WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 16) 0:00:00.920 --> 0:00:04.200 Ka boom boom. If you thought four hours a day, 0:00:05.200 --> 0:00:08.360 minutes a week was enough, I think again. He's the 0:00:08.440 --> 0:00:12.440 last remnants of the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. 0:00:12.600 --> 0:00:15.560 He treats crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.639 the rich pill poppers in the penthouse, the clearing House 0:00:19.680 --> 0:00:23.400 of Hot takes break free for something special. The Fifth 0:00:23.400 --> 0:00:29.720 Hour with Ben Maller starts right now in the air 0:00:31.240 --> 0:00:36.680 everywhere back in the podcast Jojo The Fifth Hour with 0:00:36.800 --> 0:00:41.400 Ben Maller and Danny G Radio and we are ready 0:00:41.479 --> 0:00:51.120 to dive in two week sixteen of Benny Versus the Penny. 0:00:51.240 --> 0:00:55.480 Are you prepared, Danny G. Yeah, Ben, I am still 0:00:55.760 --> 0:00:59.279 as an NFL fan. I'm still on cloud nine from 0:00:59.280 --> 0:01:02.280 that Vegas trip last Sunday. We will get into that. 0:01:02.320 --> 0:01:04.560 We will have a frame bite frame breakdown on this 0:01:04.640 --> 0:01:08.200 Saturday podcast. We'll find out did you think about leaving? 0:01:08.280 --> 0:01:10.200 Did you stay to the end We'll go, We'll get 0:01:10.200 --> 0:01:12.880 to all of that. As you were at you talk 0:01:12.920 --> 0:01:16.560 about your first Raider game, one of the most memorable, 0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:18.920 like we'll remember for the rest of our lives. And 0:01:18.959 --> 0:01:21.080 you happen to be at that game. You're talking about 0:01:21.080 --> 0:01:26.440 good timing. My god, Danny, check put baby, it's almost 0:01:26.480 --> 0:01:28.959 as good as what you've been doing this season with 0:01:29.040 --> 0:01:33.000 your picks. You show off. Well, let's see if that continue. 0:01:33.040 --> 0:01:35.600 Let's strike up the band right now here we go. 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:46.440 Welcome players, You're welcome. It's time now Benny versus the penny? 0:01:50.840 --> 0:01:53.720 All right, Benny versus the penny before we get to 0:01:53.760 --> 0:01:57.440 the week sixteen card and all the games on Saturday. 0:01:57.520 --> 0:02:01.520 That's right, Saturday and sun Day. It's a walky weekend 0:02:01.560 --> 0:02:03.520 because of the Christmas holiday, so we got a bunch 0:02:03.520 --> 0:02:06.640 of games on Saturday and a few games on Sunday, 0:02:06.680 --> 0:02:11.800 so not the usual Sunday monsoon of the NFL. It's 0:02:11.840 --> 0:02:14.640 mostly on Saturday. So we'll get to the pis quickly. 0:02:14.680 --> 0:02:18.760 But last week a full card, sixteen games on the 0:02:18.840 --> 0:02:23.799 NFL schedule, and how did we do well. We got 0:02:23.800 --> 0:02:26.760 off to a very good start on the early part 0:02:26.880 --> 0:02:30.360 of the television window, and we cooled off a little 0:02:30.400 --> 0:02:36.399 bit in the late part. But overall, another ten wan weekend. 0:02:36.480 --> 0:02:39.760 So ten five and one against the spread. That's a 0:02:39.840 --> 0:02:45.359 six sixties seven winning percentage. The penny went, unfortunately for you, Danny, 0:02:45.639 --> 0:02:50.920 five ten and one, so not not a particularly memorable 0:02:50.919 --> 0:02:53.760 week for the Penny. That's a three thirty three winning percentage, 0:02:53.800 --> 0:02:57.560 half the side of the devil and overall on the year. 0:02:58.320 --> 0:03:00.760 If you look at the season totals on your podcast, 0:03:00.840 --> 0:03:02.799 you can see right there the graphics will get out 0:03:02.800 --> 0:03:06.120 the telestrator here. So Penny, that would be me hundred 0:03:06.120 --> 0:03:09.679 and thirty two wins, eighties, six losses, and six ties. 0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:12.800 That works out to a six or six winning percentage 0:03:12.840 --> 0:03:16.320 to penny, still under five hundred. We've only got a 0:03:16.320 --> 0:03:18.200 few weeks to go. The Penny's gotta get its act 0:03:18.200 --> 0:03:21.680 together here, Danny to finish at five hundred, the penny 0:03:21.720 --> 0:03:25.160 one hundred three wins, one seventeen losses and four ties. 0:03:25.760 --> 0:03:28.400 After that five ten in one week, so that works 0:03:28.400 --> 0:03:33.000 out to wait four winning percentage. A couple of good weeks, 0:03:33.040 --> 0:03:34.760 the penny can get to five hundred, which is what 0:03:34.800 --> 0:03:38.560 you'd expect the penny to be at Mathematically alive, Ben, 0:03:39.080 --> 0:03:41.560 Penny needs you to lose out for the rest of 0:03:41.600 --> 0:03:46.400 the season. The Penny needs to win every game. Uh, 0:03:46.480 --> 0:03:48.880 we need to get that. I'm doing the numbers. We 0:03:48.920 --> 0:03:51.200 need to get the penny at least a five hundred. 