WEBVTT - Week 6 NFL Bets: Nick’s 5 Picks 0:00:00.440 --> 0:00:02.800 If your football team had one option in their playbook, 0:00:03.000 --> 0:00:05.800 the results probably wouldn't be great. The same could be 0:00:05.840 --> 0:00:09.440 said for your investments. Cibo index options like SPX and 0:00:09.600 --> 0:00:12.920 xsp can help expand your investing strategies with cash settlement 0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:15.840 and potential tax advantages. If you're ready for a more 0:00:15.920 --> 0:00:19.160 dynamic game plan, head to Better with Options dot com. 0:00:19.280 --> 0:00:22.880 Cebo life is better with options, your investments. 0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:23.119 Could be too. 0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:26.159 There are risks associated with Cibo company products. Review the 0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:40.680 disclosures and disclaimers at cbo dot com slash us underscore disclaimers. 0:00:42.400 --> 0:00:46.120 Welcome in What's Right, Nick Right, Episode eighty two, our 0:00:46.240 --> 0:00:48.320 week six gambling show, and. 0:00:49.840 --> 0:00:50.120 Listen. 0:00:50.120 --> 0:00:52.640 I gotta say typically demons, I'm very excited to do 0:00:52.720 --> 0:01:00.840 these podcasts. I have been dreading this one because we 0:01:00.880 --> 0:01:06.240 are in what is called a gambling rut. We haven't 0:01:06.280 --> 0:01:10.319 had every single week has been two and three or 0:01:10.360 --> 0:01:17.080 three and two, so financially it's not devastating. However, for 0:01:17.280 --> 0:01:25.520 four consecutive weeks, our favorite bet, our strongest bet, we 0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:29.080 have lost. It's even worse because on the TV show, 0:01:29.080 --> 0:01:30.880 I don't give out five picks. I only give out 0:01:30.959 --> 0:01:36.000 three picks, and I've lost the lock. Four straight weeks 0:01:36.000 --> 0:01:38.440 on the TV show cause is the same thing. And 0:01:38.520 --> 0:01:42.200 this week I thought I was gonna get my vindication 0:01:42.360 --> 0:01:46.200 because if you remember, week two, our lock got screwed 0:01:46.200 --> 0:01:49.760 in the final seconds, Week three, our lock got screwed 0:01:49.760 --> 0:01:53.000 in the final seconds, and week four, I believe the 0:01:53.000 --> 0:01:54.920 same thing happened already. Remember what the lock was in 0:01:54.960 --> 0:01:57.720 week four, but I remember it was covering until it wasn't. 0:01:58.640 --> 0:02:02.600 Week five, we had chieve minus seven. They're down seventeen 0:02:02.640 --> 0:02:06.160 to nothing. That has no business covering. And then all 0:02:06.200 --> 0:02:10.120 of a sudden, the Chiefs score a touchdown to go 0:02:10.240 --> 0:02:15.200 up seven, and because they're a sharp team, instead of 0:02:15.320 --> 0:02:18.320 kicking the extra point, they go for two to try 0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:21.480 to go up to two scores, which made me happy 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:23.840 as a Chiefs fan, but very sad as a better 0:02:24.120 --> 0:02:27.040 because I'm laying the seven. They don't get it. And 0:02:27.120 --> 0:02:29.919 then they managed to allow a touch down. Anyway, I 0:02:29.960 --> 0:02:31.640 thought we were gonna get a good one. We didn't. 0:02:31.880 --> 0:02:33.320 So I don't know, are we gonna put up our 0:02:33.320 --> 0:02:35.120 picks from last week or we're gonna show it. I 0:02:35.160 --> 0:02:37.640 don't even know what my season record is. Oh sweet 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:43.360 christ eleven and fourteen. We're now in the dangerous, dangerous 0:02:43.400 --> 0:02:47.280 spot where even a four and one week doesn't put 0:02:47.360 --> 0:02:50.720 us above five hundred. A four and one week puts 0:02:50.800 --> 0:02:53.519 us at five hundred. A five and oh week gets 0:02:53.600 --> 0:02:56.360 us above five hundred. But the right move, I'm so 0:02:56.560 --> 0:02:58.640 tilted on the right move. The lock of the week 0:02:59.360 --> 0:03:03.760 are wonderful. Executive producer Kara text me Nick, you didn't 0:03:03.760 --> 0:03:06.839 send us your lock. I haven't decided on it yet. 0:03:07.000 --> 0:03:09.160 I'm gonna decide on it in real time if we 0:03:09.160 --> 0:03:11.680 can put those back up, just for a moment, if 0:03:11.680 --> 0:03:14.360 you're watching on YouTube, if not all narrated, if you're listening, 0:03:14.480 --> 0:03:16.840 We'll go through. Jackson O minus seven was flatly a 0:03:16.840 --> 0:03:20.240 bad bet. There is no bad luck there, just flatly 0:03:20.280 --> 0:03:23.119 a bad bet. Seattle plus five and a half feel 0:03:23.120 --> 0:03:25.119 a little unlucky. Feel like I was on the right 0:03:25.160 --> 0:03:27.840 side of that. Not only was Seattle covering most of 0:03:27.880 --> 0:03:30.880 the game, but New Orleans went for two at the 0:03:31.040 --> 0:03:34.800 very end, down or up five the seven to two 0:03:34.800 --> 0:03:37.760 point conversion. We cover. No go Atlanta plus eight and 0:03:37.760 --> 0:03:39.560 a half when exactly what I told you it would. 