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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm Pat fitz Morris.

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Speaker 1: That's Bau mcbraer, and today we are going to preview

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Speaker 1: the Genesis Invitational from a betting perspective. We're going to

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Speaker 1: tell you who we like, we don't like, what we're betting,

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Speaker 1: and we will give you our one and done picks

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Speaker 1: for the week. At the end of the show, we're

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Speaker 1: also going to recap you always Entertaining, Always Festive, Waste Management,

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Speaker 1: Phoenix Open Bowl.

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Speaker 2: How was your Super Bowl Sunday.

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Speaker 3: That's fantastic. I'm still full. I don't think I need

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Speaker 3: to eat for a few days. I think I need

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Speaker 3: to go in like a juice cleanse or some kind

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Speaker 3: of internet fast for maybe a day or two, just

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Speaker 3: to reset the whole clock. Because I started barbecuing at

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Speaker 3: nine am, and when I finished barbecuing, I went to

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Speaker 3: a party down the street at my neighbor's house. Brought

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Speaker 3: all the food over and I ended up cooking more

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Speaker 3: food when I was there, so I got to see

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Speaker 3: a lot of the game. I get to see my

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Speaker 3: Queen Alicia Keys perform. Everything was great. It was one

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Speaker 3: favorite days of the year. I think it's next to Thanksgiving,

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Speaker 3: my favorite holiday of the seat of the of the year.

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Speaker 1: It is a great day for just gluttony and decadence.

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Speaker 1: And I'm glad I'm not the only one with the

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Speaker 1: crush on Alicia Keys, so we've got that figured out.

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Speaker 1: I saw you tweet about that, so yeah, it's it's

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Speaker 1: my wife's fault. She has all her CDs, so you know,

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Speaker 1: when I first met her, got exposed to a lot

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Speaker 1: of Alicia Keys music and doesn't hurt that she's gorgeous.

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Speaker 2: So hurt one bit.

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Speaker 1: This show is sponsored by our friends at Underdog Fantasy

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Speaker 1: and you are probably familiar with Underdogs Outstanding Bestball contest

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Speaker 1: for Fantasy football, but Underdog also has golf contests. Sign

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Speaker 1: up for Underdog if you haven't already with the promo

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Speaker 1: code b P Golf and get your first deposit matched

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Speaker 1: up to one hundred dollars. Plus there is a special

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Speaker 1: pick available for you in the lobby. More on an

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Speaker 1: Underdog and its golf contest. A bit later, the Waste

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Speaker 1: Management Phoenix opened Bow. We got an exciting finish that

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Speaker 1: very few people actually got to see because the tournament

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Speaker 1: was decided after kickoff of the Super bowl. I was

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Speaker 1: toggling back and forth between football and golf, so I

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Speaker 1: did catch the finish. Nick Taylor made up three strokes

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Speaker 1: on the final four holes at TPC Scottsdale to force

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Speaker 1: a playoff with forty seven year old Charlie Hoffman. They

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Speaker 1: played the eighteenth hole again in the playoff. Both hit

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Speaker 1: nice drives, both hit good approach shots, and both made

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Speaker 1: their birdie Potts second playoff hole. Taylor puts his drive

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Speaker 1: in the rough, Hoffman puts his drive in a bunker.

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Speaker 1: Both hit nice approach shots, and then Taylor rolled in

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Speaker 1: his twelve footer for the birdie after Hoffman failed to

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Speaker 1: make his twenty eight footer. So it was the first

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Speaker 1: win for Taylor since his epic seventy foot bomb on

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Speaker 1: the fourth playoff whull of the Canadian Open last year

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Speaker 1: to beats Tommy Fleetwood and become the first Canadian to

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Speaker 1: win the Canadian Open since nineteen fifty four. Apparently, you

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Speaker 1: do not want to end up in a playoff against

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Speaker 1: Nick Taylor because he is just nails, especially.

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Speaker 2: With the flat stick.

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Speaker 1: Taylor and Hoffman both finished three shots ahead of Scottie Scheffler,

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Speaker 1: who briefly held the lead on Sunday, but just didn't

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Speaker 1: do enough of the back nine, went out in thirty one,

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Speaker 1: kind of limped home with a thirty five, just sort

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Speaker 1: of an indifferent back nine. Sam Burns also finished three

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Speaker 1: shots back. Sahith Thigala, who really seems to like TPC Scottsdale,

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Speaker 1: he couldn't contend. He did contend again, but he couldn't

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Speaker 1: get much cooking. On Sunday, the Gala finished four shots back.

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Speaker 1: One thing about this year's waste management Phoenix Open that

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Speaker 1: I want to mention because it greatly annoyed me. So

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Speaker 1: on Thursday they had this hour's long weather delay, very

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Speaker 1: atypical of the Phoenix Scottsdale area. They'd win and rained

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Speaker 1: blow through, but tournament officials seemed very nonchalant about making

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Speaker 1: up for lost time. Didn't seem like they moved up

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Speaker 1: the tee times on Friday, so a lot of players

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Speaker 1: hadn't finished round two by the end of the day.

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Speaker 2: And then on.

