WEBVTT - Best of The Mark Moss Show - Government Default: A Catalyst for Change?

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Mark Moss Show,

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<v Speaker 1>where we talk about, of course, the decentralized revolution, how

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<v Speaker 1>the world is changing right before our eyes as we

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<v Speaker 1>look at it through the lens of politics, finance, and technology.

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<v Speaker 1>And we have a big show coming up. The government

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<v Speaker 1>admits money comes from thin air. The US Treasury has

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<v Speaker 1>only two weeks of money left. Why a government default

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<v Speaker 1>seems more likely than ever. And big problems equal big solutions,

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<v Speaker 1>and we have one right now. So that's what we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to cover. Let's go ahead and dig right into this,

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<v Speaker 1>and let's just start right off by stating the obvious.

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<v Speaker 1>We are at the point now where the government, the

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<v Speaker 1>government officials are saying the quiet part out loud. What

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<v Speaker 1>do I mean? Well, there's lots of things that we

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<v Speaker 1>talk about kind of behind the scenes. People might consider

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<v Speaker 1>them sometimes conspiracies, maybe their lies, maybe we don't understand,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're at the point now where they're coming out

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<v Speaker 1>and telling us that specifically. Now. One of our government

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<v Speaker 1>officials I'm talking about, Brad Sherman from California, obviously is

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<v Speaker 1>not one of my favorite lawmakers. For sure, he has

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<v Speaker 1>been let's say, a big time foe an enemy of progress,

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<v Speaker 1>an enemy of innovation, an enemy of bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course his major donors are credit card companies

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<v Speaker 1>and banks, so of course no wonder he's against that.

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<v Speaker 1>And he's constantly come out with bad take after bad

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<v Speaker 1>take after bad take. And he has another one this

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<v Speaker 1>week that Matt really still got to sit out to me.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna let you hear it directly from his mouth.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's go ahead and play this clip from Brad Sherman

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<v Speaker 1>so you can hear what we're talking about. Crypto bros

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<v Speaker 1>make money, literally by making money, and they've made over

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<v Speaker 1>a trillion dollars out of thin air. They'll accuse the

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<v Speaker 1>US government of making money out of thin air. Maybe

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<v Speaker 1>we do, but we're the US government. Uh, Crypto bros

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<v Speaker 1>accused the US government of making money out of thin air.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe we do, but were the US government. That's his rationale.

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<v Speaker 1>When I was a kid, I remember seeing these bumper stickers.

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<v Speaker 1>They might still be around today, but they say, don't steal.

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<v Speaker 1>The government hates competition. I don't know if you've ever

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<v Speaker 1>seen one of those bumper stickers before, but that's basically

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<v Speaker 1>what they're saying. You're not allowed to counterfeit money. That's

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<v Speaker 1>the government's job. You're not allowed to steal, that's the

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<v Speaker 1>government's job. You're not allowed to create money out of

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<v Speaker 1>thin air. That's the government's job. So there's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>to unpack with this. And as I said, one, they're

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<v Speaker 1>saying the quiet part out loud. Yes, the government literally

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<v Speaker 1>creates money out of thin air. Although if you don't

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<v Speaker 1>understand what money is, maybe you don't really understand it.

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<v Speaker 1>But let me unpack this just a little bit. So

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<v Speaker 1>does the government print money out of thin air? And

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<v Speaker 1>do crypto bros create money out of thin air? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, money is a meaning of exchange, is

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<v Speaker 1>a store of value, and I don't want to get

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<v Speaker 1>into all that, but let's think about this for a minute.

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<v Speaker 1>How is money made? How do you make money out

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<v Speaker 1>of thin air? Well, I mean you can't, right, So,

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<v Speaker 1>if I'm a crypto bro that Brad Sherman's talking about,

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<v Speaker 1>let's see, I had to probably learn how to code.

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<v Speaker 1>I've probably spent hundreds or thousands of hours potentially schooling

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<v Speaker 1>learning how to code. And then I had to learn

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<v Speaker 1>how to get a blockchain and fork it and then

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<v Speaker 1>you know, change it, modify it to my own liking.

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<v Speaker 1>Well one, I had to have the idea. I had

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<v Speaker 1>to have the creativity to even see a potential use case.

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<v Speaker 1>So I had to see a problem and a potential solution.

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<v Speaker 1>I had to come up with a new you know,

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<v Speaker 1>crypto bro blockchain to potentially solve that problem. I had

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<v Speaker 1>to learn how to code or I had to hire

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<v Speaker 1>coders to come in and write the code, fork it,

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<v Speaker 1>modify it, et cetera. Then I had to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>build a website and put all the marketing together. I

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<v Speaker 1>had to you know, figure out how to raise money,

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<v Speaker 1>set up off score corporations, bank accounts, whatever. I had

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<v Speaker 1>to go on the show, you know, the road show,

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<v Speaker 1>and I had to collect money, raise money. Then I

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<v Speaker 1>had to get exchanges to list the token. I had

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<v Speaker 1>to sell a token, etc. Sort of sounds like setting

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<v Speaker 1>up a business. So for Brad Sherman to say that

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<v Speaker 1>they were creating money out of thin air, I don't

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<v Speaker 1>see what he's talking about. If you follow that line

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<v Speaker 1>of thinking, then Mark Zuckerberg created money out of thin air.

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<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos created money out of thin air. If you

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<v Speaker 1>create So what Brad Sherman is saying is, if you

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<v Speaker 1>learn how to use your mental capital. If you learn

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<v Speaker 1>how to use your ideas to solve problems, you learn

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<v Speaker 1>how to use your skills you developed to write code,

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<v Speaker 1>you've learned marketing skills and organizational skills, and your business

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<v Speaker 1>creates revenue. You've created it out of thin air. Is

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<v Speaker 1>that what they're saying. That's what he's trying to say. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>if you listen to the show on a regular basis,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm not a big fan of crypto currency

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<v Speaker 1>as a category because most of it is vaporware. Most

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<v Speaker 1>of it is a scam, and I don't use the

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<v Speaker 1>word scam lightly. What I mean is that people think

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<v Speaker 1>they're buying one thing, a decentralized, secure asset, and they're

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<v Speaker 1>being sold something else that's neither decentralized nor secure, And

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<v Speaker 1>many times there's rug poles and things like that. So

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not a big fan of it as a category.

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<v Speaker 1>But to say that they're printing money from thin air

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<v Speaker 1>just shows how little Brad Sherman knows about what he's

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<v Speaker 1>even talking about. He has no idea, of course he doesn't.

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<v Speaker 1>He's a government bureaucrap. He's never created value in his

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<v Speaker 1>entire life, so he has no idea what we'd say

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<v Speaker 1>is how the sausage is made. He has no idea

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<v Speaker 1>how businesses actually create value. He has no idea how

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<v Speaker 1>people get paid by creating value. If he did, he

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<v Speaker 1>would understand that what the crypto bros Have done is

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<v Speaker 1>no different. I mean, it's different in many ways, but

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<v Speaker 1>it is very similar to what Mark Zuckerberg did by

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<v Speaker 1>creating a line of code in his college dorm room.

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<v Speaker 1>And what the guys that started Airbnb from an Airbnb

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<v Speaker 1>from a cow did. They wrote a line of code,

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<v Speaker 1>They organized people, they created marketing, They went and raised

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<v Speaker 1>money that created value for those people, and they made money.

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<v Speaker 1>So the crypto ros did not create money out of

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<v Speaker 1>thin air. They created something that enticed people to give

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<v Speaker 1>them money US dollars. Now back to the government, the

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<v Speaker 1>government is making money out of thin air. That's according

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<v Speaker 1>to Brad Sherman's own words. Yes, the government is printing

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<v Speaker 1>money out of thin air. So what are they doing

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<v Speaker 1>to provide value? What is the government doing to provide

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<v Speaker 1>any value to us? They're not. They didn't learn a skill.

