,200 Speaker 4: which like seems to be next to impossible. This is 545 00:29:57,240 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 4: an important point just to jump in here. Like when 546 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 4: people when in pop culture, when people talk about chips, 547 00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:06,880 Speaker 4: it's almost always like node size and smaller and smaller. 548 00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,600 Speaker 3: But this idea of like the vibrant pop culture of 549 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:12,760 Speaker 3: semi people. But this is I'm not sure we're quite there. 550 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,320 Speaker 2: This is how like ignorant people like myself if I 551 00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:17,920 Speaker 2: think like, oh, well, you know, the cutting edge chip, 552 00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,520 Speaker 2: it's just in my mind smaller, nodest. But this is 553 00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:22,080 Speaker 2: like a really important point that you hit on that 554 00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 2: when actually when we're talking about say in video GPUs, 555 00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 2: there are other dimensions that are actually much more important 556 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 2: than node size. 557 00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:31,920 Speaker 5: That's right. And you know, if you look at all 558 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:34,480 Speaker 5: the new products in the video is releasing to the 559 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,240 Speaker 5: market is not a chip. Of course, you can buy 560 00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 5: a chip, but you know it's really eight chips together 561 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 5: connected with high bandwidth memory and the interconnects and all 562 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,560 Speaker 5: the other elements that goes into a system. And then 563 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 5: next generation the packaging will be thirty six chip and 564 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:51,880 Speaker 5: then seventy two chip. And of course there's a good 565 00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 5: reason for that because all these models, if you believe 566 00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:59,360 Speaker 5: that larger models become smarter models, then they need massive 567 00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:02,320 Speaker 5: amounts of all processing to be able to train all 568 00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:05,080 Speaker 5: these model officially and to deploy them officially. So that's 569 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 5: why you tie up all these high performing GPUs together, 570 00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:12,480 Speaker 5: and I think that's what makes this hardware gap even 571 00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 5: more difficult from a system level, for even a cloud 572 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:19,640 Speaker 5: level to really overcome. I think, you know, before, we've 573 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 5: been talking a lot about the chip war between different countries. 574 00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:25,320 Speaker 5: I think we're vastly quickly evolving into a cloud war 575 00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:29,600 Speaker 5: between different countries competing on the AI and technology in general, 576 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,280 Speaker 5: because it's all about the cloud and the system and 577 00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:35,520 Speaker 5: how officially can you acquire and then utilize them. That 578 00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:36,520 Speaker 5: makes a big difference. 579 00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,000 Speaker 3: Tell me if I'm wrong here, But my sense also 580 00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 3: with like semiconductor rivalry, maybe to a lesser extent, but 581 00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:48,600 Speaker 3: certainly with the AI rivalry, is that it's mostly a 582 00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 3: competition between the US and China. Like, as far as 583 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:57,840 Speaker 3: I can tell, Europe isn't necessarily obsessing about developing national 584 00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 3: chat GPT versions as much as you know the US 585 00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:04,000 Speaker 3: and China are. Why Why is that so? 586 00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:06,880 Speaker 4: You know, I think from a from the semiconductor perspective, right, 587 00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:09,959 Speaker 4: like it's really China and the rest of the world. 588 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 4: There is a very integrated global ecosystem in which you 589 00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:16,920 Speaker 4: have European players, East Asian players, South Asian players, the 590 00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:21,480 Speaker 4: US that are all kind of working together to push, 591 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 4: you know, to push node sides and improve the sort 592 00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 4: and develop the sorts of technologies which are going into 593 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,680 Speaker 4: something like Blackwell and China, you know, has kind of 594 00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,920 Speaker 4: been cut off or is at some levels being cut 595 00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 4: off from that broader ecosystem and having to start to 596 00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,920 Speaker 4: domesticate a lot of the technologies that they were able 597 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 4: to formally rely on from other countries. Now, Kevin, I 598 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 4: don't know