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Speaker 3: Welcome in What's Right, Nick Right, Episode eighty two, our
Speaker 3: week six gambling show, and.
Speaker 2: Listen.
Speaker 3: I gotta say typically demons, I'm very excited to do
Speaker 3: these podcasts. I have been dreading this one because we
Speaker 3: are in what is called a gambling rut. We haven't
Speaker 3: had every single week has been two and three or
Speaker 3: three and two, so financially it's not devastating. However, for
Speaker 3: four consecutive weeks, our favorite bet, our strongest bet, we
Speaker 3: have lost. It's even worse because on the TV show,
Speaker 3: I don't give out five picks. I only give out
Speaker 3: three picks, and I've lost the lock. Four straight weeks
Speaker 3: on the TV show cause is the same thing. And
Speaker 3: this week I thought I was gonna get my vindication
Speaker 3: because if you remember, week two, our lock got screwed
Speaker 3: in the final seconds, Week three, our lock got screwed
Speaker 3: in the final seconds, and week four, I believe the
Speaker 3: same thing happened already. Remember what the lock was in
Speaker 3: week four, but I remember it was covering until it wasn't.
Speaker 3: Week five, we had chieve minus seven. They're down seventeen
Speaker 3: to nothing. That has no business covering. And then all
Speaker 3: of a sudden, the Chiefs score a touchdown to go
Speaker 3: up seven, and because they're a sharp team, instead of
Speaker 3: kicking the extra point, they go for two to try
Speaker 3: to go up to two scores, which made me happy
Speaker 3: as a Chiefs fan, but very sad as a better
Speaker 3: because I'm laying the seven. They don't get it. And
Speaker 3: then they managed to allow a touch down. Anyway, I
Speaker 3: thought we were gonna get a good one. We didn't.
Speaker 3: So I don't know, are we gonna put up our
Speaker 3: picks from last week or we're gonna show it. I
Speaker 3: don't even know what my season record is. Oh sweet
Speaker 3: christ eleven and fourteen. We're now in the dangerous, dangerous
Speaker 3: spot where even a four and one week doesn't put
Speaker 3: us above five hundred. A four and one week puts
Speaker 3: us at five hundred. A five and oh week gets
Speaker 3: us above five hundred. But the right move, I'm so
Speaker 3: tilted on the right move. The lock of the week
Speaker 3: are wonderful. Executive producer Kara text me Nick, you didn't
Speaker 3: send us your lock. I haven't decided on it yet.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna decide on it in real time if we
Speaker 3: can put those back up, just for a moment, if
Speaker 3: you're watching on YouTube, if not all narrated, if you're listening,
Speaker 3: We'll go through. Jackson O minus seven was flatly a
Speaker 3: bad bet. There is no bad luck there, just flatly
Speaker 3: a bad bet. Seattle plus five and a half feel
Speaker 3: a little unlucky. Feel like I was on the right
Speaker 3: side of that. Not only was Seattle covering most of
Speaker 3: the game, but New Orleans went for two at the
Speaker 3: very end, down or up five the seven to two
Speaker 3: point conversion. We cover. No go Atlanta plus eight and
Speaker 3: a half when exactly what I told you it would.
Speaker 3: Atlanta's been a backdoor covering machine. Dallas plus five and
Speaker 3: a half they win the game out right, and then
Speaker 3: we've talked about kympas city. This week, however, we haven't
Speaker 3: abandoned the system, but we are going a little more
Speaker 3: I don't want to say obvious, but a little more straightforward.
Speaker 3: This week we are staring at teams. Most of these
Speaker 3: teams got to win laying less than a field goal
Speaker 3: or in one case even getting points. Let's go to
Speaker 3: the picks for the week. Here is what we like
Speaker 3: and we will tell you why. We will start with
Speaker 3: Cleveland laying less than a field goal two and a
Speaker 3: half at home against New England. New England is either
Speaker 3: starting Bailey Zappi or a feeble mac Jones. Cleveland is
Speaker 3: going to do. Cleveland has to win this game. Cleveland
Speaker 3: probably should be five and zero, They definitely should be
Speaker 3: four and one. Instead, they are an embarrassing two and
Speaker 3: three because they keep trusting Jacoby Brissett at the end
Speaker 3: of these games. I do not believe that is going
Speaker 3: to happen against New England. Furthermore, New England, yes, they
Speaker 3: looked very good this past week. To me, that has
Speaker 3: made them slightly overvalued to where you're telling me the
Speaker 3: Patriots and the Browns are the equivalent quality of team
Speaker 3: they are not New England has two victories this year.
Speaker 3: They are arguably over the worst team in each conference,
Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Detroit Lions. Detroit Lions were
Speaker 3: fun story. They're back to being the Lions. They're one
Speaker 3: and four. Nick Chubb as a big game. The Patriots
Speaker 3: are incredibly conservative on offense. This is a field goal game.
Speaker 3: That half point is we're gonna get. Not only are
Speaker 3: we gonna cover, we're gonna cover in the most glorious
Speaker 3: way possible by just the half point. Cleveland wins this
Speaker 3: game twenty to seventeen. That's our one, and that we
Speaker 3: start the week one and zero. How you feel about that? Uh?
Speaker 2: I mean, it's New England.
Speaker 3: What does that mean?
Speaker 2: What does that mean?
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, I didn't know if you meant like
Speaker 3: it's New England, like you're going against Belichick, it's New England.
Speaker 3: Now again. One of the weaknesses of doing these shows,
Speaker 3: when we're doing them is that we don't yet know
Speaker 3: right now exactly who is starting for quarterback for the Patriots.