0:03:51.240 --> 0:03:54.120 That will make the bit reasonable. But the penny's got 0:03:54.200 --> 0:04:00.600 to make up four games in three weeks. So my 0:04:00.680 --> 0:04:03.320 computer like mind tells me, if the penny can make 0:04:03.440 --> 0:04:08.480 up five and a half games a week, will that 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:10.600 being I think it's gonna be six games? Was six 0:04:10.640 --> 0:04:13.040 games a week? The penny's gonna make up six games 0:04:13.520 --> 0:04:17.719 a week above five, Okay, so the penny is gonna 0:04:17.760 --> 0:04:20.599 have to go. There's sixteen games every week, so the 0:04:20.600 --> 0:04:23.960 penny is gonna have to go with twelve and six 0:04:24.160 --> 0:04:28.360 or twelve and four something along like that every week. Yeah, 0:04:28.400 --> 0:04:31.440 you can stop doing the math now. Anyway, we'll get 0:04:31.480 --> 0:04:33.080 to it. Here we go. Are you ready? Are you ready? 0:04:33.080 --> 0:04:35.480 Here we go? Yeah, let's do it all right. We'll 0:04:35.520 --> 0:04:39.640 start out with the New York Giants Christmas Eve in 0:04:39.680 --> 0:04:43.280 the morning Giants and Minnesota Giants eight five and one, 0:04:43.320 --> 0:04:47.159 Minnesota eleven and three. It's on Fox with Adam Amin 0:04:47.240 --> 0:04:49.800 and Mark Slavor. They have the call Vikings open to 0:04:49.880 --> 0:04:52.839 four point favorite. They're favored by four and a half. 0:04:53.400 --> 0:04:56.720 It's lucky. There's a dome in Minnesota. Temperature sunny and 0:04:56.880 --> 0:05:01.000 one degree at kickoff outside US Banks Stadiu him most 0:05:01.040 --> 0:05:03.800 people betting on the Vikings in this game. But I'm 0:05:03.800 --> 0:05:07.400 gonna take the Giants here. Minnesota's defense is so lousy. 0:05:08.160 --> 0:05:12.120 How lousy are they? They're so lousy. I don't trust 0:05:12.160 --> 0:05:17.000 them against anyone, even a subpart. Danny Dimes will find 0:05:17.040 --> 0:05:20.800 open receivers in the Vikings soft secondary. They are cream 0:05:20.920 --> 0:05:24.560 cheese in the secondary. And these teams are closer than 0:05:24.600 --> 0:05:28.480 their records indicate. The Giants are still fighting for a playoffs. 0:05:28.480 --> 0:05:31.080 About the Vikings at eleven and three, he have a 0:05:31.120 --> 0:05:34.080 shot at the number one overall record, although they need 0:05:34.080 --> 0:05:35.440 a lot of things to go their way because they 0:05:35.440 --> 0:05:38.800 already lost to Philadelphia. But Minnesota coming off that thirty 0:05:38.839 --> 0:05:41.440 three point come back against the Colts, now they play 0:05:42.200 --> 0:05:45.039 the Giants, but they have the Packers and a key 0:05:45.080 --> 0:05:49.160 divisional game, key rivalry game for them next week. So 0:05:49.200 --> 0:05:52.760 I'm gonna take the Giants and the points. Vikings twenty 0:05:52.880 --> 0:06:01.560 seven and the Giants six the final, and the penny 0:06:01.960 --> 0:06:05.880 is going with Danny Jimes and the Giants. Alright, so 0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:07.600 we agree on that. We move on now. This is 0:06:07.640 --> 0:06:10.800 a game that has no redeeming quality whatsoever. Danny New 0:06:10.920 --> 0:06:15.080 Orleans five and nine at Cleveland six and eight on 0:06:15.360 --> 0:06:19.440 CBS with Spirodidas and Jay feely. The Browns opened a 0:06:19.520 --> 0:06:23.359 three point favorite at home, and they are still favored 0:06:23.400 --> 0:06:25.919 by three. This line has stayed flat with the gambling 0:06:25.960 --> 0:06:28.840 market and most people betting on the Cleveland Browns in 0:06:28.880 --> 0:06:32.159 this game is going to be a dome team in 0:06:32.320 --> 0:06:37.360 bad weather, not snowing or rainy, but cloudy and ten 0:06:37.480 --> 0:06:42.159 degrees at kick off in Cleveland and northern Ohio there 0:06:42.279 --> 0:06:44.680 and some of the numbers here. The Saints one in 0:06:44.839 --> 0:06:48.120 five against the spread with Dennis Allen as the coach. 