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Speaker 1: What's up, guys, Happy Sunday. Welcome to the latest edition

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Speaker 1: of the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltire

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Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot com, always being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt, or you can follow betting Pros on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Betting Pros and ffel Okay, So a two

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Speaker 1: and one day yesterday on the podcast plays one in

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Speaker 1: one on the podcast on the prop bets, Kyrie comes

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Speaker 1: in and then Bam Adebayo did not play well. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what was up with that. Bam and Jimmy Butler.

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Speaker 1: I had a personal play on the on the heat

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Speaker 1: to win the game to win Game one. We had

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Speaker 1: the bet we gave out last night about the Heat

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Speaker 1: to win the series. It would have been great to

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Speaker 1: steal game one, but Game one goes to overtime. Jimmy

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Speaker 1: and Bam played really poorly. The Bucks shot the ball

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Speaker 1: really poorly. Giannis didn't play all that great either, So

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Speaker 1: it wasn't a great start for either of the superstars

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Speaker 1: for either team. But I did like what I saw

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Speaker 1: out of Miami. That's gonna be a dogfight of a series.

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Speaker 1: And I probably will come on back with a money

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Speaker 1: line play on the heat in Game two and maybe

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Speaker 1: it burns me. But I just I don't like this

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Speaker 1: Bucks team. I got a couple of friends of mine

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Speaker 1: who are really big for fans of the Bucks, and

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Speaker 1: they think I'm just a hater of Giannis and a

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Speaker 1: hater of Milwaukee. I'm not really a hater. I just

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Speaker 1: I like Miami better. I mean, I watched that Miami

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Speaker 1: roster and I'm incredibly jealous of what Pat Ryan, what

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Speaker 1: pat Riley and that front office from Miami built because

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Speaker 1: Boston's roster is a mess and Miami's roster is a

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Speaker 1: thing of beauty.

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Speaker 2: And even though.

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Speaker 1: Boston hung around for three quarters or so against the

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn Nets, I laid the eight with Brooklyn there and

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Speaker 1: that came through in cash. The over unfortunately did not.

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Speaker 1: And that was kind of the theme of yesterday, unders

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Speaker 1: unders Unders. I kind of think it continues today. I

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Speaker 1: think at the time of taping Portland and Denver or

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Speaker 1: on pace to go over, but for the most part,

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Speaker 1: it was a grinder of a game in Game number one,

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Speaker 1: and I think there's a real potential for that to

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Speaker 1: happen again here today. For the NBA games going today.

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Speaker 1: So winning day yesterday, which we will always take. I

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Speaker 1: had a slight winning day overall for myself. I had

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Speaker 1: a bunch of different things coming through. Rob looks phenomenal man,

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Speaker 1: the New England Cartel comes through Calvin cater and that

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Speaker 1: club that now trains in Haveral, just next to my

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Speaker 1: hometown of Anderwor, Massachusetts. A huge win dominated Cody Garbrandt

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Speaker 1: look the exact.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: I don't always handicap bites right on, but I did

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Speaker 1: on that one. Cody Garbrant is a tremendous talent.

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Speaker 2: I love the kid. He's all heart, he's twenty nine

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Speaker 2: years old.

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Speaker 1: But post COVID you could tell he did not have

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Speaker 1: the same win that you would normally have. He had

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Speaker 1: a very really rough run with COVID with blood clots

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Speaker 1: in pneumonia, and he had some lasting issues from COVID

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Speaker 1: nineteen And as somebody who has gone through that and

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Speaker 1: was in the hospital, you know, a month and a

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Speaker 1: half after recovering from COVID, your body is changed when

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Speaker 1: you go through that battle, and it's take some time.

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Speaker 1: And it took me some time, it'll take him some time.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure he'll look better in his next fight. But

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Speaker 1: for Rob font that's just a monster win. So incredibly

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Speaker 1: skilled on the feet, good job keeping himself up the

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Speaker 1: final three rounds, not getting taken down by Cody Garbrandt,

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Speaker 1: but just beautiful boxing one two, being patient, not being

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Speaker 1: overly excited, not taking the bait when Garbrandt wanted to

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Speaker 1: get into a firefight, and look, I had a personal

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Speaker 1: play on a Ko and I thought a couple of

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Speaker 1: times he may have been able to attack him, but

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Speaker 1: he was nervous about that counter striking.

