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Speaker 2: Welcome in episode ninety one What's Right with Nick Right
Speaker 2: the podcast and YouTube show This Is Our Is It?
Speaker 2: Week nine? My God? Week nine NFL Gambling Show. As
Speaker 2: we are rolling and listen, we were in a rut.
Speaker 2: I was desponding, I was depressed. I was questioning what
Speaker 2: I had known about the process. Not because we were
Speaker 2: getting crushed, but because we were two and three every week.
Speaker 2: It was just two and like clockwork, two and three
Speaker 2: every week. Last week we were not two and three.
Speaker 2: We honestly should have been four and one. At the
Speaker 2: last second, we took one pick out a winning pick.
Speaker 2: We'll show you our record last week. We took out
Speaker 2: Minnesota minus three and a half last week and replaced
Speaker 2: it with our worst bet of the week, Cincinnati minus
Speaker 2: three and a half. Here's why I feel so good
Speaker 2: about last week, not because we were dead on on
Speaker 2: any of these games, but because our luck turned so
Speaker 2: let me explain for a moment. All right throughout this year,
Speaker 2: what has happened is we have gotten two games exactly right,
Speaker 2: covered by ten plus points most weeks, one game wrong,
Speaker 2: and then two fifty to fifty games or even seventy
Speaker 2: thirty games in our favor have gone the other way.
Speaker 2: And that's how we've gone to two and three this
Speaker 2: past week. Let's look at it. We had the Raiders
Speaker 2: laying a point and a half. They got shut out.
Speaker 2: That was terrible. That's lost. We had Washington getting two
Speaker 2: and a half points at Indy. They were down by
Speaker 2: six in the waning moments of that game, came back
Speaker 2: and won. That's a stolen victory. San Francisco minus point
Speaker 2: and a half over the Rams was an easy one.
Speaker 2: Cincinnati the one we replaced with that. We shouldn't have
Speaker 2: that one. Cleveland kicked their ass, and green Bay covering
Speaker 2: that eleven and a half was an absurdity. They were
Speaker 2: down seventeen with the Bills having the ball inside the
Speaker 2: five and Josh Allen threw a pick. Green Bay ends
Speaker 2: up covering. So I feel like the gambling gods rewarded
Speaker 2: us by staying true to the method. We are now
Speaker 2: eighteen and twenty two on the season, which again is
Speaker 2: not great, but we're hovering around five hundred. We're like
Speaker 2: the I hate to use this analogy, the twenty nineteen
Speaker 2: twenty would it be twenty twenty. Yeah, the twenty twenty
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are seven and five and mediocre
Speaker 2: and got their teeth kicked in by the Chiefs right
Speaker 2: before they're by and then they got red hot, win
Speaker 2: eight to no the rest of the season, from the
Speaker 2: end of the regular season through the playoffs, red hot
Speaker 2: in route to a super Bowl. That's what we're gonna do.
Speaker 2: Last year on the TV show where we give three
Speaker 2: picks a week, we were right around five hundred until
Speaker 2: Week twelve, and then from week twelve through the end
Speaker 2: of the playoffs we got seventy percent against the spread.
Speaker 2: We are digesting the season, we're letting the season wash
Speaker 2: over us, and now this week odd week six teams
Speaker 2: on to buy, so only thirteen games to choose from
Speaker 2: for our purposes. I've also made an adjustment only eight
Speaker 2: games to choose or twelve games to choose from, because
Speaker 2: I'm no longer going to do anything with the Thursday
Speaker 2: night game because this show comes out on Fridays and
Speaker 2: it's weird when I'm like, I think this is gonna happen,
Speaker 2: but the game's already been played. For whatever it's worth,
Speaker 2: I'll tell you it's Philly laying thirteen and a half
Speaker 2: in Houston. I would be picking Houston in that game,
Speaker 2: just because that is way too many points to be laying,
Speaker 2: especially for a Philly team that the Steelers game. Notwithstanding
Speaker 2: that game will they have not been a great second
Speaker 2: half team. They have been crushing teams in the first
Speaker 2: half and then kind of going in a stall in
Speaker 2: the second half. So I would be on Houston, but
Speaker 2: that's not going to be a part of our picks.
Speaker 2: Here are the five games that we are picking this weekend.
Speaker 2: We will get to those, and then we will get
Speaker 2: to the other eight games or seven games what categories
Speaker 2: they fall into, perfectly priced, Stay away and be carefuls
Speaker 2: our first game of the weekend, Indy catching five and
Speaker 2: a half at New England. We like Indianapolis. The analysis
Speaker 2: of this game is very, very simple. By the way,
Speaker 2: there are eight this isn't one of them. There are
Speaker 2: eight home dogs this weekend. Of the thirteen games, eight
Speaker 2: home teams are underdogs. So why do I like Indy
Speaker 2: catching five and a half? Win? And I've got the
Speaker 2: injury report right in front of me. The Jonathan Taylor,
Speaker 2: after being one of the least injured players in all
Speaker 2: of college football and then in professional football, never missed
Speaker 2: a practice. Jonathan Taylor is dealing with real injury stuff.
