1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Single best idea is 2 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: you need to read a book. I've read all this 3 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: stuff in the zeitgeist recently, mostly from you know, young 4 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: twenty year old whipper snappers telling me that everything's great. 5 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: They haven't read a book in six years or six months. 6 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: Get it to read a book cover to cover. Today's 7 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: an act of God. Here's a book cover to cover 8 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: to read. William Priest is Iconic out of epic. There 9 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: are three major books on cash flow. One of them 10 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: is really really thick, really really accounting, really really necessary 11 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: for pros. Forget about it. There's another book that's sort 12 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: of midland size, four hundred and fifty five hundred pages, 13 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: sort of kind of like thick, exceptional, really smart. Okay, 14 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: we'll move on from that one. It's too long for 15 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: today's readers. Pre shareholder yield called free cash flow and 16 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,680 Speaker 1: shareholder yield is short, sweet to the point you'll agree 17 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,959 Speaker 1: you disagree, but it lets you explain how in two 18 00:01:11,959 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: thousand and seven, Apple was five dollars a share and 19 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 1: now Apple's two hundred and fifty dollars a share. Julian 20 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: Emmanuel worked for Bill Priest now Julian Emmanuel has a 21 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: privilege of working with Ed Haiman at Evercore ISI Julian 22 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 1: Emmanuel on the market forward. 23 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:32,400 Speaker 2: So our view is it actually isn't a trade. It 24 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 2: is it is buy and hold secular theme. And what 25 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 2: the interesting thing is is that if you look at 26 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 2: the last year or two, we've had this bump in 27 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 2: productivity that really hasn't been attributable to AI. And it's 28 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:49,919 Speaker 2: our view that when you think about twenty twenty five, 29 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 2: the upside surprise is likely to come by how much 30 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 2: and in what kind of creative ways Corporate America actually 31 00:01:58,840 --> 00:01:59,559 Speaker 2: deploys AI. 32 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: You even going from sixty one hundred to sixty eight hundred, 33 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 1: there are an SPX, but critically making clear that like 34 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 1: Brian Belsk, get demo capital markets, it's the structural bull market, 35 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 1: less so cyclical, volatile and all that. Just get on board, 36 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: find out what you need. And then we spoke to 37 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 1: Bill Priest of Epic, Julian Emmanuel's mentor on his book 38 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: Free cash Flow and Shareholder Yield. But of course Bill 39 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,360 Speaker 1: Priest is not looking back twenty years to that classic. 40 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 1: Bill Priest is looking forward. 41 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 3: The secret sauce, though, is the substitute of bits for atoms. 42 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 3: So let's take information it comes to you in the 43 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 3: form of bits. Atoms would be the desk in front 44 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 3: of me, this microphone. We're made of atoms. If you 45 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 3: run a company and you can substitute technology in the 46 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 3: form of a bit for labor, which is a form 47 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 3: of an atom, and hold your revenues constant, your margins 48 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 3: go up. And if you can substitute a bit think 49 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 3: selling something over the internet as opposed to a physical store, 50 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 3: and hold your revenues constant, your sales for dollar assets 51 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 3: go up. So if you were to go back and 52 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:04,519 Speaker 3: just look at return on equity, if I can substitute 53 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 3: technology for labor and physical assets and hold my revenue constant, 54 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:12,200 Speaker 3: my Ris, he goes through the roof, and thoseies you need. 55 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 3: Every company should be focusing on that gap. And how 56 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 3: do I substitute technology for labor and physical assets? 57 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:22,839 Speaker 1: Bill Priest buy the book free cash flow and shareholder yield? 58 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: What twenty takeaway three seventeen years ago and it is 59 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 1: still a right of passage. Thank you so much for 60 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 1: your attention to the show. The commute across America, this 61 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 1: build out, this mystery thing for me of YouTube, subscribe 62 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg podcasts, building each and every day, and of 63 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 1: course on YouTube podcasts. This is single best idea