0:06:48.240 --> 0:06:53.320 Andy Dalton has not been particularly great there. Although here's 0:06:53.520 --> 0:06:55.919 an odd quirk I found when I was handicapping the 0:06:55.960 --> 0:06:59.400 game getting ready for this. In Andy Dalton's career last 0:06:59.440 --> 0:07:03.480 ten games against the Browns, most of those granted with 0:07:03.560 --> 0:07:08.080 the Cincinnati ben Gals back in the day. But Dalton 0:07:08.320 --> 0:07:11.920 eight and two against the spread against the Cleveland Browns, 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:14.200 And this is a game I flip flopped on. I'm 0:07:14.200 --> 0:07:16.600 not gonna lie to you. When I originally started handicapping 0:07:16.600 --> 0:07:19.080 the game, I was gonna take the Cleveland Browns. The 0:07:19.160 --> 0:07:21.640 more I dove down the rabbit hole, I went the 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:24.120 other way and I flip flop. So I'm taking the Saints. 0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:26.120 The pick is on the Saints. And here's why I 0:07:26.200 --> 0:07:31.120 flip flop. Cleveland is absolutely feeling it. You've got Nick 0:07:31.200 --> 0:07:34.680 Chubb who's got a bad foot, defensive tackle Miles Garrett 0:07:34.680 --> 0:07:38.640 who's been sick, both listed as questionable for this game. 0:07:38.680 --> 0:07:41.640 You've also got Jadevion Clowney and you're old guy A 0:07:41.760 --> 0:07:44.320 Marie Cooper from the Raiders there who are also on 0:07:44.360 --> 0:07:47.760 the injured list. So you are down some major tanks 0:07:47.800 --> 0:07:51.800 and some major torpedoes here. And while the Saints blow, 0:07:52.800 --> 0:07:55.240 they still have a shot to win the division and 0:07:55.320 --> 0:07:58.200 make the playoffs. At five at night, it makes no sense. 0:07:58.200 --> 0:08:02.440 It's illogical. It's gonna be an ugly game, god awful game, 0:08:02.640 --> 0:08:05.080 terrible game, blah blah blah blah blah, but I love 0:08:05.120 --> 0:08:07.720 getting some points. This will be a field goal game, 0:08:07.800 --> 0:08:11.560 so the most likely outcome is a field goal difference here. 0:08:11.640 --> 0:08:13.760 So if the Saints win, you obviously win the money, 0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:15.680 but if the Browns win by a field goal, you 0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:19.560 get your money back. Saint's nineteen Brown sixteen the final. 0:08:24.080 --> 0:08:26.920 The penny is going the other direction, taking the Browns, 0:08:27.840 --> 0:08:30.200 and we move on on Benny versus the penny man 0:08:30.400 --> 0:08:34.160 versus an adamant object. As we handicap every game. We're 0:08:34.160 --> 0:08:37.480 doing this for years. Tell a friend Detroit seven and 0:08:37.559 --> 0:08:41.079 seven and they take on Carolina five and nine. It's 0:08:41.160 --> 0:08:45.440 on Fox with Fox Sports Radio alumnus Chris Myers and 0:08:45.640 --> 0:08:49.439 Robert Smith. They have the call. The Lions opened up 0:08:49.480 --> 0:08:51.480 a two and a half point favorite, and they are 0:08:51.520 --> 0:08:55.280 favored by three on the road. Detroit a road favorite, 0:08:56.080 --> 0:08:58.280 and many people think this is a free money game. 0:08:58.360 --> 0:09:02.840 Just been on Detroit, your guarantee you'd win. In downtown Charlotte, 0:09:02.920 --> 0:09:05.720 Sonny and thirty degrees at kickoff at Bank of America 0:09:05.800 --> 0:09:09.160 Stadium where our friend black Steve the Second, we'll be 0:09:09.200 --> 0:09:12.480 watching on TV unless he's not so. The Lions are 0:09:12.600 --> 0:09:15.319 seven and oh. Their last seven games against the spread, 0:09:15.720 --> 0:09:21.319 they have been a wagon and I believe that stops here. 0:09:21.360 --> 0:09:24.640 I'm gonna take the Panthers in this game, and the 0:09:24.760 --> 0:09:29.360 main analysis. I'm gonna keep it simple here. I love 0:09:29.400 --> 0:09:31.160 the Lions. I think the Lions are great. I hope 0:09:31.160 --> 0:09:32.800 I'm wrong on this. I hope the Lions win the 0:09:32.840 --> 0:09:36.320 game by three touchdowns. But I simply do not trust 0:09:36.400 --> 0:09:39.320 Jared Goff. You know why, Danny, I saw this guy 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:41.920 with the rams and cold weather. He gets into the 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:46.760 fetal position, and he starts, he sucks his thumb. He's 0:09:46.840 --> 0:09:50.920 Frosty the Snowman at quarterback and it ain't good. Five 0:09:51.000 --> 0:09:54.079 and nine against the spread and cold weather games, and 0:09:54.120 --> 0:09:57.920 many of those games have been completely lopsided with no 0:09:58.200 --> 0:10:01.559 offense from Jared Golf, and I