Speaker 3: In an odd way, I like this bet more if
Speaker 3: mac Jones is the starter coming off the injury than
Speaker 3: if the rookie Bailey's appy. He's the starter either way.
Speaker 3: Cleveland minus doing a half. Next, we're getting back on
Speaker 3: the horse. This team's cost us a lot of games
Speaker 3: this year. Jacksonville. The Prince that was promised plus a
Speaker 3: point and a half again at Indy. You got a
Speaker 3: problem with this one? Tell me what's your issue.
Speaker 4: I think he's more of the WinCE that was promised,
Speaker 4: okay than the prince that was promised.
Speaker 3: Okay, good life? Is that the joke you work was
Speaker 3: by a joke?
Speaker 2: I could not wait to get it out.
Speaker 3: Okay, go ahead, anything he's done, He's not done.
Speaker 2: He failed you week after week.
Speaker 3: Okay, he's failed me a number of weeks. That is true.
Speaker 3: That is true. However, this is the moment of truth
Speaker 3: for the jack Xville Jaguars.
Speaker 2: They just lost to the Texans.
Speaker 3: Yeah, they beat the Colts twenty four to nothing earlier
Speaker 3: this year. Now they're getting points in Indie. Jacksonville, the
Speaker 3: way they have played their last seven quarters of football,
Speaker 3: they've looked like the worst team in the league.
Speaker 2: Don't get me.
Speaker 3: Wrong, But the way they played their previous nine quarters
Speaker 3: to that, the full game against the Colts, the full
Speaker 3: game against the Chargers, the first quarter against the Eagles,
Speaker 3: when they outscored those teams. Doing the seventy six to
Speaker 3: ten in those nine quarters has been was remarkable. Since then,
Speaker 3: they have been outscored like thirty five to thirteen by
Speaker 3: the Eagles and by the miserable Texans. Okay, let the
Speaker 3: Eagles come all the way back, and then the Texans
Speaker 3: game was grotesque and Trevor's mistakes were awful. I do
Speaker 3: not believe Trevor Lawrence is going to have three consecutive
Speaker 3: awful games. I still believe in Trevor Lawrence. Also, the
Speaker 3: Jags must win this football game. Furthermore, the Colts. While
Speaker 3: I was high on the Colts going into the year,
Speaker 3: Matt Ryan does look totally officially cooked. And I think
Speaker 3: they're gonna hang around because of their running attack. I
Speaker 3: don't think the Colts are going to win now. I
Speaker 3: don't love in fact, the Colts get the extrass because
Speaker 3: they played on Thursday. I don't think they're gonna win
Speaker 3: back to back games right now. The Colts have gone
Speaker 3: gone tie loss, beat the Chiefs, loss beat Denver, so
Speaker 3: I'm getting a point and a half. I think Jacksonville
Speaker 3: is in a must win spot. I do not think
Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence is gonna play three straight bad games. I
Speaker 3: do think the gambling public is gonna be all over
Speaker 3: the Colts because they don't want to believe in the
Speaker 3: Jags and because Trevor's played poorly. Jags getting points, must win.
Speaker 3: Better coach, maybe better quarterback, definitely better defense. I feel
Speaker 3: with those young guys. The defense played really well last week.
Speaker 3: One their fault they lost, and another game where a horsesho.
Speaker 3: This one wasn't a bad call, but it was just
Speaker 3: infuriating roughing the passer penalty on a drive ending play,
Speaker 3: just like happened Colts. The way the Colts beat the Chiefs.
Speaker 3: The Texans beat the Jags last week, drive over, fourth quarter,
Speaker 3: tie game situation the Chiefs were actually ahead and a
Speaker 3: third down stop and a roughing the passer penalty infuriating
Speaker 3: Jags plus a point and a half. We're taking it.
Speaker 3: Another team in a must win spot laying less than
Speaker 3: a field goal Cincinnati minus two in New Orleans. Now
Speaker 3: there is a pluthora of road suffer pluthora. Do you
Speaker 3: know what that word means?
Speaker 2: I don't use them a contest clues.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say there is a plethora of road dogs
Speaker 3: this weekend.
Speaker 2: So what do you think of the body of the
Speaker 2: It was a number of a lot of them.
Speaker 3: Exactly right, that's correct, Bingo, exactly, That's just how you
Speaker 3: gotta do it. Use the context clues. Figure it out.
Speaker 3: Road dogs this weekend. I'm sorry, home dogs this weekend.
Speaker 3: I said it wrong. I just want to tell you
Speaker 3: real quick, the following Chicago a dog at home, Pittsburgh
Speaker 3: a dog at home. The Saints a dog at home.
Speaker 3: The Dolphins, the Giants, the Falcons, the Seahawks, the Chiefs,
Speaker 3: more on them in a moment. That is eight of
Speaker 3: our fourteen games this weekend that have home dogs. Okay, right,
Speaker 3: I don't love home dogs of more than a field
Speaker 3: goal home dogs of less than a field goal, though
Speaker 3: not quite as scary. Cincinnati after a devastating loss to
Speaker 3: Baltimore exactly has to get back on track. New Orleans,
Speaker 3: on the other hand, flying high after that win against
Speaker 3: the Seahawks. Now, am I a little worried about Cam
Speaker 3: Jordan and his ability to get to Joe Burrow? I am?
Speaker 3: Do I think? However, this is the game Jamar Chase
Speaker 3: gets on track. I do do I think Taysom Hill
Speaker 3: is once again gonna have offensive player of the Week
Speaker 3: type of numbers. I do not do I know who's
Speaker 3: playing quarterback for the Saints. I don't Jamis might play.
