1 00:00:01,160 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: Welcome into the Week twelve edition of Betting Pro's College 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:06,600 Speaker 1: Football look Ahead. I'm Chris Welsh. You can find me 3 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: on Twitter at is It the Welsh and joined as 4 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,479 Speaker 1: always by the one, the Great, the only, mixing all 5 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: the things up together, you, Thie nor Strom. You can 6 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: find Thor on I said thigh or nice trim. You 7 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 1: can find Thor on Twitter at thor ku Thor what's up, buddy? 8 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: What are you doing? 9 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 3: How you doing WELLH Yeah, I appreciate that, man. I 10 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 3: After the Vikings game we just watched, I'm on Cloud nine, 11 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 3: so I'm and I'm excited to talk about the next 12 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:32,639 Speaker 3: week at college football as well. It's been a lot 13 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 3: of good football recently and we're gonna get more of 14 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 3: it coming up here. 15 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 2: You know what. 16 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: The only thing to mention though, we were talking about 17 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: the Vikings Bills game, justin Jefferson's catch one of the 18 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: best catches I think we've ever seen, but also one 19 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: of the craziest games NFL or college aside that neither 20 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 1: one of us have ever seen. And then you sided that, 21 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: and I think that's a big thing for you to 22 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 1: cite that never seen anything like that, even in the 23 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: college ranks where this is the type of stuff. What 24 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: happened with a on the one yard line fumble in 25 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: the end zone, Minnesota falls on it for a touchdown 26 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:07,120 Speaker 1: when like barely anytime left. That's college type of stuff 27 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: that happens, and that happened in the NFL. 28 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, and then that yeah, the botch nap on the 29 00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 3: other side from the inch line, and then the Vikings recover, 30 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,199 Speaker 3: and then they Bills go down and they they force 31 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 3: overtime by kicking the field goal, and then the Bikings 32 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 3: get the field they should probably should have gotten the 33 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:24,479 Speaker 3: touchdown in the first draft of overtime, get the field goal, 34 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 3: and then the Bills were driving down they had their 35 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:28,399 Speaker 3: shot and throw the interception at the end. 36 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:29,400 Speaker 2: It was absolutely wild. 37 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 3: I was talking to a couple of friends afterwards because 38 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 3: it was like, when is the last regular season NFL 39 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 3: game that was watched like that? 40 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 2: And we couldn't we none of us could put a 41 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:38,200 Speaker 2: finger on it. 42 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 3: And so then I started wondering, when's the last time 43 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 3: I seen a college game like that? But it's like, 44 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,840 Speaker 3: what have you seen a college game that were with 45 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 3: the botched fourth and inches from the goal line to 46 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 3: go ahead, and then the other team fumbles that the 47 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 3: other team recovers, and then then the craziness and overtime. 48 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 3: I just cannot place in my mind the last time 49 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 3: I've seen a game like that at any level. 50 00:01:58,800 --> 00:01:59,919 Speaker 2: So pretty wild. 51 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, And as I said to you, I said, it 52 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: gives you hope that you're like, oh, yeah, I haven't 53 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: seen everything in sports yet. I haven't seen everything in 54 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: football yet, especially with so much with the NFL to college, 55 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: I haven't seen it at all. And last week we 56 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: did see a whole bunch in the top five, no 57 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,359 Speaker 1: change as far as the top twenty five in the 58 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 1: AP voting, no change, But the bottom half of the 59 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: ten is all completely new. It looks like LSU jumped 60 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: up to six, USC moved up to seven, Alabama's got 61 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: the eighth spot, Clemson with the nine, and Utah jumped 62 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: up to ten. And we've got obviously games and matchups 63 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 1: with all of those. Any major takeaway from last week, 64 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: whether it's on obviously the betting side is probably the 65 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:45,799 Speaker 1: most important. I definitely cashed on Tennessee. But any major 66 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 1: takeaways as far as some of the big rank changes 67 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 1: or anything that happened last week, the. 68 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 3: Big one it was CCU. I mean like that it's 69 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 3: got to be the headliner. Like nobody expected them to 70 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 3: I mean, few people expected them to beat Texas. 71 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 2: Very few people expect them to cover against Texas. 72 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 3: Nobody literally nobody expected them to win in that way, right, 73 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 3: Like every path you would have conceived for a TCU 74 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 3: upset in that spot, it involved a shootout. So for 75 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 3: I mean, like you look up at the scoreboard and 76 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 3: Texas being blanked, you know, like I mean, you know, 77 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 3: you know, into the game or whatever, and you're like, 78 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:28,360 Speaker 3: why the defensive performance for TCU was absolutely fabulous and 79 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 3: they just found another way to win, you know. I 80 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 3: mean there's been happenstance in some of the games. Some 81 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 3: of the games they've won these wild shootouts, and then 82 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 3: in this one, their defense shows up and absolutely shuts 83 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 3: down Quinn Ewers and Bjon Robinson. Shutting down Quinn Youwers 84 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 3: is a little bit easier like at this time because 85 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 3: he's just not very experienced yet. He's got all the 86 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 3: arms out and everything like that. But we've seen other 87 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 3: teams do that to shut out the lights on Bijon Robinson, 88 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 3: Like the TCU defense dead that was pretty crazy. So 89 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 3: for me, that that would be the headline of that. 90 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 3: The other one is that yours wide open as far 91 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 3: as the playoff goes. I mean, this thing is still 92 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 3: up in the air and there's several spots that could 93 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 3: still change. So it sets up for a fascinating final 94 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 3: two weeks of college football. 95 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, and on the TCU side, I mean you brought 96 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 1: up beije on that was like the big focal point. 97 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: So for them to do that, it really set the stage. 98 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: And like, how often do you also see what top 99 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 1: ten teams as a touchdown dog? I mean, howten do 100 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 1: you see that? Not that often? 101 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:26,479 Speaker 3: And it was the biggest underdog of an undefeated team 102 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 3: this late in the season against a three lost team. 103 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 2: In the history of college football. 104 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 3: Like that's what's crazy about it too, Like, like I said, 105 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 3: everybody in the market was expecting Texas to cover. If not, 106 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:39,159 Speaker 3: they would not have been seven point favorites in that game. 107 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:42,599 Speaker 3: And TCU overcame that as well as they've overcome everything else. 108 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:45,560 Speaker 1: Wild week well, hopefully Week twelve has got a whole 109 00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: bunch more and maybe some non sweats as far as 110 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: bets go. That's what we're obviously and ultimately helping for 111 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: so this is going to be the early look, the 112 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:56,400 Speaker 1: very early look ahead. Look. You guys can obviously get 113 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:58,839 Speaker 1: more during the week if you are subscribed to this channel, 114 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: and obviously over right we pros, so make sure you 115 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: do so you get all of the infos so you 116 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: can get some of those early lines before things start changing. 