just can't get that 0:10:01.600 --> 0:10:03.600 out of my mind. Maybe maybe it's different now he's 0:10:03.600 --> 0:10:06.120 in Detroit and all that stuff, But until I see 0:10:06.160 --> 0:10:08.719 this guy go out in a cold weather game and 0:10:08.760 --> 0:10:12.640 play well, I'm on the other side here. I simply 0:10:12.800 --> 0:10:16.880 do not trust Jared Golf. I like the Lions defense, 0:10:16.920 --> 0:10:21.000 and I know Sam Donald's a mistake prone ballplayer and 0:10:21.040 --> 0:10:24.440 all that, but man, oh man, do I think this 0:10:24.520 --> 0:10:28.319 is going to be an ugly game, cold weather game? 0:10:28.400 --> 0:10:30.840 The Panthers are coming off a loss to the Steelers 0:10:30.960 --> 0:10:34.319 last week. They can run the ball, uh and they're 0:10:34.360 --> 0:10:37.640 gonna have to because of Sam Donald. And I hope 0:10:37.679 --> 0:10:41.640 I'm wrong on this, but the Panthers twenty and the 0:10:41.720 --> 0:10:51.640 Detroit Lions seventeen will be the final. And the penny says, 0:10:52.160 --> 0:10:54.679 too bad, your rams don't have any picks left to 0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:59.800 trade to get Golf back. Ben going with the Lions. 0:11:00.679 --> 0:11:02.360 I think they're good on that. The only way golf 0:11:02.400 --> 0:11:05.679 comes back is if if Sean McVeigh is doing TV, 0:11:06.120 --> 0:11:08.080 or if he's a he's the Grand Pool Ball on 0:11:08.120 --> 0:11:10.959 Fox Sports Radio, maybe they'll they'll bring golf back, all right? 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:13.880 Next up, that is the game I'm interested in, not 0:11:14.000 --> 0:11:16.800 that I'm not interested in these other games, but what 0:11:16.880 --> 0:11:20.200 a matchup. You got Cincinnati ten and four at New 0:11:20.240 --> 0:11:22.480 England seven and seven. The team you just saw last 0:11:22.520 --> 0:11:26.679 week Danny the Patriots on CBS, Iron Eagle and Charles 0:11:26.760 --> 0:11:31.720 Davis have the call and the ben Gals. The worm 0:11:31.800 --> 0:11:35.400 has turned Cincinnati favored in New England. Holy Tom Brady 0:11:35.440 --> 0:11:38.600 Batman the Bengals at three point favor They opened at that. 0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:42.760 The line has stayed the same at three and another 0:11:42.760 --> 0:11:45.520 one of these games. Everyone's loading up on Cincinnati. They 0:11:45.520 --> 0:11:48.679 think this is easy money, cold weather game. That's what 0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:52.040 you get in late December at Gillette Stadium, sunny and 0:11:52.200 --> 0:11:57.679 thirty four degrees at kickoff. And the Bengals, how about 0:11:57.679 --> 0:12:00.760 this Joe Burrow last twenty five games, they've been a 0:12:00.880 --> 0:12:03.560 root and twot in success with Joe Burrow twenty and 0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:07.000 five against the spread in the last twenty five starts 0:12:07.000 --> 0:12:10.520 for Burrow. But I'm gonna take the Patriots in this game. 0:12:10.559 --> 0:12:13.040 I love the Pats as a home dog. I wish 0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:14.920 it was three and a half. I wish it wasn't three. 0:12:14.960 --> 0:12:17.120 I wish I was getting some more that the line 0:12:17.440 --> 0:12:19.439 had gone up to three and a half. It's back 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:22.319 down to three, but I'm taking the Patriots. No time 0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:27.319 for a ah we suck hangover after the Patriots absolutely 0:12:27.400 --> 0:12:30.360 blew it. The most bone headed playoff's seen in this 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:33.160 era of the NFL. So New England's gotta shake it 0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:36.040 off and they've they've got to play with desperation. They 0:12:36.040 --> 0:12:39.199 went out there likely a playoff team. They lose one 0:12:39.240 --> 0:12:41.480 of these games and that's it. So it's last chest, 0:12:41.920 --> 0:12:45.959 last chance saloon for the Patriots to go up, up 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:49.600 and away and and make the playoffs. Three tough games. 0:12:50.000 --> 0:12:53.520 It starts with this game. New England's defense is the 0:12:53.559 --> 0:12:57.560 real deal here, and that's really the basis of my wager. 