Speaker 1: Check it on Man No Down Man. September Night is
Speaker 1: the Beating the Book Podcast megapod year number eleven. It's
Speaker 1: Gill Alexander. We're doing this from Circa usually we do
Speaker 1: it from the d Um, the well designed studio, The
Speaker 1: well designed studio where I have to dodge you to
Speaker 1: see Mikey on the other side. Mike Palm, Derek Stephen's
Speaker 1: conciliary vice president of Operations at Circus Sports and co
Speaker 1: hosts of The Nuts Soon to be another name, Soon
Speaker 1: to be another name. Do we have a name that
Speaker 1: you'd like to reveal? I can't reveal it because you
Speaker 1: know they're so excited here on this new fall lineup,
Speaker 1: but we can't announce anything till Monday. Okay, it's called
Speaker 1: Bland Radio for an hour. Todd Wishnev's first shot across
Speaker 1: the Battle and the season is underway. Nay Star Up, Showtimes, Docuseries, Action,
Speaker 1: Mike Took, Hello, personally, I love the guy. We always
Speaker 1: have a rotating guest on the megapod um. For those
Speaker 1: who are unfamiliar with this format, it's always Mikey, Todd
Speaker 1: and I and then a rotating guest. Brady Cannon has
Speaker 1: been the leadoff guest on the Megapod for maybe all
Speaker 1: of those years, maybe a couple of years shy, but
Speaker 1: typically the leadoff man. And you're kind enough to do
Speaker 1: it again. Brady Cannon, co host of the greatest golf
Speaker 1: betting show there ever was long Shots, And of course, oh,
Speaker 1: by the way, past Super Contest champion ring Oh look
Speaker 1: at that, let me see that? Oh Wowiod, how often
Speaker 1: do you wear that? Very rarely? What I figured today
Speaker 1: was an appropriate time to do very nice. Uh eleven
Speaker 1: is when you won the Supercontal and you're still playing
Speaker 1: the Super Contest? Are you playing gold to know? I'm
Speaker 1: playing the Super Contest and circumlion? Okay, no Survivor for you? Okay.
Speaker 1: Oh by the way, I forgot to tell you I
Speaker 1: have to do a Survivor pick two if you want to,
Speaker 1: that's fine. Okay. So here's the format, Todd, you'll correct me.
Speaker 1: Todd Todd is also court stenographer here on the show.
Speaker 1: So here's how this works. Mikey will give us a
Speaker 1: Circa Millions and Circuits Survivor update. Uh, then we will
Speaker 1: get into Thursday night thoughts. If there already doesn't have
Speaker 1: to be, but if there is, how you're playing Thursday
Speaker 1: Night Football. Then it's three best bets, then of course,
Speaker 1: um your survivor, pick your favorite teaser of the week,
Speaker 1: and the final two questions of every show, what's the
Speaker 1: big favorite you think is the most likely to lose
Speaker 1: out right? In? What game do you want no part
Speaker 1: of against the side on the side. I guess that's
Speaker 1: I think I got that right, right, Todd. That's the
Speaker 1: whole thing. There'll probably be a song relating to a
Speaker 1: southern football team as well. That's coming to alright, Mikey
Speaker 1: update if you would, Yeah, I'm giving it up to
Speaker 1: the second update. And we had a big day yesterday,
Speaker 1: Gil we did a four hundred and twenty one Survivors.
Speaker 1: I mean we're gonna be short. I mean we're not
Speaker 1: getting to six thousand. What are you at now as
Speaker 1: we speak this moment where thirty one six still eighteen short,
Speaker 1: and remember Saturday, and we're not going to be able
Speaker 1: to get a lot in. It cuts off at two
Speaker 1: plus every ball. The proxies are going to be putting
Speaker 1: their picks in for week one, right, So you're if
Speaker 1: you're coming to wait until at today, you're you're in trouble.
Speaker 1: So I think all the theory about the New England
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay losing and all that stuff, I think it's valid.
Speaker 1: I think it's valid that there will be people that
Speaker 1: are here in town right now that will use Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay tonight, and if they should happen to lose, we'll
Speaker 1: get multiple more entries. But if they win, will you
Speaker 1: get less entries? Yeah? I think we need we need
Speaker 1: the Cowboys the upset to get a spike, so so
Speaker 1: you don't regret that at all because of that having
Speaker 1: the deadline for Survivor after Thursday Night is played. There's
Speaker 1: been some people that said this game shouldn't be a
Speaker 1: part of it. They've complained because now they're back in
Speaker 1: southern California and they don't have the advantage of being
Speaker 1: able to do that. But I think it works out.
Speaker 1: And give us a little injection here if it should happen,
Speaker 1: who could that be? Who could that be? And then millions,
Speaker 1: you're closer to the number. Yeah, we'll get there with
Speaker 1: the millions. We're thirty four and change with the millions,
Speaker 1: so I think we'll go over the four thousand. I
Speaker 1: think both contests end up around with the late bush
Speaker 1: Um and again with Circus survivor the two quirks this
Speaker 1: year more than the one cork last year. There is
Speaker 1: not only Thanksgiving as its own week where there are
Speaker 1: three games and you have to strategically keep those teams responsible.
Speaker 1: Please sure, here are the three games on Thanksgiving. You
Speaker 1: must have one of these six teams available or you're
Speaker 1: already out. There's at the Lions, a snooze Fest, Raiders
Speaker 1: at the Cowboys, and the Bills at the Saints. That's
Speaker 1: the Thanksgiving lineup. Then you also have to have teams
Speaker 1: available for the three games that are going to happen
Speaker 1: on Christmas between Thursday and Saturday, which are the Niners
Speaker 1: at the Titans, Browns at Packers, and Colden's Colts and
Speaker 1: Cards good Luck, no one's gonna win survivor what happens
Speaker 1: if nobody makes it well? Um, And then there's the
Speaker 1: extra bonus which I think will distract people, which is
Speaker 1: if you have the Chiefs of the Bucks save for
Speaker 1: Week eighteen, not only would you win the six million,
Speaker 1: you win an additional million. You get an additional million
Speaker 1: on top for the people that use either of those
Speaker 1: two teams. I was on with Mitch and Paul this
Speaker 1: morning Mitch just trying to figure out a strategy to
Speaker 1: use the Bucks at home win Week eighteen against the
Speaker 1: Carolina You mean when he's out in the league four
Speaker 1: just kidding, I'm gonna be out before anybody. Was a joke,
Speaker 1: all right. Look, we were on a limited time today
Speaker 1: because we we thought we're gonna be the d which
Speaker 1: will be our home moving forward. But we're at the
Speaker 1: lovely and I do mean lovely Circus studios. But the
Speaker 1: nuts is gonna start, uh in just over an hour,
Speaker 1: so we want to get right to it. Any Thursday night,
Speaker 1: Brady will start with you here. Buccaneers are eight point
Speaker 1: favorites something eight and a half, but it's typically eight
Speaker 1: right now as we do this Thursday morning, eight point
Speaker 1: favorites hosting the Cowboys. Did you play this in any way?
Speaker 1: I did not play this game. Certainly it lends itself
Speaker 1: to a teaser play. That's pretty obvious. She can tease
Speaker 1: down the eight to you know, one and a half
Speaker 1: or what have yet a half? Unfortunately it scanda nine.
Speaker 1: Gil just said eight or eight and a half? Check it? Here?
Speaker 1: He goes, is it nine? And I tell you what
Speaker 1: was there? Protection? Now? Finally, and I tell you what
Speaker 1: I mean. This starts to get into the territory where
Speaker 1: it's a play on Dallas, because now this line is
Speaker 1: approaching a of of three points, and that's just a
Speaker 1: golden rule of NFL football. If one line moves three
Speaker 1: points one way, you go the other side. And this
Speaker 1: was six and a half when it opened up in
Speaker 1: the summer. I immediately liked Dallas. I thought the line
Speaker 1: should be three and a half or four and a half. Now,
Speaker 1: you know, there's been speculation about Prescott's health, the offensive
Speaker 1: line has some injuries. We're still not sure about the
Speaker 1: Dallas defense. But if this gets to nine, nine and
Speaker 1: a half, even double digits, I still may stay away
Speaker 1: from the game, but absolutely Dallas would be the play.
Speaker 1: I'm glad I teased it because I teased it with
Speaker 1: the Rams. I tease the Bucks with the Niners. I
Speaker 1: know that's not a Stanford long teaser leg, but I did.
Speaker 1: And I teased it with the Bills, same story like,
Speaker 1: and I had no compunction doing it for for any
Speaker 1: of them, Mikey anything. I played this in real life,
Speaker 1: and I parlayed the money line with Sabolenka in the semifinals. Nice. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think I think she's now the clear favorite to
Speaker 1: win this. She got through what probably would be her
Speaker 1: toughest match, getting through your pick, you know Kratakova, who
Speaker 1: I think still lingering. Health issues were a factor there,
Speaker 1: but whatever happened there, yeah, um but yeah, So that's
Speaker 1: what I used it in a money line parlay with
Speaker 1: another another sporting event today. I think sabo Anka should
Speaker 1: roll Layel Fernannis. It's great of a story. Is she
Speaker 1: is the two teamer. It's four twenty and three twenty
Speaker 1: I laid and so effectively it's minus one six. I
Speaker 1: have no opinion. I certainly would not bet the Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay Buccaneers. There's just way too much hype. I mean,
Speaker 1: Tom Brady and the boys. They're all together, everyone's coming back.
Speaker 1: They have fifteen returning starters on offense, even though there's
Speaker 1: only eleven positions. They're so excited about everybody Tampa. Tom's
Speaker 1: all ready to go. Too much hype, folks, do not
Speaker 1: lay nine nine and a half. You will be crying.
Speaker 1: Of course, they'll come out. Was gonna say, is it
Speaker 1: a contest pick for you? Is it a survivor pick? Anything? No?
Speaker 1: I don't, I don't. I may play Tampa and the survivor.
Speaker 1: It's it's definitely a possibility. I haven't decided pent yet.
Speaker 1: All right, let's do best bets three per person, will
Speaker 1: do it. We'll do it, Snake Todd. So you don't
Speaker 1: get last last year and the year before, I got
Speaker 1: screwed because I always have to talk last and I
Speaker 1: pick last. But you're allowed to make the same picks
Speaker 1: as other picks. I understand, But I think it should
Speaker 1: be equitable. We should be an equitable show. You just
Speaker 1: want the stage to talk about a game first. Look,
Speaker 1: you don't always save the best for last. Go ahead,
Speaker 1: all right, Brady, what's your first pick? Here? My first side.
