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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Noman. Before we came on, even though

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Speaker 1: we have been doing this podcast forever, I'm honestly nervous.

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Speaker 1: I've got butterflies in my stomp, Mike. I feel like

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Speaker 1: the stakes have never been higher for me and my

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Speaker 1: partner on the podcast. Someone's saying, my partner in life,

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, professional better, Simon. We have so much to

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Speaker 1: run through in this podcast. I want you to say hello.

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Speaker 1: I want you to come into the podcast strong, say

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Speaker 1: hello all listeners, Hello, listeners. I'm not as nervous as

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Speaker 1: you are. I would say. Last year, with no preseason,

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Speaker 1: that was I mean, I don't even think man. Mitchell remembers,

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Speaker 1: I was a broken man. I was like terrified for

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Speaker 1: you on the air. I was like, I don't trust anything.

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Speaker 1: I think we're gonna go five. I don't want to

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Speaker 1: do this show anymore where This year, I'm feeling pretty good, buddy,

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Speaker 1: feeling a little cocky heading into the year. So hopefully

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Speaker 1: week one doesn't humble me too quick. I hope not either,

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Speaker 1: because last year week when we went five and oh

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Speaker 1: and so we've got a lot to live up to

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Speaker 1: let me explain a little bit. Yeah, I wish I

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Speaker 1: could say that was skilled chat. We both know that

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Speaker 1: was that was luck. That was five and out with

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Speaker 1: no preseason. That was pretty pretty insane. We're sharp, we

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Speaker 1: know how to play the market. Let me explain to

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Speaker 1: people what we do here. I'm imagining that there will

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Speaker 1: be new people listening to this podcast because of our

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Speaker 1: association with the volume, or if there are new people

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Speaker 1: discovering this podcast because they just decided to start betting

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Speaker 1: because it's legal in their state, or they heard about it,

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Speaker 1: or they're just excited for a football season. They're looking

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Speaker 1: for new offerings. I am Chad Milman and the chief

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Speaker 1: Content officer from the Action Network. We are a company

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Speaker 1: that focuses on providing content, news, information analysis in the

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Speaker 1: sports betting space. I've been doing this for a long time.

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Speaker 1: I am not a sharp, but I know enough to

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Speaker 1: be dangerous. Simon Hunter, you are a professional better. You

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Speaker 1: do this for a living. You reached out to me

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Speaker 1: three years ago on Twitter because you listen to the podcast.

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Speaker 1: I have been hosting this podcast back in my ESPN

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Speaker 1: days for many years. Brought it over when we started

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Speaker 1: the Action Network in January of two eighteen, I responded

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Speaker 1: to you. You started coming on the podcast three years ago.

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Speaker 1: Last year you became my individual co host. Now we

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Speaker 1: are partners. As I've said, you know what you're talking about.

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Speaker 1: You do this for a living. I know the markets,

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Speaker 1: I know what I'm reading the Action Network app. Like

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Speaker 1: I said, I know enough. You know it all, like

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Speaker 1: coming early on My whole job to you is just uh,

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Speaker 1: it's hard to convince people to listen to you when

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Speaker 1: they're not paying you for your information. On this show,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna show you where the water is in the desert.

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Speaker 1: You're not always gonna drink. For some reason, people just

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Speaker 1: think they know more than um people who do this

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Speaker 1: for a living. So I'm hoping that if you're new

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Speaker 1: to this show, you're gonna learn pretty quickly. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: tell you to do some crazy things. You're gonna you're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet on some ugly teams. But me and Chad

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Speaker 1: last year when for the whole season, that's really good,

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Speaker 1: and if we can do that again, that'd be insane. Again,

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Speaker 1: anything above six you can quit your day job and

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Speaker 1: just do this for the rest of your life. So

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Speaker 1: you've set the bar Chad and Uh. I love living

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Speaker 1: up to expectations, so I'm excited for this upcoming season.

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Speaker 1: Can we not be irresponsible and recommend people quit their

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Speaker 1: day jobs on this show here? But it is a

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Speaker 1: good point. It is a good point, Like for those

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Speaker 1: who don't know, I got a lot to run through

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Speaker 1: here because a because we are now part of the

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Speaker 1: Volume podcast Network. I am going to be on with

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Speaker 1: Colin on his podcast every Friday. He's gonna give me

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Speaker 1: what he thinks his picks are. I'm going to give

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Speaker 1: him the professionals perspective on those picks, tell him if

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Speaker 1: he's right or if he's wrong, and I'm gonna let

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Speaker 1: him know, Simony, where you and I landed if our

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Speaker 1: picks about from a professional point of view are different

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Speaker 1: than his. You're gonna listen to that podcast on Fridays.

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Speaker 1: We podcast on Tuesday mornings talking about the lines that

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Speaker 1: we see as they stand on Tuesday, but what is

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Speaker 1: over forty eight hours As we get closer to the weekend,

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Speaker 1: those lines move a lot. So we will be podcasting

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Speaker 1: on Thursdays as well. On Sundays. You and I will

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Speaker 1: be part of a team on at Action Network h Q.

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Speaker 1: At eleven AM, in which we are all talking about

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Speaker 1: betting the games that are happening that Sunday. The show

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Speaker 1: is called Convinced Me. It's you, It's Chris Raybon, it's

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Speaker 1: Sean Kerner. You are going to be the contestants who

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Speaker 1: try to convince me the bets I should make as

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Speaker 1: we head into Sunday. Finally, there will be four things

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Speaker 1: that we're going to focus on over the course of

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Speaker 1: the week. One if I say, Simon says, that means listeners,

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Speaker 1: don't ask any questions, Go fucking make that bet. We'll

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Speaker 1: do that on Tuesday's one, Simon says, do it. What

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Speaker 1: If I say we're in the foxhole, it means we're

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Speaker 1: gonna be together in this bet, You and I. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna be friends and compadres in this bet because we

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Speaker 1: are together. We're in the foxhol on Thursdays, Big balls

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Speaker 1: better the week that is when like we are doing

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Speaker 1: what you just said, We're gonna do some disgusting things.

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Speaker 1: You gotta have cajones to make that bet. And then

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Speaker 1: sometimes we're gonna walk into the hornets nest. I'm walking

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Speaker 1: to a fucking hornets nest. All right, I'll be my

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Speaker 1: companion and it's just gonna be really, really scary, and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna do it end of this show. Simon, you

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Speaker 1: made a very very generous offer last week. You said,

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Speaker 1: give us some five star reviews, say some funny things,

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Speaker 1: and you will give the winner a chance at your

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Speaker 1: five you're one of your four best picks of a year.

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Speaker 1: Those tend to do pretty well, so we're gonna give

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Speaker 1: that winner away at the end of the show. It's

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Speaker 1: a lot, it's a lot to chew on right now.

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Speaker 1: What do you think about that? A lot to take

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Speaker 1: in you. You sound very commercialized chat. It feels like

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Speaker 1: we're selling out a little bit, but hey, this is

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Speaker 1: exciting times. It was just hilarious here and you go

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Speaker 1: through all that sup perfessional. You're a sou perfessional Chat.

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Speaker 1: I'm nervous, don't be buddy. I almost forgot how to

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Speaker 1: do the show. It's like it's been so long since

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Speaker 1: we since we went through this. I am looking at

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Speaker 1: the Action Network Gap right now. We're looking at the

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Speaker 1: week one games download the Action Network Gap. It's free,

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Speaker 1: it's award winning. And also before we dive in chat,

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Speaker 1: we should let people know Vandel does not have a

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Speaker 1: contest this year. They do not have a contest for

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Speaker 1: me and Chat to put five picks in, So we

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Speaker 1: will be doing an unnamed pick contest this entire season,

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Speaker 1: but we only name sponsors. It's fair to say, if

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Speaker 1: nothing else, we will have five picks. If anybody is

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Speaker 1: doing any kind of contest, we will have five picks

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Speaker 1: that we feel great they will put into a contest.

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Speaker 1: And if we happen to be doing a contest, they

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Speaker 1: are probably the five picks we would put in as well. Correct,

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Speaker 1: and we're doing one survivor pick as well, my friend,

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Speaker 1: and you gotta follow us in the Action Network gap

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Speaker 1: because that's where on Sundays you will get the final

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Speaker 1: five picks in case we make decisions to change it

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Speaker 1: from Thursday to Sunday. Okay, let's dive in, Buddy, I

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Speaker 1: hit that horn, bade, Let's dance. The Cowboys visiting the

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Speaker 1: EMPA Bay Buccaneers Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Eight

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Speaker 1: thousand bets are in the Action Network app right now.

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Speaker 1: The big news from Dallas is that Zack Martin, They're

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Speaker 1: all Pro guard, will not be playing. This game opened

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Speaker 1: its six and a half at fandwel it's currently Bucks

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Speaker 1: minus seven and a half. Give me your take on

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Speaker 1: this game. I gotta love the number. I've moved this

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Speaker 1: up to minus eight, so I still like the value.

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Speaker 1: If you can get the seven and a half. In

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Speaker 1: a normal year, if there was no COVID, Cowboys were

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Speaker 1: all healthy, Dak Prescott wasn't coming in with all these

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Speaker 1: question marks. You take. You take the Cowboys here, they

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Speaker 1: would cover this big number in an opening night where

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Speaker 1: the super Bowl team they're gonna their heads, not gonna

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Speaker 1: be in the game. They're they're kind of gonna be

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Speaker 1: all over the place. We've seen that time and time again.

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Speaker 1: So one thing I like to do, I like to

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Speaker 1: take the under first half, but I'm also taking the

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Speaker 1: under for the full game in this game. And we're

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Speaker 1: gonna talk about this week, Chad. There's there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of traps Week one. This this game does not feel

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Speaker 1: like a trap. Um if you want to played safe.