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Speaker 2: Ability from code with what Cody wanted.

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Speaker 1: He wanted Rob to go kind of crazy, you know,

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Speaker 1: throw four, five or six or straight punches and then

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Speaker 1: get clipped.

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Speaker 2: And Rob didn't take it.

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Speaker 1: He was content with just piecing him up and throwing

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Speaker 1: him you know, one to ones and twos and winning

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Speaker 1: the fight on the feet and winning rounds and stacking

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Speaker 1: rounds and winning it unanimously and getting us a win

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Speaker 1: there on the money line at minus one twenty.

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Speaker 2: So that was nice to see that.

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Speaker 1: Canke to come in, so we got that and we

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Speaker 1: got the under in the Islanders game. That was a

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Speaker 1: sweat and a half man, geez, that's what can happen

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Speaker 1: when you bet unders and the referees call. You know,

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Speaker 1: a lot of penalties and power plays happened, and the

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Speaker 1: Islanders were playing and totally content and winning that game

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Speaker 1: two nothing, and then they got a bunch of power

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Speaker 1: play opportunities to score two goals. Pittsburgh scored one back late,

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Speaker 1: so we get there thanks to the hook going five

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Speaker 1: and a half under, and we got that right, So

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Speaker 1: two and one there, one on one. Basically it was

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Speaker 1: minus one oh five on the Kyrie prop. So we

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Speaker 1: paid a little juice there with the loss and the

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Speaker 1: other one. But overall an update for us here on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday, So we head into Sunday and we have

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Speaker 1: a chance to bet some more basketball.

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Speaker 2: I do have a hockey play for you.

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Speaker 1: Today, that is only if you have bet the Saint

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Speaker 1: Louis Blues to get swept. I'll explain that here in

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Speaker 1: just one second. And then I got a golf bet.

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Speaker 1: I had two people on Instagram at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 1: Is Twitter, Instagram, it's everything, Discord, It's it's everything. But

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Speaker 1: DM me and say, hey, it's a major, you have

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Speaker 1: to have at least one bet going. So I have

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Speaker 1: like the safest of safe bets going. It's kind of

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Speaker 1: an embarrassing bet. It's heavy juice, but I've been so

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Speaker 1: bad that I'm going to bet it and just hope

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Speaker 1: that I cash because I'm not gonna win much money

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Speaker 1: doing it. But I just I found a head to

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Speaker 1: head that I was after I told you guys in

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel that I was going to fade fill

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Speaker 1: in the final round. I'm gonna fade fill in the

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Speaker 1: final round. I'll explain that here in just one second.

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Speaker 1: But let's start in hockey, and let's start with Saint Louis. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So the Blues are plus one ninety two on the

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Speaker 1: money line to beat the Colorado Avalanche. I don't need

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Speaker 1: to handicap this too much, okay, So we have a

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Speaker 1: twenty We have a quarter unit bet going on the

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Speaker 1: Avalanche to sweep at plus three eighty five. You could

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Speaker 1: have gotten it as high as plus four four h five.

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Speaker 1: I think it was the highest that I saw it.

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Speaker 1: So basically a four to one return. Okay, So a

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Speaker 1: quarter unit four to one return, that's if Colorado wins.

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Speaker 1: All right, So, as I said, we're gonna hedge off

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Speaker 1: of this, and we're gonna say Okay, if Saint Louis

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Speaker 1: wins and keeps themselves alive, we're gonna guarantee a profit.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna come back with a quarter unit bet

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Speaker 1: again here at plus one ninety two, So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: double our wager. We're gonna come up and win a

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Speaker 1: half a unit on if Saint Louis wins, or we're

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Speaker 1: gonna win a full unit if if Colorado wins and

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Speaker 1: they sweep. So basically, we've just guaranteed ourselves a profit.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter who wins. We've guaranteed to come in

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Speaker 1: and cash and win some money. Okay, we'll give back

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Speaker 1: the quarter unit betting on Colorado.

