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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?

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Speaker 3: I've got five dollars?

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Speaker 1: This is a ratable lep hoping the track.

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Speaker 3: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 3: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, that mistake.

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Speaker 3: Prone the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless theirs. What's up? Everyone?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 3: In Fantasy As I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and this

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Speaker 3: is your NFL Week five player Projections episode, as always,

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Speaker 3: joined by one of the most accurate player projectors in

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Speaker 3: the game, the odds maker Sean Kerner. Sean, what's going on?

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Speaker 1: It's up. I can't believe it's already Week five, but

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Speaker 1: something is happening this week where I actually love it.

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Speaker 1: We have bye weeks.

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Speaker 3: Yeah right.

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Speaker 1: I always feel like there's not enough time to dive

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Speaker 1: into every matchup, so just having some relief of like

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Speaker 1: two or three less matchups to look into really allows

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Speaker 1: me to dive in you as well, like dive in

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Speaker 1: even more to these games. So I kind of love

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Speaker 1: having these bi weeks, can like focus on these games

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Speaker 1: more too bad. You know the handful of fantasy players

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Speaker 1: that are out this week because of the bye weeks.

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Speaker 1: But again, it makes us dive a little bit deeper

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Speaker 1: into the playerpool things like that. But I love when

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Speaker 1: bye weeks start.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I think it's a it's a pretty interesting

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Speaker 3: week because, yeah, you got bye weeks. You have some

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Speaker 3: backfield situations in flux, you know, some emerging emerging rookie quarterbacks,

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Speaker 3: and just a lot of a lot of interesting stuff

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Speaker 3: going on this week, even though a couple of teams

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Speaker 3: are off. So we'll jump into each position our top

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Speaker 3: five who are high and low on our props. Before

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Speaker 3: we get into it, just want to quickly remind everyone

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Speaker 3: all of our fantasy football content available right now. We're

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Speaker 3: at Fantasy labs dot com. You can find our award

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Speaker 3: winning rankings and projections, tools and more Fantasy labs dot com.

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Speaker 3: All right, quarterback Top five Week five, we got.

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels. That is a tier.

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Speaker 1: They're all within likeero point one points of each other.

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Speaker 1: That's just how friggin good Jade Daniels is now then

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Speaker 1: a pretty big drop off Rock Purty C. J. Stroud.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I got Jackson, Allen Daniels, Purty, Joe Burrow, but

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Speaker 3: it's not actually for me, it's not a big drop

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Speaker 3: off I have. I have Jackson like almost a point

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Speaker 3: over a point higher than everyone else, but then Purty

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Speaker 3: and Burrow they're right there. I mean, I'm like, it's

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Speaker 3: probably maybe because it's early in the week and I

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Speaker 3: have my that game, that Ravens Bengals game I haven't

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Speaker 3: projected pretty high.

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Speaker 1: I gotta go look at that.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, right now, I like, I like the matchup

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Speaker 3: for Jackson, but Perdy, I mean, I feel like every

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Speaker 3: week I'm mad I didn't bet his past. I feel

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Speaker 3: like every week is just a passing yard over, like

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Speaker 3: every single week. Oh yeah, the books, I think they're

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Speaker 3: implying too much regression because like every week I look

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Speaker 3: at his passing yards proper and I'm like, over it

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Speaker 3: by like twenty five and I'm like, something, I must

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Speaker 3: be bugging or something, and maybe these injuries or whatever.

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Speaker 3: Juwan Jennings catches eighty yards eighty yard passes and shit.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm gonna leave it this week. But Purdy

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Speaker 3: is in a great match up against Arizona, so I wouldn't. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: he's just he's a deserving top five candidate. But who

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Speaker 3: are you high on?

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Speaker 1: Who am I high on? Well? I mean this might

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Speaker 1: tell him, like I might be the one who's high

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Speaker 1: right now that I'm on Trevor Lawrence of all people.

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Speaker 1: At home against the Colts. Great matchup for him, But

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Speaker 1: he's off to rough start this year. You know, the

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Speaker 1: Jaggars are owned four. He's been held below two hundred

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Speaker 1: yards in three or four games, hasn't cleared ten or

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Speaker 1: more rushing yards in three or four games. But I

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Speaker 1: think he could offer you know, sneaky quarterback one value

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Speaker 1: this week. Like I said, this is a great matchup

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Speaker 1: against the Colts. We saw justin Fields just shred them

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Speaker 1: apart this week for his best game of the season.

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Speaker 1: You know, the Drivers have the fifth highest team total

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Speaker 1: of the week and Lawrence might be getting you know,

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Speaker 1: his top tight end, Evan Ingram back. Still think he

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Speaker 1: should be throwing to Brian Thomas junior a ton so

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Speaker 1: he opens the week is my QB twelve Again, we

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Speaker 1: have four teams on by this week where two of

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Speaker 1: those quarterbacks might have been ranked higher than Lawrence, So

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Speaker 1: he's kind of getting a bump from that, but I

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Speaker 1: think this is the week where if he can't produce

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Speaker 1: this week, he's probably dropable if you're still in a

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Speaker 1: deeper league and you have him. But I think that

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Speaker 1: this is the week where he'll break out and have

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Speaker 1: a pretty good game. So he's my QB twelve open

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Speaker 1: in the week.

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Speaker 3: Who man, Yeah, I don't know. I don't know. I

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Speaker 3: have him KB fifteen, So I'm kind of kind of

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Speaker 3: in that same vicinity. Every one's close, but uh, I don't,

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Speaker 3: I don't. Is he Okay? I feel like we've been

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Speaker 3: talking about this guy for for years now. It's like, Okay,

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Speaker 3: he's getting a little unlucky. He's gonna break out any moment.

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Speaker 3: But he every time I watch the Jaguars every week,

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Speaker 3: they just look listless like that.

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Speaker 1: He I don't know what it is. It's just something

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Speaker 1: he got paid, so he better be in the draft classes.

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Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts, I feel like he's another guy we keep

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Speaker 1: making excuses for. But I agree, Yeah, if you can't

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Speaker 1: get it done this week, then it's not happening from

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Speaker 1: this year.

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Speaker 3: He's like Daniel Jones with good hair. Yeah, wow, seriously.

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Speaker 1: What is he? Buyer cumps this week. Yeah, what do

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Speaker 1: they do?

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Speaker 3: What is he doing that?

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones isn't at this point. I just you know,

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Speaker 1: it's slow to get past catching talent too. That is

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Speaker 1: not an excuse for him either.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, No, it's it's it's it's always a disappointment. It's

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Speaker 3: just it's getting frustrated at this point. Uh, Justin Fields,

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Speaker 3: for me, he is my QB six, just outside my

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Speaker 3: top five. Depending on where I end up with my

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Speaker 3: game projection for that Bengals Ravens game, he might end

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Speaker 3: up in my top five. But Justin Fields, you know,

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Speaker 3: talked about him on the other pod, the Waivers pod

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Speaker 3: as well. But through for over three hundred last week,

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Speaker 3: he's completing seventy percent of his passes. He's running, he

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Speaker 3: might have to run more. I mean, all the Steelers

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Speaker 3: running backs seem like they're banged up at this point.

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Speaker 3: I think Patterson left the game, Warren still banged up.

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Speaker 3: Nause is kind of up and down. So I think

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Speaker 3: Justin Fields continues to be the centerpieces of offense. I

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Speaker 3: think he's getting more comfortable throwing to George Pickens and

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Speaker 3: throwing to Pat Fryermouth, the two best weapons on that offense.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, like Justin Fields and Cowboys, we don't know

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Speaker 3: what's going on with Michael Parsons, so good spot for Fields.

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Speaker 3: Pittsburgh actually a home favorite against the Cowboys. So like

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Speaker 3: the spot for Justin, who are.

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Speaker 1: You low on, I'm low on the other quarterback in

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Speaker 1: that game, Dak Prescott, who opens with his my QB sixteen.

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Speaker 1: This is just a tougher spot to trust Dak, you know,

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Speaker 1: as just the Cowboys offense and himself tend to be

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Speaker 1: way better at home than on the road, So this

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Speaker 1: is just a tough spot in Pittsburgh, you know. And

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Speaker 1: the Steelers have been using Joey Porter Junior to really

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Speaker 1: shadow top wide receivers, so you know, with the clear

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Speaker 1: top wide receiver here in Ceedee Lamb, that could hurt

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Speaker 1: them even more, although I do think they'll be able

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Speaker 1: to move him around enough to really avoid that much

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Speaker 1: matchup if possible. But either way, you know, Dak's more

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Speaker 1: of a mid range QB two. This is the kind

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Speaker 1: of the problem of drafting him is there's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a lot of weeks where he has a tougher matchup,

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Speaker 1: where there's gonna be guys widely available that you know,

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Speaker 1: we're ranking higher than him, like a justin field. So

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Speaker 1: this is a week where if you have him, probably

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Speaker 1: have to bench him, use somebody else whereas you know,

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Speaker 1: he's gonna have better matchups at home or he could

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Speaker 1: be a top ten play. But this week, like I said,

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Speaker 1: he's outside my top fifteen since he's at Pittsford. Oh,

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Speaker 1: he's actually my QB twelve. So I'm a little bit

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Speaker 1: higher on him than you.

