WEBVTT - Week 9 NFL Bets: Nick’s 5 Picks

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome in episode ninety one What's Right with Nick Right

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<v Speaker 2>the podcast and YouTube show This Is Our Is It?

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<v Speaker 2>Week nine? My God? Week nine NFL Gambling Show. As

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<v Speaker 2>we are rolling and listen, we were in a rut.

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<v Speaker 2>I was desponding, I was depressed. I was questioning what

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<v Speaker 2>I had known about the process. Not because we were

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<v Speaker 2>getting crushed, but because we were two and three every week.

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<v Speaker 2>It was just two and like clockwork, two and three

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<v Speaker 2>every week. Last week we were not two and three.

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<v Speaker 2>We honestly should have been four and one. At the

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<v Speaker 2>last second, we took one pick out a winning pick.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll show you our record last week. We took out

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<v Speaker 2>Minnesota minus three and a half last week and replaced

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<v Speaker 2>it with our worst bet of the week, Cincinnati minus

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<v Speaker 2>three and a half. Here's why I feel so good

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<v Speaker 2>about last week, not because we were dead on on

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<v Speaker 2>any of these games, but because our luck turned so

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<v Speaker 2>let me explain for a moment. All right throughout this year,

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<v Speaker 2>what has happened is we have gotten two games exactly right,

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<v Speaker 2>covered by ten plus points most weeks, one game wrong,

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<v Speaker 2>and then two fifty to fifty games or even seventy

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<v Speaker 2>thirty games in our favor have gone the other way.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's how we've gone to two and three this

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<v Speaker 2>past week. Let's look at it. We had the Raiders

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<v Speaker 2>laying a point and a half. They got shut out.

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<v Speaker 2>That was terrible. That's lost. We had Washington getting two

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<v Speaker 2>and a half points at Indy. They were down by

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<v Speaker 2>six in the waning moments of that game, came back

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<v Speaker 2>and won. That's a stolen victory. San Francisco minus point

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<v Speaker 2>and a half over the Rams was an easy one.

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<v Speaker 2>Cincinnati the one we replaced with that. We shouldn't have

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<v Speaker 2>that one. Cleveland kicked their ass, and green Bay covering

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<v Speaker 2>that eleven and a half was an absurdity. They were

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<v Speaker 2>down seventeen with the Bills having the ball inside the

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<v Speaker 2>five and Josh Allen threw a pick. Green Bay ends

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<v Speaker 2>up covering. So I feel like the gambling gods rewarded

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<v Speaker 2>us by staying true to the method. We are now

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<v Speaker 2>eighteen and twenty two on the season, which again is

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<v Speaker 2>not great, but we're hovering around five hundred. We're like

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<v Speaker 2>the I hate to use this analogy, the twenty nineteen

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<v Speaker 2>twenty would it be twenty twenty. Yeah, the twenty twenty

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<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are seven and five and mediocre

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<v Speaker 2>and got their teeth kicked in by the Chiefs right

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<v Speaker 2>before they're by and then they got red hot, win

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<v Speaker 2>eight to no the rest of the season, from the

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<v Speaker 2>end of the regular season through the playoffs, red hot

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<v Speaker 2>in route to a super Bowl. That's what we're gonna do.

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<v Speaker 2>Last year on the TV show where we give three

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<v Speaker 2>picks a week, we were right around five hundred until

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<v Speaker 2>Week twelve, and then from week twelve through the end

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<v Speaker 2>of the playoffs we got seventy percent against the spread.

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<v Speaker 2>We are digesting the season, we're letting the season wash

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<v Speaker 2>over us, and now this week odd week six teams

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<v Speaker 2>on to buy, so only thirteen games to choose from

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<v Speaker 2>for our purposes. I've also made an adjustment only eight

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<v Speaker 2>games to choose or twelve games to choose from, because

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<v Speaker 2>I'm no longer going to do anything with the Thursday

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<v Speaker 2>night game because this show comes out on Fridays and

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<v Speaker 2>it's weird when I'm like, I think this is gonna happen,

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<v Speaker 2>but the game's already been played. For whatever it's worth,

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<v Speaker 2>I'll tell you it's Philly laying thirteen and a half

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<v Speaker 2>in Houston. I would be picking Houston in that game,

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<v Speaker 2>just because that is way too many points to be laying,

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<v Speaker 2>especially for a Philly team that the Steelers game. Notwithstanding

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<v Speaker 2>that game will they have not been a great second

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<v Speaker 2>half team. They have been crushing teams in the first

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<v Speaker 2>half and then kind of going in a stall in

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<v Speaker 2>the second half. So I would be on Houston, but

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<v Speaker 2>that's not going to be a part of our picks.

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<v Speaker 2>Here are the five games that we are picking this weekend.

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<v Speaker 2>We will get to those, and then we will get

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<v Speaker 2>to the other eight games or seven games what categories

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<v Speaker 2>they fall into, perfectly priced, Stay away and be carefuls

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<v Speaker 2>our first game of the weekend, Indy catching five and

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<v Speaker 2>a half at New England. We like Indianapolis. The analysis

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<v Speaker 2>of this game is very, very simple. By the way,

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<v Speaker 2>there are eight this isn't one of them. There are

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<v Speaker 2>eight home dogs this weekend. Of the thirteen games, eight

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<v Speaker 2>home teams are underdogs. So why do I like Indy

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<v Speaker 2>catching five and a half? Win? And I've got the

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<v Speaker 2>injury report right in front of me. The Jonathan Taylor,

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<v Speaker 2>after being one of the least injured players in all

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<v Speaker 2>of college football and then in professional football, never missed

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<v Speaker 2>a practice. Jonathan Taylor is dealing with real injury stuff.

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<v Speaker 2>Didn't practice on Wednesday, which is the last practice report

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<v Speaker 2>we have. So why do I like the Colts? It's

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<v Speaker 2>two reasons. One reason is the Patriots are going to

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<v Speaker 2>try to convience Mac Jones to stop throwing interceptions. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know if they're going to be able to,

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<v Speaker 2>but I think Mac understands that they're going into a buy.

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<v Speaker 2>This past week against the Jets, he threw a pick

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<v Speaker 2>that was terrible the doc that floated in the air,

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<v Speaker 2>and then threw a pick six before the half that

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<v Speaker 2>would have lost him the game, but it got waved

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<v Speaker 2>off due to a roughing the passer Pinal. So I

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<v Speaker 2>think the Patriots are going to be coaching all week,

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<v Speaker 2>and Mac, because he doesn't want to get replaced by

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<v Speaker 2>Zappi at the bye, will internalize all week just don't

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<v Speaker 2>turn the ball over, just don't throw it to the

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<v Speaker 2>other team. So I think it's going to be low

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<v Speaker 2>scoring in that regard. Indy, on the other hand, I

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<v Speaker 2>think with Ellinger the second piece of this, well, I

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<v Speaker 2>don't think Ellener listen. Ellenger is a second year quarterback,

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<v Speaker 2>might as well be a rookie quarterback who's a mid

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<v Speaker 2>round pick. What he does have the ability on and

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<v Speaker 2>this something Ben sol like credit to him from the

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<v Speaker 2>Ringer has been big on this year is the quarterbacks

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<v Speaker 2>that can scramble this season have neutralized some of the

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<v Speaker 2>deficiencies that they have otherwise in their game. More so

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<v Speaker 2>than any year that we can remember, the scrambling quarterback

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<v Speaker 2>has been something of an equalizer when the quarterback battle

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<v Speaker 2>is skewed. By the way, I don't think this quarterback

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<v Speaker 2>battle is skewed between Mac Jones and Sam Ellener that

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<v Speaker 2>much anyway, because I think Mac Jones.