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Speaker 1: There's a couple of teams this week. We'll talk about

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Speaker 1: it again that I like for two team teasers or parlays,

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Speaker 1: money line parlays. The Bucks are gonna be a lot

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Speaker 1: of my money line parlays. It's the Buccaneers are a

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Speaker 1: top three run defense. We've seen what the Cowboys like

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Speaker 1: to do. They like to run it and get deck

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Speaker 1: set up where you can do play action, get the

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Speaker 1: right receivers going. And I just if this was Week

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Speaker 1: seven or eight, I'd feel good about the Cowboys and

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Speaker 1: this number. But the fact that it's the first game

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Speaker 1: of the year. The Cowboys have not looked right all preseason,

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Speaker 1: and we've seen the Buccaneers they just looked solid, especially

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Speaker 1: in the time they've played in the preseason. That offense

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Speaker 1: was clicking. Uh in their final preseason game. I have

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Speaker 1: to trust Tom Brady having his guys up for this night.

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Speaker 1: So for me, this is an easy bet where you

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Speaker 1: either take the Bucks or you just take the under

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Speaker 1: and you're gonna come out with some mony in the night.

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Speaker 1: What about the Cowboys hasn't looked right to you? To

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Speaker 1: explain it, You've got access to the All twenty two's,

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Speaker 1: you watch these games incessantly. You're looking in the preseason.

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Speaker 1: What hasn't looked right for the Cowboys? I mean, other

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Speaker 1: than the fact that backs leg was shattered into four

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Speaker 1: pieces like ten months ago. Um, I don't know, it's

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Speaker 1: it's just I never liked riding with guys who are

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Speaker 1: coming in with injuries starting the preseason, the fact that

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Speaker 1: he had a dead arm because you over overdid it

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Speaker 1: when he first came back, and they've kind of been

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Speaker 1: taking it really easy with him, and now they've lost

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Speaker 1: their are all pro guard, you know, against the Buccaneers,

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Speaker 1: who again a top three run defense. This just screams

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Speaker 1: as a trap for the Dallas Cowboys, and it makes

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Speaker 1: you feel the better that I know that they're getting

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Speaker 1: a lot of percentage. I think, um, you could say

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Speaker 1: the percentage in the app. I think it's percent of

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Speaker 1: the money has come in right now in the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: So it doesn't feel like I'm just riding with the public.

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Speaker 1: I just think the Buccaneers are the smart side in

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Speaker 1: this game. Why do you like the under the first

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Speaker 1: half and the under for the game total? Right now?

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Speaker 1: In this game is attwo People are gonna see a

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Speaker 1: little trendier under his Week one. I love him college football.

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Speaker 1: You could go back and look this past week under

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Speaker 1: his baby You you want to take unders early on

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Speaker 1: here because usually last year was fluky where the offense

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Speaker 1: came out like you know, Gangbusters. No fans people there

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Speaker 1: was no fans last year. I mean the quarterback and

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Speaker 1: walk up to the line, change the play, do whatever

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Speaker 1: the hell he wants to do to complete silence. So

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Speaker 1: to me, it's over injusted. Still, it's over inflated a

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Speaker 1: lot of these lines. So this week the under is

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Speaker 1: gonna be to play in many cases, especially the first

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Speaker 1: game of the year, where I can just see it

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Speaker 1: that these you know, the Buccaneers are gonna kind of

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Speaker 1: have their heads in a in a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a world wind. They're gonna be honored before the game

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Speaker 1: starts about being the Super Bowl defending champions again. Tom Brady,

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Speaker 1: he's gonna be all right. The rest of this team

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Speaker 1: a bunch of guys twenty five and under. It's a

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Speaker 1: very young core for the Buccaneers, so team me, I

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Speaker 1: can just see this game starting out is a very slow,

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Speaker 1: sloppy game where both teams are just trying to get

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Speaker 1: their feet under him. So again, I last time I looked,

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Speaker 1: it was fifty one the total in this game. I

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Speaker 1: still like up down to fifties. So as long as

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Speaker 1: it's it's not gone below fifty, I still like this under.

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Speaker 1: It's not a huge, huge number, by the way, neither

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Speaker 1: of those feel like a Simon says or a foxhol

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Speaker 1: I mean, dude, it's the first game. Yeah, it's first game,

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Speaker 1: and I don't want in the first game, you know,

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Speaker 1: let it let it ride a little bit. Arizona Cardinals

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Speaker 1: at Tennessee Titans. Tennessee is a three point favorite. My

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Speaker 1: take on this, if I may my take on this

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Speaker 1: right now, You've got seventy percent of the money of

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Speaker 1: the bets coming in on Tennessee on the side. I

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Speaker 1: kind of like Tennessee in this game. Uh trap, No

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Speaker 1: pro would bet either side. I mean, pro might end

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Speaker 1: up on Cardinals just because you know they're getting the

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Speaker 1: plus three. And this is truly a coin flip game.

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Speaker 1: So this is one of these where I look at

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Speaker 1: two teams of high powered offenses with terrible defenses on

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Speaker 1: both sides. Um, I know Arizona's I'd improve their defense

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Speaker 1: in some aspects, but they really haven't. So for me,

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Speaker 1: I just would never put this in the contest because

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Speaker 1: it's truly a coin flip game. Like whatever, whichever one

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Speaker 1: of these teams has the ball at the end of

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Speaker 1: the game could easily win the game, because I have

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Speaker 1: no faith in that other team's defense to getta stop.

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Speaker 1: So just looking at the numbers, you said, it sounds

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Speaker 1: like the pros kind of have an idea here where

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Speaker 1: this is. Uh, this is a game where you take

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals, but I can't do it. I I I

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Speaker 1: bet the Cardinals, but I would not take the Cardinals

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Speaker 1: in our pickpool. And this is actually these games where

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Speaker 1: I really like the over. Uh. It might have been

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Speaker 1: one of three games I bet for the over. So

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Speaker 1: it shows you that I am a big unders guy.

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Speaker 1: So if I like it over, usually that's a sign

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Speaker 1: that there's gonna be some points in this game. So

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Speaker 1: all these daily fantasy people all that stuff. Okay, Tennessee

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Speaker 1: terrible defense, Cardinals not that good defense, crazy high powered offenses.

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Speaker 1: You want to take the over in this games any

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Speaker 1: any other time. If this was a pick, I'd be

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Speaker 1: all over Tennessee. But the fact that Tennessee is minus three,

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Speaker 1: I just would do it. So for me, it's either

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Speaker 1: Cardinals or stay away. Uh. The total in this game

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Speaker 1: is fifty two and a half by the way. Uh wow, okay, okay,

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Speaker 1: up to fifty three. I'm just making a note of that.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be very good. I'm gonna this year. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be much more conscientious about taking notes, so I

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Speaker 1: can activate on almost everything you say. After this, I

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Speaker 1: will go through I'll make a list of everything you say.

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Speaker 1: I will make fifty five bets every single weekend unders teasers, parlays,

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Speaker 1: sides first half, second half live, not that much live,

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Speaker 1: but a lot of money. Line parlays this week chat

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Speaker 1: at Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts. This number has come down.

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Speaker 1: This is really interesting. Obviously, the Carson Wentz stuff is

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Speaker 1: all playing a factor into this. Right now on FanDuel UH,

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Speaker 1: this game open Seattle plus two and a half. Now

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Speaker 1: Seattle is minus two and a half. The total is

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Speaker 1: fifty two and a half. Um. If you need some

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Speaker 1: stats here, if you need some metrics, sixty of the

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Speaker 1: money coming in on Seattle UH of the bets. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: this could change as we get closer to the game.

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Speaker 1: This is gonna be one of those lines that come Thursday,

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Speaker 1: we may have some very serious conversations because it could move,

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Speaker 1: money could move. All these things could happen as we

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Speaker 1: get more news about players kids. This This line has

289
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Speaker 1: been really hard to handicapped. I looked at it early

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Speaker 1: in the year. I like the value we're getting on Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: I think there are plus two and a half plus

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Speaker 1: three Carson wentz Chat. I don't think we really know

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Speaker 1: what to do with it. It's one of these things

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Speaker 1: where it's the great unknown. Like the easy pick here

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Speaker 1: is just to take the Seahawks. We know we have

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Speaker 1: in Russell Wilson, we know we have in that offense,

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Speaker 1: we know we have in that defense. Where the Colts,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. It's it's just so much negative coming

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Speaker 1: out of there. There left tackle out now, t Y

300
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Speaker 1: Hilton's out now, It's it's scary where this number doesn't

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Speaker 1: make sense. I don't know why it's not minus three.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why it's not minus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: It's it's a little scary where it um again because

304
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Speaker 1: it's week one. I just feel like the bookmakers are

305
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Speaker 1: just laying so many traps here. They're trying to get

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Speaker 1: all these people to take these road favorites. So I'll

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Speaker 1: either take the culture. I'm just gonna stay away because

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Speaker 1: I just simply cannot take what they're laying here. They're

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Speaker 1: they're pretty much giving you a gift if you take

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks. So whenever the sports books are giving me

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Speaker 1: a gift, I usually go the other way. So that's

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Speaker 1: why I'm on the Colts this week. Meaning you've already

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Speaker 1: made a bet on the Colts at plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Bet them two and a half. Put them

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Speaker 1: in a teaser too, Um, which was funny because I

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Speaker 1: was actually on the other way. I was on it.

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Speaker 1: I had a Seahawks teaser, but it got knocked out

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Speaker 1: because the Green Bay game got moved. But I'm just

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Speaker 1: trying to play value. And if I have this game

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Speaker 1: at a pick and it's plus two and a half,

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Speaker 1: I have to take that number with the Colts. You

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Speaker 1: said the bookmakers are begging you to take the Colts.