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Speaker 1: Saturday they let every player finish round two before they

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Speaker 1: started round three. So there was this strange dynamic where

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Speaker 1: it was midday on Saturday and bo this was weird, Like,

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Speaker 1: my wife is typically not gone from the house that

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Speaker 1: much like doesn't take business trips, but you and my

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Speaker 1: daughter were doing a college tour. I had the house

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Speaker 1: to myself with the dog basically, and was really bored

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Speaker 1: and wanted to watch golf. And there were like two

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Speaker 1: or three groups on the course at like, you know,

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Speaker 1: one thirty Central time on Saturday. Meanwhile, they these typically

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Speaker 1: massive crowds that they always get at TPC Scottsdale for

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Speaker 1: this event, and there was very little actual golf for

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Speaker 1: them to watch. So what do you do with TPC

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Speaker 1: Scottsdale for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. If there's no

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Speaker 1: golf to watch, you drink, and you drink a lot.

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Speaker 1: So that got to be a problem. People were doing

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Speaker 1: mud slides down hills. It was getting a little rowdy.

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Speaker 1: They had to cut off alcohol sales. So yeah, I

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Speaker 1: mean it was just kind of a catastrophe. The bigger

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Speaker 1: consequence of all the lolligagging, Bow was that the two

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Speaker 1: man playoff was conducted basically in a vacuum because everyone

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Speaker 1: was watching the Super Bowl, so a lot of people

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Speaker 1: missed what was actually a really exciting finish and that's

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Speaker 1: too bad.

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Speaker 2: Bow.

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Speaker 1: Your thoughts on this year's Waste Management Phoenix Open and

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Speaker 1: did you catch any of the playoff or had you

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Speaker 1: just committed to football by then?

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Speaker 3: No. I pretty much was switching to football as soon

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Speaker 3: as Scotty was out of it. So I had a

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Speaker 3: two unit bed on Scottie Scheffler outright. I also had

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Speaker 3: Scotti parlaid with the Chiefs, which would have been nice

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Speaker 3: if Scotty had a great back nine. His back nine

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Speaker 3: had too many pars on birdie holes and a lot

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Speaker 3: of great scoring opportunities to be had, and where he

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Speaker 3: was on fire on Sunday morning. Sunday morning, he came

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Speaker 3: out finished his third round in a crazy good back nine.

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Speaker 3: Then he started off his final round with a great

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Speaker 3: front nine. He had something like twenty five birdies in

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Speaker 3: the last two days, and I was thinking, oh man,

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Speaker 3: he's got the lead. He's just gonna pull away from

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Speaker 3: these guys. And what happened is all these other guys

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Speaker 3: had the same birdie holes on that back nine, and

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Speaker 3: he did too, and he just didn't convert any him.

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Speaker 3: He was missing some uncharacteristic fairways, his approach shots that

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Speaker 3: were getting stuck close. He was fifteen twenty feet out

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Speaker 3: on some of them, and of course with his putting

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Speaker 3: it's that's not Scotty's bag. Scotty's bag is hitting it

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Speaker 3: as close as you can so that the birdie opportunities

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Speaker 3: are easier when you're putting on flat greens like that.

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Speaker 3: He just didn't do enough to do it. As soon

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Speaker 3: as he dropped out of contention, I switched over to

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Speaker 3: football because that pretty much nixed a lot of my bets,

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Speaker 3: except for I had him top locked in for a

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Speaker 3: nice little payout for the top five. But it was

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Speaker 3: it was a rough go watching two guys that nobody had.

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Speaker 3: I mean I had Nick Taylor in my DFS pool.

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Speaker 3: He ended up being sixth in my model for stats,

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Speaker 3: so I did have a good amount of Nick Taylor

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Speaker 3: in DFS, which helped a bit, But on the betting side,

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Speaker 3: I was nowhere near him or Chuck Hoffman and Chuck

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Speaker 3: It's it seems like he only shows up for the

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Speaker 3: Waste Management Phoenix Open, so I should have seen it coming.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, it was just a disaster of a week

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Speaker 3: for the betting side. The casinos are just rolling in

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Speaker 3: our money like Scrooge McDuck right now, and you know,

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Speaker 3: we need to hit one of these long shots because

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Speaker 3: if they're going to keep coming. We have to be

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Speaker 3: able to lock it down so that we can get

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Speaker 3: some of this bank roll back in our pockets. Right now,

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Speaker 3: it's it's looking pretty skimpy. But I love the Genesis

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Speaker 3: and I think that this is going to be a

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Speaker 3: really strong week for both of us.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the twenty twenty four PGA Tour season so far,

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Speaker 1: bo it's been like a model elementary school classroom, no

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Speaker 1: chalk whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: And like that does.

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Speaker 1: Seem like maybe it could turn this week and the

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Speaker 1: Genesis open a smaller field. It seems like it would

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Speaker 1: be a good week for one of the you know

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Speaker 1: guys at shorter odds.

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Speaker 2: To finally come through.

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Speaker 1: We'll get to the Genesis in just a moment, but

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Speaker 1: first go sign yourself up with our friends at Underdog Fantasy,

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Speaker 1: where you can make picks on your favorite golfers all

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Speaker 1: season long. Just pick higher or lower on selected stats

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Speaker 1: for two to five golfers and you can win up

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Speaker 1: to twenty times your money in a single day. You

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Speaker 1: can also make rivals picks, choosing, for example, which of

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Speaker 1: two golfers will shoot a better score in a round.

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Speaker 1: Golf picks can be combined with players stats from other

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Speaker 1: sports as well. Sign up for Underdog if you haven't

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Speaker 1: already with the promo code BP Golf to get your

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Speaker 1: first deposit matched up tw one hundred dollars. Plus there's

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Speaker 1: a special pick available for you in the lobby.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: After a week in Arizona, the tour returns to California

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Speaker 1: once more. The Genesis Invitational played at one of our

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Speaker 1: favorite courses, but I know it's my favorite non major

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Speaker 1: course at Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles, par seventy

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Speaker 1: one that plays to seven three hundred and twenty two yards.