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Speaker 3: I just have his the Cowboys path volume, it's their

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Speaker 3: pass rate over expected is pretty high.

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Speaker 1: So I just have him thrown am out every week.

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Speaker 3: That's that's that tends to be how Dak gets there, right,

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Speaker 3: Just it doesn't look pretty, but he throws a lot.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I definitely get it. I have a lot

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Speaker 3: of respect for this the Steeler defense. So he might

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Speaker 3: end up a little bit lower by the end of

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Speaker 3: the week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Uh.

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Speaker 3: For me, it's Kyler Murray. He's the ECRQB six, He

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Speaker 3: is my QB ten at San Francisco. I just I'm

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Speaker 3: not there with the consistency for Murray anymore. You know,

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Speaker 3: sometimes he looks really good and then you look up

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Speaker 3: and he just doesn't have any stats. Like I thought

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Speaker 3: he looked pretty good in the Detroit game and uh

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Speaker 3: like two hundred and seven yards passing. He's been held

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Speaker 3: at two oh seven or fewer three out of the

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Speaker 3: four games, one passing touchdown in three of the four games,

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Speaker 3: and you know, the rushing production still no touchdowns on

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Speaker 3: the ground.

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Speaker 1: It's been been pretty decent.

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Speaker 3: The first three games, fifty nine forty five, but then

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Speaker 3: there's three rushing yards last week and one hundred and

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Speaker 3: forty two passing yards. I mean, this guy's just unreliable.

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Speaker 3: And now you're going to San Francisco. I know the

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Speaker 3: Niners defense is it, you know, at full strength and

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Speaker 3: what it was, and it's you know, heyday or it's

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Speaker 3: what it is at its peak, but I just I

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Speaker 3: still don't love this matchup for Ky where it's just

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Speaker 3: something's another guy where it's like something's not something never

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Speaker 3: quicks fully with him. I thought maybe just kind of

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Speaker 3: the injury derailed him last year and he would really

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Speaker 3: hit it stride in this offense with Marvin Harrison, and

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Speaker 3: you saw you started to see glimpses in Week two

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Speaker 3: against the Rams, but turns out that was just because

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Speaker 3: the Rams were just the Rams super banged up on defense.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, it hasn't been pretty. So he's still a

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Speaker 3: top ten guy, but he's a fringe. He's a kind

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Speaker 3: of a fringe guy. There's a chance that, you know,

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Speaker 3: you might want to look somewhere else, putting on how

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Speaker 3: the week shapes up.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and this is all before call of Duty comes out,

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Speaker 1: which is typically bank on you know, top top five.

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Speaker 3: Per oh Man. Yeah, don't love it? All right, prop quarterback?

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Speaker 1: Prop? What do you got? All right? This will be

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Speaker 1: a fun one. I think you might have this closer

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Speaker 1: coin flip as well. But who's going to have more

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Speaker 1: fancy points this week? And you know standard four points

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Speaker 1: for passing touchdown type of leagues? Pastor Mahomes or Justin Fields?

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Speaker 3: Okay, that's that's not even like I mean it's Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 3: He's a beast, but I mean, yeah, I have Fields

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Speaker 3: or do you have point point over a point higher?

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Speaker 1: So that point higher? Wow?

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Speaker 3: I mean fantass that's it?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, yeah, No, you have the Homes rank then

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Speaker 1: because you said Fields is in your top seven.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he's my QUB six, Mahomes is my QB nine, Okay,

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Speaker 3: all right, yeah, yeah, and I might actually move him

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Speaker 3: down because I could see, uh yeah, I could. I

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Speaker 3: got Geno below him, he might need to jump up.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, there's I was considering like making Fields like

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Speaker 1: a half point favorite, but I felt it was easier

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Speaker 1: just to go straight up for a potential shit start decision.

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Speaker 1: So you're saying, start Fields over Mahomes.

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Speaker 3: You won your Mahomes under right, like he just got out,

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Speaker 3: he just finished under right.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, I've I've been projecting Mahomes pretty

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Speaker 1: low now yeah, and now he's without Rashid Rice, So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm low on Mahomes too. But I think there's somebody

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Speaker 1: out there that has Patrick Mahomes. They're going to add

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Speaker 1: Justin Fields this week, and they're gonna think, am I

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Speaker 1: really starting Justin Fields over Patrick Mahomes? And the answer

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Speaker 1: is yes, Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I mean New Orleans, like you mentioned, is a very

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Speaker 3: good defense. I think you were talking about that on

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Speaker 3: the on the Waiver pod. So it's not even just

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Speaker 3: I mean Dallas, you know, under normal circumstances, I think

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Speaker 3: would be a little more intimidating, but you know, just

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Speaker 3: the way things are kind of shaping up, especially with

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Speaker 3: Michael Parsons is out, It's it's just yeah, gotta go

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Speaker 3: with uh pretty I mean with fields.

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Speaker 1: Though.

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Speaker 3: It was encouraging to have we see Mahomes on court

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Speaker 3: the uh, the longest deep ball of his career to

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Speaker 3: save your worthy.

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Speaker 1: Pa.

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Speaker 3: I know, I was like, oh man, that's how you

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Speaker 3: know everything is going your way? And and and of

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Speaker 3: course you got the you got you got the Uh

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Speaker 3: what was it like? Was forty five?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Well?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? Was that? Was that a touchdown early on? I

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Speaker 1: mean you what, Yeah, you have the under onund A

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Speaker 1: passing cards prop. You don't mind earlier production. You want

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Speaker 1: them to get up. But the chargers went up. Yep, yep. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: who I survived. I think I got lucky on that one.

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Speaker 1: But I'll take it all right.

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Speaker 3: Running back Top five Week five we got.

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Speaker 1: I haven't even looked yet. This is gonna like be

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Speaker 1: surprising for even me.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 1: Kyen Williams number one, Wow, Alvin Kamara, Jordan Mason, Derrick

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Speaker 1: Henry and Aaron Jones.

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Speaker 3: I got Jordan Mason number one after Jeremy McNichols just

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Speaker 3: ran wild on this supposedly improved Carle run defense. Uh

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Speaker 3: him number one, Kyron number two Port went out for

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Speaker 3: Blake Rum.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 3: Derek the King number three, Kamara number.

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Speaker 1: Four, and.

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Speaker 3: My guy Kenny Walker number five. That's updating the for

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Speaker 3: the Monday night just before he got on air.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he jumped up.

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Speaker 3: He got three touchdowns on that game, I guess, a

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Speaker 3: very good h.

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Speaker 1: Defense, one of the most incredible. I guess it was

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Speaker 1: a reception. But when Anzelone tried to tackle him and

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Speaker 1: he rolled off of him like twice, yep. Yeah, he

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Speaker 1: looked good toioth Walker looked. I did bet on his

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Speaker 1: under rushing yards, but yeah, he crushed. That looks as

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Speaker 1: good as ever. Yeah, he's my running back eight, so

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Speaker 1: maybe once I update after that game, he could be

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Speaker 1: my top five as well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Like I think we were talking about this preseason,

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Speaker 3: but it's like he's just good man. It's like, I

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Speaker 3: feel like you kind of fear that Algier thing happening

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Speaker 3: with him and sharbon A and Charpne. You know, he

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Speaker 3: does mix in, but Kenny Walker is just Yeah, he

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Speaker 3: looks like the way Bijon should look more consistently, honestly yep.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And that's why I was kind of pissed sharbon

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Speaker 1: A ended up in Seattle, because I'm like, the hell

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Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker is really good. We have one of the

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Speaker 1: best backups now sitting behind Kenneth Walker, kind of like

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Speaker 1: the guy you just mentioned, Blake Horem, just rotting away

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Speaker 1: on that depth chart. I wouldn't say it's over for him.

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Speaker 1: If Kyen went miss his time, I'm guessing we'll see

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Speaker 1: something annoying like Ronnie Rivers or Sevin Darryl Henderson junior

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Speaker 1: come back out of retirement spots start like mcmann's gonna

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Speaker 1: do something infuriating. But there's still a shot that Blake

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Speaker 1: Korham could have a spot start to rest the season.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, pour one out for Blake Orm either way.

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Speaker 1: The trade, the trade Houston for cam Akers back and healthy.

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Speaker 1: That's it, right there, You nailed it. That's exactly what's

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Speaker 1: going to happen. Who are you high on Cuba Hubbard again?

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Speaker 1: This week? It feels like I'm like, his rank keeps

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Speaker 1: going higher and hire my projections every week. He's up

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Speaker 1: to RB eleven now, just continue to see his role

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Speaker 1: grow last week, had another one hundred plus yard rushing

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Speaker 1: game and his score last week. And typically whenever I

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Speaker 1: see at Chicago like last season, I would, you know,

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Speaker 1: really throttle down their efficiency. But this year. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what's going on there, but the run defense has

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Speaker 1: been a little bit more porous. They rank thirtieth and

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Speaker 1: run defensive dv AWA. So I'm expecting another solid game

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Speaker 1: from Hubbard here. I guess the question is, like what

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Speaker 1: do you do with him long term? Because you know,

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Speaker 1: Jonathan Brooks might be returning in a couple of weeks,

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Speaker 1: who knows, But like, I don't even know if you

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Speaker 1: should necessarily sell high on Hubbard. I think if you

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Speaker 1: have him, he just kind of enjoy the ride and

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Speaker 1: uh if and when Brooks returns or makes his debut,

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Speaker 1: we'll go from there. But I'm really liking what I

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Speaker 1: see from Hubbard right now, and like I said, he's

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Speaker 1: a low end RB one for me this week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I expected this, Like we were talking

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Speaker 3: about this all off season.

