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Speaker 1: Hey guys, Saga and Crystal here.

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Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election,

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Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for

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Speaker 2: the future of this show.

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Speaker 1: This is the only place where you can find honest

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Speaker 1: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does

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Speaker 1: not exist anywhere else.

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Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please

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Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and

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Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free,

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Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox.

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Speaker 1: We need your help to build the future of independent

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Speaker 1: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints

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Speaker 1: dot com. Good morning, everybody, Happy Monday. Have an amazing

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Speaker 1: show for a body today. What'll we be a Crystal.

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Speaker 2: We have a new Trump truth, part market manipulation, part

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Speaker 2: threat to Iran.

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Speaker 3: Will dig into that.

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Speaker 2: We're going to take a look at the options for

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Speaker 2: ground troops that increasingly appears to be the direction that

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Speaker 2: Trump is headed in, so we will dig into what

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Speaker 2: is going on there. We are also hurtling towards an

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Speaker 2: economic poly crisis involving AI oil, helium, all sorts of things.

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Speaker 2: Sorab A Mari is going to join us to break

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Speaker 2: that down. He's also going to take a look at

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Speaker 2: this situation in Israel where they blocked the cardinal for

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Speaker 2: the Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem from going to the Church

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Speaker 2: of the Holy Sepukler for Palm Sunday, sparking a major

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Speaker 2: major crisis. This is the first time I think in

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Speaker 2: like one thousand years, so it is a big issue

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Speaker 2: for christianst. Yahoo himself had to respond. So Soreb is

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Speaker 2: also going to talk to us about that since we're

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Speaker 2: a little bit, you.

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Speaker 1: Know, Catholic experts.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, anytime we get into like deep religious letters.

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Speaker 1: With liturgy, I'm like, yeah, I had to text a

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Speaker 1: friend yesterday, I go, what is Palm Sunday exactly? He

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Speaker 1: has explained to me. I go, oh wow, so it

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Speaker 1: was actually about Jesus and Jerusalem. That makes it worse.

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Speaker 3: Yeahs actually makes.

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Speaker 1: It a lot worse.

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Speaker 2: Like it probably is significant to a lot of people.

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Speaker 2: So we'll get into that. Also, a crazy incident that

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Speaker 2: CNN documented their own photo journalists assaulted by the IDF,

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Speaker 2: major recriminations there as well. We are going to dig

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Speaker 2: into the mystery of a number of top scientists who

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Speaker 2: have either been killed or gone missing. Is it just

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Speaker 2: a coincidence? It could be could be just a coincidence,

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Speaker 2: but at this point there are enough of them to

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Speaker 2: at least take a look and go what exactly is

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Speaker 2: going on here? And then we're gonna have Colonel Lawrence

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Speaker 2: Wilkerson join us as well. You're supposed to be with

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Speaker 2: us last week, we had some sort of a timing

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Speaker 2: mess up. Hopefully we'll get him this morning. He was

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Speaker 2: the former chief of staff to Cole and Pwell, really

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Speaker 2: a hero in opposition to a Rock war, and now

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Speaker 2: he is speaking out against the Iran war as well.

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Speaker 3: So really looking forward to speaking with this.

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Speaker 1: That's right, And before we get to any of that,

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Speaker 1: thank you to everybody who's been subscribed Breakingpoints dot com

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Speaker 1: one hour early, uncut and all of that. Now, if

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Speaker 1: We are one point nine to seven million subscribers. We

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Speaker 1: need to get to zwo million, two million. We never

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Speaker 1: I didn't think it was going to happen this quickly,

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Speaker 1: but here we are in the midst of all this chaos.

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Speaker 1: So please please do help us out and do that.

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Speaker 1: And if you're listening to this as a podcast where

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Speaker 1: we've seen explosive growth as well, please share episode with

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Speaker 1: a friend. Clearly a lot of you have been doing that.

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Speaker 1: We've had tons of new people who have been coming in,

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Speaker 1: so sincerely, thank you and welcome if you are a

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Speaker 1: new listener. But let's go ahead and go to the

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Speaker 1: latest from Donald Trump. Literally just happening this morning, minutes

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Speaker 1: before we started filming. Let's go and put this up

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Speaker 1: here on the screen. What we have from Trump is

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Speaker 1: this new response, the United States of America is in

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Speaker 1: serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime to

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Speaker 1: end our military operations in Iran. Great progress has been made,

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Speaker 1: but for if for any reason, a deal is not

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Speaker 1: shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the

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Speaker 1: horror moves straight is not immediately open for business, we

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Speaker 1: will conclude our lovely stay in Iran by blowing up

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Speaker 1: and completely obliterating all of their electric generating plants, oil wells,

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Speaker 1: and carg Island, possibly all desalination plants which we have

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Speaker 1: not purposefully yet touched. This will be retribution for our

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Speaker 1: many soldiers and others that Iran has butchered and killed

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Speaker 1: over the regime's forty seven year of terror. Thank you

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Speaker 1: for your attention to this matter. So this is obviously

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Speaker 1: Trump trying to wish Cast a deal, continuing to try

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Speaker 1: and hold this guillotine over the Iranians heads who remain

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Speaker 1: very much dug in. Recall that originally we had the

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Speaker 1: forty eight hour deadline. Right on the eve of the

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Speaker 1: forty eight hour deadline expiring, which is almost exactly a

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Speaker 1: week to the day, Donald Trump releases something around actually

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Speaker 1: exactly a week to the hour when we're filming, right

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Speaker 1: around seven am Eastern time on Monday. He says, I'm

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Speaker 1: extending it by five days. So we get to the

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Speaker 1: fifth day, we get to Friday, we over the show,

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Speaker 1: we're making plans. Okay, what's it going to look like

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Speaker 1: for our ground invasion. Now we get a ten day extension,

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Speaker 1: and so now we are a couple of days into

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Speaker 1: that ten day extension. But clearly he's trying to wish cast,

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Speaker 1: trying to job own the oil markets and trying to

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Speaker 1: make it clear that there is some sort of quote,

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Speaker 1: reasonable regime in charge. Now remember, by all accounts, the

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Speaker 1: so called reasonable regime. This in charge is the current

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Speaker 1: Speaker of the Parliament, Galibov. I recommend everybody go and

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Speaker 1: follow this man on Twitter, because if you just see

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Speaker 1: what he's posting, it's pretty much the opposite of what

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Speaker 1: some reasonable negotiator who wants to make peace. Now, could

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Speaker 1: he be bluffing, It's possible. I also think we should

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Speaker 1: be clear about what these peace talks look like. It's

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Speaker 1: basically the pakistanis calling Washington and calling Tehran. That's about it.

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Speaker 1: We pass messages and things back and forth to be clear.

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Speaker 1: I support that, I want that to continue, and I

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Speaker 1: hope that we get to some sort of a deal.

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Speaker 1: But the Iranian response remains pretty steadfast. Your fifteen point plan,

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Speaker 1: the fifteen point plan, which includes no missile production, no proxy,

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Speaker 1: effective surrender, an opening of the straits, over moves, and

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Speaker 1: own all of that potentially in exchange for sanctions relief,

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Speaker 1: is off the table. The Iranians right now are in

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Speaker 1: a pole position of strength. There are missiles that they

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Speaker 1: fired just yesterday were actually double what they were firing

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Speaker 1: just a week ago, they've been able to inflict a

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Speaker 1: lot of very critical, strategic level damage to the United

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Speaker 1: States now, which will show you shocking images of So,

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Speaker 1: just to set the table for everybody who's listening, there

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Speaker 1: is no current situation where the horror moves straight is

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Speaker 1: just going to be open within the next week, where

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Speaker 1: some sort of grand peace deal is going to happen.

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Speaker 1: We are no way, in no way close to a

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Speaker 1: sort of deal that Donald Trump is saying right now.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. No, I mean, it's very obvious what's going on here.

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Speaker 2: Yesterday, the stock futures were shitting the bed. Oil prices

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Speaker 2: were spiking the previous attempt to job in the market

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Speaker 2: from Friday when he said, oh, we're going to do

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Speaker 2: a ten day extension, there was a small bump in

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Speaker 2: the market and then it went right back down. And

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Speaker 2: that was a very we talked about on Friday. That

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Speaker 2: was very very important because he has been trying to

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Speaker 2: use true social to market manipulate and buy himself more time,

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Speaker 2: more time for what he has no idea. He's trying

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Speaker 2: to figure it out. I do think in here he's

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Speaker 2: trying to come up with some sort of an off ramp.

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Speaker 2: All right, Well, if there's not a deal, then I'm

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Speaker 2: going to bomb the hell out of you, and that

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Speaker 2: will substitute for some sort of victory and then maybe

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Speaker 2: we'll go. But as we've said, Aron gets to say

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Speaker 2: in that, and Israel gets to say in that.

