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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading the corner. Ten seconds remaining. It

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Speaker 1: just goes through un to the basket.

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Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 3: The true for the wind.

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Speaker 1: Godike a miracle.

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Speaker 3: I'm stop the water.

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Speaker 1: Hit that one from the parking lot. What's up the

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Speaker 1: general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

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Speaker 1: This is the weekend college basketball betting Preview. I'm stucky,

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Speaker 1: joining me as always my fellow BBOC co hosts Mike

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Speaker 1: Calabrese and Greg Wandell. This is the last weekend preview

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Speaker 1: before March. Next week's episode, we will be talking about

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Speaker 1: Saturday March. First the man this is right around the

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Speaker 1: corner conference tournaments, and then of course the Big Dance

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Speaker 1: will be here before we know it. But hopefully we

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Speaker 1: can find a number of winners before then. Just to

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Speaker 1: give everyone a heads up, I am under the weather

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Speaker 1: if I sound different, but I'll be able to march on.

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Speaker 1: These guys will carry me if need be. But it's good.

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Speaker 1: It's a good time to get sick. I usually get

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Speaker 1: sicked like once a year. My body's just run down.

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Speaker 1: But don't don't let me get sick during March, so

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Speaker 1: I'm glad to get it out of the way. I

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Speaker 1: was sick one time in my life on the first

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Speaker 1: weekend and I was awful, awfully wait all year for

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Speaker 1: that weekend, I was sick. Although it's like you just said,

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Speaker 1: on the couch for fourteen hours every day regardless. But so, gentlemen,

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Speaker 1: how goes it. Let's uh, as we always do. If

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Speaker 1: you're new to the show, we'll recap some good and

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Speaker 1: some bad from the week that was. We will talk

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Speaker 1: with Tanamur Grat to get as an America East Minute

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Speaker 1: to produce some America East Games this weekend, and we

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Speaker 1: will add a future to the portfolio, and then we'll

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Speaker 1: talk some weekend spots that we had circle. But let's

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Speaker 1: start with the good. We do have an outline for

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Speaker 1: the show, and I can tell you because I've been sick,

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Speaker 1: I didn't even look at it to see what you

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Speaker 1: guys have down for your good, bad and spots. So

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Speaker 1: I'm excited to just to hear for the first time

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Speaker 1: what you got, Greg. I'll start with you what he

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Speaker 1: got for the good.

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Speaker 2: First of all, stuck your You're pulling the classic coach

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Speaker 2: move where you want your team to get a stinker

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Speaker 2: performance out before March, so you can feel good when

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Speaker 2: it matters most. That's the matteran move by you. I

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Speaker 2: applaud you.

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Speaker 1: Illinois trying to do that every game so off right

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Speaker 1: now it's not working. Get them all out of the way.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of Brad Underwood, my good. I want to show

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Speaker 1: some love to three Big ten programs.

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Speaker 2: You know, this is my my my league of choice

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Speaker 2: here the Midwest. My vote for National Coach of the

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Speaker 2: Year this year is Greg Gark. If I had a vote,

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Speaker 2: I'd be screaming this to people. I hope you actually

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Speaker 2: gets votes. Because the deal that he was dealt, or

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Speaker 2: the hand that he was dealt the offseason was arguably

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Speaker 2: rougher than any other high major serious program had I think.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he had Aj Storer playing really great basketball

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Speaker 2: for stretches last year. Chucky Hepper never really panned out

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Speaker 2: the way they wanted. But both those guys were just

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Speaker 2: ripped from him. And the entire reason, public facing reason

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Speaker 2: was yeah, we can't pay them that much money. I

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Speaker 2: told them to go. He held a press conference literally

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Speaker 2: begging Wisconsin fans to get off his back because he

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Speaker 2: encouraged these guys to go make money while they can,

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Speaker 2: and aj Store we never heard from him again. Bill

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Speaker 2: self still has him locked in a box and Chucky

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Speaker 2: Hepprons had a great season. Credit to him, but like

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Speaker 2: to just respond from that to being picked fourteenth fifteenth

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Speaker 2: preseason in this Big Ten with eighteen teams in it

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Speaker 2: and ripped John Tanji away at the last minute from

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Speaker 2: New Mexico, which, by the way, can you imagine if

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Speaker 2: Tanji was on New Mexico with ton of Dent this year,

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Speaker 2: It'd be a whole different situation been top him and

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Speaker 2: top and potentially two and all time what if team?

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Speaker 2: But good lord, I just I'm so impressed this team. Analytically,

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Speaker 2: they are the best team in the conference. They have

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Speaker 2: been for two months, and I feel like public perception

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Speaker 2: has finally caught up to it with wins at Purdue

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Speaker 2: in Illinois back to back. This offense is unguardable. They

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Speaker 2: shoot it well from three. They are literally the NCAA's

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Speaker 2: all time best free throw percentage team, and if they

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Speaker 2: just shoot it well for the final month, they're gonna

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Speaker 2: set that record. It's impeccable watching Tanji and Blackwell just operate,

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Speaker 2: and to piggyback off of that, I want to shout

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Speaker 2: out a huge game Friday night in the big time Michigan,

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Speaker 2: Michigan State. Two teams that have been down for four years.

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Speaker 2: The Juan Howard are obviously fizzled out, but Izzo has been,

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Speaker 2: you know, the worst four years stretch of his career.

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Speaker 2: These two teams a game up from Wisconsin and the

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Speaker 2: lost column right now, really deciding the Big ten race

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Speaker 2: on Friday night and Ann Arbor, and you know, it's

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Speaker 2: been a fun couple of years with Zachie would Purdue.

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Speaker 2: Brad Underwood's had some good teams, but the big dogs

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Speaker 2: I think are back on top. It's a credit to him.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought about putting some I mean, I talked

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Speaker 1: about Wisconsin earlier this week about just the higher penny

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Speaker 1: and Guard's willingness to change the offense, and that their

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Speaker 1: change is on offense to a more modern spread is

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Speaker 1: paid off in spades, and their offense has been incredible

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Speaker 1: all year. I think that their offense is the highest

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Speaker 1: ceiling in the tournament. Maybe their defense eventually holds them back,

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Speaker 1: but offense, you cannot doubt they can score, and they

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Speaker 1: can do it in a multitude of ways. And so

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Speaker 1: I completely agree with you I was gonna. I was

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Speaker 1: thinking about playing Wisconsin plus five six hundred to win

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Speaker 1: the Big Ten as my future. But Michigan and Michigan

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Speaker 1: State play each other twice down the stretch. Michigan's probably

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Speaker 1: overdue to lose a close game or two. But the

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Speaker 1: problem is Wisconsin lost to Michigan and they only played once,

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Speaker 1: and those bets pay out on if they're tied in

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Speaker 1: the standing. Those bets poald who gets the one seed,

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Speaker 1: so Wisconsin would have to jump Michigan entirely to get

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Speaker 1: the one seed, which I don't think is worth it

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Speaker 1: for five to one. But before Jay, I guess since

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Speaker 1: we're on that game, Greg, I think I saw Michigan

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Speaker 1: three three and a half point favorite. Is this? Do

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Speaker 1: I just play Michigan State plus three and a half

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Speaker 1: a Michigan money line because they win every game by two?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I mean might as well. I don't think it's a

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Speaker 2: bad beat. I lean Michigan State pretty heavily, largely for

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Speaker 2: spot reasons. As you mentioned, Michigan's just close game luck

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Speaker 2: for lack of a better term, has been insane, and

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Speaker 2: May does.

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Speaker 1: Deserve credit some credit for that. I mean, there's been

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Speaker 1: some luck but what he draws up at the end,

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Speaker 1: and then when you have Golden and Wolf and you

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Speaker 1: can either use them or use them as a decoy,

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Speaker 1: and what he's drawn up out of timeouts the end

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Speaker 1: of games is definitely a thing. But yeah, I mean

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Speaker 1: they've also had teams missed some shots, but it seems

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Speaker 1: like every game they went by two to three.

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Speaker 2: I would argue this too. The biggest contender moment spot

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Speaker 2: for Michigan this year was Purdue Friday Night in Mackie

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Speaker 2: and they just got blitzed and Dusty said after, like, Hey,

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Speaker 2: I had no idea what this felt like. And I

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Speaker 2: think there's an element of that. Even though they are

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Speaker 2: at home where they've been unbeaten this year. This is

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Speaker 2: tom Izzo with a banner on the line in year

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Speaker 2: thirty versus Dusty May being welcomed into this rivalry and

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Speaker 2: the biggest spoted seen in a decade. It wouldn't surprise

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Speaker 2: me at all. I think they'll split, but I think

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Speaker 2: Michigan State gets this first game.

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Speaker 1: In ann Arbor. Yeah, it wouldn't surprise me in the least.

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Speaker 1: It should be a close game. Can't wait to watch

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Speaker 1: that one. Yeah, and it's funny if you look since

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Speaker 1: January first, like Michigan is thirtieth on Torviick even though

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Speaker 1: they're ten and two. Ohio State is thirty first even

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Speaker 1: though they're six and seven, but pays to win close games.

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Speaker 1: That's the name of the game. Calbary s, I'll go

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Speaker 1: go to you. What do you want to highlight? Is

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Speaker 1: the good from the week that was?

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Speaker 5: Well? I finally caught up on the Saint John's Rick

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Speaker 5: Patino documentary and I got to hear the velvety pipes

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Speaker 5: of our own Greg Wadell at the beginning of the

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Speaker 5: very first episode running down the transfer class coming in

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Speaker 5: to Queens and by the way, prophetic as it was,

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Speaker 5: you basically said it was one of the best classes.

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Speaker 5: All the pieces fit together. The upside was there.

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Speaker 2: Look at you.

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Speaker 5: I mean, you're a media star now. I think Vice

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Speaker 5: Sports should have you on speed dial. But that was

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Speaker 5: really cool to see that. But in terms of what

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Speaker 5: I'm bringing to the table on the hardwood, you know

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Speaker 5: that mister mid major, low major, if we're being honest,

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Speaker 5: and I think this is a year where we could

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Speaker 5: see some crazy things happen on the bubble because there's

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Speaker 5: so many power programs that are incredibly lackluster that really

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Speaker 5: need to avoid an early flame out in a conference tournament,

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Speaker 5: and does that open the door for a conference like

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Speaker 5: the Big West. We've talked about this, but I think

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Speaker 5: all the pieces are aligning for you see Irvine and

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Speaker 5: you see San Diego to both get in. Both are

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Speaker 5: twenty two and four, twelve and two in conference play.

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Speaker 5: They split during the regular season, winning on the opposing

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Speaker 5: team's home floor. Irvine, I mean, they've basically been the

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Speaker 5: class of the Big West for a years. Since twenty fourteen,

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Speaker 5: Dan Eaters have won seven regular season conference titles and

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Speaker 5: they upset k State in the twenty nineteen Big Dance.

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Speaker 5: So the selection committee is going to be familiar with

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Speaker 5: their work. They're not an unknown commodity. And Russell Turner,

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Speaker 5: he's just one of the best low major coaches that

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Speaker 5: you know, mainstream college basketball fans probably aren't familiar with

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Speaker 5: this guy. Regardless of talent. It doesn't matter what his scheme,

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Speaker 5: just transcends his personnel when it comes to the defensive end,

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Speaker 5: and once again they have another top ten defense in

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Speaker 5: terms of defending shots inside the three point arc. It

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Speaker 5: starts with bent Lucan. They seven to one, two hundred

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Speaker 5: and seventy pound German. He has been turning away shots

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Speaker 5: and altering shots and making it so difficult to get

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Speaker 5: to the rim. I still think they're going to need

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Speaker 5: to win by let's call it a bucket two possessions

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Speaker 5: in the conference title game, because you see San Diego

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Speaker 5: has that really impressive non conference win at Utah State.