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Speaker 1: Cuba.

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Speaker 3: Hubbard is back to owning Carolina at this point. I

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Speaker 3: don't can you You can't really just mention for Brooks,

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Speaker 3: right you know, if you're Carolina and we just got

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Speaker 3: some word that Brooks isn't going to open his practice

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Speaker 3: window yep, so you know they're like we talked about this.

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Speaker 3: There there's gonna be a no rush to get this

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Speaker 3: guy on the field, and now with Hubbard playing well,

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Speaker 3: it's even more so.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I and Brooks. Yet when you were talking

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Speaker 1: about that, Brooks was being drafted inside the top thirty

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Speaker 1: whomen we knew he was missing at least four games.

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Speaker 1: And again he's I would say he's the best running

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Speaker 1: back from this year's class, but it just might not

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Speaker 1: come to fruition this year. So I agree, Like, if

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Speaker 1: you have Hubbard, I don't know if you're going to

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Speaker 1: get a fair price for him anyway. So people have

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Speaker 1: been asking me about that. I would just write it out.

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Speaker 1: Sell Brooks before he comes back. What are you doing

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Speaker 1: with him?

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Speaker 3: If you got him stash and eye try to trade him? Yeah,

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Speaker 3: you might end up like bro we know, yeah that's true.

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Speaker 1: I mean I would probably be interested in buying him

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Speaker 1: at some point, but yeah, like as of now, it's

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Speaker 1: it's a little bit tougher. Sell the other running back.

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Speaker 1: I'm high on. I'll make this quick. This might be

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Speaker 1: a fresh wound for you.

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Speaker 3: But oh my god, the bumble and heard us. I

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Speaker 3: hope he's okay.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, So I mean that was that was brutal. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that was brutal, And like it was a very scary

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Speaker 1: back injury. I hope he's okay, Like seems like he'll

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Speaker 1: miss this week, potentially longer and apparently corning to Scott Hansen,

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Speaker 1: it's pronounced Biday. That's yeah the day, Yeah, the day.

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Speaker 1: Well that came from Tyler Bidet himself, so I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: start calling him Tyler Bidet. But you know, once he

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Speaker 1: left the game, you know, the Broncos running game got

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Speaker 1: back on track this week with Javante leading the way.

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Speaker 1: You know, ran for seventy seven yards, so with no

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Speaker 1: real like RB three in the mix, with you know,

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Speaker 1: estimate and ir this Blake Watson guy you keep talking about.

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Speaker 1: I agree, I don't think he's going to see a

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Speaker 1: touch this week. So it's you know, give me Javante

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Speaker 1: leading the way this week. They're slight home favorites this

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Speaker 1: week against the Raiders, so Javante opens the week as

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Speaker 1: my RB twenty four, assuming the day's out this week.

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Speaker 3: No, man, I just can't, I can't. I can't get

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Speaker 3: behind Javante still like he had seventy seven yards on

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Speaker 3: sixteen carries in that game, but like that's his only

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Speaker 3: good game and of like the past fifteen I just

378
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Speaker 3: feel like regression to the mean. And now I think

379
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Speaker 3: I think he's going to revert right back to to

380
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Speaker 3: be in like eleven for seventeen or something like that.

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Speaker 1: Like trust him, I.

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Speaker 3: Don't trust it. Yeah, I mean I might just be

383
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Speaker 3: salty because of that, but no, I really don't. I

384
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Speaker 3: was down on him. I wrote him up as a

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Speaker 3: guy that I was down on heading into the year,

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Speaker 3: and he just yeah he really. I mean even last week,

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Speaker 3: I mean what, Okay, it was like a no one.

388
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:39,200
Speaker 3: No one was like bo Nick's like negative passing yards. Okay,

389
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Speaker 3: Javont is gonna stack up some rushing yards shore. But

390
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Speaker 3: I think he's dicey. I would I would try to

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Speaker 3: sell him if you can honestly.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, I mean that that would be an option.

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Speaker 1: I maybe wait after this week they do play the

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Speaker 1: Raiders at home. The Raiders run defense has been pretty shaky,

395
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Speaker 1: so I agree. I don't think Javonte is, like, you know,

396
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Speaker 1: now a league winner or anything. But then it's like

397
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Speaker 1: RB three flex range. There's just a lot of you know,

398
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Speaker 1: turnover and backups and things like that. So this is

399
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Speaker 1: a rare occurrence for me too, that javontees even inside

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Speaker 1: my top thirty, let alone my top twenty five. So

401
00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:17,639
Speaker 1: as of now with my raw you know, initial spicy projections,

402
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Speaker 1: he's my RB twenty four.

403
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Speaker 3: That last game, yeah, he had four point eight yards

404
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Speaker 3: per carry. It was the first time in first time

405
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Speaker 3: in fourteen games that he averaged over four yards of carry.

406
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Speaker 3: He was he's been under three point nine, he's been

407
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Speaker 3: under three point nine and all the other games with yeah,

408
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 3: he hadn't still had to score touchdown on the year.

409
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Speaker 3: McLaughlin was getting the bow line work.

410
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Speaker 1: It's yeah, yeah, the one knock is like, probably not

411
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Speaker 1: going to get easy touchdown scores, but volume is king,

412
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Speaker 1: So give me, give me fifteen inefficient rush attempts over

413
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Speaker 1: like you know, Zach Sharpenne's very solid. Five touches he's

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Speaker 1: gonna get this week.

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Speaker 3: Derek Henry just one one carry first to carry the game,

416
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Speaker 3: boom fifteen to fifteen fans, sixteen forty points or something.

417
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Speaker 1: Yeah, he looks so good.

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Speaker 3: I am high on Kareem Hunt.

419
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Speaker 1: He is my RB sixteen.

420
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Speaker 3: He's the ECR twenty four, and I just think that

421
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 3: he is taking over his backfield. I mean, we saw

422
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 3: Carson Steele fumble and really not carry the ball after that.

423
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Speaker 3: He is a full back, and you know they tried

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Speaker 3: with him, but the fact that they called up Hunt

425
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 3: and released Caontay Ingram meant, you know, they really were

426
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,160
Speaker 3: envisioning a role for Kareem Hunt. You know, it's because

427
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 3: he's not a guy that's going to play special teams

428
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Speaker 3: or anything like that. So this week, I think he

429
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Speaker 3: just takes full control of that backfield from the jump.

430
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Speaker 3: We're already seeing beat reports that he's likely to start,

431
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Speaker 3: which you know, after he got fourteen carries for sixty

432
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Speaker 3: nine yards and two catches for sixteen. I think he's

433
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Speaker 3: essentially in that Pacheco rope. Pee Ryan is in the

434
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,920
Speaker 3: McKinnon role, and Carson Steele just kind of be the

435
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,000
Speaker 3: change of pace. But I don't think they trust him.

436
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,199
Speaker 3: He's what is that his third second or third fumble

437
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:07,120
Speaker 3: lost this year?

438
00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 1: At least second?

439
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, second, So yeah, it's I think Hunt is

440
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 3: a play this week. I know New Orleans is a

441
00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 3: pretty good defense, but you're still a home favorite. You

442
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:25,160
Speaker 3: still got Patrick Mahomes and Xavier Worthy and Travis Kelcey

443
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,359
Speaker 3: to worry about. So I liked the spot for Hunt

444
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 3: and another guy that's popping in my motto is DeAndre

445
00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:37,880
Speaker 3: Swift as a top fifteen running back. He was kind

446
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:39,920
Speaker 3: of everyone was kind of down on him last week

447
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:43,920
Speaker 3: and then he they kind of switched it up. Waldron

448
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 3: was taking advice from the players, and they switched their

449
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 3: run scheme up a little bit, and Swift really got going.

450
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,480
Speaker 3: The run blocking was really good, especially down the stretch.

451
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 3: And now they play this Carolina team that's missing it's

452
00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:01,200
Speaker 3: inside backers. You know, Shaq Thompson got hurt. So I

453
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,680
Speaker 3: think this is gonna be another good matchup on the

454
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 3: ground for the Chicago Bears or a home favorite too.

455
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:09,600
Speaker 1: So everything we want in a running back and.

456
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,720
Speaker 3: Swift it was, you know, he was even though it

457
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 3: was like a sixty forty split passing down work with

458
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 3: him and Roshan he had seven catches. Caleb Williams is

459
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 3: really looking at him a little bit more because you

460
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 3: see when Caleb goes down the field, it's it's not

461
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:26,879
Speaker 3: as not as pretty all the time. He's still not

462
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 3: on the same page with his receivers. I think he's

463
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:31,359
Speaker 3: going to take more time, so I think even to

464
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,400
Speaker 3: still see a lot of dumpoffs, but another good match

465
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 3: up on the ground for Swift. And he is an

466
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 3: explosive guy, so like him as a top top option

467
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:40,639
Speaker 3: this week with BIZ.

