1 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:16,320 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Sunday? Welcome into 2 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 1: another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: Perrault at Sports Talk Matt my twitter handle. Will follow 4 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: me on Twitter. This podcast being brought to you by 5 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: bet MGM in the one thousand other first bet offer 6 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,159 Speaker 1: available to new users at betmgm dot com with the 7 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: promo code Juice. All Right, it's been a good week, 8 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:35,839 Speaker 1: four straight winning days. Wasn't a big winning day yesterday 9 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:37,680 Speaker 1: because the AIDS came in and kind of burned us 10 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: a bit with the mis one forty loss, but the 11 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:42,639 Speaker 1: over for the Lakers comes in and hits, and then 12 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: maybe the most miracle under first period of the season, 13 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 1: definitely of the playoffs. I have no idea how in 14 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 1: the world we got that right, but oh baby, that 15 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: was good. We'll take that. Scary, but we'll take it. 16 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: So up point six units there and it's been a 17 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: very good week. Will do a full recap and accounting 18 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: on tomorrow's podcast once we finish the entire week. Okay, 19 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 1: so I'm not going to make the A's run line 20 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: bet official because it's really expensive. It's minus one sixty. 21 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: Now I'm betting this Okay, I'm going to do this 22 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 1: for a week. I want to see where I'm going 23 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: to wind up. Some days I'll make it official, but 24 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 1: when it's point one six units, I really don't like 25 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 1: making those plays official because I think it's a little 26 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,679 Speaker 1: bit of a egregious price to have anybody lay that 27 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:31,399 Speaker 1: type of juice. I really don't like going above minus 28 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: one thirty one thirty five kind of a max for 29 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 1: my official plays here on the podcast. So that play 30 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: is if you want to it's there, okay, and I'm 31 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: betting it, So if you want to bet it, you 32 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 1: can bet it. I don't know what to do with 33 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 1: the first period for the Knights and the Stars. It's 34 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: a noon Pacific time start. I want to bet the 35 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: under in the first period. I think that's probably going 36 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: to happen. But another part of me thinks this game 37 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: is going to be pretty high scoring. The Nights have 38 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: played pretty well during day games, and I just think 39 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 1: these teams here in Vegas, at least they're going to 40 00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: play over games here in Vegas. I don't think they're 41 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: gonna play under games here in Vegas. Given Hill and 42 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: I know it's Jake Otdinger and everything else. So we'll 43 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:13,000 Speaker 1: get to the hockey bets here in just one second. 44 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 1: But that's the official or the personal play of the 45 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:20,359 Speaker 1: day is going to be. I will definitely take the 46 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 1: first period, most likely to the over. I don't know, 47 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 1: but definitely I'm betting run lined for the Astros. Here 48 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,359 Speaker 1: on it's framber on the mound for the Houston Astros. 49 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: But before I give you the three official plays, and 50 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: I can't have a losing week, so I can lose 51 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 1: all three of these plays. So it gives me a 52 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:39,079 Speaker 1: little bit of a flexible flexibility to kind of look 53 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: at how I'm reading the two playoff games here today 54 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:43,920 Speaker 1: and kind of go at it in a way that 55 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,480 Speaker 1: maybe I would be. It's a little aggressive, but I 56 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: don't care. I'm going to come in with it because 57 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:49,920 Speaker 1: we've had such a good week and we're up, so 58 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 1: not going to play around. We're on a fourteen and 59 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: no we're on an eleven and three run, so not bad. 60 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:58,640 Speaker 1: This is going to cool off at some point, but 61 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: right now we're hot. Let's see if we can push 62 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 1: our luck a little bit here for our picks on 63 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: a Sunday. But before we do that, let me tell 64 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 1: you about the Betting Pros app. Have you guys gone 65 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 1: and downloaded the Betting Pros app yet? If you have not, 66 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: why not? It's free? Go do it. Sink your sports 67 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 1: books in less than a minute to automatically track your 68 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: bets across all sports books in one spot. I can 69 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 1: tell you as somebody who keeps track of his own 70 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 1: record and the luckily Betting Pros does it for me. 71 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: But it's really good to keep track of what you're 72 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: betting and how you're betting. After sinking, you'll enjoy access 73 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: to detailed bet analytics by sport and by bet type, 74 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: including game picks, props, and parlays. You'll also get insight 75 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: and personalized recommendations for props game picks that are more 76 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: tailored to your interests. To enjoy the benefits of sports 77 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 1: Book Sync, download the Betting Pros app by visit by 78 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: excuse me, by visiting Bettingpros dot com, slash apps, or 79 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: by searching Betting Pros in the app store. All right, 80 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: so let's start with basketball, and then we're gonna get 81 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 1: to the hockey. There's two bets in hockey, one bet 82 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: in basketball. The Boston Celtics are minus three. You just 83 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: saw the Denver Nuggets beat the Lakers to take a 84 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 1: three games to non lead. No team in the history 85 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: of the NBA has ever come back down oh three, Okay, 86 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 1: it's like was zero in one forty nine. I think 87 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 1: the record is. So Boston knows this, and Boston will 88 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,480 Speaker 1: have watched what just happened with the Nuggets going on 89 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: the road and beating these these Lakers. This is reverse. Okay, 90 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 1: Boston has lost the first two games at home, and 91 00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:33,719 Speaker 1: everyone's throwing dirt on the Boston Celtics. Eh, hold on 92 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 1: a second. The Celtics on the road this year were 93 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 1: twenty six and twenty one ats. The Miami Heat were 94 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: nineteen twenty seven and two at home. Now, I know 95 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: they're eight and two over their last ten games ATS, 96 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: and I know Boston was favored in the first two 97 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 1: games and failed to cover. They were big favorites. They 98 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 1: were laying nine in Game two and eight in game one. 99 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 1: They lost both games outright now they're laying three up 100 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 1: against the Heat on the road. Now you look at Miami, 101 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: you look at the way they have played here in 102 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 1: these series, and they've been really tough to defeat. Okay, 103 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: we know what they've done you know what they did 104 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,840 Speaker 1: by in the play in tournaments. How difficult they've been 105 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 1: from an out perspective. You know, they lost by eleven 106 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 1: points to Atlanta and in the playing game, and they 107 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 1: had to come back and beat Chicago by eleven to 108 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 1: get in. They were trailing in that game. They won 109 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: game one, They lost Game two to Milwaukee, but then 110 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 1: they won the next two games at home against the 111 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: Bucks by twenty two and by five points. They started 112 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 1: on the road against New York. They split those two 113 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: games and then won both games at home, one by 114 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: nineteen in one by eight. Okay, all of these things 115 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,279 Speaker 1: are going to be followed. The public is going to 116 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 1: bet on the Miami Heat. Okay, what just you saw 117 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: with the Nuggets everything else, Jimmy Butler, I expect Boston 118 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,200 Speaker 1: and I expect Jason Tatum to have one one of 119 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: those games here. I don't know who wins Game four. 120 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 1: I think the winner of Game four will win the series. 121 00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: But I think Boston wins Game three, and I think 122 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:14,039 Speaker 1: Boston covers. Celtics have been good on the road, but 123 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: when they play their best, their backs are against the wall. 124 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: They've got to have the brink. They got to be 125 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: pushed to the brink, and then you'll see the best 126 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,280 Speaker 1: out of the Boston Celtics. I think they'll find a 127 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 1: way to stop Jimmy Butler enough. Not thinking they're gonna 128 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 1: win it big, I think Boston does find a way 129 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: to win. I'm gonna lay the three points here Boston 130 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: minus three on the road against the Miami Heat here 131 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 1: in Game three of the Eastern Conference Finals. Now to 132 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: the Western Conference Finals. In hockey, boy, this is crazy 133 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 1: because Oddinger just doesn't lose back to back games. I 134 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: like betting streaks, I like betting hot goaltenders, and I 135 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 1: don't think I'm prepared to say that Otdinger is going 136 00:06:56,839 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 1: to lose a game here. Just given the way he 137 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: plays after a loss. It's unbelievable. Now, the game may 138 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: not be pretty, he may give up a couple of goals, 139 00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 1: but they just find ways to win games after losses. 140 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: It doesn't make a whole lot of sense. But it's 141 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: like nineteen and one. Jake Odinger is after losses. It's 142 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: plus money. I don't know if I can. I have 143 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: to take it. I gotta take it. Dallas Stars on 144 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: the money line to even up the series at one 145 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: games A piece between them and the Vegas Golden Knights. 146 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 1: Vegas was fortunate in overtime to get the victory in 147 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 1: Game one. Maybe the bounce is go the Dallas Stars way. 148 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: It's plus one oh five. I'm gonna lay the one 149 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: unit down plus one oh five Dallas money line against 150 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 1: the Vegas Golden Knights, and I'm gonna bet over five 151 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 1: and a half again. I mean four to three final 152 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 1: in game one, I'm gonna bet over five and a 153 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 1: half again. I don't think this is gonna be an 154 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 1: under series in Vegas. It might be an under series 155 00:07:57,760 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: in Dallas. I don't think it's gonna be an under 156 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: series with Hill and Net. It could be a five 157 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: to one final, Okay, I might need a five to 158 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 1: one final if Audinger stands on his head. But I 159 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: think Vegas gets a couple of goals here at least 160 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: they might get three again, it might be three to three. 161 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 1: We might go to overtime again and may be that 162 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 1: type of series. But I think it's four to two 163 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 1: is the most likely outcome, the most likely final here 164 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: over five and a half, and it's not even that expensive. 165 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 1: It's minus one fifteen to bet the over. I'm gonna 166 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 1: drop it one point one to five units down on 167 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:33,079 Speaker 1: the over for Vegas and the Dallas Stars. Like I said, normally, 168 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: I don't double up and bet two games two bets 169 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: in one game in case I'm way wrong with the read. 170 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: But we've had a really good week and it's you know, 171 00:08:40,559 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 1: I could be a little more aggressive and bet on 172 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 1: both sides if I want. So. The three official plays 173 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: Celtics minus three one point one units, Stars plus one 174 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: oh four sorry one five sorry starts plus one oh 175 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 1: five on the money line for one unit and misus 176 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: one point one to five units down on the over 177 00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:59,439 Speaker 1: five and a half goals. I also lean, I mean, 178 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 1: I think the game is going to go over between 179 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: Miami and Boston, and if you want to play on 180 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 1: the total, I think over to thirteen and a half. 181 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 1: I think I think that's possible. But you know, the 182 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 1: first two games, so the first two games have gone 183 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 1: over by twenty seven and one and a half points. 184 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:20,439 Speaker 1: But this year Miami was you know, generally an over 185 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:22,719 Speaker 1: team twenty six and twenty two, but Boston on the 186 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 1: road twenty two to twenty four and one to the over, 187 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 1: so they were an under team on the road. They 188 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 1: were an under team against their division. They were an 189 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: overteam against their conference against the Eastern Conference. However, so 190 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: I do. I will have a personal bet on the 191 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,439 Speaker 1: over as well on the game, but that's just kind 192 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 1: of extra. So the official plays are minus three Celtics 193 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: over five and a half goals Vegas and Dallas and 194 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 1: Dallas money line. The Leans are the plays. If you 195 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 1: want extra, I taken the Astros on the run line 196 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 1: minas one sixty, taking the over too thirteen and a 197 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:58,840 Speaker 1: half for Boston in Miami and the over in the 198 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 1: first period most likely for Dallas in Vegas, but I'm 199 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: not positive on that as if yet, probably go with 200 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:06,959 Speaker 1: over two goals over one and a half goals rather 201 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: on that. So there's your Sunday. Let's wrap the week 202 00:10:10,040 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: on a good note and head off into another week, 203 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 1: hopefully repeat this past week. It's been a good one. 204 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: Minus Matt Perolt. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. 205 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,080 Speaker 1: Each and every morning, it is The Diligence Podcast being 206 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:34,560 Speaker 1: brought to you by Betham Jim