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<v Speaker 1>They didn't provide that skill to the marketplace. They didn't

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<v Speaker 1>go build out marketing and go raise money. People willingly

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<v Speaker 1>giving them money. No, that's not what the government does.

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<v Speaker 1>The government hits a button on a keyboard to create

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<v Speaker 1>more dollar units, not for us, not in exchange for value.

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<v Speaker 1>They just inject those into the system. None of us

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<v Speaker 1>get any say out of it. This and what it

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<v Speaker 1>does instead of providing value to us, it steals our

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<v Speaker 1>value away. Every time they create create one more currency unit,

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<v Speaker 1>it makes the existing crypto, the existing currency units worth less, worthless.

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<v Speaker 1>And so when you see prices going up steak, gas, milk, cheese, homes, travel,

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<v Speaker 1>et cetera, when those prices are going up, what's really

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<v Speaker 1>happening is the dollars are buying less and less. They're debasing.

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<v Speaker 1>They're devaluing the dollar by creating more of them. And

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<v Speaker 1>so it's not that prices are going up. They are,

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<v Speaker 1>but the reason why prices are going up is because

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<v Speaker 1>the value of that money is going down. The money

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<v Speaker 1>buys you less, it takes more of those currency units

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<v Speaker 1>to buy those same goods and services in the future.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that's being done because, as Brad Truman said, the

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<v Speaker 1>quiet part out loud, they're creating money from thin air. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>this takes us to the big topic at hand, which

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<v Speaker 1>is all over the news, which is the debt limit.

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<v Speaker 1>The United States government global the number one global superpower,

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<v Speaker 1>the homogeny, the reserve currency of the world. The United

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<v Speaker 1>States government is broke. The United States Treasury, the treasury

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<v Speaker 1>runs the government. It's like if you had a business,

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<v Speaker 1>you had an accounting department. The treasury is like the

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<v Speaker 1>accounting department. They're broke. They don't have enough income to

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<v Speaker 1>cover their expenses, and they've taken on more debt and

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<v Speaker 1>more debt and more debt, and now they don't have

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<v Speaker 1>any more. So, for example, if you had a business

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<v Speaker 1>and your expenses exceeded your income, and so you took

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<v Speaker 1>a credit line from your bank, and then you went

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<v Speaker 1>through that entire credit line, and you still didn't have

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<v Speaker 1>enough revenue to cover your expenses. So then you went

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<v Speaker 1>and got a credit card, and then you still couldn't

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<v Speaker 1>get your business profitable, and so you took out another

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<v Speaker 1>credit card, and then finally the bank and the credit

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<v Speaker 1>cards are like, hang on, hang on, hang on, no

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<v Speaker 1>more credit for you. That's where the government's at five trillion,

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<v Speaker 1>ten trillion, trillion, thirty trillion, thirty two trillion, and the

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<v Speaker 1>government still can't be profitable. And now the credit lines

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<v Speaker 1>are cut off. If you're just tune in, you're listening

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<v Speaker 1>to the Mark Maas Show talking about the decentralized Revolution.

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<v Speaker 1>We're running through some big stuff. We're gonna talk about

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<v Speaker 1>the treasury has only two weeks of money left, why

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<v Speaker 1>the government default is more likely than ever, and the

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<v Speaker 1>big problem. I'll be back with that in a more

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<v Speaker 1>in a minute. Don't go away, all right, welcome back.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're just tune in and you were listening to

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<v Speaker 1>the Mark mass Show, of course, always talking about the

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<v Speaker 1>decentralized Revolution. We're talking about how our lawmakers are now

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<v Speaker 1>saying the quiet part out loud. Brad Sherman says, Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>you crypto bros. Created money out of thin air. You

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<v Speaker 1>can't do that, but we're the government. We do. I

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<v Speaker 1>explained that I'm not gonna go through that again, but

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<v Speaker 1>the government needs to create more money out of thin

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<v Speaker 1>air because the government, the US Treasury is broke literally

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<v Speaker 1>meaning broke. As a matter of fact, let's hear directly

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<v Speaker 1>from the head of the US Treasury again, kind of

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<v Speaker 1>in a business analogy, this would be like your CFO

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<v Speaker 1>telling you, let's hear exactly what Janet Yellen, the head

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<v Speaker 1>of US Treasury is saying about this debt default that's

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<v Speaker 1>looming here.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, I would say that if Congress doesn't

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<v Speaker 2>raise the debt ceiling, the president will have to make

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<v Speaker 2>some decisions about what to do with the resources that

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<v Speaker 2>we do have. And there are a variety of different options,

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<v Speaker 2>but there are no good options. Every option is a

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<v Speaker 2>bad option.

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, that wasn't a bad signal. That's just

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<v Speaker 1>how she talks. She has to labor over every single word,

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<v Speaker 1>So that's how she talks about. There's no good options. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>who would want to cut back on their spending? Who

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<v Speaker 1>would want to live within a budget? Those are not

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<v Speaker 1>good options. She says that the president will have to

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<v Speaker 1>make some very difficult decisions. Yeah, not increasing the spending

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<v Speaker 1>when you don't have the money. Those are very difficult decisions. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>if you tune in regularly, you kind of already know

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<v Speaker 1>this I talk about this has already been framed up.

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<v Speaker 1>But look, this isn't a partisan thing. I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to turn this into a Republican Democrat. We happen to

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<v Speaker 1>have a Democrat Biden in the office. Now we had

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<v Speaker 1>a Republican with Trump in before Trump spent more money

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<v Speaker 1>than any president before him, and Biden wants to spend

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<v Speaker 1>even more. Every president wants to spend more, and the

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<v Speaker 1>reason why is because we are in a debt based

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<v Speaker 1>monetary system, which means the debt has to constantly expand

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<v Speaker 1>or the whole thing falls apart. So it's not red

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<v Speaker 1>or blue. Trump spent more than before him, and Biden

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<v Speaker 1>wants to spend even more. But Biden has come out

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<v Speaker 1>like swinging like crazy, passing like all types of bills

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<v Speaker 1>like the Inflation Reduction Act, and they want to spend

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<v Speaker 1>one point seven trillion dollars on all these new programs

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<v Speaker 1>like eighty billion to bring on a whole bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>new IRS, agents, types of things like that, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>millions hundreds of million dollars to give to other countries

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<v Speaker 1>to study gender studies and things like that. Money that

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<v Speaker 1>probably doesn't need to be spent. Money that might be

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<v Speaker 1>good to be spent if you wanted to and you

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<v Speaker 1>had some extra money and you thought it was worthwhile,

0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:14.960
<v Speaker 1>but certainly not when you're broke and your income is

0:12:14.960 --> 0:12:18.520
<v Speaker 1>expen your income is your expenses are exceeding your income,

0:12:18.600 --> 0:12:21.520
<v Speaker 1>so no good options left. Now, let's talk about some

0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:25.120
<v Speaker 1>of these options. So option one is the Republican said, look,

0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:27.600
<v Speaker 1>here's what we'll do. Will allow you to increase the

0:12:27.640 --> 0:12:32.880
<v Speaker 1>debt ceiling another one point five trillion dollars, but you're

0:12:32.880 --> 0:12:34.320
<v Speaker 1>going to have to cut a couple of things because

0:12:34.320 --> 0:12:36.040
<v Speaker 1>that's not gonna be enough money. So a couple things

0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:37.600
<v Speaker 1>you have to cut would be like cut some of

0:12:37.600 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 1>this these IRS agents for example. Also, you're going to

0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:44.640
<v Speaker 1>need to cancel that student loan forgiveness that you put

0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:46.200
<v Speaker 1>through because we don't really have the money to do that.

