WEBVTT - MLB: Leading Off September 22nd, 2022 (Ep. 601) 0:00:12.039 --> 0:00:15.200 Well, hello friends, and welcome in to leading off. I'm 0:00:15.200 --> 0:00:17.920 your host Chris Welsh. Joining me today is Andrew Sifter 0:00:18.000 --> 0:00:21.520 on Twitter Andrew Underscore Sifter and today we're going to 0:00:21.560 --> 0:00:24.400 be breaking down all the stuff that went down yesterday 0:00:24.640 --> 0:00:27.600 and how to prepare you for today. It's j Andrew Seifter. 0:00:27.640 --> 0:00:30.440 What's going on? My friend? Final Push? Any articles coming 0:00:30.480 --> 0:00:31.880 up that everybody needs to know about. 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:35.599 It's the Waiver wire Man every Saturday that's coming out 0:00:35.640 --> 0:00:37.639 at Fantasy Pro. So we got one more to go 0:00:38.040 --> 0:00:41.080 for that final week of the regular season. And I 0:00:41.159 --> 0:00:42.800 have to say, it's always a treat to get to 0:00:42.880 --> 0:00:45.239 join you on a Thursday because we do the Mondays 0:00:45.280 --> 0:00:47.599 a lot, but the Thursdays are always a special occasion. 0:00:47.880 --> 0:00:50.159 Yeah, and I figured also would be good because I 0:00:50.200 --> 0:00:52.240 knew you had the article coming up. I could remember 0:00:52.280 --> 0:00:54.280 it was Friday or Saturday. But you know, this is 0:00:54.280 --> 0:00:55.680 a good time to do it since we're a couple 0:00:55.680 --> 0:00:57.640 of days out. It's the final stretch. If there were 0:00:57.680 --> 0:00:59.720 any guys, and one of those guys that is probably 0:00:59.760 --> 0:01:02.480 going to show up in that article is a late 0:01:02.560 --> 0:01:05.320 call up. Every time I open my mouth, I continue 0:01:05.319 --> 0:01:07.119 to open my mouth the last month I'm like, all right, 0:01:07.480 --> 0:01:09.839 so this is the last big prospect guy that's gonna 0:01:09.840 --> 0:01:12.520 come up. They're not gonna be anymore. Doesn't make sense. 0:01:12.520 --> 0:01:15.039 We're not gonna do it. Then another one comes up. 0:01:15.120 --> 0:01:17.319 I say the same thing, then another one. So really, 0:01:17.360 --> 0:01:19.360 I'm I'm doing it at a lock. I'm doing it 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:21.920 for everybody else to keep saying this. So I said it, 0:01:22.160 --> 0:01:23.959 and we got another one. And one of the top 0:01:24.040 --> 0:01:25.560 guys you might want to take a look at is 0:01:25.560 --> 0:01:29.280 Ezekiel Tovar from the Colorado Rockies. He's getting a call 0:01:29.360 --> 0:01:31.880 up to make his major league debut. Now, he may 0:01:31.920 --> 0:01:34.360 not be in the lineup today, as I believe he's 0:01:34.400 --> 0:01:36.560 like traveling to get there, so the debut may be 0:01:36.640 --> 0:01:40.800 happening on Friday. And Tovar is really fascinating because Tivar 0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:43.200 is twenty one years old. Twenty one to twenty two, 0:01:43.480 --> 0:01:45.600 let's see. Actually I think he might have just turned 0:01:45.640 --> 0:01:49.760 twenty two, No, twenty one, it doesn't matter. But Tovar 0:01:49.880 --> 0:01:53.040 is fascinating because of the rise that he has had 0:01:53.360 --> 0:01:55.680 so far in his minor league career. He was in 0:01:55.680 --> 0:01:57.880 the ears of a fall league last year from low 0:01:57.920 --> 0:02:00.720 A all the way up to making them he's missed 0:02:00.720 --> 0:02:03.200 significant time this year, which is why this move is 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:06.280 really surprising. It's actually pretty shocking that I thought he 0:02:06.320 --> 0:02:08.320 was going to be an Arizona Fall League lock this year. 0:02:08.560 --> 0:02:11.080 He's under three hundred minor league at bats this season, 0:02:11.400 --> 0:02:15.560 but fourteen homers, seventeen stolen bases, a three nineteen batting average, 0:02:16.080 --> 0:02:18.480 a source of stolen bases a little bit smaller, but 0:02:18.560 --> 0:02:21.200 he's really connected in with high power. Colorado is a 0:02:21.240 --> 0:02:25.440 great place to hit. He should theoretically get work this 0:02:25.520 --> 0:02:28.200 last week, which makes him a really fascinating waiver wire 0:02:28.280 --> 0:02:30.200 pick up for the final week. So any thoughts on 0:02:30.200 --> 0:02:32.720 Ezekiel Tovar, Who's gonna be making the debut and, like 0:02:32.760 --> 