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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named best Betting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: Without further ado, that's what the game's all about.

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Speaker 3: All of a sudden, you feel like you can't miss.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna leave the people couldn't make that if you

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Speaker 2: try that to get absolutely.

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Speaker 3: Trying to.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm your host, Matt Moore.

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Speaker 4: Find me on Twitter at HP basketball. Make sure to rate,

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Speaker 4: review and subscribe, and make sure first before you anything else,

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Speaker 4: download our amazing app. You can track all your bets,

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Speaker 4: keep up the up to the second stats and figure

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Speaker 4: out when probabilities on all your bets. No if you

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Speaker 4: need to hedge. Complete coverage obviously of the big Game

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Speaker 4: this Sunday that the Chiefs are absolutely gonna win. Joining

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Speaker 4: me today on Today's NBA Buffet Brandon Anderson and Raheem Palmer. Brandon, First,

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Speaker 4: how are you.

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Speaker 2: I'm good. I'm ready for NBA tonight. I'm excited for

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Speaker 2: the super Bowl. It's a big a week.

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Speaker 4: Raheem, how are you?

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Speaker 3: I'm very excited.

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Speaker 5: We got some good bets tonight, so you know, it's

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Speaker 5: a great Wednesday and NBA.

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Speaker 3: Let's get too it all.

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Speaker 4: Right, let's get started with the mar Key event, our

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Speaker 4: Marquis event for this week. Is what we've learned through

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Speaker 4: about twenty five percent of the season about betting on

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Speaker 4: the NBA this season. This has been a weird season.

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Speaker 4: This has been a rough season. This has been pretty

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Speaker 4: brutal season all the way around. It's tough, I think,

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Speaker 4: to find consistent angles and to be able to trust

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Speaker 4: teams and their performances. I'm curious to know where you

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Speaker 4: guys have decided to go this season with your money. Raheem.

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Speaker 4: Let's start with you, because I know that you have

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Speaker 4: strong feelings about where you've been betting considering all the

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Speaker 4: craziness with COVID and Titan Skined and everything going on.

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Speaker 5: For me, I know I've reduced my volume on my

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Speaker 5: NBA sides, like I have no interest in really playing

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Speaker 5: a ton of NBA sides at this point, just because

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Speaker 5: I think the game is already swinging now with the

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Speaker 5: three point shot. But then you add all the uncertainty

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Speaker 5: with COVID, and I just think you know you have guys,

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Speaker 5: you know, being announced out five minutes for the game.

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Speaker 5: You have you know you have, you don't have a

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Speaker 5: lot of continuity. So I've been playing a lot more

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Speaker 5: totals just because I think, you know, at least with

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Speaker 5: my model, I know that these games are going to

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Speaker 5: play true to form. Like the other day I played

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Speaker 5: like I played the over in the Bulls game, Bulls

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Speaker 5: versus the Blazers over two thirty five, it went over

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Speaker 5: with ease, and the fact it was over two thirty two,

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Speaker 5: it went over with ease. But if you played the

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Speaker 5: side it was decided in the last five seconds of

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Speaker 5: the game, where you know, it's like I had the

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Speaker 5: Bulls as well, and the Bulls were up five with

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Speaker 5: eleven seconds to go, Dame Loler hits the three, you

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Speaker 5: got a stolen ball on it, and then he hits

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Speaker 5: another three, and your BET's done. So I think if

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Speaker 5: you play a lot more totals, they end up playing

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Speaker 5: true to form over the course of the game, and

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Speaker 5: they're not decided by one or two possessions. So that's

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Speaker 5: where I've been headed.

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Speaker 4: So I want to dig into that a little bit more.

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Speaker 4: So does your model account for player impact and the

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Speaker 4: total estimate.

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Speaker 5: It's mostly team impact, and then I make my manual

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Speaker 5: adjustments so I like that, like I am more.

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Speaker 4: This is like a big dividing point, and it's a

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Speaker 4: dividing point amongst our team because like our model the

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Speaker 4: Action Network has in our app is based off of

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Speaker 4: player projections. That's how fan plays, That's how Brian Meuirs plays,

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Speaker 4: and like, those guys are really successful. So I can't

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Speaker 4: knock it right like, but that's where a lot of

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Speaker 4: this comes from, is that they they all the numbers

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Speaker 4: are are based off of player impact. It's not about

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Speaker 4: the team performance, it's about the player impact. I have

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Speaker 4: a hard time reconcile on that because from my time

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Speaker 4: covering the in the league, there's a lot of times where

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Speaker 4: a team has an identity and that identity holds true

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Speaker 4: even if the guys are out, and even if key

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Speaker 4: guys are out. Now, like there are separations, right Like

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Speaker 4: if the Clippers don't have Kawhi and PG, they're missing

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Speaker 4: so much firepower. I don't want to play a total there,

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Speaker 4: Like I don't want to go in on a combined

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Speaker 4: total because I don't think I can trust either the

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Speaker 4: defense of the offense because those teams, like that team

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Speaker 4: is built around those guys, So you've got to be selective,

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Speaker 4: right in terms of even when you're doing this, like,

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Speaker 4: you've got to be selective in playing spots where a

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Speaker 4: player missing isn't going to necessarily cause a lot of

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Speaker 4: change in what the total is going to be, right.

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Speaker 5: Yes, I mean you look at the like, if you

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Speaker 5: look at the brooklyn Nets before the Hardened Tree, if

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Speaker 5: Kyrie and Durant weren't playing, you basically saw the old

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Speaker 5: brooklyn Nets, the fun brooklyn Nets right from a couple

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Speaker 5: of seasons ago. And I think you know, I was

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Speaker 5: able to get an edge on some of those games

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Speaker 5: teams total wise and syd wise, because.

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Speaker 3: People completely underrated what they were.

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Speaker 5: It was like seeing Golden State without Kevin Durant and

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Speaker 5: they went back to the you know, the style which

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Speaker 5: just Curry and Clay and are passing the ball around.

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Speaker 5: So I just think you have to You can't blindly

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Speaker 5: play anything. You have to know the personal and how

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Speaker 5: they're going to adapt if a guy's out.

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Speaker 4: I mean, here's like an example, right is since twenty

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Speaker 4: eighteen nineteen, when MB doesn't play, which I don't know

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Speaker 4: if you guys know this pretty common, pretty common. He

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Speaker 4: just randomly doesn't play five minutes before a contest. No,

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Speaker 4: not gonna happen to night. That's not a thing to

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Speaker 4: Joel Embiid is going to play. I just imagine the

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Speaker 4: conversations between the NBA, the section of the NBA that

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Speaker 4: deals with its interactive gaming section, which is the betting department,

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Speaker 4: Like those folks and the conversations they have at like

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Speaker 4: try to relate, like, hey, so, like we're really respectful

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Speaker 4: of the teams and health, but you're killing us, Like

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Speaker 4: you're just killing us because like that's absolutely ever better,

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Speaker 4: Like just like feels how many times have you guys

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Speaker 4: had a Sixers bet and then randomly MB pops out?

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Speaker 4: Like it's one reason, Like I don't play it until

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Speaker 4: I know he's in. Like I don't go in until

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Speaker 4: the very last second on any Sixers game except tonight.

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Speaker 4: I just realized that. But other than that, other than that,

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Speaker 4: I try to avoid like the play but without MB.

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Speaker 4: Since two eighteen nineteen, when MB doesn't play, the over

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Speaker 4: in Sixers games is twenty four eighteen and four. That's

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Speaker 4: that's fifty seven percent. Like that's been a consistent trend

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Speaker 4: that when MB doesn't play, they play faster, and they

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Speaker 4: play different. They just play a little bit differently this season.

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Speaker 4: It's two two and one nine of of a sample, suppressingly,

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Speaker 4: but those are the kind of things I think you

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Speaker 4: have to keep track of, Like I like to keep

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Speaker 4: track of what happens to how a team plays and

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Speaker 4: the player's out. I think that's really important this season

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Speaker 4: to be like, when this guy is missing, they play differently,

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Speaker 4: and those are I think spots where you can find advantages. Brandon,

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Speaker 4: what's been the biggest adjustment that you've made in this

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Speaker 4: crazy NBA season?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So, like Raheem, I am kind of narrowing in

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Speaker 2: on what I'm playing, and it will come as no

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Speaker 2: surprise to the two of you. I am playing more

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Speaker 2: and more props and just starting to stray away from

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Speaker 2: picking a side or a total. And intuitively, props feel

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Speaker 2: like they should be harder to play this year because

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Speaker 2: players are coming and going. We've got all these random

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Speaker 2: dudes playing minutes. It feels like it should be really unpredictable.

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Speaker 2: It is unpredictable. However, it's just as unpredictable for the books.

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Speaker 2: And what I'm noticing so far is that the books

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Speaker 2: seem to be scrambling to get lines out and they

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Speaker 2: are not totally sure. Okay, this is a new thing

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Speaker 2: that's happening. This players in the lineup, this guy's out.

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Speaker 2: Do we adjust, do we move this lineup? Do we

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Speaker 2: wait for a few games before we see if the

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Speaker 2: pattern is there? And with this season, a lot of

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Speaker 2: we're not talking stars here, we're talking like the role players,

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Speaker 2: the bench guys, rookies, guys who are starting to get

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Speaker 2: more minutes. Those are where the props are really showing

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Speaker 2: value right now because the books aren't adjusting lines fast

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Speaker 2: enough and by the time that they adjust, the trend

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Speaker 2: is already switching and we've already moved on to the

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Speaker 2: next play. So with props, I'm learning be nimble and

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Speaker 2: just look, especially at the last week or two. Now,

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Speaker 2: normally that's not a good idea. Normally you're falling victim

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Speaker 2: to small sample size there. But the patterns are changing

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Speaker 2: quickly and right now a week or two might be well,

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Speaker 2: this was an entirely different team for that week because

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Speaker 2: they're missing four guys in the COVID protocols or something

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Speaker 2: like that. And if there's one prop I like, I'm

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Speaker 2: just milking it. I've done that with the Evan forty

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Speaker 2: eight points I've done that with the brook Lowez assists.

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Speaker 2: Milk it, keep playing it, keep playing it, and then

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Speaker 2: as soon as it goes sour, toss it out, get

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Speaker 2: rid of it. Just don't come back to it, and

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Speaker 2: just play. Play the opportunity with players, play the minutes

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Speaker 2: that are there, and trust that the production comes for

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Speaker 2: the most part while they're on the court. And then

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Speaker 2: the other thing too. Kind of like I said with

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Speaker 2: the milking thing, it's okay to just stack wins with props.

