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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at sports talking Matt to Unfortunately, I did not turn

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Speaker 2: things around yesterday. Hopefully you took my advice and you

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Speaker 2: faded the plays. If you did, you went two and

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Speaker 2: one instead I went one and two. The Navy team

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Speaker 2: totally got to seventeen. Navy did not get over twenty

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Speaker 2: one and a half points. That was a frustrating game

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Speaker 2: for me. The under hit after all that, for all

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Speaker 2: the pro money that came in on the over, the

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Speaker 2: under for Army Navy once again, rinse and repeat. Army

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Speaker 2: Navy unders cashes the under for the Boise State and

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Speaker 2: the Washington game came through pretty easily. Boise scored three points,

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Speaker 2: like I thought, the easy cover for Washington laying nine,

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Speaker 2: nine and a half or ten points. But you see,

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Speaker 2: Davis got throttled by Oregon as the first win and

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Speaker 2: cover in six games for Oregon.

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Speaker 1: Dane Altman's team Little Get Right Spot.

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Speaker 2: A couple players wanted up playing for Oregon that we

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Speaker 2: thought might not play, but they killed you, see Davis,

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Speaker 2: So one in two day for us down one point

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Speaker 2: three units. I want tell you quick second to check

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Speaker 2: in on our NFL futures that we have currently.

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Speaker 1: There's a bunch of them, and I like.

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Speaker 2: To do this kind of like like because in the

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Speaker 2: month of November with the college football bets that cashed

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Speaker 2: for us, like.

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Speaker 1: We had a really not a great month. We were

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Speaker 1: down for the month.

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Speaker 2: But I went back and took a look at if

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Speaker 2: it wasn't for the college future bets coming through and

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Speaker 2: how profitable those were in the futures market, we would

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Speaker 2: have had a horrific month of November. But because we

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Speaker 2: had that, it was a losing month, it was nowhere

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Speaker 2: near what it could have been from a losing month perspective.

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Speaker 2: So these won't cash till January at most books, at

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Speaker 2: least my books here in Vegas, but I thought i'd

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Speaker 2: run down a couple of them. The Bucks to win

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Speaker 2: the South at plus one ten is still very much alive,

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Speaker 2: so hopefully we'll get that. Obviously, a big game coming

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Speaker 2: up here for the Panthers today, in a big game

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Speaker 2: next week against the Panthers for the Bucks, Bijon Robinson

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Speaker 2: to go over twelve hundred yards rushing for the Falcons.

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Speaker 2: He's currently with and seventy four, so as long as

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Speaker 2: he doesn't get hurt next week, he will go over that.

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Speaker 2: So that bet will cash. The forty nine Ers to

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Speaker 2: win the West is probably dead. That probably is not

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Speaker 2: going to hit. The Giants to go under five and

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Speaker 2: a half wins. The Giants need one more loss and

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Speaker 2: that bet will cash. The Broncos to go over nine

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Speaker 2: and a half wins, that bet has already cashed because

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Speaker 2: they have eleven and asking genty to go over seven

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Speaker 2: and a half rushing touchdowns. I did not calibrate the

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Speaker 2: number of times he was going to catch touchdowns. He

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Speaker 2: has four rushing touchdowns, but he's got four receiving touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: He's already gone over, but it was rushing, not total touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: I didn't think he'd be that heavily involved in the

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Speaker 2: passing attack the way he has. I thought they'd just

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Speaker 2: run the football. But because they've used him such a

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Speaker 2: weird way with the Raiders this year, he's been much

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Speaker 2: more of a weapon catching the football, which was not

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Speaker 2: his strong suit coming out of college. That was the

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Speaker 2: knock on him. Instead, he has four receiving touchdowns. With

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Speaker 2: four rushing touchdowns four games to go, he could get

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Speaker 2: four more rushing touchdowns, but I don't know that BET's

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Speaker 2: going to be a little bit on the more difficult

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Speaker 2: time to cash, So we'll see how it all plays out.

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Speaker 1: But that's where we are currently.

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Speaker 2: For our future wagers, Broncos Giants should come in the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys at plus six fifty to win the East. The

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Speaker 2: thing I skipped over that, Sorry, that's the other one.