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Speaker 1: Riviera is just this marvel of golf architecture, and it

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Speaker 1: looks so good on television. Two Riviera gives us a

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Speaker 1: little bit of everything. There are interesting par threes, there

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Speaker 1: are some long, demanding par fours, and maybe the best short.

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Speaker 2: Par four in the world.

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Speaker 1: We'll talk more about that in just a minute. There's

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Speaker 1: some reachable risk reward par fives. There's a memorable finishing

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Speaker 1: hole that plays uphill with the gorgeous Spanish style clubhouse

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Speaker 1: of Riviera looming in the background. And Riviera, I don't

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Speaker 1: know it's fair yet demanding narrow fairways, and this is

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Speaker 1: so such.

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Speaker 2: A quirky Corspo.

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Speaker 1: The first hole is a par five, and like a

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Speaker 1: very short one at that five hundred and three yards.

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Speaker 1: If you want to go low at Riviera, you better

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Speaker 1: birdie the first hole. The sixth hole at Riviera is

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Speaker 1: a two hundred yard par three with a pot bunker

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Speaker 1: cut right into the middle of the green, smack dab

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Speaker 1: into the middle of the green. So the green is

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Speaker 1: basically quadrant divided into quadrants. Riviera's got a lot of

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Speaker 1: cool looking trees. Some are California sycamores, some are Eucalyptus trees,

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Speaker 1: which sometimes look like they're dead. I'm told that these

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Speaker 1: trees are not in fact dead, but they give. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's almost like this creepy, ominous look to some of

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Speaker 1: the holes, like Gothic.

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Speaker 2: Almost.

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Speaker 3: It's Los Angeles are actually dead, they just don't look dead.

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Speaker 3: They're well preserved. So it's a nice juxtaposition. It's a

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Speaker 3: the paradox is the gothic look to Riviera when the

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Speaker 3: rest of the city is dead but looking alive. It's

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Speaker 3: the opposite.

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Speaker 1: And then bo we have the iconic tenth hole. Love

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Speaker 1: it par four three hundred and fifteen yards. So this

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Speaker 1: is short even by the standards. Of your local un course,

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Speaker 1: But this one is one devilish little par four. The

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Speaker 1: green looks about as narrow as a staircase. The back

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Speaker 1: part of it is completely surrounded by bunkers on all sides.

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Speaker 1: Some players will try to drive the green, some will

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Speaker 1: try to lay up and try to set themselves up

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Speaker 1: with a little wed shot. But the green is so

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Speaker 1: narrow that even a webshot from like eighty yards out

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Speaker 1: is not guaranteed to hit the green. And I thought

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Speaker 1: I heard someone say that the green irregulation percentage on

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Speaker 1: shots of under seventy five yards is still only like

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Speaker 1: sixty two percent. That's how ridiculously hard this hole is.

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Speaker 1: Leaving it shortened right of the hole is a near

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Speaker 1: certain bogie, and if you drive it long and left,

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Speaker 1: you've got trees that come into play. Good luck, good

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Speaker 1: luck with that. I could watch the tour play, tour

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Speaker 1: pros play the tenth hole all day, bo Like we

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Speaker 1: need just a dedicated channel to the tenth hole, because

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Speaker 1: I could sit and watch that the entire day.

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Speaker 2: So let's see.

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Speaker 1: Last year's Genesis Invitational was won by John Ram, who's

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Speaker 1: now on the Live Tour and will not be around

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Speaker 1: to defend rom won by two shots over Max Homa

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Speaker 1: and three shots over Patrick can't Lay, both of whom

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Speaker 1: will be in this week's field. And this is a

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Speaker 1: PGA Tour signature event, so it's going to be a

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Speaker 1: good field, but it always is. Tiger Woods will host

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Speaker 1: and make his twenty twenty four debut. There are seventy

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Speaker 1: one players in the field and after the second round

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Speaker 1: they will cut down to the top fifty plus ties

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Speaker 1: plus anyone within ten shots of the lead. Bo gimmey

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Speaker 1: any thoughts you might have on this event in this

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Speaker 1: fantastic golf course.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the golf course is iconic, not just for where

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Speaker 3: it is, which is noteworthy in itself, being kind of

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Speaker 3: carved right into old Los Angeles, very very expensive real

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Speaker 3: estate down there. Riviera is as as course architecture goes,

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Speaker 3: it's a marvel. It's something that you don't see anywhere else,

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Speaker 3: and you can't find really any comp courses for it.

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Speaker 3: You mentioned the first hole, it's the easiest hole on

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Speaker 3: the PGA Tour period number one, easiest hole on the

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Speaker 3: PGA Tour, number ten. You mentioned the options that the

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Speaker 3: players have. That's the beauty of a good golf It

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Speaker 3: doesn't matter how long it is. But if you have

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Speaker 3: a hole that gives seventy players seventy different playing options,

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Speaker 3: you'll notice that some guys will lay up to a

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Speaker 3: certain club or a certain shot that they're comfortable with,

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Speaker 3: just so they don't have to do anything out of

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Speaker 3: their comfort zone. And those are the ones usually do well.

