Speaker 1: BOOKIEE Down, Miamis Run. What is Up? Dolphins? And welcome
Speaker 1: to the Drive Time Podcast, part of the Miami Dolphins
Speaker 1: podcast network, covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's it
Speaker 1: going everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield and as
Speaker 1: always I am here to bring you your daily dose
Speaker 1: of Miami Dolphins football. And on today's show, it is
Speaker 1: that time again, time to preview another Miami Dolphins football game.
Speaker 1: We're gonna go position by position, breaking down the matchups, tendencies,
Speaker 1: areas of opportunity, challenges to overcome, and everything in between
Speaker 1: on the most in depth Dolphins preview show in existence
Speaker 1: that includes the three keys to the game. The Dolphins
Speaker 1: will win if dot dot dot will also cover Brian
Speaker 1: flores as press conference from Wednesday. Buckle up because we
Speaker 1: have a busy, busy Thursday edition of the Drivetime Podcast
Speaker 1: from the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 1: This is you just heard it, the Drivetime Podcast. Can
Speaker 1: you believe it's Week six already? I mean, personally, this
Speaker 1: season has passed by at a snail's pace for your boy,
Speaker 1: but it does seem like the season has this crazy
Speaker 1: ability to go faster every single season. Even when it's
Speaker 1: not going by fast, it still goes by fast, if
Speaker 1: that makes any sense whatsoever. All right, less than a
Speaker 1: minute into the podcast when we're off the rails, So
Speaker 1: we're previewing another game here on this Thursday edition, a
Speaker 1: neutral site affair with the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have fallen
Speaker 1: on some tough times as of recently, though they are
Speaker 1: showing signs of progress on the field, if you want
Speaker 1: to believe that or not. They haven't won a game
Speaker 1: since Week one last year when Gardner Minshew was the
Speaker 1: one pull on the strings Go Coogs. But recently we've
Speaker 1: seen some of the fruits of their labor coming into
Speaker 1: a little bit of fruition, and it starts at the
Speaker 1: quarterback position. Nice rhyme. One of my favorite parts of
Speaker 1: the league are the never ending butterfly effect moments that
Speaker 1: exist for every team in every play, and every player
Speaker 1: for that matter. For thirteen weeks last year, it looked
Speaker 1: like Trevor Lawrence would be on his way up to
Speaker 1: the a f C East in the New York Jets
Speaker 1: until they win a pair of games, and now the
Speaker 1: Jags are graced with one of the highest rated quarterback
Speaker 1: prospects to come out of college in recent memory, probably
Speaker 1: back to Andrew Luck and Lawrence is coming on a
Speaker 1: bit despite what the statistics might say. More on that
Speaker 1: in a moment. The Jaguars have loaded up on draft
Speaker 1: picks from the Jalen Ramsey trade, three picks in the
Speaker 1: top thirty three this year. Unfortunately, Travis et M, one
Speaker 1: of my favorite prospects in this past class, went down
Speaker 1: in the preseason. Tyson Campbell their other pick at thirty three.
Speaker 1: They had a second year that was their second year
Speaker 1: rather of two first round draft picks. One from class
Speaker 1: is already out in the number nine overall pick in
Speaker 1: twenty c J. Henderson and calevan Chase on the other
Speaker 1: player they Sele did in that first round. So a
Speaker 1: very young team trying to build and grow this thing.
Speaker 1: Slow start this year, but you have to imagine they
Speaker 1: get better as things go along, as long as their
Speaker 1: coaching situation and all the stuff that going on there
Speaker 1: can get it self sorted out. But some of their
Speaker 1: later picks have been bigger hits early on, like Lavisca
Speaker 1: Chenulf Channelt who was the absolute truth like I love
Speaker 1: his game, to Von Hamilton, another good player from that class.
Speaker 1: But I think the real story of the Jags arc
Speaker 1: is how they went from a ten point lead in
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter of an a f C championship game
Speaker 1: where they probably should have won that game because of
Speaker 1: a fumble that was not called or was called incorrectly,
Speaker 1: to essentially the entire roster gutted and gone. I mean
Speaker 1: Claias Campbell, A J. Boyer, Jalen Ramsey, Leonard four Nette,
Speaker 1: Allen Robinson. So much of that team was dismantled and
Speaker 1: quickly right after that, like within two years of that,
Speaker 1: because team went could put pretty quickly into that season.
Speaker 1: So now it's urban Meyer trying to write this ship
Speaker 1: with all those picks. And look, we know he's been
Speaker 1: in the headlines for other since that. I don't think
Speaker 1: we have to discuss here on the podcast, But for now,
Speaker 1: it's a twenty game losing streak and just a random aside.
