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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you Welcome into the Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parold. You can follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. We're here off bettingpros dot Com and as always,

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Speaker 1: we're being brought to you by bet MGM. Welcome to Thursday,

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Speaker 1: Day one of the Masters, the first time that we

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Speaker 1: will ever have a Masters tournament going on at the

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Speaker 1: same time as a football game. Now it's Thursday night

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Speaker 1: football Indianapolis at the Tennessee Titans. But it's the same day, right,

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Speaker 1: not the same time, I guess, but the same day.

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Speaker 1: So we've got early star times all over the place,

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Speaker 1: so I'm hoping you guys can get to this early.

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Speaker 1: I know this is a little bit of a problem

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Speaker 1: because I had to talk to a couple different people

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Speaker 1: yesterday before I could give you the picks. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna put this out. It's eighteen Pacific time. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: go two and zero on our plays. I had to

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Speaker 1: wait till both those looked safe. Central Michigan wins in

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Speaker 1: a laugher, laying the seven and a half, and then

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Speaker 1: we got the over for the Toledo in Western Michigan game,

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Speaker 1: So just had to make sure that we're going to

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Speaker 1: go too and oh before that. So four and oh

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Speaker 1: over the last two days up basically two units. I

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Speaker 1: probably should have been more, but hey, you know, we'll

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Speaker 1: take it, right, I mean, you know, plus zero point

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Speaker 1: four or five units on every one of these plays,

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Speaker 1: So not bad or we'll take it every time. Uh,

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Speaker 1: and we're not. You know, I'm not gonna sneeze at

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Speaker 1: a four and oh mark. Over the last two days.

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Speaker 1: Probably should have been betting more, but you know, watch

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Speaker 1: me bet more than lose. So half of units on

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Speaker 1: those games will take the plus money heading into the weekend,

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Speaker 1: heading into Thursday night football and Round one of the Masters.

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Speaker 1: So here's what I'm going to do. I have got

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Speaker 1: three plays that I'm gonna give you sorry, no four plays, sorry,

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Speaker 1: four plays that I have made that are my favorite

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Speaker 1: four plays for the Masters, and then one play on

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Speaker 1: the game tonight Colts at the Titans. Okay, so it's

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Speaker 1: a little bit more than I normally get into. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go quickly. Here. I'm gonna give you the

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Speaker 1: read here for bet MGM, the offer that they've got

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Speaker 1: for you guys. Here for new users for the Masters,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll go through the picks. I have spent

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Speaker 1: the better part of I don't know today on the

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Speaker 1: phone talking to people, talking to sharp betting people, talking

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Speaker 1: to my golf friends. I've got people in the golf

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Speaker 1: world that I lean on heavily in big tournaments. For

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Speaker 1: the everyday tournament. If you remember, going back to the

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Speaker 1: beginning part of the pandemic, I was got off like golf.

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Speaker 1: I feel good about these plays after the people that

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Speaker 1: I talked to. If you like bryceon day Shambau, however,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna be mad at me. If you've already bet

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Speaker 1: Bryce and day Shamba, you're gonna be mad at me.

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Speaker 1: But first and foremost, let me tell you about bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: The offer that's available right now for you guys who

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Speaker 1: are in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, and West Virginia.

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Speaker 1: You get a new account. You bet one dollar on

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Speaker 1: one golfer to win the Masters. Anybody makes a bird

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Speaker 1: in the tournament that give you one hundred dollars. They're

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Speaker 1: giving you one hundred dollars. Guy, have free bets at

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Speaker 1: BETMGM with the bonus code Juice one hundred promo code

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Speaker 1: juice one hundred. You're gonna win one hundred dollars with

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Speaker 1: a birdie, a one dollar bet on a player to

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Speaker 1: win the Masters. Very simple, very easy. Terms of conditions.

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Speaker 1: Go to betemgym dot com. Must be twenty one years

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Speaker 1: or older and physically look at it. In Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey or West Virginia. Police gamble responsibly if you've

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Speaker 1: got a gambling problem called one hundred five to two

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Speaker 1: forty seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler in New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it

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Speaker 1: in Indiana. All right, let's talk about Augusta National. Have

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Speaker 1: you guys ever been there? I have been fortunate enough

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Speaker 1: to have gone only once, but I went for a Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: I went on a practice round, and I went and

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Speaker 1: watched and walked the entire course. I've been on every hole.