468
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, it looks like Clyde Edwards Alaire is expected to

469
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 1: return this week. I'm with you being high on cream Hunt,

470
00:23:49,280 --> 00:23:51,639
Speaker 1: but how do you think that kind of factors and

471
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 1: does he kind of just take away with samaj p Ryan,

472
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 1: Carson Steele touches or is he is he a threat

473
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 1: to Hunt? Yeah?

474
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 3: I mean I think I would think he starts out

475
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 3: taking away the Steel touches because remember down the stretch

476
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:06,479
Speaker 3: last year, especially into the playoffs, like they didn't even

477
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 3: want to give Edwards a lair touches at all, you know,

478
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 3: like it was.

479
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 1: So I don't know how.

480
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:13,920
Speaker 3: I don't think they're super high on him, and who

481
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 3: knows exactly you know, what's going on with that, But

482
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 3: I don't think he just comes right back into a

483
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,760
Speaker 3: lead role, especially after Hunt played really well, because like safe,

484
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:24,879
Speaker 3: like when when Steel played well, they were all right,

485
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,159
Speaker 3: we're gonna roll him and until he screwed it up.

486
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 3: So unless you know Hunt, could he screw it up?

487
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 3: I guess, but he looked pretty good and he's not

488
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:35,119
Speaker 3: a full back and he's not he hasn't been on

489
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,920
Speaker 3: IR So, yeah, I think at least for this week,

490
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 3: uh it's hunt, But yeah, I think I think Edwards

491
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 3: Hilaire kind of is that?

492
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:46,400
Speaker 1: Is that most like kind of what he was last

493
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 1: year when Pacheco was healthy. Looking for weekly.

494
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 3: Projections for me and Sean Kerner for DraftKings and fandle,

495
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:55,200
Speaker 3: the only place you'll find them is a Fantasy lebs

496
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,920
Speaker 3: dot com. You'll get our weekly player projections every week,

497
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498
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Speaker 3: Optimizer and our all new sim Labs lineup builder that

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505
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Speaker 1: All right, who are you loa running back? I guess

506
00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 1: I'm loan Josh Jacobs. I have him at RB sixteen,

507
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:38,400
Speaker 1: ECR has him like instead of the top ten. Still,

508
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:41,400
Speaker 1: but you know the Packers won't be as run heavy

509
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:43,920
Speaker 1: with Jordan love Back. But they're going to be able

510
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 1: to provide Jacobs with more you know, touchdown upside, so

511
00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 1: it's kind of a wash with him. However, you know,

512
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,879
Speaker 1: Emmanuel Wilson still mixing in at a high enough rate

513
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:58,880
Speaker 1: to concern Jacob managers. Ye, specifically you know, on passing downs,

514
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: and that's gonna hurt him in a game script like

515
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 1: this week. Weren't the Packers down twenty eight nothing at

516
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,760
Speaker 1: one point? So yeah, that's that's not going to be

517
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,440
Speaker 1: favorable for Jacobs. So maybe you know this week they're

518
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,159
Speaker 1: you know, favorites against the Rams, that that should be

519
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 1: a more favorable game script for Jacob's But either way,

520
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,119
Speaker 1: I think you've talked about it that the Packers do

521
00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 1: like what they see in Emmanuel Wilson. You know, Floor's

522
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:26,119
Speaker 1: always kind of favored having more committees. So it just

523
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 1: you know, holding Jacob's back from being like a true

524
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 1: top ten back. So I just knew him more as

525
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:34,679
Speaker 1: a solid RB two option. Probably have to play him

526
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,119
Speaker 1: if you have him, But ECR still is kind of

527
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 1: ranking him as a more of a top ten option,

528
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,119
Speaker 1: so I guess he's probably the back on the lowest

529
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 1: on compared to ECR.

530
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, it's definitely fair. You know, Wilson, it's more

531
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,959
Speaker 3: of like a sixty forty split these days. I mean

532
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:53,040
Speaker 3: not could always flip back. But Wilson has looked good.

533
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 3: Jacobs has been kind of up and down. So yeah,

534
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 3: I don't I don't know that it's like a definite

535
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 3: that Jacobs just gets back into that you know, eighty

536
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 3: eighty percent plus role. I'm all on James Cook. He

537
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 3: is the number six running back in ECR. He is

538
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 3: more of like a mid range RB two for me,

539
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 3: you know, it's I keep waiting for him. It's kind

540
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 3: of tough to predict because he is explosive and he

541
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:22,760
Speaker 3: could have a game like he did what was the

542
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 3: week two and he had the three touchdowns, but just

543
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 3: his underlying usage. He's running around in about fifty percent

544
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 3: of the dropbacks, which is okay, and he's getting about

545
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 3: twelve thirteen carries per game about sixty percent sixty percent

546
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 3: of the carries in the backfield, so it's it's not

547
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 3: amazing usage. He's gonna have to rely on efficiency. So yeah,

548
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 3: he's a very good player. He should be in the

549
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 3: top like ranked as a startuble running back, but I

550
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,879
Speaker 3: think RB six is a bit rich for him, especially

551
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 3: because Houston has been good. They're around the fewest schedule

552
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:02,400
Speaker 3: adjusted targets to at three point seven and just three

553
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:06,600
Speaker 3: point eight adjusted linyards as well, so they're they're playing

554
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,840
Speaker 3: good run defense and they're not allowing much to backs

555
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:13,680
Speaker 3: out of the backfield either, So uh, not the easiest matchup.

556
00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:17,359
Speaker 3: I think, uh, you know, Cook is gonna be a

557
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 3: little inconsistent this year because the USA just like they're

558
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 3: mixing in Ray Davis consistently, uh you know what, no

559
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 3: matter what kind of game script. And then Ty Johnson

560
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,720
Speaker 3: gets snaps as like a hurry up third down. So

561
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,120
Speaker 3: it's another one of those situations like like you talked

562
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,160
Speaker 3: about with Denver's just getting out of now where it's

563
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:34,399
Speaker 3: like three backs.

564
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:34,600
Speaker 1: You know.

565
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:36,919
Speaker 3: It just makes it a little tougher on the consistency

566
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:40,040
Speaker 3: for the for the top guy. Oh and Sam Or White,

567
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 3: he is another guy. I just I've tried not to

568
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 3: start him this week because we've heard, uh, you know,

569
00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 3: Raiders coaching staff talk about Alexander Madison and how they

570
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 3: want to get him more touches this week, and White

571
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 3: really hasn't been doing anything to earn a bigger workload.

572
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 3: If anything, he's been kind of earning a demotion, So

573
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 3: oh yeah, he's been inefficient, Madison's been a lot more

574
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:07,000
Speaker 3: efficient behind the same offensive line. White just three point

575
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 3: one yards per carry on forty nine carries this year,

576
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 3: and Madison is at five point one on seventeen carries.

577
00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 3: He's also averaging eleven point four catch was White is

578
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:24,120
Speaker 3: averaging three point two a catch. So yeah, I think

579
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 3: it's any day now you're gonna see Zamir White like

580
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 3: five carries for five yards, and I just want to get.

581
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:30,720
Speaker 1: Ahead of that.

582
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 3: So yeah, let's get let's get off to Sam White

583
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:33,479
Speaker 3: this year.

584
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 1: Did you ever think the rest of your life you're

585
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 1: going to be high on Alexander Madison again or no?

586
00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 3: Oh man, nah? Like that was just a ridiculous last

587
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:47,320
Speaker 3: year because it was at first he was just missing opportunities,

588
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 3: like he would get stuffed at the goal line, and

589
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 3: then Danny started fumbling and dropping passes. It was like,

590
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 3: oh man, and now he looks great again. It's like

591
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 3: he just needs to be the RB two.

592
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 1: He cannot.

593
00:29:57,480 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 3: It's like teams that need to be like the Steeler,

594
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 3: to be an underdog, like when their favorite all hell breaks.

595
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 3: It was when there underdog Rara Tomas exactly. Madison was, yeah,

596
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 3: he must be like a ra Ra RB two, Like

597
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:12,320
Speaker 3: all right, yeah, you bench me, why don't you?

598
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,480
Speaker 1: Zach syndrome always way better as the back.

599
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 3: Right, Yeah, exactly, Yeah, Sharbone gets in the starting row.

600
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,240
Speaker 3: It's like twenty carries for fifteen yards, two touchdowns.

601
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 1: You got for this prop. But like, you have a

602
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 1: million different options this week. This is wild.

603
00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 3: Let's go Breece Hall versus Braywen Allen. I'm gonna set

604
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 3: rushing and receiving yards Breece minus thirty two and a half.

605
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 1: Who I had it around thirty five. I'm gonna have

606
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 1: to roll Breee here. I think potential trailing game script

607
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 1: gets some more receiving work which gives him the slight

608
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 1: edge here. But I think that's a great line.

609
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:58,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I mean that you look up and I

610
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 3: mean we love Braywen Allen into the year, but yeah,

611
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 3: now you look up and it's like another guy who

612
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 3: was supposed to be a just no questions asked top

613
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 3: top five running back? Is he's outside of my top

614
00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 3: five this week?

615
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 1: You're so right? Yeah, I was gonna say, what the

616
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 1: hell he's my arby seven so he's outside your top

617
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 1: five or do you have him.

