WEBVTT - Inflation Jumps - Bitcoin Dumps - Have We Found The Bottom?

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, Welcome back to another episode of The Markmas Show,

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<v Speaker 1>where we talk about the decentralized Revolution. Each and every

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<v Speaker 1>week we bring you through what is happening around the world,

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<v Speaker 1>trying to narrate it for you so it kind of

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<v Speaker 1>makes sense of what's going on. Of course, I talked

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<v Speaker 1>about the decentralized revolution, the way the world has been

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<v Speaker 1>centralizing and now it's about to be decentralized that we

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<v Speaker 1>can see it happening all over the world, and of course,

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<v Speaker 1>UM it's being led by new technology like bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

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<v Speaker 1>You now in the in the bitcoin cryptocurrency space. Over

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<v Speaker 1>the last couple of months, it's been been pretty bad

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<v Speaker 1>for a lot of people. We've seen, UM a blow

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<v Speaker 1>up similar to the Great Financial Crash, which I've covered

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<v Speaker 1>UM at length. I know for a lot of people

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<v Speaker 1>they got caught up in this crash and I and

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<v Speaker 1>I I don't hope for anyone to lose money. It

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<v Speaker 1>makes me sad to think of anybody that's being being

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<v Speaker 1>hurt by this, and I've heard, unfortunately, I've heard countless

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<v Speaker 1>stories of people that have lost everything. UM. I believe

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<v Speaker 1>I've even heard of people taking their own lives over

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<v Speaker 1>how much money they've lost. It's that bad. So I

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<v Speaker 1>don't I don't wish that on anybody, UM, but I

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<v Speaker 1>also hope that people learn their lessons from it. But

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<v Speaker 1>for those people that might be caught up in the

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<v Speaker 1>in the mix, there might be some good news hopefully. So, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I've kind of been keeping you up to date on

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on, and we saw, um, you know, when

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<v Speaker 1>this domino started dropping down, UM, bigger companies started getting

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<v Speaker 1>getting caught up in this, and Celsius is one of

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<v Speaker 1>those companies that really got up, got caught, got caught

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<v Speaker 1>in this mess. You know. They had just way too

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<v Speaker 1>much exposure to these risky protocols and they stopped letting

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<v Speaker 1>withdrawals happen about a month ago. And UM, I've been

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<v Speaker 1>trying to keep you up to date on this in

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<v Speaker 1>case you have money that's locked up on there. And UM,

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<v Speaker 1>while I don't want to falsely encourage you and tell

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<v Speaker 1>you to hold your breath, I do you know there

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<v Speaker 1>is maybe a little bit of hope. UM. In the beginning,

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<v Speaker 1>when it first started happening with Celsius, they were in

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<v Speaker 1>danger of getting their positions liquidated because bitcoin was falling

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<v Speaker 1>so fast and they had wrapped up a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin and locked it up on some of these defied protocols.

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<v Speaker 1>And because it's in this defied decentralized finance protocols, um,

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<v Speaker 1>there's transparency. So most of the people could see where

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<v Speaker 1>that was apt and uh, you could see where their

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<v Speaker 1>liquidation price. I think at the beginning when they first

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<v Speaker 1>locked up withdraws, it was about eighteen thousand, so bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>had hit about eighteen thousand, Celsius would be liquidated. But

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<v Speaker 1>then Celsius has been putting back more collateral, more collateral,

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<v Speaker 1>more collateral onto the system to lower that liquidation level.

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<v Speaker 1>Then they got it down to like fifteen, and then

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<v Speaker 1>the thirteen, and then to like eight and then to five.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's potentially good news if you have money locked

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<v Speaker 1>on Celsius because they have Uh, well, it's good for everybody.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh it's good for if you're in crypto at all.

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<v Speaker 1>But if you have money locked up in there, it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's potentially good because maybe if they don't get completely liquidated,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe there's a chance you get money back again. Don't

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<v Speaker 1>hold your breath, um, but maybe there's a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of hope there for you. It's also good for the

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin space, uh, even bigger, crypto space, even bigger, because

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<v Speaker 1>if they got liquidated, it could instantly put a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies onto the market and dump it

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<v Speaker 1>at a time when there's very thin liquidity, and it

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<v Speaker 1>could push the price down even lower. So we saw

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<v Speaker 1>this week. It says Celsius pays off their last defied

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<v Speaker 1>loan and reclaims nearly two hundred million of bitcoin from

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<v Speaker 1>um Compound, which is a decentralized finance protocol. It says

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<v Speaker 1>the troubled crypto lender previously paid off loans from Ave

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<v Speaker 1>and Maker, and so basically what happens is, in order

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<v Speaker 1>to get these loans, they had to put up they

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<v Speaker 1>had overcollateralize them. So they had to put up, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>about a hundred and fifty percent of the amount they

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to borrow back. And these are on these like protocols,

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<v Speaker 1>so there's nobody to call up and say like, hey, buddy,

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<v Speaker 1>you know we've done business for a long time, can

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<v Speaker 1>you hold off for a second. Um, there's no Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>that's different. So Celsius is c FI centralized finance. These

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<v Speaker 1>are defied decentralized finance. There's nobody to call and ask

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<v Speaker 1>if they could give you a favor, UM, And so

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<v Speaker 1>they paid them off from a they paid them off

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<v Speaker 1>for maker, and now they paid them off from Compound.

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<v Speaker 1>Now we can see that. Um. Like I said, they've

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<v Speaker 1>been facing these liquidity problems, facing getting liquidated, but now

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<v Speaker 1>they've been able to pay off this two million. They

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<v Speaker 1>had paid down fifty million to Compound on Wednesday, and

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<v Speaker 1>then that got them back ten thousand bitcoin, which was

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<v Speaker 1>pretty pretty big number. Like I said, even if you

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<v Speaker 1>don't have any money on these, still nice to not

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<v Speaker 1>have to see ten thousand bitcoin get dumped into the

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<v Speaker 1>UM into the market at one time, that'd be pretty bad.

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<v Speaker 1>That was worth about a million current prices. So they

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<v Speaker 1>with with fifty million paid down, they got access to

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<v Speaker 1>about two hundred million back UM, which, like I said,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe it is pretty good. Um. He said. The maneuver

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<v Speaker 1>followed a similar treasury management tactic that Celsius used recently

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<v Speaker 1>to pay out to fully pay off and closes loans

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<v Speaker 1>from a van maker. The loans on these protocols are overcollateralized,

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<v Speaker 1>me in the borrows to lock up. So we've already

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<v Speaker 1>covered that now. UM. Is that a good thing or

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<v Speaker 1>is it a bad thing, Well, there's could be potential

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<v Speaker 1>legal problems from this, and the reason why is that, so,

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<v Speaker 1>how are they able to pay these down? Where are

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<v Speaker 1>they getting the money to do this? And if they

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<v Speaker 1>have money to pay these down, why are they not

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<v Speaker 1>giving money back to people who had money on the exchange?