0:02:35.320 I said, should get I would imagine all the starts 0:02:35.400 --> 0:02:36.520 until this season ends. 0:02:37.360 --> 0:02:40.600 Yeah, he'll not only be in that column I write, 0:02:40.639 --> 0:02:43.640 I'm guessing he'll probably be one of the headline names 0:02:44.240 --> 0:02:47.840 in that column because we're talking, like you said, a 0:02:47.880 --> 0:02:49.680 guy who's just been a real fast riser. I mean, 0:02:49.720 --> 0:02:52.560 he's now considered a top forty prospect in baseball, the 0:02:52.639 --> 0:02:56.360 number one prospect in the Rocky system, and we know 0:02:56.440 --> 0:02:58.600 how it plays in that thin air. You want that, 0:02:59.160 --> 0:03:02.640 especially when you're gonna get the stolen base potential as well. 0:03:03.000 --> 0:03:04.080 He's hit at every level. 0:03:04.320 --> 0:03:07.000 Like you said, it's limited played appearances, but I mean 0:03:07.040 --> 0:03:10.240 he put up a three hundred batting average in Single 0:03:10.280 --> 0:03:12.480 A last year, in Double A this year, and then 0:03:12.520 --> 0:03:14.480 he came up for a brief cup of coffee in 0:03:14.520 --> 0:03:17.760 Triple A and was actually doing even better. I mean 0:03:17.800 --> 0:03:20.040 he only struck out an eight point seven percent of 0:03:20.080 --> 0:03:23.600 his Triple A played appearances. So he just looked ready, 0:03:23.639 --> 0:03:25.799 and you know, a team like the Rockies like, why 0:03:25.840 --> 0:03:29.160 not get a little sneak peek at this guy and 0:03:29.200 --> 0:03:31.359 see if he's a guy that you maybe can feel 0:03:31.600 --> 0:03:34.120 comfortable going into next season with because we saw you know, 0:03:34.160 --> 0:03:36.480 with players like Michael Harris, they've come right in and 0:03:36.560 --> 0:03:38.560 been comfortable at the major league level. And if you 0:03:38.600 --> 0:03:42.840 see something like that, that's really actionable intelligence that you 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:44.840 can get in this last week or two of a 0:03:44.880 --> 0:03:47.320 season where you're rebuilding. So I think it makes sense 0:03:47.320 --> 0:03:49.280 for the Rockies, and I think that it makes sense 0:03:49.280 --> 0:03:51.560 for fantasy managers to take a shot on the upside. 0:03:51.920 --> 0:03:55.240 I feel very confident that he'll play maybe his one 0:03:55.280 --> 0:03:57.080 game miss, but he should play the whole way through 0:03:57.320 --> 0:03:58.920 because of the amount of time he missed, there's no 0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:01.680 reason for them to not let him get a full run. 0:04:01.960 --> 0:04:04.160 He needs a bat. So I'm assuming he's not going 0:04:04.200 --> 0:04:05.680 to the ball league because he's probably gonna play in 0:04:05.720 --> 0:04:09.960 Dominican Winter League. And I also think that you're probably 0:04:09.960 --> 0:04:12.280 going to be seeing a situation where they're bringing him up. 0:04:12.320 --> 0:04:14.600 They're getting them all these at bats, and he might 0:04:14.640 --> 0:04:18.120 be a guy that breaks roster next season so they 0:04:18.200 --> 0:04:20.760 can vuy for that extra pickspot. Because this is a 0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:23.560 guy that hits for high contact. He's got sneaky power. 0:04:23.600 --> 0:04:27.000 Though I just I personally will be surprised if it's 0:04:27.120 --> 0:04:28.920 anything more. I was surprised if it's twenty, to be 0:04:28.960 --> 0:04:30.960 honest with you, but I'll be surprised if it's over twenty. 0:04:31.120 --> 0:04:33.720 But he's gonna put in stolen bases, he's gonna hit 0:04:33.720 --> 0:04:35.800 for high contact, and he's a guy I think that 0:04:36.640 --> 0:04:39.080 this team was kind of lacked. All these prospects they've 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:40.919 had in the middle infield, do nenever really worked. And 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:42.240 this is a guy that they could break camp with 0:04:42.320 --> 0:04:44.200 next year and they could potentially get an extra pick 0:04:44.200 --> 0:04:46.239 out of it. So I think all of those things 0:04:46.279 --> 0:04:48.359 combined makes sense. Why Tovar is going to be a 0:04:48.360 --> 0:04:52.200 really good pick up for this final week or four days. 0:04:52.240 --> 0:04:54.719 Like Bizzarrizza said, whatever it is you've got left for 0:04:54.800 --> 0:04:57.359 Fantasy baseball, and I will point out he is a 0:04:57.440 --> 0:05:01.240 yard goat. Tovar is maybe one one of my probably 0:05:01.320 --> 0:05:04.560 top five favorite logos as far as like minor league. 