Speaker 2: Didn't practice on Wednesday, which is the last practice report
Speaker 2: we have. So why do I like the Colts? It's
Speaker 2: two reasons. One reason is the Patriots are going to
Speaker 2: try to convience Mac Jones to stop throwing interceptions. Now,
Speaker 2: I don't know if they're going to be able to,
Speaker 2: but I think Mac understands that they're going into a buy.
Speaker 2: This past week against the Jets, he threw a pick
Speaker 2: that was terrible the doc that floated in the air,
Speaker 2: and then threw a pick six before the half that
Speaker 2: would have lost him the game, but it got waved
Speaker 2: off due to a roughing the passer Pinal. So I
Speaker 2: think the Patriots are going to be coaching all week,
Speaker 2: and Mac, because he doesn't want to get replaced by
Speaker 2: Zappi at the bye, will internalize all week just don't
Speaker 2: turn the ball over, just don't throw it to the
Speaker 2: other team. So I think it's going to be low
Speaker 2: scoring in that regard. Indy, on the other hand, I
Speaker 2: think with Ellinger the second piece of this, well, I
Speaker 2: don't think Ellener listen. Ellenger is a second year quarterback,
Speaker 2: might as well be a rookie quarterback who's a mid
Speaker 2: round pick. What he does have the ability on and
Speaker 2: this something Ben sol like credit to him from the
Speaker 2: Ringer has been big on this year is the quarterbacks
Speaker 2: that can scramble this season have neutralized some of the
Speaker 2: deficiencies that they have otherwise in their game. More so
Speaker 2: than any year that we can remember, the scrambling quarterback
Speaker 2: has been something of an equalizer when the quarterback battle
Speaker 2: is skewed. By the way, I don't think this quarterback
Speaker 2: battle is skewed between Mac Jones and Sam Ellener that
Speaker 2: much anyway, because I think Mac Jones.
Speaker 3: Think against Bill Belichick, though yes.
Speaker 2: And Belichick and'st rookie quarterbacks unbelievable. Ellener is not a
Speaker 2: rookie quarterback, but he's kind of a rookie quarterback. So
Speaker 2: so five and a half points just too much. I
Speaker 2: do not think Mac Jones should be favored by more
Speaker 2: than four against anybody, but the Texans. I think the
Speaker 2: Colts are going, you know, they still believe maybe they
Speaker 2: can sneak into the playoffs. I was wrong about the Colts.
Speaker 2: If you guys remember, I thought that Matt Ryan would
Speaker 2: be good. They'd go twelve and five against a soft schedule.
Speaker 2: With that said, this to me feels like a seventeen thirteen.
Speaker 2: Seventeen fourteen is a sixteen to thirteen type of game.
Speaker 2: Maybe maybe I lose it because it's twenty to fourteen,
Speaker 2: but I don't think so. It's too many points. Indy
Speaker 2: should not be underdogs of five and a half at
Speaker 2: New England with Mac Jones playing quarterback in what will
Speaker 2: be a very fast, run centric game. We like the
Speaker 2: Colts next game. This is a stupid line. Crazy Atlanta
Speaker 2: catching three at home against the Chargers. So again, Mike
Speaker 2: Williams is out for this game, and he's out for
Speaker 2: a while with an injured ankle. You Keenan Allen still
Speaker 2: is not practiced. Okay, so you're gonna have Mike. I
Speaker 2: don't know. Mike Williams has been ruled out, but he's out.
Speaker 2: Mike Williams isn't gonna play Keenan. I'm not sure if
Speaker 2: he's gonna play. The Chargers kicker, if I read it correctly,
Speaker 2: is even dinged up. The Chargers are so incredibly injured. Atlanta,
Speaker 2: on the other hand, while they didn't deserve to win
Speaker 2: that game against Carolina at because it was happening as
Speaker 2: the dj more penalty and then another miss kick, it
Speaker 2: did take a Hail Mary for Carolina to even be
Speaker 2: in that position. Ye they're at home. The Chargers have
Speaker 2: shown given us no evidence this year that on the
Speaker 2: field they're the team we thought they were gonna be
Speaker 2: on paper. For them to be a three point favorite
Speaker 2: when they have to go all the way from southern
Speaker 2: California to Atlanta for a one pm kickoff is just stupid.
Speaker 2: It makes no sense. So it's just this game should
Speaker 2: be a pick them instead. I'm getting a full field goal.
Speaker 2: The I don't under stand the line at all. It
Speaker 2: is showing I don't even think it's showing a disrespect
Speaker 2: for the Falcons. To me, it is showing a level
Speaker 2: of respect for the Chargers that their play this year
Speaker 2: has not warranted. You look at the Chargers thus far
Speaker 2: this season. I'm gonna pull up their schedule right now.