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Speaker 5: If Utah State ends up winning the Mountain West Conference,

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Speaker 5: that win looks even better. And I do want to

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Speaker 5: bring up as well, for the Tritons beating Utah State,

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Speaker 5: it wasn't just a flukey win where they knocked down

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Speaker 5: seventeen threes or you know, they won the turnover battle.

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Speaker 5: They shot some thirty percent from three in that game.

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Speaker 5: They lost the turnover battle, they lost the offensive rebounding

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Speaker 5: battle considerably. It was all in their defense. And when

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Speaker 5: you look at what they have, I just want this

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Speaker 5: team to make the tournament so bad because Tate Jones,

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Speaker 5: their key we point forward, is the stat sheet stuffer.

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Speaker 5: He's tenth nationally statistical output according to Evan Mia, So

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Speaker 5: he's someone impacts the game, he can facilitate for teammates.

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Speaker 1: He's incredible.

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Speaker 5: McGee is a deadly three point shooter on the perimeter,

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Speaker 5: and Hayden Gray is one of those players who can

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Speaker 5: go from a role player to kind of a march

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Speaker 5: madis Darlin because he leads the nation in steel. So

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Speaker 5: I'm excited because I can kind of see on the

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Speaker 5: horizon there's hope this is. You know, this was a

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Speaker 5: pipe dream two months ago, I think when Tanner and

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Speaker 5: I first mentioned it on a podcast. But now I

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Speaker 5: think there's an opportunity for both of these teams to

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Speaker 5: punch a ticket. And I'll get to my rants in

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Speaker 5: a second about expansionism and making this a ninety sixteen field.

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Speaker 5: It's all about getting more teams like Indiana into the field.

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Speaker 2: Screw that.

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Speaker 5: I want more teams that are really fun and difficult

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Speaker 5: to prepare for. And two teams of the Big West

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Speaker 5: fit that bill for me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think everyone has a shot of getting

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Speaker 1: that large. You see San Diego outside shot if they

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Speaker 1: run the table and then losing like the conference title

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Speaker 1: home loss to Seattle kind of hurts. But the road

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Speaker 1: win at Utah State does help. They have suck, they

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Speaker 1: have a lot higher offensive upside than you. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: I hope I Once you see San Diego to get in.

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Speaker 1: I'm playing them in the first That's the team I'll

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Speaker 1: play in the first round, no matter what. Minus one

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Speaker 1: verus Auburn, I'm in. It doesn't doesn't matter. You see

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Speaker 1: San Diego opens up a one and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorite against Auburn. I'm the only one in the world

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Speaker 1: that would bet it. Kidding, but yeah, I did see that,

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Speaker 1: Greg your appearance. Fortunately they didn't have you do a

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Speaker 1: Wisconsin documentary. You're getting flak for your wisconsinates, but that's

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Speaker 1: for another day. Speaking of Coach of the Year, my

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Speaker 1: good this. I would be remiss if I didn't mention

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Speaker 1: this team. Sometimes people on't on Missouri Twitter think I

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Speaker 1: hate their team. But I just give Jim Root and

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Speaker 1: the three men We've got ship. That's all that is.

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Speaker 1: So I have a Ricky Faulting jersey. I used to

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Speaker 1: love Missouri Rush Baby, those teams Rush. I love those teams,

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Speaker 1: the Quinn Snyder teams. But I mean, Dennis Gates. This

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Speaker 1: is a team that went eighteen in the SEC since January. First,

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Speaker 1: you another top five teams per Dorvick, Houston, Duke, Auburn, Missouri, Florida,

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Speaker 1: and then Wisconsin is sixth. I mean what a turnaround.

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Speaker 1: They have what three top five wins on the season.

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Speaker 1: That offense is incredible to go from. Oh it's gram.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is the new world that we live

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Speaker 1: in for Missouri to go from eighteen and the SEC

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Speaker 1: to a top ten ish team, and NC State went

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Speaker 1: from the final four, so it looks like they're gonna

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Speaker 1: miss the ACC tournament. Just the swings, this is what

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Speaker 1: this is what college basketball is. And then the bad.

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Speaker 1: I'll just go into my bad.

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Speaker 2: Remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 5: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 2: Okay, you're ranting now, baby.

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Speaker 3: I'm running.

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Speaker 4: Why not?

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Speaker 1: You gotta let it out somehow. It has to be

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Speaker 1: Kansas U. It's just it's broken. Go out to Utah,

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Speaker 1: get swept. This is a team that was preseason number one,

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Speaker 1: I believe, not that that means anything. Weren't they preseason

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Speaker 1: number one? That's correct, man, Rossa just doesn't work as

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Speaker 1: it's currently constructed, and I can't see them making any noise.

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Speaker 1: I know it's still self and but yeah, bad weekend

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Speaker 1: or Kansas and I guess we'll save some Illinois talk

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Speaker 1: because Illinois Duke will probably talk about that later. But

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Speaker 1: I mean Illinois just another bad effort, another bad week.

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Speaker 1: We'll see if they're not even a lock for the

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Speaker 1: tournament anymore. I mean they have these they have a

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Speaker 1: bunch of quad one wins, but like who's on the

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Speaker 1: Who's on the U c l A Is on the

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Speaker 1: bubble of quad one? Ohio State is on the bubble.

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Speaker 1: Like if those teams like drop a couple of games

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Speaker 1: like they they could lose a couple of quad one

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Speaker 1: wins too. I think they're gonna make it, but definitely

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Speaker 1: limping that limping to the side, limping to the finish

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Speaker 1: line here, Greg, where do you want to go for the

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Speaker 1: bad Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I actually had Kansas too, but I'm just gonna put

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Speaker 2: a conspiracy theory spin on this. I think it's time

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Speaker 2: for Bill Self to leave Kansas. I think they need

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Speaker 2: a change. And I know that's like a Calipari situation,

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Speaker 2: That's what I'm saying. So I don't know where he

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Speaker 2: would go. That's an Arkansas level pivot. I haven't even

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Speaker 2: thought of anywhere that makes sense. I am gonna throw

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Speaker 2: an insane one at you that has been sitting in

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Speaker 2: my heart for about a month now. Could North Carolina

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Speaker 2: snipe Bill Self? For four or five years and literally

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Speaker 2: pull the Roy Williams two point zero away from Kansas.

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Speaker 2: Like it feels to me like they don't want to

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Speaker 2: move away from Hubert this summer. But if Bill self

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Speaker 2: made it known that he wanted a different retirement home

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Speaker 2: for five years, I bet you they would. I end,

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Speaker 2: if Carolina misses the tournament, it's gonna be dicey. I

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Speaker 2: think that's close to fifty to fifty right now, Like

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Speaker 2: it sounds like they're preparing to bring him back regardless

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Speaker 2: of how this ends. But it's one of those ones

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Speaker 2: where it felt like, you know, cal was seeking out

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Speaker 2: a departure rightfully, so it would have ended one way

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Speaker 2: or the other. Self is probably sneaky close to doing

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Speaker 2: the same. Kansas fans have loudly soured on this guy,

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Speaker 2: and rightfully so. But I would just keep an eye

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Speaker 2: on that, Like this is the Windhorse meme. If we

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Speaker 2: get to April end of April and some things start moving,

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Speaker 2: remember that I floated Bill south to North Carolina.

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Speaker 1: I mean that's what agents are for.

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Speaker 5: He doesn't have to do anything, he doesn't have to

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Speaker 5: talk to anybody like his agent has to. You know,

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Speaker 5: keep as many irons in the fire as possible and

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Speaker 5: start that little whisper campaign that maybe he's interested in,

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Speaker 5: you know, and offer kind of things. So crazier things

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Speaker 5: have happened. As soon as you said it. I think

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Speaker 5: I'll speak for Stuck on this. We all started nod

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Speaker 5: in our head. I could see it happen.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. Maybe I'm trying to think of other teams. Well,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna have the Indiana Domino effect? Who goes to Indiana?

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Speaker 1: Is there a vacancy there? What happens there? I'm trying

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Speaker 1: to think of another what if I'm trying to think

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Speaker 1: who would pay him? And who's the coach that's vulnerable? Well,

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Speaker 1: like at U c l a Is Mick retires, that's

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Speaker 1: a huge buy out there, but he's what's not Texas? Yeah? Good,

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Speaker 1: did you see that? I could if like Texas just

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Speaker 1: loses in the first round and they're like we're done

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Speaker 1: with Terry, that would be interesting to self going to

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Speaker 1: Texas anyway. Yeah, I could see you in SAE seriously,

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Speaker 1: especially they don't make the tournament this year? Was you

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Speaker 1: yet a bad Calgary's? Yeah?

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Speaker 5: The expansion rent, The expansion is crap. It's collegeable, it's

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Speaker 5: college basketball, all of it. I've hated it from the jump. Collegeable.

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Speaker 5: Now it's all about you know, we need to get eight, ten,

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Speaker 5: twelve auto bids for the SEC Big ten. I'll put

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Speaker 5: that aside for a moment. March madness is perfect the

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Speaker 5: way that it is. The Only thing that I would

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Speaker 5: change is that if you're an automatic qualifier, I don't

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Speaker 5: believe that you should have to play in the playing

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Speaker 5: game in those sixteen verse sixteen games. But I can

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Speaker 5: live with that. To expand it to shoehorn in power

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Speaker 5: programs that have losing records by many games in conference play,

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Speaker 5: like the naked cash grab that is college sports. Like

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Speaker 5: I guess it's just no amount of money is enough money.

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Speaker 5: And what they don't seem to understand that other sports

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Speaker 5: now are banging their head.

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Speaker 1: Up against the NBA chief among them.

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Speaker 5: Man, why doesn't anybody want to watch our meaningless regular

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Speaker 5: season or all star games?

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Speaker 2: Oh?

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Speaker 5: I don't know, because you're just stacking more and more

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Speaker 5: meaningless inventory, and to have an extra game on Monday

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Speaker 5: or Sunday night or whatever it is, these playing games

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Speaker 5: of teams that have no shot of winning the national championship,

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Speaker 5: nor should they even be allowed to. Like I still

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Speaker 5: view this idea of well, anybody can get hot and

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Speaker 5: win the national championship. I don't think they should be

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Speaker 5: allowed to. It's like shooting an eighty three in the

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Speaker 5: first round of the Masters. I don't care what you

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Speaker 5: shoot on Sunday. You shot at eighty three on Thursday,

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Speaker 5: you're not getting the green jacket. That is it. I've

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Speaker 5: just had enough of this idea that well, it's the

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Speaker 5: purest thing, you know, you just you win, and that's

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Speaker 5: who the best team is. No, it's a sport that

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Speaker 5: has crazy bounces and variants, and you should be rewarding

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Speaker 5: the teams that do the most through the course of

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Speaker 5: the season. So I'm furious, just like college basketball fans.

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Speaker 5: At least I'm not on an island by myself as

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Speaker 5: I was with college football being against the expansion of

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Speaker 5: the playoff college basketball. You could hear it when ESPN

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Speaker 5: announced it on college game Day the crowd immediately, the

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Speaker 5: lusty booze started pouring in. Hopefully the groundswell of public support.