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<v Speaker 1>Why are they not paying back to positors. What happens

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<v Speaker 1>is whenever you run into legal problems and you have

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<v Speaker 1>to go into some sort of a restructuring or some

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<v Speaker 1>sort of a reorganization, there's typically an order process of

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<v Speaker 1>who gets their money back first. Now, typically creditors get

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<v Speaker 1>money back before depositors, so UM in a traditional publicly

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<v Speaker 1>traded company, for example, bondholders who are creditors would money

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<v Speaker 1>back before equity holders or stockholders right um. Or for example,

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<v Speaker 1>on a house you have like a first trustee, you

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<v Speaker 1>could have a second trustee, the third, fourth, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 1>And the first money would go to pay back the

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<v Speaker 1>first trusteed, and then whatever is left we go to

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<v Speaker 1>the second. If there's anything left goes to the third, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>There's typically an order of that, and we can see

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<v Speaker 1>that there's all types of legal questions that are being

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<v Speaker 1>raised of who should get paid first, and there's an

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<v Speaker 1>article that came out of Bloomberg that says the leaguered

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<v Speaker 1>crypto lender has paid back a string of death totally

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<v Speaker 1>more than nine hundred million, which is good except for

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<v Speaker 1>should some of that llion gone back to the depositors. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it says the paydowns have raised the spectru of a

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<v Speaker 1>legal debate on how and in what order should distress

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<v Speaker 1>crypto companies payback creditors. Now, no matter what the typical

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<v Speaker 1>order is, people are not going to be happy about this,

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<v Speaker 1>and so it's definitely gonna be a legal debate and

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<v Speaker 1>it's definitely going to bring all types of legal concerns

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<v Speaker 1>about this, uh haiing back these platforms as we talked

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<v Speaker 1>about Compound Maker, et cetera. So it's because the loans

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<v Speaker 1>from defied platforms are often required to be overclatteralized. Doing

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<v Speaker 1>so what allows Celsius to reclaim the extra coins locked

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<v Speaker 1>on the platform, thus securing more assets on a net basis.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, they did pay out fifty million, but

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<v Speaker 1>they got two hundred million back, so I guess that's

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<v Speaker 1>a good thing. But it says like uh, like most things,

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<v Speaker 1>crypto were an uncharted territory in terms of who shouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>ultimately get paid back ahead of other parties, which is

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<v Speaker 1>complicated by the smart contracts implicated and by the intertwined

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<v Speaker 1>defined lending contractual relationships. So it says Celsius has been

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<v Speaker 1>exploring options, including a restructure and of its liability. So

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<v Speaker 1>they're trying to figure out how to restructure this. They

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<v Speaker 1>can see who gets their money back. Now, from what

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<v Speaker 1>I've been able to dig in and find out, it

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<v Speaker 1>looks like Celsius was holding money in a couple different ways.

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<v Speaker 1>So some people just had money deposited there, so Celsius

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<v Speaker 1>was just holding it on their behalf. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>if you just had money being deposited there, then that

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<v Speaker 1>probably comes back first. Then if you were getting a loan,

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<v Speaker 1>so you gave them collateral and they they gave you

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<v Speaker 1>a loan back, that might be second. And if you

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<v Speaker 1>gave them money and they were paying you yield back,

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<v Speaker 1>that would probably be the last to get paid back.

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<v Speaker 1>So it looks like depend on how you had money,

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<v Speaker 1>or if you had money and how you had it

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<v Speaker 1>on Celsius, that would be the order that you get

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<v Speaker 1>paid back. Hopefully, maybe it depends on where you're at.

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<v Speaker 1>There is that Celsius repaying some debt ahead of a

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<v Speaker 1>potential bankruptcy raises the issue of so called quote unquote

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<v Speaker 1>preference claims in a Chapter eleven bankruptcy, some creditors aren't

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<v Speaker 1>supposed to end up better off than others. Quote. It's

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<v Speaker 1>fair to say that any payments or exchange is made

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<v Speaker 1>while not allowing creditors to get their money in the

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<v Speaker 1>ordinary course of business or potentially subject to clawbacks in bankruptcy.

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<v Speaker 1>So if Celsius gave you some money back and then

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<v Speaker 1>through bankruptcy court they found they shouldn't have, they could

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<v Speaker 1>come after you to get some of that money back.

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<v Speaker 1>Something to keep in mind now, probably nobody listening to

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<v Speaker 1>this is getting money back from Celsius. If you have,

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<v Speaker 1>I'd love to hear from you. Hit me up on

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<v Speaker 1>social media at one Mark Moss. That's at just the

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<v Speaker 1>number one Mark Boss. I'm gonna come back. I got

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<v Speaker 1>a whole lot more to cover today, talking about what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening with cryptocurrencies, what's happened with the US Treasury, um

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<v Speaker 1>happening in South Africa. There's been a whole lot of

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<v Speaker 1>news this week. I got a lot to get through. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you're listening to the Mark Mos Show talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>decentralized Revolution, talking about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and macroeconomics. Be back

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<v Speaker 1>with that and more in a minute. So don't go away,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, welcome back. You are listening to the Mark

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<v Speaker 1>Mass Show. We're talking about the decentralized Revolution. We're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about bitcoin cryptocurrencies, We're talking about the macro economic picture

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<v Speaker 1>of the world, the geopolitics picture of the world, and

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<v Speaker 1>so much more. You know, I don't have a lot

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<v Speaker 1>to dig into the geopolitics side today, um, but we

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<v Speaker 1>have to look at all of that. I'm trying to

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<v Speaker 1>really bring everything that's happening in the world today into context.

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<v Speaker 1>And you have to understand what's happening with politics and

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<v Speaker 1>the geopol Understand where the financial markets are moving, because

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<v Speaker 1>unfortunately it's become very political. Um. And we can see

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<v Speaker 1>some of that happening. UM. So, for example, we saw

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<v Speaker 1>the US Treasury. So the United States has a central bank,

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<v Speaker 1>the Federal Reserve, right, and then they also have the

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<v Speaker 1>U S Treasury. Now, the Federal Reserve is a semi

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<v Speaker 1>quasi private institution. It's kind of run by the banks. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a there's a lot to be said about that. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>if you'd like to know more about that, you can

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<v Speaker 1>hit me up on social media tell me you want

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<v Speaker 1>me to talk about that more, or just check out

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<v Speaker 1>the book The Creature from Jekyl Island. They really get

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<v Speaker 1>into that. It's pretty good. Um. So, the FED is

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<v Speaker 1>this kind of semi quasi private you know, institution that

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<v Speaker 1>basically creates money from thin air, and they loan it

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<v Speaker 1>to the banks, the commercial banks, and then the commercial

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<v Speaker 1>banks create that money into existence. Now the government also

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<v Speaker 1>needs money. The the US government is in debt thirty

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<v Speaker 1>one trillion dollars. How do they get the Well, people

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<v Speaker 1>have to loan it to them. So who loans it

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<v Speaker 1>to them? Well, uh, if you have money and a

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<v Speaker 1>pension fund or a four oh one K fund or

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<v Speaker 1>something like that, there's a good chance there's a good

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<v Speaker 1>chance you have loaned money to the US government. If

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<v Speaker 1>you have bonds in your portfolio, there's a good chance

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<v Speaker 1>you've loaned money to the government. Other nations loan money

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<v Speaker 1>to the government. So Japan and China have loan money

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<v Speaker 1>to the government by buying bonds. So when they buy

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<v Speaker 1>the bonds, they do that. So how does the problem is?

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<v Speaker 1>Is that the US government runs a deficit, meaning they

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<v Speaker 1>have to live off debt, and they have less and

0:11:32.840 --> 0:11:36.680
<v Speaker 1>less people wanting to loan them money. So the amount

0:11:36.679 --> 0:11:38.400
<v Speaker 1>of the amount of people that want to loan money

0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:41.880
<v Speaker 1>to the US government has been dropping. China doesn't want

0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:44.559
<v Speaker 1>to lend money to the government anymore. Japan doesn't have

0:11:44.640 --> 0:11:47.160
<v Speaker 1>any money to borrow, buy money, or lend money to

0:11:47.240 --> 0:11:50.520
<v Speaker 1>the government anymore. So then who does Well, that's where

0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:52.880
<v Speaker 1>the Federal Reserve comes in. So the Federal Reserve can

0:11:52.920 --> 0:11:54.319
<v Speaker 1>create money from thin air and then loan it to

0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:58.160
<v Speaker 1>the government. Pretty interesting, right, So that's uh, I broke

0:11:58.240 --> 0:11:59.800
<v Speaker 1>I broke that down for you so you can understand.