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<v Speaker 3>Think against Bill Belichick, though yes.

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<v Speaker 2>And Belichick and'st rookie quarterbacks unbelievable. Ellener is not a

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<v Speaker 2>rookie quarterback, but he's kind of a rookie quarterback. So

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<v Speaker 2>so five and a half points just too much. I

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<v Speaker 2>do not think Mac Jones should be favored by more

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<v Speaker 2>than four against anybody, but the Texans. I think the

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<v Speaker 2>Colts are going, you know, they still believe maybe they

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<v Speaker 2>can sneak into the playoffs. I was wrong about the Colts.

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<v Speaker 2>If you guys remember, I thought that Matt Ryan would

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<v Speaker 2>be good. They'd go twelve and five against a soft schedule.

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<v Speaker 2>With that said, this to me feels like a seventeen thirteen.

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<v Speaker 2>Seventeen fourteen is a sixteen to thirteen type of game.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe maybe I lose it because it's twenty to fourteen,

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<v Speaker 2>but I don't think so. It's too many points. Indy

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<v Speaker 2>should not be underdogs of five and a half at

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<v Speaker 2>New England with Mac Jones playing quarterback in what will

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<v Speaker 2>be a very fast, run centric game. We like the

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<v Speaker 2>Colts next game. This is a stupid line. Crazy Atlanta

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<v Speaker 2>catching three at home against the Chargers. So again, Mike

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<v Speaker 2>Williams is out for this game, and he's out for

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<v Speaker 2>a while with an injured ankle. You Keenan Allen still

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<v Speaker 2>is not practiced. Okay, so you're gonna have Mike. I

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<v Speaker 2>don't know. Mike Williams has been ruled out, but he's out.

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<v Speaker 2>Mike Williams isn't gonna play Keenan. I'm not sure if

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<v Speaker 2>he's gonna play. The Chargers kicker, if I read it correctly,

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<v Speaker 2>is even dinged up. The Chargers are so incredibly injured. Atlanta,

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<v Speaker 2>on the other hand, while they didn't deserve to win

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<v Speaker 2>that game against Carolina at because it was happening as

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<v Speaker 2>the dj more penalty and then another miss kick, it

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<v Speaker 2>did take a Hail Mary for Carolina to even be

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<v Speaker 2>in that position. Ye they're at home. The Chargers have

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<v Speaker 2>shown given us no evidence this year that on the

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<v Speaker 2>field they're the team we thought they were gonna be

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<v Speaker 2>on paper. For them to be a three point favorite

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<v Speaker 2>when they have to go all the way from southern

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<v Speaker 2>California to Atlanta for a one pm kickoff is just stupid.

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<v Speaker 2>It makes no sense. So it's just this game should

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<v Speaker 2>be a pick them instead. I'm getting a full field goal.

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<v Speaker 2>The I don't under stand the line at all. It

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<v Speaker 2>is showing I don't even think it's showing a disrespect

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<v Speaker 2>for the Falcons. To me, it is showing a level

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<v Speaker 2>of respect for the Chargers that their play this year

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<v Speaker 2>has not warranted. You look at the Chargers thus far

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<v Speaker 2>this season. I'm gonna pull up their schedule right now.

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<v Speaker 2>What they've done and where we've seen them. Now, I

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<v Speaker 2>do let me concede one point here. They are coming

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<v Speaker 2>off a bye. I understand that part of it. However,

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<v Speaker 2>they didn't get discernibly more healthy during the bye. And

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<v Speaker 2>what the Chargers have done this year. Week one, one

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<v Speaker 2>score game against the Raiders. Derek Carr turns them all

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<v Speaker 2>over four times. The Raiders still have the ball at

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<v Speaker 2>the end, down five, with a chance to win. They

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<v Speaker 2>lose to Kansas City. That's their best game of the

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<v Speaker 2>year because they were up ten in that game. They

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<v Speaker 2>get annihilated by Jacksonville. That loss looks worse and worse

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<v Speaker 2>by the week. And we'll talk Jacksonville later because you guys,

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<v Speaker 2>you guys saved me again, even though well we'll talk

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<v Speaker 2>to because you didn't really save me. You saved me

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<v Speaker 2>on the picks, but I couldn't help myself. They beat

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<v Speaker 2>Houston in a game that for whatever it's worth They

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<v Speaker 2>beat Houston in a game that was a three point

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<v Speaker 2>game into the fourth quarter. They beat Cleveland by two,

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<v Speaker 2>they escaped versus Denver by three, and then they lost

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<v Speaker 2>to Seattle, and now they have a bye. They should

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<v Speaker 2>not be road field goal favorites against a decent team

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<v Speaker 2>in Atlanta. It makes no sense. Do you disagree with

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<v Speaker 2>me on this one?

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<v Speaker 3>Sort of? But I mean you listened to all the injuries.

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<v Speaker 3>They're the only thing that's got me think in a way.

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<v Speaker 3>But I don't think the Falcons are a great team.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think O a great team. No, no, no, I

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<v Speaker 2>don't think they're a great team either. But I think

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<v Speaker 2>the Chargers being given more respect than they deserve given

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<v Speaker 2>how banged up they are. And this is Will Demonse,

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<v Speaker 2>by the way. You know what, let's pause this for

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<v Speaker 2>a moment. We should have said this from the beginning.

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<v Speaker 2>Demonse hit a five teamer this week. Now it turned

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<v Speaker 2>into a ford teamer because one of them was Miami

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<v Speaker 2>by exactly spread, so it rolled down to a four teamer.

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<v Speaker 2>But this wasn't a teaser. It was a five and

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<v Speaker 2>it wasn't a moneyline parlay. It was a five team

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<v Speaker 2>point spread. Parlay, Demonsey went four to Zho one. So

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<v Speaker 2>Demonsey is learning as the year goes on. Very proud

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<v Speaker 2>of them, Thanks Madre, no problem. The next level to

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<v Speaker 2>this is checking two things that I'm certain you never

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<v Speaker 2>think about. The weather and the injury report. Now for

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<v Speaker 2>this show, it's not really that helpful because we record

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<v Speaker 2>this show on Thursday before the Thursday injury reports are out,

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<v Speaker 2>but you get an injury report Friday afternoon. So checking

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<v Speaker 2>that injury report. Let me just tell everybody if a

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<v Speaker 2>guy has not practiced so there is full participant in practic,

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<v Speaker 2>this limited participant in practice and did not participate in practice.

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<v Speaker 2>Anybody that is a DNP at practice on a Friday

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<v Speaker 2>is very unlikely to play. If they can't even practice

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<v Speaker 2>in a limited capacity by Friday, then they won't be

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<v Speaker 2>ruled out yet, but they're like or sometimes they'll be

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<v Speaker 2>ruled out, but they're likely going to be out. The

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<v Speaker 2>other thing is the weather. Obviously, now with Atlanta that

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<v Speaker 2>doesn't matter because it's in a dome. But those are

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<v Speaker 2>the things to look at. But we like Atlanta for

0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 2>the game. There's another thing at the top of the

0:13:33.400 --> 0:13:35.080
<v Speaker 2>B block. I'm gonna tell you guys, a dream I

0:13:35.120 --> 0:13:38.120
<v Speaker 2>had related to demanse in gambling. That was one of

0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 2>those dreams that you forgot you had until I walked

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:46.640
<v Speaker 2>in the studio today and saw demands on his sports

0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:49.960
<v Speaker 2>betting app, and it made the dream come back. All right,

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:54.080
<v Speaker 2>next bet. This is one Victor who we mocked for

0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:55.959
<v Speaker 2>going on five, but all of a sudden, it's a

0:13:55.960 --> 0:14:02.880
<v Speaker 2>little hot Victor and I independent independently a Seattle getting

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 2>too at Arizona.