0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:00.400 I'm not gonna sit here and dance or round on 0:13:00.480 --> 0:13:03.320 Mac Jones. I think he sucks, but the defense is 0:13:03.320 --> 0:13:07.840 good and Joe Burrow can be rattled, and Bill Belichick 0:13:08.000 --> 0:13:10.480 is a ninja with mind games and all that. A 0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:14.040 Jedi mind trick here Burrow has been playing great. The 0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:18.200 turnover bug is lurking though in the weeds. Patriots is 0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:20.440 a home dog a wise play there ten and five 0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:22.480 against the spread. Their last fifteen is a home doog. 0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:26.319 I'll take Belichick and the theme is a nineteen seventies 0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:30.480 discos theme, Danny Staying Alive, Staying Alive. I'll take the 0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:38.720 Patriots twenty six and the Bengals twenty three, and the 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:42.800 Penny says that that stiff arm has scarred Mac Jones 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:48.680 for life with the Bengals. God was that? Oh my god? 0:13:49.960 --> 0:13:52.360 And I know we'll talk about on a Saturday podcast, 0:13:52.440 --> 0:13:57.440 but holy Connoli, Oh my god, Jez ran over. I'm 0:13:57.480 --> 0:14:02.439 like like a little sister. It was. It was abusive. 0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:05.640 If you're just tuning in, I don't know how you 0:14:05.640 --> 0:14:07.640 would just be tuning in. You probably had to listen 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:09.440 to all the other bullcrap until we got to this point. 0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:11.360 But I should have mentioned the beginning. If you're new 0:14:11.400 --> 0:14:14.240 to the Betty Versus the Penny bit, the home team 0:14:14.320 --> 0:14:16.760 is heads Danny. The road team is tells you're the 0:14:16.760 --> 0:14:19.840 flipper of the Penny because you traveled by planes trans 0:14:19.840 --> 0:14:23.200 and automobiles and and so that's why we do road 0:14:23.240 --> 0:14:25.280 team tales. And you sit on your took us in 0:14:25.320 --> 0:14:29.360 the home team, you use your head. Okay, simple right, yes, 0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:33.880 correct a bundo. Alright. We move on now to sweet 0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:37.720 home Chicago. What a great city of family in Chicago 0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:42.720 and Buffalo. The Bills Mafia, they are arriving. They actually 0:14:42.800 --> 0:14:45.680 roll arrived earlier, a couple of days earlier because of 0:14:45.720 --> 0:14:49.640 the weather in Buffalo. But the Bills eleven and three. 0:14:49.840 --> 0:14:52.280 And if you're dyslexic, this is the perfect matchup because 0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:56.360 Chicago is three and eleven and it's on CBS with 0:14:56.480 --> 0:15:00.360 Greg Gumble and Adam arch Aletta. The Bills a opened 0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:04.520 up a ten point favorite, but wonders will never see 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.640 says they're lying down to eight. Buffalo is still favored 0:15:07.680 --> 0:15:13.480 by eight and mostly cloudy. The temperature will be five 0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:16.720 degrees at kickoff at Soldier Field. The wind chill will 0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:19.520 be below freezing, you know, way below. It's actually below 0:15:19.520 --> 0:15:21.960 freezing at kickoff. It's gonna below zero. That's what I'm 0:15:21.960 --> 0:15:25.680 trying to say. If the man could talk, hat Soldier Field. 