Speaker 1: My first pick is the New England Patriots, and you
Speaker 1: will currently see them at minus three. I was actually
Speaker 1: able to get them at minus two and a half.
Speaker 1: And I really think this team is poised for a rebound.
Speaker 1: The only possible regression points that I see are the
Speaker 1: fact that they were plus three in turnover differential this
Speaker 1: year or last year rather and this year in the schedule,
Speaker 1: they have a very disadvantageous angle as far as a
Speaker 1: rest perspective. There on a lot of short weeks they're
Speaker 1: playing teams that are in good positions, so the schedule
Speaker 1: doesn't set up great for them. Although it's relatively easy
Speaker 1: as far as competition, the rest angle is not great
Speaker 1: for New England. Otherwise, I think this team bounce is
Speaker 1: back in a big way. Uh. You know, they only
Speaker 1: through twelve touchdown passes last year and still won seven games.
Speaker 1: They had the largest COVID injury opt out and players
Speaker 1: departing over the course of the entire league, and just
Speaker 1: about all those players return. A lot of those players
Speaker 1: come back from Miami their part their opponent this week.
Speaker 1: I think the offensive line is improved and will be excellent.
Speaker 1: I think the defensive side of the ball will be
Speaker 1: improved and very good. I think the running games showed
Speaker 1: to be really powerful in the preseason. And and at
Speaker 1: the bottom line, it's Bill Belichick coming off of a
Speaker 1: seven win season. I I know he didn't come back
Speaker 1: this season because he thinks they're going to be lousy again.
Speaker 1: I think he has high hopes for this season and uh,
Speaker 1: I think he really takes it out on this Miami team. Um.
Speaker 1: I think there's a number of signs that point to
Speaker 1: New England really having a positive return to the mean
Speaker 1: this year off of what they did last year, So
Speaker 1: I think they get it started with a big victory
Speaker 1: here over the division rival Dolphins. I'm I'm with you.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna jump in here because I too am on
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots have made a bet on him
Speaker 1: at minus student app but even at minus three, I
Speaker 1: like them. And on a week and a week one
Speaker 1: where honestly, when we went through on a numbers game
Speaker 1: the other day, game by game to figure out through
Speaker 1: the prism of our contest. But are we're gonna come
Speaker 1: up with five picks here? A C S that was
Speaker 1: one of the few, and I do mean few, and
Speaker 1: I'll have all three of them here on the megapod
Speaker 1: where I was like, I feel really good about this.
Speaker 1: And it is the Bill Belichick factor, and it is
Speaker 1: the fact that Mac Jones and I, well, I don't know,
Speaker 1: I know it's preseason. We don't want to read too
Speaker 1: much into it. But he appears to be well beyond
Speaker 1: his years right from the right from the start, and
Speaker 1: he was Bill Belichick was hamstrung last year, remember all
Speaker 1: those defensive opt outs. I also think it's a fade
Speaker 1: of Miami here that team uh increased by wins of
Speaker 1: five games from two thousand nineteen to two thousand twenty,
Speaker 1: and that doesn't typically bode well for the follow up. Here,
Speaker 1: this team overachieved quite a bit in two thousand twenty.
Speaker 1: They were plus nine in turve and over differential and
Speaker 1: still didn't make the playoffs. That's not a good combination.
Speaker 1: So I think Miami probably regresses this year. And conversely,
Speaker 1: I think the Patriots have progressive, you know, a move
Speaker 1: towards the mean. So, I mean, it's kind of going
Speaker 1: opposite directions in my opinion for both of these teams.
Speaker 1: It's your number one of the three or no particularly
Speaker 1: no particular order. I'm gonna call it my number one.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna call my number one New England Patriots as well,
Speaker 1: mikey Hard I have an inquiry as to the line
Speaker 1: and total on the Cardinals and Titus. You know, this
Speaker 1: is the official way to do it, instead of trying
Speaker 1: to change the line, Mike, he's doing it the fair way.
Speaker 1: Which game would you like? Colts and Titans? No, they
Speaker 1: don't play I like the Cardinals Cardinals. I'm sorry. The
Speaker 1: line I have is three minus oh five, pretty much
Speaker 1: as standard for the Titans, and the over under is
Speaker 1: pretty much fifty two two over, We're gonna go over here.
Speaker 1: It's really really for real. The don't remember, don't change yours, Todd.
Speaker 1: I think it was a miracle. Tennessee won eleven games
Speaker 1: with his defense last year, and I don't see it
Speaker 1: being any better. I think that Tennessee gets better on
Speaker 1: offense with the addition of Julio Jones. They become more dynamic.
Speaker 1: They still have that eighteen wheeler in the backfield, and
Speaker 1: I think the Cardinals are going to start to click.
Speaker 1: I think there was something off last year between Kingsbury
Speaker 1: and Kyler Murray. I think that there was no rhythm
Speaker 1: that they ever got to their game, and they didn't
Speaker 1: fully achieve what they could have on offense. I see
Speaker 1: this game playing in the sixties. I really think the
Speaker 1: numbers probably about right here. I don't know how the
Speaker 1: humidity will factor in with the Cardinals players playing in
Speaker 1: Tennessee outdoors for a dome team, so I'm gonna stay
Speaker 1: away from the side, but over fifty two is my
Speaker 1: top play. Titans, who got to the postseason last year,
Speaker 1: lost to Baltimore UH in the divisional round or whatever
Speaker 1: the first round is called these days. UH. They lost
Speaker 1: twenty to thirteen, and the Titans this year beyond this game,
Speaker 1: minus won fifteen over DraftKings to win the division season
Speaker 1: win total of nine s minus one to make the playoffs,
Speaker 1: and no plus one one for those who are interested
Speaker 1: to win the a f C. So you're over here
Speaker 1: over fifty two, Todd, what number is that for you?
Speaker 1: Of your first three? I was gonna put it second.
Speaker 1: Would you like to add anything to Mikey said, or well,
Speaker 1: I thought I would talk about it when I get there,
Speaker 1: but I talk about if we're doubling up, you talk
Speaker 1: about it now. Um, I agree with Mikey. I think
Speaker 1: this is going to be a shootout. The Titans games,
Speaker 1: if you watched them last year, very very often degenerated
Speaker 1: into ridiculously high scoring games because they couldn't stop anybody,
Speaker 1: and they had, like you said, the eighteen wheeler in
Speaker 1: the backfield. They could score the ball. Um. You know,
Speaker 1: this is kind of similar to remember when we had
Speaker 1: that Tampa Bay run of overs two years ago that
Speaker 1: I kept, you know, getting on Tennessee. We're winning like
Speaker 1: crazy with the over on the end games last year.
Speaker 1: As soon as you saw it was gonna be another
Speaker 1: Tennessee game, just jump on the over and you went
Speaker 1: like crazy. So while not knowing much about these teams yet,
Speaker 1: because you know all the hype, folks, you better take
Speaker 1: a chill pill with all the hype. Remember, you don't
Speaker 1: want to get too polluted with all this preseason talk
Speaker 1: about about teams, because how many years in a row
Speaker 1: have we seen everybody get excited and then it's something
Speaker 1: totally different plays out. But one thing I think is
Speaker 1: maybe count on a bowl if that's a word it
Speaker 1: is not. The Titans are going to probably be playing
Speaker 1: overs unless they completely overhauled their team. And the other
Speaker 1: thing is Kyler Murray goes back to pass and he
Speaker 1: starts running and you can't stop the guy. He's he's
Speaker 1: a bared to hate. You cannot stop that against him.
Speaker 1: It's it's, oh, it's terrifying spaying against him. So I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go with Mikey over fifty two Titans versus Arizona.
Speaker 1: We still have a chance to win because as long
Speaker 1: as not more than three people have picked it, we
Speaker 1: could win. If three of us pick it, we know
Speaker 1: it's a lot, it's a loss, it's guaranteed. Science. Well,
Speaker 1: I just want to repeat what you just said, Todd,
Speaker 1: because I think that's the single biggest thing. And we
Speaker 1: saw this in college football. All it took was one
Speaker 1: week of college football. We know nothing. We think we
Speaker 1: know stuff heading into a season, we absolutely know nothing.
Speaker 1: We might get some stuff right, but there's gonna be
Speaker 1: some things that inevitably, inevitably surprises, which, by the way,
Speaker 1: is why you're doing the Amal Shaw before the season
Speaker 1: grid for your survivor is also a fool's aeron to
Speaker 1: go three or four weeks then do that. No, I
Speaker 1: agree it is a fool's errand, but I still wanted
Speaker 1: to do it just to kind of see what I
Speaker 1: would have done. I agree. I don't think it's a
Speaker 1: bad practice to just set a map out from the
Speaker 1: get go and you don't necessarily have to adhere to it,
Speaker 1: but you don't play survivor, I know, but I think
Speaker 1: I don't think that's a bad way to go. I'm
Speaker 1: calling mine the Dan Campbell Memorial a mall Shaw Napkin Gate,
Speaker 1: and the reason is I'm gonna try to jam Dan
Speaker 1: Campbell in as many times again as I possibly can,
Speaker 1: because I don't think that man should be a headquarll
Speaker 1: that listen, that there's there's nothing wrong with fade in
Speaker 1: the Jets. Last year, I did it eight times a
Speaker 1: Mall's theory here, and he didn't know about the Christmas
Speaker 1: rule when he did it on during the breaks of
Speaker 1: one show, so you have to let him, you know,
Speaker 1: go back. But he faded the Texans eleven times wow,
Speaker 1: during the course of the season, and I think through
Speaker 1: the first nine weeks, eight time games. I mean, it
Speaker 1: was just fate Texas, Faye Texas. Fay texts, well, that
Speaker 1: gets to my pick. He didn't eatn't do it week
Speaker 1: one though I would assume no, he did not. That
Speaker 1: that's a perfect elite into Since we're gonna do things
Speaker 1: equitably for a change around here, I will pick first
Speaker 1: in the second round and I will take the Houston Texans.