0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:06.760
<v Speaker 3>That's insane.

0:14:08.440 --> 0:14:10.200
<v Speaker 2>Arizona getting a lot of respect.

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:13.600
<v Speaker 3>Vegas the games so well, I.

0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:16.160
<v Speaker 2>Think that, so keep in mind. So here's the thing.

0:14:17.559 --> 0:14:19.720
<v Speaker 2>What Vegas wants, and we always got to remind you

0:14:19.800 --> 0:14:24.200
<v Speaker 2>of this. What Vegas wants is even action on both sides.

0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:27.000
<v Speaker 2>What they want is to set a line where half

0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:30.000
<v Speaker 2>of the public will take Arizona, half will take Seattle,

0:14:30.240 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 2>and they'll make the juice on the losses. Right, the

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:37.920
<v Speaker 2>public still has a respect for the Cardinals that I

0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:40.480
<v Speaker 2>do not think they have earned, and they have a

0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:45.160
<v Speaker 2>disrespect for Seattle based on what they were before the season.

0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:50.520
<v Speaker 2>But Arizona so far this year has three victories. Okay,

0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:56.680
<v Speaker 2>Carolina was Baker Mayfield still starting then he was the

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 2>Raiders who have just been by the way on the

0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:05.440
<v Speaker 2>raid sidebar real quick. Josh McDaniels, the new head coach

0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:09.360
<v Speaker 2>for the Raiders, has gotten no scrutiny at all this year.

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:12.000
<v Speaker 2>He was the offensive coordinator for the Patriots. Went to

0:15:12.040 --> 0:15:15.480
<v Speaker 2>the Broncos, was terrible there, went back to the Patriots.

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:19.480
<v Speaker 2>It worked there. He's been with the Raiders, They've been awful.

0:15:19.560 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 2>And I read, God, I wish I could give credit.

0:15:22.280 --> 0:15:25.520
<v Speaker 2>I read a really smart column that was talking about

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.360
<v Speaker 2>how what Brian Daball has done, who went from the

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:32.720
<v Speaker 2>Bills to the Giants, was instead of trying to force

0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:37.840
<v Speaker 2>his offensive system upon his players, would before this season

0:15:38.480 --> 0:15:43.880
<v Speaker 2>evolve his system to fit the strengths of his players, Like, Hey,

0:15:43.920 --> 0:15:47.160
<v Speaker 2>this is the roster I currently have, how can we

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:51.320
<v Speaker 2>best utilize what is a limited quarterback of superstar running back,

0:15:51.720 --> 0:15:56.040
<v Speaker 2>no name receivers? What Instead of saying this is the

0:15:56.080 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 2>system I run, how can I how can I fit

0:15:59.880 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 2>around my player? McDaniel's done the exact opposite. He's tried

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:07.440
<v Speaker 2>to get Derek Carr to run with Devonte Adams and

0:16:07.520 --> 0:16:11.400
<v Speaker 2>Darren Waller coming back to run the Tom Brady system

0:16:11.840 --> 0:16:14.400
<v Speaker 2>instead of taking advantage of what they do best. That's

0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 2>how you get shut out by the Saints. But I

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:21.440
<v Speaker 2>was talking about Arizona. So Arizona beat the Raiders, they

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:24.960
<v Speaker 2>beat Carolina with Baker, and they beat New Orleans in

0:16:25.000 --> 0:16:29.440
<v Speaker 2>a game where that was the game if you remember, no, no, no,

0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:31.840
<v Speaker 2>that was the back to back pick sixes by Dalton

0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:35.920
<v Speaker 2>right before the half that that game was. The Saints

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:39.120
<v Speaker 2>were fine, they were up fourteen to six, and then

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:43.160
<v Speaker 2>right before the half, Andy Dalton threw back to back

0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:48.880
<v Speaker 2>pick sixes and the game was lost. Then their losses

0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 2>are to Minnesota. They already lost to Seattle by ten

0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:56.440
<v Speaker 2>in Seattle, to Philly, to the Rams, and obviously to

0:16:56.520 --> 0:16:59.080
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs. Now, those are good teams they've lost to all.

0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:02.440
<v Speaker 2>Give them that. The first time they played Seattle, they

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:07.119
<v Speaker 2>hold on. Is this right? Yeah? The first time they

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:13.359
<v Speaker 2>played Seattle, they yeah. They scored one touchdown and it

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:17.600
<v Speaker 2>was a special team's touchdown. They scored three offensive points.

0:17:18.040 --> 0:17:20.320
<v Speaker 3>But doesn't doesn't this one seem a little bit too easy?

0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:24.200
<v Speaker 3>This might seem like the be careful So.

0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:28.240
<v Speaker 2>Here's why I didn't put it there, because I think

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:34.160
<v Speaker 2>the public still likes Arizona. Usually be careful is when

0:17:34.960 --> 0:17:39.440
<v Speaker 2>Vegas is giving you a team the public likes favored

0:17:39.720 --> 0:17:42.639
<v Speaker 2>by less than you think it should be. You follow me,

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:45.880
<v Speaker 2>so like to use Arizona as an example. I thought

0:17:45.920 --> 0:17:50.040
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs minus five against Arizona in Week one was

0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:52.600
<v Speaker 2>a be careful because the public loves the Chiefs, and

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:54.600
<v Speaker 2>I thought, now I was wrong. Chiefs blow them out,

0:17:54.920 --> 0:17:59.200
<v Speaker 2>but you so will this week. Not to give it away.

0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:04.280
<v Speaker 2>Miami is playing Chicago laying less than a touchdown. That

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:06.639
<v Speaker 2>to me is a be careful because everyone's gonna be

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:10.720
<v Speaker 2>on Miami, you know what I mean. So this is, oh, yeah,

0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:13.000
<v Speaker 2>you're on the money line. I like it. On the

0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:15.399
<v Speaker 2>money line. I like it, But the five points feels funny,

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:19.520
<v Speaker 2>all right? So we like Seattle, all right? Next one,

0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:23.399
<v Speaker 2>and I'm leaning towards this being our right move. Our

0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:26.919
<v Speaker 2>lock of the week Tampa laying less than a field

0:18:26.920 --> 0:18:30.840
<v Speaker 2>goal at home against the Rams. So here Tampa minus

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:33.520
<v Speaker 2>two and a half. So here is what we know

0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:40.760
<v Speaker 2>about the Rams. They cannot block for Stafford, they can't.

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:44.560
<v Speaker 2>Here's what we know about Tampa. Despite all their injuries,

0:18:45.200 --> 0:18:50.359
<v Speaker 2>they still have a very good defensive front. Here's the

0:18:50.400 --> 0:18:54.040
<v Speaker 2>other thing we know about the Rams. They got Cooper

0:18:54.080 --> 0:18:56.920
<v Speaker 2>Cup hurt at the very end of their blowout loss

0:18:56.960 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 2>to the Niners. They threw them the ball with them

0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:03.639
<v Speaker 2>minut left down three scores. He turned his ankle Wednesday.

0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:06.800
<v Speaker 2>He did in practice. Now, Willie, if he doesn't play,

0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:10.000
<v Speaker 2>this will move to three and a half. He is

0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:13.399
<v Speaker 2>the rare wide receiver that is worth for that team

0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:18.560
<v Speaker 2>a full point. Tampa. Let me say this this other

0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:23.840
<v Speaker 2>thing about Tampa. I'm really interested in seeing Brady. First

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:26.280
<v Speaker 2>of all, he's on a long week. They played on Thursday.

0:19:26.280 --> 0:19:28.440
<v Speaker 2>Remember they played when we were at the Luca game.

