1 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:17,800 Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. Lake Kick is live and is 2 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 1: Thursday night. 3 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 2: It is October twenty second, There of Our Lord twenty twenty. 4 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 2: It is debate night, and of course on this show 5 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 2: what we should debate is who's going to win to 6 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 2: Big ten. I don't know that that's up for much 7 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: debate at the moment. Who's going to finish number two 8 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:32,919 Speaker 2: into Big ten? Where in the world do we going 9 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 2: in each division? Where did I just go for a second? 10 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: Who knows? 11 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 2: If you're listening to on podcasts, that doesn't make any 12 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 2: sense to you. Where are the upsets this Saturday? Because 13 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 2: I can tell you we're picking a number of games tonight, Colin, 14 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 2: how many games? 15 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 1: Like eight? 16 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:46,480 Speaker 2: I think it's the most games that we have picked 17 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 2: on the show on a Thursday night, And I got 18 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 2: some upsets for you, so stay tuned there. We will 19 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: also try and improve on our current fifty six percent 20 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 2: against the spread mark in the ram Noodle Express. We 21 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 2: are really proud about that, but there's always room for improvement. 22 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 2: So we got five of them for you tonight, and 23 00:01:01,800 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 2: I can tell you, even before the show really starts, 24 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 2: I don't think we're done even tonight, so I highly 25 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 2: advise you give me a follow on Twitter at late 26 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 2: Kick Josh. There will be in all likelihood, can't promise you, 27 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 2: but in all likelihood there will be more, at least 28 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 2: one or two more picks to come before the weekend 29 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 2: gets here. 30 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:18,480 Speaker 1: So we've got a lot of predictions. 31 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 2: We got previews, we got grand season previews for three 32 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 2: of the big ten teams tonight, and we're going to 33 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 2: do all that. Plus we are going to, as I said, 34 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 2: give you out our best bets. If you haven't already 35 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 2: subscribed to the twenty four seven Sports YouTube channel, it 36 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 2: is going to be a fun night. And to be 37 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,560 Speaker 2: honest with you, I'm in no hurry because they are 38 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 2: holding the actual presidential debate about two or three blocks 39 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 2: from my apartment. There is little chance I'm getting back 40 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 2: into my parking garage tonight. Black SUVs everywhere today, Guys 41 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,560 Speaker 2: wearing shades after sunset, talking into their shirts leeve. 42 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: You know the deals. 43 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 2: So let's just settle in. Let's talk some college football, 44 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 2: shall we. Let's dive into it. Also, before we dive in, 45 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 2: I wanted. 46 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: To say this. 47 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 2: I've put out this call to action pretty much all week. 48 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 2: I had a great couple of hours or stretch last 49 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 2: night of doing some zoom sessions with a couple of 50 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: you guys, very loyal viewers. Won't toss out names, but 51 00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 2: very loyal viewers, longtime listeners who are interested in getting 52 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 2: into this field, and there are a ton of you. 53 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 2: I hear from you every week, so you know, I've 54 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 2: tried to put out the call to action this week 55 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 2: and make sure I catch you on at least one 56 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 2: show if you're interested in that. Every now and then, 57 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,920 Speaker 2: I'll just schedule the stretch of zoom sessions consultations whatever 58 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 2: in the world you want to call them and we'll 59 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 2: talk about whatever you want to talk about. They last 60 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 2: about an hour and we get a lot of Q 61 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 2: and an. It's one on one. Try and do as 62 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 2: many of them as I can. Obviously you can't do 63 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:34,359 Speaker 2: like fifteen of them a day, but if you're interested 64 00:02:34,360 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 2: in that, if you're looking to get into this field, 65 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 2: joshpat seven zero six at gmail dot com, or you 66 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,080 Speaker 2: can just DM me on Twitter at late Kick Josh. 67 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 2: Now that that's out of the way, let's dive in. 68 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 2: We got a whole lot of predictions, a whole lot 69 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 2: of previews to get to. Let's start in the SEC. 70 00:02:49,080 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 2: I know there is not a marquee game this week, Okay. 71 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 2: I understand that we are coming off the heels of 72 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 2: Georgia versus Alabama, and that was. 73 00:02:55,200 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 1: Just a titanic matchup. 74 00:02:56,440 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 2: That was the eight pm primetime CBS game of the year. 75 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 2: There's a lot of intrigue this week. I want you 76 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 2: to pay attention now, because these are the kind of weeks. 77 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 2: Normally I make it metaphorical, as I do with pretty 78 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 2: much everything on the show. At this point, it's not 79 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 2: a show without ten metaphors. To walking towards one of 80 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 2: those barns. I grew up in Harris County, Georgia. Barnes 81 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 2: all over the place, some of them occupied, some of 82 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 2: them empty, and dare I say haunted. You walk up 83 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 2: to one of those barns late at night, you don't 84 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 2: necessarily know what sent it. 85 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: You just know it's no good for you. 86 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 2: And these kinds of weeks, you know, the weeks where 87 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 2: people say, I may go to the park with you 88 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 2: this weekend, Babe, I don't really think there's anything happening 89 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 2: in college football. Those are the kind of weekends where 90 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 2: you check your phone at your picnic or your wedding 91 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 2: in the fall and you look and you. 92 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: Say, who beat who? Who's leading who? 93 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 2: That's the kind of weekend that we are approaching. I'm 94 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 2: gonna give you fair warning. Could be in the SEC, 95 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 2: could be elsewhere, It could be both, but let's talk 96 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 2: about these games. South Carolina is headed to LSU. Earlier 97 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 2: in the week, LSU was one of our best bets. 98 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 2: We backed off that hard. Really really, I'm about to 99 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 2: show you how hard in just a second. LSU is 100 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 2: currently anywhere from a six and a half to a 101 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 2: seven point favorite, depending on where you look. It is 102 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 2: a Saturday seven o'clock kickoff Eastern time, of course, on ESPN. 103 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 2: If you're in the storyline crowd, if storylines are your 104 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 2: flavor instead of just x's and o's blocking and tackling 105 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 2: pass catching. 106 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 1: This is the game for you. 107 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:21,800 Speaker 2: Not only is it still October, which means anything's possible 108 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 2: for South Carolina. We understand that we all own a calendar, 109 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 2: but you've got NCAA sanctions looming for LSU. You've got 110 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 2: ed or Zeron doing all sorts of unsavory things off 111 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 2: the field this week and being photographed while doing so. 112 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:35,720 Speaker 1: And that's about as far as I'll go on that. 113 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 2: You've got backup quarterbacks starting for LSU. Multiple backup quarterbacks 114 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 2: are going to play Saturday. You've got a defense that 115 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,599 Speaker 2: is still very much in a state of shall we 116 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:49,040 Speaker 2: say flux for lack of another more strong term. And 117 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 2: then all the while you got South Carolina, who just 118 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 2: kind of casually and must win mode, has put two 119 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 2: wins together, and here they come as nearly a touchdown 120 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:01,359 Speaker 2: underdog TJ. Finley, according to our folks over at Go 121 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:03,920 Speaker 2: two four to seven earlier today, that's the guy who's 122 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 2: probably going to start at quarterback for LSU. Raw would 123 