Speaker 3: It's looking like he will play. Don't care. Jamis has
Speaker 3: not been markedly better this season than Dalton has been
Speaker 3: in Instead, this is laying two points. I'm essentially just
Speaker 3: picking a winner.
Speaker 2: You trust Cincy to get the win on the road.
Speaker 3: I trust Cincy to get the win on the road.
Speaker 3: I trust since he's got to have this game. They
Speaker 3: had an opportunity against Baltimore. They blew it. They obviously
Speaker 3: spit up the games at the beginning of the year.
Speaker 3: That Pittsburgh game's gonna haunt them all year. They already
Speaker 3: have two divisional losses. There's a lot of reasons here
Speaker 3: Cincinnati needs to be locked in. Also, one reason to
Speaker 3: not like Cincy is their coach, Zach Taylor, is not
Speaker 3: very good. Luckily, he's going up against Dennis Allen, the
Speaker 3: worst coaches in NFL history. This was I was debating
Speaker 3: back and forth between putting this in the be careful
Speaker 3: category and putting it in the picks. At the last moment,
Speaker 3: I said, you know what. I had it in the
Speaker 3: be careful category. I was like, you know what, No,
Speaker 3: Cincinnati is winning this game. I'm not laying three and
Speaker 3: a half, which would make me nervous laying two. I'm
Speaker 3: fine with it. Tomanse, I know I said I was
Speaker 3: dreading this show. Can I tell you something? Can I
Speaker 3: tell you something now that we are three fifths of
Speaker 3: the way through it. I love all these picks. I
Speaker 3: love them all right now. I think we've got three
Speaker 3: winners already. Yeah, put it on social. This is the
Speaker 3: week we've had. We've been very mediocre. But we don't
Speaker 3: run from it. We don't hide from it. We don't
Speaker 3: do what some of these touts do that are trying
Speaker 3: to sell you their picks where they're like, oh, in
Speaker 3: the last seven games again, No, no, no, we give you
Speaker 3: our full season, the up and downs, the ebbs and flows.
Speaker 3: If you will, you know how I feel right now
Speaker 3: about my picks, the way Cincinnati feels about this game.
Speaker 3: Season's been a little disappointing. Haven't been quite as good
Speaker 3: as we hope. We were a hair under five hund
Speaker 3: blew a game last week. This is the week we
Speaker 3: right the ship. Cincinnati laying the two.
Speaker 2: All right, I like him so far as well.
Speaker 3: Next home dog getting more than a field goal, the
Speaker 3: Giants getting five and a half against Baltimore, all right,
Speaker 3: this is an outward listen. I have disrespected the Giants plenty,
Speaker 3: don't get me wrong. This is an outwardly disrespectful one
Speaker 3: for the Giants to be disrespectful to the Giants at
Speaker 3: home getting nearly a touchdown against a Baltimore team that,
Speaker 3: if we are being honest, has not looked overwhelming in
Speaker 3: quite some time. Baltimore's very banged up. We know that
Speaker 3: Lamar I thought played a very shaky game against Cincinnati
Speaker 3: throwing the ball Baltimore. They looked unbelievable the first seven
Speaker 3: quarters of the season. Then the fourth quarter against Miami happened.
Speaker 3: They beat New England badly, but they let Mac Jones
Speaker 3: throw for three hundred and forty yards. Then they blew
Speaker 3: the game to Buffalo. They looked great in that first half,
Speaker 3: then they blew it. They escape against Cincinnati. Do I
Speaker 3: think Baltimore is going to beat the Giants? Yes? But
Speaker 3: do I think they're going to beat them by a touchdown?
Speaker 3: Plus I do not. Do I think the Giants are
Speaker 3: going this is going to be a very fast game
Speaker 3: where both teams are just running the ball, running the ball,
Speaker 3: running the ball. I do do. I think Daniel Jones
Speaker 3: might have one big quarterback run in this game. I
Speaker 3: do do. I think Sakwan is gonna get involved in
Speaker 3: the passing game. I do do. I think Baltimore, if
Speaker 3: they get a lead, unlike what they did against Buffalo
Speaker 3: where they kept throwing the ball, is just going to
Speaker 3: run the ball and try to get home. I do do.
Speaker 3: I like the Giants defensive front. I do getting five
Speaker 3: and a half points again, what does this feel like?
Speaker 3: This feels like a twenty four to twenty Baltimore game,
Speaker 3: a twenty to seventeen Baltimore game. Also, the Giants, I.
Speaker 4: Think they might be gassed up a little bit coming
Speaker 4: off that win from green Bay.
Speaker 3: Well I agree with that. Now, I don't love that
Speaker 3: they you know, they're flew back from London this week
Speaker 3: and they didn't take the buy, so I don't love
Speaker 3: that part for them. But on the flip side, Baltimore
Speaker 3: played on Sunday night, so Baltimore and the Giants probably
Speaker 3: both got back to their beds around the same time
Speaker 3: yes or yesterday. Last Sunday more of the Sunday night
Speaker 3: game the Giants after the London game. This is a
Speaker 3: let me say one other thing, because I'm not picking
Speaker 3: the Giants win this game out right, but the plus
Speaker 3: five and a half is too many points. I also
Speaker 3: think this is a game absolutely where the Giants could
Speaker 3: be down ten late in the fourth quarter and get
Speaker 3: a backdoor cover. They're not there. The Giants seems gonna
Speaker 3: have no quit in them. So for all those reasons,
Speaker 3: it's too many points. In New York, Baltimore should probably
Speaker 3: be favored by two and a half or three the Giants.