117 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 1: But let's talk about some action, some action action that's 118 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 1: going to jump in a little bit early in the week. 119 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 1: Let's focus really quickly just on the Tuesday Action because 120 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:18,160 Speaker 1: this is going to come up real quick. There are 121 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: two games up, and then we'll jump over to the 122 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: Wednesday ones where we've got Bowling Green at Toledo seven 123 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:27,359 Speaker 1: and three, Toledo five and five Bowling Green. The line 124 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: I currently see out there is Toledo favored by fifteen. 125 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:32,160 Speaker 1: I think you're going to have something to say about that. 126 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 1: And then we've got Ohio at ball State, ball State 127 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:37,840 Speaker 1: the Tuesday Maction champion here that we keep talking on them, 128 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: ball State five and five, Ohio seven and three, and 129 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: Ohio favored by four. So what do we got on 130 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: these two games? Are there any good leans early on 131 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 1: for Tuesday Maction. 132 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, as far as my numbers go, we have a 133 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 3: tail of two different games here where one of them 134 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 3: it was the rare occurrence where my number when I was, 135 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 3: you know, I run my numbers early on Sunday and 136 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 3: then the circle lines come out Sunday afternoon early. Is 137 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 3: my number exactly spot onto the you know, tenth of 138 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 3: the decimal to what the Vegas number is. That happened 139 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:09,800 Speaker 3: in the Ohio State ball state game. My line on 140 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 3: that was Ohio State minus. I'm sorry, Ohio minus three 141 00:06:13,000 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 3: and a half at ball States. That's what the Vegas 142 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 3: number is as well, Ohio minus three and a half. 143 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 3: Whereas the Toledo one, this is what you were referring to. 144 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 3: It's it opened at fifteen and a half, now it's 145 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 3: down to fifteen. My line in that game is Toledo 146 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 3: minus eighteen point seven. When Daikwon Finn was out before 147 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 3: Toledo's quarterback, the market that adjusted their lines down. Daikuon 148 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 3: Finn returned last week, and maybe Toledo didn't look as 149 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,599 Speaker 3: explosive as people thought. But he's back now and he 150 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 3: should be healthier for this coming game. So my line 151 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 3: on that game is is Toledo minus eighteen point seven. 152 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 3: So I'm showing almost a four point discrepancy in that one. 153 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:53,280 Speaker 3: Definitely leaned Toledo in the in that one and then 154 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:57,600 Speaker 3: the other one. My system is literally showing zero value whatsoever, 155 00:06:58,040 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 3: but I would lean in that one. The home team 156 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 3: taking the home dog. With ball State, I think they 157 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 3: can do a couple of things here that's gonna give 158 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 3: Ohio trouble. Ohio has one of the best offenses in 159 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 3: the MAC and at this point they're moving in on 160 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 3: one of the better offenses. 161 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 2: Of the G five. 162 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 3: It's really hard to stop what they do on offense, 163 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 3: but their defense is the exact opposite. They just have 164 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 3: a classic matter to our defense. Any team that you know, 165 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 3: with any sort of a pulse can move the ball 166 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 3: on them. 167 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 2: This ball State team. 168 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:30,520 Speaker 3: They're not explosive whatsoever on offense, but they are efficient 169 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 3: because they have that sideline to sideline passing game with Paddock. 170 00:07:34,160 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 3: He gets the ball out faster than any quarterback in 171 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 3: the NCAAA. Not looking to throw downfield. That's not what 172 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 3: they want to do. It's just the quick hitting stuff. 173 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 3: Ohio can't tackle on the perimeter. They also can't tackle 174 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:47,480 Speaker 3: between the tackles, and that's a real problem when you're 175 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 3: facing Carson Steel coming up here. Carson Steele is one 176 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 3: of the not only one of the nation's highest graded 177 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 3: or one of the highest grade running backs in America 178 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 3: by PFF. He also has broken almost as many tackles 179 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 3: as anybody like He's in the top six or seven 180 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 3: on that. I haven't checked the updated for this week, 181 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 3: but he's certainly in the top ten for broken tackles. 182 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 3: One of the toughest guys in America to tackle, I 183 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 3: think I think those two things could give Ohio a 184 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 3: little bit of trouble forcing guys to tackle either in 185 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:17,679 Speaker 3: space on the perimeter or bring down that the running 186 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 3: back cars at seal that I compare to Tim Riggins 187 00:08:19,640 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 3: from Friday Night Lights for anyone that watched that show. 188 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 2: And then on defense, ball State is one of the 189 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 2: better defenses in the MAC. 190 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,400 Speaker 3: So I think the way that ball State plays it 191 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 3: matches up well with the Bobcats in this game. So 192 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:33,679 Speaker 3: I be leaning towards taking the home dog with that one. 193 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: And both those teams. By the way, Ohio when we 194 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,360 Speaker 1: talked to Ohio and Toledo five and one in the 195 00:08:38,400 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 1: MAC right now, best in the MAC. If we're going 196 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 1: over to Wednesday, we've got a three Games Slate here 197 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:46,080 Speaker 1: for maction, we've got Eastern Michigan coming to Kent State. 198 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: Ken State looking like a touchdown favorite, miaml Ohio is 199 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 1: going to Northern Illinois and Northern Illinois is a two 200 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 1: and a half point home favorite. And then we've got 201 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: Western Michigan going up against Central Michigan. Central Michigan a 202 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: ten point favorite. So double did here. So if we're 203 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 1: looking for some action on Wednesday, where are what is 204 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:06,920 Speaker 1: an early lean for you for that action? 205 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:10,840 Speaker 3: The Eastern Michigan Ken State game is interesting because earlier 206 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:13,439 Speaker 3: this season, I mean basically ever since the when Ken 207 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 3: State played Georgia, we've seen inflated lines in the I 208 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 3: mean in however you want to say in favorite ken 209 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:21,679 Speaker 3: State or against Kent State, depending on if you're betting 210 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:24,839 Speaker 3: or not. But the Ken State's almost getting attacks every 211 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 3: single week where you're seeing a discrepancy at three or 212 00:09:27,760 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 3: four points in the marketplace and a lot of like 213 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,840 Speaker 3: I had faded ken State multiple times in one money 214 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,079 Speaker 3: last week, I didn't, and they, I mean I say 215 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,439 Speaker 3: it away. Ken State ended up blowing out that their 216 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 3: opponent in that game, and so it wasn't a surprise 217 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:44,520 Speaker 3: to me to turn around and see a bit of 218 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:45,840 Speaker 3: a tax on this one as well. 219 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 2: My line on that game is Ken State minus four 220 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 2: point three. 221 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 3: It opened at six or six and a half and now, 222 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 3: like you said, it's up to seven. I'd be leaning 223 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,560 Speaker 3: towards Eastern Michigan in that game. I'm going to do 224 00:09:57,559 --> 00:09:59,319 Speaker 3: a little bit more handicapping on it. You want to 225 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 3: get the pulse on both sides. But I do think 226 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 3: that there's value on Eastern Michigan there Kent State, though, 227 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 3: you do have to consider that their offense appears to 228 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 3: have started to roll, and once that offense gets gone, 229 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 3: it's really hard to stop because they run at such 230 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:14,960 Speaker 3: high tempo and they can both pass and run, so 231 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:17,079 Speaker 3: they keep you off the center of what they're doing. 