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 2: probably be a talented but raw would probably be the 124 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,479 Speaker 2: best way to describe him. And I'm looking at this thing, 125 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 2: I really feel uneasy. The harder I looked at it, 126 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 2: the more uneasy I felt for LSU. South Carolina is 127 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 2: not a great defensive team. There are very few great 128 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:22,720 Speaker 2: defensive teams in the SEC this year. But I'll tell 129 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 2: you what they can do. They have shown the propensity 130 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 2: to force turnovers. Now you would think in a normal year, well, 131 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 2: big deal, this is LSU. Okay, just use any of 132 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 2: half a dozen premiere backs and just lean on him 133 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,200 Speaker 2: in the ground game. Yet sounds like a good idea, 134 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: probably not going to happen. Probably not gonna happen, hasn't 135 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,720 Speaker 2: happened so far this year. This is a bad third 136 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:46,840 Speaker 2: down team. Either way you slice it for LSU, pick 137 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:47,600 Speaker 2: a side of the ball. 138 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:49,239 Speaker 1: This is not a great third down team. 139 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 2: Good distracted teams find ways to get out of these 140 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 2: sorts of games. If you're a good team, but you 141 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 2: have distractions like LSU's head off the field this week. 142 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 2: If you're a great team, have distractions, and you still 143 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 2: find a way to win, unless you's not a good 144 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 2: team right now. So this is a fairly poor team 145 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:10,799 Speaker 2: with backup quarterbacks playing and a lot of off field 146 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 2: distractions up to and including the coaching staff this week. 147 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 2: But I think South Carolina is going to win the game. 148 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:17,719 Speaker 2: Not only do I think they're going to cover. I 149 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 2: think October rolls on and I think South Carolina wins 150 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 2: the game. Now where I don't expect an upset is 151 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 2: in Knoxville Saturday, the three thirty Eastern Time CBS Game 152 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 2: of the Week. Alabama is currently a twenty one point 153 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:34,359 Speaker 2: favorite over the suddenly struggling Tennessee Volunteers. I think everything 154 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 2: about both of these teams game plans involves shortening as 155 00:06:38,000 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 2: much as possible. They would love to have this thing 156 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 2: over in the amount of time. Normally, a couple of 157 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:48,040 Speaker 2: service academies playing against each other would see a game overnice, nice. 158 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:48,840 Speaker 1: Solid, three hour game. 159 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 2: Let's get out of here, toss it to the studio 160 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 2: where they got to fill forty five minutes until the 161 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:53,919 Speaker 2: late kickstart. 162 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 1: Late kicks, not late kick, of course. 163 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 2: Tennessee I think should have decent success running the ball 164 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 2: in his game. 165 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 1: Decent success. 166 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 2: I think that's reasonable to expect against Alabama. However, when 167 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:07,840 Speaker 2: you watched Colin showing it to you right now, when 168 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 2: you watch the way that Alabama ended the Georgia game 169 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 2: last week, Nick Saban had to take Cedric, who normally 170 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 2: carries his cup of water around. He probably had to 171 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:19,480 Speaker 2: have Cedric go get him a towel so he could 172 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 2: wipe his mouth. 173 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 1: He had to be drooling when he watched. 174 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 2: The way they held the ball for the final six 175 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 2: minutes and change of the game. When he watched the 176 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 2: ability of that offensive line to surge against one of, 177 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 2: if not the best defensive fronts in the conference. Fall 178 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 2: forward from Naje Harris over one hundred and fifty yards 179 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 2: on the ground. That's the kind of second half they 180 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 2: would love to see here. It may not mean another 181 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 2: fifty points put on the board, the likes of which 182 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 2: they had against Texas A and M, but it would 183 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 2: mean a comfortable victory. So what do you see from Tennessee. 184 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 2: Who starts at quarterback for Tennessee. I've heard Jeremy Prewitt 185 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 2: this week talking about injury being a situation that he's 186 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 2: dealing with at quarterback. Now, there are some there's some 187 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 2: speculative kind of trains of thought out there that hey, 188 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 2: maybe he's building himself a trapdoor to not start Guarantano. 189 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 2: But say face for Guarantano and that's the reason he 190 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 2: didn't start, cause he's hurt. 191 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: I don't know that. 192 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 2: I don't really know that Jeremy Prude has thought too 193 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 2: deeply about this. I just think he wants to know 194 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 2: who gives the best chance to win the game. 195 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: Now. 196 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 2: Selfishly, I want to see Harrison Bailey. I've made that 197 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 2: point loud and clear this week, So we'll see. But 198 00:08:21,280 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 2: focus and physicality, if it's not there, Tennessee doesn't have 199 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 2: much of a shot here. So that Bama defense, you know, 200 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 2: one thing I'll watch in the second half before we 201 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 2: move on from this game, is I told you the 202 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 2: blueprint for them ultimately winning a national championship. 203 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: It's not going to be rock solid defense. 204 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:38,079 Speaker 2: I don't think they're capable of playing that at any 205 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,679 Speaker 2: point this year. But an opportunistic defense, one that forces turnovers. 206 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:43,839 Speaker 2: That's a theme that you want to see continue. A 207 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:46,559 Speaker 2: lot of people believe turnovers aren't predictable week to week. 208 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 2: That's true, but a team that's good and adept at 209 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 2: forcing turnovers and being in the right place and contesting 210 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:55,840 Speaker 2: balls and batting balls, getting in passing lanes, affecting the quarterback, 211 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: that kind of stuff does translate. And maybe you know 212 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 2: the turnover number is in fluckxs week to week. So 213 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Alabama to win, and I never liked 214 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 2: that number in the eighteen to twenty four point range. Like, 215 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 2: if I'm gonna take Alabama to win but not cover, 216 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 2: I like that thing to be up north of twenty 217 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 2: four points because I don't ever see them let off 218 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 2: the gas at a twenty one point lead. It's what 219 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 2: I'm saying, twenty eight point lead, they react a lot different. 220 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 2: So I'll take Alabama to win. I'll take Alabama to cover. 221 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 2: Here's one that I think I've identified a little bit 222 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,679 Speaker 2: of a mismatch on think the numbers too low. Auburn 223 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:30,760 Speaker 2: minus three at ole Miss. It's an early kick. So 224 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:34,000 Speaker 2: we'll know very very quickly on Saturday. It's new in 225 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 2: Eastern Time. It's on SEC Network. This game feels a 226 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 2: lot like Oklahoma Texas. You remember that a couple of 227 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 2: weeks ago where we talked about it and we were 228 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,199 Speaker 2: all looking forward to watching it. But yet we said, 229 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 2: how could anyone think they could predict this game? 230 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:49,079 Speaker 1: Why do I say that? Well, the number nine. 231 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:52,560 Speaker 2: Last week Bo Nix, quarterback for Auburn, Matt Corral, quarterback 232 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:55,280 Speaker 2: for ole Miss, combined to throw nine turnovers. 233 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: Friends. 234 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 2: I didn't say that's what they have totaled this year. 235 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 2: I said last week, that's what they combined to throw. 