0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:33.399
<v Speaker 2>Seeing Brady not only on a long week in a

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:38.520
<v Speaker 2>desperate must win situation, but also now that the divorced

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:43.439
<v Speaker 2>stuff is behind, now that it has been finalized publicly announced,

0:19:43.720 --> 0:19:47.159
<v Speaker 2>turn the page now. I'm sure he's going to be

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:49.760
<v Speaker 2>dealing with that and grieving that and all of that

0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:54.719
<v Speaker 2>for a long time, but this was a major chapter

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:59.640
<v Speaker 2>for him to finally have it done. He released a statement,

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 2>I think the Rams are a bad team. The Rams

0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:07.879
<v Speaker 2>on a per play basis, have the worst offense in

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:12.360
<v Speaker 2>the NFL, worse than the Texans, worse than the Bears

0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:16.640
<v Speaker 2>per play, the worst offense in the NFL. I'm laying

0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:17.600
<v Speaker 2>less than a field goal.

0:20:17.680 --> 0:20:19.000
<v Speaker 3>You don't like this one, I mean yeah, I mean

0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 3>Rams got to be really bad. They got your betting

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:21.360
<v Speaker 3>on Tampa.

0:20:21.720 --> 0:20:25.080
<v Speaker 2>I think Tampa's they've shown nothing, nothing, and they are

0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 2>they're trending in the wrong direction. I think they beat

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:31.080
<v Speaker 2>the Rams, and the fact that this is I would

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:34.400
<v Speaker 2>strongly consider this at three and a half. At two

0:20:34.440 --> 0:20:38.119
<v Speaker 2>and a half, I love it. And then lastly Baltimore

0:20:38.160 --> 0:20:42.280
<v Speaker 2>minus two and a half at New Orleans. So Baltimore

0:20:42.280 --> 0:20:44.800
<v Speaker 2>has been a hot and cold team this year. Not surprisingly,

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 2>a lot of that has gone as Lamar has gone.

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:50.000
<v Speaker 2>When he's played great, they've been great. When he has struggled,

0:20:50.040 --> 0:20:50.640
<v Speaker 2>they've struggled.

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 3>I think that.

0:20:52.440 --> 0:20:54.760
<v Speaker 2>So Baltimore made a big trade at the deadline for

0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:58.119
<v Speaker 2>ropewand Smith. I don't think he has an incident impact

0:20:58.160 --> 0:21:00.880
<v Speaker 2>in this game, but I think this. I think it's

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:04.600
<v Speaker 2>always good when you say to your locker room, we're

0:21:04.600 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 2>trying to win right now. So San Francisco traded for McCaffrey.

0:21:08.280 --> 0:21:09.959
<v Speaker 2>They weren't able to beat the Chiefs, but then they

0:21:10.119 --> 0:21:13.400
<v Speaker 2>kicked the crap out of the Rams. We saw the

0:21:13.520 --> 0:21:17.280
<v Speaker 2>Dolphins this week trade for Bradley Chubb. Baltimore trades for

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:21.159
<v Speaker 2>rokewand Smith. Baltimore, also, by the way, is on the

0:21:21.240 --> 0:21:24.600
<v Speaker 2>same long week Tampa's on that many buy because they

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:28.840
<v Speaker 2>played Tampa on Thursday. Baltimore, if you look at what

0:21:28.880 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 2>they if we give Baltimore credit, they have three losses

0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:38.240
<v Speaker 2>this year. Miami up twenty one, blew it, the Bills

0:21:38.640 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 2>up seventeen, blew it and still had the ball the

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:45.399
<v Speaker 2>goal line, didn't get the touchdown, the Bills driver the field,

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 2>and the Giants game where they're up what ten points

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:54.399
<v Speaker 2>and blew it. So they have blown wings. But it

0:21:54.520 --> 0:22:00.280
<v Speaker 2>also means they have been up in all every game

0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:03.600
<v Speaker 2>they've played, most of them by double digits. Their three

0:22:03.640 --> 0:22:07.840
<v Speaker 2>losses have come to Buffalo, the team most people believes

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:09.760
<v Speaker 2>the best team in football, certainly one of the best.

0:22:10.080 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 2>Miami with Tua undefeated is Miami with Tua and the Giants,

0:22:15.080 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 2>who are not a bad team, you know what I mean.

0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:18.600
<v Speaker 2>I'm not ready to call them a very good team,

0:22:18.800 --> 0:22:20.480
<v Speaker 2>but they're not a bad team, so they have no

0:22:20.600 --> 0:22:24.200
<v Speaker 2>bad losses. I think New Orleans stinks. I think New

0:22:24.320 --> 0:22:29.440
<v Speaker 2>Orleans is slightly overvalued right now because of their dominating

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:32.400
<v Speaker 2>win over the Raiders. I'm laying less than a field goal.

0:22:32.760 --> 0:22:33.679
<v Speaker 2>I like Baltimore.

0:22:33.760 --> 0:22:35.639
<v Speaker 3>Baltimore hasn't been the best to you in the past, though,

0:22:35.640 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 3>are you should?

0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:38.439
<v Speaker 2>I know I've lost a lot of Baltimore bets. I

0:22:38.520 --> 0:22:41.000
<v Speaker 2>understand it, and it's a road favorite, but it's a

0:22:41.080 --> 0:22:42.840
<v Speaker 2>road favorite of less than a field goal, so I

0:22:42.880 --> 0:22:45.200
<v Speaker 2>don't mind it so much. So there's our five picks

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:49.080
<v Speaker 2>this week. Indie plus five and a half, Atlanta plus three,

0:22:49.320 --> 0:22:52.679
<v Speaker 2>Seattle plus two, Tampa minus two and a half, and

0:22:52.800 --> 0:22:55.600
<v Speaker 2>Baltimore minus two and a half. We have seven other

0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 2>games to break down and the stay aways be careful

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:01.639
<v Speaker 2>from perfectly priced category. And I have a story to

0:23:01.720 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 2>tell what a dream I had about demands. That's next,

0:23:04.280 --> 0:23:04.720
<v Speaker 2>What's right?

0:23:11.240 --> 0:23:14.040
<v Speaker 4>This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:17.399
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<v Speaker 2>All right, welcome back in episode ninety one. What's right

0:23:42.000 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 2>with Nick? Great Gambling Show? Subscribe rate review on YouTube?

0:23:45.680 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 2>We had a good YouTube week, subscriber wise, hope to

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:51.400
<v Speaker 2>continue that, we had a good YouTube what'd you say,

0:23:51.400 --> 0:23:55.000
<v Speaker 2>subscriber wise? What'd you say? Continue that? I think we're

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:57.400
<v Speaker 2>right just short of eighty three thousand. You can check,

0:23:57.440 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 2>but I think we're just short of eighty three thousand, right, yeah,

0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:02.400
<v Speaker 2>just short of eighty three. But maybe by the time

0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:04.960
<v Speaker 2>people see this, we'll be up in eighty three. Quest

0:24:05.000 --> 0:24:07.840
<v Speaker 2>to get one hundred thousand subscribers before New Year's so

0:24:07.920 --> 0:24:09.879
<v Speaker 2>demand can get a bonus in a cool plaque to

0:24:09.880 --> 0:24:11.920
<v Speaker 2>put on his tender profile. I don't know if he's

0:24:11.920 --> 0:24:14.760
<v Speaker 2>an active tender profile or not. No, okay, sorry, I'm

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:15.920
<v Speaker 2>not trying to blow up your spot. I don't know.