0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:49.400
<v Speaker 1>And also, what we want to do is we want

0:12:49.440 --> 0:12:51.559
<v Speaker 1>to start getting energy out of the United States against

0:12:51.559 --> 0:12:53.760
<v Speaker 1>we can become energy independent because that will really unleash

0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:55.520
<v Speaker 1>the economy and allow us to grow out of this.

0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:58.960
<v Speaker 1>And Biden says no deal. So when jan yone's saying

0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:01.400
<v Speaker 1>that he has to make some tough decisions, one of

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.640
<v Speaker 1>the tough decisions would be, am I willing to spend

0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:07.440
<v Speaker 1>less money in the future? Still increase it? Still go

0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:10.640
<v Speaker 1>up by one point five trillion, but less than I want?

0:13:10.679 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 1>And that's where the stealmate is. I want you to

0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:16.560
<v Speaker 1>understand that the stellmate is the one point five trillion

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:20.240
<v Speaker 1>more isn't good enough And that's what they're fighting over.

0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Now there's talks of a government default, and that is

0:13:25.000 --> 0:13:28.079
<v Speaker 1>really running hot. As a matter of fact, that seems

0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:32.760
<v Speaker 1>to be the base case that's going on here. Let's

0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:35.720
<v Speaker 1>play this clip from Janet Yellen and hear directly from

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:38.480
<v Speaker 1>her on what she's saying about this is.

0:13:38.480 --> 0:13:43.360
<v Speaker 2>If re Treasury secretary has known the only option that

0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 2>really leaves our economy in good shape is and our

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:52.400
<v Speaker 2>financial system is raising the dead ceiling and making clear

0:13:52.559 --> 0:13:58.560
<v Speaker 2>that Congress stands behind the basic principle that America pays

0:13:58.600 --> 0:14:01.520
<v Speaker 2>its bills. We're not beat contract.

0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:08.760
<v Speaker 1>So every economist knows, right, every economist knows that the

0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 1>only way forward is for the US government to continue

0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:16.520
<v Speaker 1>to raise the debt ceiling, otherwise it leaves our economy

0:14:16.520 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>in bad shape. Like what like, hang on, did you

0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:21.760
<v Speaker 1>know that? Let me know? If you know that, hit

0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:23.240
<v Speaker 1>me up on social media. I want to hear from

0:14:23.240 --> 0:14:24.840
<v Speaker 1>you guys. Hit me up on social media at one

0:14:24.920 --> 0:14:27.240
<v Speaker 1>Mark Moss on Instagram or Twitter. I'm pretty active on

0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 1>both those platforms, And let me know, did you know that?

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:32.480
<v Speaker 1>Did you know that? Every economist knows that we have

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:35.040
<v Speaker 1>to increase the debt ceiling in order to continue to

0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 1>pay our bills. Now more people are waking up to

0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:40.640
<v Speaker 1>this than ever before. So this is a good thing

0:14:40.800 --> 0:14:42.800
<v Speaker 1>in a long term perspective because people are starting to

0:14:42.800 --> 0:14:45.440
<v Speaker 1>wake up to this. But listen to the sheer insanity

0:14:45.520 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 1>of that. Everyone knows we have to increase the debt

0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 1>ceiling in order to pay our bills. So that's going

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:52.840
<v Speaker 1>back to your business analogy. Your bank won't give you

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 1>another credit line, you can't get any more credit cards,

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:56.760
<v Speaker 1>and you go back to the bank and say, look,

0:14:57.000 --> 0:14:59.440
<v Speaker 1>everyone knows if you don't give me another credit line,

0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:03.200
<v Speaker 1>my business goes under. What's the bank going to tell you?

0:15:04.520 --> 0:15:06.240
<v Speaker 1>Can tell you to pound sand I mean, that's the

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:09.480
<v Speaker 1>most ridiculous thing ever. But then the final part that

0:15:09.520 --> 0:15:12.440
<v Speaker 1>she said so that other nations don't think we're a

0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:15.760
<v Speaker 1>deadbeat nation. So imagine again, going back to your bank.

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:17.360
<v Speaker 1>I know you said you won't give me to our

0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:19.600
<v Speaker 1>credit lines, and I know I've maxed out fifteen credit cards,

0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:22.360
<v Speaker 1>but look, if you don't give me, if you don't

0:15:22.360 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 1>give me another credit line, you know my business is

0:15:24.400 --> 0:15:26.240
<v Speaker 1>going to go under and people will think I'm a

0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 1>deadbeat company. Think about that, Well, if you can't pay

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:33.720
<v Speaker 1>your bills, you're not profitable, You've taken on more and

0:15:33.720 --> 0:15:35.880
<v Speaker 1>more debt that you have no way of ever repaying.

0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 1>Aren't you a deadbeat company? You're not going to pay

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:43.960
<v Speaker 1>those people their money back. Why would anyone loan you

0:15:44.440 --> 0:15:47.440
<v Speaker 1>are deadbeat? So what she's saying is wrong. I put

0:15:47.440 --> 0:15:50.720
<v Speaker 1>out a tweet. I believe it was yesterday earlier this week,

0:15:50.760 --> 0:15:54.400
<v Speaker 1>I forget exactly what day, and I showed a chart

0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:56.640
<v Speaker 1>and I like to I like to post a lot

0:15:56.640 --> 0:15:59.160
<v Speaker 1>of charts on my main YouTube channel, Mark Moss, as

0:15:59.200 --> 0:16:01.360
<v Speaker 1>well as on Twitter as well. Again, follow me on

0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:03.240
<v Speaker 1>those platforms if you're not. And I like to show

0:16:03.240 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 1>the charts because I want to show you the size

0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 1>and the speed of these moves. And the chart comes

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.280
<v Speaker 1>from FRED, which is the Federal Reserves Data Board, and

0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:13.680
<v Speaker 1>it showed that the interest on the debt, So again

0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 1>they want to raise the debts in from thirty one

0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 1>trillion to you know, almost thirty two to another one

0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:20.360
<v Speaker 1>and a half. The interest that's owed on that debt

0:16:20.480 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 1>is now equal to the amount of money that we

0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:28.120
<v Speaker 1>spend just on defense spending for the military. So we're

0:16:28.120 --> 0:16:30.800
<v Speaker 1>paying just as much on debt as we are on defense.

0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:34.960
<v Speaker 1>Now we spend. We spend more on defense than the

0:16:35.000 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>next ten countries combined combined. So everyone from number two China, Russia, everybody,

0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:44.600
<v Speaker 1>the next ten people, we spend more than that combined. Now,

0:16:44.800 --> 0:16:47.240
<v Speaker 1>so the debt, the interest on the debt is more.

0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:50.120
<v Speaker 1>Now does that sound bad? Did you know that the

0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:52.760
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve has raised rates at the highest and fastest

0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:56.040
<v Speaker 1>rate in history. And when the debt was taken on,

0:16:56.360 --> 0:17:00.119
<v Speaker 1>we were in the zero zero point five range. Today

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:05.440
<v Speaker 1>we're at five percent. About thirty percent of that debt,

0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:08.960
<v Speaker 1>the thirty two trillion dollars has to be refinanced in

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:13.600
<v Speaker 1>the next twelve months at these new five percent rates.

0:17:14.000 --> 0:17:16.720
<v Speaker 1>What do you think happens when you refinance thirty percent

0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:21.320
<v Speaker 1>of your thirty two trillion from zero percent to five percent?