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Speaker 3: Now it does Israel deserve a say no.

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Speaker 2: But that is the reality of the way that this

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Speaker 2: Trump regien has operated.

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Speaker 3: So we know that it is the case.

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Speaker 2: That Israel will continue to get it say in the

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Speaker 2: matter as well. And they have no interest in allowing

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Speaker 2: Iran to, you know, just persist and exist as a

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Speaker 2: nation and get themselves back together, etc. So I think

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Speaker 2: it's pretty clear that's what's going on here. There's zero,

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Speaker 2: zero indication on the Iranian side that there is any

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Speaker 2: sort of like a softening of the regime. In fact,

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Speaker 2: all of the indications are on the other side. You know,

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Speaker 2: the new Supreme leader, the anti nuclear weapon Fatwa is

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Speaker 2: dead and gone. The new Supreme Leader purportedly is war

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Speaker 2: hard line. You murdered his whole family. I don't think

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Speaker 2: he's too psyched about doing a deal with you. The

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Speaker 2: other individuals who may have been more moderate, a number

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Speaker 2: number of them, the Israelis at our you know, with

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Speaker 2: our acceptance, already killed them, assassinated them. So this is

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Speaker 2: pure fantasy in terms of the Strait of Hormuz, and

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Speaker 2: the way that Trump has sort of grabbed onto this

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Speaker 2: as some way of demonstrating like, see they're respecting us

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Speaker 2: and see they're easing up is also preposterous and a lie.

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Speaker 2: The Iranians have said from the beginning, Well, the strait

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Speaker 2: is not actually closed. If you come to us, if

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Speaker 2: you make a deal with us, if you pay us directly,

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Speaker 2: and the deal is denominated in shiny as you want,

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Speaker 2: then we will allow your tanker to go through. That

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Speaker 2: has been the case from the beginning. That is no

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Speaker 2: change in Iranian policy, you know, at Trump's behest or

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Speaker 2: to give a gift to him, as was proffered by

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Speaker 2: Trump last week. So the whole thing is it's completely nonsense.

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Speaker 2: The only thing that I do take from it that

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Speaker 2: is a little bit hopeful is I mean, and this

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Speaker 2: is obviously grasping its straws. Is he's clearly trying to

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Speaker 2: grasp here for some way that Okay, well, if I

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Speaker 2: bomb them in this way, then I can just say

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Speaker 2: that it's mission accomplished. But even that it's hard to

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Speaker 2: see how that gets a sound a mission.

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Speaker 1: You could bomb them, you could take out their oil infrastructure.

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Speaker 1: So then they're going to be even more desperate. And

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Speaker 1: what are they going to do. They're going to continue

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Speaker 1: to try and to mine the horror moves straight. They'll

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Speaker 1: try and keep it closed. They're basically going to try

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Speaker 1: and continue to inflict more maximum damage because at that

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Speaker 1: point they're all in. This is the escalation trap, which

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Speaker 1: we've tried to tell everybody ad nauseum about. Let's go

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Speaker 1: and put a one up there on the screen. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to understate the level of damage that we

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Speaker 1: are taking here now in the Middle East. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with the slideshow just to show everybody. This is a

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Speaker 1: US Navy, a US E three G Century airborne early

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Speaker 1: Warning and Control aircraft, which, as you guys can see

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Speaker 1: right now, was basically obliterated here either by an Iranian

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Speaker 1: missile or a drone. We don't know exactly what it is.

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Speaker 1: It seems to have been a ballistic missile and drone attack. Now,

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Speaker 1: there are only some fourteen that are currently operational in

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Speaker 1: the entire United States of America's like in terms of

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Speaker 1: their arsenal, So this is a highly strategic asset. It's

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Speaker 1: one of those that you're supposed to keep the safest.

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Speaker 1: It was also reportedly hit with multiple other refueling tankers,

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Speaker 1: which is what keeps a lot of those air operations

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Speaker 1: continuing over Iran. Now, the fact that this was able

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Speaker 1: to take what is very obvious from the picture. A

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Speaker 1: direct hit from either an Iranian missile or a drone

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Speaker 1: shows targeting capable, ability penetration. This is a Prince Sultan

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Speaker 1: airbase in Saudi Arabia. There were multiple US service members

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Speaker 1: that were hit. Let's put a two up there on

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Speaker 1: the screen. At least twelve American troops were seriously or

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Speaker 1: were injured too seriously. And from what I have seen

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Speaker 1: from some of the intelligence analysts who are out there

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Speaker 1: is that there is basically no way you could have

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Speaker 1: done this without not only up to date real time

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Speaker 1: targeting information, but exact like exact coordinates to be able

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Speaker 1: to hit very specifically where things are. I will also

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Speaker 1: note this shows you how unprepared the United States is

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Speaker 1: for a major war. You have all of these air

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Speaker 1: assets that are just sitting out there in the middle

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Speaker 1: of a runway and obviously within range of Iranian missiles

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Speaker 1: and drunes. Now the theory was, oh, well, we have interceptors.

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Speaker 1: And I saw somebody say this, you remember when Ukraine

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Speaker 1: took out a bunch of Russian air assets in almost

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Speaker 1: the exact same way. How were we not prepared for this?

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Speaker 1: And it's like very obvious. I for years, and I've

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Speaker 1: sat at this desk, and I've talked about Ukraine Russia,

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Speaker 1: and for years I've heard the pushback from many of

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Speaker 1: my friends who are much more neocons, and they're like, well,

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Speaker 1: we're not the Russians. They're idiots, they're losers. They leave

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Speaker 1: their stuff out in the open just to get hit.

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Speaker 1: They can't even have air superiority. There's such a joke.

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Speaker 1: You know, you're an idiot for considering them such a

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Speaker 1: you know, a large military. Oh maybe we're a little

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Speaker 1: bit more like Russia than we thought. Right now, we're

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Speaker 1: not as bad as how they operated in Ukraine. But

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Speaker 1: to take major strategic hits like this, and to lose

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Speaker 1: so publicly, not only one of these aircraft, but also

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Speaker 1: take all the refeeling hits, to take the injuries, and

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Speaker 1: then also to show you clearly there was either a

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Speaker 1: failure of interceptor or we ran out both are obviously

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Speaker 1: you know, if you listen to our show on Thursday,

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Speaker 1: we showed everybody the math and the numbers. We have

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Speaker 1: troops that are in harms way, and this is in

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Speaker 1: potential preparation for any sort of ground invasion where you

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Speaker 1: would need a massive aerial armada to be able to

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Speaker 1: continue to pound things that are on the ground to

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Speaker 1: make sure that the actual troops are not going to

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Speaker 1: be put into harm's way. So this is a capability

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Speaker 1: and a proof that they are absolutely not out of

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Speaker 1: the fight in any way to be able to take

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Speaker 1: out strategic access multiple US bases. Remember they call them uninhabitable.

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Speaker 1: Now troops are working remotely, You're taking out refueling tanks,

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Speaker 1: you're taking out the E three. I mean, this is

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Speaker 1: really this is a flashing red light, Yeah, to show

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Speaker 1: how unprepared we are and the damage that we've now taken.

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Speaker 2: By the way, I don't really believe that those bases

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Speaker 2: are uninhabitable. I think it's just that the troops would

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Speaker 2: be in danger if they're there, and so, I mean

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Speaker 2: I think they've all been damaged, right, and the Iranians

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Speaker 2: have demonstrated their capacity to strike those bases are they

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Speaker 2: actually uninhabitable. I'm not sure that I buy that, but

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Speaker 2: you know, and we all know if it was the

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Speaker 2: Iranians who were putting their service members up in civilian hotels,

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Speaker 2: the way that would be portrayed as, oh, they're you know,

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Speaker 2: they're cowardly, they're retreating, they're using civilians as human shields,

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Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. But in any case, to your point,

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Speaker 2: you know, this is not we're just hitting randomly whatever

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Speaker 2: we can from Iran, either they have systematically gone into

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Speaker 2: or whatever radar capability and interceptor capability they can. So

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Speaker 2: you know, with this particular aircraft, why this is so significant.