232 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 3: But my early lean on that one would be EMU 233 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:26,079 Speaker 3: the Northern Illinois Miami of Ohio game. Northern Illinois. They've 234 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 3: had all those injuries and stuff like that, and it's 235 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:30,840 Speaker 3: been a super duper inconsistent team, and it's it's one 236 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:32,719 Speaker 3: of those teams where you don't know the statuses of 237 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:34,680 Speaker 3: some of the players, like heading into the game where 238 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 3: you get surprised, starts, surprise and act is everything like that. 239 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:39,679 Speaker 3: So you want to check in on that, you know, 240 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 3: as far as that goes. I do like this Miami 241 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 3: of Ohio team though, so that's a game that I'm 242 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 3: going to be investigating a little bit more. My land 243 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:50,079 Speaker 3: in that game is Northern Illinois minus three point three, 244 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 3: so you know, my system's showing a little bit of 245 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:55,199 Speaker 3: value on Northern Illinois. I'm not sure I'm gonna take 246 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 3: it though, because I, like I said, I do like 247 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:01,080 Speaker 3: this Miami of Ohio team since their quarterback Gabbert came back. 248 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 3: And then the other one, the Central Michigan Western Michigan game. 249 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 3: That one, for me, it's well, since you say the 250 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 3: line on that one it's not a ten, Yeah, I 251 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:11,080 Speaker 3: got it. 252 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 1: I see it at ten, and then I see your 253 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: line versus the early line you put looks like there's 254 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:17,680 Speaker 1: some probably significant movement. 255 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 2: Significant Yeah. 256 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 3: I mean that line opened at six and a half, 257 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 3: so that thing has jumped up really quick. That's one 258 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:26,719 Speaker 3: where it hurts my heart to hear because I was 259 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,680 Speaker 3: definitely gonna be leaning towards Central Michigan. My adjusted line 260 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 3: in that game is Central Michigan minus eight point two 261 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 3: getting up to ten. That makes it harder where the 262 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,840 Speaker 3: line opened at six and a half. That's absolutely the center. 263 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:40,679 Speaker 3: You know, I'm taking Central Michigan that one. With it 264 00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:43,359 Speaker 3: getting to ten, it becomes a little bit more precarious. 265 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 3: Here's the deal with this one. Western Michigan stinks. That 266 00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 3: team is so far down. They seem to have division 267 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:52,400 Speaker 3: even within the team with the coach and stuff like that, 268 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,400 Speaker 3: beyond the you know, the the talent that it left 269 00:11:55,559 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 3: last year. I mean, the last couple of years you 270 00:11:57,280 --> 00:11:59,680 Speaker 3: had like Caleb Lbie throwing the sky more, you had 271 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:02,720 Speaker 3: a super explosive offense, stuff like that. Those guys are 272 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 3: all gone. The defense has gotten bad. They can't do 273 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,840 Speaker 3: a whole lot. I mean, their offensive line stinks. Quarterbacks stinks. 274 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 2: This year. The one thing they had was they had 275 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 2: these two good running backs coming back. 276 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 3: Jefferson. We got to check on his status because he 277 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:18,320 Speaker 3: missed the last game. But I mean, like that was 278 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:20,559 Speaker 3: all they had. So on offense, really nothing. And then 279 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 3: on defense, all they have is the defensive line. It's 280 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:25,640 Speaker 3: really the only positive of this team outside of the 281 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 3: running back room. They can create a little bit of 282 00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 3: havoc in the defensive front, but they're you know, you 283 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 3: go beyond that in their defense. 284 00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 2: Stinks. 285 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:36,079 Speaker 3: What I like about Central Michigan right now is they 286 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 3: turned it over to BURTA Manuel Junior at quarterback, who 287 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 3: they wanted to retain the red shirt on this kid. 288 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:45,680 Speaker 3: Seems like Jim Mcoway knew what he had in him. 289 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 3: He got in leash, unleashed Berta Manuel Junior got unleashed 290 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 3: in maction last. 291 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:52,360 Speaker 2: Week, and boy is that kid explosive. 292 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 3: I mean like he is going to be a real 293 00:12:54,640 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 3: handful for Mac defenses these next several years. But like 294 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 3: you know, like I said, it's it's tough with with 295 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,440 Speaker 3: where that number, you know, getting at ten, that's where 296 00:13:04,480 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 3: it becomes more of a tough one. But for me, 297 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 3: I'm not betting Western Michigan in that spot at all. 298 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 3: I don't really care what the line is. So for 299 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 3: me that one would be Central Michigan or pass. 300 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 1: Well, maybe you guys have got your Maction set and 301 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: you're gonna put a bunch of wagers down and you 302 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 1: want to track all those wagers. Well, if you want 303 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:25,080 Speaker 1: to track them all, you can do it with betting 304 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:29,679 Speaker 1: Prospicktracker at bettingpros dot com slash pick dash tracking. It 305 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 1: syncs up with the sports books to tally which picks 306 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 1: hit and which myths which hopefully none do, and gives 307 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 1: you a live look at what the public is doing, 308 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,160 Speaker 1: so you can use real time tracking to determine which 309 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,839 Speaker 1: place to make and which to fade. Get on the 310 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: leaderboard and quickly become a shart by using the free 311 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 1: advice we have to offer over at bettingpros dot com 312 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:51,719 Speaker 1: Dash pick or slash dash pick, dash tracking. You got, 313 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 1: you got betting pros dot com picktracking, Go and pick 314 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: it up today. Get all your bets in, especially those 315 00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 1: maction bets. You can get them all in one place. 316 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:01,719 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about let's get into some of 317 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 1: the rank games. We have one rank game during the week, 318 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 1: and it's on Thursday. We've got SMU coming up against 319 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:10,680 Speaker 1: Tulane planes eight and two. Right now, they're twenty first 320 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 1: in the nation, and you're going to be coming off 321 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:16,000 Speaker 1: with some action betting. This is your one ranked game 322 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 1: before Saturday. So what do you got here? 323 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 2: Thor Yeah? What's the live line on this one? All right? 324 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 1: So the line I've got here is Tulane minus three 325 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 1: at home ranked Tulane, Yeah, is three at home. 326 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,000 Speaker 3: That's yeah, it's kind of interesting. My line that game 327 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,360 Speaker 3: is Tulane minus four point seven. Especially with where that 328 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 3: line is, I'm absolutely leaning towards Tulane, and in that game. 329 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,440 Speaker 3: It seems like that's come down a little bit because 330 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 3: Tulane lost on Saturday to UCF. They kept it, you know, close, 331 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 3: but they didn't cover. They they didn't win, they last 332 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 3: by a touchdown. And then SMU they beat Tel Florida 333 00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 3: last time out. SMU should not have covered that. That's 334 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:56,720 Speaker 3: aullth Florida game, by the way, that was that was 335 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 3: one of the worst beats I've taken all year, where 336 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 3: South Florida had gotten down by eighteen and I have 337 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 3: plus seventeen and a half, but they want to go 338 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 3: for two at the end. They didn't get a two 339 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:08,120 Speaker 3: point conversion, lost by eighteen. But SMU they have the 340 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 3: explosive offense for sure. But two Lane sort of has 341 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:13,600 Speaker 3: a trump card here because their defense is one of 342 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 3: the best in the G five and they can oppose 343 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 3: you both against the run and the pass, and two 344 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:20,400 Speaker 3: Lane's offense they can. 345 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:22,240 Speaker 2: Also do both things and be multiple. 