Speaker 1: I saw a stat the other day that they haven't
Speaker 1: made a field goal in two d and eighty three days. Now,
Speaker 1: that's just five games this year, and then I think
Speaker 1: it goes into the last season as well. But how
Speaker 1: is that possible? Well, they're actually the first team in
Speaker 1: NFL history to go the first five weeks of the
Speaker 1: season without a made field goal. Just one of those
Speaker 1: weird staff that I had to mention. Let's get into
Speaker 1: the matchups and start here with the Jacksonville quarterback against
Speaker 1: the Miami Safeties, as we do every single Thursday on
Speaker 1: the Preview podcast. Now, if you look at Lawrence's numbers,
Speaker 1: there's been a steady progression so far through the first
Speaker 1: five games. His game by game passer ratings seventy point one,
Speaker 1: thirty seven point to wow, sixty eight point one Wow,
Speaker 1: and then nineties six point five and nine two point
Speaker 1: one this past week. And you see it on the
Speaker 1: tape too. He's been most dangerous in the area most
Speaker 1: of these physically gifted Phee nomens are successful with when
Speaker 1: they first get to the league and they try to
Speaker 1: gain experience of playing and developing into the quarterbacks that
Speaker 1: can consistently win from within the structure. But his ability
Speaker 1: to go off script and make plays outside the pocket
Speaker 1: and throw on the move when things get kind of
Speaker 1: sloppy around him, that's when he seems to excel the most.
Speaker 1: And that's kind of the case for most quarterbacks in
Speaker 1: the modern day. But the guys that can I d
Speaker 1: the the defense and come up with an answer and
Speaker 1: then execute that answer on a down in and down
Speaker 1: out basis. I'm not saying Trevor can't do that, but
Speaker 1: it's pretty rare that a rookie can do it consistently,
Speaker 1: and right now he's not doing it consistently. So the
Speaker 1: matchup I look for here will kind of continue to
Speaker 1: go on this. But like the Jared Goff plan last
Speaker 1: year where you blitzed the weak side edge on those
Speaker 1: play action boots where he would try to get naked
Speaker 1: and get himself into a clean pocket and be able
Speaker 1: to survey from there, you blitz those areas so that
Speaker 1: he can't get wide and has to basically step up
Speaker 1: and throw off the play action. Look, that's kind of
Speaker 1: what I'm looking for here in this game, and it's
Speaker 1: also where I think you point to Javon Holland one.
Speaker 1: I think this is a good time to really empty
Speaker 1: the playbook in terms of throwing a bunch at Lawrence.
Speaker 1: As rookie quarterbacks, you want to heat him up, You
Speaker 1: want to throw as much as you can at them.
Speaker 1: In fact, Miami's played one rookie quarterback this year, and
Speaker 1: they want to know against rookie quarterbacks and oh and
Speaker 1: four against vectan quarterbacks. Don't give him the same look
Speaker 1: twice in a row, keep him guessing and try to
Speaker 1: get just a flash of hesitation. Because you do that,
Speaker 1: everything changes for the offense. And that's gonna be the
Speaker 1: most the most typical way to disrupt the rookies game
Speaker 1: is to cause that a little bit of hesitation, and
Speaker 1: that in this game, with all the speed and talent
Speaker 1: on those fields in the NFL, it's gonna be hard
Speaker 1: to overcome that. And one way I think you can
Speaker 1: do that is with Javon Holland, who I thought showed
Speaker 1: a lot in terms of what he can offer from
Speaker 1: a pre snap alignment standpoint and then get to his
Speaker 1: ultimate position with late pre snap and post snap rotation,
Speaker 1: going from the rat in the hole to one of
Speaker 1: the split safeties and a two underlook. We saw him
Speaker 1: and Brandon Jones play a significant chunk of that last week,
Speaker 1: and that can of course change week to week, but
Speaker 1: I think ultimately both of those guys ability to play
Speaker 1: of a ride of rolls slot cover man, post safety
Speaker 1: rat in the whole blitz, the weak or strong side edge,
Speaker 1: split safety look off the football. I think that flexibility
Speaker 1: can jive with the attempt to confuse Lawrence with those
Speaker 1: two young safeties, and it might even be a key
Speaker 1: matchup for me in this game as we look at
Speaker 1: Lawrence is splits versus the blitz and the splits this
Speaker 1: year eighteen for thirty nine four point eight yards per attempt,
Speaker 1: two touchdowns, two picks under pressure for fifty two five
Speaker 1: point one yards per pass, one touchdown or four picks.
Speaker 1: He heat the youngster up, you have a good chance
Speaker 1: of having success against him in this game. On play action.
Speaker 1: Check out the differential. It's the biggest in the National
Speaker 1: Football League with play action seventy one point seven percent
Speaker 1: nine point eight yards per attempt fifty five percent and
Speaker 1: five point four y p a without play action. Keep
Speaker 1: them out of short down and distances. I mean it's
Speaker 1: a key for every single team, but especially against younger quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: It's always going to be a key. And his two
Speaker 1: point nine seconds from snap to release is the seventh
Speaker 1: highest in the lead, and that's in the company of
Speaker 1: guys like Josh Allen, who's got two point nine one.