if you want to talk to the like 599 00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 4: every country with its own model and own cloud thing, 600 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:49,560 Speaker 4: because I think that's a really interesting I'm curious about that. 601 00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think you know not to beat on Europe 602 00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 5: too much, but I do think given just the regulatory 603 00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 5: I was ay bias right to wars releasing new technology 604 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:03,880 Speaker 5: really quickly. In general, it just isn't a very hospitable 605 00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:07,600 Speaker 5: environment to be able to build a product legit CHATGPT, 606 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:11,080 Speaker 5: which was really released I believe on a whim or 607 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 5: on a quick competitive note. It wasn't something that's super 608 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 5: thought through. But because of the environment that we have 609 00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:18,720 Speaker 5: in America, we allow that sort of things to happen 610 00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:21,640 Speaker 5: and then we think about regulation later. Coming back to 611 00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:25,600 Speaker 5: the national angle, I think there is a strong sort 612 00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:29,280 Speaker 5: of motivation, coming back to the cultural point that every 613 00:33:29,320 --> 00:33:32,720 Speaker 5: country does want its own national champion to some extent. 614 00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:35,800 Speaker 5: I think French France has Misstraw, which it kind of 615 00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:38,040 Speaker 5: puts up as its own national champion. It's a very 616 00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:41,680 Speaker 5: strong open source AI model maker that has a lot 617 00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:44,720 Speaker 5: of strong relationship with Microsoft as well. I think there's 618 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:47,760 Speaker 5: another company out of Germany that also is a model maker. 619 00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 5: So there are a few examples out there. Even Japan 620 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 5: has a I believe sakana Ai, which is its own 621 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:59,360 Speaker 5: possible startup national champion to model, Japan's you know, culture 622 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,480 Speaker 5: or truth or knowledge or whatnot into a national model, 623 00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:04,880 Speaker 5: and India has a few others as well. And the 624 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,480 Speaker 5: Middle East is another very important region that is playing 625 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,800 Speaker 5: an increasingly large role, I think, as the government actually 626 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 5: pushed out some really good open source model about a 627 00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:16,919 Speaker 5: year ago called Falcon that series which has been able 628 00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:18,960 Speaker 5: to put the Middle East on the map when it 629 00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,680 Speaker 5: comes to national development of AM models. So there is 630 00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 5: a lot going on, but certainly not nearly as much 631 00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:28,959 Speaker 5: as the US China competition. Besides that, actually. 632 00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,480 Speaker 3: You just reminded me this is something I've always wondered 633 00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:34,640 Speaker 3: as well, but what is the state of open source 634 00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,359 Speaker 3: in China? Like, is it as much of a thing 635 00:34:37,480 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 3: as it is in the States or elsewhere? What does 636 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 3: that actually look like in terms of sharing code and 637 00:34:42,320 --> 00:34:42,919 Speaker 3: things like that. 638 00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:46,279 Speaker 5: So it's very much a thing in fact. So I 639 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,520 Speaker 5: used to work at a GitHub, which you know, is 640 00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:52,320 Speaker 5: one of the largest a code repository of open source 641 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,880 Speaker 5: code and to drive in a natural expansion, so I 642 00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:57,440 Speaker 5: got to work with a lot of Chinese open source 643 00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:01,240 Speaker 5: developers and it's actually the very few, i would say 644 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 5: vibrant communities that really embrace a lot of openness transparency. 645 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:09,720 Speaker 5: They have this really nerdy holiday on October twenty fourth, 646 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 5: which if you you know binary is you know to 647 00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:16,720 Speaker 5: to Day, It's ten exactly, But basically it's a called 648 00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:21,880 Speaker 5: Programmer Day and it's a completely grassroots holiday in China 649 00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:24,719 Speaker 5: that celebrates open source development. They have, you know, a 650 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,960 Speaker 5: huge party, a huge convention. They talk about open source sharing. 