WEBVTT - NFL Week 8 Predictions: Packers-Steelers, Commanders-Chiefs, Bears-Ravens, Broncos-Cowboys & more! 0:00:01.960 --> 0:00:04.400 Welcome in. We'll drive in the grand Episode three eighty three, 0:00:04.480 --> 0:00:10.520 our weekly Friday NFL gambling show where demand's two out 0:00:10.520 --> 0:00:14.600 of every three weeks gives you a winning teaser. I 0:00:15.000 --> 0:00:18.599 once a month give you a winning offer, but I 0:00:18.760 --> 0:00:21.800 only take it when it's a winner. Maybe three out 0:00:21.800 --> 0:00:24.599 of four weeks give you a winning touchdown prop and 0:00:24.680 --> 0:00:28.480 every single week give you five hundred picks. By five hundred, 0:00:28.520 --> 0:00:31.440 I just mean decidedly at five hundred, we're going to 0:00:31.520 --> 0:00:37.400 get hot. We have avoided the disaster weekend. We've just 0:00:37.520 --> 0:00:41.080 had a bunch of two and threes, a four and one, 0:00:41.159 --> 0:00:43.440 and a couple three and twos, which has led us 0:00:43.840 --> 0:00:46.519 to a seventeen and eighteen record for the season. This 0:00:46.600 --> 0:00:50.559 episode is brought to you by boost Mobile, and if 0:00:50.560 --> 0:00:52.600 we were doing straight to voicemail, that would also be 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:54.560 brought to you by boost Mobile. On Fridays, we don't 0:00:54.600 --> 0:00:56.960 do it. We do tell you about how we did 0:00:57.080 --> 0:01:00.600 last weekend, and all lines are brought to you by 0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:03.120 our friends at hard Rock bet Reminder. Everyone like rate 0:01:03.160 --> 0:01:07.520 subscribe review to the pod. I'll be honest, Demansey, I'm 0:01:07.560 --> 0:01:11.680 okay with this two and three because the losses were 0:01:11.840 --> 0:01:15.160 so ugly. Then I feel like I got a little lucky. 0:01:15.680 --> 0:01:19.360 So I had Tennessee plus seven against the Patriots. They 0:01:19.440 --> 0:01:22.800 started the game up seven nothing. I was feeling great. 0:01:23.240 --> 0:01:25.880 They then immediately went back to being the Titans cam 0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:28.880 wore just setting the ball on the ground. They get annihilated. 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:32.080 I had the Jets plus a point nap against Carolina. 0:01:32.480 --> 0:01:34.720 I knew that was a bad bet when I said 0:01:34.720 --> 0:01:37.119 to Deanna, who was sitting next to me in the 0:01:37.200 --> 0:01:40.840 second quarter, when Carolina scored a touchdown to go up 0:01:40.959 --> 0:01:44.200 ten to three, well that's over. She's like, what do 0:01:44.240 --> 0:01:46.000 you mean. I was like, well, the Jets can't score 0:01:46.040 --> 0:01:49.960 a touchdown. Obviously, at that point, my only hope was 0:01:50.040 --> 0:01:52.400 two field goals to make it a ten to nine loss. 0:01:52.480 --> 0:01:53.120 That was bad. 0:01:53.760 --> 0:01:59.240 Giants plus seven at Denver, easy easy winner. That should 0:01:59.280 --> 0:02:02.000 have been a money line. But Atlanta plus two at 0:02:02.040 --> 0:02:05.600 San Francisco all the Sharps had the Niners. I thought 0:02:05.600 --> 0:02:08.919 the Sharps were crazy. The Sharps were right. And then 0:02:08.960 --> 0:02:12.840 Seattle minus three against Houston, an easy, easy winner. So 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:17.440 two easy winners, three pretty bad losers puts us at 0:02:17.480 --> 0:02:21.480 seventeen and eighteen for the season. I'm okay with it. 0:02:21.520 --> 0:02:23.560 I don't think I deserve to be better than seventeen 0:02:23.600 --> 0:02:27.440 and eighteen. I will tell you this. The Thursday night 0:02:27.520 --> 0:02:33.240 game existing plus six teams being on a bye this 0:02:33.320 --> 0:02:37.840 week made this a very difficult slate to find. Five 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:42.040 games on a lot of huge spreads too, so this 0:02:42.200 --> 0:02:47.880 is a tough slate. I'm curious if Demons's teaser, for 0:02:47.960 --> 0:02:51.080 the first time maybe all year, is going to be 0:02:51.160 --> 0:02:55.600 teasing a favorite down instead of an underdog up. I 0:02:55.880 --> 0:03:00.040 don't know if you did or not that you you 0:03:00.120 --> 0:03:04.919 have been. Most people tease the exact opposite way you do. 0:03:05.600 --> 0:03:09.440 Most people take seven point favorites down to a pick them. 0:03:09.880 --> 0:03:12.440 You take seven point dogs and are like, give me 0:03:12.520 --> 0:03:16.640 more points. And I actually think your way is sharper, 0:03:17.000 --> 0:03:20.480 but it is unique, especially for someone who hasn't been 0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:22.880 doing it that long. I wonder if this week it changes. 