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Speaker 1: Explain what you're seeing that makes you say that, Because

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Speaker 1: the only people like me that are mentally insane would

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Speaker 1: bet the Colts. I just told you all the logical reasons.

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Speaker 1: There is no smart reason to take the Colts. The

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Speaker 1: Colts have not had a team played together at all

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Speaker 1: this preseason. Either, guys have had COVID, guys have been hurt.

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Speaker 1: It's just it's just so much negativity. That's what the

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Speaker 1: line doesn't make sense to me. Um. But again, It's

331
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Speaker 1: one of these things where this is where pros lose.

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Speaker 1: We backed the books, We're gonna lose this one here

333
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Speaker 1: and there. That's that thirty nine percent we talked about.

334
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Speaker 1: We lost slash and percent at the time, but sixty

335
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Speaker 1: more percent the time. I'm gonna be right about this

336
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Speaker 1: kind of game. So that's why I'm just playing the

337
00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,360
Speaker 1: percentages where I'm getting a plus number as well, and

338
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Speaker 1: that eats up the big a little bit. You have

339
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Speaker 1: to play these kind of short home dogs, so I

340
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Speaker 1: definitely would play the Colts in this position. L A

341
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Speaker 1: Chargers are visiting the Washington football team. It's one of

342
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Speaker 1: our favorite teams in the NFL, was the o A

343
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Speaker 1: Chargers right now. We're so high on them. Yet here's

344
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Speaker 1: the challenge, and we just addressed it a little bit

345
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Speaker 1: with the cults. You want to talk about opportunities. Week

346
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Speaker 1: one home underdogs, Los Angeles Chargers at Washington Football team.

347
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Speaker 1: Washington football team is a plus one right now. Of

348
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Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Washington football team,

349
00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:27,960
Speaker 1: which means the wise guys like the Washington football team,

350
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Speaker 1: but the bets are coming into the Chargers, which means

351
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Speaker 1: the public likes the Chargers. I know who we like

352
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Speaker 1: long term, and I know who we like in this game,

353
00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:43,040
Speaker 1: explaining to the people, Yeah, classic where the Chargers are

354
00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:44,960
Speaker 1: the hype team of the off season, we both love

355
00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:48,040
Speaker 1: them obviously for this whole season. Uh, you know, we're

356
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,280
Speaker 1: expecting big things from Herbert and to take a second

357
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:54,400
Speaker 1: year step, and they've revamped this whole coaching staff. So

358
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Speaker 1: I got Rivera at home with a veteran quarterback, a

359
00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:05,399
Speaker 1: really really really good defense, playing a very young, inexperienced team,

360
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:08,359
Speaker 1: inexperienced head coach coming on the road in week one.

361
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:12,199
Speaker 1: Just again the trends and the math behind it. This

362
00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,439
Speaker 1: is the kind of time you have to play the

363
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:18,359
Speaker 1: ugly home dog. So with Washington, this might blow up

364
00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:20,200
Speaker 1: on our face in the first quarter where we got

365
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:22,760
Speaker 1: fits Magic down twenty one nothing, he's already thrown a

366
00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:25,760
Speaker 1: second interception. But this is how we live in died Chat.

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Speaker 1: We live and die taking these ugly teams. So for me,

368
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Speaker 1: you can you can take the under if you really want.

369
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Speaker 1: I don't want to risk it because I could see

370
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Speaker 1: either of these teams putting up points. It doesn't matter

371
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Speaker 1: how good the defenses are, but the safer play than

372
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Speaker 1: me just feels like taking Washington this game where I

373
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,959
Speaker 1: love them, I love what they bring to the table,

374
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Speaker 1: and I look at this from the math standpoint. If

375
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:48,480
Speaker 1: you really believe in the Chargers, take them right now

376
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,520
Speaker 1: forty to one to win the Super Bowl, because if

377
00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:53,800
Speaker 1: they win this game, it's gonna go down and then

378
00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:56,439
Speaker 1: they play the Cowboys next week at home, which I'm

379
00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,000
Speaker 1: gonna guess most of us are gonna say that the

380
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:00,240
Speaker 1: Charger are probably gonna win that game against this this

381
00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:03,400
Speaker 1: Cowboys team. So if you do believe in the Chargers,

382
00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:05,159
Speaker 1: don't bet them in this game. Just take them for

383
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:08,760
Speaker 1: the superlodds and have better long shot odds. Of course

384
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:13,880
Speaker 1: they lose, then you can get the Chargers and even

385
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:18,080
Speaker 1: longer odds next week you could, but that's one of

386
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:19,640
Speaker 1: the things that if you think there's even a chance

387
00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:21,760
Speaker 1: of them losing, just don't don't bet them this week

388
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:29,240
Speaker 1: at Washington. Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans. This game right here,

389
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:32,360
Speaker 1: Oh my god, we've talked about this. I know we're

390
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:37,159
Speaker 1: gonna have to do something gross. Jacksonville with a first

391
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,879
Speaker 1: year head coach who's already shown signs of not being

392
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 1: very good. Number one overall pick at quarterback. He's a

393
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:49,560
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite over a veteran quarterback

394
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:54,320
Speaker 1: at home in Tyrod Taylor starting for the Texans. It's

395
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:56,879
Speaker 1: gotta be our Foxhole bet of the week. Fox Hole,

396
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:08,400
Speaker 1: let's climb down into the foxhole. Dude, I mean, honestly disgusting,

397
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:13,280
Speaker 1: But it's so disgusting. In what world we have a

398
00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:17,160
Speaker 1: rookie coach and a rookie quarterback favorite on the road

399
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:21,280
Speaker 1: in their first start. I don't care that Houston might

400
00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 1: be the worst team I've ever seen on paper. They

401
00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 1: literally have five running backs all over the age of thirty.

402
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:29,480
Speaker 1: I mean, mark Ingram, Philip Lindsay, all these guys, just

403
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:33,119
Speaker 1: David Johnson, it just keeps going. They're this They're just

404
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:36,919
Speaker 1: a horribly built team. But at quarterback position they have

405
00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 1: Tyrod Taylor. They got Brandon Cooks a receiver. I think

406
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:44,199
Speaker 1: there's pieces here with Houston that again, I know they're horrible.

407
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 1: This might be the only game they win all year,

408
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 1: but how is this not a pick? This this bizarre

409
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:51,520
Speaker 1: there plus three plus two and a half at home.

410
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,720
Speaker 1: There's just so much hype on this Jaguars team, and

411
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,200
Speaker 1: I guess it's cool a little bit because people finally

412
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 1: saw in preseason where it's like, okay, this offensive line

413
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:02,919
Speaker 1: to or when they can't really block anyone. But you know,

414
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 1: it's more of that. It's just a bet against a

415
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,679
Speaker 1: rookie coach and a rookie receiver, I mean a quarterback.

416
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,360
Speaker 1: It's it's so much pressure for these two to get

417
00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:12,120
Speaker 1: it right in the first game, all on the road.

418
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,440
Speaker 1: I have to take Houston on the points here. So

419
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 1: it's up to you if you want to put in

420
00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:17,720
Speaker 1: chat at we have ugly game, so we can put

421
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,080
Speaker 1: it over this. But this is one of these I've circled.

422
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:21,840
Speaker 1: If we can get plus three in the contest, I

423
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:24,200
Speaker 1: would love to take Houston to plus three. Dude, listen

424
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 1: to me. There might not be any uglier games than this.

425
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,520
Speaker 1: This is the definition of corner TV, right. This is

426
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:33,679
Speaker 1: the game if we're in the sports book, this is

427
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,679
Speaker 1: the smallest TV in the corner where all the bookmakers

428
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:39,680
Speaker 1: know nobody's gonna be watching it. I'll have the fewest

429
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 1: amount of tickets I can tell you right now. Um,

430
00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 1: right now, it's got eleven It's got eight thousand bets.

431
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:53,600
Speaker 1: According to the Action Network app uh, it is hold

432
00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 1: on the only other game that has Oh my god,

433
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 1: this by definition has the fewest number of bets in

434
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 1: the Action Network out. That's game. That's a pros game.

435
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 1: Not only are we not even questioning this. If I could,

436
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 1: I bet it five times now you would. I would

437
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 1: not let you do that because this is this is like, truly,

438
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:22,879
Speaker 1: I can't tell you how awful this Houston team is,

439
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 1: chat like this might be the only time we take

440
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:28,000
Speaker 1: them for the next eight weeks total in this game.

441
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 1: This is how bad people are, how how the expectations

442
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 1: are so bad in this game open at forty five

443
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:35,359
Speaker 1: and a half, it's now forty four and a half.

444
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 1: I like the over too, but I'm not giving that out.

445
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:39,399
Speaker 1: But that's this is one of these where it's just

446
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 1: two awful teams out so I could see the over,

447
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 1: so I'm not coming through. I love this for some reason.

448
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:47,000
Speaker 1: There's nothing about this that scares me, like it's a

449
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 1: no brainer to me. Honestly, it's one of those you

450
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,880
Speaker 1: want to think you just bet just off those trends itself.

451
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 1: It's it just feels like one of those you have

452
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:57,440
Speaker 1: to bet. I'd probably go full unit on this, oh,

453
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,600
Speaker 1: the full unit from Elman. It really is impressed for

454
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,400
Speaker 1: a little guy betting football is the best. I mean, help,

455
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,359
Speaker 1: I went over to the buddies on Saturday night. We

456
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:12,560
Speaker 1: had a drink. We were watching uh Georgia Clemson and

457
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 1: then flipping to L s U and U C l

458
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,520
Speaker 1: A and just the ritual, just hanging with the buddy

459
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 1: having a drink watching football. It's just the best there.