0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:29.080 Bills have not been great lately with Josh Allen two 0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:31.840 and five against the spread their last seven, so they've 0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:34.600 been unable to meet expectations with the gambling market as 0:15:34.640 --> 0:15:38.120 they stamp around on the field. And the Bears quietly 0:15:38.880 --> 0:15:41.680 over their last seven games, not that they're winning many 0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:44.640 of these games with five and two against the spread, 0:15:44.760 --> 0:15:48.440 so they've been able to outproduce the gambling market. And 0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.000 I believe that happens again here. I'm gonna take Chicago, 0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:54.040 Oh yee, a little faith in Buffalo. This is a 0:15:54.040 --> 0:15:57.480 sandwich game for the Bills. They're coming off a key 0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:02.120 divisional prime time matchup with the Dolphin last Saturday. They 0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:05.320 have the ben Gals in an a f C hierarchy 0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:10.320 showdown in since coming up on a Monday night in 0:16:10.360 --> 0:16:14.360 week seventeen. So I don't sense much of an edge 0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:17.400 here in this game, and Buffalo will likely jump out 0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:19.920 to an early lead. They've got a couple of starting 0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:24.160 lineman that are injured. Justin Fields is always a backdoor 0:16:24.320 --> 0:16:27.280 cover possibility. He can bake up a storm. He did 0:16:27.280 --> 0:16:30.400 it last week Danny in Philadelphia or in Chicago's just 0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:33.960 against Philadelphia, the Eagles were covering the number, big number, 0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.600 and you've got a late touchdown by Justin Fields and 0:16:37.720 --> 0:16:41.400 a backdoor cover, the dreaded backdoor cover if you better favorite. 0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:45.080 And the Bears are a bunch of average joes, but 0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:48.400 I believe they will make enough second half place. The 0:16:48.520 --> 0:16:52.120 hoodwink the points bread, So I'm taking the Bills to win, 0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:54.440 but the Bears to get the back door cover. Bills 0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:58.800 twenty four, Bears seventeen, and the frigid monsters in the 0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:07.159 Midway Home Stadium. In the Penny lands on heads. That 0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:12.680 means cheating off your paper taking Chicago did again, lollygagging around. 0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:14.680 Bad job by the penny. I don't blame the penny. 0:17:14.880 --> 0:17:16.919 Looking at the records overall, I don't blame the penny. 0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:20.159 The penny has sucked balls, Danny this year. It has 0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:23.280 not been good, all right. Next up Houston one, twelve 0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:27.480 and one at Tennessee seven and seven on CBS with 0:17:27.600 --> 0:17:32.760 Andrew Catalan and James Lofton. The Titans opened up a 0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:38.080 nine point favorite, and they are favored by only three. 0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:40.479 And we'll tell you why that line change in a minute. 0:17:40.920 --> 0:17:42.879 Most people betting on the Titans in this game at 0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:48.119 Nissan Stadium in downtown Nashville, the house that Clay Travis built, 0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:50.280 Although they're getting a new stadium. So so that'll be 0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:53.600 the house that he built. But our man Clay Fox 0:17:53.640 --> 0:17:55.919 Sports Radio and miss and the guy that Danny worked with, 0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.320 he Clay spent a lot of money on Titans tickets 0:17:58.320 --> 0:17:59.920 over the years. Yes, he's not getting those for free 0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:03.680 as he's paying for those. Yeah, that that ain't cheap. 0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:06.720 Uh So listen, I'm gonna take the texts in this game. 0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:09.119 The reason we've seen the line change if you have 0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:11.119 not been paying attention, if you're out hanging out with 0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:15.760 country bumpkins Houston. Uh they've they've they've shown some fighting. 