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Speaker 5: Can you know, you know, hold this off for at

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Speaker 5: least any amount of time, even if it's one extra year,

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Speaker 5: to keep their hands off the sixty eighteen tournament. I'll

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Speaker 5: consider his success because we don't need it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's inevitable. I think it's going to

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Speaker 1: expand whatever. I don't like it either, But the good

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Speaker 1: thing where I draw the line, like ninety six is ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: I never want to get to ninety six. If it's

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Speaker 1: just eight more teams and we do like a first

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Speaker 1: eight instead of a first four, whatever, as long as

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Speaker 1: we get like we're gonna have some high major teams

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Speaker 1: that get in that shouldn't. But as long as we

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Speaker 1: do get a couple like a pull the mid majors in,

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Speaker 1: I can live with that. I mean, I'm against it.

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Speaker 1: What am I going to do? I mean, but uh,

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Speaker 1: ninety six would be awful. I mean, think about the

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Speaker 1: teams that would be in this year if we went

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Speaker 1: to ninety six. So if we did like a first

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Speaker 1: eight instead of a first four, that would be it

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Speaker 1: for me. Greg, give any thoughts on what you.

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Speaker 2: It would never happen. But like, the only positive spin

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Speaker 2: I can put on this is if it's somehow led

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Speaker 2: to getting more mid majors in, I somehow wouldn't mind

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Speaker 2: it as much. I just don't want the mediocre eleventh

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Speaker 2: place high major that's won two of ten to.

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Speaker 5: That, and those are the only power brokers at the table.

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Speaker 5: Those are the only ones that are pushing for this

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Speaker 5: in the first place.

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Speaker 1: Like the school North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Georgia would all

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Speaker 1: be in.

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Speaker 5: The right It's like Bradley's probably not going to get

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Speaker 5: in as an at large bid, nor is their president

410
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Speaker 5: even available to speak to this committee that's putting things together.

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Speaker 5: Like that's what I think makes me so angry. And

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Speaker 5: I will say it seems crazy to go to ninety six.

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Speaker 5: It was crazy in my opinion, to go from four

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Speaker 5: to twelve for college football, and they just jumped right

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Speaker 5: past six and eight because once the TV people start

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Speaker 5: cutting up a bigger buy, there's no holding them back.

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Speaker 5: So that's my fear. But you know, as Stuck you

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Speaker 5: pointed out, we have no control over this whatsoever, so

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Speaker 5: we may as well just kind of like let it slide.

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Speaker 1: Yep. I mean, it's just it's what's happening in sports.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we're gonna have eventually, you have like six,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, we'll probably have like a twenty four.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. We're eventually I think we're head of

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Speaker 1: the college footballs, we'll have like seventy two team four

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Speaker 1: Power Conference D one and then a massive tournament. I

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Speaker 1: would like it if there's like D one, D two like,

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Speaker 1: and then your other and then there's relegation, and then

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Speaker 1: you have games that are relegation.

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Speaker 5: Like my language, relegation would be incredible because all of

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Speaker 5: a sudden, those bottom games would become incredible.

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Speaker 1: And it keeps everyone engaged throughout the season. But I'll

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Speaker 1: share my thoughts on that in the summer when do

433
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: college football stuff. Let's get to our futures portfolio and

434
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 1: we will add one here. You guys already know mine.

435
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,520
Speaker 1: It's Texas Tech eight to one. I had them as

436
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 1: a top ten team. They qualify now offensive and defensive

437
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,400
Speaker 1: AD just efficiency have a pro I've already been over

438
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. You guys knew I was coming with that

439
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 1: this week, so curious to see what you guys brought

440
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:25,119
Speaker 1: to the table. Greg, I'll start with you.

441
00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 2: I spent all last week shitting on the Big twelve,

442
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,560
Speaker 2: and I still stand by many of the statements I

443
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 2: made in that conversation. However, there's a team I had

444
00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:38,479
Speaker 2: in my preseason Final four that I gave up on

445
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 2: a month ago that I am buying back in on

446
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 2: right now and it is the BYU Cougars. This is

447
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:48,640
Speaker 2: a team that has all the upside needed to win

448
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:51,159
Speaker 2: four games in March, and you can get them forty

449
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 2: to one to make a Final four run. Just for

450
00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 2: comparison's sake. Bar Torvik has this as a massive analytical

451
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 2: outliers as the twentieth best team in the country for

452
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,640
Speaker 2: the entire season. Ken Pom has BYU in the thirties.

453
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 2: Most other sites agree with ken Pom, so Bart's onto

454
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 2: something here that he likes on BYU that nobody else

455
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,639
Speaker 2: has noted. They're one spot behind Saint John's, one spot

456
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,359
Speaker 2: ahead of Michigan, three spots ahead of Texas A and

457
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,679
Speaker 2: m all teams that we've talked about having serious March upside,

458
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 2: per Torvic, And they've changed in the last month from

459
00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 2: what they were at the beginning of the season. They

460
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 2: wanted to be this one and done factory that Yegor

461
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,520
Speaker 2: Demon and Cannon Catchings were the two featured options. It

462
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,080
Speaker 2: took Kevin Young three months to realize it, but Cannon

463
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,880
Speaker 2: Catchings is not a playable basketball player. He gave them

464
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 2: nothing defensively. He's a volume shooter that was shooting twenty

465
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,640
Speaker 2: nine percent from three. He's gone entirely away from him

466
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 2: in favor of winning basketball players, winning veterans like Mowatt

467
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:55,160
Speaker 2: mag who was so important to some of the good

468
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 2: ruckers defenses we've seen in a couple of years, and

469
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 2: it's worked. Yeg Or Demon is no longer this volume

470
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 2: scoring superstar. He's facilitating for guys like Dawson Baker and

471
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,520
Speaker 2: shooters like Trevin Nellon Dallen Hall. I just see the

472
00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:11,320
Speaker 2: vision with it. I totally agree that they're playing closer

473
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 2: to a top fifteen to twenty team in the sport.

474
00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:17,359
Speaker 2: In the last month, per Torvic, if then the eleventh

475
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 2: best team in the country. As I mentioned, they passed

476
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,879
Speaker 2: the NBA talent sniff that you always want for teams

477
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,160
Speaker 2: to make a run in March. And I think they're

478
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,560
Speaker 2: extremely undervalued at forty to one to win four games

479
00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:30,679
Speaker 2: in the NCAA Tournament. I'd love to add that to

480
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 2: my board.

481
00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:34,040
Speaker 1: I don't. I mean they have the offensive talent, it's

482
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:39,199
Speaker 1: a for a price like that. You also like the

483
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:43,200
Speaker 1: three point variance nature of the team, like if they're

484
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 1: forty to one, is more of a longer, a longer shot.

485
00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 1: So they're gonna shoot a ton of threes if they

486
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: get hot, and they're gonna give up a ton of threes.

487
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:54,919
Speaker 1: So like they're a very compact defense. So you know

488
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,159
Speaker 1: that if they get to like an elite eight to

489
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,080
Speaker 1: sweet sixteen against an elite team, that I think that

490
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 1: works in their favorite price in your back pocket. My

491
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:06,160
Speaker 1: concern is, I mean, since you were talking about since

492
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:10,720
Speaker 1: January first, because if you look on Tourvick, if you

493
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 1: go and you filter, if you filter home, so teams

494
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 1: playing in just their home venues, e YU sixth in

495
00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: the country, they've been dominant at home. It's just like

496
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 1: a Mountain West thing, right with the altitude and that

497
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 1: come crowd. If you filter for away in neutral games

498
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:31,800
Speaker 1: their fiftieth, That's what concerns me is like they went

499
00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 1: to overtime on the neutral against Mississippi, but they lost.

500
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:37,359
Speaker 1: They got crushed at Providence and this is this is

501
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 1: early in the season. But since January first, they lost

502
00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:44,240
Speaker 1: that Houston, they lost a TCU, they lost at Utah.

503
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:50,440
Speaker 1: Their road wins are Colorado UCF, who's now a corpse,

504
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 1: and West Virginia. Like West Virginia is their only good

505
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:59,399
Speaker 1: win on the season away from home. That that's the

506
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 1: only thing that that concerns me about. BUYU fair, unfair.

507
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:05,679
Speaker 2: It's totally fair. It's the one big black mark that

508
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:08,879
Speaker 2: I had in trying to present this, And the only

509
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,439
Speaker 2: pivot I have is we're gonna learn if it really

510
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 2: is a new version of this team or not in

511
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 2: the final five games, because they have some of those

512
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,479
Speaker 2: opportunities if they get that win against Arizona or Iowa

513
00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 2: State on the road, I think we feel different about it.

514
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 2: And again, at forty to one, it's worth just a

515
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:27,640
Speaker 2: buy in and see if we're sefer wrong.

516
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,600
Speaker 1: Yep, I'm going to different take a different discussion at

517
00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 1: that price, But at Cay's I'm.

518
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,520
Speaker 5: Gonna put a slightly different angle on this because I

519
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 5: like the way they're playing. I like everything that you

520
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 5: brought up in terms of how they change their rotation.

521
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 5: I like the price. But my problem is looking at

522
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 5: bracket matrix, they're on the ten line right now. If

523
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 5: they keep playing better, they'll get to an eight or nine,

524
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:51,479
Speaker 5: which means they could catch a one in the second rounds.

525
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 5: It's almost like I want them to go two and

526
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:57,600
Speaker 5: three down the stretch. Slide to an eleven, then get

527
00:26:57,640 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 5: them at like a fifty to one to make the

528
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,639
Speaker 5: final four, where that road to go through the six

529
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:05,400
Speaker 5: and the three and the two makes a lot. It's

530
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 5: an easier road to hoe, so to speak. So I

531
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:11,160
Speaker 5: just look at their potential path. If they continue to win,

532
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,679
Speaker 5: it almost hurts them, which isn't their own fall. So

533
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 5: you know, they're they're playing their best basketball at the

534
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,400
Speaker 5: right time and all that, but I don't see them

535
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 5: being able to play their way to a seven unless

536
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 5: they win out and probably make the I don't know

537
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 5: the Semis or the title game in the Big twelve.

538
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 5: So that's my only issue with pulling the trigger right now.

539
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 5: But all the fundamentals of the bet seem pretty strong

540
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 5: to me.

541
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:36,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, because they're I think that they're probably headed.

542
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,879
Speaker 1: That is a good point, is that they're headed to

543
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 1: like an eight or nine. It's probably what they're going

544
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:48,919
Speaker 1: to end up being. So you do lose the the

545
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:51,840
Speaker 1: one Seeds not losing this year. I mean I said

546
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 1: that I could have it, but that you lose the

547
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 1: opportunity of the one getting knocked off before you'd have

548
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:01,639
Speaker 1: to face them. If you're that eight or nine but

549
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 1: if they get they go out west, who did they have?

550
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 1: Who was the one out west that they had that

551
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 1: Auburn down south? Duke in the east, what was the

552
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 1: I mean, this can is all going to change. But

553
00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 1: who would they send out west as the one? I

554
00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:20,520
Speaker 1: mean they get send Houston out west Florida, Florida. Yeah,

555
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 1: they had fart out out in out west or you.

556
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 5: Know, if they're the second team, you know they're obviously

557
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:28,960
Speaker 5: there's not two slots in the South, and that's going

558
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:29,840
Speaker 5: down to Auburn.

559
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 2: So if they got the West with Bama, I wouldn't

560
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:33,440
Speaker 2: hate that.