460
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,680
Speaker 1: There really is nothing better than that crowd. The real

461
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,480
Speaker 1: crowds made it so much more. You know, Oh my god,

462
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:37,919
Speaker 1: well listen watching you know what happened at Wisconsin, what

463
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:42,840
Speaker 1: happened at Virginia Tech with Enter sand Man, seeing that

464
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 1: see if humanity all bounced together in both of those places,

465
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:51,679
Speaker 1: it was electric. It was soul fulfilling. I missed it.

466
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:56,280
Speaker 1: I should say that in the Jags Texas game, all

467
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:58,119
Speaker 1: the bets coming in on the Jacks, but also a

468
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 1: lot of the money. So money is usually an indicator

469
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 1: of professional money, of professional vetters. We're gonna be going

470
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:07,399
Speaker 1: against everybody there, just saying, but I'm okay with that.

471
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 1: New York Jets at Carolina Panthers revenge game for Sam Donald.

472
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 1: Game opened at four, it's moved up to five. Everything

473
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:21,159
Speaker 1: going towards the Panthers. How do we not take the

474
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,840
Speaker 1: Jets here? I know, and it was it sucked too

475
00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 1: because this is one of my favorite early lines are.

476
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 1: Our good friend Katie rich Creek reached out to me

477
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:30,679
Speaker 1: in May and told me to give her two games

478
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 1: to bet on for Week one. This is one of

479
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,440
Speaker 1: these games where I like Caroline, I love the weapons

480
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,679
Speaker 1: that have an offense. I like to read, you know,

481
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 1: Sam Donald Penn against his old team, and week one

482
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 1: at home again, I gets a rookie quarterback, a rookie

483
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 1: head coach. But you know, watching the preseason, I've kind

484
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:51,119
Speaker 1: of come around on everything with the Jets. Uh. We

485
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 1: talked about my love for Zack Wilson. I bet him

486
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,000
Speaker 1: to one Rookie of the Year. I think you nailed

487
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,879
Speaker 1: on the head where I had such low expectations for

488
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 1: this kid that the fact that he is so good

489
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 1: and so smart and just like his footwork in the

490
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 1: pocket is insane for a kid his age coming out

491
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,280
Speaker 1: of b y u um. If this line was four chat,

492
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 1: we'd be taking Carolina. But I have this game at

493
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,200
Speaker 1: four and a half. It's up to five five and

494
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 1: a half at certain books. I mean, we have to

495
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 1: take that difference there. It's a full point of movement.

496
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 1: So again, it's not it's not what I tend to do.

497
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,199
Speaker 1: I tend not to take rookies on the road. But

498
00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 1: if you're giving me this big of a line against

499
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:31,880
Speaker 1: two terrible teams, you know we'll we'll take the other

500
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 1: terrible team on the road that they might shock some

501
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 1: people here because there is no tape on Zack Wilson.

502
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 1: Is it like there is a ton of tape on

503
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 1: Sam Donald, not a lot of tape on Zach Wilson.

504
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,439
Speaker 1: So that's one of these I wouldn't give out to

505
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 1: UM the people to do in the contest, but personally

506
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: I will be bet in the Jets. Well, it's interesting, UM,

507
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: at this point, we're through one to three six games.

508
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 1: There's only one game, maybe maybe two games that we

509
00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:01,720
Speaker 1: feel great about. I think we both are a hundred

510
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,680
Speaker 1: percent agreement on Jacksonville and Houston. We want to take

511
00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 1: the Texans, uh. And then I think we both agree

512
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 1: on the Washington football team and the Chargers. Like, to me,

513
00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:15,119
Speaker 1: those are two no brainer picks. Yeah. And when we

514
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 1: feel this confident going into the week, when we're seeing

515
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:24,040
Speaker 1: the field this clearly, when it's so obvious can only

516
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 1: lead to good things, right, We're doom but these again,

517
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 1: that's why I'm glad we're doing the Thursday show this

518
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:33,359
Speaker 1: some of these picks might change just by Thursday. Um,

519
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 1: I have my own system. I do stuff that I

520
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,240
Speaker 1: based it off of. There's professionals that I work with.

521
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 1: They'll listen to the show and they're gonna be the

522
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:41,680
Speaker 1: ones reached out to me be like, hey, you idiot,

523
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 1: The Chargers actually free minus three not a pick. So like,

524
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 1: I am not gonna be staunching my ways between different shows.

525
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,120
Speaker 1: But it's hard. Man. Like we've been saying these big

526
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,200
Speaker 1: one lines for four months, so like, yeah, I'm feeling

527
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:56,119
Speaker 1: pretty confident about each pick we're making so far. Well,

528
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 1: people have to listen on Thursday. Things might change. We

529
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 1: get more information as lines moved. Um, that's the beauty

530
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,400
Speaker 1: of doing it twice Pittsburgh, and I think on Thursdays,

531
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,920
Speaker 1: by the way, we're probably not gonna go through every game.

532
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:10,120
Speaker 1: We're gonna examine where we are, what lines of move,

533
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 1: what new information has come in, and where we might

534
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: find our opportunities and how it's influencing what we're thinking

535
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,600
Speaker 1: for the five picks that we end with in this show,

536
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:22,640
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills. Before we got in the air,

537
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:26,400
Speaker 1: we talked about Pittsburgh and Buffalo. Matt Mitchell, our producer,

538
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 1: he is a massive Buffalo Bills fan. He's from the

539
00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 1: Paris of Western New York, Rochester, I mean not Buffalo.

540
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 1: The Pittsburgh Steelers are six and a half point underdogs.

541
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,639
Speaker 1: This line has moved up. The total is forty eight

542
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 1: and a half right now. You could have had seven

543
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 1: for a couple of weeks there and moved up to

544
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 1: seven at one point with Pittsburgh. This is a classic

545
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 1: pros versus Joe's Uh. The last memory people have a

546
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is them getting destroyed at home by Cleveland in

547
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 1: the playoffs. And you know the Bills are the all

548
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,240
Speaker 1: hyped team. You're gonna let any show you listen to

549
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:08,680
Speaker 1: this offseason. They love Josh Allen to win m VP

550
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 1: of fourteen to one. They love the Bills would be

551
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:12,960
Speaker 1: the number one seed. They love the Bills when the

552
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 1: a f C East, it's nothing but love from the

553
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:19,879
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. But here I am Chad Doo mcgloom. This

554
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:24,440
Speaker 1: is this is what we do. Uh. This line in

555
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 1: any sharp sharp player could tell you this line should

556
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,520
Speaker 1: be three or three and a half tops. You know,

557
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,760
Speaker 1: you give respect to the Bills what they have, and

558
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:34,320
Speaker 1: you give them the home field respect because again, the

559
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 1: Bills might have the loudest, craziest fans in all football,

560
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: but they're not. They're six and a half favor six

561
00:28:41,040 --> 00:28:44,680
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. It's insane to me where

562
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 1: I'm all four fading this Pittsburgh team. That's later in

563
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 1: the season when Big Ben starts breaking down and this

564
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,960
Speaker 1: old line really starts to having trouble again, the old

565
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:56,080
Speaker 1: line might be horrible and the Bills might take advantage

566
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:58,760
Speaker 1: of that. I think this new system that Pittsburgh is

567
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,680
Speaker 1: gonna be running, it's gonna be in the ball, quick

568
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 1: to the receivers. And you know, they dis drafted arguably

569
00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 1: the best running back in the draft in the first

570
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 1: round of Harris. I have to have faith in Pittsburgh

571
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: keeping this game close, and I also have to take

572
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:14,600
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's money line here. So I'm more than happy to

573
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 1: put this in our contest at plus six and a half. Again,

574
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 1: road dog. It's always a little scary because again, we

575
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:23,080
Speaker 1: don't know what it's gonna be like with these fans

576
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 1: back and what kind of difference that's gonna make. But

577
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 1: it just feels like way too big of a number

578
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 1: for a Bill's team that I'm asking to prove it

579
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:32,840
Speaker 1: again to me this year. They were incredible last year,

580
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 1: but that's all we've ever seen with the supposed to

581
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:36,720
Speaker 1: be You've seen one good year from Josh Allen. So

582
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:39,720
Speaker 1: just mathematically, I have to take the team I believe

583
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 1: in that it's more consistent in Pittsburgh, and you know,

584
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 1: take that side there. Especially this money line above two hundred.

585
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 1: You have to love the value of that hold on

586
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: money line above two hundred for the Pittsburgh Steelers. You're

587
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 1: basically saying, take a little taste on the Steelers to

588
00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 1: win the game out right. Yeah, maybe we'll do it

589
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,120
Speaker 1: on thirty They or made a just on Twitter, but

590
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 1: we'll definitely gonna do a round robin money line, uh

591
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 1: play this week and Pittsburgh they're they're one of my

592
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: favorite miny lines to play this week. Another team coming

593
00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:13,040
Speaker 1: up pretty soon, but this this Pittsburgh one, this is

594
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 1: this is one of these is just a pure value

595
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:18,040
Speaker 1: based bet that this this number is so inflated you

596
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: have to play this Pittsburgh just for the just the

597
00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 1: value alone, it's worth the play. Well, look this is

598
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 1: this is a classic pros versus Jose. As you said,

599
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 1: majority of the money coming in on the Steelers, majority

600
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 1: of the bets coming in on the Buffalo Bills. Um Also,

601
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 1: I'd be missed if I didn't mention Mike Tomlin what

602
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 1: what because Matt Mitchell loves to put in the Mike

603
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 1: Tomlin drops. I love the false enthusiasm. I letus say

604
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 1: we can make what do you guys quit today? But

605
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 1: in this instance it plays completely to his strengths. Mike

606
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 1: Tomlin motivatings team as an underdog being disrespected. This is

607
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 1: when Mike Tomlin wins. This is when Mike Tomlin covers

608
00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 1: and he doesn't cover when he's a favorite against bad games.