618
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 3: RB eight So not yeah, too far out, but yeah,

619
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 3: it's not like what we drafted him for.

620
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:25,880
Speaker 1: It is a tougher matchup. You know, the Vikings defense

621
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,920
Speaker 1: is the real deal. But either way, like, yeah, you

622
00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:31,880
Speaker 1: drafted him, well, I guess people that took McCaffrey wo

623
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 1: beg to differ. But you know, he was usually the

624
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: second running back off the board and just not really

625
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 1: having the consistent week to week production. Part of that is,

626
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 1: you know, Brandon Allen being really good. But yeah, either way,

627
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 1: this is a tough week. He's outside of my top

628
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: five as well.

629
00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 3: He's kind of reminded me of remember when that Sakon

630
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 3: bark we went through that phase where it was like

631
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:59,520
Speaker 3: fifteen carries for thirteen yards type thing, like Breeze had

632
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,440
Speaker 3: ten for four last week. He you know, he's been

633
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:06,280
Speaker 3: under three and a half and three of the four games. Man,

634
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 3: that's uh, suggest too many of those games.

635
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:12,120
Speaker 1: And I'm just saying, like, yeah, we could. You know,

636
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: it was the giant shitty offensive line. No one else

637
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 1: is still in touches, so got a roll of Barkley.

638
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 1: But Bralyn Allen's doing just fine. Behind this offensive line.

639
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's got four point eight breeze is at three

640
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 3: point one yards of carries, so not ideal, not ideal,

641
00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 3: And the success rate is really what stands out. Raylan

642
00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 3: Awen on twenty seven carries a sixty three percent success rate,

643
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 3: Brees Hall a thirty six percent successful. Like that's he's

644
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 3: getting close to doubling them up and more successful through

645
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:45,520
Speaker 3: the air too, fifty six to forty two percent, which

646
00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 3: is crazy.

647
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:49,120
Speaker 1: Ye wide receiver Top five for Week five? What do

648
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:52,360
Speaker 1: you got? I got Mi Link, Neighbors assuming he plays

649
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 1: this week, justin Jefferson Ceedee Lamb, Nico Collins, and Jamar Chase.

650
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 3: I got Lamb, Jefferson, Chase, Neighbors and Nico Collins. So yeah,

651
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 3: same same top five. But yeah, ne Neighbors. If Neighbors

652
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 3: gets clear, you might you might jump up to it.

653
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 3: I mean they're all going against pretty good cornerbacks, I guess, right,

654
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:16,400
Speaker 3: because yeah exactly, yeah, well yeah, yeah, pretty much yeah

655
00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:17,240
Speaker 3: all of them.

656
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, who are you high on? Dontavian Wicks opens the

657
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:27,240
Speaker 1: week as my wide receiver twenty He's the guy that

658
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 1: just gets a huge boost with Jordan love back and

659
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 1: an additional boost with Christian Watson likely out this week,

660
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:35,920
Speaker 1: so I think for now we can bank on Wicks

661
00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 1: to see a routes run rate and the eighty five

662
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 1: maybe ninety percent range where he's so good that like

663
00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:46,680
Speaker 1: he's gonna produce wide receiver two numbers if you get

664
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 1: that kind of playing time like we saw last week.

665
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 1: And this is great spot against the Rams. I still

666
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:54,760
Speaker 1: think the Packers are gonna throw for more than two

667
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:57,960
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty yards here. So love Wis this week

668
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 1: and going forward, even when Watson comes back, I think

669
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 1: I think Wix is going to ball out enough that

670
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 1: it's going to be really hard to play him less

671
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:10,440
Speaker 1: than sixty percent of you know, dropbacks going forward. Another

672
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:14,920
Speaker 1: wide receiver. I love that. I you know, I'm he's

673
00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:18,240
Speaker 1: inside my top thirty this week is Brian Thomas Junior.

674
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,360
Speaker 1: You know, despite Trevor Lawrence struggling a bit, like I

675
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:27,200
Speaker 1: mentioned at the top, you know, BTJ has still been

676
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,399
Speaker 1: posting solid numbers last week six catches, eighty six yards

677
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 1: and touchdown, even added a run for thirteen yards. So

678
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:36,920
Speaker 1: even though those playing times not where I'd like it

679
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 1: to be, he's still hovering just below eighty percent routes

680
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:44,480
Speaker 1: rund rate. You know, Doug Peterson's saying they still need

681
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:47,760
Speaker 1: to keep throwing the ball. So big believer in his talent.

682
00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 1: I think Trevor Lawrence can't get any worse. So, you know,

683
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 1: the needle is still pointing up for Thomas Junior restless season.

684
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 1: So I'm projecting Evan Ingram to return this week and

685
00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:01,359
Speaker 1: be fully healthy. And I'm still getting Thomas Junior as

686
00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:04,400
Speaker 1: my wide receiver twenty seven just because this is a

687
00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: great spot against the Colts here.

688
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, Thomas is legit. I think his playing time

689
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:13,080
Speaker 3: will you know, tick up as the season progresses. I'm

690
00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 3: line a rookie as well. Xavier Laguett is into my

691
00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:19,160
Speaker 3: top thirty in my initial rankings. But I'm gonna roll

692
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:22,040
Speaker 3: with it because you know, I really like the talent.

693
00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:25,240
Speaker 3: You know, you figured once Adam Thielen went on IR

694
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:27,400
Speaker 3: that would get was gonna see a major bump and

695
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 3: playing time, Him, Mingo and Deontay Johnson were all just

696
00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:34,719
Speaker 3: above eighty five percent routes run against the Bengals and

697
00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 3: we'd get, you know, he even though Johnson you know,

698
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:40,040
Speaker 3: had a great game, we'll get you know, kind of

699
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:44,960
Speaker 3: made himself known with a touchdown and five catches sixty

700
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:46,880
Speaker 3: six six catches, excuse me, sixty six.

701
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 1: Yards on ten targets.

702
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,240
Speaker 3: He also ran the ball twice, which you know always

703
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,880
Speaker 3: can add a little extra upside to to wide receivers.

704
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 3: You know, more and more we're seeing teams give at

705
00:35:56,760 --> 00:35:59,520
Speaker 3: least one or two carries a game to to wide receivers.

706
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 3: So the fact that get getting some of those is

707
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:05,040
Speaker 3: good news as well. So the game before that he

708
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:07,839
Speaker 3: had two catches for forty two yards to average twenty

709
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:12,839
Speaker 3: one per catch. So like where he's trending. And uh,

710
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:16,239
Speaker 3: I think you know Carolina, Tommy Tremble, I mean he

711
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 3: was on the field like ninety of the time. I

712
00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 3: think he got a target last week and Mingo, he's

713
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:24,960
Speaker 3: not really going to be a high volume guy. So

714
00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 3: it's it's Deontay and there's room for one more, especially

715
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,279
Speaker 3: with the red rifle just tossing it all around ut there.

716
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:33,000
Speaker 3: Their pass rate has gone up as well compared to

717
00:36:33,080 --> 00:36:36,320
Speaker 3: Bryce Young. So yeah, like Xavier Legett, I think he

718
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,959
Speaker 3: continues to break out. Another guy like is Jerry Judy.

719
00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 3: He's just inside my top thirty as well. And that's

720
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 3: with projecting Nujoku to return, and that's because you're going

721
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 3: against Washington. Washington is one of the worst defenses against

722
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:54,040
Speaker 3: wide receivers, and Jerry Judy his target per route raised

723
00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 3: only two percent lower than Amari Cooper. So yeah, everyone

724
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:00,399
Speaker 3: is going to be high on Amari Cooper this week,

725
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,400
Speaker 3: but Judy is running pretty much just as many routes

726
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:06,319
Speaker 3: now they're Cooper's at ninety four percent, Judy ninety two

727
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 3: percent the last three weeks, So.

728
00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 1: I mean Judy easily could outproduce.

729
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:14,600
Speaker 3: Amari Cooper this weekn Elijah Moore has been the one

730
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 3: taking a little bit of a hit in in route participation,

731
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 3: and that could even be a bigger hit if Najoker returned. So,

732
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:26,879
Speaker 3: like Judy against this Washington defense, who are you low

733
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:27,960
Speaker 3: on it? Wide receive it this week?

734
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:33,800
Speaker 1: I'm low on Roma Doonesday. No, they're just very talented rookie.