Speaker 3: Saquan has been unbelievable. Daniel Jones has been playing clean football.
Speaker 3: I don't know how long much longer that's gonna last.
Speaker 3: I think Dable's done an excellent job. Giants plus five
Speaker 3: and a half and then our final pick, the most
Speaker 3: insulting line in modern NFL history. Patrick Mahomes in his career,
Speaker 3: has played prior to this, forty one games in Arrowhead Stadium,
Speaker 3: dating back to his first year as a starter demonte
Speaker 3: Of those forty one, how many do you think he
Speaker 3: has been favored?
Speaker 2: Forty of them?
Speaker 3: Forty one of them every single game until this week
Speaker 3: the Chiefs plus two and a half at home. I
Speaker 3: almost couldn't say it against Buffalo, that's our last bet?
Speaker 3: Am I guaranteeing a Chiefs win? I am not do.
Speaker 3: I think there's a chance that Buffalo could do what
Speaker 3: they did last year in Arrowhead in the regular season
Speaker 3: what the Chiefs by three scores? I do so? Why
Speaker 3: am I betting this? Because you're the next time Mahomes
Speaker 3: is an underdog at home, you're gonna have children. It'll
Speaker 3: be five years from now. This is a once. It's
Speaker 3: like a lunar eclipse. There's a or solar eclipse, whichever
Speaker 3: one's rarer. You don't know when this opportunity is gonna
Speaker 3: go around again. Patrick Mahomes in his entire career, fun fact,
Speaker 3: has been an underdog eight times total, all obviously on
Speaker 3: the road. Those are I think maybe one neutral site,
Speaker 3: but doesn't know. I think they're all on the road.
Speaker 3: In those eight games, he is six and two straight
Speaker 3: up and seven zero and one against the spread. He
Speaker 3: has never not covered as an underdog. Never. We got
Speaker 3: him as an underdog two weeks ago against Tampa and
Speaker 3: he kicked the shadow. Is Buffalo an excellent team? They
Speaker 3: are do they deserve to be the favorites in Arrowhead Stadium?
Speaker 3: The Chiefs have the better coach, they have the better quarterback,
Speaker 3: and when it comes to home field advantage, a lot
Speaker 3: of teams don't have home field. You know who does
Speaker 3: have home field The team that made Carl Cheffer's voice
Speaker 3: crack and wanted to go home crying midway through the
Speaker 3: Raider game. I also, let can guys make one small complaint, NFL,
Speaker 3: This is one of your games of the year. This
Speaker 3: is the Every single television in the country gets this game.
Speaker 3: It's the CBS four to thirty game, and CBS has
Speaker 3: no other four o'clock or four to thirty games. This
Speaker 3: will get a bit the highest rating, maybe of any
Speaker 3: non primetime game all year long, and it'll beat a
Speaker 3: lot of the primetime games. Maybe don't put one of
Speaker 3: the two teams on a short week leading into it.
Speaker 3: Why did the Chiefs play on Monday night before their
Speaker 3: matchup against the Bills? Oh, I know the same reason
Speaker 3: that when the Bills lost to the Chiefs in overtime
Speaker 3: in the AFC Championship, you change the rules. But when
Speaker 3: the Chiefs lost the Patriots four years ago in the
Speaker 3: exact same circumsances like oh, should have gotta stop? That's fine,
Speaker 3: I get it. The Bills are the hot new team,
Speaker 3: the Chiefs catching points at home. That's our fifth bet.
Speaker 3: So our five bets this week are Cleveland laying two
Speaker 3: and a half and a must win at home against
Speaker 3: New England, Jacksonville getting a point and a half and
Speaker 3: a must win at Indy, Cincinnati Lang two in a
Speaker 3: must win at New Orleans, the Giants getting five and
Speaker 3: a half against Baltimore in Kansas City, plus two and
Speaker 3: a half against Buffalo. Oh do you smell that?
Speaker 2: What is it?
Speaker 3: Five? And oh smells like five? And oh, my friend?
Speaker 2: All right?
Speaker 3: Our stay aways are be carefuls in our perfectly priced
Speaker 3: next What's Right? Episode eighty two.
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Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in What's Right, Nick Right, Episode
Speaker 3: eighty two, our week six NFL gambling show. We are
Speaker 3: eleven and fourteen on the year. We have lost four
Speaker 3: straight looks. But I just gave out five of the
Speaker 3: best bets anyone's ever gonna find. That is a four
Speaker 3: and one week at a minimum to get us back
Speaker 3: to five hundred for the home stretch. And it might
Speaker 3: be a five in oh week. I might. I don't
Speaker 3: know if it's in there. As far as the offer,
Speaker 3: I might bet all five of these as a parlay
Speaker 3: at the old twenty five to one for the five
Speaker 3: and oh week. I might just have to do it.