0:05:04.600 --> 0:05:08.200 I want that hat something I don't do. My wife 0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:10.679 would kill me, especially if I bought them. Wink wink. 0:05:11.160 --> 0:05:13.560 Is that I want to get a collection of really 0:05:13.600 --> 0:05:16.279 good minor league hats, and probably the yard goats would 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:18.479 be in the top five list of ones i'd like 0:05:18.480 --> 0:05:20.400 to where it's a good purple the goat, it's biting 0:05:20.480 --> 0:05:22.360 a bat. Who doesn't want a goat on their hat? 0:05:22.480 --> 0:05:24.560 Andrew, I'm pulling that up right now. Just take a 0:05:24.600 --> 0:05:27.320 little look at it. You're right, that is some nice 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:30.240 stuff there. It's also just hilarious that the Rockies have 0:05:30.320 --> 0:05:32.120 a farm team in Hartford, Connecticut. 0:05:32.160 --> 0:05:35.360 But yeah, yeah, that's exactly. I would also say the 0:05:35.400 --> 0:05:38.320 Hillsboro Hops for obvious reasons for the Diamondbacks would be 0:05:38.320 --> 0:05:41.000 another very good logo of hats. But go and pick 0:05:41.040 --> 0:05:43.000 up Ezekiel Tovar if he's sitting out there because he'll 0:05:43.000 --> 0:05:45.480 get playing time. Blake Snell struck out a season. I 0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:48.520 had thirteen batters going seven innings, and you get some 0:05:48.560 --> 0:05:51.320 shut out ball on Wednesday as they beat the Cardinals 0:05:51.440 --> 0:05:56.440 one to nothing, stifling the pool Holes hopes at least 0:05:56.440 --> 0:05:58.479 for one more day. As we get closer, we're now 0:05:58.520 --> 0:06:01.919 into god, what are we like eight days? Nine days 0:06:02.000 --> 0:06:04.000 left for pool Holes to get two more homers. We're 0:06:04.000 --> 0:06:06.720 getting down to the stretch. I said, there's really bad feeling. 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:09.400 We're gonna sit at six ninety nine, but we still 0:06:09.440 --> 0:06:10.360 got just enough days. 0:06:10.400 --> 0:06:12.440 Andrew, I think it's going to be a two homer 0:06:12.520 --> 0:06:15.080 day that puts him over the top. That's my prediction. Yeah, 0:06:15.160 --> 0:06:17.560 well I might mention him a little bit later today. 0:06:17.720 --> 0:06:21.080 James Kaprillion on point on Wednesday to to one win 0:06:21.200 --> 0:06:25.239 over the Mariners when seven innings, two hits, shut out ball. 0:06:25.839 --> 0:06:27.720 Kaprillion is so fast enough that any of you guys care. 0:06:27.760 --> 0:06:31.000 But like Kaprillion is the first guy I saw when 0:06:31.040 --> 0:06:33.520 I really made a concerted effort to going to the 0:06:33.520 --> 0:06:36.760 Arizona Fall League in twenty sixteen. Was when I made 0:06:36.760 --> 0:06:38.719 sure every year I'm there, And he was with the 0:06:38.720 --> 0:06:41.800 New York Yankees, and I remember he gave up he 0:06:41.839 --> 0:06:44.680 had one solid inning and he was coming back off 0:06:44.680 --> 0:06:47.000 of injury, and then he gave up a leadoff homer 0:06:47.000 --> 0:06:49.800 in the second inning to Mauricio Dubon who was at 0:06:49.800 --> 0:06:51.400 the Red Sox at that time. And now I believe 0:06:51.440 --> 0:06:54.200 with the Giant still and I always think about that, 0:06:54.400 --> 0:06:56.080 but Kaprillion has been one of those guys I thought 0:06:56.200 --> 0:06:58.840 was going to move into the bullpen just based off 0:06:58.880 --> 0:07:00.840 of injury issues away now, but he's been a very 0:07:00.839 --> 0:07:04.120 serviceable starter and one of those streaming guys probably going 0:07:04.200 --> 0:07:07.440 to have looks like, maybe one more start your trust 0:07:07.480 --> 0:07:10.160 on Kaprillion rest of the way, this last start, I guess. 0:07:10.400 --> 0:07:12.720 I mean, I know you've got your personal connection to him, 0:07:12.720 --> 0:07:14.680 but I'm not going there with him. 0:07:14.760 --> 0:07:15.280 I'm sorry. 