0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.160
<v Speaker 1>That's with the U. S. Treasury. The U. S. Treasury

0:12:02.679 --> 0:12:05.520
<v Speaker 1>is the the accountant there, the CFO of the government

0:12:05.600 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 1>right there, the bookkeeper whenever you want to call it.

0:12:08.679 --> 0:12:12.040
<v Speaker 1>So the Treasury Department handles the money issuance. So these

0:12:12.080 --> 0:12:14.400
<v Speaker 1>are the dollars, the coins that we have, and they

0:12:14.480 --> 0:12:17.600
<v Speaker 1>also issue you know, the treasury there, the accounting department,

0:12:17.640 --> 0:12:20.920
<v Speaker 1>so they manage who gets paid. Do we give out

0:12:21.000 --> 0:12:23.240
<v Speaker 1>welfare U b I, do we give out you know,

0:12:23.320 --> 0:12:26.000
<v Speaker 1>tax re rebase refunds? Right, And so they get the

0:12:26.040 --> 0:12:28.160
<v Speaker 1>money out to the public. And this is why a

0:12:28.160 --> 0:12:29.800
<v Speaker 1>lot of times people say that the federal Reserve isn't

0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:32.120
<v Speaker 1>really inflationary because the federal Reserve can't get money to

0:12:32.280 --> 0:12:36.560
<v Speaker 1>the public. The Federal Reserve can only get money, um,

0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:39.120
<v Speaker 1>they can buy debt of the government and then the

0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:42.000
<v Speaker 1>government can now put more money out into the public.

0:12:42.600 --> 0:12:44.120
<v Speaker 1>And so that's just kind of the difference of the U. S.

0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:47.320
<v Speaker 1>Treasury versus the follow Reserve. Now, the U. S. Treasury

0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:55.000
<v Speaker 1>um has at times throughout history made their own currency. Um,

0:12:55.120 --> 0:12:57.960
<v Speaker 1>they're talking about creating their own currency. Again. A lot

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:01.000
<v Speaker 1>of people that understand how that works think, so, wait

0:13:01.040 --> 0:13:04.920
<v Speaker 1>a minute, why does the Treasury have to borrow money

0:13:04.960 --> 0:13:08.400
<v Speaker 1>from the federal reserve that has no reserves. They're not

0:13:08.520 --> 0:13:11.960
<v Speaker 1>federal and they have no reserves, And they basically loaned

0:13:12.080 --> 0:13:14.839
<v Speaker 1>me money that they created from thin air. So why

0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:17.120
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't I just create money from thin air? And if

0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:18.560
<v Speaker 1>you ask that question, that would be a very good

0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 1>question to ask, and we'd all like to know the answer. Now,

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:28.280
<v Speaker 1>in history, there's been really one time in where the

0:13:28.320 --> 0:13:30.240
<v Speaker 1>Treasury has said, you know what, we'll just make our

0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:34.559
<v Speaker 1>own money. And they did. They were it was a

0:13:34.600 --> 0:13:36.360
<v Speaker 1>type of money called a green back. Now a lot

0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:38.640
<v Speaker 1>of people think that the green back is a slang

0:13:38.840 --> 0:13:40.480
<v Speaker 1>term for the dollar, which it kind of is, but

0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:42.960
<v Speaker 1>it was actually a different type of money. And that's

0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:46.000
<v Speaker 1>when then President Abraham Lincoln said, we don't need to

0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:48.440
<v Speaker 1>create borrow money from the FED. That creates it from

0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 1>thin air. Well, it wasn't the it wasn't the FED

0:13:50.360 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 1>at the time. Sorry, it was the National Bank. But

0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:55.000
<v Speaker 1>we'll we'll just create our our money, our green back,

0:13:55.040 --> 0:13:58.480
<v Speaker 1>which they did. Of course Abraham Lincoln died. Might have

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:02.079
<v Speaker 1>a connection, maybe not. I'll leave that for you to

0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 1>decide and draw your own flight. Are your own lines there?

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:09.439
<v Speaker 1>But we've seen that the President Joe Biden he ordered

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:14.600
<v Speaker 1>he had an executive order in March on cryptocurrencies directed

0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:17.280
<v Speaker 1>at the Treasury Department for them to take the lead

0:14:17.360 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 1>among other government agencies and developing policy recommendations on cryptocurrency.

0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 1>So it's not up to the FED. A lot of

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:25.760
<v Speaker 1>times people would say, why would the central banks ever

0:14:25.880 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 1>allow bitcoin to succeed? They don't want to give up

0:14:28.240 --> 0:14:31.280
<v Speaker 1>control over the money. Well, the FED doesn't create laws.

0:14:31.960 --> 0:14:33.440
<v Speaker 1>It's not up to the Fed to decide if they

0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:37.000
<v Speaker 1>can let a succeed or not. The government they make

0:14:37.080 --> 0:14:40.360
<v Speaker 1>the laws, and so here we have The President had

0:14:40.360 --> 0:14:43.360
<v Speaker 1>an executive order in March directing the Treasury to come

0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 1>up with policy recommendations on bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Now the Department,

0:14:48.040 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 1>the State Department of the Treasury, has requested comments from

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:55.360
<v Speaker 1>the public on the potential opportunities and risks of digital

0:14:55.440 --> 0:15:00.400
<v Speaker 1>assets and compliance with that executive order. So whenever whenever,

0:15:00.960 --> 0:15:03.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of times when the government is going to

0:15:03.880 --> 0:15:06.600
<v Speaker 1>create new laws or policies and regulations, they'll put things

0:15:06.640 --> 0:15:08.720
<v Speaker 1>out for a public comment so they can hear what

0:15:08.880 --> 0:15:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the public has to say. It's not quite a vote,

0:15:11.680 --> 0:15:14.280
<v Speaker 1>but at least they're getting information. So a lot of

0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:18.200
<v Speaker 1>times you'll see you know, think tanks and you know

0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 1>law firms chime in on this. In the cryptocurrency space,

0:15:21.840 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 1>it's been common in the past for individual users to

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 1>start flooding on the comments, and that's kind of what's happening.

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 1>And it says in a Tuesday announced with the Treasury

0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:32.280
<v Speaker 1>said it was asking for input from the public that

0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:35.600
<v Speaker 1>will quote inform its work in reporting to the President

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:38.240
<v Speaker 1>and possible implications of digital assets on the financial markets

0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:42.920
<v Speaker 1>and payment infrastructures. UM so that's something that you can

0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:45.120
<v Speaker 1>do if you would like your voice to be heard.

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 1>It's not gonna be done at the ballot box with

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 1>a vote, It's going to be done through comment like this.