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Speaker 2: That one's alive, but I don't know if that one's

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Speaker 2: going to cash it on. So that's the fingers crossed.

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Speaker 2: The Eagles would need to lose today to the Raiders,

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Speaker 2: which I don't believe is going to happen for that

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Speaker 2: to come on. In a reminder, if you guys have

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot com slash Premium. So it's a Sunday, that

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Speaker 2: means we have a live stream coming at you at

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Speaker 2: noon Eastern time, nine am Pacific time. It's myself in

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Speaker 2: South Wilcock coming at you for an hour breaking down

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Speaker 2: every game. And there's a big ones to get into.

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Speaker 2: And let's start with the Philip Rivers game because he

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Speaker 2: is back as the starting quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts.

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Speaker 2: Like we thought, this does not take a big handicap.

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Speaker 2: Team total is fourteen and a half here. I just

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Speaker 2: don't think they're going to score Indy. I just think

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Speaker 2: they're going to be going up against a defense that's

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Speaker 2: going to make it really, really difficult on them. Seattle

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Speaker 2: when they face the Vikings in their last game at home,

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Speaker 2: it was twenty six nothing for Seattle. They're four and

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Speaker 2: two at home the Seahawks. But in their last two

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Speaker 2: home games, they played the Vikings and they shut them

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Speaker 2: out twenty six nothing. And they played the Cardinals and

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Speaker 2: they beat them forty four to twenty two. Now here

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Speaker 2: comes Philip Rivers. I mean, his first start in five years.

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Speaker 2: He now has the clock restarted for five more years

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Speaker 2: for the Hall of Fame.

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Speaker 1: He's forty four years old.

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Speaker 2: He is a father, he is a grandfather, and he

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Speaker 2: does not look like he is in football shape. Okay,

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Speaker 2: he's been coaching high school football. Just because you know

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Speaker 2: the offense doesn't mean you go and hire a guy

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Speaker 2: and put him out there. Shane Steiken in company. Okay,

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Speaker 2: maybe you're going to be seen as this brilliant person,

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Speaker 2: and maybe it is a Disney movie, and maybe we

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Speaker 2: are going to sit back and go, oh my gosh,

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Speaker 2: that's incredible. Maybe the defense will play really well. But

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Speaker 2: I think the Seahawks are the best or the second

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Speaker 2: best team in the NFL, and Mike McDonald has been

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Speaker 2: just completely brutalizing and I mean brutalizing opponents. Mike McDonald

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Speaker 2: is a guy that if you look at the way

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Speaker 2: his teams have been playing, I mean it's not just

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Speaker 2: Sam Donald. I mean it's it's on the East Coast.

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Speaker 2: They're better on the East Coast. I'm serious. They're not

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Speaker 2: great when they play at home for whatever reason, but

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Speaker 2: this is Shane Steichen, who has not done well coming

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Speaker 2: off games against the AFC South. They're five and eight

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Speaker 2: ATS in games coming off of AFC South games, which

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Speaker 2: they are after the loss last week. They're owing five

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Speaker 2: straight up and own five against the spread in the

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Speaker 2: last five games in that spot after they play somebody

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Speaker 2: in their division. But the best stat of all is

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Speaker 2: Sam Donald has been a favorite of six points or

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Speaker 2: more eleven times as a starter in the NFL. Is

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Speaker 2: eleven and zero straight up, and he's nine to two

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Speaker 2: ATS in those games. I think everybody is going to

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Speaker 2: be teasing this game, but I'm not going to tease it.

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to come right out and play it.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to lay it thirteen and a half Seahawks

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Speaker 2: with a big win, much like the last two home games.

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Speaker 2: Make it three Seahawks. I'll lay the big number with

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Speaker 2: Seattle against a forty four year old quarterback who hasn't

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Speaker 2: played in the NFL in five years. You could mimic

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Speaker 2: the speed all you want, but shows you how bad

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Speaker 2: things are in Indianapolis right now. I know they have

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Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor, but I don't think this is a good spot.

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Speaker 2: I don't think this is a good place to start

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Speaker 2: your career, to come back to play against arguably the

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Speaker 2: number one defense in football, Seattle minus thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: You can play the team total under if you want to.