609
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 1: Ra ra, Mike Tomlin spot win the game with cool

610
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 1: bodies right here today today. Now, if this is if

611
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 1: they're at home against Houston this week, they would lose

612
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 1: by two touchdowns. So so this is definitely when you

613
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 1: want to take Pittsburgh. Dude, right now, all of a sudden,

614
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 1: we got three games that we love. We're gonna have

615
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,280
Speaker 1: too many games because of course, I told you it's bad,

616
00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 1: weak ones bad from each last year. Minnesota Vikings at

617
00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals. Minnesota is a three point favorite on the

618
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 1: road against the Bengals. We love home underdogs almost always.

619
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:44,840
Speaker 1: It's a sign of pure value generally to me, this

620
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: has to be in our contest for variety of reasons.

621
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 1: A home underdog b Joe Burrow is back. I have

622
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 1: a lot of confidence in that. See he's got weapons

623
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 1: behind on his side. D I am not. I don't

624
00:31:58,360 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 1: have a lot of faith in what Minnesota is doing

625
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 1: at all right now. I think their teaming disarray. Thank god,

626
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,120
Speaker 1: I'm not. I refuse let's put this one in, um,

627
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 1: just because of my hate for Zach Taylor. But everything

628
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 1: you just said so right, cheat, this is classic. You

629
00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 1: take Cincinnati Bengals plus three and a half as well,

630
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 1: you can get that hook. I love it. Not that

631
00:32:16,600 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 1: mean Chad. We had been burned by Kirk Cousins. Um.

632
00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 1: He he is definitely one of those guys that has

633
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 1: burned us in the past. I like taking the Vikings

634
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 1: and this Kirk guy at home. That's when they played

635
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 1: well with this offense inside the dome at home. It's

636
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:31,480
Speaker 1: one of these things I'm gonna be fading them a

637
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 1: lot on the road. And this sticks out where if

638
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:38,040
Speaker 1: it wasn't such a question mark with Burrow, I just

639
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,760
Speaker 1: I have we have not seen it um and the

640
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 1: stuff I've read about him and practice has not been

641
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 1: great either. I can't. I cannot tell people to bet

642
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 1: um the bangals this week. But what have you read

643
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:54,080
Speaker 1: in practice about him? In practice that makes you nervous? Uh? Inconsistent?

644
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:57,040
Speaker 1: His feet are very sloppy, like he's got the jitters,

645
00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 1: which again that's the biggest fear. A guy tears his

646
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 1: c l he's nervous about guys around his feet. So

647
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 1: if this guy came in the league, one of the

648
00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 1: best things about him is he was really really smart

649
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 1: about moving in the pocket, stepping up in the pocket,

650
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 1: getting outside the pocket, and running with the football. We

651
00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:15,040
Speaker 1: saw his athleticism last year. This guy could actually roam

652
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 1: with the ball. We've lost a lot of that edge

653
00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:20,960
Speaker 1: with Joe Burrow this season. So I'm I'm cool sitting

654
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 1: this one out and just kind of watch and see

655
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:26,200
Speaker 1: what happens in this game. Because both these teams, UH,

656
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,720
Speaker 1: just an incredible amount of question marks for each team.

657
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 1: So I feel like we should just sit this one out,

658
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 1: chatin fine. Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons, Oh God, I

659
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: feel I'm herking back to what you said earlier in

660
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 1: the in our countdown to the games, reviewing every team,

661
00:33:47,000 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eggles, your eiggles. The line opened three and

662
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 1: a half, it is currently three and a half. The

663
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:57,120
Speaker 1: total is forty eight and a half. I think we

664
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 1: love Atlanta, and I think we're gonna have to bet

665
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:04,640
Speaker 1: Atlanta because this could potentially be in Atlanta Falcons podcast. Correct,

666
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 1: And I still actually had this at three and a

667
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,800
Speaker 1: half and it's moved down, had a couple of different

668
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 1: books down to minus three. But for me, the easier

669
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:14,080
Speaker 1: playing this game will just be the over. I can

670
00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 1: see Atlanta themselves put up forty points, but I also

671
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:18,759
Speaker 1: see the Eagles offense being better than people give them

672
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:21,239
Speaker 1: credit for it, because again, the Eagles are healthy right now,

673
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 1: the whole offensive lines healthy. They have weapons of their

674
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,359
Speaker 1: wire super position, they have you know, you can say

675
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,480
Speaker 1: what you want about Zach Ertz. He's a pretty damn

676
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 1: good tight end. They got Dallas Carter the other tight end,

677
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:33,919
Speaker 1: pretty good tight end, and they have Miles Standards running back.

678
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,680
Speaker 1: So the safer playing in me feels like it's the total.

679
00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:39,160
Speaker 1: We just take the over. But I like the line

680
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:40,920
Speaker 1: as well for Atlanta. It's a fair number, so I

681
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 1: am taking thence three and a half. But I just

682
00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 1: wouldn't force into our contest because it just feels like

683
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:49,960
Speaker 1: there's better lines out there, all right. San Francisco forty

684
00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:54,480
Speaker 1: Niners at Detroit Lions, San Francisco, which is a seven

685
00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:57,480
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. The total is forty five,

686
00:34:57,520 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 1: by the way, I went down from forty six. Explain

687
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 1: yourself on this because people need to understand why you

688
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:06,600
Speaker 1: would do something as disgusting as this, and people just

689
00:35:06,640 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 1: aren't gonna get it. Chat. That's why I love this job.

690
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:11,359
Speaker 1: Even even if I win, I'm not. I'm just gonna

691
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 1: hear about how lucky I got that even took Detroit

692
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,080
Speaker 1: because they got lucky. They even won this game against

693
00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:17,719
Speaker 1: the forty Niners. No ship, they got lucky to beat

694
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:21,200
Speaker 1: the four ninety Niners are better than them on every

695
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 1: aspect of a football field, including coach. I mean the coaching.

696
00:35:25,120 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 1: The coaching for the obviously is a big advantage. This

697
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:31,919
Speaker 1: is more of a bet on Damiko Ryan's the first

698
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 1: year defensive coordinator for um the forty Niners. That's a

699
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:40,480
Speaker 1: big deal. Okay, they lost their incredible uh defensive coach

700
00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:42,319
Speaker 1: the Jets. He's now the head coach of the Jet

701
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 1: So that's already a knockdown for the forty Niners. The

702
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:48,640
Speaker 1: four Knights of QB drama the entire off season. You

703
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:50,359
Speaker 1: can say what you want that, Oh, there's no real

704
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:52,840
Speaker 1: drama there. They already moved up into the draft to

705
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:56,040
Speaker 1: the third pick overall to draft this quarterback. Jimmy g

706
00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 1: cannot be just be like, oh no, it's all good,

707
00:35:58,200 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 1: Like I'm just playing for my career and I know

708
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 1: it's a big deal and it has to be wearing

709
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:05,880
Speaker 1: on this guy. So just from the standpoint of I

710
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:08,720
Speaker 1: like what Detroit has on offense, you know, I like Swift,

711
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 1: I like Hockinson, I think golf in this kind of situation,

712
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 1: and behind that old line can surprise some people. Again,

713
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 1: I'm not telling Detroit's gonna be a five team this year,

714
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:20,279
Speaker 1: but for first game of the year at home is

715
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:23,839
Speaker 1: a home dog seven and a half points. Man, this

716
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:26,439
Speaker 1: is an incredibly inflated line. Like we talked last week,

717
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 1: I had this line at five two and a half points.

718
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:30,759
Speaker 1: Of value. This is one of my bigger bets of

719
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 1: the week, So I'll be on the seven half and

720
00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 1: also be put throwing this money line with a couple

721
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,880
Speaker 1: of their bets. So I'm a big, big, big Detroit

722
00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:42,840
Speaker 1: believer this upcoming weekend Wow money line. Well, I've already

723
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,759
Speaker 1: circled it. I circled the games that we know we're

724
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 1: gonna want to put in the contest right now. I've

725
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:50,200
Speaker 1: circled Washington football team. I've circled Texans, I've circled Steelers.

726
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 1: Now I've circled the Lions. I mean, that is truly disgusting.

727
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 1: I don't know why we would actually, I don't know

728
00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 1: why anyone would be listening to this podcast right now,

729
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:00,080
Speaker 1: because all we're doing is asking people to do you

730
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 1: really disgusting things. And now a word from our friends

731
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:09,520
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732
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:14,040
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733
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:17,480
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734
00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:21,200
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735
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:24,880
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736
00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:29,080
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737
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738
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739
00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:40,840
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740
00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:44,120
Speaker 1: Here's who I'm taking for my week one forty to

741
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:47,600
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742
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:52,040
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743
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:54,439
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744
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:57,759
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745
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746
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747
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:06,800
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748
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749
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750
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752
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753
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754
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755
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756
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757
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758
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759
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760
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:49,000
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761
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,719
Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. Let's get back to

762
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:57,200
Speaker 1: the show. Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs. Cleveland is

763
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:59,960
Speaker 1: a six and a half point underdog. Here's a rule

764
00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,920
Speaker 1: of some don't bet against Patrick Mahomes in September is

765
00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 1: less than a touchdown favorite. I'm so glad you came

766
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,839
Speaker 1: to that realization check because you were wearing me last week.

767
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,640
Speaker 1: We're like, we're taking Cleveland, right, and I was like,

768
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't think we're gonna got over. I

769
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 1: got smart. Yeah, um yeah, exactly what you just said.

770
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:20,560
Speaker 1: And you're reading in September. You you just back them

771
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 1: and we joke all the time. This counts is the

772
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 1: in youre read after a bye week, doesn't it. I

773
00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:28,400
Speaker 1: mean he's had a two weeks to prepare for this team,

774
00:39:28,600 --> 00:39:31,319
Speaker 1: so I love it. This is one of these where

775
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 1: the Bucks already talked I'm gonna take their money line

776
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:34,440
Speaker 1: with a couple of teams. This is one of the

777
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:36,720
Speaker 1: teams on parenting with Buck's money line on the Chiefs

778
00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 1: money line. It's one of my bigger bets of the weekend.