0:07:15.320 --> 0:07:18.480 His strikeout to walk rate is really poor and the 0:07:18.520 --> 0:07:21.320 bar is high to be fantasy viable as a starter 0:07:21.400 --> 0:07:23.800 for Oakland anyway, if you're in a league that you 0:07:23.920 --> 0:07:27.040 need wins, so I think I'll take the pass. I 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:28.560 could probably find better streamers I like. 0:07:30.000 --> 0:07:33.320 Yeah. Tristan McKenzie held the White Sox to two runs 0:07:33.520 --> 0:07:37.880 over eight innings, struck out thirteen to Guardians one eight 0:07:37.920 --> 0:07:43.280 to two on Wednesday. Tristan McKenzie continues the consistency of 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:45.880 why we are going to probably be buying in heavier 0:07:45.920 --> 0:07:48.200 than I think we think next season on him. 0:07:48.560 --> 0:07:50.240 Yeah, I feel like he's kind of like one of 0:07:50.240 --> 0:07:53.520 those underrated under the radar breakouts. I don't know if 0:07:53.560 --> 0:07:55.559 it's because he's doing it in Cleveland. That whole team 0:07:55.640 --> 0:07:58.480 is sort of surprising that they're in such strong playoff 0:07:58.520 --> 0:08:01.400 positioning right now. I don't think many people saw that 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:05.520 coming this year. But the thing that with mackenzie, I mean, 0:08:05.600 --> 0:08:07.720 he's such a tall, lanky guy, and for a while 0:08:07.760 --> 0:08:12.040 it looked like he had to sort out his mechanics 0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:13.960 a little bit. But the thing you really saw this 0:08:14.040 --> 0:08:16.320 year is the walk rate just cut in half. I 0:08:16.360 --> 0:08:18.920 mean last year four point three five walks per nine, 0:08:18.960 --> 0:08:21.440 this year two point one five. So even though his 0:08:21.480 --> 0:08:23.840 strikeout rights down a little bit, you'll gladly take that 0:08:23.920 --> 0:08:27.400 trade off for fantasy because it's you know, it's it's 0:08:27.440 --> 0:08:30.720 it goes without saying like first rule, don't harm yourself, 0:08:30.760 --> 0:08:33.440 and if you don't put those free passes on, it 0:08:33.480 --> 0:08:35.840 allows you a lot more room for error. With babeb 0:08:35.880 --> 0:08:38.760 and things like that. So I believe in what he's doing. 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:40.679 I mean, his peripherals are still a little worse than 0:08:40.679 --> 0:08:45.400 his surface numbers, but he's he's a legitimate fantasy pitcher 0:08:46.160 --> 0:08:46.800 in the for. 0:08:46.840 --> 0:08:49.360 If you're looking at why did this go to last year? 0:08:49.400 --> 0:08:54.040 That's super odd, that's not good. This is so weird. 0:08:54.679 --> 0:08:57.880 Fangrafts like he pitched one hundred and fifty innings in 0:08:57.920 --> 0:08:59.960 the first half. There we go. Now it cleaned itself up. 0:09:00.360 --> 0:09:03.280 In the first half. Mackenzie over one hundred innings at 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:06.040 a three to two ERA, which is very nice. And 0:09:06.400 --> 0:09:09.320 this is one hundred and one innings, striking out ninety six, 0:09:10.120 --> 0:09:13.040 holding batters to an under one ninety nine average. In 0:09:13.080 --> 0:09:15.760 the second half, he's sporting a two eight five ERA, 0:09:15.960 --> 0:09:19.320 eighty four strikeouts over seventy nine innings. The walks have 0:09:19.440 --> 0:09:23.400 cut down as well, only sixteen. And the last three 0:09:23.480 --> 0:09:27.680 months have been phenomenal for him. In let me pull 0:09:27.679 --> 0:09:29.800 this up. He's had a one I think it was 0:09:29.800 --> 0:09:32.080 a one to three four as this is reloading here 0:09:32.640 --> 0:09:36.800 in the Yeah, in the month of July he had 0:09:36.880 --> 0:09:40.360 a one to three four ERA over five starts. Last 0:09:40.360 --> 0:09:43.520 month in August at three point zero three ERA over 0:09:43.559 --> 0:09:46.240 five o ver six starts and this month so far 0:09:46.400 --> 0:09:51.360 got a two two nine ERA with eighteen. That's not 0:09:51.440 --> 0:09:54.400 correct on how much it's counted here, but he has 0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:56.160 had I'm trying to do the math real quick, twenty one. 0:09:56.320 --> 0:09:59.959 That would be thirty one strikeouts over the last four 0:10:00.280 --> 0:10:02.120 starts that he's had. He's just he's going to be 0:10:02.120 --> 0:10:04.720 one of those guys that I think he's probably going 0:10:04.800 --> 0:10:06.679 to be right outside the top one hundred as far 0:10:06.679 --> 0:10:08.880 as overall goes, and he's going to be a major target. 