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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game? Do us prout

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Speaker 1: read a lot? They're up for running a game.

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Speaker 2: So smooth, so sweet, splendid.

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Speaker 3: Six sing just glorious.

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Speaker 2: Ex procution, guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent

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Speaker 2: effort four thousand percent of the time. How shot with

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Speaker 2: that shop of mind?

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Speaker 1: But buddy, and that's why you.

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Speaker 2: See nor beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 1: Look at his movements the.

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Speaker 2: Most dangerous amount of the planet. Nobody picture them.

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Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm trying.

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Speaker 2: The wall.

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Speaker 1: It's left to of the white eyed drilled fibus how

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Speaker 1: old earth pick that happens?

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Speaker 4: Hello everybody, and welcome back to Wonder Goal, that soccer

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Speaker 4: betting podcast from the Action Network. My name is Mike Leebuff,

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Speaker 4: and in just a moment, I'll bring in my co

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Speaker 4: host BJ Cunningham and Anthony Dubundo, and together the three

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Speaker 4: of us will take a journey around Europe to break

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Speaker 4: down all sixteen Champions League matches coming our way Tuesday

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Speaker 4: and Wednesday. But before I bring in Bj and Anthony,

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Speaker 4: a reminder that Wonder Goal is presented by Bet three

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Speaker 4: six five, the world's favorite sports book brand. Sign up

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Speaker 4: with promo code Action to get BET three six fives

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Speaker 4: one dollar in any game get two hundred free. You're

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Speaker 4: gonna want to do that before the World Cup, which

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Speaker 4: is less than a month away. But before we get there,

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Speaker 4: stalk some Champions League. We'll start with BRUSA Dortmann there

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Speaker 4: plus four hundred, hosting Manchester City minus one sixty seven.

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Speaker 4: The draw here is plus three twenty. Of course, these

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Speaker 4: odds are brought to you by our friends bet Bet

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Speaker 4: three six five. Here's how Group G sets up City

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Speaker 4: at the top three wins, one draws, zero losses, Dortmund

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Speaker 4: two one one would draw loss, Savilla two and two,

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Speaker 4: Copenhagen also two and two. They're at the foot of

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Speaker 4: the table. So this match between City and Dortmund will

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Speaker 4: go a long way and determ me who gets out

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Speaker 4: with the number one seed out of Group G. City's

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Speaker 4: odds on dormant have been weird this season. They just

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Speaker 4: they're not playing like a typical Dortmund team. I think

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Speaker 4: we've talked about that a little bit throughout the season.

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Speaker 4: I have got nothing here. I think the number on

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Speaker 4: City is too short. I was hoping to get a

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Speaker 4: little bit better number on the Citizens. Maybe throw them

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Speaker 4: into parlay. But we know what their numbers are forty

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Speaker 4: seven goals for twelve goals against in fifteen matches in

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Speaker 4: the Premier League and Champions League. Dort in Bundesliga six wins,

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Speaker 4: four dr us for losses plus four goal differential to

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Speaker 4: expect a goal differentials suggest they're a little unlucky about

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Speaker 4: two goals under. I just don't know how good the

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Speaker 4: Dortmund team is, Anthony, So where are you looking here?

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Speaker 4: I think it's a pretty easy pass.

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Speaker 2: I do think it's a little bit interesting that Byron

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Speaker 2: played Dortmund about two or three weeks ago. Byron closed

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Speaker 2: right around this number, so I think Dortmand has gotten

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Speaker 2: upgraded in the market a little bit. This is a

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Speaker 2: Champions League home match. You do expect Dortmund to be

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Speaker 2: all in here. This is like, you know, the big

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Speaker 2: fixture for them, and they have really still continued to struggle.

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Speaker 2: I know they dominated stute Gart over the weekend, but

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Speaker 2: if you look across their overall numbers, the defense is

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Speaker 2: seventh in box entries allowed, seventh in cross is allowed.

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Speaker 2: They're only second in box entries, sixth in crosses completed

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Speaker 2: into the penalty area. So you know, We've talked about this, right,

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Speaker 2: what does Dormand do with their attack and how do

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Speaker 2: they even threaten city now? I think it's very true

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Speaker 2: that City is definitely more vulnerable now and I think

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Speaker 2: we saw that a little bit against Brighton, that they're

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Speaker 2: more vulnerable defensively because of the injuries. But can Dormann

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Speaker 2: take advantage? I don't know. Uh, And that's the biggest

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Speaker 2: thing here. I lean toward the under. The market has

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Speaker 2: sharpened up. If you remember then they played it the

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Speaker 2: etty head in the first fixture, that was three and

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Speaker 2: a half minus one ten. Now it's down close to

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Speaker 2: pretty much three. It was three point two five, it's

78
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Speaker 2: already come down to three. I would have liked the

79
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Speaker 2: under at three two point three point two five, but

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Speaker 2: now it's a little bit too high. I project three

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Speaker 2: point one. I'm passing here.

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Speaker 1: You're passing on the total BJ you love your city unders. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna try it again Tegas City under. I mean

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Speaker 1: it was kind of impressive what Norton was able to

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Speaker 1: do to City when they faced off in Manchester only

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Speaker 1: point nine XTG allowed on a fourteen shots and thirty

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Speaker 1: three touches in the penalty area. Like City was able

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Speaker 1: to get the ball into the final third, but they

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Speaker 1: just didn't create anything of really of value. And I

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Speaker 1: think it's just a testament of how much this Dortmunt

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Speaker 1: back line has improved with Sula and Schlaughterbach back there. Now,

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Speaker 1: if you look at their expectacles allowed from last season

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Speaker 1: to this season, they're actually kind of the same. But

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Speaker 1: the biggest difference that I've seen Dortmund this season is

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Speaker 1: when they're playing good competition that essentially is going to

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Speaker 1: control the ball, force them to play a low block,

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Speaker 1: and they're not actually not gonna be able to control

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Speaker 1: that possession and you don't get the ball moving forward.

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Speaker 1: The last season they really did struggle in matches against

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Speaker 1: IAX Bayern, Munich, Leipzig and Leverkusen. They allowed one point

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Speaker 1: seven xg per match. This season, they've played Leverkusen, They've

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Speaker 1: played Leipsig, they played Byron and played the City. They've

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Speaker 1: held those four opponents to five point three expected goals,

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Speaker 1: and they held both City and Byron under one expected goal.

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Speaker 1: So it's actually much more impressive how they're able to

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Speaker 1: actually play that type of low block and be successful

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Speaker 1: with it. And you know, the flip side of that

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Speaker 1: coin is Anthony already mentioned it. I mean they did

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Speaker 1: nothing offensively against City, Like City had a field till

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Speaker 1: of eighty four percent, Dortmann took one shot up until

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Speaker 1: the fiftieth minute. Plus you look at where all the

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Speaker 1: shots are coming out from Dormant. I know Anthony's mentioned

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Speaker 1: Anthony modest a lot. I mean, Bellingham's taking the most

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Speaker 1: shots per ninety on Dortmann. He's a defensive midfielder.

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Speaker 2: So he's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, mean, he's incredible. He's hopefully hopefully doesn't go to City,

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Speaker 1: otherwise they're gonna be unbeatable. But like Anthey said, you

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Speaker 1: know the way you get at City is they played

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Speaker 1: the high line and you got to be able to

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Speaker 1: get in behind it. Modesta is not that type of striker,

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Speaker 1: and I'm not sure that Doorman really has the type

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Speaker 1: of guys they're able to get in behind it and

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Speaker 1: threaten the City back line. So and you know, if

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Speaker 1: you look at it from a game theories perspective, like yes,

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Speaker 1: on paper, it's like all on spot for Dortmund, like, yes,

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Speaker 1: we want to win the group, but I mean Draw

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Speaker 1: pretty much locks up second place for them, And same

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Speaker 1: thing with City a draw will lock up the group

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Speaker 1: for them. So I don't know if either team's can

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Speaker 1: really going to come out you know, pedal to the

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Speaker 1: metal foot aggressive trying to either win the group or

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Speaker 1: you know, Dortmann trying to get back into actually potentially

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Speaker 1: overtake cities. So I only have two point six goals projected,

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Speaker 1: so under three goals at plus one five is good

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Speaker 1: enough for me to play it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean for Dormand here, like they have a

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Speaker 2: chance to just kind of go for it. I think

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Speaker 2: if they win this, they could win the group, and

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Speaker 2: so I think they're going to have a go. And

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Speaker 2: that's the other thing too. You know, you go back

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Speaker 2: to when they played Byron, they didn't attempt a shot

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Speaker 2: in the first thirty five minutes of that match. I

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Speaker 2: thought that was pretty concerning and indicative of kind of

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Speaker 2: where this team is right now. And it wasn't until

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Speaker 2: the last ten minutes even that Dormann was able to

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Speaker 2: Emmacoco coming on the Dorman was really able to get going.

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Speaker 2: G Arena being healthy, we'll see if he gets a start.

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Speaker 2: Matt Summos back definitely helps the defense, But I don't

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Speaker 2: see a world and where I can bet an under

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Speaker 2: three with with City in Doorman because it like, I

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Speaker 2: understand the point, like of the angle, and I totally

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Speaker 2: understand that, but the number just seems like it's gotten

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Speaker 2: a little too short for me.

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Speaker 1: No, I know how long Will scored, you know, three goals,

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Speaker 1: that's how ye.

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Speaker 2: I know he's scored twice, which it sounds insane to

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Speaker 2: joke about. Now his Shotsburg game have gone down a

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Speaker 2: good bit in the last couple of weeks, and I think,

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Speaker 2: you know, we're kind of seeing the reality, like, yes,

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Speaker 2: he's probably the best striker in the world, but even

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Speaker 2: that has its limits, all right.

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Speaker 4: The other group G match the via minus two hundred

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Speaker 4: at home hosting Copenhagen five to one to draw. Here

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Speaker 4: is plus three thirty three, both of these teams sitting

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Speaker 4: on two points, basically a playoff to see who gets

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Speaker 4: in that third play spot. I kind of like it

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Speaker 4: ben at Copenhagen, just as a better gets to bea

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Speaker 4: We've dragged this team through the mud.

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Speaker 3: All season long.

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Speaker 4: Third worst expected goal differential in La Liga. They've changed managers.

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Speaker 4: Jege Sampoly's in two goals nine goals against in the

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Speaker 4: Champions League. Meanwhile, Copenhagen zero goals scored eight against. It's

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Speaker 4: an ugly one, but I think if you're going to

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Speaker 4: give me five to one on another Champions League team

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Speaker 4: against Savilla, even at home for Savia, I'll take it.

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Speaker 4: So I think that's worth a shot in this one.

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Speaker 4: I know that neither one of you have anything on there.

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Speaker 4: So let's move to Group F, where Real Madrid seit

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Speaker 4: a top the group three wins, one draw, ten points,

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Speaker 4: Leipzig behind them two zero to two, Shocktar one win,

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Speaker 4: two draws, one loss, and the Celtic at the foot

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Speaker 4: propping it up zero wins, one draw, three losses. The

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Speaker 4: headliner here is Leipzig plus two hundred at home taken

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Speaker 4: on Real Madrid plus one twenty five to draw here

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Speaker 4: is plus two fifty. Madrid is just doing what they do.

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Speaker 4: I think, you know, we really lean into the numbers

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Speaker 4: here and try to figure out teams regressing and overperforming

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Speaker 4: and underperforming and whatever. But there's just always going to

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Speaker 4: be an outlier. It's Madrid. We saw it. They looked

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Speaker 4: really good. I thought against that Barcelona a couple weeks ago. Leipzig,

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Speaker 4: by the way, they're the underperformers. I guess in this

192
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Speaker 4: group two. Just looking at the bundesligaz plus seven point

193
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Speaker 4: three expected goal differential only a plus two actual goal differential.

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Speaker 4: They're sitting right in mid table, around eighth. So but

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Speaker 4: the numbers too short. I think on Leipzig like two

196
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Speaker 4: to one. I guess this Matrid team that has some magic.