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Speaker 2: Number One, we don't make them anymore, you know, So

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Speaker 2: it's not like you get and we only we don't

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Speaker 2: have a whole lot of them. So it's not like, yah,

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Speaker 2: let's just go grab a few more, No big deal. No,

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Speaker 2: it's a significant loss that is not easily replaced. Number Two,

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Speaker 2: this is like eyes and ears. It's like a mobile

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Speaker 2: command center. That's the way that I understand it. And

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Speaker 2: so this is a highly significant, very expensive piece of

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Speaker 2: equipment here. And it goes further to the point that

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Speaker 2: Iran has been trying to achieve strategical they've been trying

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Speaker 2: to achieve of making it more difficult for us to

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Speaker 2: detect what they're doing. So that is, you know, what

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Speaker 2: is highly significant here another thing. If we can just

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Speaker 2: throw a one back up on the screen here, I

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Speaker 2: want you people to realize the way this was presented

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Speaker 2: before we got the pictures was that this was damaged. Okay, No,

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Speaker 2: does that look like a little fender bender. Oh, it

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Speaker 2: was just nicked a little, just like a little gray No,

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Speaker 2: that thing is destroyed.

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Speaker 3: It's inop like it's over. It's not.

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Speaker 2: You're not going to take it into the repair shop

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Speaker 2: and you know, patch up a little bit. They lie

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Speaker 2: to us systematically, which is why it's so hard to know.

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Speaker 2: You're debating, like what's going on in these bases, how

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Speaker 2: damage they are, it's very hard to know. The Rinnings

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Speaker 2: have made all kinds of claims about you know, far

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Speaker 2: more service members being injured, far more service members being killed.

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Speaker 3: They claim they've captured.

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Speaker 2: Now we shouldn't take them at face value either, but

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Speaker 2: you know, our government has zero credibility, which is why

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Speaker 2: there's still so much speculation about what the true numbers

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Speaker 2: are and what the true level of damage is. I

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Speaker 2: just wanted to note one other thing about I was

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Speaker 2: trying to find it early in the show when we're

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Speaker 2: talking about Trump's market manipulation here with this new truth

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Speaker 2: social and how Gollibof is the guy that's been flowed

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Speaker 2: as all. He's the new hot ticket in terms of

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Speaker 2: some moderate leadership that we're gonna be able to do.

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Speaker 3: A deal with.

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Speaker 2: Gollibof literally yesterday tweeted heads up pre market. So called

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Speaker 2: news or quote unquote truth is often just a setup

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Speaker 2: for profit taking. Basically, it's a reverse indicator. Do the

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Speaker 2: opposite if they pump it, short it, if they dump it,

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Speaker 2: go long. See something tomorrow question mark, you know, the drill.

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Speaker 2: So getting out ahead of this truth, like, hey, Trump

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Speaker 2: may come out and say some shit tomorrow morning, but

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Speaker 2: I would not listen to the words that he's saying.

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Speaker 2: And this is the guy that supposedly there, you know,

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Speaker 2: we find him where we can do the deal with him,

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Speaker 2: and he's gonna he's going to give over the oil.

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Speaker 2: He's going to be the one that just opens the

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Speaker 2: strait of horbooz and let's us do whatever we want.

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Speaker 1: This is how Trump is trying to present it. Let's

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Speaker 1: put a three. This is him talking to reporters last

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Speaker 1: night about Air Force one. Let's take a listen.

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Speaker 4: We're doing extremely well in that negotiation. But you never

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Speaker 4: know with Ran because we negotiate with him and then

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Speaker 4: we always have to blow him up, whether it's a

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Speaker 4: BEAT two bombers or just terminating. As an example, the

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Speaker 4: a Ran nuclear deal done by Baracusan and Obama probably

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Speaker 4: the worst deal we've ever done as a country. One

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Speaker 4: of the dumbest deals I've ever been but I terminated

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Speaker 4: unfortunately otherwise right now that have a nuclear weapon. Then

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Speaker 4: we did the attack with a B two bombers and

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Speaker 4: we stopped him from having nuclear Now we had a

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Speaker 4: bone them up again, and we will probably I think

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Speaker 4: we'll make a deal with them. I'm pretty sure, but

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Speaker 4: this possible.

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Speaker 1: We won't going well, but you never know, because we

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Speaker 1: negotiate with them, we have to blow them up. Maybe

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Speaker 1: that's why they don't want to negotiate with you. You

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Speaker 1: might have thought of that before you got into a

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Speaker 1: war like this and you bomb them twice under the

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Speaker 1: cover of diplomacy. By the way, meanwhile, in Iran, it's

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Speaker 1: not like many of their critical infrastructure isn't being hit

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Speaker 1: the here we go. Let's put these up here on

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Speaker 1: the screen. This is the steel plants which apparently have

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Speaker 1: just been absolutely obliterated. Allegedly these were by Israeli strikes,

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Speaker 1: although of course Israeli US strikes. Who cares. We're in

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Speaker 1: this war together. We're going to get the damage no

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Speaker 1: matter what. But you can see very clearly that multiple

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Speaker 1: critical infrastructure sites in Iran were struck. Meanwhile, let's put

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Speaker 1: a five up here on the screen. This is about

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Speaker 1: the escalation that's been happening on the ground despite much

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Speaker 1: of what's being talked about in Washington with the US

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Speaker 1: Israeli war escalates as the talks prove rootless, and as

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Speaker 1: they explicitly point out in the story, you have not

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Speaker 1: only all of this damage at the steel you also

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Speaker 1: had one of the largest aluminum producers in the Emirates

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Speaker 1: that was actually got hit for retaliation after strikes that

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Speaker 1: are happening in Iran. Iranian officials said that a university

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Speaker 1: in Tehran and another in Isfahan were struck over the weekend,

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Speaker 1: as well as a water reservoir in one of Iran's

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Speaker 1: distant provinces. The official was quoted in Iranian media saying, quote,

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Speaker 1: there is no shortage of water currently in the province.

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Speaker 1: You also had the strike on the print Sultan base,

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Speaker 1: the strike of the E three surveillance aircraft that's literally

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Speaker 1: a three hundred million dollar aircraft, you know, in terms

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Speaker 1: of the losses for us. So there has been a

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Speaker 1: lot of actually escalation that's happened under the cover of

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Speaker 1: these alleged future strikes that may come in the future.

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Speaker 1: We should not pretend that we should really not pretend

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Speaker 1: in any way that what's happened here has not actually

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Speaker 1: that what they've been threatening is not already happening at

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Speaker 1: a lot over level. Now, we haven't taken out oil

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Speaker 1: infrastructure yet, we haven't taken out the power generational that

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Speaker 1: we did hit one power generational plant earlier in the war,

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Speaker 1: or at least the Israelis did steel plants. So for them,

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Speaker 1: like they're like, look, you keep threatening this stuff, you're

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Speaker 1: actually kind of already doing it. And whether it's you

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Speaker 1: or Israel, we're taking the damage no matter what. So

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Speaker 1: we have to inflict the damage in the only way

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Speaker 1: that we know possible.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it increasingly seems too that as you know,

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Speaker 2: the initial I guess hopium that Okay, we'll just take

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Speaker 2: out the iotolin some military assets and the regime will fall.

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Speaker 2: And you know, the people arribe blah blah blah, whatever

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Speaker 2: delusion was sold to to Trump. When that fell apart,

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Speaker 2: you increasingly have civilian infrastructure which is being targeted again

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Speaker 2: and again by the Americans and the Israelis. There's thousands

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Speaker 2: of civilian sites that have been hit at this point.

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Speaker 2: Hospitals in particular have been targeted. What does that remind

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Speaker 2: you of? And this is the way, you know, this

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Speaker 2: is the way Israel operates. And now we are operating

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Speaker 2: together with Israel, and obviously we you know, back them

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Speaker 2: fully throughout the as a genocide. Once the initial military

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Speaker 2: objective failed and the attacks there failed to achieve the

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Speaker 2: strategic objective, then the idea becomes the daha doctor and

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Speaker 2: where it's like, okay, well, let's just make it brutal

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Speaker 2: as possible for civilians, you know, turn the power off

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Speaker 2: and attack their schools, and attack their homes and attack

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Speaker 2: the hospitals, et cetera, and hope maybe that causes them

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Speaker 2: to turn on the war and put pressure on the regime.

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Speaker 2: We seem to be very much in that phase of

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Speaker 2: the war. There was a recent report by BBC Verify.

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Speaker 2: New York Times then backed it up about one of

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Speaker 2: the early, however, strikes within Iran. We talked, of course

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Speaker 2: about the monob Girls' school where a Tomahawk missile decimated

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Speaker 2: that school, killed one hundred and sixty eight young girls

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Speaker 2: and you know, over a dozen teachers as well. There

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Speaker 2: was another missile that turns out to be like this

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Speaker 2: new high tech precision missile that hit a sports complex

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Speaker 2: and an adjacent elementary school also in the early day

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Speaker 2: of the war, that has also been to have was

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Speaker 2: confirmed by BBC verified to have come from US. Let's

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Speaker 2: go ahead and take a listen to a little bit

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Speaker 2: of their reporting.