Speaker 1: That's right, Mikey plus the three points, I am gonna
Speaker 1: go with the Houston Texans. And here's why Houston's gonna
Speaker 1: play Tyrod Taylor at quarterback. Now, Tyrod Taylor is no superstar,
Speaker 1: but he is a game manager who cannot turn the
Speaker 1: ball over and hopefully get you a w A lot
Speaker 1: of times in the NFL. It's not winning the game.
Speaker 1: It's not not losing the game, and very often it's
Speaker 1: a turnover situation that loses you the game. And now
Speaker 1: I get to go at home against a Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 1: Give me a break. Who knows what the heck that
Speaker 1: guy is with the Jacksonville Jaguars. You know it's not
Speaker 1: a good football team. You're asking them to go on
Speaker 1: the road and give a team three points. I don't
Speaker 1: I know NFL. Houston still has NFL players. Okay, I
Speaker 1: know they lost the guy. There was a little massage issue. Okay,
Speaker 1: I understand all that they still have. Look when you're
Speaker 1: doing your massage situations, you gotta be careful. The point
Speaker 1: is it still has a National Football League team, and
Speaker 1: it's not like they're playing against a great team at
Speaker 1: jackson Ville go on the road. Well, and it's also
Speaker 1: that Urban Meyer thing, and I said this to you
Speaker 1: on a Numbers game this morning, Like this just reminds
Speaker 1: me some of the stuff that urban Meyer did in
Speaker 1: the offseason. The arrogance has a chief of staff. For
Speaker 1: god's sakes, there's somebody who is called a chief of
Speaker 1: staff that you have to go through to get to
Speaker 1: Urban Meyer. This is very spur Or esque to me.
Speaker 1: That's what the old Malcolm Gladwell blink thing. I just
Speaker 1: think they could be bad in a way that we
Speaker 1: think of the Texas right now. Yeah, you're asking them
Speaker 1: to go on the road and the National Football League
Speaker 1: going on the road is hard for an Actually their
Speaker 1: third straight road game, their last two preseason games around
Speaker 1: the road as well. There you go. You know, do
Speaker 1: you think there's a chance that Urban Meyer doesn't finish
Speaker 1: the year? Yes? I do you do well? Which would
Speaker 1: be had more heart problems he was. Look if the
Speaker 1: stress was too much in college where you're god right
Speaker 1: now now you have to answer to people. But the
Speaker 1: other thing is his worst season was eight and three
Speaker 1: his first year at Bowling Green. He went of his games.
Speaker 1: I mean, he never lost it all. He's not what
Speaker 1: happens when he's two and nine? Well, like he's never
Speaker 1: had to worry about an offensive line being bad? Like,
Speaker 1: what's that he doesn't he can't even compete with him. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I saw the prop at Westgate who quits first Urban
Speaker 1: Meyer Mike Palm from the Nuts, but ump number two
Speaker 1: fire Urbans plus money there plus money, all right, Brady
Speaker 1: number two number two for you. I am going with
Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons. Oh, Mike Brady and I are sharing
Speaker 1: a brain, and the Atlanta Falcons lost a number of
Speaker 1: close games last season. That should adjust to the positive.
Speaker 1: And of course Arthur Smith comes in as the new
Speaker 1: head coach, and I think he's really going to give
Speaker 1: a boost to that offense that struggled in the red zone.
Speaker 1: And I think Kyle Pitts gives a big bost to
Speaker 1: that offense as well. And we saw how Arthur Smith
Speaker 1: did with tight ends with Tennessee, so I think that's
Speaker 1: all a positive. But maybe the biggest coaching higher they
Speaker 1: made his Dean ps as the defensive coordinator. This guy,
Speaker 1: all he's done is coach for New England and Baltimore
Speaker 1: and he's been fantastic on the defensive side of the ball.
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan, by the way, eleven and two straight up
Speaker 1: and against the spread and home openers, and that second
Speaker 1: loss was last year. So I think Matt Ryan gets
Speaker 1: it together this year and the Falcons. A lot of
Speaker 1: people and maybe yourself as well, Gil, A lot of
Speaker 1: prognosticators out there that I respect, expect good things out
Speaker 1: of the Falcons this year. Um and basically just a
Speaker 1: positive regression because they lost so many close games last season. Um,
Speaker 1: I'm not completely on that boat, but I think this
Speaker 1: is a really good spot for them, and this is
Speaker 1: also a fate of Philadelphia. Jalen Hurts has not been good.
Speaker 1: He's won one game in his career and it was
Speaker 1: one New Orleans was on their third straight game on
Speaker 1: the road and they were starting a backup quarterback. He
Speaker 1: also has a rookie head coach who has never called
Speaker 1: plays before, So I think that combination a rookie play caller,
Speaker 1: if you will, with nearly a rookie quarterback, and this
Speaker 1: is really rebuild for Philadelphia. They played fourteen different combinations
Speaker 1: at offensive line last season. They gave up over sixty
Speaker 1: five sacks. I believe it was Their defense was twenty
Speaker 1: eight in the league against the run. They just have
Speaker 1: a lot of problems and this team needs to rebuild
Speaker 1: and they may be good in a couple three years
Speaker 1: from now. But I think right out of the gate
Speaker 1: only lay in three points. I'll take Atlanta. I didn't
Speaker 1: do the actual snake because I would have gone to
Speaker 1: Mike Mikey, I think if I had done the actual snake,
Speaker 1: But let me just since I'm the same as Brady
Speaker 1: here too. I agree with that, and also like the
Speaker 1: premature reports of Matt Ryan's demise, like everyone who wants
Speaker 1: to bury him. And I'm not sure why that is.
Speaker 1: Is it because Tom Brady is so good at forty
Speaker 1: three and now forty four years old? Is because Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers is so great at thirty seven and Matt Ryan
Speaker 1: is not quite those guys. He's still one of the
Speaker 1: top half of quarterbacks conservatively in the NFL. And I
Speaker 1: don't usually make much of preseason, and I know that's
Speaker 1: that's ridiculous to do, but if there was one preseason
Speaker 1: game that's stuck in my head this year, it is
Speaker 1: the Eagles performance against the Patriots. You left that game
Speaker 1: and you're like, Wow, this team could suck badly, and
Speaker 1: I have a feeling they might. And so the Falcons
Speaker 1: at home with Matt Ryany's the better quarterback Kyle Pitts,
Speaker 1: as as we both agree, and I think a lot
Speaker 1: of people do, is gonna be phenomenal with Atlanta. I
Speaker 1: think at Lanta's defense, as long as they don't as
Speaker 1: long as they don't crap out entirely, they do what
Speaker 1: They've got the better coordinator now, and they have the
Speaker 1: better coordinator, and and many would say that Arthur Smith
Speaker 1: is a coach of your candidate. By the way, when
Speaker 1: we did the thing for Visa for the Pro Football
Speaker 1: Betting Guide with our division picks and our wild card picks,
Speaker 1: I found myself writing in the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC.
Speaker 1: So I'm on the fact concerned about the fact that
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan is a into another very good quarterback, but
Speaker 1: not great quarterback named Philip Rivers, who loves to break
Speaker 1: your heart in the big spot. It's at the thirty
Speaker 1: five yard line, third and six late in the game,
Speaker 1: you absolutely need to stay in field goal range, and
Speaker 1: he takes a sack. Rivers was really good last year
Speaker 1: for the Colts, and that may be here. That may
Speaker 1: be a decrease at quarterback for them this year. No, no,
Speaker 1: I agree, but I've only lost four point five million
Speaker 1: dollars on Philip Rivers inside the five yard line. Just
Speaker 1: needs to get me across one yard to to cover
Speaker 1: a spread. And so that's why I have a little
Speaker 1: thing in my heart for Philip Rivers, and I don't
Speaker 1: like But anyways, so you guys aren't concerned, Well, there's
Speaker 1: always a concern for everything, but for this slate where
Speaker 1: it's like picking the worst of the evils, in my opinion,
Speaker 1: that's definitely a pick for me. I feel really good
Speaker 1: about both New England Atlanta. Did you bet Arthur Smith
Speaker 1: for coaches the year? I did not. I think the
Speaker 1: Coach of the Year will go to Sean McDermott because
Speaker 1: I think it was sort of a Stefanski versus McDermott
Speaker 1: thing last year, and it's still problem. That's the fancy,
Speaker 1: you got it. But I think there's a bit of
Speaker 1: a know the snub vote this year will come into play.
Speaker 1: How about Sean Payton one? If they're good, they don't
Speaker 1: get to play at home. He loses the receiver, he
Speaker 1: loses breeze. And I think Jamis Winston is going to
Speaker 1: have a decent year. You know, the function of those
Speaker 1: interceptions is also arians philosophy about throwing the ball down
Speaker 1: the field. Okay, I know he had thirty three said,
Speaker 1: but other than the eighteen is the most you ever
Speaker 1: had in years. So what about Brandon Staley with the Chargers.
Speaker 1: I don't know, if you watch those preseason games, they
Speaker 1: look very disorganized. You look like Anthony Lynne was still there.
Speaker 1: If you watch those He made a lot of tactical
Speaker 1: mistakes in the preseason. So the first year and being
Speaker 1: a head coach, it's a whole different ball. Wax the
Speaker 1: you know, the guy that would pollute the Coach of
Speaker 1: the Year market though for me, the one that I
Speaker 1: would if I had a you know, the McDermott bet Belichick,
Speaker 1: because if the Patriots do anything, you know, those guys
Speaker 1: are voting and and girls are voting. For my second pick,
Speaker 1: Gil is going to be an under, and I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Broncos Giants under forty one and a half.
Speaker 1: Now I bet the Broncos when it was one and
Speaker 1: a half, I'm not going to give at three. I
Speaker 1: think that's a big difference going on the road. But
Speaker 1: I think there's two things in factor here. I think
Speaker 1: the Giants are susceptible to a team that can rest
Speaker 1: the pastor because Daniel Jones holds the ball and he
Speaker 1: holds the ball, and he holds the ball and he
Speaker 1: holds So when they go up against teams that have
Speaker 1: a good pass rush, I think they're in trouble. And
Speaker 1: then the other thing that plays to the under is
Speaker 1: obviously Bridgewater. Bridgewater is gonna dank, and he's gonna dunk,
Speaker 1: and he's gonna and they're gonna run the ball and
Speaker 1: they're gonna play. Fancie is gonna try not to lose
Speaker 1: on offense, said that this morning, right, the John Fox
Speaker 1: school of the NFL coach just be competent, right and
Speaker 1: and win nine games. So that's that's my play under
Speaker 1: forty one and a half there, All right, Todd, would
Speaker 1: you like to go first for number three? Sure, I'd
Speaker 1: love to go first, Gil, Thank you, You're welcome. Um.