735
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 1: I think he's going to become a stud eventually. But

736
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:38,839
Speaker 1: his projection does take quite a bit of a hit

737
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:41,360
Speaker 1: with Key and Allen. You know, back in the lineup,

738
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,879
Speaker 1: it was always gonna be tough for him to draw

739
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:47,000
Speaker 1: targets with DJ Moore, Keen and Allen there and Cole

740
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:50,560
Speaker 1: Kometz been stepping up, so you know, coming off a

741
00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 1: game where he just had one catch for ten yards

742
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:57,440
Speaker 1: against the Rams, this this is another spot where you

743
00:37:57,520 --> 00:37:59,040
Speaker 1: know the Bears will probably be a little bit more

744
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:02,319
Speaker 1: run heavy at home against the Panthers. And we saw

745
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:05,080
Speaker 1: the Bears run game kind of come to life last week,

746
00:38:05,160 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 1: so probably gonna keep that rolling this week. So I

747
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:10,359
Speaker 1: don't you can't trust the Dunes in your lineups. He's

748
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:13,120
Speaker 1: my wide receiver fifty four. You can't drop them either

749
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:16,359
Speaker 1: because if DJ Moore or Key and Ellen go down

750
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 1: or this passing offense just starts clicking, he could become

751
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 1: a wide receiver three or better. So he's just you know,

752
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 1: high upside bench dash for now. And the other guy

753
00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:31,800
Speaker 1: I'm low on technically is Juwan Jennings coming off another

754
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 1: just really good game, three catches, eighty eight yards. I

755
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:39,200
Speaker 1: would just be careful treating him like a musstart wide

756
00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:44,759
Speaker 1: receiver right now, just considering Deebo return look close to

757
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:48,520
Speaker 1: one hundred percent Kittle return but got banged up, but

758
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:50,920
Speaker 1: he's considered day to day. So when all of their

759
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 1: pass catchers are healthy, it's just going to be tough

760
00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 1: for Jennings to offer consistent wide receiver three production. But

761
00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:00,520
Speaker 1: like you said, maybe we're just setting rock perty passing

762
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 1: projection yeah every week, which I agree with part of it. Yeah,

763
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,880
Speaker 1: that's part of it. But when it comes to Jennings,

764
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 1: like I'm actually high on him long term because he's

765
00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:12,800
Speaker 1: being so productive that I think he does kind of

766
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:17,600
Speaker 1: lower my projections for I, Debo and Kittle. So just

767
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,440
Speaker 1: kind of one more guy in the mix and an

768
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 1: offense that you know is pretty run heavy. But just

769
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:26,479
Speaker 1: be careful treating Jennings like just a must start wide

770
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:28,920
Speaker 1: receiver three this week. I still think he's more of

771
00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 1: a wide receiver four. But if you know you're kind

772
00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:34,399
Speaker 1: of forced to use him, go for it. I still

773
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:37,680
Speaker 1: think he's solid. He's looking really good these past few weeks.

774
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:40,880
Speaker 1: But just he's a guy when it comes to my projections,

775
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,399
Speaker 1: he's got to be careful treating him like a must start.

776
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I mean he he's looking better and better.

777
00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:49,839
Speaker 3: I had of That's why I was never really blown

778
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 3: away with Pearsol, even you know, before the unfortunate shooting

779
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:57,960
Speaker 3: incident occurred, because they had just resigned Jennings to a contract,

780
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:00,759
Speaker 3: and you know, coming off that postseason at he I

781
00:40:00,920 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 3: just figured that he was gonna be a staple in

782
00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:07,719
Speaker 3: that offense. So it was unless they traded Debo ORUK,

783
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 3: which didn't end up happening, that's kind of gonna be

784
00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:12,880
Speaker 3: their three. So yeah, they they they. I wonder if

785
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:14,560
Speaker 3: they'd get to start just being a little bit Moore

786
00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:18,239
Speaker 3: pass heavy, because I mean, if McCaffrey is nowhere to

787
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 3: be found, you're just gonna keep giving Jordan Mason twenty

788
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:24,440
Speaker 3: five carries a week. That's hib not ideal if you

789
00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 3: want to make a long, deep playoff run. So it's

790
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 3: gonna be interesting to watch the Niners. But yeah, I bet,

791
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:32,320
Speaker 3: I bet this won't be the last time we have

792
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:34,799
Speaker 3: like perty in our in our top five. But I'm

793
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:36,800
Speaker 3: curious to see where Jennings ends up because he is

794
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:40,759
Speaker 3: definitely now a little bit too efficient killing killing at

795
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:42,840
Speaker 3: you really because Deebo is gonna.

796
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:46,879
Speaker 1: Be Debo but true, I am low on Tyreek Hill.

797
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:49,520
Speaker 3: Uh you know another guy where it's like, all right,

798
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 3: we keep hoping for the best and just unproductive without

799
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:56,840
Speaker 3: two a tongue of by loa in lineup. And you

800
00:40:56,920 --> 00:41:00,080
Speaker 3: know he is just outside my top thirty six. This

801
00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:03,239
Speaker 3: week is the ECR wide receiver twenty three, But I

802
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:08,399
Speaker 3: mean Mike, Tyra Huntley projection or whoever starts who knows

803
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:13,719
Speaker 3: this yet definitely well under two hundred yards. So that

804
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:17,680
Speaker 3: just doesn't leave a ton for anyone in that Dolphins offense.

805
00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 3: And Tyrek and Wattle, you know, they've always been they've

806
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 3: kind of checked in and out of the game. They've

807
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:27,560
Speaker 3: never They usually aren't like ninety percent snap guys. They're

808
00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:30,440
Speaker 3: usually in the high seventies or maybe the low eighties.

809
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:35,440
Speaker 3: And this year they haven't even hit eighty percent. Oh,

810
00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:37,480
Speaker 3: he'll hit it once. He'll hit eighty percent route rate

811
00:41:37,760 --> 00:41:40,480
Speaker 3: in week one, eighty two percent, then sixty seven, seventy

812
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 3: four to seventy five. Wattle none, So both of them.

813
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 1: I'm low on.

814
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,279
Speaker 3: Tyreek's my wide receiver thirty eight. Wattle is my wide

815
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:53,399
Speaker 3: receiver fifty uh so not not really really loving them.

816
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 3: And what's projected to be a super low scoring game

817
00:41:57,400 --> 00:41:59,760
Speaker 3: against the New England Patriots.

818
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,279
Speaker 1: Wasn't Tim Boyle one of those quarterbacks I offered you

819
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 1: last year for over under a half more career starts?

820
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:10,560
Speaker 3: Well, I know Trey Lance. I think it was Trey Lance.

821
00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:15,080
Speaker 1: I don't know Trey Lance was certainly one of them.

822
00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 1: I think we had a mac Jones prop. It was

823
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:21,320
Speaker 1: over half a start, but I think Tim Boyle I

824
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 1: was joking like he always just ends up in these

825
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:26,640
Speaker 1: situations where he ends up getting a start. I don't

826
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 1: know how, but we could see one soon.

827
00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 3: And I mean mac Jones might get a start before

828
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 3: before we ten too at this rate.

829
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:40,360
Speaker 1: With Charlie were talking about benching or an injury benching.

830
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 3: Wow, I've had whispers like I don't I don't think

831
00:42:44,680 --> 00:42:47,560
Speaker 3: it happens, but it's it's which is ridiculous.

832
00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, first Trevor Lawrence or Deshaun Watson, which two

833
00:42:53,160 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty million.

834
00:42:55,840 --> 00:42:58,759
Speaker 3: Because Deshaul Watson is like it's a it seems more

835
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 3: like a mandate from the owner, like you know, to

836
00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:04,200
Speaker 3: just roll with him, do what they need to do

837
00:43:04,320 --> 00:43:08,480
Speaker 3: to get the offense around him. And uh, and honestly, Watson,

838
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 3: he's he's a little more volatile, like he has these

839
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:14,920
Speaker 3: terrible moments, but sometimes he looks decent. Whereas Lawrence it's

840
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:18,279
Speaker 3: just it's just always kind of men like, yeah, I

841
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:18,640
Speaker 3: don't know.

842
00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, something might be up, but if he gets bunched

843
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:24,920
Speaker 1: out would just be wild in my opinion. I mean,

844
00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:26,160
Speaker 1: I heard, I heard whispers.

845
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:28,560
Speaker 3: I don't I don't really put much stock into it.

846
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:30,759
Speaker 3: But the fact that we're even like it's even on

847
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,879
Speaker 3: the table, like somebody's even like putting that out there

848
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 3: period is even if it's quick bait or just a lie.

849
00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 3: But yeah, the fact that it's out there is not

850
00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,960
Speaker 3: good news. Like Watson, we kind of knew what it was,

851
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:45,239
Speaker 3: and he's still he's still starting, so uh, he just

852
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 3: he just comes out for quarterback sneaks. That's that's we

853
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 3: have receiver prop that is you where you're going.

854
00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 1: Yep, let's go with Jordan Whittington of the Rams receptions prop.

855
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,520
Speaker 1: You're on your own figure out what happens with DeMarcus

856
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:04,759
Speaker 1: Robinson probably doesn't really matter too much to this, but

857
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:07,680
Speaker 1: this is this is live no matter what when it

858
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:12,160
Speaker 1: comes to DeMarcus Robinson four and a half h I'm.

859
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:15,799
Speaker 3: Gonna go under just because I cannot predict.

860
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:20,080
Speaker 1: This RAM, you know, like anything from week to week.

861
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:23,239
Speaker 3: And I think they're gonna try to be run heavy

862
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 3: as long as they can, so like, I don't know,

863
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:27,200
Speaker 3: it just seems like I mean to two, I guess

864
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 3: has been consistent. But even Whittington. Like the game, we

865
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:31,279
Speaker 3: thought he was gonna have a better game. He he

866
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:34,760
Speaker 3: was like a percent route rate, and then he bumped

867
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:37,319
Speaker 3: up this week, so, uh four and a half.

868
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 1: It's it's like.