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Speaker 2: For the Colts, I don't think they score more than

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Speaker 2: maybe thirteen points, maybe a touchdown, two field goals. Maybe

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Speaker 2: so under on their team total of fourteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: Let's go to Sunday Night football and the Vikings. Sorry

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Speaker 2: in the Yeah, the Vikings on the road against Dak

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Speaker 2: Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas Cowboys. Look, team total

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Speaker 2: for Dallas is twenty seven and a half. I really

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Speaker 2: do think it's a good bet they are eleven and

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Speaker 2: two to the team total over Dallas. But the number

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Speaker 2: is around forty seven and a half. And I'm a

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Speaker 2: little bit on the hesitant side. I've done really poorly

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Speaker 2: recently with totals, and in team totals we missed yesterday

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Speaker 2: with Navy. There's just something like there's just a little

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Speaker 2: bit of a birdie going off my head, going like

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Speaker 2: that team total might not be hit by the Dallas

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Speaker 2: Cowboys in this game, but they could cover the five

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Speaker 2: and a half points the Cowboys have been favored in

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Speaker 2: six games this year.

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Speaker 1: They're two and.

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Speaker 2: Four ATS in those games. After losing as an underdog

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Speaker 2: last week, Dallas is five and two against the spread

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Speaker 2: as a dog. They do much better when they are

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Speaker 2: a dog than they are favored. However, Kevin O'Connell, this

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Speaker 2: has just been bad right now. In primetime away from home,

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Speaker 2: Kevin O'Connell and the Vikings are one in seven straight

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Speaker 2: up Dak Prescott in primetime with extra rest is nineteen

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Speaker 2: and nine ats. The Cowboys are a team that I

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Speaker 2: think they know, after everything that happens during the day,

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Speaker 2: they're going to see the Eagles win against the Raiders.

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Speaker 2: I think they know they've got to get a chance

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Speaker 2: to keep themselves in the competition here by winning. I

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Speaker 2: don't like JJ McCarthy, I don't like this offense. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna stay away him totals in this game, and I'm

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Speaker 2: just gonna lay the five and a half Dallas minus

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Speaker 2: five and a half on Sunday Night Football up against

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Speaker 2: the Minnesota Vikings.

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Speaker 1: Two teasers this week.

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Speaker 2: I have a favorite teaser and a dog teaser to

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Speaker 2: give you guys. The Jaguars are playing the Jets. The

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Speaker 2: Jets are an absolute mess. Brady Cook is playing quarterback

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Speaker 2: for the Jets. Jacksonville hasn't closed as a double digit

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Speaker 2: favorite ever Trevor Lawrence's career, and they are going to

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Speaker 2: be thirteen and a half point favorites or fourteen point

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Speaker 2: favorites here with this huge win against the Colts last

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Speaker 2: week for the Jags. The Jags have been very profitable

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Speaker 2: ATS off of a win eighteen and thirteen ATS off

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Speaker 2: a win nine to four ATS when that win is

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Speaker 2: by ten points or more, and the Jaguars have been

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Speaker 2: really good defensively. You cannot run on these guys, which

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Speaker 2: you usually assume that the Jets are going to want

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Speaker 2: to try to run on these guys, and I don't

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Speaker 2: think they're going to be able to do that.

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Speaker 1: I like what the Jags have looked like. I do

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Speaker 1: not like the Jets.

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Speaker 2: They were eliminated last week and now they got Brady Cook.

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Speaker 2: It's not Tyrod Taylor. They're on the road and in

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Speaker 2: the state of Florida. The New York Jets have been

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Speaker 2: an absolute dumpster fire in the state of Florida. They

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Speaker 2: cannot win in the state of Florida. They are one

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Speaker 2: in fourteen straight up against teams from Florida when they

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Speaker 2: play in Florida. I'll tease it down. Let's go seven

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Speaker 2: and a half Jaguars seven and a half, and on

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Speaker 2: the other side of the teaser, we'll go to the Eagles,

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Speaker 2: who are massive favorites at home against the Raiders who

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Speaker 2: are starting Kenny Pickett. I don't need to say much

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Speaker 2: more than that they're starting Kenny Pickett, or Kenny two

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Speaker 2: gloves as I call him, in the cold, in the weather,

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Speaker 2: on the road at the Link with a pissed off

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Speaker 2: Eagles team after what happened. Look, I would love nothing

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Speaker 2: more than see the Eagles lose this game outright in

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Speaker 2: the Raiders to shock the world. It would be great

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Speaker 2: for the ticket for the Cowboys. If that were to happen.