0:03:22.919 --> 0:03:24.880 We'll find out in a minute. I also want to 0:03:24.919 --> 0:03:27.560 remind you today's shows brought to you by representing sponsor 0:03:27.639 --> 0:03:31.120 hard Rock Bet. It's always a great week to try 0:03:31.160 --> 0:03:35.160 hard Rock Bet sportsbook app, but especially this week. Game 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:39.360 one in baseball tonight, the NBA is back, and of 0:03:39.360 --> 0:03:42.520 course we're nearing the midway point of the NFL season. 0:03:42.560 --> 0:03:45.880 Speaking of football, I'm looking ahead to Monday night in 0:03:45.960 --> 0:03:49.040 Kansas City leagues on notice the Chiefs are the best 0:03:49.040 --> 0:03:51.080 team in football. 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Terms and 0:04:55.680 --> 0:04:59.400 conditions apply. Concern about gambling in Florida, call one. 0:04:59.400 --> 0:05:00.200 Eight to eight. 0:05:00.400 --> 0:05:03.039 Admit it. In Indiana, if you were someone you know 0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:05.679 as a gambling problem wants help, call one eight hundred 0:05:05.680 --> 0:05:08.640 and nine with it. Gambling problem called one eight hundred 0:05:08.680 --> 0:05:13.320 gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. 0:05:13.480 --> 0:05:17.719 All right, Cardinals, Lions, Jack's Raiders, Rams, Seahawks all on 0:05:17.839 --> 0:05:24.200 a by So we only have twelve games to go through. 0:05:24.839 --> 0:05:26.960 Seven stayaways, go ahead. 0:05:26.680 --> 0:05:31.440 Demonsey San Francisco at Houston, Houston's one point favorites. 0:05:33.000 --> 0:05:33.520 Go ahead. 0:05:33.720 --> 0:05:35.720 I thought about this one for the teaser. I didn't 0:05:35.720 --> 0:05:37.880 even want it. I didn't feel comfortable doing either side. 0:05:38.440 --> 0:05:41.880 I thought about teasing San Francisco up to like plus 0:05:41.920 --> 0:05:42.559 eight or nine. 0:05:44.240 --> 0:05:46.960 I would imagine, yeah, I look, he thought about teasing 0:05:47.000 --> 0:05:48.800 Houston up to the plus plus seven. 0:05:49.120 --> 0:05:50.839 Oh yeah, And like once. 0:05:50.680 --> 0:05:53.760 I I wouldn't have liked that leg as a teaser. 0:05:53.839 --> 0:05:56.560 I wouldn't have minded San Francisco because I just don't 0:05:56.560 --> 0:06:02.440 think Houston's gonna blow out anybody. I this was almost 0:06:02.480 --> 0:06:08.120 one of my five picks, but it wasn't because I 0:06:08.160 --> 0:06:13.760 here's what happened. I was like, you know what, San 0:06:13.800 --> 0:06:19.039 Francisco is so banged up and Houston looked so bad 0:06:19.120 --> 0:06:23.839 on Monday that no one's gonna be betting Houston. Houston 0:06:23.960 --> 0:06:27.240 is at some point. You know that Houston defense has 0:06:27.279 --> 0:06:30.200 been so good all year. Going up against a banged 0:06:30.240 --> 0:06:33.119 up Niners team, whether it's Party first came back from injury, 0:06:33.120 --> 0:06:35.760 another Mac Jones game, I think Houston gets the win. 0:06:37.120 --> 0:06:40.160 And then when I was looking at it more, the 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:41.560 more I looked at it, I was like, I think 0:06:41.640 --> 0:06:43.920 I like San Francisco. And so the fact that I 0:06:43.920 --> 0:06:46.400 almost picked either side, I was like, I'm staying away 0:06:46.400 --> 0:06:50.320 from it. Niner's great chance to get to six and two, 0:06:50.960 --> 0:06:55.320 Houston must win for Houston to have any chance of 0:06:55.360 --> 0:06:59.520 salvaging their season. Houston's defense is great, the offense is 0:06:59.680 --> 0:07:01.239 just trade. I'm staying away. 0:07:01.360 --> 0:07:05.640 Next one, Jets aid Cincinnati. Cincinnati six and a half 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:06.560 point favorites. 