0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:23.560
<v Speaker 1>Like if you took on thirty percent of your debt

0:17:23.600 --> 0:17:25.400
<v Speaker 1>for your business, you had got like on a zero

0:17:25.680 --> 0:17:27.920
<v Speaker 1>rate transfer credit card, and then all of a sudden

0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:29.680
<v Speaker 1>it resets at five percent. What is that going to

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:31.919
<v Speaker 1>do to you in a time when the interest is

0:17:32.000 --> 0:17:35.080
<v Speaker 1>already meeting or exceeding defense spending, in a time when

0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:39.159
<v Speaker 1>you can't already make those obligations. It's insanity. If you're

0:17:39.160 --> 0:17:40.960
<v Speaker 1>just tuning in, you're listening to the Mark Mas Show.

0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:44.399
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about the insanity of the debt crisis that's happening,

0:17:44.400 --> 0:17:46.200
<v Speaker 1>the unsustainable debt. I got a lot more to cover

0:17:46.240 --> 0:17:49.680
<v Speaker 1>when I come back on the potential for a government default,

0:17:49.680 --> 0:17:52.439
<v Speaker 1>which is I'm thinking is probably the base case. It

0:17:52.480 --> 0:17:54.480
<v Speaker 1>looks like that's where we're headed. What does that mean

0:17:54.480 --> 0:17:57.479
<v Speaker 1>and what are the possible solutions to protect yourself and

0:17:57.520 --> 0:17:59.119
<v Speaker 1>profit from all this. We'll talk about all that in

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:01.320
<v Speaker 1>a minute when I come back. Don't go away, I'll

0:18:01.359 --> 0:18:04.159
<v Speaker 1>be right back. All right, Welcome back. If you just

0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:06.479
<v Speaker 1>tune in, you're listening to the Mark mass Show. Taking

0:18:06.520 --> 0:18:09.400
<v Speaker 1>it through this debt crisis that we're in. We've been

0:18:09.400 --> 0:18:12.200
<v Speaker 1>covering how the government admitted that they're printing money from

0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:15.840
<v Speaker 1>thin air and now this debt crisis that's looming now.

0:18:15.880 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 1>I talked about the government having only less than two

0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:22.919
<v Speaker 1>weeks of money left. Now, of course they show us this.

0:18:22.960 --> 0:18:24.359
<v Speaker 1>They show us how much money they have in their

0:18:24.359 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 1>reserve account and so we can see their checking account.

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 1>We can also see how fast it's been drawing down.

0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:33.280
<v Speaker 1>So we basically just extrapolate what the current burn rate

0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:35.639
<v Speaker 1>is and then based off this current burn rate, how

0:18:35.760 --> 0:18:38.160
<v Speaker 1>much do you have left? And then how long will

0:18:38.160 --> 0:18:42.160
<v Speaker 1>that last? It's not hard to do, simple elementary math,

0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 1>almost right, And so all we can see is that

0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:48.600
<v Speaker 1>based off of those numbers, we see that we have

0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 1>about two weeks left. The treasury account is down to

0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:56.840
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and eighty five billion, which is a lot

0:18:56.880 --> 0:19:00.760
<v Speaker 1>of money, but not when you're talking about trillillions of dollars.

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:04.399
<v Speaker 1>The government is running a two point two trillion dollar

0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:07.680
<v Speaker 1>deficit right now, so that means the deficit means that

0:19:07.720 --> 0:19:12.480
<v Speaker 1>their expenses exceed their income by two point two trillion. Now,

0:19:13.280 --> 0:19:16.440
<v Speaker 1>the treasury has one hundred and eighty five billion, The

0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:23.120
<v Speaker 1>cash balance is down just down thirty billion just from yesterday,

0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:26.560
<v Speaker 1>and only two point two billion in tax revenue came in,

0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:29.359
<v Speaker 1>because right, we have tax revenue coming in and tax

0:19:29.359 --> 0:19:31.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, taxes were doing April fifteenth last month, and

0:19:31.320 --> 0:19:33.520
<v Speaker 1>so the tax revenue is coming in, but they most

0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:35.920
<v Speaker 1>of that tax revenue is already in, like you should

0:19:35.920 --> 0:19:38.639
<v Speaker 1>have already paid that that's already in, which had a

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:40.280
<v Speaker 1>little bit more trickle in two point two billion, but

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:43.760
<v Speaker 1>we withdrew thirty you know what I'm saying. The expenses

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 1>are way exceeding the income. And so at this runway

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:50.920
<v Speaker 1>we have about two weeks left. Now, this is obviously unsustainable.

0:19:51.760 --> 0:19:54.959
<v Speaker 1>I don't have to an elementary kid could figure that out.

0:19:54.960 --> 0:19:58.400
<v Speaker 1>That's unsustainable. The US government debt has gone from one

0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:04.199
<v Speaker 1>point two trillion to thirty one point four trillion just

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:11.399
<v Speaker 1>since nineteen eighty. Thirty times in thirty years, well I

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 1>guess without forty years, thirty times in forty years one

0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:17.439
<v Speaker 1>point two jollion to thirty one point four jollion. That

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:20.520
<v Speaker 1>is not sustainable. In nineteen eighty, going back to the

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:24.120
<v Speaker 1>one point two trillion, the debt to GDP. So back

0:20:24.160 --> 0:20:27.639
<v Speaker 1>to a business, you have your your revenue, your gross revenue,

0:20:27.680 --> 0:20:29.639
<v Speaker 1>the amount of products that you produce, goods and service

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:31.679
<v Speaker 1>that you produce, and then you have your debt. In

0:20:31.800 --> 0:20:34.720
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighty, the debt in the United States government debt

0:20:34.800 --> 0:20:38.920
<v Speaker 1>to the GDP was twenty six percent. This year it's

0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:43.640
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and twenty three percent. So what does that mean, Well,

0:20:43.680 --> 0:20:45.480
<v Speaker 1>that means that what they do is they take on debt.

0:20:45.560 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Just like your business. You would take on debt to

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:48.639
<v Speaker 1>buy a new piece of equipment, a new van, new

0:20:48.680 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 1>truck hire somebody, and you hope that by buying that

0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:53.320
<v Speaker 1>new piece of equipment, and you take on that little

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:55.600
<v Speaker 1>bit of debt, you know it's going to cost you

0:20:55.600 --> 0:20:56.880
<v Speaker 1>one hundred bucks a month to add on this piece

0:20:56.880 --> 0:20:58.680
<v Speaker 1>of equipment, but that piece equipment should make you five

0:20:58.760 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 1>hundred a month. So you take on one dollar of

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:04.960
<v Speaker 1>debt to add five dollars of revenue. That'd be the goal.

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:06.959
<v Speaker 1>And that's what the United States government has done, right.

0:21:06.960 --> 0:21:09.200
<v Speaker 1>They're trying to take on debt to try to grow.