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Speaker 2: It would open the door for the Cowboys that plus

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Speaker 2: six to fifty ticket to cash on the Cowboys to

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Speaker 2: win the division.

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Speaker 1: It would be tremendous.

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Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts at home in Philadelphia is thirty and five

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Speaker 2: straight up as a favorite. I mean, he's just almost automatic.

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Speaker 2: The Raiders offensively, they are a mess. The first half

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Speaker 2: team total. By the way, the Raiders are two ten

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Speaker 2: and one to their first half team total that's the

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Speaker 2: second worst, just one of the Ravens in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: In Pete Carroll's last two seasons with the Raiders and

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Speaker 2: the Seahawks, his teams are eleven and nineteen to their

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Speaker 2: team total over, so they're nineteen eleven to the under.

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Speaker 2: This offense is not going to score against the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: This game is going to get away from the Raiders.

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Speaker 2: But I'll tease it down just in case, and We'll

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Speaker 2: go ahead and go. Jaguars minus seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: Eagles minus six for one point two five units and

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Speaker 2: the dog teaser.

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Speaker 1: Patriots, Broncos.

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Speaker 2: Look, the world's on the Bills, the pros are on

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Speaker 2: the Bills, the publics on the Bills. It's time for

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Speaker 2: the Patriots to lose, right ten straight games. Josh Allen's

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Speaker 2: going to put the superman KP on and he just

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Speaker 2: did it against the Bengals. The Bills were lucky to

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Speaker 2: beat the Bengals. Joe Burrow had to be picked off

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Speaker 2: two times in the fourth quarter and blow a ten

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Speaker 2: point lead for the Bills to win that game. Now,

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Speaker 2: the retort is the Patriots won the first matchup twenty

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Speaker 2: three to twenty with three turnovers from the Bills and

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Speaker 2: the Patch only won the game by three points. Yep,

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Speaker 2: I would agree, But the Patriots are off a bye.

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Speaker 2: The Patriots have been rolling, and they're at home here,

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Speaker 2: and it's going to be cold. When it's cold and

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Speaker 2: the Patriots are at home, history has been very kind

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Speaker 2: to New England. This is Mike Rabel. This is a

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Speaker 2: Patriot team that's playing for the AFC East. If they

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Speaker 2: win this game, it's a hat and T shirt game.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Home teams off of by facing a team not off

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Speaker 2: of a bye are six and three straight up this season. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is a rivalry. It comes down to Josh Allen

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Speaker 2: in Drake May as to who makes more plays. But

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Speaker 2: on the road, Josh Allen this year is three and three.

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Speaker 2: At home, they're six and one. The one loss was

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Speaker 2: to the Patriots. Okay, Josh Allen in November or later

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Speaker 2: is just five and twelve twelve as a dog on

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Speaker 2: the road. Their favored right now, going five hundred straight

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Speaker 2: up or worse in each of his last two seasons

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. They're obviously favored here in this one.

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Speaker 2: Kind of small, but they are favored. If that doesn't

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Speaker 2: flip by kickoff we'll see, but there's a lot of

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Speaker 2: people who have strong opinions about holding to the Patriots number.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna tease it up. Let's take them one and

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Speaker 2: a half. Tease it up to seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: And it's the same conversation here with the Broncos, who

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Speaker 2: are at home catching one and a half. They were

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Speaker 2: catching up highs two and a half at one point.

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Speaker 2: There's a ton of money coming in here on the Broncos,

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Speaker 2: professional money, public money, the books very well will need

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Speaker 2: the Packers to win this game. I'm just going to

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Speaker 2: tease it up to seven and a half. Packers can

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Speaker 2: win the game by three or seven, and that's fine

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Speaker 2: by me. Matt Lafleur in the month of December has

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Speaker 2: been absolute money straight up as a head coach. He's

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Speaker 2: been someone you really want to bet on and bo nix.