779
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 1: So I just I get the hype and the love

780
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:49,000
Speaker 1: for Cleveland. This is just an awful matchup in Arrowhead

781
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 1: first week of the year. It's just way too much

782
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,000
Speaker 1: for me to back Baker to go against my homes

783
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 1: in this kind of situation. So I am a Browns

784
00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 1: believer in this upcoming season, but not this game. I

785
00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:02,319
Speaker 1: would take this up to minus seven. So I think

786
00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:04,600
Speaker 1: you're getting good value here at minus six. But is

787
00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 1: that a put it in the contest kind of thing?

788
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 1: Like is that half point enough? Given the other games

789
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 1: that are still left on the board and the other

790
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:14,399
Speaker 1: ones that we've been talking about, this would be i'd

791
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,879
Speaker 1: added to the list. Definitely, minus six, I definitely add

792
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,920
Speaker 1: that to the list of games we played. Anything it's

793
00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 1: gonna it is six and a half, So that's not

794
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:23,839
Speaker 1: an ideal, and I could see it hitting seven by

795
00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:26,319
Speaker 1: time we get to the contest time. But as long

796
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:29,880
Speaker 1: as it stays below seven. Yeah, I'd put that in alright,

797
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:32,920
Speaker 1: New York Giants. Uh So, now we've got five games,

798
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:34,360
Speaker 1: We're gonna have to narrow some things down here. But

799
00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 1: it's fine. It's only Tuesday. Was that last year? We

800
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:41,839
Speaker 1: don't have We always have like seven or eight. Yeah,

801
00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:44,200
Speaker 1: we'd have seven, right, we'd narrowed it down. Yeah, I

802
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:48,880
Speaker 1: got you. Denver Broncos at New York Giants the Denver

803
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:53,040
Speaker 1: Broncos two and a half point home underdogs. The total

804
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:57,520
Speaker 1: is a measily forty one and a half. A quick look,

805
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:00,799
Speaker 1: I believe this may be the lowest total on the

806
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:04,520
Speaker 1: board for the entire weekend. Forty one and a half.

807
00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:08,840
Speaker 1: What say you give me your take? I feel like

808
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:13,319
Speaker 1: we gotta bet the Giants. I won't do that to you.

809
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:15,160
Speaker 1: It's definitely one of these games where you have to

810
00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,160
Speaker 1: bet the under. Like you just said, it is a

811
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:20,120
Speaker 1: really low total, and that's usually kind of scary. But

812
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,800
Speaker 1: we have two deferenses here that are very, very talented.

813
00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:25,360
Speaker 1: We've seen how good the Denver's defenses last year, and

814
00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:27,359
Speaker 1: the Giants defense was very good last year as well.

815
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 1: It's just one of the things where both these teams

816
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:33,279
Speaker 1: lack the quarterback position. But I can't do it, Chat,

817
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:36,719
Speaker 1: I cannot tell people to take Daniel Jones is a

818
00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:39,239
Speaker 1: home dog. I wish I could. I wish I could

819
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:41,680
Speaker 1: just stand here and say, you know, home dog and

820
00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 1: none of the money, none of the public's all over Denver.

821
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,400
Speaker 1: The lines moved I think two points now towards Denver.

822
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:51,319
Speaker 1: But I'm with the public move in this line. This

823
00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:54,120
Speaker 1: this line feels like it should be minus three, should

824
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,040
Speaker 1: be minus three and a half with Denver. So for me,

825
00:41:57,800 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 1: I like taking Teddy as an underdog. But we gotta do.

826
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 1: We gotta do here, Chad, I have to take Denver

827
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:05,319
Speaker 1: in this spot. But why would not put this in

828
00:42:05,360 --> 00:42:06,920
Speaker 1: the contest Because I just don't think we're getting good

829
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 1: value on the line. You're going to go against all

830
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:14,840
Speaker 1: of our principles and actually bet a road favorite. The

831
00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 1: public wins. Sometimes That's that's the hardest part of my job.

832
00:42:17,160 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out when the public is going

833
00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:20,839
Speaker 1: to be right. You know, the public might be right here.

834
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,120
Speaker 1: This line seems like it's a little undervalued right now.

835
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:27,040
Speaker 1: Broncos are getting the bets right now, so you are

836
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:31,280
Speaker 1: accurate in that the public is coming in on Teddy covers,

837
00:42:31,680 --> 00:42:37,920
Speaker 1: not on Danny turnovers. There you go. Most interesting game

838
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:41,840
Speaker 1: on the board, not from a betting perspective, but probably

839
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 1: from a drama perspective. Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints.

840
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:50,640
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. I'm the greatest. I'm the only reason anyone

841
00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:52,799
Speaker 1: wants to play here. I'll only sign a one year deal.

842
00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:57,760
Speaker 1: There are four point favorites playing I forget where against

843
00:42:57,760 --> 00:43:00,760
Speaker 1: the displaced New Orleans Saints, who weren't where the quarterback

844
00:43:00,840 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 1: was going to be. It's now going to be famous Jamis,

845
00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:07,600
Speaker 1: who has historically been a turnover machine. Their four point dogs.

846
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 1: I could have gotten this a couple of months ago

847
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:11,200
Speaker 1: with the Packers at plus two and a half, when

848
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 1: the Aaron Rodger stuff was up in the air. How

849
00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 1: do you handicap this right now? A month and a

850
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 1: week ago. That's that's how That's how quick it was

851
00:43:19,200 --> 00:43:22,560
Speaker 1: that that everything just changed. No means we were gonna

852
00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:24,480
Speaker 1: love to take New Orleans here. This is gonna be

853
00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:27,080
Speaker 1: such an easy bet for us, a home dog. No

854
00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:29,400
Speaker 1: one believes in them New Orleans at home in that

855
00:43:29,560 --> 00:43:32,880
Speaker 1: city with all those fans. But now we have a neutral,

856
00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:35,799
Speaker 1: psyche game and are you are you telling me that

857
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:38,880
Speaker 1: the Superdome is only worth one and a half points. No,

858
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:40,399
Speaker 1: that doesn't make sense. I don't know why I only

859
00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 1: one from two and a half to four. To me,

860
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 1: this line should be six and a half seven. Um, right,

861
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:48,839
Speaker 1: So I think we're getting major value are on green Bay.

862
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:50,880
Speaker 1: Making me a little nervous. It feels like maybe a

863
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 1: sports bet, sports books knows something. Maybe they're laying a

864
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:56,320
Speaker 1: little trap, but I'm stepper right into it. This is

865
00:43:56,360 --> 00:43:58,359
Speaker 1: one of those again I've paired with the money line

866
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:00,400
Speaker 1: where I already told you I did Bucks and the

867
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:04,120
Speaker 1: Chiefs already. I have a bunch of Chiefs, green Bay,

868
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 1: Green Bay, and Buccaneers money line bets as well. So

869
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 1: it's one of these things where I just can't see

870
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,080
Speaker 1: a scenario that Green Bay loses this game. They have,

871
00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:16,400
Speaker 1: if not more talent on the defensive side now, because

872
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 1: the again New Orleans people understand their defense has actually

873
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:21,279
Speaker 1: been one of the better things about than the last

874
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: two three years. They have a lot of injuries on

875
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,760
Speaker 1: that defensive front right now. So again everything just points

876
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:29,799
Speaker 1: to this this really being a train wreck kind of

877
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,799
Speaker 1: season for the Saints and the starting off the year

878
00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:38,760
Speaker 1: Winston with this this this this offensive not question marks,

879
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:41,840
Speaker 1: but like, I know that they have a great offensive line,

880
00:44:41,920 --> 00:44:44,800
Speaker 1: and I know they have Komara, but the other aspects

881
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:47,880
Speaker 1: of this team, it just frightens me. And Green Bay's

882
00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 1: biggest weakness is they can be run on. So maybe

883
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:53,200
Speaker 1: that's why this number is so low. But I'm drinking

884
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:55,160
Speaker 1: the cool and I'm taking green Bay here. I'm riding

885
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 1: with the public again where I had to take this

886
00:44:57,680 --> 00:45:00,359
Speaker 1: number at at this exact time because I think it's

887
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 1: just incredibly undervalued. Do we think we're potentially adding this

888
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:08,799
Speaker 1: to the contest. We we could be, but it's it's again,

889
00:45:08,800 --> 00:45:10,440
Speaker 1: it seemingly these hard things where it's like, you know,

890
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 1: I don't like having more than two or three favorites

891
00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:15,040
Speaker 1: in our contest, Like it served as well last year.

892
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:16,560
Speaker 1: We were kind of dog heavy and I really worked

893
00:45:16,560 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 1: out for us last year. So I do love the number.

894
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 1: I'm just worried it's gonna keep running up that by

895
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:23,680
Speaker 1: the time it gets the contest it might be minus five,

896
00:45:23,760 --> 00:45:26,880
Speaker 1: minus six. Well, look, we can evaluate, right, We've got

897
00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 1: five six games that we're thinking about already, and so

898
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:32,799
Speaker 1: it can be part of the list. We'll just put

899
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:37,319
Speaker 1: on the list. Uh. This next game again, another one

900
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:43,280
Speaker 1: full of drama. Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots, rookie quarterback.