0:07:07.400 --> 0:07:13.600 So I almost took Cincinnati, but man, like are the 0:07:13.680 --> 0:07:18.600 Jet because I do think Flacco is playing well and 0:07:18.680 --> 0:07:22.800 they're gonna be throwing the ball around. But I also 0:07:22.880 --> 0:07:26.119 feel like laying a full touchdown with a Bengals team 0:07:26.680 --> 0:07:29.920 that as of a week ago hadn't won in a 0:07:30.120 --> 0:07:34.440 month felt foolish. I'm not betting on the Jets right 0:07:34.480 --> 0:07:37.720 now getting less than a touchdown. They're just so bad. 0:07:38.200 --> 0:07:41.320 I also don't know what their quarterback situation is, so 0:07:41.400 --> 0:07:42.320 I'm staying away. 0:07:42.560 --> 0:07:46.440 Next Cleveland at New England with New England's seven point favorites. 0:07:49.720 --> 0:07:54.800 I think the sharp side here is Cleveland because the 0:07:54.800 --> 0:08:00.840 Patriots haven't played a good defense yet. The Cleveland defense 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:05.640 obviously is great. The problem is Drake May is playing 0:08:05.640 --> 0:08:08.640 at such a high level. They do have a chance 0:08:08.680 --> 0:08:11.800 that they could jump out early on Cleveland, and if 0:08:11.800 --> 0:08:14.520 they get up fourteen to nothing, it just feels like 0:08:14.560 --> 0:08:18.400 the Bets just snap dead. That Cleveland has no path 0:08:19.040 --> 0:08:22.720 to back door cover to come back. Like their path 0:08:22.880 --> 0:08:26.800 is that this game is ten ten at halftime and 0:08:26.840 --> 0:08:30.040 it's you know, they keep it low scoring, they make 0:08:30.080 --> 0:08:32.920 it a long possessions game, run the ball, but if 0:08:32.920 --> 0:08:35.960 they get down early, this is not an offense that 0:08:36.040 --> 0:08:41.040 you're like, okay, even if I'm down seventeen at halftime. 0:08:41.600 --> 0:08:44.520 Maybe they you know, get a back door late cover. 0:08:44.640 --> 0:08:48.000 Cleveland just roll over and Gabriel can't throw the ball 0:08:48.080 --> 0:08:50.360 more than five yards down the field right now. So 0:08:50.400 --> 0:08:51.840 I stayed away from it. Next. 0:08:52.480 --> 0:08:56.360 Yeah, Giants at Philly, Philly seven and a half point favorites. 0:08:57.440 --> 0:09:00.280 I want it. I thought about the Giants long and hard, 0:09:01.040 --> 0:09:06.160 because divisional game, they just beat them all of the 0:09:06.360 --> 0:09:09.880 Philly even with hers having the perfect passer rating, only 0:09:10.000 --> 0:09:14.720 won by six. All of those things. My concern, demons 0:09:15.040 --> 0:09:19.240 is I need to see the Giants play a game 0:09:19.440 --> 0:09:24.040 post that Broncos loss, because it's possible that just murdered them. Yeah, 0:09:24.120 --> 0:09:27.840 it's possible that's their version of Caleb and the Bears 0:09:27.920 --> 0:09:31.840 hail Mary last year game against Washington. That it's just 0:09:31.840 --> 0:09:37.160 about to spiral entirely. And so I and if Philly 0:09:37.559 --> 0:09:40.520 Jalen looked so good in the last game, it's possible 0:09:40.559 --> 0:09:42.439 Philly comes out and it's just rolling. 0:09:42.840 --> 0:09:44.080 And they did just play them. 0:09:44.240 --> 0:09:47.200 I honestly thought them just playing the Eagles and beating 0:09:47.240 --> 0:09:48.960 them gave the Eagles a better chance. 0:09:49.000 --> 0:09:50.000 It's kind of cooking them in. 0:09:51.040 --> 0:09:54.720 It absolutely might, just on general principle I don't love 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:58.240 laying more than a touchdown in a divisional game, but 0:09:58.400 --> 0:10:01.880 the Giants might just be dead team walking, so I'm 0:10:01.960 --> 0:10:02.600 staying away. 0:10:02.640 --> 0:10:06.080 Next Buffalo at Carolina Carolina seven point dogs. 0:10:07.840 --> 0:10:13.360 Carolina has been good at home, just flatly. With that said, 0:10:14.200 --> 0:10:17.840 the Josh Allen has never lost a game off a bye, 0:10:18.080 --> 0:10:21.880 and the Bills have to have it, and so it 0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:26.040 feels like a game that Buffalo maybe is up twenty 0:10:26.080 --> 0:10:30.000 four to three at halftime. But I don't want to 0:10:30.120 --> 0:10:34.400 lay seven points on the road against a team that's 0:10:34.440 --> 0:10:36.800 been good at home, so I'm staying away from it. 0:10:36.920 --> 0:10:41.960 Next, we got Tennessee at Indy. Indy's fourteen point favorites. 0:10:44.120 --> 0:10:45.760 I almost bet the Colts. 0:10:46.640 --> 0:10:51.520 I'm you almost bet the Colts? I did. I mean, 0:10:51.559 --> 0:10:56.240 Tennessee's just been so putrid and the Colts offense has 0:10:56.240 --> 0:11:01.480 been so good. But fourteen points feels like an insane number. 0:11:02.120 --> 0:11:05.200 I mean, I think number. I I feel like the 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:08.600 in the off season, this game was gonna would have 0:11:08.640 --> 0:11:12.400 been like Indy by two and a half, right, or 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:14.480 Indy by three and a half, and now it's fourteen? 0:11:14.520 --> 0:11:16.439 All right, go ahead? Did you want to say something? 0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:20.160 No, Tennis, He's just really bad. I would really feel 0:11:20.200 --> 0:11:21.920 comfortable with taking it either. I didn't even put him 0:11:21.920 --> 0:11:24.520 in a teaser uh we got I would. 0:11:24.320 --> 0:11:27.800 Have considered, I would have considered teasing Indy to plus six. 0:11:28.360 --> 0:11:30.839 I would have considered that, you know what I mean, 0:11:30.880 --> 0:11:33.400 teasing him down. But I but it's probably smart, not 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:35.400 too all right. Last one Monday, I have. 0:11:35.400 --> 0:11:38.360 A football game. We got Washington at Kansas City. Another 0:11:38.360 --> 0:11:41.200 big spread, Kansas City twelve and a half point favorites. 0:11:41.400 --> 0:11:42.679 Just too many points. 0:11:43.240 --> 0:11:47.400 I also they covered last time, the same spread as 0:11:47.960 --> 0:11:48.720 the Raiders game. 0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:58.800 Yep, here is a shocking fact. And I could ask 0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:01.920 you to say it, but you you. I would think 0:12:02.040 --> 0:12:04.200 you have no chance of getting it, because no one 0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:08.000 will get this unless they're like really deep in the weeds, 0:12:08.000 --> 0:12:15.240 old school Chiefs fan. There are two active quarterbacks. Let 0:12:15.280 --> 0:12:17.160 me make sure I'm right about that. There's only two. 0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:20.000 Hold on that. I'm not forgetting anybody. 0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:26.679 So so there's Dan already knows me. 0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:30.000 Hold on, no, yeah, I bet he does. Yes, I'm 0:12:30.080 --> 0:12:36.720 right about this. There are two active quarterbacks who have 0:12:36.960 --> 0:12:42.120 beaten the Kansas City Chiefs in a playoff game. One 0:12:42.240 --> 0:12:46.079 is obviously Joe Burrow. Do you know who the other 0:12:46.120 --> 0:12:50.120 one is. Yeah, you do oh they told you? 0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:50.760 Well? 0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:54.400 No, I mean or you're deciphering it from the Yeah. 0:12:54.320 --> 0:12:56.800 No, I think it's a I think it's Marcus Mariota. 0:12:57.679 --> 0:13:02.880 It is Marcus Mariota. The last playoff game the Chiefs 0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:08.240 played without Patrick Mahomes as the starting quarterback was a 0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:12.960 playoff game. The Chiefs led twenty one to three on 0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:18.360 the Tennessee Titans and Marcus Mariota at home, and Marcus 0:13:18.360 --> 0:13:23.560 Mariota threw a touchdown pass to himself to beat the 0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:29.080 Chiefs and start the Mahomes Zerra Mark. So it's a 0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:33.920 revenge spot for the Chiefs and against Marcus Mariota. But 0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:35.880 I'm still not laying the twelve and a half. It's 0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:38.760 just too many points. All right. We will get to 0:13:38.800 --> 0:13:41.200 the five picks that I am going to make, But 0:13:41.360 --> 0:13:44.680 first let me tell you guys, as the holidays approach, 0:13:45.360 --> 0:13:49.640 get what you need to personalize your home with Wayfair 0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:52.880 shop holiday decor for every room in the house, whether 0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:56.400 it's Christmas trees, wreaths, or inflatables for the front yard. 0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:59.840 Wayfair's your one stop shop. 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You're taking Atlanta 0:15:14.800 --> 0:15:17.720 minus seven and a half against the Dolphins. 0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:21.239 You think I'm laying too many points, feel. 0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:24.600 I mean, with everything that's going on over there, I understand, 0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:27.160 but yeah, that is seven and a half is a 0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:28.000 lot with Atlanta. 0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:32.720 It's a lot with Atlanta. I understand. I get that. 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:36.400 I just think it's on the board that right now. 0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:43.040 The Dolphins are just done because here's the thing. They 0:15:43.080 --> 0:15:48.280 had been competing so Week one they got annihilated. But 0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.720 Week two they played a close game against the Patriots, 0:15:51.800 --> 0:15:54.960 led in the fourth quarter. Week three was the Thursday 0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:57.560 night game against Buffalo. It's tied in the fourth quarter. 0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:02.920 Week four they beat the Jets. Yes. Week five, uh, 0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:08.280 they play the Panthers. They I lose by three on 0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:15.600 a last minute touchdown. Week four that Chargers game that 0:16:16.800 --> 0:16:19.920 the Chargers I didn't kick a field goal at the 0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:23.360 gun to win it or close to the gun to 0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:27.680 win it. So they'd been right there. And then last 0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.800 week they lost thirty one to six, and Mike McDaniel 0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:37.280 is flustered and Tua was press conference yesterday. I mean, 0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:41.240 I mean, to is just doing these self roasts. 0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:48.080 I do think something's wrong? You think, yeah, do think 0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:48.880 something's wrong. 0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:52.600 I think something's wrong. So I just think Miami might 0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:57.480 just be done. And if they, they just got blown 0:16:57.520 --> 0:17:01.560 out by the Browns, and I just don't know that 0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:04.440 two is gonna be able to do with that Miami secondary. 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:07.880 And I do know that the Miami defense can't deal 0:17:07.920 --> 0:17:10.800 with Bijon all lay the seven and a half with Atlanta. 0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:14.800 Next you got Chicago plus six and a half at Baltimore. 0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:17.119 So I'm I don't know. It's still up in the air. 0:17:17.160 --> 0:17:19.040 If Lamar is coming back, it teams. 0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:24.280 Lamar, Lamar is gonna play. I mean, the Vegas hard 0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:25.240 Rocks certainly. 0:17:24.920 --> 0:17:27.200 Think that's what Hard Rock is saying with that spread. 0:17:27.520 --> 0:17:30.560 But I guess I you know this. The benefit is 0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:33.840 if for some reason Lamar doesn't play, then I love 0:17:33.960 --> 0:17:36.760 this side of it. But it's just as simple as 0:17:37.680 --> 0:17:40.480 the Ravens defense has not earned the right to be 0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:43.720 a touchdown favorite over anyone, much less a team that 0:17:43.800 --> 0:17:46.120 I think is what I think. I think the Bears 0:17:47.119 --> 0:17:50.199 have the coaching edge in this game. They certainly have 0:17:50.240 --> 0:17:52.800 the better defense, and up to this point in the season, 0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:54.320 they've had the better running back. 0:17:54.840 --> 0:17:58.240 So ping pong table's gone now, so yeah, might kick 0:17:58.280 --> 0:17:58.520 it up. 0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:02.080 A little pong table. It should be noted they took 0:18:02.119 --> 0:18:05.080 that ping pong table out after the Chiefs loss. The 0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:07.800 next game they played was the Texans, and they lost 0:18:07.840 --> 0:18:11.960 I think forty four to three. But I think Chicago 0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:17.200 could win outright and six and a half points. I 0:18:17.280 --> 0:18:19.159 just think the Ravens have not earned the right to 0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:22.000 be a touchdown favorite. So I'll take Chicago plus the 0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:22.680 six and a half. 0:18:22.760 --> 0:18:26.679 Next Tampa Bay minus three and a half at New Orleans. 0:18:27.119 --> 0:18:31.280 So this goes against a lot of my principles laying 0:18:31.320 --> 0:18:34.000 more than a field goal. Divisional matchup. New Orleans has 0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:39.080 been frisky adjacent after last week was terrible. However, Baker, 0:18:39.160 --> 0:18:41.680 evidently I didn't know this hates the Saints. 0:18:42.040 --> 0:18:43.680 He does, Yeah, I heard that. 0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:46.480 Yeah, he thinks that they like tried to hurt him 0:18:47.080 --> 0:18:52.960 and that they're dirty. That Tampa's coming off a tough loss, 0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:56.280 and I think Baker's going to try to pour it on. 0:18:56.960 --> 0:18:59.240 Yeah, so they could get any offense going. 0:18:59.520 --> 0:19:05.000 I'm sure correct so that this might be bad analysis, 0:19:05.359 --> 0:19:09.240 but that Baker press conference, I was like, Nope, I'm 0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:12.520 taking Tampa. It's as simple and Baker I think wants 0:19:12.520 --> 0:19:14.920 to get you know, get himself back near the top 0:19:14.960 --> 0:19:18.200 of that MVP hierarchy. I'll lay the three and a 0:19:18.200 --> 0:19:18.919 half with Tampa. 0:19:19.080 --> 0:19:22.040 Next, Dallas plus three and a half at Denver. 0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:28.240 Bonix and the Broncos have played ten games where the 0:19:28.320 --> 0:19:33.840 defense allows twenty just twenty. They're two and eight straight up. 0:19:34.640 --> 0:19:36.520 Do we think Dallas is going to be able to 0:19:36.560 --> 0:19:40.640 score twenty? I do. Dallas has been the most prolific 0:19:40.680 --> 0:19:44.720 offense in football. I don't think Denver can win a shootout, 0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:48.960 and so I'll take Dallas shootout. 0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:51.320 I'm not sure I'm riding with you on the pick, 0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:53.520 but I think Denver might be able to win in 0:19:53.600 --> 0:19:54.160 a shootout. 0:19:55.000 --> 0:19:57.320 I just don't think Denver can. I don't think Denver 0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:00.159 can score enough points it will. I know that they 0:20:00.160 --> 0:20:02.760 scored thirty three in the fourth quarter last week, but 0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:07.080 they have been so inept quarters one through three. I 0:20:07.320 --> 0:20:10.639 I Dallas is gonna be able to move the ball. 0:20:10.960 --> 0:20:14.120 I'm getting more than a field goal. And by the way, 0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:17.680 alert for everyone. I don't know what the weather's gonna 0:20:17.680 --> 0:20:21.120 be like. There here's a fun one, guys. See if 0:20:21.119 --> 0:20:26.440 you can find this prop for the offer Brandon Aubrey 0:20:27.680 --> 0:20:31.720 could kick a seventy yard field goal. It's in. It's 0:20:31.840 --> 0:20:35.240 at altitude we are gonna if the weather is Let 0:20:35.240 --> 0:20:38.600 me look real quick, what is the weather this weekend 0:20:38.600 --> 0:20:44.160 in Denver? As long as we have decent weather Denver 0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:48.760 on the air, yeah, the air is thinner and so 0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:55.000 the ball moves a right ten day. Gosh, darn it, 0:20:55.040 --> 0:21:03.280 all these ads stop it. Sunday in Denver, burn high 0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:12.480 of sixty nine, no wind. I I I am here 0:21:12.520 --> 0:21:17.800 to tell you Aubrey could hit the longest field goal 0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:21.080 in NFL history this weekend. It's on the board. I'll 0:21:21.119 --> 0:21:24.159 take Dallas plus three and a half last one Demonsey 0:21:24.680 --> 0:21:30.000 green Bay minus three at Pittsburgh. This is just I 0:21:30.000 --> 0:21:32.359 don't think Aaron plays his best in big spots. This 0:21:32.440 --> 0:21:35.000 is a really big spot. I think green Bay's due 0:21:35.160 --> 0:21:39.120 to look impressive. Green Bay has not looked impressive since 0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:46.960 week one. He has not looked impressive since week one, 0:21:48.000 --> 0:21:52.560 and so and they can listen. The only Aubrey props 0:21:52.600 --> 0:21:54.760 we can find are his number of field goal made 0:21:54.960 --> 0:21:57.440 or number of points. I don't want either one of those. 0:21:59.080 --> 0:22:03.200 But just what are the odds? Is there like a 0:22:03.400 --> 0:22:07.520 general prop bet like, will someone hit a seventy yard 0:22:07.600 --> 0:22:11.440 field goal this year? It doesn't even have to be 0:22:11.480 --> 0:22:13.760 Aubrey related, Like, I just think it's a real chance 0:22:13.840 --> 0:22:18.280 this weekend. I think green Bay's better than Pittsburgh. I 0:22:18.359 --> 0:22:23.120 think that I don't love laying points against Mike Tomlin 0:22:23.240 --> 0:22:28.160 in Pittsburgh, but I think green Bay's defense is gonna 0:22:28.200 --> 0:22:31.040 be able to disrupt Rogers timing. Some of that quick 0:22:31.080 --> 0:22:33.520 passing stuff isn't gonna work. And I just think green 0:22:33.640 --> 0:22:37.760 Bay is due for a statement game. Green Bay minus three. 0:22:37.960 --> 0:22:43.480 So my five picks two dogs, three favorites. Four road 0:22:43.600 --> 0:22:47.200 teams Atlanta laying seven and a half at home against Miami, 0:22:47.560 --> 0:22:50.440 Chicago getting six and a half in Baltimore, Tampa Bay 0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:53.240 laying three and a half in New Orleans, Dallas getting 0:22:53.280 --> 0:22:55.879 three and a half in Denver, and Green Bay laying 0:22:55.960 --> 0:23:00.360 three and a half laying three in Pittsburgh. Hey guys, 0:23:00.359 --> 0:23:02.920 you ever noticed how everything seems to be? It keeps 0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:06.080 going up. Rent's going up, streaming services going up, even 0:23:06.119 --> 0:23:10.320 your favorite burrito spots charging you extra for Salza. Boost Mobile, 0:23:10.600 --> 0:23:12.800 you and your phone don't have to play the will 0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:13.840 this go up soon? 0:23:13.960 --> 0:23:14.160 Game? 0:23:14.280 --> 0:23:17.720 Why? Because boost Mobile is unlimited talk, text and data 0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:20.560 plan at a price that will never go up. In fact, 0:23:20.840 --> 0:23:23.400 to the same price you'll pay for Life Switch now 0:23:23.800 --> 0:23:27.479 for unlimited wireless that'll never go up. Only at Boost 0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:31.440 Mobile after thirty gigs, customers may experience lower speeds. Customers 0:23:31.480 --> 0:23:33.560 will pay twenty dollars per month as long as they 0:23:33.680 --> 0:23:37.880 remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan. All right, Demon's 0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:42.879 last week's teaser was a tough one, especially given the 0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:47.840 leg that screwed you on it. Go ahead, tell the 0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:48.800 audience what it was. 0:23:49.680 --> 0:23:53.200 I should have taken the bait h C plus fifteen 0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:56.000 didn't cover plus. 0:23:55.840 --> 0:24:01.280 Fifteen thing what? I don't blame you and your other 0:24:01.400 --> 0:24:06.879 two were unbelievable. Indy plus ten against the Chargers. Indy 0:24:07.040 --> 0:24:10.520 wins by fourteen. You cover that one by twenty four points. 0:24:10.920 --> 0:24:14.879