0:03:39.760 --> 0:03:43.120 Atlanta's been a backdoor covering machine. Dallas plus five and 0:03:43.160 --> 0:03:44.880 a half they win the game out right, and then 0:03:44.920 --> 0:03:49.560 we've talked about kympas city. This week, however, we haven't 0:03:49.600 --> 0:03:53.720 abandoned the system, but we are going a little more 0:03:55.280 --> 0:03:58.560 I don't want to say obvious, but a little more straightforward. 0:03:58.920 --> 0:04:03.880 This week we are staring at teams. Most of these 0:04:03.920 --> 0:04:08.560 teams got to win laying less than a field goal 0:04:08.840 --> 0:04:11.640 or in one case even getting points. Let's go to 0:04:11.680 --> 0:04:14.640 the picks for the week. Here is what we like 0:04:14.760 --> 0:04:16.839 and we will tell you why. We will start with 0:04:17.600 --> 0:04:22.120 Cleveland laying less than a field goal two and a 0:04:22.160 --> 0:04:25.920 half at home against New England. New England is either 0:04:26.000 --> 0:04:32.000 starting Bailey Zappi or a feeble mac Jones. Cleveland is 0:04:32.080 --> 0:04:35.680 going to do. Cleveland has to win this game. Cleveland 0:04:35.760 --> 0:04:40.120 probably should be five and zero, They definitely should be 0:04:40.240 --> 0:04:44.159 four and one. Instead, they are an embarrassing two and 0:04:44.279 --> 0:04:47.560 three because they keep trusting Jacoby Brissett at the end 0:04:47.600 --> 0:04:50.240 of these games. I do not believe that is going 0:04:50.279 --> 0:04:53.840 to happen against New England. Furthermore, New England, yes, they 0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:56.760 looked very good this past week. To me, that has 0:04:56.800 --> 0:05:00.159 made them slightly overvalued to where you're telling me the 0:05:00.160 --> 0:05:03.520 Patriots and the Browns are the equivalent quality of team 0:05:03.960 --> 0:05:07.080 they are not New England has two victories this year. 0:05:07.320 --> 0:05:11.520 They are arguably over the worst team in each conference, 0:05:11.839 --> 0:05:15.960 the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Detroit Lions. Detroit Lions were 0:05:16.080 --> 0:05:18.760 fun story. They're back to being the Lions. They're one 0:05:18.800 --> 0:05:22.960 and four. Nick Chubb as a big game. The Patriots 0:05:22.960 --> 0:05:27.440 are incredibly conservative on offense. This is a field goal game. 0:05:27.839 --> 0:05:30.720 That half point is we're gonna get. Not only are 0:05:30.720 --> 0:05:33.760 we gonna cover, we're gonna cover in the most glorious 0:05:33.760 --> 0:05:37.600 way possible by just the half point. Cleveland wins this 0:05:37.720 --> 0:05:42.080 game twenty to seventeen. That's our one, and that we 0:05:42.200 --> 0:05:46.680 start the week one and zero. How you feel about that? Uh? 0:05:46.800 --> 0:05:48.080 I mean, it's New England. 0:05:48.320 --> 0:05:48.960 What does that mean? 0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:50.720 What does that mean? 0:05:52.279 --> 0:05:53.680 Okay, all right, I didn't know if you meant like 0:05:53.680 --> 0:05:57.200 it's New England, like you're going against Belichick, it's New England. 0:05:57.400 --> 0:06:00.400 Now again. One of the weaknesses of doing these shows, 0:06:00.680 --> 0:06:04.440 when we're doing them is that we don't yet know 0:06:04.600 --> 0:06:08.040 right now exactly who is starting for quarterback for the Patriots. 0:06:08.360 --> 0:06:11.640 In an odd way, I like this bet more if 0:06:11.680 --> 0:06:14.360 mac Jones is the starter coming off the injury than 0:06:14.400 --> 0:06:16.760 if the rookie Bailey's appy. He's the starter either way. 0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:21.159 Cleveland minus doing a half. Next, we're getting back on 0:06:21.160 --> 0:06:24.320 the horse. This team's cost us a lot of games 0:06:24.360 --> 0:06:29.200 this year. Jacksonville. The Prince that was promised plus a 0:06:29.279 --> 0:06:31.840 point and a half again at Indy. You got a 0:06:31.839 --> 0:06:34.480 problem with this one? Tell me what's your issue. 