0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 1>It says, quote. For consumers, digital assets may present potential

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 1>benefits such as faster payments, as well as potential risks,

0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 1>including risks related to frauds and scams. There's always frauds

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 1>and scams. If you need the government to protect you

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 1>from being defrauded or scammed, you should probably go look

0:16:11.520 --> 0:16:15.000
<v Speaker 1>in the mirror again. If you think the government can

0:16:15.040 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 1>protect you from getting fraud or scammed. Uh, I have

0:16:17.960 --> 0:16:19.320
<v Speaker 1>a bridge to tell you. I've been talking about that

0:16:19.320 --> 0:16:22.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot to tay. Um says the Treasury is seeking

0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:24.040
<v Speaker 1>to benefit from the expertise of the American people and

0:16:24.080 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 1>market participants by soliciting public comment as we engage in

0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the important work. Um, so is buying a lottery ticket

0:16:32.640 --> 0:16:34.160
<v Speaker 1>like I be in a scam? I mean, what's the

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 1>chance of you getting your money back? Uh? They don't

0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:40.160
<v Speaker 1>stop that anyway. The public has until August eight to

0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 1>submit comments to the Treasury on what they believe would

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:48.200
<v Speaker 1>be the implications of this. It says that the potential

0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:51.000
<v Speaker 1>impact of introducing new financial products and services. In addition,

0:16:51.320 --> 0:16:54.280
<v Speaker 1>the Government Department requested Americans waigh in on potential risks,

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:58.960
<v Speaker 1>including losing private keys and the authenticity of digital assets.

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:03.760
<v Speaker 1>Think about that, um, The government requested Americans weigh in

0:17:03.800 --> 0:17:09.240
<v Speaker 1>on the potential risks of losing your private keys. So

0:17:09.920 --> 0:17:14.119
<v Speaker 1>the revolution. The revolution is that I can hold my

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:18.359
<v Speaker 1>assets in a way that can't be c stolen from me.

0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:22.480
<v Speaker 1>And I do that by me taking personal responsibility and

0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:27.000
<v Speaker 1>holding my cryptographic key. I don't have to I can

0:17:27.160 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't have to buy it, I can leave it,

0:17:29.000 --> 0:17:30.920
<v Speaker 1>let someone else management key. But but I have the

0:17:30.960 --> 0:17:34.280
<v Speaker 1>ability to hold my key. But if you lose your key,

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:36.879
<v Speaker 1>then you know, then you lose your key. So they

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:38.639
<v Speaker 1>want to They want Americans to weigh in on the

0:17:38.840 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 1>risks of losing your private key. So if everyone says, well,

0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:43.640
<v Speaker 1>it's way too risky, it's way to risk you should

0:17:43.640 --> 0:17:44.920
<v Speaker 1>do something about feel that they're going to make it

0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:48.560
<v Speaker 1>illegal for you to hold your own keys. Now, think

0:17:48.640 --> 0:17:51.560
<v Speaker 1>long and hard about that. That's what they're talking about.

0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:54.440
<v Speaker 1>That's their words, not mine. Man. You listen to the

0:17:54.480 --> 0:17:57.200
<v Speaker 1>Marktmas show. We're talking about the decentralized Revolution. We're talking

0:17:57.200 --> 0:18:02.120
<v Speaker 1>about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, macroeconomics, politics as well, talking about US

0:18:02.200 --> 0:18:05.520
<v Speaker 1>Treasury deciding whether you should use cryptocurrencies or if they're

0:18:05.560 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 1>too risky. I got a lot more to cover in

0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:09.280
<v Speaker 1>a minute when I come back, so don't go away.

0:18:09.320 --> 0:18:11.680
<v Speaker 1>I'll be right back. Hello, welcome back. You are listening

0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:15.720
<v Speaker 1>to the Markma Show. We're talking about the Decentralized Revolution.

0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:20.120
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about bitcoin cryptocurrencies, We're talking about geopolitics, we're

0:18:20.160 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about macroeconomics. We just got done talking about the

0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 1>politics side, talking about the Biden administration and the Treasury um.

0:18:30.400 --> 0:18:33.080
<v Speaker 1>And you know how they want to protect you from

0:18:33.200 --> 0:18:38.600
<v Speaker 1>the risks that are in the bitcoin cryptocurrency space. And

0:18:38.680 --> 0:18:42.200
<v Speaker 1>it's not just the US government that wants to protect

0:18:42.359 --> 0:18:46.399
<v Speaker 1>you from your own self. We see in other countries

0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:50.040
<v Speaker 1>as well. The thought of needing the government to protect

0:18:50.200 --> 0:18:54.360
<v Speaker 1>me from myself it kind of makes me mad. I mean,

0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:59.560
<v Speaker 1>the fact that anybody would need would want I should

0:18:59.600 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 1>say I could see, I could see that some people

0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:07.200
<v Speaker 1>may want it. But the fact that anybody thinks they

0:19:07.400 --> 0:19:11.480
<v Speaker 1>need the government to protect them from theirselves, I guess

0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:13.159
<v Speaker 1>it just kind of shows you where we're at in

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:18.160
<v Speaker 1>the world today where you know, with great freedom comes

0:19:18.280 --> 0:19:23.840
<v Speaker 1>great responsibility, Like if I have the freedom to hurt myself,

0:19:23.960 --> 0:19:28.160
<v Speaker 1>I have to be responsible enough not to hurt myself. Um.

0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:32.119
<v Speaker 1>I guess the government could take away my freedom to

0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:34.200
<v Speaker 1>hurt myself and they don't have to have the responsibility

0:19:34.240 --> 0:19:35.600
<v Speaker 1>of being able to hurt myself. But is that the

0:19:35.680 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 1>world that you want to live in? But some people

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:45.200
<v Speaker 1>do It's it's insane, So I guess the government needs

0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:47.080
<v Speaker 1>to keep doing that. But it seems in saying to me,

0:19:47.119 --> 0:19:48.560
<v Speaker 1>I'd love to hear your thoughts. Hit me up on

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:50.720
<v Speaker 1>social media at one Mark Moss, just at the number

0:19:50.760 --> 0:19:52.880
<v Speaker 1>one Mark Moss, hit me up on Twitter or Instagram.

0:19:53.000 --> 0:19:54.399
<v Speaker 1>Let me know what you think on that. But we

0:19:54.440 --> 0:19:56.879
<v Speaker 1>can see it's happening in South Africa. This week we

0:19:56.920 --> 0:20:01.240
<v Speaker 1>saw the same thing. Um. The South Africa's Reserve Bank

0:20:01.680 --> 0:20:06.439
<v Speaker 1>will regulate cryptocurrencies as financial assets, and new laws are

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:09.200
<v Speaker 1>expected to come in over the next twelve months. Now

0:20:10.359 --> 0:20:13.399
<v Speaker 1>regulating as financial assets, I suppose that's okay. That's how

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:16.359
<v Speaker 1>they're regulated the United States already as financial assets. So

0:20:16.480 --> 0:20:19.360
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people get confused by this. Um. Basically,

0:20:19.560 --> 0:20:21.720
<v Speaker 1>if you buy and sell bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. It's no

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:24.920
<v Speaker 1>different than buying selling stocks, buying selling gold, buy and

0:20:25.000 --> 0:20:27.359
<v Speaker 1>selling real estate. It's the same thing. It's not a

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:29.920
<v Speaker 1>big deal. Your normal tax advisors fuel to help you

0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:33.240
<v Speaker 1>with that. UM. It's being taxed as property financial assets.

0:20:33.280 --> 0:20:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Now UM, they're they're similar to that, but they're not that,

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:41.840
<v Speaker 1>which is where the problem comes in. UM. Bitcoin and

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:47.119
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrencies could be and and I believe they will be

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:51.879
<v Speaker 1>used as payment as currencies. They already are UM throughout

0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:54.800
<v Speaker 1>the world, mostly developing markets, which they definitely are an

0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:58.680
<v Speaker 1>El Salvador where it's actually legal tender UM in the

0:20:58.800 --> 0:21:02.639
<v Speaker 1>Central African Republic they are UM. In Central America they

0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:06.359
<v Speaker 1>are El Salvador. As they said, Panama they are UM.