Speaker 2: What they've done and where we've seen them. Now, I
Speaker 2: do let me concede one point here. They are coming
Speaker 2: off a bye. I understand that part of it. However,
Speaker 2: they didn't get discernibly more healthy during the bye. And
Speaker 2: what the Chargers have done this year. Week one, one
Speaker 2: score game against the Raiders. Derek Carr turns them all
Speaker 2: over four times. The Raiders still have the ball at
Speaker 2: the end, down five, with a chance to win. They
Speaker 2: lose to Kansas City. That's their best game of the
Speaker 2: year because they were up ten in that game. They
Speaker 2: get annihilated by Jacksonville. That loss looks worse and worse
Speaker 2: by the week. And we'll talk Jacksonville later because you guys,
Speaker 2: you guys saved me again, even though well we'll talk
Speaker 2: to because you didn't really save me. You saved me
Speaker 2: on the picks, but I couldn't help myself. They beat
Speaker 2: Houston in a game that for whatever it's worth They
Speaker 2: beat Houston in a game that was a three point
Speaker 2: game into the fourth quarter. They beat Cleveland by two,
Speaker 2: they escaped versus Denver by three, and then they lost
Speaker 2: to Seattle, and now they have a bye. They should
Speaker 2: not be road field goal favorites against a decent team
Speaker 2: in Atlanta. It makes no sense. Do you disagree with
Speaker 2: me on this one?
Speaker 3: Sort of? But I mean you listened to all the injuries.
Speaker 3: They're the only thing that's got me think in a way.
Speaker 3: But I don't think the Falcons are a great team.
Speaker 2: I don't think O a great team. No, no, no, I
Speaker 2: don't think they're a great team either. But I think
Speaker 2: the Chargers being given more respect than they deserve given
Speaker 2: how banged up they are. And this is Will Demonse,
Speaker 2: by the way. You know what, let's pause this for
Speaker 2: a moment. We should have said this from the beginning.
Speaker 2: Demonse hit a five teamer this week. Now it turned
Speaker 2: into a ford teamer because one of them was Miami
Speaker 2: by exactly spread, so it rolled down to a four teamer.
Speaker 2: But this wasn't a teaser. It was a five and
Speaker 2: it wasn't a moneyline parlay. It was a five team
Speaker 2: point spread. Parlay, Demonsey went four to Zho one. So
Speaker 2: Demonsey is learning as the year goes on. Very proud
Speaker 2: of them, Thanks Madre, no problem. The next level to
Speaker 2: this is checking two things that I'm certain you never
Speaker 2: think about. The weather and the injury report. Now for
Speaker 2: this show, it's not really that helpful because we record
Speaker 2: this show on Thursday before the Thursday injury reports are out,
Speaker 2: but you get an injury report Friday afternoon. So checking
Speaker 2: that injury report. Let me just tell everybody if a
Speaker 2: guy has not practiced so there is full participant in practic,
Speaker 2: this limited participant in practice and did not participate in practice.
Speaker 2: Anybody that is a DNP at practice on a Friday
Speaker 2: is very unlikely to play. If they can't even practice
Speaker 2: in a limited capacity by Friday, then they won't be
Speaker 2: ruled out yet, but they're like or sometimes they'll be
Speaker 2: ruled out, but they're likely going to be out. The
Speaker 2: other thing is the weather. Obviously, now with Atlanta that
Speaker 2: doesn't matter because it's in a dome. But those are
Speaker 2: the things to look at. But we like Atlanta for
Speaker 2: the game. There's another thing at the top of the
Speaker 2: B block. I'm gonna tell you guys, a dream I
Speaker 2: had related to demanse in gambling. That was one of
Speaker 2: those dreams that you forgot you had until I walked
Speaker 2: in the studio today and saw demands on his sports
Speaker 2: betting app, and it made the dream come back. All right,
Speaker 2: next bet. This is one Victor who we mocked for
Speaker 2: going on five, but all of a sudden, it's a
Speaker 2: little hot Victor and I independent independently a Seattle getting
Speaker 2: too at Arizona.
Speaker 3: That's insane.
Speaker 2: Arizona getting a lot of respect.
Speaker 3: Vegas the games so well, I.
Speaker 2: Think that, so keep in mind. So here's the thing.
Speaker 2: What Vegas wants, and we always got to remind you
Speaker 2: of this. What Vegas wants is even action on both sides.
Speaker 2: What they want is to set a line where half
Speaker 2: of the public will take Arizona, half will take Seattle,
Speaker 2: and they'll make the juice on the losses. Right, the
Speaker 2: public still has a respect for the Cardinals that I
Speaker 2: do not think they have earned, and they have a
Speaker 2: disrespect for Seattle based on what they were before the season.
Speaker 2: But Arizona so far this year has three victories. Okay,
Speaker 2: Carolina was Baker Mayfield still starting then he was the
Speaker 2: Raiders who have just been by the way on the
Speaker 2: raid sidebar real quick. Josh McDaniels, the new head coach
Speaker 2: for the Raiders, has gotten no scrutiny at all this year.
Speaker 2: He was the offensive coordinator for the Patriots. Went to
Speaker 2: the Broncos, was terrible there, went back to the Patriots.
Speaker 2: It worked there. He's been with the Raiders, They've been awful.
Speaker 2: And I read, God, I wish I could give credit.