651 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:31,239 Speaker 5: They all use you know, GitHub or hugging Face or 652 00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:36,160 Speaker 5: all your your usual open source collaboration platform. So the 653 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:39,160 Speaker 5: open source kind of movement, if you will, has really 654 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,600 Speaker 5: deep roots in China and that has been around for 655 00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:45,719 Speaker 5: a couple of decades already before we have this kind 656 00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:50,840 Speaker 5: of open source closed source model dichotomy that's happening in AI. 657 00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 5: In fact, a few of the nonprofits that are kind 658 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,920 Speaker 5: of government affiliated in China has released open source models 659 00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,880 Speaker 5: as well as a way to showcase what they have 660 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:02,160 Speaker 5: done as a way to kind of both compete but 661 00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:05,200 Speaker 5: also to collaborate with academics and researchers elsewhere. 662 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, just coming a little more on the 663 00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:12,400 Speaker 4: government open source connection. You know, it's it's easier to 664 00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,319 Speaker 4: be like open source is a good strategy, particularly if 665 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:18,040 Speaker 4: you're behind. We've seen a lot of investment on the 666 00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,279 Speaker 4: hardware side with Risk five as well as on as 667 00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 4: well as as Kevin mentioned, on the software side. And 668 00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:26,400 Speaker 4: you know, I think it's it's still an open question, 669 00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:28,759 Speaker 4: but a lot of there's a lot of chatter on 670 00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:33,240 Speaker 4: the Chinese Internet about just to what extent the Chinese 671 00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:37,840 Speaker 4: model makers are dependent on Meta continuing to drop open 672 00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:41,279 Speaker 4: source models in the Lama series. And you know, we 673 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:45,160 Speaker 4: may if and when Zuckerberg decides that he's done playing 674 00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,600 Speaker 4: the open source game, we may see a very different 675 00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:51,000 Speaker 4: trajectory for the Chinese model makers if they're not able 676 00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:54,400 Speaker 4: to kind of you know, get their algorithmic and hardware 677 00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:55,480 Speaker 4: shops in order before then. 678 00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:59,960 Speaker 2: So we just have a few minutes left. But you know, 679 00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 2: we talked about the current state of US restrictions towards 680 00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:06,759 Speaker 2: China or how the US thinks about AI and the 681 00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:11,800 Speaker 2: geopolitical context. There are chip export controls, there's more being done, 682 00:37:11,960 --> 00:37:15,239 Speaker 2: you know, when it comes to cracking down an industrial espionage. 683 00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 2: There have been a lot of stories, including several broken 684 00:37:18,200 --> 00:37:22,880 Speaker 2: by Bloomberg about you know, academic collaboration and you know, 685 00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,520 Speaker 2: trying limiting who can talk to whom. And we know 686 00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:28,080 Speaker 2: that there's a lot of issues in academia related to 687 00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:31,040 Speaker 2: computer science and tech and Chinese researchers in the US, 688 00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:34,680 Speaker 2: et cetera. We have this framework, but it might all 689 00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,919 Speaker 2: change because the president, the party of the presidency might 690 00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:41,440 Speaker 2: change in a few months. What do we know, if anything, 691 00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:46,400 Speaker 2: about the Trump view towards AI and AI in the 692 00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:47,520 Speaker 2: geopolitical context. 693 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:52,320 Speaker 5: So I think the interesting about Trump is that during 694 00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:56,640 Speaker 5: his presidency, his first term, he actually did have worked 695 00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:59,520 Speaker 5: on national AI initiative of something which I believe is 696 00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:02,920 Speaker 5: also by Eric Schmid, the former CEO of Google, and 697 00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:05,680 Speaker 5: he signed on to some kind of a national initiative 698 00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:08,000 Speaker 5: plan in twenty twenty, but it was mid of COVID, 699 00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:09,960 Speaker 5: none of us had any time to pay attention that. 700 00:38:10,000 --> 00:38:12,520 Speaker 5: It's like didn't go anywhere. But he did have some 701 00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:16,479 Speaker 5: kind of history with AI. But based on the most 702 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:21,640 Speaker 5: recent kind of the Republican National Conventions Platform just being released, 703 00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 5: one of the lining items is that they will overturn 704 00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:29,360 Speaker 5: Biden's AI executive order, so Trump can put his own spin, 705 00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:32,440 Speaker 5: or his own branding, or his own substance on AI 706 00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:36,319 