Speaker 1: I'd like to bet against a team that hails from
Speaker 1: the same division as the Miami Dolphins. Miami Dolphins, Now
Speaker 1: you've got the song, folks, you love. I had to
Speaker 1: shoehorn it in because I didn't have anything to say
Speaker 1: Abo at the Dolphins excepted to his brother is better
Speaker 1: than him. You know. It's creepier to do that with
Speaker 1: him present because we have to endure it. Yeah, okay, anyways,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go against the New York j E. T.
Speaker 1: S J. I'm gonna take old Matt Rule and the
Speaker 1: Panthers minus the four. You know what, Kelly Bilin said
Speaker 1: that he had Matt Rule say to his face when
Speaker 1: he covered Matt Rule wherever he was that you pronounced
Speaker 1: it Matt Rule. Oh, I'm sorry, I'll take Matt Rule
Speaker 1: along with Jeff Carley. It was like the Travis Kels
Speaker 1: thing this offseason. He was like, no, Matt Rule is
Speaker 1: what many doesn't he just let you go to? I
Speaker 1: mean they wait for years and they say, by the way, well,
Speaker 1: Howard Stearn's producer Gary Deleabate, Um, you know Delat his
Speaker 1: real name. But anyway, Um so the Carolina Panthers, I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take a minus four. Here's why I like Matt
Speaker 1: Rule as a coach. I think he's gonna turn I
Speaker 1: mean he's already started to turn the franchise around. Um,
Speaker 1: I'm not buying the B y U hype. Come on,
Speaker 1: b I watched every B y U game last year.
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson had it time to have a buffet, a
Speaker 1: cup of coffee, could do whatever he wants. There was
Speaker 1: all kinds of time to throw. Now he he granted
Speaker 1: he might be great, but he hasn't proven anything to me.
Speaker 1: Now he's behind us a subpar NFL team's offensive line,
Speaker 1: and now you're gonna go ask him to be a
Speaker 1: superstar offensive line supposed to be pretty good. I'm not
Speaker 1: saying that. I said the subpart team. I didn't say
Speaker 1: their offensive line in general. But the point is it's
Speaker 1: not a really good team. The Jets are not a
Speaker 1: really good team. Are they are? The Jets a good team?
Speaker 1: Are talking about the offensive line? You don't say the
Speaker 1: whole but the point Okay, But the point is he's
Speaker 1: the quarterback of this team. It's a brand new situation.
Speaker 1: I just see it as too much Zach Wilson hype.
Speaker 1: Let me have the Carolina Panthers at home minus the four.
Speaker 1: I have a good coach here, Robert Salam maybe a
Speaker 1: great coach. We haven't seen anything about from that yet,
Speaker 1: right right, Okay, so let me get you know, Look,
Speaker 1: the truth is all these lines are impossible. Let's be
Speaker 1: just real about it. Okay, the lines are impossible. We
Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with any of these teams
Speaker 1: that bet the damn games in game, folks. But for
Speaker 1: the fun of the megapod, I'm gonna take Matt Rouley
Speaker 1: minus four, thank you, Okay, Brady number three. I am
Speaker 1: going with the Arizona Cardinals. And this kind of ties
Speaker 1: into Mike Palm's play two on the over. I don't
Speaker 1: know if Arizona is going to be great this year.
Speaker 1: They added some players that are up there in age,
Speaker 1: J J. Watt, what have you. I don't know how
Speaker 1: much that is really going to help them. Your your
Speaker 1: friend Ed Fang brought up a great point about Kyler Murray.
Speaker 1: This guy had bad interception luck. He threw a lot
Speaker 1: of interceptions, but he actually was above average as far
Speaker 1: as throwing bad balls. So that should change a little bit.
Speaker 1: He should throw less interceptions this year, should turn the
Speaker 1: ball over less. And if you look at the wide
Speaker 1: receivers that they've added there in Arizona, and you alluded
Speaker 1: to it as well, Mike, this team I think is
Speaker 1: very much built for an over team. Their defensive secondary,
Speaker 1: I still think is still weak. They're going up against
Speaker 1: the team in Tennessee that has gotten progressively worse defensively
Speaker 1: all three years under Mike Rabel, So I think both
Speaker 1: of these teams are going to go back and forth
Speaker 1: and put up points. Very interesting. Cliff Kingsbury in his career,
Speaker 1: when his team scores more than twenty five points, he
Speaker 1: is fourteen three and one against the spread. So this
Speaker 1: guy loves to get involved in a shootout, and I
Speaker 1: think that's what we're probably gonna have here. So I'll
Speaker 1: take the three points with the Cardinals. I also think
Speaker 1: Tennessee is really set up for regression. They were plus
Speaker 1: eleven in the turnover differential last year. Ryan Tannehill has
Speaker 1: been playing so far above his head. I mean, what
Speaker 1: did he have sixty seven percent completions last year? Derrick Henry?
Speaker 1: Is he going to rush for two thousand yards again?
Speaker 1: They lost a lot of players. They lost John new
Speaker 1: Smith at tight end. I really don't think Julio Jones
Speaker 1: at thirty two years old is going to make much
Speaker 1: of a difference here. They lose Arthur Smith, their offensive
Speaker 1: coordinator who made it all happen. So I'll take the
Speaker 1: Cardinals plus the points. Um Cliff Kingsbury Besides the Anthony
Speaker 1: Lynn category of botching games late, Kingsbury is pretty up
Speaker 1: there on that list too, though, isn't he do? I
Speaker 1: remember sort of anecdotally us bringing him up several times
Speaker 1: last year, very questionable calls. I remember one game in
Speaker 1: particular that hurt very badly. Yeah, so I I I'm
Speaker 1: not sold on him yet. That doesn't have anything to
Speaker 1: do with your pick necessarily in Week one, but I
Speaker 1: just wanted to point that out, Mike number three. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Rams against most of the Bears. I
Speaker 1: just don't see Andy Dalton doing anything with this team.
Speaker 1: And god there, you know, I know it was the preseason,
Speaker 1: but they were playing second stringer, second stringers on defense
Speaker 1: and couldn't stop anybody. I mean, he just went up
Speaker 1: and down the field. I think there were nine out
Speaker 1: of twelve possessions that were in touchdowns against them at
Speaker 1: one stretch during the preseason. I think their defense has
Speaker 1: has started to regress. I think there are yes seven
Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah, I'm sorry, Rams seven and a half. Um,
Speaker 1: and I think you know they're gonna put Dalton. They're
Speaker 1: gonna start Dalton here because uh, you know they're going
Speaker 1: up against the Rams defense, and so they want a
Speaker 1: veteran to play against the Ram Stevens. But you know,
Speaker 1: Stafford is used to the Bears. Staffords played against the
Speaker 1: Bears all the time. He's been successful against the Bears
Speaker 1: that they don't drop that ball in Week one Swift
Speaker 1: in the end zone they beat the Bears. Right, He's
Speaker 1: had leads on the Bears where they did you know,
Speaker 1: Detroit's famous for having a ten point leading the fourth
Speaker 1: core they run the ball in the line three times
Speaker 1: and trying to run out the clock. So I'm not
Speaker 1: with a mall that he makes them the favorites to
Speaker 1: win the NFC. Stafford, but I think this Bears team
Speaker 1: is not a playoff team. I don't think they're an
Speaker 1: eight and eight team eight nine. I think this team
Speaker 1: is in for a regression uh this year. And I
Speaker 1: actually make this line about nine myself. This is a
Speaker 1: game where if it was Rams minus seven and a half,
Speaker 1: let's say Week five, weeks six, where you had the
Speaker 1: prospect of justin Fields and the one Achilles Heal of
Speaker 1: the Rams is that they have no depth this year,
Speaker 1: I still think they win the NFC, but it it
Speaker 1: obviously requires like it does for every team, that they
Speaker 1: stay healthy, but specifically with the Rams they have so
Speaker 1: little depth. But in Week one, where it is Andy
Speaker 1: Dalton and the Rams don't have to worry about that,
Speaker 1: I will do the minus seven and a half easily
Speaker 1: as well. Like I love that play and it's one
Speaker 1: of those where if the Bears can beat you on
Speaker 1: that tip of the cap, absolutely no problem. Andy Dalton
Speaker 1: doesn't scare me. And I've got the Rams going to
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl this year, where I believe they will
Speaker 1: be defeated by the Kansas City Chiefs. Rams right now
Speaker 1: plus one nine to win the NFC West. By the way,
Speaker 1: the forty Niners are shorter than them at Draft Kings.
Speaker 1: Uh ten and a half is their season win total.
Speaker 1: Their minus two Rams to make the playoffs, plus six
Speaker 1: fifty right now to win the NFC fourteen to one
Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl. I got a minus seven
Speaker 1: and a half your football team to win the NFC East.
Speaker 1: I did. It was four to one. I did. Um.
Speaker 1: But you know that their schedule, since you bring it up,
Speaker 1: is is fascinating because they have the most accumulated rests
Speaker 1: days on the opponents side. It's on the one hand,
Speaker 1: it's super difficult, but then at the end they have
Speaker 1: the weirdest scheduling quirk I've ever seen in the history
Speaker 1: of NFL schedules, which is, not only do they have
Speaker 1: five of their six division games in the last five weeks,
Speaker 1: but they have a doubt. I think it's Dallas Philly,
Speaker 1: Dallas Philly, which I've never seen before. Ever, it's once
Speaker 1: in a while you'll see a team play to opponent
Speaker 1: twice in a three week span, but there's never been
Speaker 1: a situation where you do it consecutively like Dallas Philly,
Speaker 1: Dallas Philly. That's that's so so. On the other hand,
Speaker 1: even if Washington succumbs to that schedule where they have
Speaker 1: all the you know, the opponents have the most rest
Speaker 1: against any team in the NFL, and Washington being the case,
Speaker 1: even if they're down, if they're middling, let's say they're
Speaker 1: I don't know, with the with seventeen games. Let's say
Speaker 1: they're five and seven, and you're like, this team is
Speaker 1: not going anywhere. They got five division games still to go,
Speaker 1: they can still with the last five five out of
Speaker 1: six at Giants is the last game, No. Five out
Speaker 1: of their six division games for the last five weeks,
Speaker 1: so with the Giants being the last week of this season.