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:37.680 I think he's more of the WinCE that was promised, 0:06:37.720 --> 0:06:39.520 okay than the prince that was promised. 0:06:39.600 --> 0:06:42.240 Okay, good life? Is that the joke you work was 0:06:42.279 --> 0:06:42.800 by a joke? 0:06:42.880 --> 0:06:44.680 I could not wait to get it out. 0:06:45.440 --> 0:06:49.320 Okay, go ahead, anything he's done, He's not done. 0:06:49.320 --> 0:06:50.680 He failed you week after week. 0:06:50.760 --> 0:06:53.880 Okay, he's failed me a number of weeks. That is true. 0:06:54.320 --> 0:06:59.520 That is true. However, this is the moment of truth 0:06:59.560 --> 0:07:01.040 for the jack Xville Jaguars. 0:07:01.120 --> 0:07:02.359 They just lost to the Texans. 0:07:02.680 --> 0:07:05.200 Yeah, they beat the Colts twenty four to nothing earlier 0:07:05.240 --> 0:07:12.720 this year. Now they're getting points in Indie. Jacksonville, the 0:07:12.720 --> 0:07:15.920 way they have played their last seven quarters of football, 0:07:16.840 --> 0:07:18.600 they've looked like the worst team in the league. 0:07:18.640 --> 0:07:19.160 Don't get me. 0:07:19.120 --> 0:07:23.120 Wrong, But the way they played their previous nine quarters 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:26.480 to that, the full game against the Colts, the full 0:07:26.520 --> 0:07:30.040 game against the Chargers, the first quarter against the Eagles, 0:07:30.520 --> 0:07:34.360 when they outscored those teams. Doing the seventy six to 0:07:34.440 --> 0:07:41.040 ten in those nine quarters has been was remarkable. Since then, 0:07:41.880 --> 0:07:46.360 they have been outscored like thirty five to thirteen by 0:07:46.400 --> 0:07:50.040 the Eagles and by the miserable Texans. Okay, let the 0:07:50.040 --> 0:07:52.440 Eagles come all the way back, and then the Texans 0:07:52.440 --> 0:07:57.600 game was grotesque and Trevor's mistakes were awful. I do 0:07:57.640 --> 0:08:01.400 not believe Trevor Lawrence is going to have three consecutive 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:05.600 awful games. I still believe in Trevor Lawrence. Also, the 0:08:05.760 --> 0:08:11.040 Jags must win this football game. Furthermore, the Colts. While 0:08:11.080 --> 0:08:12.840 I was high on the Colts going into the year, 0:08:13.120 --> 0:08:17.040 Matt Ryan does look totally officially cooked. And I think 0:08:17.040 --> 0:08:20.520 they're gonna hang around because of their running attack. I 0:08:20.560 --> 0:08:23.720 don't think the Colts are going to win now. I 0:08:23.720 --> 0:08:25.560 don't love in fact, the Colts get the extrass because 0:08:25.560 --> 0:08:27.840 they played on Thursday. I don't think they're gonna win 0:08:27.880 --> 0:08:29.920 back to back games right now. The Colts have gone 0:08:30.120 --> 0:08:35.839 gone tie loss, beat the Chiefs, loss beat Denver, so 0:08:36.280 --> 0:08:39.679 I'm getting a point and a half. I think Jacksonville 0:08:39.720 --> 0:08:42.480 is in a must win spot. I do not think 0:08:42.480 --> 0:08:45.240 Trevor Lawrence is gonna play three straight bad games. I 0:08:45.360 --> 0:08:48.840 do think the gambling public is gonna be all over 0:08:48.880 --> 0:08:50.880 the Colts because they don't want to believe in the 0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:56.120 Jags and because Trevor's played poorly. Jags getting points, must win. 0:08:56.600 --> 0:09:02.520 Better coach, maybe better quarterback, definitely better defense. I feel 0:09:02.520 --> 0:09:05.679 with those young guys. The defense played really well last week. 0:09:05.720 --> 0:09:09.960 One their fault they lost, and another game where a horsesho. 0:09:11.760 --> 0:09:13.440 This one wasn't a bad call, but it was just 0:09:13.480 --> 0:09:17.720 infuriating roughing the passer penalty on a drive ending play, 0:09:17.880 --> 0:09:21.880 just like happened Colts. The way the Colts beat the Chiefs. 0:09:22.040 --> 0:09:25.439 The Texans beat the Jags last week, drive over, fourth quarter, 0:09:25.920 --> 0:09:29.160 tie game situation the Chiefs were actually ahead and a 0:09:29.200 --> 0:09:33.560 third down stop and a roughing the passer penalty infuriating 0:09:33.920 --> 0:09:36.040 Jags plus a point and a half. We're taking it. 0:09:36.520 --> 0:09:40.600 Another team in a must win spot laying less than 0:09:40.600 --> 0:09:45.240 a field goal Cincinnati minus two in New Orleans. Now 0:09:45.280 --> 0:09:49.760 there is a pluthora of road suffer pluthora. Do you 0:09:49.800 --> 0:09:50.679 know what that word means? 