Speaker 2: I read a really smart column that was talking about
Speaker 2: how what Brian Daball has done, who went from the
Speaker 2: Bills to the Giants, was instead of trying to force
Speaker 2: his offensive system upon his players, would before this season
Speaker 2: evolve his system to fit the strengths of his players, Like, Hey,
Speaker 2: this is the roster I currently have, how can we
Speaker 2: best utilize what is a limited quarterback of superstar running back,
Speaker 2: no name receivers? What Instead of saying this is the
Speaker 2: system I run, how can I how can I fit
Speaker 2: around my player? McDaniel's done the exact opposite. He's tried
Speaker 2: to get Derek Carr to run with Devonte Adams and
Speaker 2: Darren Waller coming back to run the Tom Brady system
Speaker 2: instead of taking advantage of what they do best. That's
Speaker 2: how you get shut out by the Saints. But I
Speaker 2: was talking about Arizona. So Arizona beat the Raiders, they
Speaker 2: beat Carolina with Baker, and they beat New Orleans in
Speaker 2: a game where that was the game if you remember, no, no, no,
Speaker 2: that was the back to back pick sixes by Dalton
Speaker 2: right before the half that that game was. The Saints
Speaker 2: were fine, they were up fourteen to six, and then
Speaker 2: right before the half, Andy Dalton threw back to back
Speaker 2: pick sixes and the game was lost. Then their losses
Speaker 2: are to Minnesota. They already lost to Seattle by ten
Speaker 2: in Seattle, to Philly, to the Rams, and obviously to
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. Now, those are good teams they've lost to all.
Speaker 2: Give them that. The first time they played Seattle, they
Speaker 2: hold on. Is this right? Yeah? The first time they
Speaker 2: played Seattle, they yeah. They scored one touchdown and it
Speaker 2: was a special team's touchdown. They scored three offensive points.
Speaker 3: But doesn't doesn't this one seem a little bit too easy?
Speaker 3: This might seem like the be careful So.
Speaker 2: Here's why I didn't put it there, because I think
Speaker 2: the public still likes Arizona. Usually be careful is when
Speaker 2: Vegas is giving you a team the public likes favored
Speaker 2: by less than you think it should be. You follow me,
Speaker 2: so like to use Arizona as an example. I thought
Speaker 2: the Chiefs minus five against Arizona in Week one was
Speaker 2: a be careful because the public loves the Chiefs, and
Speaker 2: I thought, now I was wrong. Chiefs blow them out,
Speaker 2: but you so will this week. Not to give it away.
Speaker 2: Miami is playing Chicago laying less than a touchdown. That
Speaker 2: to me is a be careful because everyone's gonna be
Speaker 2: on Miami, you know what I mean. So this is, oh, yeah,
Speaker 2: you're on the money line. I like it. On the
Speaker 2: money line. I like it, But the five points feels funny,
Speaker 2: all right? So we like Seattle, all right? Next one,
Speaker 2: and I'm leaning towards this being our right move. Our
Speaker 2: lock of the week Tampa laying less than a field
Speaker 2: goal at home against the Rams. So here Tampa minus
Speaker 2: two and a half. So here is what we know
Speaker 2: about the Rams. They cannot block for Stafford, they can't.
Speaker 2: Here's what we know about Tampa. Despite all their injuries,
Speaker 2: they still have a very good defensive front. Here's the
Speaker 2: other thing we know about the Rams. They got Cooper
Speaker 2: Cup hurt at the very end of their blowout loss
Speaker 2: to the Niners. They threw them the ball with them
Speaker 2: minut left down three scores. He turned his ankle Wednesday.
Speaker 2: He did in practice. Now, Willie, if he doesn't play,
Speaker 2: this will move to three and a half. He is
Speaker 2: the rare wide receiver that is worth for that team
Speaker 2: a full point. Tampa. Let me say this this other
Speaker 2: thing about Tampa. I'm really interested in seeing Brady. First
Speaker 2: of all, he's on a long week. They played on Thursday.
Speaker 2: Remember they played when we were at the Luca game.
Speaker 2: Seeing Brady not only on a long week in a
Speaker 2: desperate must win situation, but also now that the divorced
Speaker 2: stuff is behind, now that it has been finalized publicly announced,
Speaker 2: turn the page now. I'm sure he's going to be
Speaker 2: dealing with that and grieving that and all of that
Speaker 2: for a long time, but this was a major chapter
Speaker 2: for him to finally have it done. He released a statement,
Speaker 2: I think the Rams are a bad team. The Rams
Speaker 2: on a per play basis, have the worst offense in
Speaker 2: the NFL, worse than the Texans, worse than the Bears
Speaker 2: per play, the worst offense in the NFL. I'm laying
Speaker 2: less than a field goal.
Speaker 3: You don't like this one, I mean yeah, I mean
Speaker 3: Rams got to be really bad. They got your betting
Speaker 3: on Tampa.
Speaker 2: I think Tampa's they've shown nothing, nothing, and they are
Speaker 2: they're trending in the wrong direction. I think they beat
Speaker 2: the Rams, and the fact that this is I would
Speaker 2: strongly consider this at three and a half. At two
Speaker 2: and a half, I love it. And then lastly Baltimore
Speaker 2: minus two and a half at New Orleans. So Baltimore
Speaker 2: has been a hot and cold team this year. Not surprisingly,
Speaker 2: a lot of that has gone as Lamar has gone.
Speaker 2: When he's played great, they've been great. When he has struggled,
Speaker 2: they've struggled.
Speaker 3: I think that.