346 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 3: I see SMU as more of a one trick pony, 347 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 3: and I think that Tulane can address that trick. I 348 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 3: like two lane, especially with where that line is, and 349 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 3: I would take it at three, you know, on the 350 00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 3: off chance that it moves up to three and a 351 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 3: half or four, I would want that at three. 352 00:15:38,160 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: Is it a little fishy at all that it's a 353 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: home ranked only by a field goal favorite or do 354 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 1: you think that's SMU's offense coming into play? 355 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't personally, because I mean a couple of 356 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:55,480 Speaker 3: weeks ago, SMU dropped seventy seven points on Houston. Last week, 357 00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 3: I mean at least by the scoreboard, and you know 358 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 3: they won by eighteen or whatever, it looks like SMU, 359 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 3: I mean from you know, just sort of looking over 360 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 3: the stuff like that they're as sending and that they're 361 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 3: playing well or whatever. 362 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 2: Whereas Tulane last. 363 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 3: Week, some people trusted them at home against UCF and 364 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 3: then they ended up losing. But to me, that's what's 365 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:16,440 Speaker 3: informing you know, what's basically a point and a half 366 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,800 Speaker 3: at the line value. I think it's just perceptual based 367 00:16:18,800 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 3: on that, you know what happened these past couple of days, 368 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 3: and I'm going to take advantage of that and bet 369 00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 3: on too lane. 370 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: All right, we'll move over to Saturday, where we've got 371 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 1: all the good action. Number one Georgia, they're ten and 372 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 1: oh they're going to be facing off against Kentucky in 373 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,440 Speaker 1: an SEC matchup. Who's six and four? Georgia's coming off 374 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: a forty five nineteen win over Mississippi State. SEC action Georgia. 375 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:43,640 Speaker 1: Is there a Georgia bet for us here? 376 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 3: Thorne Man, it's it would be hard to beat Kentucky 377 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,560 Speaker 3: at this point. We've we've seen we'll leave us down 378 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 3: a couple of big spots and a couple of small spots. 379 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:53,880 Speaker 3: Of Vanderbilt should not have been a big spot, and 380 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 3: he has struggled mightily. The Vanderbilt game was where I 381 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:58,640 Speaker 3: was like, really expecting leave us to have like the 382 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 3: sort of research in game and you you know, you 383 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 3: put up video game numbers against this crappy defense. Obviously 384 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 3: that did not happen the rest of the Kentucky offense. Like, 385 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 3: once we get to draft season, I'm not gonna accept 386 00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:13,320 Speaker 3: from people the idea that Will Leavis did not have 387 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 3: talent around him. Chris Rodriguez is a fabulous running back 388 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 3: and he helps keep them out of the third and 389 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:20,280 Speaker 3: long situations that Levis doesn't want. 390 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 2: To be in. 391 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 3: But Leavis is just struggling right now. He's struggling with 392 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 3: his decision making, he's struggling with his placement, he's struggling 393 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 3: with his accuracy. All the tools are there, for sure. 394 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:32,119 Speaker 3: I mean, so if you got the A plus will 395 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 3: leave his game here Like yeah, I mean, like you know, 396 00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:38,360 Speaker 3: like the Anthony Richardson game against Utah. Yeah, I mean, 397 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:41,399 Speaker 3: Kentucky's gonna cover, but it's like, what are the odds 398 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:44,360 Speaker 3: of that? And if not, George is gonna be able 399 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:47,440 Speaker 3: to shut down? I mean, like George's nasty front seven, 400 00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 3: they're gonna be able to address Rodriguez. So the path 401 00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:53,360 Speaker 3: for Kentucky, it all goes through Levis, and anyone that's 402 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,440 Speaker 3: watched Leavas this year would be a little bit concerned 403 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 3: about that. I'm not sure wing a ton of line 404 00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:00,439 Speaker 3: value on this. My line in that game is Georgia 405 00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:03,640 Speaker 3: minus twenty one point six, But for me that would 406 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 3: have to be Georgia or pass. 407 00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, and it looks like the line's already moved up 408 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 1: to twenty two and a half, is what I'm saying. 409 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 2: Georgia. 410 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:14,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's probably not something you're gonna want to jump 411 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,439 Speaker 1: in earlier. Maybe whatsoever. All right, so let's move to 412 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: the next game, where you've got number two Ohio State, 413 00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:22,120 Speaker 1: also ten and l coming up against Maryland, who's six 414 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 1: and four. Ohio State is coming off of a fifty 415 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:27,000 Speaker 1: six fourteen win over Indiana, and I saw this over 416 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 1: on ESPN on one of their article setups on the 417 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: top twenty five. So I don't want to take credit 418 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:34,200 Speaker 1: for it, but I thought this is interesting. Ohio State 419 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,720 Speaker 1: has won its past two games against Maryland, who they're 420 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 1: obviously facing, by a combined score of one hundred and 421 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 1: thirty nine to thirty one. Those are the past two 422 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 1: games Ohio State has put up on Maryland. So number 423 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:51,160 Speaker 1: two Ohio State, you've got Maryland who's six and four, 424 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 1: and this matchup shows I see a minus twenty seven 425 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:58,880 Speaker 1: and a half, So twenty seven and a half favorite 426 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: to OSU right now now, So what do you think? 427 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 3: Hardly in towards the home dog here, I don't trust 428 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 3: that Ohio State team at all. 429 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:08,919 Speaker 2: I think they're ripe for a bad spot. 430 00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:12,880 Speaker 3: I'm not saying that like, I don't know that Maryland's 431 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 3: going to give them the scare here. I think where 432 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:18,200 Speaker 3: Ohio State is going to take their loss. It's against Michigan. 433 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:20,920 Speaker 3: But this team has a lot of flaws and they're 434 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:24,679 Speaker 3: starting to come to the four. This past week, you 435 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 3: had Traveon Henderson get injured and and Mayan Williams he 436 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,440 Speaker 3: also got injured, and I'm sorry Travon Henderson didn't play 437 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 3: in the game. 438 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:35,280 Speaker 2: Then Miyan Williams gets hurt. 439 00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,600 Speaker 3: I've been talking all year about the dearth of running 440 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 3: back depth at Ohio State, and like this team cannot 441 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:44,560 Speaker 3: afford to have either Trayvon or Miyan get injured, and 442 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 3: now both of them are. They need to figure out 443 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:49,639 Speaker 3: like if one of those guys can play, if not, 444 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:51,920 Speaker 3: we got to go now deep on the depth chart. 445 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 3: Evan Pryor he's out for the season with with an 446 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:56,639 Speaker 3: injury that he had over the summer. 