Speaker 5: when he if he does become a president again. So 707 00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:39,880 Speaker 5: we can expect a lot of kind of volatility on 708 00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,480 Speaker 5: that front. And another thing that I would say that 709 00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:44,799 Speaker 5: I think is the most consistent thing about Trump is 710 00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:48,480 Speaker 5: his unilateralism. Right He's always been about America first, American only, 711 00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:51,640 Speaker 5: and right now there is a pretty good rhythm of 712 00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:55,399 Speaker 5: global AI governance that's happening, starting with in the UK 713 00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:59,879 Speaker 5: a the Bletchley Park Declaration, to a summit in South 714 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:03,440 Speaker 5: Korea earlier this year, to then another summit in Paris 715 00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:07,200 Speaker 5: in February of next year where you have world leaders 716 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 5: including China and all the other relevant departments and ministries 717 00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 5: around the world coming together to talk about AI governance 718 00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:18,000 Speaker 5: in a global sense. If I were to put my 719 00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:20,680 Speaker 5: money in the betting market about Trump, I think he 720 00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:22,239 Speaker 5: will probably blow a lot of that out of the 721 00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:25,799 Speaker 5: water to go to his unilateral instinct and really put 722 00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:28,600 Speaker 5: America stamp on this, and it's hard to predict what 723 00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:29,279 Speaker 5: that will look like. 724 00:39:29,520 --> 00:39:32,600 Speaker 4: Trump went on the All In podcast, maybe the podcast 725 00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:33,680 Speaker 4: that must not be named one. 726 00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:34,759 Speaker 2: No, it's fun, but. 727 00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:36,480 Speaker 5: It was. 728 00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:38,919 Speaker 4: It was really remarkable because they asked him about China 729 00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:42,200 Speaker 4: and AI and he had, like, you know, a moderately 730 00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:46,799 Speaker 4: sophisticated answer, sort of shocking. He you know, identified that 731 00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:49,080 Speaker 4: it's a race between the US and China. And he 732 00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:53,000 Speaker 4: also said that energy is really important to data centers, 733 00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:54,960 Speaker 4: and we got to make that happen. You know, if 734 00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,920 Speaker 4: you edited down his comments from five minutes to like 735 00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:01,040 Speaker 4: thirty seconds, it was pretty coherent. But it was a 736 00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:04,080 Speaker 4: remarkable thing that, like he was talking to someone about 737 00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:07,120 Speaker 4: this and they got like two halfway decent talking points 738 00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:09,279 Speaker 4: in his head. So, you know, how he's going to 739 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 4: approach technology in China, as I think, is a really 740 00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 4: open question. On the one hand, we had this very 741 00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:19,239 Speaker 4: like well thought out, sophisticated playbook that he ran to 742 00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:21,960 Speaker 4: basically get the world to turn on Huawei. On the 743 00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:23,640 Speaker 4: other hand, you know, we had a lot of weird, 744 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:27,600 Speaker 4: trumpy stuff, like with Zte, the Commerce Department's basically going 745 00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,040 Speaker 4: to kill it. She called him, said that it was 746 00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,480 Speaker 4: going to cost too many Chinese jobs, and then he 747 00:40:32,520 --> 00:40:35,120 Speaker 4: went on and tweeted the next day saying too many 748 00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:37,560 Speaker 4: jobs lost in China, like we're going to give Zte 749 00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:40,200 Speaker 4: a reprieve. So he's really of two minds on all 750 00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:42,880 Speaker 4: this stuff. Maybe someone talks him into being scared about inflation, 751 00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:45,919 Speaker 4: who knows, But I think there's a very wide range 752 00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:48,960 Speaker 4: of outcomes both on the sort of his domestic approach 753 00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:51,480 Speaker 4: to artificial intelligence as well as he's as well as 754 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,080 Speaker 4: how he's going to think about technology competition in China. 