869
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:40,839
Speaker 3: Deebo I bet under debo four and a half last

870
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:42,440
Speaker 3: week and I think he only finished with three so

871
00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 3: like five receptions a lot of receptions. So yeah, I'm

872
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:47,440
Speaker 3: gonna go under. I don't feel great about it, but yeah,

873
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:50,279
Speaker 3: still a pretty volatile situation in my opinion. But I

874
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,440
Speaker 3: do like Whittington. I think that was was always a

875
00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:54,879
Speaker 3: guy that's kind of the unknown that that looked really good.

876
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:59,319
Speaker 1: Yeah. No, I know I'm floating an aggressive, very aggressive number,

877
00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:02,400
Speaker 1: and I agree you can't really predict anything other than

878
00:45:02,600 --> 00:45:04,799
Speaker 1: Kyra Rillian is getting at least twenty carries this week.

879
00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 1: Outside of that, it's kind of up in the air.

880
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:09,480
Speaker 1: But I don't mind being on the over here. I

881
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 1: kind of like it.

882
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I'm sure you're you've kind of been

883
00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:16,560
Speaker 3: noticed in that. In general, I think reception props are

884
00:45:16,560 --> 00:45:21,400
Speaker 3: getting a little more interesting because we average for yards

885
00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:23,720
Speaker 3: for completion this year is down to ten point six,

886
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 3: so it means like more receptions per receiving yard essentially,

887
00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:32,839
Speaker 3: So I've still been seeing a value on a lot

888
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:35,840
Speaker 3: of unders, but just kind of interesting that, you know,

889
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:38,320
Speaker 3: usually yards for completion is around eleven, but everyone's just

890
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 3: thrown short this year.

891
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:43,600
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00:46:32,160 --> 00:46:34,960
Speaker 2: or follow the link in this episode's description.

906
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:38,600
Speaker 3: All Right, tight End, tight End, tight End, tight End,

907
00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:40,880
Speaker 3: Top five We got.

908
00:46:41,560 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey, welcome back to the top slot. I feel

909
00:46:44,320 --> 00:46:47,759
Speaker 1: like every time he drops below number one, he goes off.

910
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:50,960
Speaker 1: So he's my number one. Then I got Tredy McBride,

911
00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:54,840
Speaker 1: Jake Ferguson, George Kittle, and Dalton Kincaid.

912
00:46:55,440 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got Kelsey number one, and then Kittle number two,

913
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:05,680
Speaker 3: McBride number three, Ferguson number four, and brock Bowers number five.

914
00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:10,279
Speaker 3: I don't feel great about that switching, But then both

915
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:11,240
Speaker 3: of them have been kind.

916
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:16,560
Speaker 1: Of disappointing brock Bowers number five, Like, how are you

917
00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 1: projecting DeVante Adams and Michael Mayer to get there? Oh?

918
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:21,920
Speaker 1: Out traded?

919
00:47:22,160 --> 00:47:24,640
Speaker 3: But no, no, no, like they said Adams is a

920
00:47:24,680 --> 00:47:27,360
Speaker 3: buke a week and then they said he's going to

921
00:47:27,400 --> 00:47:28,920
Speaker 3: continue to be out for personal reason. That's just what

922
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 3: I'm hearing the week.

923
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:34,080
Speaker 1: So Adams and mayor very likely out again this week.

924
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:36,759
Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, from what I know as we record this

925
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:41,400
Speaker 3: on a you know, early Tuesday, yes' then.

926
00:47:41,400 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, he'd probably been my top five. Although what's with

927
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:46,200
Speaker 1: the one catch for two hours last week with everybody out?

928
00:47:47,320 --> 00:47:50,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean this is we knew tight End was

929
00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:52,840
Speaker 3: going to be a dumpster fire when Brock Bowers was

930
00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,840
Speaker 3: like the T ten you know, in readion, like in

931
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:58,719
Speaker 3: draft rankings. So it's like, I mean, he's talented, but

932
00:47:59,400 --> 00:48:01,080
Speaker 3: it is. It is the Raiders, and they did have

933
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:05,080
Speaker 3: like like they all their gadget players rushing touchdowns and

934
00:48:05,160 --> 00:48:06,720
Speaker 3: Bowers can't even get two catches.

935
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:08,279
Speaker 1: Like go figure.

936
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:12,359
Speaker 3: John Samuel Schenker. Next thing, you know, he'll be uh

937
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 3: catching passes over over Bowers, Like was it Blake Whiteheart, Yeah,

938
00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 3: Volture in the joke of this league or something crazy?

939
00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:23,840
Speaker 1: Cold feather feathering ham Fotheringham.

940
00:48:24,880 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 3: I think I don't think he's he's all the practice

941
00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:29,440
Speaker 3: squad still, I don't even know. But they called up Shaker,

942
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:32,319
Speaker 3: not a not fothering him if he's even if he's

943
00:48:32,320 --> 00:48:33,279
Speaker 3: even there just.

944
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:37,040
Speaker 1: For horse stud Yeah, let's get some dresper horse stued back. Yeah.

945
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 3: No, Fatheringham is a free agent, so I guess he's

946
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:44,600
Speaker 3: not on the Raiders anymore. Yeah, this is where this

947
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:46,959
Speaker 3: is how tight End is coming to talking about cold

948
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:47,719
Speaker 3: fathering him.

949
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:53,719
Speaker 1: Who uh, Tucker Craft just like you, he's inside my

950
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 1: top ten. He's my tighten nine right now, just continuing

951
00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:02,360
Speaker 1: to operate as the packer packers clear lead tight End,

952
00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:06,239
Speaker 1: you know, Luke Musgrave, very talented guy, but just as

953
00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 1: of now he's the number two tight end. So you know,

954
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:12,000
Speaker 1: Kraft saw a season high. Actually routes run right last

955
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:15,280
Speaker 1: week at eighty six percent, cashed in with six catches,

956
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 1: fifty three yards and a touchdown. He's just got another

957
00:49:19,000 --> 00:49:22,359
Speaker 1: player that gets a massive boost with Jordan Love back

958
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 1: under center, and gets a slight boost with Christian Watson,

959
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:28,800
Speaker 1: you know, likely out this week and beyond has a

960
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:32,520
Speaker 1: great matchup this week against the Rams. So he's just

961
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:36,160
Speaker 1: a guy that just with the position being in constant flux,

962
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:41,040
Speaker 1: he's just solidly cranking up, you know production. And I

963
00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:43,160
Speaker 1: was thinking about all the all these packer guys I'm

964
00:49:43,239 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 1: high on this week, Craft included, Like I almost think

965
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,880
Speaker 1: of him as like the forty nine ers right now,

966
00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 1: where Jayden Reed basically Deebo Samuel, I think Dontavian Wicks

967
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:58,360
Speaker 1: is essentially Brandon Ayuk and Tucker Craft is slowly becoming

968
00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:02,480
Speaker 1: George Kittle. So the needle is pointing up for Craft.

969
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:04,239
Speaker 1: I think if you're looking for more of a long

970
00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 1: term solution, I think Craft could be the guy. So

971
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 1: I'm very high on Craft this week and the rest

972
00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:13,240
Speaker 1: of season. I mean, knowing our luck.

973
00:50:13,120 --> 00:50:16,480
Speaker 3: At Fantasy, like just with this dumpster fire must run

974
00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 3: like ninety percent routes and craft of forty two next week,

975
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:20,240
Speaker 3: Like that's.

976
00:50:20,239 --> 00:50:21,319
Speaker 1: Exact, that's how it's been going.

977
00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:23,319
Speaker 3: But now I like him to He's a top ten

978
00:50:23,360 --> 00:50:25,960
Speaker 3: tight end from me as well. And then another one

979
00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 3: right there is Tyra Conklin for me, and I mean

980
00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 3: it's this is just where we are at tight end.

981
00:50:34,120 --> 00:50:37,520
Speaker 3: But Conklin's been running a route on ninety percent of

982
00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:41,479
Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers dropbacks, and the Vikings are allowing the third

983
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:44,720
Speaker 3: most schedule adjusted targets per game to tight ends according

984
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:50,399
Speaker 3: to FTN. So decent matchup. And I mean that's really

985
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:52,640
Speaker 3: all I got to say about that. It's you're getting routes.

986
00:50:52,680 --> 00:50:54,800
Speaker 3: That's what we need at the tight end position. No

987
00:50:54,840 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 3: one really runs a ninety route rate at the tight

988
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:01,600
Speaker 3: end position like Kelsey's like close to that some weeks

989
00:51:01,640 --> 00:51:04,479
Speaker 3: and Goddard when everyone was out was there a couple

990
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:08,200
Speaker 3: of weeks. But Conklin's top of the league for tight

991
00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:11,319
Speaker 3: end in route rate, So I've got to roll with him.

992
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 3: He's my tight end ten right now. Who are you

993
00:51:14,920 --> 00:51:16,040
Speaker 3: low on the tight end?

994
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:20,920
Speaker 1: Oh boy, Kyle Pitts is down to tight end eleven

995
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 1: for me, and it's it's really just getting harder and

996
00:51:24,280 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 1: harder to come up with excuses for Pitts because he

997
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:30,400
Speaker 1: is seeing a healthy routes run rate around you know,

998
00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:34,040
Speaker 1: eighty percent on the season, the Falcons are passing more.