0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:18.320
<v Speaker 2>But if it, if it ever were to be reactivated,

0:24:18.320 --> 0:24:20.800
<v Speaker 2>who knows? Things happening? All right, But we put the

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:23.000
<v Speaker 2>rest of the games in three categories, stay away, be careful,

0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:24.879
<v Speaker 2>perfectly priced. We'll break those down in a moment. But

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:30.439
<v Speaker 2>first the dream I had, so I I hope this

0:24:30.480 --> 0:24:34.679
<v Speaker 2>doesn't embarrass you. Uh. When Demanse was in high school,

0:24:34.920 --> 0:24:37.280
<v Speaker 2>as I think a lot of people do, they set

0:24:37.320 --> 0:24:40.480
<v Speaker 2>their kid up with a checking account, meaning a debit

0:24:40.520 --> 0:24:44.160
<v Speaker 2>card account, and it's linked to their personal bank account account.

0:24:44.400 --> 0:24:48.360
<v Speaker 2>We've never unlinked it linked. So while I don't get

0:24:48.400 --> 0:24:51.119
<v Speaker 2>in your when I log into my online banking, it

0:24:51.200 --> 0:24:55.000
<v Speaker 2>shows my account balance, when my savings my credit card,

0:24:55.320 --> 0:24:58.120
<v Speaker 2>and then beneath it shows yours and now your sisters,

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:01.199
<v Speaker 2>and so I don't go into it and see but

0:25:01.320 --> 0:25:04.399
<v Speaker 2>I but it does pop up every time. So I

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:07.480
<v Speaker 2>also like, it's I know when you've been paid, you

0:25:07.560 --> 0:25:10.560
<v Speaker 2>know what I mean? Just because whatever in my dream,

0:25:10.600 --> 0:25:14.240
<v Speaker 2>I logged in and you had twelve hundred dollars in

0:25:14.280 --> 0:25:16.560
<v Speaker 2>my dream. I logged in and I was like, what

0:25:16.760 --> 0:25:20.520
<v Speaker 2>then twelve And I clicked on it and there were

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:26.280
<v Speaker 2>back to back twenty five hundred and there were bad charges,

0:25:26.920 --> 0:25:31.320
<v Speaker 2>twenty two different sports betting apps charges, and I was

0:25:31.400 --> 0:25:36.879
<v Speaker 2>beside myself, and I came to you and I was like, buddy,

0:25:36.920 --> 0:25:39.760
<v Speaker 2>what are you doing? And You're like, it's fine, it's fine.

0:25:40.000 --> 0:25:42.240
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna get it back this week. And leave me alone.

0:25:42.520 --> 0:25:45.720
<v Speaker 2>And I had this and I was like, I did this.

0:25:45.600 --> 0:25:46.560
<v Speaker 3>To him alone.

0:25:46.840 --> 0:25:49.760
<v Speaker 2>I was like ay, and I was like, he's gonna

0:25:49.800 --> 0:25:53.160
<v Speaker 2>have to learn the lesson that I learned, but in

0:25:53.240 --> 0:25:56.359
<v Speaker 2>such a painful way. And then I just went on

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:58.320
<v Speaker 2>to the next dream or woke up whatever, and I'd

0:25:58.320 --> 0:26:01.119
<v Speaker 2>forgotten i'd had it. And then I walked in this

0:26:01.240 --> 0:26:04.640
<v Speaker 2>morning and I saw that you were looking at your

0:26:04.680 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 2>parlays that you've placed this weekend and I and I

0:26:07.320 --> 0:26:10.080
<v Speaker 2>remembered the dream, and I was so relieved. Placed this

0:26:10.280 --> 0:26:12.919
<v Speaker 2>last night, I had nothing but bad dreams that I

0:26:12.960 --> 0:26:15.159
<v Speaker 2>woke up from and felt better. I also dreamt that

0:26:15.240 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 2>I got sentenced to thirty years and I woke up

0:26:17.560 --> 0:26:20.119
<v Speaker 2>from and I was hugging my mom. And then I

0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:22.760
<v Speaker 2>was like, oh man, I'll never get to hug her

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:24.600
<v Speaker 2>again because by the time I get out, she's gonna

0:26:24.640 --> 0:26:28.320
<v Speaker 2>be And I was super sad again and the out

0:26:28.560 --> 0:26:30.479
<v Speaker 2>hey right, I was super sad. I was. And then

0:26:30.480 --> 0:26:32.359
<v Speaker 2>I woke up and I was like, Oh, that's great,

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 2>that's not actually happening. Okay, all right. I was like,

0:26:35.600 --> 0:26:38.840
<v Speaker 2>oh that's great, that's not actually all right. Well, let's

0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:42.520
<v Speaker 2>stay aways, stay aways Buffalo at the Jets in Las

0:26:42.640 --> 0:26:45.439
<v Speaker 2>Vegas at the Jags. We'll discuss them both here quickly.

0:26:46.000 --> 0:26:48.680
<v Speaker 2>The reason Buffalo at the Jets is to stay away

0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:54.800
<v Speaker 2>the Jets catching twelve is because every single rule of

0:26:54.880 --> 0:26:59.000
<v Speaker 2>gambling says you must bet the j every sing every

0:26:59.000 --> 0:27:02.439
<v Speaker 2>single rule. They are above five hundred, it is a

0:27:02.480 --> 0:27:06.600
<v Speaker 2>divisional game, they are at home, they have an excellent defense.

0:27:06.880 --> 0:27:13.439
<v Speaker 2>They're catching not seven, not ten, but twelve points that

0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.199
<v Speaker 2>the Bills, on the other hand, are coming off an

0:27:16.359 --> 0:27:20.720
<v Speaker 2>underwhelming performance. I would say screen where the Bills were

0:27:20.800 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 2>at home against a team far worse than the Jets

0:27:23.880 --> 0:27:27.440
<v Speaker 2>right now and one by ten. So every rule says

0:27:27.440 --> 0:27:30.439
<v Speaker 2>bet on the Jets. I don't have an ending, So

0:27:30.560 --> 0:27:34.000
<v Speaker 2>to bet on Zach Wilson against that Bill's defense with

0:27:34.119 --> 0:27:38.119
<v Speaker 2>Josh Allen probably pissed he threw those picks. So the

0:27:38.680 --> 0:27:42.359
<v Speaker 2>smart thing is to bet the Jets six. So which

0:27:42.359 --> 0:27:45.440
<v Speaker 2>one on? The smart thing is to bet the Jets exactly.

0:27:45.480 --> 0:27:49.359
<v Speaker 2>That's why it's a stayaway because smart nick says you

0:27:49.359 --> 0:27:51.800
<v Speaker 2>gotta bet the Jets. I don't have the stomach because

0:27:52.000 --> 0:27:55.719
<v Speaker 2>a drew professional better. That's an auto bet on the Jets.

0:27:56.119 --> 0:27:58.240
<v Speaker 2>I don't have the stomach to do it, so I'm

0:27:58.280 --> 0:28:03.520
<v Speaker 2>staying with Now there's the's a Jacks Jaggs getting a

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:07.359
<v Speaker 2>point and a half at home against a terrible ty.

0:28:07.520 --> 0:28:10.439
<v Speaker 2>You guys have held an intervention with me last week

0:28:11.760 --> 0:28:13.560
<v Speaker 2>and it saved me in the picks because I was

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:15.600
<v Speaker 2>so mad that I didn't get to bet on the

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:18.919
<v Speaker 2>Jags for my picks against Nathaniel Hackett and then the

0:28:18.960 --> 0:28:22.800
<v Speaker 2>prince that was promised Trevor Lawrence. Once again, Snathaniel hack Well,

0:28:22.880 --> 0:28:25.240
<v Speaker 2>he threw a pick at the one yard line earlier

0:28:25.240 --> 0:28:26.880
<v Speaker 2>in the game. It's second time he's one that this year.

0:28:27.440 --> 0:28:29.280
<v Speaker 2>And then he threw a pick on what could have

0:28:29.320 --> 0:28:31.280
<v Speaker 2>been the game winning drive. That's the third time he's

0:28:31.280 --> 0:28:35.720
<v Speaker 2>done that this year. And they didn't cover. So thanks

0:28:35.800 --> 0:28:41.440
<v Speaker 2>you guys. But getting points against the Raiders, I almost broke.

0:28:41.520 --> 0:28:44.720
<v Speaker 2>I almost just included it, but you guys, I promised

0:28:44.720 --> 0:28:47.920
<v Speaker 2>you guys one month of no betting on the Jags,

0:28:48.360 --> 0:28:51.880
<v Speaker 2>so I will stay away. But I I know they're

0:28:51.920 --> 0:28:54.120
<v Speaker 2>gonna win, so I will. I know they're gonna turn

0:28:54.160 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 2>it around. I know they're gonna win. I know they're

0:28:57.880 --> 0:29:03.920
<v Speaker 2>gonna turn it around. Okay, okay, all right, let's go

0:29:03.960 --> 0:29:08.360
<v Speaker 2>to be careful three games in this category, Miami at Chicago,

0:29:08.880 --> 0:29:12.680
<v Speaker 2>Green Bay at Detroit, and Tennessee at Kansas City. So

0:29:13.160 --> 0:29:16.120
<v Speaker 2>here's why these are in the be careful category. Miami

0:29:16.160 --> 0:29:20.120
<v Speaker 2>at Chicago feels like that line should be seven. Feels

0:29:20.120 --> 0:29:23.400
<v Speaker 2>like everyone is going to be on the Dolphins. They're

0:29:23.480 --> 0:29:27.800
<v Speaker 2>undefeated with Tua, even though Justin Fields has shown some

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:31.120
<v Speaker 2>flashes the last few weeks. I mean, they scored, their

0:29:31.120 --> 0:29:33.880
<v Speaker 2>offense was good against Dallas. Their defenses couldn't stop him

0:29:33.880 --> 0:29:37.440
<v Speaker 2>at all. Now, Demons, while he talks about his parlays,

0:29:37.680 --> 0:29:42.080
<v Speaker 2>Demonse had under forty two for that game. Dallas by itself,

0:29:42.080 --> 0:29:44.440
<v Speaker 2>since they had under forty, that wasn't great. That was

0:29:44.480 --> 0:29:47.440
<v Speaker 2>the most dead on over of the weekend. I think

0:29:47.480 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 2>the whole world is gonna be on Miami. That's why

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:53.080
<v Speaker 2>it's a be careful I think Miami. I think people

0:29:53.120 --> 0:29:56.040
<v Speaker 2>feel like Miami should be favored by a touchdown. They're

0:29:56.040 --> 0:29:59.440
<v Speaker 2>gonna hammer Miami. This line's gonna move to Miami minus

0:29:59.440 --> 0:30:01.920
<v Speaker 2>five and a half a half, maybe Miami minus six.

0:30:02.200 --> 0:30:04.440
<v Speaker 2>You're on Miami, I mean minus five and a half.

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:11.320
<v Speaker 2>Maybe Miami minus six. You're on Miami. Uh huh. Include

0:30:11.320 --> 0:30:14.200
<v Speaker 2>Miami on the money line that I'm okay with. I

0:30:14.280 --> 0:30:17.000
<v Speaker 2>do think Miami is gonna win. But this feels like

0:30:17.160 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 2>somehow it's twenty seven to twenty three, or twenty seven

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:25.800
<v Speaker 2>to twenty four with a late Chicago touchdown, or twenty

0:30:25.840 --> 0:30:27.920
<v Speaker 2>seven all of a sudden, now they're letting Justin Fields

0:30:27.960 --> 0:30:30.200
<v Speaker 2>run around and they touch down. All right, next one

0:30:30.200 --> 0:30:33.840
<v Speaker 2>of them, be careful. Green Bay at Detroit, Detroit getting

0:30:33.880 --> 0:30:36.640
<v Speaker 2>three and a half. This is a be careful spot,

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:42.760
<v Speaker 2>because I green Bay's desperate. They own the Lions. Historically,

0:30:43.160 --> 0:30:46.640
<v Speaker 2>the Lions at home have been a good offense, a

0:30:46.680 --> 0:30:50.480
<v Speaker 2>really good offense at home. I don't think many people

0:30:50.560 --> 0:30:53.080
<v Speaker 2>are gonna betting the Lions. I think they're daring you

0:30:53.560 --> 0:30:56.680
<v Speaker 2>to bet the Packers. In this game, it feels like

0:30:57.040 --> 0:31:00.240
<v Speaker 2>again maybe a three point game, just be careful. Go

0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:03.480
<v Speaker 2>It feels like again maybe a three point game, just

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:07.400
<v Speaker 2>be careful there, go ahead. So that's why I think

0:31:07.440 --> 0:31:09.760
<v Speaker 2>everyone's gonna be on green Bay. The three and a

0:31:09.840 --> 0:31:13.360
<v Speaker 2>half just scares me a bit. I'm to me be careful.

0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:18.400
<v Speaker 2>Next one, Tennessee at Kansas City. All right, listen, Kansas

0:31:18.480 --> 0:31:23.640
<v Speaker 2>City is not great at covering these giant spreads. Kansas

0:31:23.720 --> 0:31:27.800
<v Speaker 2>City as a favorite of less than a touchdown has

0:31:27.920 --> 0:31:32.000
<v Speaker 2>been outstanding Kansas City with these giant spreads for a

0:31:32.080 --> 0:31:34.880
<v Speaker 2>couple of reasons. One is they get down in a

0:31:34.880 --> 0:31:38.240
<v Speaker 2>lot of these games and then they have these amazing comebacks.

0:31:38.320 --> 0:31:40.880
<v Speaker 2>But now you gotta win by two scores. Here's another reason.

0:31:41.640 --> 0:31:43.480
<v Speaker 2>Not gonna have a lot of possessions in this game.

0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:47.520
<v Speaker 2>Tennessee is just going to be running Derrick Henry again

0:31:47.960 --> 0:31:52.280
<v Speaker 2>and again and again the entirety of that game. Ryan

0:31:52.320 --> 0:31:57.840
<v Speaker 2>Tannehill might be back, it's too no one. I feel

0:31:57.880 --> 0:32:00.760
<v Speaker 2>like the public is gonna be on the chief Maybe

0:32:00.760 --> 0:32:02.480
<v Speaker 2>I should have put this in the stay away category,

0:32:02.560 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 2>not to be careful category. I if you are thinking

0:32:06.040 --> 0:32:09.200
<v Speaker 2>about betting the Chiefs here, be careful. I think, honestly,

0:32:09.240 --> 0:32:12.160
<v Speaker 2>the smart money's on the Titans. If I, if I

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 2>had it in me to ever bet against my team,

0:32:15.040 --> 0:32:17.440
<v Speaker 2>I probably include the Titans in there. I don't have

0:32:17.480 --> 0:32:20.840
<v Speaker 2>it in me. I'm not in my team. Titans in there.

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:25.000
<v Speaker 2>Last one perfectly priced two games, will be very careful.

0:32:25.040 --> 0:32:30.200
<v Speaker 2>It would be very quickly on those. Minnesota Washington, Washington

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:33.440
<v Speaker 2>getting three and a half, that's exactly right. Minnesota being

0:32:33.440 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 2>a field goal ish favorite on the road against the

0:32:36.520 --> 0:32:40.720
<v Speaker 2>Washington team that's frisky with Taylor Heinike and Cincinnati favored

0:32:40.760 --> 0:32:44.720
<v Speaker 2>by exactly seven at home against Carolina. Bounce back spot

0:32:44.760 --> 0:32:49.400
<v Speaker 2>for Cincinnati, but you don't really Carolina. The question with

0:32:49.440 --> 0:32:53.360
<v Speaker 2>Carolina is did that loss the way they suffered it

0:32:53.600 --> 0:32:56.200
<v Speaker 2>just stomach punch them for the whole season with the

0:32:56.320 --> 0:33:01.400
<v Speaker 2>Kickers suffered it as Mary stole from them. Cincinnati, no

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 2>Jamar Chase, but they have to win this game. To me,

0:33:04.920 --> 0:33:08.400
<v Speaker 2>this feels like a debt on thirty one, twenty four,

0:33:08.520 --> 0:33:11.400
<v Speaker 2>twenty eight to twenty one game. I think that's perfectly priced.