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Speaker 5: There are at least two strikes on Lammad, a town

432
00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,440
Speaker 5: in the south of Iran. One was on a residential street,

433
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,080
Speaker 5: which is where we can see the missile. Another strike

434
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 5: hit a community sports hall where state media report children

435
00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:22,440
Speaker 5: were playing volleyball. Its intended target may have been an

436
00:20:22,440 --> 00:20:25,439
Speaker 5: Irainian military base next door, but it appears undamaged in

437
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 5: Tessallae imagery. According to multiple Iranian state media outlets, four

438
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:32,239
Speaker 5: children were among those killed that day, including twelve year

439
00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:35,879
Speaker 5: old Alhamzairi, an avid volleyball player. The youngest victim was

440
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:39,400
Speaker 5: reportedly two years old. Footage we verified of the aftermath

441
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,639
Speaker 5: of the sports hall strike shows the entire side of

442
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 5: the building blackened. Damage can also be seen on the roof,

443
00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 5: with blast fragments in the surrounding area. According to experts,

444
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:50,359
Speaker 5: the weapon most likely used on the residential street was

445
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 5: a US precision striking style. It's also known as a prism.

446
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 5: It can reach targets of up to five hundred kilometers away.

447
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:59,440
Speaker 5: This war marks what's believed to be the first time

448
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 5: this weapon has been used by the US military. That's

449
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,160
Speaker 5: according to the Department of Defense. We asked the US

450
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,600
Speaker 5: why used a prison in a civilian area, but they

451
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:10,000
Speaker 5: declined to comment. America's most senior officer praised his troop's

452
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,119
Speaker 5: use of the system on the thirteenth of March.

453
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 2: In just the first thirteen days of this operation, our

454
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,680
Speaker 2: artillery forces have made history.

455
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:21,520
Speaker 6: They fired the first precision strike missiles ever used in combat.

456
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 2: So more children here killed by our missiles. This one, apparently,

457
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 2: this new fancy, high tech missile, in its debut, murdered

458
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 2: some children while they were playing sports at the same time, sager,

459
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 2: we're getting on lisbout A seven up on the screen.

460
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:38,560
Speaker 2: We're getting more reporting about. There was all sorts of

461
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 2: happy talk about Iran's missile arsenal is being destroyed and

462
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 2: their launcher capacities being decimated.

463
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 3: Well, now we got this information.

464
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 2: US intelligence has determined just thirty three percent roughly of

465
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,359
Speaker 2: Iran's missile arsenal has been destroyed in the as the

466
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 2: Iran War nears its one marth month mark. This is

467
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 2: per Reuter's details include the intelligence assessments. Iran still has

468
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:04,359
Speaker 2: significant missile inventory. I think we're seeing that every day.

469
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,439
Speaker 2: The status of around another third is less clear, but

470
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 2: ballmings likely damage destroyed or buried those missiles in underground

471
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 2: tunnels and bunkers. Sources say US intelligence was similar for

472
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:19,479
Speaker 2: Iran's drone capability as well. Obviously that's highly significant, and

473
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:23,120
Speaker 2: Iran is expected to recover some buried or damaged missiles

474
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:24,400
Speaker 2: once fighting stops.

475
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,000
Speaker 3: Tomorrow is the one month mark of the war.

476
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:30,040
Speaker 2: So all that happy talk about, how you know, don't worry,

477
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 2: our interceptor stockpile is going to outlast them. We're destroying them.

478
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 2: Trump said that they've been obliterated. He won victory is ours.

479
00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:40,120
Speaker 2: Blah blah blah. They still have two thirds of their

480
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:42,920
Speaker 2: missile arsenal, they're intact at least potent.

481
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, they've only been able to confirm some thirty three percent.

482
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,480
Speaker 1: And also look in terms of the strikes, the number

483
00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:49,800
Speaker 1: of the strikes from the Iranians is coming down. But

484
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:53,320
Speaker 1: because they've worn out all of the interceptors, Israel and

485
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,919
Speaker 1: the United States clearly are now having to ration. If

486
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:57,840
Speaker 1: they don't ration, then they'll have to pull it from

487
00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 1: every place on the globe and we'll be out of

488
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,920
Speaker 1: them within at least six months. So you could see

489
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: this is a huge problem. Whenever you're losing three hundred

490
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 1: million dollar aircraft, you're using three hundred million dollar aircraft,

491
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:11,720
Speaker 1: twelve US soldiers who are all wounded, two of them

492
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 1: seriously who are wounded. On top of that, you have

493
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,199
Speaker 1: all of the strikes on the air bases. Israel has

494
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 1: been getting pounded day after day. The IDF is basically

495
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,200
Speaker 1: all confirmed that they've had d ration a lot of

496
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:26,240
Speaker 1: the missiles that or their interceptor missiles. As I told

497
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 1: everybody the last time, in the first sixteen days of

498
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 1: the war, if they fired on that same pace, they

499
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 1: would have run out two days ago for their best interceptors.

500
00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,480
Speaker 1: And then the US where in the first sixteen the

501
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 1: projection run date is I think April sixteenth, before we're

502
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 1: completely dry. So you have to ration. There's just no

503
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:47,360
Speaker 1: other way around it, and it takes years to build

504
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 1: all these back. For example, let's go ahead and put

505
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 1: the A eight up here on the screen. The Tomahawk

506
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 1: missile probably the most beloved piece of military tech by

507
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,840
Speaker 1: every president since, like Bill Clinton. It's great. You can

508
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 1: fire it from anywhere, you can hit a target thousands

509
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 1: of miles away. You don't actually put any troops on

510
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:05,640
Speaker 1: the ground. You can send a message. Right. It makes

511
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 1: us feel big and tough and strong, and they're super

512
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:10,119
Speaker 1: precision and they work well. Not to mention though that

513
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 1: actually this was used on the very first day of

514
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:14,280
Speaker 1: the war and you know, hit the girls school. But

515
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 1: the US has now fired some eight hundred and fifty

516
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 1: Tomhawk missiles. This is from the Washington Post quote raising

517
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 1: concerns about the weapons limited supply. Now we were only

518
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:29,480
Speaker 1: even technically I think, on the books to get fifty

519
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,919
Speaker 1: seven as of last year in the defense budget. So

520
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 1: eight hundred and fifty in a month fifty seven in

521
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 1: the last year. What's the math on that one? I mean,

522
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:42,440
Speaker 1: just what is that years of the backlog? Allegedly there's

523
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,680
Speaker 1: some ability in the supply chain to actually crank these

524
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: out more, but there's only one facility I think it's

525
00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 1: in Arizona that even makes all of the missiles, a

526
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,160
Speaker 1: lot of them are you know, it's by hand. It's

527
00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: extremely complex, extremely expensive to and what you can see

528
00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:59,920
Speaker 1: is that this leaves you in a very difficult posture

529
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:03,160
Speaker 1: where now, if something else kicks off, what do you do?

530
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:05,399
Speaker 1: Now we're really have to ration, Like we're already rationing

531
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 1: here in war. Everyone talks about China, Oh, China and China,

532
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 1: Oh they're you know, China's you know, if you play

533
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 1: some ninety chests about how they're taking all these hits.

534
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 1: What are you talking about? You got E three down.

535
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,240
Speaker 1: China's like just like so they can't protect a need three.

536
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 1: They're still playing Russian tactics. You got all these Tomahawk missiles,

537
00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 1: You have the interceptors that have been pulled out of

538
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:25,639
Speaker 1: South Korea? Do you know what happens? We're gonna talk

539
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:27,800
Speaker 1: about this later. The South Korean president is telling people

540
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,439
Speaker 1: to take shorter showers. That's how bad things are in

541
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 1: a Can you imagine if an American president had to tell, hey, everybody,

542
00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 1: you need to shower less the tie. I think the

543
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 1: tie president is like wearing short sleeves and he's like, listen,

544
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 1: we're all gonna have to do a like we're gonna

545
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:41,720
Speaker 1: have live with the least air conditioning as we go

546
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,160
Speaker 1: into the summer. That's the reality already in Asia. So

547
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,919
Speaker 1: that could be coming. And that's what life looks like

548
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:51,399
Speaker 1: whenever you're threatening the economies. I was looking yesterday the

549
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: Japanese open on their market, which the NIK two twenty

550
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,640
Speaker 1: five was down by like five percent on the open.