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Speaker 3: It's usually the ones that not necessarily lay up, but

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Speaker 3: they aim for the far left front part of the

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Speaker 3: green so that they have a chip shot up that

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Speaker 3: very narrow corridor green, which also slopes away from you

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Speaker 3: into those back bunkers. And because it's such a sliver,

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Speaker 3: you have no room, you have no green to work

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Speaker 3: with out of those bunkers. So you'll see guys when

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Speaker 3: it is firm and fast, like it usually is on

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Speaker 3: these poet greens, is you'll see one guy chip out

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Speaker 3: of a bunker and it'll roll off the green into

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Speaker 3: the other bunker, and they'll go back and forth, and

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Speaker 3: you'll see some big numbers on that little tiny hole.

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Speaker 3: You'll also see some eagle putts. You'll also see some

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Speaker 3: tap in birdies. But it demands precision, it demands a plan,

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Speaker 3: and that's that's what golf is all about, is watching

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Speaker 3: the best to do it, struggle or succeed based on

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Speaker 3: just being overly skilled. This is the true test of

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Speaker 3: golf is being able to master a hole that could

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Speaker 3: be a three or a two, or it could be

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Speaker 3: a seven or eight. We've seen both all the way

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Speaker 3: through the years here. And then of course everything else

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Speaker 3: is just big trees, lots of sharp dog legs, narrow

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Speaker 3: tea shots. But it demands guys who can hit the

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Speaker 3: ball off the tee accurately with power. It's a short

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Speaker 3: hitters rarely win here because it's prohibitive when you have

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Speaker 3: to get long irons into some of these greens that

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Speaker 3: are very firm and fast, and of course putting on

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Speaker 3: poema is never easy, especially when they run them as

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Speaker 3: quick and just recklessly fast as some sometimes we see

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Speaker 3: here at Revere. I love the carnage. This is the

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Speaker 3: toughest non major golf course on the rod to you know,

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Speaker 3: you know me. I'm all for the high scores, give me,

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Speaker 3: give me the eagle one and then struggle the rest

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Speaker 3: of the round. That's what I want to see.

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Speaker 1: And we have not even mentioned the Cocuja grass, the

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Speaker 1: rough that is so unpredictable. You don't know what, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you don't know what the ball is going to do

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Speaker 1: coming out of that stuff.

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Speaker 3: So that picture miniature succulent like cacti, and it's like

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Speaker 3: blades of grass, but they're really firm and robust and

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Speaker 3: they interlock. So you get a ball that sits down

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Speaker 3: in there, and it's gonna grab your club face and

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Speaker 3: twist it shut, which you'll see some flyers and some

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Speaker 3: snap hooks out of that rough. Or you might slide

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Speaker 3: the club face completely underneath it and pop the ball

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Speaker 3: up and it goes nowhere that all of those are

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Speaker 3: in play. If you miss these very narrow fairways at Riviera,

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Speaker 3: it's gonna be fun to watch because we're gonna see

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Speaker 3: some amazing things happen. Like we have three years, we're

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Speaker 3: gonna see some meltdowns too.

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Speaker 1: You know. And it's funny bo you talked about a

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Speaker 1: whole number one and how easy that is, and then

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Speaker 1: number ten and all the carnage we can see there

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Speaker 1: with them splitting the groups. Of course in the first

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Speaker 1: two days, guys teen off of the front side, guys

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Speaker 1: teen off of the back. It's like such a difference

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Speaker 1: in the way you start your round. Start it with

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Speaker 1: a nice easy birdie. It almost feels like you're losing

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Speaker 1: ground in the field if you make a par a

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Speaker 1: number one, number ten, you're just trying to survive, get

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Speaker 1: your power and get out.

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Speaker 2: And yeah, so love this course.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the odds bow all of which came

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Speaker 1: from DraftKings as of three pm Monday afternoon, Eastern Time,

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Speaker 1: so some of these odds may have changed. Scotty Scheffler

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Speaker 1: the favorite at plus six fifty, followed by Rory McElroy

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Speaker 1: plus nine hundred, Victor Hovland is plus twelve hundred, Xander

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Speaker 1: Schoffley at plus fourteen hundred, Patrick Cantley, Maxhoma and Colin

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Speaker 1: Morricawa sit at plus sixteen hundred. Ludwig Obert and Justin

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Speaker 1: Thomas are plus eighteen hundred, Sam Burns at plus twenty

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Speaker 1: two hundred, Jordan Speith at plus twenty five hundred, Tony

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Speaker 1: Fenol plus twenty eight hundred, and then Tommy Fleetwood and

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Speaker 1: Adam Scott at plus three thousand. You like you liked

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Speaker 1: Scotty Scheffler in Phoenix last week bo at plus five hundred.

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Speaker 1: How do you feel him about the Riv at plus

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Speaker 1: six fifty.

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Speaker 3: I think the Riv's going to eat him for lunch

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Speaker 3: and spit him out on day one. Honestly, just seventy

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Speaker 3: man Field and he came in forty fifth in my model.

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Speaker 3: And there's there's something to be said about Scotti Scheffler's

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Speaker 3: ball striking. He tends to excel at ball striking on

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Speaker 3: courses that aren't overly demanding off the tee where just

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Speaker 3: like Scottsdale, like we saw him struggle when he missed

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Speaker 3: a fairway or two on the back nine at Scottsdale,

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Speaker 3: you missed a fairway here, and it's gonna be hell

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Speaker 3: because you can't, you can't scramble like He's not an

347
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Speaker 3: overly good scramble because it was putting. His ball striking

348
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Speaker 3: in this in these conditions is middle of this pack

349
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Speaker 3: at best. And so I have him way down off

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Speaker 3: my list completely. I'm gonna start mine at Rory McElroy,

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Speaker 3: who came in number one by a long shot in

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Speaker 3: my model. Like we're talking, he just slipped to ten

353
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Speaker 3: to one. I love to see Rory at ten to one.