0:33:11.440 --> 0:33:15.000
<v Speaker 2>All right, So there's our there's those categories. We'll take

0:33:15.040 --> 0:33:17.600
<v Speaker 2>a very quick break, come back, give you the right

0:33:17.680 --> 0:33:20.440
<v Speaker 2>move to. I'll update you on the half a million

0:33:20.440 --> 0:33:22.880
<v Speaker 2>dollar survivor pool. I'm in see if we have any

0:33:22.920 --> 0:33:26.520
<v Speaker 2>exotics and demons, will give you his parlay and we'll

0:33:26.520 --> 0:33:28.400
<v Speaker 2>do the offer. We'll do all that next. What's Right?

0:33:33.760 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 2>All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick?

0:33:35.520 --> 0:33:35.640
<v Speaker 3>Right?

0:33:35.680 --> 0:33:39.000
<v Speaker 2>Episode ninety one? Is that right? Yeah, That's what I've

0:33:39.040 --> 0:33:42.400
<v Speaker 2>been calling all day. Episode ninety one, our week nine

0:33:42.480 --> 0:33:46.240
<v Speaker 2>gambling show. All right, our five picks this week that

0:33:46.320 --> 0:33:48.800
<v Speaker 2>we are going with our Indy plus five and a

0:33:48.840 --> 0:33:53.600
<v Speaker 2>half at New England, Atlanta plus three against the Chargers,

0:33:53.640 --> 0:33:57.440
<v Speaker 2>Seattle plus two at Arizona, Tampa minus two and a

0:33:57.440 --> 0:34:00.120
<v Speaker 2>half at the Rams, and Baltimore minus two and a

0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:04.520
<v Speaker 2>half at New Orleans. Our right move, otherwise known as

0:34:04.520 --> 0:34:07.920
<v Speaker 2>a lock of the week is Tampa the Rams with

0:34:08.000 --> 0:34:11.440
<v Speaker 2>Cooper Cup either not playing or banged up the Rams

0:34:11.480 --> 0:34:16.280
<v Speaker 2>offensive line, Tampa in absolute gotta have it game. The Rams,

0:34:16.280 --> 0:34:18.440
<v Speaker 2>on the other hand, I think are cooked and done.

0:34:18.840 --> 0:34:21.520
<v Speaker 2>Was really weird when I saw they offered two first

0:34:21.560 --> 0:34:24.759
<v Speaker 2>round picks for Brian Burns. They the Rams need to

0:34:25.160 --> 0:34:27.359
<v Speaker 2>come to turms with fact that they're not very good

0:34:27.400 --> 0:34:29.680
<v Speaker 2>and their issue is not their defense. Their issue is

0:34:29.719 --> 0:34:32.080
<v Speaker 2>their offensive line, and they have the worst offensive football.

0:34:32.440 --> 0:34:35.279
<v Speaker 2>We love Tampa. You were skeptical of this bet at

0:34:35.320 --> 0:34:39.920
<v Speaker 2>all because of Tampa's struggles so far. I like Tampa

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:42.799
<v Speaker 2>to win by at least a field goal. That's where

0:34:42.800 --> 0:34:44.640
<v Speaker 2>we're at, all right, We're two and six on the

0:34:44.719 --> 0:34:50.040
<v Speaker 2>right move. We're getting it right this week. Survivorpool, the

0:34:50.080 --> 0:34:53.719
<v Speaker 2>one that i' mean where the first place is half

0:34:53.719 --> 0:34:56.840
<v Speaker 2>a million bucks, is down to one hundred and fourteen.

0:34:56.840 --> 0:35:01.279
<v Speaker 2>One hundred and twelve people. Fourteen of those would be

0:35:01.480 --> 0:35:06.200
<v Speaker 2>out if Atlanta had lost. I was not one of them.

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:11.200
<v Speaker 2>That's crushing, Yeah, that is crushing that thirteen percent of

0:35:11.200 --> 0:35:14.080
<v Speaker 2>the pool would have been out if they made the

0:35:14.120 --> 0:35:16.799
<v Speaker 2>extra point or if they had made the thirty yard

0:35:16.800 --> 0:35:19.279
<v Speaker 2>field goal. But whatever. Last week was one of the

0:35:19.320 --> 0:35:22.280
<v Speaker 2>safest weeks for survivors. Went into the week with one eighteen.

0:35:22.320 --> 0:35:25.839
<v Speaker 2>There's now one twelve left. Almost nobody no longer giving

0:35:25.880 --> 0:35:28.960
<v Speaker 2>your Survivor pick. I'm not no, I'm just updating. I'm

0:35:28.960 --> 0:35:32.120
<v Speaker 2>just updating where the pool is at. I apologize to

0:35:32.239 --> 0:35:34.640
<v Speaker 2>America and I can't get my Survivor pick, but I

0:35:34.680 --> 0:35:37.239
<v Speaker 2>already lost two Survivor picks on here anyway, So what

0:35:37.280 --> 0:35:39.560
<v Speaker 2>good am I? Here's the deal on the tea of

0:35:39.640 --> 0:35:43.680
<v Speaker 2>the exotics. I will tweet out if I end up

0:35:43.680 --> 0:35:47.640
<v Speaker 2>doing a teaser. There are the tea. Most people do

0:35:47.760 --> 0:35:51.480
<v Speaker 2>teasers where they tease big favorites down There are no

0:35:51.760 --> 0:35:54.960
<v Speaker 2>great teaser legs for big favorites this week. You could

0:35:55.040 --> 0:35:56.640
<v Speaker 2>argue the Chiefs at twelve and a half at ten

0:35:56.719 --> 0:35:58.800
<v Speaker 2>point teaser to get them two and a half, fine,

0:35:59.280 --> 0:36:02.480
<v Speaker 2>but there's no eight team to pair them with. The

0:36:03.400 --> 0:36:06.640
<v Speaker 2>teaser legs, though, that are interesting this week? Are the

0:36:06.719 --> 0:36:10.560
<v Speaker 2>two and a half point dogs teased up to eight

0:36:10.600 --> 0:36:12.600
<v Speaker 2>and a half because you get them through the three,

0:36:13.200 --> 0:36:17.200
<v Speaker 2>the seven, and the eight. I haven't inspected those enough,

0:36:17.480 --> 0:36:20.640
<v Speaker 2>so I don't have a great teaser leg for you. Demanse,

0:36:20.800 --> 0:36:24.640
<v Speaker 2>on the other hand, did do a parlay? Would you

0:36:24.760 --> 0:36:26.920
<v Speaker 2>like to give it out? Or wait? Is this your parlay?

0:36:26.960 --> 0:36:28.840
<v Speaker 2>Or is this you have five picks this week?

0:36:29.400 --> 0:36:31.440
<v Speaker 3>Uh? This is this is one of my part I

0:36:31.440 --> 0:36:32.960
<v Speaker 3>don't even know if I have a five legs, so

0:36:33.000 --> 0:36:34.120
<v Speaker 3>this will be all call it my.

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:35.759
<v Speaker 2>Five picks, your five picks, all right? What are they?