Speaker 1: It's tied with Sam Donald at two point nine. Trey
Speaker 1: Lance Lamar Jackson, Zack Wilson, Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray. All
Speaker 1: those guys are in the top ten, and what do
Speaker 1: they have in common, For the most part, their play extenders,
Speaker 1: Actually all of them are. And that leads into our
Speaker 1: next positional matchup here talking about the ability to extend
Speaker 1: plays and get pressure on Lawrence quickly and not let
Speaker 1: him out of the initial way you get in terms
Speaker 1: of pressure. Jacksonville running backs versus Dolphins linebackers. Now, will
Speaker 1: you bring Holland and Jones on those blitzes? Will be
Speaker 1: row or mccordy will find out. Will you bring Jerome Baker,
Speaker 1: Sam Ego Van or the fifth man down on the ball,
Speaker 1: whether it's Andrew Van Ginkle or Jalen Phillips, whoever the
Speaker 1: heck it is that you line up on the football.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm looking for here, the cat and mouse
Speaker 1: game with the linebackers versus James Robinson. Because Robinson's playing
Speaker 1: seventy Jacksonville snaps this year, but only eighteen of those
Speaker 1: total snaps come as a pass protector. And if that's
Speaker 1: the plan against blitzes in this game, the speeds up
Speaker 1: Lawrence's clock significantly. Blitz the crap out of running back
Speaker 1: because five guys to block five, or even if you
Speaker 1: bring the six guy and you send that six guy.
Speaker 1: In addition to the games that Miami runs up front
Speaker 1: with a offensive line that has a bunch of new
Speaker 1: guys working in right now in terms of starters and
Speaker 1: communication up front, we'll get to that here in just
Speaker 1: one second. They're gonna have to win quickly against coverage
Speaker 1: if that's the route you take. And guess what exaving
Speaker 1: Howard Byron Jones exists out there. So I think this
Speaker 1: matchup bodes well. On those eighteen snaps, Pro Football Focus
Speaker 1: has Robinson with three pressures allowed. But he will hurt
Speaker 1: you with the football in his hands. That's why I
Speaker 1: say you try to find a way to blitz him
Speaker 1: and make him stay in there and protection, don't le
Speaker 1: him get the ball as a pass catcher. And of
Speaker 1: course the more early down success you can have against
Speaker 1: him will help keep him out of the game as well.
Speaker 1: He's averaging four point to one yards after initial contact. Absurd.
Speaker 1: He's averaging five point eight yards per rush, equally absurd.
Speaker 1: He's forced sixteen miss tackles on sixty seven carries. See,
Speaker 1: you better tackle better. Wrap up. You better drive him
Speaker 1: to the ground, and tackling on those early downs to
Speaker 1: get them into obvious passing situations will go a very
Speaker 1: long way to putting the clamps on them and getting
Speaker 1: this defense going like we want to see. It's been
Speaker 1: five weeks, now let's get going, boys. It's a good
Speaker 1: chance to get it happening here. And Robinson is fifth
Speaker 1: and rushing and his one point three six yards over
Speaker 1: expected rush yards are fourth best in the National Football League,
Speaker 1: behind the two backs in Cleveland and Tony Pollard and Dallas.
Speaker 1: And he's also the middle of the pack in time
Speaker 1: spent behind the last scrimmage. Not really sure what to
Speaker 1: take from that stat, but the point is, this is
Speaker 1: the guy that can beat you. This is the guy
Speaker 1: that Jaguars have that can control the game, that can
Speaker 1: take it away from your offense and possess the football.
Speaker 1: Do not let him beat you. Don't do it. Just
Speaker 1: don't do it now. Since they are in eleven personnel
Speaker 1: so frequently, how do you beat him. You need strong
Speaker 1: edges from both Agba and Phillips, and if it's Van
Speaker 1: Ginkle or Brandan Scarlett out there, you've gotta set strong
Speaker 1: edges and then you need good fitting inside from Baker, Roberts,
Speaker 1: Egga Von whoever it might be. If they are in
Speaker 1: eleven personnel though, running the football out of that formation,
Speaker 1: out of that package, and you're gonna have to make
Speaker 1: a decision on a Land and Roberts because that's always
Speaker 1: your best bet to counter a run heavy attack. Right
Speaker 1: fifty two can fly in there and smack the run
Speaker 1: game and shut that thing down. But if you get
Speaker 1: them out there against eleven personnel, what does that mean?