0:09:50.800 --> 0:09:53.559 I don't use them a contest clues. 0:09:54.280 --> 0:09:57.280 I'm gonna say there is a plethora of road dogs 0:09:57.320 --> 0:09:57.800 this weekend. 0:09:58.320 --> 0:09:59.640 So what do you think of the body of the 0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:01.520 It was a number of a lot of them. 0:10:01.600 --> 0:10:04.800 Exactly right, that's correct, Bingo, exactly, That's just how you 0:10:04.800 --> 0:10:07.040 gotta do it. Use the context clues. Figure it out. 0:10:07.320 --> 0:10:10.640 Road dogs this weekend. I'm sorry, home dogs this weekend. 0:10:10.640 --> 0:10:12.360 I said it wrong. I just want to tell you 0:10:12.440 --> 0:10:17.640 real quick, the following Chicago a dog at home, Pittsburgh 0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:20.600 a dog at home. The Saints a dog at home. 0:10:20.880 --> 0:10:27.160 The Dolphins, the Giants, the Falcons, the Seahawks, the Chiefs, 0:10:27.200 --> 0:10:30.440 more on them in a moment. That is eight of 0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:34.920 our fourteen games this weekend that have home dogs. Okay, right, 0:10:35.800 --> 0:10:40.000 I don't love home dogs of more than a field 0:10:40.000 --> 0:10:43.360 goal home dogs of less than a field goal, though 0:10:43.640 --> 0:10:48.760 not quite as scary. Cincinnati after a devastating loss to 0:10:48.840 --> 0:10:52.840 Baltimore exactly has to get back on track. New Orleans, 0:10:52.880 --> 0:10:56.160 on the other hand, flying high after that win against 0:10:56.200 --> 0:10:59.120 the Seahawks. Now, am I a little worried about Cam 0:10:59.200 --> 0:11:02.320 Jordan and his ability to get to Joe Burrow? I am? 0:11:02.800 --> 0:11:06.120 Do I think? However, this is the game Jamar Chase 0:11:06.120 --> 0:11:09.120 gets on track. I do do I think Taysom Hill 0:11:09.200 --> 0:11:12.480 is once again gonna have offensive player of the Week 0:11:12.520 --> 0:11:15.120 type of numbers. I do not do I know who's 0:11:15.120 --> 0:11:18.480 playing quarterback for the Saints. I don't Jamis might play. 0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:21.800 It's looking like he will play. Don't care. Jamis has 0:11:21.840 --> 0:11:24.400 not been markedly better this season than Dalton has been 0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:28.800 in Instead, this is laying two points. I'm essentially just 0:11:28.880 --> 0:11:29.600 picking a winner. 0:11:29.800 --> 0:11:31.480 You trust Cincy to get the win on the road. 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:33.480 I trust Cincy to get the win on the road. 0:11:33.720 --> 0:11:36.600 I trust since he's got to have this game. They 0:11:36.600 --> 0:11:39.840 had an opportunity against Baltimore. They blew it. They obviously 0:11:40.200 --> 0:11:42.360 spit up the games at the beginning of the year. 0:11:42.559 --> 0:11:45.199 That Pittsburgh game's gonna haunt them all year. They already 0:11:45.200 --> 0:11:48.600 have two divisional losses. There's a lot of reasons here 0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:52.920 Cincinnati needs to be locked in. Also, one reason to 0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:56.160 not like Cincy is their coach, Zach Taylor, is not 0:11:56.280 --> 0:11:59.880 very good. Luckily, he's going up against Dennis Allen, the 0:12:00.080 --> 0:12:04.520 worst coaches in NFL history. This was I was debating 0:12:04.559 --> 0:12:07.720 back and forth between putting this in the be careful 0:12:07.760 --> 0:12:12.439 category and putting it in the picks. At the last moment, 0:12:12.480 --> 0:12:14.240 I said, you know what. I had it in the 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:17.280 be careful category. I was like, you know what, No, 0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:21.599 Cincinnati is winning this game. I'm not laying three and 0:12:21.679 --> 0:12:24.120 a half, which would make me nervous laying two. I'm 0:12:24.120 --> 0:12:26.439 fine with it. Tomanse, I know I said I was 0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:29.640 dreading this show. Can I tell you something? Can I 0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:32.240 tell