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:11.840
<v Speaker 1>The problem is is that at some point the debt

0:21:11.880 --> 0:21:14.600
<v Speaker 1>becomes unsustainable and it actually starts holding you back. It's

0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:16.120
<v Speaker 1>like trying to run up a hill with a backpack

0:21:16.160 --> 0:21:19.920
<v Speaker 1>full of rocks. And so that number really starts heating

0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:22.760
<v Speaker 1>up around ninety percent debt to GDP, and you're starting

0:21:22.760 --> 0:21:26.159
<v Speaker 1>to get less growth than the dollar of debt. And

0:21:26.200 --> 0:21:28.840
<v Speaker 1>so in the example I gave, so like in nineteen

0:21:28.880 --> 0:21:31.239
<v Speaker 1>eighty at twenty six percent debt to GDP, you know,

0:21:31.720 --> 0:21:33.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't have the exact data in front of me,

0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:35.360
<v Speaker 1>but potentially, you know, one dollar of debt would give

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>you back the five dollars of growth. Once you get

0:21:39.000 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 1>up to ninety percent, you're getting one dollar of growth

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 1>for one dollar of debts, so it's not really doing

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:46.040
<v Speaker 1>anything for you. Now when you get to one hundred

0:21:46.040 --> 0:21:48.760
<v Speaker 1>and five ten percent twenty one hundred and twenty three

0:21:48.760 --> 0:21:51.879
<v Speaker 1>percent were're at now, now you're getting like fifty cents

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:54.880
<v Speaker 1>of growth for the dollar of debt, which basically means

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:57.879
<v Speaker 1>that you're digging your hole faster than your filling out

0:21:57.920 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 1>of it. If you've ever been to the beach, I

0:22:01.119 --> 0:22:02.359
<v Speaker 1>live at the beach, some there all the time, but

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:04.680
<v Speaker 1>maybe I'm sure you've probably been there, and you see

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:06.439
<v Speaker 1>people like kids, they'll go down kind of by the

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:08.280
<v Speaker 1>water and they'll start digging a hole. A lot of

0:22:08.320 --> 0:22:10.439
<v Speaker 1>kids like to do that, and if you're close by

0:22:10.480 --> 0:22:12.119
<v Speaker 1>the water, you'll see it starts filling up with water.

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 1>They're digging and digging and digging. But no matter how

0:22:14.880 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 1>much they dig, they're never going to dig their way

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:18.280
<v Speaker 1>out of the water because the water is underground right

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:20.000
<v Speaker 1>you're on the ocean there, And that's basically the same

0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>situation that we're in. No matter how much debt they

0:22:21.960 --> 0:22:24.960
<v Speaker 1>take on at this point, they can't grow their way

0:22:25.000 --> 0:22:28.000
<v Speaker 1>out of it. And of course, governments usually resort to

0:22:29.080 --> 0:22:32.760
<v Speaker 1>fiscal stimulus during a recession, which is where we're going

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:36.679
<v Speaker 1>into right now, which means even more debt. But when

0:22:36.720 --> 0:22:40.400
<v Speaker 1>a government's running two point two trillion dollars of deficit already,

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 1>and then you know, and they're doing that during times

0:22:44.760 --> 0:22:48.120
<v Speaker 1>of economic expansion, times when things are good, times, when

0:22:48.119 --> 0:22:51.320
<v Speaker 1>the economy is growing. How the heck are they supposed

0:22:51.359 --> 0:22:58.439
<v Speaker 1>to run that stimulus during a recession. That's not good.

0:22:58.720 --> 0:23:01.919
<v Speaker 1>That's certainly good, which is why this default is looking

0:23:01.960 --> 0:23:04.480
<v Speaker 1>more and more likely. As a matter of fact, like

0:23:04.520 --> 0:23:07.359
<v Speaker 1>I said, there's this stellmate where the Republicans are like, look, okay, fine,

0:23:07.400 --> 0:23:09.280
<v Speaker 1>we'll increase that limit. We'll give you the extra one

0:23:09.280 --> 0:23:12.440
<v Speaker 1>point five trillion you want, but you are going to

0:23:12.480 --> 0:23:15.040
<v Speaker 1>have to cut some of your potential spending bills like

0:23:15.119 --> 0:23:17.719
<v Speaker 1>the IRS Bill for example. So we're going to give

0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:19.720
<v Speaker 1>you more, but like we're not. We're going to limit

0:23:19.800 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 1>the increases to one percent a year. So this future

0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:24.160
<v Speaker 1>spending that you wanted, you're going to have to cut

0:23:24.200 --> 0:23:26.000
<v Speaker 1>some of that out. And that's where the stellmate is.

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:28.720
<v Speaker 1>And so the Biden administration says, no deal, we won't

0:23:28.760 --> 0:23:32.920
<v Speaker 1>do it, and the Republicans seem to be pretty steadfast

0:23:32.960 --> 0:23:37.520
<v Speaker 1>on this number. As a matter of fact number forty five.

0:23:37.800 --> 0:23:43.159
<v Speaker 1>President Donald Trump came out and urged the Republicans to

0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:48.760
<v Speaker 1>get the spending cuts from the Democrats before they concede.

0:23:49.200 --> 0:23:53.680
<v Speaker 1>So he's basically said, look, don't don't don't cave, get

0:23:53.720 --> 0:23:58.000
<v Speaker 1>those concessions from the Biden administration, reduce spending, or if

0:23:58.040 --> 0:24:01.400
<v Speaker 1>it won't happen, then he says, to push the US

0:24:01.440 --> 0:24:05.119
<v Speaker 1>into its first ever default. That was an interview that

0:24:05.160 --> 0:24:08.400
<v Speaker 1>he did with CNN. Quote. I say to the Republicans

0:24:08.440 --> 0:24:11.679
<v Speaker 1>out there, congressman, senators, if they don't give you massive cuts,

0:24:11.720 --> 0:24:14.360
<v Speaker 1>you're going to have to do a default. In quote,

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:17.280
<v Speaker 1>Trump said. He went on to say, quote, I don't

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:18.879
<v Speaker 1>believe they're going to do a default because I think

0:24:18.880 --> 0:24:22.320
<v Speaker 1>the Democrats will absolutely cave, will absolutely cave because you

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:25.200
<v Speaker 1>don't have to have that happen. But it's better than

0:24:25.560 --> 0:24:27.840
<v Speaker 1>what we're doing right now, because we're spending money like

0:24:27.920 --> 0:24:32.679
<v Speaker 1>drunken sailors. End quote. So she says, look, hold strong,

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>what do you think do you think the government should

0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:37.960
<v Speaker 1>continue to spend like drunken sailors? Do you think the

0:24:38.000 --> 0:24:40.160
<v Speaker 1>debt doesn't matter? Do you think it do you think

0:24:40.280 --> 0:24:42.359
<v Speaker 1>it matters if these people won't get paid back. No,

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 1>you've heard we owe the money to ourselves, right, well

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:48.960
<v Speaker 1>do we? If you have a retirement account, mutual funds

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:53.440
<v Speaker 1>four oh one k's pensions, it's probably in government debt.

0:24:54.480 --> 0:24:57.919
<v Speaker 1>You are probably the one loaning the money. Your money

0:24:58.000 --> 0:24:59.760
<v Speaker 1>is loan to your bank. I'm sure you've heard me

0:24:59.800 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 1>say that before. The money in the bank is not

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 1>your money. The bank owes you money legally. That's a

0:25:04.480 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 1>big deal. And the bank owns the government debt. So

0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:10.639
<v Speaker 1>if the government defaults on the debt, they're not paying

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:13.120
<v Speaker 1>you your pension or retirement. They're not paying the bank back,

0:25:13.160 --> 0:25:15.000
<v Speaker 1>and then the bank can't pay you back. That's how

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:21.200
<v Speaker 1>that works. So it's a big deal. Should they continue

0:25:21.240 --> 0:25:24.199
<v Speaker 1>spending when they can't already pay? Now? Again, what the

0:25:24.240 --> 0:25:26.240
<v Speaker 1>Republicans are doing is saying we need to take the

0:25:26.320 --> 0:25:30.960
<v Speaker 1>spending all the way back to twenty twenty two. Last year, now,

0:25:30.960 --> 0:25:34.399
<v Speaker 1>if I remember correctly, last year was pretty dang good.

0:25:34.720 --> 0:25:38.280
<v Speaker 1>Like the world didn't end. We had social programs, like

0:25:38.320 --> 0:25:41.080
<v Speaker 1>the roads were there. Like, if we just held spending

0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:43.080
<v Speaker 1>to where we were last year, does the world end?