755 00:40:54,239 --> 00:40:56,920 Speaker 2: You said something there that actually I wanted to ask, 756 00:40:57,040 --> 00:40:59,759 Speaker 2: and this is just about the sort of technological arms 757 00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:03,799 Speaker 2: rate again, but obviously within the within the US and 758 00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,920 Speaker 2: the data centers, there's a lot of anxiety about access 759 00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,279 Speaker 2: to electricity and how are we going to supply that? 760 00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:12,120 Speaker 2: And we all know the US is not in a 761 00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,680 Speaker 2: good state these days, are like building things and adding 762 00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:17,759 Speaker 2: a lot of energy capacity. Is that a when you 763 00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:20,880 Speaker 2: think about US versus China in that respect? Could that 764 00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:24,560 Speaker 2: be a comparative advantage for the Chinese companies? I mean, 765 00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:28,279 Speaker 2: I know China continues to add more nuclear generation and 766 00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,920 Speaker 2: they're probably more liberal in terms of adding more coal 767 00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:34,239 Speaker 2: power and other things like that. Could they end up 768 00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:37,760 Speaker 2: within an advantage based on their electricity grid on solving 769 00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:38,879 Speaker 2: the power side of AI. 770 00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,440 Speaker 4: You know, this might be a bit of a red herring. 771 00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:45,319 Speaker 4: I am like cautiously optimistic that Republicans and Democrats will 772 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:48,640 Speaker 4: end up kind of giving some you know, NIPA exceptions 773 00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:51,720 Speaker 4: for these data centers, which, like everyone is now agreeing 774 00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:55,239 Speaker 4: is this like incredibly important national strategic resource. I mean, 775 00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:57,959 Speaker 4: I think the bookcase with China, right is if they're 776 00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:00,399 Speaker 4: stuck with less efficient ships and just how to build 777 00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:03,440 Speaker 4: data centers twice the size that are twice as expensive, 778 00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:05,239 Speaker 4: then like, yeah, maybe they can like throw on a 779 00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:08,440 Speaker 4: few more coal plants and nuclear nuclear reactors to get 780 00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:13,399 Speaker 4: them to get them going. But I am cautiously optimistic 781 00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:17,640 Speaker 4: that in video will continue to make increasingly power efficient 782 00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:20,960 Speaker 4: chips and you know, state, local and national regulators will 783 00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:24,640 Speaker 4: understand that this is something worth bending the rules on, 784 00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:27,040 Speaker 4: which is sort of what you've seen on the sort 785 00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:29,799 Speaker 4: of semiconductor fabrication build out over the past few years 786 00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:30,440 Speaker 4: with the Chips Act. 787 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:32,200 Speaker 5: And if I can add one more points to what 788 00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:34,480 Speaker 5: you just said, Jordan, I think a lot of the 789 00:42:34,520 --> 00:42:37,400 Speaker 5: focus that we've talked about has been the algorithm, the 790 00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:40,200 Speaker 5: model how power for the GPU is. But a lot 791 00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:43,799 Speaker 5: of engineering sources has been devoted and will continue to 792 00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:48,520 Speaker 5: be to reduce the power hungriness of AI model because 793 00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:51,120 Speaker 5: one of the big things that's a hugely hotly debated 794 00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:54,120 Speaker 5: topic is that all these tokens that we're generating for 795 00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:56,440 Speaker 5: all these apps are just way too expensive, right, the 796 00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:59,040 Speaker 5: expense comes from the compute and then the power that's 797 00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:01,799 Speaker 5: being consumed to it. So there will be a lot 798 00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:05,279 Speaker 5: of engineering that is going to accomplish when it comes 799 00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,160 Speaker 5: to reducing the costs and the need for energy over time. 800 00:43:08,520 --> 00:43:11,359 Speaker 5: So I don't think the energy trade is a long 801 00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:14,919 Speaker 5: term investment thesis, but maybe a short term arbitrage as 802 00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:17,839 Speaker 5: far as how much extra power we needed just to 803 00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:20,720 Speaker 5: feed the hungry AI Denta center when all the engineering 804 00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:23,839 Speaker 5: is go into reducing that dependence, because everyone sees how 805 00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:25,560 Speaker 5: that could be detrimental in a lot of ways. 806 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,279 Speaker 2: Jordan and Kevin, thank you so much for coming on 807 00:43:28,280 --> 00:43:31,080 Speaker 2: a latch. That was a fantastic our goal for the 808 00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,920 Speaker 2: episode of Understanding this more I feel I do. I 809 00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:36,480 Speaker 2: do so thank you both so much for coming on that. 810 00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:48,399 Speaker 2: Happy Tracy, I thought that was great. I thought, I mean, 811 00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:50,799 Speaker 2: there were just a bunch of things that like, I, 812 00:43:50,840 --> 00:43:53,279 Speaker 2: you know, even setting aside the geopolitical aspects that I 813 00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:57,480 Speaker 2: just didn't know about what the AI you know, space 814 00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:01,160 Speaker 2: looks like in China, and if that was very helpful, right, I'm. 815 00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:03,919 Speaker 3: Sort of obsessed with the programmer's day now. I want 816 00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 3: to learn more about the holiday. Do you think all 817 00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:08,880 Speaker 3: the open source programmers they like all get together to 818 00:44:08,920 --> 00:44:11,760 Speaker 3: celebrate and do a dance, maybe a byte dance. 