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Speaker 2: Obviously if they lose, but we will if they win.

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Speaker 1: We'll give a quarter unit there for the Saint Louis

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Speaker 1: Blues to not win, which I'm comfortable doing. So we

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Speaker 1: either up three cords of a unit or we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be up half a unit, so I'm fine with that.

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Speaker 1: And so that's how we're going to roll here for

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Speaker 1: Saint Louis against Colorado. I don't need to handicap it

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Speaker 1: much more than that. If you haven't bet this the

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Speaker 1: future wager that I gave out if you didn't follow

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Speaker 1: it or trail it.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if i'd bet Saint Louis. I think you.

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Speaker 1: Probably should just bet Colorado. But you know, that's kind

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Speaker 1: of where I am here for hockey. I will have

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Speaker 1: some personal plays later during the day that I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you guys about on the Discord channel. But for the

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Speaker 1: official play for the podcast, it is Saint Louis on

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Speaker 1: the money line at plus one ninety two. Okay, but

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Speaker 1: again that's a hedge off of the initial wager, the

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Speaker 1: future wager for Colorado to sweep.

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Speaker 2: I told you guys, we're going to do that.

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Speaker 1: We've got the three to zero lead and now we

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Speaker 1: have a chance to come back here and make that bet.

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Speaker 1: So I made that bet tonight or today for today,

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Speaker 1: and that's my only official hockey play going for today.

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Speaker 2: Okay, two plays.

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Speaker 1: I want to get into here for the NBA, and

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Speaker 1: let's start with the New York Knicks taking on the

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Speaker 1: Atlanta Hawks. Did you guys watch the Islanders game. If

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Speaker 1: you watched the Islanders game, you saw a for the

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Speaker 1: first time and it warmed my heart to see this.

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Speaker 1: But for the first time in a really long time,

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Speaker 1: the crowd was there impacted the actual game. Pittsburgh didn't

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Speaker 1: know what the hell was going on. Pittsburgh was stunned.

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Speaker 1: That Islander crowd was in their face. They were loud,

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Speaker 1: they were instrumental in turning the tide, and it just

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Speaker 1: it was a bisc an avalanche just fell on top

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Speaker 1: of the Pittsburgh Penguins. They didn't know what to do

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Speaker 1: with it. I'm thinking that's going to happen with the

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Speaker 1: New York Knicks back in the postseason. In the first half,

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Speaker 1: MSG is going to be absolutely bonkers, just extremely loud.

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Speaker 1: I think Atlanta could wind up winning Game one, but

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Speaker 1: I think in the first half, given how well the

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Speaker 1: New York Knicks have played, and we're only laying half

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Speaker 1: a point here at minus one ten to take the

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Speaker 1: Knicks in the first half, officially, I think is a

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Speaker 1: good bet. And if you look at the way the

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Speaker 1: Knicks have played in the first half, it's been really incredible.

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Speaker 1: They're number one in the NBA scoring defense in the

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Speaker 1: first quarter. They're number three in the NBA for scoring

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Speaker 1: defense in the in the third quarter. Atlanta is only

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Speaker 1: fourteenth and fifteenth in the first and second quarter when

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Speaker 1: it comes to scoring. New York's not great when it

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Speaker 1: comes to scoring, but they're still you know, in the

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Speaker 1: second quarter they're twenty eighth.

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Speaker 2: They do turn it on a little bit there.

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Speaker 1: I know Atlanta's gonna be as equally fired up as

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Speaker 1: in the Knicks. I just think that home crowd environment

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Speaker 1: at MSG in the first quarter, how electric that's.

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Speaker 2: Going to be. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I think those young Hawk players might take a quarter

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Speaker 1: or two to get their wits about them, and I

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Speaker 1: think New York comes out and takes a lead. That's

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Speaker 1: all we need is a one point lead into halftime

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Speaker 1: for the New York Knicks. Now, look, the Knicks have

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Speaker 1: been very good in the first half. We've been betting

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Speaker 1: this a lot, but this is the playoff, so you

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Speaker 1: can just take all the records throw them out the window.