551
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,879
Speaker 1: They're gettet hammered over there. And so all of this

552
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,639
Speaker 1: is dramatically weaking any potential US force posture for the

553
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 1: stuff that actually matters to us, like the chips. We're

554
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:10,400
Speaker 1: going to talk later. Helium is down thirty forty percent already,

555
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:14,399
Speaker 1: semiconductors orders being canceled. They're like, listen, we don't have

556
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,159
Speaker 1: the capacity. You've got all of the gas and the

557
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:21,000
Speaker 1: energy which powers all of our homes. LNG prices oil

558
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: natural gap like the spot price on those trading up

559
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 1: jet fuel two hundred dollars a barrel in Singapore as

560
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:30,359
Speaker 1: of today. If you want to fly anywhere, and if

561
00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:32,399
Speaker 1: you don't want to risk flying through the Gulf and

562
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 1: getting hit by a stray Iranian missile this summer, good luck. Seriously,

563
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:39,400
Speaker 1: I mean it's it's thousands of dollars of what all

564
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 1: of this is going to look like. So it's bad.

565
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 1: And then final thing here is the Hoothies, which is

566
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 1: what would really send this to the stratosphere, because what

567
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 1: we have right now is the situation where the streets

568
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,160
Speaker 1: of more Moves are closed, but the Red Sea remains

569
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 1: relatively open. We've seen one strike there, but we have

570
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:59,440
Speaker 1: not seen a potent, sustained campaign. Well, the Hoothies are

571
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 1: now declared that not only are they entering the war,

572
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 1: let's put a nine and take a listen here from

573
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 1: Al Jazeera about who they's official declaration that they are

574
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 1: in it with only initial strikes yet so far on

575
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 1: Israel potentially holding back some of the strikes that they

576
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 1: need to to fully close and choke off all of

577
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:17,920
Speaker 1: the world's oil from the Middle East. Let's take a listen.

578
00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 7: We've been reporting Yemmens Hothies have joined the conflict in

579
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:23,800
Speaker 7: the Middle East. Well, the group says it launched a

580
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:27,399
Speaker 7: second attack on Israel and that it will launch many

581
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 7: more strikes in the coming days.

582
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 8: Do in response to the enemy's crimes on our people

583
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,679
Speaker 8: and our countries, and in support of the freedom of

584
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,919
Speaker 8: the people. Will continue, with the grace of God, to

585
00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 8: carry out military operations in the coming days until the

586
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,679
Speaker 8: enemy stops its hostilities and aggressions.

587
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: So you can see that declaration they're saying and willing

588
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,360
Speaker 1: to be able to get into the war. It will

589
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:55,720
Speaker 1: completely choke off Saudi Arabia, and that would easily send

590
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 1: oil to two hundred dollars a barrel, that's eight dollars

591
00:27:58,080 --> 00:27:58,399
Speaker 1: a gallon.

592
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 2: And it also demonstras that Iran is not at the

593
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 2: top of like there's many more things that they could do.

594
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 2: And the analysis I saws that they've probably held back on,

595
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,120
Speaker 2: you know, asking the Hoho Thies to get fully involved

596
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:14,120
Speaker 2: or close off the Babelmandab straight there in the Red

597
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 2: Sea is because that could potentially fully bring Saudi Arabia

598
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 2: into the war. And I mean it's just a very

599
00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:26,120
Speaker 2: significant escalation. So there are still tools in their toolkit

600
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 2: that they could deploy and Apparently they have you know,

601
00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:33,120
Speaker 2: the missile and the drone capacity to continue to cause

602
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 2: a lot of damage and problems and really squeeze the

603
00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 2: global economy until until we squale and last piece to

604
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 2: put up her on the screen, because this speaks to

605
00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 2: that potential escalation chain and their continued capability. Here you

606
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:50,520
Speaker 2: had an Iranian strike hit a service building at a

607
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 2: Kuwaiti power and water desalination facility, and this underscores you know.

608
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 3: Those golf are up states.

609
00:28:57,240 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 2: We've talked about this before, very vulnerable in terms of

610
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 2: the you know, the infrastructure that they rely on for

611
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 2: the very basics of life, for water and for food.

612
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,120
Speaker 2: So you know this is these are the sort of

613
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,800
Speaker 2: actions that they have the capability of taking and can

614
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 2: really cause a devastating blow for these golf air regimes

615
00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 2: in particular.

616
00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 1: This is what I mean. Yeah, this is what it

617
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 1: all looks like. Like everything the table is set. And clearly,

618
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 1: if we could destroy and eliminate all Iranian missiles, we

619
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 1: would have already done it, and they already claimed that

620
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 1: we did ninety five percent. If they can still take out,

621
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 1: if they're doubling the anion of missis they'll strike able

622
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 1: to fire in a single week as compared to last week.

623
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: If they have the capability still, I mean, look, it's

624
00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 1: their country. You can at the end of the day,

625
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 1: how many times we're going to learn this about the

626
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 1: air campaign. And even with Gaza, Gaza was what it's

627
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 1: a tiny strip of land. And even with the full

628
00:29:50,080 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 1: IDF coming in occupying the North, they literally leveled what

629
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 1: every building in the north like to the ground. They

630
00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:00,280
Speaker 1: still had hamas and tunnels and guns, and that's, you know,

631
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:04,080
Speaker 1: a tiny spit of land. Compare that to Iran's gigantic

632
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 1: country ballistic missiles control over the streets of Hormuz without

633
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 1: full blown occupation, you can basically never guarantee that something's

634
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:12,960
Speaker 1: not going to be flying around and hitting targets. And

635
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 1: especially they've got the technology, they have the cost advantage

636
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,680
Speaker 1: on their side. Don't forget what treat to Parsi said,

637
00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 1: which has now been confirmed. Iran is earning more today

638
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 1: from oil than they ever have before, ever before. They

639
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: are more cash flush right now than ever, and the

640
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: Kremlin appears to be sending them more drones, more technology,

641
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 1: and it's very obvious that at least some of their

642
00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 1: targeting information is either coming from China or Russia. With

643
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 1: advanced satellites and precision, you don't just take out an

644
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 1: E three just by yourself. Yeah, you think about the

645
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 1: level of empire that has to be behind you. So look,

646
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:49,200
Speaker 1: the stage is set, and it's potentially set for a

647
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 1: ground troop invasion. So let's get to it. Turning down

648
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 1: to ground troops. How is this going to end? Well,

649
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 1: all signs point to a potential ground invasion absence some serious,

650
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:02,479
Speaker 1: you know, last minute peace deal, which who knows if

651
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:04,040
Speaker 1: we could even trust that. But let's go and put

652
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 1: this up here on the screen, breaking last night from

653
00:31:06,520 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 1: the Wall Street Journal, something that anybody's been watching the

654
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 1: show will be very well familiar with. Trump is weighing

655
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 1: military operations to extract Iran's uranium. So if we dig

656
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 1: down into it, it is unfortunately the craziest potential ground

657
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,840
Speaker 1: operation plan. But what it would entail is that it

658
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 1: would require some US forces to go deep inside of

659
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:32,680
Speaker 1: Iran and extract nearly one thousand pounds of uranium. That

660
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: would likely put the American forces inside the country for

661
00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: days or longer. So let's think about it just logistically,

662
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 1: at a very basic level, you would have to deploy

663
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 1: to multiple of these sites and potentially unknown sites which

664
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 1: have been buried under rubble by US bombers earlier. You

665
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 1: have specially trained special operators who have actually trained for

666
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 1: years for some like radioactive material recovery, so they would

667
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: be the tip of the spear. That would be their

668
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:01,360
Speaker 1: job to go in to should get it, to secure it. Now,

669
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 1: to secure them, you would actually need multiple ground forces

670
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 1: who are around them to set a perimeter to make

671
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 1: sure that ground operators would not have Iranian forces not

672
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 1: be able to come swarm and to capture them or

673
00:32:12,080 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 1: kill them. Then he would also need all this air

674
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:17,960
Speaker 1: power and potential interceptors and all this other stuff that's

675
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:19,960
Speaker 1: happening to make sure that drones and other things that

676
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 1: are flying suicide drone missile is not being flown and

677
00:32:22,960 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 1: shot at the country. Not to mention whoever even lives

678
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 1: in the area itself, it would be a absolute nightmare. Now,

679
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 1: why would Trump even consider this? And again, if you've

680
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 1: been watching, you need to really understand the strategic logic

681
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 1: from his brain. He needs desperately an off ramp. If

682
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 1: he paid attention, did you notice that in that first

683
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:43,400
Speaker 1: truth about the horm moves straight he actually made it

684
00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,080
Speaker 1: open to the idea of maybe we could just have

685
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,479
Speaker 1: a deal and have it not deal with the straits

686
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 1: of horm moves. His secretary, Rubio is apparently on Good

687
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 1: Morning America right now as you and I are speaking,

688
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 1: and he was like, well, other countries get more out

689
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:57,520
Speaker 1: of it. So they're trying to set the table for

690
00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 1: a potential declare victory and then leave. Now, obviously oil

691
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:03,480
Speaker 1: is a global commodity, so it doesn't really matter. We

692
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:05,960
Speaker 1: could potentially see an export band, but I don't think

693
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 1: it's realistic. It would eventually still make prices go sky high.