0:10:08.880 --> 0:10:12.040 So yeah, I mean, you raised an interesting point because 0:10:12.080 --> 0:10:14.480 his striker right for the season is essentially a batter 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:17.280 per inning, which is fine, but he's had these games. 0:10:17.360 --> 0:10:19.400 I mean, he struck out thirteen in his last start. 0:10:19.440 --> 0:10:22.480 He had a start in mid August where he struck 0:10:22.480 --> 0:10:24.280 out fourteen. Now both of those starts are against the 0:10:24.280 --> 0:10:27.320 White Sox, so maybe he just has the White Sox number. 0:10:27.360 --> 0:10:30.040 I don't know, but I mean there's no doubt he's 0:10:30.040 --> 0:10:33.960 pitching terrifically. He really hasn't had a subpar start since 0:10:34.400 --> 0:10:37.160 the very beginning of August. So we're now talking to 0:10:37.600 --> 0:10:40.720 two months worth of just great starts in a row. 0:10:40.880 --> 0:10:42.040 So keep broad in that. 0:10:42.320 --> 0:10:45.839 Bizrus has said, guy, I'm facing in the finals had McKenzie. 0:10:47.160 --> 0:10:49.920 I'm grateful Snell matched him, so you have to match him. 0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:52.000 I dropped Snell in a league last week because I 0:10:52.040 --> 0:10:54.000 was in such strong positioning and I was running out 0:10:54.000 --> 0:10:56.200 of innings and he had I saw as the final 0:10:56.240 --> 0:10:58.200 two matchups were tough, so I just said, you know, 0:10:58.640 --> 0:11:00.760 I'll let someone else have him for the last two weeks. 0:11:00.800 --> 0:11:02.520 And then I missed out on that Cardinals start. 0:11:03.000 --> 0:11:07.480 M Madison Mungarner allowed one run over six innings on 0:11:07.520 --> 0:11:10.239 Wednesday in a six to one win over the Dodgers Diamondbacks, 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:13.040 stealing a couple wins there. Jordan Lyles allowed one run 0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:16.559 on Wednesday in a complete game victory over the Tigers 0:11:17.000 --> 0:11:20.080 and over on the fun fact side, this is from 0:11:20.280 --> 0:11:22.800 It's My Boy Yancy. Shout out to Yancy Yancy. Eaton 0:11:23.880 --> 0:11:26.880 Jordan Lyles. This is his tweet. Has more wins than 0:11:27.720 --> 0:11:32.800 Corman Burns, Nestor Cortez, Christian Javier Joe Musgrove, Max Ers 0:11:32.880 --> 0:11:36.320 Or Clayton Kershaw and Aaron Nola. That's kind of a 0:11:36.320 --> 0:11:40.040 fun fact. Jordan Lyles one of those sneaky sneaky streamers 0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:42.280 that has been out there the whole time, and a 0:11:42.320 --> 0:11:46.520 complete game, complete gamer is gonna do some wonders for 0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:50.960 your little last bit of whether it's playoffs or Roto Andrew. 0:11:51.720 --> 0:11:53.800 Yeah, well that's that's a fun stat. I think that 0:11:53.920 --> 0:11:56.520 stat right there kind of says a few things. One 0:11:56.600 --> 0:11:59.600 it says it reminds us how fickle wins are. Two 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:03.040 finds us of how surprisingly solid the Orioles have been 0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:06.640 this season. Uh, And Three it's a reminder that a 0:12:06.679 --> 0:12:08.200 lot of those guys have missed a little bit of 0:12:08.240 --> 0:12:11.440 time this year with injuries, so that's a factor as well. 0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:14.559 But that was a fun stat to see, no doubt. 0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:18.600 Don't you don't you dare start the wins? The fickle wins. 0:12:18.640 --> 0:12:20.840 Conversation of quality starts, and we're going to go into 0:12:20.880 --> 0:12:24.120 kat The chat's going to go into chaos and eat 0:12:24.120 --> 0:12:24.880 each other alive. 0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:27.760 If I don't propose it, I don't propose a solution. 