236 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 2: So when you throw that amount of turnovers, the potential 237 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 2: for that amount of turnovers, any kind of valid prediction, 238 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 2: any kind of predictability, kind of goes out the window, 239 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 2: doesn't it. Well, we'll see. Here's what I think we're 240 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:14,559 Speaker 2: gonna see from Auburn. This is just a hunch. No 241 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 2: one gus Malson and having followed him for a long time, 242 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 2: I think he's taken a fistful of up play calling 243 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,960 Speaker 2: duty and that overall offensive responsibility back and putting it 244 00:10:24,040 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 2: on his plate this week. And I think that he 245 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 2: and pretty much everyone else who has watched this offense, 246 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 2: one of the few bright spots has been a true 247 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:35,240 Speaker 2: freshman Tank Bigsby. I think they'll ride him. I think 248 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 2: they'll ride him hard this week. Ole Miss does not 249 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 2: have exactly an impenetrable defense up front. You want a 250 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 2: low variance, you want to limit their possessions. It's not complicated. 251 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 2: Malason's always been at his best when the run game 252 00:10:47,440 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 2: leads the way Chad Morris came in, you're gonna throw 253 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:51,959 Speaker 2: the ball more. We're gonna revolutionize our passing game. 254 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 1: No, you're not. 255 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: You're just gonna throw the ball to the other team. 256 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:55,680 Speaker 2: I wanted to see it just as bad as you 257 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,080 Speaker 2: guys did. It's not working out. So at this point, 258 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,319 Speaker 2: seasons on the line for them. Season is very much 259 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 2: on the line. There's a lot of stuff going on 260 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 2: down there behind the scenes at Auburn. They need to 261 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,839 Speaker 2: win in the worst way. So third down this game, 262 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 2: I think Auburn will perform. This is again just a hunch. 263 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:15,200 Speaker 2: I think third down offensively will be much better percentage 264 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 2: wise conversion wise in this game than their season average 265 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 2: has been. And because of that, I think Auburn's gonna 266 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 2: be able to tilt this game in the second half 267 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,240 Speaker 2: and control it a whole lot more because game control 268 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 2: has not been their thing this year. I like them 269 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:31,319 Speaker 2: enough in the secondary. I'm gonna take Auburn to win. 270 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Auburn to cover. This is a game 271 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:36,199 Speaker 2: that we may actually make a move on closer to 272 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 2: kickoff in terms of one of those official plays, one 273 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 2: of our best bets. As for now, we're just picking 274 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:42,960 Speaker 2: Auburn to win and cover and leave it at that. 275 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,680 Speaker 2: And the last one is Kentucky minus five and a half. 276 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 2: That's right, road favorite Cats at Missouri. I think Missouri 277 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,680 Speaker 2: is undervalued right now. I think they're very undervalued. They 278 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 2: I thought went a long way in finding their offensive 279 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:01,200 Speaker 2: rhythm and even their offensive identity coming out of that 280 00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 2: Tennessee game. 281 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: That's when they played LSU. 282 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 2: You may say, well, Josh, everyone finds their offensive rhythm 283 00:12:05,800 --> 00:12:08,679 Speaker 2: against LSU. Like Harris County High School probably stand a 284 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:10,600 Speaker 2: half decent chance of hanging twenty eight on them. 285 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't disagree, But the point is. 286 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 2: Connor Beslak is now and probably always was the right 287 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 2: quarterback for this team. So having said that they were 288 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,719 Speaker 2: supposed to play last week, they didn't. It was due 289 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 2: to another team's COVID situation, so they had a bye 290 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 2: week that they didn't expect. I really expect Missouri to 291 00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:33,439 Speaker 2: play a solid game Saturday. Kentucky has forced a ton 292 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 2: of turnovers. If you have some formula, if you have 293 00:12:36,880 --> 00:12:39,839 Speaker 2: some magic elixir that you pour into this potion and 294 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 2: then it's kind of spits out a projection that lets 295 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,480 Speaker 2: you know that's going to continue, I'd pick Kentucky in 296 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:46,920 Speaker 2: a heartbeat. I love what they've done on defense just 297 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 2: as much as you guys have. But I think some 298 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 2: of that is random, some of its skills. Some it's forced. 299 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 2: I had a big argument earlier this week about that, Like, 300 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:56,439 Speaker 2: you're not giving Kentucky any credit. 301 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:57,840 Speaker 1: How much more credit can I give them? 302 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 2: They forced turnovers, They won convincing fashion against Tennessee, but 303 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 2: they're also in a back to back road spot, in 304 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 2: a very much due down spot after having won at Tennessee. 305 00:13:09,120 --> 00:13:12,680 Speaker 2: For the first time since seventeen what seventeen thirty eight? 306 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 2: Fort down't No, it's a long time ago though. So 307 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 2: I think Missouri finds some things this week, and not 308 00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 2: only will I take them to cover, I think Missouri 309 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:23,640 Speaker 2: is going to also pull a mild point spread upset. 310 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 2: I think Missouri is going to be Kentucky out right too. 311 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 2: So someone's going to look like an idiot in the 312 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 2: SEC this week. It may be yes, it may not, 313 00:13:30,960 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 2: but I do expect some upsets on the field Saturday 314 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 2: in the SEC. Let's do some Grand season previews. The 315 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:40,920 Speaker 2: Big Ten season is upon us. I've waited so long 316 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 2: to talk about this. We had all of our Big 317 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 2: Ten stuff lined up, we were ready to dish some 318 00:13:45,600 --> 00:13:49,080 Speaker 2: season previews out, and then Kevin Warren said season is canceled. 319 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 2: We will not revisit this decision. In related news, the 320 00:13:53,040 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 2: Big Ten season kicks off tomorrow night. Here we are 321 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 2: in October. So let's talk about this and we're going 322 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 2: to go with a programs here or we're not going 323 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 2: to spend fifteen minutes on any one of them. Ohio 324 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:08,120 Speaker 2: State Grand Season Preview. Many doubts, many doubts I had 325 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,679 Speaker 2: about the Big Ten when it looked like everything was 326 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 2: in a state of limbo, and if they do come back, 327 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 2: if they don't come back, And here's what it felt like. 328 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 2: What it felt like is your training and training and 329 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 2: dieting and lifting and getting ready to participate in the 330 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 2: mister Olympia competition. But then all of a sudden they 331 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 2: call you and they say, your spot's been taken. 332 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:28,080 Speaker 1: Sorry, your spot's been taken. 333 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 2: Well, the first thing you'd probably do is get depressed 334 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 2: and go to Burger King and get a double whopper, 335 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 2: and then you go get a milkshake the next day, 336 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 2: and you just kind of let yourself go because everything 337 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 2: you had been killing yourself training for has been taken 338 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 2: away from you. But then a couple of weeks later, 339 00:14:42,480 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 2: the mister Olympia folks call you and they say, wait 340 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 2: a second, wait. 341 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 1: A second, we made an error. 342 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 2: We have room for you after all competitions two weeks away. 343 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 2: Can you still make it out here? Well, on one hand, 344 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:56,320 Speaker 2: you'd be excited cause you get to compete. Your whole 345 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:59,479 Speaker 2: year revolved around it. But on the other hand, uh, oh, 346 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 2: my body fat percentage is up near double digits right now, 347 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 2: what am I gonna look like? 348 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 1: Well? 349 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 2: What am I saying all this for. I'm saying all 350 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:09,200 Speaker 2: this because Ohio State they never stopped dieting, they never 351 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 2: stopped training. They're like a caged animal. It's palpable. You 352 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 2: can feel it coming out of Columbus. They just flat 353 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 2: out felt like they took themselves more seriously over this 354 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 2: whole ordeal than pretty much everyone else in the Big Ten. 355 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 2: I may be wrong about I'm not wrong about Ohio State. 356 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 2: Maybe I'm wrong, but more folks didn't take it more seriously. 