447 00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 2: He hadn't played in one game. 448 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 3: So they're they're sort of our ready like right now, 449 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,880 Speaker 3: they're in this precarious spot with their running back depth. Obviously, 450 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:06,000 Speaker 3: Jackson Smith and Jagba has been on a milk carton 451 00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:07,320 Speaker 3: all year and also CJ. 452 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:07,880 Speaker 2: Stroud. 453 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 3: His counting stats are way above the phylum of where 454 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:14,560 Speaker 3: his actual play has been. Like if you compare his 455 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 3: td I and t ratio to his PFF big time 456 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:21,240 Speaker 3: throw against turnover worthy play ratio. The the even though 457 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 3: his counting stats have not dropped off, the latter has 458 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:28,000 Speaker 3: that those sort of advanced metrics whatever, he's putting the 459 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 3: ball up from for grabs more often this this year. 460 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 3: The big time throws that hasn't fallen off. It's it's 461 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 3: that the the the turnover worthy plays have doubled and 462 00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:39,880 Speaker 3: when when they play a good defense, that's where it's 463 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:40,640 Speaker 3: gonna manifest. 464 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,520 Speaker 2: Maryland's defense has gotten a little bit better, but. 465 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 3: You know, can they take full advantage of that to 466 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:47,960 Speaker 3: the point where they could upset them? I you know, 467 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 3: I'm not sure about that. But because of the depreciation 468 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 3: there on the skill set, you know, with the skill 469 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 3: positions of Ohio State and and getting line value on 470 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:01,440 Speaker 3: this game, my line being Ohio State minus twenty one 471 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:04,920 Speaker 3: point six, so I'm showing some serious line value on Maryland. 472 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 3: I don't trust this Ohio State team anyway. Definitely hard 473 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 3: lean towards Maryland, do you? 474 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 1: And this is too early? Could this would be something 475 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 1: you'll cover midweek, but do you think there could be 476 00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 1: any lean to the under at sixty four that's currently 477 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: lined up for this game. 478 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,800 Speaker 3: Potentially, Yeah, potentially, I you know, got to get in 479 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:25,040 Speaker 3: there and handicap that one. But yeah, I mean Ohio 480 00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:28,400 Speaker 3: State the explosive offenses that you think of in your 481 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,960 Speaker 3: mind from these past couple of years. I think when 482 00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 3: they get resistance, you know, from from an opposing defense, 483 00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:36,200 Speaker 3: that's where the whole thing comes down. 484 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 2: So I mean, Ken Maryland put that up. 485 00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 3: Maryland also has the good passing offense, but obviously Ohio 486 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 3: State's got some guys in the secondary. 487 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 2: So yeah, we'll get into that handicap. 488 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,440 Speaker 1: Tell you what if we hadn't seen that justin Jefferson 489 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 1: catch this weekend, everyone might have just been talking about 490 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:54,520 Speaker 1: Marvin Harrison. That might have just been the play all 491 00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 1: weekend on that footwork he had to sideline ridiculously good 492 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,359 Speaker 1: weekend of catching, by the way, I love me some receivers, 493 00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 1: and I love me some Marvin Harrison. We've got Illinois 494 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:08,200 Speaker 1: playing up against Michigan number three, Michigan ten, and now 495 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 1: Michigan is coming off of a thirty four to three 496 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 1: win over Nebraska. Illinois was twenty one going into last week, 497 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 1: is knocked off of there. What do we think on 498 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:21,479 Speaker 1: this game here for Michigan seventeen point favorite Michigan is 499 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:25,040 Speaker 1: up against Illinois again, is that that line? Does it 500 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: seem a little low? I guess you're gonna tell us 501 00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 1: on your adjusted line here. 502 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 3: Definitely does My line on that is Michigan minus twenty one, 503 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:34,840 Speaker 3: hardly towards Michigan in that one. The weird thing about 504 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 3: it is Illinois the team that has the injury concerns 505 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 3: in this game, so it shouldn't be depressed that way. 506 00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:44,200 Speaker 3: Illinois's most important player, Chase Brown. They're running back. They're 507 00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 3: star running back who's already a massed over, you know, 508 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:49,439 Speaker 3: through three thousand career yards, and I think this year 509 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,680 Speaker 3: he might even be leading the nation in rushing, or 510 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 3: at least he was heading into last week. He got 511 00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:57,200 Speaker 3: injured at the very end of their upset loss to Purdue. 512 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 3: Illinois is already the bloom is sort of off Rose 513 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 3: these past couple of weeks. People are starting to figure 514 00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:05,840 Speaker 3: out how to play Illinois, and they've taken some of 515 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 3: these losses. Now they lose their their hammer back. Brett 516 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 3: Bielimo would not give us any indication of Chase Brown 517 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,640 Speaker 3: status after that game, So I don't have any information 518 00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,040 Speaker 3: outside of that. Outside of Chase Brown suffered a right 519 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:22,200 Speaker 3: leg injury that didn't look great. He needed help getting 520 00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 3: off the field, didn't return obviously. So I mean, if 521 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 3: Illinois is out Chase Brown in this game, they are 522 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 3: up Craps Creek without a paddle. 523 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:31,640 Speaker 2: It's the one thing. 524 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 3: That they could use to get their offensive efficiency against Michigan. 525 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:40,240 Speaker 3: Potentially without him, It's like it's Tommy DeVito without any skill. 526 00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:41,160 Speaker 2: Talent around him. 527 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:43,560 Speaker 3: So I don't even know how Illinois is going to 528 00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,400 Speaker 3: move the ball at that point. And the Michigan offense, 529 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,320 Speaker 3: we're starting to trust him more and more. Blake Korum obviously, 530 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:53,239 Speaker 3: next level stud Edwards is a stud JJ McCarthy. I'm 531 00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:56,360 Speaker 3: starting to trust him more and more, unlocking some more 532 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 3: explosive plays out of the passing game than we've seen 533 00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 3: in the past. Definitely hard lean towards Michigan, and I'm 534 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,640 Speaker 3: very surprised that that line is under twenty one, because 535 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 3: that's what my adjusted line is. 536 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: This might be one of those that who want to 537 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: grab right now, might want to grab even if you're 538 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:10,159 Speaker 1: gonna play a little bit at seven teams. 539 00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:13,639 Speaker 3: Absolutely yeah, because you get it at the key number 540 00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,080 Speaker 3: and the market isn't going to bat this. I mean, 541 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 3: they're not going to pull it under seventeen. So at 542 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,000 Speaker 3: the seventeen number, that's that's the bysign for sure. 543 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:25,200 Speaker 1: Okay, SEC matchup number five Tennessee, who's nine to one 544 00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 1: going up against South Carolina six and four. Good SEC matchup. 545 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 1: Tennessee has been a good payday the last couple of weeks. 546 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,400 Speaker 1: So what say you on on Tennessee. 547 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, and especially because Josh Hipel now we know that 548 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,280 Speaker 3: he's going to put the style points on at the end, 549 00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:41,920 Speaker 3: So that's something you got to you know, consider both 550 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,200 Speaker 3: with that when you're handicapping the sides of the Tennessee 551 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 3: games going forward. 552 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:46,399 Speaker 2: But also the totals. 