Speaker 1: That means a linebacker on a slot receiver or a
Speaker 1: tight end even that you don't want. So they're likely
Speaker 1: gonna pass from that grouping too. So do you want
Speaker 1: to sacrifice the cover guy for a linebacker whose game
Speaker 1: is playing forward more sort than backwards. I'm just not
Speaker 1: sure that's the direction you want to go in. So
Speaker 1: maybe it's more guys up front with just Jerome Baker
Speaker 1: out there and more defensive backs. Or maybe it's three
Speaker 1: safety looks, your big nickel look and you get Brandon
Speaker 1: Jones and Eric Row onto the field because both those
Speaker 1: guys can come up and defend the run. So defending
Speaker 1: that eleven personnel package, to me, I look at some
Speaker 1: big Nickel. I look at some heavier defensive line fronts
Speaker 1: with some bear possibly with ray Kuan Davis at the nose,
Speaker 1: Christian Wilkins and Zach Seler at your two, your two
Speaker 1: techs head up over the guard. You bring Jalen Phillips
Speaker 1: down there, you bring I'm not sure who want the
Speaker 1: other linebacker to be on the outside edge. Maybe it's
Speaker 1: Emmanuel aug Ba out there as well. And you bring
Speaker 1: those guys under. You get heavy, and you block those
Speaker 1: guys up and you create spaces for Jerome Baker and
Speaker 1: uh Eric Rowe and Brandon Jones to run down to
Speaker 1: fly flow downhill on. Now, that's the direction I want
Speaker 1: to go in. But to have success against the Jags
Speaker 1: run game, you also have to have a strong performance
Speaker 1: up front from those guys we just mentioned, and that
Speaker 1: takes us into the Jacksonville offensive line versus the Miami
Speaker 1: defensive line. And Brandon Linder, who to me is the
Speaker 1: best player on their offensive line, was placed on injured
Speaker 1: reserve this week. It's a big loss for them. His
Speaker 1: replacement as Tyler Shatley. Running wise, they are strongest going
Speaker 1: right off the center. The a gap to the left
Speaker 1: of the center which was operated by Lindore and left
Speaker 1: guard Andrew Noel. Now Norwell and Shatley are going to
Speaker 1: be the new combination there, but they are averaging eleven
Speaker 1: point five yards per Russian that gap. That's absurd, eleven
Speaker 1: for one seven yards a touchdown, six first downs, and
Speaker 1: four ten plus yard runs. It's also the gap with
Speaker 1: the most forced miss tackles. So I look at ree
Speaker 1: Kuan Davis with a big task this week in that
Speaker 1: nose position. I think about Zach Seeler playing the two
Speaker 1: technique off the defense is right side of the formation
Speaker 1: to counteract that left guard gap they run behind. Of course,
Speaker 1: Miami has four defensive tackles that can play a lot
Speaker 1: of snaps and they've done it pretty much all year
Speaker 1: long when they've had ray Kuan Davis out there but
Speaker 1: one game and some change. But Davis's size, length and
Speaker 1: grip strength I think can help control the front and
Speaker 1: control that gap and present a challenge for the Jaguars
Speaker 1: in that regard. Because you go back to the Arizona
Speaker 1: game in Week three, it was tough sledding for Jacksonville
Speaker 1: that day with big Corey Peters in there, but also
Speaker 1: plenty of J. J. Watt condensing inside to give them fits.
Speaker 1: That's kind of where the Emmanuel aug Bas situation kind
Speaker 1: of pokes up to me, maybe even Jolan Phillips, because
Speaker 1: Phillips is so damn good really in every area of
Speaker 1: the game right now for my money. So I look
Speaker 1: at this versatile Dolphins defensive line with Davis Seiler Butler Wilkins.
Speaker 1: I think their ability to hold the point and stay
Speaker 1: fresh against an attack that wants to bang between the
Speaker 1: b gaps they're a play will be pivotal to give
Speaker 1: Baker Roberts and the rest of the off ball linebackers
Speaker 1: a shot to make some plays in the running game.
Speaker 1: And of course we know what the play action game
Speaker 1: does for Jacksonville as well. So interesting to go from
Speaker 1: Lindor to Shatley. I can't say I'm super familiar with
Speaker 1: Shatley's game, but man Lindoor can really play, and he
Speaker 1: was a team captain, So it might be a good
Speaker 1: time now to call upon all those different games that
Speaker 1: Brian Flores and Josh boy Are have in their back pocket.
Speaker 1: On defense, it's a big matchup in this area for
Speaker 1: Miami this week, but I expect and I think you
Speaker 1: have to dominate that area, to get the production, to
Speaker 1: get the running game shut down, and then to really
Speaker 1: put the clamps on this game in the way that
Speaker 1: I think Miami needs to come out and play strong.
Speaker 1: I think it starts up there defensively. Some past protection
Speaker 1: numbers here, Cam Robinson at left tackle eight team pressures allowed,
Speaker 1: no sacks and four hits. Phillips let's go man. Andrew
Speaker 1: Norwell five pressures. He's been the best offensive lineman all
Speaker 1: year for them. With Lindoor out, Tyler Shatley zero pressures allowed.
Speaker 1: That's fourteen snaps played. He came off the bench last week.
Speaker 1: Ben bartch a j Can went on i R after
Speaker 1: the Bengals game. So Ben Barr fills in four pressures
Speaker 1: that's a sack and two hits on eighty pass blocking snaps,
Speaker 1: and then Jawan Taylor eleven pressures off right tackle with
Speaker 1: one QB hits. You have two Newish guys inside and
Speaker 1: two tackles who are struggling. Man when inside of those rundowns,
Speaker 1: unleash Phillips and Agball on those third downs and probably
Speaker 1: some blitz is as well. With the idea of Baker
Speaker 1: running the A gap or eg Vaughan with Phillips and
Speaker 1: agball off the outside. I just feel like that's a
Speaker 1: winning recipe. Let's get it going, baby, I'm ready for
Speaker 1: this one. As for the Jaguars on the perimeter, their
Speaker 1: receivers and tight ends versus the Dolphins corners and d J.