Speaker 2: So Baltimore made a big trade at the deadline for
Speaker 2: ropewand Smith. I don't think he has an incident impact
Speaker 2: in this game, but I think this. I think it's
Speaker 2: always good when you say to your locker room, we're
Speaker 2: trying to win right now. So San Francisco traded for McCaffrey.
Speaker 2: They weren't able to beat the Chiefs, but then they
Speaker 2: kicked the crap out of the Rams. We saw the
Speaker 2: Dolphins this week trade for Bradley Chubb. Baltimore trades for
Speaker 2: rokewand Smith. Baltimore, also, by the way, is on the
Speaker 2: same long week Tampa's on that many buy because they
Speaker 2: played Tampa on Thursday. Baltimore, if you look at what
Speaker 2: they if we give Baltimore credit, they have three losses
Speaker 2: this year. Miami up twenty one, blew it, the Bills
Speaker 2: up seventeen, blew it and still had the ball the
Speaker 2: goal line, didn't get the touchdown, the Bills driver the field,
Speaker 2: and the Giants game where they're up what ten points
Speaker 2: and blew it. So they have blown wings. But it
Speaker 2: also means they have been up in all every game
Speaker 2: they've played, most of them by double digits. Their three
Speaker 2: losses have come to Buffalo, the team most people believes
Speaker 2: the best team in football, certainly one of the best.
Speaker 2: Miami with Tua undefeated is Miami with Tua and the Giants,
Speaker 2: who are not a bad team, you know what I mean.
Speaker 2: I'm not ready to call them a very good team,
Speaker 2: but they're not a bad team, so they have no
Speaker 2: bad losses. I think New Orleans stinks. I think New
Speaker 2: Orleans is slightly overvalued right now because of their dominating
Speaker 2: win over the Raiders. I'm laying less than a field goal.
Speaker 2: I like Baltimore.
Speaker 3: Baltimore hasn't been the best to you in the past, though,
Speaker 3: are you should?
Speaker 2: I know I've lost a lot of Baltimore bets. I
Speaker 2: understand it, and it's a road favorite, but it's a
Speaker 2: road favorite of less than a field goal, so I
Speaker 2: don't mind it so much. So there's our five picks
Speaker 2: this week. Indie plus five and a half, Atlanta plus three,
Speaker 2: Seattle plus two, Tampa minus two and a half, and
Speaker 2: Baltimore minus two and a half. We have seven other
Speaker 2: games to break down and the stay aways be careful
Speaker 2: from perfectly priced category. And I have a story to
Speaker 2: tell what a dream I had about demands. That's next,
Speaker 2: What's right?
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Speaker 2: All right, welcome back in episode ninety one. What's right
Speaker 2: with Nick? Great Gambling Show? Subscribe rate review on YouTube?
Speaker 2: We had a good YouTube week, subscriber wise, hope to
Speaker 2: continue that, we had a good YouTube what'd you say,
Speaker 2: subscriber wise? What'd you say? Continue that? I think we're
Speaker 2: right just short of eighty three thousand. You can check,
Speaker 2: but I think we're just short of eighty three thousand, right, yeah,
Speaker 2: just short of eighty three. But maybe by the time
Speaker 2: people see this, we'll be up in eighty three. Quest
Speaker 2: to get one hundred thousand subscribers before New Year's so
Speaker 2: demand can get a bonus in a cool plaque to
Speaker 2: put on his tender profile. I don't know if he's
Speaker 2: an active tender profile or not. No, okay, sorry, I'm
Speaker 2: not trying to blow up your spot. I don't know.
Speaker 2: But if it, if it ever were to be reactivated,
Speaker 2: who knows? Things happening? All right, But we put the
Speaker 2: rest of the games in three categories, stay away, be careful,
Speaker 2: perfectly priced. We'll break those down in a moment. But
Speaker 2: first the dream I had, so I I hope this
Speaker 2: doesn't embarrass you. Uh. When Demanse was in high school,
Speaker 2: as I think a lot of people do, they set
Speaker 2: their kid up with a checking account, meaning a debit
Speaker 2: card account, and it's linked to their personal bank account account.
Speaker 2: We've never unlinked it linked. So while I don't get
Speaker 2: in your when I log into my online banking, it
Speaker 2: shows my account balance, when my savings my credit card,
Speaker 2: and then beneath it shows yours and now your sisters,
Speaker 2: and so I don't go into it and see but
Speaker 2: I but it does pop up every time. So I
Speaker 2: also like, it's I know when you've been paid, you
Speaker 2: know what I mean? Just because whatever in my dream,
Speaker 2: I logged in and you had twelve hundred dollars in
Speaker 2: my dream. I logged in and I was like, what
Speaker 2: then twelve And I clicked on it and there were
Speaker 2: back to back twenty five hundred and there were bad charges,
Speaker 2: twenty two different sports betting apps charges, and I was
Speaker 2: beside myself, and I came to you and I was like, buddy,
Speaker 2: what are you doing? And You're like, it's fine, it's fine.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna get it back this week. And leave me alone.
Speaker 2: And I had this and I was like, I did this.
Speaker 3: To him alone.