0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:29.600 I just think we all have to learn to live 0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:30.760 with it and accept it. 0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:33.840 I am so the same on that. I'm actually so 0:12:34.360 --> 0:12:39.640 utterly tired of the like down talking of wins throughout 0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:44.360 the whole preseason, of like draft preparation we're like, oh, 0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:46.640 they need to end and it's win, and it's just like, 0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:49.360 it is what it is. That is fantasy. Like maybe 0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:52.960 someday the norm will change, you know, the norms change 0:12:52.960 --> 0:12:59.200 fantasy football, the norms change from standard non catching formats 0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:02.240 to PPR and being the standard. Super flex is an 0:13:02.240 --> 0:13:06.960 option that's coming up. Baseball has accepted a whole lot 0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:10.200 more of quality starts and OBP, but for it to 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.320 be the standard, it just is what it is. I 0:13:12.400 --> 0:13:15.760 actually don't mind wins, like the thing I think you 0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:18.040 get and get. I pick on roto people a little bit, 0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:19.800 even though I play probably more rod than head to head. 0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:23.520 Now it's like the perfection. Everybody needs it perfected. It. 0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:26.520 I played to the very end, and my entire season 0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:29.520 as a whole is calculated. I don't mind variants in 0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:31.920 my fantasy sports. That's why I like playoffs. That's why 0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:34.480 I'm okay with wins where guy has a great start 0:13:34.480 --> 0:13:36.439 and doesn't get a win, because I don't need everything. 0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:38.920 I don't need this to equal this at all times. 0:13:39.120 --> 0:13:42.560 The fun for me is the chaos that real baseball has. 0:13:42.679 --> 0:13:44.439 So yeah, no, I totally agree. 0:13:44.520 --> 0:13:47.840 I mean, fantasy sports is a mix of skill and luck, 0:13:47.960 --> 0:13:50.280 like no matter how you do it, it is and 0:13:50.840 --> 0:13:52.920 some pieces of it are more skilled, some pieces of 0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:55.720 it are more luck. Fantasy baseball as a whole is 0:13:55.760 --> 0:13:59.800 more skill. It's more skill than fantasy football. It requires 0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:02.720 f for two all season long. So if you are, 0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:05.319 if you're the best in your league, like you might 0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:07.520 have bad win luck and you can still win your league, 0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:09.800 you know so. And I also feel like there's this 0:14:09.840 --> 0:14:12.000 aspect that people sometimes don't think about, which is the 0:14:12.440 --> 0:14:14.880 fun of fantasy sports, of watching the games, you know, 0:14:14.920 --> 0:14:17.280 because the thing about a win is that's always on 0:14:17.360 --> 0:14:19.520 a you know, that can go either way, right up 0:14:19.600 --> 0:14:22.000 till the ninth inning. So that's something where you can 0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:23.960 watch the game even after your pitcher's out of the game. 0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:26.600 If you really need that win, you're sweating it out 0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:27.880 to see if they can get it. 0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:29.040 It's you know, it's. 0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:31.520 Sort of like you know, like people have about field 0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:33.160 goals in football, same kind of thing. It's like fun 0:14:33.160 --> 0:14:34.960 to watch, it's fun to root for when you're watching 0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:36.440 the game. So that's something too. 0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:39.640 And Wonky, I love the first line