561
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, they could beat that game would be like ninety

562
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 1: four ninety one. Yeah, and it would just be who's

563
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 1: making their threes? So yeah, but that is that is

564
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,560
Speaker 1: a good point if you would. I would rather have

565
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 1: them be at a seven or ten this year. But

566
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 1: don't hate it. Like the like the case Calvary's what he.

567
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 5: Got another final four pick here the Johnny's almost at

568
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 5: eight to one to make it. Since twenty twelve, only

569
00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 5: two teams have made the Final four shooting less than

570
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,680
Speaker 5: thirty three from three point range. Both were coached by

571
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 5: Rick Patino. Shout out to field of sixty eight between

572
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 5: that one. I mean, we know what they are, we

573
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 5: know what they're not. They're second and Ken pom d third.

574
00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:12,360
Speaker 5: If you look at MIA or Tourbek Synergy, when you

575
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 5: look at situational you know basketball, they are absolutely elite

576
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 5: in terms of out of bounds, defending it on the baseline,

577
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 5: under their basket, on the sideline, laid in the shot clock,

578
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 5: they're also elite. They're half court defense is elite. We

579
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:26,800
Speaker 5: know what they want to do. We know that the

580
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 5: coaching staff is absolutely in the weeds and is tailor

581
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 5: made for what they need to be able to defend

582
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 5: in march, different teams, you know, round to round, and

583
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 5: he's done this over and over again. Slick Rick has

584
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 5: been to seven final fours. So I have a coach

585
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 5: that I know can get the best out of his players.

586
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 5: The question is if they were to win four games

587
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 5: and get there, I figure one of those four games

588
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 5: Richmond's jumper actually falls. Let's say they make ten three pointers,

589
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 5: they win by twenty. The other three are going to

590
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 5: be sweaty as hell. That's just the way the Saint

591
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,680
Speaker 5: John's is going to play basketball against, you know, elite

592
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 5: teams or at least difficult competent position. But I think

593
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 5: at this point, with everything that they'd proven throughout the season,

594
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 5: throughout this gauntlet, and by the way, watching that documentary,

595
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 5: I was on the wrong side of that Baylor game.

596
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 5: I didn't even realize that Baylor didn't get the shot off.

597
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 5: I just turned the TV off. If they had just

598
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 5: reviewed it, Saint John's wins that game outside the US

599
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 5: because the ball is still in his hand with all

600
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 5: zeros on the Cocks. So all that being said, I

601
00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 5: think at close to eight to one, it's still a

602
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 5: value on a Saint John's team because anyone outside of

603
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 5: the top let's call it five or six teams in

604
00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 5: the country I'm looking for. Do you bring something special

605
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,200
Speaker 5: elite to the table. Is it pace, is a three

606
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 5: point shooting, Is it a rim protector that's going to

607
00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 5: get five or six blocks in a single game, or

608
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 5: can you do it defensively and also switch up. They

609
00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:45,320
Speaker 5: play a ton of man. They don't play very much zone,

610
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:47,600
Speaker 5: but in terms of the pressure and the way that

611
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 5: they funnel the ball to certain shooters, and they're strategic

612
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 5: in that way. I just trust this coaching staff to

613
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 5: get the best out of these kids. So all that

614
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 5: being said, it's still roulette with I don't want to

615
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 5: land in the Auburn region. I want Land Duke region.

616
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 5: But I think they have the goods to grind out

617
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,600
Speaker 5: wins in March, and in a lot of cases that's

618
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:07,640
Speaker 5: what it takes. You have three point variants or grind

619
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 5: outs and wins on the defensive ends. I like the

620
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 5: Johnny's A Coast eight to one.

621
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 1: It is pretty crazy that Saint John's has four losses

622
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 1: on the year by a total seven points, like they

623
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 1: easily could be undefeated this year. But that is the

624
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:22,720
Speaker 1: danger with Saint John's the team that's going to go

625
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 1: through scoring drafts, is that you're probably going to be

626
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 1: in a couple of sweaters in the tournament. But yeah,

627
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 1: they definitely have an elite defense and a great coach

628
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,600
Speaker 1: and a style that is not going to be fun

629
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 1: to play in a tournament setting. And I actually would

630
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 1: like their draw if the way that it came out

631
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:47,080
Speaker 1: in the top sixteen reveal. But we shall see, all right.

632
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:49,640
Speaker 1: So we have Texas Tech to make the final four.

633
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 1: Greg hates the Big twelve, so he went with BYU

634
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 1: to make the final four and Calvary's is going with

635
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 1: Saint John's to make the final. So one for Texas Tech,

636
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 1: can't vote for your own, two for b YU, three

637
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 1: for Saint John's. Will vote on three two one Texas

638
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 1: Tech wins. All right, you guys, let me get Texas Tech.

639
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 1: I actually like both of yours. So the good news

640
00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 1: is we might lose Gregg's if BYU goes down and

641
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:36,040
Speaker 1: beats Arizona, but they're going to be you know, I

642
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 1: don't know, seventy foot underdog in that game, but if

643
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:41,600
Speaker 1: they lose that game, might have a chance to get

644
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 1: them again next week. And then Saint John's, I mean

645
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:49,600
Speaker 1: they play their home against Yukon on Sunday, so and

646
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 1: then they're at Butler probably can't and we get a

647
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,040
Speaker 1: week to see how the Lewis injury too. That was

648
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:56,560
Speaker 1: my one concern. I didn't get to it.

649
00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 2: But if he's full.

650
00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:00,840
Speaker 1: Go, then I love it. True. Yeah, So we might

651
00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 1: revisit both next week, but we'll add Texas Tech to

652
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 1: make the final four to the portfolio. And good luck

653
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 1: if you're joining us on any of those bets. Uh.

654
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,240
Speaker 1: But to recap all the ones that we have so far,

655
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 1: I'll just ask you, like we have let's see Calbary.

656
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 1: So far we've only used one of yours. That it's Illinois,

657
00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:27,200
Speaker 1: which is it dead? I don't know. I don't know

658
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:29,120
Speaker 1: if they can put together four good games in a row.

659
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 1: Have I seen weirder things? Sure? Like think about the

660
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 1: Carolina team that made a run. They have talent, they

661
00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 1: dealt with so many Like Illinois, as bad as they've

662
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 1: been like up until like the last week, they still

663
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:46,280
Speaker 1: like passed all the analytics, the metrics tests, but they

664
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 1: just can't. I mean, losing Johnson hurts. They've been sick.

665
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: Everyone's sick all the time. What's his name? Even in

666
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:57,360
Speaker 1: this game, the game against Wisconsin, what's his name? Davis starts,

667
00:33:57,360 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 1: he gets two threes, he has to he goes to

668
00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: the lot a diarrhea and he never got off the toilet.

669
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 1: Like with this team is just there didn't need to

670
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 1: be a document There needs to be a documentar about

671
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:08,960
Speaker 1: the illinointy.

672
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 2: You guys have seen the Sage incident, right, That's what

673
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,359
Speaker 2: turned all of this. Kylin Boswell, they were rolling. They

674
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 2: were everyone's like final four pick, national title contender, seventh

675
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 2: best odds whatever. And Kylon Boswell pulled up to a

676
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,400
Speaker 2: home game where they were ten point favorites and started

677
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:28,360
Speaker 2: sprinkling sage in the pregame and photographers took pictures and

678
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:30,920
Speaker 2: were like what is this? And they probably lost to

679
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 2: USC and their season fell off the rails. It's hilarious.

680
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 1: They can't even put the jersey upright. I mean, it's

681
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 1: a mess. So I'm still holding out hope, but not

682
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 1: a lot. We have textas A and M final four.

683
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 1: We got a really good price on that they're gonna

684
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,320
Speaker 1: be in Wars, so just hope the weight tail and

685
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:54,799
Speaker 1: it's a couple of game winners. And then the good

686
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 1: thing is all these teams. But I'm mentioning like we

687
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:01,640
Speaker 1: have Iowa State, we have Maryland Final four, now Texas

688
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 1: Tech Final four. We have Alabama and Alabama and Iowa

689
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,840
Speaker 1: State national titles. The good thing with all these teams

690
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 1: is the bracket could always just break right for them too,

691
00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 1: So we'll see. I don't I don't mind our portfolio,

692
00:35:15,920 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 1: but Illinois definitely is the one that scares me the most. Uh,

693
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,799
Speaker 1: the one that I'm just you look at how that

694
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 1: team's playing and definitely doesn't give you a lot of confidence.

695
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:30,479
Speaker 1: Any thoughts on what we have so far, what you're

696
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: worried about or I think is promising. Greg, I'll start

697
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:32,920
Speaker 1: with you.

698
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 2: I feel like we're pretty good. I think we kind

699
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:39,439
Speaker 2: of tried to nab either one of Bama or Iowa

700
00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 2: State as like the horse, and I feel like both

701
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:46,200
Speaker 2: have gone sideways. So you know, it's not necessarily the

702
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,279
Speaker 2: most fun to try and like buy Auburn or Duke

703
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:50,000
Speaker 2: at the best price. But the one thing I feel

704
00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 2: like we're missing is just the team that no brainers,

705
00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:54,799
Speaker 2: at least getting to the second weekend here. Hopefully that's

706
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,000
Speaker 2: how IWA was stayed though yeah, I mean I would

707
00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,080
Speaker 2: say it has since Mamachilvich was back.

708
00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:02,919
Speaker 1: Their offense has turned it around, which is good because

709
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:07,359
Speaker 1: their offense with album was definitely hit a skit and

710
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:10,880
Speaker 1: Bama should have a high four. We shall see with

711
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:16,880
Speaker 1: so we'll probably add one more next week, and then

712
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 1: I think after that we'll have conference tournaments and stuff

713
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 1: like that. Maybe we'll add one more if we love it,

714
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,400
Speaker 1: but next week will definitely be the last ad. So

715
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 1: if you have a horse or one that you really like,

716
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 1: bring the good stuff next week. Now, let's take a

717
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 1: break and get to Tanta. McGrath with his America East Minute.

718
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:48,680
Speaker 4: Thanks Stuck, and welcome back to the AMS Minute, hosted

719
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:51,359
Speaker 4: by Yours Truly. Standings as we entered the seventh week

720
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:54,359
Speaker 4: of America's conference play, Brian Is eleven to one, Main

721
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:56,440
Speaker 4: and Vermoner eight and three all. Benny, Binghamton and New

722
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 4: Hampshire all have five wins. Lowell and UNBC each have

723
00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 4: four wins, and Njiit is a lowly two to ten.

724
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,680
Speaker 4: Big story this week for me is Vermont's resurgence. John

725
00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,080
Speaker 4: Becker has righted the ship. Vermont is six and two

726
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:09,960
Speaker 4: in the past eight. They're on a four game winning streak.

727
00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:12,960
Speaker 4: They have the best adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency marks

728
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:15,760
Speaker 4: in the league during February. They've totally fixed their rebounding

729
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,560
Speaker 4: and turnover issues which haunted them the non con and

730
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:21,320
Speaker 4: is crucial for a Becker led team which plays down tempo,

731
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:24,279
Speaker 4: high efficiency but low volume basketball. You cannot lose the

732
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 4: shot volume battle in those game scripts. Also, TJ. Hurley

733
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 4: is playing like an absolute superstar lately, averaging the nearly

734
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 4: twenty points per game as potential first team All Conference

735
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:37,000
Speaker 4: top scoring option. His shot creation in sharpshooting has been

736
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 4: paramount for an offense searching for answers, and I just

737
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:41,480
Speaker 4: wouldn't be surprised that the Cats found their way back

738
00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 4: to the Big Dance with aspired effort in the conference tournament.

739
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 4: The other big story here is Lowell, who has been

740
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:50,280
Speaker 4: arguably the most disappointing team in Maybe conference history relative

741
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,040
Speaker 4: to expectations. I mean, they are on a three game

742
00:37:52,120 --> 00:37:54,600
Speaker 4: losing streak now, fresh off of two of the most

743
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 4: absurd collapses I've ever seen. Last week, they blew a

744
00:37:57,360 --> 00:37:59,680
Speaker 4: six point lead with seventy seconds left in overtime against

745
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:02,160
Speaker 4: All Been, where they allowed an eight to zero run

746
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 4: to end the game by missing three front ends and

747
00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:06,279
Speaker 4: turning it over twice in the final minute. And then

748
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:08,439
Speaker 4: they blew a fifteen point lead with under eight minutes

749
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:10,920
Speaker 4: left against New Hampshire by allowing Samy Pieces to go

750
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 4: nuclear and beat them on a buzzer beating step back three.

751
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,080
Speaker 4: The effort and execution from the river Hawks this year

752
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 4: has been inexplicably bad. Those two face off on Saturday

753
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 4: at three thirty pm in Burlington, and I can't bet

754
00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:24,920
Speaker 4: any Vermont hoops until I get more news on the

755
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:28,000
Speaker 4: status of their point guard Shmir Bogues. He heard his

756
00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:31,720
Speaker 4: hip against Maine last Saturday. I'm recording this before Vermont's

757
00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:35,200
Speaker 4: massive Thursday night tilt against Bryant, where apparently Bogues is

758
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:37,120
Speaker 4: playing but not at one hundred percent, and I just

759
00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 4: need to see how he's looking and feeling doing before

760
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:43,440
Speaker 4: betting any catamount hoop in the future. Other Saturday spots

761
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:47,160
Speaker 4: include NGIT heads to UNBC at noon on Saturday. Projected

762
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:50,360
Speaker 4: lines Retrievers minus nine, one hundred and forty seven point total.

763
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:52,799
Speaker 4: This is my best bet for Saturday. I'll be on

764
00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:56,839
Speaker 4: the Retrievers, probably anything ten or better. Their four out

765
00:38:56,920 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 4: rim attack and kick offense can really rip when it's humming,

766
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 4: and like in the first matchup with NJT, they shot

767
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:04,439
Speaker 4: twenty four for thirty at the rim eighty percent in

768
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:07,600
Speaker 4: a twenty three point road win. And you know NJT

769
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 4: also fouls like crazy. Retrievers got to the line twenty

770
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:13,480
Speaker 4: two times in that matchup. NGT can't defend a transition,

771
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:17,120
Speaker 4: which is crucial against the up tempo Retrievers. They pushed

772
00:39:17,800 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 4: off forty eight rebounds or turnovers in the first head

773
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 4: to head matchup and scored fifty eight points, good for

774
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:25,880
Speaker 4: one point two points per possession. And I feel like

775
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 4: This is a great spot for the offense to really

776
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,359
Speaker 4: get it done at home against the league's worst team

777
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 4: after tough road games against Brian and Lowell this past week.

778
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:36,920
Speaker 4: The key to this matchup, though, is on the other

779
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 4: end of the court. UNBC has shifted to a more

780
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:42,360
Speaker 4: zone heavy coverage scheme since the first matchup, and NJT

781
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:45,480
Speaker 4: is not built to beat zone. They are horrific zone offense.

782
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 4: They're two reliant on guard centric dribble creation and have

783
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,040
Speaker 4: no real playmaking big men to work through as a

784
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:50,719
Speaker 4: high post pin.

785
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:51,800
Speaker 1: And if Jim.

786
00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:54,880
Speaker 4: Ferry decides to break out the press ngit is literally

787
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 4: the nation's worst press offense by points per possession point

788
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:01,680
Speaker 4: six to five. Ultimately, UNBC loses because it loses the

789
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 4: shot volume battle. They're vulnerable against bigger teams that can

790
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:06,200
Speaker 4: crush them on the glass or teams that can beat

791
00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,960
Speaker 4: them in the turnover battle. Nng T is not either

792
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 4: of those things. I think the retriever smoked the Highlanders

793
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,480
Speaker 4: on Saturday. The last two games we're going to look into.

794
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:17,400
Speaker 4: Maine heads to Binghamton two pm on Saturday, Black Bears

795
00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:20,080
Speaker 4: minus four one hundred and thirty four point total. It's

796
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:22,239
Speaker 4: main or nothing here. I mean, on the surface, this

797
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 4: is a really bad bat matchup for Binghamton. The Bearcats

798
00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:26,640
Speaker 4: don't have a point guard, so they're turning it over

799
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,080
Speaker 4: in mass and allowing opponents to run on them constantly.

800
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:31,560
Speaker 4: And that's a death sentence against Times and Clayton, who

801
00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:33,960
Speaker 4: snatch every loose ball and turn them into runouts. Plus

802
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 4: Maine doesn't foul, which means Binghamton can't live at the line.

803
00:40:37,080 --> 00:40:39,920
Speaker 4: And I don't trust Binghamton's zone offense, which produced zero

804
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,200
Speaker 4: point five to five points per possession against Mark Woo's

805
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:44,640
Speaker 4: two three zone in the first meeting across about twenty

806
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 4: five possessions. But Maine won that first meeting at home

807
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:50,080
Speaker 4: by eleven, but needed to shoot over fifty percent from

808
00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 4: three to get there. And they're starting to see some

809
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 4: serious shooting regression. And I think Binghamton's dribble defense has

810
00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 4: improved a lot since the first meeting, which will be

811
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:02,080
Speaker 4: key against Mainez ball screening motion. I will likely pass here. Finally,

812
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:04,920
Speaker 4: New Hampshire heads to Albany seven pm Eastern for the

813
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:08,680
Speaker 4: AMIS nightcap. Line is going to be probably Danes minus ten,

814
00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:11,200
Speaker 4: one hundred and forty four points and I got nothing here.

815
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,640
Speaker 4: I can't get a read on New Hampshire. I clearly

816
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:16,080
Speaker 4: owe Nathan Davis an apology. How this team is five

817
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:18,840
Speaker 4: and seven in league play is impossible to fathom. But

818
00:41:18,880 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 4: their games seem to all come down to whether Sammy

819
00:41:20,960 --> 00:41:24,360
Speaker 4: Pisis decides to start hitting everything. I'll pass here, but

820
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 4: to conclude, my best bet for this week is going

821
00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:31,000
Speaker 4: to be UNBC minus nine, and I was looking towards

822
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:32,800
Speaker 4: me and minus four. Thanks guys, and I'll see you

823
00:41:32,840 --> 00:41:33,239
Speaker 4: next week.

824
00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:39,719
Speaker 1: Let's get to some weekend rapid fire bets. Greg, I'll

825
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 1: start with you. Here's one I like too. I agree

826
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:43,560
Speaker 1: with you. I was gonna bring his text A and

827
00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:46,760
Speaker 1: M at home against Tennessee. You'd like the Jaggies here.

828
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,000
Speaker 2: I do. Yeah, I can be pretty short and sweet

829
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:51,880
Speaker 2: on this one, honestly. I like the spot for Texas

830
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:54,920
Speaker 2: A and M, fresh off of the embarrassing loss to

831
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:57,480
Speaker 2: Mississippi State where they just I mean, that was one

832
00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,480
Speaker 2: of the rare times you see that team just feel

833
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:02,560
Speaker 2: like they don't have anything, because normally a team that's

834
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:06,840
Speaker 2: so not reliant on making shots, it's just like effort plays.

835
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:08,879
Speaker 2: They just they didn't have it for whatever reason that's

836
00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 2: not gonna happen twice in a row. You've got to

837
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 2: bring your a game against the team as physical as Tennessee.

838
00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:17,040
Speaker 2: But kind of quietly, Tennessee not a good rebounding team.

839
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 2: They're fine there. I think the biggest thing there is

840
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:23,160
Speaker 2: that Felix Ocpar is just not a great rebounder individually,

841
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:25,560
Speaker 2: and he's a good rim protector, good shot locker, but

842
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:28,680
Speaker 2: there are openings for really physical front courts to just

843
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,000
Speaker 2: relentlessly pound Tennessee on the glass. This year in a

844
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:33,440
Speaker 2: way that you wouldn't recognize. Tennessee has been bad on

845
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:35,400
Speaker 2: the road straight up. They've lost four of six on

846
00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 2: the road this year, zero to three on the road

847
00:42:37,280 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 2: outright versus top twenty teams.

848
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:40,520
Speaker 1: So kem Pom.

849
00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 2: Has A and M as a two point underdog here,

850
00:42:42,400 --> 00:42:45,279
Speaker 2: I doubt that's happening. But if we get them even

851
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,120
Speaker 2: as a short favorite, I love A and M in

852
00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:50,000
Speaker 2: the bounce back spot. Yeah, I'm hoping to get them

853
00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:54,919
Speaker 2: just like it'll pick is what I'm hoping for. Yeah,

854
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:56,720
Speaker 2: I think that they can play their game in this one.

855
00:42:56,880 --> 00:43:02,440
Speaker 2: They can dominate the offensive glass. Saem's transition d is

856
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:05,719
Speaker 2: questionable at times, but Tennessee is not a team that's

857
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:07,840
Speaker 2: going to really run and take advantage of that. And

858
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:10,279
Speaker 2: I don't how do you beat Texas A and M.

859
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 2: They're aggressive defense, You have to shoot, you got to

860
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:14,400
Speaker 2: move the ball. I don't trust Tennessee to shoot on

861
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:17,440
Speaker 2: the road at all. And I know tex adam is

862
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:19,319
Speaker 2: not a great shooting team. They're better this year than

863
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 2: the world last year. They're shooting twenty three percent at

864
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 2: home in SEC games from three.

865
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:28,680
Speaker 1: They're going to make some eventually at home, so there's

866
00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:31,799
Speaker 1: some potential regression there. It's not a team that has

867
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:34,480
Speaker 1: to make threes, but if it does, it's a nice bonus.

868
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 1: And I think that they're overdue to make some at home.

869
00:43:37,600 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like the match up here for Texas,

870
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:44,440
Speaker 1: which can match Tennessee's physicality. That's like an advantage of

871
00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:47,480
Speaker 1: Tennessee usually has in games. Their physicality not gonna be

872
00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 1: the case here. I think, as you mentioned, tex A

873
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:52,040
Speaker 1: ANDM can dominate the glass and play its game here

874
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 1: at home, and I just don't trust Tennessee's offense on

875
00:43:55,560 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 1: the road. Fully. Calbary's Iowa State Houston a big one

876
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:03,920
Speaker 1: on Saturday. You like the dog, I like.

877
00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:07,720
Speaker 5: The clones anything eight or better. I saw that Torvik

878
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:09,799
Speaker 5: had a ten. I would love to get ten.

879
00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: You mentioned it.

880
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 5: With Mamschilovitch back in the lineup, Io State's offense is

881
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,320
Speaker 5: working again. They've won by thirty, twelve, eleven, and fourteen

882
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:19,239
Speaker 5: since his return Torvik. Since his return have them rated

883
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:21,480
Speaker 5: as the fifth best team in the entire country, one

884
00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:24,360
Speaker 5: slot ahead of the same Cougar's team. The offense works,

885
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 5: the spacing works. You'll get the perimeter shooting against Colorado

886
00:44:27,200 --> 00:44:29,799
Speaker 5: ten for twenty one from three against Cincinnati seven for

887
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,000
Speaker 5: eighteen from three. They don't take a ton, but it

888
00:44:32,200 --> 00:44:34,839
Speaker 5: obviously gives them a leg up when they're shooting north

889
00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 5: of thirty five percent from there. They lead the country

890
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 5: and kill shots you know per Evan Mia and Curtis

891
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:43,719
Speaker 5: Jones critically. With Mamschilovitch back in the lineup, he gets

892
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:46,200
Speaker 5: to slide into that six man role where he's more

893
00:44:46,280 --> 00:44:49,319
Speaker 5: naturally gifted, and it gives them more balance in terms

894
00:44:49,320 --> 00:44:51,400
Speaker 5: of being able to fight off those lulls and have

895
00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:53,240
Speaker 5: his points and productivity coming.

896
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:53,560
Speaker 1: Off the bench.

897
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 5: This is also a team that's capable of hanging with

898
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:58,399
Speaker 5: Houston at the Ftida Center. They won two of three

899
00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:01,560
Speaker 5: against Houston last year, lost by eight, and pushed on

900
00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:04,760
Speaker 5: the road against the Cougars last season, and that Cougar

901
00:45:04,800 --> 00:45:07,000
Speaker 5: team I was talking to Greg before we hopped on

902
00:45:07,040 --> 00:45:09,359
Speaker 5: the recording. I still think that Houston team last year

903
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,319
Speaker 5: was better than this one. I know that all the

904
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:14,240
Speaker 5: advanced metrics can palm and everybody else says this Cougar

905
00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:16,720
Speaker 5: team is better. The eye test for me is not there.

906
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:20,280
Speaker 5: I still, in critical moments offensively say where is shed

907
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 5: either to make a big shot, facilitate or to strip

908
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:25,120
Speaker 5: somebody get into a passing lane and to make a

909
00:45:25,120 --> 00:45:28,320
Speaker 5: big play. I still think they are missing that killer instinct,

910
00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 5: and when you see them on their home floor, that

911
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:34,239
Speaker 5: killer instinct missing is basically showing up as them not

912
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 5: pulling away from teams that they're clearly better than Texas Tech.

913
00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:40,000
Speaker 5: They scored seventy two points in regulation, they lose in

914
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:42,920
Speaker 5: ot against Oklahoma State, then only score seventy two points

915
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:45,799
Speaker 5: on their home floor. Baylor, who's allowsy defense by Big

916
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 5: twelve standards seventy six. They're two and six against the

917
00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:51,239
Speaker 5: spread on their home floor in their last five, and

918
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:54,320
Speaker 5: that includes beating the stuffing out of Utah not impressed

919
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 5: by that at all, and covering by a single point

920
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 5: against Baylor when you add in the fact that they

921
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:01,879
Speaker 5: play stuper slow. I don't want to be laying ten

922
00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:03,879
Speaker 5: points with this team, So I'll go ahead and take

923
00:46:03,920 --> 00:46:05,759
Speaker 5: the Cyclones plus the points. I think they're gonna flirt

924
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:08,080
Speaker 5: with the upset. I think now that mam Chilovic is back,

925
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:11,640
Speaker 5: these teams are almost mirror images in terms of upside,

926
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 5: So I'll go with the Clones.

927
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 1: Of the points. Yeah, the only thing I worry about

928
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:17,200
Speaker 1: here is just the turnovers. Like that's the one thing

929
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:19,160
Speaker 1: that worries me. But I would state Staven turning it

930
00:46:19,160 --> 00:46:22,920
Speaker 1: over a bit too often lately and that's not great

931
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 1: against Houston, and Houston's not going to turn it over.

932
00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:29,959
Speaker 1: So from just like a shot volume perspective, that might

933
00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 1: swing in Houston's favor, and maybe the Cougars have had

934
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,359
Speaker 1: this game circled. I always State beat the living shit

935
00:46:36,440 --> 00:46:38,399
Speaker 1: out of them in the Big Twelve tournament last year.

936
00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:42,520
Speaker 1: We'll see if that has any effect here. But yeah,

937
00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:43,960
Speaker 1: getting I would stated close.

938
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 5: To double digits would definitely be I'll say one more thing.

939
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 5: An interesting stat that I saw on Twitter. Iowa State

940
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:52,840
Speaker 5: has generated sixteen runs or I should say droughts for

941
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:55,760
Speaker 5: their opponents where the teams they're playing had not scored

942
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,040
Speaker 5: for four plus minutes. That's one of the best marks,

943
00:46:58,040 --> 00:47:00,120
Speaker 5: I think, top fifteen in the whole country. So if

944
00:47:00,160 --> 00:47:01,880
Speaker 5: this becomes a rock fight, I clearly want to have

945
00:47:01,880 --> 00:47:02,600
Speaker 5: the points in hand.

946
00:47:03,120 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 1: I just saw market go up here Men's National championship.

947
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:10,360
Speaker 1: Duke and Auburn versus the field. The field is minus

948
00:47:10,360 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 1: one eighty Duke and Auburn or plus one forty. Last

949
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:15,400
Speaker 1: I checked. You see San Diego is in the field.

950
00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 1: Give me the field, Craig, what do you got? What

951
00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:21,239
Speaker 1: else you got? All right?

952
00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:23,640
Speaker 2: I want to jump in and fade Illinois while we

953
00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:26,760
Speaker 2: still can. I want nothing to do with this team anymore.

954
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:30,000
Speaker 2: First of all, they're sick, as we discussed, but more importantly,

955
00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 2: I don't think they know how sick they are. Like

956
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:37,439
Speaker 2: you said, they started Jake Davis. You don't start that

957
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:41,440
Speaker 2: guy when you're shorthanded unless you think he's available and healthy.

958
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 2: And he left in the middle of the game, played

959
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:44,960
Speaker 2: eight minutes and ran to.

960
00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:45,680
Speaker 1: The locker room.

961
00:47:46,000 --> 00:47:47,960
Speaker 2: Tom a Visage, who came off the bench for them

962
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 2: their center. He reportedly didn't travel with the team and

963
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:54,440
Speaker 2: drove himself to the game. He still played twenty one minutes.

964
00:47:54,680 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 2: It's a mess right now. And by the way, they

965
00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 2: were supposed to have been sick a month ago, so

966
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:02,400
Speaker 2: this is not like, oh, they were sick for a game. No,

967
00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:04,880
Speaker 2: they've been sick for a month and a half. Tomavisig

968
00:48:04,920 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 2: missed games with Mono, has played six straight games and

969
00:48:08,120 --> 00:48:10,520
Speaker 2: is still sick. And other players are dropping like flies

970
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 2: even if they're healthy. They are significantly worse than Duke everywhere.

971
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:18,960
Speaker 2: But Illinois quote unquote strengths map horribly to Duke, allowing

972
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:21,680
Speaker 2: them to play to their strengths like Illinois lives on

973
00:48:21,719 --> 00:48:24,680
Speaker 2: the boards. You're not out rebounding Duke. Their only good,

974
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:27,479
Speaker 2: redeeming quality of their offense has been scoring inside, which

975
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:30,520
Speaker 2: they don't even want to do, and Duke takes that away.

976
00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:32,480
Speaker 2: You're not getting to the free throw line against Duke.

977
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:35,239
Speaker 2: They never foul. So I just don't see how this

978
00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:39,480
Speaker 2: team shorthanded scores number one but number two guards Cooper Flag.

979
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:43,400
Speaker 2: I mean, they basically move Trey White completely out of

980
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 2: the rotation in the last month, and he's the only

981
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:48,359
Speaker 2: wing with size that they've got. I think You're gonna

982
00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:50,560
Speaker 2: see quite a few times in this game that benhum

983
00:48:50,640 --> 00:48:53,360
Speaker 2: Rickhouse ends up on flag. It's gonna be one of

984
00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:56,880
Speaker 2: the biggest individual mismatches I've seen. So it's a big number,

985
00:48:57,360 --> 00:49:00,160
Speaker 2: big spot Madison square Garden. I think Duke's smoke, so

986
00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:01,880
Speaker 2: I might be stubborn.

987
00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:03,800
Speaker 1: And by Lelano Illinois. I don't know I got it,

988
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:05,640
Speaker 1: but I gotta find out that they're like healthy, which

989
00:49:05,640 --> 00:49:07,840
Speaker 1: I don't think I might not be able to. I

990
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:10,279
Speaker 1: do think that the best way to play Duke is

991
00:49:10,880 --> 00:49:13,600
Speaker 1: with drop and they like they don't have a five

992
00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:17,480
Speaker 1: that'll shoot, which has been killing Illinois, which helps a

993
00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:20,520
Speaker 1: little bit. But you're right, I mean, who's the matchup

994
00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:24,640
Speaker 1: for flag? Probably nobody. Duke doesn't turn you over. But

995
00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:28,160
Speaker 1: the the thing is kJ just turns himself over, like

996
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 1: that's what he needs to cut out. He's just like

997
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 1: six brain dead turnovers a game. So, I mean, they

998
00:49:35,080 --> 00:49:38,600
Speaker 1: always gonna have to finally make shots, uh for once.

999
00:49:38,640 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 1: But they've definitely been running bad. They've been running bad

1000
00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:43,560
Speaker 1: in every department from threes on offense, threes on defense. Uh.

1001
00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:49,080
Speaker 1: Sickness is diarrhea injuries to sage Jerseys. I mean when

1002
00:49:49,120 --> 00:49:52,839
Speaker 1: does it end? Where is the bottom? I could, I could?

1003
00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:54,720
Speaker 1: You could you? You might be right, just keep fading

1004
00:49:54,760 --> 00:49:57,880
Speaker 1: this team, or maybe this is the bottom. I don't know.

1005
00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:04,719
Speaker 1: Let me say, since let's look since January fifteenth, I

1006
00:50:04,760 --> 00:50:08,800
Speaker 1: mean Illinois is yeah, I mean they're shooting sub thirty

1007
00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:10,520
Speaker 1: percent from three, which is like, I mean, this is

1008
00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:13,000
Speaker 1: who they are. And teams are shooting like thirty seven

1009
00:50:13,120 --> 00:50:16,719
Speaker 1: thirty eight percent from three against them. I don't know

1010
00:50:17,200 --> 00:50:18,799
Speaker 1: their two point offense or two point d the has

1011
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:20,479
Speaker 1: been great. I did just I don't know. This team

1012
00:50:20,520 --> 00:50:23,880
Speaker 1: is so bizarre, so bizarre, which means something crazy is

1013
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:26,239
Speaker 1: gonna happen with them in the tournament. Or maybe it's

1014
00:50:26,239 --> 00:50:28,640
Speaker 1: the n Calvary's what do you go?

1015
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:31,319
Speaker 5: All right, I will go to the Big Sky which

1016
00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:34,320
Speaker 5: this is a public service announcement. The Big Skies Tournament

1017
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:37,040
Speaker 5: this year is starch Madness because it's going to be

1018
00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:40,280
Speaker 5: held in Boise, Idaho. So shout out to their marketing

1019
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:44,280
Speaker 5: team getting some inspiration from arch Madness for the Missouri

1020
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:47,960
Speaker 5: Valley in Saint Louis. Eastern Washington is traveling to northern Arizona.

1021
00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:50,680
Speaker 5: I like the Lumberjacks laying up to four in the spot.