819 00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:16,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, oh boom, come on, okay, Tracy, you get We'll 820 00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:17,200 Speaker 2: leave that one in. 821 00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:20,920 Speaker 3: Thank you, so the producers will add that cricket noise 822 00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:22,040 Speaker 3: that they have on hand. 823 00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:26,560 Speaker 2: I am also interested in the holiday. I do think 824 00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:30,120 Speaker 2: so Kevin's first answer, I just thought it was like 825 00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:35,400 Speaker 2: really clarifying about why a country might think that having 826 00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:39,120 Speaker 2: a national version is important right now, because if and 827 00:44:39,160 --> 00:44:41,920 Speaker 2: I hadn't really thought about it in those terms, because 828 00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,359 Speaker 2: on some level, right, like it's easy enough, like if 829 00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:47,680 Speaker 2: it's you know, Lama, you can use that anywhere on 830 00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:51,000 Speaker 2: you know, various chips and stuff. But the idea that 831 00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:54,959 Speaker 2: like the AI is going to like codify truth as 832 00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:58,560 Speaker 2: it means in the context of that country, and you know, 833 00:44:58,640 --> 00:45:02,080 Speaker 2: of China their version of what's true. Kevin gave the 834 00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:03,960 Speaker 2: Jackmaw example, which is that one day he may be 835 00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:05,600 Speaker 2: a hero and one day he may have a villain 836 00:45:06,040 --> 00:45:08,560 Speaker 2: or maybe a villain, like that's always changing, and so 837 00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:11,239 Speaker 2: there may be some impulse to have the model sort 838 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:14,920 Speaker 2: of correctly reflect what is state policy. But this idea 839 00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:18,680 Speaker 2: that like it captures you know, creates this version of 840 00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:21,480 Speaker 2: the national identity, culture and language is very interesting. 841 00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:24,360 Speaker 3: No, absolutely, and I think China is sort of the 842 00:45:24,680 --> 00:45:27,000 Speaker 3: extreme example of that. And that's sort of what I 843 00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:30,440 Speaker 3: was alluding to, not very well in the intro when 844 00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:32,600 Speaker 3: I was talking about data control, but like, there is 845 00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:37,240 Speaker 3: this cultural element to AI where you are using something 846 00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:40,360 Speaker 3: like chat GPT, or maybe not at the moment, but 847 00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:43,200 Speaker 3: you could imagine a future where you're using something like 848 00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:45,600 Speaker 3: chat GPT in the same way that you're using something 849 00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:49,920 Speaker 3: like Wikipedia, where it's almost like the codified public version 850 00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:52,640 Speaker 3: of events, right, And so if you are a government 851 00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:57,440 Speaker 3: like China, why wouldn't you want to have some degree 852 00:45:57,480 --> 00:46:00,800 Speaker 3: of control over what that's spitting out and the narrative 853 00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:01,800 Speaker 3: that it's building. 854 00:46:02,239 --> 00:46:04,239 Speaker 2: I was also really intrigued that, you know, we talk 855 00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:06,960 Speaker 2: about chip wars all the time, but the idea that 856 00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:09,640 Speaker 2: there is a distinction that is useful to make between 857 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:12,480 Speaker 2: a chip war and a cloud war, and that okay, 858 00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:14,320 Speaker 2: there is you know, we all know that, like it 859 00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:18,160 Speaker 2: was supposedly you know, smaller nodes or whatever are better, 860 00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:21,280 Speaker 2: although I think in the context of GPUs that's less important, 861 00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,600 Speaker 2: but that so much of the technology is about the interconnect, 862 00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:26,680 Speaker 2: and we talked about this with Corewave, that there is 863 00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:31,640 Speaker 2: a distinct element to building up a very powerful GPU 864 00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:35,680 Speaker 2: cloud versus a traditional cloud because because of the cables 865 00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:38,360 Speaker 2: and the packaging, et cetera, and so the idea that 866 00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:42,440 Speaker 2: it's more about more than just like the chip itself 867 00:46:42,920 --> 00:46:45,840 Speaker 2: and you know, the size of that chip so to speak. 