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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: Just three postseason games remain up the twenty twenty five season,

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Speaker 1: which means just three more opportunities.

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Speaker 2: To cash in.

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Speaker 1: We'll get the party started today as we preview the

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Speaker 1: VRBO Fiesta Bowl between the ten seed Miami Hurricanes and

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Speaker 1: the sixth seed All Miss Rebels, two unlikely foes coming together,

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Speaker 1: kicking off from State Farm Stadium and Glendale, Arizona on

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Speaker 1: Thursday at seven thirty pm Eastern Time. I'm your host,

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Speaker 1: Seth Will, coming off a three and two week but

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Speaker 1: I can't help but feel that I did leave a

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Speaker 1: lot of money on the table. I was leading towards

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Speaker 1: the ReBs end up taking them in the first half

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Speaker 1: of that game instead of the game itself. Back with

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Speaker 1: me as always is Scott Big Time Bogman Boggs. It

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Speaker 1: was one of those moments where I should have just

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Speaker 1: gone with my gut, because I was certainly leaning towards

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Speaker 1: putting Old Miss on the outright upset. Your thoughts on

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Speaker 1: how we got here to this matchup and the overall

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Speaker 1: vibes heading into the semi final preview.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the the initial Miami, Ohio State game, the

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Speaker 3: first game of the weekend was wild to start because

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Speaker 3: we did not think that Miami was capable of beating

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Speaker 3: Ohio State. But once they beat Ohio State, it's like,

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Speaker 3: you know, even beating a and m right kind of

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Speaker 3: said to me, now, this team's legit. They could win,

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Speaker 3: but you don't expect them to against a powerhouse like

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Speaker 3: Ohio State. Then beating Ohio State that was like, oh, now,

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Speaker 3: anything can happen. And then you know, obviously Oregon looses

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Speaker 3: to Texas Tech, Indiana beats Bama down. Those were not

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Speaker 3: close games at all. And then this Georgia Ole Miss

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Speaker 3: game was an instant classic Trinidad shambless. So part of

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Speaker 3: the reason I'm going to be on Miami here is

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Speaker 3: how repeatable is that Trinidad shambless performance that he had

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Speaker 3: that was unbelievable to one. Lacy was also not nearly

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Speaker 3: as hurt as they had made him out to be.

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Speaker 3: I thought he was going to be like limited in

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Speaker 3: this game, or at least, you know, let's use him

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Speaker 3: in space, Let's not let him try to run over

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Speaker 3: people like he normally does.

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Speaker 2: He did not care. They gave him the goofballs.

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Speaker 3: He went out there running people over it was that

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Speaker 3: game was a lot of fun. But we know that

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Speaker 3: Georgia team has played up and down sure both ways.

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Speaker 3: That was why I like them in this game because

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Speaker 3: I was like, well, they can score with anybody. They

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Speaker 3: did this against Tennessee, they did this against Georgia earlier.

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Speaker 3: But they can get in the mud and play with

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Speaker 3: Georgia Tech and all that stuff too. But playing to

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Speaker 3: your opponent also hurts because it always makes it a

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Speaker 3: close game. And they could not pull it out at

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Speaker 3: the end and all Miss ended up winning on the

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Speaker 3: back of Shambless. That was unbelievably fun performance. Obviously, Indiana

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Speaker 3: just smoking Alabama was shocking to people. But this is

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Speaker 3: the shift. This is a new shift in college football.

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Speaker 3: Is teams are gonna be able to rebuild through the portal.

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Speaker 3: Quicker things are going to happen for them. And Signetty

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Speaker 3: is the boss right now. You want to look at

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Speaker 3: who is number one in college football, that is Signetti.

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Speaker 3: Signetti is the dude. He's the new Saban And if

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Speaker 3: I feel like they're probably gonna start with the title

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Speaker 3: here this year. But this is a factory, it seems

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Speaker 3: to be right now. So this game is just not

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Speaker 3: what we expected at all, but it is going to

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Speaker 3: be a lot of fun.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean speaking a good coaches. Shoutut to Pete Golding.