Speaker 2: I was like ay, and I was like, he's gonna
Speaker 2: have to learn the lesson that I learned, but in
Speaker 2: such a painful way. And then I just went on
Speaker 2: to the next dream or woke up whatever, and I'd
Speaker 2: forgotten i'd had it. And then I walked in this
Speaker 2: morning and I saw that you were looking at your
Speaker 2: parlays that you've placed this weekend and I and I
Speaker 2: remembered the dream, and I was so relieved. Placed this
Speaker 2: last night, I had nothing but bad dreams that I
Speaker 2: woke up from and felt better. I also dreamt that
Speaker 2: I got sentenced to thirty years and I woke up
Speaker 2: from and I was hugging my mom. And then I
Speaker 2: was like, oh man, I'll never get to hug her
Speaker 2: again because by the time I get out, she's gonna
Speaker 2: be And I was super sad again and the out
Speaker 2: hey right, I was super sad. I was. And then
Speaker 2: I woke up and I was like, Oh, that's great,
Speaker 2: that's not actually happening. Okay, all right. I was like,
Speaker 2: oh that's great, that's not actually all right. Well, let's
Speaker 2: stay aways, stay aways Buffalo at the Jets in Las
Speaker 2: Vegas at the Jags. We'll discuss them both here quickly.
Speaker 2: The reason Buffalo at the Jets is to stay away
Speaker 2: the Jets catching twelve is because every single rule of
Speaker 2: gambling says you must bet the j every sing every
Speaker 2: single rule. They are above five hundred, it is a
Speaker 2: divisional game, they are at home, they have an excellent defense.
Speaker 2: They're catching not seven, not ten, but twelve points that
Speaker 2: the Bills, on the other hand, are coming off an
Speaker 2: underwhelming performance. I would say screen where the Bills were
Speaker 2: at home against a team far worse than the Jets
Speaker 2: right now and one by ten. So every rule says
Speaker 2: bet on the Jets. I don't have an ending, So
Speaker 2: to bet on Zach Wilson against that Bill's defense with
Speaker 2: Josh Allen probably pissed he threw those picks. So the
Speaker 2: smart thing is to bet the Jets six. So which
Speaker 2: one on? The smart thing is to bet the Jets exactly.
Speaker 2: That's why it's a stayaway because smart nick says you
Speaker 2: gotta bet the Jets. I don't have the stomach because
Speaker 2: a drew professional better. That's an auto bet on the Jets.
Speaker 2: I don't have the stomach to do it, so I'm
Speaker 2: staying with Now there's the's a Jacks Jaggs getting a
Speaker 2: point and a half at home against a terrible ty.
Speaker 2: You guys have held an intervention with me last week
Speaker 2: and it saved me in the picks because I was
Speaker 2: so mad that I didn't get to bet on the
Speaker 2: Jags for my picks against Nathaniel Hackett and then the
Speaker 2: prince that was promised Trevor Lawrence. Once again, Snathaniel hack Well,
Speaker 2: he threw a pick at the one yard line earlier
Speaker 2: in the game. It's second time he's one that this year.
Speaker 2: And then he threw a pick on what could have
Speaker 2: been the game winning drive. That's the third time he's
Speaker 2: done that this year. And they didn't cover. So thanks
Speaker 2: you guys. But getting points against the Raiders, I almost broke.
Speaker 2: I almost just included it, but you guys, I promised
Speaker 2: you guys one month of no betting on the Jags,
Speaker 2: so I will stay away. But I I know they're
Speaker 2: gonna win, so I will. I know they're gonna turn
Speaker 2: it around. I know they're gonna win. I know they're
Speaker 2: gonna turn it around. Okay, okay, all right, let's go
Speaker 2: to be careful three games in this category, Miami at Chicago,
Speaker 2: Green Bay at Detroit, and Tennessee at Kansas City. So
Speaker 2: here's why these are in the be careful category. Miami
Speaker 2: at Chicago feels like that line should be seven. Feels
Speaker 2: like everyone is going to be on the Dolphins. They're
Speaker 2: undefeated with Tua, even though Justin Fields has shown some
Speaker 2: flashes the last few weeks. I mean, they scored, their
Speaker 2: offense was good against Dallas. Their defenses couldn't stop him
Speaker 2: at all. Now, Demons, while he talks about his parlays,
Speaker 2: Demonse had under forty two for that game. Dallas by itself,
Speaker 2: since they had under forty, that wasn't great. That was
Speaker 2: the most dead on over of the weekend. I think
Speaker 2: the whole world is gonna be on Miami. That's why
Speaker 2: it's a be careful I think Miami. I think people
Speaker 2: feel like Miami should be favored by a touchdown. They're
Speaker 2: gonna hammer Miami. This line's gonna move to Miami minus
Speaker 2: five and a half a half, maybe Miami minus six.
Speaker 2: You're on Miami, I mean minus five and a half.
Speaker 2: Maybe Miami minus six. You're on Miami. Uh huh. Include
Speaker 2: Miami on the money line that I'm okay with. I
Speaker 2: do think Miami is gonna win. But this feels like
Speaker 2: somehow it's twenty seven to twenty three, or twenty seven
Speaker 2: to twenty four with a late Chicago touchdown, or twenty
Speaker 2: seven all of a sudden, now they're letting Justin Fields
Speaker 2: run around and they touch down. All right, next one
Speaker 2: of them, be careful. Green Bay at Detroit, Detroit getting
Speaker 2: three and a half. This is a be careful spot,
Speaker 2: because I green Bay's desperate. They own the Lions. Historically,
Speaker 2: the Lions at home have been a good offense, a
Speaker 2: really good offense at home. I don't think many people
Speaker 2: are gonna betting the Lions. I think they're daring you
Speaker 2: to bet the Packers. In this game, it feels like
Speaker 2: again maybe a three point game, just be careful. Go
Speaker 2: It feels like again maybe a three point game, just
Speaker 2: be careful there, go ahead. So that's why I think
Speaker 2: everyone's gonna be on green Bay. The three and a
Speaker 2: half just scares me a bit. I'm to me be careful.
Speaker 2: Next one, Tennessee at Kansas City. All right, listen, Kansas
Speaker 2: City is not great at covering these giant spreads. Kansas
Speaker 2: City as a favorite of less than a touchdown has
Speaker 2: been outstanding Kansas City with these giant spreads for a
Speaker 2: couple of reasons. One is they get down in a
Speaker 2: lot of these games and then they have these amazing comebacks.
Speaker 2: But now you gotta win by two scores. Here's another reason.
Speaker 2: Not gonna have a lot of possessions in this game.
Speaker 2: Tennessee is just going to be running Derrick Henry again
Speaker 2: and again and again the entirety of that game. Ryan
Speaker 2: Tannehill might be back, it's too no one. I feel
Speaker 2: like the public is gonna be on the chief Maybe
Speaker 2: I should have put this in the stay away category,
Speaker 2: not to be careful category. I if you are thinking
Speaker 2: about betting the Chiefs here, be careful. I think, honestly,
Speaker 2: the smart money's on the Titans. If I, if I
Speaker 2: had it in me to ever bet against my team,
Speaker 2: I probably include the Titans in there. I don't have
Speaker 2: it in me. I'm not in my team. Titans in there.
Speaker 2: Last one perfectly priced two games, will be very careful.
Speaker 2: It would be very quickly on those. Minnesota Washington, Washington
Speaker 2: getting three and a half, that's exactly right. Minnesota being
Speaker 2: a field goal ish favorite on the road against the
Speaker 2: Washington team that's frisky with Taylor Heinike and Cincinnati favored
Speaker 2: by exactly seven at home against Carolina. Bounce back spot
Speaker 2: for Cincinnati, but you don't really Carolina. The question with
Speaker 2: Carolina is did that loss the way they suffered it
Speaker 2: just stomach punch them for the whole season with the
Speaker 2: Kickers suffered it as Mary stole from them. Cincinnati, no
Speaker 2: Jamar Chase, but they have to win this game. To me,
Speaker 2: this feels like a debt on thirty one, twenty four,
Speaker 2: twenty eight to twenty one game. I think that's perfectly priced.
Speaker 2: All right, So there's our there's those categories. We'll take
Speaker 2: a very quick break, come back, give you the right
Speaker 2: move to. I'll update you on the half a million
Speaker 2: dollar survivor pool. I'm in see if we have any
Speaker 2: exotics and demons, will give you his parlay and we'll
Speaker 2: do the offer. We'll do all that next. What's Right?
Speaker 2: All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick?
Speaker 3: Right?
Speaker 2: Episode ninety one? Is that right? Yeah, That's what I've
Speaker 2: been calling all day. Episode ninety one, our week nine
Speaker 2: gambling show. All right, our five picks this week that
Speaker 2: we are going with our Indy plus five and a
Speaker 2: half at New England, Atlanta plus three against the Chargers,
Speaker 2: Seattle plus two at Arizona, Tampa minus two and a
Speaker 2: half at the Rams, and Baltimore minus two and a
Speaker 2: half at New Orleans. Our right move, otherwise known as
Speaker 2: a lock of the week is Tampa the Rams with
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup either not playing or banged up the Rams
Speaker 2: offensive line, Tampa in absolute gotta have it game. The Rams,
Speaker 2: on the other hand, I think are cooked and done.
Speaker 2: Was really weird when I saw they offered two first
Speaker 2: round picks for Brian Burns. They the Rams need to
Speaker 2: come to turms with fact that they're not very good
Speaker 2: and their issue is not their defense. Their issue is
Speaker 2: their offensive line, and they have the worst offensive football.
Speaker 2: We love Tampa. You were skeptical of this bet at
Speaker 2: all because of Tampa's struggles so far. I like Tampa
Speaker 2: to win by at least a field goal. That's where
Speaker 2: we're at, all right, We're two and six on the
Speaker 2: right move. We're getting it right this week. Survivorpool, the
Speaker 2: one that i' mean where the first place is half
Speaker 2: a million bucks, is down to one hundred and fourteen.
Speaker 2: One hundred and twelve people. Fourteen of those would be
Speaker 2: out if Atlanta had lost. I was not one of them.
Speaker 2: That's crushing, Yeah, that is crushing that thirteen percent of
Speaker 2: the pool would have been out if they made the
Speaker 2: extra point or if they had made the thirty yard
Speaker 2: field goal. But whatever. Last week was one of the
Speaker 2: safest weeks for survivors. Went into the week with one eighteen.