0:36:35.800 --> 0:36:35.960
<v Speaker 2>Let me?

0:36:36.160 --> 0:36:39.600
<v Speaker 3>We've got Minnesota minus three and a half at Washington, Okay.

0:36:39.320 --> 0:36:42.440
<v Speaker 2>That we had that in the perfectly priced category, so

0:36:42.480 --> 0:36:43.359
<v Speaker 2>we don't hate it, all right.

0:36:43.440 --> 0:36:47.200
<v Speaker 3>And then we've got Miami minus five at Chicago that was.

0:36:47.120 --> 0:36:49.560
<v Speaker 2>In our beak air pool. That was we don't we

0:36:49.680 --> 0:36:51.360
<v Speaker 2>don't love that one, all right, go ahead.

0:36:51.400 --> 0:36:54.280
<v Speaker 3>And then we've got Seattle plus two at Arizona, okay,

0:36:54.320 --> 0:36:56.840
<v Speaker 3>with that one in lockstep. And then we got the

0:36:56.960 --> 0:36:58.080
<v Speaker 3>Rams plus.

0:36:57.760 --> 0:37:02.400
<v Speaker 2>Oh my goodness, wait, hold on goes a direct conflict

0:37:02.440 --> 0:37:03.920
<v Speaker 2>with my lock this is this?

0:37:04.239 --> 0:37:06.480
<v Speaker 3>Oh? I think there's honestly, there might be a mistake

0:37:06.560 --> 0:37:08.840
<v Speaker 3>or this might have been my pick me up parlay

0:37:08.880 --> 0:37:10.600
<v Speaker 3>that I used to back up one of the ones.

0:37:10.719 --> 0:37:15.160
<v Speaker 2>Oh, okay, likes having conflicting parlay. De Monde likes having

0:37:15.239 --> 0:37:18.280
<v Speaker 2>one parlay he really believes in. And then another parlay

0:37:18.360 --> 0:37:21.319
<v Speaker 2>is a backup that is in somewhat direct conflict with

0:37:21.360 --> 0:37:23.200
<v Speaker 2>the other one. It's a little lot. And then you

0:37:23.200 --> 0:37:25.480
<v Speaker 2>have Baltimore, which we're on the same page on. Yeah, okay,

0:37:25.520 --> 0:37:27.840
<v Speaker 2>I don't I don't hate it all right. Uh, the

0:37:27.960 --> 0:37:32.200
<v Speaker 2>offer we hit one of these so far this year? Yeah,

0:37:32.239 --> 0:37:34.920
<v Speaker 2>what's the offer this week? I call this one d

0:37:35.080 --> 0:37:38.319
<v Speaker 2>Birds Okay, Ravens minus two and a half in New

0:37:38.440 --> 0:37:43.080
<v Speaker 2>Orleans Seahawks plus two at Arizona Falcons plus three versus

0:37:43.080 --> 0:37:46.319
<v Speaker 2>the Chargers demure Bird to score a touchdown for the

0:37:46.360 --> 0:37:50.040
<v Speaker 2>third straight game. Odds are plus thirty one hundred. Okay,

0:37:51.520 --> 0:37:56.799
<v Speaker 2>so the odds on that are outrageous. That should be

0:37:56.920 --> 0:38:02.080
<v Speaker 2>fifty to one. Yeah, No, it's it's right because it's

0:38:02.239 --> 0:38:07.320
<v Speaker 2>three It just those three games. A three team spread

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:11.359
<v Speaker 2>parlay would be six to one. We're now adding as

0:38:11.520 --> 0:38:15.040
<v Speaker 2>unlikely touchdowns score even though the touchdown he scored this

0:38:15.080 --> 0:38:20.760
<v Speaker 2>weekend was crazy fantastic, And I do want to investigate.

0:38:20.120 --> 0:38:21.000
<v Speaker 3>The family tree.

0:38:21.080 --> 0:38:24.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I do want to investigate the lineage. You know,

0:38:24.239 --> 0:38:26.759
<v Speaker 2>let me see where he's from, because I don't see

0:38:26.840 --> 0:38:27.840
<v Speaker 2>a lot of birds.

0:38:28.160 --> 0:38:31.040
<v Speaker 3>I don't see a lot of birds either, And I mean,

0:38:31.080 --> 0:38:33.960
<v Speaker 3>it doesn't it looks like if we were to be related,

0:38:34.000 --> 0:38:35.759
<v Speaker 3>like it's not that far off. Like I remember him

0:38:35.800 --> 0:38:37.200
<v Speaker 3>taking his helmet off. He didn't.

0:38:37.800 --> 0:38:44.160
<v Speaker 2>So he's from New Jersey. No way, he's from New Jersey,

0:38:44.640 --> 0:38:48.080
<v Speaker 2>and you have family there. But that's on your mom's

0:38:48.160 --> 0:38:52.719
<v Speaker 2>grandfather's side. So we got to investigate this more. And

0:38:52.960 --> 0:38:56.080
<v Speaker 2>your mom's grandfather obviously his last name is not bird, right,

0:38:56.160 --> 0:39:00.160
<v Speaker 2>So we got to investigate this more. We gotta you

0:39:00.160 --> 0:39:02.200
<v Speaker 2>know who we're gonna have to call. You have to

0:39:02.200 --> 0:39:04.800
<v Speaker 2>make a call to your mom's dad, which is always fun.

0:39:05.080 --> 0:39:07.839
<v Speaker 2>We'll give him a call, see when we get Uncle

0:39:07.880 --> 0:39:12.239
<v Speaker 2>Sean on the phone and see and see, uh and

0:39:12.360 --> 0:39:17.200
<v Speaker 2>see if there's any relationships. But because these are three picks,

0:39:17.239 --> 0:39:19.920
<v Speaker 2>I like, Plus, it'll be a fun thing to root for,

0:39:20.280 --> 0:39:22.600
<v Speaker 2>even though it should be fifty to one. Let's do it.

0:39:22.719 --> 0:39:23.200
<v Speaker 3>Let's do it.

0:39:23.200 --> 0:39:26.200
<v Speaker 2>There it is. I accept the offer. There is the

0:39:26.239 --> 0:39:31.720
<v Speaker 2>gambling Show, episode ninety one of What's Right with Nick Right? Listen, rate, subscribe, review,

0:39:31.800 --> 0:39:35.120
<v Speaker 2>due all those things iTunes, Spotify, and particularly on YouTube.

0:39:35.120 --> 0:39:37.759
<v Speaker 2>We'll talk to you guys on Monday. What's Right. Hey,

0:39:37.800 --> 0:39:40.360
<v Speaker 2>it's Nick Right. Thank you so much for watching. Please

0:39:40.400 --> 0:39:43.440
<v Speaker 2>do us a favor. Click subscribe. It helps my ego

0:39:43.719 --> 0:39:46.959
<v Speaker 2>and Demonsey's got a financial bonus writing on a number

0:39:46.960 --> 0:39:49.959
<v Speaker 2>of YouTube subscribers, so help him out. And also click

0:39:50.000 --> 0:39:51.480
<v Speaker 2>the bell. I don't know what the bell does, but

0:39:51.600 --> 0:39:53.080
<v Speaker 2>they tell me to tell you to click the bell.

0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:57.000
<v Speaker 2>And your audio listeners, people that have commutes, drives, whatever

0:39:57.040 --> 0:40:00.160
<v Speaker 2>it is, subscribe to the podcast as well. Wherever you

0:40:00.239 --> 0:40:02.880
<v Speaker 2>get the podcast, same show, just you know, just in

0:40:02.920 --> 0:40:05.080
<v Speaker 2>your ears instead of through your eyes. All that check

0:40:05.080 --> 0:40:06.000
<v Speaker 2>it out, Appreciate show.