694
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 1: What we are seeing is in their mind they need

695
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 1: an off ramp. They need to be able to declare victory.

696
00:33:16,080 --> 00:33:18,320
Speaker 1: The only real way to declare victory is to take

697
00:33:18,320 --> 00:33:21,400
Speaker 1: away the uranium. And allegedly this is all about nuclear weapons,

698
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 1: even though it's all fake, it's nonsense. So this is

699
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:27,160
Speaker 1: the mission in his mind, even though it's the most risky,

700
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 1: the one that would actually deliver his mission accomplished moment

701
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 1: and actually try and extrication from the conflict. Now, it

702
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 1: won't get us out at the end of the day.

703
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 1: We had all these bases, we've got all the golf.

704
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 1: It's not like Iran is just going to sit there

705
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: and they're going to take it. This is their only

706
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 1: latent nuclear deterrent that they've had, which is why they

707
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,840
Speaker 1: won't give it up. I don't blame them. I wouldn't either, write.

708
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 1: So I used to look what Goadafi look at North Korea?

709
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 1: Which one would you rather be? So you could see

710
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 1: very clearly that they know they're coming. There's no element

711
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 1: of surprise really about what this potential could look like.

712
00:33:56,960 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 1: And this is the highest, most risky one, which would

713
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,120
Speaker 1: easily require multiple days on the ground, and that's if

714
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 1: everything goes well, and it never goes well.

715
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 2: One of the things that I want to talk to

716
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,239
Speaker 2: Colonel Wilkerson about is he's been sounding the alarm that

717
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,200
Speaker 2: the decision in Iran could have already been made to

718
00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 2: race to a bomb, and that he believes as possible

719
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,239
Speaker 2: for them to achieve that in a way that would

720
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,320
Speaker 2: be undetectable, and then imagine the way that that changes

721
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:22,080
Speaker 2: the game. I mean, it's hard for me to wrap

722
00:34:22,120 --> 00:34:26,800
Speaker 2: my head around, but just to underscore the insanity of

723
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 2: what this mission that's being contemplated here would look like,

724
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:32,640
Speaker 2: let me read to you from this Wall Street Journal

725
00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 2: piece about exactly what this mission would entail. It says

726
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 2: any move to seize the Uranian by force would be

727
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 2: complex and dangerous. This is according to former US military

728
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:46,920
Speaker 2: officers and experts. The potential operation, which would likely trigger

729
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 2: retaliation from Iran, could also lengthen the war well beyond

730
00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 2: the four to six week time frame Trump's team has

731
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 2: publicly outlined. So here's what would happen. Teams of US

732
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 2: forces would need to fly to the sites likely under

733
00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:01,320
Speaker 2: fire from Iranian service to air missiles and drones. Once

734
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 2: on site, combat troops would need to secure perimeters so

735
00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 2: that engineers with excavating equipment could search through debris and

736
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:10,840
Speaker 2: check for mines and movie traps.

737
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 3: The extraction of.

738
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:13,960
Speaker 2: The material would likely need to be conducted by an

739
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,120
Speaker 2: elite special operations team that was what Soccer was speaking to,

740
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 2: especially trained to remove radioactive material from a conflict zone.

741
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 2: The highly enrituranium is likely contained in forty to fifty

742
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 2: special cylinders that resemble scuba tanks. They would need to

743
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:32,160
Speaker 2: be put into transportation casks to protect against accidents. That's

744
00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 2: the other aspect of all of this is potential nuclear

745
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:38,759
Speaker 2: fallout that could fill several trucks, said an expert on

746
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:43,080
Speaker 2: this Unless an airfield was available, a makeshift airfield would

747
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 2: need to be set up to bring equipment in and

748
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 2: take the nuclear material out. The entire operation would take

749
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,000
Speaker 2: days or even a week to complete. This is not

750
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 2: like going in and snatching the duro and getting out.

751
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:57,360
Speaker 2: This would take You have to set up a makeshift airfield,

752
00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:00,919
Speaker 2: secure a perimeter, go in under fire, send your team

753
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:04,719
Speaker 2: in with excavators, find this material loaded on trucks, get

754
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 2: it onto these aircraft, and get it out, you know,

755
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 2: again under fire. It says US troops could avoid such

756
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 2: a dangerous operation if Aron agreed to hand over its

757
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:17,120
Speaker 2: uranium as part of a peace settlement. But you know,

758
00:36:17,239 --> 00:36:19,759
Speaker 2: doesn't look like we're headed in that direction whatsoever, Like

759
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:22,560
Speaker 2: the type of peace settlement that was on the table

760
00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 2: before we decided to launch this absolutely insane and disastrous war.

761
00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, can we put the next element, guys the New

762
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,480
Speaker 1: York Times hearsheet I asked for this morning, just to

763
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 1: underscore how you already have many of these pieces that

764
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:38,759
Speaker 1: are currently in place. US Special Operations forces have been

765
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 1: sent to the Middle East in the hundreds just in

766
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 1: the last week or so that have now arrived, quote,

767
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,720
Speaker 1: several hundred US Special Operator's Force have arrived, joining thousands

768
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:52,359
Speaker 1: of Marines, Army paratroopers in a deployment meant to give

769
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:56,239
Speaker 1: President Trump additional options. The commandos, including Army rangers and

770
00:36:56,360 --> 00:37:00,120
Speaker 1: Navy seals, have not yet been assigned specific missions, but

771
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:02,840
Speaker 1: as specialized ground troops, they could deploy to help safeguard

772
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:04,960
Speaker 1: the Straight or they could be deployed to try and

773
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:08,080
Speaker 1: seize carg Island, or of course used in a mission

774
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:12,360
Speaker 1: aimed at Iran's highly enriched uranium at the Isfahan nuclear site.

775
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 1: So these commandos join twenty five hundred Marines, another twenty

776
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:19,799
Speaker 1: five hundred sailors who just arrived in the region as

777
00:37:19,840 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 1: of a couple of days ago. All together, there are

778
00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:26,360
Speaker 1: now fifty thousand American troops in the Middle East, roughly

779
00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:29,400
Speaker 1: ten thousand more than normal. You have all of these

780
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:33,680
Speaker 1: elite special operators on top of remember the eighty second

781
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,279
Speaker 1: Airborne which was on its way. This just I mean,

782
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 1: you have to follow the forces of everything that following

783
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 1: the actual military assets in Venezuela ultimately was the only

784
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:48,560
Speaker 1: thing that proved like the direction of where things are going.

785
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:50,560
Speaker 1: For all the talk of diplomacy and all that, it

786
00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:53,920
Speaker 1: didn't matter. In June of twenty twenty five, the people

787
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:57,080
Speaker 1: who were looking at you know, all of the assets

788
00:37:57,200 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 1: that were being put into place, even while Trump was

789
00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 1: a negotiating guess what they were proven correct. And then

790
00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 1: finally one month ago, almost exactly from when this launch,

791
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:09,040
Speaker 1: when this war launch, what did we see is that

792
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:11,719
Speaker 1: at the end of the day, all the talks at

793
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:14,160
Speaker 1: the you know, the carriers on the way, the missile,

794
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:17,600
Speaker 1: everything else with the basis, that's really what proved to

795
00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 1: actually tell it. Now, we don't know where they're going

796
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,719
Speaker 1: to hit. They could hit something else. But you also

797
00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:23,719
Speaker 1: have a little bit of a view into Donald Trump's logic.

798
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 1: Let's put be one up here on the screen.

799
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 8: This is what he.

800
00:38:26,040 --> 00:38:29,920
Speaker 1: Tweeted last night. Watch Mark Levin interview of the brilliant

801
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:33,160
Speaker 1: Mark Teeson tonight at eight pm on Fox News. So

802
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,680
Speaker 1: what did Mark Levin actually say on Fox News. Let's

803
00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 1: take a listen.

804
00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:41,120
Speaker 9: Troops on the ground. He said, no troops on the ground.

805
00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 9: I don't remember that in any campaign speech either. But

806
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:48,319
Speaker 9: why would we need troops on the ground. Well, there's

807
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:51,280
Speaker 9: a lot of reasons, and we wouldn't need three hundred

808
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:56,799
Speaker 9: thousand of them. It's this uranium too. We've got to

809
00:38:56,800 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 9: get the uranium. If he cannot destroyed, if it cannot

810
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:04,440
Speaker 9: be altered, we got.

811
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 1: To get it.

812
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 9: For the reason I just said, you can make dirty bombs.

813
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 9: You know, over time, you can still make sophisticated missiles.