357 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 2: But Ohio State straight up caged animal right now. So 358 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 2: we begin the hashtag prayers for Nebraska campaign right now. 359 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 2: But this isn't a game preview. We'll do that in 360 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 2: a second. Areas of focus a couple of them here. 361 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 2: Secondary is first and foremost on everyone's mind in Buckeye Nation, 362 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 2: mine too. Sean Wade when he opted back in, that 363 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 2: was massive because that is one pillar that you can 364 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:50,000 Speaker 2: put in that secondary, and then you can build off that, 365 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 2: and you got an alpha in the secondary too, and 366 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 2: everything else. 367 00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 1: Can revolve around that. 368 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 2: But the production, I think it's very reasonable to expect 369 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:02,440 Speaker 2: will regress. Someone is to what degree does it regress? 370 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 2: And also week over week do you continue to see 371 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 2: improvement or is it just a unit that ooh looks 372 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 2: a little in over their skis. They won't lack talent. 373 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 2: I think that's obvious at any position group we're talking about. 374 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:16,400 Speaker 2: Second thing is just pull away ability. We can start 375 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 2: in week one. They're favored by twenty six against Nebraska. 376 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,200 Speaker 2: Now normally Ohio State, we just need to win. But 377 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:24,280 Speaker 2: you know what the dynamic is here. They're playing less 378 00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 2: games than the big boys in the SEC and whatnot, 379 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 2: clems in and so they probably need to win and 380 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 2: win definitively just to remove any doubt. And unlike most 381 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: years where fans who want you to cover the spread 382 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 2: worry about that, this is a year where that coaching 383 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 2: staff has to actually be cognizant of that. The third 384 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 2: area of focus offensive line and defensive line. Does it 385 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 2: validate the recruiting efforts. Their recruiting efforts have been top notch. 386 00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 2: I never freak out about these numbers of returning starters 387 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 2: that are thrown around or lack thereof for programs like 388 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 2: Ohio State, Alabama, Clemson. Now, I don't freak out about 389 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 2: it because I know what kind of depth they have. 390 00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:06,160 Speaker 2: I know how they recruit. If you follow recruiting every year, 391 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 2: that shouldn't freak you out. Half the time, the guy 392 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 2: who's replacing the starter ends up being better than the starter. 393 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:16,960 Speaker 2: So role players become every down players. You've got freshmen, reshirt, 394 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,399 Speaker 2: freshman sophomores who end up becoming role players. 395 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:21,440 Speaker 1: Everyone just bumps up the ladder one wrung. 396 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 2: They think they're going to be incredibly good on the 397 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,680 Speaker 2: offensive line. You may not know the names yet they do, 398 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 2: You may not think you will at the end of 399 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 2: the year. 400 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:32,440 Speaker 1: I have very few concerns. 401 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:36,000 Speaker 2: About their offensive line, defensive line, and pretty much every 402 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 2: level of that defense outside of probably linebacker I got 403 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,159 Speaker 2: my eye on. But those are some areas of focus. 404 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 2: Now questions tie it right back into the defense. What 405 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:48,160 Speaker 2: is the starting point there? What's the entry point? Because there, 406 00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 2: as I said, there are questions about new faces up front, 407 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 2: Questions you know, when you're replacing the likes of Chase 408 00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:57,199 Speaker 2: Young and whatnot. There are questions about your ability to 409 00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 2: consistently generate a pass rush. Yes, line I think is 410 00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 2: pretty obviously the strength and the core of that defense, 411 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 2: at least. 412 00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: To start the season. 413 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 2: Been a little while since we said that about Ohio State, 414 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:08,920 Speaker 2: by the way, But here's the thing. When they start 415 00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:12,919 Speaker 2: the year, are there times where, even against Nebraska, are 416 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 2: there times where even in a win, the secondary looks 417 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 2: lost or is it one of those deals where you 418 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 2: know you can see rapid week over week improvement. Ohio 419 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 2: State is going to win games, and they're going to 420 00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 2: win a lot of them. But sometimes you got teams 421 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:29,439 Speaker 2: that are so talented they're winning even in spite of 422 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 2: some flaws. Those flaws won't matter against let's say Nebraska, 423 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,640 Speaker 2: but you start seeing things sometimes and teams when they're 424 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 2: playing inferior competition that you just kind of keep in 425 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:39,440 Speaker 2: the back of your mind. That's a red flag, that's 426 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 2: a crack in the damn, so to speak, and it 427 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,359 Speaker 2: would matter down the road. How many of those do 428 00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 2: you see with Ohio State? So let's talk about schedule 429 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 2: here quickly. To remind you, the way that we do 430 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 2: schedule here is we don't give you just a win loss, 431 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:53,479 Speaker 2: win loss. We don't project your win loss record that way. 432 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 2: What we like to do is we like to give 433 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:58,200 Speaker 2: a toughness rating one to ten for every single game 434 00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 2: that you played, and so or Ohio State's eight game 435 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:03,639 Speaker 2: schedule this year Colin showing it to you right now 436 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 2: if you're watching on YouTube. They've got no games that 437 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 2: we raided a ten. Even the Michigan game, even the 438 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 2: trip to Penn State we rated a nine. Now that 439 00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 2: one could border on a ten, but we rated it 440 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 2: a nine. But they as you see there, we do 441 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,240 Speaker 2: have two games rated eight or nine. There are three 442 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:21,680 Speaker 2: games rated in the six to seven range, and then 443 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,560 Speaker 2: they got three three out of eight, nearly half. 444 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,440 Speaker 1: The schedule is rated five or less. 445 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:30,479 Speaker 2: Our best, worst, and most likely record scenarios from our 446 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:34,960 Speaker 2: computer model per one thousand season simulations. Best case and 447 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:38,639 Speaker 2: most likely are the exact same. Our model likes the 448 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 2: best case to be eight to o. Our model also 449 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:43,680 Speaker 2: thinks the most likely path for Ohio State is eight 450 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,400 Speaker 2: to o and the worst case is six and two. 451 00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:49,920 Speaker 2: What a life to be living in Columbus, Ohio. My 452 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 2: official pick here, I'm gonna roll right with our computer model. 453 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,439 Speaker 2: I'm saying eight to o for Ohio State in the 454 00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 2: regular season. Next up, let's go to Happy Valley, shall we? 455 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:03,679 Speaker 2: Penn State Grand season preview? This, for my money, is 456 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 2: the most intriguing team in the Big ten right now. 457 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:10,200 Speaker 2: This is one where I see shades of Clemson. I 458 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 2: think a lot of people make that a lazy comparison. 459 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,520 Speaker 2: I don't think it's lazy at all. I'm not noticing. 460 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 2: I'm not comparing them in terms of personnel or coach 461 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:22,119 Speaker 2: or anything like that. I'm not comparing them shot for 462 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 2: shot to Clemson. What I'm saying is this is a 463 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,840 Speaker 2: program one of a few in America right now that 464 00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:32,399 Speaker 2: have that possibility to slowly yet all of a sudden 465 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 2: pop on the national championship scene. 466 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: That's what Clemson did. 467 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 2: Clemson thought they were there, then they weren't there, and 468 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 2: then they are working towards it, working towards it. They're 469 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,240 Speaker 2: a nice, solid acc team. Boom, Deshaun Watson, they're in 470 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 2: the national title game. 471 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 1: Boom, they win one. A couple of years later, Boom, 472 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 1: they win another one. 473 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 2: Recruiting spikes and so you were kind of sitting around, 474 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 2: if you're not a diehard day to day Clemson fan, 475 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 2: you're saying, man, they kind of came out of nowhere. No, 476 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 2: they didn't come out of nowhere. They were steadily building. 477 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,359 Speaker 2: The root system was taking place. Well, now Clemson is 478 00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,640 Speaker 2: a finished product. They're in the thing every year. Penn 479 00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 2: State's not there yet. But what could be happening at 480 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 2: Penn State right now is the same thing that was 481 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:10,440 Speaker 2: happening at Clemson. Let's say twenty twelve or thirteen or fourteen. 482 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:14,159 Speaker 2: What they got is a generational quarterback. His name was 483 00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 2: Deshaun Watson. I don't know that Shan Clifford meets that criteria, 484 00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 2: but we'll see what the future holes we're talking about 485 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 2: twenty twenty right now though, areas of focus for Penn State. 486 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 2: We got new offense, we got a new offensive coordinator 487 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 2: in Kurt Sharraka. 488 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,359 Speaker 1: What is the potential? What's the ceiling there? 489 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,320 Speaker 2: You got excellent running backs, you got Canaan Ford, even 490 00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:33,439 Speaker 2: with Journey Brown out, you. 491 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 1: Got a couple of at least a couple. 492 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 2: I like the depth overall of the position at the 493 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:40,680 Speaker 2: running back spot, they could be excellent. On the offensive line, 494 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 2: You've got experience and reasonable talent at the quarterback position 495 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 2: in Sean Clifford. Plus and this is kind of a 496 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,159 Speaker 2: tie in. It's kind of a dual. Number one point. 497 00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,720 Speaker 2: There's no reason why they can't be the best defense 498 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 2: in the Big Ten. There's nothing keeping them from that. 499 00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 2: There are question marks, there are question marks with everyone. 500 00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,200 Speaker 2: But I will tell you this, I know Micah Parson's 501 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,399 Speaker 2: opting out and not opting back in. 502 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:06,520 Speaker 1: He's getting a lot of the headlines. But look elsewhere. 503 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:08,840 Speaker 2: They got a couple of really talented guys at the 504 00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 2: end spots on defense. I like their interior defensive linemen. Also, 505 00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 2: they've got talent and experience in the secondary. Like linebacker 506 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,200 Speaker 2: is obviously a work in progress. But when's the last 507 00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:22,399 Speaker 2: time a college team entered a season anywhere and you 508 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,879 Speaker 2: said no questions on that team. The question marks for 509 00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,440 Speaker 2: this Penn State defense I think are written in much 510 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 2: lighter pencil than some of the red sharpie question marks 511 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:34,760 Speaker 2: that exists across the landscape of maybe the rest of 512 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 2: the Big Ten and a lot of college football. Let's 513 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 2: talk about questions with Penn State. What can they get 514 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:43,719 Speaker 2: out of the wide receiver position. We're talking about new offense, 515 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:44,960 Speaker 2: we're talking about philosophy. 516 00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 1: Well, what can they get there? 517 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 2: Because they're excellent at tight end and everyone knows that 518 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:51,159 Speaker 2: they're all American caliber at tight end, But you know 519 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:54,359 Speaker 2: Dotson at receivers, a guy they they're pretty sure they 520 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 2: can depend on Dotson and who hoops? As I like 521 00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 2: to say Donson and Hoops. They had two hundred plus 522 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 2: passing yards in just three games last year. That is 523 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 2: inexplicably bad in modern day college football. 524 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 1: It just has to be better. 525 00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 2: It has to be I have a little excitement about 526 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,080 Speaker 2: Parker Washington. There have been a lot of whispers about 527 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,119 Speaker 2: him out of practice up there, so I'm excited to 528 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 2: see him. And then the second part, and the biggest 529 00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 2: question that I have for them, is can the good 530 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:23,640 Speaker 2: units on this team, and there are a few of them, 531 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:25,880 Speaker 2: can any of them be dominant? Will we watch Penn 532 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:27,760 Speaker 2: State at any point this year and say they have 533 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:28,880 Speaker 2: a dominant fill in the. 534 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 1: Blank or is it just going to be Oh, there 535 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: are a lot of. 536 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 2: Solid you know, you pat him on the head, really solid. 537 00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 2: This is a top twelve, top thirteen team, but they're 538 00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 2: probably not going to contend for anything. Well, you got 539 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:43,640 Speaker 2: a I mean, you got a running back stable, even 540 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,320 Speaker 2: again without Journey Brown, that could take that step to 541 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:48,960 Speaker 2: be able to carry a team. You've got guys like 542 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 2: a Way, for example, at defensive end, like do they 543 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,360 Speaker 2: turn that presence into a dominant presence? 544 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:56,880 Speaker 1: Farm youth at tight end I think would. 545 00:23:56,640 --> 00:24:00,840 Speaker 2: Be the most likely to preseason qualify for that caliber player. Colin. 546 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,000 Speaker 2: Let's take a look at the Penn State schedule. As 547 00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:05,520 Speaker 2: I told you with the Ohio State preview, every game 548 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,520 Speaker 2: gets a toughness rating we aggregate and per one thousand 549 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,440 Speaker 2: simulations of a season from our computer model, we want 550 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 2: to know what you are most likely to go. So, 551 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 2: as you see, Penn State does not have an easy schedule. 552 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,000 Speaker 2: It's not the toughest thing in the world, but they 553 00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 2: have a ten rated game. Naturally, Ohio State cannot play themselves, 554 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,399 Speaker 2: so Ohio State gets to duck the biggest hurdle in 555 00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:29,160 Speaker 2: the conference because they practice against each other but never 556 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 2: have to play each other. Penn State has a game 557 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 2: rated ten. Penn State has one game rated nine. That's 558 00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:36,520 Speaker 2: the game at Michigan a little past the midway point 559 00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 2: in the season. They play four games rated six or seven, 560 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:43,879 Speaker 2: and they play two games rated five or less. Best case, 561 00:24:44,240 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 2: worst case, and most likely, our computer model per one 562 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:52,199 Speaker 2: thousand simulations, likes seven to one as the ceiling for 563 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:53,160 Speaker 2: this Penn State team. 564 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 1: Four and four the worst case. 565 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,040 Speaker 2: Keep in mind worst case means a bunch of injuries, 566 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 2: a bunch of turnover disaster games. The worst of the 567 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:04,800 Speaker 2: worst case four and four, but are most likely for 568 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 2: Penn State was six and two, and I think it 569 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 2: ended up being right at six and a half wins. 570 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,720 Speaker 2: And I rounded down to six and two only because 571 00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 2: in a COVID year, I tend to round down for everyone. 572 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:16,639 Speaker 2: So there you go with Penn State. Now I can 573 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:18,960 Speaker 2: tell you right now that that is a team. It 574 00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,280 Speaker 2: wouldn't shock me. I know we put seven and one 575 00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:23,560 Speaker 2: as the best case. If they're sitting there seven and one, 576 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 2: that's an interesting story, especially for like twenty twenty one 577 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,640 Speaker 2: and beyond, because they're already there. They're on the doorstep, 578 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:32,080 Speaker 2: all right. The third and final one we're going to 579 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,199 Speaker 2: do on the show here tonight before we move on 580 00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:37,199 Speaker 2: to several other game predictions for the week and our 581 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 2: best bets. The Michigan Grand season preview. You could look 582 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 2: at this one of two ways. I know, I got 583 00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:46,239 Speaker 2: a bunch of Michigan buddies, one in particular, who is 584 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:50,000 Speaker 2: selling me hardcore on twenty twenty one Michigan, and I 585 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,880 Speaker 2: keep saying, what about twenty twenty and he keeps saying, Ah, 586 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,520 Speaker 2: it is what it is. I got some other Michigan 587 00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 2: buddies who have no interest in talking about twenty twenty one. 588 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 2: They want to talk about twenty twenty their reasoning, and 589 00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,119 Speaker 2: I'm not so sure. I don't agree with this. More is, 590 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:10,359 Speaker 2: this is Michigan. This is not some program where you know, 591 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 2: we every now and then recruit a class inside the 592 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,879 Speaker 2: top fifty and you know, kind of like a nice 593 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:18,400 Speaker 2: little regional startup brand of a program. 594 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 1: This is Michigan, man. 595 00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:22,879 Speaker 2: We don't take years off, and so we need to 596 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 2: taste it right now. 597 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 1: Then we'll worry. 598 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 2: About twenty twenty one. I think that's fair. I think 599 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 2: it's more than fair. I think Jim Harbaugh would like 600 00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:33,120 Speaker 2: you to fall into the latter category. But I think 601 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 2: that's more than fair. So let's talk about some areas 602 00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:38,280 Speaker 2: of focus. Here by ten miles. The biggest area of 603 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:41,680 Speaker 2: focus is one Joseph Milton. Friends call him Joe. Joe 604 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,000 Speaker 2: Milton is starting at quarterback. I guess this hasn't been 605 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,719 Speaker 2: officially announced. He's the starting quarterback for Michigan now. Camp 606 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:51,399 Speaker 2: whispers can build you up for a major letdown, So 607 00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:55,040 Speaker 2: I just want to caution you. Sometimes camp whispers can 608 00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:58,680 Speaker 2: break your heart come regular season. Other times, camp whispers 609 00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,240 Speaker 2: are totally validating. I'll give you two very extreme examples. 610 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:06,160 Speaker 2: Joe Milton, what have we heard? We've heard? Who was it? 611 00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:09,119 Speaker 1: It was PJ. Fleck. They play Minnesota in week one. PJ. 612 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:12,480 Speaker 2: Fleck said, Oh, Joe Milton, once in a decade type talent. 613 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:15,119 Speaker 2: You hear a whisper. This guy reminds me of Cam Newton. 614 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,760 Speaker 2: This guy's got a cannon for an arm. My goodness, 615 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,200 Speaker 2: I mean he's so good that he ran poor McCaffrey 616 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,440 Speaker 2: out of here. He entered himself into the transfer portal 617 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,200 Speaker 2: as soon as he saw Joe Milton throw football. All righty, well, 618 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 2: I'm just telling you a lot of folks just heard 619 00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 2: this kind of stuff very similar at Georgia with Dewan 620 00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,960 Speaker 2: Mathis now on this show. We tempered that what we 621 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 2: told you was we're hearing Dewan Mathis is going to start. 622 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 2: What we didn't say is he's going to start and 623 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:42,320 Speaker 2: hang half a hundred on Arkansas. I was in the 624 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:44,479 Speaker 2: Remains to be seen camp there just like I am 625 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 2: with Joe Milton. Because I hear all the whispers. No 626 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 2: one hopes it's true more than me. I would love 627 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 2: from Michigan to hit a home run at quarterback. Barton 628 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 2: put out a really good piece today about how at 629 00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 2: one point in Jim Harbaugh's career he had never missed 630 00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:00,720 Speaker 2: at quarterback, and now all of a sudden, kind of 631 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:02,680 Speaker 2: a little mini drought, he's on there. I would love 632 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,080 Speaker 2: for it to work out. Has it worked out before? 633 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,600 Speaker 2: Have all of those camp whispers been validated? Yeah, you 634 00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:09,840 Speaker 2: don't have to go back very far. Remember this time 635 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:11,760 Speaker 2: last year there was a guy at LSU named Joe 636 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:15,080 Speaker 2: Burrow who had done nothing special the prior season, and 637 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,159 Speaker 2: then all of a sudden, everyone says, hey, you know 638 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:17,720 Speaker 2: that quarterback. 639 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:18,880 Speaker 1: It wasn't all that great last year. 640 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 2: We're going to light the world on fire with him 641 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 2: this year. Well they did, so sometimes camp whispers are validated. 642 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,359 Speaker 2: That's an area of focus, the biggest with Michigan number 643 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 2: two team speed and athleticism. It's always what I watch 644 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:34,240 Speaker 2: with them. It's where they have been lacking. You know, 645 00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:39,320 Speaker 2: they lose some big time names at receiver. Donovan Peoples, Jones, 646 00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:42,680 Speaker 2: Nico Collins for example, opted out. And there are not 647 00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:45,600 Speaker 2: a lot of names that you probably know household names 648 00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 2: at receiver. 649 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what they do have. 650 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,680 Speaker 2: They've got a lot of right now, anonymous names that 651 00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:53,800 Speaker 2: I think give them a lot more speed and speed 652 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:56,160 Speaker 2: being the premier factor that I'm looking for from them, 653 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:59,040 Speaker 2: and Josh Gattis is probably looking for than they had 654 00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 2: last year. What they do with it remains to be seen, 655 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:04,440 Speaker 2: but that excites me a little bit. And then you 656 00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:07,880 Speaker 2: look at defensive back play. How fast are they when 657 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,480 Speaker 2: they faced Ohio State when they faced Alabama last year? 658 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:11,800 Speaker 1: The difference was pretty glaring. 659 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 2: So they got to catch up speed, speed, speed, They 660 00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:16,959 Speaker 2: got to catch up in that department. Biggest questions here 661 00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:21,240 Speaker 2: quickly is the passing game evolving here? I hear about 662 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,960 Speaker 2: that rocket of an arm with Joe Milton. I see 663 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,160 Speaker 2: what has and hasn't worked. I see what the big 664 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,840 Speaker 2: boys do that Michigan hasn't been able to do. I mean, 665 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,640 Speaker 2: if you're going to use Alabama as the standard, their 666 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:35,280 Speaker 2: personnel keeps changing, and yet they keep doing the same thing. 667 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,200 Speaker 2: They just lost Tongue I Loo and a couple of 668 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:40,920 Speaker 2: first round receivers, and yet there they are doing it again. Now, yeah, 669 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:42,720 Speaker 2: that's talent. I mean, they got a whole lot of 670 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 2: it down there. But that's what you're looking to build. 671 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:49,240 Speaker 2: You're looking to build a system that makes any player 672 00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 2: of the talent caliber necessary to carry it out. Any 673 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,600 Speaker 2: player shines in it. That's what you're looking to build there. 674 00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:58,480 Speaker 2: That's why Josh Gattis is one of the most important 675 00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 2: people in college football this year and beyond. 676 00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 1: Second thing. 677 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:07,160 Speaker 2: How many games in an eight game season will Michigan 678 00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,600 Speaker 2: lack the quarterback edge in? Because since quarterback is right 679 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,000 Speaker 2: now still an unknown, how many games will they lack 680 00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:14,000 Speaker 2: the quarterback edge in? 681 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: Let me just read some names here. 682 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 2: Tanner Morgan, that's who they play in the opener against Minnesota. 683 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,440 Speaker 2: Who's going to have the better quarterback in that game? 684 00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 2: Do you think Sean Clifford when they play Penn State, 685 00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,479 Speaker 2: Who's got the better quarterback there? What about Michael Phoenix 686 00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 2: in Indiana, lesser known name, Big ten folks know him 687 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,560 Speaker 2: justin fields, of course, is a household name up there? 688 00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:36,480 Speaker 2: Graham Mertz, new starter at Wisconsin. As we look back 689 00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,800 Speaker 2: on the season come December, how many games do we 690 00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:43,160 Speaker 2: look at with revisionist eyeballs and say Michigan had the 691 00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,880 Speaker 2: quarterback edge in that game? Versus how many would you 692 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,960 Speaker 2: say right now? So those are the questions. Now, let's 693 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:52,520 Speaker 2: talk about the schedule. We toughness rate every game one 694 00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:54,120 Speaker 2: to ten, and we want to know how you're going 695 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:56,640 Speaker 2: to go per one thousand season simulations. And if you 696 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 2: wonder why you keep repeating that, it's cause we're going 697 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 2: to cut these videos for individual use. 698 00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 1: Therefore, some people will only. 699 00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:05,200 Speaker 2: Watch this video and have not heard what I said 700 00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:09,680 Speaker 2: the previous two predictions. So Michigan's got one game that 701 00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:11,560 Speaker 2: we rate a ten. It's the obvious. At the end 702 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:13,880 Speaker 2: of the season, tripped to the Horseshoe against Ohio State, 703 00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,520 Speaker 2: they got two games rated eight or nine, three more 704 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 2: rated six or seven. This is one of the tougher 705 00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:20,760 Speaker 2: schedules in the Big Ten. Got to be honest with you, 706 00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 2: and then they got two games rated five or less. 707 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:25,960 Speaker 2: Our best case, worst case, and most likely for Michigan. 708 00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 2: Our record scenarios that our computer models spat out. Seven 709 00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 2: and one is the best case all the way down 710 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 2: at three and five was the worst case. A little 711 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 2: bit wider variance here with Michigan than we've had with 712 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 2: most teams in the Big Ten. Their most likely was 713 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 2: five and three, and I toyed with the idea of 714 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,200 Speaker 2: going six and two. I ended up sticking at five 715 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 2: and three as our most likely is the most likely 716 00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 2: so I agree with our model. In other words, I'm 717 00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:50,560 Speaker 2: going five and three as the most likely path for 718 00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:54,120 Speaker 2: Michigan in twenty twenty. We got more spotlight games to 719 00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 2: talk about, we got best bets to hand out. 720 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:57,040 Speaker 1: So let's keep it moving here. 721 00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:01,800 Speaker 2: Speaking of the Wolverines, they are at Minnesota. This is 722 00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:03,480 Speaker 2: the game of the week for me. I know it's 723 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 2: a little bit lighter slate this week, but this one 724 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:09,560 Speaker 2: it's very intriguing from a national perspective, even very intriguing. 725 00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 2: It's the seven thirty kickoff Eastern time on ABC. Joe Milton, 726 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:16,160 Speaker 2: like I told you in the Michigan preview, PJ Fleck, 727 00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 2: doing exactly at Minnesota what I would do. He's finding 728 00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:22,720 Speaker 2: the nearest microphone and he is saying things like Joe 729 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 2: Milton is a once in a decade quarterback. Therefore if 730 00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:28,520 Speaker 2: he beats you, no big deal. And if you beat him, 731 00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 2: we just slayed the giant baby. So same thing in 732 00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:36,040 Speaker 2: play here, talking about it all off season, same thing 733 00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:41,040 Speaker 2: in play here. As much as there's some turnover with Michigan, 734 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 2: as much as you got four new offens, you know 735 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,920 Speaker 2: the talking points, four new offensive linemen, a couple of 736 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,480 Speaker 2: new wide receivers you got to replace, and the quarterback situation, 737 00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,880 Speaker 2: well they also got some overturn and some churn, if 738 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,840 Speaker 2: you will, on the staff, at least at Minnesota. Shirak 739 00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 2: is out, Mike Stanford Zen comes in from Utah State. 740 00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:03,719 Speaker 2: What are they offense in Week one? I think that 741 00:33:03,760 --> 00:33:07,440 Speaker 2: Minnesota is extremely vulnerable in the secondary early in the season. 742 00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 2: So what is Michigan typically, Well, they are not a 743 00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:13,440 Speaker 2: bomb away on your offense typically. If there's going to 744 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,520 Speaker 2: be a philosophical change, then I think it needs to 745 00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:19,840 Speaker 2: be fairly evident, like the snap of the finger, fairly 746 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:23,239 Speaker 2: quickly in this game Week one, waste no time. If 747 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,800 Speaker 2: Joe Milton has that arm talent, if you are truly 748 00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 2: faster at receiver, if you're Josh Gattison, you want to 749 00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,880 Speaker 2: show it off, show it off. In Week one. I 750 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 2: think they're going to. I think Michigan will make a 751 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 2: surprising number of plays, explosive in nature down the field, 752 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 2: and I think they're going to end up winning this game. 753 00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:41,080 Speaker 2: And I think Michigan's also going to end up covering 754 00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,440 Speaker 2: in this game. So give me the Wolverines in Week one, 755 00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:47,480 Speaker 2: a game you could also argue as deserving of game 756 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:51,080 Speaker 2: of the week's status my eye with State Cyclones bias 757 00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 2: alert or on the road at Oklahoma State Cowboys a 758 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:56,200 Speaker 2: three and a half point favorite. This is a mid 759 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:58,920 Speaker 2: noon or mid afternoon kickoff three thirty Eastern time on 760 00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 2: Fox Now, Oh, Oklahoma State. Have you even seen them? 761 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:05,080 Speaker 2: They're on milk cartons lately. They haven't played in like 762 00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,920 Speaker 2: three weeks. I don't like that. We wondered at the 763 00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 2: beginning of the season for these teams who have to 764 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,200 Speaker 2: take a break due to COVID in the middle of 765 00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 2: the year, is added rest going to be a benefit 766 00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:15,440 Speaker 2: for them? 767 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:17,080 Speaker 1: Well, so far it's been the opposite. 768 00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,920 Speaker 2: Granted, this sample size is limited. I haven't liked teams 769 00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:23,840 Speaker 2: getting a whole lot of rest one week, okay, a 770 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:24,920 Speaker 2: couple of weeks. 771 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:26,239 Speaker 1: Or even further than that. Don't like it. 772 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:29,040 Speaker 2: I remember this game last year. I think I watched 773 00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:31,279 Speaker 2: every down of it. There were two screen passes that 774 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:36,120 Speaker 2: just killed us. Hashtag week Iowa State. Let's not allow 775 00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:36,839 Speaker 2: that this year. 776 00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:37,239 Speaker 1: Now. 777 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,680 Speaker 2: I'm counting on Iowa State doing something in this game 778 00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:44,360 Speaker 2: that I think people would expect from Oklahoma State, and 779 00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:46,480 Speaker 2: that's having a heck of a day on the ground. 780 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:48,640 Speaker 1: This is a good Oklahoma State defense. 781 00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:52,120 Speaker 2: I think that the running game for Iowa State will 782 00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,120 Speaker 2: be able to get the job done enough to not 783 00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:57,000 Speaker 2: only cover that three and a half point spread. But 784 00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,440 Speaker 2: I think the Cyclones went outright. And you may say, 785 00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 2: Jos sure, am moving on, Penn State is a five 786 00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:08,560 Speaker 2: point favorite at Indiana. There's a lot of intrigue. I 787 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,560 Speaker 2: know that this does not qualify as super Bowl status. 788 00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 1: Or anything like that. There's a lot of intrigue. You 789 00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:14,279 Speaker 1: hear what I said. 790 00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 2: I did not say Penn State is a sixteen or 791 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:20,600 Speaker 2: fifteen point favorite. I said five or six, depending on 792 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,719 Speaker 2: where you look. So this is a mid noon, mid 793 00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:26,960 Speaker 2: afternoon keep saying that mid afternoon kickoff on FS one. 794 00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:31,120 Speaker 2: Penn State's questions, every question surrounding this program I've listened 795 00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,759 Speaker 2: all week diligently, are being shouted into a megaphone. 796 00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:36,719 Speaker 1: You got the offensive questions. 797 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 2: We just talked about a lot of this with the 798 00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:42,080 Speaker 2: new offensive coordinator, Micah Parsons opted out on you, Journey 799 00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:45,399 Speaker 2: Brown running back, he may be done for the entire year, 800 00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:49,560 Speaker 2: and you got Ohio State coming up next week. Hidden 801 00:35:49,600 --> 00:35:51,799 Speaker 2: in all this is the fact that I think Penn 802 00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:56,040 Speaker 2: State enjoys a pretty sizable line of scrimmage mismatch both 803 00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:59,080 Speaker 2: sides in this game. And I also think they possessed 804 00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:01,840 Speaker 2: the ability to really control the game on the ground 805 00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:06,120 Speaker 2: in the latter stages. So not only do we like 806 00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:09,080 Speaker 2: Penn State to win here, we like Penn State to cover. 807 00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:12,439 Speaker 2: This looks like a sucker bet, I know it does. 808 00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:16,040 Speaker 2: We're fine with it. Our numbers like Penn State. We 809 00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 2: will gladly take Penn State to win, and we will 810 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 2: take them to cover, much to the delight of the 811 00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:25,239 Speaker 2: league office, because I don't necessarily think you want on 812 00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,239 Speaker 2: oh to one Penn State team in that Week two 813 00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:30,279 Speaker 2: matchup against Ohio State. Speaking of the Buckeyes, not a 814 00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:31,880 Speaker 2: lot to talk about in terms of who's gonna win 815 00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:35,400 Speaker 2: this game against Nebraska. Buck Guy's a twenty six point favorite. 816 00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,760 Speaker 2: This is the Saturday noon Eastern time kickoff on Big Fox. 817 00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:43,960 Speaker 2: Our numbers scream Ohio State to cover. They just scream 818 00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:47,200 Speaker 2: Ohio State to cover. In fact, our computer model spits 819 00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:51,759 Speaker 2: out of cover probability. Ohio State is in the seventies 820 00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:56,799 Speaker 2: this week as cover probability. Now, granted, sometimes when you 821 00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,520 Speaker 2: have Week one there are just flaws in the system. 822 00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:02,960 Speaker 2: It hasn't been calibrated properly. But even so, it's rare 823 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,279 Speaker 2: to see a seventy percent. But Bud Elliot and I 824 00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:08,440 Speaker 2: were talking about this earlier. When you have any kind 825 00:37:08,480 --> 00:37:10,560 Speaker 2: of model, any kind of system that spits out a 826 00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,279 Speaker 2: number like that, you just take it for granted that 827 00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:15,480 Speaker 2: there must be something in the market that you're not 828 00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:18,120 Speaker 2: seeing that your numbers aren't picking up on. You'd almost 829 00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:21,160 Speaker 2: rather it be sixty percent instead of seventy percent. We 830 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,359 Speaker 2: bet sixty percent games all the time. When it gets 831 00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:26,520 Speaker 2: up to seventy percent, I say, no, no, there is 832 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:28,920 Speaker 2: no seventy percent edge in the betting world. 833 00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:31,359 Speaker 1: Just doesn't exist. I don't care what in the world 834 00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:31,680 Speaker 1: you're doing. 835 00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:33,759 Speaker 2: If you're betting on stuff this high profile, there is 836 00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:38,399 Speaker 2: no seventy percent edge. So, having said that, the secondary 837 00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:41,640 Speaker 2: is something I think bears close watching in this game, 838 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,360 Speaker 2: and that spread. So let's talk about it within the 839 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 2: context of that number. Ohio State minus twenty six. I've 840 00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:48,799 Speaker 2: had a lot of you text me and ask me 841 00:37:48,800 --> 00:37:52,360 Speaker 2: if that's free. Money doesn't exist, friends doesn't exist. However, 842 00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:56,600 Speaker 2: here's the thinking. If they're up fifty two to ten, 843 00:37:56,920 --> 00:37:58,560 Speaker 2: then it's not a big deal of course they're going 844 00:37:58,600 --> 00:37:58,879 Speaker 2: to cover. 845 00:37:59,000 --> 00:37:59,680 Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what. 846 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:03,160 Speaker 2: What also could be the deal in this game more 847 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:05,320 Speaker 2: like a forty five to twenty one where there is 848 00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,640 Speaker 2: a lot of backdoor potential for Nebraska because you've got 849 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:10,960 Speaker 2: a secondary still trying to find its sea legs for 850 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,399 Speaker 2: Ohio State, and you got Nebraska, who you know good 851 00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:14,640 Speaker 2: and well is going to throw the ball until the 852 00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 2: very end trying to find themselves, and so you have 853 00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:19,360 Speaker 2: a comfortable win that all of a sudden gets inside 854 00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:21,840 Speaker 2: that twenty six point margin. Now, I'm gonna take Ohio 855 00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:23,719 Speaker 2: State to win. I'm going to take them to cover. 856 00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:27,000 Speaker 2: I'm just not rolling with it in an official capacity, 857 00:38:27,080 --> 00:38:30,319 Speaker 2: So we're not putting anything on that aside from our 858 00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:34,080 Speaker 2: stamp in this here game preview. Now, before we go, 859 00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:36,480 Speaker 2: let's talk about the Roma Noudle Express. We are fifty 860 00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:38,919 Speaker 2: six percent against the numbers so far this year. 861 00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:39,759 Speaker 1: Love it. 862 00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:41,480 Speaker 2: If we could do that for the rest of time, 863 00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:43,319 Speaker 2: we would do that for the rest of time. We've 864 00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,680 Speaker 2: already given out I think three Colin, I think we 865 00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:47,759 Speaker 2: already gave out three this week. A couple of them 866 00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:49,919 Speaker 2: were on Twitter, gave out one more on the show. 867 00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:52,600 Speaker 2: I'm about to give you our final two. But my 868 00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:55,120 Speaker 2: fair warning to you, I don't think this will be 869 00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:57,000 Speaker 2: it for us, So make sure you follow us on 870 00:38:57,040 --> 00:38:59,719 Speaker 2: Twitter at late kick, Josh, because I think I got 871 00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:00,360 Speaker 2: some more come in. 872 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:01,640 Speaker 1: I got two numbers right now. 873 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:03,399 Speaker 2: I know if they were to move another half point, 874 00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:05,399 Speaker 2: I'd be ready to give to you. So let's show 875 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:09,160 Speaker 2: it to them. Colin Iowa State was our first bet. Listen, 876 00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:11,160 Speaker 2: I'm playing around with you about the bias. If you 877 00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:13,880 Speaker 2: think for a second I'm allowing favoritism to work their 878 00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:16,560 Speaker 2: way in here, well I should probably remind you we 879 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,080 Speaker 2: bet TCU against Iowa State a couple of weeks ago. 880 00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:20,160 Speaker 1: So let's shoot that down. 881 00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:23,560 Speaker 2: Iowa State plus three and a half against Oklahoma State. 882 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:26,680 Speaker 2: We are taking Missouri to win the game, so we 883 00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:30,560 Speaker 2: would love them plus five. Against Kentucky, we are taking Cincinnati. 884 00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:32,600 Speaker 2: They didn't cancel their game on us this week. We're 885 00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 2: taking them plus three on the road at SMU. These 886 00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,120 Speaker 2: are the numbers we got these games at. By the way, 887 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:42,479 Speaker 2: Penn State, we are not only liking them, we're gonna 888 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:45,879 Speaker 2: lay the points. Officially, this is a huge in fact 889 00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:48,719 Speaker 2: that Cincinnati and Penn State bet are two of what 890 00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:50,799 Speaker 2: you would probably call the bigger sucker bets on the 891 00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:54,200 Speaker 2: board this week. Love them both, our models, our model 892 00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,719 Speaker 2: loves them both. So I couldn't care less if one 893 00:39:56,800 --> 00:39:59,560 Speaker 2: hundred percent of the public is with us. Congratulations to 894 00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:01,760 Speaker 2: the public. What I have to say. Penn State minus 895 00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:03,600 Speaker 2: five and a half, make sure you get it below six. 896 00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,160 Speaker 2: And Kansas State. I went back and forth on this one. 897 00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:08,680 Speaker 2: Told I told some of our guys I wasn't gonna 898 00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:10,640 Speaker 2: take it earlier in the week. Nope, we're gonna take it. 899 00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:13,840 Speaker 2: Can't deny what our numbers say. Kansas State minus twenty. 900 00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:16,920 Speaker 2: So in summary and conclusion, if you're listening instead of 901 00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:20,479 Speaker 2: watching Iowa State plus three and a half, Missouri plus five, 902 00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:23,680 Speaker 2: Cincinnati plus three, Penn State minus five and a half, 903 00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:28,680 Speaker 2: and Kansas State rivalry game minus twenty against Kansas, and 904 00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,200 Speaker 2: follow me on Twitter for more at late kick, Josh, 905 00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:33,120 Speaker 2: all right, we've got to get out of here. We 906 00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:36,360 Speaker 2: got I think a sneaky good weekend this week. Regardless 907 00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:38,439 Speaker 2: of what happens, We'll be here Sunday night to break 908 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,120 Speaker 2: it all down, same time, eight Eastern, seventh Central. And 909 00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,960 Speaker 2: now make sure if you haven't already subscribed to the 910 00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:47,279 Speaker 2: twenty four seven Sports YouTube channel for director Colin. For 911 00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,760 Speaker 2: the podcasters over here, kind. 912 00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:51,200 Speaker 1: Of figuratively, in this corner. 913 00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,200 Speaker 2: There's Tony, there's Jordan over there. 914 00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:54,120 Speaker 1: I'm Josh Payton. 915 00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:55,640 Speaker 2: I just see if you're every time and talk to 916 00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:57,600 Speaker 2: a lie and can't talk anymore. Thank you so much 917 00:40:57,640 --> 00:41:00,399 Speaker 2: for watching. Have yourselves a great weekend andere the games. 918 00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:02,160 Speaker 2: We'll see you back your Sunday and God bless