0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:07.720
<v Speaker 1>In the United States they are as well. A lot

0:21:07.760 --> 0:21:11.800
<v Speaker 1>of people use them. The problem is that in areas

0:21:11.840 --> 0:21:14.600
<v Speaker 1>of the United States where they're regulated as a financial asset,

0:21:15.160 --> 0:21:19.520
<v Speaker 1>then every payment becomes a taxable event. So let's say

0:21:19.560 --> 0:21:22.200
<v Speaker 1>I bought bitcoin whenever, and then I went down to

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:24.000
<v Speaker 1>Starbucks and I bought I bought a cup of coffee

0:21:24.040 --> 0:21:27.320
<v Speaker 1>with with my bitcoin. Then that's a taxable events and

0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:28.680
<v Speaker 1>I have to figure out, well, when did I buy

0:21:28.800 --> 0:21:30.600
<v Speaker 1>this bitcoin. What was the price at that bitcoin at

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the time, and and then I bought it? So I

0:21:32.040 --> 0:21:34.520
<v Speaker 1>bought I bought five with a bitcoin at this price,

0:21:34.560 --> 0:21:37.240
<v Speaker 1>and then I sold four dollars and twenty seven cents

0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:39.879
<v Speaker 1>at this price. And so how much of that did

0:21:39.960 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 1>I sell at this price? And what's the taxable event?

0:21:41.920 --> 0:21:44.040
<v Speaker 1>And then I have to fill out tax reform. I mean,

0:21:44.119 --> 0:21:46.119
<v Speaker 1>that's just insanity. So who wants to do that? So

0:21:46.640 --> 0:21:50.080
<v Speaker 1>the problem is, as long as they're classified as financial assets,

0:21:50.160 --> 0:21:53.960
<v Speaker 1>it's gonna greatly reduce the use of them being used

0:21:54.040 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 1>as currencies because of that onerous regulation. Who wants to

0:21:58.119 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>deal with that? Um that, which is why in the

0:22:00.840 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 1>African Republic, which is why we've seen in Panama, in

0:22:05.400 --> 0:22:08.200
<v Speaker 1>El Salvado, etcetera, they've they've removed that so now you

0:22:08.240 --> 0:22:10.200
<v Speaker 1>can just buy or not buy it, but you can

0:22:10.400 --> 0:22:13.000
<v Speaker 1>use it freely. It says here the cryptocurrency use in

0:22:13.040 --> 0:22:16.960
<v Speaker 1>South Africa is in a healthy space, with around thirteen

0:22:17.080 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 1>percent of the population estimated to own some form of cryptocurrency.

0:22:22.359 --> 0:22:24.920
<v Speaker 1>That's a that's a big number. Let me tell you

0:22:24.960 --> 0:22:28.119
<v Speaker 1>why that number is important. When you look at new

0:22:28.160 --> 0:22:33.680
<v Speaker 1>technologies telephone, color TV, washing machine, Internet, whatever. Um. There's

0:22:33.720 --> 0:22:36.359
<v Speaker 1>what's known as the diffusion of innovation, and it shows

0:22:36.520 --> 0:22:38.520
<v Speaker 1>how fast or how long it takes for a new

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:42.840
<v Speaker 1>technology to reach a level of saturation or a level

0:22:42.960 --> 0:22:48.560
<v Speaker 1>of of you know, people using it. And when you

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:50.400
<v Speaker 1>look back throughout history and you see all the different

0:22:50.440 --> 0:22:53.320
<v Speaker 1>things with the telephone and the color TV and the Internet, etcetera,

0:22:53.560 --> 0:22:56.119
<v Speaker 1>they all have different time frames and typically you measure

0:22:56.119 --> 0:22:58.959
<v Speaker 1>it to about an eight percent adoption rate and then

0:22:59.200 --> 0:23:01.080
<v Speaker 1>use something called an curve. And so if you look

0:23:01.119 --> 0:23:03.040
<v Speaker 1>at all these in a chart, which I can't show

0:23:03.080 --> 0:23:06.280
<v Speaker 1>you because you don't see it, uh, but if we

0:23:06.359 --> 0:23:07.840
<v Speaker 1>look at that, they all have this escort where they

0:23:07.920 --> 0:23:11.919
<v Speaker 1>kind of move in parallel the bottom very slow adoption cycle,

0:23:12.119 --> 0:23:15.720
<v Speaker 1>very very slow. It moves up slowly, and then there's

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 1>a point, this inflection point, where it starts to move

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:21.560
<v Speaker 1>up and starts going up vertical pretty quickly. And then

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:23.439
<v Speaker 1>it goes up vertical for quite a while, and then

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:25.160
<v Speaker 1>it starts to taper off and it starts to move

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:28.920
<v Speaker 1>to the right and moves horizontal very slowly. Again. The

0:23:29.000 --> 0:23:31.880
<v Speaker 1>way that s curve works and is reliable or lots

0:23:31.920 --> 0:23:35.400
<v Speaker 1>of different metrics is that typically the time it takes

0:23:35.440 --> 0:23:39.240
<v Speaker 1>to go from zero to ten percent adoption is the

0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:40.679
<v Speaker 1>same amount of time we would take to go from

0:23:40.760 --> 0:23:45.440
<v Speaker 1>ten percent to adoption. So the first ten percent is

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:48.119
<v Speaker 1>very slow and the last ten percent is very slow.

0:23:48.520 --> 0:23:52.440
<v Speaker 1>The middle typically goes very fast. The reason why is

0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:55.520
<v Speaker 1>is an important number is because the time it took

0:23:55.560 --> 0:23:57.879
<v Speaker 1>to go from zero is the same time it take

0:23:57.960 --> 0:24:00.240
<v Speaker 1>to go from ten to thirty. So we're already asked

0:24:00.280 --> 0:24:04.480
<v Speaker 1>the ten percent adoption um that was reached in about

0:24:04.720 --> 0:24:09.920
<v Speaker 1>two twenty, so that means using s curve, which is

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:14.080
<v Speaker 1>very reliable, that means that we should see bitcoin and

0:24:14.080 --> 0:24:18.399
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency reach an adoption by the end of the decade,

0:24:19.320 --> 0:24:22.040
<v Speaker 1>which for some people might seem like a long way away.

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:24.119
<v Speaker 1>For some people who don't seem that far, it probably

0:24:24.119 --> 0:24:27.000
<v Speaker 1>depends on how old you are. The older you get,

0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:30.000
<v Speaker 1>the more time goes by fast and so um we

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:33.360
<v Speaker 1>can see in countries all around the world we've well

0:24:33.480 --> 0:24:36.600
<v Speaker 1>surpassed the ten percent mark in pretty much every country,

0:24:37.080 --> 0:24:39.960
<v Speaker 1>and so we are on track to see about a

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:44.800
<v Speaker 1>nine adoption rate by the end of the decade. That

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 1>means that this decade is going to change the world

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:53.359
<v Speaker 1>faster than we've ever realized because it's technology that changes

0:24:53.400 --> 0:24:55.440
<v Speaker 1>the world. If you go back through thousands of years

0:24:55.480 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 1>of history, it's always one technological advancement that changes the world.