1022
00:50:50,920 --> 00:50:54,000
Speaker 5: Why is this game important for Northern Arizona. Well, if

1023
00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:55,719
Speaker 5: they want to be able to get a buy into

1024
00:50:55,719 --> 00:50:58,319
Speaker 5: the quarters of starch Madness, it goes to the top

1025
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:01,600
Speaker 5: six teams right now, teams five through seven in the

1026
00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:04,439
Speaker 5: Big Sky or six and seven. Northern Arizona is six

1027
00:51:04,480 --> 00:51:06,759
Speaker 5: and eight. They're on the outside looking in. But they

1028
00:51:06,800 --> 00:51:09,799
Speaker 5: get to face three of those teams at six and

1029
00:51:09,840 --> 00:51:11,360
Speaker 5: seven in their next four games, so they're gonna be

1030
00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 5: laser focused in. And they beat this Eastern Washington team

1031
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,600
Speaker 5: at their place in Cheney by nine. And keep in

1032
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 5: mind Carson Tout their rebounding machine. He was in foul

1033
00:51:21,080 --> 00:51:22,560
Speaker 5: trouble the entire game.

1034
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:23,359
Speaker 1: He fouled out.

1035
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,280
Speaker 5: He had six turnovers, his worst game in Big Sky play.

1036
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,680
Speaker 5: Even with Taut in constant foul trouble, they still cream

1037
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:31,879
Speaker 5: them on the offensive glass. They had fifteen rips there

1038
00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:33,440
Speaker 5: and that was the difference in the game. It's going

1039
00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:36,359
Speaker 5: to be the difference here. Eastern cannot rebound to save

1040
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 5: their life. They have a below average half court defense,

1041
00:51:39,360 --> 00:51:41,439
Speaker 5: and when you look at what they've done to pull

1042
00:51:41,440 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 5: out of their nose dive, all of their wins come

1043
00:51:44,160 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 5: against teams at the very bottom of the conference, Weaver

1044
00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:50,600
Speaker 5: State Sacks State Idaho. Those teams combined in Big Skyplay

1045
00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:53,040
Speaker 5: eleven and twenty eight. So while it's impressive that they

1046
00:51:53,120 --> 00:51:55,200
Speaker 5: pulled themselves off the mat, I think the fact that

1047
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,440
Speaker 5: they have a better conference record is just reflective of

1048
00:51:57,480 --> 00:52:00,239
Speaker 5: who they played and when they played them. And they're

1049
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:02,640
Speaker 5: one good win in the entire stretch. You know, since

1050
00:52:02,760 --> 00:52:05,480
Speaker 5: really mid December came against Portland State at home, and

1051
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:07,279
Speaker 5: that's because the Viking shot nine for eighteen from the

1052
00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 5: foul line. So I think you're getting the much better team.

1053
00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:12,840
Speaker 5: I think the line here may indicate all you should

1054
00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:15,239
Speaker 5: go with Eastern based on the momentum. I'm going in

1055
00:52:15,280 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 5: the opposite direction. I think Trent McLaughlin has a huge game.

1056
00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:21,200
Speaker 5: He's been a much steadier scorer at home. Then he

1057
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,239
Speaker 5: goes for twenty plus and this is the beginning of

1058
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:25,200
Speaker 5: a three game home stand. It's actually been kind of

1059
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:27,759
Speaker 5: a weird schedule, so many road games from Northern Arizona

1060
00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:29,879
Speaker 5: in the past month. I think they get right here

1061
00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:31,920
Speaker 5: down the stretch and you're going to be able to

1062
00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:33,520
Speaker 5: see their talent rise at the top. And this one

1063
00:52:33,520 --> 00:52:34,680
Speaker 5: they win by double digits.

1064
00:52:35,000 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 1: Going a bit off the radar there love it. I

1065
00:52:39,160 --> 00:52:41,560
Speaker 1: mean probably spot of the day. We'll see what the

1066
00:52:41,560 --> 00:52:46,319
Speaker 1: spot taxes. But Arkansas hosting Missouri tournament lives at stake

1067
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:49,680
Speaker 1: Missouri coming off that huge win both. I mean, Arkansas's

1068
00:52:49,680 --> 00:52:52,400
Speaker 1: playing much better since they lost Gland, who was shooting

1069
00:52:52,440 --> 00:52:55,240
Speaker 1: twenty seven percent. Say, we'll see where were the lines at.

1070
00:52:55,320 --> 00:52:59,799
Speaker 1: But that's when I'm monitoring SMU, will see if their

1071
00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:02,520
Speaker 1: health against Clemson. Man, what a weird team, SMaL. I

1072
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:05,680
Speaker 1: think this is basically a tournament game against Clemson. They lose,

1073
00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:08,759
Speaker 1: They're they're not getting in if they win. They just

1074
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 1: got to avoid a bad loss down the stretch because

1075
00:53:11,680 --> 00:53:14,160
Speaker 1: they need a quad one win. I mean this team,

1076
00:53:14,560 --> 00:53:17,040
Speaker 1: if you look at like just their pure metrics, they

1077
00:53:17,040 --> 00:53:21,600
Speaker 1: should be in, like their their net, their resume metrics,

1078
00:53:21,640 --> 00:53:24,480
Speaker 1: like every power conference team with those always gets in.

1079
00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:28,280
Speaker 1: But they have zero quad one wins and zero wins

1080
00:53:28,719 --> 00:53:32,040
Speaker 1: versus the at large field right now. And I mean

1081
00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:36,080
Speaker 1: like they've gone over four with shots that against teams

1082
00:53:36,120 --> 00:53:39,080
Speaker 1: that are in the field right now. Clemson, they gotta

1083
00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:40,719
Speaker 1: have this game, I think is But I don't know

1084
00:53:40,719 --> 00:53:42,759
Speaker 1: if Boopy's gonna play. We'll see. I think they need

1085
00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:44,359
Speaker 1: him this weekend. Who's game time decisions. So I think

1086
00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:47,080
Speaker 1: we'll play Troy did come back. I think that they can,

1087
00:53:47,680 --> 00:53:50,719
Speaker 1: like SMU what they they want to just live on

1088
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:52,719
Speaker 1: the offensive class, which you can do against Clemson. They're

1089
00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:54,000
Speaker 1: pretty good in the mid range, which you need to

1090
00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:56,440
Speaker 1: be against Clemson. They're not gonna let Clemson operate in

1091
00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:58,800
Speaker 1: the post. Very compact defense. They have been getting a

1092
00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:01,760
Speaker 1: bit lucky from three on defense and Clemson ken shoot.

1093
00:54:01,760 --> 00:54:04,239
Speaker 1: That's that is my one concern. But comes it might

1094
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:07,239
Speaker 1: be a little fat and happy here going down the stretch.

1095
00:54:07,280 --> 00:54:09,399
Speaker 1: I just have such an easy acc schedule remaining. They're

1096
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:11,840
Speaker 1: already in. It's like, I don't know. I think it

1097
00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:13,359
Speaker 1: might be a good spot for RESMU, but I'll see

1098
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:17,399
Speaker 1: how healthy they are. And another big one with Gonzaga

1099
00:54:18,320 --> 00:54:21,000
Speaker 1: against Saint Mary's. Gonzaga is another weird team, like they're

1100
00:54:21,040 --> 00:54:24,200
Speaker 1: not even a lock to get like they're metrics darlings.

1101
00:54:24,200 --> 00:54:26,520
Speaker 1: Definitely not a lock to get in the tournament at

1102
00:54:26,520 --> 00:54:29,360
Speaker 1: this point. They get this game, I think they will be.

1103
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:33,920
Speaker 1: But do you like the Zags getting revenge here Calgary's?

1104
00:54:34,200 --> 00:54:35,880
Speaker 5: I do I like them laying up to five in

1105
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:37,840
Speaker 5: this game? I mean, they could easily beat the Gaels

1106
00:54:37,880 --> 00:54:40,640
Speaker 5: in Maraga, despite shit, they missed every shot three for

1107
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:42,880
Speaker 5: seventeen from three point range. And the fact of the

1108
00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:44,720
Speaker 5: matter is it was tied, what fifty eight to fifty

1109
00:54:44,760 --> 00:54:46,879
Speaker 5: eight with a minute to go, and look how they.

1110
00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:47,440
Speaker 1: Finished that game.

1111
00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:49,759
Speaker 5: They send Wessels to the line, he makes both. Then

1112
00:54:49,880 --> 00:54:52,359
Speaker 5: Ike gets rejected at the rim Nedbard missed the three.

1113
00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:53,320
Speaker 5: Eka missed the three.

1114
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:53,879
Speaker 1: That's it.

1115
00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:57,040
Speaker 5: Then you know Saint Mary's tax on meetingless foul shots

1116
00:54:57,080 --> 00:54:58,759
Speaker 5: with under a second to go to win by four.

1117
00:54:59,239 --> 00:55:01,200
Speaker 5: But I still look at the as the perfect spot

1118
00:55:01,280 --> 00:55:04,520
Speaker 5: to buy low on coach Few, who he's historically been

1119
00:55:04,560 --> 00:55:06,279
Speaker 5: solid in those end of game scenarios.

1120
00:55:06,600 --> 00:55:07,319
Speaker 2: Not this year.

1121
00:55:07,520 --> 00:55:09,279
Speaker 5: Let's see if they can turn it around. I think

1122
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:11,560
Speaker 5: if it does get to be a close game late,

1123
00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:14,520
Speaker 5: let's see if they've learned some lessons there. Because at

1124
00:55:14,520 --> 00:55:16,280
Speaker 5: the end of the day, zooming out on this program,

1125
00:55:16,280 --> 00:55:19,640
Speaker 5: they've made nine straight sweet sixteens. Eventually, you think some

1126
00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:22,520
Speaker 5: of that winning DNA is going to you know, rise

1127
00:55:22,560 --> 00:55:25,760
Speaker 5: to the top here. And really also since that loss

1128
00:55:25,800 --> 00:55:28,920
Speaker 5: to Saint Mary's, this team offensively at least has been

1129
00:55:28,920 --> 00:55:31,239
Speaker 5: on the warpath. They won five straight they're ninth and

1130
00:55:31,280 --> 00:55:34,560
Speaker 5: Ken Palm since that loss to Saint Mary's. Even in

1131
00:55:34,680 --> 00:55:37,120
Speaker 5: the loss against Saint Mary's EK twenty four and eight,

1132
00:55:37,280 --> 00:55:39,400
Speaker 5: he had a great game against San Francisco and Wazoo

1133
00:55:39,440 --> 00:55:40,480
Speaker 5: at least on the glass.

1134
00:55:40,840 --> 00:55:41,440
Speaker 2: If we can.

1135
00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:44,799
Speaker 5: Get anything out of Battle or Hickman, then I just

1136
00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:46,879
Speaker 5: think this is going to be a runaway. Because Saint

1137
00:55:46,920 --> 00:55:48,960
Speaker 5: Mary's they play with the exact same starting lineup the

1138
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:49,319
Speaker 5: whole year.

1139
00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:50,320
Speaker 1: They're very consistent.

1140
00:55:50,600 --> 00:55:52,760
Speaker 5: I think, you know, if you know, if the Zags

1141
00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:54,440
Speaker 5: want to go ahead and lose the game, they can

1142
00:55:54,480 --> 00:55:57,360
Speaker 5: lose it, and Saint Mary's will play exactly be plus

1143
00:55:57,360 --> 00:55:58,440
Speaker 5: a minus basketball.