0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:18.560 Now everyone's waiting for the bottom to fall out here 0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:22.960 for Lovey Smith. Last two weeks against supposed powerhouse teams 0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:27.040 in the Chiefs and Cowboys, they have been nail biers. 0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:30.200 Overtime game with k C last week. Cowboys games should 0:18:30.200 --> 0:18:31.879 have been you know, should have could have would have 0:18:31.880 --> 0:18:33.600 gone to Houston. They blew it in the end. I 0:18:33.680 --> 0:18:36.000 like to grind I expect more of that from Davis 0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:40.080 Mills and the c squad, mainly because the Titans are 0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:43.240 the thirty second ranked past defense, so the worst in 0:18:43.280 --> 0:18:45.560 the NFL. So there's gonna be some yards to be 0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:48.920 had there for Davis Mills. He had a backbreaking fumble 0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:52.160 in overtime. He also had three touchdowns his first three 0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:55.520 touchdown game against Kansas City last week. The Titans, though 0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:58.280 the reason the line changed they do not have Ryan 0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:01.399 Tannehill and he will I'll be playing, you know, likely 0:19:01.440 --> 0:19:03.399 the rest of the year. Here. Pat Ankle done for 0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:07.600 the season, and that means Malik Willis, who bangs in 0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:10.800 the wind, who's not ready for prime time, is back 0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.000 under center. So it's all about Derrick Henry and no 0:19:13.040 --> 0:19:17.080 one else down. Willis started the game when these teams 0:19:17.080 --> 0:19:22.280 played earlier this year and attempted ten passes the entire game. 0:19:22.720 --> 0:19:24.680 Part of the reason is because Derrick Henry ran for 0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:26.960 over two hundred yards in that game. Now, if that 0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:29.919 happens here, obviously the Titans win this game easily. But 0:19:30.000 --> 0:19:32.760 the way Tennessee is playing, with all the injuries they 0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:37.240 lead the NFL and injuries, I just don't sense that 0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:40.000 that's gonna go the way it went before. The sequel 0:19:40.000 --> 0:19:42.879 will not be the equal, and I will take the 0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:48.040 Texans to upset the Titans. Holy crap, Texas twenty and 0:19:48.080 --> 0:19:57.439 the Titans sixteen. The final and the penny says what 0:19:57.560 --> 0:20:01.400 you're talking about Willis like that for going with the Titans. 0:20:01.760 --> 0:20:05.480 Oh man, Malik Willis has not shown anything. I mean, 0:20:05.520 --> 0:20:07.480 I feel bad for the guy. They were hyping him 0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:12.280 up in the preseason, Danny, and he has been absolute stiff. 0:20:12.840 --> 0:20:16.280 Hopefully he shows something here. He looked great a liberty. 0:20:16.320 --> 0:20:19.000 He's he had liberty anymore. Right here, You're not at 0:20:19.040 --> 0:20:24.280 liberty anymore. Uh. He's like, I know, but you gotta 0:20:24.359 --> 0:20:27.040 you gotta show me something, you know, as as Sherry 0:20:27.040 --> 0:20:28.800 Glamville taught me when I was a little boy, Danny, 0:20:28.840 --> 0:20:30.760 the NFL is not for long. If you play like that, 0:20:31.320 --> 0:20:37.400 then congratulations. All right. Next up Seattle at Kansas City, 0:20:38.200 --> 0:20:41.240 the Seahawks circling the wagons. What has gone on there? 