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Speaker 1: For everything that this ole Miss ReBs program has had

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Speaker 1: to go through over the past really thirty to sixty

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Speaker 1: calendar days and to keep them so in line that

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Speaker 1: they're able to go up against the what I would

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Speaker 1: argue the superpower right now of the SEC in Georgia,

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Speaker 1: a very experienced head coach and Kirby Smart who's been there,

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Speaker 1: done that before. And you know he's off two and

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Speaker 1: two and zero record in his collegiate football career. So

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Speaker 1: shout to Pete Golding, Shout to Trinidad and even Miami. Man,

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Speaker 1: they've played really good down the stretch. Carson Beck has

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Speaker 1: really protected the football. Mario christ of Ball ain't making

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Speaker 1: Mario Christoval type of move. So I'm excited to break

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Speaker 1: it down with you today, Bogs. And before we jump in,

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Speaker 1: shout to all the real legiate football fans out there

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Speaker 1: who continue to ride with us, either on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel or the audio feed.

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Speaker 4: We see you, We appreciate you.

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Speaker 1: Please use a quick favor give this video a thumbs

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Speaker 1: up if you enjoyed this type of content. Also make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe to the channel if you're new, so

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Speaker 1: you don't miss out on a moment of college football

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Speaker 1: or NFL betting coverage. The rest of the way, and

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and jump into this Fiesta Bowl again,

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Speaker 1: kicking off Thursday, January eight, seven thirty pm Eastern time.

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Speaker 4: And this line very.

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Speaker 1: Interesting, Bogs because this opened up at the key number

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Speaker 1: of two and a half, and it had been bet

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Speaker 1: up to a point earlier today. We were recording this

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Speaker 1: on Monday, where Miami was favored by three and a

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Speaker 1: half points. You can still get them by three and

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Speaker 1: a half minus one seventy two on the money line. However,

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Speaker 1: as this day is progressed, I've started to see oh

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Speaker 1: Miss starting be bought back to where they're now down

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Speaker 1: to three at sum shops even now plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half as well, the total meanwhile sitting anywhere between

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Speaker 1: fifty one and a half fifty two and a half

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Speaker 1: points Miami. On the injury front, their injuries include defensive

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Speaker 1: lineman Donte Simpson. He remains doubtful, not a huge impact player,

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Speaker 1: but someone who has been meaningful in that too deep

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Speaker 1: we also have their defensive tackle a maud Mullin Senior,

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Speaker 1: their cornerbacks to Mary Brown and Oj Fredrique who are questionable,

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Speaker 1: and on the ole Miss side, everyone should be up

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Speaker 1: from a player standpoint.

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Speaker 4: However, we do have the loss.

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Speaker 1: All six assistant coaches other than offensive coordinator Charlie Wis

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Speaker 1: Junior are heading back to Baton Rouge to join Lane

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Speaker 1: Kiffin and building that roster out during the transfer portal window.

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Speaker 4: BP projections.

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Speaker 1: Right now we have ole Miss favored by half a

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Speaker 1: point actually, so we're seeing value the other way around here.

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Speaker 1: The public betting trends fifty five percent of tickets and

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Speaker 1: sixty percent of cash are on the you in Miami,

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Speaker 1: fifty five percent of tickets are on the over, butt

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Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash is on the under,

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Speaker 1: So about split there. So Boggs when it comes to

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Speaker 1: the game picks whether that's the.

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Speaker 4: Side or total.

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Speaker 1: Where you going in this game, which we hope is

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Speaker 1: going to be another instant classic.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, my initial thought on this game is that Miami

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Speaker 3: should win. But of course, uh, your initial thought this

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Speaker 3: season in this tournament needs to be questioned, right, You

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Speaker 3: really need to have a foundation. So in this game

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Speaker 3: I'm going to take the over. That is going to

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Speaker 3: be my big bet in this game. I'm gonna lean

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Speaker 3: towards the Canes. I'll probably end up having a bet

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Speaker 3: on them. But as you said, with this line kind

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Speaker 3: of influx, I'm gonna wait, I'm gonna wait and see

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Speaker 3: if we can get to Miami, you know, less than

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Speaker 3: a field goal like minus two and a half. I

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Speaker 3: might even alterline it to that as well. So and

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Speaker 3: I'm also yeah.

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Speaker 2: I will. I'll do it a little bit. I like,

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Speaker 2: I like a little juice.