Speaker 1: So I think the way you play Washington is you wait,
Speaker 1: now that we have dynamic season win totals, adjusted season
Speaker 1: wintals where you don't just have to bet this stuff
Speaker 1: pre flop before the season starts. I think you wait
Speaker 1: for them to sort of succumb to that bad schedule,
Speaker 1: and then before that final stretch you hit them at
Speaker 1: a really favorable not because they're they're going they're going
Speaker 1: through the ringer those first eight it's brutal, whereas like
Speaker 1: a team like Kansas City or or I think it
Speaker 1: was Tampa Bay, pardon me, Tampa Bay. If they can
Speaker 1: get through their first half of the season, like their
Speaker 1: schedule gets so easy that we're going to give you
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay schedule after their bye, give us the games,
Speaker 1: and which week is the by the Tampa Bay Bucks
Speaker 1: have a bye at week nine, it looks like, and
Speaker 1: then they have at Washington, Giants at home, at Indianapolis,
Speaker 1: at Atlanta, Buffalo at home, New Orleans at home, at
Speaker 1: Carolina at Jets, Carolina at home. So Buffalo is the
Speaker 1: one real bugaboo were there. But that's so their funds
Speaker 1: on the road could be a tough spot. How do
Speaker 1: you feel about the Colts? I think they win that division?
Speaker 1: Really Wow, that's very I can't spake a team that
Speaker 1: Tennessee with that defense. Yeah, it's horrible, horrible. They they've
Speaker 1: masked it because they've scored so many points, but it's
Speaker 1: got awful. What is the team that you guys think
Speaker 1: the general market or whatever the preseason buzzes. However, because
Speaker 1: we all have shows and we we suck in all
Speaker 1: this information for three months. What do you think the
Speaker 1: team is that most people have wrong, either to the
Speaker 1: bat or to the good this year? Oh boy? Um,
Speaker 1: maybe the Tennessee Titans. You know, I've seen some people
Speaker 1: that are high on Tennessee. Uh. Maybe the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1: Now Buffalo is strong, for sure, but they really peaked
Speaker 1: quite a bit last year and they could be set
Speaker 1: to slide down the mountain a little bit now. I
Speaker 1: think they have a great head coach. Um. Maybe the
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns. I talked about this with the Miami Dolphins
Speaker 1: a little earlier, where they jumped and exceeded their wins
Speaker 1: from the prior year by five. So to Cleveland, that
Speaker 1: usually doesn't go well for that team the following season. However,
Speaker 1: Cleveland may be immune to that because I think their
Speaker 1: coach is great and they've actually improved their team a
Speaker 1: lot on defense. I mean, they have a loaded roster,
Speaker 1: so they may be immune to that. But Tennessee is
Speaker 1: a team, and you know, Mike and I talking about
Speaker 1: the Colts to win the division. I think Tennessee is
Speaker 1: gonna fall off. I want to ask you this, Brady,
Speaker 1: do you temper your future bets or tend to want
Speaker 1: to play to the negative on these two teams, the
Speaker 1: Vikings and the Ravens, whose quarterbacks will not get vaccinated,
Speaker 1: d not to know anything about it and need to
Speaker 1: need to doing their research. Mikey, Yeah, hopefully there's some information.
Speaker 1: I have not taken that into account because it is
Speaker 1: ten days. It's different if if if you're vaccinated, you
Speaker 1: just need two negative tests to get back, and we
Speaker 1: are and we are. Let's just say we're not making
Speaker 1: any political states. It's a football. You have to know this.
Speaker 1: You have to know this. Maybe another team that I
Speaker 1: think a lot of people might be too high on
Speaker 1: and I think you and I like the Vikings to
Speaker 1: win the NFC North is the Green Bay Packers. I agree.
Speaker 1: I mean Aaron Rodgers, you know, hit New Heights even
Speaker 1: for Aaron Rodgers type numbers last year. Look at Matt Lafleur,
Speaker 1: He's twenty eight and eight straight up as a coach.
Speaker 1: It's like the highest winning percentage ever. I think the
Speaker 1: coach though A good question, Lebron James is the coach.
Speaker 1: I think they're probably you know, you know there they
Speaker 1: could be set to fall down the hill a little
Speaker 1: bit too. The team, I'll I'll answer my own question
Speaker 1: for me, and it's it's not exactly because I think
Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks have earned some respect certainly over the years.
Speaker 1: Because but my thing with Seattle is this Russell Wilson
Speaker 1: covers up so many warts by his superman abilities that
Speaker 1: I think that day that he's no longer able to
Speaker 1: do that. And I don't know if it's this year,
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's next year, but whenever that
Speaker 1: day is, because you know, the peat Carroll is all about, Oh,
Speaker 1: established the run with Chris Carson, and that was already
Speaker 1: a big deal between Russell Wilson and Pete. Carroll sort
Speaker 1: of took away his m v P candidacy last year overnight.
Speaker 1: Whenever that day comes, that team is going to fall
Speaker 1: off a cliff, and I think that's always one to
Speaker 1: watch out for. I've seen very mixed reviews on Seattle.
Speaker 1: Some people love them, some people are ready to pick
Speaker 1: him for the Super Bowl, and some people think they're
Speaker 1: not gonna be one. From the other side, you guys
Speaker 1: are all talking about teams that might be overrated. How
Speaker 1: about a team that might be underrated. Maybe the Houston
Speaker 1: Texans are really not gonna be as bad as everyone
Speaker 1: says because everyone has them penciled in and oh and oh,
Speaker 1: and how many games were there this year? I believe
Speaker 1: most people have them well. Their season win total went
Speaker 1: from five and a half to five to four. Okay,
Speaker 1: so every there are three point dog at home to
Speaker 1: a one in fifteen team with nicky quarterback, the first
Speaker 1: time head coach at no offensive line, think about that.
Speaker 1: They'll never be evor in a game this year? Right?
Speaker 1: Are they really that bad that there's only a few
Speaker 1: games this season that they are a dog of less
Speaker 1: than five points? So I don't think they can. Tyrod
Speaker 1: Taylor is not that bad. I believe he was in
Speaker 1: some he didn't he I don't know if he still
Speaker 1: has this, but for a big part of his career
Speaker 1: he had the record for the fewest um turnovers of
Speaker 1: any quarterback who taking that many snaps. And that's what
Speaker 1: I love. And remember, there's tons of games you can
Speaker 1: win in the NFL just by not turning the ball
Speaker 1: over to I mean a lot of times you just
Speaker 1: make the other team make the mistake and you you
Speaker 1: end up I mean that's why the NFL is so maddening.
Speaker 1: All right. So typically at this point we asked for
Speaker 1: a survivor pick. But I will be honest with you,
Speaker 1: I haven't. I don't have mind yet. I don't know
Speaker 1: I'm doing that today after the show, do you have
Speaker 1: yours toime? I'm either going to do Tampa Bay or
Speaker 1: the ring MS. Tampa Bay will kill me if I do.
Speaker 1: If I don't do Tampa Bay. But but I'm you know,
Speaker 1: I don't know. We'll see, Brady, you're not in surviving
Speaker 1: I'm not. But I think I would go with the Rams,
Speaker 1: you would go with the Rams. I would go with
Speaker 1: the Rams, and you would go with the Rams. Um. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'll have to check the grid. Maybe I should play
Speaker 1: it from the Rams. Spelled your demise last season. Will
Speaker 1: you go back to the well with Week fifteen, Jared
Speaker 1: Golf at home against the Jets. You're still going to
Speaker 1: make that play again? Gil, You're not gonna no, no,
Speaker 1: no regrets with has to regret because he switched his play,
Speaker 1: he went away from his chart and his ruling never
Speaker 1: plays a road game, and he played the Steelers at
Speaker 1: the Bengals on that Monday night game. He had on
Speaker 1: his chart Tennessee against Detroit at home. They want by
Speaker 1: like he went against his grid, He went against his
Speaker 1: great because he wanted to save Tennessee from and I
Speaker 1: agree he regrets. You have no regrets. First of all,
Speaker 1: you should have been out when the Raiders were playing
Speaker 1: a certain Yes there was a camera on me when
Speaker 1: that touchdown was or you would have seen an and
Speaker 1: a wild animal. I was going ballistic the So the
Speaker 1: mall has that regret. The only thing that I have
Speaker 1: is lament because Professor Admires when there was about eighties
Speaker 1: seven or whatever many entries left, Professor Admirers did the
Speaker 1: power rankings of who had which teams left, and I
Speaker 1: was power ranked third. Ah brutal. You know it's funny.
Speaker 1: Last year we have say, Week seventeen is so hard,
Speaker 1: so unpredictable. Who's playing? Did they need to play for anything?
Speaker 1: And all thirty six entries that entered Week seventeen all
Speaker 1: one last year, right, nobody got eliminated on the last
Speaker 1: How many people one of the thirty six I think
Speaker 1: and they got sixty eight? Remember the last day we
Speaker 1: were at bar Canada. That was fun, that was awesome. Man,
Speaker 1: had everybody come into the sweat day or whatever we
Speaker 1: call it. All right, so teaser of the week, you
Speaker 1: want to do a six point to team teaser one
Speaker 1: every week? I have something to say about my teaser.
Speaker 1: Do you have something to say about that? Can we
Speaker 1: start with someone else? The shirt? But Mikey, how are
Speaker 1: you starting? How are you? Um? I'm gonna tease the
Speaker 1: San Francisco forty niners. That's why I didn't want. I
Speaker 1: wanted to go first, Go ahead, you said no, let
Speaker 1: someone else go first. I'm gonna tease the San Francisco
Speaker 1: forty nine. Coddman, he goes first every time, down to
Speaker 1: make up for last year and the year before exactly.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease him down to one and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease the Rams down to one. M hm. Sure.
Speaker 1: I got no problem with those that on the NFC
Speaker 1: West right, best division in football, and I'm doing that
Speaker 1: just sorry. Think about Robert Salado getting this job with
Speaker 1: the Jets in the division he falls into with those coaches.
Speaker 1: I think that's the best division of coaches of any
Speaker 1: division in football. Belichick Florist and absolutely yea, so it
Speaker 1: falls into that division. And McDermott for that's a tough
Speaker 1: division to start out in, Todd, what would you like
Speaker 1: to say about you? I was going to do the same,
Speaker 1: the same teaser. I like the Niners because first of all,
Speaker 1: it's Dan Campbell, that's number one. Number two, it's Jared Goff.