901
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:46,799
Speaker 1: New England is a three point favorite right now. This

902
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,480
Speaker 1: game opened to two. The total is four to three

903
00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:52,920
Speaker 1: and a half, one of the lower totals on the board. Um,

904
00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 1: the best of the money coming in New England. So

905
00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:00,640
Speaker 1: it feels like the public and the pre essionals are

906
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:05,040
Speaker 1: aligned here. I don't know if you agree. Yeah, I

907
00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:08,160
Speaker 1: just I people will listen to offseas. I know I

908
00:46:08,200 --> 00:46:11,359
Speaker 1: love to Uh, I'm all in onto a. I get

909
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:13,760
Speaker 1: the hype on mac England. New England fans are feeling

910
00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:16,160
Speaker 1: pretty good right now. It's life is pretty good because

911
00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:18,400
Speaker 1: he hasn't taken an actual snap in a real game.

912
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:20,799
Speaker 1: I couldn't have picked the worst defense for him to

913
00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 1: go against. We know the miamis secondary. I mean, I

914
00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:27,920
Speaker 1: would have to look at my numbers. I'm pretty sure

915
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 1: I had them in the top three defenses coming to

916
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:33,880
Speaker 1: the season. And people are really hyping up the Patriots

917
00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:36,040
Speaker 1: defense because of all the signings they made this offseason.

918
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:39,080
Speaker 1: Gilmore is not back Stephane Gilmore is gonna be out

919
00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:40,680
Speaker 1: for six or seven weeks. They put him on the

920
00:46:40,680 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 1: pup list, So a rookie skin his home first start.

921
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 1: I get to love the excitement, especially that Miami is

922
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:48,759
Speaker 1: kind of one of these teams where people are so

923
00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:51,960
Speaker 1: unsure if to uh. But two has already gone through

924
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:53,759
Speaker 1: everything Mac Jones is gonna be going through this year,

925
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,840
Speaker 1: the growth and the like the fault of a rookie quarterback.

926
00:46:56,960 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 1: So the fact that this line isn't a pick, I'm

927
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 1: getting a plus and we're taking the money line here

928
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:04,280
Speaker 1: with Miami. I love the value on Miami, but again,

929
00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 1: this is one of these I wouldn't put the contest

930
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:09,520
Speaker 1: because it's a little it's a little scary chat with

931
00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:12,040
Speaker 1: TWA here, because we're kind of stepping off into the

932
00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:14,759
Speaker 1: deep end where it's like we're gonna know pretty quick

933
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:16,399
Speaker 1: if two has got it or not. Because last year

934
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:17,920
Speaker 1: was just a wash for the kid. He's coming off

935
00:47:17,920 --> 00:47:21,719
Speaker 1: a major hip injury, didn't really know the offense, no excuses.

936
00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:23,719
Speaker 1: Now too has had a whole off season, He's got

937
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:25,920
Speaker 1: a ton of weapons around him. It's really gonna be

938
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:28,600
Speaker 1: a statement game from Miami. So I am a believer

939
00:47:28,640 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 1: in Miami, but not a believer enough to put him

940
00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:35,200
Speaker 1: in the contest. All right, Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams,

941
00:47:35,640 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 1: my beloved Bears. I don't think we can do anything

942
00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:40,040
Speaker 1: with this game, Simon. I don't think I can handle

943
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:42,880
Speaker 1: it emotionally. I don't think there's any value here on

944
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:46,960
Speaker 1: the other side. But you tell me now, the lines

945
00:47:47,040 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 1: moved too much. It's six six and a half there

946
00:47:48,920 --> 00:47:51,839
Speaker 1: with some value, but we don't believe in Stafford like

947
00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:54,919
Speaker 1: I'm not. There's no way I'm taking Stafford minus seven

948
00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't care the hype that the

949
00:47:57,120 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 1: Rams are getting right now and how bad the Bears

950
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:02,160
Speaker 1: have looked, but I am a sucker for paining. So

951
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:03,839
Speaker 1: this is definitely one of these games where I'm gonna

952
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:06,239
Speaker 1: have the Rams money line with those other teams, with

953
00:48:06,280 --> 00:48:08,640
Speaker 1: Green Bay, the Chiefs, and the Bucks, I'm gonna have

954
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:10,719
Speaker 1: a bunch of two team money line bets, and the

955
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 1: Rams are gonna be one of those teams in there.

956
00:48:12,080 --> 00:48:16,000
Speaker 1: Because I just don't see scenario Andy Dalton if he's

957
00:48:16,040 --> 00:48:18,080
Speaker 1: down seven driving the field to try to tie this

958
00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:20,239
Speaker 1: game up down the game, no faith in him to

959
00:48:20,239 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 1: do it against this defense. So I do like the

960
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 1: value in the Rams money line, but I hate the

961
00:48:26,080 --> 00:48:28,120
Speaker 1: number I think that's seven and a half. It's come

962
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:30,120
Speaker 1: kick off. I'm gonna be taking the Bears and hating

963
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:31,920
Speaker 1: myself for it because there's no way they cover it.

964
00:48:32,320 --> 00:48:34,280
Speaker 1: But just as a professional, I have to take this number.

965
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:37,160
Speaker 1: This number is way too big for a Rams team

966
00:48:37,160 --> 00:48:38,800
Speaker 1: with so much to prove to be favored by the

967
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:42,759
Speaker 1: first week of the season. Wait, so you're you you

968
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:45,280
Speaker 1: like the Bears at seven and a half only because

969
00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:47,800
Speaker 1: the number and the circumstances, not because of the talent

970
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:52,160
Speaker 1: on either side. Yeah, so seven sevens of that's this

971
00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:54,839
Speaker 1: game is a touchdown game. Um, just if they play

972
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:57,160
Speaker 1: this game a hundred times over sixty perot the time,

973
00:48:57,160 --> 00:48:58,880
Speaker 1: I can see this game landing on the seven. So

974
00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:00,799
Speaker 1: I think you're getting really a good value here with

975
00:49:00,880 --> 00:49:03,000
Speaker 1: the Bears. Like you just said, if we don't want

976
00:49:03,000 --> 00:49:05,000
Speaker 1: to put in this game and it's we don't believe

977
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:07,080
Speaker 1: in any Dulton when if this was justin fields, this

978
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 1: would be a no brainer play. But now I'm not

979
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,960
Speaker 1: putting real money on any Dalton this upcoming week Baltimore

980
00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 1: Ravens at Las Vegas Raiders. All Right, so here's what's

981
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:20,640
Speaker 1: interesting to me, knowing what I know about you and

982
00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:23,480
Speaker 1: Derek Carr, I feel like when I'm looking at this

983
00:49:23,560 --> 00:49:26,200
Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders number right now, it's four and a half,

984
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:29,960
Speaker 1: their four and a half point home dogs against the Ravens,

985
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:32,839
Speaker 1: I feel like you're going to try to convince me

986
00:49:33,200 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 1: that I want the Raiders at plus four and a half.

987
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:39,879
Speaker 1: Of course you do. We don't do money night games though.

988
00:49:40,040 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 1: That's the whole thing with us in our context, me

989
00:49:41,640 --> 00:49:43,319
Speaker 1: and you, I'd like to be done by Sunday, but

990
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,960
Speaker 1: this will definitely be my round robin money line. But Oakland,

991
00:49:47,080 --> 00:49:51,800
Speaker 1: I mean Las Vegas Raiders, I should say opening night. Man,

992
00:49:52,040 --> 00:49:54,960
Speaker 1: this is this is gonna be pretty amazing, especially the

993
00:49:55,040 --> 00:49:57,600
Speaker 1: fact that it's money night game. I really can't wait.

994
00:49:59,080 --> 00:50:03,280
Speaker 1: Wh This is ugly, Chad, This is an ugly bet

995
00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 1: taking this because you can look at the data the

996
00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:10,319
Speaker 1: Ravens first week of the year, they killed teams. They

997
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:14,600
Speaker 1: usually dominate teams, but every couple of ten years they

998
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:16,560
Speaker 1: do trip up, and we're kind of betting on this

999
00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:18,399
Speaker 1: being one of those every ten years kind of messed

1000
00:50:18,440 --> 00:50:21,680
Speaker 1: up games. So it's not the most confident better the week.

1001
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 1: But this is overinflated. This line. This should be three

1002
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:26,920
Speaker 1: or three and a half. Who are who are the

1003
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 1: Ravens to be fair by this many points. They don't

1004
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:32,520
Speaker 1: really have a number one receiver. I guess it's Sammy Watkins,

1005
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:35,080
Speaker 1: but who really knows. They only have two healthy running

1006
00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 1: backs on this team. Their offensive line isn't is healthy

1007
00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:40,920
Speaker 1: right now and improved, and Lamar is back from COVID.

1008
00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:43,840
Speaker 1: Just a couple of red flags though, uh for me

1009
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:46,080
Speaker 1: with this team, So in a game that could be

1010
00:50:46,120 --> 00:50:49,319
Speaker 1: seen a shootout, I love having that many points where

1011
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:53,279
Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders because it's again it's an over

1012
00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:56,839
Speaker 1: inflated line, because it's a primetime game. So I get

1013
00:50:56,920 --> 00:50:59,399
Speaker 1: the love on Sunday night for the Rams, but here

1014
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:01,759
Speaker 1: on Monday Night, we're not getting back to back big

1015
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:05,240
Speaker 1: favorites when in primetime games the bookmakers aren't that kind.

1016
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:08,160
Speaker 1: So for for all those reasons right there, I just

1017
00:51:08,200 --> 00:51:11,320
Speaker 1: love the value on Las Vegas. I feel like, and

1018
00:51:11,600 --> 00:51:13,480
Speaker 1: I do think we should talk about this on Thursday.

