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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information. Wouldn't

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Speaker 1: you agree?

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Speaker 2: Five five dollars?

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Speaker 3: This is a ratable lep how they track.

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Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to.

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Speaker 2: Be hum my goodness, mispeak, prone, the best, relentless, refusing

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Speaker 2: to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless.

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Speaker 3: What's up, everybody?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 3: In Fantasy ebs harm, your host, Chris Raybon.

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Speaker 2: NFL Conference championships are here, as always here to break

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Speaker 2: it down with me, one of the most accurate rankers

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Speaker 2: in the game, year after year, another top three finish

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Speaker 2: this year. The ads Baker Sean Turner Sean happy championship week.

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Speaker 1: How's it going Yeah, Happy championship week. It's going good.

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Speaker 1: Had another good weekend here. I actually had a couple

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Speaker 1: of props to both hit in college football Championship last night.

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Speaker 1: Not sure if you caught that game, but Jeremiah Smith,

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Speaker 1: already in the nflready wide receiver at nineteen years old,

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Speaker 1: had a good game. I don't even think he's draft

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Speaker 1: eligible in twenty twenty seven, but I think he'll be

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Speaker 1: like potentially the first overall pick. So fun watching you know,

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Speaker 1: a player a few years out, still knowing you know

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Speaker 1: he's going to be a stud at the next level.

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Speaker 1: But did you catch any of that game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I got a little bit of it. You know.

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Speaker 2: I've been watching these college football playoffs this year actually

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Speaker 2: because I don't know, I just I kind of.

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Speaker 3: Like this, like expanded few.

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Speaker 2: I know some people got some beef with it tradition,

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Speaker 2: I get it. But it's been quite cool to see

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Speaker 2: these matchups. But yeah, man, we will get into our

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Speaker 2: top five like we always do.

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Speaker 3: There's only for.

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Speaker 2: Some of these, but we'll we'll throw out our top

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Speaker 2: guys at each physician guys were high and low on.

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Speaker 3: Give out some props here, and uh yeah, let's get

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Speaker 3: into it.

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Speaker 2: Quick reminder, all of our fantasy football content is available

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Speaker 2: over at Fantasy labs dot com, and you can find

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Speaker 2: our award winning rankings projections more at Fantasy labs dot com.

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Speaker 2: All right, sean top four quarterbacks for the conference championship

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Speaker 2: week that you got the order for.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, actually I actually do have a top five. It's

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Jaden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Marcus Mariotta,

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Speaker 1: who I'm projecting for point three rusher attempts. He's been

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Speaker 1: getting like a carry a game, although after last week,

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Speaker 1: I might have to set that to zero.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean point three rush of teps? Is he

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Speaker 3: gonna fumble those? Point three? Is it gonna be a

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Speaker 3: back back?

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Speaker 1: I do have a fumbling projection, So yeah, there is

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Speaker 1: a chance, but again after last week, maybe I need

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Speaker 1: to boost the fumbling odds.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that was the only thing that could

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Speaker 2: stop watch since in last week. Yeah, I got yeah,

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Speaker 2: Allen Hurts, Daniels, Mahomes and yeah, I mean Mariota would

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Speaker 2: be the fifth, but we're not going to even.

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Speaker 3: We're not do him the time of day here. Who

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Speaker 3: you hireing?

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Speaker 1: I'm high on the other Commander's quarterback Jayden Daniels. He's

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Speaker 1: my QB two. But you know, he's just playing at

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Speaker 1: a high level right now through for nearly through for

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Speaker 1: three hundred yards against the Lions last week with two

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Speaker 1: ninety nine two touchdowns, also rush for fifty one yards.

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Speaker 1: You know, this is a brutal matchup here against Eagles,

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Speaker 1: but his rushing ability allows him to overcome it. Really

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Speaker 1: and we saw that in Week sixteen. He just had

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Speaker 1: a monster game two hundred and fifty eight yards, five touchdowns,

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Speaker 1: rush for eighty one yards, So he's already proven. You know,

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Speaker 1: he could produce against this Eagles defense. So I'm high

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Speaker 1: on him this week. He's my QB two, just under

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it is.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of crazy how he goes from like this

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Speaker 2: Lions matchup to this Eagles matchup. But I think that

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Speaker 2: that was the thing last week, you kind of we

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Speaker 2: kind of look at it and say, did we just

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Speaker 2: forget the Lions were like terrible on defense because of

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Speaker 2: one Sam Darnold's performance, And sure enough they show their colors.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, I agree with a guy I

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Speaker 2: think I'm highest on as Daniels, but another guy I'll

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Speaker 2: talk about real quick, as Mahomes. I think Mahomes is

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Speaker 2: interesting because this new quick game that they're using in

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Speaker 2: Kansas City, I could see him putting up good numbers

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Speaker 2: against a team like Buffalo plays a lot of zone

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Speaker 2: coverage and whatnot. So I know Mahomes is kind of

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Speaker 2: buried as that QB four in the rankings, and he

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Speaker 2: you know, he should be not offering as much rushing

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Speaker 2: upside as the other three, but you know, you always

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Speaker 2: know the Chiefs kind of turn it up at this

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Speaker 2: time of year, and so I wouldn't be surprised to

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Speaker 2: see a big, big game for Mahomes, who you know,

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Speaker 2: wasn't really in a trailing game script this week against Houston,

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Speaker 2: but could be against Buffalo. So he's he's a guy

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Speaker 2: I do expect to play a little better. I know

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Speaker 2: you were hiring him last week, but every really do

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Speaker 2: like that that quick that they're they're playing within Kansas City?

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Speaker 3: All right, who are you LOA?

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Speaker 1: I'm low on Jalen Hurts. He actually opens the week

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Speaker 1: as my QB four with only four teams playing this week. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I opened the week high on Mahomes, but I almost

105
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Speaker 1: made his underpassing yards my official prop last week. Just

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Speaker 1: funny how the week evolves, Like I was into his

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Speaker 1: rushing upside, but towards the end of the week, I

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Speaker 1: think we were kind of on the same page, Like

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Speaker 1: I didn't think the Texans were going to be able

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Speaker 1: to keep it close, so I lowered his passing yard

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Speaker 1: projection a bit. But yeah, I'm low on Hurts to

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Speaker 1: open the week. You know, it looked like he injured

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Speaker 1: his knee last week seems to be fairly minor. I

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Speaker 1: don't think he's missed any practice time yet, but those

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Speaker 1: things can linger where you know, it could compromise his

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Speaker 1: rushing ability somewhat, where he might scramble less. We don't

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Speaker 1: know yet, but either way, I think the Eagles are

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Speaker 1: probably gonna lean on Saque heavily here. So you know,

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Speaker 1: my projections for Hurts is just a bit lower this week.

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Speaker 1: You know, he's still well. He still would have been

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Speaker 1: a top five, top ten option on normal week obviously,

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Speaker 1: but again I lowered as rushing upside a bit. And

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Speaker 1: you know, I'm only projecting him around one hundred and

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Speaker 1: ninety passing yards. This is a very run heavy offense.

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Speaker 1: So having said that, you know, he's just slightly below

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Speaker 1: Mahomes for me this week. So he opens up as

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Speaker 1: my Q before.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I can see that.

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Speaker 2: Like that's I mean, he's I'm pretty much on line

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Speaker 2: with market, but I could you know, like if Jaymen hurts,

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Speaker 2: they just don't have to throw it that much. And

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Speaker 2: they haven't been, you know, this could be. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Washington has been kind of doing their thing as an underdog,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, I wouldn't expect an out of you know,

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Speaker 2: out of the norm pass attempt volume for Hurts, and

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Speaker 2: if that's not the case, then yeah, you're going to

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Speaker 2: be struggling, especially if you have Homes and Alan kind

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Speaker 2: of going back and forth. It's gonna be hot. There

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Speaker 2: is a path here to Hurts finishing as that worth quarterback,

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Speaker 2: as that worst quarterback by by a lot too.

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Speaker 3: All right, what are we doing for the prop?

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Speaker 1: So I have a fun one. What will be greater

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Speaker 1: if they end up tying the house takes all the money.

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Speaker 1: I can't make anybody a favorite on this, but what

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Speaker 1: will be greater Jalen Hurts pass attempts or Patrick Mahomes completions,

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Speaker 1: Which is kind of crazy to have that as a

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Speaker 1: coin flip, but that's what I got.

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Speaker 3: Ooh, yeah, that is a good one.

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Speaker 1: You're just saying how Hurts doesn't have to throw much,

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Speaker 1: and you know Mahomes is just dumping it off.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna go.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go it Hurts attempts only because I think

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Speaker 2: there's some added upside in the in the sense that

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Speaker 2: you know, the Eagles are favorites if they they slip up,

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Speaker 2: you know, there's a chance for that, whereas Mahomes, we

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Speaker 2: kind of already know what we're doing with him.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm gonna go.

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Speaker 2: It hurts, but there's a good like Mahomes could blow

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Speaker 2: them out of the water if in the right game.

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Speaker 2: Script too, Yeah, dangerous.

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Speaker 1: But do you have an opinion yet on that game

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Speaker 1: with the spread? Like, are you going with the Bills

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs?

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Speaker 3: I don't.

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Speaker 2: I'm not betting against Patrick Mahomes, and I think the

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Speaker 2: Bills are. I think the Bills are the better team,

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Speaker 2: but I'm almost certainly not bet against Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 1: Like it's just right.

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Speaker 3: We every year there's like, you know, try to talk

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Speaker 3: yourself into.

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Speaker 2: Like why you should or like why the Chiefs don't

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Speaker 2: aren't quite as good as the opponent, and so yeah, yeah, no,

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Speaker 2: you just.

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Speaker 1: Can't get over the Gay Davis game PTSD. So I'm

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Speaker 1: on that one.

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Speaker 2: I mean, but it's like he doesn't he's every year

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Speaker 2: he goes he's been in the league, he's gone to

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Speaker 2: at least the championship pretty much every year he started.

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Speaker 2: I guess just it's tough to bet against him. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, no, that's a good line. Yeah, I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go hurts, just because I think there's more upside for

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Speaker 2: the Eagles to slip up.

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Speaker 3: All right, running back top five?

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Speaker 1: We got, I got Barkley and then maybe the single

185
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Speaker 1: biggest drop off I've ever seen between two players, James Cook,

186
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Speaker 1: Austin Eckler, Brian Robinson Junior, and Kareem Hunt. What a

187
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Speaker 1: hell of a top five?

188
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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, guy Barkley, Cook, Robinson, Hunt, Eckler.

189
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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's not quite we respected.

190
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Speaker 2: I don't think it's part of the year, but I mean, yeah,

191
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Speaker 2: is there anyone to be high on besides Barkley?

192
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Speaker 1: No, I thought it'd be fun to talk about him.

193
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Speaker 1: I mean I could have been high on Austin Eckler

194
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Speaker 1: for the third straight week. But I think it's just

195
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Speaker 1: going to be more fun to talk about Barkley real quick,

196
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Speaker 1: because you know, it is, you know, the conference championship.

197
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Speaker 1: So usually it's only top end defenses left. But he's

198
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Speaker 1: facing a Commander's defense that ranks you know, twenty six

199
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Speaker 1: and DBA against the run, He's gonna play nearly every snap.

200
00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:43,160
Speaker 1: I need to go back and watch the game, but

201
00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:46,600
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Gainwell's two touches came when Barkley had

202
00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:49,120
Speaker 1: to take himself out of the game. I think he yeeaked.

203
00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:52,840
Speaker 1: His Lakers are, like, I wonder if Gainwell would have

204
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Speaker 1: even seen a touch if Barkley didn't get banged up there.

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Speaker 1: But he should see pretty much every snap here. So

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Speaker 1: I'm project damn close to one hundred and thirty rushing

207
00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:04,520
Speaker 1: yards in the markets right line there. I don't know.

208
00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:07,520
Speaker 1: The books probably can't even set his prop high enough

209
00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,200
Speaker 1: right now, because whatever they said it at, I'm sure

210
00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:12,400
Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the action is going to be

211
00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:14,839
Speaker 1: on the over. I'm not going to be betting on

212
00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:17,880
Speaker 1: his under you know, pushing on an official plane is under.

213
00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:21,080
Speaker 1: So they can't set it high enough. So he's so

214
00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,760
Speaker 1: far ahead of James Cook my RB two. If you

215
00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:27,199
Speaker 1: were to double James cook projection, it still would be

216
00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:30,959
Speaker 1: less than Barkley. So this is just an insane week

217
00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:35,160
Speaker 1: where just it's just Barkley dominating the running back rank.

218
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Speaker 1: So I can't really mention anybody other than him, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think.

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Speaker 2: I mean the only thing that makes it interesting is,

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Speaker 2: you know, Washington has kind of done its thing as

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Speaker 2: an underdog all years. If you know, at what point

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Speaker 2: does Philly stop running right like at what point, like

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Speaker 2: how many scores down? Because that's the one thing about

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Speaker 2: Washington we know, we know that they can they can

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Speaker 2: make these favorites of Koto Shoe sometimes. I mean, what

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Speaker 2: like if Philly goes in the halftime down ten, like

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Speaker 2: does that do you think, like what is the point

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Speaker 2: at which Philly like Barkley's attempts to start materially declining.

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Speaker 3: Do you think, like what school.

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Speaker 1: Maybe like fourteen plus or like once you get to

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Speaker 1: three scores. But if they're down ten, you better believe

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Speaker 1: they're going to just try to get Barkley going. So,

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Speaker 1: uh yeah, it would take a lot. But yeah, that's

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Speaker 1: a good point. I mean, the Commanders are aggressive, They're

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Speaker 1: gonna be going for it. They're gonna be playing like

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Speaker 1: an underdog so they can get out to Lee like

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Speaker 1: we saw against the Lions. So that's not without the question.

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Speaker 1: But I think it would take a lot for the

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Speaker 1: Eagles to abandon you know, feeding Barkley.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's I mean this is and then James Cook

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Speaker 2: it's like, you know it like we've seen this in

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Speaker 2: the regular season where it's hard to even trust him

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Speaker 2: from week to week as well. So I mean, yeah,

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Speaker 2: there could be a massive, massive drop off between Barkley

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Speaker 2: and Cook, but that, yeah, Barkley's the guy. I'm high,

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Speaker 2: and I don't really think there's need to talk about

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Speaker 2: anyone else.

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Speaker 3: Who are you low on?

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna pick Isaiah Pacheco this week. You know, if

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Speaker 1: I would have just faded every single angle I was

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Speaker 1: talking about the Chiefs running backs, I would have gone

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Speaker 1: like five and one, you know, ended up on the

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Speaker 1: one that lost. What can you do? But you know,

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Speaker 1: once again, like you know, Pacheco's usage bottomed out last week.

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Speaker 1: His role, you know is he's seeing more playing time

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Speaker 1: on early downs when the Chiefs are going to be

258
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Speaker 1: more pass heavy. Then Samaj p Ryan comes in on

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Speaker 1: you know, third downs and the two minute offense if

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Speaker 1: they get the ball, and then Kaream Hunt's going to

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Speaker 1: be the closer if the Chiefs get up and go

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Speaker 1: and run heavy mode. So there's not really a game

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Speaker 1: script or path for Pacheco to really hit value right

264
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Speaker 1: now other than just breaking a long run at this point.

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Speaker 1: So I'm very low on pa Checko. You know, just

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Speaker 1: not much rushing upside, not much passing upside. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: he's my RB six this week. But again, like I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna have to find a way to fade one of

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Speaker 1: these chiefs running backs. I just hope I can get

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Speaker 1: it right this week.

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Speaker 2: You might you might just get like you said, you

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Speaker 2: want to fade all of them, because I think it's

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Speaker 2: really every week, I feel like the market just starts

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Speaker 2: too high on pa Checko. And it's like if you

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Speaker 2: watch the games, I get it because it's like it's

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Speaker 2: you're kind of you're trying to take out the randomness,

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Speaker 2: which is like all the down weirdness. So Pacheco tends

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Speaker 2: to get these carries on like first and ten, second

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Speaker 2: and you know, second and seven, but it seems to

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Speaker 2: like after maybe like six of those, like once you

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Speaker 2: get to the second half, it's like he's not even

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Speaker 2: getting those anymore. It's it's kind of just like, all right,

283
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Speaker 2: if he didn't break a run in his first like

284
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Speaker 2: six seven carries, he's gonna be wearing that that trench

285
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Speaker 2: coat on the on the sideline, just waiting to get

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Speaker 2: in the game.

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Speaker 3: And Karrie Hunt's gonna be there just chugging and churning.

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Speaker 1: Yea.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, that that was a.

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Speaker 2: Rough beat because he was he was getting bottled up

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Speaker 2: all game and then it was like two straight runs.

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Speaker 2: I think he got he broke off for. But I

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Speaker 2: think that's why they like Kareem Hunt. I guess you know,

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Speaker 2: he's like.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, the grinder.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's their like if he's there, are for sure

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Speaker 1: if they It's almost like if they didn't have Cream Hunt,

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Speaker 1: it'd be Carson Steele out there getting those carries, like

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Speaker 1: it wouldn't be Pacheco.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Pachecko has been struggling.

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Speaker 2: I mean since he's come back, he really hasn't had

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Speaker 2: that same efficiency that you know we're used to. He's

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Speaker 2: never been a great goal ye back, so it's not

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Speaker 2: surprising that Hunting there for those. And then he's never

305
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Speaker 2: been a great pass protector, so it's not surprising p

306
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Speaker 2: Ryan's in there for those. So yeah, it's just one

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00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,840
Speaker 2: of those weird spots where you know, I mean if

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs, if the Chiefs end up playing two more games,

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Speaker 2: one of these two, we might see if pa Checko

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Speaker 2: just random like outburst, But if they get knocked out

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Speaker 2: in the championships, yeah, it's yeah, I don't know if

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Speaker 2: that probably will mean that he didn't have a good game,

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Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 3: I'll mention one other guy, Ray Davis.

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Speaker 2: I know he got the score in the Baltimore game,

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Speaker 2: but still kind of keeping with the trend of this

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Speaker 2: backfield where Ty Johnson is the RB two. Ty Johnson

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Speaker 2: with twenty one snaps to Ray Davis's and that was

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Speaker 2: behind James Cooks thirty two. So now you're playing the

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Speaker 2: Kansas City Chiefs. I think this still sets up for

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Speaker 2: a little more of a TDI Johnson game.

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Speaker 3: The Chiefs have been really.

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Speaker 2: Strong against you know, the traditional run game, inside runs

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Speaker 2: and whatnot, so I wouldn't kind of chase Ray Davis here.

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Speaker 2: I know he was coming off the concussion, could see

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Speaker 2: some more work this week. But we've now seen pretty

327
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Speaker 2: much basically the last three four, five meaningful games for

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Speaker 2: the Buffalo Bills, it's been Todd Johnson playing ahead of Davis.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I don't really trust him, all right, So

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Speaker 3: let's go prop here.

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Speaker 2: I think we got to go back to this Kansas

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Speaker 2: City Chiefs situation. Let's go, yeah, got to Yeah, it's

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Speaker 2: going for check over rushing yards.

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Speaker 3: Let's go thirty two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Oh, looking to fade him. So I'm gonna start with

336
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Speaker 1: the under there. Let me just double check you said

337
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Speaker 1: thirty two and a half. Damn. Yeah, I'm right there.

338
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Speaker 1: I feel like looking at my projection for him, I

339
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Speaker 1: think I'm I'm still being a little too aggressive, so

340
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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the under.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's kind of like an eight carried eight carried

342
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Speaker 2: type of situation.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's kind of what he's tops.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's I think he's had a couple of

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00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:19,440
Speaker 2: games where he's been over that, but it's been you know,

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Speaker 2: it's been like those they were like in control of

347
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Speaker 2: the game, which doesn't really project to be the outcome.

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Speaker 3: Yeah stuff.

349
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Speaker 1: Yeah, and the Bill's run defense is pretty good if

350
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Speaker 1: you look at numbers, but they give up. They give

351
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Speaker 1: up some like explosive runs and can be leaky, so

352
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Speaker 1: I don't respect them that much. So he could you

353
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Speaker 1: can't imagine he could break off the long run or

354
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Speaker 1: something like that, but I'll still bet against it. He

355
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Speaker 1: just hasn't looked right. Yeah.

356
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Speaker 2: No, his efficiency numbers are way down since since returning

357
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Speaker 2: from that injury. Looking for weekly projections from me and

358
00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 2: Sean Kerner, the only place you'll find them is a

359
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Speaker 3: Receiver top five? Who you got?

370
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Speaker 1: I got Terry McLaurin, AJ Brown, Xavier Worthy, Cil Shakier,

371
00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:37,640
Speaker 1: and Devanta Smith that was not ready for that. That's

372
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Speaker 1: that's that's quite the top five there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I got Brown with Lauren Worthy, Smith and Shakira.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I mean it's because we got all these traded guys

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Speaker 2: and all these other like guys that just has no

377
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Speaker 2: idea what kind of work.

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Speaker 3: But who you hi on?

379
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Speaker 1: Uh, well, I'm high on Xavier Worthy. You know, he's

380
00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:00,560
Speaker 1: my wide receiver three to ope in the week. He's

381
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,680
Speaker 1: just continued to see solid usage down the stretch and

382
00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:07,480
Speaker 1: last week and you know, the Chiefs pass offense really

383
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:11,280
Speaker 1: just flowed through Travis Kelcey and Worthy. Last week, Worthy

384
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 1: ran around on eighty eight percent of mahomes dropback, so

385
00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:18,000
Speaker 1: a nice twenty one percent target rate. So in a

386
00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:20,080
Speaker 1: game that should be much more of a you know,

387
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,200
Speaker 1: pass heavy game script against the Bills, that's going to

388
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,280
Speaker 1: benefit him a ton. So yeah, I love his upside.

389
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:29,280
Speaker 1: Here opens week as my wife receiver three. Pretty much

390
00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 1: in line with his prop market though I haven't seen

391
00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,800
Speaker 1: his you know, touchdown odds, but if they're you know,

392
00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:37,960
Speaker 1: if they're over two to one again this week, I

393
00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:39,920
Speaker 1: love it. But you got to stopped at the one.

394
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Speaker 3: Oh my god. Oh yeah, right, he got schemed and

395
00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:44,400
Speaker 3: schemed a touchdown and just.

396
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Speaker 1: It was not a run or a pass.

397
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Speaker 3: It was like a push pass. I think it was

398
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,800
Speaker 3: a push pass. Yeah, but yes, his elbowing down right

399
00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:51,120
Speaker 3: the ones.

400
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:55,360
Speaker 2: Oh he's thinking about it, yeah yeah.

401
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,280
Speaker 1: And then it was just cream hunt run after that,

402
00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,399
Speaker 1: if I remember, Yeah, that was brutal, Yeah, just inches

403
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,640
Speaker 1: away from the touchdown. So yeah, again I'm in line

404
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:06,159
Speaker 1: with his his you know, yardage props, but it seems like,

405
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,040
Speaker 1: you know, the touchdown markets probably still offer of value.

406
00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:11,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, he's I mean, you know, it was it

407
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:13,520
Speaker 2: was interesting to see how they would kind of split

408
00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,119
Speaker 2: things up, and and it was kind of clear like

409
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:19,120
Speaker 2: it was it was a worthy in Kelsey because sometimes

410
00:19:19,359 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 2: you know, they've kind of spread spread the ball around,

411
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,679
Speaker 2: but we've seen in the playoffs some kind of condensed it.

412
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 2: We saw that last year around Kelsey and Rashie Rice,

413
00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:28,479
Speaker 2: and this year it seems like they kind of did

414
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,880
Speaker 2: it again, like regardless of you know, Hopkins and Brown

415
00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:32,440
Speaker 2: and all these guys. It was like, now we're getting

416
00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:34,520
Speaker 2: the ball to are the guys really wants to have

417
00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 2: the ball?

418
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 3: And that was worthy And Kelsey, I'm.

419
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Speaker 2: Hiring a Diami Brown again just because this is another

420
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:44,520
Speaker 2: matchup against Philly where a higher rate of man coverage

421
00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,240
Speaker 2: in the league average, so much tougher matchup this week.

422
00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,159
Speaker 2: But you know he's been covering on strong here and

423
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,119
Speaker 2: the key is not really his type of matchup. So

424
00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:56,879
Speaker 2: if Washington gets behind, which very possible, I think you're

425
00:19:56,920 --> 00:20:00,920
Speaker 2: going to see Diami Brown factor in. And even if

426
00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:03,720
Speaker 2: it's just a matter of the normal scheme going up

427
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 2: against this man coverage after Terry McLaurin, Diamie Brown's probably

428
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 2: that next guy up along with Arth, So yeah, like

429
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:14,159
Speaker 2: him yet again this week, he's wide receiver six for

430
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:16,440
Speaker 2: me after all these after that top five.

431
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Speaker 3: But it's a weird, like you said, weird week at

432
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Speaker 3: wide receiver.

433
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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, the Bills and Chiefs couldn't be two

434
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 2: higher teams kind of project. Speaking of which, who are

435
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:26,880
Speaker 2: you low on?

436
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:31,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm low on DeAndre Hopkins. Again, the Chiefs passcal

437
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:34,639
Speaker 1: offense really just flowed through Kelsey and Worthy. Last week,

438
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,879
Speaker 1: Hopkins and Hollywood Brown combined for zero catches. Yeah, I

439
00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 1: would say hopkins usage was a bit more concerning because

440
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:48,240
Speaker 1: he only ran around on forty of dropbacks. But yeah,

441
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,280
Speaker 1: again he'll benefit from you know, more pass heavy game

442
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:54,480
Speaker 1: script in theory against the Bills here. But either way,

443
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,679
Speaker 1: it's it's really tough to project him for more than

444
00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 1: three catches here, which is saying a lot. So just

445
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:05,560
Speaker 1: just based on the underlying usage. Brown is still trending up.

446
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 1: His playing time shot way up, whereas Hopkins went way down.

447
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 1: So you know, neither getting a catch was a huge concern,

448
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:16,040
Speaker 1: but I'm mo more concerned about Hopkins. So yeah, he's

449
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:19,520
Speaker 1: my wide receiver eight on a funky week where wide

450
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:23,159
Speaker 1: receiver rate's pretty low, but he is just over Mary Cooper,

451
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:25,560
Speaker 1: so he has that going for him. But yeah, I'm

452
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:27,160
Speaker 1: low on Hopkins this week.

453
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:32,439
Speaker 2: Yeah that's who I'm on, Marik Cooper. And you know

454
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:34,479
Speaker 2: we talk about this every week, Like, I mean, he

455
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,119
Speaker 2: if he didn't pop off last week, it's tough to

456
00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:38,840
Speaker 2: trust him because you know, he had the match up

457
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,720
Speaker 2: against Stevens where you know he could have that was

458
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:44,160
Speaker 2: a matchup that the Bills could have looked at and targeted.

459
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 2: But he's still playing right around half the snaps a

460
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 2: little under as well in terms of the passing game,

461
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 2: so it's clear they're not just kind of waiting for,

462
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:54,560
Speaker 2: you know, to unleash him or anything like. This is

463
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 2: just his role in the offense, similar to Hopkins in

464
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 2: Kansas City. So yeah, you know he played behind Coleman.

465
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,439
Speaker 2: You know, Shakir and Shakir and Shakira's you know those guys.

466
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:07,920
Speaker 2: At least Shakir is always going to be a little

467
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 2: bit more consistent. So now you're battling with Curtis Samuel

468
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,520
Speaker 2: and Mac Howins and whatnot.

469
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 3: It's it's just really tough to project for him.

470
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,080
Speaker 2: But and now you're going up against the Chiefs team

471
00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:21,399
Speaker 2: that has very good cornerbacks as well so, yeah, we

472
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 2: on Amari this week as usual.

473
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:26,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, pretty USU.

474
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 3: All right, all right, what are we doing for the proper?

475
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:32,639
Speaker 1: I got a fun one. This is another head to

476
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:36,040
Speaker 1: head battle kind of what we're talking about that. You know,

477
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:39,360
Speaker 1: the Chiefs and Bills wide receiver rooms are a nightmare

478
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,639
Speaker 1: to project. That was kind of the case going in

479
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 1: the season. We didn't really know who would emerge. But

480
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy and Khalil Shakir are the top dogs right now.

481
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:53,480
Speaker 1: So let's go with who's going to get more scrimmage yards,

482
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 1: So rushing plus receiving yards. Khalil Shakir were Worthy, and

483
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 1: A'll make Shakiir a half yard favorite Worthy, I go Worthy.

484
00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:09,159
Speaker 2: Because the difference is to me, is that the Chiefs

485
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 2: are actively trying to get the ball Worthy whereas the Bills. Yeah,

486
00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 2: like you know, it's just the Bills are just chugging along.

487
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,320
Speaker 2: We ain't got josh Awn a quarterback. Like they're just

488
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 2: haf to go lucky running offense. Man, Like whoever it

489
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:22,679
Speaker 2: is that gets the ball gets the ball, But like

490
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:24,760
Speaker 2: I don't, I don't see as much of a concerted

491
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 2: effort to get to boat. And it's also Kansas City

492
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:32,280
Speaker 2: is a like a man heavy defense because this was

493
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:34,440
Speaker 2: a straight up zone heavy squad. I know you and

494
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 2: I have been really high in Shakiir in some of

495
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,680
Speaker 2: those zone matchups earlier, like I think the Rams matchup

496
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 2: and but like against this one, it's I think it's

497
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 2: a little more any you know, anything goes for this

498
00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 2: those passing offense. So yeah, I'm gonna go Worthy here,

499
00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 2: just based on the eye test, Like what do you

500
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:50,800
Speaker 2: have aside from that week eighteen game, it was like

501
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 2: every week he's had at least four receptions for like

502
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 2: eighth straight games now or something like that. Right, So yeah,

503
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 2: like Shakir, he'll, he'll, he's pretty consistent, but you will

504
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,960
Speaker 2: see like that Ram them drop off and uh you know,

505
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 2: like there will be like a Curtis Samuel game instead

506
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,360
Speaker 2: or something. So like, uh yeah, based on what I've seen,

507
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:09,719
Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna lean Worthy here. But those are

508
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 2: the two like that that's a good line, and those

509
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 2: are two guys that are gonna be in a similar

510
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 2: similar projection space.

511
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 1: I think yeah, Worthy had that designed reverse that got

512
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,760
Speaker 1: sniffed out for minus dark, so that would be brtle,

513
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:24,840
Speaker 1: that would be brutal in this but he does get

514
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 1: those design rush attempts, so he's always, you know, a

515
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 1: threat to have an explosive rush as well. I think

516
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 1: Shakira has had a few rush stemps. He probably should

517
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 1: get more. I agree, like I think Shakiro is somebody

518
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:39,639
Speaker 1: that should probably try to force the ball to a

519
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,159
Speaker 1: little bit more. But yeah, Worthy's got that upside with

520
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:46,560
Speaker 1: the design rush or two a game. But yeah, I

521
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:48,639
Speaker 1: think I think in the market. I haven't looked at

522
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 1: the market yet, but I would be shocked if they're

523
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 1: like neck neck when it comes to total yards.

524
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, because I mean one of the things I think

525
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 2: Buffalo is trying to do and now you know, and

526
00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 2: I was right, like previewing the game from like a

527
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 2: betting perspective is like you know, I mean, I get

528
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 2: it why, like the market shifted toward Baltimore, Like it

529
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 2: makes sense they have that run game and that size

530
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 2: that could dictate terms.

531
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,640
Speaker 3: But I think one of the underlooked, overlooked.

532
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,600
Speaker 2: Advantages for Buffalo is that no one really knows what

533
00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 2: they're gonna do, right, Like no one knows how they're

534
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 2: gonna split up touches, no one knows how they're even

535
00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 2: gonna play, you know, what defensive formations, what offensive formations.

536
00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 3: Are they gonna go run heavy with sixth linemen?

537
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 2: Are they gonna go pass heavy and use Cooper and

538
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 2: all those guys you know, four wide? So I think

539
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,920
Speaker 2: Buffalo's kind of has that going for it where they're

540
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 2: purposely not trying to be have many tendencies, you know.

541
00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 2: I think that was kind of the point of getting

542
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 2: rid of of Diggs. So that's why I'm even less

543
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 2: confident in like the projection even for a guy like Shakir,

544
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 2: because we saw it like Buffalo's top offensive weapon is

545
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 2: what like James Cook, and I mean most of the

546
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,159
Speaker 2: year that he was one of the hardest guys to

547
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 2: project too, because it'd be like he'd go under his

548
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 2: touch projected touches but just score like double the amount

549
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,879
Speaker 2: of touchdowns he project and then you know, so, yeah,

550
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 2: this is quite quite the quite the matchup we have

551
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:11,200
Speaker 2: here with these these two teens. All right, tight end

552
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,200
Speaker 2: the top you can go five. We have top top

553
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:15,280
Speaker 2: five tight ends for this week.

554
00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 1: We got Travis Kelsey, Dallas Goddard, zach Ertz, Daltonton Cad

555
00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 1: and Noah.

556
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:28,400
Speaker 2: Gray, Kelsey, got Ertz, Kincaide and Dawson Knox baby nice.

557
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:32,600
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Well, I'm high in Kelsey. He's like way

558
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 1: in the lead is my tight end one. But I'm

559
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,920
Speaker 1: also showing under on his prop right now. Not gonna

560
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 1: not gonna bet on the under in a millionaires. Uh,

561
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 1: I could go up to eighty. I'm still not fading him.

562
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna be high on Dallas Goddard because you know,

563
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,800
Speaker 1: last week led the Eagles in receiving yards four catches

564
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 1: fifty six yards.

565
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:51,960
Speaker 3: A J.

566
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:54,800
Speaker 1: Brown continues to be you know, more of a decoy

567
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 1: because he's likely n one hundred percent with that knee injury.

568
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 1: But Goddard, I mean he ran around on nine of

569
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,520
Speaker 1: Hurts dropbacks last week. Granted that's not many dropbacks if

570
00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:08,640
Speaker 1: you think about it, but if you know, if hurts

571
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 1: knee is enough of an issue where he's gonna scramble

572
00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:15,640
Speaker 1: us throw the ball a little bit more, that that's

573
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 1: just going to be more Goddart targets. And like you said,

574
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,399
Speaker 1: the Commanders, it would not be the craziest thing for

575
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 1: the Commanders to get out to a bigger lead and

576
00:27:24,160 --> 00:27:26,520
Speaker 1: kind of force the Eagles into pass heavy game script.

577
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 1: So Goddard has multiple paths to having a great game here,

578
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 1: and the Commanders, you know, they're a plus matchup for

579
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 1: him as well. They rank twenty six d AWA against

580
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 1: tight ends, and this is a semi revenge game against

581
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 1: his former starter in zach Ertz. So I would, you know,

582
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,439
Speaker 1: mind if he balls out here against his former you know,

583
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:49,160
Speaker 1: eagle buddy. But yeah, I'm high on Godard this week.

584
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 1: He opens a week is my tight end two.

585
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,280
Speaker 3: Former his career cop lock.

586
00:27:55,359 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 1: Yeah exactly. He and Trey McBride have a history with him.

587
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:05,800
Speaker 2: Uh, I am high on I mean Dawson Knox just

588
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 2: you know, by default, because this is a similar situation

589
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 2: kind of shaping up in the Buffalo tight end room

590
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:15,480
Speaker 2: where you know, Kinkaid is. We think he's the guy,

591
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:18,480
Speaker 2: he's supposed to be the guy, but we can week out,

592
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 2: we see Dawson Knox kind of right there in terms

593
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:24,399
Speaker 2: of the of the snapcount, and so going up against

594
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,360
Speaker 2: Kansas City, they have been kind of weak against tight

595
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 2: ends here. You know, maybe they want Knoxes blocking yet again.

596
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 2: But Knox did play four more snaps then Kinkaid and

597
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: even one more in the passing game in that game

598
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 2: against Baltimore, So I know that was you know, there

599
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 2: was some snow there and that could have been, you know,

600
00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 2: reason to go a little heavier. But this is something

601
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 2: we've kind of seen consistently since kin K returned from

602
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 2: that injury, you know, later in the year. So I'm

603
00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:51,760
Speaker 2: gonna say that, you know, if there's somebody that's gonna

604
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 2: surprise us and maybe you know, put up a top two,

605
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 2: top three week, it's Dawson Knox because he's kind of

606
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,720
Speaker 2: getting I want to say star snaps but kind of

607
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 2: like one A one a kind of snaps. So yeah,

608
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,400
Speaker 2: I mean that's that's that's as much as I got.

609
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 2: But I mean, Jesus, like this this Buffalo team, like.

610
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 3: This is like who was it last year?

611
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:14,320
Speaker 2: The Patriots that were always tough to project that like

612
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 2: every single position, I think it was this is it

613
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 2: feels like that again.

614
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:19,720
Speaker 1: They were this year too.

615
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 3: Yeah that's true.

616
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:23,000
Speaker 1: Yeah the past couple of seasons.

617
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 2: No, I used to have k on Booty who would

618
00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 2: get like one hundred percents every week.

619
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm been outside of that. Remember, like Kendrick Bourne,

620
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 1: we were both showing like twenty yards of value and

621
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 1: we still know because it's like me feel good and.

622
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 2: Then Hunter Henry and the Hunter Henry went a wall

623
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 2: like right at the Fantasy Championships too after like, yeah.

624
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly both.

625
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 3: Buffalo is kind of setting up like that.

626
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:46,160
Speaker 2: So, yeah, knocks Knox is a guy I think for

627
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 2: surprise and uh, what about who you want?

628
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, Dalton Kid, And it's exactly what you just said

629
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 1: about Dawson Knox is why I'm low in Kincaid. But

630
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:58,720
Speaker 1: you know, there's only four teams playing this week and

631
00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:02,120
Speaker 1: he's my tight end four, which heading into the season

632
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 1: that you know, Kim Kaid's been kind of a disappointment

633
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:10,120
Speaker 1: because you know, it's it's really just been Alan targeting

634
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:13,760
Speaker 1: kil Shakir a Ton and then just spreading around to

635
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:16,120
Speaker 1: other pass catchers outside of that, where you know, King

636
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 1: Aid's probably his number two target, but he's just not

637
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:21,600
Speaker 1: getting a big enough piece of the pie. And like

638
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,880
Speaker 1: you mentioned, Dawson Knox actually ran one more route than

639
00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:26,959
Speaker 1: king Cave last week, so you know, he only ran

640
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 1: around on fifty two of Josh Allen's dropbacks, and Alan's

641
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 1: you know, getting a scramble at an't even higher rate.

642
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,280
Speaker 1: Now that we're in the playoffs, he's gonna be putting

643
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 1: his body on the line. So even if he drops

644
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 1: back to pass a bit more in this game, we

645
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 1: could see more scrambles, So it doesn't necessarily mean that

646
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 1: King Kaid's going to see a ton of targets. So

647
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 1: I'm projecting Kinkaid right around three catches here. So you know,

648
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,840
Speaker 1: that's kind of disappointing with Kinkaid, which we both were

649
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,560
Speaker 1: high on him heading into the season. But Alan's just

650
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 1: spreading the ball around too much for him to be,

651
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: you know, a high use. It's tight end like he

652
00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 1: could be.

653
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you can't knock it. They're having success

654
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 3: with that.

655
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:06,239
Speaker 2: Like I said, I think that's an advantage is that

656
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 2: it's hard to prepare for them in terms of you know,

657
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 2: you can't really say, Okay, we're gonna double this guy

658
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 2: or shade coverage this guy, or you don't even know

659
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 2: who's gonna be on the field, right you don't know exactly.

660
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,080
Speaker 2: Even Shakira I think tops out of like seventy percent,

661
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 2: you know a lot of weeks.

662
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:22,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, it's really really.

663
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:24,960
Speaker 1: Like not having a receiver where if they don't target

664
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 1: him ten plus times, it's like, oh, he's going to

665
00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 1: be pissed. They kind of wanted that where it's just

666
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 1: any given week, it could be any given guy. No

667
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 1: one's owed anything, and it's it's really hard for defenses

668
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: to prepare for that.

669
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm on Noah Gray kind of for the reason

670
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 2: of the Chiefs. You know, ever since they got Mark,

671
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 2: he's brown back.

672
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 3: It's the.

673
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 2: One to two personnel usage has been down a little bit.

674
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 2: And then you know, we saw Kelsey kind of pop

675
00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 2: off in the playoffs. I think that's, you know, kind

676
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 2: of what we have to expect. So Noah Gray taking

677
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:58,280
Speaker 2: a little bit more of a back seat, still had

678
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 2: a route on half to drop back, little under half

679
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:05,120
Speaker 2: the drop backs, So not a terrible usage day for him.

680
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:07,440
Speaker 2: But I just think that, you know, with Kelsey here

681
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:11,520
Speaker 2: and then with a more positive potentially negative gamescript excuse me,

682
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 2: in this matchup, you could see even less two tight

683
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 2: end usage because you'll probably see more of the three wides.

684
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, Noah Gray, he's been kind of trending down.

685
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 2: He had that that mid middle of the year swoon

686
00:32:22,560 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 2: where he was, you know, getting touchdowns every week.

687
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 3: That's not even really the norm for him.

688
00:32:26,160 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 2: But yeah, outside of it, maybe he'll be under into

689
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 2: undervalued in the touchdown market we gotta see. But in

690
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 2: terms of just raw you know, usage yardage and stuff,

691
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,960
Speaker 2: I think Gray is the guy that's trending down for me.

692
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 3: All right, tight end.

693
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 2: Prop gotta go Buffalo here. Uh, let's go Kincaid against Knox.

694
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 2: I'll make receiving yardage. I'll make Kinkaid the favorite by

695
00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:51,880
Speaker 2: twelve and a half.

696
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 1: That's that's good line. I'll have to lean Concaid here though.

697
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:58,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's conservative like Catade should beat it, but

698
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 2: he should.

699
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 1: But yeah, i'll take I'll take the points here, I'll

700
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 1: give the point yards. Yeah, I'm taking the favorite. Yeah,

701
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 1: good line, though, Right, there's no baits props up. Are

702
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 1: you doubling down?

703
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 3: Why? Why? So it's such an unnecessary task.

704
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 1: The last pass.

705
00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I know, they're like they didn't they could have

706
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 2: just run the like, oh my god, oh my god, ridiculous.

707
00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 1: That's kind the Kaream hunt prop loss on the final

708
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,520
Speaker 1: drive to just it's the worst, those like low yardage

709
00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:35,000
Speaker 1: ones where you're just the whole game, you're feeling good,

710
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 1: and then it's just like the last point.

711
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, but this is like who throws to

712
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 2: their twenty yard bomb to their back end of two scores.

713
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,200
Speaker 3: Yeah that was a little much, but yeah.

714
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 1: Fled a prop yet though they're they're worried, I would

715
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 1: say it's going to be like three and a half now, yeah,

716
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 1: a few yards.

717
00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, that's going to do it for us

718
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 2: here on the Fantasy Flex Conference Championship Week Player Projections episode.

719
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 2: Make sure to subscribe to the pod so you don't

720
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:11,200
Speaker 2: miss an episode. We will be back with our Touchdown

721
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:15,520
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722
00:34:15,560 --> 00:34:19,040
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723
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,520
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724
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725
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:27,239
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726
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:37,560
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727
00:34:32,160 --> 00:34:42,600
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