you something now that we are three fifths of 0:12:32.240 --> 0:12:35.560 the way through it. I love all these picks. I 0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:38.720 love them all right now. I think we've got three 0:12:38.800 --> 0:12:43.640 winners already. Yeah, put it on social. This is the 0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:47.840 week we've had. We've been very mediocre. But we don't 0:12:47.920 --> 0:12:50.480 run from it. We don't hide from it. We don't 0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:52.840 do what some of these touts do that are trying 0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:55.000 to sell you their picks where they're like, oh, in 0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:58.120 the last seven games again, No, no, no, we give you 0:12:58.160 --> 0:13:01.560 our full season, the up and downs, the ebbs and flows. 0:13:01.600 --> 0:13:03.800 If you will, you know how I feel right now 0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:07.960 about my picks, the way Cincinnati feels about this game. 0:13:08.800 --> 0:13:11.719 Season's been a little disappointing. Haven't been quite as good 0:13:11.720 --> 0:13:14.600 as we hope. We were a hair under five hund 0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:18.200 blew a game last week. This is the week we 0:13:18.320 --> 0:13:21.160 right the ship. Cincinnati laying the two. 0:13:22.120 --> 0:13:24.320 All right, I like him so far as well. 0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:31.640 Next home dog getting more than a field goal, the 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:37.760 Giants getting five and a half against Baltimore, all right, 0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:43.120 this is an outward listen. I have disrespected the Giants plenty, 0:13:43.480 --> 0:13:48.480 don't get me wrong. This is an outwardly disrespectful one 0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:53.679 for the Giants to be disrespectful to the Giants at 0:13:53.679 --> 0:13:59.520 home getting nearly a touchdown against a Baltimore team that, 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:04.880 if we are being honest, has not looked overwhelming in 0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:09.000 quite some time. Baltimore's very banged up. We know that 0:14:09.520 --> 0:14:13.600 Lamar I thought played a very shaky game against Cincinnati 0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:20.800 throwing the ball Baltimore. They looked unbelievable the first seven 0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:24.720 quarters of the season. Then the fourth quarter against Miami happened. 0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:28.760 They beat New England badly, but they let Mac Jones 0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:31.400 throw for three hundred and forty yards. Then they blew 0:14:31.440 --> 0:14:34.200 the game to Buffalo. They looked great in that first half, 0:14:34.280 --> 0:14:38.080 then they blew it. They escape against Cincinnati. Do I 0:14:38.160 --> 0:14:42.080 think Baltimore is going to beat the Giants? Yes? But 0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:44.720 do I think they're going to beat them by a touchdown? 0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:48.120 Plus I do not. Do I think the Giants are 0:14:48.120 --> 0:14:51.160 going this is going to be a very fast game 0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:54.200 where both teams are just running the ball, running the ball, 0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:57.400 running the ball. I do do. I think Daniel Jones 0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:01.480 might have one big quarterback run in this game. I 0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:04.760 do do. I think Sakwan is gonna get involved in 0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:08.880 the passing game. I do do. I think Baltimore, if 0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:13.080 they get a lead, unlike what they did against Buffalo 0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:15.400 where they kept throwing the ball, is just going to 0:15:15.480 --> 0:15:18.080 run the ball and try to get home. I do do. 0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:22.080 I like the Giants defensive front. I do getting five 0:15:22.120 --> 0:15:25.440 and