0:25:43.119 --> 0:25:46.159
<v Speaker 1>Is it that bad? Again? I'd love to hear from you.

0:25:46.280 --> 0:25:48.639
<v Speaker 1>Hit me up on social media and let me know

0:25:48.720 --> 0:25:52.000
<v Speaker 1>at one Mark Moss. But it's looking like most Americans

0:25:52.080 --> 0:25:54.200
<v Speaker 1>are starting to say they don't agree. As a matter

0:25:54.240 --> 0:25:57.720
<v Speaker 1>of fact, they don't want to see the debt ceiling

0:25:57.760 --> 0:26:03.440
<v Speaker 1>increased anymore. White House officials hint at possible short term

0:26:03.440 --> 0:26:07.120
<v Speaker 1>debt deal to advert default. Potentially they might save the deal.

0:26:07.560 --> 0:26:10.000
<v Speaker 1>New York Times say that meet the House Republicans who

0:26:10.040 --> 0:26:12.480
<v Speaker 1>Democrats hope will defect on the debt limits. So now

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>what the Democrats are doing is they're trying to get

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:18.320
<v Speaker 1>a couple of Republicans to switch sides and vote with them.

0:26:18.560 --> 0:26:20.920
<v Speaker 1>A long shot Democratic effort to force a debt limit

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:25.240
<v Speaker 1>increase to the floor hinges on at least five GOP defections.

0:26:25.600 --> 0:26:28.560
<v Speaker 1>These House Republicans are considered likeliest. So now they're trying

0:26:28.600 --> 0:26:31.560
<v Speaker 1>to literally get people to switch sides so they can

0:26:31.760 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 1>ram this through. But like I said, I think it's

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:38.280
<v Speaker 1>fifty eight percent of Americans do not support a debt increase.

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:40.200
<v Speaker 1>But again, I'd love to hear what you have to say. Hey,

0:26:40.280 --> 0:26:42.400
<v Speaker 1>up on social media, out one Mark Moss and let

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 1>me know if you're just tune in you're listening to

0:26:45.119 --> 0:26:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the Mark Moss Show. Of course we talk about the

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:49.640
<v Speaker 1>decentralized revolution, the way the world is breaking apart from

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:53.720
<v Speaker 1>a centralized world to a decentralized world. A centralized world

0:26:53.720 --> 0:26:55.920
<v Speaker 1>that's controlled by the US government, homogeny of the US

0:26:55.960 --> 0:27:00.159
<v Speaker 1>dollar reserve system that is obviously falling apart right now,

0:27:00.320 --> 0:27:03.639
<v Speaker 1>what comes next? A very decentralized world. I got a

0:27:03.640 --> 0:27:06.119
<v Speaker 1>whole lot more to cover. Still, we're not done yet.

0:27:06.440 --> 0:27:10.959
<v Speaker 1>We're going to talk about the chances the betting markets

0:27:10.960 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 1>are giving of a debt default. And we're going to

0:27:13.240 --> 0:27:15.280
<v Speaker 1>talk about the big problem and the big solutions that

0:27:15.320 --> 0:27:19.920
<v Speaker 1>we have to protect ourselves and our nation and the world.

0:27:19.920 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 1>So we're gonna talk about all that in a minute.

0:27:21.160 --> 0:27:23.040
<v Speaker 1>When I come back. You're listening to the Mark Maas

0:27:23.040 --> 0:27:25.600
<v Speaker 1>Show talking about the decentralized Revolution. I'll be back with

0:27:25.680 --> 0:27:27.800
<v Speaker 1>all that and more in a minute. Don't go away,

0:27:28.000 --> 0:27:30.000
<v Speaker 1>I'll be back, all right, Welcome back. If you're just

0:27:30.000 --> 0:27:32.000
<v Speaker 1>tuning in, you're listening to the Mark Maas Show. We're

0:27:32.040 --> 0:27:34.920
<v Speaker 1>talking about each and every week, the decentralized revolution. Of course,

0:27:35.680 --> 0:27:38.760
<v Speaker 1>the way the world changes through the lens of politics, finance,

0:27:38.880 --> 0:27:42.160
<v Speaker 1>and technology. We look at it through those three lenses

0:27:42.200 --> 0:27:45.600
<v Speaker 1>because it helps us to bring context and clarity understand

0:27:45.640 --> 0:27:49.760
<v Speaker 1>to what's going on now. We're talking about the insanity

0:27:49.760 --> 0:27:52.560
<v Speaker 1>of Brad Sherman's comments of the crypto bros Printing money

0:27:52.560 --> 0:27:55.439
<v Speaker 1>from thin air, and how he clearly doesn't understand what

0:27:55.480 --> 0:27:57.119
<v Speaker 1>money is, or how it's made, or what value is.

0:27:57.600 --> 0:27:59.600
<v Speaker 1>But then the highlight of that the government can print

0:27:59.600 --> 0:28:01.280
<v Speaker 1>money from than air and what that means. We talked

0:28:01.280 --> 0:28:04.800
<v Speaker 1>about the debt ceiling, We talked about the potential debt default,

0:28:04.800 --> 0:28:07.760
<v Speaker 1>which it looks like it's starting to really come to fruition.

0:28:07.760 --> 0:28:11.320
<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, all markets are betting markets,

0:28:11.359 --> 0:28:12.840
<v Speaker 1>and so what does that mean. That means when I

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:15.760
<v Speaker 1>buy an asset in the market, whether it's a house, well,

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:17.240
<v Speaker 1>maybe not a house, because you might buy it for

0:28:17.280 --> 0:28:19.480
<v Speaker 1>different reasons. But in the market, like the stock market,

0:28:19.480 --> 0:28:23.760
<v Speaker 1>for example, if I buy an asset, I'm betting basically

0:28:23.880 --> 0:28:27.080
<v Speaker 1>that the price of that stock will go up or

0:28:27.119 --> 0:28:28.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm betting it will go down if I'm short selling it.

0:28:28.880 --> 0:28:31.439
<v Speaker 1>Either way, I'm betting on a future valuation of that asset.

0:28:32.119 --> 0:28:34.679
<v Speaker 1>So all markets are betting markets. Now, the stock markets,

0:28:34.720 --> 0:28:38.840
<v Speaker 1>where most people focus on aren't really the best markets

0:28:38.880 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 1>to look at, not where professional investors look those are

0:28:41.320 --> 0:28:44.120
<v Speaker 1>trailing indicators that tell you kind of what happened. So

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:46.240
<v Speaker 1>then the next best place to look would be the

0:28:46.240 --> 0:28:49.520
<v Speaker 1>bond market, and that's where professional investors look the debt

0:28:49.560 --> 0:28:52.920
<v Speaker 1>of these companies and then the real market to look at.

0:28:53.000 --> 0:28:55.920
<v Speaker 1>According to one of my good friends, my as brother,

0:28:55.960 --> 0:28:59.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm talking about Greg Foss. He's been a thirty year

0:28:59.280 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 1>debt trader, bond trader. He talks about the credit default swaps,

0:29:02.640 --> 0:29:06.080
<v Speaker 1>the CDs market. Now, the CDs market is basically where

0:29:06.480 --> 0:29:10.320
<v Speaker 1>investors will hedge their bets. They'll buy insurance against their position.

0:29:10.400 --> 0:29:12.440
<v Speaker 1>In case the position crashes, they have money for that.

0:29:13.120 --> 0:29:15.600
<v Speaker 1>It got kind of popularized, we'll say, in the two

0:29:15.600 --> 0:29:17.960
<v Speaker 1>thousand and eight Great financial Crash, and it was really

0:29:17.960 --> 0:29:20.120
<v Speaker 1>popularized by the book and then the movie called The

0:29:20.120 --> 0:29:22.880
<v Speaker 1>Big Short. And if you haven't read the book or

0:29:23.000 --> 0:29:25.200
<v Speaker 1>watched the movie, I would highly recommend it. As a

0:29:25.200 --> 0:29:27.160
<v Speaker 1>matter of fact, I'm probably due for watching it again.