Speaker 1: They always killed Jared Goff. So you know, give me
Speaker 1: the Niners minus the one and a half. And I mean,
Speaker 1: if the Niners can't go on the road and beat
Speaker 1: beat the beat the Lions, I mean, give me a break.
Speaker 1: And then I was going to do the Rams as well.
Speaker 1: I like the Rams. I mean, you get to go again.
Speaker 1: I was talking on the Numbers game. You call him
Speaker 1: what do you call him? The beige rifle? What do
Speaker 1: you call him? I think the beige I believe the
Speaker 1: beige water pistol against the Rams top top defensive line
Speaker 1: is it's not it's not a great matchup. Is because
Speaker 1: if I remember correctly, Andy Dalton is not the most
Speaker 1: fleet of foot, that's correct. I believe he goes back
Speaker 1: to pass. Isn't that bad? At TCU he moved around
Speaker 1: a little bit, but he ran a little bit. As
Speaker 1: he's become more water pistol like, he's become more Statuesque
Speaker 1: as well, and I think that the Rams will maybe
Speaker 1: have the eighth grade picnic back at the quarterback Gil.
Speaker 1: We want to encourage people to sign up for Circus Survivor, right.
Speaker 1: It's a huge overlay and Mike really needs it to
Speaker 1: save his job. So we was on the record early
Speaker 1: saying this was the fool's errand guaranteeing six million um.
Speaker 1: But that is the awesome contest name Beige water Pistol,
Speaker 1: pistol Age, water Pistol out in front and Circus Survivor.
Speaker 1: After four weeks, what's yours? What's yours? Brady? What's your
Speaker 1: favorite teaser? I have the Washington football team and I
Speaker 1: got them at plus one, so I took it up
Speaker 1: to plus seven, and then I'm also on the forty
Speaker 1: Niners down to one and a half. Um, Washington, I
Speaker 1: don't think is a bad bet. Now they've actually moved
Speaker 1: to a one point favorite in a lot of shops. Um.
Speaker 1: You know, there's not a huge difference between a one
Speaker 1: point dog and and a one point favorite, but there
Speaker 1: is a big difference from a teaser perspective. So I
Speaker 1: didn't get across the seven, but I've got it to
Speaker 1: seven and Uh. If you look at Justin Herbert's record
Speaker 1: against head coaches that were former defensive coordinators, he's like
Speaker 1: oh and four. And of course Ron rivera former defensive coordinator,
Speaker 1: former defensive coordinator for the Los Angeles Chargers. So I
Speaker 1: think Washington's in a good spot here. Rivera knows how
Speaker 1: difficult his schedule is coming up. He's got to get
Speaker 1: this one in the wind column. Uh. So I think
Speaker 1: Washington catching seven is a good play there on the teaser.
Speaker 1: And then I also went with the Niners. If I
Speaker 1: had to bet this game from a side perspective, I
Speaker 1: would probably wait because it'll probably get to eight, maybe
Speaker 1: even eight and a half, and I might take a
Speaker 1: shot with the Lions. But I like San Francisco at
Speaker 1: only minus one and a half. You are a bold man. Chargers,
Speaker 1: by the way, plus four fifty to win the a
Speaker 1: f C West. Uh did the Chiefs not? Did they
Speaker 1: leave the a f C West plus four fifty on
Speaker 1: the Charges nine and a half season win totally? Yes?
Speaker 1: Plus one oh five no minus one yes no to
Speaker 1: make the playoffs. Um, some people are teasing both sides
Speaker 1: of that same game when that thing was top niner.
Speaker 1: No talking about Chargers in Washington last nighter in fimetime action.
Speaker 1: We saw it toggling back and forth their favorite. Ten
Speaker 1: minutes later they were favorite. So some people are, yeah,
Speaker 1: I don't think people don't know what you can do
Speaker 1: but you can't. Yeah, I don't. I don't disagree with that.
Speaker 1: I mean, this should be a field goal game. The
Speaker 1: the issue here is that Austin Ekeler mysteriously disappeared from
Speaker 1: practice yesterday. No one knows quite why and I haven't
Speaker 1: hear anything this morning yet. And Curtis Samuel, who Washington
Speaker 1: fans were super excited because finally Terry McLaurin has somebody
Speaker 1: on the other end of the field that he can
Speaker 1: shine with. Curtis Samuel growing injury yesterday and there's some
Speaker 1: buzz that he's gonna be out for a long time.
Speaker 1: So that's not good. So just you know again, COVID
Speaker 1: we have to worry about. By the way, we never
Speaker 1: really flushed out your vaccination thing like, but I think
Speaker 1: that's a massive issue this year. It's why you have
Speaker 1: to wait to put in your survivor and you're and
Speaker 1: you're against the spread picks for millions until the very
Speaker 1: last moment because you just don't know what's going to
Speaker 1: happen with this. You can't you can't afford to have
Speaker 1: forty eight hours where you're like, oh my god, I
Speaker 1: hope nobody does. But if you're vaccinated, you can test positive,
Speaker 1: can't you. Yeah, but if you're unvaccinated, if you're unvaccinated,
Speaker 1: you're going for ten days too. Even if you test negative,
Speaker 1: you can't come back for a minimum of ten days.
Speaker 1: You could miss two games. You mean, if you test
Speaker 1: positive out ten games automatical days and the other one.
Speaker 1: The other one you just need to negative tests to
Speaker 1: come back, so you may not miss the game if
Speaker 1: you're vaccinated. So thick out. And again no political states
Speaker 1: were talking about from a FOOTBA handicap standpoint, think about
Speaker 1: that if you're if you're Kirk cousins teammate, or if
Speaker 1: you're Lamar Jackson's teammate, or if your corson wins his teammate,
Speaker 1: Like you've got to be thinking to yourself, you're like, dude, well,
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins. I saw him at Michigan State doing a
Speaker 1: germology He was like a PhD student there if I
Speaker 1: remember correctly, So he probably did all the all the
Speaker 1: research about he knows about m R n A. I
Speaker 1: know he did the studies himself at Michigan State, didn't he.
Speaker 1: I don't recall that you Lamar Jackson said in that
Speaker 1: press conference. That caught my attention when he you know,
Speaker 1: he got it a second time about he's gonna talk
Speaker 1: to it's a very person an all decisions. He's gonna
Speaker 1: talk to his teammates. Oh, by the way, the Ravens
Speaker 1: are the third most vaccinated team in the NFL, right
Speaker 1: so as they they've been very good about it the
Speaker 1: players perspective. And he's gonna go out there and try
Speaker 1: to get some information. Is he doing Is he going
Speaker 1: to do the information on the pain pills they're going
Speaker 1: to give him as soon as he has like a problem,
Speaker 1: because maybe should do the research on that. Only too
Speaker 1: fully vaccinated teams Atlanta and Tampa Bay. I believe only
Speaker 1: to fully vaccinaty teams. You have to you have to
Speaker 1: wonder if Tom Brady had something to do that, like
Speaker 1: you're getting vaccinated. You're gonna listen to that, dude. Final
Speaker 1: two questions? Are we already there? Final two questions? I
Speaker 1: believe what was your No, we didn't get your teasers,
Speaker 1: So I can't use Tampa Bay anymore, even though that
Speaker 1: is my most teased team of the week that I've
Speaker 1: actually put into my account, seizing them every which way
Speaker 1: we do things here based on what it is that
Speaker 1: I already stated, thank you correct. So as a result
Speaker 1: of that, um, the teams that I teased Tampa Bay with,
Speaker 1: namely Buffalo, the Rams, and the Niners, are the only kids.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry you were thinking about Buffalo against, but those
Speaker 1: three remaining. Pittsburgh is the most threatening of the three opponents,
Speaker 1: and so it has to be San Francisco and the Rams.
Speaker 1: Sorry to do that, but if the Lions can beat
Speaker 1: because essentially that's what it comes down to you, right,
Speaker 1: if the Lions can beat San Francisco or if the
Speaker 1: Bears can beat the Rams, what do you what do
Speaker 1: you say? You're like, I have a feeling that Campbell
Speaker 1: guy is not um going to be a good football
Speaker 1: I just think I don't do anything no analytics to this.
Speaker 1: I've seen this movie before and guys who said we're
Speaker 1: gonna do what we do, we we're gonna eat you know,
Speaker 1: we're gonna eat chainsaws in here. This is not always
Speaker 1: the kind of guy who ends up being Bill Belichick.
Speaker 1: Is it may not, it may not work out long term,
Speaker 1: but I have heard that the morale around the Lions
Speaker 1: camp is pretty high. Yeah, here here's any is. My
Speaker 1: mother used to say, morale, morale kill. Like I said,
Speaker 1: I don't know if it'll last. This is an interesting angle.
Speaker 1: And one of our hosts took extra time off this
Speaker 1: summer really to study prop market and he came up
Speaker 1: with this. This bet Dan Campbell to be the first
Speaker 1: coach fired at one. And he made this argument to me,
Speaker 1: And I think he's a good argument. Not just based
Speaker 1: on the fact that they might be really bad and
Speaker 1: they might be O and eight and he might get whacked,
Speaker 1: but how about the fact that who knows what this
Speaker 1: guy's gonna say in a press conference and a political
Speaker 1: a great people if they say something like I never
Speaker 1: even thought about that. I think it's worth a flyer,
Speaker 1: very good. But it's a great angle. But you but
Speaker 1: you know what urban Meyer has already exhibited. He said, Yeah,
Speaker 1: he's already showed us that he says the wrong things
Speaker 1: in press conference, so he would be the thing that
Speaker 1: I'd be worried about that too. Yeah, that's that's and
Speaker 1: by the way, that that has gone too far with it.
Speaker 1: I mean the guy that the Notre Dame coach said
Speaker 1: his team should be excellent. He was just kidding around people.
Speaker 1: Can we all just calm down and take a deep breath.
Speaker 1: I know everybody's for you know, great comment. The next
Speaker 1: day somebody on Twitter said, today everybody's looking up who
Speaker 1: John McVeigh. But John McBay did it. It is a
Speaker 1: response to a question. He's trying to force being funny.