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Speaker 3: But I gotta tell you I'm done with distracted coaches

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Speaker 3: being a reasoning that I will use. And I don't

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Speaker 3: care which coaches leave, which coaches go, because the talent

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Speaker 3: is on the field and if Shambliss has that type

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Speaker 3: of performance again, it doesn't matter what coaches are there

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Speaker 3: at all, they are going to win this game. But

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Speaker 3: like I said, you know, Kiwan Lacey healthier than we thought.

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Speaker 3: I thought he was going to be limited. He was

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Speaker 3: in shambless one of those best performances. I just don't

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Speaker 3: know if that's repeatable. The defense, for all Miss is

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Speaker 3: still a little shaky. They didn't give up thirty four points.

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Speaker 3: They allowed Yujida own the time of possession again, but

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Speaker 3: they did only allow three hundred and forty three yards

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Speaker 3: and they held Yujia three for thirteen on third. So

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Speaker 3: Miami has been winning on defense right ball control. They

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Speaker 3: had the massive pick six against Ohio State as well.

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Speaker 3: Carson Beck should be able to finally throw for over

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Speaker 3: two hundred yards in this tournament, in this one, but

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Speaker 3: they have really leaned into the run game and it's

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Speaker 3: been working for them. So but listen the way I

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Speaker 3: would do this if I'm Miami, right, my game plan is,

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Speaker 3: I want to hit the holy you know what out

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Speaker 3: of shambless early. I want to make him feel it.

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Speaker 3: I want to make them tired. I want to wear

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Speaker 3: his butt out so when we get to that third

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Speaker 3: and fourth quarter he can't scramble around and make those

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Speaker 3: plays like he made against Georgia because we have smashed

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Speaker 3: him into the dirt. It's what they've been doing to

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Speaker 3: a lot of quarterbacks in this postseason right now.

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Speaker 4: So certainly did last week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they really did.

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Speaker 3: So now, old miss their strategy should be score, get

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Speaker 3: a lead, and step on Miami's neck. Right, that should

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Speaker 3: be your strategy because Miami's offense runs slow one hundred

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Speaker 3: and twenty fifth in the nation in pace, right, so

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Speaker 3: your idea should be get up one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 3: eighth in pace. Excuse me, run heavy, make them try

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Speaker 3: to pass the ball on you, because that's when Carson

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Speaker 3: Beck makes mistakes. So we know what both these teams

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Speaker 3: are gonna aim to do.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 3: But I think the Miami defensive line is just eating

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Speaker 3: up old lines right now, and I'm going to lean

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Speaker 3: into that on this one. But I respect ole Miss enough,

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Speaker 3: specifically Shambless in this offense that could wan Lacey to

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Speaker 3: take the over Here, Shambless gets rid of the ball quickly,

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Speaker 3: eighteenth and time to throw. This season, Miami has been

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Speaker 3: has not been a great tackling team at all this

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Speaker 3: year either, so they'll allow a few ex explosives. And

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Speaker 3: I think Miami also plays into their opponent's weakness and

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Speaker 3: all Miss because you know they are going to run

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Speaker 3: the ball. That was the worst part of the defense

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Speaker 3: for ole Miss this year was the run defense.

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Speaker 1: So sure we saw Georgia, especially when they had Fraser

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Speaker 1: out there or in the early part of the game,

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Speaker 1: they were getting some big chunks.

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Speaker 4: When they're going to the committee.

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Speaker 1: It didn't seem to have as much success, but when

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Speaker 1: it was Fraser specifically in the backfield, probably because of

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Speaker 1: his speed, he was able to make a lot of

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Speaker 1: ole Miss defenders miss in the box.

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Speaker 2: And it's you know, I know that.

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Speaker 3: I know that we have seen Miami protect the ball

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Speaker 3: a little bit and you're not going to be able

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Speaker 3: to do that. You are going to have to open

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Speaker 3: it up a little bit to stay at pace right,

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Speaker 3: ole miss here, right. But it's not just been the

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Speaker 3: last two Carson Beck has been great at protecting the

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Speaker 3: ball this season. I know that is not his collegiate story.

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Speaker 3: I know a lot of people don't want to trust

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Speaker 3: him because he's made massive mistakes in big time games

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Speaker 3: in spots. I understand that, but look, he is so experienced.

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Speaker 3: There's not a scenario that Carson Beck hasn't really seen.