868 00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,719 Speaker 3: No, absolutely, And one thing that really stood out from 869 00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 3: that conversation, and I'm thinking back, this actually happened when 870 00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:53,680 Speaker 3: I was in Hong Kong and I was, you know, 871 00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:56,680 Speaker 3: coordinating some of the news coverage there. But I remember 872 00:46:57,040 --> 00:47:00,760 Speaker 3: the big crackdown on the sort of like retail internet 873 00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,760 Speaker 3: companies like Ali Baba, and I remember at the time 874 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:09,120 Speaker 3: policymakers were very very specific and very deliberate and very 875 00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:12,839 Speaker 3: open about trying to direct more capital, you know, less 876 00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:17,799 Speaker 3: disorderly capital flowing into SaaS, more capital going into hardware 877 00:47:17,920 --> 00:47:21,040 Speaker 3: and making things like chips. It was almost, you know, 878 00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:23,360 Speaker 3: for lack of a better tech analogy, it was like 879 00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:25,879 Speaker 3: flipping a switch, right. They basically said, like, no more 880 00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:30,480 Speaker 3: money going into retail tech, everything going into semiconductor manufacturing 881 00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:32,920 Speaker 3: and all that stuff. So it was it was interesting 882 00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:37,080 Speaker 3: to hear like both the challenges and the opportunities from 883 00:47:37,080 --> 00:47:38,400 Speaker 3: that perspective in China. 884 00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:40,200 Speaker 2: By the way, I don't know if it was The 885 00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:43,680 Speaker 2: Financial Times, but that was the first whoever came up 886 00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:46,920 Speaker 2: with chech shept. That was very clever. That was very 887 00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:50,880 Speaker 2: well done. I first saw that in that that word 888 00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:53,759 Speaker 2: that in the ft. But that's a pretty clever term. 889 00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:54,480 Speaker 2: That was a good one. 890 00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:57,839 Speaker 3: I'm disappointed to find out it's actually vaporware, although no, 891 00:47:57,880 --> 00:48:01,120 Speaker 3: I know, perhaps not surprised. Okay, shall we leave it there. 892 00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:01,919 Speaker 2: Let's leave it there. 893 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,640 Speaker 3: This has been another episode of the auth Lots podcast. 894 00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:07,560 Speaker 3: I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway. 895 00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:11,000 Speaker 2: And I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me at The Stalwart. 896 00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:15,080 Speaker 2: Follow our guests Jordan Schneider He's at Jordan sc h 897 00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:18,520 Speaker 2: NYC and check out his China Talk newsletter and podcast. 898 00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:22,879 Speaker 2: And Kevin Schoue He's at Kevin Sshoue and check out 899 00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:27,200 Speaker 2: his writing at Interconnected and follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez 900 00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:30,040 Speaker 2: at Carmen armand dash Ol Bennett at Dashbot and kel 901 00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:32,840 Speaker 2: Brooks at kel Brooks. Thank you to our producer Moses 902 00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,719 Speaker 2: Ondam and from our Oddlots content go to Bloomberg dot 903 00:48:35,719 --> 00:48:38,080 Speaker 2: com slash od lots where you have transcripts, a blog, 904 00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:40,239 Speaker 2: and a newsletter and you can chat about all of 905 00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:44,280 Speaker 2: these topics twenty four to seven in our discord discord 906 00:48:44,320 --> 00:48:46,719 Speaker 2: dot gg slash odd lots, we have an AI room 907 00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:48,879 Speaker 2: in there. Maybe when this comes out, we'll see if 908 00:48:49,520 --> 00:48:51,880 Speaker 2: either Kevin or Jordan or both would be up for 909 00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:54,080 Speaker 2: doing an AMA in there. The day it comes out. 910 00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:56,160 Speaker 2: I'm sure people have a lot of questions, so we'll 911 00:48:56,160 --> 00:48:57,880 Speaker 2: try to make that. Try to make that happen. 912 00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:00,960 Speaker 3: And if you enjoy authlots, if if you want us to, 913 00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:05,000 Speaker 3: I don't know, start a pop culture semiconductor spin off show, 914 00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:08,200 Speaker 3: then please leave us a positive review on your favorite 915 00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:11,879 Speaker 3: podcast platform. And remember, if you are a Bloomberg subscriber, 916 00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:14,839 Speaker 3: you can listen to all of our episodes absolutely ad free. 917 00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:17,160 Speaker 3: All you need to do is connect your Bloomberg account 918 00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:19,960 Speaker 3: with Apple Podcasts. In order to do that, just find 919 00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:23,799 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg channel on Apple Podcasts and follow the instructions there. 920 00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:24,880 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening.