Speaker 1: Welcome in. We'll drive in the grand Episode three eighty three,
Speaker 1: our weekly Friday NFL gambling show where demand's two out
Speaker 1: of every three weeks gives you a winning teaser. I
Speaker 1: once a month give you a winning offer, but I
Speaker 1: only take it when it's a winner. Maybe three out
Speaker 1: of four weeks give you a winning touchdown prop and
Speaker 1: every single week give you five hundred picks. By five hundred,
Speaker 1: I just mean decidedly at five hundred, we're going to
Speaker 1: get hot. We have avoided the disaster weekend. We've just
Speaker 1: had a bunch of two and threes, a four and one,
Speaker 1: and a couple three and twos, which has led us
Speaker 1: to a seventeen and eighteen record for the season. This
Speaker 1: episode is brought to you by boost Mobile, and if
Speaker 1: we were doing straight to voicemail, that would also be
Speaker 1: brought to you by boost Mobile. On Fridays, we don't
Speaker 1: do it. We do tell you about how we did
Speaker 1: last weekend, and all lines are brought to you by
Speaker 1: our friends at hard Rock bet Reminder. Everyone like rate
Speaker 1: subscribe review to the pod. I'll be honest, Demansey, I'm
Speaker 1: okay with this two and three because the losses were
Speaker 1: so ugly. Then I feel like I got a little lucky.
Speaker 1: So I had Tennessee plus seven against the Patriots. They
Speaker 1: started the game up seven nothing. I was feeling great.
Speaker 1: They then immediately went back to being the Titans cam
Speaker 1: wore just setting the ball on the ground. They get annihilated.
Speaker 1: I had the Jets plus a point nap against Carolina.
Speaker 1: I knew that was a bad bet when I said
Speaker 1: to Deanna, who was sitting next to me in the
Speaker 1: second quarter, when Carolina scored a touchdown to go up
Speaker 1: ten to three, well that's over. She's like, what do
Speaker 1: you mean. I was like, well, the Jets can't score
Speaker 1: a touchdown. Obviously, at that point, my only hope was
Speaker 1: two field goals to make it a ten to nine loss.
Speaker 2: That was bad.
Speaker 1: Giants plus seven at Denver, easy easy winner. That should
Speaker 1: have been a money line. But Atlanta plus two at
Speaker 1: San Francisco all the Sharps had the Niners. I thought
Speaker 1: the Sharps were crazy. The Sharps were right. And then
Speaker 1: Seattle minus three against Houston, an easy, easy winner. So
Speaker 1: two easy winners, three pretty bad losers puts us at
Speaker 1: seventeen and eighteen for the season. I'm okay with it.
Speaker 1: I don't think I deserve to be better than seventeen
Speaker 1: and eighteen. I will tell you this. The Thursday night
Speaker 1: game existing plus six teams being on a bye this
Speaker 1: week made this a very difficult slate to find. Five
Speaker 1: games on a lot of huge spreads too, so this
Speaker 1: is a tough slate. I'm curious if Demons's teaser, for
Speaker 1: the first time maybe all year, is going to be
Speaker 1: teasing a favorite down instead of an underdog up. I
Speaker 1: don't know if you did or not that you you
Speaker 1: have been. Most people tease the exact opposite way you do.
Speaker 1: Most people take seven point favorites down to a pick them.
Speaker 1: You take seven point dogs and are like, give me
Speaker 1: more points. And I actually think your way is sharper,
Speaker 1: but it is unique, especially for someone who hasn't been
Speaker 1: doing it that long. I wonder if this week it changes.
Speaker 1: We'll find out in a minute. I also want to
Speaker 1: remind you today's shows brought to you by representing sponsor
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Speaker 1: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia.
Speaker 1: All right, Cardinals, Lions, Jack's Raiders, Rams, Seahawks all on
Speaker 1: a by So we only have twelve games to go through.
Speaker 1: Seven stayaways, go ahead.
Speaker 3: Demonsey San Francisco at Houston, Houston's one point favorites.
Speaker 1: Go ahead.
Speaker 2: I thought about this one for the teaser. I didn't
Speaker 2: even want it. I didn't feel comfortable doing either side.
Speaker 1: I thought about teasing San Francisco up to like plus
Speaker 1: eight or nine.
Speaker 3: I would imagine, yeah, I look, he thought about teasing
Speaker 3: Houston up to the plus plus seven.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, And like once.
Speaker 1: I I wouldn't have liked that leg as a teaser.
Speaker 1: I wouldn't have minded San Francisco because I just don't
Speaker 1: think Houston's gonna blow out anybody. I this was almost
Speaker 1: one of my five picks, but it wasn't because I
Speaker 1: here's what happened. I was like, you know what, San
Speaker 1: Francisco is so banged up and Houston looked so bad
Speaker 1: on Monday that no one's gonna be betting Houston. Houston
Speaker 1: is at some point. You know that Houston defense has
Speaker 1: been so good all year. Going up against a banged
Speaker 1: up Niners team, whether it's Party first came back from injury,
Speaker 1: another Mac Jones game, I think Houston gets the win.
Speaker 1: And then when I was looking at it more, the
Speaker 1: more I looked at it, I was like, I think
Speaker 1: I like San Francisco. And so the fact that I
Speaker 1: almost picked either side, I was like, I'm staying away
Speaker 1: from it. Niner's great chance to get to six and two,
Speaker 1: Houston must win for Houston to have any chance of
Speaker 1: salvaging their season. Houston's defense is great, the offense is
Speaker 1: just trade. I'm staying away.
Speaker 3: Next one, Jets aid Cincinnati. Cincinnati six and a half
Speaker 3: point favorites.
Speaker 1: So I almost took Cincinnati, but man, like are the
Speaker 1: Jet because I do think Flacco is playing well and
Speaker 1: they're gonna be throwing the ball around. But I also
Speaker 1: feel like laying a full touchdown with a Bengals team
Speaker 1: that as of a week ago hadn't won in a
Speaker 1: month felt foolish. I'm not betting on the Jets right
Speaker 1: now getting less than a touchdown. They're just so bad.
Speaker 1: I also don't know what their quarterback situation is, so
Speaker 1: I'm staying away.
Speaker 3: Next Cleveland at New England with New England's seven point favorites.
Speaker 1: I think the sharp side here is Cleveland because the
Speaker 1: Patriots haven't played a good defense yet. The Cleveland defense
Speaker 1: obviously is great. The problem is Drake May is playing
Speaker 1: at such a high level. They do have a chance
Speaker 1: that they could jump out early on Cleveland, and if
Speaker 1: they get up fourteen to nothing, it just feels like
Speaker 1: the Bets just snap dead. That Cleveland has no path
Speaker 1: to back door cover to come back. Like their path
Speaker 1: is that this game is ten ten at halftime and
Speaker 1: it's you know, they keep it low scoring, they make
Speaker 1: it a long possessions game, run the ball, but if
Speaker 1: they get down early, this is not an offense that
Speaker 1: you're like, okay, even if I'm down seventeen at halftime.
Speaker 1: Maybe they you know, get a back door late cover.
Speaker 1: Cleveland just roll over and Gabriel can't throw the ball
Speaker 1: more than five yards down the field right now. So
Speaker 1: I stayed away from it. Next.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Giants at Philly, Philly seven and a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: I want it. I thought about the Giants long and hard,
Speaker 1: because divisional game, they just beat them all of the
Speaker 1: Philly even with hers having the perfect passer rating, only
Speaker 1: won by six. All of those things. My concern, demons
Speaker 1: is I need to see the Giants play a game
Speaker 1: post that Broncos loss, because it's possible that just murdered them. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it's possible that's their version of Caleb and the Bears
Speaker 1: hail Mary last year game against Washington. That it's just
Speaker 1: about to spiral entirely. And so I and if Philly
Speaker 1: Jalen looked so good in the last game, it's possible
Speaker 1: Philly comes out and it's just rolling.
Speaker 2: And they did just play them.
Speaker 3: I honestly thought them just playing the Eagles and beating
Speaker 3: them gave the Eagles a better chance.
Speaker 2: It's kind of cooking them in.
Speaker 1: It absolutely might, just on general principle I don't love
Speaker 1: laying more than a touchdown in a divisional game, but
Speaker 1: the Giants might just be dead team walking, so I'm
Speaker 1: staying away.
Speaker 3: Next Buffalo at Carolina Carolina seven point dogs.
Speaker 1: Carolina has been good at home, just flatly. With that said,
Speaker 1: the Josh Allen has never lost a game off a bye,
Speaker 1: and the Bills have to have it, and so it
Speaker 1: feels like a game that Buffalo maybe is up twenty
Speaker 1: four to three at halftime. But I don't want to
Speaker 1: lay seven points on the road against a team that's
Speaker 1: been good at home, so I'm staying away from it.
Speaker 3: Next, we got Tennessee at Indy. Indy's fourteen point favorites.
Speaker 2: I almost bet the Colts.
Speaker 1: I'm you almost bet the Colts? I did. I mean,
Speaker 1: Tennessee's just been so putrid and the Colts offense has
Speaker 1: been so good. But fourteen points feels like an insane number.
Speaker 1: I mean, I think number. I I feel like the
Speaker 1: in the off season, this game was gonna would have
Speaker 1: been like Indy by two and a half, right, or
Speaker 1: Indy by three and a half, and now it's fourteen?
Speaker 1: All right, go ahead? Did you want to say something?
Speaker 3: No, Tennis, He's just really bad. I would really feel
Speaker 3: comfortable with taking it either. I didn't even put him
Speaker 3: in a teaser uh we got I would.
Speaker 1: Have considered, I would have considered teasing Indy to plus six.
Speaker 1: I would have considered that, you know what I mean,
Speaker 1: teasing him down. But I but it's probably smart, not
Speaker 1: too all right. Last one Monday, I have.
Speaker 3: A football game. We got Washington at Kansas City. Another
Speaker 3: big spread, Kansas City twelve and a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: Just too many points.
Speaker 3: I also they covered last time, the same spread as
Speaker 3: the Raiders game.
Speaker 1: Yep, here is a shocking fact. And I could ask
Speaker 1: you to say it, but you you. I would think
Speaker 1: you have no chance of getting it, because no one
Speaker 1: will get this unless they're like really deep in the weeds,
Speaker 1: old school Chiefs fan. There are two active quarterbacks. Let
Speaker 1: me make sure I'm right about that. There's only two.
Speaker 1: Hold on that. I'm not forgetting anybody.
Speaker 3: So so there's Dan already knows me.
Speaker 1: Hold on, no, yeah, I bet he does. Yes, I'm
Speaker 1: right about this. There are two active quarterbacks who have
Speaker 1: beaten the Kansas City Chiefs in a playoff game. One
Speaker 1: is obviously Joe Burrow. Do you know who the other
Speaker 1: one is. Yeah, you do oh they told you?
Speaker 2: Well?
Speaker 1: No, I mean or you're deciphering it from the Yeah.
Speaker 2: No, I think it's a I think it's Marcus Mariota.
Speaker 1: It is Marcus Mariota. The last playoff game the Chiefs
Speaker 1: played without Patrick Mahomes as the starting quarterback was a
Speaker 1: playoff game. The Chiefs led twenty one to three on
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans and Marcus Mariota at home, and Marcus
Speaker 1: Mariota threw a touchdown pass to himself to beat the
Speaker 1: Chiefs and start the Mahomes Zerra Mark. So it's a
Speaker 1: revenge spot for the Chiefs and against Marcus Mariota. But
Speaker 1: I'm still not laying the twelve and a half. It's
Speaker 1: just too many points. All right. We will get to
Speaker 1: the five picks that I am going to make, But
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Speaker 1: all lines from hard Rock.
Speaker 2: Bet.
Speaker 1: I'm going to try not to overthink these. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: try I like all five of these. It's a tough
Speaker 1: slate that Some of them are in line with my
Speaker 1: general rules, some are a bit against. We're rolling with
Speaker 1: them anyway.
Speaker 3: Let's do them disaster striking to Miami. You're taking Atlanta
Speaker 3: minus seven and a half against the Dolphins.
Speaker 1: You think I'm laying too many points, feel.
Speaker 3: I mean, with everything that's going on over there, I understand,
Speaker 3: but yeah, that is seven and a half is a
Speaker 3: lot with Atlanta.
Speaker 1: It's a lot with Atlanta. I understand. I get that.
Speaker 1: I just think it's on the board that right now.
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are just done because here's the thing. They
Speaker 1: had been competing so Week one they got annihilated. But
Speaker 1: Week two they played a close game against the Patriots,
Speaker 1: led in the fourth quarter. Week three was the Thursday
Speaker 1: night game against Buffalo. It's tied in the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1: Week four they beat the Jets. Yes. Week five, uh,
Speaker 1: they play the Panthers. They I lose by three on
Speaker 1: a last minute touchdown. Week four that Chargers game that
Speaker 1: the Chargers I didn't kick a field goal at the
Speaker 1: gun to win it or close to the gun to
Speaker 1: win it. So they'd been right there. And then last
Speaker 1: week they lost thirty one to six, and Mike McDaniel
Speaker 1: is flustered and Tua was press conference yesterday. I mean,
Speaker 1: I mean, to is just doing these self roasts.
Speaker 2: I do think something's wrong? You think, yeah, do think
Speaker 2: something's wrong.
Speaker 1: I think something's wrong. So I just think Miami might
Speaker 1: just be done. And if they, they just got blown
Speaker 1: out by the Browns, and I just don't know that
Speaker 1: two is gonna be able to do with that Miami secondary.
Speaker 1: And I do know that the Miami defense can't deal
Speaker 1: with Bijon all lay the seven and a half with Atlanta.
Speaker 2: Next you got Chicago plus six and a half at Baltimore.
Speaker 2: So I'm I don't know. It's still up in the air.
Speaker 2: If Lamar is coming back, it teams.
Speaker 1: Lamar, Lamar is gonna play. I mean, the Vegas hard
Speaker 1: Rocks certainly.
Speaker 2: Think that's what Hard Rock is saying with that spread.
Speaker 1: But I guess I you know this. The benefit is
Speaker 1: if for some reason Lamar doesn't play, then I love
Speaker 1: this side of it. But it's just as simple as
Speaker 1: the Ravens defense has not earned the right to be
Speaker 1: a touchdown favorite over anyone, much less a team that
Speaker 1: I think is what I think. I think the Bears
Speaker 1: have the coaching edge in this game. They certainly have
Speaker 1: the better defense, and up to this point in the season,
Speaker 1: they've had the better running back.
Speaker 2: So ping pong table's gone now, so yeah, might kick
Speaker 2: it up.
Speaker 1: A little pong table. It should be noted they took
Speaker 1: that ping pong table out after the Chiefs loss. The
Speaker 1: next game they played was the Texans, and they lost
Speaker 1: I think forty four to three. But I think Chicago
Speaker 1: could win outright and six and a half points. I
Speaker 1: just think the Ravens have not earned the right to
Speaker 1: be a touchdown favorite. So I'll take Chicago plus the
Speaker 1: six and a half.
Speaker 2: Next Tampa Bay minus three and a half at New Orleans.
Speaker 1: So this goes against a lot of my principles laying
Speaker 1: more than a field goal. Divisional matchup. New Orleans has
Speaker 1: been frisky adjacent after last week was terrible. However, Baker,
Speaker 1: evidently I didn't know this hates the Saints.
Speaker 2: He does, Yeah, I heard that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he thinks that they like tried to hurt him
Speaker 1: and that they're dirty. That Tampa's coming off a tough loss,
Speaker 1: and I think Baker's going to try to pour it on.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so they could get any offense going.
Speaker 1: I'm sure correct so that this might be bad analysis,
Speaker 1: but that Baker press conference, I was like, Nope, I'm
Speaker 1: taking Tampa. It's as simple and Baker I think wants
Speaker 1: to get you know, get himself back near the top
Speaker 1: of that MVP hierarchy. I'll lay the three and a
Speaker 1: half with Tampa.
Speaker 2: Next, Dallas plus three and a half at Denver.
Speaker 1: Bonix and the Broncos have played ten games where the
Speaker 1: defense allows twenty just twenty. They're two and eight straight up.
Speaker 1: Do we think Dallas is going to be able to
Speaker 1: score twenty? I do. Dallas has been the most prolific
Speaker 1: offense in football. I don't think Denver can win a shootout,
Speaker 1: and so I'll take Dallas shootout.
Speaker 2: I'm not sure I'm riding with you on the pick,
Speaker 2: but I think Denver might be able to win in
Speaker 2: a shootout.
Speaker 1: I just don't think Denver can. I don't think Denver
Speaker 1: can score enough points it will. I know that they
Speaker 1: scored thirty three in the fourth quarter last week, but
Speaker 1: they have been so inept quarters one through three. I
Speaker 1: I Dallas is gonna be able to move the ball.
Speaker 1: I'm getting more than a field goal. And by the way,
Speaker 1: alert for everyone. I don't know what the weather's gonna
Speaker 1: be like. There here's a fun one, guys. See if
Speaker 1: you can find this prop for the offer Brandon Aubrey
Speaker 1: could kick a seventy yard field goal. It's in. It's
Speaker 1: at altitude we are gonna if the weather is Let
Speaker 1: me look real quick, what is the weather this weekend
Speaker 1: in Denver? As long as we have decent weather Denver
Speaker 1: on the air, yeah, the air is thinner and so
Speaker 1: the ball moves a right ten day. Gosh, darn it,
Speaker 1: all these ads stop it. Sunday in Denver, burn high
Speaker 1: of sixty nine, no wind. I I I am here
Speaker 1: to tell you Aubrey could hit the longest field goal
Speaker 1: in NFL history this weekend. It's on the board. I'll
Speaker 1: take Dallas plus three and a half last one Demonsey
Speaker 1: green Bay minus three at Pittsburgh. This is just I
Speaker 1: don't think Aaron plays his best in big spots. This
Speaker 1: is a really big spot. I think green Bay's due
Speaker 1: to look impressive. Green Bay has not looked impressive since
Speaker 1: week one. He has not looked impressive since week one,
Speaker 1: and so and they can listen. The only Aubrey props
Speaker 1: we can find are his number of field goal made
Speaker 1: or number of points. I don't want either one of those.
Speaker 1: But just what are the odds? Is there like a
Speaker 1: general prop bet like, will someone hit a seventy yard
Speaker 1: field goal this year? It doesn't even have to be
Speaker 1: Aubrey related, Like, I just think it's a real chance
Speaker 1: this weekend. I think green Bay's better than Pittsburgh. I
Speaker 1: think that I don't love laying points against Mike Tomlin
Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh, but I think green Bay's defense is gonna
Speaker 1: be able to disrupt Rogers timing. Some of that quick
Speaker 1: passing stuff isn't gonna work. And I just think green
Speaker 1: Bay is due for a statement game. Green Bay minus three.
Speaker 1: So my five picks two dogs, three favorites. Four road
Speaker 1: teams Atlanta laying seven and a half at home against Miami,
Speaker 1: Chicago getting six and a half in Baltimore, Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: laying three and a half in New Orleans, Dallas getting
Speaker 1: three and a half in Denver, and Green Bay laying
Speaker 1: three and a half laying three in Pittsburgh. Hey guys,
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Speaker 1: remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan. All right, Demon's
Speaker 1: last week's teaser was a tough one, especially given the
Speaker 1: leg that screwed you on it. Go ahead, tell the
Speaker 1: audience what it was.
Speaker 2: I should have taken the bait h C plus fifteen
Speaker 2: didn't cover plus.