1019
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:17,600
Speaker 1: Um You've mentioned sort of money line parlays three or

1020
00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:21,760
Speaker 1: four different times, and it feels like there's two different

1021
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:24,560
Speaker 1: categories you're looking at. There is the money line parlay

1022
00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:26,440
Speaker 1: that is the big favorites, and the money line parlay

1023
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 1: that is the the underdogs you think you have a

1024
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 1: chance to win. This is a preview. You don't need

1025
00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:34,200
Speaker 1: to answer it, but it feels like that's what we're

1026
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 1: talking about, and we'll go deeper on Thursday. Yeah, I'm

1027
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:40,520
Speaker 1: a big fan of anything greater than tend to one.

1028
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:42,080
Speaker 1: If I can pare up a couple of money line

1029
00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 1: dogs to get better odds than tend to one, you

1030
00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:46,440
Speaker 1: know the math, Chad, That means only have to hit

1031
00:51:46,520 --> 00:51:48,440
Speaker 1: them every nine times, and I'm getting my money back

1032
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:50,520
Speaker 1: for each one of these crazy bets. Last year was

1033
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:52,120
Speaker 1: a flupe year. I'm not gonna lie to people. We

1034
00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:55,880
Speaker 1: were hitting crazy money line dogs all last year. Like

1035
00:51:56,640 --> 00:52:00,720
Speaker 1: my return on investment was insane. So I don't always

1036
00:52:00,760 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 1: do money line parlay, especially with the favorites for early

1037
00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,360
Speaker 1: weeks like this, where the lines are so sharp because

1038
00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:08,960
Speaker 1: bookmakers have had so much time to tinker with the lines.

1039
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:11,320
Speaker 1: I'm more often than not if I like a favorite,

1040
00:52:11,360 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 1: just to take the money line because I just feel

1041
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,480
Speaker 1: like the bookmakers usually get these lines so right. So

1042
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:18,280
Speaker 1: it's not that I'm a coward, but I kind of am.

1043
00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:20,960
Speaker 1: You know, you're just a goddamn color. I won't have

1044
00:52:21,040 --> 00:52:23,680
Speaker 1: songs of pitches. We're afraid to fight staking up this

1045
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:29,360
Speaker 1: place of honor here, God damn coward. Well you're a

1046
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:32,680
Speaker 1: very wealthy coward. Let's look at our This is the

1047
00:52:32,719 --> 00:52:34,759
Speaker 1: list that we're talking about, and then we'll be thinking

1048
00:52:34,800 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 1: about over the next forty eight hours to start Washington

1049
00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:41,640
Speaker 1: Football team plus one, Textans plus two and a half,

1050
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:45,800
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh plus six and a half, Detroit plus seven and

1051
00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:49,120
Speaker 1: a half. That's four uh, Kansas City minus six and

1052
00:52:49,160 --> 00:52:52,960
Speaker 1: a half uh. And then we're tinkering with Green Bay

1053
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 1: minus four and if we really really wanted to and

1054
00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,320
Speaker 1: go crazy, we think about the Raiders plus four and

1055
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:03,600
Speaker 1: a half um. And then again we will update this.

1056
00:53:03,840 --> 00:53:05,800
Speaker 1: We will be thinking about this. We will talk about

1057
00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:09,160
Speaker 1: this on Thursday. Our final five best picks will be

1058
00:53:09,160 --> 00:53:12,120
Speaker 1: put into the Action Network Gap on Sunday. The games

1059
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:15,800
Speaker 1: that we ultimately feel best about based online moves, injuries, news, etcetera.

1060
00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:17,879
Speaker 1: It's a lot, it's a lot of download, a lot

1061
00:53:17,920 --> 00:53:19,959
Speaker 1: of digest I feel like we're giving people an early

1062
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:22,440
Speaker 1: indication of what they should be betting right now and

1063
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:24,520
Speaker 1: what they should be looking forward to for the rest

1064
00:53:24,520 --> 00:53:26,759
Speaker 1: of the week. What do you think, Simon and that's

1065
00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:28,680
Speaker 1: what's gonna be like people. I know we're gonna overload

1066
00:53:28,719 --> 00:53:30,759
Speaker 1: you a little bit with this information. It's a lot

1067
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:33,200
Speaker 1: to hang on Tuesday. But that's why we're ating the

1068
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:35,040
Speaker 1: other show. It's gonna be a lot, a lot easier

1069
00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:37,920
Speaker 1: to digest. We're gonna keep rebreaking things down on Thursday,

1070
00:53:38,200 --> 00:53:41,239
Speaker 1: and then uh, come Sunday, we'll do that morning show.

1071
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:42,959
Speaker 1: It's it's only gonna be give out one or two

1072
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:45,759
Speaker 1: bets or this show we're gonna be giving out. Our

1073
00:53:46,200 --> 00:53:49,080
Speaker 1: big bets are five bets. We gotta do. Simon says, So,

1074
00:53:49,120 --> 00:53:51,840
Speaker 1: which one of these games is? Simon says, just bet it?

1075
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:54,160
Speaker 1: Just better? Right now, hold your nose, do it. Listen

1076
00:53:54,160 --> 00:54:01,400
Speaker 1: to me and go. Simon says, bet on the Signons

1077
00:54:01,520 --> 00:54:06,400
Speaker 1: says one. Simon says, do it. We do what Simon says.

1078
00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:11,200
Speaker 1: Simon says bet on Detroit seven a half. Oh my god,

1079
00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:13,719
Speaker 1: I can't believe that's what you went with. It is

1080
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:15,760
Speaker 1: I have to because I can see this line into seven.

1081
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:17,640
Speaker 1: I just know for a fact professionals are going to

1082
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:19,560
Speaker 1: hit this line and a lot of books are gonna

1083
00:54:19,560 --> 00:54:21,640
Speaker 1: be down to seven six and a half before kickoff.

1084
00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:23,959
Speaker 1: So I know it's ugly people, and you're really gonna

1085
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:26,799
Speaker 1: hate me if this doesn't work out. But shut up

1086
00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:29,080
Speaker 1: and just listen with Simon says, and bet this number

1087
00:54:29,120 --> 00:54:42,000
Speaker 1: seven and a half. When Simon, when we do, we're disgusting.

1088
00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 1: I can't believe we're asking people to do this. We should.

1089
00:54:44,440 --> 00:54:47,160
Speaker 1: We don't even deserve a podcast. Speaking up, we do

1090
00:54:47,239 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 1: have a podcast, and we asked you to send us

1091
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:52,399
Speaker 1: in some reviews. The winner that I'm choosing right now

1092
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 1: that Simon, Matt Mitchell and I discussed before the show began.

1093
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:57,880
Speaker 1: Who was going to get one of Simon's four best

1094
00:54:57,920 --> 00:55:00,560
Speaker 1: picks of the year. Well, they're in the run. We said,

1095
00:55:00,600 --> 00:55:01,880
Speaker 1: we're gonna do it for two weeks. They have a

1096
00:55:01,880 --> 00:55:05,000
Speaker 1: whole another week. You're in the running. You're you're part

1097
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:09,319
Speaker 1: of a drawing. Most discerning reviewer that is his name,

1098
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,319
Speaker 1: five star review. I owe this podcast my life and

1099
00:55:12,320 --> 00:55:16,440
Speaker 1: then in parentheses, partner. When I started listening to Chad Moman,

1100
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:21,160
Speaker 1: I was unattractive and broke. Since Simon has joined, I

1101
00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:24,479
Speaker 1: have a smoking hot fiance and I look exactly the same.

1102
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 1: Just saying five stars only because I can't give them ten.

1103
00:55:30,160 --> 00:55:33,320
Speaker 1: That's pretty good. That's pretty good. Also, it's worth noting

1104
00:55:33,360 --> 00:55:36,200
Speaker 1: that the reviewer who hurt my feelings last week when

1105
00:55:36,200 --> 00:55:39,200
Speaker 1: he said I was annoying but Simon was great. He

1106
00:55:39,680 --> 00:55:42,720
Speaker 1: wrote Matt Mitchell and he said, I've actually been listening

1107
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:44,840
Speaker 1: for a few years, and I've been an Action Network

1108
00:55:44,880 --> 00:55:48,000
Speaker 1: subscriber for just as long. I wrote the review as

1109
00:55:48,040 --> 00:55:51,880
Speaker 1: a goof hoping to troll Chad, and it succeeded beyond

1110
00:55:51,920 --> 00:55:56,960
Speaker 1: my wildest dreams. I'm assuming his irritating behavior behavior is

1111
00:55:57,000 --> 00:56:01,440
Speaker 1: a stick. I'm sure he's a nice guy. That's nice.

1112
00:56:02,120 --> 00:56:08,680
Speaker 1: Keep assuming, so sign it. I think we covered everything show.

1113
00:56:08,719 --> 00:56:10,880
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell kind of hates us right now. He's pissed.

1114
00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:12,480
Speaker 1: He's pissed. We went a little bit longer, but it

1115
00:56:12,520 --> 00:56:14,960
Speaker 1: was clean. So I feel like, first of one, we

1116
00:56:14,960 --> 00:56:19,360
Speaker 1: gotta get into practice. Yeah. I would never complain about long,

1117
00:56:19,600 --> 00:56:24,279
Speaker 1: actionable content. You know that true, Simon. I want people

1118
00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:26,960
Speaker 1: to download the podcast from Spotify, from Apple podcast, wherever

1119
00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:30,000
Speaker 1: you get this podcast. Come back on Thursday. Will narrow

1120
00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:33,279
Speaker 1: down our picks. We'll have even more detailed information. Go

1121
00:56:33,480 --> 00:56:36,200
Speaker 1: make your Detroit lines. Simon says plus seven and a

1122
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:39,160
Speaker 1: half pick come back for the big Balls bet of

1123
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:42,040
Speaker 1: the week. For the hornets Nest. Bet for more reviews

1124
00:56:42,160 --> 00:56:45,160
Speaker 1: from more chances to win. I am Chadmillman. He's Simon

1125
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:48,680
Speaker 1: Hunter until Thursday. I love you ye,