Speaker 2: There's now one twelve left. Almost nobody no longer giving
Speaker 2: your Survivor pick. I'm not no, I'm just updating. I'm
Speaker 2: just updating where the pool is at. I apologize to
Speaker 2: America and I can't get my Survivor pick, but I
Speaker 2: already lost two Survivor picks on here anyway, So what
Speaker 2: good am I? Here's the deal on the tea of
Speaker 2: the exotics. I will tweet out if I end up
Speaker 2: doing a teaser. There are the tea. Most people do
Speaker 2: teasers where they tease big favorites down There are no
Speaker 2: great teaser legs for big favorites this week. You could
Speaker 2: argue the Chiefs at twelve and a half at ten
Speaker 2: point teaser to get them two and a half, fine,
Speaker 2: but there's no eight team to pair them with. The
Speaker 2: teaser legs, though, that are interesting this week? Are the
Speaker 2: two and a half point dogs teased up to eight
Speaker 2: and a half because you get them through the three,
Speaker 2: the seven, and the eight. I haven't inspected those enough,
Speaker 2: so I don't have a great teaser leg for you. Demanse,
Speaker 2: on the other hand, did do a parlay? Would you
Speaker 2: like to give it out? Or wait? Is this your parlay?
Speaker 2: Or is this you have five picks this week?
Speaker 3: Uh? This is this is one of my part I
Speaker 3: don't even know if I have a five legs, so
Speaker 3: this will be all call it my.
Speaker 2: Five picks, your five picks, all right? What are they?
Speaker 2: Let me?
Speaker 3: We've got Minnesota minus three and a half at Washington, Okay.
Speaker 2: That we had that in the perfectly priced category, so
Speaker 2: we don't hate it, all right.
Speaker 3: And then we've got Miami minus five at Chicago that was.
Speaker 2: In our beak air pool. That was we don't we
Speaker 2: don't love that one, all right, go ahead.
Speaker 3: And then we've got Seattle plus two at Arizona, okay,
Speaker 3: with that one in lockstep. And then we got the
Speaker 3: Rams plus.
Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, wait, hold on goes a direct conflict
Speaker 2: with my lock this is this?
Speaker 3: Oh? I think there's honestly, there might be a mistake
Speaker 3: or this might have been my pick me up parlay
Speaker 3: that I used to back up one of the ones.
Speaker 2: Oh, okay, likes having conflicting parlay. De Monde likes having
Speaker 2: one parlay he really believes in. And then another parlay
Speaker 2: is a backup that is in somewhat direct conflict with
Speaker 2: the other one. It's a little lot. And then you
Speaker 2: have Baltimore, which we're on the same page on. Yeah, okay,
Speaker 2: I don't I don't hate it all right. Uh, the
Speaker 2: offer we hit one of these so far this year? Yeah,
Speaker 2: what's the offer this week? I call this one d
Speaker 2: Birds Okay, Ravens minus two and a half in New
Speaker 2: Orleans Seahawks plus two at Arizona Falcons plus three versus
Speaker 2: the Chargers demure Bird to score a touchdown for the
Speaker 2: third straight game. Odds are plus thirty one hundred. Okay,
Speaker 2: so the odds on that are outrageous. That should be
Speaker 2: fifty to one. Yeah, No, it's it's right because it's
Speaker 2: three It just those three games. A three team spread
Speaker 2: parlay would be six to one. We're now adding as
Speaker 2: unlikely touchdowns score even though the touchdown he scored this
Speaker 2: weekend was crazy fantastic, And I do want to investigate.
Speaker 3: The family tree.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do want to investigate the lineage. You know,
Speaker 2: let me see where he's from, because I don't see
Speaker 2: a lot of birds.
Speaker 3: I don't see a lot of birds either, And I mean,
Speaker 3: it doesn't it looks like if we were to be related,
Speaker 3: like it's not that far off. Like I remember him
Speaker 3: taking his helmet off. He didn't.
Speaker 2: So he's from New Jersey. No way, he's from New Jersey,
Speaker 2: and you have family there. But that's on your mom's
Speaker 2: grandfather's side. So we got to investigate this more. And
Speaker 2: your mom's grandfather obviously his last name is not bird, right,
Speaker 2: So we got to investigate this more. We gotta you
Speaker 2: know who we're gonna have to call. You have to
Speaker 2: make a call to your mom's dad, which is always fun.
Speaker 2: We'll give him a call, see when we get Uncle
Speaker 2: Sean on the phone and see and see, uh and
Speaker 2: see if there's any relationships. But because these are three picks,
Speaker 2: I like, Plus, it'll be a fun thing to root for,
Speaker 2: even though it should be fifty to one. Let's do it.
Speaker 3: Let's do it.
Speaker 2: There it is. I accept the offer. There is the
Speaker 2: gambling Show, episode ninety one of What's Right with Nick Right? Listen, rate, subscribe, review,
Speaker 2: due all those things iTunes, Spotify, and particularly on YouTube.
Speaker 2: We'll talk to you guys on Monday. What's Right. Hey,
Speaker 2: it's Nick Right. Thank you so much for watching. Please
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