814
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:19,080
Speaker 9: So you need to get to the uranium. That's why

815
00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:21,479
Speaker 9: I'm reading in the paper. We're talking about the eighty

816
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:24,400
Speaker 9: second Airborne. We're talking about these very special forces and

817
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:27,879
Speaker 9: the various military services and so forth. He's not talking

818
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 9: about sending regular army and infantry in by the hundreds

819
00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:37,000
Speaker 9: of thousands. The men he's talking about. The units he's

820
00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,319
Speaker 9: talking about, they are specialized. And you know what else,

821
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 9: I remember from my days in the regular administration, many

822
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:47,880
Speaker 9: of them are trained for a moment like this, to

823
00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 9: try and secure enriched uranium. Many have been trained for

824
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:55,080
Speaker 9: moments like this.

825
00:39:56,239 --> 00:39:57,239
Speaker 3: Great, there you go.

826
00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:01,160
Speaker 1: I prompt us watch it. This is what Yeah.

827
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:04,360
Speaker 2: And I think I don't think Trump actually knows what

828
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,839
Speaker 2: he's going to do, but there is I think you're

829
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:12,080
Speaker 2: correct that a lot of logic, of Trumpian logic, logic

830
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 2: pushes in the direction of this frankly insane mission. To

831
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:19,520
Speaker 2: try to seize the nuclear material because he's bored with

832
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 2: this war. He doesn't want to do it anymore. He

833
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:24,920
Speaker 2: wants to focus on the midterms or his ballroom or whatever.

834
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:26,399
Speaker 3: He's sort of sick of the whole thing.

835
00:40:26,800 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 2: Well, what is going to allow you to sort of,

836
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:31,719
Speaker 2: you know, do the mission accomplished? Okay, we achieved our

837
00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 2: objector we're out of here, carg Island, any of these

838
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 2: other islands they're talking about. That doesn't that actually entrenches

839
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:40,280
Speaker 2: you there for a long time, which Trump himself has admitted,

840
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:43,680
Speaker 2: I mean indefinitely, I don't know. And obviously also that

841
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 2: is sort of its own suicide mission for different reasons.

842
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 2: But you know, he's he's a big gambler. He's not

843
00:40:49,120 --> 00:40:52,279
Speaker 2: afraid of taking insane risks. He's done it throughout his career,

844
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:54,719
Speaker 2: including his business career. He has a sense that he

845
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:56,919
Speaker 2: always lands on his feet, and in many ways he's

846
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 2: been right about that. This may be the you know,

847
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 2: the time when reality catches up. I also just have

848
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,960
Speaker 2: to note, like for the guy who ran from the

849
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 2: beginning against the neocons blah blah blah to now be

850
00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 2: shouting out a Fox News segment with Mark Levin and

851
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 2: Mark Teeson. Do you guys know who Mark Tison is.

852
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 1: I do.

853
00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 2: He's a speech writer for Donald Rumsfeld and then for

854
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,720
Speaker 2: George W. Bush, and he wrote a whole book about

855
00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:25,600
Speaker 2: defending torture and waterboarding during the War on Terror era.

856
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 2: So these are the people that he now, you know, uplifts,

857
00:41:29,320 --> 00:41:31,719
Speaker 2: The very neo cons that he claimed to be so

858
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 2: opposed to are the leading lights at this point.

859
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, you know, it's hate. You hate to see

860
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:42,879
Speaker 1: the people who you read about ran against thought, were dead,

861
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,759
Speaker 1: not only resurrected, but now be the people who are

862
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 1: directly pumping you know, at this point though, that's tright,

863
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 1: this is Trump. I'm almost done with this whole. It's

864
00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:55,000
Speaker 1: Mark Levin's war Like yeah, well that's true, but at

865
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 1: a certain point like this is Trump. It's Trump, and

866
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:58,200
Speaker 1: that's it. At the end of the day, he's the

867
00:41:58,200 --> 00:42:00,359
Speaker 1: guy who wants people to listen to Mark Levin, that's

868
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 1: the guy who's chosen to be in bed with so

869
00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 1: be it people like me being all of us, you

870
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:06,360
Speaker 1: to reckon with it. How did this happen? It's very interesting.

871
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,400
Speaker 2: Well, it also shows you why this time around, all

872
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 2: the people that got us into this disaster shit.

873
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 3: They need to be out of media.

874
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:15,239
Speaker 2: They need to be shamed, They need to if you know,

875
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:17,040
Speaker 2: if they were criminal acts, they need to be dealt

876
00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:19,640
Speaker 2: with because you allow these people to linger around. Next thing,

877
00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:21,479
Speaker 2: you know, it's you know, twenty thirty, and we're getting

878
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:23,040
Speaker 2: the same bullshit about how we got to go to

879
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 2: war with Turkey or whatever.

880
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 1: You know that's coming. Yeah, we'll eventually get to that.

881
00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:30,239
Speaker 1: You'll see gasping Boomers on life support, like, I know

882
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:32,799
Speaker 1: you were wrong about Iran, but we've got to go

883
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:33,759
Speaker 1: to war against her.

884
00:42:33,800 --> 00:42:33,960
Speaker 2: There.

885
00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 3: This cannot at this time. It'll be different.

886
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:40,440
Speaker 2: Democracy will flourish, human rights, think of the girls.

887
00:42:40,960 --> 00:42:42,840
Speaker 3: We need a gay Pride parade.

888
00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 1: Cannot allow Turkey to have a nuclear weapon. Sager, you

889
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:49,839
Speaker 1: just don't get it this time. And by the way,

890
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:52,360
Speaker 1: as we said, put B four up there on the screen.

891
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:54,800
Speaker 1: The US sailor this is from Sentcom. They're openly just

892
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:58,080
Speaker 1: tweeting this stuff out. Sailors and Marines aboard USS Tripoli

893
00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:01,319
Speaker 1: have arrived in the US Central Command of Responsibility. So

894
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,759
Speaker 1: you've got all of the pictures of all of these

895
00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 1: US service members that are now there. Don't forget I

896
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:09,560
Speaker 1: talked earlier about China. China is genuinely weeping as this

897
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:13,520
Speaker 1: amphibious group was taken from the Asia Pacific and sent

898
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:17,400
Speaker 1: directly over here for potential operations. Put B five up

899
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:20,680
Speaker 1: there as well. This actually goes into some of the

900
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 1: operational details of what the influx of a potential seventeen

901
00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 1: thousand additional troops could look like, because that's currently being

902
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,880
Speaker 1: being floated over at the Pentagon, far short of what

903
00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:34,680
Speaker 1: would be needed for a full scale invasion, but could

904
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:38,400
Speaker 1: see strategic territory on the mainland, secure their stockpile, or

905
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,240
Speaker 1: take an island. So to set the tone for everyone,

906
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 1: the way that this is going to go about is

907
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 1: like the Vietnam model. What's going to happen is they're

908
00:43:46,200 --> 00:43:48,279
Speaker 1: going to say that this is an initial and a

909
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:51,680
Speaker 1: special operation. That's it. It's just we're taking the island,

910
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:53,799
Speaker 1: we're taking the uranium. We're going to stay there as

911
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:55,200
Speaker 1: long as we need to, and then once we get

912
00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:57,319
Speaker 1: the uranium, we're going to come out. Well where have

913
00:43:57,400 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 1: we heard all of that before? Well all in life.

914
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:03,799
Speaker 1: It actually happened during the Vietnam War where in the

915
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:07,719
Speaker 1: very first operation that General Westmoreland was in charge of

916
00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:11,320
Speaker 1: he said, there is no situation where Marines will be

917
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 1: directly engaging with the Vietnamese. He literally said that. He said,

918
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:16,920
Speaker 1: we're not here to engage. It was just thirty five hundred,

919
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:17,239
Speaker 1: that's it.

920
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:19,080
Speaker 3: We're supposed to take an airport.

921
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:21,319
Speaker 1: Was not the idea exactly right. See do you see

922
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:25,320
Speaker 1: how everything comes back around the same exact strategic logic.

923
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:29,120
Speaker 1: There is no situation where we US Marines will be

924
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:32,239
Speaker 1: directly engaging with the Vietnamese. That's what he said, And

925
00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:35,920
Speaker 1: of course that's what you plan for. And even yesterday

926
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,880
Speaker 1: our last show, I remember, they're like Trump wants speedy

927
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:41,399
Speaker 1: end to the conflict. Every wartime leader wants to speedy

928
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:43,040
Speaker 1: end of the conflict. That doesn't mean you get it.