553 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:48,720 Speaker 3: Josh Hypel is going to be looking at corn every 554 00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:51,280 Speaker 3: single drive, even if he's up thirty points at the 555 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,159 Speaker 3: you know, in the end in the fourth quarter the 556 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 3: Missouri game, I found it so funny they were calling 557 00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 3: time outs at the end and then they scored their 558 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 3: last touchdown with like twenty seconds. Tennessee dead, just trying 559 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 3: to put the style points on. You're going to see 560 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,480 Speaker 3: that impositions where Tennessee has an opportunity to do it 561 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:08,760 Speaker 3: because it's in their best interest, right, Like I mean, 562 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,440 Speaker 3: they need to make the case because they don't really 563 00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:12,959 Speaker 3: control their own destiny with that. 564 00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,000 Speaker 2: So you obviously you have to win out, but you 565 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:15,960 Speaker 2: also have to win by the. 566 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 3: Style points to improve your odds of getting in if 567 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:19,920 Speaker 3: that scenario presents itself. 568 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,320 Speaker 2: So, I mean, that's on the one side. 569 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 3: With South Carolina last week, they it wasn't necessarily they 570 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:28,439 Speaker 3: disappointed me. 571 00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:29,680 Speaker 2: It's that they lied to me. 572 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 3: Shane Biemer said on Tuesday that Marshawn Lloyd, they start 573 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,440 Speaker 3: running back, was fully healthy, he had returned to practice, 574 00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 3: he was gonna play on Saturday, and then he doesn't 575 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 3: play against Florida. Not only that, Christian beal Smith didn't 576 00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 3: play either South Carolina. Like now, you would you would 577 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:47,920 Speaker 3: think because Biemer said that now where you know, that's 578 00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:49,960 Speaker 3: a week plus ago, you know, and stuff like that, 579 00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:52,080 Speaker 3: you would think now that Marshawn Lloyd would be ready 580 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:55,159 Speaker 3: for this game. But again, like after Beemer lied to 581 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,480 Speaker 3: me last week, I'm gonna have to do a little 582 00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 3: bit more digging on that. If South Carolina, or I 583 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,200 Speaker 3: should say, when South Carolina does not have marsha On Lloyd, 584 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:06,879 Speaker 3: their offense comes way down. Spencer Rattler cannot do it 585 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 3: on his own. He sort of gets flabbergasa when he 586 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:13,400 Speaker 3: has to and everything's on him or whatever. But South Carolina, 587 00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,680 Speaker 3: when they have Marshall Lloyd, the running game is really 588 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,960 Speaker 3: really good. It would be the one sort of nice 589 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:22,280 Speaker 3: that they can bring to this gunfight against against Tennessee 590 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,400 Speaker 3: if Lloyd's playing again. But if Lloyd's out and Beal 591 00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,119 Speaker 3: Smith is out again, this is a real problem for 592 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 3: South Carolina. So it's a status check on on South 593 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:32,359 Speaker 3: Carolina handicap friends. 594 00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:33,919 Speaker 1: If you want a chance to win, as sign t 595 00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 1: Higgins the Cincinnati Bengals helmet courtesy of our friends over 596 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,640 Speaker 1: at Pristine Auction, all you got to do is subscribe 597 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now, comment below 598 00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 1: on this video, and that's it. We'll be announcing a 599 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 1: winner right here on this channel. So make sure to 600 00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 1: turn on those notifications so you can be alerted when 601 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 1: episodes are up and you can claim your price. So 602 00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:55,240 Speaker 1: go and do it today right now, my friends. We 603 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:59,679 Speaker 1: have got some big boy Pac twelve action coming up 604 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:01,879 Speaker 1: this week. Can this is what I'm all about. Always 605 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,360 Speaker 1: born and raised around all these teams out here. ASU 606 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,040 Speaker 1: never does anything, but I've got family in Alma mater 607 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:11,840 Speaker 1: for cal and Ucla and whatnot. And the big dog. 608 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,800 Speaker 1: We've got number eight USC who's nine to one, going 609 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:18,400 Speaker 1: up against number twelve UCLA with an eight and two record. 610 00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:20,480 Speaker 1: This should be a good one. What do you got 611 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 1: on this pac twelve action? 612 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:22,040 Speaker 2: Thor? 613 00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 3: I gotta lean towards Ucla because of where this line is. 614 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,000 Speaker 3: It feels like, you know, the market they didn't want 615 00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 3: to believe in USC. They didn't want to believe in USC. 616 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 3: They didn't want to believe in USC. But now they 617 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 3: get this opportunity where you know, USC only has the 618 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:37,800 Speaker 3: one loss, and now Ucla looked bad last week. It's like, oh, now, 619 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:41,439 Speaker 3: let's everybody believe in USC. I think this line is 620 00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,639 Speaker 3: off from from where it ought to be. My just 621 00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,120 Speaker 3: a line in that game is USC minus one point three. 622 00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:48,400 Speaker 3: I basically think it should be pretty close to a pickup. 623 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,320 Speaker 3: Whereas that the market is, you know, five and a 624 00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 3: half is what I saw before, where they had dropped 625 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:54,920 Speaker 3: at USC. 626 00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:56,200 Speaker 2: By five and a half on the road. 627 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 3: I'm taking Ucla, and I understand why why people have 628 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,640 Speaker 3: some trepidation with that after what we saw of Ucla 629 00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 3: last week. 630 00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:05,960 Speaker 2: You know, Ucla had just. 631 00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,480 Speaker 3: Been rolling, roll and rolling coming in and then I 632 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 3: don't know if they overlooked Arizona or what was going 633 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,639 Speaker 3: on there, but they obviously had a very poor showing 634 00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:16,680 Speaker 3: in there, and then USC held Serve. So the line 635 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:21,000 Speaker 3: the discrepancy doesn't really surprise me. But if you think 636 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:24,480 Speaker 3: UCLA is not showing up for this game, welcoming in 637 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:28,240 Speaker 3: Lincoln Riley and the USC Trojans, they're the bad guys, 638 00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,399 Speaker 3: they're the villains. UCLA will be absolutely locked in, and 639 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,400 Speaker 3: probably all the more so because of the loss to Arizona. 640 00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:37,040 Speaker 3: We already knew that the Arizona game for UCLA, it 641 00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 3: was a look ahead spot. What was UCLA looking forward to? 642 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,560 Speaker 3: It was this game against USC. This is their super Bowl. 643 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:45,640 Speaker 3: So for me, I'm going to be back in the 644 00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 3: Bruins with that one. Getting these what I feel like 645 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:50,120 Speaker 3: is excessive points for the home talk. 646 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 1: And this is the highest over undertotal of any of 647 00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,760 Speaker 1: the top twenty five games, twenty five teams here with 648 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 1: a Chris currently see that's seventy three and a half points, 649 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 1: which looks like it's about ten points higher than any 650 00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 1: other game I'm seeing right now. 651 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:09,840 Speaker 3: Thor Yeah, and both these defenses are atrocious, and both 652 00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 3: these offenses are awesome. 653 00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:14,120 Speaker 2: I'm almost surprised it ain't even a little. 654 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:15,920 Speaker 3: Bit higher, you know, I mean we've seen we've seen 655 00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,400 Speaker 3: some of these games, you know, the past weekend, what 656 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,920 Speaker 3: was it wake Forest against UNC and then we had 657 00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:24,880 Speaker 3: Washington against Oregon where you had like totals in the 658 00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 3: mid seventies or high seventies, whatever. 659 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,320 Speaker 2: I would expect that total to drop in the in. 660 00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:32,360 Speaker 3: The mid seventies or maybe even the higher seventies, and 661 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:33,920 Speaker 3: maybe by kickoff that's where it'll be. 662 00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:38,280 Speaker 1: The other Pack twelve action we've got is number ten 663 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,600 Speaker 1: Utah and now number twelve Oregon. Both teams are eight 664 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 1: and two. They're both six and one in the Pac twelve. 