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Speaker 3: That's that's my my landing spot, my f flag plant.

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Speaker 3: That dude on this course with his ball striking, his

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Speaker 3: short game underrated, his putting on poana underrated Rory McElroy

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Speaker 3: I think will run away with this thing.

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Speaker 2: Interesting.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, So Rory's last five trips here he has three

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Speaker 1: top tens, but nothing better than a fourth in those trips.

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Speaker 1: He does have a misscut squeezed in there. Last year

362
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Speaker 1: he was twenty ninth, so he hasn't quite conquered it.

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Speaker 1: But obviously with the three top tens, there's some degree

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Speaker 1: of comfort here for Rory McElroy. And you know in

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Speaker 1: his last three events he does have a win and

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Speaker 1: a second, so he's coming in in pretty good form. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: any love for I know you like Colin Morikawa and

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Speaker 1: his ball striking. How do you feel about him on

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Speaker 1: this kind of a track.

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Speaker 2: He has, Let's see.

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Speaker 1: I mean he's in his last two events here, second

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Speaker 1: and sixth.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he's strong across the board here. I think his

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Speaker 3: plutting on poana might hold him back. He's also not

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Speaker 3: overly good on par five's, which is gonna be really

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Speaker 3: important here. I really think that if he does well

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Speaker 3: enough on where his strengths are, which are the long

378
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Speaker 3: approach to par four's, avoiding bogies is his strong suit.

379
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Speaker 3: But his putting on poana for being a California guy

380
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Speaker 3: has been atrocious, so it's something to monitor. We're looking

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Speaker 3: for somebody who can score where the scoring is tough,

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Speaker 3: and I don't think he's done that so far this year.

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Speaker 3: I'm looking more towards Maxhoma, who's done well here every

384
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Speaker 3: single time. It seems like in that same range, Maxholm

385
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Speaker 3: is a much stronger play because across the board and

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Speaker 3: all the stats I'm looking at, he seems to be

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Speaker 3: the better play. He also has a much better core

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Speaker 3: track record at Riviera.

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Speaker 2: Oh Man.

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Speaker 1: Talk about Maxhoma's track record here Baull last four appearances,

391
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Speaker 1: fifth victory, tenth second, so that is pretty sterling. So

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Speaker 1: great form here at Riviera, And yeah, I mean Homa

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Speaker 1: obviously one of the favorites for a good reason. A

394
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Speaker 1: couple of guys who are sort of intriguing. Oh Bear

395
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:18,159
Speaker 1: like really good form. He has finished ninth and second

396
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Speaker 1: in his last two events, but he's never played the

397
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Speaker 1: Genesis before, and I do kind of wonder if this

398
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Speaker 1: course is just so unique. I don't love betting on

399
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Speaker 1: someone who's making their debut, even if they're a world

400
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,639
Speaker 1: class player coming in in really good form.

401
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Speaker 2: Would you agree with that? Or are you interesting?

402
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 3: And just for as talented as he is, I don't

403
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,240
Speaker 3: know that he has the shown the chops on these

404
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 3: tougher courses to really warrant the numbers he's drawing. It's

405
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,360
Speaker 3: kind of just like an overinflation, Like we never really

406
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:55,399
Speaker 3: get a true fair odds on tiger Woods throughout the years,

407
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Speaker 3: even if it was on a course he's never won at,

408
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Speaker 3: like Riviera. It's like those go those get lost because

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Speaker 3: of popularity. Ludwig is very popular, but he hasn't earned

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Speaker 3: it yet, and he will. He's so talented that we're

411
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Speaker 3: going to hear from Ludwig a lot over the years coming.

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Speaker 3: But this isn't a place where I'm trusting a guy

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Speaker 3: who hasn't seen the course, hasn't played the course under

414
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Speaker 3: these conditions, and isn't overly good on approach. He's been

415
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Speaker 3: terrible on approach, and that's for me. That's a big

416
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,040
Speaker 3: red flag in a place like this where you're gonna

417
00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 3: have to scramble or have to scratch and claw to

418
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Speaker 3: make pars. He's a really good birdie maker when the

419
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 3: conditions are right, but that's just because the short game

420
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Speaker 3: is good and off the tee is really good. He

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Speaker 3: has the chops to do it. I just don't trust

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Speaker 3: him at that number.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, now one guy, I am good to bet here.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you a preview on my betting card, Sam Burns,

425
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,640
Speaker 1: because he's coming in really hot. He's had three top

426
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Speaker 1: ten finishes in the last four weeks, so he has

427
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:57,160
Speaker 1: been in fantastic form. He's missed his missed the cut

428
00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:01,119
Speaker 1: in his last two appearances at the Genesis Bought. He

429
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Speaker 1: did finish third here in twenty twenty one. How do

430
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Speaker 1: you feel about Sam Burns this week?

431
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Speaker 3: He's a wild card. He's got every bit. I think

432
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Speaker 3: if the conditions stay pretty calm, he's going to stay

433
00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 3: in contention because especially putting on Poana Like. That's the

434
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 3: reason he's been so hot is this guy hasn't missed

435
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 3: any putts. He's been making everything and I think it's

436
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,680
Speaker 3: all around games strong enough. I don't know if he's

437
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:30,040
Speaker 3: strong enough off the tee to really win here, but

438
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:32,679
Speaker 3: I mean recent form does play a part. When you're

439
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,720
Speaker 3: playing a course this tough, you have to be able

440
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 3: to maximize opportunities. So I think I want to play

441
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,120
Speaker 3: Sam Burns, but I'm also a little bit leery about

442
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 3: his his track record here being checkered at best.

443
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:46,679
Speaker 2: Checker is a good way to describe it.

444
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 3: Yes, if he keeps the hot putter alive, then yes,

445
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 3: he can absolutely make noise here.

446
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: And by the way, whether last I checked, they're not

447
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 1: expecting much wind. It's going to be really light like

448
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 1: five miles an hour basically every day. Temperatures in the

449
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 1: low to upper sixties or mid to upper sixties. And yeah, exactly,

450
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:10,160
Speaker 1: and then maybe a chance of rain though beginning late

451
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 1: Saturday and into Sunday. Hopefully we don't get the final

452
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:17,440
Speaker 1: round delayed at all. We will get to more odds

453
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 1: in a minute, but first, if you want a chance

454
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 1: to win a free one year premium Betting Pro subscription,

455
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 1: you need to subscribe to the Betting pros YouTube channel

456
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 1: right now comment below on this video and that's it.

457
00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:32,919
Speaker 1: We will be announcing a winner right here on the channel,

458
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 1: so be sure to turn on those notifications so you

459
00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:38,160
Speaker 1: can be alerted when new episodes are up and claim

460
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 1: your prize. All right, We have a large and interesting

461
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 1: group at thirty five to one odds this week. Bo Wyndham, Clark,

462
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 1: Will xalatoris Sahithagala, Matt Fitzpatrick and Cameron Young. Then we've

463
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,920
Speaker 1: got Tom Kim at forty five to one, Sung JM.

464
00:24:57,280 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 1: Jason Day, and JT. Postin at fifty to one. See

465
00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 1: what Kim, Russell Henley and Nikolai Hogard at plus fifty

466
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 1: five hundred and Keegan Bradley, Eric Cole and Ben On

467
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: at sixty to one.

468
00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 2: Plus six thousand. So anyone from this group you.

469
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 3: Like a couple guys here. Cam Young is interesting because

470
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 3: what we've looked at over the last couple of years

471
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 3: is Cam Young can't finish Cam Young. His putter is

472
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 3: atrocious at times, so we're talking some of the worst

473
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 3: putting I've ever seen, vomit worthy, just horrible putting stroke.

474
00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:37,240
Speaker 3: But last twenty four rounds on Poema Greens, he's number

475
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 3: six in this field and that shot off alarms in

476
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,160
Speaker 3: my head, like WHOA did this guy work his butt

477
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,919
Speaker 3: off and get something figured out? Because if that's the case,

478
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,360
Speaker 3: this guy's ball striking from Tita Green is as good

479
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 3: as it gets and if he can stay out of

480
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 3: trouble here, there's going to be some noise made because

481
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 3: nobody scores a tougher courses better than Cam Young when

482
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 3: he's rolling and he's making so puts. This is a

483
00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:04,679
Speaker 3: scary guy. And for thirty to one odds or thirty

484
00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:07,680
Speaker 3: five where he's sitting right now, I love that line

485
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,040
Speaker 3: for him because nobody's really going to be talking about him.

486
00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:15,280
Speaker 3: He hasn't really accomplished anything. Six runner up finishes, six

487
00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 3: runner up finishes. This guy needs to win something fierce.

488
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 3: This is a kind of place in a limited field

489
00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:24,119
Speaker 3: event where he can win, and he definitely has the

490
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 3: talent to do it. The other guy I'm looking at

491
00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 3: is Nikolai Hoygard. This guy's short game is unreal, unreal

492
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 3: short game off the tea, he's outstanding. Give me that line.

493
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,879
Speaker 3: Fifty five I think is the last line I've checked.

494
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 3: Nikolai Hoygard fifty five to one. I'm looking at plus

495
00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 3: four fifty to make top ten. That's an outstanding opportunity

496
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 3: to score big from the books here. This guy's got

497
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:54,000
Speaker 3: tons of talent for a twenty two year old. You're

498
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 3: talking about Ludvigobert. This guy's just as good. But nobody's

499
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:00,400
Speaker 3: talking about Hoygar yet.

500
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 2: So I like it.

501
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,560
Speaker 1: You know, I'm on the hoy Guard bandwagon. Bo, So yeah,

502
00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 1: I mean he is making his debut at Riviera, but

503
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,119
Speaker 1: he has been in really good form lately his last

504
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:16,679
Speaker 1: three events seventh, second, thirty, first In Cameron Young, I

505
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 1: mean there's a nice merging of good form with course fit.

506
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 1: He's finished second and twentieth in his last two Genesis appearances,

507
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 1: and he's finished top ten in two of his last

508
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:29,159
Speaker 1: three events.

509
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 2: I kind of like.

510
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:34,080
Speaker 1: Wyndham Clark, like we know he can put poa. He

511
00:27:34,119 --> 00:27:38,160
Speaker 1: had that sixty on Pebble Beach a few weeks ago. Yeah,

512
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 1: and he's had two top twenties at Riviera in the

513
00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 1: last four years. I'm sort of intrigued by will Zelatorrespo.

514
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: In three previous trips to Riviera, he's finished fifteenth, twenty

515
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 1: six and third. And then, you know, we were kind

516
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 1: of waiting to see him maybe get back into decent

517
00:27:57,359 --> 00:28:01,919
Speaker 1: form before we were interested in wagering on him after

518
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:05,200
Speaker 1: the back surgery. While his last event, the Farmer's Insurance

519
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,199
Speaker 1: Open at Tory Pines, he finished thirteenth, so he was

520
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 1: around the leaderboard that week. So I'm intrigued by Zala Tauris.

