WEBVTT - U.S. Posts Robust Job Gains, Mixed Inflation Signs

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanivk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Alright, so, as we talked

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<v Speaker 1>about US hiring advance at a robust pace in April,

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<v Speaker 1>yet a smaller labor force may increase pressure on employees

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<v Speaker 1>to boost wages even more to bring workers back. And

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<v Speaker 1>in case you missed it, we talked about at the

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<v Speaker 1>top of the show, non farm payrolls rose four hundred

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<v Speaker 1>twenty eight thousand last month, broad based advance, matching the

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<v Speaker 1>game in March, and then, of course, had the unemployment

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<v Speaker 1>rate holding a three point six percent Averagearily, earnings rose,

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<v Speaker 1>albeit at a more moderate pace from a month earlier.

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<v Speaker 1>Something you Lena definitely focused on. Let's get into it

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<v Speaker 1>with Relea Pollock, the chief economist at ZIPP Recruiter, joining

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Santa Monica, California. Julia, how

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<v Speaker 1>are you in Santa Monica? I know you'd be much

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<v Speaker 1>more hill are you. That's that's the East coast versus

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<v Speaker 1>West coast right there, you know, Uh, Julia, I want

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about the labor labor numbers of course, um.

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<v Speaker 1>You'll initially at from Bloomberg Economics earlier told us that

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<v Speaker 1>this jobs report had had something for for everybody. What

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<v Speaker 1>stuck out to you? Well, I think you know, any

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<v Speaker 1>day you have a big number like this, and the

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<v Speaker 1>games are that broadly distributed across the economy. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>good day for workers, uh, and for hundreds of thousands

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<v Speaker 1>of companies that managed to feel vacancies despite all the odds.

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<v Speaker 1>Um As you dig deeper, the unemployment rate a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit higher than everybody force forecast, labor participation rate going

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<v Speaker 1>down a little bit, average hourly earnings increasing a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit less. So as you dig a little bit deeper,

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<v Speaker 1>how do the data points from the Labor department kind

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<v Speaker 1>of cross with what you are seeing special effectly at

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<v Speaker 1>ZIP Recruiter. Sure, so it's hard to know from what

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing in the report whether there's any cool down

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<v Speaker 1>happening in the labor market. Yes, average wages are growing

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<v Speaker 1>a bit more slowly, but still at quite a high pace.

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<v Speaker 1>From six point four percent wage growth for non supervisory

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<v Speaker 1>employees is you know, nothing to sneeze at um eleven

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<v Speaker 1>twelve percent pay increases in leisure, hospitality, and in transportation

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<v Speaker 1>warehousing for for ranked file employees, and those are very

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<v Speaker 1>large numbers. Of course, inflation is outstripping pay gains for

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<v Speaker 1>for most employees, but there are still many workers coming

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<v Speaker 1>out ahead. Um that said, we have so many low

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<v Speaker 1>wage workers. Whoops, we're just a little technical difficulty there.

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<v Speaker 1>So hopefully we'll come back to Julia polit Chief Economists

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<v Speaker 1>and ZIP Recruiter, because it was interesting she was gonna

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<v Speaker 1>get into the lower end of the labor force. You

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<v Speaker 1>know what I thought was really fascinating about about the

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<v Speaker 1>way that that she just spoke to us is she

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<v Speaker 1>she presented it in a sense of the employers being

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<v Speaker 1>fortunate to have found labor, which I think is really

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<v Speaker 1>speaks volumes as to where we are right when we

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<v Speaker 1>think about the labor report, we oftentimes look at it

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<v Speaker 1>from the perspective of the worker correct and how many

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<v Speaker 1>Americans are working with the unemployment rate is And she

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<v Speaker 1>said ZIP recruiters, so she knows that the struggles that

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<v Speaker 1>these companies are having actually finding employees. So she said

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<v Speaker 1>that you know more than one of the companies that

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<v Speaker 1>were able to find employees. Think about coming just from

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<v Speaker 1>Milkin and I know the panel I did with the

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<v Speaker 1>CEO of Lowes and Kroger Um stitch fix. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>top of mind is labor and finding the workers they need. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>let's get back to our guests, Julia Pollock, she's chief

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<v Speaker 1>economist and ZIP recruiter. You know, Julia, Tim and I

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<v Speaker 1>were just at the Milken Institute Global Conference and we

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<v Speaker 1>were talking to CEOs from all industries and top of

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<v Speaker 1>mind is being able to find the workers that they need. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>tell us if that's what you're finding in the data

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<v Speaker 1>points that you guys are tracking as well. Well. There

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<v Speaker 1>are two job openings to every unemployed worker right now.

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<v Speaker 1>Historically it's been the reverse, there have been more than

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<v Speaker 1>two unemployed workers per opening. So this is the tightest

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<v Speaker 1>lave market on records. It means that employers are having

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<v Speaker 1>a really tough time finding you candidate to the vacabuse.

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<v Speaker 1>And at the same time they're seeing these record breaking

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<v Speaker 1>numbers of quits each month, they're finding it harder than

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<v Speaker 1>ever to hang onto the workers they've got. There are

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<v Speaker 1>a bunch of reasons that's happened. The switch to remote

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<v Speaker 1>work rise and remote work is a big, big reason.

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<v Speaker 1>It means that jobs switching costs are much much lower.

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<v Speaker 1>You can leave the job now and stay in the

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<v Speaker 1>same industry, in the same occupation, while staying in the

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<v Speaker 1>same room without having to disrupt your family and up reason.

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<v Speaker 1>We certainly see that in the Jolts data often in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of how that plays out. What's interesting is what

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<v Speaker 1>else do you see? I mean, you guys have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of data that's in front of you as people

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<v Speaker 1>are searching and looking and tone and so forth. What

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<v Speaker 1>is it that's interesting about the trends um also in

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<v Speaker 1>this particular employment environment. So one exciting trend is that

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing this full and healthy return of the

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<v Speaker 1>labor market. Today's numbers notwithstanding, uh, you know, the entire

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<v Speaker 1>household survey portion of the report today was a bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a doozy. Everything went down in the household report,

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<v Speaker 1>even the employment level. That's just not consistent with twenty

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<v Speaker 1>eight non farm payroll gains. So I think we should

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<v Speaker 1>discount the household report today. What we've been seeing over

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<v Speaker 1>a longer period is a sustained return of workers to

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<v Speaker 1>the labor force. UH. That is exciting there seeing the

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<v Speaker 1>search behavior pick up. And then we're also seeing this

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<v Speaker 1>sustained interest in remote work and that's causing employers to

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<v Speaker 1>have to adjust what they're offering and to lean into

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<v Speaker 1>the hybrid remote model. Julia, was there anything just in

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<v Speaker 1>the last forty seconds that we have with you, was

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<v Speaker 1>there anything in this report that you didn't see coming

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<v Speaker 1>based on the data that you have on the ZIP

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<v Speaker 1>recruiter platform, Like, was anything a surprise in here? Yes?

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<v Speaker 1>I was surprised to see the uptick in government tie airing. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>That is an area where we've seen tremendous weakness. Government

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<v Speaker 1>agencies are seeing terrible retention numbers at the moment. The

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<v Speaker 1>private sector is posting much stronger wage games. Non unionized

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<v Speaker 1>workers are getting stronger wage games than unionized workers, So

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<v Speaker 1>the government is struggling to catch up. But it looks

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<v Speaker 1>like they might be turning the tide around. That's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>to see. It is always so good to dig into

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<v Speaker 1>the different sectors and see what they're seeing. Hey, Julia,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Have a great weekend. Julia Pollock,

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<v Speaker 1>she's a chief Economisturan CIP recruiter. On the phone from

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<v Speaker 1>Santa Monica, California, where the Senoi signs. You're listening to

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes.

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<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Just ment to the Cynthia

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<v Speaker 1>Coon's story that is in Bloomberg Business Week magazine about

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<v Speaker 1>the abortion pill. We want to get to another story

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<v Speaker 1>that's in the new issue a Business Week, which is

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<v Speaker 1>out on newsstands, online, and of course always on the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg terminal. You know, we've been following and Charlie's been

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<v Speaker 1>talking about shares of Zelo, which are tumbling today start

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<v Speaker 1>getting a two year low after putting out a disappointing outlook.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got a great story that's in the magazine that

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<v Speaker 1>actually looks at the CEO of Zillo. We're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO Rich Barton. Patrick Clark is real estate reporter

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<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg News. He's with us now in the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Interactive Broker Studio. Pat story featured in the new issue

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<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week magazine. It is available on news stands,

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg and at Bloomberg dot com Slash business Week.

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<v Speaker 1>Also joining us is Joel Webber, the editor of Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week. He is joining us on the access line

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<v Speaker 1>right now, Joel, I want to go to you first, Um,

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<v Speaker 1>B Hag. Explain what the hag is. I've never heard

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<v Speaker 1>of it before reading Rich's story. Yeah, Bi, hag is

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<v Speaker 1>certainly one place we could start, and I think I'll

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<v Speaker 1>get there with with Pat's help. But you know, to

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<v Speaker 1>back up a second. You know, Zillo was and has

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<v Speaker 1>been an app and website that people have been obsessed

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<v Speaker 1>with for on the real estate front for years. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>what maybe the company especially interesting within the last couple

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<v Speaker 1>of years was this effort to get into house flipping,

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<v Speaker 1>and so Zilo, looking for growth, sort of became the

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<v Speaker 1>intermediary that was hoping to like actually and and did

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<v Speaker 1>actually buy houses, and then you would actually buy a

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<v Speaker 1>house from Zillo and as Pat, Pat basically broke these

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<v Speaker 1>stories about Zillo's algorithms starting to go off the rails.

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<v Speaker 1>Um and that started sort of happening last year, and

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<v Speaker 1>so this story is sort of the culmination of a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of Pats reporting and he got to spend some

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<v Speaker 1>exclusive time with the CEO and talk to him about

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<v Speaker 1>those efforts and what the heck is a b hag.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a big, hairy, audacious goal. It's obviously, um, it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's a moonshot. It's a it's a you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>big swing. Um. Those are things we hear about, though,

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<v Speaker 1>like moonshots or that's like, you know, common in the

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<v Speaker 1>vernacular is like it's a it's like a nine early

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<v Speaker 1>nineties formulation from Jim Collins is sort of management guru,

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<v Speaker 1>built good to grade and built to last and and

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<v Speaker 1>and you don't at some point, uh So Rich Barton,

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<v Speaker 1>the CEO of Zello, likes he likes the phrase b hag.

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<v Speaker 1>Where others say moon shot, he says be had very often.

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<v Speaker 1>At some point I did check the terminal to see

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<v Speaker 1>how many other quarterly earnings calls be hag has come

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<v Speaker 1>up or big Harry Auday shows, and it's very very seldom.

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<v Speaker 1>It's it's it's basically the other No. I didn't well

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<v Speaker 1>what does it mean in terms of how he runs

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<v Speaker 1>this company and how he thinks about, you know, taking

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<v Speaker 1>risks and when it pays off and when it doesn't.

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<v Speaker 1>The way I think about it, it's it's a way

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<v Speaker 1>that he sort of marshals his employees to pursue something ambitious.

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<v Speaker 1>And in this case, it was transforming Zillo from a

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<v Speaker 1>company that basically sold ads to real estate agents to

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<v Speaker 1>a company that bought houses and tried to capture sort

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<v Speaker 1>of a spread on the flip of each house. And

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<v Speaker 1>then I thought it could attach all these other revenue

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<v Speaker 1>streams to that. And it's not a small effort, right,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's there's um you have to know why

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<v Speaker 1>home prices are going to be now what they are

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<v Speaker 1>in three months from now, which nobody knows. You've got

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<v Speaker 1>to manage portfolio risk like you're a hedge fund and

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<v Speaker 1>you've got to manage a contractor. Network was actually going

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<v Speaker 1>in and pulling up old carpet in and putting up paint,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, all stuff that Zello, all stuff that Zillo

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<v Speaker 1>hadn't done. Go ahead, joll Yeah, So this was Zillo offers, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was uh, you know, pat, where where was

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<v Speaker 1>it most successful and what what went wrong? And how

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<v Speaker 1>did uh when it went wrong? How did rich feel

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<v Speaker 1>about it all? Well, everybody loved them and not everybody

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<v Speaker 1>love this. What I should say is, um, it was successful.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean it found a consumer audience. People wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>pay Zello for this service. Now. One of the reasons

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<v Speaker 1>people wanted to pay Zello Zillo was sort of giving

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<v Speaker 1>it away, right, I mean, Zillo was buying homes at

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<v Speaker 1>some point in the second half of last year for

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<v Speaker 1>you know, on average twenty dollars or more than it

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<v Speaker 1>could eventually sell the homes for. So Zello would you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you'd go on zillo dot com. You'd say, make me

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<v Speaker 1>an offer on my house. They would offer you something.

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<v Speaker 1>You would say, well, that looks like thirty thou dollars

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<v Speaker 1>more than I could sell it for right now, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's awesome. What to do it? And so okay, So

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<v Speaker 1>they were successful in buying a lot of houses, and

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<v Speaker 1>they you know, in a in a long term sense,

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<v Speaker 1>they thought they needed to buy a lot of houses

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<v Speaker 1>to get the scale to make this business work. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>As Zillo started to realize and as Barton started to

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<v Speaker 1>realize what had gone down, which is that they had

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<v Speaker 1>you know, overpaid by four d million dollars or so

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<v Speaker 1>for for ten thousand houses or twenty thou houses. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>He said, well, hold on, maybe this isn't um, you know,

0:11:39.800 --> 0:11:41.760
<v Speaker 1>the key to transform in my business into a much

0:11:41.760 --> 0:11:45.320
<v Speaker 1>bigger company and solving consuper problems. Maybe I'm about to

0:11:45.320 --> 0:11:51.760
<v Speaker 1>blow up and um and he thought about it, and

0:11:51.840 --> 0:11:53.880
<v Speaker 1>he said, maybe it'd be better not to do this.

0:11:55.360 --> 0:11:57.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, you bed, you gotta be willing to pull

0:11:57.840 --> 0:11:59.800
<v Speaker 1>the plug on it. Sometimes, you know, you take a

0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.080
<v Speaker 1>big swing and sometimes you miss, and you and you

0:12:02.120 --> 0:12:04.480
<v Speaker 1>try to move on from it. And you know what

0:12:04.600 --> 0:12:07.679
<v Speaker 1>Rich has done when Zillo is done is um. You know,

0:12:08.200 --> 0:12:09.960
<v Speaker 1>they sort of took their medicine at the end of

0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:13.480
<v Speaker 1>last year and and um and and and they came

0:12:13.520 --> 0:12:17.240
<v Speaker 1>back out with a new b HAG because that's what well,

0:12:17.400 --> 0:12:19.439
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about that, because I'm wondering where Zillo goes

0:12:19.440 --> 0:12:21.880
<v Speaker 1>from here. You write about the destruction and the value

0:12:22.080 --> 0:12:24.160
<v Speaker 1>of Zillo at least in the on the public markets.

0:12:24.240 --> 0:12:27.680
<v Speaker 1>It's down more than from highs back in February of

0:12:27.760 --> 0:12:30.080
<v Speaker 1>last year. What's next for the company. How's it trying

0:12:30.080 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 1>to turn itself around? So they at the end of

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:34.520
<v Speaker 1>the day. They want to do more than just sell

0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:37.360
<v Speaker 1>ads to real estate agents. That's that's a limited business.

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:39.920
<v Speaker 1>They need a bigger business, okay, And so they did

0:12:39.920 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 1>what they decided was, um, they still want to They're

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:46.200
<v Speaker 1>still gonna do some of that. They're going to change

0:12:46.240 --> 0:12:48.320
<v Speaker 1>their revenue model around it. They want to be a

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:50.959
<v Speaker 1>mortgage lender. Um, they want to. There are these more

0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:54.200
<v Speaker 1>new kinds of mortgage products, basically new kind of bridge loan,

0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:57.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, to help you make a cash offer on

0:12:57.200 --> 0:12:58.560
<v Speaker 1>a house so you don't get beat out by an

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:02.199
<v Speaker 1>investormer somebody who's got stock options or family money to

0:13:02.240 --> 0:13:05.520
<v Speaker 1>buy a house with. And so they're gonna do all

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:08.480
<v Speaker 1>of that. And the way they've organized that, they say

0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:11.840
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna they call it a super app for housing

0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:14.839
<v Speaker 1>and you know, go on your phone and manage the

0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:17.800
<v Speaker 1>whole transaction. And uh, they still you know, so it

0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 1>came out and said, well, we're gonna double, we're gonna

0:13:20.440 --> 0:13:22.719
<v Speaker 1>double our revenue, we're gonna increase our conversion rates and

0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:24.240
<v Speaker 1>so forth and so on. So it's the new it's

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:28.520
<v Speaker 1>the new bi HAG. It's not as tangible as we're

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:31.400
<v Speaker 1>going to transform the company and buy and sell five

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:33.960
<v Speaker 1>thousand houses a month. It's a little harder to kind

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.960
<v Speaker 1>of get your head around, but nonetheless they've set a

0:13:36.960 --> 0:13:41.080
<v Speaker 1>new target for themselves. Okay, Pat, last thought, can you

0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:45.080
<v Speaker 1>tell us about the moat? And just got about Sure,

0:13:45.160 --> 0:13:47.839
<v Speaker 1>there's Enrich's office on the forty floor of a tower

0:13:47.960 --> 0:13:51.400
<v Speaker 1>in downtown Seattle. When you walk in through the front

0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.360
<v Speaker 1>sort of door of the office, there's a there's there's

0:13:54.360 --> 0:13:56.400
<v Speaker 1>a moat, a pool of water that you crossover. And

0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:58.199
<v Speaker 1>Rich told me he was going a little bit cheapishly.

0:13:58.200 --> 0:14:00.800
<v Speaker 1>He was like, well, somebody told me once that crossing

0:14:00.880 --> 0:14:03.800
<v Speaker 1>water makes people feel like they're leaving their troubles behind them.

0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:06.920
<v Speaker 1>And I was designing my office at the time, and

0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:08.960
<v Speaker 1>so I decided to put this here. We need one

0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:10.880
<v Speaker 1>for the studio, Carol, we do have a fish pond

0:14:10.920 --> 0:14:12.960
<v Speaker 1>when you walk in. I'm just gonna it's not exactly

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.680
<v Speaker 1>a mode here at Bloomberg, but end of the same theory,

0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:20.680
<v Speaker 1>it does like troubles behind when I enter work. Oh man,

0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 1>b hag, I'm going to start using that around here.

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:25.920
<v Speaker 1>What do you think? Sure, go ahead the next management meeting.

0:14:25.920 --> 0:14:28.720
<v Speaker 1>I've got an idea. Let's see how that goes. Yeah,

0:14:28.720 --> 0:14:31.920
<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't see how that goes um such fun and

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:34.760
<v Speaker 1>such great reporting. Patrick Clark, real estate reporter at Bloomberg News.

0:14:34.760 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 1>Here in studio. Joe Weber, editor of Bloomberg Business Week,

0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:39.640
<v Speaker 1>on the Access line in Brooklyn. Check out this story.

0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:42.280
<v Speaker 1>It is in the new issue of the magazine online

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:46.760
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with

0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:51.680
<v Speaker 1>Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:54.560
<v Speaker 1>Speaking of someone who's not quite on the West Coast.

0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 1>He spends a lot of used to be right. He

0:14:56.800 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 1>used to call that home. Hasn't for a while. We're

0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.400
<v Speaker 1>talking about Elon us. This story, by the way, among

0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:04.160
<v Speaker 1>the most right on the Bloomberg. It's about Elon Musk's

0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:07.320
<v Speaker 1>fixer who is quietly tending the world's biggest fortune. Leanna

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:09.240
<v Speaker 1>Baker is one of the authors on that story. She's

0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:12.160
<v Speaker 1>Deal's team leader for Bloomberg News. She joins us on

0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:15.440
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York. Lenna tell us about the

0:15:15.480 --> 0:15:19.640
<v Speaker 1>man behind the man, who is Jared Birchall. So, Jared

0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:22.640
<v Speaker 1>Birchall has been working with Elon Musk for the past

0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 1>six years. He's a former Wall Street Guy he started

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:28.520
<v Speaker 1>his career at Goldman Sachs. Then he worked at Meryl

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:31.080
<v Speaker 1>where he was fired. Finally he found a home at

0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Morgan's family, which is where he started to sort of

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 1>manage wealthy clients and he had a knack for it.

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 1>And certainly that's uh, you know, come in handy here

0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:44.120
<v Speaker 1>with Elon Musk trying to buy Twitter and all sorts

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:47.360
<v Speaker 1>of different projects that he's put Jared Burchell on. And

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:51.280
<v Speaker 1>he's also the only employee, it seems, of the family office.

0:15:51.400 --> 0:15:53.720
<v Speaker 1>So for the world richest man, that is a tall order.

0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:57.160
<v Speaker 1>So it's so interesting. I feel like with Elon Musk's universe, right,

0:15:57.240 --> 0:16:00.040
<v Speaker 1>he is certainly the face and all things he's on

0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:02.000
<v Speaker 1>Musk in his world. But then we start to quietly

0:16:02.080 --> 0:16:05.720
<v Speaker 1>find out about these really smart individuals who are behind

0:16:05.760 --> 0:16:09.280
<v Speaker 1>the scenes where they're at SpaceX or whether it's Tessa

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:11.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, Um, did you have to do a lot

0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>of digging or did the company say, hey, maybe you

0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>want to write about this dude, especially with everything that's

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 1>going on, and I think people are worried about, you know,

0:16:18.400 --> 0:16:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk, can he take another thing, you know, put

0:16:20.360 --> 0:16:23.640
<v Speaker 1>another thing on his plate? Um, My colleague on the

0:16:23.680 --> 0:16:26.480
<v Speaker 1>Wealth team. Sophie Alexander did a lot of a heavy

0:16:26.480 --> 0:16:28.680
<v Speaker 1>listing and a lot of the digging and to filings

0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 1>to find out more about Jared Burchell. I'm more the

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:34.760
<v Speaker 1>person that talked to Wall Street and M and A professionals,

0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:38.280
<v Speaker 1>And from what I understand, h Virtill is very much

0:16:38.360 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>in the inner circle and he was instrumental at putting

0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:43.680
<v Speaker 1>together as a Twitter bid. He was sort of the

0:16:43.720 --> 0:16:47.400
<v Speaker 1>face in front of the banks and helped coral them

0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:50.120
<v Speaker 1>along with the help of his former employer, Morgan Stanley,

0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:53.680
<v Speaker 1>to get Musk the money, uh to do this deal.

0:16:53.960 --> 0:16:57.560
<v Speaker 1>So he's really a key person here. What do we

0:16:57.600 --> 0:17:00.520
<v Speaker 1>know about just the way he just his career and

0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:03.400
<v Speaker 1>and what he does. And it's interesting because he's sort

0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:07.159
<v Speaker 1>of the antithesis of Musk in some senses. You and

0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:10.760
<v Speaker 1>Sophie in the story compare and contrast the two men,

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:14.800
<v Speaker 1>and note that, uh that Birchall is part of the

0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:17.800
<v Speaker 1>Mormon Church and went to b y U and has

0:17:17.920 --> 0:17:20.320
<v Speaker 1>kids and is married, whereas Elon Musk, you know as

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:23.159
<v Speaker 1>seven kids, has been divorced three times, and there are

0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:26.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot of differences between the two of them. For sure,

0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:28.520
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes you need someone to kind of balance you out,

0:17:28.560 --> 0:17:31.400
<v Speaker 1>and as a Mormon family man who's very much out

0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:34.280
<v Speaker 1>of the headlines and stuff from the story today, Burchill

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 1>definitely serves that role for musque Um. People I spoke

0:17:38.920 --> 0:17:43.000
<v Speaker 1>to who know him just describes him as very nice. Uh.

0:17:43.119 --> 0:17:46.000
<v Speaker 1>He just you know, gets things done. Even though he

0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 1>didn't have experience putting together multibillion dollar deals for big

0:17:50.560 --> 0:17:54.439
<v Speaker 1>Internet companies like Twitter, he made it happen. Being a

0:17:54.480 --> 0:17:58.639
<v Speaker 1>manager of a family office also involved taking on odd jobs.

0:17:58.640 --> 0:18:01.800
<v Speaker 1>Apparently he's in charge arch of helping us get nanny's

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:05.200
<v Speaker 1>for all his kids. So it's not a job for everyone,

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.120
<v Speaker 1>but virtual certainly you know, fits the bill here well.

0:18:08.119 --> 0:18:13.159
<v Speaker 1>And I do think about you know, Ellen's relationship with

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:15.399
<v Speaker 1>the financial community, especially as he's trying to do this

0:18:15.600 --> 0:18:17.560
<v Speaker 1>Twitter deal and right over the last week or so,

0:18:17.680 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>we keep getting more pieces about it. It It really looks

0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:21.840
<v Speaker 1>like he has lined up so much of it. But

0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:24.479
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder about having someone like Bertill, you know,

0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:28.480
<v Speaker 1>who worked on Wall Street, understands the financial community, Like, what,

0:18:28.760 --> 0:18:33.440
<v Speaker 1>how does the financial community see this dude? Right? So

0:18:33.480 --> 0:18:37.080
<v Speaker 1>he was definitely someone who's coordinating behind the scenes. Let's

0:18:37.080 --> 0:18:39.720
<v Speaker 1>say he would come on a video call first to

0:18:39.840 --> 0:18:42.199
<v Speaker 1>say okay, I'm you know, I'm getting Ellen next on

0:18:42.240 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>the call. But Virtu will be the first person you see. Um,

0:18:45.720 --> 0:18:48.200
<v Speaker 1>he's the one with Tyson Morgan Stanley, as I mentioned

0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:51.320
<v Speaker 1>as a former employee. But I also heard that he's

0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:54.680
<v Speaker 1>just a nice guy and he's not going beyond his capabilities.

0:18:54.720 --> 0:18:58.240
<v Speaker 1>He'll rely on experts and help hire people to bring

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:00.439
<v Speaker 1>them in to do what has to be done for

0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 1>Mosque's financial empire. Lea, this is he's managing the family

0:19:04.280 --> 0:19:06.960
<v Speaker 1>office of the world's wealthiest person within churring sixty billion

0:19:07.000 --> 0:19:10.280
<v Speaker 1>dollar net worth? How much billion dollar net worth? I

0:19:10.320 --> 0:19:12.840
<v Speaker 1>mean most of us tied up in tesla. Take a tesla.

0:19:12.880 --> 0:19:15.520
<v Speaker 1>As you guys write, Um, how lucrative is this? Is

0:19:15.560 --> 0:19:17.320
<v Speaker 1>this for someone like birch Ally? You do? You mentioned

0:19:17.359 --> 0:19:19.000
<v Speaker 1>the story that about a two point five million dollar

0:19:19.040 --> 0:19:21.359
<v Speaker 1>home in Dallas, But you know we're talking We're not

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:24.520
<v Speaker 1>talking tens of millions of dollars yet. Maybe so we

0:19:24.560 --> 0:19:27.080
<v Speaker 1>don't have any filings or anything to show what a

0:19:27.119 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 1>salary is, but we do know that, UM, managing a

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:32.440
<v Speaker 1>family office could be very lucrative, as you can make

0:19:32.880 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>millions a year. One expert set up to three million.

0:19:35.760 --> 0:19:39.840
<v Speaker 1>But considering he's one of very few employees for the

0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 1>world's richest man's family office. Uh yeah, but you know,

0:19:43.560 --> 0:19:46.480
<v Speaker 1>the sky's the limit. Some billionaires family offices have a

0:19:46.560 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 1>hundred employees, and uh, you know, Musk only has one

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:53.400
<v Speaker 1>or two. So um, he's really the only guy sais

0:19:53.400 --> 0:19:55.040
<v Speaker 1>there's someone to pay, it would be him, But again

0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:56.920
<v Speaker 1>we don't have the reporting to show what he's making.

0:19:57.160 --> 0:19:59.560
<v Speaker 1>I do feel like it's Ellen's world and we're all

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:01.600
<v Speaker 1>just living in it. That's because that's because you spent

0:20:01.640 --> 0:20:05.640
<v Speaker 1>so much time on Twitter. It's so true. Utlianna, thank

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:08.120
<v Speaker 1>you so much, really appreciated. Leanna Baker. She is Deal's

0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:15.800
<v Speaker 1>team leader of Bloomberg News. I'm roc journal. Yeah, but

0:20:15.920 --> 0:20:21.000
<v Speaker 1>you let me drive. No, no, no no, honey, please, I'll

0:20:21.040 --> 0:20:26.600
<v Speaker 1>do the riding gravels. I want to drive. It's a

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>good question. Good drive. This is the drive to the

0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:39.000
<v Speaker 1>clothes thin well driver Don on Bloomberg Radio. All right, TikTok,

0:20:39.080 --> 0:20:42.200
<v Speaker 1>it's just about ten minutes left in today's trading session.

0:20:42.240 --> 0:20:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Getting ready to wrap up another Vaulatil day and another

0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:48.159
<v Speaker 1>vaulati a week. Although it's interesting, we are seeing some

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Bundy into the clothes. So here we are ahead of

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:53.639
<v Speaker 1>the weekend, and we're seeing certainly all the major equity

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:55.840
<v Speaker 1>averages bounce off their loads. We're still down, but just

0:20:56.040 --> 0:21:00.959
<v Speaker 1>barely lower. Dowd just went into uh positive territory. It's

0:21:01.000 --> 0:21:04.080
<v Speaker 1>now up about five points asps. We heard from Charlie.

0:21:04.200 --> 0:21:06.640
<v Speaker 1>Still down, but you know this is what we're seeing here. Yeah,

0:21:06.800 --> 0:21:09.720
<v Speaker 1>Volatility is the name of the game right now. Steve

0:21:09.760 --> 0:21:13.520
<v Speaker 1>Brown his senior portfolio manager at American Century Investments. They've

0:21:13.520 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 1>got two billion dollars in assets under management. Steve, how

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:20.240
<v Speaker 1>are you very good? Thank you? Hey, good to good

0:21:20.240 --> 0:21:22.480
<v Speaker 1>to have you with us. Um, what are you thinking

0:21:22.520 --> 0:21:24.440
<v Speaker 1>when when it comes to this volatility right now? I mean,

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:27.320
<v Speaker 1>it's it's really surprising to see that this is just

0:21:27.400 --> 0:21:31.199
<v Speaker 1>continuing even after we got more insight into how the

0:21:31.200 --> 0:21:33.800
<v Speaker 1>fet is thinking about interest rates and its balance sheet

0:21:34.920 --> 0:21:38.120
<v Speaker 1>for sure. I mean basically, the Feds that they're gonna

0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:42.320
<v Speaker 1>raise the Fed funds rates this year to address inflations concerns,

0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:45.679
<v Speaker 1>and it it's taken a while for its price into

0:21:45.680 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 1>the equity market. The bottom market is sold off pretty

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:51.879
<v Speaker 1>dramatically this year because of the higher rates. The equity

0:21:51.920 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 1>market has been fighting a little bit, but it's starting

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:56.840
<v Speaker 1>to price in the higher rates than the impact of

0:21:56.920 --> 0:21:59.760
<v Speaker 1>higher rates on the U. S economy. So what does

0:21:59.760 --> 0:22:02.399
<v Speaker 1>it mean for a sector that you focus on, and

0:22:02.440 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 1>that is specifically the real estate area. And I'm looking

0:22:05.080 --> 0:22:08.159
<v Speaker 1>at for the week overall, real estate UH. If I

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 1>look at the eleven major industry gips in the SPID,

0:22:10.800 --> 0:22:13.480
<v Speaker 1>the real estate index was the worst performer, down about

0:22:13.520 --> 0:22:17.000
<v Speaker 1>three point six UH for the week overall. If I

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:21.159
<v Speaker 1>look at year to date, real estate is down about

0:22:21.720 --> 0:22:24.800
<v Speaker 1>but near the bottom of the pack. Higher rate environment

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:27.639
<v Speaker 1>obviously very tricky can be, and we're watching it very

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:30.440
<v Speaker 1>closely when it comes to the residential market. How about

0:22:30.440 --> 0:22:33.359
<v Speaker 1>for the assets that you oversee, whether it's in the

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 1>Global real Estate Fund or the real Estate Fund of

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:40.399
<v Speaker 1>Right American Century. Sure, a great question. Um, Well, the

0:22:40.480 --> 0:22:43.800
<v Speaker 1>rate have sold off blood last week, frankly because of

0:22:43.880 --> 0:22:48.119
<v Speaker 1>concerns higher rates. So higher rates investors have concerns that

0:22:48.960 --> 0:22:51.600
<v Speaker 1>cap rates, which is used about commercial real estate, will

0:22:51.600 --> 0:22:55.480
<v Speaker 1>go up. So that's a valid concern. I would say

0:22:55.480 --> 0:22:58.880
<v Speaker 1>though that um, real estate, commercial real estate also benefits

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:03.360
<v Speaker 1>from inflation, so they've had, you know, expanding earnings over

0:23:03.359 --> 0:23:05.280
<v Speaker 1>the last twelve months. And actually pretty good earning so

0:23:05.320 --> 0:23:08.040
<v Speaker 1>far in the first quarter of this year because with inflation,

0:23:08.119 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 1>you've got um an impact construction costs, makes new construction

0:23:12.240 --> 0:23:15.399
<v Speaker 1>more expensive. And secondly, there was a slow down in

0:23:15.440 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 1>construction during COVID, so demands been better than supply. And

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:22.120
<v Speaker 1>first quarter earnings look good and we're expected about sent

0:23:22.160 --> 0:23:24.639
<v Speaker 1>earnings growth for the read sector this year. But in

0:23:24.760 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 1>terms of when the investors focus on interest rates, the

0:23:29.440 --> 0:23:31.840
<v Speaker 1>real estate does show up as an asset class that

0:23:31.880 --> 0:23:34.320
<v Speaker 1>has a negative impact on race in terms of evaluation

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:38.320
<v Speaker 1>of the properties. But if they focus on inflation, generally

0:23:38.359 --> 0:23:41.680
<v Speaker 1>that's a positive environment for real estate earnings performance and

0:23:41.720 --> 0:23:44.960
<v Speaker 1>stock price performance because inflation is commercial real estate's friends.

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:48.600
<v Speaker 1>So when you're thinking about these rates and analyzing them,

0:23:48.600 --> 0:23:52.240
<v Speaker 1>how how do you think about inflation and the stickiness

0:23:52.240 --> 0:23:53.919
<v Speaker 1>of inflation right now? We didn't even hear the word

0:23:53.960 --> 0:23:56.960
<v Speaker 1>transitory wants from that J. J. Powell earlier this week

0:23:57.000 --> 0:24:00.119
<v Speaker 1>that debate is no longer a debate. Uh, But you

0:24:00.160 --> 0:24:04.760
<v Speaker 1>think that inflation has peaked, well, we think, um. We

0:24:04.840 --> 0:24:07.159
<v Speaker 1>think as we get to June to the cops, the

0:24:07.200 --> 0:24:09.399
<v Speaker 1>comparables for inflation will be easier. So you have that

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:12.400
<v Speaker 1>going for it. UM, I would say that eventually they're

0:24:12.400 --> 0:24:14.800
<v Speaker 1>gonna we believe the FED will win the battle. As

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:17.200
<v Speaker 1>they continue to raise rates, it will slow down economically,

0:24:17.240 --> 0:24:20.119
<v Speaker 1>which will the economy, which will slow down demand for

0:24:20.160 --> 0:24:22.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of activity. So it shouldn't have a you know,

0:24:22.760 --> 0:24:26.159
<v Speaker 1>cooling off on prices and the CPI sometime in the

0:24:26.160 --> 0:24:29.240
<v Speaker 1>second half of this year. There are some property sectors

0:24:29.240 --> 0:24:32.120
<v Speaker 1>that have done actually pretty well this year. Uh. They're

0:24:32.200 --> 0:24:36.320
<v Speaker 1>more defensive, such as healthcare and open air shopping centers.

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:38.960
<v Speaker 1>But the you know, the healthcare space which has reads

0:24:39.000 --> 0:24:41.879
<v Speaker 1>it owned senior housing. They're up about actually five percent

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:46.560
<v Speaker 1>year today because um, the fundamentals are improving and if

0:24:46.600 --> 0:24:49.640
<v Speaker 1>if people are concerned, it looks like they are about

0:24:49.760 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 1>higher rates slow down the economy than a more defensive

0:24:53.040 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>property sectors such as healthcare reads. Uh, their their demand

0:24:56.280 --> 0:24:59.080
<v Speaker 1>for their product type will probably be less impacted by

0:24:59.280 --> 0:25:02.760
<v Speaker 1>a slow on the count even many other sectors. So right,

0:25:02.800 --> 0:25:05.600
<v Speaker 1>so we understand the benefits necessarily, you know, in terms

0:25:05.640 --> 0:25:08.480
<v Speaker 1>of inflation or arising interest rate environment. What about though,

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:10.600
<v Speaker 1>obviously the other side of all of this is and

0:25:10.640 --> 0:25:12.600
<v Speaker 1>we talk about this Steve in terms of the FED

0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 1>overdoing it and leading to some type of recession UM

0:25:16.600 --> 0:25:19.320
<v Speaker 1>and then you know, you wonder how long that recession

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:22.960
<v Speaker 1>potentially could last, um, how much does that maybe were

0:25:23.000 --> 0:25:25.879
<v Speaker 1>you or or kind of shape the type of investments

0:25:25.920 --> 0:25:28.320
<v Speaker 1>you want to be in right now that you want

0:25:28.320 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 1>to kind of get ahead of in case we do

0:25:29.880 --> 0:25:34.439
<v Speaker 1>fall into recession. Sure, we definitely believe that the you know,

0:25:34.440 --> 0:25:36.920
<v Speaker 1>the Fed's gonna continue to raise rates until they get

0:25:36.960 --> 0:25:39.480
<v Speaker 1>the results they want. And I think one of the

0:25:39.520 --> 0:25:42.120
<v Speaker 1>after effects of their rate heights will be a slowdown

0:25:42.119 --> 0:25:43.680
<v Speaker 1>and g d P in the second half of the

0:25:43.720 --> 0:25:46.200
<v Speaker 1>year in the United States, as well as the reduction

0:25:46.200 --> 0:25:49.159
<v Speaker 1>and earnings estimates for many companies within the SMP five hundred.

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:51.840
<v Speaker 1>So in that environment, you know we've shifted is the

0:25:51.920 --> 0:25:56.280
<v Speaker 1>more defensive property sectors such as healthcare, such as open

0:25:56.320 --> 0:25:59.360
<v Speaker 1>air shopping centers such as power reads. Also, I mean

0:25:59.400 --> 0:26:03.479
<v Speaker 1>that may in for their product wireless connectivity will remain strong,

0:26:04.040 --> 0:26:06.800
<v Speaker 1>and we've we've reduced in some of the more or

0:26:07.440 --> 0:26:09.120
<v Speaker 1>reduced quite a bit. And some of the more volatile

0:26:09.200 --> 0:26:13.520
<v Speaker 1>sectors such as uh let's say, regional malls and or

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:17.240
<v Speaker 1>the office sector, which will be impacted by perhaps slowly

0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:19.200
<v Speaker 1>and hiring in the second half this year, he Steve,

0:26:19.200 --> 0:26:20.720
<v Speaker 1>I want to go to some specific names here that

0:26:20.760 --> 0:26:22.640
<v Speaker 1>you've got your eye on. You like Kite Realty Group

0:26:22.640 --> 0:26:26.680
<v Speaker 1>Trust ticker KRG. What's appealing to you about Kite? Okay, sure,

0:26:26.720 --> 0:26:29.600
<v Speaker 1>it's an open air shopping center company. They didn't make

0:26:29.600 --> 0:26:33.240
<v Speaker 1>a large acquisition last year and basically what they're benefiting

0:26:33.280 --> 0:26:38.359
<v Speaker 1>from is a strong leasing environment UH low bad debt

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:43.840
<v Speaker 1>into part of their tenants and um open. The reopening

0:26:43.840 --> 0:26:45.800
<v Speaker 1>trade is working very well for them and their type

0:26:45.840 --> 0:26:50.440
<v Speaker 1>of tenants such as a Target of Walmart, Thick Supporting Goods, etcetera, etcetera.

0:26:50.960 --> 0:26:54.280
<v Speaker 1>They're opening stores and their their blending that are in

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:56.760
<v Speaker 1>store presence with their online presence. What that means is

0:26:56.760 --> 0:27:00.320
<v Speaker 1>that they're very comfortable having buy online and pick up

0:27:00.320 --> 0:27:03.320
<v Speaker 1>at the store as a team, and so they're benefiting

0:27:03.359 --> 0:27:06.399
<v Speaker 1>from that trend. And so we see very good actually

0:27:06.520 --> 0:27:09.800
<v Speaker 1>any growth for the open air centers and picker Kite.

0:27:09.880 --> 0:27:11.840
<v Speaker 1>Kite bought another read last year r P a I

0:27:12.440 --> 0:27:15.000
<v Speaker 1>at a very attractive rate and they dealed and closed

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:18.000
<v Speaker 1>to say the fourth quarter of two one, So they're

0:27:18.000 --> 0:27:20.400
<v Speaker 1>getting the benefits of that transaction. In two thousands, twenty

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:22.600
<v Speaker 1>two and they'll have some very good earnings this year

0:27:22.600 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 1>and beyond. Yeah, and recently raised the two guidance, so

0:27:26.920 --> 0:27:29.400
<v Speaker 1>certainly they're uppeat about the outlook. Hey, Steve, We've got

0:27:29.400 --> 0:27:32.439
<v Speaker 1>to run, but really fun to drill down into this sector.

0:27:32.520 --> 0:27:35.200
<v Speaker 1>Certainly something we talk about a lot here at Bloomberg.

0:27:35.240 --> 0:27:38.800
<v Speaker 1>Ste Brown. He's senior portfolio manager of our American Century Investments,

0:27:38.880 --> 0:27:42.679
<v Speaker 1>roughly two fifteen billion dollars in assets under the under management,

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:44.719
<v Speaker 1>and he's involved in both their real estate fund their

0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:47.639
<v Speaker 1>Global Real Estate Fund. Joining us on the phone in

0:27:47.720 --> 0:27:51.520
<v Speaker 1>New York City. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:27:51.640 --> 0:27:55.120
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com,

0:27:55.280 --> 0:27:56.919
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0:27:56.920 --> 0:27:59.520
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0:27:59.560 --> 0:28:01.639
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