a half points again, what does this feel like? 0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:30.080 This feels like a twenty four to twenty Baltimore game, 0:15:30.640 --> 0:15:36.160 a twenty to seventeen Baltimore game. Also, the Giants, I. 0:15:36.080 --> 0:15:38.280 Think they might be gassed up a little bit coming 0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:39.520 off that win from green Bay. 0:15:40.280 --> 0:15:43.960 Well I agree with that. Now, I don't love that 0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:46.840 they you know, they're flew back from London this week 0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:48.920 and they didn't take the buy, so I don't love 0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.120 that part for them. But on the flip side, Baltimore 0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:54.600 played on Sunday night, so Baltimore and the Giants probably 0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:57.360 both got back to their beds around the same time 0:15:57.440 --> 0:16:00.960 yes or yesterday. Last Sunday more of the Sunday night 0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:06.480 game the Giants after the London game. This is a 0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:08.960 let me say one other thing, because I'm not picking 0:16:08.960 --> 0:16:11.640 the Giants win this game out right, but the plus 0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:14.560 five and a half is too many points. I also 0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:19.960 think this is a game absolutely where the Giants could 0:16:20.000 --> 0:16:24.040 be down ten late in the fourth quarter and get 0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:27.120 a backdoor cover. They're not there. The Giants seems gonna 0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:29.840 have no quit in them. So for all those reasons, 0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:34.840 it's too many points. In New York, Baltimore should probably 0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:37.440 be favored by two and a half or three the Giants. 0:16:37.520 --> 0:16:42.240 Saquan has been unbelievable. Daniel Jones has been playing clean football. 0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:44.520 I don't know how long much longer that's gonna last. 0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:48.080 I think Dable's done an excellent job. Giants plus five 0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:52.960 and a half and then our final pick, the most 0:16:53.080 --> 0:17:00.320 insulting line in modern NFL history. Patrick Mahomes in his career, 0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:06.480 has played prior to this, forty one games in Arrowhead Stadium, 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:09.920 dating back to his first year as a starter demonte 0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:12.119 Of those forty one, how many do you think he 0:17:12.160 --> 0:17:12.920 has been favored? 0:17:14.880 --> 0:17:15.600 Forty of them? 0:17:15.800 --> 0:17:20.720 Forty one of them every single game until this week 0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:25.200 the Chiefs plus two and a half at home. I 0:17:25.560 --> 0:17:29.399 almost couldn't say it against Buffalo, that's our last bet? 0:17:30.200 --> 0:17:32.840 Am I guaranteeing a Chiefs win? I am not do. 0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:35.600 I think there's a chance that Buffalo could do what 0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:38.600 they did last year in Arrowhead in the regular season 0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:41.520 what the Chiefs by three scores? I do so? Why 0:17:41.520 --> 0:17:46.040 am I betting this? Because you're the next time Mahomes 0:17:46.080 --> 0:17:49.440 is an underdog at home, you're gonna have children. It'll 0:17:49.440 --> 0:17:52.760 be five years from now. This is a once. It's 0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:56.320 like a lunar eclipse. There's a or solar eclipse, whichever 0:17:56.400 --> 0:17:59.960 one's rarer. You don't know when this opportunity is gonna 0:17:59.960 --> 0:18:03.280 go around again. Patrick Mahomes in his entire career, fun fact, 0:18:03.960 --> 0:18:07.240 has been an underdog eight times total, all obviously on 0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:10.200 