Speaker 1: Chark went down on injury reserve after that brutal injury
Speaker 1: in the Bengals game. I hated to see that. Chart
Speaker 1: is one of the better players in this league. And
Speaker 1: to me, it's the Lavisco Chanel Show, the former Colorado Buffalo,
Speaker 1: one of my favorite players. You know, I guess I'm
Speaker 1: a Jaguars fan at this point. I love Channault. Between
Speaker 1: he and Robinson. Miami has to bring bodies of the
Speaker 1: party and tackle and wrap up and drive to the
Speaker 1: ground because they'll get it to him on pop asses,
Speaker 1: jet sweeps, screens down the field, mesh crossers, high low concepts.
Speaker 1: Whatever you can find a way to get the ball
Speaker 1: in his hand in motion and on the move, They're
Speaker 1: gonna do that. So keep an eye on number ten.
Speaker 1: He's also got some dreadlocks too out the back of
Speaker 1: that helmet, so you can keep it on that. He's
Speaker 1: second and targets and has a hundred and thirty one
Speaker 1: yak yards yards after catch yards doesn't make any sense.
Speaker 1: The next closest on that team is Dan Arnold with
Speaker 1: fifty eight, but that was mostly with the Panthers as
Speaker 1: he was traded for C. J. Henderson earlier this year.
Speaker 1: For Chanalt, he plays seventy percent of the time in
Speaker 1: the slot, and then Marvin Jones the only other player
Speaker 1: with more targets than Laviska thirty four for Jones thirty
Speaker 1: for Laviska. He plays in the slot thirty of the time.
Speaker 1: So looking at the matchup there, it looks a lot
Speaker 1: like the Bucks matchup. To me, I think xaviing Howard's
Speaker 1: a good fit for what Jones can do on the
Speaker 1: perimeter as far as matching his change of direction skill set.
Speaker 1: He's more of a technician, So I like x to
Speaker 1: getting that hip pocket, and I also like x on
Speaker 1: their most targeted player because that means more chances for interceptions.
Speaker 1: The kind of idea, as far as being the same
Speaker 1: as Tampa Bay and hopefully with much better execution on channel,
Speaker 1: is that you bracket him, you trail, and you cap
Speaker 1: him and keep the ball out of his hands because
Speaker 1: he's so dangerous with it and that comes from Nick
Speaker 1: met Um or Justin Coleman inside with the safety or
Speaker 1: a linebacker chipping with a safety, whever the case may be.
Speaker 1: You've got two eyes with hit with eyes on chanel
Speaker 1: more rhymes. On this podcast, we're cruising some offensive notes
Speaker 1: for Jacksonville. They run seventy of their offense out of
Speaker 1: eleven personnel. That's one back, one tight end, three receivers,
Speaker 1: and they have a fifty seven percent success rate on
Speaker 1: running plays out of that package. And just on the
Speaker 1: passing game, they run twelve personnel that's one back, two
Speaker 1: tight ends, and two receivers of the time. So basically
Speaker 1: the entire offense is one tight end he comes off
Speaker 1: the field, or the one receiver comes off the field,
Speaker 1: you bring a second tight end on for about a
Speaker 1: quarter of the snaps. Now, this is interesting because teams
Speaker 1: typically pass better out of twelve personnel and don't run
Speaker 1: the ball as well because that's kind of against the grain,
Speaker 1: right tendency breakers, but not Jacksonville pass rates success and
Speaker 1: six run rates success. So when they get two tight
Speaker 1: ends on the field, load up, play downhill and stop
Speaker 1: James Robinson. And what does the tape tell us here?
Speaker 1: That Robinson's a load who knows how to get north
Speaker 1: and south and he spends very little time behind the
Speaker 1: line and can get skinny without losing acceleration through the
Speaker 1: gap and to go hole. He's a damn good player.
Speaker 1: And the cog and that machine, they're gonna go to Robinson,
Speaker 1: channel and Jones and it was charked before he got injured.
Speaker 1: I'd see if the rest can beat you. And now
Speaker 1: that's three guys. That's a lot to take away from
Speaker 1: the game. But load up on those three guys and
Speaker 1: see what everybody else can do. That's my matchup suggestion
Speaker 1: as far as the Dolphins offense go, let's flip this
Speaker 1: thing over the Dolphins quarterback versus the Jacksonville safeties. Just
Speaker 1: looking at the numbers from last game, Ryan Tannehill had
Speaker 1: a few design runs against Jacksonville to produced first downs.
Speaker 1: And just a spoiler here, one of my keys is
Speaker 1: going to be be balanced on offense. And that's not
Speaker 1: just run game pass game, but RPO design quarterback runs
Speaker 1: give the defense more to think about and that can
Speaker 1: really help this Dolphins offense find a rhythm and get going.
Speaker 1: Maybe they play some more pace, Maybe it gets them
Speaker 1: the confidence to play with that pace and really put
Speaker 1: this Jaguars defense in a bind at quarterback with two
Speaker 1: A tungle Byloa and Flora's indicated that while it's a
Speaker 1: day to time thing, he's trending in the right direction
Speaker 1: to play on Sunday. This offense needs a spark and
Speaker 1: I'm hopeful that he could provide that spark. Watching the
Speaker 1: Bengals game against the Jaguars, I thought was a good
Speaker 1: example of what worked against that defense and what did not.
Speaker 1: A tale of two halves. Joe Burrow had time to throw,
Speaker 1: and he attacked the matchups in that second half. We'll
Speaker 1: get to the receivers on cornerbacks in a moment, but
Speaker 1: to finish out the quarterback safety's position. Andrew Winger and
Speaker 1: ray Sewn Jenkins are the primary safeties for Jacksonville. It's
Speaker 1: primarily a single high safety defense that's about sixties six
Speaker 1: percent of the time, and that's where you saw a
Speaker 1: lot of those numbers, or those matchups. Rather in the
Speaker 1: Bengals game present themselves with Jamaar Chase drawing one on
Speaker 1: ones on the perimeter, and you can dictate the safety
Speaker 1: based upon the formation. Maybe you put Jamaar chase as
Speaker 1: your boundary receiver. Maybe that's Jalen Waddle this week. You
Speaker 1: get the help away from Wattle and go one on
Speaker 1: one after Wattle. They like to play that safety in
Speaker 1: the post and play lots of man underneath and press man,
Speaker 1: and opposing offenses have thrown for seven touchdowns and no
Speaker 1: picks against a hundred and five single high pass drop
Speaker 1: backs this season. The one I n t they have
Speaker 1: came from too high and they've played fifty seven snaps
Speaker 1: and that look so two to two to one disparity
Speaker 1: there from single high and split high safety. When they
Speaker 1: go split high safety, that's when you take your chance
Speaker 1: to run the ball. When they go single high. I
Speaker 1: would throw the ball every damn time. So man beaters
Speaker 1: against that press man defense. Rubs mesh. What's mesh? It's
Speaker 1: when you run two crossing routes that basically put linebackers
Speaker 1: in a bind over the middle of the field. Kind
Speaker 1: Of a similar concept does drive, where you can run
Speaker 1: a couple of crossing routes to separate the hook zone
Speaker 1: the curl zone of the defense. Some high low action,
Speaker 1: some slant flat action. Just really stressed the importance of
Speaker 1: change in direction and trying to fight through traffic on
Speaker 1: defense against that man coverage. But those two players scifically.
Speaker 1: As far as Winger, he plays in that single high
Speaker 1: position a lot, but he has just four for eight
Speaker 1: targets completed against him for thirty seven yards this year.
Speaker 1: Where Ray Sean Jenkins it's eleven for fifteen with ninety
Speaker 1: yards and Winger has that loan Jacksonville touchdown. Let's continue
Speaker 1: the matchups here talking about receivers and tight ends versus
Speaker 1: Jacksonville cornerbacks. But first, Jacksonville by down this season. Listen
Speaker 1: to the past defense numbers. First down nine point six
Speaker 1: four yards per attempt, second down nine point five one
Speaker 1: yards per attempt, Third down nine point to one yards
Speaker 1: per attempt. Let's go, baby, how about these matchups. Shaquille
Speaker 1: Griffin's the top guy. He's a nine snaptaker. Tyson Campbell
Speaker 1: was playing sixty two percent, but he got injured, so
Speaker 1: Trey Herndon played that role last week, and then Clay
Speaker 1: or Chris Claybrooks played forty one snaps last Sunday. Those
Speaker 1: are the three guys out there you're gonna see with Herndon,
Speaker 1: clay Brooks and Shatt Griffin along with ray Sean Jenkins
Speaker 1: and Andrew Winger in that defensive secondary for the majority
Speaker 1: of their snaps, and when the Bengals went after Herndon,
Speaker 1: who replaced Campbell in that game, Cincinnati got the football
Speaker 1: Tyler Boyd for five catches on six targets for fifty
Speaker 1: five yards and three first downs. Glen Waddle that's a
Speaker 1: bit of a problem for Jacksonville this year playing inside
Speaker 1: and that's where Waddle and Gisicky do most of their damage.
Speaker 1: I'm looking for those two guys too, to have an
Speaker 1: opportunity to have a big game, and as I mentioned,
Speaker 1: they're gonna want to press and play man. I found
Speaker 1: this nugget on Twitter from Jordan to Lugo. Campbell, Clay Brooks,
Speaker 1: and Herndon have a combined eighty six percent completion rate allowed.
Speaker 1: So win those matchups and get the quarterback to be
Speaker 1: on time and on target and that's the route to
Speaker 1: potential success. And for two a tong of blower. Those
Speaker 1: are two of my favorite traits of his game, so
Speaker 1: I expect him to bounce back right away and get
Speaker 1: things cooking. Chat Griffin is at six compared to those
Speaker 1: six percent, so we'll see who he draws, but I
Speaker 1: might just avoid him altogether, not saying he's like, you know,
Speaker 1: prime Dion Sanders, but why go after him when you
Speaker 1: got the other options out there? Because on Campbell this
Speaker 1: year twenty six, if he plays completions and target, it's
Speaker 1: Claybrooks Herndon ten for eleven. Let's go baby Miami offensive
Speaker 1: line versus the Jacksonville defensive line. Pressure numbers Dwayne Smoot eighteen,
Speaker 1: Josh Allen thirteen, geehaw Ward ten and Caleb and Chase
Speaker 1: on ten. It's basically Dwayne Smoot right now. And Josh
Speaker 1: Allen's got some some good rush arsenal as well, but
Speaker 1: he has the slowest get off in the entire National
Speaker 1: Football League per next Gent stats. Hopefully coming off that
Speaker 1: right side can help keep two US blindside protected this
Speaker 1: time around. And then in the running game to Von Hamilton's,
Speaker 1: he's a tough guy to move. He was a I
Speaker 1: was a big fan of his game at Ohio State.
Speaker 1: Those of you that were with me back in nineteen
Speaker 1: on Lockdown, Dolphins knew how much I loved Davon Hamilton's
Speaker 1: And they want to play with her hair on fire
Speaker 1: in one gap and get up filled on you. It's
Speaker 1: maybe some wham traps, some some types of misdirection blocks.
Speaker 1: Maybe you bring your tight end into the h back
Speaker 1: position and lead block him that way, just trying to
Speaker 1: get extra protection back. There's gonna be a key because
Speaker 1: I think you have so many favorable matchups on the outside.
Speaker 1: You go heavy after those guys, and you make sure
Speaker 1: too with stays upright and can attack as far as
Speaker 1: Caleb and chasing off the other edge. He struggled with
Speaker 1: things other than just the get off that he has,
Speaker 1: and he's lacked power at the point. So I think
Speaker 1: you just try to run the football at those two
Speaker 1: ends with He and Smoot, keep them honest, keep them
Speaker 1: at bay, and play with those play off of that
Speaker 1: with those boot actions that play actions on a twelve
Speaker 1: personnel the two is so adept where you have layers concepts,
Speaker 1: flood concepts, your peel bat guy to excels in that area.
Speaker 1: I think it's a good way to approach this Jacksonville
Speaker 1: defense with some of those looks. Dolphins running backs versus
Speaker 1: Jacksonville linebackers. Miles jack has ten run stops, he has
Speaker 1: sideline to sideline speed, He's super athletic. However, this year,
Speaker 1: he's allowed thirteen completions and on those thirteen completions yards
Speaker 1: of yack. He's asked to do a lot on that defense,
Speaker 1: kind of like Jerome Baker here, but he tries to
Speaker 1: drop and coverage play downhill occasionally blitzes try to find
Speaker 1: out how you can get forty four, guessing that would
Speaker 1: keep this offense really on schedule. We have Miles Gaskin,
Speaker 1: who found himself into a hell of a position again
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay game. Over the last four games, running
Speaker 1: backs and tight ends have made up almost half of
Speaker 1: Miami's pass targets. Now, I think this is the game
Speaker 1: where you can begin to spread things back out and
Speaker 1: get the receivers more involved. With this defense and with
Speaker 1: this quarterback back, hopefully we see some of that. But
Speaker 1: Myles Gaskin could have another chance to eat. Because we
Speaker 1: talked about Jack's yak allowed men, the rhymes are coming.
Speaker 1: Damien Wilson was targeted fifteen times this season twelve catches,
Speaker 1: and nine seven of the buck eighties seven he has
Speaker 1: allowed has come after the catch. So maybe it's a
Speaker 1: Savona Akhmed game as well. With Miles Gaskin waiting to
Speaker 1: see Savona Akman out there. Really, it's a pick your
Speaker 1: matchup type of deal. The Jags haven't been good in
Speaker 1: this department in Miami. Better not let them get there
Speaker 1: this week. Don't let them turn it around this week Miami.
Speaker 1: Some defensive notes. They are twelve and blitz rate. They
Speaker 1: come after the quarterback with a fifth or extra rusher
Speaker 1: point three percent of the time, and their forty one
Speaker 1: missed tackles are third most in the National Football League
Speaker 1: per Pro Football Reference. Their special teams have not made
Speaker 1: a field goal this season. Can't believe that, but it's true.
Speaker 1: Josh Lambeau missed some time, but he was over three
Speaker 1: and Matthew right the film was over one, Lambo was back.
Speaker 1: He's gonna make one. That's like how it goes, right,
Speaker 1: Josh lamb was gonna make his first field goal in
Speaker 1: two three days against this Dolphins team. It's just how
Speaker 1: it goes. But hopefully it's just field goals. No p
Speaker 1: A t s. Jamal Agnew has four punt returns for
Speaker 1: thirteen yards this year. They don't get many punts over there,
Speaker 1: but he had the one hundred and nine yard play
Speaker 1: against Arizona on the field goal misreturn punter Logan Cook
Speaker 1: averages forty eight point nine yards per punt. That's eighth best,
Speaker 1: and it's not for a lack of sample size. His
Speaker 1: twenty two punts are sixth most in the National Football
Speaker 1: League Special teams wise, this is a battle of two
Speaker 1: of the bottom teams in terms of d v o A.
Speaker 1: Thirty feet for Jacksonville, thirty from Miami. Let's get this
Speaker 1: thing going back in the right direction for coach Crossman's unit.