521
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:18,440
Speaker 1: Let's talk about longer shots and long shots, bo, who

522
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,680
Speaker 1: do you like with odds of sixty five to one

523
00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:24,520
Speaker 1: or longer and any love for tournament host Tiger Woods

524
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 1: at one hundred and thirty to one.

525
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:31,800
Speaker 3: Well, so with Tiger it's always exciting. We both kind

526
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:35,000
Speaker 3: of came up through the prime years of Tiger Woods,

527
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 3: just in the peak of golf enjoyment on TV. He's

528
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 3: an icon and this might be the first time in

529
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,800
Speaker 3: a long time we actually get fair odds on him

530
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 3: at one hundred and thirty to one. He's never won here.

531
00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,680
Speaker 3: He's never won here, and that should shock everybody. He

532
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,840
Speaker 3: wanted Tory Pines eight times. He's never won at Riviera.

533
00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 3: So I'm not betting on Tiger Woods. It's as great

534
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,080
Speaker 3: of a story as it is. It's a fair line

535
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 3: for a reason. At the same time, I'm looking at

536
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:07,280
Speaker 3: a couple guys here that are really, really long shots.

537
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 3: The one guy that keeps popping up is the one

538
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 3: guy that I usually hate playing, but he is number

539
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,720
Speaker 3: nine in my model, and that's Luke List, another guy

540
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 3: who comes in where he's actually one of the worst

541
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 3: putters traditionally on tour. Last year he cut his putting strokes,

542
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 3: lost putting to break even, went from one hundred and

543
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 3: something to sixty something on tour. He's number five on

544
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 3: Poeanta Green's last twenty four rounds in this field. That's

545
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,800
Speaker 3: a big change. This guy went to a longer putter,

546
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,640
Speaker 3: more consistency. He's going out at one hundred and ten

547
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 3: to one. Luke List ball striking extraordinaire. Bertie making extraordinary.

548
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:53,880
Speaker 3: He annihilates par five's, he annihilates par fours. This guy

549
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 3: is if he can make some putts, if he can

550
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 3: stay where he's putting for Bertie and not putting for

551
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 3: knee knocking Pars, this guy can make some big noise

552
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 3: on a tough golf course. Another play that's similar to

553
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,880
Speaker 3: Cam Young, similar to Willie Z. I'm a huge willias

554
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 3: E fan. These guys are outstanding ball strikers that just

555
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,719
Speaker 3: have had a balky putter the last couple of years

556
00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 3: and are rounding the corner into something special with where

557
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,960
Speaker 3: their ball striking can shine. Luke List is right there

558
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:23,160
Speaker 3: in that same category.

559
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, he intrigues me now that you mentioned it, Bough,

560
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:27,360
Speaker 1: I might have to add him to the card. I

561
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:29,719
Speaker 1: didn't realize he's been putting so well on the poem,

562
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 1: but it does seem like on a course with a

563
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 1: lot of short par fives and long par fours. That

564
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:41,320
Speaker 1: is right up Luke list Sally. Kevin yu Bo is

565
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty to one. He's already had two

566
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 1: really nice showings in California this season, a tie for

567
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 1: third at the American Express and a tie for six

568
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 1: that Tory Pines. He missed the cut in Phoenix, but

569
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 1: he had kind of a bad draw, Like he was

570
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 1: one of the few guys who I think got his

571
00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 1: entire round in before the weather delay on Thursday, and

572
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 1: like the weather was not great before that weather delay,

573
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 1: and he was playing well until he had to complete

574
00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:10,600
Speaker 1: his second round on Saturday morning.

575
00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:12,520
Speaker 2: And then the wheels just kind of came off. So

576
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 2: I'm intrigued.

577
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 1: I feel like one hundred and fifty to one is

578
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:18,800
Speaker 1: a pretty good price for a guy whose form has

579
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 1: been pretty solid. Like I don't know if he fits

580
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:26,920
Speaker 1: the course that well, but yeah, didn't come out well

581
00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 1: in your.

582
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:31,480
Speaker 3: Model, almost towards the very bottom sixty first out of seventy,

583
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 3: mainly because he's got no short game, his short game

584
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 3: non existent, putting stroke awful. He's a stripe show. If

585
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 3: you want to just watch shot tracers all day, this

586
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:44,320
Speaker 3: guy's amazing to watch off the tee. On approach, he's

587
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 3: really solid. He's been playing out of his mind lately,

588
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 3: but if he misses the green, he's pretty much dead.

589
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 3: He's not good around the greens, he's not good scrambling,

590
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,520
Speaker 3: and he cannot putt. This is one of the worst

591
00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 3: putters on tour, which is unfortunate with how good he

592
00:31:59,960 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 3: is from Tina Green. I just can't see him excelling

593
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 3: at a place like Riviera with those chops he's got,

594
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 3: He's got a ways to go before he joins the

595
00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 3: ranks of all around players that do well here. That's

596
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 3: what it's going to demand, the full bag. It has

597
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,240
Speaker 3: got to be on point to win at Riviera. That's

598
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:18,200
Speaker 3: just a fact.

599
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 1: By the way, I got a backtrack to what you

600
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 1: said about Tiger Woods. It is it is kind of

601
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:26,000
Speaker 1: funny that he is hosting at this course where his

602
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 1: track record has been so spotty, went like, why isn't

603
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:29,320
Speaker 1: he hosting a.