0:20:41.280 --> 0:20:45.080 Seven and seven? Kansas City, eleven and three. It's on Fox, 0:20:45.160 --> 0:20:48.600 Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez. The Chiefs opened up a 0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:51.320 nine and a half point favorite. They're favored by ten 0:20:52.600 --> 0:20:55.240 in this game. And I will have multiple friends that 0:20:55.240 --> 0:20:58.280 will be an Arrowhead Stadium, my radio friends I go 0:20:58.359 --> 0:21:01.240 on there, going on with him every third day. Bob 0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:05.080 and Josh will be on the feet, one will be 0:21:05.119 --> 0:21:07.040 on the field during the sidelines. He's gonna freeze his 0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:09.760 ass off. Josh Clingler and my friend Bob will be 0:21:09.760 --> 0:21:13.000 in a luxury box, so he will be fine. He's 0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:15.800 a big morning guy. Uh. Everyone's been on Kansas City 0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:19.560 this game. Three degrees mostly sunny, three degrees that kick 0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:23.639 off at Arrowhead, a chamber of commerce type of day, 0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:26.600 and I am gonna go against the grain on this 0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:29.200 one a bit. Kansas City has blown the last couple 0:21:29.240 --> 0:21:31.600 of games, is big favorites. I'm gonna take the Chiefs though. 0:21:32.080 --> 0:21:33.560 I think this is the week they put it all 0:21:33.600 --> 0:21:36.800 together here and they say addio s muchachos to the 0:21:36.880 --> 0:21:40.800 Seattle Seahawks. Kansas City has failed against the Texas le 0:21:40.840 --> 0:21:42.920 Broncos back to back to come. Remember that that big 0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:46.399 lead against Lebroncos twenty seven to nothing or something like that, 0:21:46.440 --> 0:21:48.760 and they blew it in that game. Last week they 0:21:48.760 --> 0:21:51.840 had to go to overtime against Houston. So I expect 0:21:51.920 --> 0:21:57.120 a blowout City over a ragged Seattle team that has 0:21:57.160 --> 0:22:00.000 no defense. They also don't have Tyler Lockett. Not expect 0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:03.520 to play bad hand he had surgery and Kenneth Walker 0:22:03.920 --> 0:22:06.520 at the time we're doing this podcast. Danny, He's got 0:22:06.520 --> 0:22:08.720 a bad ankle. He has not been able to practice 0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:12.760 all week long. And so you've got Geno Smith roaming 0:22:12.800 --> 0:22:17.399 around throwing the ball to himself. Good luck. Uh, this 0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:21.159 just has a blowout city all over it. Patrick Mahomes 0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:27.800 fattening up his stats. Chiefs thirty three and the Seahawks seventeen. 0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:31.320 And I very rarely lay the big number, Danny. So 0:22:31.359 --> 0:22:34.000 this is a rare exception to one of my one 0:22:34.000 --> 0:22:41.159 of my rules. The penny wants to take advantage of 0:22:41.200 --> 0:22:44.560 that landing on tails band. That means thinking it can 0:22:44.640 --> 0:22:48.359 make up some ground on you by going with the Seahawks. Alright, 0:22:48.440 --> 0:22:50.760 good luck on that. Normally I would take Seattle, but 0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:52.960 I saw the injury chart and I just think this 0:22:53.080 --> 0:22:56.560 is a cold weather Seattle is just gonna gonna freeze 0:22:56.640 --> 0:23:01.600 over there in the conditions where it's like Siberia. All right. 0:23:01.680 --> 0:23:06.520 Next up Atlanta five and nine at Baltimore nine and five. 0:23:06.600 --> 0:23:11.520 It's on Fox. The pitch perfect. Kenny Albert and Jonathan 0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:14.080 Filma have the call. Ravens opened up a six and 0:23:14.119 --> 0:23:18.520 ap point favored. They are favored by seven eighty five 0:23:18.680 --> 0:23:22.359 per cent of the wagers on Baltimore. The numbers we 0:23:22.400 --> 0:23:24.920 have at M ANDT Bank Stadium in the House that 0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:29.200 Sports with Coleman Build and Greg the realtor in Baltimore. 0:23:29.560 --> 0:23:34.040 So the weather is gonna be frightful. The Falcons quarterback 0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:37.840 is frightful. But I'm taking at Lanta anyway. I'm going 0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:42.520 crazy here, Danny j I'm taking the Falcons. And here's why, 0:23:42.640 --> 0:23:47.680 uh Lamar Jackson bad me. Doesn't look like he's gonna play. 0:23:47.720 --> 0:23:52.080 He missed his eighth straight practice the other day and 0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:54.120