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Speaker 4: But Anthony, you love Benning against Real Madrid and you're

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Speaker 4: going to try it, you get creative.

199
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Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, I still have major question marks about

200
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Speaker 2: this Leipzig defense. I think we saw what Real Madrid

201
00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:29,200
Speaker 2: was able to do them in the home match. I

202
00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:31,400
Speaker 2: think if this, if this were plus a half, I

203
00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:33,839
Speaker 2: would take Leipzig, but it's not. You know, I'm essentially

204
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Speaker 2: getting a pick them here, and you know, I'm Leipzig's

205
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Speaker 2: not on the level of Real Madrid, and so I

206
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Speaker 2: don't really get to the number, even with them being

207
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Speaker 2: on the road. But let's look at Real Madrid defensively,

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Speaker 2: especially in the first halves of games in the Champions League,

209
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Speaker 2: and you start to see some flaws. They conceded over

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Speaker 2: a half an expected goal to Celtic the first match

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Speaker 2: away over a half a goal to Leipzig expected goals

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Speaker 2: in the second match, including an incredible save from Courtois

213
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Speaker 2: to Deny in Kunku. There's a couple other that were

214
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Speaker 2: off side where they almost got in behind. The Celtic

215
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Speaker 2: match they hit the post in the first half. Then

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Speaker 2: you go to the Shaktar match just two weeks ago.

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Speaker 2: Shaktar created more chances in the second half. They did

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Speaker 2: the entire game of the first match and ended up

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Speaker 2: taking the lead on Real Madrid. I know they didn't

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Speaker 2: hold it, but I think it is meaningful that they

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Speaker 2: were able to take the lead in the or me

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Speaker 2: tied up in the first half. So I like first

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Speaker 2: half team total over a half at plus money, I

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Speaker 2: think that's a good bet here. You expect Leipze to

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Speaker 2: give it a go, come out guns blazing. For the

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Speaker 2: first match these two teams played, LEPSI took the first

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Speaker 2: five shots and that was in Madrid, so I think

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Speaker 2: there's an angle here for leips You to get on

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Speaker 2: the board early and I am trying to avoid the

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Speaker 2: Real Madrid dark magic that comes with the ends of

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Speaker 2: these games. I think, you know, you've talked about it.

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Speaker 2: Maybe they do have something special. I tend to think

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Speaker 2: it's you know, you know, they have some plus finishers

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Speaker 2: and they outrun regression that way a little bit. But

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Speaker 2: even still, even still, it doesn't mean it's always going

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Speaker 2: to work, right, and it's not even even they won

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Speaker 2: league last year, they won the Champions League last year.

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Speaker 4: It's always gonna work for this team.

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Speaker 2: But the gun hasn't been that great manager right. Sixth

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Speaker 2: in shots allowed, twelveth in bucks centuries allowed, like you

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Speaker 2: can get at this real Madrid defense. I think Lifsig

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Speaker 2: will do that.

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Speaker 4: Believe it or not, Celtic has a chance, a very

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Speaker 4: small chance of advancing here despite being oh one to

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Speaker 4: three win draw lost. They're kicking on Shocktar hosting them

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Speaker 4: in Glasgow. Celtic minus won twenty odds on hosting Shocktar

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Speaker 4: plus three hundred to draw here is plus two eighty BJ.

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Speaker 4: You just can't quit these guys.

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Speaker 1: I bet on Celtic four times. I've lost every bet,

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Speaker 1: so why not just continue to go down with the ship?

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Speaker 1: Give me Celtic minus one twenty. Yeah, he said. It's

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Speaker 1: a very important match for Celtic because if they win it,

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Speaker 1: they have a chance of finishing thirty, getting into the

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Speaker 1: Europa League knockout stage. And the first meeting between these

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Speaker 1: two and Poland Celtic was by far the better team.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's a one one draw at Celtic one

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Speaker 1: on next g one point six to point two, outshot

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Speaker 1: Shocktar sixteen to five. I've had a field tilt of

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Speaker 1: seventy seven percent expected throw I was one point nine

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Speaker 1: too point six. Just a really dominant performance from Celtics.

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Speaker 1: Just didn't get what they what they deserved, honestly, and

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Speaker 1: really they are so overdue for an offensive explosion the

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Speaker 1: Champions League. It's not even funny. I mean, they've created

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Speaker 1: five point five expected goals and they've only scored twice.

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Speaker 1: On the flip side of the coin shot Doors got

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Speaker 1: seven goals off of three point one expected They've scored

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Speaker 1: six goals from inside the penalty area off of fifteen shots.

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Speaker 1: That's insane. They have been outshot in the Champions League

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Speaker 1: eighty eight to thirty three, out touched in the attacking

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Speaker 1: third two hundred and fifty to twelve hundred and fifty three,

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Speaker 1: and out touched in the penalty area one hundred and

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Speaker 1: sixty one to forty three. Give me Celtic minus one twenty.

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Speaker 4: Maybe that's Joan, that's I mean.

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Speaker 2: I'm not putting any of those things in the Scottish

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Speaker 2: teams in this tournament done.

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Speaker 1: We'll get the Scottish team the crazy think back plus.

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Speaker 2: One and a half against Liverpool when they were up

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Speaker 2: one nill and should have been up to nill in

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Speaker 2: the first half. That one went well six. Yeah, that

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Speaker 2: was that was the last straw for me.

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Speaker 3: No, Like the thing about this the spot is like

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Speaker 3: it's just it.

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Speaker 1: Is fall in like it who they are as.

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Speaker 4: A team, Like they aren't all in team like this

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Speaker 4: is like what they've shown this entire tournament is like

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Speaker 4: play our play plan A and plan A doesn't work.

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Speaker 4: Still try plan A and plan A here.

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Speaker 2: I mean they're definitely due to due to score goals here.

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Speaker 2: I mean the finishing has been a joke.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, yep, maybe maybe all right, you know what,

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Speaker 4: good luck I'm in. Uh so, yeah, I'm in. After

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Speaker 4: that one, let's move to GROUPY. Chelsea's at the top

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Speaker 4: two one one seven points, Salzburg behind them one win,

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Speaker 4: three draws undefeated six points for Salzburg Milan one one

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Speaker 4: and two with four points, and so is Zagreb. Salsburg

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Speaker 4: is hosting Chelsea plus three twenty. The Austrian side are

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Speaker 4: at home. Then Chelsea mightus want thirty four. The draw

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Speaker 4: here is three to one. We have this, it's and

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Speaker 4: it's a deserved reputation. Salsburg, I should say, have this

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Speaker 4: reputation and it's deserved. Uh, that they're the ping pong team,

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Speaker 4: back and forth, back and forth, running up and down

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Speaker 4: the pitch, up and down the pitch just not been

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Speaker 4: the case for them this year. Four goals for three

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Speaker 4: goals against in the Champions League. They are playing a

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Speaker 4: much more low event style than we're used to, or

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Speaker 4: at least the results are, and that's showing up a

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Speaker 4: little bit in the Austrian Bundesliga as well. Meanwhile, Chelsea

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Speaker 4: weird form here, won one draw with United. I thought

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Speaker 4: United would be really impressive in that game. Chelsea not

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Speaker 4: so much. The injuries are piled up and they're coming

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Speaker 4: off with lucky results against a draw against Brentford and

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Speaker 4: the win against acid Villa. So it's really hard to

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Speaker 4: lay it with Chelsea on the road here. So this

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Speaker 4: is a situation where I will be passing along, not

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Speaker 4: getting involved. But I could see a case for the

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Speaker 4: under because like I said, I think Salsburg just is

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Speaker 4: not what we're used to seeing. But Anthony, you think

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Speaker 4: the Austrian side do provide some value.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I also see the case for the under But

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Speaker 2: I think Salsburg have represented themselves really well at home

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Speaker 2: in Europe in the last years, and I think that

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Speaker 2: they're a little bit undervalued here because of it. Salzburg

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Speaker 2: last season at home in the Champions League, now, the

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Speaker 2: group was not particularly strong, right or they had that

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Speaker 2: you know, kind of a joke group where everybody was

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Speaker 2: kind of even. But at home last year they beat

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Speaker 2: Leal to one, dominated the match. There was a penalty, yes,

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Speaker 2: but they dominated the match, beat Wolfsburg at home pretty

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Speaker 2: pretty solidly, played even with and beat Seville at home.

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Speaker 2: This year, out played Milan at home and you know,

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Speaker 2: the last match against Zagreb was a weird one. There

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Speaker 2: was a lot of back and forth. I'm so not

333
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Speaker 2: sure how I didn't cash the over in that match.

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Speaker 2: But they have been an excellent home side. And Potter's

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Speaker 2: Chelsea still does not look right. I mean, making tactical

336
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Speaker 2: subs in the first thirty minutes of the match against

337
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Speaker 2: Man United because they got played off the park. There's

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Speaker 2: injury concerns. Potter is trying a lot of different things,

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00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:51,080
Speaker 2: trying to see what's going to work, and I think

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Speaker 2: it's really interesting and I'm fascinated to see how it goes.

341
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Speaker 2: But I'm not just going to give him the benefit

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Speaker 2: of it out because we love Potter. Chelsea have really

343
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Speaker 2: struggled to consistently create chances. I mean, they got the

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Speaker 2: penalty against Man United. Other than that, what have they

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Speaker 2: done in the last three weeks to deserve this number

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Speaker 2: on the road here in a tricky spot. I know

347
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Speaker 2: they've beat Milan twice, but we talked about how little

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Speaker 2: we like Milan and how you know, we don't really

349
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Speaker 2: trust that team. And even their road win that Chelsea

350
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,080
Speaker 2: had came heavily based upon penalty in a red card

351
00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:22,120
Speaker 2: early in the game that swung everything. They went to

352
00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:26,640
Speaker 2: Villa very unimpressive, lost the expected goals at Brentford, lost

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Speaker 2: the expected goals to Man United. So there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of still concerns here with Chelsea. They have not lost

355
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Speaker 2: any of these matches, but are we sure they can

356
00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:36,520
Speaker 2: create enough margin here? They've created two point seven expected

357
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Speaker 2: goals their last three matches. Give me Salisburg at home.

358
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Speaker 2: The young boys will not be overwhelmed and they will

359
00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:44,440
Speaker 2: they will be.

360
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Speaker 4: Competitive here playing on Salsburg for you, and also plan

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Speaker 4: Zagreb there plus three thirty three at home hosting Milan

362
00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:52,800
Speaker 4: might as want thirty four the draws plus two seventy

363
00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:56,640
Speaker 4: five must win spot basically for the Italian side, I

364
00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:59,760
Speaker 4: mean both for both, but it certainly would look worse

365
00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 4: if Milan doesn't get out of a group with a

366
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Speaker 4: team from the Austrian Bundesliga and the Croatian top division.

367
00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,800
Speaker 4: So it is that selling and dance we've been doing

368
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Speaker 4: with this acy Belan team the whole time look fine

369
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Speaker 4: as Syria, at least by the numbers, but the worst

370
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Speaker 4: goal differential in this group. They're lucky just to have

371
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Speaker 4: a chance, Anthony, you think that Zagreb actually has a

372
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Speaker 4: chance to close the door on those hopes.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a much I'm less strong on this one.

374
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Speaker 2: I'll probably only put a half year on this, but

375
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Speaker 2: I just don't know how Milan continues to get away

376
00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:32,480
Speaker 2: with this stuff. I mean, you go look at their

377
00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:35,480
Speaker 2: expected goals difference. Their performance against Mans over the weekend

378
00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,920
Speaker 2: is kind of a classic example, and they scored four

379
00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,119
Speaker 2: goals off of like one point five expected goals despite

380
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,959
Speaker 2: having their two best attackers out. Leo is back but

381
00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:47,199
Speaker 2: Salomakers is still out in the midfield. They have not

382
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:50,280
Speaker 2: looked nearly as controlling in the midfield without him. And

383
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,640
Speaker 2: I know a lot of people are up and down

384
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Speaker 2: on Solomakers as a player, at least the people who

385
00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:57,800
Speaker 2: I'm friends with who are Milan fans. But Solomachers, you

386
00:17:57,840 --> 00:17:59,880
Speaker 2: look at his numbers, he's a pretty solid ball progressing

387
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,720
Speaker 2: and it kind of becomes lay our bust. I know

388
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:07,520
Speaker 2: JHU's back, Mike Mannon now out for the season. I

389
00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:11,080
Speaker 2: think that this Milan team, We've talked at length about

390
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Speaker 2: their struggles in Europe over the last two years and

391
00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,600
Speaker 2: why it may be, and I think this is a

392
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Speaker 2: good Zagreb spot at home plus a half where they

393
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Speaker 2: play much better than they do on the road.

394
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Speaker 4: All right, let's flip it to group h psg BJ's

395
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:29,359
Speaker 4: boys at the top on gold differential two wins, two draws,

396
00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:35,160
Speaker 4: no losses. Same with Benfica. Juve and MacCabe Hypa are

397
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 4: one zero to three win draw loss and Hypha's at

398
00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:43,639
Speaker 4: the foot on gold differential, so must win spot for

399
00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:46,720
Speaker 4: Uve on the road at Benfica, the Portuguese side are

400
00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:49,560
Speaker 4: odds on minus one of six. Uve plus two seventy

401
00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:53,480
Speaker 4: five the draw plus two sixty. This is hilarious to

402
00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:57,240
Speaker 4: see Benfica is odd and odds on favorite against Juventus.

403
00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,720
Speaker 4: But it's well earned, bj well earned.

404
00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:03,040
Speaker 1: It definitely is, and it's interesting. I texted Anthey today,

405
00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:05,080
Speaker 1: I was going through my numbers and I was like,

406
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,000
Speaker 1: I kind of have a little bit of value on

407
00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 1: Ve in this spot. I'm not going to play Uve

408
00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,679
Speaker 1: like at all, there's no chance of doing that. But again,

409
00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:16,240
Speaker 1: like you said, Benefica has deserved it. Like their performances

410
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:19,200
Speaker 1: have been really good in the champions like obviously completely

411
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:21,960
Speaker 1: dominated Juventus the last time expected goals with two point

412
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:24,199
Speaker 1: two two point seven. Really all Uventus did was they

413
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,320
Speaker 1: scored off a set piece to begin the game and

414
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,760
Speaker 1: then from then on Benefica just proceeded to completely dominate them.

415
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:33,199
Speaker 1: And they've still been incredibly dominant in the Portuguese League too.

416
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,440
Speaker 1: We're now only at three point eight expected goals loud

417
00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 1: in ten matches. Like, their defense has been incredible and

418
00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:40,200
Speaker 1: they put up to what I thought were very even

419
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:43,720
Speaker 1: performances against PSG. So it's it is funny to see.

420
00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,480
Speaker 1: You know, Benefica has odds on, but they deserve the number.

421
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,040
Speaker 1: With that being said, you know, Juventus has put it

422
00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 1: in a couple good performances lately. Last few matches, dominant

423
00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:57,440
Speaker 1: win against Toarno they blew out and Polly Paul pog

424
00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 1: was coming back and just keep your ey on this

425
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,960
Speaker 1: Juventus team. They might maybe starting to turn a corner

426
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:04,640
Speaker 1: in a leg, might actually save his job.

427
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:06,959
Speaker 2: I think they had more to do with Empoly being

428
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:08,920
Speaker 2: really terrible this weekend.

429
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:12,520
Speaker 1: But I will play up in front of you, Anthony,

430
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:14,160
Speaker 1: that is true.

431
00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 2: Moys key and getting back in the goals was cool

432
00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:19,720
Speaker 2: to see. I'm happy for him. That the origin legend

433
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:21,560
Speaker 2: of the Everton of Yeah exactly.

434
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 4: But yeah, technically on loan from Everton. I think it

435
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 4: was like a two year loan. One of the weird ones.

436
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, all the Italian teams, they don't They don't buy

437
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,280
Speaker 2: and sell players. They do loans with options to buy.

438
00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,920
Speaker 3: You imagine CCL and keen up top boy.

439
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 2: Everton would be making their title charge in the second half.

440
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 4: They still are even without him.

441
00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:44,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I keep I keep fading them and losing, So

442
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:44,679
Speaker 2: maybe you're right.

443
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,040
Speaker 4: Uh do you have anything here, Anthony?

444
00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:50,200
Speaker 2: Before I don't you know, we talked in the Champions

445
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,159
Speaker 2: League preview pot about Benfica and why we love them

446
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,760
Speaker 2: to advance. I'm riding that don't really want to bet

447
00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 2: against that. You could try to almost middle it and

448
00:20:57,119 --> 00:20:59,360
Speaker 2: hit a UA money line here and keep things interesting

449
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,800
Speaker 2: for another week, but it looks like Uve's headed to

450
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:04,800
Speaker 2: the Europa League. I am still skeptical that they will

451
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,600
Speaker 2: turn this around until maybe Kias is back. I'm still

452
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,480
Speaker 2: out on Juventus as a whole. The market has definitely

453
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:14,400
Speaker 2: caught up to how bad they are and so there's

454
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 2: not really value in fading them in this situation. Could

455
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 2: be a sneaky over game. You know, We've talked about

456
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,920
Speaker 2: how great Benfica's defense is going to be has been,

457
00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:24,440
Speaker 2: but Ve has to go for this, and Uve's defense

458
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 2: has been incredibly fortunate when you look at their expected

459
00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:29,119
Speaker 2: goals wellwed Italy. So if you've opens up here and

460
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,880
Speaker 2: has to go for this win, could get more back

461
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 2: and forth than maybe you're expecting. Could be an overspot,

462
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:37,239
Speaker 2: but I'm passing ultimately, all right.

463
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 4: The last game on Tuesday to talk about PSG Paris

464
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:45,159
Speaker 4: Saint jam On minus eleven hundred at home, hosting Maccabeehypha

465
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,040
Speaker 4: out of Israel twenty to one on the money line

466
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,600
Speaker 4: of the draw here is supposed to e fifty when

467
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:52,440
Speaker 4: you sent when we sent around the rundown, I was

468
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:56,120
Speaker 4: thinking to myself what line I would have set on

469
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,120
Speaker 4: BJ having a bet on Haifa.

470
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 3: Here, and I would mind eight hundred In my head

471
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 3: I put I.

472
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 4: Said minus four fifty to myself.

473
00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:05,000
Speaker 2: That was my Have you bet them every match?

474
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:05,480
Speaker 4: No?

475
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:07,560
Speaker 1: I did not bet them the one match they won

476
00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 1: with the Event against Events. I did not bet them

477
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:10,120
Speaker 1: at home.

478
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, think you, but you've only we missed the match,

479
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:12,960
Speaker 2: O man.

480
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:14,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's typical.

481
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 1: It's not my Champions League is going.

482
00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,680
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, but you've also basically faded PSG at every

483
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 4: corner since I've known you. So oh yeah, you know

484
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:24,199
Speaker 4: you put those two things together and you get a

485
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:25,200
Speaker 4: bet on Haifa.

486
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, plus two and a half plus one oh five.

487
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 1: I mean, honestly, what is PSG shown in the Champions

488
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,280
Speaker 1: League that makes you believe they're actually going to get

489
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:36,879
Speaker 1: margin here? I mean this is the same line as

490
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 1: it's essentially the same line as City at home versus

491
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 1: Copenhagen and Byron at home against Victoria Pleasant And you

492
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,320
Speaker 1: look at what Haifa has done so far in the

493
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 1: Champions league, they've actually been okay. Like the match against

494
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:53,200
Speaker 1: Juventus was the widest XG margin, it was two point

495
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 1: two to point eight. The last match against PSG was

496
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 1: two to point nine. And even in that PSG they

497
00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:00,159
Speaker 1: were in the match for a long stretch. They went

498
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,879
Speaker 1: up one nothing, they showed that they can actually threaten

499
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 1: PSG's high line. PSG got cocky, they went in behind,

500
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:07,719
Speaker 1: they created a big scoring chance and then like ten

501
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 1: minutes later they created another one and they could have

502
00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 1: gone up to nothing. So, I mean, here's the thing

503
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 1: with PSG. They had this torrid start to the season.

504
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 1: First six matches they averaged three point two XG per match.

505
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 1: It looked like they were just going to run run

506
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 1: away with the you know, they're still running AA with

507
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:24,520
Speaker 1: league owned, but they like they were going to put

508
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:28,240
Speaker 1: up just gaudy numbers. Well, last ten matches essentially since

509
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: the Juventus match, they're only averaging one point six expected

510
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 1: goals per match in all competition, which is good, but

511
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 1: not for the supposed best three in the world playing

512
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,840
Speaker 1: in the fifth most difficult league in Europe. I mean,

513
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,919
Speaker 1: it's interesting, but yeah, Haifa, I have to play them

514
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:43,919
Speaker 1: here at plus two and a half. They are not

515
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:47,119
Speaker 1: Victoria Pleasant and they're not Copenhagen like. They actually have

516
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 1: shown the ability to threaten PSG, and they've actually been

517
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 1: okay defensively, like holding you know PSG to just two

518
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,919
Speaker 1: expected goals, like that's actually kind of impressive performance. Even

519
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 1: the performance against Benefica held them under one expected goal,

520
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,439
Speaker 1: like they actually their defense is actually due for a

521
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 1: little positive aggression. They've allowed eight goals off six point

522
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,360
Speaker 1: three expected So I'm taking the Israeli side plus two

523
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 1: and a half at plus one oh five because I

524
00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,960
Speaker 1: really there's no reason why PSG should be priced at

525
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 1: the same numbers as City and Bayern Munich. They're just

526
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 1: not on that level right now.

527
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:18,960
Speaker 2: I think there's a case for like a high a

528
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 2: team total. That would be the only way you could

529
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 2: get me to play this, you know, plus one. Only

530
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 2: way you can get me to play this is the

531
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 2: plus one twenty five on the hipha team total. I

532
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 2: think we saw and I thought it was interesting. Haifa

533
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 2: didn't play afraid. They went after PSG. They took advantage

534
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 2: of some holes in transition, They took advantage, got in

535
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,720
Speaker 2: behind a couple of times, created one chance, almost scored again,

536
00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:41,640
Speaker 2: got vard Off. I think they're going to be aggressive.

537
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 2: They have nothing to lose. They're going to Paris for

538
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:46,919
Speaker 2: a chance to you know, score a goal against PSG.

539
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,119
Speaker 2: But you know, I watched that match against PSG as well,

540
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,400
Speaker 2: and whenever PSG wanted to get in the penalty area

541
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:54,399
Speaker 2: and wanted to turn up, they were able to do

542
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,240
Speaker 2: pretty much whatever they wanted. And that was at Haifa.

543
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 2: Now they're at home. I think Maccabi could be for

544
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 2: some trouble here defensively. So I think I see the

545
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:05,919
Speaker 2: case for the Hypha team total, and that's would be

546
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:07,439
Speaker 2: how I would play this, So you want to you know,

547
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 2: I love taking you know, the big dog team total

548
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 2: over a half and then just hoping they can string

549
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 2: a few passes together and score. But that would be

550
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:16,680
Speaker 2: my angle for this one.

551
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 4: All right, Before we flip to Wednesday, A reminder Wonder

552
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:22,840
Speaker 4: Goal is presented by Bet three sixty five, the world's

553
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 4: favorite sportsbook brand. Sign up with promo code action to

554
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 4: get BET three six fives exclusive signup offer in New

555
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 4: Jersey and Colorado, but at one dollar on any game,

556
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,160
Speaker 4: you get two hundred free. Also a reminder to follow

557
00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 4: the Wondergol podcast in the Action Network app. Anthony is

558
00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,639
Speaker 4: charged with putting in our best bets and underdog picks

559
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 4: and whatnot into there, and we want to make sure

560
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:47,960
Speaker 4: his hard work goes noticed. All right, Wednesday, this is

561
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 4: definitely the headliner of the sixteen matches inter Milan Victoria.

562
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,440
Speaker 4: Now I'm just kidding. Barcelona and Bayern Munich Barsla plus

563
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 4: one thirty at Camp New they're a slight home favorite.

564
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:02,720
Speaker 4: Bayern plus one seventy. The draw is three to one.

565
00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,359
Speaker 4: I think sometimes we probably should address this off the

566
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 4: top when we get to this part of the tournament.

567
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 4: The kind of game theory, situations, the narrative, street stuff.

568
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:14,879
Speaker 4: This team needs this to happen, to advance or whatever

569
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 4: can inflate the price on a team. And I do

570
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 4: wonder if because Barcelona needs to win. Byron Munich sitting

571
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,280
Speaker 4: atop the groups top to top group C four, oh

572
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 4: Tozer Enters two one and one, and then Barcelona one

573
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 4: one and two, pleasant propping it up zero zero and

574
00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 4: four because Barcelona need to win, I think this number

575
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,439
Speaker 4: is starting to get a little too short on the

576
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 4: Spanish side, and we could see some value on Bayern Munich.

577
00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 2: Bj You disagree, though, I do like Barsia against Byron again.

578
00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:46,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, bars against Bayron. I just can't quit it. I

579
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 1: think I've bet Barcelona on almost every single match. Yeah,

580
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 1: I mean the last match in Munich, Barcelona pretty much

581
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 1: dominated the first half. You know, they end up winning

582
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:57,760
Speaker 1: on XG penalty box shots. We're eleven to seven and

583
00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,960
Speaker 1: that's great. Barcelona created three big scoring chain. They didn't

584
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,439
Speaker 1: go in. Barron Muet created too. They both went in

585
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:05,679
Speaker 1: and that was the difference in the match essentially. So

586
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 1: you know what, you look at what Barcelona is like, Okay,

587
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 1: well what can they actually do to threaten Environmenticway can

588
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 1: do the exact same thing they did in Munich. And

589
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,400
Speaker 1: you look through their schedule of who they had to play.

590
00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:18,439
Speaker 1: They've had a brutal schedule as of lately. They had

591
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,359
Speaker 1: the three to three draw with Inter then they went

592
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 1: and lost to Real Madrid, I mean beat vi Real

593
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 1: three nothing, and then pounded Billbao four nothing on Sunday

594
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:29,919
Speaker 1: plus four point five expected gold differential in those four matches,

595
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 1: so pretty impressive stuff. And you look through Bayern. I mean, yes,

596
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,240
Speaker 1: obviously they won the match against Barcelona, but the last

597
00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 1: difficult match they had, Anthony Aready mentioned it was against

598
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 1: Dortmund and they really weren't that good, Like they didn't

599
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 1: take a shot. They all took two shots in the

600
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: first half, only created point nine expected goals against Dortmund.

601
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 1: Plus I mean, purely from a mathematical standpoint, if we're

602
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:51,120
Speaker 1: just looking at expected gold differential, Barcelona's at one point

603
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 1: seven in La Liga, Byron Muicks at one point four

604
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:57,440
Speaker 1: and Boonsley you give Barcelona an edge because of uaight

605
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,160
Speaker 1: coefficients for Spain and then a home field advantage. Think

606
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:03,360
Speaker 1: they are it's had undervalue here, So I do like Barcelona.

607
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:05,920
Speaker 1: John Obett at minus one thirty and I'm looking forward

608
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 1: to watching Byron win too.

609
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:11,399
Speaker 4: Nothing again, Anthony, you're kind of in agreement with me

610
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:15,920
Speaker 4: here that you think the number on Barsa's maybe maybe

611
00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:17,160
Speaker 4: a little too expensive.

612
00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:21,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I still think I'm a little bit concerned about

613
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,840
Speaker 2: the Barsa defense in this matchup. You know, I talked

614
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 2: about this before the El Classico and they got exposed

615
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,560
Speaker 2: a little bit in transition. It was a major reason

616
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:32,760
Speaker 2: they struggled so much against Enter. I have no doubt

617
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:36,840
Speaker 2: that Barsa will cause problems an attack for Bayern Munich,

618
00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 2: and you can maybe make a case for attacking a

619
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 2: barsa team total, but I have questioned big questions about

620
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 2: their defense. That makes me a little bit nervous to

621
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,840
Speaker 2: play this and also the fixture history. And I understand

622
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 2: that it's one game and we shouldn't way pass head

623
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 2: to head, particularly heavily. I think that's definitely something we

624
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:03,280
Speaker 2: don't talk about a ton, but let's consider it. I mean,

625
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:06,360
Speaker 2: twenty twenty are dominant win for Byron. Last year they

626
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 2: were in the same group. This is a similar situation.

627
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,120
Speaker 2: Biron wasn't really playing for anything, Barsa was playing for everything.

628
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 2: Byron still whooped them. Barsia got destroyed the first match

629
00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,680
Speaker 2: they played, and then this match was the most competitive

630
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 2: of all of them. So that is the encouraging sign

631
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 2: for Barcelona. But they have just struggled every time they

632
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 2: go up against another great team. They have really struggled defensively.

633
00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 2: So that's my red flag here. From a numbers point

634
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 2: of view, I actually make it right around the number

635
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 2: I think Barsia if it gets to like pick one,

636
00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 2: twenty one to ten, I'll fire because I do think

637
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 2: that that at home it's a little bit short. But

638
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 2: they also could be eliminated by the time this match

639
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 2: even kicks. The schedule makers put pills in an enter

640
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 2: at twelve forty five. This is at three, so they're

641
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 2: gonna know before they kicked that they're out. So makes

642
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 2: for an interesting situation. They might just go for it,

643
00:29:57,720 --> 00:29:59,440
Speaker 2: you know, go go out and try to win it,

644
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,640
Speaker 2: and even though it's not going to do them much

645
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:03,960
Speaker 2: and they're going to be in the Europa League come

646
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 2: the spring, where you know, there's some very very interesting

647
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 2: opponents waiting, including you know, Man United potentially in the

648
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 2: round of twenty four.

649
00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 4: We'll talk about that other one now. Enter minus eight

650
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 4: hundred at home against Victoria Pleasant twenty to one, the

651
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 4: drives plus seven fifty. The only situation for a BET

652
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,760
Speaker 4: I can think of here as an enter team total over.

653
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 4: But other than that, I got nothing, BJA anything to

654
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 4: talk about here. Should we just move on to Group A?

655
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:37,680
Speaker 1: No, I mean I'll end up passing here. I mean,

656
00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 1: they scored twice against Byron, so congratulations create over one

657
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: expected goal, so I mean that's a positive spin for

658
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:48,800
Speaker 1: Victoria Pleasant. But I mean they they're still so so bad.

659
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,239
Speaker 1: There's there's I don't really think I can get involved here,

660
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,840
Speaker 1: and there's too high. Can't really play them because you

661
00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 1: know they go up on nothing. They can just sit

662
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:58,320
Speaker 1: on the game and they're onto the round of sixteen.

663
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:02,520
Speaker 4: So I'll be passing all right, group A good God,

664
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 4: somebody tell me what the hell is going on with

665
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 4: Liverpool traveling to IX. Liverpool's odds on minus one twenty

666
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 4: on the road I X plus two eighty. The draw

667
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 4: here is three to one. Napolis the top group Bay

668
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 4: four O n O Liverpool three oh and one. Chance

669
00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:19,120
Speaker 4: to win this group still I X ones went three

670
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 4: losses and no draws. Rangers. Wow, man, we were very

671
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:27,960
Speaker 4: we were on the ball when we said watch out

672
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 4: for this team Rangers.

673
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 2: I went full stuck to my original perception of that

674
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,320
Speaker 2: team before I let you guys corrupt me into thinking

675
00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 2: they were good.

676
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,480
Speaker 3: Well, you got to say they are there. They were

677
00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:40,200
Speaker 3: so little, a little.

678
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 4: Unlucky with their minus fifteen goal differential.

679
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 2: Yeahs nine, yeah little. I mean it was embarrassing the

680
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 2: effort that they put in at home against Liverpool. I'll

681
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 2: play them the whole first half and then Liverpool brings

682
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,240
Speaker 2: on like two good players and they just they fold

683
00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 2: up like a cheap suit. That was embarrassing and that

684
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 2: that we don't do. Rants here still alive, right, but

685
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 2: if we did Europa League, they're still alive. I hope

686
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 2: they get in Europa League. Yeah, and I hope and

687
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:12,239
Speaker 2: I hope to bet against them. That's probably win.

688
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 4: Probably Again, we'll talk about Ias in Liverpool. I'll turn

689
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 4: the lights, I'll dim the lights and put a spotlight

690
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,520
Speaker 4: on you for Rangers and Napoli and Anthony. But before

691
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 4: you get there, let's let's talk about this Liverpool team

692
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 4: beat Manchester City, lose to nodding of Forest, wipe the

693
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 4: floor with I X jaw Brighton like this is this

694
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 4: team makes no sense because they're Liverpool, but they it

695
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:36,880
Speaker 4: makes a lot of sense when you can if you

696
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:40,560
Speaker 4: take away you know, the liver bird logo and you

697
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 4: just say, like, considering what this team has gone through

698
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:45,680
Speaker 4: the past few seasons, the amount of soccer they played,

699
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:48,280
Speaker 4: the age profile of the squad, does it make sense

700
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,720
Speaker 4: that their results are up and down and all over

701
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 4: the place, And say, yeah, but because they're Liverpool, because

702
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 4: of the ninety plus points seasons we've seen, we expect

703
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 4: better of them even against those kind of odds.

704
00:32:59,200 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 1: So I've got no inch.

705
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 4: I actually have much more interest even though they got

706
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:04,200
Speaker 4: wiped by Liverpool in their last encounter.

707
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 3: I have a little bit of I see a little

708
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 3: bit of value on Ix.

709
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:10,720
Speaker 4: At home at plus two to eighty. In this one,

710
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 4: it's just it's a sleepy spot. I think for Liverpool too,

711
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 4: they're not gonna get caught. This game kind of meaningless.

712
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:18,440
Speaker 4: I know that they can still win the group technically,

713
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 4: but they're not going to Napolis going to do it.

714
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 4: It's just a weird spot coming off of the Forest

715
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 4: lost too. It's a lot of things going against them here.

716
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,520
Speaker 4: Anthony Liverpool, I X.

717
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 2: A hundred percent. Yeah, I mean, I think this is

718
00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 2: a great Liverpool fade spot. I know they just lost

719
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 2: to Forest, but you look at what Klopp is saying postgame,

720
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 2: and he's like, look, playing three matches a week, we

721
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 2: have an extremely injured team. We are not able to

722
00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 2: put out our best eleven every match. And he's right.

723
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 2: And I know you guys don't like him, so you'll

724
00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 2: say he's whining, which he is, but it doesn't change

725
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 2: the fact that he's not wrong and that their performances

726
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 2: defensively are extremely, extremely concerning. Conceding over two expected goals

727
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 2: to west Ham in the midweek. I know they kept

728
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 2: a clean sheet, but there was not a good defensive performance.

729
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:07,840
Speaker 2: The best defensi performance they had was against City pretty

730
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 2: much all year, which is kind of crazy to think

731
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 2: about that. Even then they got a fortunate of our

732
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:15,239
Speaker 2: call there. So this Liverpool defense is still broken. The

733
00:34:15,239 --> 00:34:20,080
Speaker 2: squad is super old. The biggest thing here is IAX

734
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 2: loves to have the ball and kind of needs to

735
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,799
Speaker 2: have the ball to be good, and they're not very

736
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:25,359
Speaker 2: good at playing without it. And I think that's what's

737
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:29,000
Speaker 2: gotten exposed in this Champions League. They're pressing and they're possessing.

738
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,359
Speaker 2: It's not as good they have played without the ball

739
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 2: more and Napoli and Liverpool have carved them open in

740
00:34:35,160 --> 00:34:39,800
Speaker 2: the three matches they played against them. But if Liverpool's

741
00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 2: press is not gonna be efective, if they're not gona

742
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 2: be able to play their ad midfield, if they're gonna

743
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:46,719
Speaker 2: able to play their best strikers and forwards, what's to

744
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 2: say i AX can't win this And if you think

745
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:53,000
Speaker 2: about it, I mean Liverpool has basically they only need

746
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:55,920
Speaker 2: a point to advance here, So you know, I think

747
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 2: this is going to be an interesting way to see

748
00:34:57,200 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 2: how cop play is. This is going to be a

749
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 2: wait and see situation. We need to wait for more

750
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 2: team news, but I'll be looking to play i ACTS

751
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:07,320
Speaker 2: actually maybe in a team total perspective again, really tired

752
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:10,760
Speaker 2: of these these bad defenses killing me with these late goals.

753
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 2: But I think this could be a good team total

754
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 2: angle for i AX or or you know, if Liverpool

755
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:17,879
Speaker 2: doesn't play a lot of its best strikers, this could

756
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,879
Speaker 2: just be a straight IX spot because I agree there's

757
00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 2: some major concerns with Liverpool, but defensively, especially away from home.

758
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 4: Like I said, Napoli their top of the group, four

759
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 4: wins from four matches. There might is four hundred against

760
00:35:32,120 --> 00:35:34,960
Speaker 4: Rangers nine to one. On the money line to draw

761
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:37,840
Speaker 4: is five to one. Anthony, before you get to be

762
00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:41,200
Speaker 4: Chi because he actually has it stickening bet on this one.

763
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:45,399
Speaker 2: It's he on Rangers. Maybe, oh my god, maybe yeah.

764
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 2: I mean, Rangers are clearly a little bit undervalued in

765
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 2: the market. You can maybe target a team total, but

766
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:55,399
Speaker 2: this defense has gotten absolutely exposed. They don't like they care.

767
00:35:56,160 --> 00:35:58,359
Speaker 2: Napoli is running really hot and like they are going

768
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:00,840
Speaker 2: to regress at some point. They're not going to continue

769
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:03,600
Speaker 2: finishing at this rate. We've seen this from Napoli in

770
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 2: years past. But but I'm not under any circumstances betting

771
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:10,560
Speaker 2: a Rangers spread at the current number.

772
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:12,879
Speaker 4: You know, it's funny, BJ, before I passed it over

773
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 4: to you, and you scare everybody up from every listening

774
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 4: to this podcast again with a bet on Rangers. I

775
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 4: think the stereotype that we went into the tournament thinking

776
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:25,319
Speaker 4: about Rangers maybe this is just because they're Scottish. And

777
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:27,439
Speaker 4: when you think about these teams, you're like, Oh, they're

778
00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 4: gonna work hard because this is going to matter to them.

779
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 4: They don't come around off and they're going to take

780
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 4: their chances. But like you said, like they've just been

781
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:38,400
Speaker 4: like weirdly quiet and careless throughout this entire competition, not

782
00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:39,960
Speaker 4: hard to beat. I thought they'd be hard to beat

783
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:43,160
Speaker 4: because I thought they'd be working hard, but they haven't been. Meanwhile, BJ,

784
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,319
Speaker 4: is you're sick in the head.

785
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna have to stare at it for like

786
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:50,879
Speaker 1: two maybe three hours in a row. It's actually muster

787
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,120
Speaker 1: up the courage to play a Rangers plus two here,

788
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:55,120
Speaker 1: I mean, Anthony Hilton day on the head, Like, I

789
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 1: can't really provide anything positive for Rangers. They've been really,

790
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,279
Speaker 1: really bad. I could sit here and tell you that.

791
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,520
Speaker 1: You know, they're unlucky to have a minus fifteen goal

792
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:07,239
Speaker 1: differential and they should be nine expected. But it's the

793
00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:10,120
Speaker 1: reality is is like Anthony said, they just they've been

794
00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:14,879
Speaker 1: exposed defensively. They are not used to not having the ball,

795
00:37:15,080 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 1: so they don't know how to play when they don't

796
00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,839
Speaker 1: have it. But I mean purely from a projection standpoint,

797
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 1: I mean I was looking around at other markets because

798
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 1: I only have Napoli around minus one seventy and you

799
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,680
Speaker 1: know five thirty eight has them at sixty five percent,

800
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 1: and that's all great, But again, I'm gonna have to

801
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 1: stare at this for a long time. If it gets

802
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:36,440
Speaker 1: two and a half, I think I might have to

803
00:37:36,520 --> 00:37:38,400
Speaker 1: do it. You know, the last match between these two

804
00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:40,399
Speaker 1: is kind of wonky. You know, Napoley scored all three

805
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 1: goals after you know, a red card. But again, Rangers

806
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 1: hasn't really shown anything to prove that they don't deserve

807
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 1: to be this big of an underdog. So they're still alive.

808
00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:52,640
Speaker 1: Though they are still alive for the Europa League. Has

809
00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:54,919
Speaker 1: to be mentioned like if they get a result here

810
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:57,879
Speaker 1: and Liverpool beats IAX, they will be in an all

811
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 1: in spot in Scotland to go to the Europa League

812
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 1: and potentially get to the final again.

813
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:05,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, the team total over a half is even money.

814
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:07,640
Speaker 2: That's uh yeah.

815
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 1: I mean Napolis there is for me. I mean that

816
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 1: plea is really good. Like, yeah, they're running their Yeah,

817
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 1: they're running hot. Bit like even their expected goals numbers

818
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:17,920
Speaker 1: don't suggest that they like it's not deserved, Like it's

819
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,040
Speaker 1: very well deserved what they're what they're doing right now.

820
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:22,520
Speaker 1: So you know, yeah, I mean you could just be

821
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 1: you know, we just you know, you bet Napoli's team

822
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 1: total over and every one of these matches in the

823
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:28,840
Speaker 1: champions that you probably just retire. So why not just

824
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:29,960
Speaker 1: do it again? I guess I don't know.

825
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 4: Uh, you know who's pretty hot under the collar right

826
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,279
Speaker 4: now feeling a little pressure doing one of these is

827
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:42,360
Speaker 4: uh Antonio Conte. Tottenham Hotspare. They're still a top crupt

828
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:47,040
Speaker 4: two one and one, Marseille and Sporting behind them two wins,

829
00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 4: no draws, two losses a piece and frankfort at the

830
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 4: foot one win, one draw, two losses. Spurs minus two

831
00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:58,759
Speaker 4: to twenty five, hosting Sporting plus five to fifty, the

832
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:01,319
Speaker 4: draws plus three fifty. That these odds. Of course from

833
00:39:01,320 --> 00:39:04,480
Speaker 4: bet three sixty five. Spurs lost. They're only loss in

834
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:08,680
Speaker 4: the Champions League came against this Sporting side. We kind

835
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:11,000
Speaker 4: of nailed that one, saying you just don't want to

836
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 4: be betting. You don't want to lay Spurs is a

837
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:16,840
Speaker 4: favorite when they're playing these kind of teams, and you

838
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:19,439
Speaker 4: especially don't want to be laying this kind of wood

839
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:22,239
Speaker 4: with Spurs against a team that's going to play a

840
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:25,480
Speaker 4: well organized defensive game and four Stottingham on the ball

841
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 4: when they're in.

842
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 3: These when they're in weird, weird form.

843
00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 4: Three wins, one draw, three losses for Spurs their last seven.

844
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:37,040
Speaker 4: The wins came against Everden Frankfurt. That was a three

845
00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:41,160
Speaker 4: to two win in Brighton, so not exactly a murder's row.

846
00:39:41,640 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 4: They've had losses to United and Newcastle among others. Arsenal

847
00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:51,799
Speaker 4: BJ side, which is a pasting. I think Sporting plus

848
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:54,400
Speaker 4: five to fifty that money line is a really good number.

849
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna be on them. Anthony Conte out.

850
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:03,279
Speaker 2: No, No, absolutely not. But you know, I think you know,

851
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 2: for those who listened to this, I'm from Philadelphia, I'm

852
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:08,480
Speaker 2: a Phillies fan. We just clinched the Pennant. We're very

853
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 2: excited about it. I have to give somewhere, Like my sports,

854
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:13,759
Speaker 2: teams are doing really well, the teams I root for,

855
00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:15,840
Speaker 2: so I have to give somewhere, and I'm giving with

856
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 2: Spurs because we stick. And I listened to the pod

857
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,839
Speaker 2: I wasn't on Wednesday. Was that a concert? Of course,

858
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,600
Speaker 2: as Michael has talked about the Smashing Pumpkins concert, it

859
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:29,440
Speaker 2: was noa Kahan. But anyway, it's beside the point. The

860
00:40:29,520 --> 00:40:32,240
Speaker 2: real point here is that I've said this for months now,

861
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 2: and eventually it was going to catch up to Tottenham

862
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:36,359
Speaker 2: that they were not playing at the level that they

863
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 2: were last year. They've clearly regressed and I think today

864
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:44,479
Speaker 2: in a way was a perfect example of that regression. Yes,

865
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 2: Tottenham created a few chances in transition, more than I

866
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:51,399
Speaker 2: thought they would. Newcastle showed some defensive cracks and maybe

867
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:53,799
Speaker 2: Spurs should have gotten one in the first half, but

868
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:57,600
Speaker 2: again their inability to play through pressure, Newcastle was able

869
00:40:57,640 --> 00:41:02,160
Speaker 2: to create the high turnover after high turnover. That's one issue.

870
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 2: I don't think that issue matters quite as much here

871
00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:07,759
Speaker 2: because I expect Sporting to be very defensive, playing for

872
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:10,799
Speaker 2: the playing for the point but they also have had

873
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:14,319
Speaker 2: no answers for breaking down defensive low blocks. And in

874
00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:15,759
Speaker 2: a way we kind of saw that in the second half.

875
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:18,359
Speaker 2: Newcastle sat off a little bit after it was two

876
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 2: to one. Spurs didn't really look like scoring much. And

877
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:23,239
Speaker 2: I know there was time wasting and all that jazz,

878
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:27,400
Speaker 2: but they didn't look like scoring much. And Tottenham doesn't

879
00:41:27,480 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 2: have enough right now in terms of attacking quality outside

880
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:35,040
Speaker 2: of Canaan's song to create for them. Benon Kerr is fine.

881
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 2: Hoiberg didn't play today, but he's fine. Like they're not

882
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,600
Speaker 2: bad midfielders. They can play a pass, but none of

883
00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:45,400
Speaker 2: them are aggressive ball forward playing midfielders who are excellent

884
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 2: progression numbers carry the ball elite, you know, and none

885
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:51,640
Speaker 2: of them are really chance creators. And Kolelseewsky is still out.

886
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:53,160
Speaker 2: He's going to be out for a while now, so

887
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 2: Charleston is out. So what is Tottenham doing to create

888
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 2: enough to get margin here? I don't know. They struggled

889
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:01,520
Speaker 2: in the first match at Sporting. I think they're going

890
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 2: to struggle in this one. I know Sporting has had

891
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 2: two very bizarre results in a row, Goalie getting sent off,

892
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,160
Speaker 2: donating two goals. They get an early red card to

893
00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 2: penalty against Marseille. They got embarrassed in those two matches.

894
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:18,400
Speaker 2: But I think that Tottenham is still inflated. So I

895
00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:21,000
Speaker 2: like Lisbon catching a goal in a quarter, I think

896
00:42:21,040 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 2: Tottenham continues to be overvalued. And look, I know about

897
00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 2: last year. We've talked about this BJA, like they were

898
00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:28,680
Speaker 2: really good last year. We now have over ten games

899
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,359
Speaker 2: of data this year, fifteen in all competitions. Your team,

900
00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:32,919
Speaker 2: Tottenham just isn't that good.

901
00:42:33,440 --> 00:42:35,759
Speaker 1: So I think I said it on the podcast. I

902
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 1: was like today, like against Newcastle, that would confirm essentially

903
00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 1: of like where Tottenham's at, Like if they came out

904
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 1: and put on a good performance against Newcastle, dominant performance

905
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 1: like they've done against some of the smaller sides, and

906
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 1: it's like, all right, maybe it was just a couple

907
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:52,040
Speaker 1: of weird performances against United and Arsenal, but yeah, after today,

908
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:55,240
Speaker 1: I agree with Anthony, you were right.

909
00:42:56,160 --> 00:42:58,239
Speaker 2: All right, now we're going to get some for the

910
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:00,640
Speaker 2: next show. We're going to talk about ours no aggression,

911
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:02,080
Speaker 2: but that's coming.

912
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 4: You wish the other game in Group D Marseille and Frankfurt.

913
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,040
Speaker 4: Frankfurt are home there plus one two who cares Marseille

914
00:43:10,080 --> 00:43:14,320
Speaker 4: plus two ten the drugs plus two forty Uh, Frankfurt's

915
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:17,319
Speaker 4: catching Marseille at a pretty good time. Three losses in

916
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:21,840
Speaker 4: a row, PSG Lens and Ayachio, which is the Corsican

917
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 4: team I legal if I'm not mistaken. Do you know

918
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:28,759
Speaker 4: who was born in Corsica? Bijah Don't Napoleon? Napoleon, so

919
00:43:29,000 --> 00:43:31,360
Speaker 4: he was a soccer fan. He's probably re rooting for

920
00:43:31,400 --> 00:43:35,240
Speaker 4: this for Ayachio or however you would pronounce it. I'm sorry.

921
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 4: It's like the Maccabee Heifa. I think it's a Jacques

922
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 4: a jock sho. Okay, anyways, Maccabi Haifa a jock show.

923
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 4: Frankfurt Marseille, BJ You don't have anything on this game,

924
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:48,799
Speaker 4: but I'll let you weigh in before we get to

925
00:43:48,800 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 4: Anthony's bet.

926
00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 1: Just who cares? Like the Frankfurt They just keep just

927
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,040
Speaker 1: putting up just weird performances. They did it against Gladbach

928
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:57,640
Speaker 1: this weekend the week then before that they did it

929
00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:02,000
Speaker 1: against Levercause and I think they've scored what nine goals

930
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 1: combined in those two matches off of three expected. So

931
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:09,480
Speaker 1: it's just I hate both these teams and I will

932
00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:11,600
Speaker 1: continue to hate them until the end of time, and

933
00:44:11,680 --> 00:44:13,320
Speaker 1: I will not be watching one second.

934
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 4: Maybe over one or over half a red card. I

935
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 4: feel like there's just red cards flying.

936
00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:22,880
Speaker 1: It's every red card. Frank Yeah, when these.

937
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 4: Two when these two teams are playing, whether it's against

938
00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:27,319
Speaker 4: each other anyone else, they're just red cards everywhere, just.

939
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:29,640
Speaker 1: Penalties and red cards. It's all these teams. Ever get

940
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 1: it's so dumb toy.

941
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 2: Hey, look, Frankfurt's playing better. You gotta you gotta acknowledge that.

942
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,479
Speaker 2: I mean they they pasted. There was of course there's

943
00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 2: a lot of red cards and penalties involved, but they

944
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:43,960
Speaker 2: pasted bill Everkusen and pasted god Bak without a penalty

945
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,480
Speaker 2: or a red card, So credit to them. I faded

946
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 2: them and I had got back on Saturday and it

947
00:44:49,680 --> 00:44:53,360
Speaker 2: was never competitive dominant showing from Frankfurt. The new striker

948
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:58,200
Speaker 2: Kola Moane seems to really be settling in well. But yeah, no,

949
00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,359
Speaker 2: I'm not. I'm not betting this. I'm rooting for a draw.

950
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:04,840
Speaker 2: Hopefully Tottenham draws, everybody draws, and we have a truly

951
00:45:04,920 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 2: chaotic final day of this group because right now it's

952
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,120
Speaker 2: it's up for grabs. I have a tottenm future, which

953
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:14,840
Speaker 2: in hindsight was dumb, but to win the group. But

954
00:45:15,280 --> 00:45:17,799
Speaker 2: I'm passing here. You know you could, you could make

955
00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:21,799
Speaker 2: the case to me for an under, but I bet

956
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 2: the under. The last match these two teams played and

957
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:26,000
Speaker 2: it was pretty dead, you know, two overrated attacks playing

958
00:45:26,040 --> 00:45:28,760
Speaker 2: against one another. But you look at the Marseille defense

959
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:30,359
Speaker 2: and you can poke a lot of holes in it,

960
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:32,960
Speaker 2: and so that's the only red flag here for me.

961
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:36,440
Speaker 4: Finally, we'll wrap up with Group bait. As we all predicted,

962
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:42,439
Speaker 4: Bruges top the group three wins, one draw. It's zero

963
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:47,799
Speaker 4: goals allowed, seven goals scored. Porto in second right now

964
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:51,120
Speaker 4: two zero to two at Letty one one and two

965
00:45:51,480 --> 00:45:53,319
Speaker 4: on four points, so there are two points a drip

966
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:56,680
Speaker 4: of Porto lever Coustin sitting at the foot of the table.

967
00:45:56,719 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 4: At three, we'll start with the Bruges and Porto matt

968
00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:02,960
Speaker 4: Is taking place in Belgium. Bruges a plus two thirty

969
00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:07,600
Speaker 4: home underdog Porto plus one fifteen the draw plus two

970
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:11,560
Speaker 4: forty simone minuelet. Like I said, Bruges has not allowed

971
00:46:11,560 --> 00:46:13,480
Speaker 4: a goal yet in this competition, and a lot of

972
00:46:13,480 --> 00:46:16,319
Speaker 4: it comes down to the former Liverpool goalkeeper having just

973
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 4: a spellbinding Champions League saga. He's writing, when at least

974
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,160
Speaker 4: you guys are on opposite side here, I'm sitting out

975
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 4: because I'm going to be paying attention and a lot

976
00:46:27,040 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 4: of money on the other match in this group, Antony,

977
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 4: I'll let you go first because I actually was a

978
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,560
Speaker 4: little surprised to hear where you're looking.

979
00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:40,640
Speaker 2: Look, I mean, what's the case for Porto here? And

980
00:46:40,680 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 2: I want to got bj go first because I think

981
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:48,799
Speaker 2: he's going to talk about Bruges and disparage them. But like,

982
00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:51,759
Speaker 2: Porto hasn't been much better in this group, and they

983
00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 2: haven't been that much better in Portugal. They another flat

984
00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 2: showing against Benfica last weekend and the loss at home

985
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 2: to Benfica. I think Porto, I mean, like, yeah, they

986
00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:04,800
Speaker 2: expected goals are the same and extra difference, but Porto's

987
00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:07,120
Speaker 2: gotten like one hundred penalties and three of their opponent's

988
00:47:07,200 --> 00:47:11,480
Speaker 2: goals vard off in the last two weeks, So like, what, like,

989
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:16,279
Speaker 2: what's the case Reporto beyond priors? That's that's That's what

990
00:47:16,320 --> 00:47:19,040
Speaker 2: I'll say, because I don't see it. The numbers is

991
00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:20,600
Speaker 2: not quite there for me to play Bruges. But like

992
00:47:20,680 --> 00:47:22,240
Speaker 2: if it got to plus a half at like minus

993
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:25,000
Speaker 2: one fifteen one ten, Like I'm gonna bet Bruges at

994
00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:29,239
Speaker 2: home because they have played inspired ball. They be ub

995
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 2: left you at home, lost the XG away got very

996
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:33,759
Speaker 2: fortunate in that match, for sure, Like Minia is playing

997
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:39,160
Speaker 2: really well. But this team has played well throughout this tournament.

998
00:47:39,160 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 2: Defended the penalty area well, blocked a lot of shots.

999
00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:43,840
Speaker 2: That's what I like to see with this team. So

1000
00:47:44,600 --> 00:47:46,280
Speaker 2: have they been a little bit of fortunate, of course,

1001
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:48,360
Speaker 2: like they should have conceded a goal by know, but

1002
00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 2: Porto has not inspired me to the point where I

1003
00:47:51,560 --> 00:47:53,319
Speaker 2: want to lay them as a favorite on the road.

1004
00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 1: Here's the reality, Anthony, is that, yes, they had a

1005
00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:01,640
Speaker 1: flat show against Benefica. That was the only flash showing

1006
00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:03,880
Speaker 1: they've had pretty much across Portugal this season. You go

1007
00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:06,839
Speaker 1: back and look, they completely obliterated a brag a team

1008
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,399
Speaker 1: that was coming in red hot, just obliterated them. For one.

1009
00:48:09,840 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 1: They went and beat Sporting at home about created them

1010
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:14,840
Speaker 1: three to one on xt she And here's the reality

1011
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 1: is that Simon Minulat is not this good of a goalkeeper.

1012
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 1: I mean plus four point four shot XG plus might

1013
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:23,839
Speaker 1: that's insane, Like there's no way he can keep this up.

1014
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 1: So the fact that they have essentially conceded six point

1015
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:29,799
Speaker 1: four expected goals and four point four of it is

1016
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:32,719
Speaker 1: just because of Simon Minula, Like that's crazy. I mean,

1017
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:34,920
Speaker 1: even if you go back and even watch the highlights

1018
00:48:34,920 --> 00:48:38,520
Speaker 1: from the Porto Bruges match, Like right off the bat

1019
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:41,960
Speaker 1: Porto had like three straight breakaway attacks and they just

1020
00:48:41,960 --> 00:48:45,320
Speaker 1: couldn't convert anything on them, and for whatever reason, Bruce

1021
00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:48,920
Speaker 1: just any little mistake that Porto made, they just capitalize

1022
00:48:48,960 --> 00:48:50,839
Speaker 1: on a score. And the reality is, I don't think

1023
00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:53,040
Speaker 1: they're that good of a team to be able to continue.

1024
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:53,000
Speaker 2: To do this.

1025
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:56,080
Speaker 1: You look at what they've done in Belgium this season,

1026
00:48:56,160 --> 00:48:59,680
Speaker 1: it's not impressive. Like Simon Minula in Belgium, they've allowed

1027
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,840
Speaker 1: four goals off about twenty expected Like, for whatever reason,

1028
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,640
Speaker 1: he is just at at over thirty years old, has

1029
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:07,239
Speaker 1: become the best goalkeeper in the world, and I just

1030
00:49:07,280 --> 00:49:10,760
Speaker 1: don't think that's going to happen statistically. I mean, Bruce

1031
00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:13,600
Speaker 1: has taken fourteen shotsm inside of the Pellier and they've

1032
00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:17,800
Speaker 1: scored six of them. Like it's just insanity. It cannot continue.

1033
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,080
Speaker 1: And a lot of this, yes, I agree with you,

1034
00:49:20,120 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 1: it has to do with the fact that Bruce has

1035
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:26,400
Speaker 1: overperformed a ton. You also look at Bruges, like Kamal

1036
00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:28,719
Speaker 1: Saua is out with the red card. He scored two

1037
00:49:28,760 --> 00:49:31,040
Speaker 1: of their goals. He's been really threatening an attack and

1038
00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:33,759
Speaker 1: really been one of their main creators. He's out. Kyle Laren,

1039
00:49:33,760 --> 00:49:35,799
Speaker 1: who's going to back him up, He's also out, So

1040
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:38,840
Speaker 1: Bruce is just going to sit in. They're probably gonna play,

1041
00:49:38,880 --> 00:49:42,239
Speaker 1: sit very deep and just hope that Siemo Minila can

1042
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 1: put up another crazy performance. And I say it has

1043
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:47,120
Speaker 1: to stop at some point, Anthony, it has to stop.

1044
00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:49,120
Speaker 1: So give me Porto plus one fifteen.

1045
00:49:49,760 --> 00:49:49,960
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1046
00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:51,839
Speaker 2: I don't know that we'll get I'll get the number

1047
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:54,680
Speaker 2: to play Bruce here, but I think they're going to

1048
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:55,960
Speaker 2: be I mean, they're going to be in the knockout

1049
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:58,799
Speaker 2: round and I cannot wait to see who they play

1050
00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:01,760
Speaker 2: because there's a couple matchups that I'm looking at. I'm thinking.

1051
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:06,680
Speaker 1: They scored, especially that first and Manual I just score

1052
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 1: saves everything. They're going to win the Champions League. This

1053
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:10,520
Speaker 1: is so stupid.

1054
00:50:10,600 --> 00:50:14,839
Speaker 2: If the unreal they will win the Champions League. That look,

1055
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:17,840
Speaker 2: I just think that we based our priors and I

1056
00:50:17,840 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 2: think our priors weren't that far off right like we

1057
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:21,960
Speaker 2: thought Bruges. We looked at their numbers in Belgium last year,

1058
00:50:21,960 --> 00:50:24,239
Speaker 2: we looked at how they performed in Europe last year,

1059
00:50:24,239 --> 00:50:26,080
Speaker 2: and we were like, okay, like this team is not

1060
00:50:26,160 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 2: going to be able to sustain this. But like they

1061
00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:32,319
Speaker 2: looked much better and they've overhauled the squad a little bit,

1062
00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:35,640
Speaker 2: and I think, uh, you know, they beat Leverkus and

1063
00:50:35,640 --> 00:50:37,200
Speaker 2: we were like, okay, they got a little fortunate good

1064
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,680
Speaker 2: defense performance. We're not big lever cousin people here anyway,

1065
00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:40,680
Speaker 2: We're like, okay.

1066
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:41,120
Speaker 1: We're at the time.

1067
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:46,399
Speaker 4: We were at the time we were, and they laughed

1068
00:50:46,400 --> 00:50:46,680
Speaker 4: at us.

1069
00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:49,160
Speaker 2: And then they played at Letty and and you guys

1070
00:50:49,160 --> 00:50:51,120
Speaker 2: made the case and I think both of you bet

1071
00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 2: at Letti and was the better side in that match?

1072
00:50:55,080 --> 00:50:55,840
Speaker 1: That's questionable.

1073
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:58,000
Speaker 2: And then of course they got lucky last last match.

1074
00:50:58,080 --> 00:50:59,919
Speaker 2: Nobody can deny that. But that was a full part

1075
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:01,920
Speaker 2: the bus effort. They were not trying to score, they

1076
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:04,359
Speaker 2: were trying to get their point and hoping to hold

1077
00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:07,840
Speaker 2: on however, and they did. They got the point. So

1078
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:12,080
Speaker 2: you know, look, in some situations, I will be looking

1079
00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:14,399
Speaker 2: to play against Brucees potentially, but the market's not giving

1080
00:51:14,440 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 2: them any respect here one and two. Porto hasn't earned

1081
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:20,680
Speaker 2: market respect for me. They have not performed up to

1082
00:51:20,680 --> 00:51:22,279
Speaker 2: par in this league. There are a couple of our

1083
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:27,239
Speaker 2: decisions and eighteen penalties away from being out. So am

1084
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 2: I and Bruce here, but we'll see. Well, I don't

1085
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:29,560
Speaker 2: think only get the.

1086
00:51:29,600 --> 00:51:33,680
Speaker 4: Number all right, it's time. By the way, that Bruges

1087
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:37,720
Speaker 4: Porto game is twelve forty five, So at Letty we'll

1088
00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:40,360
Speaker 4: kind of have a we'll have a good idea of

1089
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:42,600
Speaker 4: what they'll need at of this lever Cusin match because

1090
00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:46,200
Speaker 4: they played three pm. It's time though, at Letty minus

1091
00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:51,600
Speaker 4: once twenty at home. Our boys, our boy Diego Simioni

1092
00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:56,360
Speaker 4: back against the wall against lever Cusin plus three hundred

1093
00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 4: at the draw is plus two seventy five. You can

1094
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:03,160
Speaker 4: just pick at Anthony. You can just picture it right now,

1095
00:52:03,200 --> 00:52:08,800
Speaker 4: close your eyes. The Wanda Metropolitano is just buzzing. Diego

1096
00:52:08,840 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 4: Simeoni is wearing his black on black suit, just geeking

1097
00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:15,280
Speaker 4: up this crowd.

1098
00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:16,640
Speaker 1: His hair plugs.

1099
00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:22,920
Speaker 4: His hair plugs look great. He's sweating. Black tie, black shirt,

1100
00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:28,440
Speaker 4: black sports jacket, black slacks, black shoes, black socks black.

1101
00:52:28,200 --> 00:52:32,200
Speaker 2: Hat for most people, but the podcast right not for us.

1102
00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:33,839
Speaker 4: He doesn't wear a black hat. For me and BJ,

1103
00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:36,439
Speaker 4: we love Diego Simeoni here. I like the number here too,

1104
00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:41,160
Speaker 4: Leverkusen minus one five expectable differential for ninety in the Bundesliga.

1105
00:52:41,280 --> 00:52:43,759
Speaker 4: They're just not impressive and now they have to go

1106
00:52:43,800 --> 00:52:46,000
Speaker 4: to this cauldron in a must win spot against a

1107
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:48,640
Speaker 4: team that when you need to win against that Letty,

1108
00:52:48,680 --> 00:52:50,680
Speaker 4: you're playing right into their hands. You know what's gonna happen,

1109
00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:54,480
Speaker 4: Like Letty's gonna absorb and counter and they'll probably'll pull

1110
00:52:54,480 --> 00:52:56,320
Speaker 4: it off. I think the number's fine minus one twenty.

1111
00:52:56,520 --> 00:52:58,760
Speaker 4: I also want to say that at Letty's one hundred

1112
00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:00,960
Speaker 4: to one to win the champions and you know I'll

1113
00:53:00,960 --> 00:53:03,640
Speaker 4: be having a piece of that because they need to

1114
00:53:03,680 --> 00:53:07,120
Speaker 4: win set up a huge one to close out the

1115
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:09,720
Speaker 4: group stages. That probably the game of the year across

1116
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:12,920
Speaker 4: all sports. If they get to win on Leverkusen and

1117
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:15,439
Speaker 4: they play Porto to close it out. I don't see

1118
00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:18,920
Speaker 4: how you can make a case for Leverkusen here. BJ,

1119
00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:20,400
Speaker 4: what are you thinking?

1120
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:23,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm back on Athletico, of course I am. I mean,

1121
00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:25,600
Speaker 1: they're like we already mentioned, they're very unlucky to not

1122
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:28,239
Speaker 1: get a result against Bruce. Two point two expected goals

1123
00:53:28,239 --> 00:53:30,279
Speaker 1: created in the match. They created two against Bruce in

1124
00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:33,040
Speaker 1: the previous match. So that's four expected goals in their

1125
00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:35,799
Speaker 1: last two matches and they have not scored. They haven't

1126
00:53:35,800 --> 00:53:36,439
Speaker 1: scored since.

1127
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:41,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, and listen, I know which two of their goals

1128
00:53:41,239 --> 00:53:42,520
Speaker 2: came in and stop and sewn by the way.

1129
00:53:42,600 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and see that.

1130
00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:45,959
Speaker 4: Everybody that they.

1131
00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:47,759
Speaker 1: Were lucky in the first match, that they haven't been

1132
00:53:47,840 --> 00:53:49,839
Speaker 1: that good in lat League, and that's true. They've gotten

1133
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:52,240
Speaker 1: a couple of lucky results here. Maybe today against Bettis

1134
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,640
Speaker 1: was a tad lucky, but here's the reality. Like you mentioned, Michael,

1135
00:53:54,640 --> 00:53:56,440
Speaker 1: I mean, Athletico is a plus two expected goal of

1136
00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:58,520
Speaker 1: frenchal in Spain. Lever Cusin's mind is too. We can

1137
00:53:58,560 --> 00:54:01,839
Speaker 1: talk all we want about how Levercoon's underperformed. They haven't

1138
00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:04,160
Speaker 1: got the results they deserve, but minus two is minus two.

1139
00:54:04,400 --> 00:54:08,560
Speaker 1: It's it's not good. Shabi Alonso got the new manager bounced,

1140
00:54:08,560 --> 00:54:11,920
Speaker 1: they got the big win over Shaalka, and then they've

1141
00:54:11,960 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 1: just gotten a bunch of weird stuff has happened to them.

1142
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:17,680
Speaker 1: Like you know, Anthony mentioned the portal match like they

1143
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:19,880
Speaker 1: beat him on expected goals portal head. You know, a

1144
00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 1: couple of penalties there. You know the Frankfurt match there

1145
00:54:22,080 --> 00:54:23,880
Speaker 1: were a bunch of red cards and penalties and then

1146
00:54:23,880 --> 00:54:26,680
Speaker 1: they were a little bit better against Wolfsburg today. But

1147
00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:28,520
Speaker 1: you know, eight point two expected goals allowed and it's

1148
00:54:28,520 --> 00:54:31,080
Speaker 1: four matches in charge. And the biggest thing also for

1149
00:54:31,160 --> 00:54:33,800
Speaker 1: levercus And is Patrick Chick is out. His backup Saedar

1150
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 1: Olsman's also out. You look, they have also have a

1151
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,839
Speaker 1: couple of backup midfielders injured and it's just an all

1152
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:42,280
Speaker 1: in spot here for Athletico. So of course mon Diego

1153
00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:45,040
Speaker 1: Simione and minus one twenty. I actually have them projected

1154
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:48,360
Speaker 1: at minus one seventy, So give me Athletico.

1155
00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:51,280
Speaker 2: This opened right around minus one fifty and came down.

1156
00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:53,880
Speaker 2: I missed the plus one. I would have bet levercous

1157
00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 2: and at plus one. I will not bet them at

1158
00:54:55,520 --> 00:54:57,799
Speaker 2: plus a half. Look like I let The's movie on

1159
00:54:57,840 --> 00:55:00,360
Speaker 2: plus point one nine xtally difference for ninety and Spain.

1160
00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:03,000
Speaker 2: That is not good. And look, we can talk about

1161
00:55:03,040 --> 00:55:07,680
Speaker 2: Leverkusen two, but like Letty's seventh in attacking XG sixth

1162
00:55:07,680 --> 00:55:10,719
Speaker 2: in defense, they're allowing the fourteenth most shots in the league, mean,

1163
00:55:10,760 --> 00:55:11,920
Speaker 2: the seventh most shots.

1164
00:55:11,680 --> 00:55:12,200
Speaker 4: In the league.

1165
00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:15,439
Speaker 2: They're conceding big scoring chances like everything we know about

1166
00:55:15,480 --> 00:55:18,640
Speaker 2: at Letti. If you had changed their name to Sevilla

1167
00:55:18,760 --> 00:55:21,640
Speaker 2: and you guys would be hammering this team and saying

1168
00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:25,800
Speaker 2: they stink. So yeah, I'm not betting them here, no way, Jose.

1169
00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:28,640
Speaker 2: I do hope that they get that Porto spot, although

1170
00:55:28,719 --> 00:55:30,879
Speaker 2: Porto is going to be home favorite and I don't

1171
00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:33,319
Speaker 2: like I don't want to put them either, So I'm

1172
00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:35,479
Speaker 2: probably gonna not be betting a Letti in this match

1173
00:55:35,600 --> 00:55:38,480
Speaker 2: or the next. But they've been not just bad in

1174
00:55:38,520 --> 00:55:40,279
Speaker 2: the Champions League, but poor. I mean they have not

1175
00:55:40,400 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 2: scored in three to four matches. They have not scored

1176
00:55:43,160 --> 00:55:44,920
Speaker 2: in the first ninety minutes of any of the matches.

1177
00:55:45,760 --> 00:55:47,840
Speaker 4: At some point I got this team, Anthony, over the

1178
00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:49,080
Speaker 4: years that this is not.

1179
00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:52,640
Speaker 1: Pat I told you in the round of sixteen again,

1180
00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:55,120
Speaker 1: and they're going to give them hell yeah, and they're

1181
00:55:55,120 --> 00:55:55,719
Speaker 1: gonna lose one.

1182
00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:00,800
Speaker 4: Talking about the same thing over.

1183
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:03,160
Speaker 1: And come on this podcast next year and hey, Bloody

1184
00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:05,839
Speaker 1: Coast thirty to one, here we go.

1185
00:56:05,960 --> 00:56:07,520
Speaker 2: I don't have to book your guys bets.

1186
00:56:07,719 --> 00:56:10,080
Speaker 3: I'll book them, only the bloody bets.

1187
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:12,680
Speaker 2: Instead of you know, betting them at bet three six

1188
00:56:12,680 --> 00:56:15,839
Speaker 2: five you can. I'll book them and we'll pretend that, uh,

1189
00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:18,480
Speaker 2: they're not going to win. So it's just a donation

1190
00:56:18,560 --> 00:56:21,479
Speaker 2: to my my Phillies World Series ticket fund.

1191
00:56:21,920 --> 00:56:23,880
Speaker 4: I will have them one hundred to one by the

1192
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:27,560
Speaker 4: tennis Wednesday comes around or two saving. All right, let's

1193
00:56:27,560 --> 00:56:30,840
Speaker 4: move to our favorite bets. Wait, actually, before we do that, Beacha,

1194
00:56:30,960 --> 00:56:33,680
Speaker 4: you wanted to talk a little bit about your favorite

1195
00:56:33,719 --> 00:56:38,080
Speaker 4: bet into Europa League europe A Conference League.

1196
00:56:38,520 --> 00:56:41,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is europe League match. How about how about

1197
00:56:41,320 --> 00:56:43,560
Speaker 1: an under in Unan Blen and Braga? And I have

1198
00:56:43,600 --> 00:56:46,080
Speaker 1: to mention I s texted Stantony today. I've been sitting

1199
00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:47,600
Speaker 1: on this for a while and I've known this has

1200
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:49,160
Speaker 1: been going on, and I haven't said any things. I

1201
00:56:49,160 --> 00:56:50,840
Speaker 1: know the second I said anything that it was going

1202
00:56:50,920 --> 00:56:54,520
Speaker 1: to lose. But both teams to score no hit nine

1203
00:56:54,560 --> 00:56:58,240
Speaker 1: straight before their ninety third minute goal today against Bocum,

1204
00:56:58,320 --> 00:57:01,360
Speaker 1: so the streak is sadly over. But this match against Braga,

1205
00:57:01,360 --> 00:57:03,439
Speaker 1: I mean under two and a half goals is sitting

1206
00:57:03,480 --> 00:57:06,120
Speaker 1: there at minus one twenty. The reverse fixture of this

1207
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:08,720
Speaker 1: was one nothing. There was only one point six total

1208
00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:12,839
Speaker 1: expected goals created, so I mean minus one twenty's that's

1209
00:57:13,040 --> 00:57:16,280
Speaker 1: awfully cheap. I mean Oyan Blan, nine of their seventeen

1210
00:57:16,280 --> 00:57:18,880
Speaker 1: matches this season they haven't created over one expected goal.

1211
00:57:19,040 --> 00:57:21,480
Speaker 1: The only time they've created over one point five expected

1212
00:57:21,520 --> 00:57:23,160
Speaker 1: goals in a match is the one against Dortman where

1213
00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:26,240
Speaker 1: they just got absolutely gifted, where the goalkeeper just fell

1214
00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:28,040
Speaker 1: down and of course the shot had a next year

1215
00:57:28,040 --> 00:57:30,160
Speaker 1: eating them. I don't know, like what point seventy five

1216
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:34,600
Speaker 1: or whatever, So they really it's truly remarkable what they're

1217
00:57:34,640 --> 00:57:36,400
Speaker 1: doing right now. And Braga, on the other hand, I

1218
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:40,040
Speaker 1: mean they have had a resurgent season in Portugal, like

1219
00:57:40,040 --> 00:57:41,920
Speaker 1: they're sitting in second place right now. They're only allowing

1220
00:57:41,920 --> 00:57:44,560
Speaker 1: one point one expect goals for ninety And the biggest

1221
00:57:44,600 --> 00:57:47,200
Speaker 1: thing for the both of these two teams, all four

1222
00:57:47,200 --> 00:57:50,120
Speaker 1: of their Europa League matches, the total ex gianum has

1223
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 1: been under two and a half goals, all four of

1224
00:57:52,600 --> 00:57:54,720
Speaker 1: them for each team. So under two and a half

1225
00:57:54,720 --> 00:57:57,640
Speaker 1: at minus one twenty I think is an awfully cheap price,

1226
00:57:57,680 --> 00:58:00,479
Speaker 1: so I will be on that under all right.

1227
00:58:00,520 --> 00:58:04,360
Speaker 4: Now, let's talk about our favorite bets in the Champions League. Anthony,

1228
00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:05,200
Speaker 4: what do you.

1229
00:58:05,160 --> 00:58:09,680
Speaker 2: Have RB Leipzig team total over a half in the

1230
00:58:09,720 --> 00:58:14,320
Speaker 2: first half at plus one twenty. Real Madrid has burned

1231
00:58:14,360 --> 00:58:16,560
Speaker 2: all of us on this podcast many times, but their

1232
00:58:16,640 --> 00:58:20,560
Speaker 2: late heroics and their excellent finishing ability. I am taking

1233
00:58:20,560 --> 00:58:22,360
Speaker 2: that out of the equation here because I still have

1234
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:26,200
Speaker 2: major question marks about Leipzig in defensive transition, where they

1235
00:58:26,200 --> 00:58:28,520
Speaker 2: have gotten exposed in this tournament. But I do not

1236
00:58:28,600 --> 00:58:31,440
Speaker 2: have questions about how good their attack can be, especially

1237
00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:33,520
Speaker 2: at home. Go back to the first match these two

1238
00:58:33,520 --> 00:58:36,320
Speaker 2: teams played. Leipzig took the first five shots. They created

1239
00:58:36,400 --> 00:58:38,720
Speaker 2: multiple big scoring chances in the first half. They didn't

1240
00:58:38,720 --> 00:58:42,520
Speaker 2: score any of them. Great goalkeeping, some bad finishing, but

1241
00:58:42,600 --> 00:58:44,920
Speaker 2: the intent was there. And Real Madrid has shown some

1242
00:58:45,000 --> 00:58:48,320
Speaker 2: cracks in this tournament, especially against Celtic, hitting the post

1243
00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:50,920
Speaker 2: in the first half, Celtic nearly scoring. They've kind of

1244
00:58:50,960 --> 00:58:52,880
Speaker 2: lulled their way through first halves of games. We saw

1245
00:58:52,920 --> 00:58:56,440
Speaker 2: it against Shaktar as well. I think Leipzig at plus

1246
00:58:56,440 --> 00:58:58,360
Speaker 2: money to get on the board early here is a

1247
00:58:58,360 --> 00:58:58,800
Speaker 2: good bet.

1248
00:58:59,400 --> 00:59:03,240
Speaker 4: I like Sports plus five to fifty on the road,

1249
00:59:03,600 --> 00:59:07,760
Speaker 4: taking on Anthony, Spurs don't look now, but you know

1250
00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:10,120
Speaker 4: Spurs They're at the top of the table in Group D,

1251
00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:13,960
Speaker 4: but it's a little shaky in North London right now.

1252
00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:17,800
Speaker 4: Three one to three in their last seven matches since

1253
00:59:17,840 --> 00:59:20,560
Speaker 4: the return from the international break. The wins came against

1254
00:59:20,800 --> 00:59:23,440
Speaker 4: Evertent a three to two win against Frankfort and Brighton

1255
00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:27,400
Speaker 4: not exactly a murderer's row, and the Sporting team looked

1256
00:59:27,480 --> 00:59:33,160
Speaker 4: incredible against Tottenham in their first leg in Portugal.

1257
00:59:33,560 --> 00:59:35,240
Speaker 3: We know what Spurs struggles to do.

1258
00:59:35,280 --> 00:59:37,320
Speaker 4: They struggle to break down teams that will sit back,

1259
00:59:37,440 --> 00:59:40,479
Speaker 4: force Tottenham to create on their own and not play

1260
00:59:40,480 --> 00:59:43,080
Speaker 4: into their counter attacking style. That's what Sporting will do.

1261
00:59:43,240 --> 00:59:46,600
Speaker 4: They will park the bus at the Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium

1262
00:59:46,680 --> 00:59:49,240
Speaker 4: and give themselves every chance to walk out of there

1263
00:59:49,240 --> 00:59:52,240
Speaker 4: with three points and put some serious pressure on Tottenham's

1264
00:59:52,320 --> 00:59:56,160
Speaker 4: chances to get out of the group stage.

1265
00:59:56,520 --> 01:00:01,680
Speaker 1: Bj Orzo plus one twenty on the road at Club Bruges.

1266
01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:05,080
Speaker 1: Club Bruges has scored seven goals off of five point

1267
01:00:05,160 --> 01:00:07,600
Speaker 1: three expected They have not conceded a goal, but have

1268
01:00:07,720 --> 01:00:11,400
Speaker 1: conceded six point four expected goals. For whatever reason, Simon

1269
01:00:11,520 --> 01:00:13,640
Speaker 1: Minulet is the best keeper in the world. He has

1270
01:00:13,680 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 1: a plus four point four post shot actually plus minus,

1271
01:00:16,400 --> 01:00:18,920
Speaker 1: which is just insane to even think about. Even in

1272
01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:22,840
Speaker 1: the Belgian pro League, Bruges allowed fourteen goals off of

1273
01:00:22,960 --> 01:00:26,880
Speaker 1: nine nineteen point five expected you look at now going

1274
01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:29,120
Speaker 1: into this match, they obviously are in a position where

1275
01:00:29,160 --> 01:00:31,360
Speaker 1: they're going to sit deep park the bus. They did

1276
01:00:31,360 --> 01:00:34,280
Speaker 1: that against Athletico they conceded two point two expected goals.

1277
01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:36,560
Speaker 1: Even the match you go back to against Porto where

1278
01:00:36,560 --> 01:00:39,280
Speaker 1: they beat them for nothing. They had a penalty, then

1279
01:00:39,360 --> 01:00:41,680
Speaker 1: a weird deflection went right to them. They scored the

1280
01:00:41,680 --> 01:00:45,920
Speaker 1: third goal ball just for whatever reason, the attacker Whift

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01:00:46,120 --> 01:00:47,880
Speaker 1: went to the back post for an easy tap in

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01:00:48,040 --> 01:00:51,200
Speaker 1: for the for the other attacker. So this is a

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01:00:51,240 --> 01:00:54,520
Speaker 1: situation where the regression monster is finally going to hit

1284
01:00:55,160 --> 01:00:57,960
Speaker 1: this club, Bruches team. So I am on Porto plus

1285
01:00:57,960 --> 01:01:00,000
Speaker 1: one twenty on the road at Bruges.

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01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:03,680
Speaker 4: It's a beautiful way to wrap up another episode of

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01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:07,240
Speaker 4: Wonder goal for b J Cunningham, for Anthony Dabundo on

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01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:10,120
Speaker 4: Michael Lee Bluff. We will see you again Thursday morning

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01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:18,520
Speaker 4: after Letty stops all over. That's not all over Leverkusen

1290
01:01:18,680 --> 01:01:22,120
Speaker 4: and Anthony is crying, But until then, best of luck

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01:01:22,120 --> 01:01:26,520
Speaker 4: with all your bets and thank you for listening, graating, reviewing, subscribing.

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01:01:26,640 --> 01:01:28,760
Speaker 4: For those of you who left a review, our producer

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01:01:28,800 --> 01:01:42,120
Speaker 4: will be in touch with your prize