1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: Now here's a highlight from Coast to Coast AM on 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:09,880 Speaker 1: iHeart Radio. We linked up the profile page for Professor 3 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 1: Bart costco PhD JD on Coast to Coast AM. You'll 4 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: find it out on the website. Bart. How are you 5 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 1: doing tonight? I'm doing fine. How are you? I in good? 6 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: When does your semester start again? I'm on sabbatical, so 7 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: it actually is delayed for me, but it started on Monday. 8 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: You rock. I don't think. I don't think I'll be 9 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 1: teaching long enough to qualify for a sabbatical. My sabbatical 10 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: will be my retirement. So you know, it's funny before 11 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: we get started. So I was reminded of this when 12 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: I went to review your homepage, and I think this 13 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: is true if some of the best university so here 14 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: you are in the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, 15 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:55,279 Speaker 1: right in the Signal and Image Processing Institute. And I 16 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: don't this still sound harsh And I don't mean it to, 17 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: but I mean, gosh, website design looks like it's lycos 18 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: it looks like Opera one point or something. I think 19 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: they got to update that a little bit. For a 20 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: school with the reputation of USC, I think they've kind 21 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 1: of have a better layout, colorful reputation. You know, that's 22 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:20,120 Speaker 1: partly my fault in because well back as student, I 23 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: helped out with something said offered to design my web page, 24 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 1: and I said, I don't want the other stuff I 25 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: see on it. Intentions and research are I only want 26 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 1: to publish content. Nothing else good, that's good, only my 27 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 1: published content. So I've posted videos and journal papers and 28 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 1: patents and other things and no paywall, and I don't 29 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: want to any way come in books, any way, come 30 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 1: between that. So if I could make that more accessible, 31 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: I would. I the only thing I've not done, And 32 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: there's a lot of requests for this. I have a 33 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 1: lot of notes sets on a wide range of subjects 34 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: to make it accessible, the probability lectures, quantum mechanics, Maxwell's equations. 35 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: I've learned one hundred thousand and tricks over the decades, 36 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 1: and I'd like to share that with more people, and 37 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 1: I may do that, but otherwise it's there simply as 38 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: my information giveaway. And I totally love that, and I 39 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 1: love the humility about that. Bart, but you could do 40 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 1: better than mosaic one point zero. I just definitely true. 41 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 1: I'm just going to venture out there and say maybe 42 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: maybe adventure mosaic two point all right, So yeah, so listen. 43 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 1: I so admire the fact that you're willing to have 44 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: this conversation in any form. You're one of the few 45 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: people I think that I can attack this from a 46 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 1: couple of different standpoints, mostly because your your law degree, 47 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:44,639 Speaker 1: but also obviously with your PhD. So let's start with this. 48 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 1: Lots of conversations suddenly about billion errors being able to 49 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 1: make themselves immortal in one form or another. We can 50 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 1: talk about it in a physical form, we could talk 51 00:02:57,800 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 1: about it in a digital form. Where do you want 52 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:06,640 Speaker 1: to start? I think physical first, okay, And immortal of 53 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:11,799 Speaker 1: course is I think unattainable in the universe of entropy. 54 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 1: I mean, eventually everything dies, but that eventually can be 55 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: a very very long time. And the other thing is, 56 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 1: although death is inevitable, it's not. Doesn't a principle have 57 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 1: to be permanent? I mean, technically, death is an engineering problem, 58 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,399 Speaker 1: a big one, a grand one, but one we're quite 59 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 1: likely to conquer. And because of the effects of digital 60 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 1: technology in the rapid speed up, Moore's law is still 61 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: alive and kicking, doubling circuit density about every two years, 62 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 1: it's likely to come up bout through something like that 63 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: rather than just a physical So the crudest way to 64 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 1: extend your life right now, besides saying healthy as long 65 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: as you can, a lot of things you can do, 66 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: eating right, exercising and so forth, the crudest way is 67 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 1: simply not to destroy your brain when you first die. 68 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: And the only practical way of doing that is to 69 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 1: pump it full in effect of anti freeze and quote 70 00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: unquote freeze it really to vitrify it to very slowly 71 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 1: lowered it's about minus three hundred twenty degrees fahrenheit and 72 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: liquid nitrogen. And once you've done that, pretty much everything 73 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: except a few quantum effects have stopped, and you've avoided 74 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 1: a lot of the ice damage that would happen if 75 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 1: you just jumped into a freezer for a long time. 76 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: And then you're waiting, maybe a very long time, but 77 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: time is on your side at that point for some 78 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: kind of restoration, maybe not of your entire body, maybe 79 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 1: a digital representation, but in the old take on this 80 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: in cryonics, and I am someone who has signed up 81 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:42,679 Speaker 1: for that, as I've made clear sense of my books. 82 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:45,040 Speaker 1: As you're thinking through two years ago right in that 83 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 1: But I'm just saying in that world, and the old 84 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 1: idea was if you just stored your head, for example, 85 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,479 Speaker 1: we'd grow your body back from a head stump and 86 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 1: all would be fine. But the crucial thing is the 87 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 1: information that makes you you is in your synapses in 88 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: your brain, and if you burn it or if you 89 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: dissolve it through burial, embalming, etc. You've lost that. You've 90 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:10,839 Speaker 1: encountered what we call information death, and that is irreversible. 91 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: Why would you want to do that? What inspires you 92 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: to break that barrier? You know? I'd like to pick 93 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 1: up a few more degrees. I'm just getting going like you. 94 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:26,280 Speaker 1: I'm about to turn sixty three. I'm doing everything and 95 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,360 Speaker 1: really just getting going life. But the key thing is 96 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 1: I want to die on my terms. I think in 97 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 1: the future and I think this will be routine, it 98 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: will be a version that will saying that changed that 99 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:43,560 Speaker 1: the coward dies many deaths, but the brave die only one. 100 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: I think the ordinary person will probably die many times 101 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 1: if they choose to. Some people, maybe in for kind 102 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: of a sport. I want to do it on my terms, 103 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 1: and I'm ready to go, or maybe just take some 104 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 1: time out. I don't if you ever read the story 105 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 1: by a short novel by Arthur C. Clark called The 106 00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: City and the Stars, and it said, way in the future, 107 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 1: in people at a billion years in the future, we've 108 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:05,359 Speaker 1: gone to the stars, We've done everything we've dreamed about. 109 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 1: People kind of get bored and they come back and 110 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: then periodically they commit themselves to the blue flames to 111 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:14,160 Speaker 1: be reconstructed at some other point. But right now we're 112 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 1: tied to the old rules of Darwin and they just 113 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 1: don't match our culture or digital technology, and we can 114 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:25,040 Speaker 1: do a lot better, and they certainly don't match our 115 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:29,680 Speaker 1: society within the context of the way laws are written 116 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: in terms of oh yeah, right, the legislation that gives 117 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 1: us money at a certain age and then past until 118 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 1: another certain age, and our system would go totally broke 119 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 1: if everybody was living forever. That's an interesting proposition. I 120 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 1: think what you're referring to some of the old property law, 121 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,159 Speaker 1: and there's a very famous rule in there that be 122 00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:53,719 Speaker 1: devil students and property. I'm talking real property, not intellectual property, 123 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 1: and it's called rap. Not the music, but the rule 124 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 1: against perpetuities, and it comes out of Merry Old England 125 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 1: as much most of our laws and in effect says 126 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:08,600 Speaker 1: that you can't extend trust type systems beyond twenty one 127 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: years in a so called life and being no one's 128 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: really known what that's meant. It's been jokes about it, 129 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: even made by judges on the bench. So what's happened 130 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: really since the nineties is that several states, because states 131 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: have so much power in our constitutional system on all 132 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 1: property law is state law, for example, thank god there's 133 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: no federal property law. And as a consequence, some states 134 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: have abolished a rule against gerpatuity. Kentucky has other states 135 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 1: You're in Kansas, I'm in California, Hawaii, many others have 136 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: extended it to ninety years. Colorado recently extended it to 137 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 1: a thousand years, and I think Wyoming also. In some states, 138 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: like I said, they've gotten rid of it completely in Texas. 139 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: Lets it stay in place so you can set up 140 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 1: a trust type structure. I don't mean a charitable trust 141 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 1: which has always been set up, but your personal, personal, 142 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 1: selfish trust to go on for a very long time. Now. 143 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: Combine that, and this is where I think is getting 144 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: to your point. With what's known in finance a theorem 145 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: called the rule of seventy two. And let me just 146 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: remind your listeners what that means. If this is an approximation. 147 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 1: But if you put money in a bank at a 148 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: constant rate of return of let's say ten percent, if 149 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 1: you divide that into seventy two, So seventy two divided 150 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 1: by ten tells you in about seven years your money 151 00:08:23,360 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: will double. Contrarywise, if it were a seven percent rate 152 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 1: of return, and good luck in getting that and dividing 153 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 1: that into the seventy two, it would take about ten years. 154 00:08:34,160 --> 00:08:37,239 Speaker 1: So you might ask, well, if I had money, billionaire 155 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 1: or poor man, if I put a dollar or billion 156 00:08:40,040 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 1: dollars right now into the stock market into the SMP 157 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: five hundred, Apple, Microsoft, in firms like that, that's ten 158 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: point five percent compound interest. Probably your best bet all 159 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 1: l held constantness to your Warren Buffett, who gets twenty 160 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 1: point one percent, by the way, and the only person 161 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: in history to do that for fifty years. But I 162 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: do you have ten point five percent rate of return 163 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 1: like SMP. So after ten years, your dollar becomes two 164 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: dollars and seventy one since I did the calculations, after 165 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 1: one hundred years, your dollar becomes twenty one seven hundred 166 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: dollars after two hundred years, four hundred and seventy million 167 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:19,959 Speaker 1: plus dollars, and here we go, and after five hundred 168 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 1: years it would become five billion trillion dollars. I mean, 169 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:27,080 Speaker 1: the whole system breaks down from there, just growing at 170 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: the ordinary rate at which our tech market and our 171 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:34,280 Speaker 1: market economy grows. So even contending your life though a 172 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: little bit, can make a big difference here, just in 173 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: the rate of compounding, because it's so yeah, and which 174 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 1: is great for those people who have money to invest. 175 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: The majority of I would guess I don't know what 176 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 1: the figures are, but I would assume that the majority 177 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 1: of Americans do not have much money to invest beyond 178 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 1: a mutual fund or four oh one K, and so 179 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:07,560 Speaker 1: they depend on social Security. And social Security depends on 180 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 1: somebody dying at a time when they where the money 181 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,079 Speaker 1: that they have put into social Security is about equal 182 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: to what they've taken out or not much more than that. 183 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:24,079 Speaker 1: And it certainly couldn't sustain if people started taking social 184 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 1: Security at say age sixty seven, but they're not dying 185 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:30,520 Speaker 1: until one hundred and thirty seven, that's right. I mean 186 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:32,400 Speaker 1: that clearly will have to be adjusted. It is starting 187 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 1: to scale up. I think you and I were in 188 00:10:33,920 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 1: the first group because we're born in nineteen sixty. Instead 189 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:40,480 Speaker 1: of taking it out at sixty five, you gotta wait 190 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 1: till sixty seven, and it just continues after that. Yeah. Absolutely, 191 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 1: But you're right. The average person now is concerned with 192 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: ten plus percent inflation if you really factor in all 193 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 1: the other costs, and that works like the rule of 194 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 1: seventy two, but against you, and people are holding too 195 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: much debt. By the way, there is a concept that 196 00:10:56,440 --> 00:11:00,760 Speaker 1: spin out. It's called a libertarian nudge and very controversial, 197 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 1: and Professor cass Unstein proposes he's at Harvard University. But 198 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 1: I've heard of him, but I haven't heard of this. 199 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:09,679 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, this is probably the most famous and Robert 200 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 1: Dayler's the most famous idea, and that is, if you 201 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 1: look at the experiment that we've had in this country 202 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 1: in voluntary pension funding, it's been an utter failure no 203 00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 1: matter how you look at it. If you look at 204 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:23,559 Speaker 1: the total amount of funding, because it counts a lot 205 00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 1: of rich people's wealth. If you get something like in 206 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 1: savings of a quarter million, and that's not enough to 207 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 1: live on in retirement, but the average person factoring out 208 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:33,839 Speaker 1: to super rich, I think the average person has less 209 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 1: than a hundred thousand and the retirement. So the idea 210 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: is this the nudge which restricts liberty and just a 211 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 1: tiny amount trying to make you be a little bit 212 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 1: more rational, which set as a default that you opt 213 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,840 Speaker 1: in to whatever wage program you have with your employer. 214 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:52,280 Speaker 1: It's a certain amount of savings for your retirement, but 215 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:54,920 Speaker 1: it's a libertarian in the sense that you can always 216 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:58,680 Speaker 1: opt out. Right now, the default is that you are 217 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:01,079 Speaker 1: opted out, and most people just don't know any better, 218 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 1: or they don't but a lot of estimates that would 219 00:12:04,800 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: make a big difference. But you still need an economy 220 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,680 Speaker 1: growing fast and you know, and we've you can't have 221 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: this kind of inflation that we have that's undermining I 222 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:18,120 Speaker 1: think everybody, even the rich folks. But the effect on 223 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 1: the middle class and poor, I think is it's staggering. 224 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 1: We haven't seen this since we were kids in the 225 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 1: in the seventies. Basically that kind of thing. But one 226 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 1: thing you can do is again trying to avoid the 227 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 1: word nontoid, but as a default, trying to get everybody 228 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:35,680 Speaker 1: saving and if you just introduce kids that I'm trying 229 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:37,320 Speaker 1: to do over the years to what I what I 230 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:38,840 Speaker 1: just told you the rule of seventy two, And if 231 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: we had time, and if we had a whiteboard, I 232 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 1: would give you the mathematical proof of while the seventy 233 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 1: why the rule of seventy two is actually a theorem 234 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:50,559 Speaker 1: by expanding a property infinite series of the logarithm. But 235 00:12:51,040 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: when kids see that and they get that, and they 236 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,199 Speaker 1: realize they can have time on their side, and that 237 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 1: we tend to think about life in general in a 238 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 1: linear way. And indeed, if you look at it exponentialum, 239 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,400 Speaker 1: if you expand it, the first term is linear, but 240 00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 1: then it's quadratic, then it's cubic, and then it's quartic. 241 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 1: And then if you can allow time, you need probably 242 00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 1: a good twenty years to handle the ups and downs. 243 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 1: You can whatever your station in life, you can substantially 244 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 1: improve it over having just as we used to say 245 00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:22,840 Speaker 1: in Kansas, just eating the seed corn right, but even 246 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:26,800 Speaker 1: just by the way, So we could take social security 247 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 1: starting at sixty five. The amount is very it's small, 248 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 1: so if you wait until sixty seven, then it's a 249 00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 1: it's a much more you know, sort of understandable, workable payout. 250 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 1: Seventy is when it's pretty good. So if you're gonna 251 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:45,840 Speaker 1: hold off till if anybody gonna hold up to seventy 252 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 1: who was born after nineteen sixty, you get a pretty 253 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 1: good deal. But you got to last till seventy. What 254 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 1: does the rule of seventy two have Is that related 255 00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:59,720 Speaker 1: at all to the average lifespan of human males in America, 256 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: which is about seventy two, isn't it? I think I 257 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 1: think we're better than that now, I think it will 258 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 1: be okay. Yeah, it's a mathematical principles. I used an example. 259 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:09,640 Speaker 1: I'm up in the mountains right now outside of La 260 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 1: a lot of pine trees. If I just look at 261 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,679 Speaker 1: a young pine tree and estimate how much it's growing 262 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,959 Speaker 1: per year. Let's say it's growing ten percent a year 263 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,680 Speaker 1: and it's currently eight feet and I say, okay, how 264 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:23,880 Speaker 1: many years will it take until it's sixteen feet tall? 265 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: The rule seventy two applies to that. It would be 266 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 1: seven years. So it is a general fact of compounding 267 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 1: at a constant growth rate, whether it's to the average 268 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:36,040 Speaker 1: mail or whether it's to a pine tree, or any 269 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 1: amount of money. By the way. Ben Franklin was aware 270 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 1: of this, and I forget that I read it once 271 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 1: in his autobiography or his essays, but he knew by 272 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 1: putting up a small amount of money and allowing it 273 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 1: to be handled in a charitable trust, which is relatively 274 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 1: new in that time, you can get a lot of 275 00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: the kind of trust that we have today. I don't 276 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 1: know whether Franklins dudes funded that way, but the idea 277 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: of using that for your own wealth, that's a whole 278 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 1: way beyond an ordinary lifespan of seventy eight or eighty 279 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 1: or so years is the proposition before us. I had 280 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 1: to look it up. But life expectancy in the United 281 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:17,560 Speaker 1: States fell in the last couple of years to seventy 282 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: seven in twenty twenty and now seventy six. But that's 283 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 1: an average between men and women in twenty twenty one. 284 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 1: And men still die at you know, die younger than women. 285 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: And so then you had this whole other thing about 286 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: spousal support, and then you've got one of right, I mean, 287 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 1: those there's a whole thing. They're about some of these 288 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 1: um places where women are feeling great at seventy five, 289 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:52,320 Speaker 1: but there's no men around for them to form. There's 290 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 1: very few men that they compete a lot for companionship 291 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 1: amongst males because their life expectancy is much better, especially 292 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 1: if they got good healthcare. But I have some good 293 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:03,720 Speaker 1: news here. I just found this study came out a 294 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 1: couple of days ago. I read studies for fun and 295 00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:09,400 Speaker 1: I keep stats, and it's out of Harvard. It's in 296 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 1: the journal American Medical Associations Internal Medicine said healthy eating 297 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: pattern eating patterns in risk of total and cause specific mortality. 298 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: What it found was looking at over one hundred thousand 299 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 1: men and women non causal Study Associative for several years. 300 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 1: There were average fifty years plus. That they simply live 301 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: longer if they ate the things your doctor tells you 302 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: to eat, lots of raw fruits and vegetables and seeds 303 00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 1: and nuts and healthy oils and fast like and basically 304 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 1: the Mediterranean diet. So I think a lot of that 305 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: went the other way. During COVID the diets didn't improve, 306 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:45,080 Speaker 1: and it was doing an alcohol and so forth that 307 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 1: might act for that. Too much uber eats. You know, 308 00:16:49,160 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 1: I got too easy. By the way, Have you seen that? 309 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 1: Do you know why it is that men tend to 310 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:59,040 Speaker 1: die earlier? Than their Why I heard it was because 311 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: of hormonal fact sestophenone type effects. The old joke is 312 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 1: a structure that the old joke is because they want 313 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 1: to listen to more Coast to Coast AM every weeknight 314 00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 1: at one a m. Eastern and go to Coast to 315 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: Coast am dot com for more