1144
00:55:58,520 --> 00:55:59,480
Speaker 2: They're going to be on the line.

1145
00:55:59,520 --> 00:56:03,200
Speaker 5: But I think you know Gu's top you know, top

1146
00:56:03,239 --> 00:56:05,600
Speaker 5: gear in this game is just so much higher, and

1147
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,080
Speaker 5: I think, you know, Battle at least it's been up

1148
00:56:08,120 --> 00:56:10,160
Speaker 5: and down, up and down, but he's shown he's been

1149
00:56:10,239 --> 00:56:12,880
Speaker 5: capable in conference play to go for twenty plus.

1150
00:56:13,239 --> 00:56:14,640
Speaker 1: So I'm going to go with this.

1151
00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:16,919
Speaker 5: I think an alternate line could be a play as well,

1152
00:56:17,040 --> 00:56:19,319
Speaker 5: because I think if they win, it's not just about

1153
00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:21,600
Speaker 5: getting off the mat, it's about making a statement at home.

1154
00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:24,719
Speaker 5: The kennel is going to be absolutely on fire, so

1155
00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:25,920
Speaker 5: I could see them winning this one.

1156
00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:29,480
Speaker 1: Going away under probably is worth a look to aut

1157
00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:32,520
Speaker 1: least on the open Bennett tries to tries to just

1158
00:56:32,680 --> 00:56:36,120
Speaker 1: shrink these games against Gonzaga down to nothing. I guess

1159
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 1: Kenzagga is a lot to get in now that I'm looking.

1160
00:56:39,760 --> 00:56:40,920
Speaker 2: Now, they're a nine seed.

1161
00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:44,080
Speaker 5: Like you lose, you say you lose this one, then

1162
00:56:44,120 --> 00:56:46,480
Speaker 5: all of a sudden, the room for error is gone,

1163
00:56:46,640 --> 00:56:50,400
Speaker 5: Like if you lose what they got around the corner

1164
00:56:50,480 --> 00:56:52,399
Speaker 5: they got, you know, there's teams that can beat them

1165
00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:54,920
Speaker 5: before they get to a title game in the WCC.

1166
00:56:55,160 --> 00:56:57,840
Speaker 5: So I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility.

1167
00:56:57,880 --> 00:56:59,160
Speaker 5: If they lost, they'd certainly be.

1168
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:02,200
Speaker 1: Other tenth th ten. It's crazy, but they just have

1169
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:05,520
Speaker 1: lost every single close game against the quality opponent, and

1170
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:09,040
Speaker 1: their best win came on the first day of the

1171
00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:12,359
Speaker 1: season against Baylor, who has not even been that impressive. Greg,

1172
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:14,439
Speaker 1: you want to go back to your big ten and

1173
00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:17,160
Speaker 1: you trusted all Woody this weekend.

1174
00:57:17,400 --> 00:57:22,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna place the yuckiest bet in my portfolio's

1175
00:57:22,440 --> 00:57:28,280
Speaker 2: history here. I'm gonna take Indiana and look, rivalry games weird.

1176
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:33,720
Speaker 2: I don't think Indiana is that much less talented than

1177
00:57:33,760 --> 00:57:37,640
Speaker 2: her due I don't think they've been at all this season. Obviously,

1178
00:57:37,640 --> 00:57:41,200
Speaker 2: there's been problems emotionally mentally with all of this. The

1179
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:45,080
Speaker 2: reality is that since woods since firing was announced, while

1180
00:57:45,080 --> 00:57:48,720
Speaker 2: they're still letting him coach, this team has not dropped.

1181
00:57:48,920 --> 00:57:51,440
Speaker 2: This team has not bottomed out and quit on the season.

1182
00:57:51,480 --> 00:57:54,520
Speaker 2: This team has arguably played some of their best basketball

1183
00:57:54,600 --> 00:57:57,480
Speaker 2: of the season. They covered two of three games since

1184
00:57:57,520 --> 00:58:01,800
Speaker 2: the firing against quality opponents. Most importantly, they've been seriously

1185
00:58:01,920 --> 00:58:04,800
Speaker 2: in all of these games to win them. They almost

1186
00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:07,880
Speaker 2: beat Michigan at home, they almost beat UCLA at home,

1187
00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:10,959
Speaker 2: and then they did beat tom Izzo and Michigan State

1188
00:58:11,000 --> 00:58:14,160
Speaker 2: on tom Izzo's all time wins record ceremony not at

1189
00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:17,040
Speaker 2: the President Center. So I'm just impressed by it. I

1190
00:58:17,080 --> 00:58:19,800
Speaker 2: think it passes the sniff task. Part of this is

1191
00:58:19,880 --> 00:58:24,200
Speaker 2: that Woodson has essentially done some I don't give a

1192
00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:27,080
Speaker 2: shit any more things like he has put this team

1193
00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:30,720
Speaker 2: in a two three zone defense that is incredibly lazy,

1194
00:58:30,760 --> 00:58:34,440
Speaker 2: but it's been effective against everybody they've employed it against,

1195
00:58:35,040 --> 00:58:39,280
Speaker 2: and Indiana to me, they have always had issues trying

1196
00:58:39,320 --> 00:58:41,960
Speaker 2: to force certain guys on the court. Together with the

1197
00:58:42,000 --> 00:58:45,400
Speaker 2: two big lineups against Perdue. The first time in mac Arena,

1198
00:58:45,440 --> 00:58:48,800
Speaker 2: they led for thirty minutes and largely went away from

1199
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:52,400
Speaker 2: elite renew They've been consistent in doing that again since

1200
00:58:52,480 --> 00:58:55,280
Speaker 2: Woodson's quote unquote firing. The assistant coaches have been pulling

1201
00:58:55,320 --> 00:58:59,480
Speaker 2: the substitution strings here and they've really gone to small

1202
00:58:59,520 --> 00:59:01,800
Speaker 2: ball round one of the two bigs at all times.

1203
00:59:01,840 --> 00:59:05,120
Speaker 2: I think that modes well. Most importantly, let's talk motivationally

1204
00:59:05,120 --> 00:59:08,480
Speaker 2: for Purdue spot wise. People told you they would respond

1205
00:59:08,520 --> 00:59:11,200
Speaker 2: after the Michigan loss and beat Wisconsin at home. They

1206
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:13,880
Speaker 2: got beat by ten spot wise. After that, you were

1207
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:16,000
Speaker 2: told they couldn't lose three in a row. Matt Painter

1208
00:59:16,120 --> 00:59:18,640
Speaker 2: doesn't do that. They lost by nine in Michigan State.

1209
00:59:19,000 --> 00:59:22,280
Speaker 2: This Purdue team has very serious cracks that nobody wants

1210
00:59:22,320 --> 00:59:24,320
Speaker 2: to admit, even me. I know, I've come on here

1211
00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:27,040
Speaker 2: a bunch saying how good Braiden Smith is. The problem

1212
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:29,960
Speaker 2: isn't Brayden Smith related. It's not Tray Kauffman Red related.

1213
00:59:30,200 --> 00:59:32,360
Speaker 2: It's that everybody else out of their top three. You

1214
00:59:32,360 --> 00:59:34,960
Speaker 2: throw Fletcher Lawyer in that bucket, would not be playing

1215
00:59:35,040 --> 00:59:39,320
Speaker 2: rotational minutes on any other serious competitive basketball team. In

1216
00:59:39,360 --> 00:59:42,840
Speaker 2: the Big Ten Conference, so I think Indiana is going

1217
00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:45,080
Speaker 2: to hang in this game. I will not be surprised

1218
00:59:45,120 --> 00:59:48,160
Speaker 2: if Indiana wins this game. And I'm curious to see

1219
00:59:48,160 --> 00:59:50,560
Speaker 2: what the number is. I haven't seen one yet, but

1220
00:59:50,800 --> 00:59:53,480
Speaker 2: Ken Palm has it at four. I think we may

1221
00:59:53,520 --> 00:59:55,440
Speaker 2: get even more than that, and I'm gonna jump all

1222
00:59:55,440 --> 00:59:55,760
Speaker 2: over it.

1223
00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:59,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Indiana's had it's called like nine days in

1224
00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:01,800
Speaker 1: between games. I don't know if that's a good thing

1225
01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:06,240
Speaker 1: for Woody, but they've had a love extended rest here

1226
01:00:06,280 --> 01:00:08,560
Speaker 1: and this is I think this is a tournament game

1227
01:00:08,760 --> 01:00:11,280
Speaker 1: for Niana. They lose, I think they're out. If they win,

1228
01:00:12,160 --> 01:00:14,840
Speaker 1: I think they got a shot. That's how important it

1229
01:00:14,880 --> 01:00:18,240
Speaker 1: is to their season. They lose, they lose. I mean,

1230
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:20,280
Speaker 1: obviously they could make some noise in the Big Ten tournament,

1231
01:00:20,320 --> 01:00:23,480
Speaker 1: but I think if they win this game's.

1232
01:00:23,520 --> 01:00:26,280
Speaker 5: West coast trip too. So it's like it would be

1233
01:00:26,400 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 5: so Indiana for them to win this game by ten

1234
01:00:28,840 --> 01:00:31,720
Speaker 5: and then lose both to Washington and Oregon on the west.

1235
01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:34,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, but if they lose this game, I don't think

1236
01:00:34,800 --> 01:00:37,240
Speaker 1: they can get in that large if without making a

1237
01:00:37,240 --> 01:00:39,120
Speaker 1: deep run. If they win it, I think they got

1238
01:00:39,120 --> 01:00:45,160
Speaker 1: a shot. So very important game for Indiana and a

1239
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:48,960
Speaker 1: rivalry won at that. All right, that'll do it for us.

1240
01:00:49,560 --> 01:00:52,280
Speaker 1: Thanks to Greg, I'm Mike for joining me is always

1241
01:00:52,280 --> 01:00:53,800
Speaker 1: thanks to ten Or, Thanks Dar producer on the back end.

1242
01:00:53,800 --> 01:00:56,640
Speaker 1: Most importantly, thanks to all of you. Make sure you

1243
01:00:56,640 --> 01:00:58,680
Speaker 1: subscribe on suscribe tel friends one let me lead five

1244
01:00:58,680 --> 01:01:01,320
Speaker 1: star review really help us out. Make sure you check

1245
01:01:01,360 --> 01:01:04,920
Speaker 1: out edge boost as well, our sponsor who I really

1246
01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:09,240
Speaker 1: love and use myself and I believe we will have

1247
01:01:09,280 --> 01:01:11,320
Speaker 1: a show coming up to we might start this Saturday.

1248
01:01:11,480 --> 01:01:13,800
Speaker 1: Keep an eye out on Twitter for that five show

1249
01:01:13,800 --> 01:01:17,120
Speaker 1: Saturday Mornings, which we'll do throughout the rest of the season.

1250
01:01:18,160 --> 01:01:19,760
Speaker 1: It's time for me to go rest up, find some

1251
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,760
Speaker 1: winners for this weekend. Follow along on the Action Network app.

1252
01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:24,400
Speaker 1: Thanks for tuning in. Good luck on all of your

1253
01:01:24,400 --> 01:01:27,280
Speaker 1: wages this weekend. March will be here before we know it.

1254
01:01:27,440 --> 01:01:39,560
Speaker 3: Cheers.

1255
01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:44,080
Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1256
01:01:44,520 --> 01:01:47,360
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1257
01:01:47,600 --> 01:01:50,240
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1258
01:01:50,320 --> 01:01:51,160
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