the road. Those are I think maybe one neutral site, 0:18:10.200 --> 0:18:11.679 but doesn't know. I think they're all on the road. 0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:16.440 In those eight games, he is six and two straight 0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:23.160 up and seven zero and one against the spread. He 0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:27.600 has never not covered as an underdog. Never. We got 0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:30.359 him as an underdog two weeks ago against Tampa and 0:18:30.400 --> 0:18:34.880 he kicked the shadow. Is Buffalo an excellent team? They 0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:39.600 are do they deserve to be the favorites in Arrowhead Stadium? 0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:43.520 The Chiefs have the better coach, they have the better quarterback, 0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.160 and when it comes to home field advantage, a lot 0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:48.200 of teams don't have home field. You know who does 0:18:48.240 --> 0:18:51.080 have home field The team that made Carl Cheffer's voice 0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:55.119 crack and wanted to go home crying midway through the 0:18:55.200 --> 0:19:00.000 Raider game. I also, let can guys make one small complaint, NFL, 0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:03.440 This is one of your games of the year. This 0:19:03.600 --> 0:19:08.359 is the Every single television in the country gets this game. 0:19:08.920 --> 0:19:12.160 It's the CBS four to thirty game, and CBS has 0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:15.000 no other four o'clock or four to thirty games. This 0:19:15.080 --> 0:19:20.359 will get a bit the highest rating, maybe of any 0:19:21.119 --> 0:19:25.639 non primetime game all year long, and it'll beat a 0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:29.000 lot of the primetime games. Maybe don't put one of 0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:30.960 the two teams on a short week leading into it. 0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:34.400 Why did the Chiefs play on Monday night before their 0:19:34.480 --> 0:19:37.439 matchup against the Bills? Oh, I know the same reason 0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:39.959 that when the Bills lost to the Chiefs in overtime 0:19:39.960 --> 0:19:43.080 in the AFC Championship, you change the rules. But when 0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:45.200 the Chiefs lost the Patriots four years ago in the 0:19:45.240 --> 0:19:49.360 exact same circumsances like oh, should have gotta stop? That's fine, 0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:52.160 I get it. The Bills are the hot new team, 0:19:52.800 --> 0:19:56.240 the Chiefs catching points at home. That's our fifth bet. 0:19:56.760 --> 0:20:00.160 So our five bets this week are Cleveland laying two 0:20:00.200 --> 0:20:01.800 and a half and a must win at home against 0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:04.680 New England, Jacksonville getting a point and a half and 0:20:04.760 --> 0:20:08.760 a must win at Indy, Cincinnati Lang two in a 0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:11.680 must win at New Orleans, the Giants getting five and 0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:15.080 a half against Baltimore in Kansas City, plus two and 0:20:15.160 --> 0:20:19.960 a half against Buffalo. Oh do you smell that? 0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:21.399 What is it? 0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:24.840 Five? And oh smells like five? And oh, my friend? 0:20:25.000 --> 0:20:25.440 All right? 0:20:25.640 --> 0:20:28.400 Our stay aways are be carefuls in our perfectly priced 0:20:28.400 --> 0:20:30.040 next What's Right? Episode eighty two. 0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.560 This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the 0:20:40.600 --> 0:20:43.920 inspiring true story about Anthony Roebliss, who defined every expectation 0:20:44.040 --> 0:20:46.960 to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new 0:20:46.960 --> 0:20:50.560 original movie from Amazon, MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg. 0:20:50.640 --> 0:20:53.800 Evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and 0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:57.240 thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast 0:20:57.320 --> 0:21:00.840 including Jirelle Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatah, Michael Tania, and 0:21:00.840 --> 0:21:05.080 Bobby Kanavai. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video. 0:21:06.000 --> 0:21:08.080 All right, welcome back in What's Right, Nick Right, Episode 0:21:08.119 --> 0:21:13.360 eighty two, our week six NFL gambling show. We are 0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:16.120 eleven and fourteen on the year. We have lost four 0:21:16.160 --> 0:21:19.320 straight looks. But I just gave out five of the 0:21:19.359 --> 0:21:22.320 best bets anyone's ever gonna find. That is a four 0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:25.240 and one week at a minimum to get us back 0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:27.640 to five hundred for the home stretch. And it might 0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:29.800 be a five in oh week. I might. I don't 0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:31.919 know if it's in there. As far as the offer, 0:21:32.440 --> 0:21:35.640 I might bet all five of these as a parlay 0:21:36.080 --> 0:21:38.359 at the old twenty five to one for the five 0:21:38.400 --> 0:21:40.320 and oh week. I might just have to do it. 0:21:40.760 --> 0:21:42.879 I might. I might just have to do it. All 0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:46.000 right now, we put all the other games into three categories, 0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:48.960 stay away, be careful, and perfectly priced. Our stay away 0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:53.520 games are the following games. Washington in Chicago, Carolina at 0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:57.160 the Rams, and Minnesota at Miami. Let me explain why 0:21:57.240 --> 0:21:59.760 each of these are stay away. Washington in Chicago is 0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:01.960 a p it will have already happened by the time 0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:04.400 you guys hear and see this. My logic on this 0:22:04.480 --> 0:22:11.199 is very straightforward. Washington is right now going through the 0:22:11.240 --> 0:22:16.280 tumult of rivera talking trash on Carson Wentz. Chicago, on 0:22:16.320 --> 0:22:20.400 the other hand, actually played a kind of no one 0:22:20.480 --> 0:22:23.280 was watching the Bears Vikings game, but the Bears had 0:22:23.320 --> 0:22:25.400 a chance to win it. The Bears played their best 0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:27.840 game of the year in a loss. I feel like 0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:32.920 these two teams are it is. This is the This 0:22:33.000 --> 0:22:35.120 is saying Washington's two and a half three points better 0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.879 than Chicago. I think that's probably right. But also I 0:22:37.960 --> 0:22:40.800 put it in this category because people will have already 0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:42.840 known what happened here, and I'm not that interested in 0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:45.400 this game. This is if there's ever a night America 0:22:45.880 --> 0:22:49.200 told your wife, oh, honey, I don't need to watch 0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:52.400 the NFL game tonight, it's it's the game that would 0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:54.639 have that happens tonight that you're gonna hear about that 0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:58.320 would have happened yesterday. Washington, Chicago, All right? Next, actual 0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:03.960 stayaways Carolina at the Rams, the Rams laying ten and 0:23:04.000 --> 0:23:08.080 a half. As a general rule of thumb, I like 0:23:08.160 --> 0:23:10.919 to stay away to monse from teams that just fired 0:23:10.960 --> 0:23:15.600 their head coach because you don't know the impact that's 0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:18.680 gonna have on them, and you don't know the detrimental 0:23:18.720 --> 0:23:21.840 effect that coach was having on them. All of a sudden, 0:23:21.880 --> 0:23:25.760 they're going to play their best game with that said. Oh, 0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:29.840