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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown

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Speaker 1: is yours. Happy Friday, Happy twenty twenty six. NFL Week

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Speaker 1: eighteen is upon us. I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by my

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Speaker 1: two faves and your two faves, the Prime Minister of

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Speaker 1: Degenerate Nation Stuckey, and the Queen of the Pod, Miss

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Speaker 1: Kendra Middleton. You guys look as young as you did

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five. On today's episode, we're going to

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Speaker 1: submit our official plays for the week. We've got our

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Speaker 1: stat of the Day courtesy of Evan Abrams coming up

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Speaker 1: in a moment, two Kings and a Queen parlay. We've

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Speaker 1: got some Sling TV nominations to get to as well.

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Speaker 1: Three games that Kendra has excluded from the Rundown Chiefs, Raiders, Cowboys, Giants, Vikings, Packers. Sayonara, Kendra,

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Speaker 1: are we sticking with that these games not.

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Speaker 2: To be discussed?

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Speaker 3: Dead to me? He who shall not.

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Speaker 2: Be named, Yeah, I'm good with that.

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Speaker 1: Let's kick things off with Evans shrimply unbelievable stat of

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Speaker 1: the week straight from the primer, the thirteen and three

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Speaker 1: Seahawks and the twelve and four San Francisco forty nine Ers.

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Speaker 1: They play Saturday night for the NFC West Crown since

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Speaker 1: nineteen ninety. This is just the second Week seventeen or

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Speaker 1: Week eighteen divisional matchup in which both teams have a

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Speaker 1: seventy five percent win percentage. The other was last year

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Speaker 1: the Vikings and the Lions Week eighteen game, also featuring

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Speaker 1: Sam Darnald in a game that was won by the

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Speaker 1: Detroit Lions. Donald's stat line in that game eighteen of

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Speaker 1: forty one, one hundred and sixty six yards with a

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Speaker 1: QB rating of fifty five stucky. Should we be concerned

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Speaker 1: about a Sam Darnald pressure spot meltdown type of game.

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Speaker 4: No, I wouldn't say meltdown. I mean in that game

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Speaker 4: he was under a ton of pressure. But the forty

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Speaker 4: nine ers are incapable of generating any pressure. So I

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Speaker 4: think a lot of clean pockets stop right in and when

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Speaker 4: you can get pressure on Donald, that's when he really

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Speaker 4: starts to falter. But I will say I don't that

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Speaker 4: this Seattle offense is trending in the wrong direction. I mean,

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Speaker 4: if you look at it's basically in the tail of

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Speaker 4: two seasons. First nine weeks of the year, they were

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Speaker 4: second in drop back EPA per play, Donald had sixteen touchdowns,

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Speaker 4: five interceptions, twenty one to four big time throw to

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Speaker 4: turnover worthy play rate elite numbers. However, since Week ten,

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Speaker 4: they've fallen all the way to twenty third in the league,

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Speaker 4: and drop back EPA per play Donald has the same

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Speaker 4: number of touchdowns and interceptions, so he went from twenty

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Speaker 4: one to four ratio to nine to nine, eight big

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Speaker 4: time throws, fourteen turnover worthy plays. I think this offense

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Speaker 4: has been figured out a bit. They use a lot

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Speaker 4: of heavy personnel, they're very reliant on play action. Teams

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Speaker 4: are just saying, hey, you can run the ball if

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Speaker 4: you want. We're gonna take away the explosive passing play.

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Speaker 4: We're gonna bracket JSN make sure he doesn't beat us.

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Speaker 4: And that's really put this Seattle offense in a bit

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Speaker 4: of a blender, you know, And it really started in

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Speaker 4: Week ten. They got away with it for a couple

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Speaker 4: of weeks. You wouldn't be able to tell by their

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Speaker 4: scorers because they were scoring on defense and special teams.

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Speaker 4: But this offense is not operating anywhere close to the

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Speaker 4: same level that it was in the first half of

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Speaker 4: the year. And that's what you can expect from the

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Speaker 4: forty nine Ers year. It is a bad defense, especially

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Speaker 4: since losing Warner and Bosa. I think they haven't had

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Speaker 4: either since Week seven, and over that time frame they

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Speaker 4: rank thirtieth in success rate, ahead of only the Cardinals

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Speaker 4: and Commanders. So it's a bad defense. They can't get pressure.

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Speaker 4: So you know what Sale is gonna do here is

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Speaker 4: he's going to play a lot of deep zone. He's

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Speaker 4: going to force Seattle to methodically drive the field without

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Speaker 4: you know, Darnald making a mistake, which he's always prone toing. Hope,

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Speaker 4: hopefully they can find a way to get a pressure

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Speaker 4: or two on Keith third down to force a stop.

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Speaker 4: So I don't think this has a Darnald disaster game

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Speaker 4: written all over just because of the quality of the

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Speaker 4: San Francisco defense, but it's definitely a concern come playoff time.

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Speaker 4: And you do have to keep in mind that Seattle

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Speaker 4: is most likely without their left tackle again and that's

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Speaker 4: been an issue as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we have both tackles that are questionable in this game,

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Speaker 1: so perhaps evening out between Trent Williams and Charles cross.

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Speaker 4: Kittle two is questionable, which is just massive, Like you

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Speaker 4: can get away with that against I mean the forty

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Speaker 4: nine ers. Their offense has been on fire, but I

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Speaker 4: mean they have played some horrendous defenses over the past

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Speaker 4: six weeks. I mean they've played the Titans, the Panthers,

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Speaker 4: the Bears. Who else I'm trying to think of. Who

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Speaker 4: am I forgetting? Oh, the Cardinals and the Colts. The

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Speaker 4: Colts had no corners. The Cardinals entire defense was hurt.

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Speaker 4: Tennis these defense was hurt as well. Chicago's dealing with injuries.

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Speaker 4: So you know, you'd take those four teams who are

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Speaker 4: really bad defenses and at injuries. They averaged forty two

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Speaker 4: points per game, But if you look at the other

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Speaker 4: two games Cleveland, they only averaged three point nine yards

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Speaker 4: per play. They got a bunch of short fields, some

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Speaker 4: fluky stuff. And then against the against Carolina, it was

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Speaker 4: also a below average defense, not terrible, but not a

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Speaker 4: good defense. Party through three interceptions. So there's a little

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Speaker 4: bit of fools gold in this forty nine Ers offense

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Speaker 4: because of the level of competition they face. No doubt,

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Speaker 4: party's on fire and the offense is rolling, but they

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Speaker 4: definitely face a pretty easy schedule of late you can

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Speaker 4: get away without Kittle without having Kittle in those games,

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Speaker 4: but against Seattle its number two in EPA per play

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Speaker 4: on defense. I think you need him. Not only do

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Speaker 4: you need his playmaking, but you need his blocking in

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Speaker 4: the run game, especially if Williams can't go. So that's

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Speaker 4: a big one to.

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Speaker 2: Watch, Kendra.

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Speaker 1: How about this As far as Brock Purty goes, the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers are seven to one outright, six and

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Speaker 1: two against the spread when Brock Party starts a game

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Speaker 1: this year, So not only on fire statistically, but on

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Speaker 1: fire in terms of those that have been backing San Francisco.

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Speaker 5: Let me ask you guys this, because this is what

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Speaker 5: I'm looking at in this game. The Coach of the

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Speaker 5: Year race is probably the closest in all of the awards.

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Speaker 3: In my opinion.

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Speaker 5: You gotta think Ben Johnson, you gotta think Liam Cohen,

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Speaker 5: and you got to think these two guys. Does the

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Speaker 5: winner of this game kind of maybe become our Coach

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Speaker 5: of the Year.

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Speaker 1: Let's see where the odds are right now, because I'm

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Speaker 1: with you as far as the trying to figure out

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Speaker 1: who to give this award to is a total crapshoot

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Speaker 1: because there's so many coaches that deserve this, and Mike

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Speaker 1: Rabel is a big part of that with the turnaround.

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Speaker 3: Yeah him two.

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Speaker 5: I just think the correct I was gonna say, I

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Speaker 5: think the current discourse surrounding the Patriots, like regardless if

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Speaker 5: if it like right now, they're just allegations and there's

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Speaker 5: no way to have an opinion about allegations. But I

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Speaker 5: think some of that noise surrounding the Patriots right now

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Speaker 5: is silently going to hurt him.

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Speaker 2: So Rabel is the odds on favorite. He's minus. He's

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Speaker 2: the only one with minus odds. He's at minus.

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Speaker 3: That's kind of crazy to me.

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Speaker 1: And Shanahan is right behind him, and to me, that's

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Speaker 1: I've been on the the forty nine ers are underrated

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Speaker 1: train here. But even that, I think Liam Cohen maybe

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Speaker 1: it's the state of Florida.

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Speaker 3: Johnson though, like.

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Speaker 1: Ben Johnson's thirty five to one and Sean Payton, it

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Speaker 1: should also be mentioned. I mean, I just don't even

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Speaker 1: know where to go with this. To me, it's not

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Speaker 1: like a betable angle to this, because I have no idea.

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Speaker 1: You just flip several coins here.

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Speaker 4: I think that if the San Francisco wins, it's Shanahan

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Speaker 4: gets it. If they lose, it's rabel because if Shannan

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Speaker 4: gets this team to the one seed, right like without

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Speaker 4: with all the injuries that they've had on defense. I

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Speaker 4: mean everyone including me was basically writing them off.

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Speaker 2: And half the season with the backup quarterback too.

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Speaker 4: Backup quarterback. You know, they've had injuries on an offense

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Speaker 4: too that they've had to deal with, you know, Brandon

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Speaker 4: Ayuk like there, Pierce, Yeah, yeah, I think that that's

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Speaker 4: that's how it's going to go. But I don't know.

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Speaker 4: I'm not an award expert, but I think if the

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Speaker 4: forty nine ers win, small underdogs, then you got to

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Speaker 4: give it to Shanahan. If not, I think you give

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Speaker 4: it to Raybels. Assuming that they win. I think that's

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Speaker 4: how it's going to go. But if you're looking for

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Speaker 4: an actionable award, bet I look at Dee and an

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Speaker 4: ap NFL Defensive Player of the Year Miles Garrett minus

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Speaker 4: twenty thousand. So if you want to bet one hundred

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Speaker 4: dollars to win fifty cents, that's a that's a winner

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Speaker 4: right there. I'm kidding, but I don't know. I think

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Speaker 4: that that's how it's gonna get up. But we'll be hussy.

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Speaker 1: By the way, as we're talking about this on Draft Kings,

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Speaker 1: Ben Johnson went from thirty five to one to thirty

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Speaker 1: to one.

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Speaker 3: So, Kendrick, I think that that's so crazy.

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Speaker 2: What are you doing right? Moving lines? Oh?

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Speaker 3: Baby?

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Speaker 5: Maybe who's to say, I've only been talking about it

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Speaker 5: at work all week?

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Speaker 1: Okay, well there's something to that. Then back to football

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Speaker 1: in a moment. Time to do this for the first

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Speaker 1: time in twenty twenty six, Let's delve into the weird,

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Speaker 1: the bizarre, the random as we kick it over to

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Speaker 1: Stucky for a random Question of the week.

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Speaker 3: Hey, this is a dumb question.

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Speaker 2: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?

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Speaker 4: Is that is question if you could only choose two

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Speaker 4: sports to watch and beat to all other sports, and

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Speaker 4: like college football is separate from NFL, Like, so you

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Speaker 4: think about like a betting menu on DraftKings, like you

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Speaker 4: can only choose two and those are the only ones

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Speaker 4: you can watch too, so you got to take I have.

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Speaker 5: A question, So what like the would I have to

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Speaker 5: choose between like the Premier League, the World Cup and

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Speaker 5: the Olympics or what could I just say soccer?

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Speaker 2: Now you can just say soccer so much ground.

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Speaker 4: So now, but yeah, let's make it. Let's just make

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Speaker 4: it American sports. So just American sports. So you could say,

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Speaker 4: like I mean, if you wanted to say MLS, but

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Speaker 4: no one's going to say that, So just Americans sports.

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Speaker 4: So it's like NBA, NHL, NFL, college football, college basketball.

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Speaker 4: You could say like F one, Kendra, or NASCAR or anything,

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Speaker 4: but you can only choose to The rest are completely dead.

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Speaker 4: You don't even know scores, you can't bet it, you

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Speaker 4: can't watch it. It's blacked out on your phone and

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Speaker 4: your TV.

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Speaker 1: Oh god, this is so ridiculously easy for me. I'm

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Speaker 1: just going to answer and then like Kendra hem and

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Speaker 1: hall over her response, NFL NBA, next question, I would

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Speaker 1: miss betting on Major League Baseball, but there's no way

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Speaker 1: I'd give up the NFL or the NBA from a

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Speaker 1: viewing or from a gambling perspective.

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Speaker 2: So that, to me, this is so easy one.

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Speaker 4: The tough thing about the NFL, though, is I mean,

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Speaker 4: now they're taking over like every day of the year,

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Speaker 4: but like it's only the majority of it is like

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Speaker 4: eighteen regular season days, right, So like when it comes

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Speaker 4: to like betting and watching, like the consider the good

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Speaker 4: the consideration with NBA, NHL, MLB is you have games

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Speaker 4: like every day for months and months and months and months.

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Speaker 4: So that's the only tough that's the tough thing about

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Speaker 4: the NFL. So I think, as this is really tough

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Speaker 4: for me, Kendro, I'll let you go first.

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Speaker 1: It would be really tough to not bet on March

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Speaker 1: Madness as well.

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Speaker 3: You can't even watch it. I have to.

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Speaker 5: I have to say, if we're just doing American sports,

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna say NFL and college football because those are

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Speaker 5: like my two favorites, and I'm fine with it just

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Speaker 5: being like a grind for like twenty five weeks a

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Speaker 5: year and then living your life the rest of the time,

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Speaker 5: especially when the weather's nice. But if we weren't just

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Speaker 5: doing it's it's close with half one for me, but

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Speaker 5: football forever and always. But if we were allowed to

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Speaker 5: do international sports, I would say the NFL and soccer.

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Speaker 2: I would not be able to drop soccer from my list.

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Speaker 3: Fast enough, uncultured swine.

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Speaker 1: That sport is I've tried in culture. You have a

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Speaker 1: team in my backyard in Orlando.

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Speaker 2: I can't. I just can't do it.

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Speaker 3: Because you're watching the MLS.

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Speaker 2: Well even internationally.

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Speaker 1: I understand, like I get into the World Cup to

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Speaker 1: a degree, But if I was told tomorrow soccer has

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Speaker 1: been canceled across the globe, I would have zero reaction

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Speaker 1: to it.

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Speaker 3: Uncultured boo the sport.

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Speaker 4: That's if I could never choose NBA as one of

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Speaker 4: my two sports. Imagine I'd have to care about the

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Speaker 4: NBA regular season and watch it.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god, that's my daily life. So funny.

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Speaker 4: So I'm crossing off. And then yeah, I mean the

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Speaker 4: way that I look at it, my grind now, I

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Speaker 4: mean I used to bet MLB every day. I don't

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Speaker 4: really have an edge anymore, and I kind of have

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Speaker 4: just dabble now. So I'm taking my summer and my

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Speaker 4: spring just to do football and maybe college basketball prep

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Speaker 4: and travel and relax. So I got to cover like

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Speaker 4: August two, the end of March. My first love is

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Speaker 4: college basketball, and that is like every day games every

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Speaker 4: day from you know, November through March madness. So that's one,

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Speaker 4: and then it comes down to NFL or college football.

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Speaker 4: I mean, there's more games in college football, so I

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Speaker 4: got to go college football. So I'm going to go

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Speaker 4: all college I guess I'm wearing BBOC. It would sough

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Speaker 4: to give up the NFL. But that's why this is

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Speaker 4: a tough question, Evan, What do you got.

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Speaker 6: My order of just events of things like this would

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Speaker 6: be NFL, March bad in this, World Cup, college football,

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Speaker 6: and then NHL, NBA.

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Speaker 7: And MLB playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Ten sports.

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Speaker 6: So NFL and March Madness, I guess would be the

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Speaker 6: answers if it's college basketball.

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Speaker 7: But I probably go NFL and World Cup.

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Speaker 4: You have to choose. You have to choose one. You

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Speaker 4: can only bet this this sport. You can't bet any

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Speaker 4: other sport. Do you only get you too?

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Speaker 6: Then I'd probably go NFL and college football if it's

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Speaker 6: just like a whole sport that I have to bet on.

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Speaker 4: Unless so, yeah, I'm going I'm going all college for

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Speaker 4: the volume. But yeah, dropping NFL would I have to

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Speaker 4: really think about it.

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Speaker 1: I would save me so much money if I dropped

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Speaker 1: the NFL. It is the hard I find the NFL

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Speaker 1: to be the toughest. It's the most fun sport to bet,

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Speaker 1: but also the most aggravating.

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Speaker 4: I make super the most efficient of any of the

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Speaker 4: major sports out there by.

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Speaker 1: Far, and you just get so emotionally invested. It's just

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Speaker 1: such a uh you wait all week for it, and.

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Speaker 3: The one because there's only twenty drive Well, now there's

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Speaker 3: twenty two drives.

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Speaker 4: One that is I think I would drop that fast.

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Speaker 4: Thann NBA be.

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Speaker 7: Fair crap, but you don't really wait all week for

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Speaker 7: the NFL anymore.

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Speaker 3: So yes, yeah, fair, we're roasted.

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Speaker 1: We're a full slate. But yes, uh you know what,

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Speaker 1: give me Tuesday games? Okay, Tyger waiting as it is,

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Speaker 1: Let's get the action or distraction.

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Speaker 4: This is distracted, distracted.

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Speaker 3: I'm not stacked.

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Speaker 4: I want it on the action.

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson says that he is playing on Sunday night

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Speaker 1: against the Steelers. He says that he will be out

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Speaker 1: there one hundred percent. The line is not budged. So

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Speaker 1: I guess everybody just assumed that this would be the case.

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Speaker 2: Action or distraction.

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Speaker 1: Kendra on Lamar's health heading into this game, is that

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Speaker 1: enough to make you want in or out of either side?

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Speaker 5: I I hate to use the word lean, but I

307
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Speaker 5: lean Ravens anyway, especially because we all knew that this

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Speaker 5: was the direction it.

309
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Speaker 3: Was gonna go.

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Speaker 5: My apprehension to get into this game is just because

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Speaker 5: I think that people, everyone is an idiot. I'm scared

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Speaker 5: they're not going to play Derek Henry. I'm scared Lamar

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Speaker 5: is gonna get hurt again. I am scared of this situation.

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Speaker 5: And it's insane that this unhinged asshole Lions fan is

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Speaker 5: probably going to dictate the AFC North and I am

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Speaker 5: not happy about it because if DK's in this game,

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Speaker 5: he's good for a point and a half. This is

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Speaker 5: a lot different, Like, this is a lot different. We're

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Speaker 5: having a very different discussion here, and I just hate

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Speaker 5: that this is how we are going to get this

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Speaker 5: game now, so too many question marks. Like I said, Lean, Ravens,

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Speaker 5: we all knew this was going to happen. If you

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Speaker 5: love the Ravens, I'm sure this makes you feel better.

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Speaker 1: I think lean hate of quick sidebar has gone too far.

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Speaker 1: If you're in the sports betting content industry, you can't

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Speaker 1: shouldn't bet on everything, but you should probably have an

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Speaker 1: opinion on everything. And I hear that far too often

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Speaker 1: and people are like, Ah, this person said Lean, that's

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Speaker 1: so lame.

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Speaker 2: What do you want? Do you want?

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Speaker 3: People have a synonym?

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Speaker 1: Had a Yeah, let's come up with a different word

333
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Speaker 1: for it, because it's probably overused. But I just offer

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Speaker 1: you some reprieve. I think lean hate has gone too far.

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Speaker 1: What about you, Stuckey? Where are you at on this

336
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Speaker 1: on this game? I'm on the sidelines as it stands

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Speaker 1: right now.

338
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Speaker 4: I mean, honestly, I don't know that's I think the

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00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:37,679
Speaker 4: right answer, because we just don't know what Lamar is

340
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Speaker 4: going to look like and is he really one hundred percent?

341
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Speaker 4: And if not, is he ninety? Is he eighty? Is

342
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Speaker 4: he seventy? He's had so many injuries all year, and

343
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Speaker 4: we really we've seen just like a couple of flashes

344
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Speaker 4: here and there, but we haven't really seen the full Lamar.

345
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Speaker 4: I think that's a stretch to expect him to be

346
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Speaker 4: fully offy with the same and then that impacts And

347
00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:04,480
Speaker 4: by the way, the Steelers have done as good of

348
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Speaker 4: a job against Lamar with their defense as any team

349
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Speaker 4: in the league. But if he just doesn't have that

350
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Speaker 4: same burst and you know, mobility, that impacts the entire

351
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Speaker 4: rushing game.

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Speaker 3: He was allegedly going to play this weekend.

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Speaker 2: That's big.

354
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Speaker 4: Who's that?

355
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Speaker 2: T J?

356
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Speaker 4: Yeah, and the Steelers defense should be healthier this week.

357
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Speaker 4: For what it's worth, This is I always bring the

358
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Speaker 4: stat up because it's pretty crazy when these two teams

359
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:39,680
Speaker 4: have played since Harball and Tomlin have been there any

360
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:45,080
Speaker 4: whenever the underdog of three or more points is twenty three.

361
00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:51,800
Speaker 4: So twenty wins, three losses, and three pushes twenty and

362
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Speaker 4: three against the spread. That's insane. The underdog catching three

363
00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,920
Speaker 4: or more in this matchup. They're usually close, they're usually

364
00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:02,200
Speaker 4: low scoring. I do think, I mean you said Mecha

365
00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:03,479
Speaker 4: might be worth one and a half points. It might

366
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Speaker 4: be more than that, honestly, because yeah.

367
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Speaker 3: I think that that's what books would give him. But

368
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:08,600
Speaker 3: I agree with you, it's more.

369
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Speaker 4: And like it's because they just don't have anyone else

370
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:15,320
Speaker 4: who can get open, and you don't have to just

371
00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,959
Speaker 4: the gravity of Metcalf when he's out there, and they

372
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,840
Speaker 4: haven't hit explosive plays all year except for that game

373
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:22,919
Speaker 4: against Baltimore earlier this season, but a lot of that

374
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Speaker 4: was Metcalf, and you just don't have to you don't

375
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,359
Speaker 4: have to respect any of the other receivers, so that

376
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:31,000
Speaker 4: enables you to defend the run and dedicate more resources

377
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Speaker 4: to the box. Now, the one thing is the Ravens

378
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 4: don't get much pressure, so maybe Rogers will be more

379
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,120
Speaker 4: comfortable than he was last week. Against Cleveland, which can

380
00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,520
Speaker 4: get pressured in the league level. But you just don't know.

381
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Speaker 4: On Lamar, I think that it's smart to probably play him,

382
00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 4: and he gives you the best chance to win a

383
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,879
Speaker 4: super Bowl because part of me says, like, look, Huntley

384
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:53,720
Speaker 4: would be fine to win this game. The running game

385
00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:57,600
Speaker 4: was cooking with him, but like, Huntley's not winning the

386
00:19:57,600 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 4: super Bowl. So you want to get Lamar back, see

387
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Speaker 4: if you can win this game, and then get them

388
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 4: back into like a flow of rhythm looking healthy going

389
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 4: into the playoffs, because honestly, if the Ravens get in,

390
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 4: they can they could go to the super Bowl. I mean,

391
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 4: you look at the a f C W who are

392
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:16,119
Speaker 4: you really really scared of?

393
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:16,960
Speaker 7: No one?

394
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,200
Speaker 3: Anybody?

395
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's what I mean.

396
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,639
Speaker 1: So long for the Ravens to look like that team

397
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:24,000
Speaker 1: and it hasn't happened yet.

398
00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:27,399
Speaker 4: So yeah, but I mean they still could even if

399
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,919
Speaker 4: even the version that we've seen, they can still go

400
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 4: to the super Bowl. In the AFC, like, the FC

401
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 4: is that wide open. It's not even about the Ravens

402
00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:36,240
Speaker 4: being that much better than everyone, it's just that it's

403
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:39,720
Speaker 4: wide open. I think, like like the Bills have major flaws.

404
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:41,679
Speaker 4: The Jags are probably playing better than anyone. Those two

405
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 4: teams are gonna probably play each other in the first round.

406
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:51,399
Speaker 4: So yeah, so like Texans won't be easy for they

407
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,280
Speaker 4: gets too. They're probably going to play in the first round.

408
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 4: But they can make a run. But in order to

409
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,560
Speaker 4: do that you need Lamar, you know, at eighty ninety percent. So,

410
00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:04,199
Speaker 4: but from a betting perspective, you're just guessing because his

411
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:07,800
Speaker 4: accuracy has also been off since he came back from injury,

412
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:11,600
Speaker 4: his on target rate, his catchull ball rate, and now

413
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 4: with a back injury, how does that impact it? I

414
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,159
Speaker 4: don't think anyone can really say with much confidence. I

415
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,479
Speaker 4: think the one bet worth making in this game at

416
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 4: forty one or better is the under. The Steelers offense

417
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:25,879
Speaker 4: is just so limited without Metcalf, huge divisional game, a

418
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 4: lot on the line. I think you'll see both teams

419
00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:32,240
Speaker 4: play close to the best divisional matchups second time around

420
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,240
Speaker 4: usually trend under in the NFL, so I think this

421
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 4: will be like a lower scoring game like twenty to

422
00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 4: seventeen ish, So I would look at the under. I

423
00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 4: just I don't know on the mar so I can't

424
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:45,679
Speaker 4: really have much confidence in either side.

425
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 1: The Steelers are seven and two outright and against the

426
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 1: spread against the Ravens since twenty twenty one.

427
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 2: For what it's worth, the.

428
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 1: Packers are locked into the seventh seed in the NFC.

429
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,159
Speaker 1: They'll open the playoffs of the wild card game on

430
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,239
Speaker 1: the road against either the Bears or the Eagles. We

431
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:04,760
Speaker 1: know that the Vikings have been eliminated from playoff contention,

432
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,639
Speaker 1: and it looks like they're going with Brosma in this game.

433
00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 1: But Stucky, action or distraction on this being a good

434
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,919
Speaker 1: idea for the Packers to basically punt to the playoffs

435
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:16,320
Speaker 1: given their lack of recent momentum.

436
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:19,240
Speaker 2: They've lost three straight and they're.

437
00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 1: Just gonna roll out with that same crew in the

438
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 1: playoffs as if they're able to fix all of it.

439
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 2: So is there action or distraction on that being a

440
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:27,439
Speaker 2: good idea?

441
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 4: Wait? I thought it was. I thought McCarthy was in

442
00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:30,680
Speaker 4: line to start. Am I wrong on that?

443
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:31,280
Speaker 6: Oh?

444
00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 2: Let me double check that. But either way, on the

445
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 2: Green Bay side.

446
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,159
Speaker 4: I think McCarthy. It hasn't been confirmed yet, but I.

447
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:38,640
Speaker 2: Think he logged the full practice.

448
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think he's going to start, and it's gonna

449
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 4: be McCarthy. Verus Clayton. Tune is what it looks like. No,

450
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 4: I think this is the right move. You're locked into

451
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 4: the seventh seed. Last year, you played in Week eighteen

452
00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 4: and you suffered significant injuries. You have so many injuries

453
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 4: already this year you cannot afford anymore. I'm not a

454
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 4: huge believer in you know, momentum. McVeigh is always rested

455
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:04,639
Speaker 4: as starters over seating, and this isn't even You're not

456
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 4: even going for any seating. You cannot afford any more injuries.

457
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:10,679
Speaker 4: If you're the Packers, you just rest up. You spend

458
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 4: this week game planning for your potential opponent next week,

459
00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 4: and that is all you worry about is next week.

460
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 4: You do not care about this game. You do not

461
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 4: You do not put anyone out there that even has

462
00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:27,120
Speaker 4: a bruise at a chipped fingernail. You know they bit

463
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 4: their tongue at dinner on Saturday night. You sit them

464
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 4: on Sunday like you don't do anything here. There's no upside.

465
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,920
Speaker 4: So and like you mentioned momentum, like they don't have

466
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:39,959
Speaker 4: any moment right now, and momentum is as good as

467
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 4: the last quarter that you played. I'm a believer in that.

468
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 4: So I I think that they're making the right movie

469
00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 4: here they learned from last year. So yeah, you just

470
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 4: punk this game. And I like the Vikings in this game,

471
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:54,639
Speaker 4: like the line is move. We talked about this on

472
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 4: the actual Emberk podcast. I that's some Vikings mind a six,

473
00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 4: which was like scary, you know that you could be

474
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:04,159
Speaker 4: betting Max Brosner mint of six. But like the Packers. Well,

475
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 4: first of all, Clayton tune against the Flora's defense, and

476
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,359
Speaker 4: that defense is bawling out right now. They're playing as

477
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,480
Speaker 4: well as any unit in the league. So Clayton tuned

478
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 4: against with with you know, probably missing a bunch of

479
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 4: offensive linemen weapons against the Vikings defense, that's not going

480
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,399
Speaker 4: to end well. And like I mentioned, they're probably not

481
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 4: gain planning. There's not going to be like you're not

482
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,120
Speaker 4: going to show anything here, Like they probably didn't spend

483
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,160
Speaker 4: much time on this game plan. They're just throwing Clayton

484
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 4: tune into the Wolves. And then the Packers' defense, they're

485
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 4: going to be sitting all their guys that are important,

486
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 4: they've already had injuries, they've already been trending downward. I mean,

487
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 4: this is a Packers' defense that since Week eleven, they're

488
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:46,480
Speaker 4: twenty six in EPA per play twenty six and success rate.

489
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:48,720
Speaker 4: That's when they lost Wyatt and then you know they

490
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 4: lost Parsons, So I think they're making the right move.

491
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 4: I also think it lends itself to a Vikings bet.

492
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:58,560
Speaker 4: Scary to lay this number with McCarthy maybe Brosmer. I

493
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:00,520
Speaker 4: just like, how are the Packers scoring this game? The

494
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,359
Speaker 4: Vikings defense might score more than the Packers offense. Maybe

495
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:07,399
Speaker 4: there's Clayton tune to Matthew Golden that they played together

496
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:11,199
Speaker 4: in college. Maybe Golden has a big day, can look

497
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 4: at like a Golden anytime touchdown. But yeah, I think

498
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:15,880
Speaker 4: this is a Viking spot.

499
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 1: Wow, Kendra, I know that we said we weren't going

500
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:22,359
Speaker 1: to talk about this game, but this definitely just got

501
00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 1: added to my teaser portfolio for the week. I will

502
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 1: be on the Vikings, but yeah, that seven and a

503
00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 1: half is a little too heavy for me, So I'm

504
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,640
Speaker 1: going to bet that down. We'll find a partner with

505
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:35,760
Speaker 1: that one. By the way, Justin Jefferson fifty three yards

506
00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 1: away from reaching a thousand on the season. His prop

507
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 1: has been around that number, so over on Justin Jefferson

508
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 1: might not be a bad idea. You know that hitting

509
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,680
Speaker 1: that one thousand mark is going to be really important

510
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,880
Speaker 1: to him. Now for the four hundredth year in a row,

511
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:55,800
Speaker 1: Exercising more is the leading New Year's resolution for people

512
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six. Kendra, action or distraction on that

513
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 1: being easily the most lame resolution imaginable.

514
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 3: I don't think it's the lamest imaginable.

515
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 5: I think it's always a good idea to better yourself,

516
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 5: especially after the holidays.

517
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 3: We've all been sitting around it's cold outside.

518
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,719
Speaker 5: I think moving and trying to do something for you

519
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 5: get hell here always the ply.

520
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:19,720
Speaker 2: Like, can't you get creative with it?

521
00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:22,360
Speaker 3: What do you want people to say, I'm gonna I want?

522
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 2: Well, did you come up with the least?

523
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 1: Come up with a target weight, come up with uh,

524
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 1: some sort of game plan when someone needs.

525
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 3: That's not your new Year's resolution?

526
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:35,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, what is your news resolution?

527
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:40,119
Speaker 1: Mine is to is to stop I want to stop

528
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 1: cold turkey complaining.

529
00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 2: I'm not the biggest whiner.

530
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:45,720
Speaker 4: As you complain about people's news. Resolution to get.

531
00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:47,840
Speaker 2: That's a good play?

532
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 3: Is getting owned today?

533
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 2: Stucky?

534
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:50,880
Speaker 3: Is they too?

535
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 2: Okay?

536
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:55,360
Speaker 1: I got time to work on this. That that says

537
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:57,639
Speaker 1: exercise more doesn't have a six pack by the end

538
00:26:57,680 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 1: of the first week of the year.

539
00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 4: You know, it's I think it's a good rest. I mean,

540
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:02,359
Speaker 4: that's like the number one thing you can do to

541
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:06,240
Speaker 4: improve your your life is to work out, eat better. Now,

542
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 4: most people aren't going to follow it, but why not.

543
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 1: Have that problem with it? Isn't the exercise part. Yes,

544
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 1: that's important, But it's.

545
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,560
Speaker 3: The part that I hate is that the more partly?

546
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 2: What does that even mean? I want to exercise more?

547
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 2: Do you have to come up with something more specific

548
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:20,040
Speaker 2: than that.

549
00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:22,520
Speaker 5: The only crappy part about this is that I can't

550
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,640
Speaker 5: get into a reformer class and everyone's filling up my gym.

551
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:26,720
Speaker 2: What does that mean?

552
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:28,920
Speaker 5: It means that, like everyone because of their New Year's

553
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 5: resolution in January. Yeah, they're taking up my class spots,

554
00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:35,120
Speaker 5: and they're taking up my smith machine and they're only

555
00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 5: going to be here for three weeks. That's the shitty

556
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:38,160
Speaker 5: part about it.

557
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:38,640
Speaker 2: That's right.

558
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,679
Speaker 1: You know what, Join me on the complaint train. We'll

559
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 1: hop off in a couple of days. Still to come.

560
00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 1: Two Kings and a Queen get nominated in our weekly parlay.

561
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 1: But first, a word about Draft Kings from the first Lady.

562
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 5: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with Draft Kings sports book,

563
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,360
Speaker 5: where new customers can bet five dollars and get two

564
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 5: hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins.

565
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 3: Stay in on the I and use your bonus bets.

566
00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:04,880
Speaker 5: On DraftKings same game parlays for a shot at even

567
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:08,160
Speaker 5: bigger payout to get started to use promo code favorites

568
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,399
Speaker 5: when signing up with DraftKings. Again, use code favorites when

569
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,000
Speaker 5: signing up and bet five bucks to get two hundred

570
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 5: back end bonus bets.

571
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 3: If your bet wins, the crown is yours.

572
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:21,879
Speaker 1: So I actually have two New Year's resolutions. One is

573
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 1: to grow out my hair. The other is to never

574
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,520
Speaker 1: miss a big game because I don't have access to

575
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 1: live TV. I don't have a plan for the former

576
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:34,320
Speaker 1: just yet, but Sling TV is my solution to the latter.

577
00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 1: With SlingTV, you can take full control with flexible package

578
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:41,720
Speaker 1: options one, three, and seven day passes for access to

579
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 1: thirty plus live channels, which includes ESPN and TNT, so

580
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 1: that covers you for both huge NFL games tomorrow and

581
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 1: all of the remaining college football playoff games, which by

582
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: the way, have been great. Sling TV will also be

583
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 1: coming in clutch for some NFL playoff games as well.

584
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 1: So let's talk Panthers, Bucks, Seahawks, Niners and we'll slam

585
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:10,440
Speaker 1: together some plays here. Kendra get Us started Panthers Buccaneers.

586
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 2: What do you like?

587
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 3: I need Panthers to lose on Sunday.

588
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 5: Because you guys know that I have a future for

589
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 5: them to come in second in the division. But Rico Daddle,

590
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go over sixty rushing yards for him plus

591
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 5: one twenty one. He needs seven yards for incentives, but

592
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 5: they need a big day from him regardless, So I'm

593
00:29:30,120 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 5: going to go after Rigo Daddle.

594
00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 2: Daddall's got those incentives. I like that idea. Stuck you,

595
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 2: what about you?

596
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 4: I'm going with the Bucks. We can throw money line

597
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 4: in here. But I hate the Bucks. I've been the

598
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:49,000
Speaker 4: head of the Bucks stink train, been driving that train

599
00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 4: for two months. They haven't covered in two months. They're

600
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:52,840
Speaker 4: owing to eight against the spread. I just think this

601
00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:56,960
Speaker 4: is the bottom and the Panthers on the road don't

602
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 4: give me any confidence. But this is mainly a numbers play.

603
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 4: The Bucks were laying three in Carolina two weeks ago.

604
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 4: Now they're laying two expensive two and a half three

605
00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 4: at home. I think this is the bottom. I'm buying

606
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 4: low in the Bucks.

607
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 1: Okay, well, I need to change my answer then, because

608
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 1: I was gonna take the sad Cats. But since we

609
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 1: are looking at incentives, what about Ameca Agbuka who is

610
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 1: closing in on a thousand yards receiving So let's see

611
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 1: exactly where that that's.

612
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,160
Speaker 3: Insane considering how much he sat out.

613
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, he was so good at the start of

614
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 2: the year.

615
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,960
Speaker 1: He needs seventy receiving yards to get to a thousand

616
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 1: on the season, so his number is not going to

617
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 1: be quite that high with Evans back in the fold.

618
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,720
Speaker 1: So let's see what we got on a Buka as

619
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 1: receiving yards twenty five plus.

620
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 4: I mean, he's like the fifth option.

621
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 1: Now, it's fine, we're going to take that, all right.

622
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 1: We're adding if you get the Bucks, we got to

623
00:30:57,840 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 1: get there somehow. So let's go Mecca Buka at twenty

624
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:08,600
Speaker 1: five plus and that'll do it for our Bucks, Panthers, Leans, Well, Seahawks,

625
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. I'm I'm gonna take San Francisco here,

626
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 1: plus the one and a half the forty nine ers

627
00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 1: have been scorching hot. I do think that they match

628
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 1: up well with their counterpart in Seattle. We've seen the

629
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:28,960
Speaker 1: offense for the Seahawks start to dip in productivity as

630
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:33,440
Speaker 1: of late, and brock Party has just been an ATM

631
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 1: for people that have backed him. Six and two against This.

632
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 3: Was great out of nowhere. I don't know why that

633
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,600
Speaker 3: made me love. You really dropped the rock.

634
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,280
Speaker 2: That's I think that's the wrestling fan in me. Though.

635
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:47,080
Speaker 5: I didn't mean to cut you off, but the way

636
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:49,520
Speaker 5: that you said that really just made me giggle.

637
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,360
Speaker 1: I think this is h I think this number settles

638
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 1: where it's at. This is my plant the Flag Games.

639
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 1: So I won't get into it any further, but say,

640
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 1: I don't trust Sam Donald in these sorts of situations.

641
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 2: Happy to take San Francisco here? What about you, Kendra?

642
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 5: Well, now you're gonna have to trust Sam Donald because

643
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 5: I need him to throw over two touchdowns for him.

644
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:10,600
Speaker 3: To hit his incentives.

645
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:12,920
Speaker 5: I got in on this last week, probably gonna chase

646
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,560
Speaker 5: it again this week. Needs to throw three, so I'm

647
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 5: going two plus minus one thirty six. So you better

648
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 5: get on the Sam Donald train, and you better get

649
00:32:19,600 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 5: on it right now.

650
00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:23,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, I don't know how both of these.

651
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 1: I guess these both could get home. This is the

652
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 1: forty nine Ers are gonna have to outscore Seattle in

653
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 1: order for them to cover this number.

654
00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 2: What about you, Stuckey, Well, it's as we're gonna have to.

655
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 4: Really, I don't know how we're gonna hit all these

656
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 4: but I like the under the game under, So this

657
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 4: is gonna have to be like twenty twenty four to

658
00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 4: twenty Donald, Wait, you have the forty nine ers. Yeah,

659
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 4: twenty four twenty three realistic, But yeah, I like the

660
00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:58,040
Speaker 4: game under divisional game. I already talked about this. The

661
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,240
Speaker 4: Seattle offense is trending. The forty nine ers offense has

662
00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:03,920
Speaker 4: benefited from playing a lot of bad defenses. You're not

663
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 4: going to potentially have both left tackles, maybe no kittle.

664
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 4: Seattle's defense is elite. I think the forty nine ers

665
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 4: defense can just keep everything in front of them. I

666
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 4: think so be a game with the clocks moving throughout.

667
00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:19,320
Speaker 4: So let's go with the under. This is this is

668
00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 4: a special one game under Donald. Two plus touchdowns and

669
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:23,880
Speaker 4: forty nine ers.

670
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 2: It's twelve to one.

671
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,040
Speaker 4: By the way, appreciate get like one hundred to one

672
00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:32,960
Speaker 4: on that's a that's a fun one to slam together.

673
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 1: Good luck sweating that with so many great games in

674
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 1: the coming days. Sling tv is your solution to instant

675
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 1: access to live TV starting as low as forty ninety nine.

676
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:44,960
Speaker 1: There's not a better time to acquaint yourself with one, three,

677
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 1: and seven day passes from Sling TV. Offer applies to

678
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: Orange one day pass restrictions apply. It is time for

679
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,440
Speaker 1: the reason you all came here today. Are two Kings

680
00:33:55,440 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 1: and a Queen Parlay. Get nominated right now, Bendra, get

681
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,440
Speaker 1: us started with your two nominations.

682
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 3: I hate this week.

683
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,080
Speaker 5: You guys know I hate this week. I only have

684
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 5: one bet logged in the app, and we've already talked

685
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 5: about it, but I've had it for days now. So

686
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:23,719
Speaker 5: your choices are going to be Bengals now seven and

687
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 5: a half or the Lions getting three points.

688
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:27,760
Speaker 3: Pick your poison.

689
00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 2: I like both of these.

690
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that you were able to get to two

691
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 1: given your disdain for Week eighteen, but my vote would

692
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 1: be for the Lions. I doubt that anybody playing for

693
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell isn't going to give it a full go,

694
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,319
Speaker 1: and with the Bears having something to play for and

695
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:48,200
Speaker 1: the Lions having nothing, but pride to play for This

696
00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 1: feels like the kind of game where the tryhards in

697
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions take care of business.

698
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:55,399
Speaker 3: This is a Lions w and.

699
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 1: The Bears defense has been brutal, so this is a

700
00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 1: nice get right for the Lions off So I like

701
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 1: the Lions plus three that would be my vote on

702
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,240
Speaker 1: this lucky I'm going.

703
00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 4: With the Bengals probably my favorite side of the week,

704
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:11,680
Speaker 4: even at seven, and that I played some seven would

705
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 4: play seven and a half. I don't think Fannon is

706
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,680
Speaker 4: going to play for the Browns. He's like their entire offense.

707
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 4: Their offense is dreadful anyway, but like it's just without

708
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 4: Fan and how do they move the ball? And the

709
00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:28,840
Speaker 4: Sincy defense. I talked about this at length on our podcast,

710
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:35,280
Speaker 4: The Action Nework Podcast is actually improving. The rookie linebackers

711
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 4: are playing better. They change their front so Slayton is

712
00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,400
Speaker 4: playing better against the run. They're getting something for Murphy.

713
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,840
Speaker 4: I mean their corners right now on the outside, you

714
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:45,440
Speaker 4: were able to they move Dax Hill up from the

715
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:50,239
Speaker 4: outside Week ten. They're playing as well as anybody in

716
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 4: the league right now. And then you just have a

717
00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:54,560
Speaker 4: new coordinator. Alcoholen has figured some things out. Their defense

718
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:58,760
Speaker 4: is legitimately playing much much better. So not a great defense,

719
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,760
Speaker 4: but it's much better. And this Bengals offense is rolling,

720
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,239
Speaker 4: the offensive line is playing better. I just don't think

721
00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:06,879
Speaker 4: the Browns can keep up. I think Bengals smash them.

722
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 4: And we know the Browns on the road, that's when

723
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:14,240
Speaker 4: you fade them. I mean, there's six nineteen against the spread,

724
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:15,839
Speaker 4: six and nineteen against the spread up for the past

725
00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 4: three years. That's under twenty five percent. Failing to cover

726
00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 4: by about six points per game at home is when

727
00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:23,160
Speaker 4: you bet them. That's because their defense just doesn't play

728
00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:25,920
Speaker 4: as well away from them. So I love the Bengals.

729
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 4: I think they win by double digits, so Heaven's got

730
00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:30,240
Speaker 4: to break the tie.

731
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:33,480
Speaker 6: Yeah, nobody has the better home field advantage in the

732
00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:36,279
Speaker 6: NFL than the Cleveland Browns because they're so.

733
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 7: Bad on the road. I mean, preferably, I'd probably like

734
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 7: this at seven.

735
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:42,879
Speaker 6: So at DraftKings six and a half, seven versus seven

736
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,040
Speaker 6: and a half because Week eighteen is chaos and you

737
00:36:45,120 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 6: just don't know. But Bengals are the play here Detroit

738
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,319
Speaker 6: and Chicago. Who the hell knows what's gonna happen in

739
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:53,799
Speaker 6: that game, Detroit could literally lay down because it's probably

740
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 6: what they should based off of a bunch of different factors.

741
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:58,240
Speaker 4: But yeah, get the fourth place schedule.

742
00:36:58,719 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 7: Yeah, but you have no idea what is gonna do.

743
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 6: So I'd rather go with Burrows to ending the season

744
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 6: so well and still missing the playoffs, which is the

745
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,000
Speaker 6: storyline we'll probably head into.

746
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 7: The offseason with.

747
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:10,640
Speaker 4: I mean, we can go six and a half goodbye.

748
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:15,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, that'll be preferable.

749
00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 1: The Bengals are five and one against the spread in

750
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,600
Speaker 1: their last six games, four and one since Burrow came back,

751
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:24,759
Speaker 1: so they have been a profitable side as of late

752
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 1: and all it's all directly correlated to the return of

753
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 1: their quarterback. And they're still they're still somewhat undervalued because

754
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 1: of how bad they were for the stretch without Joe Burrows.

755
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:36,400
Speaker 2: I'm good with it.

756
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:38,359
Speaker 4: And it's also their defense. I think that's why they're

757
00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 4: undervalued right now, their defense, and they played good. I

758
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,319
Speaker 4: think they're like top five in rush success rates since

759
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:47,719
Speaker 4: Week ten. They've played good rushing teams. I mean they

760
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 4: played the Ravens twice, the Bills, the Pats, the Dolphins,

761
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:53,359
Speaker 4: I mean, even the Cardinals offense. They completely shut them down.

762
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:56,080
Speaker 4: The Cardinals offense can do some things like, but that's

763
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:58,839
Speaker 4: the worst team that they played, and I mean their

764
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 4: offense is mean defense is legitimately playing much better. I mean,

765
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 4: DJ Turner is probably the most underrated corner in the

766
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 4: league right now. Jalen Davis being able to play in

767
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:10,440
Speaker 4: the slot has just enabled them to do so much.

768
00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 4: And those rookie linebackers are playing better. So I think

769
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 4: that's why they're under value. We know about the offense,

770
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,680
Speaker 4: but the defense has actually come along a bit tender.

771
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:19,480
Speaker 2: Are you good with us buying the point here?

772
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 7: Yeah?

773
00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:20,560
Speaker 4: No, wind.

774
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 3: Also, yeah, it's a parlay.

775
00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:24,960
Speaker 5: I feel like whenever you have a parlay, you have

776
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:26,560
Speaker 5: a little bit of lenience and what you can buy

777
00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:28,399
Speaker 5: or what you're willing to give up.

778
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:31,399
Speaker 2: So yeah, down, all right.

779
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 1: My nominations are Washington plus four against the Eagles, who

780
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 1: are benching everybody, and the Saints plus three and a half.

781
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,120
Speaker 1: And I do have a middle opportunity here was My

782
00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:46,919
Speaker 1: biggest preseason bet was on the Saints team total under

783
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,279
Speaker 1: at six and a half. I bet at the day

784
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:52,200
Speaker 1: that Derek Carr announced his retirement, it was very clear

785
00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:54,000
Speaker 1: with direction they were going to go in. What I

786
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 1: didn't expect is how good this team would be down

787
00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,280
Speaker 1: the stretch of the back end of the season.

788
00:38:59,360 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 2: They have.

789
00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: They really found something in their quarterback, and the most

790
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:05,279
Speaker 1: impressive part of their team has been their defense. Over

791
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 1: a four game winning streak, they've held opponents to seventeen

792
00:39:07,680 --> 00:39:08,439
Speaker 1: points per game.

793
00:39:08,840 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 2: Since their blowout loss in Week nine.

794
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:12,839
Speaker 1: They actually have the number one total defense and number

795
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 1: two scoring defense in the NFL. And this is just

796
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:19,080
Speaker 1: a natural letdown spot for Atlanta. Any other week in

797
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:22,239
Speaker 1: the season, we'd be targeting this big win as an

798
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:26,080
Speaker 1: underdog on Monday Night football, turn around play a divisional

799
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:29,560
Speaker 1: opponent as a favorite. I like the Saints a lot.

800
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 1: And then the Commanders is really just I mean, this

801
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:33,920
Speaker 1: is kind of a trend play that teams that are

802
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 1: resting their starters against opponents that have six or less

803
00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 1: wins over the last seventeen seasons forty two against the spread.

804
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 1: That makes it a Commander's side to me. So those

805
00:39:46,680 --> 00:39:50,040
Speaker 1: are my two nominations. Stucky you're vote.

806
00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:53,680
Speaker 4: I hate both of these. I bet the Falcons are

807
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,319
Speaker 4: this week. I mean, the Falcons are a good team,

808
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 4: They're just poorly coach bad special teams but I mean

809
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,000
Speaker 4: the Saints look Shuck look good. I don't get the

810
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 4: offensive Rookie of the Year stuff. They've played the Tanking

811
00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 4: Bucks their four game win streak, the Tanking Bucks, the Panthers,

812
00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 4: the Jets, and the Titans, and before that they got

813
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:13,880
Speaker 4: blown out by the Falcons and lost to the Dolphins.

814
00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:16,839
Speaker 4: Like they their schedule over the last month has been

815
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:21,400
Speaker 4: an absolute joke. So yeah, I mean, I think the

816
00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 4: Falcons are a good team that's just been unlucky, and

817
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 4: they're poorly coach with bad special teams, and there's no

818
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:28,560
Speaker 4: Chris lave So and Shuck. Shuck can't deal with pressure

819
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:30,279
Speaker 4: and a lot of these teams that he's playing can't

820
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 4: get any pressure. The Falcons can generate pressure, but no

821
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:36,440
Speaker 4: Chris olave Who's he throwing to in this game? It's

822
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:40,000
Speaker 4: like Kevin. They're starting receivers, I mean, Mason Tifton might

823
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:41,799
Speaker 4: not even play. They're starting receivers in this game. Are

824
00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:43,719
Speaker 4: gonna be and they can't run the ball. Are gonna

825
00:40:43,719 --> 00:40:48,160
Speaker 4: be like Kevin Austin and Dante Pettis. That's their receiving corps. No,

826
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 4: but then the commanders like Josh Johnson, the Eagles offense

827
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,200
Speaker 4: might be better with Tanner McKee. They might actually open

828
00:40:56,239 --> 00:40:56,520
Speaker 4: it up.

829
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:01,000
Speaker 2: Hearts is not gonna be the only guys sitting on

830
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:01,279
Speaker 2: the pint.

831
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:03,960
Speaker 4: I guess if I had to take, I'll take the

832
00:41:04,040 --> 00:41:07,480
Speaker 4: hook with I mean, I guess I take the command.

833
00:41:07,520 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 4: I don't know.

834
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,400
Speaker 1: I well, that's the thing with the Laves. This number

835
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:14,719
Speaker 1: was parked at three. A lave's ruled out, it goes

836
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 1: up to three and a half. So, I mean, all

837
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:18,879
Speaker 1: this stuff is you know, as you well know, it's

838
00:41:18,880 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 1: baked into the line.

839
00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:23,560
Speaker 2: That's part of the price. Kendra, where do you vote?

840
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:26,800
Speaker 4: Wait, I guess I'm voting. I'm voting. I guess I'm voting.

841
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 2: You're voting the Saints, even though you already bet the Falcon.

842
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:33,000
Speaker 4: No, I'm betting the command I'm voting. As you know,

843
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:34,520
Speaker 4: I hate it. I just hate it less.

844
00:41:35,680 --> 00:41:37,719
Speaker 5: I was going to say the Saints, because we know

845
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:41,359
Speaker 5: this Falcons team is going to lose to a bad

846
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 5: team and beat an absolute jugger or not.

847
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 3: That's the way that this Falcons team has existed this season.

848
00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 5: It has to be the Saints for me, and the

849
00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:53,040
Speaker 5: fact that I was on the Saints last week, that

850
00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 5: was one of the sweatiest bets I'd had all season long.

851
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:56,840
Speaker 3: This defense cares.

852
00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 5: I think some of these guys are probably going to

853
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:00,720
Speaker 5: retire after this season. They obviously we have the quarterback

854
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:02,880
Speaker 5: Kellen Moore is not backing down. I was gonna go

855
00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:05,280
Speaker 5: with the Saints, So Evan, welcome back to the show.

856
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:09,000
Speaker 7: Yeah. I kind of hate both these as well. I'm

857
00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 7: kind of in my breath every week of it.

858
00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:13,959
Speaker 1: This is a perfect in the season perfect I would

859
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:15,160
Speaker 1: not have had it any other way.

860
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:15,439
Speaker 2: Guys.

861
00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 6: Honestly, I would consider like a team total over on

862
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:22,160
Speaker 6: New Orleans or Washington before I considered trying either of

863
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 6: these teams to cover the game, Like, if you like

864
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:27,560
Speaker 6: the situation, you would like them to score some points,

865
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:31,280
Speaker 6: especially with the Washington game because a low total.

866
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 1: So I guess say, but a bigger part of my

867
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:36,359
Speaker 1: bet on New Orleans is the way their defense has

868
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:36,920
Speaker 1: been playing.

869
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:40,359
Speaker 6: Yeah, so maybe Washington, if you're gonna make me choose.

870
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:47,600
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, a very a very excited Washington commander's

871
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:51,040
Speaker 1: bet has been forced into this up to four and

872
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:52,439
Speaker 1: a half, by the way, so you get to throw

873
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 1: that in over there.

874
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 2: You're gonna need every quarter point in this game.

875
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:56,279
Speaker 4: So take it.

876
00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 1: Okay, So we got the Bengals minus six and a

877
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:01,640
Speaker 1: half and the Commanders plus four and a half. I

878
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 1: did not try and force speed the Dolphins plus ten

879
00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:06,319
Speaker 1: and a half in there, but I definitely thought about it.

880
00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:09,799
Speaker 3: I honestly would like that better. Can we go the Dolphins.

881
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:11,800
Speaker 4: I'm just worried about the Dolphins are gonna play like

882
00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:16,800
Speaker 4: they might sit everybody like Wattle, a Chaine, none of

883
00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:19,560
Speaker 4: these guys practice yesterday like they're most of their good

884
00:43:19,560 --> 00:43:23,840
Speaker 4: players on defense. Uh, they might might be.

885
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:27,920
Speaker 3: This happened to the divisional game, stucky, And I'm just.

886
00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:29,480
Speaker 4: Saying the Dolphins, like, can you look at their practice

887
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:32,360
Speaker 4: for yesterday? It's bad. I got I think there's a

888
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:36,400
Speaker 4: good chance that a Chane doesn't play, Wattle doesn't play.

889
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:38,360
Speaker 3: The Patriots are in bud jail anyway.

890
00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:44,879
Speaker 4: I Meantriot Stills are literally in jail. Waller Brewer their

891
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 4: best offensive lineman. I don't think Chop Robinson's playing. Jordan Phillips,

892
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 4: Jordan Brooks didn't practice. Minka like this is their entire

893
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 4: team might be out.

894
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 3: Dolphins somehow win this game. Holy crap.

895
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,200
Speaker 2: Well, and this game is in in Miami. This is

896
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,399
Speaker 2: in I don't know how Hold it is up there,

897
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:02,080
Speaker 2: you know.

898
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:05,240
Speaker 3: Hold, yeah, there you go eight degrees this morning.

899
00:44:05,440 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 2: I know it's not Tua anymore, but it's Texas. Quinn

900
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:11,320
Speaker 2: yours exactly, and Drake May covers.

901
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:14,200
Speaker 1: This is from Evans Primer. Drake May, when he is

902
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:16,879
Speaker 1: listed as a favorite of three or more, he's nine

903
00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:19,720
Speaker 1: to oh straight up, seven and two against the spread

904
00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:22,359
Speaker 1: is a double digit favorite. He's two and oh. Ats

905
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 1: So this is just what always Poland does.

906
00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:28,760
Speaker 5: Like to point out that Hunter Henry has passed incentives.

907
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 5: He needs five catches to get two hundred and fifty

908
00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 5: thousand dollars on Sunday.

909
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:37,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I worry about a lot of productivity from New England,

910
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:39,680
Speaker 1: but all right, stucky what you got?

911
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, Patriots keep him on if if they do, they

912
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:46,239
Speaker 4: still do have incentive because if the Jags win, they

913
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,359
Speaker 4: you know, and they lose, they would drop down. So

914
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 4: even though the one seed isn't likely, and you might

915
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:52,839
Speaker 4: be like, well if the Broncos are rolling, they might

916
00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:54,400
Speaker 4: bench starters, they still do have in centive.

917
00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:57,040
Speaker 5: If I have to watch the Patriots play in Jacksonville,

918
00:44:57,719 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 5: I will be I don't want to watch these two

919
00:44:59,560 --> 00:45:02,320
Speaker 5: play each other until a championship scenario that's literally my nightmare.

920
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:06,840
Speaker 4: They would likely play as of right now, looks like

921
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:10,320
Speaker 4: they would play. Now I'm saying if they with the

922
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 4: Jags win and the past, oh y y yeah, they

923
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:16,279
Speaker 4: would play each other. All right, I'm gonna go with

924
00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:18,880
Speaker 4: the first choice. We would have been the Bengals, but

925
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 4: we already have the Bengals, so I'm gonna go with

926
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 4: the Vikings. I don't care seven and a half lay.

927
00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 4: This is just one team not trying versus one team trying.

928
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:31,400
Speaker 4: Flores versus Clayton tune, then the Packers sitting, everyone not caring,

929
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:34,279
Speaker 4: not game planning for this game. This is just a

930
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:37,600
Speaker 4: walk through for them. Vikings care, they're playing better. McCarthy,

931
00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:40,759
Speaker 4: who I think is gonna start been playing better? I

932
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 4: think the Vikings role this is like they'll win, Like

933
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:48,280
Speaker 4: I don't know, this will be like twenty three to three,

934
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:53,840
Speaker 4: So Vikings and then the other one Son'll be Card

935
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:56,640
Speaker 4: the Raiders plus five and a half. I know no

936
00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 4: one's gonna vote for that, but that line is ridiculous,

937
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 4: Like a Ludicon was just thirteen and a half point

938
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:05,160
Speaker 4: underdog at home against the Broncos. The Broncos by the way,

939
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 4: were seven and a half point favorites. At Vegas. They

940
00:46:09,120 --> 00:46:11,200
Speaker 4: were laying thirteen and a half out of Loudacon. Now

941
00:46:11,280 --> 00:46:14,560
Speaker 4: Ludicon's laying close to six. I know that there's no Bowers.

942
00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:17,439
Speaker 4: I know that there's no Crosby. They might sit other guys,

943
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 4: but so are the Chiefs. The chief don't go to

944
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 4: play run here. The Chiefs don't want to win. The

945
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 4: Chiefs don't want the Raiders to get the number one pick.

946
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:26,480
Speaker 4: The Chiefs want a better draft selection. The Chiefs veterans

947
00:46:26,480 --> 00:46:29,000
Speaker 4: are probably going to rest. Did you see them in

948
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 4: Tennessee there? I don't think they care about this game.

949
00:46:31,960 --> 00:46:33,799
Speaker 3: So I need the Raiders to win.

950
00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:38,000
Speaker 5: I cannot have them have my sweet sweet summer child,

951
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:43,920
Speaker 5: Fernando Mendoza. They cannot ruin him. Please to win this game, Well.

952
00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:47,759
Speaker 4: Bernana Mendoza in Las Vegas will be pretty funny. So

953
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:51,840
Speaker 4: there is a decent chance that the Raiders already have

954
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,319
Speaker 4: the one seed locked up them number one pick, I

955
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 4: mean locked up by the time this game kicks. So

956
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 4: if that's the case, maybe they make But the guys

957
00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:02,160
Speaker 4: on the field are going to try This line's crazy.

958
00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:05,880
Speaker 4: So those are my two uh two picks.

959
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:07,759
Speaker 3: I have a Vikings.

960
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:09,440
Speaker 4: Raiders plus five and a half, Vikings minus seven and

961
00:47:09,480 --> 00:47:09,840
Speaker 4: a half.

962
00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:13,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, easy vote for me Vikings. I want no part.

963
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:16,240
Speaker 3: Of the Please Bana Mendoza no Vegas.

964
00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 1: And that was also Chiefs. Raiders was on Kendra's No

965
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:21,759
Speaker 1: No playlist.

966
00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:24,880
Speaker 4: So, Adam, who would you have voted for since we

967
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:26,399
Speaker 4: asked you? Oh?

968
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:29,279
Speaker 7: God, the Raiders so enjoy.

969
00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:33,280
Speaker 4: Okay, So we got Bengals Ny.

970
00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:36,200
Speaker 6: Henny Pickett Kenny Picket over Geno Smith a complete and

971
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:38,600
Speaker 6: utter upgrade. Geno Smith gets sacked a million times a

972
00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 6: game through his interceptions everywhere.

973
00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:42,760
Speaker 7: This would be Raiders and there's a six in the market.

974
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:43,719
Speaker 7: So I like it.

975
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, I haven't bet that yet, but I will

976
00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:49,320
Speaker 4: be on the Raiders. Sadly, Bengals minus six and a

977
00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 4: half all Commanders plus four and a half gross and

978
00:47:53,480 --> 00:47:56,759
Speaker 4: Vikings minus seven and a half plus four eighty five

979
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:57,799
Speaker 4: at DraftKings you.

980
00:47:57,760 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 6: Might as well disappoint Take the Vikings minus nineteen and

981
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:01,920
Speaker 6: half and you know, really juice that up because they're

982
00:48:01,920 --> 00:48:02,960
Speaker 6: probably gonna blow them out.

983
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:03,600
Speaker 7: So I like it.

984
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:09,800
Speaker 4: All right, Let's say let's juice this up a little bit.

985
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:11,799
Speaker 2: Maybe take it to ten.

986
00:48:14,080 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 6: I was worried because like eight is a key number,

987
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:18,400
Speaker 6: so I don't know if I necessarily want to go

988
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:20,200
Speaker 6: above that, So seven and a half might be right,

989
00:48:20,239 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 6: But I do think if twenty three to three is

990
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:23,960
Speaker 6: like viable.

991
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:25,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, we'll keep it out as plus forty five.

992
00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:29,000
Speaker 2: Or the uh go and find this over on Draft Kings.

993
00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:30,840
Speaker 2: The Crown is yours.

994
00:48:30,840 --> 00:48:33,960
Speaker 1: That'll do it for today's episode special thanks to our

995
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:38,680
Speaker 1: producers Gifford Gold, David Payne, stat Sound and two Kings

996
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 1: and a Queen Parlay efficient that'd be Evan Abrams.

997
00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:43,280
Speaker 2: Of course.

998
00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:46,800
Speaker 1: The Favorites will return on Sunday nights a week eighteen

999
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:49,839
Speaker 1: plus a playoff preview type of episode. You can catch

1000
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:52,880
Speaker 1: it right here on Action Networks YouTube page. Thanks for

1001
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:55,120
Speaker 1: hanging out, We'll see you next time here on The

1002
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:58,080
Speaker 1: Favorites podcast presented by Draft Kings The Crown.

1003
00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:13,040
Speaker 3: Your Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1004
00:49:13,440 --> 00:49:16,280
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1005
00:49:16,560 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1006
00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:20,040
Speaker 2: hundred Gambler