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Speaker 1: The volume. Okay, here with my guy Stucky Action Network

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Speaker 1: every Thursday morning Action Network podcast Betting Galore. We had

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Speaker 1: a tough week last week, Stucky. The Eagles got destroyed,

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Speaker 1: the football team, Snakes, and the Chiefs I think shocked

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Speaker 1: us all by getting blown out in Tennessee. But we're

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Speaker 1: ten ten and one on the season. Yeah, I guess

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Speaker 1: quick plug Here Action you can listen Action to our

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Speaker 1: podcast Actual no work. Ap two. You can follow all

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Speaker 1: my bets I got out of the week four and four,

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Speaker 1: but those are my three biggest bets and they killed me.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the Washingon football team should have covered. That

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Speaker 1: was the one that really frustrated me. Um. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they you look at the box, but they show won

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Speaker 1: the game. They were in the inside the ten yard

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Speaker 1: line about five times. It didn't school against one of

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Speaker 1: the worst freend zone defenses in the NFL. But I

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Speaker 1: deserve everything that I got for betting the Chiefs is

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Speaker 1: a favorite, but it was. It was one of the

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Speaker 1: ugliest weeks on the NFL uh schedule this year, so

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Speaker 1: I'm happy that it's over with him. We're on two

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Speaker 1: week eight. Yeah, it feels like a much better slate.

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Speaker 1: I mean that's slate. Even last week on paper was awful,

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Speaker 1: This week on paper looks pretty good. Let's start with uh,

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Speaker 1: I mean ship hottest team in the league and the Bengals,

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Speaker 1: UH playing the Jets, Jets getting a lot of points

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Speaker 1: here ten and a half, Zack Wilson injured, Mike White,

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Speaker 1: who I've never seen play before but tennant, has a

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Speaker 1: lot of points, the Jets a little bit like the

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Speaker 1: Lions can be frisky just when you don't expect it,

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Speaker 1: and the Bengals. To me, I would take the Jets

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Speaker 1: here plus ten and a half, like they're not good

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Speaker 1: enough to just to expect they're gonna play shitty teams

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Speaker 1: and ball them out. So I I'd go with the

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Speaker 1: Jets here. How about you? Yeah, Mike White played at

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Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. UM actually know him a bit, and he look.

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Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at this line and I

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Speaker 1: agree with you on the surface, I mean, it's and

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Speaker 1: I played the Jets plus ten and a half. I

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Speaker 1: think this line is outrageous. The This is the same

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Speaker 1: Bengals team that was a three and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorite at Detroit, the same Bengals team that got shut

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Speaker 1: out in the first half against Jacksonville and needed a

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Speaker 1: miracle to come back to beat the Jags at home.

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Speaker 1: This is a Bengals team that one win like this

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Speaker 1: happened in the NFL season. They have one extraordinary win

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, there everyone's super Bowl, Darling, I

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Speaker 1: don't see it. Number one. This is a third straight

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Speaker 1: road game for them. They have the Browns next week.

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Speaker 1: They're coming off one of their biggest wins in in

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Speaker 1: their franchise of the past fifteen years. Talk another gonna

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Speaker 1: up to New York to play the lowly Jets. So

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Speaker 1: just on the surface, a lot of potential for a

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Speaker 1: flat spot here, but the Jets. Look, here's what this

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Speaker 1: look aheadline before what happened last week. Jeff's got crushed

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Speaker 1: off of a bye against the team that they just

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Speaker 1: played in their division A couple weeks for bad, look

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Speaker 1: for solid, So you got a downgrade them. But the

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Speaker 1: look at line was three and a half, which is

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Speaker 1: what I had that before last week. So Jeff Bengals

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Speaker 1: minus three and a half at the Jets. All right,

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Speaker 1: Bengals crushed the Ravens. Adjust them about a point and

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Speaker 1: a half. You know, the Jets, they get blown out,

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Speaker 1: Adjust them down to point half. You're at around six

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Speaker 1: and a half. Okay, Zack Wilson is out. Who cares?

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Speaker 1: I mean, Zack Wilson by every metric, has been the

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Speaker 1: worst quarterback in the NFL. It cannot get any worse

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Speaker 1: than what he's put out there. And you know, he's

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Speaker 1: had one competent game all year against Tennessee and he

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Speaker 1: was kind of just bombing the ball and he got

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Speaker 1: lucky a bit. So I don't think there's that much

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Speaker 1: for a drop off. Say it's a point, which is

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Speaker 1: I think extreme. You're at seven seven and a half

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Speaker 1: this line. The overreaction based on what we just saw

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Speaker 1: last week is crazy. I can't tell you anything great

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Speaker 1: about the Jets. They have a decent defensive line that

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Speaker 1: maybe you can get some pressure. But there's an NFL

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Speaker 1: team at home coming off an embarrassing loss, catching a

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Speaker 1: team in an awful spot, catching over ten at home.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think there's that much of a drop

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Speaker 1: off after losing Zack Wilson. So give me the New

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Speaker 1: York Jets. I think I heard this, Dad. I'm sure

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Speaker 1: you'd know it. The Jets have not eat the Patriots

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Speaker 1: since two thousand eleven. Is that true, does sound right? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that the Jets have not beat the Patriots in regulation

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Speaker 1: since two thousand eleven. They've won two overtime games on um,

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Speaker 1: that's it. I mean they haven't. I mean the Belichick

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Speaker 1: owns the Jets, and definitely under Brady, they were never

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Speaker 1: losing the Jets. Now. I don't know if he's covered

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Speaker 1: every spread, but he's been you know, them kicking the

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Speaker 1: ship out of the Jets is not like, oh my god,

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Speaker 1: like he's been doing it pretty consistently since a couple

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Speaker 1: of those Rex Ryan teams. He owns them, and yeah,

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Speaker 1: they've dominated him and Bill Bill does not like them.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he hates to put up a sixty spot

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Speaker 1: on them last week, but you should get the Jets

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Speaker 1: best effort, I assume over adding from Salo have them

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Speaker 1: ready after that embarrassing effort last week. And then this

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Speaker 1: is you could I could see since he's like that

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville game, You've come out here. They have three points

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Speaker 1: at the half. I was just shocking them. I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I think I kind of expect that. Let's go to

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Speaker 1: uh the a f C South that you know, the

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Speaker 1: Titans are in control. They got a two game lead,

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Speaker 1: and they've already beat them. Uh, the game is in Indie.

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Speaker 1: Indies won three games in a row. Carson's you know,

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Speaker 1: that was a monsoon for us out here on the

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Speaker 1: West on Sunday night, and you know, he made some

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Speaker 1: plays and he was pushing the ball downfield. It feels

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Speaker 1: like they've got their mojo back a little bit. Uh.

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Speaker 1: You know, it feels like the Titans are just are

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Speaker 1: gonna be a very very popular team. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if I would even bet this game. I guess i'd

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Speaker 1: take Indie minus one. What do you say, Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think the Colts get it done here. They're not being

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Speaker 1: respected enough in the market. Uh in my opinion. Look,

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Speaker 1: the they've covered four straight and they should have won

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Speaker 1: four straight. People the Ravens they went, Yeah, they went

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Speaker 1: to baltiwore, their kickers not hurt, and you know they're

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Speaker 1: up big in the fourth quarter. That was an impressive

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Speaker 1: effort in that game. They win that game, which they

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Speaker 1: should have. All of a sudden that the narrative is different,

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Speaker 1: But there's still a lot of doubt around Carson Wentz.

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Speaker 1: But it looks like this marriage with Frank Reik is

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Speaker 1: working and there Jonathan Taylor is playing excellent and it's

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Speaker 1: setting up the play action. Their offensive line is now

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Speaker 1: healthy with Nelson back, Brandon Smith might come back. You

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Speaker 1: might also get t Y Hilton back. So like, this

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Speaker 1: is a much healthier offensive unit. And look, you just

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Speaker 1: can't overact to one game. The Chiefs are just a mess.

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is still bottom five defense with horrendous corners and

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Speaker 1: they can't defend the run. So and He's gonna get

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Speaker 1: their run game going and they're gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: attack this banged up, already poor secondary. On the other

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Speaker 1: side of the ball, Tennessee is gonna get There's Look,

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Speaker 1: their offense is really good. But Indianapolis, if you look

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Speaker 1: at d d o A or EPA per play, number

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Speaker 1: one rush defense in the NFL, they don't have to

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Speaker 1: commit too many resources to stopping Derrick Henry. They'll play

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Speaker 1: a lot of zone. They won't give up a big play.

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Speaker 1: Tannehill will move the ball some. The Titans will get

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Speaker 1: their points. But I think the Colts can get some

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Speaker 1: key stops in the red zone or on third down.

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Speaker 1: This is air season, Uh, they should pull up all

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Speaker 1: all the stops here. I mean, if they lose this game,

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Speaker 1: it's it's gonna be you know, their divisions pretty much

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Speaker 1: out of the question. It's gonna be tough sledding into

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. Whereas the Titans, it's hard to get up

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Speaker 1: three weeks in their own the NFL. They just beat

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Speaker 1: the Bills and the Chiefs and back to back weeks

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Speaker 1: at home. So I think the Colts get this done.

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Speaker 1: It won't be easy, but I'll trust Reich and his

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Speaker 1: staff here and this Colts team that's really starting to

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Speaker 1: get rolling. One thing, if Indy wins this game, they'd

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Speaker 1: be four and four. Then they get two more home games. Jets, Jags, Like,

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Speaker 1: we can look up in three weeks and the Colts

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden could be going from one and

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Speaker 1: four to six and four. You like, what the hell

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Speaker 1: just happened? I mean, they were a playoff team picked

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Speaker 1: by I know me coming into the season, and you

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Speaker 1: saw last week, like physically they can hang because the

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Speaker 1: Niners are physical team and they got no problem getting physical.

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Speaker 1: That's one thing. The Chiefs are a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a softer team, and so the Tennessee and they just

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Speaker 1: outplayed him. But it's not like Tennessee. Beside the run game,

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Speaker 1: their defense is soft. You know, I'm with you. I

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Speaker 1: like the Colts in this spot. Yeah, it's amazing, amazing

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Speaker 1: swing game because they lose and you're three and five. Yea,

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Speaker 1: then it's interested to the Titans and you're basically four

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Speaker 1: games back in the division. It would be hard to

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Speaker 1: get to ten wins for the They got a tough

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Speaker 1: schedule of the Bills and the Books, but the night

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Speaker 1: game a team kind of I would say, like the

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Speaker 1: Colts that if you watch him on the right game,

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Speaker 1: Minnesota can look pretty good. I mean offensively. Listen, even

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Speaker 1: I was a Cousins hater for a long time, but

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Speaker 1: he's played really well for a couple of years now.

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Speaker 1: I mean offensively, they're dynamic. Jefferson's a star. Feeling is

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Speaker 1: really good. Even you know, their backup running back can

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Speaker 1: play let alone. Dalvin's a stud. Uh Dallas whose defense

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Speaker 1: you know, I mean, Digs has made a bunch of plays.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think they're like the eighty five Bears

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Speaker 1: or anything. Dax banged up, which is not nothing. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's still kind of going through this after a bye week,

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Speaker 1: so he's clearly, like clearly injured with that calf um.

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Speaker 1: Minnesota at home that places begin to be going ape shit.

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Speaker 1: I would imagine doing the skull chance. This is a

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Speaker 1: tough one for me. I mean, it feels like a

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Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna take Dallas. I might just

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Speaker 1: go Minnesota plus two. What do you say, Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: have a son tse Minnesota. I'm gonna bet Minnesoa. I

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Speaker 1: bet some Minnesota plus two. I'm waiting to see if

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Speaker 1: we get enough Dallas love in the market. Dallas, by

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Speaker 1: the way, six and oh against the spread, and that's

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Speaker 1: one year after they started oh and eight against the spread,

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Speaker 1: and they started ohnate last year. But they've covered every game.

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Speaker 1: They burnt me in New England, but I you know,

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Speaker 1: I know issues taken that would take New England again

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Speaker 1: in that spot. You know, they lost plus four and overtime.

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Speaker 1: But Minnesota sort of like like you mentioned Indianapolis. You

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Speaker 1: look at what they've done this year. They're only three

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Speaker 1: and three, but their first two losses of the year

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Speaker 1: came against two first place teams, the Bengals and Cardinals,

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Speaker 1: in games they should have won. You know, they had

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Speaker 1: a botched fumble review on the road in Cincinnati. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what in overtime they lost. They should have

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Speaker 1: won that game. They make a chip shop field goal.

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Speaker 1: They beat Arizona in Arizona all of a sudden. This

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Speaker 1: team is five and one and they're probably a three

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Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite here. The one game

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Speaker 1: they lost was against the Rounds in the tight, low

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Speaker 1: scoring game. The Cowboys defense, if you look at a

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Speaker 1: lot of it, you know, if you look at e

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Speaker 1: p A per play Vikings six in the NFL, Cowboys ninth.

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Speaker 1: If you strip out all the turnovers though, the turnover

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Speaker 1: luck for Dallas, which is just not sustainable, lot of

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Speaker 1: tip balls, and the Dallas is two times as many

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Speaker 1: turnovers as Minnesota. You strip all that out, there are

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Speaker 1: a slightly below average defense. They have corner with seven.

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Speaker 1: They have a corner and seven interceptions. It's it's it's insane,

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Speaker 1: So there's gonna be some regression coming downs as well.

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Speaker 1: It's still below average to below average defense. Minnesota's defense

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Speaker 1: getting better each week. They're gonna a ton of pressure,

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Speaker 1: which I think is gonna it's gonna cause Dacks some problems.

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Speaker 1: If you can't move around with this cat. You also

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Speaker 1: have the there's an outside chance dat doesn't play. So

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Speaker 1: if you bet this now obviously if he got ruled out,

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Speaker 1: which I don't think he will. Uh, you know, this

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Speaker 1: line would go to Minnesota more than a field goal favorite.

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Speaker 1: So I like the way this Vikings team is playing.

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Speaker 1: Both teams coming off of a bye again desperates that

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Speaker 1: stuation for the home team here. Minnesota doesn't win this game.

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Speaker 1: It's that looking. It's gonna ben up client. Plus where's

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Speaker 1: Dallas pretty much already has the NFC East locked up?

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Speaker 1: But I think Minnesota's a little undervalue in the market. Now,

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Speaker 1: this offense is playing so well, and then you get

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Speaker 1: a healthy Dalvin Cook now, and you know you can

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Speaker 1: attack this Dallase defense. Last year, these two teams met

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Speaker 1: the Vikings average seven yards per play. They should go

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Speaker 1: move up and down the field. Now, look, Dallas's offense excellent,

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Speaker 1: They're gonna move the ball. But where does Minnesota excel

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Speaker 1: under Zimmer with a healthy defense? Last year was the

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Speaker 1: exception of the rule. Third downs red zone always elite.

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Speaker 1: So I think the Minnesota will just get enough stops

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Speaker 1: in the red zone, hold outs to some field goals,

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Speaker 1: a couple third down stops, their offense will move the

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Speaker 1: ball at will. I think Minnesota pulls this out. Vandal

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Speaker 1: let's go one bonus pick really quick. It's easily my

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Speaker 1: favorite game on the board. After Tomlin went on his rand,

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Speaker 1: he's piste off. You know, the Steelers are three and three.

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Speaker 1: They're very much alive, just as any team five. Right

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Speaker 1: now is um on the road against the Brownies, who,

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Speaker 1: let's face it, with the injuries Baker's banged up in

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Speaker 1: him in cases he saw on the Thursday, I don't

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Speaker 1: even know if there's that big of a difference, but

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Speaker 1: they're clearly just when they're not as healthy, they're not

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Speaker 1: as good as I would have thought they would have been.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they were good on paper, but take away

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Speaker 1: some guys that running attack, even though the guy last

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Speaker 1: week who had never heard of goes for what hundred

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Speaker 1: forty yards? But it's gonna be a little more difficult

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Speaker 1: against the Pittsburgh steel I love, I mean love the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: Plus three and a half here, yeah, hook cook is

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Speaker 1: key here. This has all the makings of a low

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Speaker 1: scoring affair. And look, this is a classic Tomlin spot.

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Speaker 1: Tomin is twenty seven ten against the spread against teams

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Speaker 1: with a winning record when he's an underdog, that's insane.

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Speaker 1: Twenty seven and ten against the spread, classic raw Rod spot.

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Speaker 1: He is your five. You know when you want to

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Speaker 1: we have to go to war. It's us against the world.

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Speaker 1: You need a motivational edge. He's as good as a

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Speaker 1: coach as there is in the NFL, which is why

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Speaker 1: you see him thrives underdog. And you see the Steelers

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Speaker 1: sometimes when they're big favorites, they come out really flat

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Speaker 1: because they don't have that same energy. But this is

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Speaker 1: a classic Thomas off of by you know, really important

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Speaker 1: game for your season, playoff revenge right from last year

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Speaker 1: when they got stopped by Cleveland in the playoffs. And

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Speaker 1: you know you have all this all these rumors swelling

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Speaker 1: is a perfect opportunity for Tomlin just to ride the troops.

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Speaker 1: So don't disagree with you there. I'm curious to get

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Speaker 1: your thoughts on the the USC coaching rumors. I was like,

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Speaker 1: why would Tomlin ever want to take this job? He's

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Speaker 1: and he's been so comfortable, and you got to take

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Speaker 1: a pay cut. I assume go try to recruit kids

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Speaker 1: in California. I didn't think it made any sense of Look,

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Speaker 1: it looks like James Franklin from the rumors is gonna

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Speaker 1: be there. But I was curious king your thoughts there. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think a school like USC, you know,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be people in that operation, some of the

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Speaker 1: big boosters that have stupid money, right, and they view

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Speaker 1: themselves as every bit as big of a job as

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Speaker 1: any NFL team or college team. So those names get

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Speaker 1: thrown out and then Carson Palmer, I mean, it's probably

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Speaker 1: he might be going to a meeting with like five

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Speaker 1: guys worth a combined three billion dollars and they're throwing

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Speaker 1: names out and Carson's like, fun, Yeah, I used to

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Speaker 1: play against Tomlin. He'd be badass here, and they're like,

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Speaker 1: put his name at the top. Of the list and

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Speaker 1: then he gets asked and he's furious. One. I mean,

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Speaker 1: if if Sean Payton had been mentioned by Carson Palmer,

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Speaker 1: he would have been asked as well. But like I'm

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Speaker 1: with him, the Steeler job is infinitely better. He probably

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Speaker 1: makes what would you guess, ten million dollars a year

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Speaker 1: with all the winning he's done for all these year,

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Speaker 1: he makes a lot of money. Uh. I think James

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Speaker 1: frank to me, James Franklin. My issue with James Franklin

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Speaker 1: is if you get the USC job right, everyone's gonna Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I think regions matter in college football unless you're Urban Meyer,

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Speaker 1: then you can coach wherever. But he's not on that level.

