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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Tuesday morning edition of The Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt Perrault. This whole thing's being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by our friends at BETMGM off of Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com, and we're back for a Tuesday morning following

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Speaker 1: a three and oh Monday night. That's called a relaxing

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Speaker 1: sigh when you have an oo to three day, and

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Speaker 1: for the first time in the history of the Daily Juice,

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Speaker 1: you don't get a single bet right. We were going

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Speaker 1: on for nearly eight weeks of every day giving you

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Speaker 1: at least one winner to bet on one pick that

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Speaker 1: was going to hit for you. We went over on

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Speaker 1: Sunday and then I thought this would happen, but it

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Speaker 1: does happen. I had guys on my DMS. I got

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Speaker 1: up in the morning. I was you know, I was

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Speaker 1: bummed out. And look, I know you guys don't think

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Speaker 1: I care, or some of you don't think that I care,

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Speaker 1: But I do care about this podcast. I do care

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Speaker 1: when I get bets wrong, and I do care about

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Speaker 1: losing money. And somebody wrote to me, why don't you

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Speaker 1: take a week off because your bets are so bad?

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Speaker 1: And I went, Okay, I understand that. Yeah, it's it's

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Speaker 1: up and down. And this person. I had to explain

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Speaker 1: to this person the purpose of the podcast and what

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Speaker 1: we do and how we're trying to build a community,

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Speaker 1: and how we're trying to you know, have some fun

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Speaker 1: together off bettingpros dot com and we're trying to have

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Speaker 1: interaction every day, making bets every day, picks every day,

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Speaker 1: and it's not easy to do this. And then we

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Speaker 1: turn around and go three and oh. So of course

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Speaker 1: that person doesn't write to me. It doesn't say anything

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Speaker 1: to me. Right. I was waiting all day today, or

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Speaker 1: really all night after we got the third bet correct,

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Speaker 1: I was waiting for that DM. I was waiting for

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Speaker 1: the oh right. But okay, fine, I mean the person

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Speaker 1: said he was no longer going to listen to the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. Okay, that's fine, and it's you're right. And

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Speaker 1: I told this person at the time, if you guys

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Speaker 1: want to fade every pick, I make every play. I

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Speaker 1: make sure. Yeah, however, I'm making you money, that's all

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Speaker 1: the matters. So we got the over right again the Avalanche.

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Speaker 1: They've cashed for us now, four straight bets on the

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Speaker 1: over for Avalanche games. We're just going to keep on

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Speaker 1: betting that until that doesn't hit. And it's the Dallas

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Speaker 1: Stars are the ones that are scoring all the goals,

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Speaker 1: which is so remarkable. The Avalanche were the ones scoring

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Speaker 1: in the previous series. They scored fourteen goals in their

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Speaker 1: final two games in their last series. But this time

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Speaker 1: it's Dallas who's putting in big goals consistently, five goals

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Speaker 1: the last two games. And that's not really Dallas's style,

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Speaker 1: but because of how wide open we're watching here with

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Speaker 1: the Avalanche, they're not playing defense and Dallas in that

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Speaker 1: second period, Oh my goodness, gracious, was that great to

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Speaker 1: see that happen. We got somewhat of a break in

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Speaker 1: the under for the A's and the Rangers because that

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Speaker 1: game was really high scoring early. And I told you, guys,

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Speaker 1: I was trying to avoid what could have been a

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Speaker 1: first five loss because five runs were scored in the

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Speaker 1: first five innings and the total was four and a half.

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Speaker 1: So that would have been really bad if we had

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Speaker 1: taken the first five instead of the whole game under.

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Speaker 1: But the offense is really bogged down until the top

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Speaker 1: of the ninth inning, when with one out and the

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Speaker 1: bases loaded, the Oakland A's struck out. I forget who

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Speaker 1: struck out, and then Matt Chapman came up with the

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Speaker 1: bases loaded. And this is a team that has hit

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Speaker 1: a bunch of walk off grand slams this year, and

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking to myself, you've got to be kidding me.

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Speaker 1: They're not gonna do it again. Hit a grand slam,

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Speaker 1: Matt Chapman with a long fly ball to right field.

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Speaker 1: It does not leave the park, however, and the game

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Speaker 1: ends with the bases loaded, and it's a three to

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Speaker 1: two victory for the Rangers and the under eight and

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Speaker 1: a half cases. That was beautiful the Islanders and the

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Speaker 1: Flyers first period under I was tucking to my friend

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Speaker 1: Dave Sherripin on Twitter about it, and I said, look,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna keep on betting that we got it at

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Speaker 1: one point fifty. He said, expect that to be minus

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Speaker 1: one point eighty for Game two, and then even higher

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Speaker 1: and higher. He thought it might go up as high

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Speaker 1: as minus two hundred at some point. Because of the

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Speaker 1: fact that everyone is playing this and that bet crushed

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Speaker 1: the books yesterday. Everyone is seeing the same thing that

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Speaker 1: I'm seeing with the goaltending and the way that these

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Speaker 1: teams are going to approach to this series. The Flyers

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Speaker 1: aren't going to score a lot of goals, and the

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Speaker 1: Islanders aren't going to score a lot of goals either,

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Speaker 1: although they scored four goals and went up for nothing,

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Speaker 1: or scored four goals and one for nothing and they

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Speaker 1: went up one game to none. Remember, we've got the

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Speaker 1: Islanders at plus one ten to win that series. At

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Speaker 1: points bets in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. So much money

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Speaker 1: came in on the Flyers that they went off at

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty five, which is about fifteen cents higher

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Speaker 1: than what most books had across the country. So there

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Speaker 1: are some regional bias that came in there clearly. So

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Speaker 1: three wins, three to zero, very cool. I did add

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Speaker 1: two bets if you follow me on Twitter, some of

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Speaker 1: you guys were talking to me, and I added two

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Speaker 1: bets late. I did take the Blazers at plus seven

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Speaker 1: yikes half a unit though, and then I took for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. I took the Portland Trailblazers over

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Speaker 1: one oh eight point five for their team total, and

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Speaker 1: they did hit that so ugly game last night. Huge

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Speaker 1: win for the Lakers and the Trailblazers are done knee

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Speaker 1: injury for Damian Lillard. The line for Game five is

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Speaker 1: gonna be something ridiculous, like probably like minus fifteen or

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Speaker 1: something for the Lakers. But the team total did hit,

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Speaker 1: so that kind of lessened the blow a little bit.

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Speaker 1: So I did get one bet wrong technically, but we're

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Speaker 1: not counting those bets for the podcast. Only would I

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Speaker 1: play in the morning. Would I tell you guys in

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Speaker 1: the morning, and then I'll add things throughout the day

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Speaker 1: and tell you things I'm gonna bet on, and you

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Speaker 1: can follow if you want or fate if you want.

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Speaker 1: But so tick we went five and one or four

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Speaker 1: and one with a good news story with the Islanders,

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Speaker 1: but officially three and ozhero on the podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: before we get to the plays, I got one play

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Speaker 1: in basketball and two plays in hockey for you here.

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Speaker 1: Coming up today, I want to remind you about what's

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Speaker 1: going on off of bettingpros dot com and the autograph

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Speaker 1: signed Eagles helmet for running back Miles Sanders. This is

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Speaker 1: still up for grabs. Okay, We're gonna be doing this

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Speaker 1: until September the thirtieth, and I want two hundred reviews

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Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts. That's a big goal of mine. At

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Speaker 1: last check it was out one hundred and fifty five.

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Speaker 1: I'm not totally sure where we're at right now, but

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Speaker 1: this contest will run until September the thirtieth. If you

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Speaker 1: you don't need to go do another review and screenshot

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Speaker 1: be able to have some tracking on it that hey

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Speaker 1: they got so many entries into the last one that

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Speaker 1: they want to keep on doing it. So, you know,

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Speaker 1: that very short form send it in. The deadline is

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Speaker 1: autographed Miles Sanders signed Eagles helmet. It's thanks to our

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Speaker 1: call one hundred five two two forty seven hundred in

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Speaker 1: Colorado and Nevada, one hrnd gambler in New Jersey, in

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Speaker 1: West Virginia or one one hundred with it all, right

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Speaker 1: to the picks we go, and let's start in the NBA,

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Speaker 1: the Utah Jazz and the Denver Nuggets. So Denver's Jamal

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Speaker 1: Murray gave me the worst beat of the weekend with

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Speaker 1: his last second three when the Jazz were favored by

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Well, here we go again. The

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Speaker 1: Jazz are favored by three and a half. Actually it's

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Speaker 1: down to three at bed MGM now. So if you

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Speaker 1: actually get to get a little more value coming in here,

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Speaker 1: I understand why people are gonna go ahead and say, Okay,

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Speaker 1: Denver's going to win this game, because their backsher against

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Speaker 1: the wall. They're down three games to one here it

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Speaker 1: is in game number five, and well, they've got to

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Speaker 1: cool off Donovan Mitchell. But here's the problem. Denver has

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Speaker 1: zero defense for what Donovan Mitchell is doing with the

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Speaker 1: pick and roll at the top of the key. He

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Speaker 1: can get into the lane at the foul line at will.

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Speaker 1: He dropped fifty one points. He dropped fifty one points,

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Speaker 1: and Jamal Murray dropped fifty and they lost. Does Jamal

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Speaker 1: Murray drop fifty again here tonight? I don't think so.

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Speaker 1: Does Donovan Mitchell drop thirty five points plus? Yes, I

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Speaker 1: think he does. I don't think they can handle him.

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Speaker 1: And Mike Conley coming back as well gives another really

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Speaker 1: awful option, bad defensive matchup for the Denver Nuggets. And

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Speaker 1: even though it was a one to twenty nine, one

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Speaker 1: twenty seven game, a lot of people are gonna come

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Speaker 1: in here on the over. I'd I would stay away

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Speaker 1: from this. I'm gonna eat. I'm gonna lean on the

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Speaker 1: under here it's two twenty. I would lean on the

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Speaker 1: under that for this game. Because elimination games always get

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Speaker 1: played at a slower pace, teams grip a bit more.

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Speaker 1: They really start to grind it down. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: play around here. I don't like the fact I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: lay this much juice, but I'm gonna lay the minus

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Speaker 1: one fifty and I'm gonna take the Utah Jazz just

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Speaker 1: to end this series. It is remarkable right now to

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Speaker 1: look at what has happened in the bubble against the spread.

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Speaker 1: This comes from John Ewing on Twitter, where favorites going

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Speaker 1: into Monday night, we're eighteen and ten against the spread.

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Speaker 1: The favorites did well last night too, so that number increased.

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Speaker 1: But get this, going into Monday, teams that were became

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Speaker 1: bigger favorites that were bet up, We're thirteen and three

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Speaker 1: against the spread. Popular teams sixty percent of more of

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Speaker 1: the bets coming in nine four against the spread going

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Speaker 1: into Monday, popular teams that became bigger favorites, meaning teams

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Speaker 1: getting sixty percent or more of the bets, they went

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Speaker 1: seven and one against the spread when they became bigger

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Speaker 1: favorites before the game tipped off. The public is doing

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Speaker 1: very well right now, very well. So you got to

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Speaker 1: be a little careful when these things happen, because eventually

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Speaker 1: things are going to even out. Eventually, the books are

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Speaker 1: gonna come back here and get their own, so I

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Speaker 1: would stay away from the total here at two twenty.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go near it. I'm just gonna take

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Speaker 1: what I think happens, and that's Utah winning. Favorites have

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Speaker 1: been winning. Teams that are expected to win have won,

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Speaker 1: and I think the Utah Jazz offensively right now, they're

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Speaker 1: just unstoppable. For the Denver Nuggets, they just don't have

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Speaker 1: the defensive matchup. They can score with them, but they

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Speaker 1: can't play defense enough to keep themselves in the game.

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Speaker 1: I'm going Jazz minus one point fifty on the money line.

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Speaker 1: I don't like the juice, but I'm gonna lay it

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Speaker 1: because I'm not screwing with the three or the three

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Speaker 1: and a half. I'm not getting beat on a line

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Speaker 1: second free throw or a half court Hail Mary prayer

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Speaker 1: shot by Jamal Murray. I learned my lesson. I'll pay

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Speaker 1: the tax if you will. It's a bit more expensive

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Speaker 1: than i'd like to go for a money line, but

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Speaker 1: we're taking Jazz on the money line at minus one

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Speaker 1: fifty for play number one. Two plays for you in

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Speaker 1: the NHL. Let's start with the Boston Bruins against the

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Lightning. This is gonna be a fun series. Look,

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Speaker 1: Boston had their way in Game one until the third period,

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Speaker 1: and then the Lightning got going a little bit, and

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Speaker 1: the Lightning started to show that they can play, and

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Speaker 1: maybe they were a little bit nervous or rusty or

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Speaker 1: just not really where they wanted to be in the

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Speaker 1: first two periods. The Bruins came out and played very

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Speaker 1: very well. Maybe that took Tampa by surprise. So it

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Speaker 1: was three to nothing going into the third period, and

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Speaker 1: then it turned into a three to two win. The

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Speaker 1: Bruins had to kind of hang on in the third period. Now,

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Speaker 1: halk and Net has looked pretty good. The Bruins have

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Speaker 1: overcome the loss of Tukarask. Vasilevski is a very good goaltender.

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Speaker 1: This is a guy who is a Vesna Trophy finalist.

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Speaker 1: I expect him to be outstanding coming up here in

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Speaker 1: Game number two. If I have a lean, it would

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Speaker 1: be on Tampa to win this game. But the Boston

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Speaker 1: Bruins have it rolling right now. I'm a little afraid

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Speaker 1: to get in front of the Boston Bruins, so I'm

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Speaker 1: a lean on Tampa to win. But I think It's

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Speaker 1: going to be another low scoring game here. The total

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Speaker 1: is five and a half. Both these teams are averaging

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Speaker 1: under two and a half goals per game since the restart.

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Speaker 1: Now that's because of Boston and how they played really

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Speaker 1: in the first in the round robbin games. They look horrible,

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Speaker 1: but these two offenses haven't been really clicking. I think

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Speaker 1: this is a two to one or a three to

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Speaker 1: two type of game, low scoring, grind it out again.

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Speaker 1: I think Tampa probably wins this game. But I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go and take the under five and a half goals,

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Speaker 1: laying minus one ten for the Bruins and the Lightning.

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Speaker 1: We're going under five and a half goals for play

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Speaker 1: number two and for play number three. We're staying in hockey.

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Speaker 1: The Canucks and the Golden Knights. The Vegas Golden Knights

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Speaker 1: could very well win the Stanley Cup. They destroyed Vancouver

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Speaker 1: five nothing. In Game number one, the Golden Knight scored

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Speaker 1: five goals. We bet the over and we lost. I

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Speaker 1: don't know how that happened. Five and a half. We

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Speaker 1: lose on the hook in a shutout for Robin Lehner.

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Speaker 1: He played phenomenally well, but I didn't feel like Vancouver

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Speaker 1: really peppered him with that too many shots. It wasn't

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Speaker 1: like Vancouver was all over him and he's still not

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Speaker 1: in his head. Just the buck was always on the

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Speaker 1: other end of the ice, and the Golden Knights just

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Speaker 1: went nuts and they just I mean, it was an

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Speaker 1: incredible performance by Vegas' offense, and I expect the exact

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Speaker 1: same thing to happen here in game number two. I

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Speaker 1: think Vegas is just faster, stronger, but I do think

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Speaker 1: Vancouver is gonna come out like a ball of fire early.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go over five and a half goals. I

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Speaker 1: think this is a high scoring game. Again. I could

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Speaker 1: see this being a four to three type of victory

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Speaker 1: for somebody, maybe even you know, a four to two

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Speaker 1: type of victory. I'm gonna play the over. It's expensive

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Speaker 1: to bet the Vegas gold the Knights right now here

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Speaker 1: to come up and win this game, because I think

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Speaker 1: they're right now. They're the betting favorite at bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: They're plus two fifty to win the Stanley Cup. Now

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Speaker 1: that's because of a lot of betting that happens here

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Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. But to take Vegas, you know, minus

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Speaker 1: two ten on the money line, that is just way

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Speaker 1: too expensive for my liking, to be quite honest, So

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna take the over five and a half goals.

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Speaker 1: It is juiced up to minus one to fifteen. Bet

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Speaker 1: MGM's got it M minus one twenty five. I found

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Speaker 1: its one fifteen. Hopefully you guys can find it somewhere

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Speaker 1: in the same neighborhood. But we'll take the over five

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Speaker 1: and a half goals for the Vegas gold Knights and

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Speaker 1: the Vancouver Canucks for our third play here on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: So to recap our place for Tuesday, Jazz on the

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Speaker 1: money line minus one fifty Bruins lightning, under five and

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Speaker 1: a half goals in Vegas in Vancouver over five and

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Speaker 1: a half goals three to no. Start to the week.

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Speaker 1: Not bad. Let's keep it rolling here on a Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: My name's Matt Parolz. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Feel free to send me a DM,

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Speaker 1: watch games, sweat games with me throughout the day. I

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Speaker 1: may add a player too as well. Off my Twitter

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Speaker 1: account at sports Talk Matt enter into the contest to

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Speaker 1: win the Miles Sanders autographed helmet. Don't forget to do that.

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Speaker 1: We're back on a Wednesday for another edition for the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice, brought to you by BETMGM of bettingpros dot Com.