Speaker 1: At the end of it. What's not funny is because
Speaker 1: the kid died on the tower. I know that. But
Speaker 1: in the light of Brian Kelly's tenure at Notre Dame,
Speaker 1: they think about that when he says, I've got to
Speaker 1: tell you a good story about my my dad, who
Speaker 1: did it three years ago, four years ago now. And
Speaker 1: he we used to call it the Bob. He used
Speaker 1: to not like listening to the customer service people give
Speaker 1: him the runaround. So one time he told he asked
Speaker 1: the DSL people when he was trying to get it
Speaker 1: set up, where are you guys located? And he's like, oh,
Speaker 1: I can't tell you, sir. He goes, well, your building
Speaker 1: should be bombed, you know, because my dad would talk
Speaker 1: like that when he would get like real riled up
Speaker 1: and the guy said, sir, I'm gonna have to report
Speaker 1: you so so we used to do that all the time.
Speaker 1: So he has a bit of the Dan Campbell and
Speaker 1: my dad used to have it. So I just see
Speaker 1: that that attribute to Mr Wishnet everybody but but Dan
Speaker 1: Campbell and David Culley in in uh Houston because he
Speaker 1: had the famous press commerce. We said fourth down were
Speaker 1: I know analytics. We're just gonna trust our would analytics.
Speaker 1: So you have monoliths and then you have anilys Yea analytics.
Speaker 1: I was like, wow, he really is into analytics. Okay,
Speaker 1: final two questions the staple of every megapod and thank
Speaker 1: you all for being a week one Brady, thank you
Speaker 1: as always. Um Okay, the big favorite most likely to
Speaker 1: lose out right, otherwise known as sort of a money
Speaker 1: line parlay killer, and we should mention with some of
Speaker 1: these teasers, by the way, check to see if a
Speaker 1: teaser is a more cost effective way to do it
Speaker 1: or a money line parlay. Always check about that kind
Speaker 1: of their favorite. Here, I'm gonna go with the Kansas
Speaker 1: City Chiefs. I was going to give the candidates. I
Speaker 1: wasn't gonna include them. Oh you weren't going to well,
Speaker 1: because if I gave six points or higher than you could,
Speaker 1: then you could pick the Chiefs. But I mean, there's
Speaker 1: not that many things. Chiefs against the Browns is gonna
Speaker 1: be too easy, even answer it's only about three games
Speaker 1: higher than six, isn't there? Well, it's Box Lions and
Speaker 1: and three. I got three to two. Those are six
Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, so we started six and a
Speaker 1: half Tampa Bay. I bet you this might close it.
Speaker 1: Six and a half might close five Tampa Bay, Buffalo,
Speaker 1: San Francisco and the Rams, and that is all. Well,
Speaker 1: if that's the case, then I would probably just have
Speaker 1: to say Buffalo. Um. And that's I'm getting ahead of myself.
Speaker 1: That was really kind of the answer for my next question. Uh,
Speaker 1: you know what game? I want no part of um.
Speaker 1: But you know, the Steelers, as we've seen the last
Speaker 1: three or four or five years in a row, they
Speaker 1: start out hot and they fade late. So and there's
Speaker 1: so much I don't know about this Steelers team. I
Speaker 1: think we know that their offensive line is shoddy, but
Speaker 1: is it improved? Is not Jay Harris going to make
Speaker 1: a big difference. Big Ben at thirty nine years old.
Speaker 1: Is he still got it or is he going to regress?
Speaker 1: The defense we expect is going to be good again
Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh Buffalo, are they going to be another juggernaut
Speaker 1: or are they going to slide back a little bit?
Speaker 1: So I would say the Steelers um are the best
Speaker 1: shot as far as a big underdog to win out right.
Speaker 1: So Buffalo the team most likely to lose that right
Speaker 1: of the big favorites. Mike, I agree with him. My
Speaker 1: answer was Chiefs, and then I take Buffalo. This is
Speaker 1: a default position here because I cannot see the other
Speaker 1: I can't see even a little bit on the road,
Speaker 1: not a little bit. They did this two years ago.
Speaker 1: San Francisco had propelled them. They played those two road games.
Speaker 1: They went one at Tampa, they went and stayed in Cleveland,
Speaker 1: and then they went and beat Cincinnati and that their
Speaker 1: Super Bowl season. They have a chance to do that again.
Speaker 1: To two road games against weak teams to start the season.
Speaker 1: They're like a million and oh against Jared Goff. To
Speaker 1: what most likely lose that right? I would go, I
Speaker 1: think my Picksburgh stores are a little bit live. We
Speaker 1: look if we can figure out how to protect Ben
Speaker 1: and that we got a chance to throw the ball
Speaker 1: down the fill with Chase Claypool on at And let
Speaker 1: me tell EANs, uh, y'all, youns are gonna have to understand.
Speaker 1: I'm down at Bett Rivers all the time, down at
Speaker 1: the casino, and you know I got the parking even
Speaker 1: on store game day. You know it's like sixty bucks
Speaker 1: to park at the casino on store game day now,
Speaker 1: But if you've got the right card, you can park
Speaker 1: there at all you want. But anyways, I love my stores.
Speaker 1: I'm it's the listen, I'm on Buffalo. Given those choices, Buffalo,
Speaker 1: it will always be the same pick on that question.
Speaker 1: But given those choices for sure, heading into week one,
Speaker 1: how do you think na Harris will do this? I
Speaker 1: like Naja Harris. If we can get give him a
Speaker 1: little scene, he just needs a little scene in there.
Speaker 1: I think he can really do stuff. That guy looks
Speaker 1: real good. Now I'm a little nervous he might get
Speaker 1: beat up like gold at se Kwon Barkley. He was
Speaker 1: another guy we didn't like your don at Pittsburger's been state.
Speaker 1: But anyways, I'm just telling you youns are gonna have
Speaker 1: to if we can balk. We need to balk for
Speaker 1: Ben Roeth's Barker. If we can do that, we're gonna
Speaker 1: be something that was Ben's last name, Ben roethis Parker.
Speaker 1: That sounds very difficult. It's not easy to say these things,
Speaker 1: all right, and then the game you want no part
Speaker 1: of On the side, Brady, you already said Buffalo Pits. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Chiefs were my big you know team that I figured
Speaker 1: had the best chance to lose out right, And I
Speaker 1: want no part of the Steelers and the Bills. And
Speaker 1: you know, basically I explained why I I think Steelers
Speaker 1: taken the points is very reasonable. Um, I think the
Speaker 1: Bills are a team that we saw last year with
Speaker 1: Brian Dable that really just steps on the neck and
Speaker 1: piles points on teams with that offensive, you know performance
Speaker 1: that they put out in So I think there are
Speaker 1: a possible team that you know, you lay the wood
Speaker 1: with two. But no, I I can make cases either
Speaker 1: way for both of these sides. I want no part
Speaker 1: of that game. I'll tell you who I want no
Speaker 1: part of. I got about six six. I want no
Speaker 1: part of any game in any NFL. I'd like to watch.
Speaker 1: In five minutes into the second quarter, I'll decide, but
Speaker 1: I want to bet on. It's just a quick reminder
Speaker 1: we should all be betting tennis and golf or bend
Speaker 1: the damn games. In game, folks, you get so much information. Okay,
Speaker 1: here's what game. I don't want a pregame at all,
Speaker 1: and that's Carson Wentz against Seattle. Is Carson Wentz a
Speaker 1: good quarterback or a bad quarter I remember when he
Speaker 1: was like an m v P or something and some
Speaker 1: other guy went to the Super Bowl and then then
Speaker 1: he became a terrible quarterback. What is Carson Wentz? I
Speaker 1: don't know. And the other thing is Frank Raikes a
Speaker 1: great coach, and then you got Russell Wilson on the
Speaker 1: other side. What I have no idea what I'm going
Speaker 1: to see in this game? LUs the lines flipped, you know,
Speaker 1: it's it's it's impossible. I agree with you. I'm literally
Speaker 1: looking at more than five games I could answer this question, Mike,
Speaker 1: would you decide? It comes down to me between Packers,
Speaker 1: Saints and Jets Panthers, and I'm gonna take Jets Panthers
Speaker 1: because I want to take a weight and see approach
Speaker 1: on Zach Wilson. I thought he looked good in preseason.
Speaker 1: I think he throws a really nice ball. It's not football.
Speaker 1: Can I just want to say one thing. Enough with
Speaker 1: the preseason and now I'm not yelling at you, per
Speaker 1: se because I like you, but these people who talk
Speaker 1: about pretense, it's not football. Nobody's playing football. But go on,
Speaker 1: I think, but not a mike. I thought it shows
Speaker 1: a really nice ball, and I'd like to take a
Speaker 1: wait and see approach on him. I don't really want
Speaker 1: to touch this gate. If you put a gun to
Speaker 1: my head, I would probably take the points here, even
Speaker 1: though even though Todd is on is on Matt Roule. Look,
Speaker 1: we've been OPO before. We have sometimes I've won, sometimes
Speaker 1: you want well. I was right though, about the fact
Speaker 1: that you said Kirk Cousins when we were filling in
Speaker 1: for Gil. That was yes, that was the famous week
Speaker 1: where you don't want to live in a world of
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers is a Hall of famer. Remember remember that way,
Speaker 1: Cospa schellum, you should you should say something bad about
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers, a guy who only cost me eight hundred
Speaker 1: million dollars inside the five yard line with ten seconds ago, Phil,
Speaker 1: do something passive friends at the one again, Passive friends
Speaker 1: at the one again Passinger ferens at the one again, Phil,
Speaker 1: you can't punch it in? Maybe could you sneak once?
Speaker 1: Phil Coachellum with your poor American Hebrew pronunciation shows that
Speaker 1: God forbid. The show is for everybody. But this was
Speaker 1: a holiday for you this week, wasn't it? Monday was? Well,
Speaker 1: it was it was Russia shuna for the Jews. I
Speaker 1: am a renounced juice. So we do not celebrate that
Speaker 1: we go on a numbers game on those two days
Speaker 1: we do. It's a little bit of a difference. By
Speaker 1: the way that that week you were talking about with
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers comment was also the week where Todd Wish
Speaker 1: and I did thirty minutes of solo numbers game. Well,
Speaker 1: they threw me. They threw me to the wolves. I
Speaker 1: didn't know I was going to And then I said,
Speaker 1: then I believe why did you have to? It was raining.