Speaker 1: So there you have it. The Dolphins will win to
Speaker 1: me if they pressure Lawrence and prevent him from escaping
Speaker 1: that first wave and getting outside, and the passing game
Speaker 1: does to the Jaguars what everybody else has done. Just
Speaker 1: let's go, guys. This is a chance Jaguars will win
Speaker 1: this game. If the Dolphins make mistakes and beat themselves
Speaker 1: with drop passes, mis throws, penalties, things they give them
Speaker 1: short down and distances, keep the game tight, and incentivized
Speaker 1: jackson Bill to run the ball again and again and
Speaker 1: again and play action off of that. That's how you're
Speaker 1: gonna lose this game. The three keys apply the consistent
Speaker 1: pressure on Lawrence. We talked about the pressure numbers. Heat
Speaker 1: him up. Man. Let's go number Two, a balanced attack
Speaker 1: on offense. Get the ball to your playmakers. Waddle and
Speaker 1: Giziki particularly want to see the ball in those guys
Speaker 1: hands a lot in this game. And number three, let's
Speaker 1: get back to complementary football across all three phases like
Speaker 1: we had last year. I want to see a game
Speaker 1: this year where the offense helps the defense, defense helps
Speaker 1: special teams, and the circle goes on and on and on.
Speaker 1: Those are your three keys of this game. The injury report, now,
Speaker 1: I saw some questions on Twitter. Relax, guys, Relax, okay,
Speaker 1: because the designated to return from i R thing gives
Speaker 1: the Dolphins twenty one days to pull too off the
Speaker 1: i R, just like I did ray Kuan Davis last week,
Speaker 1: who was on i R all week and practiced all week,
Speaker 1: and he was off the i R on Saturday. I
Speaker 1: imagine if Miami does that, it'll be the exact same
Speaker 1: thing there with two a tongue of yloa. As far
Speaker 1: as the entire injury report, pulling it up on my
Speaker 1: phone right now, Miami had Xavien Howard's a d NP
Speaker 1: with a shoulder slash growing injury. He did not practice
Speaker 1: on Wednesday, nor did Davonte Parker with a shoulder and
Speaker 1: a hamstring. Jacoby Brissette was limited with a hamstring, so
Speaker 1: was Byron Jones with an achilles, and so was Adam
Speaker 1: Shaheen with a knee. Brandon Jones was a full participant
Speaker 1: with an ankle injury. On Wednesday's practice. The Jaguars had
Speaker 1: two d nps, Miles Jack and Marvin Jones. Marvin Jones
Speaker 1: was a not injury related practice report though, so keep
Speaker 1: that in mind and talking about the offensive line injuries.
Speaker 1: Ben Barches banged up, so is Tyler Shatley. Both of
Speaker 1: them were limited in this practice on Wednesday, so too
Speaker 1: was Tyson Campbell and Roy Robertson Harris. Full participants were
Speaker 1: Dakota Allen and Laurente McCrae, the outside linebacker there for
Speaker 1: the Jaguars. So plenty of information for you on this podcast.
Speaker 1: I want to finish up here talking about Brian Flores
Speaker 1: a Wednesday press conference. I highly recommend you go out
Speaker 1: and check it out on the YouTube channel. He was
Speaker 1: very forthcoming. He was even wearing a Clemson T shirt
Speaker 1: because he lost a bet with Christian Wilkins and had
Speaker 1: some fun banter there. So I'm not going to tell
Speaker 1: you the details of that bet of course had to
Speaker 1: do with the Boston College Clemson game, but he said,
Speaker 1: I pay my debts. He also talked at length about
Speaker 1: coaching in Italy, a defensive coordinator for an Italy football club.
Speaker 1: Go check it out. He was He was very entertaining
Speaker 1: in that press conference talking about that and then kind
Speaker 1: of changing gears here talking about John Gruden. Man. I
Speaker 1: love the way this coach just talks and views things
Speaker 1: and his general perspective on life. Go check out his
Speaker 1: comments on John Gruden about how it's it's not great
Speaker 1: because and this what led into the Italy questions. But
Speaker 1: he talked about how football opened a door for him
Speaker 1: to see so many things and the great meritocracy that
Speaker 1: football is in terms of it doesn't matter where you
Speaker 1: come from, as long as you can play football, and
Speaker 1: he talked about how he hates to see that possibly
Speaker 1: not being you know, the case with a certain football
Speaker 1: team based upon these John Gruden emails and everything. But
Speaker 1: he also said that I'm not one to judge a
Speaker 1: person off their biggest mistake. He believes in forgiveness. So
Speaker 1: just really poignant stuff from coach Flores. Go check it out.
Speaker 1: On the YouTube channel and then from my pick on Thursday.
Speaker 1: Since the game tonight is Buccaneers and Eagles, well give
Speaker 1: me the Buccaneers you guys saw them play on Sunday.
Speaker 1: Give me Tampa Bay and that one. In the meantime,
Speaker 1: that is gonna be my time. You all, please be
Speaker 1: sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcast, leave
Speaker 1: us a rating, and leave us a review. You can
Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at Wingfield NFL, follow the team
Speaker 1: at Miami Dolphins. Check out the fish Tank podcast on
Speaker 1: this week as well as our post game show on
Speaker 1: five six w q A M, the YouTube channel, and
Speaker 1: of course Miami Dolphins dot com. And until next time,
Speaker 1: Fins Up and Caroline Daddy just coming out