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Speaker 1: I'm making this play because of where the game's being

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Speaker 1: played at MSG. That's why I think the Knicks have

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Speaker 1: a one point lead going into the half, or laying

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Speaker 1: the half a point the half a unit Knicks first

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Speaker 1: half to be leading minus half a point against Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: Play number one in the NBA, play number two in

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Speaker 1: the NBA Lakers and the Suns. I'm probably gonna be

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Speaker 1: on the Suns myself laying two and a half points here, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'll probably be there, not there yet. What I want

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Speaker 1: to look at is the total. So the Lakers are

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Speaker 1: twenty eight forty four and one to the over. Now

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Speaker 1: Phoenix forty two and thirty to the over, four and

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Speaker 1: one over the last five to the over, nine and

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Speaker 1: one over the last ten to the over. Phoenix has

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Speaker 1: been a darling for betting on the over. Lakers two

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Speaker 1: and three over the last five. Last two games have

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Speaker 1: gone under, last ten four, five and one. Do you

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Speaker 1: think the Lakers after what happened against the Golden State.

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Speaker 2: Warriors, I know we're not going to see the same.

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Speaker 1: Type of output in a non output if you will,

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Speaker 1: from you know, guys who are gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: put the ball in the basket, Lebron James, Anthony Davis

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Speaker 1: and whatnot. However, the Lakers play extremely slow. They are

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Speaker 1: a slow, slow team, and it really it just factors

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Speaker 1: into the under quite a bit. And I know there

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Speaker 1: are games against Houston and Indiana went over, but you know,

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Speaker 1: taking on the Knicks, three to the last five have

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Speaker 1: gone under, like we mentioned, and I just think this

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Speaker 1: Laker team is not interested in really running up and down.

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Speaker 1: When the total was two twenty three and the game

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Speaker 1: was at at Phoenix, it wound up being oh sorry,

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Speaker 1: less than that was against Portland, sorry, against Phoenix at

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Speaker 1: Staples Center, the total was two seventeen. It went over

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Speaker 1: by sixteen points, a one to twenty three, one ten

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Speaker 1: win for the Lakers. So, but this is the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: and this is where they grind every possession, and this

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Speaker 1: is when they just take care of the basketball when

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Speaker 1: they played. When the Lakers played at Phoenix the last time,

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Speaker 1: the total was two seventeen and it went under by

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Speaker 1: twelve points. So again, I'm not saying this because it

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Speaker 1: just because it happened, then it's going to happen now.

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Speaker 1: I just think the Lakers are going to grind every possession.

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Speaker 1: The total was two thirteen. It's a low total. I'm

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Speaker 1: going under Lakers and the Suns after what I saw

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Speaker 1: yesterday in the first game. I'm expecting the Lakers to

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Speaker 1: take the air out of the basketball and walk it

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Speaker 1: up the court consistently, not allow the Phoenix crowd to

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Speaker 1: get into it and to be too loud, and just

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Speaker 1: play defense and try to stop Chris Paul and company

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Speaker 1: from scoring a whole lot and running a whole lot,

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Speaker 1: trying to take the ball out of Booker's hands and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: So under Laker Sons two thirteen for a half a unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so we have a quarter unit. Only if you were

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Speaker 1: end up betting the future wager for Saint Louis money

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Speaker 1: line blues Nick's first half under a first half laying

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Speaker 1: half a point for a half a unit and Laker

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Speaker 1: Sons under two thirteen for half a unit.

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Speaker 2: Now, if you.

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Speaker 1: Haven't bet that Saint Louis bett, you're gonna be like, well, Matt,

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Speaker 1: I need a third bet. Okay, Well, here's a third wager. Okay,

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Speaker 1: brooks Kopka. I found this at Circus Sports. It's for

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Speaker 1: the fourth round. Only Phil has a one stroke lead

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Speaker 1: over books Kepka. Okay, somebody else might win this darn thing,

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Speaker 1: but I'm mistaking Phil versus Brooks. Okay, Brooks Kepka, who

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Speaker 1: has shot a sixty nine seventy one s Phil Micholson,

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Speaker 1: who was shot a seventy sixty nine seventy. These two

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Speaker 1: dudes are gonna come down the stretch in South Carolina

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Speaker 1: for the PGA Championship. Maybe Louis, Maybe somebody else, maybe Bryson,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe somebody throws up a crazy round

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Speaker 1: and they wind up winning this tournament. But I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna go Phil versus Brooks. This should be at your book. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not positive every book's got it. Circa and Vegas

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Speaker 1: had it. Brooks kept go over Phil. Mickelson is minus

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Speaker 1: one ninety five. All right, this is crazy to lay this.