Speaker 3: I might. I might just have to do it. All
Speaker 3: right now, we put all the other games into three categories,
Speaker 3: stay away, be careful, and perfectly priced. Our stay away
Speaker 3: games are the following games. Washington in Chicago, Carolina at
Speaker 3: the Rams, and Minnesota at Miami. Let me explain why
Speaker 3: each of these are stay away. Washington in Chicago is
Speaker 3: a p it will have already happened by the time
Speaker 3: you guys hear and see this. My logic on this
Speaker 3: is very straightforward. Washington is right now going through the
Speaker 3: tumult of rivera talking trash on Carson Wentz. Chicago, on
Speaker 3: the other hand, actually played a kind of no one
Speaker 3: was watching the Bears Vikings game, but the Bears had
Speaker 3: a chance to win it. The Bears played their best
Speaker 3: game of the year in a loss. I feel like
Speaker 3: these two teams are it is. This is the This
Speaker 3: is saying Washington's two and a half three points better
Speaker 3: than Chicago. I think that's probably right. But also I
Speaker 3: put it in this category because people will have already
Speaker 3: known what happened here, and I'm not that interested in
Speaker 3: this game. This is if there's ever a night America
Speaker 3: told your wife, oh, honey, I don't need to watch
Speaker 3: the NFL game tonight, it's it's the game that would
Speaker 3: have that happens tonight that you're gonna hear about that
Speaker 3: would have happened yesterday. Washington, Chicago, All right? Next, actual
Speaker 3: stayaways Carolina at the Rams, the Rams laying ten and
Speaker 3: a half. As a general rule of thumb, I like
Speaker 3: to stay away to monse from teams that just fired
Speaker 3: their head coach because you don't know the impact that's
Speaker 3: gonna have on them, and you don't know the detrimental
Speaker 3: effect that coach was having on them. All of a sudden,
Speaker 3: they're going to play their best game with that said. Oh,
Speaker 3: so there's the unknown quantity. Baker's out, so now they
Speaker 3: also the other unknown quantity is new backup quarterback Madam P. J. Walker.
Speaker 3: That's a concern. Why am I not then laying the
Speaker 3: points with the Rams? Because I do think that we
Speaker 3: know the Rams have a brutal offensive line and the
Speaker 3: one thing the Panthers can do really well is get
Speaker 3: after the passer. So that game scares me a bit.
Speaker 3: So to me, that's a vintage stay away.
Speaker 4: So the Rams a good teaser, you think, or is
Speaker 4: it just completely stay away?
Speaker 3: Well in a ten point two where it's them just
Speaker 3: to win. I here's the thing. They're gonna be everyone's
Speaker 3: survivor picks this week. They're at home. It scares me
Speaker 3: a little bit because of that pass rush and because
Speaker 3: as far as betting that, you can't lay the ten
Speaker 3: with them. They haven't beaten anyone by ten this year.
Speaker 3: They you know, their biggest wins by eight. Atlanta, they
Speaker 3: had beat by three scores and they almost lost the game.
Speaker 3: I I'm not gonna put them in a teaser because
Speaker 3: there is a chance their offensive line is so bad
Speaker 3: that they get annihilated, that they the offensive line gets
Speaker 3: annihilated and they lose the game outright. There also is
Speaker 3: a chance the Ram the Panthers offense is so bad
Speaker 3: the Rams even them twenty one to three. I'm just
Speaker 3: staying away from it. And lastly, Minnesota at Miami, Miami
Speaker 3: getting three and a half, I am very confused about
Speaker 3: what's going on with Teddy Bridgewater. And it's a stay
Speaker 3: away because Miami's on a third string quarterback. But I'm
Speaker 3: not gonna lay three points on the road with Kirk
Speaker 3: Cousins against the team that are three and a half,
Speaker 3: that otherwise has a lot of talent. But so Teddy
Speaker 3: got taken out of the last game because he wobbled.
Speaker 3: But he has shown no signs of concussions, and they
Speaker 3: say all week he showed no sign of concussion, but
Speaker 3: he's so in the concussion protocols so he can't practice. Okay,
Speaker 3: But the last thing I read is he's going They
Speaker 3: think he's gonna be active on game day as the
Speaker 3: backup quarterback with their So he's not practicing, so they're
Speaker 3: not gonna start him, but they think he's gonna clear
Speaker 3: the concussion protocol in time to be able to play.
Speaker 3: If that's the case. If you're Miami, if the starter
Speaker 3: who's your third string guy, starts off terribly, aren't you
Speaker 3: just gonna go to Teddy? And if they go to Teddy,
Speaker 3: they shouldn't be getting three and a half points. So
Speaker 3: but if they go with the third string or the
Speaker 3: whole game, then of course Minnesota's decided. For all those reasons.
Speaker 3: Questions about the quarterback gets to stay away all right. Time.
Speaker 3: Now the next category, be careful. This is where we
Speaker 3: think Vegas is daring you to pick a side, and
Speaker 3: they almost got me on the first one. So it's Tampa, Pittsburgh,
Speaker 3: San Francisco, and Atlanta and Denver at the Chargers. All right,
Speaker 3: Tampa minus eight. Took all my self control not to.
Speaker 2: Include the picks.
Speaker 3: It seems too obvious. Pittsburgh has been the worst team
Speaker 3: in the league this year. Their one game came when
Speaker 3: the other team turned the ball over five times, missed
Speaker 3: multiple kicks, had their long snapper injured all of it,
Speaker 3: and they still needed overtime to win. Right, Tampa played
Speaker 3: really well last week for three quarters and then in
Speaker 3: the fourth quarter let Atlanta get back into it. But
Speaker 3: this is a This is a game where you would
Speaker 3: expect the Tampa defense, like, how many points do you
Speaker 3: think the Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh offense can score?
Speaker 3: Ten at most? Can Tampa's defense score all those reasons?
Speaker 3: And Tampa lang less than you know, not even ten,
Speaker 3: ten and a half. I feel like this is a
Speaker 3: game the entire general public is gonna be on Tampa,
Speaker 3: no one's gonna be on Pittsburgh, and so it just
Speaker 3: feels like a trap. It feels like a game that's somehow.
Speaker 3: I don't know if Pittsburgh's defense scores, I don't know
Speaker 3: if it's that Tampa's offense and special teams has an issue,
Speaker 3: but Pittsburgh I don't want to lay more than a
Speaker 3: touchdown on the road against a Mike Tomlin team. I
Speaker 3: just don't. But I think the entire general public is
Speaker 3: I think everyone's gonna be on Tampa. They are certainly
Speaker 3: gonna be a popular survivor leg and I think they'd
Speaker 3: be a good survivor leg for whatever it's worth. But
Speaker 3: I'm nobody's gonna be betting Pittsburgh, so be careful. I
Speaker 3: feel similarly about San Francisco at Atlanta, but in a
Speaker 3: different fashion. Okay, Atlanta has been a covering machine. They
Speaker 3: are five and zero against the spread. They are now
Speaker 3: getting more than a field goal at home in a
Speaker 3: game where last week they just showed you they're gonna
Speaker 3: fight to the end, try to backdoor cover all of it.
Speaker 3: I ain't Atlanta is. I think people are gonna like,
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna lay more than a field goal. With
Speaker 3: Jimmy Garoppolo, Trent Williams banged up, the Niners just lost
Speaker 3: a corner. I think this is the rare, rare game
Speaker 3: where they where the majority of the money is going
Speaker 3: to be on the underdog because Atlanta has, you know,
Speaker 3: undefeated against the spread. That ends at some point. With
Speaker 3: that said, I do think the Niners are gonna win
Speaker 3: this football game. It's a weird spot to me. There's
Speaker 3: gonna be a lot of folks, including Atlanta on their picks,
Speaker 3: the people maybe even using a teaser leg on Atlanta.
Speaker 3: They can them tease plus you know, to plus eleven
Speaker 3: and a half or plus twelve twelve and a half,
Speaker 3: it's not that valuable. But to tease them through the seven,
Speaker 3: to the eight and the ten. To me that to
Speaker 3: be careful and last, be careful Denver at the Chargers.
Speaker 3: First of all, it's Monday night. People are gonna be chasing.
Speaker 3: Second of all, Russ has looked terrible. We now know
Speaker 3: he's injured. It's Nathaniel Hackett. Everyone is gonna be on
Speaker 3: the Chargers here, and I do think the Chargers are
Speaker 3: gonna win. But are they gonna cover the five here?
Speaker 3: Would be my concerns. That's gonna be a Denver home game.
Speaker 3: Broncos have a national fan base and they travel well.
Speaker 3: It's Monday night football. The Chargers have no fans the Broncos.
Speaker 3: Maybe because Russ is injured, they are now gonna do
Speaker 3: what they should have been doing, which is run the
Speaker 3: football more. The Chargers are the most injured team in
Speaker 3: the league. I feel like everyone's gonna be on the
Speaker 3: Chargers in this game. I lean Chargers in this game.
Speaker 3: I'm saying be careful. I don't think anyone's gonna be betting Denver.
Speaker 3: That always is a warning sign to me. You want
Speaker 3: to ask. You look like you have a no inquisitive look.
Speaker 2: I mean, it's clear you hate the Chargers, But I mean,
Speaker 2: I see something in here.
Speaker 3: I don't hate the Chargers. It listen, I don't hate
Speaker 3: the Chargers. I think the Chargers remind picked to make
Speaker 3: the AFC Championship game. They are so incredibly injured it
Speaker 3: concerns me. I also think the whole public is going
Speaker 3: to be on them all right. Lastly, are perfectly priced
Speaker 3: group Arizona at Seattle. Seattle getting just under a field
Speaker 3: goal Arizona. If this were is Arizona minus three and
Speaker 3: a half, you bet Seattle at Arizona minus two and
Speaker 3: a half. You probably want to bet Arizona. You feel
Speaker 3: like they're gonna win. However, Arizona's been they are the
Speaker 3: more talented team, and Seattle's defense has been so bad
Speaker 3: you feel like Arizona's gonna be able to get rolling
Speaker 3: on offense at some point. To me, this is exactly
Speaker 3: as it should be. Arizona favored by less than a
Speaker 3: field goal on the road in Seattle.
Speaker 2: Even with the way they just performed against the Eagles
Speaker 2: in a close Eagles are undefeated.
Speaker 3: No, I get that, but I don't think. I don't
Speaker 3: want to trust Cliff Kings. But the reason I say
Speaker 3: it's perfectly priced is if we were three and a half,
Speaker 3: I'd be betting Seattle at two and a half. I
Speaker 3: think it's I think this is a field goal game.
Speaker 3: It wouldn't shock me if listen Teddy or Teddy Sorry,
Speaker 3: Gino has been unbelievable to me. It's just right. The
Speaker 3: Jets at the Packers. I know the Jets are three
Speaker 3: and two. The backers have not looked good. Green Bay
Speaker 3: minus seven is exactly where this should be. They the
Speaker 3: back door cover written all over it. Green Bay's offense
Speaker 3: hasn't been overwhelming green Bay. It's a respect to the Jets.
Speaker 3: They are only underdogs by a touchdown. Also will disrespect
Speaker 3: the Packers. They're also coming off that London thing where
Speaker 3: they have the shorter week to a degree. And then lastly,
Speaker 3: Dallas at Philly. I listen, we will spend we will
Speaker 3: have we spent more time on this game on Thursday's
Speaker 3: What's Right Show? But I think this is priced exactly right.
Speaker 3: I think with Cooper Rush is the starting quarterback, Philly
Speaker 3: is a field goal better than Dallas. You then add
Speaker 3: the fact to the home field advantage that Philly minus
Speaker 3: six is exactly where this line should be. What's up?
Speaker 3: What's your question?
Speaker 2: You know things should be higher. I the quarterback undefeated team.
Speaker 3: Yeah, the undefeated team doesn't mean that much to me.
Speaker 3: I think that Dallas's defense is gonna do well against Philly.
Speaker 3: We've also Philly has been far and away the best
Speaker 3: first half team in the NFL and a bad second
Speaker 3: half team nice which has backdoor cover written all over it.
Speaker 3: I do think Philly's gonna win. I also think Dallas's defense,
Speaker 3: for the first time all year, it's gonna have to
Speaker 3: deal with a mobile quarterback, something they have not had
Speaker 3: to deal with. So I don't know if the pass
Speaker 3: rush is gonna be quite as dominant as it has been.
Speaker 3: If you look at the quarterbacks Dallas has gone against,
Speaker 3: try to do this off the top of my head.
Speaker 3: They have gone against Tom Brady totally immobile, Joe Burrow
Speaker 3: not mobile, Daniel Jones a little, he runs, give him credit,
Speaker 3: but that not a good quarterback. And then who else
Speaker 3: have they beaten last week? Oh, Matt Stafford, Owen Carson Wentz.
Speaker 3: So Jalen Hurts is the first true mobile quarterback they're
Speaker 3: up against. I think they will neutralize the pass rush
Speaker 3: to a degree. With that said, every single game, Cooper
Speaker 3: Rush has gotten worse and worse and worse. This past
Speaker 3: week was his worst game yet. I know the Washington
Speaker 3: game the numbers were better, but he threw two picks
Speaker 3: that two balls that should have been picked or were picked,
Speaker 3: and was called off two to penalty. I think Philly
Speaker 3: minus less than a touchdown is exactly where it should be.
Speaker 3: That's about what I expect this game to be around
Speaker 3: a twenty one to fourteen, twenty four to seventeen, that
Speaker 3: to twenty three to seventeen type of game. So I
Speaker 3: think that Philly minus six is exactly right. Okay, what's up, buddy?
Speaker 3: They look like you wanted to say something else.
Speaker 2: No, I understand your logic there, but no, I'm ready to.
Speaker 3: You're ready to go to your offers and discuss the
Speaker 3: fact that my survivor is done and to name check
Speaker 3: her a second time. Our great producer Kara text me Nick,
Speaker 3: you forgot your Survivor pitch. I didn't. I'm just I'm
Speaker 3: not allowed. I am ejected from all from Survivor competitions.
Speaker 3: Uh So we'll do that. See if there's any teasers
Speaker 3: and parlays, do all that. Next, What's right?
Speaker 2: All right?
Speaker 3: Welcome back in episode eighty two, final segment, What's right?
Speaker 2: Nick? Right?
Speaker 3: First, we got to start off with our block of
Speaker 3: the week, and I told you I went into this
Speaker 3: show we've lost four blocks of the week the right move,
Speaker 3: we lost four in a row. I went into the
Speaker 3: show feeling not so confident. And then as I went
Speaker 3: through those five picks, and the five picks, by the way,
Speaker 3: were Cleveland minus two and a half, Jacksonville plus point
Speaker 3: and a half, since Anemis two Giants plus five and
Speaker 3: a half, and Casey plus two and a half. I
Speaker 3: got more and more confident, felt better and better. And
Speaker 3: when I was like, Ah, what am I gonna do
Speaker 3: for the lack of the week though, because that's where
Speaker 3: it's really ruined me on the earth, miss four in
Speaker 3: a row. You see, if the lock of the weeks
Speaker 3: were all winners, how about that instead of being eleven
Speaker 3: and fourteen, it would be fifteen and ten. That's all
Speaker 3: I need.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 3: Demonsay's like, oh, it's going to be the Chiefs. It's
Speaker 3: not gonna be the Chiefs because I think the Bills
Speaker 3: could win. People are gonna say, Nick, you're crazy for
Speaker 3: this lock of the week. Would the prince that was promised?
Speaker 3: Ever after three straight bad games, Woody, three straight games,
Speaker 3: you gotta win, you lose. Not happening. Jacksonville plus a
Speaker 3: point and a half winning out right, and also a
Speaker 3: delicious teaser leg by the way, teasing them up to
Speaker 3: seven and a half. Oh my goodness. So Jacksonville plus
Speaker 3: point and a half. Now on to Survivor. So here's
Speaker 3: the deal, America. I try to keep with the integrity
Speaker 3: of it. Baltimore, I gave you a winner in week
Speaker 3: one for Survivor, Green Bay, I gave you a winner. Minnesota,
Speaker 3: I gave you an the charge that gave you a winner.
Speaker 3: And then last week we used the Jags, and I
Speaker 3: gave you a loser. However, I was reminded that I
Speaker 3: am in a Survivor contest where I have multiple injuries
Speaker 3: and I am still alive in that one. So here's
Speaker 3: what I'll do. I will give out last week. This
Speaker 3: is what we're gonna do for Survivor. We're gonna stick
Speaker 3: with the same format of those we will We're admitting
Speaker 3: to the audience we obviously lost our survivor jury for
Speaker 3: the show. However, last week, had we not picked the Jags,
Speaker 3: the next most popular survivor leg and the one we
Speaker 3: had available to us was the Bills. The Bills were
Speaker 3: fourteen point favorites. Call, so take the Bills off the
Speaker 3: board for us as if we had picked them last week.
Speaker 3: And I didn't prep the producers on this, but I
Speaker 3: thought about it in real time. We will continue to
Speaker 3: give survivors unless we lose again. If you picked the
Speaker 3: Bills last week, what you have available to you, and
Speaker 3: what I would go with this week, which is not
Speaker 3: a great survivor week, I hate doing so. I hate
Speaker 3: picking teams in this spot. Like I said to you,
Speaker 3: Bat offensive line, new head coach for the Panthers, Bat
Speaker 3: offensive line for the Rams. But the Rams at home
Speaker 3: is the survivor pick this week. As far as teasers
Speaker 3: this week, we're not going to give any of that
Speaker 3: was part of our downfall last week. Spent a little
Speaker 3: too much time on the teasers, a little too much
Speaker 3: time not grinding the tape of these picks. We've got
Speaker 3: no teasers that I'm going to give out this week. Demands,
Speaker 3: do you have anything you'd like to give out before
Speaker 3: we get to your picks in your offer.
Speaker 4: Yeah, we've got a little exotic pick. This was pretty exotic.
Speaker 4: But seems like you're on the under and I'm very
Speaker 4: curious to know why. But mine is over under four
Speaker 4: and a half years till I have kids.
Speaker 3: Well, I didn't say it was on the under. I
Speaker 3: said about five years. That would be about you know,
Speaker 3: so there. I think that's well. Let me ask you this,
Speaker 3: if I may, do you think you're ever gonna have kids?
Speaker 2: I think it's highly likely that. I don't.
Speaker 3: Wow, you think you're an underdog to have kids?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 3: Wow, I would really break your mom's heart. I mean
Speaker 3: it's just devastator.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Two more.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I know I know what.
Speaker 2: Wants to be a grandmother young as possible.
Speaker 3: I feel like, okay, well that that's a separate thing.
Speaker 3: Shouldn't have said that on the air, but yeah, I mean, yes,
Speaker 3: I do think there is an element of your mom
Speaker 3: that wants to be you know, hot and out in
Speaker 3: the Yes, but I don't think she's rushing you to
Speaker 3: have kids. But you're twenty four. Yeah, I think you're
Speaker 3: gonna have kids, and I think you're gonna have kids
Speaker 3: before you're thirty. I say twenty eight, so I would
Speaker 3: go under by the thinnest of margins. All right, speaking
Speaker 3: of Demanse, Demanse last week for my birthday, gave me
Speaker 3: three picks. They went one and two. So thanks for
Speaker 3: that much. Casey minus said, haven't cost me thousands of dollars.
Speaker 3: Denver Minds three and a half cost me money before
Speaker 3: we even did the show, and then Arizona plus five
Speaker 3: and a half one. All right, now time, So there's
Speaker 3: Demont's picks, his season records to and four. He's taken
Speaker 3: the week off from this week. He'll give us some
Speaker 3: bets next week. All right. Lastly, what's the offer?
Speaker 2: I and a producer stayed up all day fighting this one.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 2: I want to go in on this one with you.
Speaker 2: I call this Nick's Perfect Sunday.
Speaker 4: Okay, all right, So we got Chiefs to win over
Speaker 4: fifty four and a half in Jags to win plus
Speaker 4: seven thirty.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you say the Chiefs will win, and there's.
Speaker 4: No way that there's there's no the over, there's no
Speaker 4: way the over doesn't cash.
Speaker 2: Right.
Speaker 4: The Princeville's promise is Brown to hit his rebound or whatever,
Speaker 4: which not so sure about. So unless I'm sorry. So,
Speaker 4: unless you're a totally hypocrite, we're making the bet.
Speaker 3: Right, So the Chiefs have to win. The over in
Speaker 3: Bill's Chiefs has to hit fifty four. So whenever you're
Speaker 3: betting a number like that, you got to think, like,
Speaker 3: what's the already won twenty eight? The overhits right, twenty
Speaker 3: eight to twenty four, it does not thirty to twenty four.
Speaker 3: It does not, but anything more than that and the
Speaker 3: Jags win and it's plus seven thirty. Yep, Jags to win.
Speaker 3: That's gonna happen. Chiefs to win. I hope that happens,
Speaker 3: and the over.
Speaker 2: So over.
Speaker 3: All, right, here's the commitment, and Demonzia will keep me
Speaker 3: honest on this that. Yeah, let's do it. We're in.
Speaker 3: We're in. Are you in for a piece of it?
Speaker 2: I'm in.
Speaker 3: You're in for a piece of it? Okay, all right,
Speaker 3: we'll put five hundred bucks on that, Demond. You can
Speaker 3: be in for ten percent. You're in for fifty bucks.
Speaker 2: Sweet?
Speaker 3: All right, let's go there we go. I'm accepting the offer.
Speaker 3: Let's go perfect weekend. You we're gonna do that. And
Speaker 3: what you think think we should do the under?
Speaker 2: No? No, no, it's yeah, wait.
Speaker 3: Yes or no? Do you think we should do the under.
Speaker 2: Fifty four and a half at the end of the game?
Speaker 3: Yeah? Total?
Speaker 2: Okay for the Chiefs Bills, right.
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, what what what's your I'm just making
Speaker 3: sure I got screwed doing these over unders a couple
Speaker 3: of weeks ago. So yeah, the problem with betting the
Speaker 3: over under is Demonse had it and won. He's like,
Speaker 3: man if I had just bet the opposite idle one,
Speaker 3: It's like, yeah, that's how these things work. We're in
Speaker 3: over fifty four and a half. The Chiefs went out
Speaker 3: right and the Jackson went out right plus seven thirty.
Speaker 3: We love it. Talk to you guys next week. A
Speaker 3: Week seven recap and a little NBA season preview. What's
Speaker 3: Right