1 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning 2 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perraultz. 3 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials 4 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and our heater came to an 5 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: end last night. 6 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 2: Michigan wins, but they do not cover the ten. 7 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: And a half points Nebraska was in the game. The 8 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: whole Nebraska was the right side the entire time. Michigan 9 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 1: winds up winning the basketball game. We miss on the 10 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:43,519 Speaker 1: player prop. I had the Philadelphia Milwaukee game peg. That 11 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 1: game flew over, so it's a one and two night 12 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,199 Speaker 1: down one point one five units on the day. So 13 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 1: winning Monday losing Tuesday barelea paper cut coming up here 14 00:00:55,000 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: for us now. I am currently traveling this morning to 15 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: New Orleans, where I will be taping for Thursdays, Fridays 16 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:11,479 Speaker 1: and Saturday's podcasts. I'm not on the Eastern time zone. 17 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: I'm in the Central time zone, so I don't really 18 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: know exactly when the podcast is going to drop. There's 19 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 1: a chance the podcast will drop in the morning, Okay, 20 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 1: so normally it drops overnight, but when I'm on the 21 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,320 Speaker 1: Eastern time zone, we always go with a morning release, 22 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: I'm going to be in the Central time zone and 23 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,039 Speaker 1: that might need we might have to drop it in 24 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 1: the morning. So just give you an idea as to 25 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: how the podcast is gonna go. Whenever I'm traveling, it's 26 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 1: a little bit chaotic. The next travel next weekend or 27 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: next week to San Francisco, I will be on the 28 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: West coast, so it'll still be a West coast drop 29 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: for the Daily Juice podcast. 30 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 2: But I'm probably gonna tape it on Radio Row. 31 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 1: I don't really know exactly how it's gonna flow, but 32 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: at some point it'll be cool. So I'm in the 33 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: French Quarter. I'm with betting pros. It's our annual trip, 34 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: so we are all going to be down there together. 35 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 1: And so this podcast for Wednesday morning, this will be 36 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:11,839 Speaker 1: the last time I'll tape in Vegas until I come 37 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 1: back for Sunday's podcast. So just heads up as to 38 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 1: how things are going to go for us. Now, I've 39 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: got two college basketball bets. I've got one NBA play 40 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:23,959 Speaker 1: and I've got one hard Rock Bet of the Day, 41 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 1: which is a college basketball play for us. One of 42 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: the two college basketball plays is the hard Rock Bet 43 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 1: of the Day, So no NBA player prop here today 44 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: because I don't know what's going on. I got travel 45 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:37,239 Speaker 1: in flights, and who knows what the chaos is going 46 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 1: to be. So I may drop in an NBA player 47 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: prop tomorrow or later on, but no NBA. 48 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 2: Player prop here for today. 49 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: Let's start by talking about Texas in their game up 50 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: against Auburn. Now, kempom has this game as a five 51 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,360 Speaker 1: point win for Auburn. Auburn is coming off of a 52 00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: huge win over Florida on the road seventy six to 53 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: sixty seven. They beat Ole Miss seventy eight sixty six, 54 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 1: and they beat South Carolina in their last home game 55 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: seventy one to sixty seven. For Texas, on the flip side, 56 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,639 Speaker 1: they're coming off of a monster win over Georgia. They 57 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 1: took Georgia apart eighty seven to sixty seven. Now they 58 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 1: continue here. After being at home, they go back on 59 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 1: the road where they lost to Kentucky in their last 60 00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: road game eighty five to eighty. They lost to A 61 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: and M at home seventy four to seventy. A and 62 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 1: M is twelve and eight on Sorry, Texas is twelve 63 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 1: and eight on the year, and here is a six 64 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 1: and a half point number up against Auburn, which I 65 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: found to be pretty interesting from a number perspective, kind 66 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 1: of one way traffic here with Auburn. Texas is ninth 67 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: in offensive efficiency. They are seventieth in effective field goal percentage. 68 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 1: On offense, they don't hit their threes to say their life. 69 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: They're two twenty first and three point two. But Auburn 70 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 1: is bad at defending the three, so it's not like 71 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: there's a huge issue there. They're forty six then two 72 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 1: point percentage, and well, Auburn's defense is not great. They're 73 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty six in two point defense. Texas 74 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: for the most part, hits their free throws. Their middle 75 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 1: of the pack seventy three percent not awful. Auburn is 76 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:26,239 Speaker 1: very good offensively. They're fourteenth inefficiency. They're one hundred and fifth. 77 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 1: This is okay in effective field goal percentage. They can't 78 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 1: hit threes either. They're two hundred and thirty third and 79 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,440 Speaker 1: three point shooting. Texas's defense is not good either, so 80 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: that won't hurt US sixty first in two point percentage. 81 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 1: But Texas's defense they protect the rim as you'd expect 82 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: the Shawn Miller team to do forty six and two 83 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 1: point defense. Texas ninety ninth in defensive efficiency, eighty ninth 84 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: ineffective field goal percentage middle of the pack, but. 85 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: Not horrible, not awful. I think this number is too high. 86 00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 1: I think Texas has a shot to be in this game, 87 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: and I don't think Texas is gonna get blown out 88 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 1: here on the road. Now, I just I look at 89 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: the numbers. Texas is four and three ATS on the road. 90 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: They're four and one ATS over your last to five games. 91 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 1: They're four and three ATS in the SEC. Auburn is 92 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: equally four and three, three and two over the last five. 93 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 1: They're six and three at home. But in their last 94 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:27,160 Speaker 1: home game fared by thirteen against South Carolina they won 95 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: by four. They did kill Arkansas laying two, winning by 96 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 1: twenty two points. But you know, they were fared by 97 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 1: six and a half against A and M and they 98 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:41,800 Speaker 1: lost outright. So in conference play they're one and two ATS. 99 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:45,720 Speaker 1: Texas on the road. They covered against Kentucky on the road. 100 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:49,359 Speaker 1: They covered against Alabama on the road. They did lose 101 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 1: to Tennessee catching eleven and a half points, they lost 102 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 1: by fourteen, But they're two and one in conference play 103 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: on the road. I'm gonna lay it here with Texas. 104 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: Give me Texas plus six and a half for one 105 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 1: point one units. Now, let's talk about the hard Rock 106 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:09,600 Speaker 1: Bet of the day. It's being brought to you by 107 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:14,239 Speaker 1: our friends at hard Rock Bet. We are steaming towards 108 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 1: the Big Game here between New England and Seattle. 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This is one of my favorite let's call 126 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: it a system, it's a trend, it's what I like 127 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 1: to do. Oftentimes, team on the road loses, comes back 128 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 1: home short number. They got killed Georgia, as they mentioned, 129 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: Texas kill them eighty seven sixty seven. They come back 130 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 1: home to face Tennessee, where this is a one point win. 131 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: According to kempom, the number is one and a half. 132 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 1: Georgia very good team defensively forty seventh in defensive efficiency 133 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 1: thirty ninth, ineffective field goal percentage sixty third, and three 134 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 1: point defense forty eighth and two point defense. On the 135 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 1: flip side, Tennessee, as you expect Tennessee basketball, you know 136 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: what they are. They're great defensive teams fourteenth, inefficiency nineteenth 137 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage twenty first, and three point 138 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 1: shooting defense fiftieth in two point defense. Georgia not a 139 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 1: great three point shooting team, which isn't great here for us, 140 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: but they're at home and they're a very good two 141 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 1: point shooting team. They're twenty in the country in two 142 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 1: point shooting, seventy third, ineffective field goal percentages of thirty 143 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 1: eighth in offensive efficiency. They're going to need to be 144 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 1: efficient here tonight up against a very tough defensive team 145 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: in Tennessee. What's fun about these numbers when we start 146 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,720 Speaker 1: breaking these things down. While Georgia is five and seven 147 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: ATS at home this year in Tennessee is three and 148 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: five ATS on the road. 149 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 2: You have a. 150 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 1: Georgia team coming off of a twenty point loss on 151 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 1: the road to Texas. That's not the two game win 152 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: streak where they beat Missouri on the road as one 153 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 1: point dogs, and they beat Arkansas at home at laying 154 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:44,839 Speaker 1: two and a half by fourteen points. They beat South 155 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: Carolina on the road laying four and a half, they 156 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: won by five. They did not cover against Ole miss 157 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: they were laying eleven and they lost the game outright. 