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Speaker 3: So I think he's been doing great. I think they

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Speaker 3: just need to continue what they're doing both these teams.

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Speaker 3: So I'm more confident in the total. I'm going to

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Speaker 3: lean towards Miami in this game as well. I just

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Speaker 3: think that they come up with a big defensive play,

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Speaker 3: get a short field, and that is going to be

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Speaker 3: the difference in this game is I trust you know this,

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Speaker 3: Bain and mesdor combo to stop ole Miss might be

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Speaker 3: a fool's errand to try to stop ole Miss, but

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Speaker 3: I do think that the ole Miss defense can allow

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Speaker 3: Miami to score more points and open it up more

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Speaker 3: than they have been because of these defensive matchups for

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Speaker 3: Miami have been insanely tough. Texas A and M and

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Speaker 3: Ohio State. Ole Miss should seem like a breeze for

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Speaker 3: them on offense, but they're very talented and they they

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Speaker 3: got after Gunner Stock did pretty well held them only

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Speaker 3: I think it was like twenty rushing yards last week,

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Speaker 3: so he did score a touchdown, but who cares.

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Speaker 2: They won the game.

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Speaker 3: So I see the path that both of these teams

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Speaker 3: potentially winning. But I'm gonna lean towards this defensive line

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Speaker 3: being the difference in this game like it has been

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Speaker 3: in the first two for Miami.

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Speaker 4: Interesting.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know me, Bogs, I usually am a very cautious,

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Speaker 1: trepidacious better right, I don't mind drinking some juice if

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Speaker 1: I can return some units.

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Speaker 4: I thought about, Hey do I get invested me with

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Speaker 4: a teaser?

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Speaker 3: Here?

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Speaker 1: Take ole Miss up to something like a seven and

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Speaker 1: a half or something like that. And you know then

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Speaker 1: I just thought, Seth, you're out thinking the room again.

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Speaker 1: Go with your gut here my guts tell me right now, Bogs,

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Speaker 1: I'm going with the Revs. I already laid it ole

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Speaker 1: miss plus three and a half minus one ten. I

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Speaker 1: also had a nice little boot that I woke up

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Speaker 1: to a little after Christmas special if you when I

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Speaker 1: got them plus one sixteen at that three and a

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Speaker 1: half number. So you talk about a team of destiny,

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Speaker 1: you talk about a team on a Cinderella run to

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Speaker 1: a national title game. I think that is the ReBs.

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Speaker 1: I mean to me, like Trinidad and the video game

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Speaker 1: like moves. I mean, that's what that was, right, Like

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Speaker 1: some of those plays when they needed it, him running

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Speaker 1: back and forth. That is stuff you try in NCAA.

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Speaker 1: That is stuff you try and Madden, and it usually

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Speaker 1: doesn't work in the video games either. Right.

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Speaker 3: That's why I questioned the repeated bility, and I guess, unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: Here's the key to me, Bugs, Miami, they beat the

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Speaker 1: buck guys in part my opinion, and it seems like

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Speaker 1: yours as well. It was that nasty pass rush, right,

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Speaker 1: five sacks against Julian saying those killed a ton of drives.

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Speaker 1: They stalled them out, And I guess I probably should

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Speaker 1: have seen that coming with how the Buckeyes line kind

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Speaker 1: of deteriorated UH in the Big Ten Championship game against

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Speaker 1: IU But either way, like Trinidad is so slippery, took

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Speaker 1: no sacks against George. I know we've talked all season

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Speaker 1: George's pass rush is not good, but they were getting

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Speaker 1: after him. But he has this canny ability to extend

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Speaker 1: plays like we haven't seen in years in college football.

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Speaker 1: In my opinion, I can't comp him. I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: think of another comp to him, Like Johnny Manzel is

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Speaker 1: type of you know, that was the type of performance

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Speaker 1: I thought he showed there and like and if you

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Speaker 1: remember going all this is back in the way back machine,

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Speaker 1: not too far back, but you know, post COVID. But

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Speaker 1: do you remember the whole saga out on this field

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Speaker 1: in Arizona with the Sodfather a couple of years ago

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Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. This track is going to play slick,

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Speaker 1: it usually does.

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Speaker 4: I think the pass.