Speaker 1: It's gonna take me extra time because Mike he throws
Speaker 1: me to the wolves. I don't even know that I'm
Speaker 1: the soul guy. Somebody's got to find your career on
Speaker 1: mass Yes, and I have a big and I have
Speaker 1: a huge career in town and you get ten minutes
Speaker 1: on this. I couldn't even make it on the nuts.
Speaker 1: Can you believe it? I didn't even get to be
Speaker 1: on the nuts. I tried. I tried, Todd. Hey, hey,
Speaker 1: I don't before we go? Are we done now? Because
Speaker 1: I want to get mine? But you have to really
Speaker 1: throw it down to one of five. Yeah, because I
Speaker 1: like your I like I like your Jets, Carolina, Charges Washington.
Speaker 1: I have no idea, uh Seattle, Indianapolis. I don't have
Speaker 1: no idea Minnesota, Cincinnati. I have no idea Jacksonville, Houston,
Speaker 1: even though some of you have conviction, I have no
Speaker 1: idea in Arizona, Tennessee, which I know you guys really like.
Speaker 1: I don't know all of those are candidates for me.
Speaker 1: How about the Raiders? Have no idea. I'll tell you
Speaker 1: why you will get. It'll be fourth and four from
Speaker 1: about the thirty three yard and somebody's gonna kick a
Speaker 1: field goal. I'm gonna tell you that right now. But
Speaker 1: he's gonna. I would actually go with I think it's
Speaker 1: the Jets and Caroline of all of those, just because
Speaker 1: I have the least feel for either of those. Two
Speaker 1: of that bunch. Anyway, I want to ask you to
Speaker 1: about your thoughts on the Giants in the postseason. San
Speaker 1: Francisco Giants. I know you're both first team games. It
Speaker 1: worries me, um, because that pitching staff is a little older.
Speaker 1: You know, they're not necessarily built like the Milwaukee Brewers are.
Speaker 1: We know the Dodgers are a jugger not. Um has
Speaker 1: been incredibly lucky. Yeah yeah, but this team, I mean,
Speaker 1: how about yesterday's win against the Rockies. They just continue
Speaker 1: to find ways. I think that Chris Brian addition is huge. Um.
Speaker 1: There may be just a little more magic in the
Speaker 1: air like they've had in the past. If you look
Speaker 1: at it on paper, it scares me. But there's something
Speaker 1: about this team, and Brady can vouch for this. They
Speaker 1: probably had no business winning the World Series. They did dominant,
Speaker 1: uh and they have some of those same guys. Buster
Speaker 1: are still there, Crawford still there, Um, Brandon belt is
Speaker 1: still there. They have the veterans. Sadly Panda is not
Speaker 1: there with them. But what Brady just said, the the
Speaker 1: word magic Again. I always joke with anybody who bets
Speaker 1: against the Giants on my show, I always did you
Speaker 1: factor Giants magic into your model, and as the year
Speaker 1: is going on, this team is way more magical than
Speaker 1: any of those World Series teams were. It's unbelievable in
Speaker 1: game them yesterday and the sick sitting plus five fifty
Speaker 1: down a run because you're like, they'll figure out a way.
Speaker 1: It just happens. And so I do think to answer
Speaker 1: your question, I think the most obvious baseball bet is
Speaker 1: staring us right in the face, and nobody's talking about,
Speaker 1: which is the Giants to win the World Series. At
Speaker 1: eleven and one, we've got so locked into this thing
Speaker 1: that the Giants are not built for the postseason. They
Speaker 1: don't have the top shelf starters that the Brewers do.
Speaker 1: They don't have the top shelf starters that the Dodgers do.
Speaker 1: But we have seen now how it doesn't. It's not
Speaker 1: about your starters as much anymore as just having lots
Speaker 1: of really good pictures puzzling and putting them as a
Speaker 1: puzzle together. So will they win the World Series? Who knows?
Speaker 1: But at eleven to one, give me that. And they
Speaker 1: just took two out of three from the Dodgers. Well
Speaker 1: that's the thing they want to play. The Dodgers never
Speaker 1: make up any ground against them head to head, They've
Speaker 1: taken seven of tens and they all star break from
Speaker 1: the That's the thing. Do you think they have to
Speaker 1: win the division? That there's too much in jeopardy in
Speaker 1: a wild card game because they don't have that you
Speaker 1: can count on for that game. Yes, I do think
Speaker 1: they have to win the division. And picking up a
Speaker 1: game on Tuesday was a bear. On Wednesday rather was
Speaker 1: a big deal. I have futures on both the Brewers
Speaker 1: and the Giants to win the National League Pennants, so
Speaker 1: I hope they meet in the National League Championship Series. Well,
Speaker 1: the wild Card will play the winner of the West, right,
Speaker 1: so it's probably gonna be two West teams in that
Speaker 1: divisional round because Card plays the best record, which is
Speaker 1: going to be in the West. You could have the
Speaker 1: Dodgers play the Giants. If the Dodgers win the wild
Speaker 1: card games, they play at the Giants, right, you know,
Speaker 1: and in the American League right now, not to make
Speaker 1: it all baseball, but will be a far more missard.
Speaker 1: The Yankees are in jeopard here and the Blue Jays
Speaker 1: out of nowhere. You can still get the Blue Jays
Speaker 1: at a great price to win the American League. You
Speaker 1: can also have Charlie Montoya's bullpen. The bullpen has been
Speaker 1: good in New York. Here this series, this game where
Speaker 1: they rallied to beat the A's, they suddenly have this
Speaker 1: faith and they're all hitting. They want in a row. No,
Speaker 1: they can hit, they can hit, but you're gonna get
Speaker 1: real nervous late in the game. I I'm just saying,
Speaker 1: if they get in there, remember how that home crowd
Speaker 1: was into when the Joey Jose Bautista days. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: tell you, in the last time, in the last two months,
Speaker 1: maybe even three months, the two best pitchers in baseball
Speaker 1: Adventurers and Robbie Ray. Yeah, no doubt got hurt. He
Speaker 1: got hurt. Okay, So before we go, I'm sorry because
Speaker 1: I got into it. I got into it with the
Speaker 1: yesterday on this So I believe that this is the
Speaker 1: most moment so news flash. So so I believe when
Speaker 1: we talked this briefly day, but I didn't get to
Speaker 1: the point that these markets, these Baseball award markets this
Speaker 1: year are more driven by these unbending narratives than ever before.
Speaker 1: So Fernando Tatis might win the n L MVP, and
Speaker 1: maybe he deserves it, but minus three hundred and like
Speaker 1: Lon so does eighty one? What are we talking about?
Speaker 1: Can't hide him anywhere in the field. Right, he's a butcher, Right,
Speaker 1: he's a butcher. At American League Brook of the Year,
Speaker 1: Vonder Franco is about to break. He's at thirty eight
Speaker 1: straight games getting on base safely under twenty players. The
Speaker 1: record is Frank Robinson forty three. He already passed Mickey Mantle.
Speaker 1: And yet he's the third shot I get because he
Speaker 1: hasn't played as much. It's a Rookie of the Year.
Speaker 1: You don't have to count counting stats like how is
Speaker 1: he four to one? And so the one that he
Speaker 1: and I got into was American le M v P.
Speaker 1: And yesterday he went crazy about show Hey, O, Tony
Speaker 1: doesn't even deserve consideration. I very quietly at first described it.
Speaker 1: I'll go, E, you're crazy, like you're dying on this hill.
Speaker 1: They're gonna be a fifty and he's gonna be fifty
Speaker 1: and twenty five homers and stolen bases. He's leading the
Speaker 1: league in home runs. He's got an e r A
Speaker 1: of you know, he's a cy young candidate. What are
Speaker 1: you talking about? Babe Ruth's he's hiding and batting against smell.
Speaker 1: And you know he used to say, who were the
Speaker 1: greatest sports players of all time? It was Michael Jordan's,
Speaker 1: Babe Ruth, Babe Todd. I said, not only is he
Speaker 1: had the m v P this year, he is vying
Speaker 1: for one of the greatest individual seasons in the history
Speaker 1: of the sport. No, He's point is right, though, that
Speaker 1: Vlad would be an m v P and almost any
Speaker 1: other year, and he's not even really being talking. What's
Speaker 1: a starter? Well, that's what I'm saying. Well, Lad never
Speaker 1: walked his way out of a game. And in the
Speaker 1: Yankee Stadium in the bottom of the first Jason is
Speaker 1: telling us we have to wrap up because I believe
Speaker 1: the nuts is about, Oh my god, the nuts. Probably
Speaker 1: not even the nuts. Todd Wishner will be spilling in
Speaker 1: for both. Are you going to be on the A
Speaker 1: block and would like me to be on? Yeah, I
Speaker 1: would like to have you on the A block. That
Speaker 1: would be nuts. Does that sound like an invite? I
Speaker 1: think it sounded like an invite. Um, thank you for
Speaker 1: listening to the megapod. Thank you Brady, thank you Todd
Speaker 1: and Mike Todd, you're not gonna be with us, And
Speaker 1: I just want to say how delightful it was to
Speaker 1: get the hang out with Mike Palm in person and
Speaker 1: bust his balls and you get to bust my balls.
Speaker 1: We used to have so much fun at the South
Speaker 1: Point watching them. In fact, the first time I ever
Speaker 1: met Mike Palm, I was walking around South Point with
Speaker 1: one of those big soundboxes, and him and his boys,
Speaker 1: like Polly, We're all making fun of me that I
Speaker 1: was like some loser walking around at the sound box. Meanwhile,
Speaker 1: the sound box is the greatest thing ever designed. And
Speaker 1: Mike you started to come over once I gave him
Speaker 1: some free popcorn. All of a sudden, these my best buddy.
Speaker 1: And then we bonded over the goal with one t
Speaker 1: night bonded. We bonded over there. There was a goal off.
Speaker 1: There was a goal. It was Toronto Mega Leaves against
Speaker 1: the Boston Bruins. There was a goal with point one
Speaker 1: seconds left, but it wasn't a goal. But it was
Speaker 1: a goal that they shook hands. That wasn't a goal.
Speaker 1: Some places at four one someplace, me and Mike both lost.
Speaker 1: All right, we gotta go everybody that had Brady Cannon
Speaker 1: Megapod Week one guest catches. Thank you guys, thank you
Speaker 1: for listening to the Megapod. Good luck with all your bets.
Speaker 1: Week one in the NFL