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Speaker 1: It's incredible juice. But I think Brooks is the better

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Speaker 1: golfer here. I think Brooks is playing better. I think

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Speaker 1: Brooks has more talent. I don't see Phil winning this thing,

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Speaker 1: even though it would be really fun to see Michelson

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Speaker 1: win this thing. I actually think Michelson might have a

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Speaker 1: really rough Sunday. To be quite honest, I think Brooks

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Speaker 1: could be right there to win the thing. He's plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty to win it. Maybe you want to throw,

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Speaker 1: you know, a flyer on Brooks to win the thing,

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Speaker 1: But I'm just gonna lay half a unit at mis

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Speaker 1: one nine ninety five. I fully understand we're not winning

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Speaker 1: very much money here on this bet, but I'm so

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Speaker 1: bad at golf, and you guys wanted a golf bet,

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Speaker 1: So here's my golf bet for the PGA Brooks Kepka

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Speaker 1: over Phil Mickelson fourth round only Phil at seven under

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Speaker 1: Brooks at six under. I need Brooks to finish ahead

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Speaker 1: of Phil here, shoot a better round for Sunday and

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Speaker 1: we cash our wager at my as one ninety five.

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Speaker 1: I think I laid them as one to eighty in golf, Like,

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Speaker 1: didn't I do that like a week ago or two

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Speaker 1: weeks ago and I lost so like and that was

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Speaker 1: I laid a full unit that time, right, So like,

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Speaker 1: I've been so bad in golf. So I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: sit here and tell you that, Like, hey, go roun

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Speaker 1: out and bet this for sure. But you guys want

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Speaker 1: to golf bet, there's my golf bet. There's our golf

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Speaker 1: sweat for a PGA Championship Sunday for a major. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So to recap the plays Lakers Suns under two thirteen,

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Speaker 1: Nick's first half laying half a point, Brooks kept gover

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Speaker 1: Phil Mickelson for the fourth round, final round, and Saint

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Speaker 1: Louis on the money line is an hedge off of

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Speaker 1: the Colorado game as to where we are with Colorado

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Speaker 1: taking the sweep potentially if they win and if they

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Speaker 1: don't win it, Saint Louis comes back and wins a

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Speaker 1: half a unit for US quarter unit bet going on

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Speaker 1: that for Saint Lewis at plus one ninety two. Those

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Speaker 1: who are plays for a Sunday in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: You guys can get in there by going to bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com, slash chet, or if you're watching on YouTube,

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Speaker 1: there's a link right underneath me, and you guys can

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Speaker 1: click on it to get in. We have about six thousand,

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Speaker 1: five hundred people or so that have been in the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. I want to keep on growing that community,

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Speaker 1: make it bigger and bigger and better.

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Speaker 2: It's a ton of fun.

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Speaker 1: I hang out in the Daily Juice channel, but people

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Speaker 1: go to all sorts of different channels all throughout baseball, basketball, football, whatever.

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Speaker 1: If you're like Matt, you're not betting baseball, okay, go

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Speaker 1: to the Discord channel and see what other people are.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we have people who post their picks all

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Speaker 1: the time for baseball. I'm just not a fan of baseball.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting on baseball right now. Me and you, we're

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Speaker 1: not friends right now, not yet. I may have a

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Speaker 1: personal player too. I do post my personal plays on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel as well. You can fade or follow

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Speaker 1: those depending on what you like to do, but the

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Speaker 1: official plays are out here today for the Dear the Juice.

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Speaker 2: My name's Matt Parolic. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 2: at sports Talk Matt. Every morning is the

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Speaker 1: Diligence Podcast right here on bettingpros dot com, brought to

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Speaker 1: you by BEDAMGM