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Speaker 1: And he won eleven games a couple of times there,

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Speaker 1: but some of the programs are down now the Big

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Speaker 1: ten is good and much more competitive, and he's having

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Speaker 1: a more difficult time he can recruit. But I see

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Speaker 1: he's always recruited. You know, look Smario like the Oregon

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Speaker 1: is good, but they're not like some dominant program for

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Speaker 1: how they're recruiting, like you're expected to win. And I

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Speaker 1: I I think James Franklin is a very very risky pick.

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Speaker 1: You could argue Penn State is every bit as good

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Speaker 1: of a job as USC. Like he's recruiting top five classes.

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Speaker 1: Why why would he He's getting paid big money, why

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Speaker 1: would he leave? You know, maybe just because the conference

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Speaker 1: is easier, But that's not how coaches think, you know.

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Speaker 1: So I I think USC is you want L s

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Speaker 1: U is a way to me. L s U is

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Speaker 1: a step above USC in terms of the ranking of

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Speaker 1: the jobs, and I think I would imagine USC's gonna

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Speaker 1: unless James Franklin the deal is already done, which you

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Speaker 1: kind of I don't know if you saw him talk yesterday,

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Speaker 1: he was basically it feels like he's hitting hitting at it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah you didn't say no or yeah. He was basically

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Speaker 1: saying like, we'll talk about this later. Um. Yeah, it's interesting.

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Speaker 1: There's some of the pack twelve, I mean US. It's

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Speaker 1: I think it's better when you have a dominant pack

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Speaker 1: twelve team. I mean in Oregon is still recruiting really well. USC.

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Speaker 1: It's sad what's happening with Washington and they're they're trailing

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Speaker 1: off in the recruiting department as well. Um, but yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think that you need a West Coast guy there,

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Speaker 1: and you need someone that's a lot more competent than

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Speaker 1: Clay Helton. And I think sometimes you overthink it, right,

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Speaker 1: Like let's say l s U hired your guy Ark

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Speaker 1: Stoops in Kentucky. Is he Nick Saban? I don't know,

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Speaker 1: but there's no chance he would lose. Look at what

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Speaker 1: he's doing at Kentucky. So if you gave him L

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Speaker 1: I know he's gonna win. And I would be shocked

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Speaker 1: if he didn't make the playoffs within three or four years.

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Speaker 1: Where but they would be like, it's not quite sexy

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Speaker 1: of enough in name the guy at Oregon State Jonathan

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Speaker 1: Smith who's winning now at Oregon State, who was Chris

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Speaker 1: Peterson's offensive coordinator at Washington when they were really good. Like,

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Speaker 1: that's not a sexy higher, but here's what he's from,

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Speaker 1: l A, he's winning in the pack twelve right now,

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Speaker 1: he might not be everyone's looking for Nick Saban, Like

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of these guys overthink the room here.

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Speaker 1: You just go for a less sexy higher, but one

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Speaker 1: that you know at minimum is like James Franklin could

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Speaker 1: be a disaster, Like because his ego is gonna be big,

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Speaker 1: he thinks it's probably a little less pressure and then

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, he wins nine games by a

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Speaker 1: year two. People like, what the hell? I thought we

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Speaker 1: were gonna go twelve? And oh you know so, I

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Speaker 1: I think you have season a little trouble. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think Smith would be a good higher that. Now you

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Speaker 1: mentioned it, like do you think Mark Stoops is Like

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Speaker 1: would he even be in the mix for the L

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Speaker 1: s U job? Or is he not sexy enough name? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: I don't think he's he's a sexy enough name, but

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Speaker 1: he's shown over the past, you know, his biggest improvement

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Speaker 1: over the past, you know, five to six years. It's

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Speaker 1: like the recruiting. How would he how would he not

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Speaker 1: win at L s U? I think as well, have

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Speaker 1: a good weekend, enjoy the games. Absolutely stuck a man.

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Speaker 1: The volume