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Speaker 2: It's very easy to get tempted into the plus one

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Speaker 2: twenty five the plus one of fifty and feel like, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna try to stack those up, and I feel

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Speaker 2: better about just taking a win that I feel really

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Speaker 2: good about that I look at a line, I'm like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: this guy is definitely going over. But it's minus one thirty.

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Speaker 2: Should I be playing something at plus juice with props?

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Speaker 2: There are so many plus odds out there, But if

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Speaker 2: you are playing even minus one twenty five minus one

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Speaker 2: forty and our props calumn every day we pick three

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Speaker 2: and we're pretty consistently hitting two out of three. If

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Speaker 2: you win two out of three props, then you can

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Speaker 2: play those those minus one twenty fives, those minus one forties,

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Speaker 2: and you're still stacking up wins and you're still getting

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Speaker 2: a profit over time. So for me, I'm finding the

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Speaker 2: value and the props and just finding a new trend

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Speaker 2: looking at Okay, what's the new lineup, who's the new

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Speaker 2: guy that's in what's the news that day? And then

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Speaker 2: go ahead and play it, And yeah, that's where I'm

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Speaker 2: playing the season so far.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I'm with you.

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Speaker 4: I think I've been We're we're also talking about narrowing, right,

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Speaker 4: like raheems like I'm not playing sides and totals. I'm

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Speaker 4: just playing totals, Brandon saying, I'm narrowing in on props

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Speaker 4: and player production. I've gone into more. I've gotten really

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Speaker 4: narrow this season into terms of playing quarters and halves.

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Speaker 4: And the reason I'm playing more quarters and halves is

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Speaker 4: one I really only need to I need to just

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Speaker 4: need to figure out if there's gonna be a winner

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Speaker 4: or loss, right, Like, are you gonna win the quarter?

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Speaker 4: You're gonna lose a quarter because these lines are always

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Speaker 4: gonna be within you know, the most you're ever gonna

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Speaker 4: see is like two to two and a half. If

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Speaker 4: the team is really terrible if it's a real mismatch,

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Speaker 4: and you stay away from those in general, because they're

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Speaker 4: such a vast differential. We see these trends. The biggest

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Speaker 4: thing is that the lines are We're seeing them a

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Speaker 4: little bit adjusted, but in general, most of these lines

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Speaker 4: are just they take the overalls and then they chop

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Speaker 4: them and they'll balance for a certain thing. So you

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Speaker 4: will see differentials in first quarter versus second quarter lines.

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Speaker 4: But if you know that team is a really strong

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Speaker 4: bench and you know the other team doesn't, you can't

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Speaker 4: go just that far though. You have to be able

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Speaker 4: to look at does the team that has a weak

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Speaker 4: bench play them a long stretch in the second quarter

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Speaker 4: to get their guys rest, or do they do a

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Speaker 4: lot of teams have done the season, which is they

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Speaker 4: start a star player or two in the second quarter

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Speaker 4: with the bench unit to balance that give them a

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Speaker 4: break in the middle, and then finish with the starters.

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Speaker 4: Like these kind of things matter for balancing out the

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Speaker 4: whole kind of of stream for it. But I have

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Speaker 4: found that playing first halves playing or like one trend

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Speaker 4: in particular, and I've been doing this consistently since the

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Speaker 4: start of the year. Just fade Portland second quarter because

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Speaker 4: even with the injuries, they're still playing mellow cancer lineups

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Speaker 4: in that second quarter, and every time they put that

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Speaker 4: lineup out there, they lose like they are a negative Spur.

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Speaker 4: Fade the Spurs first quarter because LaMarcus Aldridge consistently is

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Speaker 4: in the negative. Whenever he plays in the first quarter,

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Speaker 4: he can balance out through the rest of it. Like

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Speaker 4: I don't want to play.

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Speaker 3: Spurs.

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Speaker 4: I even want to play Spurs first half because their

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Speaker 4: bench is so good. You're basically in the If you're

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Speaker 4: playing Spurs first half, you're trying to balance is LaMarcus

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Speaker 4: Aldrid is gonna lose enough that the bench can't overcome it,

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Speaker 4: and then you're in this tension spot. But I'll play

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Speaker 4: Spurs second quarters because their second unit is one of

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Speaker 4: the best in the league and has been over the

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Speaker 4: last three seasons, like Yaka Perle plus minus God. And

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Speaker 4: then I'll fade the Spurs in certain spots that they're

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Speaker 4: facing a team that I know is dynamite in the

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Speaker 4: first quarter, especially if it's not a Starlin team, like

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Speaker 4: if it's not a team that's got a lot of

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Speaker 4: pub that's not expected to have a big advantage, and

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Speaker 4: I know that it's gonna be like if I get

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Speaker 4: if I could get plus money versus the Spurs first quarter,

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Speaker 4: I will take it almost every single time, because the

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Speaker 4: Spurs just wind up losing a ton of these first quarters.

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Speaker 4: So that's where I've kind of gotten narrow. One more

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Speaker 4: question I think I have for you just to go

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Speaker 4: over some general trends. So we saw we saw road

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Speaker 4: Dogs do really well to start the season, and that's

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Speaker 4: balancing back, right. So like in the beginning of the season,

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Speaker 4: road Dogs were hitting like sixty to seventy percent. As

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Speaker 4: of right now, road Dogs the season against the spread

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Speaker 4: are ninety five eighty three and two for fifty three percent,

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Speaker 4: which is still really good, right, Like, that's that's exceptional

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Speaker 4: compared to any other season. If this where a normal season,

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Speaker 4: we'd be like, what is happening? But we are starting

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Speaker 4: to see that that was about sixty to seventy percent

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Speaker 4: and the start of the season, and that's slowly I

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Speaker 4: think regressing back to some of the norms. The other

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Speaker 4: thing I think is interesting is all these back to backs.

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Speaker 4: That's where you play a team and then you play

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Speaker 4: them again. The trend historically had been that there were

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Speaker 4: value on taking the team that had lost because the

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Speaker 4: other team was kind of like not recognizing like that,

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Speaker 4: you know, there was a motivational edge. One team was like, oh,

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Speaker 4: we got this, we just beat them. The other team

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Speaker 4: was playing harder, made adjustments, et cetera. We're seeing the

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Speaker 4: opposite trend of the season. When you have the second

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Speaker 4: night of what Ken Barkley calls the duplex games where

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Speaker 4: you play a team twice inside of a week, you're

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Speaker 4: seeing straight up the team that lost the first game

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Speaker 4: or twenty and twenty eight, so they're losing the second game,

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Speaker 4: and then against the spread they're twenty one to twenty

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Speaker 4: five and two at forty six percent. So we're actually

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Speaker 4: seeing a little bit more I think of focus on

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Speaker 4: these teams that lose the first matchup or in terms

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Speaker 4: of win the first matchup, staying focused and being able

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Speaker 4: to play that next game. We're also saying, I think

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Speaker 4: some of that's just impacted by guys play the first

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Speaker 4: one and don't play the second one. There's back to backs,

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Speaker 4: et cetera. So like there's no real advantage I don't

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Speaker 4: think to be found even at you know what fifty

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Speaker 4: four percent. I don't think there's any sort of the

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Speaker 4: days we found in any of those trends. Do you

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Speaker 4: guys agree with me on that, Brandon.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't feel like it's such a small amount

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Speaker 2: of data. We don't have anything to compare it to

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Speaker 2: from previous years. It felt like there was something there

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Speaker 2: early in the year, like you said, and now it

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Speaker 2: just feels like things have gotten a little bit noisy,

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Speaker 2: and there are just so many special cases there with

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Speaker 2: guys sitting out and that sort of thing. I don't

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Speaker 2: know if there's a trend there. I feel like for me,

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Speaker 2: one of my big picture overall trends is just look

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Speaker 2: for the right opportunity to bet on underdogs. There are

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Speaker 2: just so many underdogs covering and winning outright and winning

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Speaker 2: in shocking fashion. We're getting, Matt. You talked earlier, like

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Speaker 2: before the season, how the records were just gonna end

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Speaker 2: up condensing, and the top top teams are gonna lose

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Speaker 2: a few extras, the bomb teams are gonna go up.

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Speaker 2: We got the Calves and the Nicks and the Hornets

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Speaker 2: are all like in the mix right now, and I

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Speaker 2: feel like we're not We're rightfully not giving those teams

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Speaker 2: huge respect. They're still showing up as huge underdogs, but

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Speaker 2: they keep winning. Some of these games, there are spots

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Speaker 2: where there's a line that's kind of hedging early in

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Speaker 2: the day because it looks like a star Mit set,

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Speaker 2: and then they end up sitting and the line moves

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Speaker 2: a few spots, any spot where I can see where

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Speaker 2: not necessarily I feel great about the underdog, but where

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Speaker 2: I just feel or the red flags building out for

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Speaker 2: the nets especially or for just one of those other

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Speaker 2: big favorites that the books are still listing as big

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Speaker 2: favorites even though they're not. I was getting there, so

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Speaker 2: I'm I'm looking for underdog opportunities. I'm not necessarily looking

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Speaker 2: for them on the second half of those duplex scenarios

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Speaker 2: like you're talking about. I don't know if that's necessarily

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Speaker 2: the trend spot that I want for them.

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Speaker 5: I think one of the things about these duplex games

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Speaker 5: is that you see the market overreact. You'll see a

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Speaker 5: team underperform in one area. Maybe you know they might

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Speaker 5: shoot twenty thirty percent from three, and then the next

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Speaker 5: game you see.

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Speaker 3: The total or the side miss priced.

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Speaker 5: And I think that's the biggest advantage of those duplex

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Speaker 5: games is because you get to see the market over react.

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Speaker 5: Maybe they push the total a couple of points too high,

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Speaker 5: or maybe they push it a couple of points too low,

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Speaker 5: and then you're able to actually fade that. That's something

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Speaker 5: I noticed during the bubble, you know, even during the playoffs,

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Speaker 5: because to me, when I look at these games, if

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Speaker 5: you're playing the same team and the same venue with

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Speaker 5: the same players, the line should literally be the same,

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Speaker 5: you know, outside of a small adjustment. We should be

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Speaker 5: making huge adjustments game the game. And I think, you know,

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Speaker 5: sometimes the public need push it a certain way, and

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Speaker 5: I think that's where yeah edge lies.

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Speaker 4: That's a good point. That's a really good point for

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Speaker 4: a marquee.

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Speaker 3: Brandon.

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Speaker 4: I understand that you have something that you want to

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Speaker 4: ask us about. Take bed.

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Speaker 3: To the.

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Speaker 5: Below.

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Speaker 2: All right, guys, So, oh, as we know, Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 2: has a big week ahead of himself. Tom Brady has

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Speaker 2: a big week ahead of himself. We got the super

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Speaker 2: Bowl coming. This is an NBA podcast, though we all

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Speaker 2: know that Matt's going to be rooting for the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: and Patrick Mahomes on Sunday today, gentlemen, we are going

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Speaker 2: to play the NBA Super Bowl. So here's how this

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Speaker 2: is going to go. We are going to take the

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Speaker 2: NBA standings as is and tweat the NBA playoffs like

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Speaker 2: it's the NFL playoffs. Seven teams from each conference. Division

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Speaker 2: winners get the top seeds, the one seed gets a bye,

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Speaker 2: and then we're going one game playoffs. Home team, you know,

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Speaker 2: is the top seed, and just go in one game

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Speaker 2: all the way to the end. So I'm gonna read

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Speaker 2: you guys off of the seeds and then what I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna do is give you the matchup and let you

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Speaker 2: guys debate it and if you agree, great, that's the winner.

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Speaker 2: If you don't agree, I'll listen to the arguments and

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Speaker 2: pick a winner and we'll see who we think is

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Speaker 2: the champion.

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Speaker 4: Let's go.

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Speaker 3: Oh, let's go. I'm excited. This is great.

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Speaker 2: In the East right now, we have the Philadelphia seventy

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Speaker 2: six ers are the one seed, they get the bye,

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Speaker 2: they are sitting out the first round. Two seed, Milwaukee Bucks.

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Speaker 2: Now here's where it gets a little weird. The divisions.

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Speaker 2: We've got a division in both conferences where the division

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Speaker 2: winner should not be the three seed. But that's the

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Speaker 2: NFL rules. That's how we're playing it, so the three

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Speaker 2: seed Atlanta Hawks getting the home game the first round.

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Speaker 2: Then we've got the There is no fourth division like

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Speaker 2: in the NFL, so then the rest are wild cards,

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Speaker 2: so Brooklyn, four seed, Boston the five. Indiana is at six.

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Speaker 2: And then in a battle between surprising teams, the current

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Speaker 2: seven seed by virtue of an opening game tiebreaker, the

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Speaker 2: Charlotte Hornets lose out to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Ye have

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Speaker 2: our back in the playoffs.

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Speaker 6: Cleven rots, Clevelyn rots, Cleveland Rots, Clevelan rocks.

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Speaker 2: Yes, that's our seventh seed. The Raptors just miss out.

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Speaker 2: The Miami Heat would be the thirteen seed right now,

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Speaker 2: by the way, So just pointing that out. So that's

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Speaker 2: our East picture, and then the West we got the

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Speaker 2: Jazz are the one seed, Clippers are the two seed.

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Speaker 2: The Clippers are exactly tied with the Lakers right now,

404
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Speaker 2: but beat them on opening nights, so they are the

405
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Speaker 2: division winner. The Grizzlies the Memphis Grizzlies three seeds right now,

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Speaker 2: they're leading the division. They get the home game, and

407
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Speaker 2: then the wild cards Lakers, four, Nuggets, five Sons, six

408
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Speaker 2: Blazers seven. The Rockets and Warriors just miss out. And

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Speaker 2: again Dallas Mavericks the thirteen seed right now, not even

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Speaker 2: in the picture. So that's your playoff picture. I think

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Speaker 2: we're gonna do well. Yeah, let's just do start in

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Speaker 2: the first round. So let's start in the East. This

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Speaker 2: one won't take much time. We got our two seed

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Speaker 2: Bucks playing the seven seed Cleveland Cavaliers.

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Speaker 3: Oh, the Bucks win this game.

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Speaker 4: I mean there probably was probably nine and a half

417
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Speaker 4: point favorites, probably get the first.

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Speaker 2: One of the playoffs and the Bucks in the game

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Speaker 2: of the playoffs. We've had some issues the last few

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Speaker 2: years against bad teams. Any thoughts on that.

421
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Speaker 4: No, they're not Toronto. It is Toronto. I'll be taking I.

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Speaker 3: Mean last year they were in a bubble.

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Speaker 4: That doesn't count, so all right, Yeah, I like Cleveland there,

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Speaker 4: all right.

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Speaker 2: So the interesting matchup in the East, both both conferences,

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Speaker 2: the three versus six matchup is interesting. So we got

427
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Speaker 2: the Atlanta Hawks or the three seeds. So this one's

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Speaker 2: in Atlanta and they're hosting the Indiana Pacers. So over him,

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Speaker 2: who do you like the Hawks or the Pacers.

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with the Pacers, Like I just I

431
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Speaker 5: think the Hawks are just a young team. I'm taking

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Speaker 5: the experience over a young team any day. I mean

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00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:43,399
Speaker 5: I personally make would I make that line? What is

434
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 5: that line? Damn, that's actually that's actually kind of close

435
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 5: to a pick them?

436
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 4: What Yeah?

437
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:52,880
Speaker 3: What yuh?

438
00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 5: I actually have it close to a pick them. I mean,

439
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 5: I mean, if Atlanta's at home, Atlanta's.

440
00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:00,040
Speaker 4: A three seed, I will be taking the Pacers and

441
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 4: I would bet them to four. The biggest thing here

442
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 4: is that Trey Young is gonna do something unconscionably stupid

443
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter if it's close, just unl like

444
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:11,159
Speaker 4: it'll be a two point game. The Hawks will have

445
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 4: dug back from a twelve point deficit, They've got all

446
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 4: the momentum, and Young is gonna take one of those

447
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,640
Speaker 4: thirty five forty foot threes and his teammates are gonna

448
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 4: be like, why what are you doing? The Pacers officer

449
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 4: would just pick apart that defense. I think I just

450
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 4: think they would just as good. They've been better this year.

451
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:30,479
Speaker 4: But yeah, I will take the I will take the Pacers,

452
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 4: especially with this new revamped offense. I like the Pacers there.

453
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:34,959
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean I think you got to take the Pacers,

454
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:36,680
Speaker 5: But I think you know, from a betting perspective.

455
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,360
Speaker 3: I think the line is a little funny.

456
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 2: All right. The Pacers pulled the upset. I agree with

457
00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:43,600
Speaker 2: you guys on that one. And then the four or

458
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,440
Speaker 2: five matchup, this is a this is both wild cards.

459
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 2: And so we got the Brooklyn Nuts and the Boston Celtics.

460
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 2: We got the Kyrie Irving battle here, Brooklyn gets the

461
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 2: home game. Matt Let's type, you go first on this one.

462
00:22:55,880 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 2: Then that's the Celtics.

463
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 4: Boston who I want Brad Stevens in a one in

464
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 4: a one game. I don't think this NETS team is

465
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:09,680
Speaker 4: well built for a one game environment. There's too much variance.

466
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 4: There's just too much. If you're like, I know the

467
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 4: thought process, which is like we got one game, I'm

468
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 4: taking Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving and James Harden. I

469
00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:22,119
Speaker 4: don't necessarily love that situation because I just they won

470
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:25,160
Speaker 4: their defensive suspect two. If they don't have it, they

471
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 4: just don't have it. The Celtics, like, I know how

472
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 4: they're gonna play. I know how they're gonna play. Like,

473
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 4: they're gonna play tough, they're gonna be smart, they're gonna

474
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:34,400
Speaker 4: be disciplined in that kind of environment, Like if these

475
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,160
Speaker 4: two teams meet in the playoffs series, I'm absolutely taking

476
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 4: the Nets one game.

477
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 5: Give me Boston, you were crazy. Did you watch that

478
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 5: Christmins Day game? Yes, I mean James James Harten wasn't

479
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:47,160
Speaker 5: even on a team, and it's just I think they

480
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 5: just overwhelmed them offensively. What have we seen from Kimber

481
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 5: in the playoffs? I mean, like, what have we seen

482
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:56,440
Speaker 5: from James Harden in the playoffs? Are we really comparing

483
00:23:56,560 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 5: Kimball with James Harden? Now, Like James Harden, He's done

484
00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 5: in the playoffs is far greater than anything kim was done.

485
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 5: I think one of the things that I've I've been

486
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,920
Speaker 5: trigued about about this Brooklyn Nes team is that I'm

487
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 5: looking at the lineup with Kevin Durant, Jeff Green, James

488
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 5: hart and Kyrie Irvin and Josh Harris. They're scoring one

489
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:18,840
Speaker 5: hundred and twenty five points per one hundred posessions.

490
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 4: And they gave on last night. They got blitzed in

491
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 4: that first quarter and had a dig out of it.

492
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,880
Speaker 5: And I mean in the first quarter you're playing Kawhi

493
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 5: and PG. But for the most part, you know, in

494
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 5: five games, seventy two minutes, the score one hundred and

495
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,480
Speaker 5: twenty five points per one hundred possessions and only giving

496
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,639
Speaker 5: up one oh eight. They have a seventeen AT rating.

497
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 5: And I think that's a lineup that would crush the

498
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,399
Speaker 5: Celtics team. And I don't I don't think the Celtsis

499
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 5: are gonna be able to make them pay. I think

500
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 5: they go out there and they win this.

501
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 2: Yeah. So these are good arguments that the talent versus

502
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 2: the coaching and culture argument. I kind of like the

503
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 2: Brad Stevens argument. Here knows the one game thing. Where

504
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 2: did it come from? Butler University? He took two teams

505
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:06,119
Speaker 2: to the national championship game on one game playoffs. He

506
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 2: knows how to play like an underdog. He knows how

507
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,680
Speaker 2: to get his team ready for one game. I don't

508
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 2: trust the Nets right now. I don't think any of

509
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 2: us trust the Nets. Even if the Nets advanced here,

510
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 2: I don't think any of us would be taking them

511
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 2: very far in this tournament. But I am going with

512
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 2: Boston and the upset here. Also, Brooklyn is a sort

513
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:29,199
Speaker 2: of team that needs the playoff series to They're going

514
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 2: to fall behind to some worst team early in the

515
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 2: playoff series and have to like earn their status as

516
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 2: as a contender by by getting a big win. You

517
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 2: don't have that opportunity here. They haven't had that chance.

518
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 2: I'm sticking with Boston too.

519
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 5: Is this thing I want to say, James Harten is

520
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 5: typically better at the start a playoff series, Like if

521
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 5: you look at all his game.

522
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,679
Speaker 4: Once, how are they getting to stop?

523
00:25:54,960 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 5: How do Celtics getting to stop mely?

524
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 4: All NBA defenders?

525
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 5: They haven't been able to stop them. They haven't stopped

526
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 5: a lesser version of this Nets offense.

527
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 4: All right, we'll see, we'll see.

528
00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 6: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

529
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 6: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast network.

530
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 6: Locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

531
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine Ers, you are locked

532
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 2: own of the Dallas marriage Well caome.

533
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 4: Everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

534
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 3: Let's Go.

535
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:26,879
Speaker 6: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

536
00:26:26,960 --> 00:26:29,199
Speaker 6: know your team better than anyone and give you the

537
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 6: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

538
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Speaker 6: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

539
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,600
Speaker 2: All right, the Celtics and Pacers both pull the upsets

540
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 2: and advance let's stick with the East and just keep

541
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,919
Speaker 2: moving forward on the East bracket here while we're on

542
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 2: these teams. So second round, now, this is the NFL

543
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 2: playoff version. We don't have a straight bracket here. The

544
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,160
Speaker 2: one seed gets to play the lowest team left. So

545
00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 2: the one seed, Philadelphia seventy six Ers. They gave Joel

546
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 2: and Bed the night off. He earned it. This time.

547
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,640
Speaker 2: He is playing at home against the Indiana Pacers. For him,

548
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:07,160
Speaker 2: who we got.

549
00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 5: Oh, this is a horrid one. This is a really,

550
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:21,959
Speaker 5: really hard one. I'm gonna reluctantly go with my Philadelphia

551
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:22,879
Speaker 5: seventy six Ers.

552
00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 3: I think you give m b some rest.

553
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 5: I think right now and beat and Seph Curry right now,

554
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 5: when you put those two on the floor, they're just,

555
00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:35,160
Speaker 5: you know, one of the best teams of the league.

556
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 5: Some were gonna reluctantly go with them. I don't feel

557
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:45,480
Speaker 5: good about it, though, Matt Wady.

558
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:51,199
Speaker 4: For me, you ready do it? Okay, I'm taking the Pacers.

559
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:57,199
Speaker 4: The Indiana Pacers have gone four and four until this

560
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:03,639
Speaker 4: prior matchup versus when the Sixers won without Embiid. Okay,

561
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 4: with Embiid, the Sixers are four and two versus the

562
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:13,040
Speaker 4: Pacers since twenty and eighteen nineteen. However, we know, we

563
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:15,720
Speaker 4: know this Pacers offense is better, like we know that.

564
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:18,920
Speaker 4: I don't know if Karris Lvert is gonna be back.

565
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:22,480
Speaker 4: Let's say he is, like this is, you know, five

566
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 4: months from now. Let's say he is. Okay, if I

567
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:30,159
Speaker 4: get Karris Lavert and I got fully healthy Pacers squad,

568
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:34,320
Speaker 4: they got scoring, they got balanced, they play smart, they

569
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 4: got Miles Turner, they got wings to attack, they got

570
00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 4: three point shooters. I like their bench a lot more

571
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:44,000
Speaker 4: than the Sixers bench. I feel like this is a

572
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 4: game where the Sixers just can't quite pull away. It

573
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 4: gets late, Malcolm Brogden hits a three, It's a one

574
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:53,040
Speaker 4: point game in the final minute. The Sixers turn the

575
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 4: ball over when Joel Embiid gets double because he can't

576
00:28:56,240 --> 00:29:01,320
Speaker 4: handle a double team and the Pacers.

577
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 2: So I like the argument on both sides. I feel

578
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:13,040
Speaker 2: the Sixers reluctance here, even from our Philadelphia guy. I

579
00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 2: gotta go with the Sixers. I agree with Matt's points.

580
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,520
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be close. I think in a

581
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 2: series you get the Sixers winning in like six or

582
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:23,920
Speaker 2: seven because the Pacers are gonna push it the whole way.

583
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:27,240
Speaker 2: They're gonna take a few games. I think it's close.

584
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 2: I agree the Sixers are not gonna pull away. And

585
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:34,120
Speaker 2: if you're betting on this one, I'm probably taking the

586
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:36,720
Speaker 2: Indiana cover. I might sprinkle a little bit on the

587
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 2: money line. I think that's the higher odds play. But

588
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 2: we're just picking straight up winners. I think that I

589
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:47,160
Speaker 2: have to bet on the Sixers to five point five

590
00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 2: of the ten times that they would play when the

591
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 2: one game that they get, I think they're just the

592
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 2: slightest edge favorite there. So Sixers advance. But it's a

593
00:29:56,800 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 2: close one, all right, all right? Our other Eastern se

594
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: we got the two seed in Milwaukee Bucks at home

595
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:07,240
Speaker 2: against the five seed Boston Celtics. Matt, what do you think.

596
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 4: The Bucks roll here? The Bucks dominate this matchup. The

597
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 4: Celtics don't have enough shooting, they don't have the ability

598
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:18,680
Speaker 4: to combat inside. Tristan Thompson can't stop Giannis. The Bucks

599
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 4: overwhelmed them with three point shooting. They all have enough firepower.

600
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 4: The Bucks. The Bucks roll here by like like they

601
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:25,800
Speaker 4: win this one comfortably.

602
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 3: I disagree with that.

603
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 5: I mean, I think I think it's a closer game,

604
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 5: but when I watched that first Bucks selfish Celtist game.

605
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,680
Speaker 5: To me, Milwaukee's just not the same defensive team that

606
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 5: they used to be. And when I look at the Celtics,

607
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:48,080
Speaker 5: I think, you know, Tatum and Brown, the way Brown's

608
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 5: is stepped up, I think this is a close to

609
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 5: a pick them game. I would lean towards the Bucks,

610
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 5: but I don't think it's a blowout, especially in a

611
00:30:57,200 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 5: one game sample size. I think also in a one

612
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 5: game SAMP, you have to account for the coaching advantage. Look,

613
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 5: I'm going I'm going with I'm going with the Celtics

614
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 5: because Giannis might not actually play forty minutes.

615
00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 4: We've seen a better We've seen a better Celtics team

616
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:18,800
Speaker 4: with your guy Kyrie Irving. Yeah, absolutely, just manhandled by it.

617
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 3: Do we do?

618
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 5: Do we know if Bud is actually gonna play Gianni's

619
00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 5: forty minutes.

620
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:25,240
Speaker 4: No, I don't think he needs to.

621
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 3: I mean, with that bench, he might need to.

622
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, he might need to, But the Celtics bench isn't

623
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:31,760
Speaker 4: good either.

624
00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,480
Speaker 5: I mean, we know Jason Tatum is gonna play. He's

625
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 5: gonna play, He's actually gonna play basketball. That's true. I'm

626
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,080
Speaker 5: taking the Celtics I'm sorry. The coaching advantage is just.

627
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 2: I can't get there on the Celtics on this one.

628
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 2: I think Drew Holliday is gonna smother Kemba Walker. Kemba's

629
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 2: gonna shoot like three for sixteen on the on the night.

630
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 2: I don't know the Bucks own this matchup. I don't

631
00:31:57,120 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 2: know that I agree that it's gonna be a blowout,

632
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 2: but I also don't know that I agree it's going

633
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 2: to be anything close to a pick them. I think

634
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 2: the Bucks win by eight to ten. I think they

635
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 2: pull away late and get the win. So what's the down?

636
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 4: Yea?

637
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 2: All right, So we are down in the East to

638
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,680
Speaker 2: the one and two seeds. It was a tough road

639
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 2: to get there. We didn't all entirely agree, but we're

640
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,720
Speaker 2: down to the sixers in the box. We are going

641
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 2: to save our final four. We'll wait on the Eastern

642
00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 2: Conference finals and we're going to switch over to the West. Now, reminder,

643
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:32,240
Speaker 2: the Jazz are the one seed. They get to sit

644
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 2: this one out and watch. They have earned it. Our

645
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 2: first matchup are the two seed Los Angeles Clippers against

646
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 2: the seven seed Blazers. Raheem. Do the Blazers even have

647
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 2: a chance here.

648
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:44,880
Speaker 3: The Blazers get smoked.

649
00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 5: I mean, let's be real, the Blazers are one of

650
00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 5: the worst defenses in the league. This is not even

651
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:54,120
Speaker 5: a competition. The Clippers go out there and they you know,

652
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 5: they boat race them.

653
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 4: Matt, you agree again, you need to learn the definition

654
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:01,080
Speaker 4: of boat race. This is the second time in two

655
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,280
Speaker 4: days I've had to, like Frank, correct you on what

656
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:07,320
Speaker 4: this definition means. Look, here's the biggest thing. Who do

657
00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 4: you want in a tense situation? Paul George and Kawhi

658
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,040
Speaker 4: Leonard who last year no showed in Game seven and

659
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,960
Speaker 4: if you dig through his performances in Game sevens actually

660
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:22,800
Speaker 4: isn't that good? Or do you want Damian Lillard. My

661
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 4: disdain for this Blazers team is well known. I don't

662
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 4: think this team is good. I've never thought this team

663
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 4: was good.

664
00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Terry Statts experience.

665
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:36,000
Speaker 4: I don't think that they can defend. I don't thinking

666
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 4: is Canner can defend. They get Nurkic back at this point,

667
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 4: I don't think Nurkic can defend. I don't think that

668
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 4: their bench is any good. I think this team is

669
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 4: absolutely not that good. However, it's a one game situation

670
00:33:50,800 --> 00:33:55,480
Speaker 4: versus like the team whose entire history is defined by Oh,

671
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,440
Speaker 4: here they come the call. No, the Clippers failed again.

672
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 4: The Mavericks hung with them last year, like the Mavericks

673
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 4: hung with them last year. And we know Dame is

674
00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 4: better than in these kind of moments than Luca is.

675
00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 4: Like Lucas great, but it's Dame. If I got this situation,

676
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,439
Speaker 4: here's what's gonna happen. The Clippers defense has not been

677
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 4: all that impressive this year to me. It just has

678
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:17,600
Speaker 4: not been all that pressive to me. This is one

679
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:19,160
Speaker 4: of those games where the Clippers get out to a

680
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,040
Speaker 4: fifteen point lead that they did in so many games

681
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:24,759
Speaker 4: versus the Nuggets. Halftime, it's like, oh, it's still it's

682
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 4: still ten, Still ten, there's up double digits. Third quarter

683
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 4: is a wash, it's like a tie. Fourth quarter it's

684
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:33,839
Speaker 4: brick brick, brick brick brick.

685
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:34,719
Speaker 3: Dame hits a.

686
00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:37,600
Speaker 4: Three, there's a canter and win one. For some reason,

687
00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,799
Speaker 4: Mello makes a three. Uh No, Mellow makes a mid

688
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 4: range ISO and real hoopers. No. Twitter goes insane after

689
00:34:46,560 --> 00:34:49,759
Speaker 4: Mello's actually like a minus eighteen. This is a one

690
00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:51,799
Speaker 4: point game. In the final minute, Dame hits a three

691
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:53,879
Speaker 4: Kawhi misses it the buzzer, the Blazers win.

692
00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, no way.

693
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:00,800
Speaker 3: I love you.

694
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 4: Believe tell me you believe in this Clippers team in

695
00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:07,880
Speaker 4: a tense situation, in a one game, high tension situation,

696
00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 4: I do, Matt.

697
00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:13,239
Speaker 2: If the Clippers are playing the Blazers ten games, how

698
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:15,360
Speaker 2: many games did the Blazers win? Out of those times

699
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:20,800
Speaker 2: one they win one?

700
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 5: Just this is not This is not the same Clippers

701
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 5: team from last year. They're much better team.

702
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I love it. I love the Blazers scenario.

703
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 2: I love the the enniscanter plus one. I can't get there.

704
00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:37,560
Speaker 2: I gotta go with the Clippers. I wouldn't feel great

705
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:40,280
Speaker 2: about it, and neither will the Clippers. Neither will anyone

706
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 2: watching the game.

707
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,040
Speaker 4: I want to I just want to note. This is

708
00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 4: the same thing in the head Raheem taking the Ravens.

709
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:48,320
Speaker 4: I just want to note.

710
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:54,880
Speaker 2: That game's gonna nervous, so funny because I didn't.

711
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:56,319
Speaker 3: I didn't like the Clippers last year.

712
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:58,880
Speaker 5: Everybody liked the Clippers, and all year I was saying,

713
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 5: this Clippers team is not gonna make it.

714
00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 3: And one of the.

715
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,200
Speaker 5: Reasons why I didn't like him was because of Montrez

716
00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 5: and Lou and I see them getting They already got

717
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:10,359
Speaker 5: rid of Montrez, and I think they're gonna get rid

718
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:13,400
Speaker 5: of Lou And I think I think those are the

719
00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:14,320
Speaker 5: biggest issues.

720
00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 2: Who Brandon, Yeah, I gotta go with the Clippers, all right.

721
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 2: I like the Blazers idea, but I can't buy into it.

722
00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 2: I was big on the Blazers heading into the season,

723
00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:26,520
Speaker 2: and I just have cooled a lot. Covington and Derek

724
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:29,920
Speaker 2: Jones have not been doing it for me. I think

725
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 2: if you give them a healthy team with CJ and

726
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 2: Nurkich back, I like them to hang around. Dame is

727
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,840
Speaker 2: gonna you know, either Dame or CJ gets hot and

728
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 2: can scorch a little bit. But let's not forget It's

729
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,400
Speaker 2: not like those guys have been the most reliable playoff

730
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 2: performers always either. I gotta go with the Clippers, all right.

731
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:52,080
Speaker 2: In the West, the three versus sixth seed the matchup

732
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,439
Speaker 2: we all wanted last year. We wanted the one game

733
00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:56,640
Speaker 2: playoff we wanted at the end of the bubble. We

734
00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 2: didn't quite get it. The Suns win eight to no,

735
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:01,799
Speaker 2: but got shut up out of the playing game. This

736
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,279
Speaker 2: time they're in the sixth seed Phoenix Suns going to

737
00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 2: Memphis to face the three seed Memphis Grizzlies. Grizzlies Sons. Matt,

738
00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 2: what do you think.

739
00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 4: I'll take Phoenix? They're a better team. Memphis defense makes

740
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:21,719
Speaker 4: me pause a little bit. Their defense is really good.

741
00:37:22,120 --> 00:37:26,400
Speaker 4: Like Taylor Jenkins's coach, this team up. I want to

742
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 4: have jaw in this situation. But for all of the

743
00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 4: talk about Chris Paul's playoff foibles, even be one game

744
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:39,880
Speaker 4: like Chris Paul's the nuts, like he's he's He's lots solid.

745
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 4: There are a lot of angles I can take here.

746
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:45,840
Speaker 4: I would probably like you know that the Sons are

747
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 4: gonna be laying a decent amount of points in this game,

748
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:50,240
Speaker 4: and I'm probably would be on Memphis against the spread,

749
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 4: but I would I like the Sons to win the game.

750
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:54,640
Speaker 4: I think it will be close at the end.

751
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:59,480
Speaker 5: Though, Rahiem, Yeah, I'm going with the Suns. I mean,

752
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,919
Speaker 5: I said all this all year. I love this Son's team.

753
00:38:02,960 --> 00:38:06,440
Speaker 5: They have you know, combination of wings. You know got

754
00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 5: Cal Bridges, you got j Crowder, you got a closer

755
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:11,920
Speaker 5: and Devin Booker.

756
00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:15,319
Speaker 3: And you got Chris Paul. And then to me. The

757
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:15,960
Speaker 3: bench is better.

758
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:16,600
Speaker 4: Love.

759
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,800
Speaker 5: I love that bench. You know, Sary campaign has been solid.

760
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:23,279
Speaker 5: Cam Reddish like to me, I'm taking the Suns in

761
00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:23,880
Speaker 5: this matchup.

762
00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:25,879
Speaker 4: Is it a boat race?

763
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 5: It's definitely not a boat race. I think I make

764
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:31,879
Speaker 5: this spread around two or three, so I think it's

765
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 5: a close game. But I just I'm taking the Suns.

766
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:37,839
Speaker 5: I just I gotta go with experience, and I think

767
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:39,760
Speaker 5: that that matters for a one game series.

768
00:38:41,560 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 2: All Right, I agree the Suns advance. And then our

769
00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 2: last first round matchup, the Los Angeles Lakers just a

770
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:50,560
Speaker 2: wild card team in this scenario, all the way down

771
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:54,359
Speaker 2: to the four seed, the overlooked LA Lakers still at home,

772
00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:57,880
Speaker 2: still facing the Denver Nuggets. Raheem to the Nuggets have

773
00:38:57,920 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 2: a chance here.

774
00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 5: They actually do, but I just can't. I'm not going

775
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 5: to go against Lebron James. Like I've gotten burnt so

776
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:10,040
Speaker 5: many times betting against Lebron James. You give me Lebron

777
00:39:10,120 --> 00:39:13,560
Speaker 5: James in one game, I'm taking Lebron James. And I

778
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:17,400
Speaker 5: just think the issue what I have with the Nuggets

779
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:19,520
Speaker 5: is that if Michael Porter Junior is on the floor

780
00:39:19,560 --> 00:39:23,239
Speaker 5: at any point in time, I just think he's gonna

781
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,800
Speaker 5: get abuse. So I just I have to take the Lakers.

782
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:29,399
Speaker 5: I can't fait Lebron. And that's that's pretty much. That's

783
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 5: pretty much my case right there.

784
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:35,239
Speaker 4: Matt did agreed it's a bad matchup for Denver. Denver

785
00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,880
Speaker 4: could be any of these other teams in the West.

786
00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:39,359
Speaker 4: They can be any of these other teams. They can't

787
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:43,480
Speaker 4: beat the Lakers that Davis combats what Yogis does specifically

788
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 4: with length athleticism. Lebron is a wing. They lost Jeremy Grant,

789
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 4: they lost Tory Craig. They got nobody to match up

790
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:50,319
Speaker 4: on him. They got nobody.

791
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:50,759
Speaker 3: They're having it.

792
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:52,800
Speaker 4: But Will Barton and Michael Port Junior out there like

793
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:58,240
Speaker 4: it'd be bad maybe pg doser. The Lakers are shooting

794
00:39:58,239 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 4: a lot more threes this year. They're making a lot

795
00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:03,760
Speaker 4: more three this year. That combat some of it. Seven

796
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,239
Speaker 4: game series. You know, Nuggets are gonna win two to three,

797
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:08,800
Speaker 4: like two and a half should probably be the line

798
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 4: on wins. But they're not gonna win a series, and

799
00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:13,719
Speaker 4: they're not gonna win this one game. The Lakers win

800
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:14,960
Speaker 4: this one by seven.

801
00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:19,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Nuggets get unlucky here in our

802
00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 2: weird NFL setup, I think that we'd see teams in

803
00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 2: both conferences trying to tank these wildcard teams to try

804
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 2: to get the six seed fall a little bit out

805
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 2: of this four or five matchup. You don't want the

806
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:31,799
Speaker 2: four or five. You don't want to have to go

807
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:35,560
Speaker 2: play at the Lakers. And in this scenario, the Grizzlies

808
00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:38,360
Speaker 2: or the Hawks are the our version of the NFC

809
00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:40,520
Speaker 2: East that that team that you want to get to

810
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:42,359
Speaker 2: go play at their home game in the first round.

811
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:44,799
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think the Nuggets I would have liked

812
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 2: them in a few other matchups, maybe any other matchup

813
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:51,040
Speaker 2: looking at it, But the Lakers get this one, so

814
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,720
Speaker 2: we move on to the second round. Are rested Utah

815
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 2: Jazz are at home in the altitude hosting the Phoenix Suns.

816
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,799
Speaker 2: It's a fun one in the mountain time zone. Matt,

817
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 2: what do you think, oh Utah?

818
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:07,040
Speaker 4: I think I think Raheem's still very high on the

819
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:09,240
Speaker 4: Suns based off of who they were early in this season.

820
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:11,680
Speaker 4: They've cooled like they're a good team. They're not a

821
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:14,240
Speaker 4: great team. This isn't a great team. They're a pretty

822
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:18,880
Speaker 4: good team. I don't like the matchups all over because

823
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:22,719
Speaker 4: one the Suns defense has kind of slid considerably. I

824
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:25,680
Speaker 4: don't like Aiden having a matchup versus Gobert. The Sun.

825
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:29,279
Speaker 4: The Jazz or have so much firepower. They've got a

826
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:32,600
Speaker 4: really good bench, They're well coached. This would be a

827
00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 4: fun game, right, But I can't see Utah losing this one.

828
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 4: I like Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley and Bogdanovich, like

829
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 4: I just feel like they have more firepower. I like

830
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,279
Speaker 4: the Sons weapons, I like the Jazz more. I think

831
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:49,239
Speaker 4: the Jones the Jazz win here by six or seven.

832
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:52,279
Speaker 5: That's actually where I had to line. I have the

833
00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:54,359
Speaker 5: Jazz minus six, and I'm going with the Jazz too.

834
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 5: I mean, I've been on records saying it. I think

835
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,799
Speaker 5: the Jazz can make the Western Conference finals. To me,

836
00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 5: I think, you know, this offense is just unreal. They

837
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,799
Speaker 5: make a seventeen three is a game you got one

838
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 5: of the best defensis in the league, like you said,

839
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 5: eight and is just like gober is just a bad

840
00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:12,239
Speaker 5: match of fate. And when I look at this team,

841
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 5: I just I'm taking the Jazz.

842
00:42:16,960 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 2: So I'm a little disappointed. I was ready and awaiting

843
00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 2: for a Son's argument. I was willing to listen. I'm

844
00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 2: not saying I would have taken Phoenix, but I was

845
00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 2: ready to listen Chris Paul in one game over any

846
00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:32,799
Speaker 2: of my options on the Jazz, I would have thought

847
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 2: about it. I do feel a little bit like our

848
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:39,480
Speaker 2: first you know, eight or ten games of the Suns

849
00:42:40,040 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 2: echo a little bit or mirror a little bit this

850
00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 2: recent stretch of the Jazz, just in that I don't

851
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:49,520
Speaker 2: think either team is as good as the current stretch

852
00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 2: seems to be. So I think that they're both a

853
00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:56,000
Speaker 2: little bit overrated on the one really hot stretch that

854
00:42:56,040 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 2: they're at. But we got the Jazz here, So Jazz

855
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:02,960
Speaker 2: move on. So our other matchup, we finally get it.

856
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:06,440
Speaker 2: We've been awaiting. It's only one game, but we're in LA.

857
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:09,959
Speaker 2: The Clippers are the home team at the Staples Center court.

858
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:14,120
Speaker 2: Clippers Lakers. It's the big one. Raheem, what do you got?

859
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:19,400
Speaker 5: I'm taking the Clippers, and it's shocking to me to

860
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:24,319
Speaker 5: do it, but I just think the Lakers just don't

861
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:28,160
Speaker 5: have enough wings to guard this team, and I think

862
00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:31,279
Speaker 5: it's kind of a rough matchup. And now obviously the

863
00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 5: Clippers don't have anybody guard Anthony Davis, so I think

864
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:38,200
Speaker 5: this is really a true, pick them game, but I

865
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:41,000
Speaker 5: just think in this matchup, I think the Clippers are

866
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:44,440
Speaker 5: able to just outscore them. So I mean I think

867
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:47,320
Speaker 5: they win, you know, in a real close one, probably

868
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:52,799
Speaker 5: you know Kauiet the buzzer or you know, comes down

869
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,880
Speaker 5: to the stretch. So I'm taking the Clippers reluctantly.

870
00:43:57,560 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 4: Clippers up fifteen and a half or team with four

871
00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:03,919
Speaker 4: MAT's left in the first half. Everything's going great, Everything's awesome, right,

872
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:05,920
Speaker 4: the Clippers are finally here. They're gonna knock him off.

873
00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:09,919
Speaker 4: Raheem's counting his money. Oh no, Lebron rattles off six

874
00:44:09,960 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 4: in a row. It's a nine point game. Oh, it

875
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:13,680
Speaker 4: should be fine. Now, the Clipper's gonna be fine. They're

876
00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 4: gonna be okay. Who do you want again? In this situation?

877
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:18,600
Speaker 4: I keep trying to tell people Kawhi Leonard is not

878
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:19,600
Speaker 4: the closer you think he is.

879
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:20,640
Speaker 3: Kawhi Leonard.

880
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:22,759
Speaker 4: Everyone thinks he's a closer because he hit a four

881
00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 4: bouncer in one game. Other than that it was the

882
00:44:27,200 --> 00:44:31,800
Speaker 4: Spurs overall system like, his actual history in playoff games,

883
00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 4: especially in game seven situations, is poor. You got Paul

884
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 4: George Lou Williams. What are we talking about here. They

885
00:44:39,640 --> 00:44:43,319
Speaker 4: are up by nine at a half, the Lakers come out.

886
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 4: It's a tie game by the six minute mark of

887
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:51,040
Speaker 4: the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the Lakers are

888
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,719
Speaker 4: up by three. The Clippers come back though, and they've

889
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 4: got a three point lead with two minutes remaining. Clank clank, clank, clank,

890
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:01,360
Speaker 4: client clank, client clank, clink. Ron Dross free throws. The

891
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:04,120
Speaker 4: Lakers win the game. They're still a little brother. I

892
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 4: want the Clippers to win. I think it'd be great

893
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:08,160
Speaker 4: for the sport for the Clippers to win. We need

894
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:11,080
Speaker 4: to break up the narrative. I feel bad for Clippers fans.

895
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 4: Not gonna happen. You do not have the leadership you

896
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:17,720
Speaker 4: need leadership in these spots. Kawhi Leonard is not a leader.

897
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 4: Lebron James is a leader. The Lakers win.

898
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:24,400
Speaker 2: So I'm a type breaker on this one again, and

899
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:27,239
Speaker 2: I'm gonna make it easy. I agree with everything Matt

900
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:31,120
Speaker 2: just said. There's just no way I'm not taking the

901
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:34,319
Speaker 2: Clippers and everything we know about the Clippers in a

902
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:36,359
Speaker 2: one game against Lebron. That's it.

903
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson is a hater.

904
00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:43,919
Speaker 2: The Clippers history Lebron. One game, that's it. Lebron's gonna

905
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:47,279
Speaker 2: find a way. He's gonna come back the Clippers. You

906
00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:51,160
Speaker 2: got me talking into the Clippers choke with the first round,

907
00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:54,719
Speaker 2: but not against the Blazers. The Lakers are not the Blazers.

908
00:45:55,080 --> 00:45:59,000
Speaker 2: There's no Anthony Davis matchup. It's Lebron Lakers win.

909
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:03,840
Speaker 1: Ron James, oldest starting player in the NBA.

910
00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,440
Speaker 2: All right, we're down to our final four. In the West,

911
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 2: we've got the Lakers and the Jazz. In the East,

912
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:13,719
Speaker 2: we've got the Sixers and the Bucks. Let's go back

913
00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:16,840
Speaker 2: to the East. The Sixers are your one seed, so

914
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:21,600
Speaker 2: they're the home team Philadelphia and Milwaukee. Rahim, who do you.

915
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 5: Like, I'm taking the Sixers. Look, I'm fading the Bucks

916
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:27,600
Speaker 5: all the way through the playoffs. To me, I mean,

917
00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:30,040
Speaker 5: you have a star in Giannis who can't shoot five

918
00:46:30,080 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 5: feet from the basket. He's combined with you know, Drew Holliday,

919
00:46:33,560 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 5: who I love. But I just to me, when I

920
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 5: look at this team, I'm not impressed.

921
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 3: Like I mean, the bench isn't very good.

922
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:45,399
Speaker 5: The I mean, it's just we're gonna have the same

923
00:46:45,440 --> 00:46:48,400
Speaker 5: problems that you have every year because Giannis can't shoot

924
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 5: from further than five feet if you have a good

925
00:46:51,120 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 5: defensive team, which the Sixers do, they can, they can,

926
00:46:54,680 --> 00:46:56,560
Speaker 5: they can lock this team down. I'm taking the Sixers.

927
00:46:56,560 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 5: I think the Sixers go to the finals.

928
00:46:59,239 --> 00:46:59,800
Speaker 2: I do agree.

929
00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:03,360
Speaker 4: I just want to try and understand this. So you

930
00:47:03,400 --> 00:47:05,880
Speaker 4: don't trust Giannis because you can't shoot his limitations in

931
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,160
Speaker 4: the playoffs, but you trusted Lamar Jackson. That's what happened.

932
00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:12,120
Speaker 4: You trusted You trusted Lamar Jackson. You don't trust Yan.

933
00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:14,400
Speaker 4: I'm actually with him on this. I think the Sixers

934
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 4: win this game. The big thing is the Sixers have

935
00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:20,680
Speaker 4: the defense, the defense to build a wall in transition,

936
00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:24,720
Speaker 4: they can get back against Jannis. You've got Seth Curry

937
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:29,040
Speaker 4: and those shooters Danny Green versus the Bucks shooters, which

938
00:47:29,120 --> 00:47:32,959
Speaker 4: obviously have taken a downgrade. The Sixers bench is not great,

939
00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:35,279
Speaker 4: but it's not terrible. The Bucks bench has been bad.

940
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:38,319
Speaker 4: It's like Bobby Portis, who I love Bobby Portis, but

941
00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:41,320
Speaker 4: I don't want him in a playoff series in this environment.

942
00:47:41,480 --> 00:47:43,640
Speaker 4: The Bucks are gonna get tight. Buzz not gonna make

943
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:47,279
Speaker 4: the adjustments. It gets too tight at the end. I

944
00:47:47,320 --> 00:47:49,520
Speaker 4: think it's gonna be close, because I don't know, like

945
00:47:49,560 --> 00:47:51,279
Speaker 4: I think the last four minutes of this game, or

946
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:55,160
Speaker 4: a complete disaster. I think it's like Breeze versus Brady,

947
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 4: where it was just like, well, someone win this game.

948
00:47:58,600 --> 00:48:01,160
Speaker 4: I think that's honestly what it winds up being. But

949
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 4: I think the Sixers get a few more stops, draw

950
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:05,719
Speaker 4: a few more free throws, and be gets to go

951
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:08,040
Speaker 4: on Instagram, and the Sixers go to the finals.

952
00:48:09,800 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 2: I agree, Philadelphia. I think this is the team. This

953
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 2: is the matchup we wanted to have to see the

954
00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 2: Bucks overcome the last couple of years, and the Sixers

955
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:22,000
Speaker 2: never quite got there. This is a different Sixers team,

956
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:24,920
Speaker 2: This is a different Joel embiid Or. It's the same one,

957
00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:27,560
Speaker 2: but we're getting the good one every night instead of

958
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:30,000
Speaker 2: just whenever he feels like it or against you know,

959
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:34,240
Speaker 2: Cody Zeller or someone. And I think all that size,

960
00:48:34,239 --> 00:48:36,480
Speaker 2: all that strength, I don't think it's going to be

961
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:38,200
Speaker 2: a blowout. I think it's gonna be kind of one

962
00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:41,400
Speaker 2: of those ugly defensive sort of games. But I agree

963
00:48:41,440 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 2: the Sixers are headed back to the finals. Doc Rivers

964
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,920
Speaker 2: remains unbeaten in the playoffs when he has a championship

965
00:48:47,960 --> 00:48:52,560
Speaker 2: caliber starting five dating back to his won championship Boston

966
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:56,360
Speaker 2: Celtics team. So who will Philadelphia face in the finals.

967
00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 2: We're headed to Utah. Will the Jazz head back to

968
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:03,120
Speaker 2: the finals for the first time since the nineties, or

969
00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:05,480
Speaker 2: will the four seed Lakers pull the upset? Matt, do

970
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:06,640
Speaker 2: the Jazz have a chance here?

971
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:08,600
Speaker 4: Get out of here, Get out of here, Get out

972
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 4: of here. I love the like Look I took the

973
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:13,080
Speaker 4: Jazz to make it to the spot. That's great. No, no,

974
00:49:13,120 --> 00:49:15,359
Speaker 4: are you kidding? Utah is not beating the Lakers. Bet

975
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 4: the narrative. Ken Barkley always tells me this, bet the narrative.

976
00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:21,160
Speaker 4: This is the thing in the NBA. Well, Jazz art

977
00:49:21,239 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 4: beating Lebron. Come on, Davis is gonna is gonna stretch

978
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:28,239
Speaker 4: Gobert out, and Gobert is gonna get in that spot

979
00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:29,839
Speaker 4: he gets him with yogis where he doesn't know whether

980
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:31,440
Speaker 4: he should stay in the paint or he has to

981
00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:34,160
Speaker 4: come out. Davis is gonna miraculously even though he's at

982
00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 4: thirty percent three point shooter, He's gonna hit like three

983
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:38,359
Speaker 4: threes in this game. And he's gonna drive Jazz fans

984
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:41,600
Speaker 4: nuts because it's a stasistical outlier that always happens to them.

985
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 4: The Lakers are gonna be able to lock down and

986
00:49:43,480 --> 00:49:45,800
Speaker 4: put pressure on Mike Conley. Mitchell is gonna have a

987
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:48,040
Speaker 4: hard time with Lebron checking him for at least a

988
00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:50,560
Speaker 4: decent chunk of this game or helping over on him.

989
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,239
Speaker 4: They've got no post up threat because Gobert can't do

990
00:49:53,280 --> 00:49:56,400
Speaker 4: anything on his own. Ever. The Jazz are gonna put

991
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:58,200
Speaker 4: up a dec amount of points here because they got

992
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:00,000
Speaker 4: a lot of firepower. But this Lakers' offense is better

993
00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:02,720
Speaker 4: of this season. The Lakers get it done. The Lakers

994
00:50:02,760 --> 00:50:03,839
Speaker 4: win by ten.

995
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:06,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Matt summed it up. We can we

996
00:50:06,960 --> 00:50:09,319
Speaker 3: can skip this. Lakers going to the fight.

997
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 4: The Lakers ain't beating the Jazz, or the Jazz ain't

998
00:50:11,680 --> 00:50:12,360
Speaker 4: beating the Lakers.

999
00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:16,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, so I agree. The Lakers are in

1000
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:19,680
Speaker 2: the finals. So here we are. Big surprise. I'm sure

1001
00:50:20,080 --> 00:50:24,400
Speaker 2: Lakers sixers. We got our finals. We are still sticking

1002
00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:27,840
Speaker 2: with just the one game that's the NFL rules. Neutral site.

1003
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:30,520
Speaker 2: We're headed to Tampa, the mecca of the sports world

1004
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:34,960
Speaker 2: where everything happens. Neutral site, Tampa Stadium. I don't even

1005
00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:36,960
Speaker 2: know where you play basketball in Tampa. They'll find an

1006
00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:41,440
Speaker 2: outdoor court somewhere. Sixers Lakers, one game for all the

1007
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:43,760
Speaker 2: tostedos Raheem, what do you think?

1008
00:50:44,280 --> 00:50:45,240
Speaker 3: I'm going with the Lakers.

1009
00:50:45,239 --> 00:50:47,040
Speaker 5: I think you just always got a bat experience in

1010
00:50:47,080 --> 00:50:50,640
Speaker 5: this in this situation, and I mean, you're pretty much

1011
00:50:50,680 --> 00:50:54,600
Speaker 5: taking Lebron in a d versus Embiid and Simmons, and

1012
00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:57,680
Speaker 5: I just and also I don't really trust Doc. I mean,

1013
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:02,239
Speaker 5: I think Doc's an upgrade over Brown, but I'm not

1014
00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:04,680
Speaker 5: taking him in this high level situation.

1015
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:05,800
Speaker 3: So I'm going with the Lakers.

1016
00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:10,240
Speaker 2: Matt, you agree, you ride all the way.

1017
00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:12,760
Speaker 4: To the finals, and then you abandon them. You don't

1018
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:16,160
Speaker 4: trust Doc, but you trust ty Lou. What is going

1019
00:51:16,200 --> 00:51:18,279
Speaker 4: on with you? No, I like the Sixers in this game.

1020
00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 4: I think the Sixers win. Anthony Davis doesn't want to

1021
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:24,279
Speaker 4: play in the post, doesn't want to do it, doesn't

1022
00:51:24,280 --> 00:51:27,360
Speaker 4: want to get banged up. Anthony Anthony questionable to return.

1023
00:51:27,440 --> 00:51:30,160
Speaker 4: Davis does not want to play in the post. They'll

1024
00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:33,960
Speaker 4: put Mark Gasol on Embiid, and Gasol had a lot

1025
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:37,759
Speaker 4: of years where he played really well versus Embiid. Mark's

1026
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,880
Speaker 4: up there in age. Embiid's playing better this season. The

1027
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:42,759
Speaker 4: Lakers gonna send a double and so there's gonna be

1028
00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:45,040
Speaker 4: like eighteen turnovers that I'm gonna be annoyed as hell

1029
00:51:45,080 --> 00:51:47,840
Speaker 4: at with Embiid. But he's also gonna score enough for

1030
00:51:47,920 --> 00:51:49,920
Speaker 4: it not to matter. Their defense is gonna lock down.

1031
00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:52,239
Speaker 4: They got the perimeter defense, They've got the shooting to

1032
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:54,840
Speaker 4: be able to combat them. If I'm building a defender

1033
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:57,239
Speaker 4: to go at Lebron, it's Ben Simmons, Like, that's what

1034
00:51:57,280 --> 00:51:59,200
Speaker 4: I'm building is Ben Simmons. If I had to, I

1035
00:51:59,400 --> 00:52:02,160
Speaker 4: gotten a lab that's who I would want. I like

1036
00:52:02,200 --> 00:52:04,880
Speaker 4: to pick and roll situations. I like the bench matchups.

1037
00:52:05,239 --> 00:52:07,799
Speaker 4: I think the Sixers having a firepower and the most

1038
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:11,120
Speaker 4: especially the Sections have the defense to actually play big

1039
00:52:11,160 --> 00:52:14,319
Speaker 4: bully ball. You can't the Lakers want to bully you.

1040
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:17,680
Speaker 4: You can't bully the Sixers. They're too big, they're too strong,

1041
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:22,480
Speaker 4: they're too powerful, they're too fast. The Sixers get it done.

1042
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:26,160
Speaker 2: Oh boy, So I got to pick the winner here.

1043
00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:29,040
Speaker 2: I think I hate my own game that I've created.

1044
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:35,600
Speaker 2: We are Lakers Sixers. I like both sides here. I

1045
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:40,359
Speaker 2: do agree. It seems like most of us at Action

1046
00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:43,280
Speaker 2: Network or on the Sixers as the East favorite here.

1047
00:52:43,719 --> 00:52:46,920
Speaker 2: But for me. I'm not so much on the Sixers

1048
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 2: as I am off the other options. So I don't

1049
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:53,080
Speaker 2: know that I I don't know that I love the

1050
00:52:53,120 --> 00:52:56,520
Speaker 2: Sixers here, though I do. I like the matchup problems

1051
00:52:56,520 --> 00:52:58,880
Speaker 2: that they have with their size. That's what we've been

1052
00:52:58,920 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 2: waiting for, is the chance to see those matchup problems

1053
00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:05,400
Speaker 2: play out. I agree, I don't love Anthony Davis against

1054
00:53:05,480 --> 00:53:09,279
Speaker 2: Embiid in the post, and I know that it just

1055
00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:13,200
Speaker 2: this is reductionist thinking. But at the end of the day,

1056
00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:16,520
Speaker 2: we got a Game seven for the championship, and one

1057
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:20,759
Speaker 2: team has Lebron, the other team has Embiid and Simmons,

1058
00:53:21,040 --> 00:53:25,359
Speaker 2: Tobias Harris, Seth Curry. I just haven't seen it from

1059
00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:27,839
Speaker 2: any of those guys. You know, like Seth Curry is

1060
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:31,799
Speaker 2: not putting up big numbers in his Liberty days of

1061
00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:35,480
Speaker 2: playing in the playoffs back then. Tobias Harris, what experience

1062
00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:38,800
Speaker 2: does he have? Ben Simmons, Well, you know what, who's

1063
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:42,880
Speaker 2: gonna score for Philadelphia against the Lakers? You said the

1064
00:53:42,880 --> 00:53:45,680
Speaker 2: Sixers defense, What about the Lakers defense? This is going

1065
00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:48,360
Speaker 2: to be a rock fight. I think I don't trust

1066
00:53:48,360 --> 00:53:53,120
Speaker 2: either team a ton to score, but I think that's

1067
00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:55,640
Speaker 2: going to be a close game. The pressure is gonna

1068
00:53:55,680 --> 00:53:58,440
Speaker 2: get higher and higher late in the game. I don't

1069
00:53:58,480 --> 00:54:01,799
Speaker 2: know who I trust on Philadelphia when that pressure ramps up.

1070
00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:04,840
Speaker 2: I know who I trust on the Lakers, and I

1071
00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:07,560
Speaker 2: just have to I can't pick against Lebron in this spot.

1072
00:54:07,640 --> 00:54:08,920
Speaker 2: So for me, it's the Lakers.

1073
00:54:09,560 --> 00:54:12,399
Speaker 5: We just watched this team almost choke away a game

1074
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:16,520
Speaker 5: that they dominated like two weeks ago, and I think,

1075
00:54:16,680 --> 00:54:20,760
Speaker 5: you know, in a final situation, that pressure is even higher.

1076
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:24,160
Speaker 5: So it's just like, I can't take the sixers in

1077
00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:25,280
Speaker 5: the spot. I just can't.

1078
00:54:26,120 --> 00:54:28,040
Speaker 4: But at the same time, Lebron's getting old. The other

1079
00:54:28,080 --> 00:54:30,160
Speaker 4: thing I would say is I don't trust a D.

1080
00:54:31,239 --> 00:54:34,680
Speaker 4: I don't trust a D. I'll say that AD has

1081
00:54:34,719 --> 00:54:36,560
Speaker 4: never been think about it, has ad been in the

1082
00:54:36,600 --> 00:54:42,400
Speaker 4: pressure situation. They rolled through everybody in the playoffs. He

1083
00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:46,799
Speaker 4: has never been in a must win situation. That's fair

1084
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 4: something to think about. I trust Lebron for sure. The

1085
00:54:51,640 --> 00:54:54,759
Speaker 4: rest of that team, I'm not like, oh, they're nails.

1086
00:54:55,239 --> 00:54:57,480
Speaker 4: So I think it's interesting. I think it it'd be

1087
00:54:57,520 --> 00:55:00,520
Speaker 4: a really fun, interesting match. This is a great extrac Brandon,

1088
00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:02,960
Speaker 4: I really I really enjoyed it. Let us know what

1089
00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:05,480
Speaker 4: you guys think on Twitter. You can also follow the

1090
00:55:05,520 --> 00:55:08,879
Speaker 4: Action Network at Action Network HQ. It's Wednesday, guys, We've

1091
00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:09,880
Speaker 4: got one pick.

1092
00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:13,839
Speaker 3: Dig In certainly does look delicious.

1093
00:55:14,080 --> 00:55:19,080
Speaker 1: It's the Wednesday NBA buffet. Chew and swallow, no savory.

1094
00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:21,880
Speaker 4: We're switching up the buffet. You get one one meal

1095
00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:24,640
Speaker 4: to shout down on for the Wednesday night Action Brandon,

1096
00:55:24,640 --> 00:55:25,480
Speaker 4: what's your pick for night?

1097
00:55:26,040 --> 00:55:26,319
Speaker 3: All right?

1098
00:55:26,360 --> 00:55:28,399
Speaker 2: If I only get one, I gotta take a prop.

1099
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:30,440
Speaker 2: And if I only get one prop, I gotta go

1100
00:55:30,560 --> 00:55:34,120
Speaker 2: back to old faithful. I'm taking a center at a

1101
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:39,000
Speaker 2: zero point five number, ladies and gentlemen. Daniel Gafford starting

1102
00:55:39,120 --> 00:55:43,799
Speaker 2: center Chicago Bulls under zero point five assists, That is

1103
00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:46,400
Speaker 2: at plus one fifty two at fan Duel. Get it

1104
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:48,720
Speaker 2: while it's there, because these tiny lines have a tendency

1105
00:55:48,719 --> 00:55:53,400
Speaker 2: to disappear. Gafford is starting with Wendell Carter out. Gafford

1106
00:55:53,400 --> 00:55:55,960
Speaker 2: has not had an assist in ten of the seventeen

1107
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:58,560
Speaker 2: games this season, even though he's starting. He's had two

1108
00:55:58,680 --> 00:56:01,879
Speaker 2: ten minute starts. He's out were under fifteen minutes a game.

1109
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:05,319
Speaker 2: For his career, he averages one assist every twenty nine

1110
00:56:05,360 --> 00:56:08,600
Speaker 2: minutes and on top of that. Dad Young out of

1111
00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:11,880
Speaker 2: nowhere has like twenty eight assists the last three games.

1112
00:56:12,080 --> 00:56:14,760
Speaker 2: He's been coming off the bench, like playing this pivot

1113
00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:19,360
Speaker 2: center thing, and I expect more of that. Gafford, you know,

1114
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:22,440
Speaker 2: he's a rim runner, so he's playing up against Mitchell Robinson.

1115
00:56:23,000 --> 00:56:25,160
Speaker 2: He had a decent enough game his last time out.

1116
00:56:25,520 --> 00:56:27,960
Speaker 2: But history says Gafford is not really doing a lot

1117
00:56:27,960 --> 00:56:30,600
Speaker 2: of passing. He basically touches the ball when it's right

1118
00:56:30,600 --> 00:56:34,080
Speaker 2: here at the rim going through. So Daniel Gafford under well,

1119
00:56:34,200 --> 00:56:36,759
Speaker 2: Daniel Gafford zero assists plus one fifty two.

1120
00:56:37,239 --> 00:56:39,120
Speaker 4: I'm gonna stab You'll ask with his fool, do you

1121
00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:39,440
Speaker 4: hear me?

1122
00:56:40,040 --> 00:56:40,759
Speaker 3: I would love that.

1123
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:44,400
Speaker 5: Rahiem, what you pick the night, I'm going with the

1124
00:56:44,440 --> 00:56:48,520
Speaker 5: Oklahoma City Thunder team total under one oh seven. You

1125
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:51,160
Speaker 5: know these two teams, they played the Rockets on Monday.

1126
00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:54,080
Speaker 5: The Thunder only scored one hundred and six points. Now

1127
00:56:54,120 --> 00:56:59,040
Speaker 5: they'll be without Shotgill Gildess Alexander. He dominates their offense.

1128
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:01,920
Speaker 5: He's pretty much the point the higher score. You know,

1129
00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:04,360
Speaker 5: when I took the under the other day and pretty

1130
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:07,600
Speaker 5: much the Rockets they shot fifty three percent from May

1131
00:57:07,680 --> 00:57:09,919
Speaker 5: twenty eight, threes. I actually like the full game under

1132
00:57:09,920 --> 00:57:13,040
Speaker 5: as well, but I just don't see how Oklahoma City

1133
00:57:13,040 --> 00:57:15,280
Speaker 5: scores without shotguil just Alexander.

1134
00:57:15,320 --> 00:57:18,800
Speaker 3: They don't have George Hill. The Rockets have.

1135
00:57:18,760 --> 00:57:20,560
Speaker 5: Had one of the best defenses in the league since

1136
00:57:20,560 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 5: they traded James Harden. They're allowing one hundred and two

1137
00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:27,040
Speaker 5: points per one hundred possessions. I like the Oklahoma City

1138
00:57:27,040 --> 00:57:29,680
Speaker 5: Thunder team total under one oh seven. You play full

1139
00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:31,200
Speaker 5: game under as well to twenty two.

1140
00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:34,200
Speaker 4: I don't want to ever be in a situation where, Okay,

1141
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:35,960
Speaker 4: so you can screw me. How many times have they

1142
00:57:35,960 --> 00:57:38,840
Speaker 4: done weird stuff this season? Like they've like they've done

1143
00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:41,960
Speaker 4: some weird stuff this season. They are, they're crazy in

1144
00:57:42,240 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 4: that fourth quarter. They're really well coached. Like I get

1145
00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:49,080
Speaker 4: where you're coming from, but I personally, I just don't

1146
00:57:49,120 --> 00:57:51,240
Speaker 4: ever want to be in a spot where I'm like,

1147
00:57:51,320 --> 00:57:54,960
Speaker 4: as long as the Thunder don't do anything crazy, I

1148
00:57:54,960 --> 00:57:57,240
Speaker 4: don't want to do that. Like that's just they're a

1149
00:57:57,280 --> 00:57:59,160
Speaker 4: weird team this season that think they are.

1150
00:57:59,280 --> 00:58:01,280
Speaker 5: But I mean my number, my number puts the game

1151
00:58:01,320 --> 00:58:04,560
Speaker 5: at two twenty to twenty one, yeah, to twenty I get,

1152
00:58:04,680 --> 00:58:06,560
Speaker 5: So it's like I got I gotta play the number,

1153
00:58:06,600 --> 00:58:08,280
Speaker 5: and then I just I don't. I don't see how

1154
00:58:08,360 --> 00:58:09,560
Speaker 5: offensive output from them.

1155
00:58:09,800 --> 00:58:12,880
Speaker 4: Now. I get you gotta play the model. I get.

1156
00:58:12,960 --> 00:58:15,560
Speaker 4: I get that, and I really like this Rockets defense.

1157
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:18,160
Speaker 4: So I think the market is still adjusting to them.

1158
00:58:18,200 --> 00:58:20,440
Speaker 4: So I all hate the pick. It just makes me nervous.

1159
00:58:20,880 --> 00:58:22,880
Speaker 4: Mine for the night. I got trend for you guys.

1160
00:58:22,880 --> 00:58:25,440
Speaker 4: You guys ready for this since twenty fourteen to fifteen.

1161
00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:27,560
Speaker 4: So that's the start of like the Warriors era, right

1162
00:58:27,640 --> 00:58:30,240
Speaker 4: Like when Kerk came in the Rockets really transitioned to

1163
00:58:30,240 --> 00:58:31,959
Speaker 4: shooting a ton of threes, is when the three point

1164
00:58:31,960 --> 00:58:35,120
Speaker 4: model really started to shift. Since twenty fourteen to fifteen.

1165
00:58:35,840 --> 00:58:39,919
Speaker 4: In games in which the opponent hit twenty or more

1166
00:58:39,960 --> 00:58:42,320
Speaker 4: threes in their previous game, twenty threes is a ton,

1167
00:58:42,640 --> 00:58:44,600
Speaker 4: right Like, that's like shooting the lights out. You hit

1168
00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:47,760
Speaker 4: twenty threes in the game, that is a metric ton, okay.

1169
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:50,520
Speaker 4: In games in which that has happened in the game

1170
00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:55,120
Speaker 4: after the under has gone thirty three and nineteen for

1171
00:58:55,840 --> 00:59:01,000
Speaker 4: sixty four point five percent, okay. Also, I'm taking the

1172
00:59:01,040 --> 00:59:04,080
Speaker 4: sixers in this game versus the Charlotte Hornets, who hit

1173
00:59:04,440 --> 00:59:07,480
Speaker 4: more than twenty threes in the previous game. The favorite

1174
00:59:08,160 --> 00:59:10,040
Speaker 4: in the game in which the opponent hit twenty or

1175
00:59:10,040 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 4: more threes in the previous game is thirty four and

1176
00:59:13,440 --> 00:59:17,360
Speaker 4: eighteen for sixty five percent against the spread. So I'm

1177
00:59:17,400 --> 00:59:20,480
Speaker 4: taking the sixers and I'm taking the under in this

1178
00:59:20,600 --> 00:59:23,560
Speaker 4: game as the regression hits the Hornets. I've played this

1179
00:59:23,640 --> 00:59:25,720
Speaker 4: spot continuously since I found the trend, and it has

1180
00:59:25,760 --> 00:59:28,000
Speaker 4: worked out for me. Unless it's the Kings. Don't do

1181
00:59:28,040 --> 00:59:30,240
Speaker 4: it with the Kings. Don't do it with the Kings ever,

1182
00:59:30,440 --> 00:59:32,760
Speaker 4: because the Kings will screw you. Listen to me. People

1183
00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:35,440
Speaker 4: don't get screwed by the Kings very bad. Let's go

1184
00:59:35,520 --> 00:59:36,800
Speaker 4: to wrap it up for the Action Network. Hope you

1185
00:59:36,800 --> 00:59:39,640
Speaker 4: guys enjoyed this episode. We will be back next week.

1186
00:59:39,720 --> 00:59:42,040
Speaker 4: Make sure to check out all the great shows on

1187
00:59:42,080 --> 00:59:46,360
Speaker 4: our podcast from college football, obviously Super Bowl preview week,

1188
00:59:46,720 --> 00:59:48,800
Speaker 4: all of the awesome stuff. Make sure I download our

1189
00:59:48,880 --> 00:59:51,439
Speaker 4: award winning app and we'll talk to you guys again

1190
00:59:51,520 --> 01:00:01,640
Speaker 4: next week on the Action Network NBA Podcast.

1191
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:05,720
Speaker 3: We're finished talking