0:29:27.280 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 1>I read the book when it first came out. It

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:32.880
<v Speaker 1>was amazing. The book's always better the video. The movie's good.

0:29:33.160 --> 0:29:37.080
<v Speaker 1>We had some big name actors, Christian Bale and forget

0:29:37.120 --> 0:29:39.040
<v Speaker 1>all the actors in it anymore. But anyway, it's a

0:29:39.040 --> 0:29:42.280
<v Speaker 1>good movie, probably worth watching again for myself, but they

0:29:42.360 --> 0:29:46.160
<v Speaker 1>really highlight what happened. And so an investor who is

0:29:46.240 --> 0:29:50.160
<v Speaker 1>named in real life Kyle Bass, basically made these bets

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:53.200
<v Speaker 1>against the housing crisis, knowing that the housing crisis was

0:29:53.200 --> 0:29:55.840
<v Speaker 1>going to fail, knowing that the banks owned all these

0:29:56.400 --> 0:29:59.520
<v Speaker 1>mortgage backed securities, these nbs, and it was a big

0:29:59.560 --> 0:30:02.000
<v Speaker 1>mess going to go through all that. But basically he

0:30:02.080 --> 0:30:05.560
<v Speaker 1>went and started buying insurance against that using the CDs,

0:30:05.600 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 1>the credit default swaps. Now, one thing about a CDs

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 1>is that you don't have to own the asset to

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:12.240
<v Speaker 1>buy insurance on it. So it'd be like if you

0:30:12.240 --> 0:30:14.360
<v Speaker 1>owned a house on a flood zone. For example, I

0:30:14.400 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 1>saw like a dam was about to break, I could

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:18.840
<v Speaker 1>go buy insurance on your house and if it got flooded,

0:30:18.840 --> 0:30:20.760
<v Speaker 1>I would win. But you can't do that unless you

0:30:20.760 --> 0:30:22.720
<v Speaker 1>own the asset. You can't buy car insurance or house

0:30:22.760 --> 0:30:25.680
<v Speaker 1>insurance for somebody else. But with credit default swaps you can,

0:30:26.760 --> 0:30:29.120
<v Speaker 1>and so that's really the best market. It's sort of

0:30:29.120 --> 0:30:33.320
<v Speaker 1>like when they run like presidential election polls, the polls

0:30:33.320 --> 0:30:36.680
<v Speaker 1>aren't very accurate. The betting markets on who's going to

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:38.560
<v Speaker 1>win the pole is very accurate. And the reason why

0:30:38.600 --> 0:30:40.440
<v Speaker 1>is because people are putting their money where their mouth is.

0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:42.400
<v Speaker 1>They're putting putting skin in the game, so to speak.

0:30:42.560 --> 0:30:45.440
<v Speaker 1>And so the CDs market, credit default swap market is

0:30:45.760 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 1>that market. It tells us what's going on there. And

0:30:48.560 --> 0:30:51.400
<v Speaker 1>the credit default swap market, the price of the CDs

0:30:51.440 --> 0:30:54.600
<v Speaker 1>swaps are going through the roof, and it's pricing in

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 1>that we're likely most likely to have and a default. Now,

0:31:00.040 --> 0:31:01.800
<v Speaker 1>say the default. There's two types of default. There's a

0:31:01.840 --> 0:31:05.520
<v Speaker 1>hard default and there's a software a technical default. Okay,

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:07.760
<v Speaker 1>so a hard default would be where the government just

0:31:07.800 --> 0:31:10.720
<v Speaker 1>doesn't pay any debt. Hey, sorry, we owe thirty two jrillion,

0:31:10.880 --> 0:31:13.120
<v Speaker 1>forget it, we ain't paying. That'd be a hard default.

0:31:13.200 --> 0:31:16.080
<v Speaker 1>That's not gonna happen. That will that will most likely

0:31:16.200 --> 0:31:21.280
<v Speaker 1>never happen. The reason why is because no government with

0:31:21.440 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 1>a money printer will do a hard default. They're gonna

0:31:25.080 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 1>print the money. As Jenna Ellen said, we'll have to

0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:29.840
<v Speaker 1>print the money. We'll take on the debt right now.

0:31:30.080 --> 0:31:34.320
<v Speaker 1>A soft or a technical default is different. If this

0:31:34.400 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 1>gets delayed by one day and they squabble over it

0:31:38.920 --> 0:31:42.160
<v Speaker 1>and it goes a day long, that's a technical default. Okay,

0:31:42.560 --> 0:31:46.600
<v Speaker 1>so it's pricing in a technical or a soft default,

0:31:46.680 --> 0:31:48.800
<v Speaker 1>not a hard default. So don't don't get alarmed over this.

0:31:49.960 --> 0:31:54.560
<v Speaker 1>That's not gonna happen. But like I said, this is

0:31:54.640 --> 0:31:57.440
<v Speaker 1>this is, this is what's happening now. We're starting to

0:31:57.480 --> 0:31:59.600
<v Speaker 1>see really a changing of the guard with this, and

0:31:59.600 --> 0:32:02.680
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing a lot of distrust happening in the government

0:32:02.760 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 1>regardless of what happens, regardless of the outcome of this

0:32:06.080 --> 0:32:09.720
<v Speaker 1>whole debacle. Either way, it's eroded the trust and the

0:32:09.760 --> 0:32:14.120
<v Speaker 1>confidence in the government, and it's exposed that the government

0:32:14.120 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 1>the empire, wears no clothes. It's exposed that your business

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:19.000
<v Speaker 1>campaign its bills. It's exposed that unless they continue this

0:32:19.040 --> 0:32:23.320
<v Speaker 1>Ponzi scheme, they can't succeed. And people are really starting

0:32:23.320 --> 0:32:25.600
<v Speaker 1>to turn their back against the Biden administration because they're

0:32:25.600 --> 0:32:28.240
<v Speaker 1>the ones running the show right now, and we're starting

0:32:28.240 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 1>to see them, mainstream media even turning its back against Biden.

0:32:31.560 --> 0:32:34.560
<v Speaker 1>We saw a poll that was run just this week

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:38.200
<v Speaker 1>and it shows fifty four percent of pose raising the

0:32:38.200 --> 0:32:42.640
<v Speaker 1>dead ceiling. And interesting enough, Tidbitt says that the opposition

0:32:42.760 --> 0:32:46.720
<v Speaker 1>was stronger from those without a college degree. I thought

0:32:46.760 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 1>that was pretty interesting. You think it would be opposite.

0:32:49.040 --> 0:32:50.720
<v Speaker 1>The college degree would be smarter, they'd know what's more

0:32:50.720 --> 0:32:52.640
<v Speaker 1>going on. But I think the smarter people who went

0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:57.080
<v Speaker 1>to college got indoctrinated and they think that it's just okay,

0:32:57.120 --> 0:32:58.840
<v Speaker 1>we can spend forever. And that just kind of goes

0:32:58.880 --> 0:33:04.480
<v Speaker 1>to show you how much college is act actually teach you. Now,

0:33:03.880 --> 0:33:08.200
<v Speaker 1>it's no doubt, No, it's not a mystery why the

0:33:08.200 --> 0:33:10.120
<v Speaker 1>mainstream media and why people are starting to turn their

0:33:10.160 --> 0:33:11.840
<v Speaker 1>back on this. We can see in just two years

0:33:11.840 --> 0:33:16.080
<v Speaker 1>of the Biden administration, a typical American family has lost

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:20.920
<v Speaker 1>over seven thousand dollars in purchasing power. Seven thousand dollars.

0:33:21.240 --> 0:33:23.560
<v Speaker 1>What does that mean. Well, that means that let's say

0:33:23.560 --> 0:33:26.920
<v Speaker 1>that you make let's just use easy numbers. Let's say

0:33:26.920 --> 0:33:28.960
<v Speaker 1>that you make fifty bucks an hour. You may not

0:33:29.000 --> 0:33:31.200
<v Speaker 1>make that much, let's just say you make that. That's

0:33:31.200 --> 0:33:34.560
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and forty hours that you have to work

0:33:34.680 --> 0:33:38.960
<v Speaker 1>extra just to have the exact same quality of life

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:42.240
<v Speaker 1>that you had before. Now, if we divide that by

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:48.000
<v Speaker 1>twelve months, that's eleven and a half hours per month

0:33:48.200 --> 0:33:51.560
<v Speaker 1>of your life that they have stolen just for you

0:33:51.680 --> 0:33:53.800
<v Speaker 1>to maintain. So, if you had you know, a house,

0:33:53.880 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 1>a car, you ate steak twice a week, You had,

0:33:56.360 --> 0:33:58.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, one vacation a year, a bunch of kids,

0:33:58.560 --> 0:34:00.520
<v Speaker 1>new shoes, you know, twice a year, whatever, whatever your

0:34:00.560 --> 0:34:03.920
<v Speaker 1>standard of living was. Now, in order to have that

0:34:04.080 --> 0:34:07.800
<v Speaker 1>exact same standard of living, you now have to work

0:34:08.000 --> 0:34:11.200
<v Speaker 1>almost twelve hours more per month. Now that's if you

0:34:11.280 --> 0:34:13.239
<v Speaker 1>make fifty bucks an hour, if you make ten bucks

0:34:13.280 --> 0:34:16.359
<v Speaker 1>an hour, just do the math. That's still in your life.

0:34:16.480 --> 0:34:18.719
<v Speaker 1>That's twelve hours that you could have put into the

0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:21.279
<v Speaker 1>gym so you were healthy. That's twelve hours you could

0:34:21.280 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 1>have put into your relationship with your wife or your

0:34:23.040 --> 0:34:25.719
<v Speaker 1>kids so you could be a better husband, father, mother,

0:34:25.800 --> 0:34:28.319
<v Speaker 1>or whatever. That's twelve hours you could have started a

0:34:28.400 --> 0:34:30.640
<v Speaker 1>new business, you could become financially free. Twelve hours you

0:34:30.640 --> 0:34:32.520
<v Speaker 1>could have gone to school to learn your skill. Whatever

0:34:32.920 --> 0:34:34.920
<v Speaker 1>it's your life. You do however, you want, go sit

0:34:34.960 --> 0:34:37.080
<v Speaker 1>on the beach. I don't care. The point is the

0:34:37.120 --> 0:34:42.040
<v Speaker 1>government has taken that away by printing money, which is

0:34:42.080 --> 0:34:44.799
<v Speaker 1>no wonder why home ownership affordabilities is at an all

0:34:44.840 --> 0:34:47.600
<v Speaker 1>time low. Of course, government spending, national debt as at

0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:51.000
<v Speaker 1>all time high. Now we do have a solution to

0:34:51.040 --> 0:34:54.720
<v Speaker 1>this and of course that's bitcoin. Bitcoin is a finite amount,

0:34:54.800 --> 0:34:56.759
<v Speaker 1>no more than twenty one million bitcoin whatever be mine.

0:34:56.760 --> 0:35:00.279
<v Speaker 1>Now there it is. You can break down. Just like

0:35:00.320 --> 0:35:03.480
<v Speaker 1>a dollar breaks down into one hundred cents, a bitcoin

0:35:03.520 --> 0:35:07.480
<v Speaker 1>breaks down into a hundred million SATs. So there's plenty

0:35:07.480 --> 0:35:10.560
<v Speaker 1>to go around. But the fact is that nobody controls it,

0:35:10.600 --> 0:35:13.320
<v Speaker 1>and nobody can create more of it, like the Federal

0:35:13.320 --> 0:35:16.200
<v Speaker 1>Reserve does with the dollar. In addition to that, if

0:35:16.200 --> 0:35:18.279
<v Speaker 1>I want to hold it, not only can they not

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:20.080
<v Speaker 1>print more of it to steal my value a way

0:35:20.120 --> 0:35:22.160
<v Speaker 1>that way, they also can't take it from my bank.

0:35:22.360 --> 0:35:24.680
<v Speaker 1>And if I want to send it to you, nobody

0:35:24.680 --> 0:35:26.799
<v Speaker 1>can censor that. Nobody can stop it, blocking or prevent it.

0:35:27.920 --> 0:35:31.680
<v Speaker 1>And so while this is bad for America, While this

0:35:31.760 --> 0:35:34.319
<v Speaker 1>is bad for Americans, and it's bad for the whole

0:35:34.320 --> 0:35:36.640
<v Speaker 1>world holding dollars, it's bad for the whole hold everyone

0:35:36.640 --> 0:35:38.120
<v Speaker 1>gets caught up in this. It's not it's not something

0:35:38.160 --> 0:35:42.000
<v Speaker 1>to cheer. It is bringing attention to the insanity of

0:35:42.040 --> 0:35:44.960
<v Speaker 1>the Ponzi scheme that's the United States. It's bringing attention

0:35:45.000 --> 0:35:47.720
<v Speaker 1>to the insanity of Jenny Yellen of the US Treasury

0:35:47.760 --> 0:35:50.880
<v Speaker 1>and the fed Ero and pal and it's highlighting that

0:35:50.960 --> 0:35:53.640
<v Speaker 1>we have a solution. It's sitting there right in front

0:35:53.640 --> 0:35:57.919
<v Speaker 1>of us, the Bitcoin network. And as the trust, as

0:35:57.920 --> 0:36:01.280
<v Speaker 1>the confidence continues to become eroded, people will be looking

0:36:01.320 --> 0:36:03.600
<v Speaker 1>for solutions. Now. This happens a lot faster in other

0:36:03.640 --> 0:36:06.719
<v Speaker 1>countries like Lebanon or Turkey or Argentina Venezuela, where they're

0:36:06.760 --> 0:36:11.320
<v Speaker 1>having double triple digit inflation. But it's coming, it's coming.

0:36:11.360 --> 0:36:12.880
<v Speaker 1>That's what this debt ceiling is showing us. That's what

0:36:12.920 --> 0:36:15.200
<v Speaker 1>Janet Yellen just said. We have to continue to take

0:36:15.200 --> 0:36:16.520
<v Speaker 1>on more debt if we want to continue to paying

0:36:16.520 --> 0:36:19.640
<v Speaker 1>our bills. So that means more money printing ahead. That

0:36:19.719 --> 0:36:24.040
<v Speaker 1>means more loss of your purchasing power. That means higher prices,

0:36:24.400 --> 0:36:27.360
<v Speaker 1>and it only accelerates the law of diminishing returns. And

0:36:27.400 --> 0:36:31.520
<v Speaker 1>so we have bitcoin. Thank God for bitcoin. You're listening

0:36:31.520 --> 0:36:33.960
<v Speaker 1>to the Mark Maas Show. We've been talking about the

0:36:33.960 --> 0:36:37.520
<v Speaker 1>insanity and the unsustainability of the debt crisis and the

0:36:37.560 --> 0:36:39.759
<v Speaker 1>solutions that we have. That's what I got. Thanks so

0:36:39.840 --> 0:36:40.440
<v Speaker 1>much for listening.