here. I love 0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:42.520 the randomness of wins me too. I actually don't Saves 0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:44.840 is another thing. I'm not someone that's proponent of being 0:14:44.880 --> 0:14:47.440 like we should have saves plus holds. I'm okay with 0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:51.400 absolute chaos and randomness in fantasy sports. And if somebody 0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:52.920 also wanted to be like, hey, I'm want to have 0:14:52.960 --> 0:14:55.640 a league that has quality starts because wins are fickle. Cool, 0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:58.200 that's great, but you know, winds are still wins. Wins 0:14:58.240 --> 0:14:59.880 are still out there, and it's something that we consider. 0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:04.560 Last couple of pizza pieces of news here Jared Kelnick 0:15:04.920 --> 0:15:07.600 on his way back as he was recalled from Triple 0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:11.080 A to Coma. My god, if you follow the news. 0:15:11.120 --> 0:15:13.320 About a month ago, Jared Keelnick went on his social 0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:16.960 media and deleted everything he had in reference to the Mariners, 0:15:17.160 --> 0:15:20.160 which doesn't seem too great. He does get the callback 0:15:20.600 --> 0:15:23.640 in Triple A so far this year eighteen homers, nine 0:15:23.680 --> 0:15:26.200 stolen bases, not too too shabby. Did hit two ninety 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.840 five cut a strikeout rate from his major league rate 0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:32.920 of around twenty eight percent last season. This year was 0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:36.480 thirty eight percent. Cut it down to twenty That's still 0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:40.400 higher though than almost every other I don't want to 0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:42.800 say every single but with the Mariners, there's only one 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:45.360 time he had a higher strikeout rate in the minor leagues, 0:15:45.640 --> 0:15:48.400 and that was at high ag. In twenty nineteen, when 0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:50.120 he moved three levels, he had a twenty five point 0:15:50.160 --> 0:15:52.760 eight percent strikeout rate. Twenty point eight is the second 0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:56.160 highest Mariner's k percentage he's had in the miners, which 0:15:56.160 --> 0:15:57.600 is still concerning. So I don't want to like you 0:15:57.840 --> 0:15:59.680 look and see the majors he had a thirty eight 0:15:59.680 --> 0:16:01.600 percent strikeout rate and he cuts it down to twenty 0:16:01.600 --> 0:16:03.680 in the miners. It doesn't make me still feel great 0:16:03.840 --> 0:16:06.040 because it's still one of the highest ones. But he 0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:08.640 did connect with a lot of long balls, he stole 0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:11.880 some bases, kept his average up around two ninety. We'll 0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:14.400 see if it translate. It feels very much Joe Adellish 0:16:14.440 --> 0:16:16.880 where it's like you hit between two seventy and two 0:16:16.960 --> 0:16:19.080 ninety and the miners you come back, you still can't 0:16:19.120 --> 0:16:22.280 hit a high fastball. You still are trying to sit 0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:24.480 on off speed stuff, which kills the fastball, and then 0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:25.960 you try to cheat on the high end and you 0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:28.320 get beat low. Let's see if Jared Kalnick does it. 0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:30.400 I have zero hopes for it, but if you can 0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:33.360 get a couple of days of some positive returns. Maybe 0:16:33.400 --> 0:16:35.560 we can take it into the offseason, but it'll be 0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:38.160 all but nothing. I'm going to guess for everybody moving 0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:39.680 into next year, including you, Andrew. 