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Let me give you an example. Um, for thousands of years,

0:25:03.800 --> 0:25:07.160
<v Speaker 1>people rode horses. The Roman army, which is the most powerful,

0:25:07.200 --> 0:25:09.800
<v Speaker 1>the biggest army in the world, rode horses. But they

0:25:09.840 --> 0:25:12.239
<v Speaker 1>would ride their horses to the battle. Then they'd get

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:14.840
<v Speaker 1>off the horse and they'd fight. UM. But in the

0:25:14.920 --> 0:25:17.960
<v Speaker 1>medieval times there was a new technological advancement. It was

0:25:18.000 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 1>something known as the stirrup. The stirrup allows the rider

0:25:20.920 --> 0:25:23.000
<v Speaker 1>to get on top of the horse and more importantly

0:25:23.040 --> 0:25:25.480
<v Speaker 1>allows them to put their feet into these stirrups on

0:25:25.560 --> 0:25:28.400
<v Speaker 1>a saddle and kind of stand up on the horse

0:25:28.400 --> 0:25:31.639
<v Speaker 1>a little bit. With that new invention, it allowed a

0:25:31.800 --> 0:25:34.320
<v Speaker 1>night with full armor to get up on that horse

0:25:34.720 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 1>and now sit on that horse and have control with

0:25:36.880 --> 0:25:39.560
<v Speaker 1>his feet. And now they could fight from a horse.

0:25:40.440 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 1>It seems like they should have that a long time ago,

0:25:41.960 --> 0:25:43.959
<v Speaker 1>but they didn't, and so that changed everything. So now

0:25:44.119 --> 0:25:46.800
<v Speaker 1>one night on a horse could take out a hundred

0:25:46.840 --> 0:25:51.159
<v Speaker 1>peasants or surfs. That technological advancement changed the world. It

0:25:51.320 --> 0:25:54.879
<v Speaker 1>changed warfare as we knew it. Then in the hundreds

0:25:54.920 --> 0:25:57.760
<v Speaker 1>we had something called the gunpowder Revolution, which is guns

0:25:58.400 --> 0:26:01.680
<v Speaker 1>and now one or for one peasant with a gun

0:26:02.160 --> 0:26:05.440
<v Speaker 1>could now take out a hundred nights. And so those

0:26:05.480 --> 0:26:09.840
<v Speaker 1>technolical technological advancements change the balance of power, and then

0:26:09.880 --> 0:26:12.240
<v Speaker 1>it changed the world. And so that's what we're witnessing

0:26:12.320 --> 0:26:16.240
<v Speaker 1>today and we're on track in South Africa and most

0:26:16.280 --> 0:26:18.159
<v Speaker 1>of the world to get to there before the end

0:26:18.200 --> 0:26:19.920
<v Speaker 1>of the decade. It says, with more than six million

0:26:19.920 --> 0:26:22.680
<v Speaker 1>people in the country having cryptocurrency exposure. It's a lot

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:25.959
<v Speaker 1>but there. But currently it's required to be recognized as

0:26:26.000 --> 0:26:29.000
<v Speaker 1>a financial there anyone who's involved in it is required

0:26:29.000 --> 0:26:32.520
<v Speaker 1>to be a financial service provider. Of course, they want

0:26:32.560 --> 0:26:36.600
<v Speaker 1>to protect against money laundering and tax evasion, of course

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:39.560
<v Speaker 1>terrorism finance, because they're horrible things. We wouldn't want that

0:26:39.600 --> 0:26:43.640
<v Speaker 1>to happen. But they said, by all definitions, it's cryptocurrencies,

0:26:43.880 --> 0:26:47.080
<v Speaker 1>they're not a currency, it's an asset. It's something that

0:26:47.240 --> 0:26:51.440
<v Speaker 1>is tradeable, is something that is created. Those are true.

0:26:52.320 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 1>Those are true. But to try to define a brand

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:58.440
<v Speaker 1>new technological revolution in a in a in a small

0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:01.359
<v Speaker 1>classification like that, it's too small. When when electricity was

0:27:01.440 --> 0:27:03.160
<v Speaker 1>first created, it was sort of like a digital candle,

0:27:03.200 --> 0:27:05.560
<v Speaker 1>and it was that, but it became so much more.

0:27:05.600 --> 0:27:07.040
<v Speaker 1>When the Internet first came out, it was a way

0:27:07.080 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 1>to send electronic messages. It was that it still is today,

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:12.360
<v Speaker 1>but it became so much more. And so to say

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:15.479
<v Speaker 1>it's only an asset, it's not a currency, it's right

0:27:15.560 --> 0:27:17.680
<v Speaker 1>and it's wrong. Yes, it's an asset, but it's so

0:27:18.240 --> 0:27:20.640
<v Speaker 1>much more. Listening to the Mark Mo Show, we're talking

0:27:20.640 --> 0:27:23.280
<v Speaker 1>about the decentralized Revolution, talking about the way the world

0:27:23.359 --> 0:27:29.040
<v Speaker 1>is changing through technology with bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, macroeconomics, geopolitics like

0:27:29.080 --> 0:27:30.760
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about today. I got a lot more to

0:27:30.800 --> 0:27:34.120
<v Speaker 1>cover when I come back in a minute. Um oh,

0:27:34.600 --> 0:27:35.719
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if I can get through it all.

0:27:35.960 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 1>Don't go away, You're not gonna want to miss what

0:27:37.640 --> 0:27:40.160
<v Speaker 1>I have to say. We're back in a minute. Don't

0:27:40.160 --> 0:27:43.560
<v Speaker 1>go away. Hello, Well, welcome back. You're listening to the

0:27:43.640 --> 0:27:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Mark Mo Show. We're talking about the decentralized Revolution. We're

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:49.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about the way the world is changing right before

0:27:49.920 --> 0:27:53.920
<v Speaker 1>our very eyes, of course, being led by bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

0:27:53.960 --> 0:27:57.159
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about it from a geopolitics and a macroeconomic

0:27:57.280 --> 0:28:00.840
<v Speaker 1>viewpoints you can understand exactly what's going on. And we've

0:28:00.960 --> 0:28:05.280
<v Speaker 1>covered a lot of stories today. Um, hopefully you're here listening.

0:28:05.480 --> 0:28:08.920
<v Speaker 1>If not, where are you been. If you're not driving,

0:28:08.960 --> 0:28:10.800
<v Speaker 1>pull your phone, put a reminder to join me on

0:28:10.920 --> 0:28:12.760
<v Speaker 1>this channel at this time each and every week. And

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:14.879
<v Speaker 1>if you did miss any of it, don't worry. I

0:28:14.960 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 1>got your back. You can check me out on the podcast.

0:28:18.119 --> 0:28:20.520
<v Speaker 1>Just search Mark Moss Show or Mark Moss Podcast on

0:28:20.640 --> 0:28:23.800
<v Speaker 1>any of your favorite players iTunes or the I Heart

0:28:23.840 --> 0:28:27.680
<v Speaker 1>Radio app or whatever. You'll find me there. Oh and yeah,

0:28:28.240 --> 0:28:31.359
<v Speaker 1>if you wouldn't mind, I'd love a nice review. I

0:28:31.440 --> 0:28:33.879
<v Speaker 1>could share you some extra reviews to get my um

0:28:34.480 --> 0:28:37.200
<v Speaker 1>get a little bump up in the algorithm. Alright, So

0:28:37.440 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 1>I got a lot to cover. Are already covered a

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 1>lot hopefully. If you've missed some of that, go check

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:43.360
<v Speaker 1>that out. But the big news this week, and the

0:28:43.400 --> 0:28:45.800
<v Speaker 1>trend that's been kind of going through all the headlines

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:50.920
<v Speaker 1>has been that we have seen another record cp I print.