158 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 1: But for Tennessee, they're two and two straight up over 159 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 1: their last four games, and they're only one in three 160 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:02,839 Speaker 1: over the last four games against the number, and the 161 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 1: last game was a win over Alabama on the road. 162 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,720 Speaker 1: So we just continue this road trip here in Tuscaloosa, 163 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: head on over to play Georgia. Here for Tennessee, I 164 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: think we had a great bounce back spot here for 165 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: Georgia to kick it into gear after getting housed in 166 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 1: their last game for Georgia to come back. I love 167 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:25,080 Speaker 1: the spot here for Georgia to get a w to 168 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:27,559 Speaker 1: win this game. Outright, I'm going to come in. I'm 169 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,320 Speaker 1: going to lay the one and a half points here 170 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 1: for the hard rock bet of the day. We were 171 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: thirteen and nine overall for the hard rock bet of 172 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:36,679 Speaker 1: the day. I'm coming in and laying the one and 173 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 1: a half with Georgia Georgia minus one and a half 174 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:40,440 Speaker 1: for one point one. 175 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 2: Units for our hard rock bet of the day. 176 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 1: One final bet, we go to the NBA where I'm 177 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: going back to the well for the Spurs and the Rockets. Now, 178 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 1: this game nearly sent me off a cliff when we 179 00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: bet the Spurs catching three and a half points and 180 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,080 Speaker 1: they lost by five, and it was a They led 181 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 1: the whole game and the melted. Here we have the 182 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 1: San Antonio Spurs, who are nine and one to the 183 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 1: under over their last ten games, and the Houston Rockets, 184 00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: who are eight and two to the under over their 185 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 1: last ten games. The last time it went over was 186 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 1: two twenty one and a half went way over against 187 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:22,720 Speaker 1: Philadelphia on the road for Houston, a twenty eight to 188 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 1: one twenty two loss for the Rockets. But every other 189 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 1: game except the Bulls game, I guess back on the 190 00:10:31,280 --> 00:10:33,559 Speaker 1: thirteenth of January, it was two twenty four and a 191 00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 1: half in the game was one nineteen one thirteen. But 192 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: every other game has gone under with a very similar 193 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 1: total of two twenty one and a half for San Antonio. 194 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 1: Similar thing. They've gone four consecutive games that have gone under. 195 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: Nine of the last ten which have gone under. And 196 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 1: we're talking about two twenties here. We're talking about two 197 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:55,079 Speaker 1: twenty fours here, We're talking about two twenty nine and 198 00:10:55,080 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 1: a half's here. Okay, this number is two twenty one. 199 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:01,920 Speaker 1: Just two teams that played head unders. Head to head wise, 200 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:04,439 Speaker 1: we're seven and three to the under over the last 201 00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:07,319 Speaker 1: ten games, including the game back on the twentieth of January, 202 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 1: there was two twenty and a half and the game 203 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:13,079 Speaker 1: went under. I'm coming back with it again. I'm playing 204 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,160 Speaker 1: the under two twenty one and a half. I like 205 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 1: the Spurs to win the game outright, to get some 206 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: revenge after that collapse that they had in their last 207 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,320 Speaker 1: game against Houston. But I'm just gonna play it safe 208 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 1: and play the under. Under two twenty one and a 209 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:29,640 Speaker 1: half for the Spurs and the Rockets for one point 210 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 1: one units minus Matt Paroltz. You guys can follow miracross 211 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 1: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever 212 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 1: you guys get your podcasts. 213 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 2: It is the Daily Juice.