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Speaker 1: Rushers like the Eagles a couple of years ago where

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Speaker 1: they could not get any pressure on Mahomes and company

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Speaker 1: by the messagor. I think they're gonna be neutralized a

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Speaker 1: bit with this field. I think they're not gonna going

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Speaker 1: to get.

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Speaker 3: A great memory set. I I gotta I just I'm

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Speaker 3: stopping you mid sentence to commend this. This is an

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Speaker 3: incredible point.

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Speaker 2: I love this. I love the deep dive here. Great point.

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, I mean you just you look back what

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Speaker 1: happened to the Eagles that year and how much the

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00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:56,719
Speaker 1: turf in that stadium really played it in effect. I

298
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Speaker 1: think it's the same thing, and so I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna be neutralized a little bit. And like also to me,

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Speaker 1: it was kind of the prescription that you laid out.

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Speaker 1: If ole Miss is second ranked total offense, tenth ranks

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Speaker 1: scoring offense, if they get out to track me, I

303
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Speaker 1: don't think the Canes have the horses to keep up, right,

304
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Speaker 1: just two hundred ninety one total yards against Ohio State,

305
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Speaker 1: one offensive touchdown the first fifty nine minutes man two

306
00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:18,439
Speaker 1: hundred seventy eight yards one and then you go to

307
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Speaker 1: A and M. One touchdown on A and M and

308
00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:23,320
Speaker 1: with two minutes to go, like they did not score

309
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Speaker 1: in the first fifty eight minutes of both these games.

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Speaker 1: I know there's some win out there in Kyle Field,

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Speaker 1: but it's hot toddy for me all day.

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Speaker 4: Man, give me the revs.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, look, that's what this is why I'm taking the

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00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:36,800
Speaker 3: over right, And I think your point about the track

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Speaker 3: helps me to my over. If it does so down

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Speaker 3: Miami's pass rush, I still am going to take Miami

317
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Speaker 3: because I do think that they can score at any

318
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Speaker 3: point on ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: I think that it also could mean slips and falls

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Speaker 1: for the ole Miss defenders who have been known to

321
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Speaker 1: let up big plays.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, well we love that for the over.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, like I'm yeah, that's gonna be my number one

324
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Speaker 3: bet here is going to be the over lean is

325
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Speaker 3: Miami right now? Like I said, I love it less

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Speaker 3: than a touchdown if we could, or less than a

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Speaker 3: field goal excuse me if we can get it there.

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Speaker 2: But I love that point. Man, that's such a good

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Speaker 2: point to bring up the track here. But I just

330
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Speaker 2: think that.

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Speaker 3: The repeatability for Chambalas to do this again is in

332
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Speaker 3: question for me. And you want to talk about teams

333
00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,080
Speaker 3: of destiny. Do you know where the national title is

334
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Speaker 3: being played this year?

335
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Speaker 4: Miami? Yeah, you're right, yeah, at their home field.

336
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Speaker 3: So if we're writing scripts. That's a pretty good script

337
00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:30,920
Speaker 3: to write as well. But I would love to see

338
00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:33,480
Speaker 3: ole Miss win this game. I would love to see

339
00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:35,520
Speaker 3: ole Miss play in the National title Game while Lane

340
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Speaker 3: is recruiting guys at LSU.

341
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Speaker 2: Would be the funniest thing ever.

342
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Speaker 1: Speaking of that, sham Bliss back next year, because we

343
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Speaker 1: know that LSU just struck out with Brendan Soresby, so

344
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Speaker 1: they're still in the quarterback market. But I feel like

345
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Speaker 1: they're not waiting for Trinidad, and I think he might

346
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Speaker 1: be here for all Miss for the long haul.

347
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Speaker 4: What do you think?

348
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Speaker 3: Yesterday we saw a report that said there is a

349
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Speaker 3: pessimism that Trinidad Chambliss even gets another year, so that

350
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Speaker 3: the NCAA might say, now you're done, off to the draft.

351
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Speaker 3: You go, man.

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Speaker 1: I had an injury, I think back when he was

353
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Speaker 1: in Division two if I'm correct, right, and kind of

354
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Speaker 1: missed almost a full season.

355
00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,120
Speaker 3: Right, But they it was yesterday was a report that

356
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Speaker 3: there is pessimism about him getting the waiver, so he

357
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Speaker 3: may have to be onto the NFL.

358
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Speaker 4: Here, Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback. Let's go Bogs. I'm ready for.

359
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Speaker 3: Let's God, Yes, but yeah, I'm I'm it's gonna be interesting, dude.

360
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Speaker 3: We haven't even talked about the portal.

361
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Speaker 2: We'll get into all.

362
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Speaker 4: The opsas Yeah, we don't.

363
00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:34,560
Speaker 3: Have time to go through four thousand names, so that

364
00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:36,960
Speaker 3: are in the portal here. But yeah, lots of moving

365
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,200
Speaker 3: and shaking going on in the portal as well, in

366
00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,680
Speaker 3: the background while the biggest games of the year being played.

367
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you, So Boggs, he's going on

368
00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:47,520
Speaker 1: that over, he's leaning towards Miami. I am on that

369
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,360
Speaker 1: plus three and a half. I got that boosted up

370
00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:52,640
Speaker 1: to plus one sixteen for the reps. That's where I'm

371
00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:54,560
Speaker 1: going in a reminder that you can track all these

372
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,040
Speaker 1: bets in your own as well if you stay accountable

373
00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:00,320
Speaker 1: and level up by downloading the free Betting Pros app today.

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Speaker 4: With the sportsbook Sinc Feature, it's super simple.

375
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381
00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:26,879
Speaker 1: the code Juice and activating your trial on the upgrade screen. Bogs,

382
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,600
Speaker 1: let's go ahead and get proppy with it. You got

383
00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,680
Speaker 1: five player props for this semi final matchup. I want

384
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:35,320
Speaker 1: to start in the anytime touchdown market where you have

385
00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,200
Speaker 1: one quarterback that we've certainly talked a lot about, and

386
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Speaker 1: you think he's gonna at least have enough magic to

387
00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 1: maybe find paydirt in this game.

388
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I look, I like the overs, so I do

389
00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:48,000
Speaker 3: like scoring in this game. But I think Trinidad Shambliss

390
00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:50,159
Speaker 3: gets in the end zone. I mean, those legs are

391
00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 3: something else. And if he can bail out ye one

392
00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,159
Speaker 3: time get around those rushers, I think he can go

393
00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,679
Speaker 3: a long way. The tackling has been the absolute worst

394
00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:02,919
Speaker 3: part of the great for Miami by a wide stretch.

395
00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,600
Speaker 3: I think they were like post one hundred in tackle grade.

396
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:08,520
Speaker 3: So if he gets out, I think he can go

397
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,159
Speaker 3: a long way. So I think he can score here.

398
00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:15,359
Speaker 3: And look, the weapon that Mark Fletcher has been for

399
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:19,480
Speaker 3: Miami in this postseason has been incredible. They are leaning

400
00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:23,360
Speaker 3: into him. He's ripping off chunk gains, and I think

401
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,920
Speaker 3: they're going to lean into him more specifically when you

402
00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,000
Speaker 3: get down there near the goal line. So let's go

403
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:31,720
Speaker 3: with Mark Fletcher for a touchdown as well. My other

404
00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:35,359
Speaker 3: three props here, I'm flip flopping back and forth between

405
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:39,080
Speaker 3: the yards and the touchdowns for Carson Beck because it

406
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:42,120
Speaker 3: has been weak, you know, so far, but they've also

407
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:44,879
Speaker 3: played really close to the best against two really tough defenses.

408
00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:46,600
Speaker 3: I think you are going to see him opening up

409
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:48,680
Speaker 3: a little bit more. I think, you know, if we

410
00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:50,719
Speaker 3: are going to hit the over here, that he's going

411
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:52,640
Speaker 3: to have two passing touchdowns, so one and a half

412
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 3: is the total, So I think he can get more

413
00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,639
Speaker 3: than that. I think he can get three in this game. Potentially,

414
00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 3: maybe a dump off to Mark Fletcher helps us get

415
00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,320
Speaker 3: there as well on both of those. But I really

416
00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:08,280
Speaker 3: like Carson Beck to scores some touchdowns. I like this

417
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:10,280
Speaker 3: to be because that's the one thing about All Miss

418
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,760
Speaker 3: is like Ole Miss is gonna score, so you will

419
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,000
Speaker 3: have to keep pace at some point. You can't play

420
00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:18,000
Speaker 3: keep away the whole game because we know Shambless can

421
00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:19,919
Speaker 3: score in a blink, so you do have to end

422
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,080
Speaker 3: these drives with touchdowns, which I think means maybe Miami

423
00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:25,400
Speaker 3: goes for it on fourth down a little bit more.

424
00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:27,640
Speaker 3: Same thing for all Miss. Maybe they do as well

425
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,520
Speaker 3: because opportunities might be few and far between. Let's go

426
00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:32,639
Speaker 3: to Keewan Lacy over nineteen and a half for as

427
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:36,040
Speaker 3: long as rush. He's hit this eight times this season,

428
00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 3: thank you. And the tackle grate again is the worst

429
00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 3: part about this defense. And if their strategy is what

430
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,639
Speaker 3: I would do too, hit the crap out of the

431
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 3: Trinidad shambless. You're going to be sending those edge rushers,

432
00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 3: so I think runs up the middle or through some

433
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 3: of those gaps are going to be available for Keywan Lacy.

434
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 3: I mean tackling has been the worst part for Miami,

435
00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,120
Speaker 3: so I think he rips off at least one big

436
00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:59,639
Speaker 3: one here hasn't hit this in the tournament yet, but

437
00:19:59,720 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 3: I do you think that he can hit this yere

438
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,720
Speaker 3: against Miami because of their strategy. And then my last one,

439
00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 3: we're gonna go Malachai Tony. We're gonna go back to

440
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,119
Speaker 3: our boy here over sixty and a half. I like

441
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,320
Speaker 3: this because zach Ry Branch we saw eight up Ole

442
00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:15,560
Speaker 3: Miss last week, eleven targets, eight catches, sixty seven and

443
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:15,960
Speaker 3: a yard.

444
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,080
Speaker 2: You know he's grease lightning. He's slippery.

445
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:22,520
Speaker 3: The explosive play hasn't been made for Malachai Tony on

446
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,520
Speaker 3: offense in the tournament yet, but we know it's there.

447
00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:28,440
Speaker 3: He did have a fifty five yard punt return that's

448
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 3: set up Miami, I believe on that last drive when

449
00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,440
Speaker 3: they scored, which you know obviously is a huge play.

450
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,159
Speaker 3: But I think we do see and again, you know,

451
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:41,200
Speaker 3: this is the easy, the best defensive matchup that Miami

452
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 3: has had versus I would much rather face o Miss

453
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:47,679
Speaker 3: defense in Ohio State or Texas A and M this season.

454
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:49,800
Speaker 3: So I do think they open it up a little

455
00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:51,520
Speaker 3: bit more, and that is the guy they're gonna open.

456
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 1: It up with.

457
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:56,080
Speaker 3: So my props again anytime touchdowns for Shambless and Mark Fletcher.

458
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:58,639
Speaker 3: We have Carson Beck over one and a half passing touchdowns,

459
00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:01,400
Speaker 3: Kiwan Lacy over nineteen and a half for his longest

460
00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:05,200
Speaker 3: rush at Malachai Tony over sixty and a half receiving yards.

461
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:07,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta tell you, man, why I am very

462
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 1: high on the Reds in this one. Mark Fletcher Junior,

463
00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:12,440
Speaker 1: He's been a great story. He was someone who early

464
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:14,800
Speaker 1: in his career he got injured, banged up, didn't look

465
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:17,520
Speaker 1: like the same running back last season. Of course split

466
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:21,120
Speaker 1: that backfield pretty well, and now he's been really really

467
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 1: good down the stretch. Mind, he's gonna need him. I

468
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 1: think if they win this game. I do think he

469
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 1: finds the end zone. And as far as like Tony goes,

470
00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,720
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what, man like. It's a little schemey

471
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:32,920
Speaker 1: for me, right like it feels a little bit you

472
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,240
Speaker 1: know a lot of manufacturer touches, but he really is

473
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,440
Speaker 1: their you know guy that they're.

474
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 4: Continuing to go to. They'll find uh CJ. Down the

475
00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 4: stretch as well.

476
00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 1: That he made some big plays in that game, and

477
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,120
Speaker 1: I think they'll looked for him once again. But he's

478
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:48,360
Speaker 1: more of you know, the downfield guy, Malachai, Tony more

479
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:51,359
Speaker 1: of that Yard's chain movie exceptions was.

480
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,160
Speaker 3: Two is three and a half for CJ. Daniels, which

481
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 3: isn't high, but for the type of player he is,

482
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 3: and they went to him a bunch last year. Yeah,

483
00:21:58,680 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 3: but for the type of player he is, I thought

484
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 3: I was a little bit too high. That's why I

485
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 3: went with the Yard for Tony.

486
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 1: Yeah.

487
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:03,840
Speaker 4: I like that as well.

488
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:05,680
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what box I think I told you

489
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 1: start collecting some college football cards over the weekend. All

490
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,760
Speaker 1: I wanted was a Malachi Tony. I just I know

491
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:14,720
Speaker 1: that one's going to be valuable in a couple of years.

492
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, but we did. Uh we did pull

493
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,680
Speaker 1: the Haines King numbered card on the first pack. Baby,

494
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 1: get your guy. If that's not a sign that I

495
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 1: picked the right box, I don't know what is man.

496
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 3: So uh, I can't wait for him to be on

497
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:28,920
Speaker 3: a practice squad and to be like your favorite player

498
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:30,639
Speaker 3: in the NFL on a practice squad.

499
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 1: If he goes to the Steelers, like I'm buying his jersey,

500
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 1: I'm buying everything. Even if like he goes to like

501
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 1: a non AFC North team, I think there might be

502
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 1: his King jersey in the future.

503
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:44,359
Speaker 3: Yeah all right, so Vikings or something, yes, yeah, well

504
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 3: yeah yeah, Max Barrosmer right.

505
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 1: He's good enough to get a cup of call. Look, look,

506
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 1: if if Brady Cook and Brosemurk can start in the

507
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:57,200
Speaker 1: l a cup of coffee, that's enough.

508
00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, give Haynes King a chance. Now we saw what

509
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 2: they have. We've seen.

510
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's get to our same game parlay this week, Bogs.

511
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 1: We're taking our best two bets, putting them together so

512
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 1: I got ole Miss on that plus three and a

513
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,520
Speaker 1: half minus won ten and then we're going over fifty

514
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: one and a half minus one fifteen. Put those two

515
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 1: bets together, you're walking out with a plus two fifty

516
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 1: parlay ticket. So we're wanning ole Miss here to at

517
00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 1: least cover this number, and we're also wanting the point

518
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:25,600
Speaker 1: total to go over.

519
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 3: So productions have yeah, they have that. They have Miami

520
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,160
Speaker 3: by half a point, so basically.

521
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 4: It missed my half a point.

522
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:34,840
Speaker 2: Actually, oh that's right.

523
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:38,280
Speaker 3: Ole Miss by a half point and then a h

524
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:40,360
Speaker 3: I believe it's fifty seven and a half is the time.

525
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, So look, we love the over this in this

526
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 1: game as well, Boggs, let's get out of here. On

527
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 1: final score predictions, what do you have when this one's

528
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 1: all said and done, What is the final score?

529
00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:50,719
Speaker 4: Miami, ole Miss?

530
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 3: We got I'm leaning towards Miami, So I'm gonna go

531
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:57,680
Speaker 3: Miami thirty one ole Miss twenty seven as my final score.

532
00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna go with my I got this time

533
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:04,119
Speaker 1: ole Miss thirty. If he gold does it, he gets

534
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:07,399
Speaker 1: to the National Championship game. As Lane Kiffin just sits

535
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: in waves from Baton Bruge saying I wish that could

536
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,680
Speaker 1: be there. Buddy's not Ole Miss thirty Miami twenty. That's

537
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: where I'm going. That is gonna do it for us

538
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 1: on this episode of Betting for his college football show.

539
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 1: Be sure check out our video on the Chick fil

540
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,679
Speaker 1: A Peach Bowl. The preview for that should be out

541
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 1: later this week on the VP YouTube channel and the

542
00:24:26,119 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: audio feed. In the meantime, let us know down in

543
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 1: the comments below your favorite picks for the VRBO Fiesta Bowl.

544
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,080
Speaker 1: And while you're here, make sure you're matching that like

545
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 1: button subscribing to the channel. If you're new for Scott

546
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 1: Big Time Bogman, I'm said Wilcock, take care of y'all.

547
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

548
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,920
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549
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,359
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550
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,280
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551
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552
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:58,600
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