0:28:50.960 --> 0:28:54.160
<v Speaker 1>Another inflation number has reached and all time high. Now,

0:28:55.000 --> 0:28:56.960
<v Speaker 1>as I said, we haven't seen this high since forty

0:28:57.000 --> 0:29:00.160
<v Speaker 1>one years. Um. However, that's a really manipulated number and

0:29:00.200 --> 0:29:03.479
<v Speaker 1>the reality is we're higher than we've ever been, um,

0:29:03.920 --> 0:29:06.800
<v Speaker 1>and so it's causing a lot of problems in the marketplace.

0:29:07.000 --> 0:29:10.520
<v Speaker 1>And um, what exactly is going to happen? Well, right now,

0:29:10.760 --> 0:29:14.800
<v Speaker 1>stocks and risk assets, so tech stocks and bitcoin were

0:29:14.800 --> 0:29:17.320
<v Speaker 1>stumbling a little bit, although they seem to pick back up.

0:29:18.240 --> 0:29:20.440
<v Speaker 1>But this, this problem, this this is a big problem,

0:29:21.000 --> 0:29:22.600
<v Speaker 1>and it's important to understand. One of the reasons what

0:29:22.640 --> 0:29:25.160
<v Speaker 1>we talk about bitcoin and the decentralized revolution is because

0:29:25.640 --> 0:29:30.640
<v Speaker 1>nobody should be controlling the money. It's ridiculous that a

0:29:30.760 --> 0:29:33.760
<v Speaker 1>group of people at the Federal Reserve decide when they

0:29:33.800 --> 0:29:36.880
<v Speaker 1>want to increase the money supply and decrease the money

0:29:36.920 --> 0:29:41.360
<v Speaker 1>supply arbitrarily up to them. It's insanity. And if I

0:29:41.800 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 1>could show you a chart right now, show you a

0:29:43.560 --> 0:29:46.040
<v Speaker 1>chart that shows just how insane it is. Every boom

0:29:46.120 --> 0:29:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and bust we've had since the creation of the Federal

0:29:48.800 --> 0:29:52.719
<v Speaker 1>Reserve has gotten bigger and bigger and bigger. I mean,

0:29:52.800 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 1>I could just give you an example. So in two

0:29:55.240 --> 0:29:59.280
<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight they had to create seven hundred billion

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:04.520
<v Speaker 1>dollar is to plug the hole in March. It was

0:30:04.920 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 1>um not seven billion, it was about seven trillion. Wow,

0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 1>it's a big difference. The next one could take twenty trillion,

0:30:16.320 --> 0:30:18.480
<v Speaker 1>so you can start to see the magnitude of these.

0:30:18.880 --> 0:30:21.280
<v Speaker 1>Now some of the things, Uh, I'd like to say

0:30:21.320 --> 0:30:23.320
<v Speaker 1>that inflation, it's not. I don't want to say that.

0:30:23.480 --> 0:30:26.680
<v Speaker 1>The definition of inflation, per the Austrian economist view is

0:30:26.760 --> 0:30:29.719
<v Speaker 1>that inflation is the increase in the money supply. Prices

0:30:29.760 --> 0:30:31.680
<v Speaker 1>going up are the results of that, and we're seeing

0:30:31.760 --> 0:30:34.760
<v Speaker 1>some signs of that all over the place. One of

0:30:34.840 --> 0:30:37.680
<v Speaker 1>the reasons why inflation is so high is because rents

0:30:37.880 --> 0:30:41.720
<v Speaker 1>in the US are rising at their fastest pace since

0:30:42.840 --> 0:30:46.000
<v Speaker 1>six more More says more so the more supply and

0:30:46.120 --> 0:30:50.160
<v Speaker 1>signs of a peak could ease the market. Well, that's

0:30:50.160 --> 0:30:52.640
<v Speaker 1>what this is. I don't agree. It says the gap

0:30:52.720 --> 0:30:57.200
<v Speaker 1>between wage growth and rent increases is narrowing. So for

0:30:57.360 --> 0:30:59.240
<v Speaker 1>this article I read this week, it says rents rose

0:30:59.320 --> 0:31:01.720
<v Speaker 1>in the US last month at the fastest pace since,

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:06.800
<v Speaker 1>helping to propel overall inflation to a fresh four decade high. Now,

0:31:06.920 --> 0:31:10.800
<v Speaker 1>first of all, this is greatly misunderstated in the CPI

0:31:11.000 --> 0:31:14.480
<v Speaker 1>numbers Like insane um and the next measuring rent of

0:31:14.520 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 1>a primary residence was zero point eight percent higher in

0:31:18.000 --> 0:31:21.640
<v Speaker 1>June than the month before. An acceleration from the zero

0:31:21.720 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 1>point six percent increase recorded in May. So, first of all,

0:31:25.280 --> 0:31:28.280
<v Speaker 1>what this is saying is that rents are still going up,

0:31:28.840 --> 0:31:32.040
<v Speaker 1>just at a little bit of a slower number. According

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:35.040
<v Speaker 1>to the Labor Departments of report on Consumer Prices published Wednesday,

0:31:35.280 --> 0:31:38.280
<v Speaker 1>in the twelve months through June, rents were up five

0:31:38.480 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>point eight percent. Now that's insane. I don't know where

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:44.800
<v Speaker 1>they get that number from. UM, well I do they

0:31:45.280 --> 0:31:48.040
<v Speaker 1>They got it from the Labor Department. I don't know

0:31:48.080 --> 0:31:50.040
<v Speaker 1>why they're getting that from the labor Department. I would

0:31:50.040 --> 0:31:52.440
<v Speaker 1>think there's be way better places to get that from.

0:31:52.840 --> 0:31:54.800
<v Speaker 1>So it says according to the Labor Department's Report on

0:31:54.840 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 1>Consumer Prices published Wednesday, in the twelve months through June,

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 1>rents were up. Now, if I go on to rent

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:05.760
<v Speaker 1>dot com, UM as of June fifteenth, the report was

0:32:05.880 --> 0:32:08.720
<v Speaker 1>last update, says that a monthly look at the average

0:32:08.760 --> 0:32:11.440
<v Speaker 1>rent price trends across the United States. It says that

0:32:11.680 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 1>year over year, a a two bedroom apartment went up

0:32:18.720 --> 0:32:24.880
<v Speaker 1>by twenty six point eight percent, so about a year

0:32:24.960 --> 0:32:29.840
<v Speaker 1>over year. So how did the labor mark the UM?

0:32:30.640 --> 0:32:33.880
<v Speaker 1>How did the Labor departments report show five point eight

0:32:33.960 --> 0:32:37.120
<v Speaker 1>percent it's a big discrepancy, isn't it. We should probably

0:32:37.120 --> 0:32:39.440
<v Speaker 1>get to the bottom of that. I would think it's

0:32:39.480 --> 0:32:42.120
<v Speaker 1>a pretty big difference. Now, Um, part of the thing

0:32:42.320 --> 0:32:44.640
<v Speaker 1>is that there is no such thing as the real

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:46.680
<v Speaker 1>estate market. I make this case all the time. There's

0:32:46.720 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 1>thousands of markets broken up by size, type, everything, And

0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:54.680
<v Speaker 1>we can see that, for example, in the state of California,

0:32:55.080 --> 0:32:59.160
<v Speaker 1>rents went up by on average for the whole state,

0:33:00.720 --> 0:33:03.959
<v Speaker 1>But in Oregon they went up by forty five percent.

