1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: After nearly fifty years of being the global borrowing benchmark, 2 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: the Library is being abandoned, buried in a financial grave, 3 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: only to be found in history books that recount the 4 00:00:09,840 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: tales of the scandals and corruption that generated some nine 5 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:17,479 Speaker 1: billion dollars in banking fines. UK regulators have decided that 6 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 1: the benchmark that underpins more than three trillion dollars of 7 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 1: financial products from car loans to mortgages will be phased out. 8 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: Andrew Bailey, the head of the UK's Financial Conduct Authority, 9 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: set on Bloomberg TV that libral isn't sustainable because of 10 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:36,599 Speaker 1: a lack of transactions providing data. So the assumption that 11 00:00:36,640 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: we have a market and money as it were, which 12 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: will support libral hasn't happened, and so the current structure 13 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: in a sense depends excessively in our view, on expert 14 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 1: judgment by the submitting backs. Billy says he wants to 15 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: scrap library by one joining me is John Glover, Bloomberg 16 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: News Financial regulation reporter. John start by explaining exactly what 17 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 1: the London Interbank offered rate or libor is um. Well, 18 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: it's yeah, it's a series of different call them in 19 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: let's call them indexes. Or benchmarks that grew up over 20 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: time organically as the euromarkets developed. That's the markets for 21 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: um assets financial assets in Europe rather than the markets 22 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 1: in Euros. Now, why, well, there's a series, there's a 23 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 1: series of currencies in a series of what they call 24 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: tenants maturities. Why this decision to drop libor, Well, the 25 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: reason he grew up where it did and when it 26 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: did is that banks needed to borrow from each other 27 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 1: overnight or for three months or six months or whatever 28 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: um in various currencies, and so they needed some kind 29 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: of a benchmark. They don't borrow from each other much anymore. 30 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: So there are the transactions, particularly in some currencies which 31 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: are very adequate at some at some maturities. So there's 32 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: no real transaction taking place. It's just a guess that 33 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,919 Speaker 1: the panels that say how much it would it would 34 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: cost a prime bank to borrow from another prime bank 35 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: for a certain amount of time, they're just pulling numbers 36 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: out of the air. Really, I mean that's unfair, but 37 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 1: because they're more closely policed than that. But then it's 38 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 1: an estimate. So what happens now when there is no 39 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:32,640 Speaker 1: replacement for it, Well, they're building replacements slowly but surely. 40 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 1: Um and the company which is ice that space I 41 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: think in Atlanta that it ministers the benchmark now after 42 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 1: it was taken away from the British Banking Association as 43 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: it then was um IT wants to continue with the libel. 44 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:53,679 Speaker 1: The regulator clearly doesn't want that's the f c A. 45 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: Andrew Bailey, when you just heard, clearly wants to phase 46 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: it out. And by setting the dead line, my impression 47 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: is that the thinking is that they will be forced 48 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: to come up with some kind of solution that will 49 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 1: satisfy his current needs because the needs have changed. The 50 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 1: libel was answering a certain question that was asked a 51 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: certain time. That question is no longer being asked, so 52 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:26,560 Speaker 1: library is answering it is five years enough time to 53 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: transition away. There's the fifty trillion dollar questions. Um It's 54 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 1: Bailey does say that in the he has spoken to 55 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: the panel banks and he they reckoned that that should 56 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 1: be enough. We will see. Well, let's talk about whether 57 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: there is going to be uncertainty into swap rates based 58 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: on the benchmark. Let's talk about financial lawyers and how 59 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: busy they're going to be with libor based contracts, just 60 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: checking contracts. Yeah, I think the lawyers are going to 61 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: love it. They've been I've been talking to a few 62 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: recently though. They've all built these, um, the big ones, 63 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: big firms, what we call the Magic Circle in London. UM, 64 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 1: they've all built artificial intelligence bots that will check contracts 65 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 1: for do the grunt work. So it may not be 66 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: as hard to do the papering as they called it. 67 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,479 Speaker 1: As it seems because if you have to go through 68 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: it manually, millions and millions of contracts, then that's going 69 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 1: to take forever. But if you've got a robot doing it, 70 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: then it may not take quite as long as people think. 71 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,880 Speaker 1: But who knows. So you're getting a lot of associates 72 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: out of work there. Um is what's the general feeling 73 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: in about you know, we have about thirty seconds here. 74 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: What's the general feeling about this? You know, ending of 75 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:03,839 Speaker 1: libor oh um. I think people people on the sharp 76 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: end who are who are sort of swaps dealers, who 77 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: are using it are waking up to the fact that 78 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: they won't have it forever. It's not going to be 79 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: around forever. Um. I was talking to a character from 80 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: a private equity firm at them just after the meeting today, 81 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: after the speech, and he was saying that they've got 82 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 1: all these loans based on library and I said, well, 83 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: you know, what did you think? What do you think 84 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: of Sonya? He says, this is the first I've heard 85 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 1: of it, so I think the process is really getting underway. Sonya, 86 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: by the way, is the suggested M a substitute for library. 87 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 1: It stands for Sir Stirling Overnight interest average, if I'm 88 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 1: not mistaken, with be a benchmark or near risk, the 89 00:05:51,200 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 1: benchmark for borrowing in pounds. Thank you, thank you so 90 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:59,599 Speaker 1: much for enlightening us. That's John Gloves, a Bloomberg News 91 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: financial a regulation reporter, coming up lawsuits on climate change 92 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 1: in California