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Speaker 1: I went to the Par three tournament, one of the

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Speaker 1: last times that Jack Arnie and Gary Player played together

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Speaker 1: in the par three tournaments. It was an epic experience,

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Speaker 1: in incredible moments, an awesome time. The course in person

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Speaker 1: is unlike anything you see on TV. The hills, the

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Speaker 1: level changes the greens, the slopes, everything is just amped

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Speaker 1: up twenty five thirty times than it is on TV

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Speaker 1: or on a live stream. It is gorgeous, It is pristine.

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Speaker 1: Every blade of grass is in a perfect position. It

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Speaker 1: is just an amazing place to just walk. Forget play,

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Speaker 1: just walk it. Never played it, just to walk it.

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Speaker 1: Here's the thing about Augusta National. It is not a

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Speaker 1: driving man's golf course. If you think about Zach Johnson,

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Speaker 1: the fact that he's won the green jacket, this course

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Speaker 1: is about thinking, but not thinking in the way that

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Speaker 1: Bryton Day Shambau is gonna think. Not overthinking it, not

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Speaker 1: trying to find some advantage, not bludgeoning the thing to death.

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Speaker 1: It's about being in the right place at the right time,

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Speaker 1: on the right hole. It's about your second shot. It's

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Speaker 1: not about your t shot, all right. So when Dustin

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Speaker 1: Johnson goes out there, watch his short game, Watch the

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Speaker 1: way he hits approach shots. He's got as much length

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Speaker 1: as anybody on tour. He just chooses not to use

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Speaker 1: it all the time. He doesn't need it. He'd rather

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Speaker 1: not hit a three hundred and seventy five yard drive

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Speaker 1: because he wants to hit a full shot into a

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Speaker 1: green with enough spin to hold the ball in position

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Speaker 1: below the hole. Being below the hole at Augusta National

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Speaker 1: is so very important, And if you go along at

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Speaker 1: some of these holes, you're dead. You're just dead. And

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Speaker 1: Bryson Day Shambeau is coming to this golf course with

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Speaker 1: a forty eight inch driver with the idea of just

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Speaker 1: overpowering Augusta National. I don't believe it's going to work.

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Speaker 1: All right, it might work, and I might be dead wrong.

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Speaker 1: And if I'm dead wrong, I'm gonna lose a bunch

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Speaker 1: of bets. Okay, But I am fading Bryson Day Shambeau.

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Speaker 1: I am fading him at this golf course, in particularly

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Speaker 1: with the weather that's coming up here. I just don't

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Speaker 1: believe that Bryson is going to play this golf course

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Speaker 1: the way you have to play this golf course. So

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Speaker 1: I have one bet for you on who I think

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Speaker 1: is going to win this golf tournament. For everyone I

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Speaker 1: have spoken to from people that have seen Dustin Johnson

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Speaker 1: recently play golf, People have talked to Dustin Johnson, people

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Speaker 1: who are talking about Dustin Johnson in golf circles. Dustin

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Speaker 1: Johnson's playing the best golf he has played in a

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Speaker 1: very long time, and it's his time. He's never won

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Speaker 1: the Masters. His best finish is second. He's never won

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Speaker 1: this tournament. This is his time. I got Dustin Johnson

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Speaker 1: at plus eight point fifty to win the Masters. Put

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit on it. You can put on as

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Speaker 1: much as you want there. I know the strategy of

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Speaker 1: sprinkling four to five different golfers to win this thing.

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Speaker 1: I get it. I do, just not going to recommend

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Speaker 1: doing it. Why, because it's really hard to pick a winner.

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Speaker 1: So I figure, just give you one winner and then

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Speaker 1: try to cash on a couple other wagers and head

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Speaker 1: to heads, because that's how I bet golf. I don't

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Speaker 1: bet golf, you know, picking one winner it's like throwing,

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Speaker 1: you know, trying to hit a bullseye on a dirt

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Speaker 1: board with their eyes closed. It's not easy to do,

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Speaker 1: so you just close your eyes now. But I think

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Speaker 1: Dustin Johnson's gonna win this thing. Okay, So at plus

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Speaker 1: eight fifty that's where I got it at. Hopefully you

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Speaker 1: guys can get something similar. You should get at least

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Speaker 1: eight to one, all right, at least eight to one

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Speaker 1: on this bet. But so I'm going Dustin Johnson quarter

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Speaker 1: unit pointy five units quarter unit on Dustin Johnson to

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Speaker 1: win this tournament. Okay, let's talk head to heads. I

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Speaker 1: have two full tournament head to heads going, and I

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Speaker 1: have one first round tournament going Bubba Watson versus Colin Morikawa. Really,

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Speaker 1: this is where it gets tricky because your golf, your

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Speaker 1: your golf betting options for your book maybe different than

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Speaker 1: my betting options. All right, So I fully understand that

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Speaker 1: that what I'm betting at bet MGM and Circus Sports

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Speaker 1: and the Westgate, what I'm betting here in Vegas could

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Speaker 1: be very different than what you guys are betting. But

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Speaker 1: I'm just the idea of this podcast is I'm telling

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Speaker 1: you what I'm betting, and you can fade or follow it.

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Speaker 1: So if you can find Bubba Watson against Colin Morikawa

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Speaker 1: head to head in the first round, I've got Bubba

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Speaker 1: Watson winning at minus one twelve half a unit on

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Speaker 1: Bubba Watson to do this. Here's what I have been told,

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Speaker 1: and this is what I believe. Lefties have a big

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Speaker 1: advantage at Augusta National. And for a guy like Colin Morrikawa,

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Speaker 1: who does not much experience at Augustin National. This is

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Speaker 1: going to be a pretty big moment for him. He's

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Speaker 1: a young guy. This is the mecca of golf. He

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Speaker 1: could come out and play very well. He's a very

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Speaker 1: smart player. He could play great in rounds two, rounds three,

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Speaker 1: runs four. But in round one, Bubba who has Warner

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Speaker 1: green jacket, who's got the power, who's got the right

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Speaker 1: to left ball movement that you need at Augusta National.

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Speaker 1: Who is striking the ball incredibly well right now? Bubba

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Speaker 1: Watson over Colin Morrikawa head to head for the first

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Speaker 1: round at minus one twelve half a unit on that

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Speaker 1: for Thursday, all right, that's for tomorrow for round one.

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Speaker 1: The other two head to heads are full course, full

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Speaker 1: tournaments and they both are fading Bryce and Dave Shambo.

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Speaker 1: Roy McElroy has not won this event. Roy McElroy, I

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Speaker 1: don't believe will win this events. Roy McElroy, by all

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Speaker 1: accounts right now is having a difficult time with his putter,

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Speaker 1: but every other part of his game has come around.

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Speaker 1: He's striking the ball well, he's driving the ball well,

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Speaker 1: and he likes the fact that he is a bit

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Speaker 1: under the radar here because everyone's talking about Bryson, Bryson, Bryson, Bryson,

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Speaker 1: all the money, tons of money have come in here

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Speaker 1: on Bryson Dave Shambau, both professionally and for the public.

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Speaker 1: And this is an inflection point for golf. If Bryson

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Speaker 1: Dave Shamba goes out and shoots a sixty four in

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Speaker 1: the first round of the Masters and he just eviscerates

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Speaker 1: the golf course, golf is gonna have to adjust, The

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Speaker 1: Masters will have to adjust. I don't think the course

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Speaker 1: is going to have to do that, because what Tiger

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Speaker 1: was so good with he wasn't just long. He knew

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Speaker 1: where to put the ball. He knew his second shot

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Speaker 1: was so important. He was a student of the game.

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Speaker 1: And let's be frank, Bryson day Shambou. Second shots are

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Speaker 1: where he has problems. He's short irons, It's where he

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Speaker 1: has problems. And I think that's where he's going to

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Speaker 1: struggle again here. Not off the tee. He'll hit these

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Speaker 1: Bazuka drives, but I think he'll struggle off the te

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Speaker 1: He can put pretty well, but I think the second

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Speaker 1: shot is going to be his bugaboo. And I think

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Speaker 1: Roy McElroy is going to finish ahead of Bryson day Shamba.

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Speaker 1: I got that at plus money at plus one hundred

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Speaker 1: for Roy McElroy over Bryson Dave Shambo in a head

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Speaker 1: to head at a half a unit and the other

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Speaker 1: half a unit full tournament. John Rahm, the dude who

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Speaker 1: skipped the ball up onto the green and got the

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Speaker 1: home in one during one of the practice rounds that

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Speaker 1: everybody was so gaga over. John Ram is the best

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Speaker 1: player in the world. The dude's playing incredible golf. He

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Speaker 1: very well might win this thing. I got John Rahm

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Speaker 1: in a head to head against Bryson Dave Shambo minus

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Speaker 1: one p thirty at a half a unit, taking John Ram.

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Speaker 1: And if you want to tell me John Rom wins

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Speaker 1: this thing, I'm not going to fight it at all.

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Speaker 1: And just for the record, in case you guys are

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Speaker 1: like completely blown away by that trick shot. That trick

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Speaker 1: shot is done by every golfer who plays a practice

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Speaker 1: round every week the week of the Masters. It's a tradition,

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Speaker 1: skipping the ball up onto the green. It's been done

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Speaker 1: numerous times. It's been done. You know, you throw four

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Speaker 1: or five balls down and you just go ahead and

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Speaker 1: whack at it. So yes, somebody was there taping it

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Speaker 1: and somebody put it out there, and it's an incredible shot.

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Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong, it's an amazing shot. I could

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Speaker 1: if you gave me one hundred attempts, I could not

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Speaker 1: do that, not even close. But as somebody who has

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Speaker 1: watched other golfers skip the ball out of the green

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Speaker 1: and skip the ball really close to the hole because

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Speaker 1: it's all about getting it up on the slope of

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Speaker 1: that green, and it just runs in funnels right back

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Speaker 1: down to the hole. I mean, I was kind of like,

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Speaker 1: great shot, that's amazing. I didn't expect it to go

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Speaker 1: viral and everyone was like, what is this wizardry. It's like, okay,

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Speaker 1: I mean not to kind of pee in the punch bowl,

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Speaker 1: but come on, let's realize how many times those guys

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Speaker 1: attempt that shot over and over again every single year,

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Speaker 1: and how many different players have done that without cameras rolling.

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Speaker 1: So just my little soapbox moment there. So all right,

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Speaker 1: So for the for the Masters, before I give you

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Speaker 1: the football, play tonight for the Masters. Dustin Johnson to

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Speaker 1: win the tournament at point twenty five units at plus

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Speaker 1: eight fifty first round Bubba Watson over Colin Morikawa head

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Speaker 1: to head half a unit at minus one twelve full tournament.

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Speaker 1: Roy McElroy over Bryson Day Shambo plus one hundred on

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Speaker 1: Rory at a half a unit other unit full tournament,

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Speaker 1: John Rahm over Bryson Day Shamba head to head at

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Speaker 1: mass one thirty at a half a unit. Those aren't

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Speaker 1: my four plays, my four favorite plays for the Masters.

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Speaker 1: I have more going, but that's just what I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you, guys. Those are my four favorite I can't

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Speaker 1: spend the whole time giving you like fifteen plays on

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Speaker 1: the Masters. But it's the Masters. I'm a golfer. I

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Speaker 1: love golf. I bet crazy here. I'm gonna betting all weekend.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be doing in game as much as I

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Speaker 1: can and trying to find different angles and add and

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Speaker 1: whatever I can bet on, I'm gonna bet on. It's

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Speaker 1: the Masters, my gosh. But normally this is April. Normally

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Speaker 1: I'm not dealing with the football bankroll, so it's makes

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Speaker 1: it a little bit of a different world. I have

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Speaker 1: a bit more to play with, so it's a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a different spin to play in our November Masters.

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Speaker 1: But let's talk football for a second. So the Titans

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Speaker 1: are hosting the Indianapolis Colts. Number was two and a half.

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Speaker 1: It has totally flipped. Here's where I am going to

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Speaker 1: apologize to you guys for a couple of things. Immediately,

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Speaker 1: I was waiting for it to go to plus one.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what the time of taping, I'm not

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Speaker 1: sure where the number is. But it went to plus one.

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Speaker 1: And when it did, I went on the discord chat

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash chat Bettingpros dot com slash chat

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Speaker 1: into our discord channel for the Daily Juice and I said, look,

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Speaker 1: if you can find plus one same game teaser. Now,

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Speaker 1: I know not all you guys can do that at

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Speaker 1: your book. So for a second apology, there's the second apology.

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Speaker 1: First is I got it at plus one for the Titans.

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Speaker 1: Second apology is I teased it. The number has been

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Speaker 1: put out there. Our friend Alan Bell from CBS Sports

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Speaker 1: had this last week. But teams that are at home

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Speaker 1: playing a divisional opponent catching points are twelve and one

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Speaker 1: against the spread this year. Now, trends don't mean jack. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not pointing out of trends saying this is, but

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Speaker 1: I'm getting seven points now I have a seven point dog.

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Speaker 1: I took the total from forty nine, pulled it down

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Speaker 1: to forty three, and I bet the over. In most

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Speaker 1: games in the NFL, we're not gonna see. These defenses

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Speaker 1: are good. But I'd be really surprised if we're not

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Speaker 1: looking at a game that's somewhere in like the twenty

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Speaker 1: eight to twenty one range, right, I mean, I'm just

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Speaker 1: I'll be very surprised if these both these offenses aren't

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Speaker 1: putting up points. In particular, t Y Hilton's playing, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I know that's a big reason why that the number

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Speaker 1: flipped from two and a half to minus to two

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Speaker 1: and a half the Titans to plus one for the Titans.

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Speaker 1: But I think the Titans on the right side anyway.

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Speaker 1: I think they're at home. I like their defense. I

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Speaker 1: know a Doorri Jackson's not playing, so that's a big

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Speaker 1: loss with ty In and Jackson out. Another reason why

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Speaker 1: people are putting money on the Colts. But I'm not

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Speaker 1: a big Colt. If you've listened to my podcast alongside

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris, where we do the Betting Pros NFL podcast

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Speaker 1: every week, you know how I feel about the Colts.

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Speaker 1: I've been wrong about the Colts a lot. So you

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Speaker 1: may say, oh, I'm all over Indianapolis, man, they're playing

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Speaker 1: so great, look what it just did last weekend. And

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Speaker 1: then look at the Titans. They've been scuffling. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: have a bet on the Titans to win ten games

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Speaker 1: this game here. They play the Colts two of the

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Speaker 1: next three weeks. They play the Ravens next week. They

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Speaker 1: need to win their home games and they need to

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Speaker 1: beat their teams. These teams like the Colts at home,

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Speaker 1: big game for the Titans, Big big game of the

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Speaker 1: Titans on a short week. So I like the Titans

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Speaker 1: at plus one, but I teased it same game teaser

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Speaker 1: for one unit to plus seven Titans over forty three

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty five for a full units. So

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Speaker 1: those are the plays here for us. On a Thursday,

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Speaker 1: Dustin Johnson to win the Masters Bubba over Morikawa in

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Speaker 1: the first round, Rory over Bryson for the tournament, over

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Speaker 1: Bryson for the tournaments, and same game teaser Titans plus

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Speaker 1: seven over forty three on Thursday Night football. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Perrault. Make sure you hang out with us

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Speaker 1: in our Discord chat channel throughout the Masters, throughout the

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Speaker 1: entire weekend. It's gonna be a ton of fun. We've

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Speaker 1: got college football on Saturday, we've got NFL football on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: and Masters betting throughout. I will have other plays throughout

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Speaker 1: the weekend. I will have other things that jump up

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Speaker 1: and things that make sense. But those are our initial

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Speaker 1: plays for the Masters heading into Thursday's opening rounds. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning, it's

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast, presented by BETMGM, papabettingcos dot com