665 00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:48,840 Speaker 1: Oregan coming off of a huge upset Washington thirty seven 666 00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,600 Speaker 1: thirty four. Utah is coming off of a forty two 667 00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 1: to seven win over Stamford. So these teams both inside 668 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:58,600 Speaker 1: the top fifteen. Utah Oregan, what have you got on it? 669 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:02,400 Speaker 2: Lean Utah? In that one? Utah is a. 670 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:05,400 Speaker 3: Team that can travel for sure, Oregon, you know they're 671 00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:10,000 Speaker 3: they're getting back to you know home here that my 672 00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 3: line in this game is Oregon minus zero point six points. 673 00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:15,280 Speaker 3: So so basically, I pick them in the market. Right now, 674 00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,600 Speaker 3: it's Oregon minus two and a half. I'm gonna be 675 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:19,720 Speaker 3: you know, we talked about some of the games where 676 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,959 Speaker 3: I'm pulling the trigger. Now this is one where I'm 677 00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:23,640 Speaker 3: gonna wait a little bit because at the two and 678 00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:26,240 Speaker 3: a half line, if that thing toggles to three or 679 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,800 Speaker 3: maybe even above, you know, we'll see. Obviously you get 680 00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:32,240 Speaker 3: more value on Utah if you wait and and that 681 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,400 Speaker 3: you know, Utah has the side that that I want 682 00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:37,239 Speaker 3: in that one. Utah has looked very good, uh in 683 00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,080 Speaker 3: recent weeks, and it's sort of gone under the radar 684 00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:41,000 Speaker 3: because of some of the opponents that they played, and 685 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:44,520 Speaker 3: also because they took the two Lassid before. But they're 686 00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:47,280 Speaker 3: playing really really well. Cam Rising, you know, who had 687 00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 3: been out before. He's back the running game now. It's 688 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 3: they're starting to do different stuff with it. Where before 689 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 3: they were just giving all the usage of Tavian Thomas. 690 00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 3: Now they're they've got sort of a stable of backs 691 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,760 Speaker 3: where you know, disparate skill sets and stuff like that, 692 00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:04,640 Speaker 3: sort of diversifying that the skill sets in the backfield. 693 00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 3: It's made their offense a little bit more interesting, and 694 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:11,160 Speaker 3: I like the Utah defense of course. And I feel 695 00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:13,160 Speaker 3: like Kyle Whittingham and crew are going to be able 696 00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,080 Speaker 3: to solve the puzzle that is Bonix, which some of 697 00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:19,560 Speaker 3: these crappier Pack twelve defenses could not. But Bonnicks did 698 00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,600 Speaker 3: not have the game that everybody was expecting against Washington's 699 00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:28,479 Speaker 3: dog crap defense yesterday. Uh Bonix, like the final stats 700 00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 3: were okay for him, but like against that that rough 701 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,720 Speaker 3: shot Washington defense, you just expected every single drive for 702 00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:37,960 Speaker 3: Oregon to score. It was obviously not that way. And 703 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 3: when you think about Bonix his history in the SEC, 704 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 3: whenever he was playing the defenses that jumped up, that's 705 00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:45,280 Speaker 3: where you would get what I would cut, what I 706 00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:48,120 Speaker 3: referred to as bad bow. I think this might be 707 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 3: a bad bow spot. There's some people in the market 708 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:52,760 Speaker 3: I think that think that Oregon is going to bounce 709 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:56,120 Speaker 3: back from from the showing against against Washington. And obviously 710 00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 3: Washington they had a bit of a trump cart in 711 00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 3: that matchup of the Washington asking attack going against this 712 00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 3: shoddy Oregon secondary. 713 00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:06,360 Speaker 2: But Utah and throw the ball as well. 714 00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 3: They're not as past happy as Washington for sure, but 715 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:10,960 Speaker 3: I do think they're gonna have success with that. I 716 00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,280 Speaker 3: also think they're gonna be able to take advantage of 717 00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:16,360 Speaker 3: the Oregon defensive front in terms of hammering them. I'm 718 00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:18,600 Speaker 3: taking the the away dog in that one. 719 00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 1: If you saw this, get to Oregon minus three and 720 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:24,600 Speaker 1: a half and you've got the hook, would this be 721 00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,600 Speaker 1: a pounce on Utah if you got the hook? 722 00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,120 Speaker 2: Smash smash Yeah. 723 00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:31,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, like that at all your face like you almost 724 00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 1: couldn't smip for me? 725 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, and that's what I'm waiting for, you know, 726 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 3: with it at two and a half. The great thing 727 00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 3: as someone who believes in Utah in this spot, you 728 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,240 Speaker 3: have that leeway, right because this thing could drop to two. 729 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:44,960 Speaker 3: It could drop to one and a half. I don't care. 730 00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:48,640 Speaker 3: One it doesn't matter that way. But if it goes anywhere, 731 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 3: if it toggles the other way, now we're in business 732 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:53,280 Speaker 3: because now we're getting more value every half point. It 733 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 3: jumps up at three at three and a half, uh four, maybe, 734 00:32:58,120 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 3: you know, I mean, who knows. 735 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:00,720 Speaker 2: We don't know what the mark it's going to do with. 736 00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,280 Speaker 3: This game, but absolutely, if you believe in Utah and 737 00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:05,840 Speaker 3: this one, you wait on this one. If you if 738 00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 3: you believe in Oregon, you bet it. Now well it's 739 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:09,960 Speaker 3: beneath the three. 740 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,040 Speaker 1: All right, the one team that did make a move, 741 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:15,440 Speaker 1: the number one team to make a move inside the 742 00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:19,800 Speaker 1: top ten was LSU. They moved up to six. LSU 743 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:23,200 Speaker 1: is going to be hosting UAB, but LSU's only a 744 00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:26,520 Speaker 1: fourteen and a half point favorite at home. LSU's eight 745 00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 1: and two. UAB is five and five. This stinks. Why 746 00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:33,280 Speaker 1: does this smell? Why does this smell? Of only two 747 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,200 Speaker 1: touchdowns for the sixth best team in the nation versus 748 00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:37,920 Speaker 1: a five and five UAB thore. 749 00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:41,120 Speaker 2: Well, so, UAB, they're a team, you know. 750 00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:45,000 Speaker 3: So they were awesome, and they've been awesome since the 751 00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,960 Speaker 3: program came back. But when they've been good this season 752 00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,560 Speaker 3: up until when they're starting quarterback, Dylan Hopkins got hurt 753 00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,360 Speaker 3: in when they were playing Western Kentucky and then their 754 00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:56,200 Speaker 3: offense immediately went into the tank and it remained in 755 00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:59,320 Speaker 3: the tank until Dylan Hopkins came back that this past week. 756 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 3: But they all three of those games Western Kentucky and 757 00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:04,840 Speaker 3: then the two after that with Jacob Zino their backup 758 00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:08,240 Speaker 3: quarterback starting. Jacob Zino just he he doesn't scare anyone 759 00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,840 Speaker 3: in the pocket. He makes mistakes, He done that pocket awareness. 760 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,880 Speaker 3: He doesn't have accuracy, et cetera. But with Dylan you 761 00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 3: had Dylan Hopkins, you get the passing efficiency and a 762 00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:18,840 Speaker 3: bit of passing explosion out of him as well, to 763 00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 3: go with the Dwayne McBride led rushing attack, which is 764 00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 3: one of the G five's best and ua be I 765 00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:28,440 Speaker 3: mean this, going back several years since they reinstituted their program, 766 00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,840 Speaker 3: they always have one of the G five's best defenses. 