999
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:37,799
Speaker 1: He's still just not drawing as many targets as you'd

1000
00:51:37,840 --> 00:51:40,320
Speaker 1: like to see, and he just hasn't looked as explosive

1001
00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:44,600
Speaker 1: as he has in the past when he wasn't getting opportunities.

1002
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:48,279
Speaker 1: So just with everything in flex, with the position being

1003
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:51,279
Speaker 1: a dumpster fire, it's a shame he can't be a

1004
00:51:51,400 --> 00:51:55,520
Speaker 1: top three tight end in this environment. So you know,

1005
00:51:56,560 --> 00:52:00,359
Speaker 1: Mark Andrews is drop a ball at this point opinion,

1006
00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 1: he's below Isaiah likely Pitts. I don't think he's droppable.

1007
00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 1: I think you're you drafted him, you spent pretty high

1008
00:52:07,680 --> 00:52:10,120
Speaker 1: draft capital on him. You're just rolling with him. You're

1009
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 1: just disappointed that you're having the plane this week. I

1010
00:52:14,560 --> 00:52:18,000
Speaker 1: don't think he's droppable yet. But yeah, he's a guy

1011
00:52:18,040 --> 00:52:21,680
Speaker 1: where until we see any signs of life, he's probably

1012
00:52:21,760 --> 00:52:23,520
Speaker 1: going to be outside of my top ten for the

1013
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:27,040
Speaker 1: foreseeable future. But sure, enough he could bounce back this

1014
00:52:27,200 --> 00:52:29,640
Speaker 1: week or in the next couple of weeks, but just

1015
00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:32,359
Speaker 1: as of now, I just haven't been liking what I've

1016
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:35,120
Speaker 1: seen with him, you know, with the target rate or

1017
00:52:35,280 --> 00:52:39,000
Speaker 1: visually just watching film. So he's a guy that I'm

1018
00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 1: a bit lower on it. And I said before this season, sorry,

1019
00:52:42,200 --> 00:52:44,120
Speaker 1: this is actually the first year I was okay drafting

1020
00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:46,839
Speaker 1: him at ADP. But you know, as of now, he's

1021
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:48,719
Speaker 1: looking like a disappointment again this year.

1022
00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:51,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I mean, I thought this is going to

1023
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:53,759
Speaker 3: be the year, you know, Kirk Cousins, and he's not

1024
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:56,240
Speaker 3: coming out. He's, like you said, the route rate is healthy,

1025
00:52:56,680 --> 00:53:00,120
Speaker 3: but he's starting to decrease in the route rate a

1026
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:03,600
Speaker 3: little bit. I guess they don't like his his blocking

1027
00:53:03,640 --> 00:53:06,399
Speaker 3: and he was supposed to just be at receiver when

1028
00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:08,239
Speaker 3: he is not, Like they don't need to. He doesn't

1029
00:53:08,280 --> 00:53:09,600
Speaker 3: even need to be the in line set. And they

1030
00:53:09,640 --> 00:53:12,040
Speaker 3: paid big money to Charlie Warner, they got Russ, they

1031
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:14,759
Speaker 3: got the whole forty nine or backup for tune out there,

1032
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:16,080
Speaker 3: and somehow.

1033
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:18,560
Speaker 1: Pitts is still yeah, not producing.

1034
00:53:19,000 --> 00:53:22,000
Speaker 3: It's not a prey rate. McCloud and Darnell Mooney are

1035
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:23,680
Speaker 3: both just blowing him away.

1036
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:26,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, right out of the water. The silver lining is

1037
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:28,719
Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts is still only twenty one years old, right,

1038
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:33,800
Speaker 1: so we're we still have time. What I'm kidding, He's like,

1039
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:36,160
Speaker 1: he's still only like twenty three, but that's always.

1040
00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:39,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's twenty. Oh no, yeah, he's still

1041
00:53:39,680 --> 00:53:40,040
Speaker 3: twenty two.

1042
00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:43,800
Speaker 1: He's still younger, twenty four. Yeah, he's still younger for

1043
00:53:44,040 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 1: what a you know, fourth year player, but still I

1044
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 1: digress a man. Yeah, it's ugly. Sheeesh. I guess I'm

1045
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:52,400
Speaker 1: low on Mark Andrews.

1046
00:53:53,200 --> 00:53:57,240
Speaker 3: He I mean he's got one targeting back to back games,

1047
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:03,040
Speaker 3: like you said, probably, I mean when he blows up,

1048
00:54:03,120 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 3: he'll probably have a big game because you know, kind

1049
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 3: of be like Kelsey, It'll be like, all right, he's fine,

1050
00:54:08,400 --> 00:54:11,040
Speaker 3: we told you. But the fact that we have to

1051
00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 3: figure out when that's gonna be is problematic.

1052
00:54:15,480 --> 00:54:16,560
Speaker 1: Uh So, Yeah.

1053
00:54:16,680 --> 00:54:20,000
Speaker 3: I there's just a lot of tight ends that running

1054
00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:22,440
Speaker 3: a lot more routes. You know, talked about Conklin, you

1055
00:54:22,520 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 3: mentioned Kobe Parkinson. Uh, There's Hunter, Henry Dalton, Schultz, just

1056
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:30,279
Speaker 3: zach Ertz. Just so many tight ends that are seeing

1057
00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:33,520
Speaker 3: more playing even likely seeing more playing time at this point, uh,

1058
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:36,399
Speaker 3: than than Mark Andrews. So it's really tough.

1059
00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:36,839
Speaker 1: You're just kind.

1060
00:54:37,160 --> 00:54:39,279
Speaker 3: He's turned into a dark throw, which is ridiculous for

1061
00:54:39,680 --> 00:54:42,440
Speaker 3: a guy who's drafted in the top five. But I

1062
00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:46,239
Speaker 3: would Yeah, I think there are more higher floor tight

1063
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,200
Speaker 3: ends this week if you're an underdog. I mean, uh,

1064
00:54:49,640 --> 00:54:52,319
Speaker 3: maybe I guess trot him out there Cincinnati. The total

1065
00:54:52,400 --> 00:54:56,480
Speaker 3: is fifty one, but it's it's ugly. I mean sick blocks, right,

1066
00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:59,040
Speaker 3: It's like, yeah, you gotta get He's throwing some some

1067
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:00,440
Speaker 3: sick blocks the King.

1068
00:55:01,280 --> 00:55:02,279
Speaker 1: It's about all he's doing.

1069
00:55:03,080 --> 00:55:06,279
Speaker 3: So yeah, prop, I'm actually gonna go with the two

1070
00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:10,560
Speaker 3: guys we talked about Kyle Pitts versus Mark Andrews.

1071
00:55:11,520 --> 00:55:12,720
Speaker 1: Let's go receiving yards.

1072
00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:16,399
Speaker 3: I'll give Kyle Pits minus eight and a half.

1073
00:55:16,920 --> 00:55:20,160
Speaker 1: That's a good line. I'll take Kyle Pitts. Though you

1074
00:55:20,520 --> 00:55:23,239
Speaker 1: had mentioned Mark Andrews has a target in each the

1075
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:26,320
Speaker 1: last two games. He didn't catch everyone, so you know,

1076
00:55:26,480 --> 00:55:31,000
Speaker 1: unfortunately targets don't matter and fancy. Uh but yeah, he Mark,

1077
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:34,439
Speaker 1: he had like I was complaining about Kyle Pitts, that's

1078
00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:37,120
Speaker 1: a different kind of rock bottom. Mark Andrews has hit

1079
00:55:37,880 --> 00:55:40,320
Speaker 1: the rock bottom, Like this is so bad, and I

1080
00:55:40,480 --> 00:55:43,279
Speaker 1: was saying in my tears last week, I don't know

1081
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:46,359
Speaker 1: if you could drop him quite yet. He's getting there,

1082
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:48,520
Speaker 1: but he kind of hope for him to have a big,

1083
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:51,440
Speaker 1: like a good game and then trade him away and

1084
00:55:51,520 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 1: then he posts another goose egg. So like, if you

1085
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:59,279
Speaker 1: have Mark Andrews, like, I don't tell you, man, you're

1086
00:55:59,560 --> 00:56:02,080
Speaker 1: like you kind of need Isaiah likely to miss time

1087
00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:05,719
Speaker 1: in order to consider him. But this is a whole

1088
00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:08,239
Speaker 1: other level of rock bottom. So yeah, after all that,

1089
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:10,560
Speaker 1: just give me Kyle Pitts minus eight and a half.

1090
00:56:10,800 --> 00:56:15,840
Speaker 3: It's rough though, Yeah, I mean they both goosegged last week, right, nuts?

1091
00:56:16,080 --> 00:56:20,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, nuts, and just two weeks in a row.

1092
00:56:19,960 --> 00:56:22,320
Speaker 3: Though Pitt's had two for fifty nine the week before that.

1093
00:56:23,440 --> 00:56:28,560
Speaker 3: Exactly not much either, but nope, all right, that's gonna

1094
00:56:28,600 --> 00:56:30,960
Speaker 3: do it for a week five player projections episode here

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Speaker 3: on the Fantasy Flex. Be sure to subscribe to the

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