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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you happy? Saturday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Parol. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all socials at Sports Talk Matt in This podcast being

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Speaker 2: hope so, because we haven't lost a bet yet in

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Speaker 2: two days.

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Speaker 1: Seven and oh okay. The way you.

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Speaker 2: Minimum purchase may be required. Seven and zero. We got

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Speaker 2: the Luca prop right in the second quarter. Luka don JITs,

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Speaker 2: What a night to pick Luka Donjets over thirty six

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Speaker 2: and a half points. He finished with the fourth highest

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Speaker 2: point total in the history of the NBA. He scored

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Speaker 2: seventy three points. Like that might be my best prop

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Speaker 2: bet of all time, like really, and it was really

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Speaker 2: done based upon what had happened in the previous game

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Speaker 2: where he had a fan ejected for talking junk to

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Speaker 2: him and a media member went after him and Luca

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Speaker 2: was furious. Luca does not ever fight with the media

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Speaker 2: did and he was playing a Hawks team that well,

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Speaker 2: he didn't have to get the ball up because Kyrie

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Speaker 2: wasn't playing and the Hawks are the third worst team

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Speaker 2: per game defensively in the NBA.

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Speaker 1: So I thought, all right, he'll go off.

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Speaker 2: Didn't expect seventy three, but he went crazy when but

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Speaker 2: Y'ama got over ten and a half rebound. So two

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Speaker 2: and zero on the player props Wisconsin was an easy

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Speaker 2: w We got that, and the Vegas gold Knights flew over,

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Speaker 2: which was nice. I also had Vegas plus one forty

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Speaker 2: on that on the money line that came in for

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Speaker 2: me as well, so that was good. So we had

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Speaker 2: a very nice night yesterday, up two point five units

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Speaker 2: after being up three units the night before. So that's

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Speaker 2: five point five units in two days.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: time right in your own backyard. Okay, here's what I'm

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Speaker 2: doing for today. I've got five bets for today. It's Saturday.

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Speaker 2: We normally push the envelope a little bit with Saturdays,

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Speaker 2: and I'm cool with that because you know, look, it's

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Speaker 2: a big there's a lot of things to bet, a

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Speaker 2: lot of things to watch. We know what's coming on Sunday. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Sunday is a guaranteed multiple unit win day.

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Speaker 1: Okay, if it goes right.

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Speaker 2: Okay, if this goes right for the Ravens game for us,

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Speaker 2: and I'm gonna tell you how, I'm betting it tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: But this goes right, we very well could clear fifteen

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Speaker 2: units tomorrow, just on the Ravens game.

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Speaker 1: Okay, that's not BS, that's not me. That's legitimate.

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Speaker 2: Okay, it's the eleven to one, it's the minus three,

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Speaker 2: and it's potentially to lay or to take four four,

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Speaker 2: four and a half. Okay, if we hit them all,

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Speaker 2: hit them all. Okay, give you an idea what I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at. I'm kind of angling. Okay, so i'll tell

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Speaker 2: you what I'm trying. I'm gonna try to do tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: We've had a good week, so I'm gonna try to

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Speaker 2: keep it going and try to do something a little

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Speaker 2: fun here for us. But you know, really good, good

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Speaker 2: couple of days gets the bankroll back to being feeling

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Speaker 2: pretty good, you know, get ourselves better. We got a

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Speaker 2: hockey bet right amazingly enough, which is great. We make

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Speaker 2: a debt in that. College basketball continues to be red hot.

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Speaker 2: We're now twenty six and sixteen in college basketball, which

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Speaker 2: was awesome. A couple of NBA player props now make

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Speaker 2: NBA player props profitable for us, which is really pretty

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Speaker 2: nice to jump in there with that. And we had

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Speaker 2: the NFL coming up, as we know it's it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be fun, uh college basketball? So yeah, so now We're

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Speaker 2: up what eight point five eight point five units in

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Speaker 2: college basketball, So that's good. Twenty six and sixteen over

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Speaker 2: what sixty two percent in college basketball, So that's good.

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Speaker 1: So I feel.

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Speaker 2: Confident now as we're able to kind of jump in

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Speaker 2: here a little bit. You know, we're what nine units

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Speaker 2: for the month, so we're gonna have a big Sunday.

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Speaker 2: So now I'm gonna get a little cocky here and

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna push the envelope a little bit. Here's what

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna do. At some point, the trend of road

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Speaker 2: favorites losing outright will come to an end. At some

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Speaker 2: point We're going to have to ride and see when

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Speaker 2: does the when does this trend flip? When will top

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Speaker 2: ten teams go on the road and win and look right,

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Speaker 2: I think today might be a day, although the Iowa

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Speaker 2: State Kansas game is kind of still factoring into that

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Speaker 2: just a little bit. But let's start with North Carolina

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Speaker 2: on the road against Florida State. So we bet this team,

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Speaker 2: going back to the Oklahoma game. We bet them against

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma they won, and they covered. Against Pittsburgh, they won,

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Speaker 2: and they covered. Against Clemson, they won, and they covered.

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Speaker 2: Against NC State, they won and they covered. Against Syracuse,

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Speaker 2: they won and they covered. We did bet the Louisville game.

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Speaker 2: We bet the Boston College game, they won and they covered.

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Speaker 2: Bet the Wake Forest game, they won and they covered.

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Speaker 2: This team is seven and three on the road ATS.

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Speaker 2: North Carolina is a one seed right now? All right,

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Speaker 2: Florida State is seven and one ATS in the ACC.

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Speaker 2: I completely are gonna go mat Six and a half

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Speaker 2: points is too many points, is it?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Eight and two over their last ten, six and two

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Speaker 2: in conference for North Carolina Floria State. It's a hard

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Speaker 2: place to play. I'm not debating that at all. Kempom

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Speaker 2: has this as an eight point win for North Carolina,

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Speaker 2: mostly because of the fact that Carolina's defense should be

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Speaker 2: able to shut down the offense for Florida State. Florida

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Speaker 2: State's known for their defense. They're long and athletic, but

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Speaker 2: so is North Carolina. Florida State's offense one hundred and

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Speaker 2: twenty second in efficiency, two hundred and twenty third in

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage, two hundred and twentieth and three

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Speaker 2: point percentage, two hundred and fourth in two point percentage,

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Speaker 2: and two hundred and fifty fifth in free throw percentage.

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Speaker 2: This is up against a defense for Carolina that's fourth

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Speaker 2: in efficiency, twelfth in field goal percentage, thirteenth in three

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Speaker 2: point defense, forty sixth in two point defense.

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Speaker 1: Like, they don't put you on the line all that much.

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Speaker 1: They don't give up.

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Speaker 2: A lot of baskets, all of easy baskets. They're hard

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Speaker 2: to score on. I'm gonna lay the six and a

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Speaker 2: half points. I'm gonna keep this rolling here until a

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Speaker 2: trend bucks me off. North Carolina minus six and a

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Speaker 2: half on the road against Florida State. That game is

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Speaker 2: on ESPN Bet number two. Kansas on the road against

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Speaker 2: Iowa State. Iowa State is a home favorite, laying four.

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Speaker 1: And a half.

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Speaker 2: Why Iowa State, like we know, is eleven and one

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Speaker 2: ats Kansas is three and six on the road. Kansas

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Speaker 2: hasn't covered in their last two games and their last

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Speaker 2: two road trips outright losses against West Virginia and against

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Speaker 2: Central Florida. How good is this Kansas team right now?

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Speaker 1: We don't really know. Right now.

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Speaker 2: The jury is one hundred percent out wins over Kansas

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Speaker 2: State by eleven, Oklahoma State by twenty four, Houston by four.

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Speaker 2: Last three games at home for Iowa State wins and covers.

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Speaker 2: They were a home dog against Houston, They were laying

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Speaker 2: twelve and a half against Oakie State, They were laying

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Speaker 2: eight and a half against Kansas State. Remember we faded

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Speaker 2: Iowa State thinking they were going to maybe look ahead

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Speaker 2: to k to this game against Kansas didn't happen. They

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Speaker 2: won by eleven. It was a tough loss. We probably

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Speaker 2: should have covered that, but fine, whatever, here we are

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Speaker 2: with a KU team that I just don't really buy

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Speaker 2: much about. This is a five point win for Iowa

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Speaker 2: State according to Kempom, seventy five to seventy. When you

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Speaker 2: look at the breakdown, Iowa State's defense third inefficiency, sixty

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Speaker 2: third in field goal percentage. Their three point defense is

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Speaker 2: not great, but their two point defense is tremendous thirty

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Speaker 2: third Kansas.

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Speaker 1: Their defense is good. Okay, this is going to.

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Speaker 2: Be a hard fought game, but I think this really

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Speaker 2: will come down to the whole atmosphere and winning in

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Speaker 2: Ames is really really hard, and it's very difficult to

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Speaker 2: go on the road in the Big twelve anyway, but

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Speaker 2: it's really difficult to play against a team like Iowa

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Speaker 2: State on the road when they are phenomenal. Twelve to

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Speaker 2: zero at home this season is six and three. I'm

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Speaker 2: laying the four and a half. Iowa State minus four

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Speaker 2: and a half. We got a half a point of

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Speaker 2: value there from Ken Palm. Iowa State minus four and

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Speaker 2: a half for one point one units bet number three,

196
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Speaker 2: so UNC on the road minus six and a half.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State at home minus four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Auburn on the road.

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Speaker 2: At Mississippi State. This is a fun game. Auburn on

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Speaker 2: the year is twelve and seven ATS. Auburn is six

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Speaker 2: and three on the road. They lost their last game

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Speaker 2: at Alabama. They almost covered with a three at the

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Speaker 2: budget that did not count. Mississippi State at home three

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Speaker 2: five and one ATS in the SEC.

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Speaker 1: They're won four in one. That's not good.

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Speaker 2: Auburn had their streak of five straight covers in six

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Speaker 2: and seven games snapped against Alabama, but if that three

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Speaker 2: point shot had counted they would have covered.

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Speaker 1: They would have lost by one.

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Speaker 2: Mississippi State hasn't covered in four straight games. In fact,

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Speaker 2: they have lost three of four and they have lost

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Speaker 2: four of six. At home against Vanderbilt, they're laying thirteen.

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Speaker 2: Didn't cover against Kentucky catching six and a half, didn't

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Speaker 2: cover on the road against Alabama at home, they are

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Speaker 2: one point favorites. They lost by eight. They did beat

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Speaker 2: Tennessee by five as two point dogs, but that was

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Speaker 2: coming off of a loss on the road to South Carolina.

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Speaker 2: That factored into our team on the road loses next

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Speaker 2: game at home, they're a dog.

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Speaker 1: They win. Okay, that trend has been very, very good.

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Speaker 2: It's like a sixty five percent clip or something right

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Speaker 2: now outright wins. It's been remarkable. We've been I've been

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Speaker 2: riding it. I've been loving it. I mean, it's been

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Speaker 2: coming in consistently. I love the trend. But this is

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Speaker 2: a trend that I can't get into because Misssippi State

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Speaker 2: lost against Florida on the road by nine, But Auburn's

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Speaker 2: coming off of a loss as well, and Auburn is

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Speaker 2: a better basketball team. They're mad, flat out. They're mad

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Speaker 2: about what just happened. Auburn fifth inefficiency defensively third, ineffective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage fifty fourth, internaler percentage twenty second, and

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Speaker 2: three point defense third and two point defense. Offensively, Auburn

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Speaker 2: is tenth in efficiency, sixty third in field goal percentage. Offensively,

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Speaker 2: they don't shoot threes very well where they're twenty eighth

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Speaker 2: and twos. Yes, very difficult defense. Missib State is tough

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Speaker 2: to go up against. They're tough to score on. But

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Speaker 2: Auburn's laying two and a half. This is a four

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Speaker 2: point win according to Kempom. I'm taking the Auburn Tigers

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Speaker 2: to bounce back after losing on the road to Alabama

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Speaker 2: by one. I think they get a win here. They

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Speaker 2: beat the Bulldogs in Starkville Auburn minus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Now I can't go a whole podcast without betting at

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Speaker 2: least once here on my favorite trend. Team on the

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Speaker 2: road loses, team comes home home dog and they get

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Speaker 2: a win. Last game out for UC Riverside, they lost

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Speaker 2: sixty six to sixty five on the road against UC

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Speaker 2: San Diego. Now they're at home up against Long Beach.

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Speaker 2: You see Riverside is a one point dog here in

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Speaker 2: this game. Riverside at home is six and two ATS

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Speaker 2: this year and the conference, they're five and four. They're

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Speaker 2: ten and ten overall, six and four over the last ten.

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Speaker 2: On the flip side, Long Beach is six and seven

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Speaker 2: away from home ATS, they're three and five in conference,

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Speaker 2: and they're coming off of a loss at home to

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Speaker 2: U SEE Irvine, catching three, they lost by eleven, So

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Speaker 2: you have a loss to UC San Diego they lost

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Speaker 2: by one. As seven point dogs, they covered, but they

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Speaker 2: still lost the game. To come back home for Uce Riverside,

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Speaker 2: who they are good at home six and two, catching

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Speaker 2: one point. I'm taking Riverside, you See Riverside to get

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Speaker 2: the W even though this is a one point spot.

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Speaker 2: On the other side here, neither one of these teams

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Speaker 2: is a very good basketball team. I mean, Riverside's offense

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Speaker 2: is three hundred and thirty first in field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: They are two twenty six in a fifth, they're two

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Speaker 2: twenty four in three point percentage, they're three fifty and

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Speaker 2: two point percentage.

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Speaker 1: But the Beach is just as bad.

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Speaker 2: I mean a two seventeen efficiency, two forty four effective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage, two twenty three and three point percentage

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Speaker 2: two fifty and two point percentage. Beaches offense will have

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Speaker 2: a little bit of an advantage, but not much. The

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Speaker 2: numbers on the other side are just as bad. One

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Speaker 2: forty nine to two forty nine for offense for the

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Speaker 2: Beach versus defense for defense for for a Riverside, one

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Speaker 2: seventy eight on set win eighty seven to two eighty one,

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Speaker 2: in field goal percentage two forty one to three twenty six,

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Speaker 2: and three point percentage one fifty five to two seventeen.

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Speaker 2: Evenly matched, both teams aren't that great. I'm taking the

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Speaker 2: home team following my trend at plus one. There's no

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Speaker 2: TV for this game. I don't believe, although ESPN plus

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Speaker 2: may have it for this one. Here jumping in riverside

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Speaker 2: plus one for one point one units. And finally, so

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Speaker 2: college basketball bets are North Carolina minus six and a half,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State minus four and a half, Auburn minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half, and UC riverside plus one. Those aren't

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Speaker 2: four bets. Hockey one play. We are going to the

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Speaker 2: team total for the Nashville Predators. It is even money

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Speaker 2: for the Nashville Predators at two and a half. These

289
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Speaker 2: are the goals given up by the Oilers, who have

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Speaker 2: won fifteen consecutive hockey games. Oilers have given up during

291
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Speaker 2: the let's see going back to the San Jose Sharks

292
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Speaker 2: in which they won the game five nothing. That game

293
00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:43,640
Speaker 2: was played back on the twenty eighth of December, so

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Speaker 2: last year. In twenty twenty four, the Oilers have given

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Speaker 2: up the following zero two two two one one two

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Speaker 2: one two two one one zero. You could bet the

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Speaker 2: under if you want with these guys. Okay, they've also

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Speaker 2: been going under a lot, but they have had games

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Speaker 2: where they've scored five that gave me seven goals. They

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Speaker 2: scored five goals, they scored. Most of these games are

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Speaker 2: six from a total perspective, and thus it's pushing. Oilers

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Speaker 2: have been pushing a lot, which is pretty interesting. A

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00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,360
Speaker 2: lot of their games are ending four to two. This

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Speaker 2: game here tonight, same situation. It's the Oilers at home

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Speaker 2: and the total is six and a half. Actually, at

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Speaker 2: certain books, I would bet under in this game personally,

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Speaker 2: but after because they're afraid Nashville is going to.

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Speaker 1: Give up a bunch of goals.

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Speaker 2: This is an under team at the moment, under two

310
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Speaker 2: and a half. I'm gonna take a crack at this

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Speaker 2: and follow this trend here. They haven't given up more

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Speaker 2: than two goals in twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: This is what happens.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet it, and they're gonna give up three

315
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Speaker 2: goals to Nashville just kind of the way these things

316
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:56,159
Speaker 2: are gonna work. But I'm gonna jump in here on

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Speaker 2: this trend. You can do the same thing here if

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Speaker 2: we want to get into the trend of the Jets,

319
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Speaker 2: you know, team total under the opponent two and a half.

320
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Speaker 2: You can do that as well if you want to

321
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Speaker 2: get into it for the Winnipeg Jets. But I'm just

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Speaker 2: a little bit wary of the Jets against Toronto. They

323
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Speaker 2: just played Toronto. It was one nothing. I was wary

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Speaker 2: of it the first game. I think you got'd be

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Speaker 2: wary of it the second game just because it's Toronto's offense.

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Speaker 1: So I didn't like it. But you can bet it blindly.

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Speaker 2: Just bet the Jets against you know, under Maple Leafs

328
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Speaker 2: two and a half or three if you want on that.

329
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Speaker 2: But I'm a little bit concerned about doing that just

330
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Speaker 2: because it's the Maple Leafs and their offense. There's still

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Speaker 2: a top five offense in hockey, so I'm not as

332
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Speaker 2: confident with that. You can bet Vancouver on the puck

333
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:39,399
Speaker 2: line if you want. That's another option you want to

334
00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:41,159
Speaker 2: get involved with that, But the problem with that is

335
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Speaker 2: that Columbus on the road is tremendous against the puck line, tremendous,

336
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Speaker 2: very profitable, double digit profitable in units for Columbus, so

337
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Speaker 2: I'm a little nervous about laying it with Vancouver. You

338
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,280
Speaker 2: can drop Vancouver on the puck line as well, you know,

339
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Speaker 2: lay the juice, though it's mine one ten. I don't

340
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Speaker 2: like that at all, laying on the puck line. So

341
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Speaker 2: that I do like officially under two and a half

342
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Speaker 2: goals even money for the Nashville Predators here for one unit.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so five bets for us here.

344
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Speaker 2: I'm going to test a theory or at least trying

345
00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:15,639
Speaker 2: to flip it around in bet more favorites here and

346
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:17,760
Speaker 2: less home dogs, because I think it might be time

347
00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:20,680
Speaker 2: for the road favorites to start to win here. It's

348
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:24,199
Speaker 2: been a massive run on road on home dogs.

349
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Speaker 1: Let's you have road.

350
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Speaker 2: Favorites gonna have a day here. North Carolina minus six

351
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:30,879
Speaker 2: and a half, Iowa State plus four and a half,

352
00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:33,840
Speaker 2: Auburn minus two and a half, U See Riverside plus

353
00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,840
Speaker 2: one team total Predators under two and a half for

354
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:43,320
Speaker 2: even money. Saturday into Sunday, A huge show Sunday live

355
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Speaker 2: stream the hedge bets. We're gonna have a big Sunday.

356
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Speaker 2: So even if today's disastrous and I've hit seven bets

357
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Speaker 2: in a row one in four is probably likely, just

358
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Speaker 2: given the way that it works, the way that betting works.

359
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Speaker 2: You get real hot and then you cool off real fast.

360
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Speaker 2: But I know that Sunday is going to be really good.

361
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Speaker 2: So even if I have a bet on Saturday, I

362
00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 2: know Sunday is going to be good. We'll make it

363
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Speaker 2: right back on Sunday, so we'll have some fun here

364
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Speaker 2: on the weekend.

365
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Speaker 1: For sure.

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Speaker 2: It'll be a very profitable week for us here with

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice minus Matt Parole's follow me across all

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00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 2: socials at sports Talk Matt each every morning the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice podcast I was being brought to you by almost

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Speaker 2: takes dot com