929
00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:44,840
Speaker 1: And that's why you don't get into the damn mess,

930
00:44:45,440 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 1: you know, in the first place. And I just I

931
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:52,200
Speaker 1: cannot see a situation where we at the very least,

932
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,440
Speaker 1: and I'm not saying we can't do it, we could

933
00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:57,799
Speaker 1: just declare victory and leave. Even then, straights and wore

934
00:44:57,880 --> 00:44:59,719
Speaker 1: moves are closed. What are you gonna do? You're gon

935
00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 1: your clothes, golf arabs are all getting attacked, the oil refineries,

936
00:45:04,040 --> 00:45:05,839
Speaker 1: what the Israelis are just going to stop. I mean,

937
00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:08,520
Speaker 1: that's layering on top of all of this. They're going

938
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:09,880
Speaker 1: through it right now. We're going to talk about that

939
00:45:10,120 --> 00:45:12,359
Speaker 1: a little bit later. But IDF is collapsing, you guys

940
00:45:12,360 --> 00:45:15,640
Speaker 1: cover that. On Friday, they've literally invaded all of Lebanon,

941
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:18,640
Speaker 1: like or half of the entire country. They just expanded

942
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:22,200
Speaker 1: the buffer zone. A million people are being displaced. IDF

943
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:24,920
Speaker 1: nineteen year olds are getting killed left and right in Lebanon.

944
00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 1: I mean after their parents died and fought in Lebanon.

945
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 1: Don't forget this is a political crisis in Israel, not

946
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,879
Speaker 1: to mention like, look, they're stretched to the brink. They're

947
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:37,120
Speaker 1: fighting in Iran. They're taking ballistic for the small country.

948
00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:39,920
Speaker 1: Buyer's a small counctious to size of New Jersey. Imagine

949
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:42,600
Speaker 1: that people there, like I haven't slept in a month,

950
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 1: you know, because we're all under attack.

951
00:45:44,280 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 2: But yeah, well, I do want to make a point

952
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:49,960
Speaker 2: that I had somebody that made online which I thought

953
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:55,279
Speaker 2: was excellent important by proportion, Israel has invaded and is

954
00:45:55,320 --> 00:45:59,440
Speaker 2: attempting to annex a larger portion of Lebanon than Russia

955
00:45:59,840 --> 00:46:03,319
Speaker 2: invaded in Ukraine. And I want you to think for

956
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:06,799
Speaker 2: a moment about the very different way those things were

957
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:09,880
Speaker 2: presented in the media. The Western media goes out of

958
00:46:09,920 --> 00:46:15,600
Speaker 2: its way to describe Israel's invasion of Lebanon as anything

959
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:19,839
Speaker 2: other than an invasion, and you know, it's guess what, guys,

960
00:46:19,880 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 2: it's an invasion. It's wrong when Russia does it, it's also

961
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 2: wrong when Israel does it. But in any case, your

962
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:27,880
Speaker 2: point about how, look, the public is on board with

963
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 2: the Iran war.

964
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:29,920
Speaker 3: Don't get us wrong here.

965
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:32,200
Speaker 2: I mean, even with all the polling suggests, even with

966
00:46:32,239 --> 00:46:34,240
Speaker 2: having to go in the bomb shelters and losing sleep

967
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:36,719
Speaker 2: and you know, IDs soldiers getting killed and all of that,

968
00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 2: they're in for it, Okay, in a much different way

969
00:46:39,520 --> 00:46:42,399
Speaker 2: than the US population is. But that doesn't mean there's

970
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:46,000
Speaker 2: not tremendous pressure in terms of the demands on the IDF.

971
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:50,160
Speaker 2: In fact, there's Israeli news outlets that are reporting if

972
00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,960
Speaker 2: the US puts troops on the ground, Israelis are not

973
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:54,319
Speaker 2: going to like, They're like.

974
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,719
Speaker 1: Why would we ever expect that?

975
00:46:57,880 --> 00:46:58,040
Speaker 8: Yeah?

976
00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:00,960
Speaker 2: Why would they ask for that lives in the war

977
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:02,919
Speaker 2: that they have been for forty years?

978
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:03,320
Speaker 1: Of course?

979
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, But in any case, I also wanted to play

980
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:09,040
Speaker 2: this last one because you know it speaks to the

981
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:13,440
Speaker 2: political landscape that you know that Trump is operating in

982
00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 2: which for all to talk about, you know, the how

983
00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:19,200
Speaker 2: MAGA would split if he went to war in Iran,

984
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:23,319
Speaker 2: blah blah blah. Yes, there are more independent aligned influencers

985
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:26,440
Speaker 2: predominantly who are opposed to the Iran war. As we've

986
00:47:26,440 --> 00:47:30,400
Speaker 2: discussed here before, the Magabase is all in, and Steve Bannon,

987
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,600
Speaker 2: I think emblematic of that is saying, look, if we're

988
00:47:32,640 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 2: in here now, we need to go for total war.

989
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:38,040
Speaker 2: He's all in on the war effort. So let's take

990
00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 2: a listen to that.

991
00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:41,319
Speaker 6: If we're going to go to war, let's go to

992
00:47:41,360 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 6: total war. And what I mean by total war, let's

993
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:47,200
Speaker 6: shut down everybody trading with them, Let's shut down. Let's

994
00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:49,439
Speaker 6: go to UAE and said, hey, you got like two

995
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:51,839
Speaker 6: hours to go to Dubai and shut it all down.

996
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:54,279
Speaker 6: The Pirate, COVID, Dubai got to stop. We got to

997
00:47:54,320 --> 00:47:57,959
Speaker 6: stop the Arabs. Everybody's playing games. The Israelis are playing

998
00:47:58,000 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 6: games with us. The Arabs are playing games with the

999
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:03,080
Speaker 6: Europeans are playing games with us. And what are we doing.

1000
00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:05,840
Speaker 6: We're sending troops over there we got, which is fine.

1001
00:48:06,000 --> 00:48:09,239
Speaker 6: President Trump needs options in alternatives.

1002
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 3: So Bannon Colin for total war.

1003
00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 1: And this is the logic. This is what always happens. Yeah,

1004
00:48:14,239 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 1: people are bought in. They're like, well, we're in. Like

1005
00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 1: you just said, you've got Matt Walsh. Look, yeah, I

1006
00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:22,360
Speaker 1: got my problems from So he's like, hey, none of

1007
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:24,759
Speaker 1: the predictions worked out, And what do I see? People

1008
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:27,600
Speaker 1: are like, our troops have died, we have to support them.

1009
00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 1: We have no troube. Oh never heard that. Literally my

1010
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:34,040
Speaker 1: lifetime in Iraq, same playbook in Vietnam. This is how

1011
00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:36,040
Speaker 1: it all starts. I'm not saying that we're gonna end

1012
00:48:36,120 --> 00:48:38,239
Speaker 1: up with fifty thousand dead and fourteen years of war.

1013
00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:40,680
Speaker 1: I really hope not. But it's not completely out of

1014
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:43,279
Speaker 1: the question because you could easily see we do the

1015
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,200
Speaker 1: uranium mission, some shit goes real bad. Now what I

1016
00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:47,960
Speaker 1: mean what Trump is just going to sit there and

1017
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 1: take it. Let's say that you have a disastrous strike

1018
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 1: and you have dozens of US troops for all again,

1019
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:55,359
Speaker 1: there's nothing I want less than any of that. Now

1020
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,279
Speaker 1: let now what what the people are Professor paplay this

1021
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:00,080
Speaker 1: out on our last show. Now you're going to have

1022
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:03,279
Speaker 1: the entire book. Now we have to avenge them. Then

1023
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 1: we e then something else goes wrong, and it just

1024
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:07,319
Speaker 1: spirals and spirals, and you keep going up. And by

1025
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 1: the way, the whole time oil continues to go up

1026
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 1: to one hundred and forty one hundred and fifty a gallon,

1027
00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:15,080
Speaker 1: what's going to happen to our society. We're going to

1028
00:49:15,120 --> 00:49:18,600
Speaker 1: see We're going to see shortages, except this time nobody's

1029
00:49:18,640 --> 00:49:20,680
Speaker 1: gonna be in lockdown. It's not like they're going to

1030
00:49:20,719 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 1: be demand destruction. It's going to be a supply side

1031
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:25,520
Speaker 1: shock that hasn't been seen since. Like the oil crisis,

1032
00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:28,919
Speaker 1: it will have massive social disruption and that's just here

1033
00:49:29,160 --> 00:49:32,760
Speaker 1: at home. So it's very much like the last Iran crisis,

1034
00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:37,560
Speaker 1: the oil shock combined with potential US ground troops all together,

1035
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 1: it's like it's genuine poly crisis, which I think sets

1036
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:42,880
Speaker 1: us up well for our move to the economy. So

1037
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 1: let's get to it. We've got our friends, Soora Amar

1038
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:46,280
Speaker 1: standing by, Let's take a listen.