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:09.880
<v Speaker 1>So two in California, fort in Oregon. Now, if I

0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 1>go to month, if I go to let's see Nevada,

0:33:12.920 --> 0:33:16.720
<v Speaker 1>they only went up by five percent. These are rents, Okay,

0:33:16.800 --> 0:33:19.720
<v Speaker 1>this is per rent dot com. So okay, Nevada did

0:33:19.800 --> 0:33:21.480
<v Speaker 1>go by five percent. So if I go back to

0:33:21.560 --> 0:33:25.360
<v Speaker 1>this report here, it says that the Labor Department's report says, okay,

0:33:25.400 --> 0:33:29.920
<v Speaker 1>so for Nevada, that's correct. I can see, uh, Nebraska's

0:33:29.960 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 1>three point six that's pretty good, Okay, Minnesota's five percent,

0:33:34.160 --> 0:33:38.720
<v Speaker 1>Wisconsin six percent. But everywhere else, I mean, Ohio is

0:33:38.800 --> 0:33:45.440
<v Speaker 1>thirty five percent, Pennsylvania's North Carolina's South Carolina's thirty five,

0:33:45.560 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 1>Florida's forty two Louisiana's thirty eight, Arkansas is thirty five,

0:33:50.120 --> 0:33:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Texas is thirty Uh oh, New Mexico went down, so um,

0:33:55.840 --> 0:34:01.040
<v Speaker 1>it's certainly not an average. The average is twenty seven percent,

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 1>not five percent, so you can see how grossly misunderstated

0:34:04.360 --> 0:34:07.560
<v Speaker 1>this is. The Other thing to keep in mind is

0:34:07.640 --> 0:34:11.520
<v Speaker 1>that rents are a very long lagging indicator because most

0:34:11.560 --> 0:34:13.520
<v Speaker 1>people have a one year lease, some people have two

0:34:13.600 --> 0:34:16.680
<v Speaker 1>or three, and so those rents don't get marked up

0:34:16.719 --> 0:34:22.160
<v Speaker 1>again until that lease ends, So um, we might not

0:34:22.360 --> 0:34:25.680
<v Speaker 1>see the increase of these things for quite some time.

0:34:25.920 --> 0:34:28.759
<v Speaker 1>So it's a it's definitely the wrong major metric to

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:32.160
<v Speaker 1>look at. He says. The Labor Department measures tends to

0:34:32.360 --> 0:34:35.160
<v Speaker 1>lag behind other estimates, so it's likely that rent increases

0:34:35.200 --> 0:34:37.239
<v Speaker 1>will contribute to rise and inflation in the Consumer Price

0:34:37.360 --> 0:34:40.560
<v Speaker 1>Index through the rest of this year. Now there's a

0:34:40.640 --> 0:34:46.160
<v Speaker 1>big deal because the rent or the owner's equivalent of rent,

0:34:46.880 --> 0:34:52.400
<v Speaker 1>is about I think thirty percent of the CPI basket measurement.

0:34:52.520 --> 0:34:55.080
<v Speaker 1>So if they say it's five percent, but the real

0:34:55.200 --> 0:34:58.560
<v Speaker 1>number is twenty eight percent and it makes up a

0:34:58.680 --> 0:35:02.840
<v Speaker 1>majority of that back skit, then CBI is way higher

0:35:03.000 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 1>than the nine point one at they're stating we're probably oh, no,

0:35:08.440 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 1>eleven twelve percent. I should probably do the math on that.

0:35:11.800 --> 0:35:13.319
<v Speaker 1>UM Now, it says the good news is that market

0:35:13.400 --> 0:35:16.560
<v Speaker 1>rents appeared to be topping out. UM. Yeah, right, I

0:35:16.600 --> 0:35:19.680
<v Speaker 1>don't know where. UM now. Again, as I said, these

0:35:19.719 --> 0:35:22.120
<v Speaker 1>are averages, so there are places that went down. As

0:35:22.120 --> 0:35:26.080
<v Speaker 1>a matter of fact, we can see here that UM Austin,

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:28.640
<v Speaker 1>Texas went up by a hundred and twenty one percent.

0:35:28.760 --> 0:35:32.359
<v Speaker 1>Long Beach, California, went up by six. Tacoma, Washington went

0:35:32.400 --> 0:35:35.120
<v Speaker 1>up by fifty percent. New Jersey, Jersey City went up

0:35:35.120 --> 0:35:39.560
<v Speaker 1>by forty percent. New York, New York, New York went up. Okay,

0:35:39.880 --> 0:35:42.160
<v Speaker 1>but some places went down. So Cleveland, Ohio went down,

0:35:43.280 --> 0:35:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Pittsburgh went down by six, Indianapolis went down by Las Vegas,

0:35:48.719 --> 0:35:51.120
<v Speaker 1>Nevada went down by fourteen percent. So some areas did

0:35:51.239 --> 0:35:55.400
<v Speaker 1>go down while some went up. UM. So you know,

0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:59.719
<v Speaker 1>wherever they're getting their data, it's uh, it's obviously completely wrong.

0:36:00.200 --> 0:36:01.800
<v Speaker 1>And it's not just rents that are the problem. We

0:36:01.880 --> 0:36:05.719
<v Speaker 1>see gasoline prices remain high, nearly higher than the same

0:36:05.760 --> 0:36:09.040
<v Speaker 1>time last year, and it says that it's cutting off

0:36:09.120 --> 0:36:13.080
<v Speaker 1>people's summer leisurely driving. As a matter of fact, they

0:36:13.120 --> 0:36:16.239
<v Speaker 1>say it's keeping more drivers off the road than the

0:36:16.440 --> 0:36:20.839
<v Speaker 1>COVID nineteen pandemic did at the same time two years ago.

0:36:21.440 --> 0:36:25.520
<v Speaker 1>So the FED wants to destroy demand and it looks

0:36:25.560 --> 0:36:28.800
<v Speaker 1>like it's working. People are so broke or feel so

0:36:29.000 --> 0:36:32.680
<v Speaker 1>broke today that they're driving less than they did two

0:36:32.800 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 1>years ago when they weren't allowed to drive on the roads.

0:36:36.760 --> 0:36:40.160
<v Speaker 1>It's pretty bad. And on top of all that, you're

0:36:40.160 --> 0:36:42.520
<v Speaker 1>being completely lied to about the seat right number because

0:36:42.560 --> 0:36:45.839
<v Speaker 1>the rents are not five percent, they are twenty eight

0:36:45.920 --> 0:36:50.320
<v Speaker 1>percent on average for a two bedroom nationwide. What do

0:36:50.360 --> 0:36:52.400
<v Speaker 1>you think about that? I'd love to hear from you.

0:36:52.520 --> 0:36:54.399
<v Speaker 1>Hit me up on social media at number one. Mark

0:36:54.480 --> 0:36:57.080
<v Speaker 1>moss at one Mark moss Um. If you're listening to

0:36:57.120 --> 0:36:59.040
<v Speaker 1>the Market Mos Show, of course we're talking about the

0:36:59.120 --> 0:37:04.719
<v Speaker 1>decentralized Lucien talking about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, talking about macroeconomics and geopolitics,

0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:07.640
<v Speaker 1>so you can have more understanding of the world as

0:37:07.680 --> 0:37:09.439
<v Speaker 1>we go through it. That's what I got for you today.

0:37:09.480 --> 0:37:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening.