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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Or radio show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association

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Speaker 2: and the number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five

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Speaker 3: fifty The kicks Block the College Football World Stander.

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, it stole the lateral to countering the inside.

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Speaker 2: Get you the lad table off the.

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Speaker 4: Fail to night. It's not the sage of the game anything,

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Speaker 4: It's as.

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Speaker 2: Sage of the fight. What's up, Degenerate Nation, Welcome to

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Speaker 2: the Action Network Podcast. This is the college football betting

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Speaker 2: Preview Week three. I'm stuck in with me as always

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Speaker 2: is Colin Wilson. Still not the slate we desire, but

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Speaker 2: those are coming and it's still a slate excited for

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Speaker 2: Week three.

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Speaker 4: I don't care if it's Campbell, I don't care if

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Speaker 4: it's Aplete Christian, I don't care what it is. It's

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Speaker 4: a slate. But you know, if you're if you're kind

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Speaker 4: of a casual college football fan, maybe get a nap

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Speaker 4: in because the way things are looking, we're going to

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Speaker 4: be balls to the wall of college football ramping up

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Speaker 4: here with SEC Big ten and if the MAC gets

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Speaker 4: its way, we may be playing football until April.

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Speaker 2: April college football podcast sounds good to me. Yeah, I

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Speaker 2: mean things are about to get crazy. I don't. I

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Speaker 2: mean in the fall, I don't have time to sleep

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Speaker 2: with NFL college football, tennis, and now like we have

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Speaker 2: at the end of this month, we're going to baseball

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Speaker 2: playoffs going on at the same time as the French

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Speaker 2: open with like SEC back and it's crazy the masters.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's the preakedness. It's it's craziness. Like there's

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Speaker 2: gonna be two Wednesday and Thursday where there's like eight

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Speaker 2: playoff games, eight baseball playoff games in a day. So

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Speaker 2: October is gonna make up for all of that time

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Speaker 2: we had to suffer through betting Nicaraguans soccer and Aussie rules.

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Speaker 2: Also the other good the other news that came in

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Speaker 2: this week, the big news on the college football front is,

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Speaker 2: unfortunately for our friend mister Jim Harball, our friend bout.

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Speaker 4: Jim, don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers.

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Speaker 2: Avoid it like the plague.

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Speaker 4: Let's check in with bow Dog Jim.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna get the bet Big ten football it looks like.

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Speaker 2: And then now maybe the MAC. If the PAC twelve

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Speaker 2: looks like it's not gonna happen, because I don't know

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Speaker 2: how it's all gonna work out with the College ball

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Speaker 2: playoff and it's gonna be crazy. But we will find

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Speaker 2: time to preview those teams throughout. We still have another

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Speaker 2: you know, over a month until they come back. But

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Speaker 2: you got to be excited to get the Big Ten

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Speaker 2: and the Midwest crowd back in the fold, right, A little.

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Speaker 4: Piece of meal die if Hawaii is not a part

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Speaker 4: of that Mountain West package, you know, because I mean

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Speaker 4: there's a couple teams that are still a little we

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Speaker 4: don't know in the Mountain West. I think there's three

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Speaker 4: or four teams on the list that said they don't

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Speaker 4: know if they're going to come back, even if the

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Speaker 4: conference says it's going to and Hawaii is on that list.

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Speaker 4: As far as the PAC twelve goes, I mean, they've

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Speaker 4: got other things going on besides COVID. Looks like the

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Speaker 4: Big ten's all bought in. I'm actually a really big

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Speaker 4: fan of something that Boatdog Jim thought of, which is

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Speaker 4: for the championship game in the Big Ten, we'll just

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Speaker 4: have all the seeds from the East and the West

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Speaker 4: no longer the leaders in the legends play each other, right,

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Speaker 4: so potentially Wisconsin, Ohio state, and like a Penn state

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Speaker 4: and yeah, I don't know, you can name it over

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Speaker 4: there on that side, Nebraska, you know, whoever. But I

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Speaker 4: think it's great. I mean, people are complaining that we're

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Speaker 4: going to get a reptors an Illinois game on December nineteenth.

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Speaker 4: That's the greatest gambling thing you can That's better than

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Speaker 4: a bowl game. That's better than a lot of bull games.

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Speaker 4: So I'll take it.

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Speaker 2: We welcome any and all sports editions for the calendar

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Speaker 2: or March getting canceled in the summer. We went through,

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Speaker 2: and obviously we hope it all happens safely. I'm glad

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Speaker 2: I didn't take a flyer on, you know, Central Florida

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Speaker 2: thinking that because there's only you know, three Power fives,

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Speaker 2: that if like the Big twelve cannibalizes itself and Central

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Speaker 2: Florida goes undefeated, you would assume that you're gonna get

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Speaker 2: four Power five teams. Now, you're either gonna get the

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Speaker 2: most logical ways take up the conference champion from each conference,

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Speaker 2: or you know, if two teams in the SEC dominate

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Speaker 2: in one of the conferences cannibalized itself. You get take

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Speaker 2: two from the SEC or maybe you know Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: and Clemson, So I'm glad I didn't do that. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna to wait for the schedules to come out to

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Speaker 2: really tell in the Big Ten, we'll get to those

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Speaker 2: calling off content out on Action Network app and Action

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Speaker 2: Network dot coms to make sure you check that out,

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Speaker 2: and we'll find time over the next month or so

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Speaker 2: to make sure that we cover the Big Ten and

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Speaker 2: all the fall from the schedule and what that means

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Speaker 2: from both the conference and national perspective. You mentioned Camel,

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Speaker 2: We're gonna get to the humps. Roll Humps, I think

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Speaker 2: is the the slogan, which we'll get to check it

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Speaker 2: out on Friday Night Lights. We'll get to Saturday's card.

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Speaker 2: But before we do that, if you want a chance

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Speaker 2: to win a free Vegas vacation and other prizes, don't

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Speaker 2: forget to enter the Action Pods Tournament of Champions, presented

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Speaker 2: by bet MGM, the official odds provider of the Action

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Speaker 2: Over podcast. It's a free weekly Yahoo DFS tournament and

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Speaker 2: it's we debuted this season specifically for you guys. Are

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Speaker 2: podcast listeners and you can join just by clicking on

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Speaker 2: the link in the episode description. And the top ten

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Speaker 2: the Wildcard Weekend Grand Finale. And if you get to that,

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Speaker 2: you know in five every week do so, make sure

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Speaker 2: is a Vegas trip for two valued at over five

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Speaker 2: brand new game, so even if you miss one, you

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Speaker 2: can enter a week there after. Again, just click on

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Speaker 2: the link in our episode description. Okay, so let's get

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Speaker 2: to Saturday's card. Let's start out with a couple situational.

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Speaker 5: Spots, hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 2: Is it time to look ahead or look away? Let's

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Speaker 2: start with some sandwich spots. We sure have a lot

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Speaker 2: of sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches For those not familiar, this

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Speaker 2: is just you know we talk about. We always start

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Speaker 2: our episode with some situational angles. You know, will a

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Speaker 2: team have let down where they be caught looking ahead?

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Speaker 2: Will they pull their starters sooner? Was their lack of

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Speaker 2: prep doesn't always mean that there's an angle there, but

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Speaker 2: worth bringing up. And obviously it ultimately comes down to

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Speaker 2: the number and the value that that number provides. But

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Speaker 2: the first one that we have here is wake Forest.

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Speaker 2: So wake Forest last week, as everyone saw, played well.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if everyone saw it was kind of

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Speaker 2: a boring game. They've played Clemson in again that they

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Speaker 2: lost thirty seven thirteen. They put a couple of scores

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Speaker 2: up late. Game is never really close. This week they

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Speaker 2: travel to NC State and this will be the wolf

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Speaker 2: Pack's first game of the year. NC State has a

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Speaker 2: lot of questions here, but wig Forest plays this game

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Speaker 2: in between Clemson last week and hosting Notre Dame next week.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if you have necessarily have as many

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Speaker 2: look aheads or letdowns this year compared to most. It's

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Speaker 2: such an unprecedented year. Kids are just happy to be playing.

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Speaker 2: There's fewer games, But you know, I have to ask

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Speaker 2: the question here, is this a good spot to back

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Speaker 2: nd Seas State in their first game of the year.

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Speaker 4: I think it is. I'm going to be back in

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Speaker 4: n C State I just want to see what the

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Speaker 4: line is going to do, because after we've kind of

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Speaker 4: been hanging in a field goal and two and a half,

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Speaker 4: there's been some two's popping up at played BETENGM. Right now,

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Speaker 4: the line is in c State minus two and a half.

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Speaker 4: This is a game that I make minus eight. I

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Speaker 4: know a lot of that is based upon Wake Forest

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Speaker 4: losing a ton of production. We talked about it in

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Speaker 4: the last week's pot about what they were going up

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Speaker 4: against the Clemson you know, dead nut under game, considering

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Speaker 4: they couldn't contribute any points at the beginning and they

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Speaker 4: just didn't have any weapons to do any you know,

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Speaker 4: to get anything on the board. And if you look

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Speaker 4: at INC State, they actually have a lot of returning

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Speaker 4: production on both sides of the ball. It's just not

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Speaker 4: a very successful group of players in terms of success

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Speaker 4: rate offensively and defensively, you know, all things. Aside to

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Speaker 4: say we weren't in the pandemic and say that COVID

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Speaker 4: wasn't around, and say that we didn't have all these

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Speaker 4: opt outs, we would have lined this game that at

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Speaker 4: NC State. Mind's eight My problem with this week, and

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Speaker 4: we're going to find this theory going all throughout all

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Speaker 4: these games. Do I want to back my cash into

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Speaker 4: a team that's on their first game of the season.

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Speaker 4: Aga'st a team that's already had a game, or in

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Speaker 4: the case of like Utep and Abaliene Christian, a team

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Speaker 4: that's on its third game versus a team that's on

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Speaker 4: its first game. I think it's a huge lake up

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Speaker 4: to already have a game. We've seen it in years

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Speaker 4: past where teams playing Week zero, they go on to

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Speaker 4: Week one, generally they cover the spread. I think that's

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Speaker 4: a good little bet Labs research project that I'll have

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Speaker 4: to get onto. But I do want to back INC

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Speaker 4: State in this game. I'll probably get involved. I'm a

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Speaker 4: you know, line watcher set up on sports Insights. Well,

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Speaker 4: I don't want it to clip three. Probably end up,

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Speaker 4: you know, taking this game maybe outright if it's cheap enough.

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Speaker 2: Sir enough. I would also give a look to the

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Speaker 2: under here. I don't have a strong feel on the

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Speaker 2: side just because I don't think I don't have a

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Speaker 2: good read on NC State. It's a team that I'm

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Speaker 2: down on, and you're right, that is one of the

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Speaker 2: keys to the early season in twenty twenty. It's how

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Speaker 2: much does a team getting a game in after a

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Speaker 2: shortened summer, losing spring, shortened preparation, how much does that

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Speaker 2: give them a leg up playing against a team that

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Speaker 2: hasn't played yet. So if I had a bet that

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Speaker 2: I'd look under. I know that number has been dropping. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: first half.

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Speaker 4: Unders have been money with these these teams that have,

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Speaker 4: you know, really looking for an identity at the beginning

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Speaker 4: of the season. So yeah, I agree.

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Speaker 2: All right, Well, let's let's also move on to some

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Speaker 2: potential letdown spots, which I do think it's still a

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Speaker 2: little bit more relevant than looking ahead to the following

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Speaker 2: week this year, and the first one that jumps out

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Speaker 2: Georgia Tech that BETMGM. They are the Juice seven and

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Speaker 2: a half point underdogs over under sixty three hosting Central Florida.

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Speaker 2: Last week, Georgia Tech pulled off a pretty stunning upset

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Speaker 2: of Florida State sixteen thirteen in an ugly one. They

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Speaker 2: also have a conference game on deck next week at

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Speaker 2: Syracuse UCF, were I think it's ranked fourteenth in the country.

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Speaker 2: We're both I think high on them in the conference.

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Speaker 2: I think that I like their secondary, their offense obviously

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Speaker 2: going to go fast, and they have a ton of

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Speaker 2: talent on the offense side of the ball. They did

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Speaker 2: have some opt outs hurt their depth a little bit,

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Speaker 2: you know, a couple of starters in the interior. But

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Speaker 2: this team is really good. They're going to go really fast,

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Speaker 2: and last year they were really unlucky. You know, the

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Speaker 2: games that they lost were all one possession and really

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Speaker 2: could have win either way. So Georgia Tech, after that

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Speaker 2: win against Florida State, catching a touchdown seven to seven

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Speaker 2: and a half at home, do you have any desire

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Speaker 2: to go and back the ramblin wreck here?

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Speaker 4: No, No Georgia Tech for me this week. I can

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Speaker 4: tell everybody loves Georgia Tech this week, not just by

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Speaker 4: ticket and money line and number of dollars bet, but

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Speaker 4: because I'm getting calls from friends, family, my grandmother. Georgia

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Speaker 4: Tech beat Florida State. Obviously they could beat Central Florida.

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Speaker 4: It's really kind of the theme for everybody. But you know,

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Speaker 4: let's break this down a little bit. Georgia Tech improved

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Speaker 4: pace of play. They were running twenty four seconds per play.

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Speaker 4: That's one second off of Miami with RTT Lashley and

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Speaker 4: Deer at King's Pace. So Georgia Tech, if they get

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Speaker 4: some success with Jeffson as the quarterback, and they can

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Speaker 4: start making points out of getting past the forty yard line,

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Speaker 4: out of finishing drives offensively, We've got ourselves a sneaky

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Speaker 4: over team that the odds makers may take a while

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Speaker 4: to catch up to. Now, obviously, this game at sixty

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Speaker 4: three sixty three and a half bet in GM. That's

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Speaker 4: up there for Georgia Tech game. But that's backed by

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Speaker 4: the fact that Central Florida plays the fastest pace in

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Speaker 4: the country and Hipel has made it, you know, very

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Speaker 4: clear that he always wants to be the fastest team

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Speaker 4: in the country. Jeff Simms for Georgia Tech last week

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Speaker 4: had five passes greater than fifteen yards. He went sixty

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Speaker 4: four success rate and standard downs. That's fantastic for a

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Speaker 4: Georgia Tech offense. Jeff Collins havoc defenses. He had it

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Speaker 4: at Temple as a head coach. He had it at

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Speaker 4: Florida as a defensive coordinator. Last week Georgia Tech six

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Speaker 4: tackles for loss, seven pass breakups, two forced bumbles. This

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Speaker 4: is a sandwich spot. They have Syracuse on deck. They're

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Speaker 4: one to zero in a acc play. Who knows, I

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Speaker 4: kind of agree with the stuff. When we talk about

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Speaker 4: do these kids have overlook I mean we're all just

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Speaker 4: trying to get caught up here, Like I mean, these

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Speaker 4: games would being announced two three days ahead. How am

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Speaker 4: I going to have overlooked next week when I when

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Speaker 4: this just got scheduled, Like, you know, I feel like

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Speaker 4: everything is day to day, and I bet the players

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Speaker 4: feel like that too. You know, one thing, on Central Florida,

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Speaker 4: they had more plays of thirty plus yards than anybody

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Speaker 4: in FBS last year in twenty nine. I think I'm

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Speaker 4: going to be backing the nights here. I don't like

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Speaker 4: backing teams on game one versus teams on game two.

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Speaker 4: It's a smaller wager, but I am backing Central Florida here.

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Speaker 4: I want to seven, not the seven and a half.

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Speaker 4: I actually make this game eleven and the ten players

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Speaker 4: that opted out for Central Florida. It was an offensive

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Speaker 4: lineman Dariel Mack Junior was big and third downs and

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Speaker 4: red zone opportunities. Other than that, Gabriel's back with all

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Speaker 4: of his weapons. The pace of play should be forrenetic.

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Speaker 4: So everything to me screams over and takes Central Florida.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and if there's conditioning issues and that game was

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Speaker 2: just a slugfest last week with Georgia Tech. Maybe you

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Speaker 2: see that in the second half or UCF can extend.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not sure if I'll get involved pregame unless

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Speaker 2: this goes under seven, but I might be looking UCF

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Speaker 2: live or second half where I am. I am making

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Speaker 2: an exception to my rule and being a hypocrite a

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Speaker 2: few different times this week taking teams on their first game.

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Speaker 2: One of them is against the letdown spot, and that's

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Speaker 2: Georgia State, which right now is plus sixteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: They're hosting in their season opener Louisiana Lafayette, and Louisiana

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Speaker 2: is coming off a huge win, one of their biggest

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Speaker 2: wins in program history, when they went up and stomped

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Speaker 2: at Iowa State. Number one. There's just value in this number.

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Speaker 2: I think you and I both make it around fourteen,

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Speaker 2: right so if you can get seventeen, there's just value

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Speaker 2: in the number right away. I actually was pretty high

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Speaker 2: on Georgia State coming into the year, very experienced team.

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Speaker 2: They lost Dan Allington, but you know, Quad Brown is

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Speaker 2: dual threat quarterback. He's got a cannon of an arm.

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Speaker 2: He can run and they bring everybody back. Everybody else

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Speaker 2: on that offense back all of his weapons for offensive lineman.

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Speaker 2: Number twelve rushing offense in the nation last year, record

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Speaker 2: setting offense. They just have to replace the quarterback, and

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Speaker 2: I think Quad Brown is capable enough to come in

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Speaker 2: and step in for Ellington. On the defense, the defense

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Speaker 2: was awful last year, really bad. But they bring almost

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Speaker 2: everyone back. They had nine starters back. They bring in

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Speaker 2: a couple trans first to help. So I think it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be a defense that's improved. ULL. Like I just

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Speaker 2: after that huge win, I mean they're crying after the game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's just it's gonna be hard for them

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Speaker 2: to avoid a letdown against Georgia State. Add On to that,

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Speaker 2: just the number has value. I think maybe as a

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Speaker 2: result of that win last week, But if you dig

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Speaker 2: into that, into that win, I think it said more

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Speaker 2: about Iowa State, who does get off the slow starts

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Speaker 2: and has these just clunkers every year. Last week, ULL

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Speaker 2: got two turnovers a kick return for a touchdown and

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Speaker 2: they won thirty one to fourteen despite being out gained

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Speaker 2: three hundred and three to two seventy two, So they

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Speaker 2: only had two hundred and seventy yards. Iowa State was

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Speaker 2: also one for three on fourth down. I mean, Iowa

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Speaker 2: State should have lost to an FCS school to start

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Speaker 2: the year last year when they didn't go for two.

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Speaker 2: So I mean, I think it just said more about

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Speaker 2: Iowa State and their inability to get off to fast

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Speaker 2: starts before b October. So Georgia State. Also, the strength

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Speaker 2: of that defense is their linebackers, which I think will

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Speaker 2: play against the ul rushing attack, which is what they

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Speaker 2: want to do on offense. So give me the seventeen

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Speaker 2: here with the Panthers in their in their home open

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Speaker 2: are a little nervous that it's the first game of

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Speaker 2: the year, but it's a really experienced team, an experienced staff.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of continuity there, which gives me a

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Speaker 2: little more confidence.

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Speaker 4: Do you agree, Yeah, I one hundred percent back everything

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Speaker 4: you're saying. And let me go a little bit deeper.

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Speaker 4: I mean, ULL was backed by the fact they had

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Speaker 4: two special teams touchdowns, so that's you know, there's just

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Speaker 4: a huge discrepancy, And I went a little bit deeper.

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Speaker 4: On the offensive line, the craziest discrepancies I've ever seen.

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Speaker 4: They had five offensive linemen with over nine hundred snaps

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Speaker 4: and then they had like four other offensive linemen that

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Speaker 4: had like sixty snaps. Now, of those five offensive linemen

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Speaker 4: that had nine hundred snaps last year, one of them

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Speaker 4: their college time expired. So they returned four offensive linemen

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Speaker 4: that had at least nine hundred plays under their belt.

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Speaker 4: So if you're going to stick a freshman quarterback, but

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Speaker 4: you know now that Dan the man Ellington is gone.

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Speaker 4: I think he's on the coaching staff. But you know,

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Speaker 4: if you're going to stick a freshman quarterback, this is

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Speaker 4: the offensive line you want to do it. Stuck's right,

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Speaker 4: eighty three percent of the d comes back for the

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Speaker 4: Panthers one hundred and tenth and success story not good,

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Speaker 4: you know. Ull I would say this should be a layup,

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Speaker 4: but we've seen Georgia State do things before Tennessee. They

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Speaker 4: have a good, strong offensive line, plenty experienced. They get

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Speaker 4: everything back on defense. Although it may not be quality,

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Speaker 4: it's sundult quality. So yeah, I agree, this line I

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Speaker 4: have at I think fourteen fourteen and a half, So yeah,

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Speaker 4: seventeen is where I would want to play it. If

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Speaker 4: I play it, it's I think this is one of

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Speaker 4: those Saturday morning is the steam going to come in

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Speaker 4: and if it is, give me that inflated number.

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Speaker 2: Fair enough, hobby on, George, I'm already on your to

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Speaker 2: State plus seventeen. So let's hope Quad bron can get

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Speaker 2: it done. All right. The last spot that I wanted

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Speaker 2: to talk about today, we have to talk about the

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Speaker 2: method of voicemails. We got reminder of voicemail. Go to

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Speaker 2: my Twitter profile stucky to call all weekend bitch moon

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Speaker 2: cry yell about any games you bet or we liked

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Speaker 2: or didn't like, and let up the voicemail. For Monday's

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Speaker 2: podcast episode, we gotta talk to meat Meat UTSA meat

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Speaker 2: Meat came through Colin for you and a lot of

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Speaker 2: our listeners and Action app followers. They ended up winning

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Speaker 2: fifty one forty eight and overtime over the Bobs over

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Speaker 2: Texas State. Now they welcome in Steven F. Austin and

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Speaker 2: after that big win, you know next week they host Memphis.

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Speaker 2: So this game is and that's on Friday night, I believe, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: Memphis on Friday night is what that game a schedule for?

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Speaker 2: So Steven F. Austin in between, it's hey, are they

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Speaker 2: really going to get up for this game? Is it?

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Speaker 2: An emotional letdown. Our projection at Action Network is eleven

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Speaker 2: and a half. You can find them. I think I've

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Speaker 2: seen them out there around Utsa around a little over

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Speaker 2: two touchdown favorites. Are you going back to your meet

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Speaker 2: met boys or are you fading them this week? What

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Speaker 2: are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 4: I love Utsa. You know, that was a great game

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Speaker 4: last week. It was a game in which I got

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Speaker 4: a little bit nervous with all the units and the

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Speaker 4: money that I had, you know, the commas in my

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Speaker 4: bet size that I had down on meat meat last week.

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Speaker 4: So I got nervous, and around the early third quarter

385
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Speaker 4: I put a moneyline bed in on Texas State and

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Speaker 4: plus six fifty and if that kicker, what if it

387
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Speaker 4: is pat, I'd hit both sides of it, But I digress.

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Speaker 4: UTSA didn't go to overtime and blow it for everybody,

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Speaker 4: which is good news as far as this week goes,

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Speaker 4: Utsa showed us that they are a heavy, heavy rush team.

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Speaker 4: They're gonna be one of the heaviest rush teams in

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Speaker 4: the country. I think they're going to be rushing out

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Speaker 4: of passing downs plenty. You know, this overtime victory with

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Speaker 4: Memphis on deck. We don't know if they're gonna be

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Speaker 4: able to get up for it. You know, Stephen F.

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Speaker 4: Austin is on a two week break. This isn't their

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Speaker 4: first game. They're on a two week break after a

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Speaker 4: ten point lost to UTAP after they led the game

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Speaker 4: fourteen to three. UTIP had some pocus pocus circus shit

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Speaker 4: go on to get them that win. But Stephen Austin,

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Speaker 4: they're just they're dreadful. They were terrible in that game

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Speaker 4: against the UTIP. Their average starting field position was the

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Speaker 4: sixteen yard line. They had two turnovers, They had minus

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Speaker 4: one eighty nine hidden yards, which is your starting field

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Speaker 4: position in penalties. I think the game is gonna go

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Speaker 4: under Stephen F. Austin scoring points. Good luck with that

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Speaker 4: UTSA heavy rush attack, and I only get six days

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Speaker 4: prepared to host Memphis a huge game. I think this

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Speaker 4: is going to be more than the sixty three percent

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Speaker 4: threshold rush percentage of the TSA has. I think they're

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Speaker 4: just gonna run the ball all night. So for me,

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Speaker 4: that tends to be under fair enough.

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Speaker 2: I will have to dig into that because you make

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Speaker 2: a compelling case. All right, now it's time to move

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Speaker 2: to our marquee games of the weekend. It's another fabulous

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Speaker 2: weekend of college football.

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Speaker 4: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

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Speaker 1: We'll all end up betting for week three.

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Speaker 2: Before we get to these. One of the things that

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Speaker 2: I that we're going to put up eventually on the

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Speaker 2: Accent maybe this weekend, working with some of our editors

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Speaker 2: to do it, is a running log just that you

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Speaker 2: can check PERI actually throughout the weekend during the day

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Speaker 2: on Saturday, teams that have announced that players will be

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Speaker 2: out via for COVID, you know, maybe linked to like

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Speaker 2: local stories like twenty players are out this many starters,

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Speaker 2: which I think will provide I had a lot of

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Speaker 2: utility on the Action Network out, so keep your eye

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Speaker 2: out for that. I mean. One of them that happened

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Speaker 2: this week was Charlotte and shout out to the person

431
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 2: who knows who they are. They got into by DMS

432
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,399
Speaker 2: earlier in the week and they were like, I know

433
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 2: someone on the team, Reynolds was already out there starting quarterback.

434
00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:17,399
Speaker 2: They were like, the backup quarterback is going to be

435
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 2: out for COVID. Their offensive linemen are all going to

436
00:21:20,359 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 2: be out. So I was waiting and I was going

437
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:23,840
Speaker 2: to hit team to it, but the game got canceled,

438
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 2: So I appreciate that person reaching out though, and that

439
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 2: line is moving ahead of time. Again, this stuff is

440
00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:29,320
Speaker 2: getting out.

441
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:31,439
Speaker 4: I think what's interesting about that is the story that

442
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,920
Speaker 4: I read is that if Charlotte didn't cancel that game

443
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 4: when they did, next week's game would have been canceled too.

444
00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 4: So I think we're going to see a lot of

445
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:42,239
Speaker 4: this COVID news pop on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday night

446
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,960
Speaker 4: and Thursday morning decisions of canceling games, So that doesn't

447
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:46,720
Speaker 4: have a seven day layover into the next week. So

448
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 4: I think we're going to be living with this for

449
00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 4: the rest of the year anyways. Just that's how this

450
00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 4: stuff is happening.

451
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:54,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's a great point, all right, But let's

452
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 2: move in to just keep that in mind that when

453
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 2: we're talking about these games, if there's a big line

454
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:02,399
Speaker 2: move after you've listened to it, it might be COVID related.

455
00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:04,439
Speaker 2: So the news is gonna be key all year. But

456
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,879
Speaker 2: let's move into our first marquee game of the weekend,

457
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,280
Speaker 2: and that is an acc battle between Syracuse and Pitt.

458
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,919
Speaker 2: Syracuse will travel to pit at bet MGM. Right now,

459
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:15,880
Speaker 2: Pitt is a twenty one and a half point favorite

460
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:20,160
Speaker 2: over under sitting at forty nine and the half. I've

461
00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 2: already played this under, I've talked about I think under

462
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,679
Speaker 2: fifty one, fifty one and a half. I still like

463
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:28,919
Speaker 2: it a forty nine and a half. Look, we talked

464
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 2: about Syracuse's offense. It is just dreadful. I mean, Tommy

465
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:39,920
Speaker 2: DeVito is just not it. Their offensive line is awful.

466
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:42,360
Speaker 2: They were starting like a fullback. Wut it changed numbers

467
00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 2: to play guard. And they went up against a UNC

468
00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:48,760
Speaker 2: defensive line, which is not its strength, it's its weakness

469
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,639
Speaker 2: of its defense, and they still couldn't do anything divida

470
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 2: through for one hundred and twelve yards on thirty one attempts.

471
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:56,840
Speaker 2: You know, this Cracuse team they lolsto their top two backs. Also,

472
00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 2: you know, it's it's just miserable. I mean, in that game,

473
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 2: Syracuse had two hundred and two total yards on seventy

474
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,960
Speaker 2: three plays, two point eight yards per play. And Sarah

475
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 2: and UNC is not known for their defense. Guess who is?

476
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,800
Speaker 2: Pitt is known for their defense. They have an excellent

477
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:17,119
Speaker 2: defensive line, they have NFL talent in the secondary. So

478
00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 2: I don't know how Syracuse Syracus put up six points

479
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 2: versus UNC. Yeah, they got some rust out, but they're

480
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 2: going against a much superior defense here with the Pitt Panthers,

481
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 2: with NFL talent on that defensive roster up front in

482
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 2: the back. I like this under here. You like anything

483
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:35,720
Speaker 2: here I do.

484
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 4: I like the under along with you. I haven't played

485
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:41,119
Speaker 4: it because fifty is my threshold. So if you didn't

486
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 4: get fifty one vet MGM right now is a forty

487
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 4: nine and a half, that would be my absolute threshold

488
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,760
Speaker 4: of where I would play this too, because you're really

489
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 4: just a special team screw up away from losing that bet.

490
00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 4: And to further Stuck's point, you know, boy, Syracuse and

491
00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 4: this offense is pretty bad, and you know they they

492
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:03,399
Speaker 4: had the cover on you and see until you know,

493
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,639
Speaker 4: Sam Hell came alive in the second half of that game.

494
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 4: We should expect to see more of that from Sam.

495
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 4: How you know, Like I said, I project this at fifty.

496
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:13,679
Speaker 4: But the thing that's kind of got me all eyeballs

497
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,399
Speaker 4: on this game, and maybe not a whole bunch of

498
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 4: money on this game is that Pitt ran a play

499
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 4: every thirty three seconds last week against Austin Pe and

500
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:27,359
Speaker 4: that is by far the slowest. I thought my eyes

501
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 4: were receiving me. Yeah, I thought my eyes were deceiving

502
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 4: me when the calculation came out, and then I went

503
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:33,880
Speaker 4: and looked through the play log. We're running the ball

504
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:35,640
Speaker 4: like crazy in the second half because we're up forty

505
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,480
Speaker 4: two to zero. So is Pitt actually the slow under

506
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 4: Mark Whipple or is it a result of the fact

507
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 4: that they got up huge early in the game and

508
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:44,920
Speaker 4: they just wanted to burn clock. At the end of

509
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 4: the second quarter, they were in garbage time immediately before

510
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 4: anybody could get some lunch. I think the one thing

511
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 4: that backs up stucks under is the Syracuse three three five,

512
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,119
Speaker 4: and we talked about this last week with North Carolina.

513
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 4: It can give quarterbacks a different look. It can you

514
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:02,800
Speaker 4: can you can discus coverage. Some quarterbacks can't pick that up.

515
00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 4: What's important from the pit side is is I went

516
00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:08,720
Speaker 4: through all the game logs from twenty nineteen. The only

517
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,919
Speaker 4: time anybody played three three five against them was Ohio

518
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 4: and third downs.

519
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 2: That's it.

520
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 4: Nobody else on the schedule played at three three five

521
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 4: went through twenty eighteen. I got about five games into

522
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,720
Speaker 4: twenty eighteen. I still couldn't find a team that played

523
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:23,479
Speaker 4: a three three five. So for all intentsive purposes, this

524
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 4: is the first time Whipple is coaching a quarterback at

525
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 4: Pitt that is seen a three to three five defense.

526
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,959
Speaker 4: So you know, for me, uh, I agree completely one

527
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 4: hundred percent. Syracuses has zero explosiveness on their offensive side

528
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,160
Speaker 4: of the ball. The three three five actually limited North

529
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 4: Carolina's explosiveness. You know, they did go above national average,

530
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 4: but in North Carolina's average of explosive drives, you know,

531
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:47,200
Speaker 4: they were actually limited to what they did last year.

532
00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,719
Speaker 4: So I agree with Stuck that this is an undergame. Uh,

533
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 4: Pitt's gonna get a little confused. Maybe a first half

534
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 4: under is a better number because of the three three

535
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:58,120
Speaker 4: five element. Again, but Syracuse is not going to contribute

536
00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,600
Speaker 4: to this and really just screw up on special teams

537
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:01,800
Speaker 4: is what's going to burn this number.

538
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,639
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean Pitt did have Mac was out last

539
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,400
Speaker 2: week a receiver, so maybe they just weren't throwing as much.

540
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 2: I think they ideally want to throw up, but maybe

541
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 2: our doozy doesn't, so maybe they're going to run it more.

542
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,880
Speaker 2: Syrakese wants to go. We're very fast. I just think

543
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:16,479
Speaker 2: that no matter how fast they go, They're not going

544
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:18,920
Speaker 2: to do anything. There's also some excellent safeties in this game.

545
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:21,919
Speaker 2: Syracuse is a potential All American safety and Pitt has

546
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 2: one of the best pairs of safeties in the country.

547
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 2: Keep your eye on and Hamlin in Paris Ford and

548
00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 2: excellent safety will play in the NFL, so keep your

549
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:32,480
Speaker 2: eye on them. I just I just don't know what

550
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 2: Syracuse can do on offense with that offensive line. I

551
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 2: know Twyman who's an NFL cowl player opted out for Pip.

552
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 2: The defensive line is still excellent, the secondary's excellent. This

553
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:45,160
Speaker 2: is a better defense than UNC and Syracuse looked lost

554
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 2: agains you would he couldn't do anything, So give me

555
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:51,719
Speaker 2: the under here. Let's move on to our second marquee

556
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:54,159
Speaker 2: game of the day, and that is Houston at Baylor

557
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,399
Speaker 2: at bet MGM. This line is Baylor minus three and

558
00:26:56,440 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 2: a half over under sixty two. I personally love Houston

559
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 2: in this spot. What this matchup means to me is

560
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:08,800
Speaker 2: I have a team that I want to ride early

561
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 2: on in the year on the top of my bed

562
00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,840
Speaker 2: on list in Houston. They're taking on a team in

563
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 2: Baylor that I want to fade early on. Baylor new

564
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:20,880
Speaker 2: coaching staff, a lot of turnover, especially on the defensive

565
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 2: side of the ball. You know, they lost they lost

566
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 2: a Big twelve defensive player of the year up front

567
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 2: of their on their off their edge. They lost an

568
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:31,199
Speaker 2: All American safety and Arnold. The defenses are placing a

569
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 2: ton and going through a complete, complete, one pint eighty.

570
00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 2: As far as scheme, there's a lot of change on

571
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 2: Bailor and I'm looking to fade teams that are going

572
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,119
Speaker 2: through a lot of change after a short and summer,

573
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,359
Speaker 2: especially on the defensive side of the ball. The offensive

574
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 2: line still has questions. H Breweries back, so you haven't

575
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 2: experienced quarterback. There's some town on the outside. But you

576
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 2: do lose Mims, their best receiver to the NFL. And

577
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:55,399
Speaker 2: it wasn't the offense that carried Baylor last year was

578
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:58,639
Speaker 2: the defense, and that defense is completely rebuilt. On the

579
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,359
Speaker 2: other side of the ball, Houston last year was basically

580
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 2: a lost season. They started off one in three after

581
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 2: a heartbreaking loss to Tulane. You know, then they had

582
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 2: guys like Derek King, They had their senior wide receiver

583
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,960
Speaker 2: decide to red shirt, and there was a couple other

584
00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 2: guys that red shirt, and those first four games were

585
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 2: in eighteen days. The team was gassed, and then there

586
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,080
Speaker 2: was injuries as a result of that, and they red

587
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:23,119
Speaker 2: shirt and they basically used the rest of the season.

588
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 2: There was no postseason aspirations to prepare for this year,

589
00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:30,600
Speaker 2: and they bring a lot of experience back. Clayton Tune

590
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 2: got seven games in in Dana Holgerson's air raid. All

591
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:37,159
Speaker 2: of his weapons come back. His top two backs, you

592
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 2: know his receivers lookout for Stevens are both at wide

593
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:42,920
Speaker 2: receiver and in the return game. He's electric. And you know,

594
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 2: the offensive line had a ton of injuries last year,

595
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,320
Speaker 2: guys moving all around. That experience should payoff this year.

596
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:53,360
Speaker 2: The defense, they brought in some really good transfers Power

597
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,720
Speaker 2: five transfers that are gonna help right away at quarter,

598
00:28:56,840 --> 00:29:01,080
Speaker 2: in safety, and their defense is very deep in experienced.

599
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 2: So while the defense wasn't good last year, I think

600
00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 2: it's going to be much improved this year. So this

601
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:09,640
Speaker 2: is Houston team I think was everything was, hey, let's

602
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 2: get ready for twenty twenty last year, which is why

603
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 2: I think there's some value. I think Baylor, living on

604
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 2: its name a little bit, is going to struggle. I

605
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 2: like Houston to win this game. I make it closer

606
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 2: to a point flip. Maybe I'm way too low on

607
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 2: Baylor and too high on Houston, but things are lining

608
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 2: up here for me. So give me Houston.

609
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:28,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, and let me add to your point, because I

610
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 4: don't have a play in this game. But I don't,

611
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 4: you know, I kind of I've warmed up to the Houston,

612
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,240
Speaker 4: Like the last thirty six hours when you start realizing

613
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 4: what teams that did have spring practices are doing against

614
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 4: teams that didn't have spring practices. Houston eight spring practices

615
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,080
Speaker 4: before everything got canceled off seventy three percent of their

616
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,000
Speaker 4: offense returning ninety three percent of their defense returning, Baylor

617
00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:53,960
Speaker 4: zero spring practices. David Randon didn't even live in Waco

618
00:29:54,080 --> 00:29:57,520
Speaker 4: untill like July, so it was a zoom team for

619
00:29:57,600 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 4: quite a while. New schemes on both sides of the

620
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 4: thirty two percent returning production on defense, Baylor has the

621
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 4: ingredients to be a game one flop. Houston has the

622
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 4: ingredients to be a game one play on against the spread.

623
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 4: The problem is is these teams just scheduled each other

624
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 4: a couple of days ago, right, I mean, we've had

625
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 4: no time who's treating this as a scrimmage, who's treating

626
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 4: this as a glorified practice? Who is you know, saving

627
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 4: gonna give you three series an NFL exhibition game where

628
00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 4: Rogers gets like three series and then you're gonna sit.

629
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 4: I mean, it's all by the seat of your pants.

630
00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 4: But to Stuck's point, Houston is the play from a

631
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 4: continuity standpoint. And I can tell you right now that

632
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 4: there's not that many tickets on Houston, but there is

633
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,960
Speaker 4: a shit ton of money. So I mean there's definitely

634
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:48,520
Speaker 4: people that are in the know and that like to

635
00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 4: get money down early in the week and are sharper

636
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 4: pay attention to these things. They completely agree they have

637
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:56,920
Speaker 4: the same opinion as Stuck. So I will probably ride

638
00:30:56,960 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 4: with you on this.

639
00:30:57,880 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, Baylor was a team, like I said, defense for

640
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,520
Speaker 2: they lost nine of their top eleven tacklers and they're

641
00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:05,360
Speaker 2: going through a scheme change. I think Houston is much

642
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 2: more ready for this game. This game is much more

643
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 2: important for them. Well you know, well, I think Iran

644
00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 2: is just trying to all right, let me get this

645
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 2: team to where I want it to be. And you know,

646
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 2: they need they need to get some time to practice

647
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 2: this scheme and implement new things and bring new players in.

648
00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,160
Speaker 2: And I know William Bradley King and Arkansas State transfer

649
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 2: will help off the edge. But other than that, this

650
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 2: defense is all brand new. So you know, give me

651
00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:31,960
Speaker 2: Houston going what two hundred miles to Waco on a

652
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 2: team that just has a ton of experience, and I

653
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,360
Speaker 2: think the offensive line is gonna be better. And sixteen

654
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 2: of the top seventeen tacklers returned for Houston for their

655
00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 2: four two five days, sixteen to the top seventeen. And

656
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,080
Speaker 2: they have Geovanni Stort who's coming in. Is gonna start

657
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:50,600
Speaker 2: at nickel from West he started West Virginia before. They

658
00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:53,120
Speaker 2: have Marcus Jones is going to start it outside corner

659
00:31:53,600 --> 00:31:57,719
Speaker 2: he transferred from Troy. Lookout for Marquez Stevenson. He's this

660
00:31:57,760 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 2: week's Jay.

661
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 4: Adams, a most electrifying player in college football.

662
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 2: Just go John Adams. That is an unbelievable catch. That

663
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:09,600
Speaker 2: is like Obi j Holder.

664
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 4: This time.

665
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 2: You was a plot James posting up. Stop it. This

666
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 2: is not real. This kid is amazing. He's gonna have

667
00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 2: huge players. He's gonna help me pull off this upset. Unfortunately,

668
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:31,160
Speaker 2: can't bet on Arkansas State because their game got postponed.

669
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:33,840
Speaker 4: Another thing too, his Holderson is he knows how to

670
00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 4: prepare a team to travel into Waco and play there,

671
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 4: so that's another advantage for them.

672
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 2: Good point.

673
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 1: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

674
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 1: want to make sure you know about the locked On

675
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:46,160
Speaker 1: podcast network. Locked On has a daily podcast on your

676
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 1: favorite team.

677
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:49,200
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

678
00:32:49,200 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 2: own of the Dallas marriage. Can everybody to the Lockdown

679
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 2: Lakers podcast? Let's Go?

680
00:32:53,240 --> 00:32:56,200
Speaker 1: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

681
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 1: know your team better than anyone and give you the

682
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 1: inside scoop. So go to your app and search locked

683
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:05,800
Speaker 1: On your favorite team, subscribe to your locked On podcast.

684
00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to our final Marquee game

685
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 2: of the weekend. This one will be on Prime Time

686
00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:18,200
Speaker 2: Miami at Louisville. It's probably the game of the weekend,

687
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 2: the game that will get the most attention and I

688
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 2: think most viewership, and rightfully so, there's a lot of

689
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 2: talent on both sides of the ball. Louisville now is

690
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 2: a two and a half point favorite at bet MGM

691
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 2: over under sixty four and a half look Louisville is

692
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:34,959
Speaker 2: an explosive offense. Last week they really dominated Western Kentucky,

693
00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:38,400
Speaker 2: who had drives of one, three and like thirty four

694
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,600
Speaker 2: three head of monster on that Louisville offense. We know

695
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,920
Speaker 2: Derek kings now in Miami, and Miami wants to go fast,

696
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 2: super fast. I think there's gonna be lots of points.

697
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,240
Speaker 2: I think this pace is going to be flying. I've

698
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:54,200
Speaker 2: played some over sixty four just because of that.

699
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:56,960
Speaker 4: What do you think this is the biggest game of

700
00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 4: the week. I mean, it's the Marquee game. It's everything

701
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 4: I want Miami desperately at three. This is two explosive

702
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 4: quarterbacks in King and Cunningham. This is two quarterbacks that

703
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,839
Speaker 4: can have breakaway speed, can make defenses flinch, and can

704
00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 4: take off. So let's break it down to what each

705
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:15,439
Speaker 4: team has already done and see if there's some sort

706
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 4: of angle. So Miami had a forty five percent success

707
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 4: rate in passing downs against UAB. That's unheard of in

708
00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 4: previous years. Miami can't do that in passing downs. They've

709
00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:24,759
Speaker 4: been terrible quarterback. But you're going to give them a

710
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 4: forty five percent success rate in passing downs. And by

711
00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,800
Speaker 4: the way, UAB is not a bad defense. They're havoc

712
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 4: minded and Miami looked fine, kind of disposed of him.

713
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,400
Speaker 4: Miami's explosive drive rate thirty one percent. You want to

714
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:39,560
Speaker 4: know a team that's explosive, look at their explosive drive

715
00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 4: rate thirty one percent. That thirty one percent may not

716
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:45,600
Speaker 4: mean anything, but consider the national average for explosive drives

717
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 4: is twelve percent, more than two and a half times

718
00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:52,360
Speaker 4: of the explosive drive percentage. Louisville explosive drive rate is

719
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,879
Speaker 4: seventy percent above national average. Is not as great. Three

720
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 4: offensive lineman last week put up a zero percent and

721
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 4: beaten off the block against Western Kentucky. This is a

722
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,160
Speaker 4: good offensive line again. To me, this game is.

723
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:04,359
Speaker 2: About Western the top twenty defense last year.

724
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 4: Oh shit, yeahs right, I think you were seventeen. Really

725
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 4: good on Louisville's they're still running steamrolling people. This game,

726
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 4: to me, is about limiting explosive plays. UAB had zero

727
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 4: explosive drives against Miami. Now, there was some plays that

728
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 4: busted loose, but an explosive drive is defined by averaging

729
00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:25,279
Speaker 4: ten yards per play in a drive. Western Kentucky had

730
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:28,040
Speaker 4: two hundred and twenty two hidden yards on Louisville. Like

731
00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 4: I said before, that's based on starting field position and

732
00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 4: penalty yards. Western Kentucky was forty five percent success rate

733
00:35:36,080 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 4: and passing downs. Does that sound familiar? Miami just went

734
00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 4: forty success rate and passing downs. Western Kentucky's offense was

735
00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 4: able to do that against Louisville. What does that tell me?

736
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:48,799
Speaker 4: The Deira King is going to be able to sit

737
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 4: back on a third and nine, on a second and

738
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 4: eight and assess, and if it's a bus to play

739
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 4: and he needs to take off, he's going to be

740
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 4: home free. It's a little bit different for the Kynes defense.

741
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 4: Cunning Him contained a twenty five point loss last year.

742
00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 4: Diaz had different faces. Manny Diaz, head coach of Miami.

743
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:09,640
Speaker 4: He had different faces on defense, but still he knew

744
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 4: how to teach them to make open field tackles. On Cunningham,

745
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:16,279
Speaker 4: I think Cunningham was minus ten yards. I know their

746
00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,520
Speaker 4: sacks are in there. He had a long of seventeen,

747
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 4: but overall he was minus ten yards. Miami defense was

748
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,480
Speaker 4: all over him. So Miami finally has a stable punter.

749
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 4: They had him last year. Now they have a stable kicker.

750
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:31,799
Speaker 4: Transfer Bora Galley's one for one on his field goals

751
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 4: four for four on his pats. For me, I love

752
00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 4: that I'm getting the better special teams, but I think

753
00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 4: I'm getting the more explosive quarterback that is going to

754
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:44,040
Speaker 4: expose the defense in passing downs with Miami and deerra

755
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 4: King give it to me all day. If I can

756
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,000
Speaker 4: get that three, it's going to be a very large

757
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:48,960
Speaker 4: play coming through the action.

758
00:36:49,040 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 2: App Yeah, I still have questions about one of the reasons.

759
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:55,440
Speaker 2: I don't mind find this over here. I know Miami's

760
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:58,240
Speaker 2: going to go fast. I think I don't think Miami

761
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 2: is going to shut down, and I think Miami is

762
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 2: going to score on the Louisville's defense. And I know

763
00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:06,960
Speaker 2: UAB didn't do anything. There was opportunities there and U

764
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:08,840
Speaker 2: A B. If you go back and watch that game,

765
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 2: they had about nine or ten illegal formation penalties. I mean,

766
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 2: I'm not even kidding. It was like eight or nine

767
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 2: illegal formation, illegal shift on like first and second down.

768
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:22,960
Speaker 2: They were way behind the sticks. Miami knew what was

769
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:27,240
Speaker 2: coming in passing downs, and it just it was an awful, awful,

770
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 2: sloppy performance by UAB. So I didn't come away really

771
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:33,759
Speaker 2: impressed with the Miami defense, which I which does have

772
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:36,400
Speaker 2: some questions, But the Miami I know that Miami offense

773
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 2: is gonna fly. Uh. They lastly in a company, they

774
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:41,720
Speaker 2: want to go fast. So you make a great case.

775
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:43,680
Speaker 2: I'll be on the over. Maybe I'll join you if

776
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 2: it gets to three the U all right, So that

777
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:49,959
Speaker 2: wraps up our marquee games of the week. It's time

778
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,320
Speaker 2: to get to the best of the rest. We'll start

779
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 2: out with a game that I love and hopefully gets

780
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:03,160
Speaker 2: played in Flow Atlantic catching now one and a half

781
00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:07,640
Speaker 2: at Georgia Southern at MGM right now over under forty

782
00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 2: seven and a half. I played Georgia Southern money line

783
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,840
Speaker 2: and plus three and a half. I made them a

784
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,000
Speaker 2: favorite before all these questions with FAU. They missed. There

785
00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:20,360
Speaker 2: was a missed practice on Tuesday due to COVID outbreak.

786
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 2: Who knows what's gonna happen here. Also, you have to

787
00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 2: remember Georgia Southern, who just beat camel by one last week.

788
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:30,400
Speaker 2: They had thirty three players out for that game, including

789
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 2: eight starters. That includes they're all conference running back Wesley Kennedy,

790
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:39,360
Speaker 2: They're All Conference safety Kendrick Duncan. Their best player on defense, CJ.

791
00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 2: Wright their nose guard is like the key to their defense,

792
00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 2: and eight starters overall, so you know, I don't take

793
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 2: too much from that. Georgia Southern really struggled last year

794
00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 2: on the offensive line, but they bring everyone back on

795
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 2: the offensive line. They addressed their center woes, they snap

796
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:58,719
Speaker 2: problems with a transfer. They bring everyone back on that

797
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:00,400
Speaker 2: offense one hundred percent of their rushing yards and that

798
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:03,080
Speaker 2: triple option offense. So I think they're gonna be fine

799
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,239
Speaker 2: assuming that all these players come back, which from what

800
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 2: I read, there was only one positive test and was

801
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:11,200
Speaker 2: more tracing related, So I think that they will be

802
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 2: back for this game, and Florida Atlantic actually has way

803
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 2: more uncertainty. Georgia Southern has also already played a game,

804
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:21,319
Speaker 2: which we've talked about even if they had thirty three

805
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,719
Speaker 2: players out, well, Florida Atlantic hasn't, and they're missing practices

806
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:26,800
Speaker 2: the week of a game that they have to prepare

807
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:31,399
Speaker 2: for a triple option. Take move all that away. FA

808
00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:32,840
Speaker 2: is a team I wanted to fade early on in

809
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,280
Speaker 2: the season. Anyway, Lane Kiffin left, they brought him Willie

810
00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 2: Taggart as a new head coach. You know, he takes

811
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:40,319
Speaker 2: over to that won its conference last year. But there's

812
00:39:40,320 --> 00:39:45,359
Speaker 2: a ton of turnover. Chris Robison, their quarterback, who may

813
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:46,799
Speaker 2: have been the conference player of the year, he's gone.

814
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 2: He got booted off the team. I think he got

815
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 2: booted off of Oklahoma a couple of years ago as well,

816
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:53,799
Speaker 2: So I don't know what's going on with him. But

817
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 2: former Indiana who's your Nick Trotty won the job. He

818
00:39:57,040 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 2: does have a loaded backfield, he's got town on the outside. However,

819
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:02,040
Speaker 2: they lost the top receiver, they lost their tight end to

820
00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:05,520
Speaker 2: the NFL, and they lost two all conference offensive linemen,

821
00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:09,839
Speaker 2: so you expect some growing pains on the offense. Then

822
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 2: let's move to the defensive side. Jim Levitt takes over

823
00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:15,839
Speaker 2: the defense. He's going to move them from a four

824
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:19,720
Speaker 2: man front to his vintage three to four defense, and

825
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:24,480
Speaker 2: there's a ton of turnover here. Seven of their top

826
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:29,120
Speaker 2: eight tacklers from the defensive line are gone. Let's move

827
00:40:29,160 --> 00:40:32,560
Speaker 2: the to linebackers, pretty important against the triple option. Well,

828
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:35,720
Speaker 2: the two best linebackers, the three best linebackers are gone.

829
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:39,799
Speaker 2: Rashot Smith graduated. Lee Roy who was suspended for the

830
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:42,799
Speaker 2: bowl game. Who's one of their best linebackers. He's been

831
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:47,360
Speaker 2: ruled ineligible and Barnwell hit the transfer portal. So you

832
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:49,799
Speaker 2: know then they also have an inexperienced secondary. So this

833
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,640
Speaker 2: defense moving to a new scheme no practice this week

834
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 2: lost everything in their front seven trying to play this

835
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 2: triple option the FAU defense. Also, you want to have

836
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:02,879
Speaker 2: a regression candidate. FAU. Last year they led the nation

837
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:07,799
Speaker 2: in takeaways and turnovers. They so much fumble luck, so

838
00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:11,200
Speaker 2: much interception luck. You can expect the regress a monster

839
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:14,719
Speaker 2: to come for them. So Georgia Southern went healthy, a

840
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:16,799
Speaker 2: team that I think could take the next step this year,

841
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:19,360
Speaker 2: FAU going through a lot of changes, a lot of turnover.

842
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:23,440
Speaker 2: Now you have these COVID questions, assuming Fau's health, assuming

843
00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:25,759
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern's healthy, I love them.

844
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:29,240
Speaker 4: Here, I'm better tell you my finger was over the button.

845
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:30,799
Speaker 4: You got a great number. I saw it come through

846
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:33,360
Speaker 4: on the action app, which if you have not downloaded,

847
00:41:33,400 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 4: download and when we make bets, you'll be able to

848
00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:37,440
Speaker 4: see him right away. Stuck, you got a great number

849
00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:41,280
Speaker 4: on Georgia Southern. My finger was over the betting button.

850
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 4: But the problem was is I wanted to go through

851
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:45,560
Speaker 4: each one of the thirty three players and see how

852
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:48,479
Speaker 4: important they were to the team. Seemed like the entire

853
00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 4: town of Statesborough was out for contact tracing. The thirty

854
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,200
Speaker 4: three Georgia Southern players are out last week. Three of

855
00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:58,040
Speaker 4: them were in the top seven for tacklers for twenty nineteen,

856
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 4: So that would explain some of the success that Campbell

857
00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 4: probably had, especially the kind of quarterback they have. I

858
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:07,319
Speaker 4: agree with Stuck here. The problem is Florida Atlantic has

859
00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 4: just been all caught up in the COVID problem multiple times.

860
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 4: Stop practice in August. Stop didn't even that practice on

861
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:19,120
Speaker 4: Tuesday of this week. Florida Atlantic has had so many

862
00:42:19,160 --> 00:42:23,160
Speaker 4: COVID issues that leads me to wonder if how physical

863
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 4: they're being in their practices, how is the contact tracing going.

864
00:42:26,120 --> 00:42:29,360
Speaker 4: Are they doing a navy where some groups are with others.

865
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 4: Are they paired off into duos which I've seen some

866
00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:35,239
Speaker 4: practices do with some teams. There's just way too many

867
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:41,480
Speaker 4: question marks from a new coach, new coordinators, new quarterback. Tronty.

868
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 4: By the way, Redcherd Junior won that quarterback position over

869
00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:48,080
Speaker 4: three others, one of them being Willy Taggard Junior. So

870
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 4: if we get the quick cook here on Tronty, we

871
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:53,560
Speaker 4: basically Willy Taggard Junior running the running the under center here,

872
00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:56,920
Speaker 4: so to be, there was a ton of question marks.

873
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:59,920
Speaker 4: Are these players coming back for Georgia Southern. Florida Atlantic

874
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 4: is had as rough up about with COVID as Tulsa has,

875
00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:07,960
Speaker 4: So that's two things to keep your eye on. I

876
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,880
Speaker 4: do know that everybody is on this Georgia Southern number.

877
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:13,320
Speaker 4: That's why it's driven down. It's at minus two and

878
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:17,080
Speaker 4: a half at BETMGM right now. I would not be

879
00:43:17,160 --> 00:43:19,400
Speaker 4: surprised to see Georgia Southern is a one point favorite

880
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 4: comes Saturday morning. So if you got a good number,

881
00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 4: stick to it and hold on to it. I think

882
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:26,200
Speaker 4: Georgia Southern's going to have a lot more success with

883
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 4: the triple option. They're gona play a lot better defense,

884
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:30,479
Speaker 4: getting three of their top seven tacklers back from last year.

885
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 4: I mean, it really all depends on how many players

886
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:34,319
Speaker 4: FORID Atlantic has. We're not going to know until the

887
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:35,280
Speaker 4: owls hit the field.

888
00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:38,160
Speaker 2: I'm very confident in Georgia Southern area, and there's I

889
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 2: think much more variants on the Florida Laic side for

890
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 2: who can be out. So yeah, Georgia Southern's already one

891
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:46,160
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite at BETMGM.

892
00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:49,040
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903
00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:27,080
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904
00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:30,359
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Speaker 5: offer not available in Nevada. And now back to the show.

909
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:44,960
Speaker 2: All right, let's go rapid fire before we get to

910
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:47,480
Speaker 2: three and out. I'm gonna go through about four or

911
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,720
Speaker 2: five games. You give me one or two cents thoughts

912
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:53,840
Speaker 2: on them. Let's start with Navy at two A and

913
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 2: at BETMGM. Navy is a now a six and a

914
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:01,560
Speaker 2: half point underdog. Got to Tulane. We know Navy looked

915
00:45:01,600 --> 00:45:05,040
Speaker 2: awful in their first game. Couldn't even tackle BYU. We

916
00:45:05,120 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 2: know Tulane has seen the option a lot over the years.

917
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:10,279
Speaker 2: I think you have a nice looking middle here per

918
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:11,399
Speaker 2: the app. What do you see here?

919
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, the number came out Navy plus eight. I was

920
00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 4: happy to get on that because I knew it would

921
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:19,360
Speaker 4: drop because of what people would perceive to think that

922
00:45:19,440 --> 00:45:21,200
Speaker 4: Navy's going to get it back after two weeks and

923
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:24,880
Speaker 4: be physical. They just started padded practices six days ago.

924
00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 4: You can't really regain your physicality. Plus, they couldn't stop

925
00:45:28,600 --> 00:45:31,400
Speaker 4: BYU from jumping the gaps. And if you're playing triple

926
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 4: offsha football, you have to keep defenders out of your gaps.

927
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:38,160
Speaker 4: In er two lane. That defensive line dominated South Alabama

928
00:45:38,200 --> 00:45:41,200
Speaker 4: in the second half. They had twelve tackles for loss.

929
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 4: Two lanes. Defensive line is the reason that they were

930
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,000
Speaker 4: able to come back and win the second half twenty

931
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,399
Speaker 4: one to ten. I love two Lane's offense. It took

932
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:51,600
Speaker 4: them a half to get ready with Will Hall and

933
00:45:51,640 --> 00:45:54,319
Speaker 4: their offensive. You know, they had to. They were turned

934
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,040
Speaker 4: only thirty percent on offense, so it took them a

935
00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:58,239
Speaker 4: while to get it going. But the defensive line of

936
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:01,759
Speaker 4: two Lane is always in people's backfield, and that is

937
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 4: a bad formula for Navy football right now.

938
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're very familiar with the option, the triple option,

939
00:46:08,080 --> 00:46:11,360
Speaker 2: which they see every year and they've run like a

940
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 2: form of it in the past, the spread option to

941
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:16,880
Speaker 2: move only your a team in your backyard. But a

942
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:20,600
Speaker 2: lot of uncertainty. Tulsa traveling to Oak State Oak State

943
00:46:20,680 --> 00:46:22,640
Speaker 2: twenty three and a half point favorites at bet MGM.

944
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:24,760
Speaker 2: Lay it here with the Pokes or stay away.

945
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:26,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think you have to lay it here with

946
00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:28,080
Speaker 4: the Pokes. And I know some short people out in

947
00:46:28,160 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 4: Vegas that have been texting me saying, every time Tulsa

948
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:32,200
Speaker 4: gets to twenty four, I'm gonna go take a hit

949
00:46:32,239 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 4: on it. And that's true. Every time we've seen it

950
00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:36,120
Speaker 4: flicker at twenty four, it takes a hit, and that's

951
00:46:36,160 --> 00:46:39,080
Speaker 4: just because people are playing numbers. Tulsa has had a

952
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:41,239
Speaker 4: hell of a time, I mean a couple miles here

953
00:46:41,280 --> 00:46:43,400
Speaker 4: from my house, a hell of a time with COVID,

954
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,480
Speaker 4: stop practice multiple times in August. August twenty ninth was

955
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:51,800
Speaker 4: their first padded practice. That's crazy, and they've stopped practice

956
00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:55,080
Speaker 4: yet again. Since that August twenty ninth, they've had six

957
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:58,920
Speaker 4: padded practices. That's it for Tulsa. I don't know how

958
00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 4: you could be physical in this game. And let's take

959
00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:02,360
Speaker 4: a look at it from what they lose on the

960
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 4: defensive side of the ball. No player on this tu

961
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:08,279
Speaker 4: defense had more than two sacks or nine hurries. That

962
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 4: is a huge loss on the defensive side of the ball.

963
00:47:11,000 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 4: We know all about Oklahoma State. Gundhy's been bashing their

964
00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:16,239
Speaker 4: brains in he said to the media, to the Oklahoma

965
00:47:16,239 --> 00:47:18,279
Speaker 4: and he said, I want to play up tempo and

966
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:21,560
Speaker 4: I want to play physical. Listen, Tulsa has just had

967
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:23,279
Speaker 4: a really rough time with COVID, and I do not

968
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 4: think this is a spot to start getting contrariant.

969
00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:29,160
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna make everyone really angry here. After

970
00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:32,319
Speaker 2: the flop that we had on Middle Tennessee State in

971
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:35,440
Speaker 2: the opener against Army and they look like they never

972
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:38,040
Speaker 2: played football before. They've had two weeks to prepare. Now

973
00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 2: for Troy, TEAMO was a terrible defense if all their

974
00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:43,839
Speaker 2: weapons back but a new quarterback and gunner Watson, they

975
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:48,400
Speaker 2: lost their quarterback. Do we buy low on Middle Tennessee

976
00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:50,879
Speaker 2: State here catching over a field goal because I'm been

977
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:53,279
Speaker 2: very close to pulling the trigger many times. Are they

978
00:47:53,320 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 2: going to remember how to play football?

979
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,160
Speaker 4: You should play Middle Tennessee State plus three and a half.

980
00:47:58,200 --> 00:48:02,040
Speaker 4: This is a complete overreaction. I think what I want

981
00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:03,600
Speaker 4: to dive a little bit more into here in the

982
00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:05,600
Speaker 4: next thirty six hours before we get off to kickoff

983
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:07,959
Speaker 4: is how are they going to handle the extremely fast

984
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:12,520
Speaker 4: pace of Troy and Chip lindsay So Middle Tennessee numbers

985
00:48:12,560 --> 00:48:14,959
Speaker 4: wise as the play Troy hasn't played a game. Middle

986
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,719
Speaker 4: Tennessee has didn't scorty points, but at least they played

987
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 4: a game. Numbers a complete overreaction.

988
00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:22,960
Speaker 2: I might I'm gunshot, but I might end up pulling

989
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:25,359
Speaker 2: the trigger because I agree with you and you think

990
00:48:25,400 --> 00:48:28,160
Speaker 2: if Middle Tennessee State has some pride over the past

991
00:48:28,160 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 2: two weeks, they would be doing everything they could.

992
00:48:31,080 --> 00:48:33,480
Speaker 4: Remember when Ashure O'Hara had two thousand yards throwing in

993
00:48:33,520 --> 00:48:35,720
Speaker 4: a thousand yards rushing, and it was it was the greatest.

994
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:37,359
Speaker 4: And now all of a sudden, the dog shit three

995
00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:39,720
Speaker 4: and a half point underdogs to Troy.

996
00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:42,120
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean if Middle tennase State can't do anything

997
00:48:42,120 --> 00:48:45,600
Speaker 2: against this Troy defense, they just write them off and

998
00:48:45,640 --> 00:48:48,640
Speaker 2: fade them into oblivion. All right, a couple other games

999
00:48:48,640 --> 00:48:51,240
Speaker 2: to capture here. We gotta mention UTEP.

1000
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:56,120
Speaker 4: We're talking minor Nation out in the west. Tis in

1001
00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:57,440
Speaker 4: town of the past, So.

1002
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:02,040
Speaker 2: Picks up Minor Nation. I hope we hear from you

1003
00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:05,319
Speaker 2: this weekend. On the voicemails, they're playing Abilene Christian. Are

1004
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:07,759
Speaker 2: you gonna be looking for Abilene or is it first

1005
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:09,840
Speaker 2: game verse? Third game? Here? You're a little too worried.

1006
00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:12,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm definitely looking at the under here. Abilene Christian

1007
00:49:12,760 --> 00:49:16,240
Speaker 4: is no greater than Steven F. Austin. That game ended

1008
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:20,200
Speaker 4: what thirty eight points? Abilene? You know, like I said,

1009
00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 4: they're kind of a mystery. They finished five and seven

1010
00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 4: last year. They lost players on the depth chart to

1011
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:27,280
Speaker 4: graduation and opt outs. They do have a quarterback returning,

1012
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:29,480
Speaker 4: Samajs Davis. He rushed for six hundred and twenty one

1013
00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 4: yards that's gonna give UTEP some problems because Demmel came

1014
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 4: out this week and said, we took bad angles and

1015
00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:39,080
Speaker 4: had bad tackling and we're gonna get it corrected. Your UTEP,

1016
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 4: how have you not figured out how to tackle? How

1017
00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:44,160
Speaker 4: are you still taking bad angles? It's your second game

1018
00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:46,120
Speaker 4: of the year, not even your so you think he'd

1019
00:49:46,160 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 4: have this figured out. But you know, Ableene's nothing to

1020
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:52,040
Speaker 4: write home about. Games should probably be a coin flip,

1021
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:54,160
Speaker 4: so it's to be determined. I might end up on

1022
00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:56,640
Speaker 4: Abilene christian As. This is the latest game on the late.

1023
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:02,200
Speaker 2: Texas State Brady McBride update going to ULM who is

1024
00:50:02,320 --> 00:50:07,000
Speaker 2: just an absolute disaster and got railroaded by army anything.

1025
00:50:07,040 --> 00:50:09,840
Speaker 4: There no nothing for me. I mean they're still struggling

1026
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:13,719
Speaker 4: from a defensive coordinator perspective. Brady McBride not cleared as

1027
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:17,920
Speaker 4: of Wednesday, but practicing with the ones. Spabittol is not

1028
00:50:18,040 --> 00:50:21,080
Speaker 4: being specific about the protocols that are in place. Won't

1029
00:50:21,080 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 4: say if he had COVID or if it was contact tracing.

1030
00:50:23,520 --> 00:50:24,920
Speaker 4: What I do know is an SMU ran for one

1031
00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 4: hundred and seventy seven yards on the Texas State defense

1032
00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:29,400
Speaker 4: and UTSA just had their way with this Texas State defense.

1033
00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:33,400
Speaker 4: ULM will not have a vice group of limited possessions

1034
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:36,080
Speaker 4: put on them like what Army did. So I expect

1035
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:39,280
Speaker 4: ULM to have some success here. But if Brady McBride

1036
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:41,920
Speaker 4: is playing, I'm gonna stick with my bet. If he's

1037
00:50:41,960 --> 00:50:44,360
Speaker 4: out for this game, you're gonna see me buy all fast,

1038
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:45,360
Speaker 4: real fast.

1039
00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:48,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't bring myself to bet Ulm. All right,

1040
00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:50,160
Speaker 2: before we go three and out, let's get a little

1041
00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:59,880
Speaker 2: FC yes or no, Southland, a.

1042
00:51:01,360 --> 00:51:05,760
Speaker 1: Big Sky or big ten. It's time to play ABC.

1043
00:51:06,080 --> 00:51:13,640
Speaker 2: Yes or no. That's Citadel. Some of you might remember

1044
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:17,560
Speaker 2: the Citadel led Bama at the half. Oh, Twitter was electric.

1045
00:51:17,600 --> 00:51:21,680
Speaker 2: Then now they will take on Clemson. Any thoughts here.

1046
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:24,440
Speaker 4: You know, looking at the last time Clemson faced a

1047
00:51:24,520 --> 00:51:27,080
Speaker 4: real triple option offense, you know, because Jordan's been a

1048
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:29,920
Speaker 4: while for Georgia Tech. I think forty five is a

1049
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,440
Speaker 4: little bit too much, Actually I'm not. I mean, listen,

1050
00:51:32,600 --> 00:51:34,960
Speaker 4: Clemson's defense I think maybe the best in the country,

1051
00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:36,640
Speaker 4: especially in the front seven. They're going to plug the

1052
00:51:36,680 --> 00:51:39,600
Speaker 4: gaps on Citadel, should prevent them from scoring. But crazier

1053
00:51:39,680 --> 00:51:43,560
Speaker 4: things have happened. I think Dabbo treats this as an

1054
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:46,560
Speaker 4: exhibition game, as he did before. I think the better

1055
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:49,160
Speaker 4: play is probably the under fifty seven and a half

1056
00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:53,520
Speaker 4: or maybe Citadel under their team total, because I really

1057
00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:55,200
Speaker 4: feel like the defense is going to play their part

1058
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:58,200
Speaker 4: in this game. But it's all cruise control and base

1059
00:51:58,280 --> 00:52:00,640
Speaker 4: plays from the second string and the second order for Clemson.

1060
00:52:01,480 --> 00:52:04,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I might look look at some Citadel second half.

1061
00:52:04,680 --> 00:52:06,279
Speaker 2: All right, before we get out of here, let's go

1062
00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:11,400
Speaker 2: three and out two. Let's make it a quick three

1063
00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:15,840
Speaker 2: and out. All right, first down, we have some Friday

1064
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 2: night lights.

1065
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:21,040
Speaker 4: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1066
00:52:21,880 --> 00:52:25,200
Speaker 2: Let's go play some football. This year, we have limited

1067
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 2: weekday games. Maybe we're gonna get the MAC and they'll

1068
00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:30,239
Speaker 2: give us some November weekday games. But we do have

1069
00:52:30,280 --> 00:52:35,520
Speaker 2: one Friday night game. It involves the Campbell University Camels

1070
00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,680
Speaker 2: from Boy's Creek, North Carolina.

1071
00:52:40,280 --> 00:52:46,000
Speaker 1: Come home, chuck me out.

1072
00:52:46,120 --> 00:52:51,480
Speaker 2: The Campbell Fighting Camels roll humps almost put off the

1073
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:55,920
Speaker 2: upset against Georgia Southern last week last week was unbelievable.

1074
00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:59,480
Speaker 2: And to now be on ESPN, there's nothing like that.

1075
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 4: Your FBS program.

1076
00:53:01,640 --> 00:53:05,760
Speaker 2: Don't get on ESPN Friday night. Man, it's an unbelievable

1077
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:09,919
Speaker 2: opportunity for us and we're thankful for They will now

1078
00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:13,480
Speaker 2: take on Coastal Carolina this week, who pulled off the

1079
00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:17,879
Speaker 2: upset against Kansas last week. On Friday night, these two

1080
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:19,960
Speaker 2: teams will meet. Take it away, Colin.

1081
00:53:20,400 --> 00:53:22,640
Speaker 4: Listen. If you're if you know who Campbell is, then

1082
00:53:22,680 --> 00:53:24,640
Speaker 4: you must be a college baseball fan. They made the

1083
00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:27,440
Speaker 4: College World Series, well not a omaha of portion. They

1084
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,319
Speaker 4: made the Regionals last two years. So we know who

1085
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:31,600
Speaker 4: the Campbells are. And I've got plenty more campbl jifts

1086
00:53:31,680 --> 00:53:33,520
Speaker 4: queued up and ready to roll. But let's talk about

1087
00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:37,239
Speaker 4: Campbell football. Their quarterback Hodj Malik Williams. If you have

1088
00:53:37,360 --> 00:53:39,520
Speaker 4: not gotten eyes on this kid, he is a true

1089
00:53:39,640 --> 00:53:42,879
Speaker 4: dual threat. He is amazing at quarterback, and he's going

1090
00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:45,840
Speaker 4: to give Coastal more problems than Kansas could ever dream.

1091
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:47,880
Speaker 4: But let's get down to what the bet is for me.

1092
00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:49,920
Speaker 4: I'll have an article going up tomorrow. You can get

1093
00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 4: a full game, preview, sides, totals, everything on Action Network.

1094
00:53:53,560 --> 00:53:55,400
Speaker 4: Let's just break it down and say that you should

1095
00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:57,799
Speaker 4: go read that. But my bet for you know, for

1096
00:53:57,840 --> 00:53:59,880
Speaker 4: the podcast here is based upon the fact that can

1097
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:03,400
Speaker 4: imble average twenty seconds twenty seven seconds per play. Coastal

1098
00:54:03,440 --> 00:54:08,040
Speaker 4: Carolina averaged thirty point four seconds per play. Coastal was

1099
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:11,680
Speaker 4: handed that game on a platter. Their starting field position

1100
00:54:11,840 --> 00:54:14,920
Speaker 4: was at the forty. They had, you know, turnover city

1101
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:18,399
Speaker 4: havoc all over Kansas. Kansas couldn't have made Coastal look

1102
00:54:18,400 --> 00:54:21,200
Speaker 4: any better. And do you know how many explosive drives

1103
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:25,799
Speaker 4: Coastal had? None? So Kansas made them look extremely good,

1104
00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:28,560
Speaker 4: but they weren't explosive. And these aren't up tempo teams.

1105
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:31,319
Speaker 4: And considering that Sally just dumped a whole bunch of

1106
00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 4: water and the wind is projected to be over you know,

1107
00:54:34,280 --> 00:54:36,759
Speaker 4: double digit wins, that could mess with the kicking game.

1108
00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:38,000
Speaker 4: I'm taking an under here.

1109
00:54:38,480 --> 00:54:40,120
Speaker 2: Some of the we will have college It looks like

1110
00:54:40,120 --> 00:54:44,239
Speaker 2: we're gonna have college basketball, but no Thanksgiving Eve. It's

1111
00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:48,280
Speaker 2: gonna start as the announcement, which makes me very happy.

1112
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:52,920
Speaker 2: We'll love college basketball podcast here as well. Campbell Eustaid

1113
00:54:52,920 --> 00:54:56,759
Speaker 2: college baseball. College basketball fans will also know Campbell for

1114
00:54:56,920 --> 00:55:01,359
Speaker 2: Chris Clemens, who recently graduated. He's a third all time

1115
00:55:01,480 --> 00:55:05,680
Speaker 2: leading scorer in college basketball history. Oh and by the way,

1116
00:55:05,760 --> 00:55:07,839
Speaker 2: before we move on to second down, make sure you

1117
00:55:08,160 --> 00:55:13,080
Speaker 2: subscribe unsubscribe. Rate review really helps us out. And when

1118
00:55:13,080 --> 00:55:15,399
Speaker 2: you go to look at our podcast episode, don't forget

1119
00:55:15,440 --> 00:55:17,439
Speaker 2: about that link to the free contest for a shot

1120
00:55:17,480 --> 00:55:19,120
Speaker 2: to win a trip to Vegas. All right, let's move

1121
00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:23,840
Speaker 2: on to second down, and let's talk favorite overdogs.

1122
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:25,920
Speaker 4: It's called the overdogs Parlay.

1123
00:55:26,040 --> 00:55:29,800
Speaker 2: It's basically our favorite favorite of the week. I'll start,

1124
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:33,520
Speaker 2: I'm going Western Kentucky minus fourteen. I know the offense

1125
00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:36,640
Speaker 2: looked really bad last week. They had like a fumbled punt,

1126
00:55:36,680 --> 00:55:40,160
Speaker 2: they were covered inside the three. All their scoring drives

1127
00:55:40,160 --> 00:55:42,840
Speaker 2: were like under thirty yards. But they were playing a

1128
00:55:42,880 --> 00:55:45,319
Speaker 2: really good Louisville team and their defense really showed out.

1129
00:55:45,600 --> 00:55:48,080
Speaker 2: D'Angel Malone, by the way I mentioned last week is

1130
00:55:48,120 --> 00:55:51,120
Speaker 2: all American caliber will play in the NFL defensive end.

1131
00:55:51,160 --> 00:55:52,960
Speaker 2: He had eight tackles, a sack, three and a half

1132
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:56,640
Speaker 2: tackles for a lost stud. We know the Western Kentucky

1133
00:55:56,680 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 2: defense is awesome, Top twenty caliber. They bring everything back.

1134
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:04,040
Speaker 2: The offense brings a lot back to the only question

1135
00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:06,759
Speaker 2: was Pigram at quarterback. You know you have Walker in

1136
00:56:06,800 --> 00:56:10,680
Speaker 2: the backfield, all conference potential back. Pigram can run the ball,

1137
00:56:10,880 --> 00:56:14,120
Speaker 2: he was kind of if he throwing it, but he

1138
00:56:14,200 --> 00:56:16,719
Speaker 2: was going against you know, a Power five team. He

1139
00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:20,759
Speaker 2: now gets the Liberty defense. Huge step down. And this

1140
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:23,480
Speaker 2: Liberty team, I mean, they have a new look. They

1141
00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:26,560
Speaker 2: set records on offense last year. But guess who's gone,

1142
00:56:26,719 --> 00:56:31,879
Speaker 2: Buckshot Calvert, you know, Gandy Golden is now on the Redskins.

1143
00:56:32,080 --> 00:56:34,359
Speaker 2: Their running back Hicks in their four year starter dof

1144
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:38,080
Speaker 2: at guard. All the senior cornerstones of that record setting

1145
00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:41,200
Speaker 2: offense are gone. They also have, you know, so their

1146
00:56:41,200 --> 00:56:44,080
Speaker 2: new quarterbacks Malik Willis. I think they have an oor listed,

1147
00:56:44,080 --> 00:56:45,480
Speaker 2: but I think they're gonna go with Willis, who's an

1148
00:56:45,520 --> 00:56:48,960
Speaker 2: Auburn transfer. Just a lot of questions. And then on defense,

1149
00:56:49,480 --> 00:56:53,440
Speaker 2: they only returned four starters they had due to, you know,

1150
00:56:54,160 --> 00:56:56,839
Speaker 2: racial insensitivity. There was a couple of corners who were

1151
00:56:56,840 --> 00:56:59,000
Speaker 2: really good, some of their highest recruits. They decided to

1152
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:00,800
Speaker 2: leave the program in the summer.

1153
00:57:01,920 --> 00:57:04,239
Speaker 3: I've said to these young people repeatedly, and I say

1154
00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:07,200
Speaker 3: it again, you are the hope of Amera. When you

1155
00:57:07,320 --> 00:57:10,160
Speaker 3: leave the graduation platform of Liberty, I want you to

1156
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:14,280
Speaker 3: leave it running, leave in running with a vision burning

1157
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:14,959
Speaker 3: in your soul.

1158
00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:19,160
Speaker 2: The linebackers are really bad. Which might end up dooming

1159
00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:21,880
Speaker 2: them against Western Kentucky. And again, Western Kentucky played Louisville

1160
00:57:21,960 --> 00:57:25,160
Speaker 2: last week. This is Liberty's first game, and something else

1161
00:57:25,200 --> 00:57:27,880
Speaker 2: to keep in mind. Liberty doesn't have a kicker. I

1162
00:57:27,880 --> 00:57:29,800
Speaker 2: mean they have a kicker, but they don't have a kicker.

1163
00:57:30,240 --> 00:57:33,720
Speaker 2: Probert transferred to I believe Iowa State. Hugh Freeze recently said,

1164
00:57:33,720 --> 00:57:36,000
Speaker 2: like we don't have a kicker, We're just gonna like

1165
00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:36,840
Speaker 2: go for it a lot.

1166
00:57:37,120 --> 00:57:39,960
Speaker 4: You don't cuss, you don't drink, so what are your vices?

1167
00:57:40,240 --> 00:57:43,120
Speaker 2: I have been known to chew a bit of tobacco

1168
00:57:43,160 --> 00:57:45,960
Speaker 2: when I get a little tired or watching fielm So

1169
00:57:46,640 --> 00:57:51,320
Speaker 2: with a new quarterback and a new quarterback, a brand

1170
00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:55,560
Speaker 2: new offense going against this Western Kentucky defense, you might

1171
00:57:55,600 --> 00:57:58,560
Speaker 2: get a number of fourth down stops, which I think

1172
00:57:58,560 --> 00:58:01,080
Speaker 2: can lead to points for Western Kentuck. So Hugh Freeze

1173
00:58:01,120 --> 00:58:03,040
Speaker 2: is back at it again. Liberty doesn't have a kicker,

1174
00:58:03,080 --> 00:58:05,560
Speaker 2: apparently like they have one, but they don't trust them,

1175
00:58:05,760 --> 00:58:08,320
Speaker 2: so that should be interesting to watch. I'm laying the fourteen.

1176
00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:11,040
Speaker 2: Wouldn't lay anything more than that, but that's my favorite

1177
00:58:11,040 --> 00:58:12,479
Speaker 2: overdall of the week. Give me the.

1178
00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:15,640
Speaker 4: Tops as there's always a new chapter with this Liberty team,

1179
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:17,320
Speaker 4: especially with Hugh Freeze there. I think one thing to

1180
00:58:17,360 --> 00:58:18,840
Speaker 4: keep an eye on in that game is there was

1181
00:58:18,840 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 4: a statement that came out of Liberty's practices where I

1182
00:58:22,120 --> 00:58:24,600
Speaker 4: believe free said they want to be the fastest team

1183
00:58:24,640 --> 00:58:26,640
Speaker 4: in the country, way faster than they've ever been and

1184
00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:28,600
Speaker 4: the fastest in the country. So keep your eyes on that.

1185
00:58:28,640 --> 00:58:31,560
Speaker 4: With that total, I'm gonna pivot. I actually thought I

1186
00:58:31,560 --> 00:58:34,240
Speaker 4: was gonna go Central Florida or Oklhoma State on this podcast.

1187
00:58:34,280 --> 00:58:38,160
Speaker 4: I'm not. I'm going SMU. If you look and see

1188
00:58:38,200 --> 00:58:41,200
Speaker 4: what Houston Baptist did to this North Texas defense, it

1189
00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:44,920
Speaker 4: was unbelievable. I think six hundred yards of offense and

1190
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:47,280
Speaker 4: just running at light speed when Hans Solo puts some

1191
00:58:47,360 --> 00:58:50,440
Speaker 4: millennium falcon and warp speed. That's what this game is

1192
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:52,960
Speaker 4: going to be. Between the air rate of SNU going

1193
00:58:53,080 --> 00:58:57,080
Speaker 4: up against North Texas, you know, defense be gone. Although defense,

1194
00:58:57,240 --> 00:58:59,800
Speaker 4: you know, SMU I think can play defense here. I

1195
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:04,000
Speaker 4: think they will have stops against North Texas. North Texas's

1196
00:59:04,120 --> 00:59:07,720
Speaker 4: defense is really just eleven lawn chairs lined up to

1197
00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:09,680
Speaker 4: look like a four to three. It's not gonna be

1198
00:59:09,720 --> 00:59:12,840
Speaker 4: able to stop anything what Sunny Dykes is trying to

1199
00:59:12,880 --> 00:59:16,320
Speaker 4: do with SMU. Look for a good number, bet MGM.

1200
00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:19,040
Speaker 4: Is it fourteen right now? I would approve that. I

1201
00:59:19,080 --> 00:59:21,880
Speaker 4: think we make the game twenty in action for a projection,

1202
00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:24,480
Speaker 4: but really this is just going to be a warp speedfest.

1203
00:59:24,880 --> 00:59:28,200
Speaker 4: And if you know anything about air raid offenses, they'd

1204
00:59:28,240 --> 00:59:31,040
Speaker 4: like to stay in rhythm, so they tend to stay

1205
00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:34,480
Speaker 4: on the field more and not cut game short. So

1206
00:59:34,560 --> 00:59:37,840
Speaker 4: I expect to get at least three quarters, maybe into

1207
00:59:37,840 --> 00:59:39,680
Speaker 4: the fourth quarter, even if it's like a thirty five

1208
00:59:39,720 --> 00:59:42,400
Speaker 4: point lead. So give me some U and my overdog.

1209
00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:46,560
Speaker 2: There you have it SMU and Western Kentucky. All right,

1210
00:59:46,600 --> 00:59:48,640
Speaker 2: And before we get out of here, finally it's our

1211
00:59:48,640 --> 00:59:54,840
Speaker 2: favorite money line underdogs of the week turning good weekends

1212
00:59:55,120 --> 01:00:00,200
Speaker 2: into great weekends. It's time for the money line parlay.

1213
01:00:01,240 --> 01:00:05,560
Speaker 2: Last week I somehow hit Arkansas State. Shout out the

1214
01:00:05,600 --> 01:00:10,880
Speaker 2: Jadams again. This young man is an absolute freak. Even

1215
01:00:10,880 --> 01:00:14,320
Speaker 2: though they were out eight starters and Colin almost made

1216
01:00:14,320 --> 01:00:17,400
Speaker 2: it a double with South Alabama, who blew a late

1217
01:00:17,480 --> 01:00:21,200
Speaker 2: lead against Tulane. So for anyone who parlayed them, that

1218
01:00:21,320 --> 01:00:23,520
Speaker 2: nineteen to one was very close. We have obviously have

1219
01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:27,200
Speaker 2: a many shots to profit if you did parlay them.

1220
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:30,000
Speaker 2: So for this week, I was gonna go Georgia Southern,

1221
01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 2: but they're now pretty much a favorite, so not going there.

1222
01:00:33,840 --> 01:00:37,080
Speaker 2: Houston very good choice in my opinion, but I'm gonna

1223
01:00:37,080 --> 01:00:39,080
Speaker 2: go BC. I like the upside of this. I'm gonna

1224
01:00:39,080 --> 01:00:40,640
Speaker 2: be a complete hypocrite. They haven't played a game yet,

1225
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:43,000
Speaker 2: They're going through all kinds of changes. They're playing a

1226
01:00:43,080 --> 01:00:46,160
Speaker 2: duke team that played last week against Notre Dame. But

1227
01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:48,320
Speaker 2: I liked the upside of this team, and I wasn't

1228
01:00:48,400 --> 01:00:50,720
Speaker 2: overly impressed with Duke. They came out, you know, they

1229
01:00:50,760 --> 01:00:52,080
Speaker 2: kind of showed their hand what they're gonna do. They

1230
01:00:52,080 --> 01:00:54,320
Speaker 2: were running no huddle early. They dominated the first quarter,

1231
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:57,479
Speaker 2: then kind of faded away. But I love the hire

1232
01:00:57,520 --> 01:00:59,480
Speaker 2: of Jeff Hafley's one of the PC's one of the

1233
01:01:00,040 --> 01:01:03,680
Speaker 2: those brilliant defensive minds in all of football, especially in

1234
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:06,800
Speaker 2: the secondary. And they have some, you know, transfers coming

1235
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:07,960
Speaker 2: in that I think are gonna help. But I think

1236
01:01:08,000 --> 01:01:10,080
Speaker 2: he's just gonna improve that secondary, which is a huge

1237
01:01:10,080 --> 01:01:13,800
Speaker 2: weakness last year. Significantly. The linebacker group is a strength.

1238
01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:16,880
Speaker 2: They all come back it's just gonna transform that secondary

1239
01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:19,840
Speaker 2: to a much more productive unit. They did lose aj

1240
01:01:20,000 --> 01:01:22,520
Speaker 2: Dillon at running back, but they got Bailey coming back,

1241
01:01:22,640 --> 01:01:25,400
Speaker 2: and they have an excellent offensive line. It's one of

1242
01:01:25,400 --> 01:01:26,960
Speaker 2: the best in the ACC. They have two or three

1243
01:01:27,000 --> 01:01:30,240
Speaker 2: guys that could be all ACC and they have two

1244
01:01:30,320 --> 01:01:32,320
Speaker 2: quarterbacks listed on the depth chart. They might go with

1245
01:01:32,320 --> 01:01:34,960
Speaker 2: two they haven't named. The Staria Dennis Grosselo started last

1246
01:01:35,040 --> 01:01:37,919
Speaker 2: year and Phil Djerkovic, which is why I'm betting this game.

1247
01:01:38,080 --> 01:01:40,880
Speaker 2: I love this kid, Notre Dame transfer. I hope they

1248
01:01:40,920 --> 01:01:44,760
Speaker 2: go with him. He throws a beautiful deep ball. I

1249
01:01:44,800 --> 01:01:46,840
Speaker 2: think he could take this offense to the next level

1250
01:01:47,200 --> 01:01:49,600
Speaker 2: with Bailey running the ball and that excellent offensive line.

1251
01:01:49,640 --> 01:01:52,840
Speaker 2: Look out for Jalen Gill four star Oklahoma State trans

1252
01:01:52,880 --> 01:01:54,200
Speaker 2: they're gonna use him in the back that they're gonna

1253
01:01:54,280 --> 01:01:57,200
Speaker 2: use him a receiver, just an explosive player. So I

1254
01:01:57,240 --> 01:02:00,440
Speaker 2: think that this this BC team has high up. It

1255
01:02:00,480 --> 01:02:02,760
Speaker 2: can go really wrong and there's a lot of change,

1256
01:02:02,880 --> 01:02:05,640
Speaker 2: but I think it's a good underdog moneyline piece for

1257
01:02:05,800 --> 01:02:08,800
Speaker 2: this weekend against Duke, so give me the Eagles.

1258
01:02:09,280 --> 01:02:11,000
Speaker 4: Last week I went with a dog that was an

1259
01:02:11,040 --> 01:02:14,000
Speaker 4: eleven point underdog this week not so much kind of

1260
01:02:14,040 --> 01:02:16,800
Speaker 4: a week underdog. I'm gonna stick with Miami for everything

1261
01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:19,800
Speaker 4: that I said earlier in the podcast. I think dear

1262
01:02:20,040 --> 01:02:23,200
Speaker 4: King is going to show us why why I ran

1263
01:02:23,280 --> 01:02:25,960
Speaker 4: to Vegas and was betting him on Heisman numbers when

1264
01:02:25,960 --> 01:02:29,320
Speaker 4: he was playing for Houston. I believe in that kid forever,

1265
01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:31,920
Speaker 4: so I'm gonna stick with Miami. I think the defense

1266
01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:34,720
Speaker 4: stuffs up and stops Cunningham and hopefully you and I

1267
01:02:34,840 --> 01:02:37,080
Speaker 4: cash this underdog moneyline parlay.

1268
01:02:37,400 --> 01:02:39,280
Speaker 2: There you have it. That'll wrap it up for us.

1269
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:42,720
Speaker 2: Thank you for listening. Thank you as always for joining Colin.

1270
01:02:43,480 --> 01:02:45,280
Speaker 2: We will be back. If you haven't checked out our

1271
01:02:45,360 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 2: NFL Week two betting preview episode which came out on

1272
01:02:49,440 --> 01:02:51,440
Speaker 2: Thursday morning, make sure you do that. Colin and I

1273
01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:54,720
Speaker 2: will be back with a football recap a Monday night

1274
01:02:54,760 --> 01:02:59,680
Speaker 2: football preview on Monday morning. Make sure you subscribe, rate review,

1275
01:03:00,040 --> 01:03:02,840
Speaker 2: and don't forget about that contest sponsored by bet MGM.

1276
01:03:03,320 --> 01:03:06,200
Speaker 2: Link is in the description. And speaking of bet MGM,

1277
01:03:06,400 --> 01:03:08,240
Speaker 2: they do also have a great sign up offer for

1278
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:12,440
Speaker 2: this weekend's Texans Ravens game. Customers can bet one dollar

1279
01:03:12,480 --> 01:03:15,120
Speaker 2: and win one hundred dollars in free bets. If Baltimore

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01:03:15,160 --> 01:03:17,480
Speaker 2: Houston just scores a touchdown, that's all they have to do.

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01:03:17,960 --> 01:03:20,360
Speaker 2: You just sign up make your first bet using bonus

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01:03:20,360 --> 01:03:24,560
Speaker 2: code Action one hundred. That's Action one zero zero. All

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01:03:24,600 --> 01:03:26,760
Speaker 2: you have to do is download the BETMGM app or

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01:03:26,840 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 2: visit betmgm dot com. Sign up, use the code Action

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01:03:30,440 --> 01:03:32,919
Speaker 2: one hundred to bet one dollar and win one hundred

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01:03:32,960 --> 01:03:35,720
Speaker 2: dollars in free bets if there's simply a touchdown score

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01:03:35,920 --> 01:03:38,800
Speaker 2: in the Ravens Texans game. As a reminder, you must

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01:03:38,800 --> 01:03:41,680
Speaker 2: be twenty one or older and physically located in Colorado, Indiana,

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01:03:41,760 --> 01:03:46,720
Speaker 2: New Jersey, Nevada, or West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling

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01:03:46,720 --> 01:03:48,640
Speaker 2: problem called one eight hundred and five to two four

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01:03:48,720 --> 01:03:51,760
Speaker 2: seven zero zero in Colorado or Nevada. One eight hundred

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01:03:51,880 --> 01:03:54,680
Speaker 2: gambler in New Jersey and West Virginia or if you're

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01:03:54,680 --> 01:03:57,680
Speaker 2: in Indiana, one eight hundred and nine with it from offer.

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01:03:57,920 --> 01:04:01,480
Speaker 2: Unfortunately is not available in Nevada. So thanks again, thanks

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01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:05,080
Speaker 2: for listening, Good luck on your wages this weekend. SCC

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01:04:05,560 --> 01:04:08,680
Speaker 2: is back next weekend. I can't wait to get to

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01:04:08,760 --> 01:04:11,600
Speaker 2: Week four, but let's have a profitable Week three first,

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01:04:12,200 --> 01:04:12,640
Speaker 2: catch you all.

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01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:14,120
Speaker 4: Later tears, So

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01:04:30,880 --> 01:04:31,920
Speaker 2: We're finished talking