767 00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:33,360 Speaker 3: They're a tough team to play. I'm not going to 768 00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:35,560 Speaker 3: say that they're live on the road here, but you 769 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:38,319 Speaker 3: would be remiss if you didn't say that LSU is 770 00:34:38,360 --> 00:34:42,040 Speaker 3: not look good last week didn't look gut when you 771 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:46,719 Speaker 3: know against Arkansas, Arkansas team that was playing their backup quarterback, 772 00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:51,120 Speaker 3: you know kJ Jefferson unexpectedly, you know, inactive heading into 773 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:54,479 Speaker 3: that game, Arkansas had to start Malie Hornsby, a guy 774 00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,640 Speaker 3: that they trust so little in the pocket that they 775 00:34:57,080 --> 00:35:00,319 Speaker 3: moved his positions over the offseason, and then they had 776 00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:03,040 Speaker 3: to move them back because the other quarterback Arkansas brought 777 00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 3: in that they thought was gonna be their backup quarterback, 778 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,960 Speaker 3: Cade Forton, he can't throw and he's a pocket passer. 779 00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,640 Speaker 3: He don't move, so it's like Arkansas just didn't have 780 00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:14,759 Speaker 3: anything whatever, and LSU just sort of pulled by them 781 00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:16,680 Speaker 3: in this, you know, one of the worst games to 782 00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 3: watch that you'll ever see, mostly because Brian Kelly's a 783 00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,840 Speaker 3: good coach. I mean, it was a classic letdown spot. 784 00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:26,240 Speaker 3: LSU did play like crap. I mean, they absolutely played 785 00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:29,640 Speaker 3: to that letdown spot monitor but they were they were 786 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,520 Speaker 3: just able to pull it out because that's what Brian 787 00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:33,920 Speaker 3: Kelly's done in some of these things. But laying over 788 00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:36,960 Speaker 3: fourteen that points you wonder if this LSU team is 789 00:35:36,960 --> 00:35:38,839 Speaker 3: starting to get tired, you know, I mean, I mean 790 00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:41,920 Speaker 3: beyond you know, last week's you know performance whatever, Like 791 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,520 Speaker 3: I mean, before that, they had all these these marquee 792 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,640 Speaker 3: games and LSU also at this point getting ready for 793 00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:51,000 Speaker 3: the stretch run. Are they Are they even capable of 794 00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,400 Speaker 3: putting margin on on an opponent that's a game a 795 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:55,280 Speaker 3: game underdog. 796 00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:57,720 Speaker 2: I don't know about that. 797 00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:00,360 Speaker 3: That's one where I'm gonna be investigating that one, uh 798 00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,920 Speaker 3: pretty closely and trying to get the gauge of UAB 799 00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,600 Speaker 3: psychology of this game. Is this game that they view 800 00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:10,120 Speaker 3: as We're gonna throw the kitchen sink in or UAB 801 00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:12,839 Speaker 3: sitting at five and five. They need the one win 802 00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,160 Speaker 3: to get into the ball. Are they going to sort 803 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:17,160 Speaker 3: of pull it back in this one and then put 804 00:36:17,200 --> 00:36:19,839 Speaker 3: all the eggs in the basket of the last game in. 805 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:21,040 Speaker 2: Order to get Bowl eligible. 806 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,799 Speaker 3: We need to parse sort of the quotes we're getting 807 00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,080 Speaker 3: from the coaches and what we're hearing from the beat reporters, 808 00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,200 Speaker 3: and that's what that handicap is going to be about 809 00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:28,440 Speaker 3: for me. 810 00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:31,560 Speaker 1: And last week, by the way, the LSU game, I 811 00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:34,480 Speaker 1: think was one of the more heavy bet sharp plays 812 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,560 Speaker 1: on Arkansas as l Shue, I think was a four 813 00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:39,520 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, and they obviously could not 814 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:42,640 Speaker 1: cover in that just offensive slog of a game. 815 00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:46,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, against those crappy Arkansas backup quarterbacks. Yeah, but yeah, 816 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,359 Speaker 3: it was a bad spot, but they got it done. 817 00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 1: They did get no cover. Miami coming up against Clemson 818 00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 1: ten and oh Clemson, they've kind of been up and 819 00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 1: down as far as where we're on the bets. Where 820 00:36:58,080 --> 00:37:00,320 Speaker 1: are you on the bets? It's a ninth teen and 821 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 1: a half point favorite for Clemson right now. They're nine 822 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 1: to one, seven to zero acc action. Miami though, is 823 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:08,560 Speaker 1: three and three, a five and five team coming in 824 00:37:08,640 --> 00:37:11,680 Speaker 1: almost almost a twenty dog here, What do you think. 825 00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:13,920 Speaker 3: It's a fair line? My line on that game is 826 00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:17,000 Speaker 3: Clemson minus seventeen point nine. But you have to factor 827 00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:19,640 Speaker 3: in all the injuries we see on the Miami side. 828 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:22,120 Speaker 3: They have all these different positions that have been decimated 829 00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:25,640 Speaker 3: all year. It's it's been a slog for Miami, and 830 00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,239 Speaker 3: I think Miami's about ready to pack it in. So 831 00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:31,200 Speaker 3: this might be the game for Clemson to just absolutely 832 00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 3: flog this this decimated Miami team. That's what to me 833 00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,439 Speaker 3: explains the point and a half discrepancy between my line 834 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,640 Speaker 3: and what the Vegas line is right now for me, 835 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,200 Speaker 3: that that one would be Clems in her past. If 836 00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:45,080 Speaker 3: Miami was, if they were even capable of rising up 837 00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:47,239 Speaker 3: in one of these matchups, we would have seen it 838 00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:49,719 Speaker 3: by now. I do not expect Clemson to shock or 839 00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:51,600 Speaker 3: I'm sorry for Miami to shock the world and keep 840 00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:53,880 Speaker 3: this one close or put a scare into Clemson. 841 00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 1: If you guys are looking for free picks, player props, 842 00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:59,400 Speaker 1: or breakdowns on almost every game the college football has 843 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,359 Speaker 1: got to offer you, you can join Thor and Mike 844 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,840 Speaker 1: Ferrell for Game Day Live, presented by DraftKings, each and 845 00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:08,360 Speaker 1: every Saturday starting at ten thirty am Eastern. If you 846 00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:11,239 Speaker 1: got questions you need answered our team of experts, you're 847 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,600 Speaker 1: gonna be live for ninety minutes of NonStop action leading 848 00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:15,520 Speaker 1: up the kickoffs. So join the live stream, toss your 849 00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:18,640 Speaker 1: questions in the chat, get your answers, and make sure 850 00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:21,080 Speaker 1: you guys are subscribed to the Betting Pros YouTube channel 851 00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:23,360 Speaker 1: right here, so you guys are gonna be notified, and 852 00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:26,160 Speaker 1: turn on the notifications of anytime news shows are in 853 00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:28,719 Speaker 1: because this is just the look ahead. You're gonna get 854 00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:31,879 Speaker 1: all the full breakdowns coming up this week. And don't 855 00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:34,800 Speaker 1: take college football for granted. It's almost gone. It's almost 856 00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:37,239 Speaker 1: away from you. You only got a couple more full 857 00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:39,319 Speaker 1: on weeks and you're gonna have bull season the next 858 00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,120 Speaker 1: thing you know it. You're gonna be trying to figure 859 00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:43,480 Speaker 1: out if you're gonna be, you know, betting on Olympic 860 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,760 Speaker 1: Women's hockey or you're gonna be betting on the table tennis, 861 00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:49,520 Speaker 1: I mean, college football. Get it in while you can, 862 00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:52,320 Speaker 1: so make sure you follow Thor on Twitter at thor Ku. 863 00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:54,560 Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at is It the 864 00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:57,560 Speaker 1: Welsh if you would fancy, and make sure you follow 865 00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:59,880 Speaker 1: betting Pros at Betting Pros, on the Twitter and the 866 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:01,680 Speaker 1: social media. Friends, that's all that we have for you 867 00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:04,120 Speaker 1: for the look ahead. We'll talk to you guys next 868 00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:07,680 Speaker 1: week right here on Betting Pros College Football look Ahead 869 00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:09,400 Speaker 1: Buy until then, friends,