Speaker 1: Fifteen thing what? I don't blame you and your other
Speaker 1: two were unbelievable. Indy plus ten against the Chargers. Indy
Speaker 1: wins by fourteen. You cover that one by twenty four points.
Speaker 1: Giants plus fifteen At Denver, Giants lose by one, but
Speaker 1: you were at one point covering that one. But you
Speaker 1: entered the third fourth quarter covering that one by thirty
Speaker 1: four points. Demonse the Titans one, they lose by if
Speaker 1: they just kick a field goal late.
Speaker 2: You push.
Speaker 1: They were up ten to three after the first quarter.
Speaker 2: You were.
Speaker 3: They got the new coach bump and there's just still
Speaker 3: trash like that, Yeah, a little bit of it.
Speaker 1: That's a good lucky one.
Speaker 3: This week we're doing a three team eight pointer plus
Speaker 3: one hundred. We're gonna be teasing Chicago up to fourteen
Speaker 3: and a half against the Ravens. We're teasing Indy down
Speaker 3: to six points Titans.
Speaker 1: I think smart one.
Speaker 3: I like that one a lot yea, and Andy takes
Speaker 3: care of the trash team, so I think we should
Speaker 3: be good there.
Speaker 2: And then Dallas up to plus eleven and a half
Speaker 2: against that Broncos defense.
Speaker 1: Listen, I'm a little the only one. I'm gonna give
Speaker 1: this a B plus. I think I like it.
Speaker 2: Indy.
Speaker 1: It would be a little bittersweet for you if your
Speaker 1: Ravens look unbelievable and just blow out Chicago and that
Speaker 1: costs you your teaser.
Speaker 2: That would be sad, But that's a win.
Speaker 3: That's a win, lose, lose, win, whatever you want to
Speaker 3: call it, because that'd be exciting because right now the
Speaker 3: Ravens are looking pretty dumb, so that would be nice.
Speaker 2: I would love to see them smack the Bears. Yep.
Speaker 1: But I I would have considered teasing the Niners up
Speaker 1: to plus nine, but I think that's a great teaser.
Speaker 1: All right, touchdown, Jeanie, I am. I'm gonna give you
Speaker 1: guys one this weekend.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: I think Travis scores. I think a lot a lot
Speaker 1: of focus on Rice Monday Night football, big moment. I
Speaker 1: think they get they try to get Travis in the
Speaker 1: end zone. Travis Kelcey plus one twenty anytime touchdown. So
Speaker 1: that's my touchdown, Jeannie. So last, I'm bummed about last
Speaker 1: week's offer because if you guys remember, you tried to
Speaker 1: get me to do bijon rushing yards and I was
Speaker 1: like no, because I think he's gonna be receiving more.
Speaker 1: So I did bijon total yards plus one or over
Speaker 1: one thirty. He had fifty two yard I'm sorry I did. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he had fifty two yards receiving, but only forty yards rushing,
Speaker 1: so it did not hit. What do we have this week?
Speaker 3: Uh, we're spending the block on that one that tends
Speaker 3: to cash the following week. So we're just gonna do
Speaker 3: the same thing. So this week we're gonna roll with
Speaker 3: b Jon Robinson. He's going up against the Dolphins. They
Speaker 3: suck bijon over one twenty five and a half rushing
Speaker 3: plus reception yards at minus one fifteen does that?
Speaker 1: Yes, there we go, because that's a big part of
Speaker 1: my Atlanta minus seven and a half pick. Is that.
Speaker 1: I think Bjon is gonna have a monster game month.
Speaker 1: All right, congrats or thanks Demonse, thanks to Volume, thanks
Speaker 1: to Blue Dock, thank you to hard Rock, thank you
Speaker 1: to Booze, thank you to Wayfair, and thank you, of
Speaker 1: course to our friends at ZENA good luck. Everybody heads
Speaker 1: on a swivel out there in them gambling streets will
Speaker 1: be it sports betting or being involved in high stakes
Speaker 1: NBA poker games. Head on a swivel. Everybody talk to
Speaker 1: you guys soon. What's right