0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:42.760 Yeah, I mean right now, I hate to say it, 0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:44.920 but he has all the markings of a quad A 0:16:45.080 --> 0:16:46.960 player at the moment. I mean, a guy that can 0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.720 succeed in Triple A but cannot succeed in the majors. 0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:53.960 Whether it's a confidence issue or what. We just we've 0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:56.360 seen enough struggles, you know. I feel like when air 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:58.960 Across was willing to like give up the ghost on 0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:01.000 kal Nick, it was like giving all the rest of 0:17:01.080 --> 0:17:04.040 us permission to do that too, because it's just been 0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:04.960 so disappointing. 0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:07.080 And Eric went at it like that that was a 0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:09.760 tough thing that we all have those guys. 0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:11.679 We all have those oh totally, and he gets so 0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:13.480 much right. I don't mean it as criticism. 0:17:14.119 --> 0:17:16.399 I mean, I'm great friends of Eric and we always 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.320 talked about but I give him crap about it because 0:17:18.359 --> 0:17:20.280 you know, there was this huge debate of going on 0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:23.520 for years. I was Julio over Kelnick when it wasn't 0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:26.120 popular to do. I'm making this about me, but also 0:17:26.119 --> 0:17:28.439 there with the Kelnick versus Wander, which is really not 0:17:28.480 --> 0:17:30.560 a great winner right now, but it's still clearly Wander. 0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:32.560 But that's a tough one. But I know what you're saying. 0:17:32.600 --> 0:17:35.879 It's like you could have people myself others that have 0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:39.200 been anti Kelnic. But as soon as like Eric let 0:17:39.240 --> 0:17:42.359 that go. That was like the last passenger, that was 0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:45.200 the ship captain. The captain couldn't go down with the ship. 0:17:45.200 --> 0:17:47.320 At the very end, everybody was off the boat and 0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:49.199 he finally got off, and then it was permission to 0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:50.680 be like, oh yeah, Quada. 0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:53.240 And that's like, honestly, that's one of the most important 0:17:53.240 --> 0:17:55.840 things in fantasy sports is to not get locked in 0:17:55.880 --> 0:17:59.000 your takes. And when things change on the field. You see, 0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:01.919 you learn new and every day in this game, and 0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.439 you have to factor that in and eventually that tipping 0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:06.920 point is reached. And you know, I wouldn't be surprised 0:18:06.920 --> 0:18:10.440 if at some point in the future we see Jared 0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:12.800 Kelnick have a great season out of nowhere when he's 0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:15.119 twenty seven, twenty eight years old and he's on his 0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:16.440 third franchise or. 0:18:16.359 --> 0:18:17.480 Something for the Mariners. 0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:19.800 Though you know, like that that seems like that that's 0:18:19.800 --> 0:18:22.120 going to happen at some point, but in the short term, 0:18:22.160 --> 0:18:24.679 it's just really hard to be optimistic that he's that 0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:26.720 this is the time where he's suddenly going to figure 0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:27.080