604
00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 3: Sponsa in Genesis for years though it's the last sponsors exemption.

605
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 1: It's true, it's all about the sponsors, I guess, and

606
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 1: not so much about the venue. But you know, if

607
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 1: it were about the venue, he'd be hosting at bay

608
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 1: Hill or Tory Pines or one of these places where

609
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:49,720
Speaker 1: he's just dominated over the years. All right, bo, what

610
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 1: do you have in your betting card as of now?

611
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 3: So I have Rory ten to one, I have Max

612
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 3: Hoom at eighteen to one, Cameron Young thirty to one,

613
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 3: Nikolai Hoygard fifty five one, and Luke List at one

614
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:04,120
Speaker 3: hundred and ten to one. I'm throwing top five bets

615
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 3: on Rory to double up a top ten bet on

616
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:10,720
Speaker 3: Homa and Cam and a top twenty kicker with Luke List.

617
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna have to add List and Hoyguard,

618
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 1: I think, especially since since Hoyguard came out well in

619
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 1: your model. I wasn't sure about that given his non

620
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 1: existent track record here. But I also have Maxhoma outright

621
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 1: at plus eighteen hundred, Sam Burns outright at plus two thousand,

622
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 1: Adam Scott, who we haven't mentioned, by the way, and

623
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:39,160
Speaker 1: Adam Scott's let's see, well we'll talk about him in

624
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 1: a minute. Actually, but i've got Adam Scott top five.

625
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 1: I'm not taking him outright. I've got him top five

626
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:50,400
Speaker 1: at plus six hundred. So Cameron Young outright at plus

627
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:54,479
Speaker 1: three thousand and top five at plus six point fifty.

628
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 1: I've got Wyndham Clark outright at plus four thousand, and

629
00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 1: I do have a very small outright bet on Kevin.

630
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:05,160
Speaker 1: You one hundred and fifty to one, all right, and

631
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 1: it is time for our one and done picks.

632
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 2: Bo.

633
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,120
Speaker 1: Last week I took Kadeki Matsuyama, who finished tied for

634
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 1: twenty seconds, good for eighty two, one hundred and thirty

635
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:18,360
Speaker 1: three dollars. You had Bojastler, who finished tied for forty first,

636
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 1: good for thirty thousand, four hundred and four dollars. Not

637
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 1: a lot of blood in Phoenix for us last.

638
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:25,840
Speaker 3: Week, guys, he made the cut.

639
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 2: I chipped away.

640
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,960
Speaker 1: I took a very small fragment out of your enormous

641
00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 1: lead in our season long competition. I'm up first this

642
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,760
Speaker 1: week and I am going to take the aforementioned Adam Scott,

643
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 1: the smooth swinging Australian. He is one win and five

644
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:47,760
Speaker 1: top eleven finishes in his last eight trips to Riviera.

645
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:51,680
Speaker 1: He just he manages this course so well and his

646
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 1: ball striking is such a good fit for this place.

647
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 1: He's also in good form. He's finished top ten in

648
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:01,839
Speaker 1: three of his last four events. So nice combination of

649
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 1: course fit and recent form. Who are you taking this

650
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:05,319
Speaker 1: week ball?

651
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 3: So it's a nice that's a really nice, solid pick.

652
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 3: I love Adam Scott here, I don't love him enough

653
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:14,840
Speaker 3: to make that my one and done at a place

654
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:16,879
Speaker 3: like Rivier. And I think I teased it a couple

655
00:35:16,920 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 3: of weeks ago when you took Max home at Pebble Beach,

656
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 3: I said I was going to save him for Rivier

657
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 3: because this guy just owns the place. He's a top

658
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 3: He's made four top tens in a row now, including

659
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:33,600
Speaker 3: the championship in twenty twenty one. Max Homa, with the

660
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 3: way he puts on poana, with his masterful short game

661
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 3: and it's off the tea game as strong as it is,

662
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 3: He's the perfect fit for Rivier. And I wouldn't see

663
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:45,080
Speaker 3: it anither way because I don't picture him really dominating

664
00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:47,680
Speaker 3: any majors. I don't see Max Hoolm as a multi

665
00:35:47,760 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 3: major winner in the future. But he just loves it

666
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:52,960
Speaker 3: here and so it would be crazy for me to

667
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:55,360
Speaker 3: say I'm going to play maxhom at Riviera and not

668
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 3: do it. That's my pick.

669
00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:59,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, And when I took Homa at Pebble a few

670
00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 1: weeks ago, like I was keeping Adam Scott in mind

671
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,440
Speaker 1: as like knowing how well he's played this course. So

672
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:08,880
Speaker 1: I do think those are like the two chalk picks

673
00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:10,400
Speaker 1: for one and done chance.

674
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, that is the way to go.

675
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:14,759
Speaker 1: If you're in a one and done, take either Max

676
00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 1: Helma or Adam Scott, and that is going to do it.

677
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:20,200
Speaker 1: For this week's show, I want to thank our sponsor,

678
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:24,400
Speaker 1: Underdog Fantasy. Sign up for Underdog with the promo code

679
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:27,400
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680
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:30,120
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681
00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:32,520
Speaker 1: in the lobby, and please come join Bow and I

682
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:36,800
Speaker 1: again next week when we will be previewing the Mexico Open.

683
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 2: Until then, so long everyone. Thanks for listening to the

684
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:41,440
Speaker 2: Betting Pros podcast.

685
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:44,000
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686
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:46,960
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

687
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting

688
00:36:50,120 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

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00:36:53,960 --> 00:37:09,600
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