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Speaker 2: As a home favorite, he's eight and three ats. He's

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Speaker 2: not a home favorite, but he's playing at home here

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Speaker 2: up against a Packers team that are twelve and one

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Speaker 2: straight up and eleven and eleven and two ats in

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Speaker 2: the last thirteen meetings against the Bears. In their game

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Speaker 2: following the win over Chicago, Matt Lafleur is ten and

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Speaker 2: two ATS, So win the game by three, that's fine,

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Speaker 2: but I'm gonna tease the Broncos up to seven and

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Speaker 2: a half. Patriots Broncos six point teaser to tease both

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Speaker 2: those teams up. Matt Lafleur in December is now twenty

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Speaker 2: one and four straight up as a head coach, fourteen

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Speaker 2: ten and one against the spread, which is really impressive

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Speaker 2: if you stop and think about that. That's the floor

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Speaker 2: is only Phase two teams on a six or more

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Speaker 2: game winning streak. With Green Bay, he lost both the

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Speaker 2: games twenty twenty four against the Lions twenty twenty four

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Speaker 2: at the Vikings. We're gonna go ahead and take the

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Speaker 2: Patriots plus seven and a half and the Broncos plus

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Speaker 2: seven and a half. So those are the plays for

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Speaker 2: Sunday thirteen and a half for Seattle Cowboys minus five

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Speaker 2: and a half, Jaguars Eagles the favorite teaser Patriots Broncos

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Speaker 2: the dog teaser. Now that takes us to the hard

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Speaker 2: rock bet of the day. Where are we going? We're

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Speaker 2: going to the biggest game of the night, I think

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Speaker 2: in the afternoon time zone Lions at the Rams. The

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Speaker 2: Lions with Dan Campbell and Jared Goff. As an underdog

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Speaker 2: against any opponent, they are twenty nine and thirteen ATS.

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Speaker 1: When they are the.

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Speaker 2: Dog at close, they're twenty three in thirteen ats. As

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Speaker 2: an underdog of four points or more, Campbell and Goff

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00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:48,200
Speaker 2: are seventeen and three ATS, including seventeen and five when

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Speaker 2: they're a dog of over three points. Sean McVay is

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Speaker 2: great in the month of December and John McVay is

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Speaker 2: sixteen and three ats in December since the start of

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty one. However, the Lions need this game, their

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Speaker 2: back to against the wall. They have got to get

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Speaker 2: a w. Everyone's on the Rams. The Lions are going

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Speaker 2: to be a need for the book. I think you're

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Speaker 2: on the book side when you take the Lions. I

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Speaker 2: think that the Rams could win the game. I just

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Speaker 2: think six points is too many points here. Close game,

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Speaker 2: one possession one way or the other. But I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: mind a money line play. You want to sprinkle money

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Speaker 2: line for the Lions, go right ahead. I think it's there.

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Speaker 2: The Rams at home laying over a field goal against

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Speaker 2: the quality team not good seven eleven and one ATS,

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Speaker 2: including six and nine against the spread when favored by

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00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:46,160
Speaker 2: over that a field goal, kind of like Baker Mayfield right.

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Speaker 2: The Rams as favorites, they don't do so hot. We're

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Speaker 2: taking the Lions plus six for the hard Rock bet

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00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:55,120
Speaker 2: of the day at minus one ten for one point

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Speaker 2: one units. Our record is now seven and three ats sorry,

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Speaker 2: seven and three overall for the hard Rock bet of

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Speaker 2: the Day Lions plus six. If you guys have not

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Speaker 2: gone in checked out what's going on here for hard rock,

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Speaker 2: props Seth and I will go you have you at

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00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:02,680
Speaker 2: noon Eastern time nine am Pacific time on the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros YouTube channel. We will go live and break down

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00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,880
Speaker 2: every game and watch the line movement here once again,

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Speaker 2: the play is for today Seattle laying thirteen and a half,

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Speaker 2: Cowboys laying five and a half, Jaguars Eagles teaser, Patriots

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00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 2: Broncos teaser, and the hard rock play of the day

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00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:21,520
Speaker 2: is the Lions plus six up against the Rams. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Parol, you guys and following me across

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00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 2: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever

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Speaker 2: you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice