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Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to the Daily Juice podcast on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros Network. I'm your host, Sean Decking the Money Green

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Speaker 1: and as always, Daily Juice is brought to you by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM. When you use a promo code Juice one

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Speaker 1: fifty to ten dollars, wager turns into one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars in free bets. Yes, please head over to

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Speaker 1: bet mgm and use that code Juice one fifty. All right, everyone,

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Speaker 1: welcome to our first of what I would imagine a

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Speaker 1: decent number of NFL futures. Figure this is the dog

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Speaker 1: days of summer. I'm gonna be hitting you with some

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Speaker 1: episodes where, you know, instead of grinding out the daily

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Speaker 1: MLBWNBA stuff, we're look ahead to the NFL calendar. So

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Speaker 1: many wind totals, you know, player over under, division winners,

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Speaker 1: super Bowl winners, wind totals, altern win totals, and of

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Speaker 1: course college football futures as well. So hopefully you guys

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Speaker 1: are down and if you have a specific market you

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Speaker 1: want me to handicap, hit me up in the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros Discord Bettingpros dot Com slash chat. I'm at Sean T.

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Speaker 1: Green there at Shan T. Green on Twitter as well.

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Speaker 1: And one more programming note. Not gonna recap yesterday's picks

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Speaker 1: on today's episode. I'm gonna do it on tomorrow's episode.

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Speaker 1: I'm actually flying down to Costa Rica. I know what

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Speaker 1: you're thinking, Oh, new guy already taking a vacation. Yes,

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Speaker 1: I will be on vacation, but don't worry. You will

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Speaker 1: not miss an episode. The only thing that will change

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Speaker 1: is if you're watching the show on YouTube, you may

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Speaker 1: see a slightly different background. That's all that will change.

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Speaker 1: Still hitting you with the daily pods. And speaking of YouTube,

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Speaker 1: if you haven't already subscribed to the YouTube channel, comment,

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Speaker 1: just leave a comment on this video for your chance

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Speaker 1: to win an autograph Jalen Hurts jersey courtesy of our

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Speaker 1: buddies over at Pristine Auction. All right, enough messing around,

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Speaker 1: let's get to the picks. This is my first of

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Speaker 1: what will be many NFL win totals. Give me the

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers over seven wins minus one twenty five on DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: All right, now, this is actually one of the I

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Speaker 1: think this is a one of the more chalkier plays

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Speaker 1: out there so far. So normally like to you know,

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Speaker 1: fade the public on future stuff like this. But I

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Speaker 1: just love this situation for this Steelers team. And first off,

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Speaker 1: huge fan of Mike Tomlin first and foremost. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the guy has just been a rock for that Steelers organization.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen year career. He's never had a losing season in

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Speaker 1: fifteen years. That's pretty insane. It's had a couple eight

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Speaker 1: and eighths in there, but again, we just need to

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Speaker 1: get to seven. Looking at their team in general, I

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Speaker 1: think it's pretty easy to make a case that Kenny Pickett,

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Speaker 1: Mitch Trubisky, whatever that combination ends up being, that ends

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Speaker 1: up being an upgrade over Ben Roethlisberger. I mean, we

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Speaker 1: saw Ben Roethlisberger, and kudos to him for gutting it

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Speaker 1: out and getting them into the playoffs somehow. Again, that

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Speaker 1: was crazy that they even stuck it with the playoffs

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Speaker 1: there at the very end. Shout out to the Jags

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Speaker 1: on the money line, which actually had seven to one

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Speaker 1: to take down the Colts. It was just an auto

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Speaker 1: fate of Carson Wentz, huge time choke guy. But we'll

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Speaker 1: get to that later when we talk about them. But

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Speaker 1: six point two yards pert tempt for Big Ben. That

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Speaker 1: was you know, neck and neck with some of his

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Speaker 1: career lows. Just an awful year, a lot of like

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Speaker 1: checkdown stuff. I do think the offense will be better

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Speaker 1: because he can you PICKTT Mitchell Trubisky again, not Aaron

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Speaker 1: Rodgers by any means, but should be an upgrade over

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Speaker 1: what we saw at the end there with big ben

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Speaker 1: defenses will play back a little bit. I think that's

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Speaker 1: going to create some opportunity for Naje Harris, who I

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Speaker 1: really like to have a big fantasy year as well.

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Speaker 1: And then on the other side of the ball, I

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Speaker 1: mean TJ. Watt right now is just a machine. That

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Speaker 1: guy is literally a game changer, you know when you

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Speaker 1: look at turnover differential. Nothing crazy for the Steelers there,

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Speaker 1: like they didn't cause an inordinate number of turnovers. But

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Speaker 1: I certainly think TJ. Wat can change some games in

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Speaker 1: and of himself. And he's priced that way too. Like

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Speaker 1: if you look at Defensive Player of the Year plus

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Speaker 1: seven hundred, he's neck and neck there with Aaron Donald

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Speaker 1: for the favorite across the board. So you're getting a

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Speaker 1: great defensive year candidate. I think Mike Tomlin, depending how

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Speaker 1: this goes with the rookie quarterback, he's a dark horse

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Speaker 1: for a Coach of the Year, and again the Steelers

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Speaker 1: organization like they don't really very rarely does the organization

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Speaker 1: bottom out. And again fifteen years has never had a

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Speaker 1: losing year. Last little nugget I liked for the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: They have the fewest travel miles on the NFL schedule

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Speaker 1: byo by a pretty good margin. And get this, they

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Speaker 1: don't leave the Eastern time zone. So again that's really

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Speaker 1: gonna help round things out for the Steelers as well.

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Speaker 1: And they're just a good organization overall. So over seven

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Speaker 1: minus one twenty five over on DraftKings. Love that price.

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Speaker 1: Moving over to my next win total pick here, I

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Speaker 1: really like to look at the bottom and the top

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Speaker 1: of these markets win pricing win totals and fine, you know, hey,

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Speaker 1: is this team really as bad or as good as

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Speaker 1: everyone's saying, or at least the market thinks. This leads

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Speaker 1: me to the Houston Texans over four and a half

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Speaker 1: plus one hundred on draft Kings. You know, again, one

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Speaker 1: of the lowest totals on the board. I just don't

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Speaker 1: think the Texans team is that bat uh. They have

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Speaker 1: actually some continuity the certainly they're bringing in the new

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Speaker 1: head coach Lovey Smith, but Davis Mills now a second

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Speaker 1: year starter. The quarterback coach, Pep Hamilton, has now been

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Speaker 1: upgraded to offensive coordinator. I think there's going to bring

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Speaker 1: some continuity there. And if you didn't watch a lot

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Speaker 1: of the Texans games, which rightfully so, uh sixty seven

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Speaker 1: percent completion by Davis Mills and six point eight yards

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Speaker 1: per a tempt. He and he also like he passed

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Speaker 1: the eye test. I know no one wants to think

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Speaker 1: of like Davis Mills as possibly the best quarterback in

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Speaker 1: the draft class, but he looked pretty good. He passed

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Speaker 1: the eye tests. And I thought they had a lot

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Speaker 1: of they had a lot of close losses. He looked

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Speaker 1: at their point differential not horrible for a team that

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Speaker 1: only won four games. And look at the look at

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Speaker 1: some of the talent they have on offense, Nico Collins

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Speaker 1: who I'm high on as a young guy, Brandon Cooks

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Speaker 1: professional receiver, and then Damian Pierce, the guy they drafted

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Speaker 1: he could end up being the starting running back. I

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Speaker 1: like his potential as well. And then on the other

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Speaker 1: side of the ball, like they really struggled to stay

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Speaker 1: in some games with their you know, their secondary was

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Speaker 1: a big issue. They draft Derek Stingley should be good

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Speaker 1: to go day one and have an impact on this defense.

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Speaker 1: You give Lovey Smith a cornerback like Derek Stingley, I

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Speaker 1: think that's really going to help their defense. And then

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Speaker 1: they play in the division, the AFC South. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I don't know where you're at with your handicap at

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Speaker 1: the AFC South, but I'm not I'm not really blown

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Speaker 1: away by any of these teams. Jags and maybe interesting

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Speaker 1: because it couldn't get worse, you know, a little addition

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Speaker 1: by subtraction getting rid of Urban Meyer Colts, maybe Matt

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Speaker 1: Ryan steadies the ship there and the Titans, Like I

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Speaker 1: think the Titans are definitely a team that feels like

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Speaker 1: is on the downward trend. So lot going right for

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Speaker 1: the Texans. Give me the Houston Texans over four and

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Speaker 1: a half plus one hundred over there on the old

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Speaker 1: draft Kings. Hey, guys, if you haven't gotten the Betting

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Speaker 1: pros app already, I don't know what you're waiting for.

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Speaker 1: You can track, Oh, you can track consensus, expert driven

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Speaker 1: expert picks, tons of free betting advice. Highly recommend getting

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Speaker 1: the Betting pros app. I get it. I use it.

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Speaker 1: It's great for shopping lines as well. So many tools

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Speaker 1: on there. Make sure you download the Betting Pros app.

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Speaker 1: Last NFL win total I'll be given out and again

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Speaker 1: hit me up in the discord on Twitter atch on

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Speaker 1: t Green. You know, Hey, what do you guys like

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Speaker 1: as far as futures? What do you want me to discuss?

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Speaker 1: I got plays on a lot. I love going hard

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Speaker 1: on the NFL Futures Week one. I do it all.

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Speaker 1: When it comes to the National Football League. We're less

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Speaker 1: than We're listening like thirty days away from the Hall

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Speaker 1: of Fame game. And if you don't think I have

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Speaker 1: Hall of Fame game plays, then I don't know what

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Speaker 1: you're doing listening to a daily vetting podcast if we're

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Speaker 1: not going to break down and handicap the Hall of

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Speaker 1: Fame game. Always a good under opportunity. I know they

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Speaker 1: price it really low. Last win total I'm going to

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Speaker 1: give out for this episode. Give me the Atlanta Falcons

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Speaker 1: under five minus one forty over on DraftKings. This is

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Speaker 1: really pushing the level of juice. I'm willing to lay

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Speaker 1: for a win total, but I really really like fading

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Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons this year for a variety of reasons. First,

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Speaker 1: the uncertainty at the quarterback position. I mean, was Matt

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Speaker 1: Ryan amazing last year? No, but it's certainly like a

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Speaker 1: competent veteran quarterback. Now you bring in the combination of

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Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota, maybe Desmond Ritter. I think the Falcons are

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Speaker 1: interesting from a fantasy perspective because they could be playing

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Speaker 1: from behind a lot, But I I just don't see,

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Speaker 1: you know, tremendous potential there. I wasn't very impressed with

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Speaker 1: Artistler Smith like eye tests last year as a head coach,

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Speaker 1: didn't really wasn't really blown away by the kind of

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Speaker 1: stuff they were scheming up, by the fact they only

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Speaker 1: got Kyle Pitts one touchdown a last season. Now, yeah,

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Speaker 1: he certainly do fantasy wise for some you know regression,

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Speaker 1: and I'm sure he'll get more than one. But I

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Speaker 1: just didn't really like what they were putting out scheme wise.

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Speaker 1: Then you look at their offense twenty third in the

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Speaker 1: league at five point one yards per play, and then

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Speaker 1: you're you're bringing in Marcus Mariota, which honestly feels kind

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Speaker 1: of like a downgrade. My initial thought was to lean

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Speaker 1: the un leading to the over on the Falcons, But

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Speaker 1: after I started looking at the numbers, I have to

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Speaker 1: go under the more I look at it. If you're

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Speaker 1: if you're one of those people who like to play

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Speaker 1: like worst team in the NFL prop bets, I think

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Speaker 1: the Atlanta of Falcons are sneakily in a decent spot there.

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Speaker 1: Then you throw on the fact that the Bucks should

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Speaker 1: still be really good. Certainly think the Falcons will be

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Speaker 1: better or sorry, I certainly think the Saints will be

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Speaker 1: better than the Falcons. Panthers, We'll say a lot to

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Speaker 1: be a lot to figure out there. But really the

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Speaker 1: number one reason why I'm fading the Atlanta Falcons for

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Speaker 1: the regular season win total of five is their record, right,

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Speaker 1: so last year there were seven and ten. However, minus

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Speaker 1: one forty six point differential. If you look at any

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Speaker 1: sort of these advanced math theories and stuff like that,

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Speaker 1: this is historically the worst or right up there, one

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Speaker 1: of the worst point differentials for a seven win team

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Speaker 1: points force points allowed you and you got seven wins

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Speaker 1: like they should have been probably like a four to

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Speaker 1: five win team. So they got a couple extra wins.

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Speaker 1: I mean, if you watch their season, they really really

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Speaker 1: pulled off some miracle wins to get to seven, So

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Speaker 1: I think they were very fortunate. You lose some of

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Speaker 1: that luck and that, you know, just just kind of

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Speaker 1: outliers as far as outcomes, and five is very realistic

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Speaker 1: if you know, four three, two one. I think this

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Speaker 1: Falcons team could be pretty bad. Let's compare them to

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Speaker 1: another seven to ten team last year's like see the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: The Seahawks had a plus twenty nine positive point differential

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Speaker 1: and they only won seven games. Now you would look

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Speaker 1: for them to normally, you know, kind of regress back

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Speaker 1: to the positive side with the win totals. Russell Wilson

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Speaker 1: leaving obviously changes a lot on that handicap. I'm sure

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Speaker 1: we'll get to them at some point here in the offseason.

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Speaker 1: But minus won forty six on the point differential, and

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Speaker 1: you get worse at the quarterback position, I think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a massive fade for me in the Atlanta Falcons. Again,

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Speaker 1: if you're a big fantasy guy, they're certainly interesting because

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Speaker 1: I think their defense has some serious holes in it

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Speaker 1: and they could be playing from behind and get some

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Speaker 1: easy garbage stuff. But as far as they win, to

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Speaker 1: give me the under on the Atlanta Falcons at minus

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Speaker 1: one forty on DraftKings. Give me the Houston Texans over

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Speaker 1: four and a half plus one hundred on DraftKings, so

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Speaker 1: getting some plus odds to bounce it out, and the

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers over seven minus one twenty five on DK.

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Speaker 1: A lot of other places are hanging to seven and

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Speaker 1: a half. I also like the over on that, but

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Speaker 1: let's just get it down to seven. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: only way you lose this bet is if Mike Tomlin

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Speaker 1: and the Pittsburgh Steelers go six and eleven. I really

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Speaker 1: don't see that happening, even with a new quarterback for

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Speaker 1: the Stealers. All right, thank you guys as always for

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Speaker 1: tuning into the Daily Juice. Make sure you support our

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Speaker 1: sponsor bet MGM use a promo col Juice one fifty

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Speaker 1: ten dollars wager and get you one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: dollars in free bets regardless of outcomes. Hit me up

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Speaker 1: on the discord at Sean T. Green also at Seawan T.

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Speaker 1: Green on Twitter, and guys, as always, don't forget to rate, review, subscribe,

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Speaker 1: and of course let it ride. Ye