WEBVTT - Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend - October 22nd, 2021

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week Inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news as it happened. Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Hi, everyone, welcome to the weekend

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<v Speaker 1>edition of Bloomberg Business Week. We've got a special installment

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<v Speaker 1>of our show. This week. We're gonna bring you highlights

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<v Speaker 1>from our coverage of the Milk and Institute Global Conference

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<v Speaker 1>in Beverly Hills. It's an annual convening of global leaders

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<v Speaker 1>in government, finance, health, academia and philanthropy. Last year's event

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<v Speaker 1>it was scaled down and completely remote due to COVID nineteen.

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<v Speaker 1>But this year we were there once again on the

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<v Speaker 1>ground at the Beverly Hilton Hotel and it was a

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<v Speaker 1>reduced crowd size, about half of the attendees as usual

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<v Speaker 1>and Carol, everybody was wearing masks, vaccinated and tested. This

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<v Speaker 1>year's event it centered on the theme of charting a

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<v Speaker 1>new course. We spent three jam pack days examining the

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<v Speaker 1>disruptions and innovation brought on by the global pandemic along

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<v Speaker 1>with social crises, economic hardships that we've seen developed over

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<v Speaker 1>the past year and a half. Some of those hardships

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<v Speaker 1>spurred on by ongoing supply chain shortages. That was something

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<v Speaker 1>that came into so many of our conversations at MILK

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<v Speaker 1>and we're gonna get into that and specifically what the

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<v Speaker 1>White House is doing to relieve some of those pressures.

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<v Speaker 1>Will do that with the seamen's USA President and CEO,

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<v Speaker 1>Barbara Humptons. I have to say, overall, Tim, it was

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<v Speaker 1>just so many of the main macro themes, whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>supply chains, whether it's tensions with China, whether it's finding

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<v Speaker 1>enough UM employees the workforce. You know that that was

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<v Speaker 1>really top of mind for everybody at MILK and one

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<v Speaker 1>of the highlights of the conference, at least for me,

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<v Speaker 1>and I know it was for you as well, was

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<v Speaker 1>when you got to sit down for forty minutes with

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<v Speaker 1>none other than Ark Invests. Cathy would Yeah, she's the founder,

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<v Speaker 1>she's the CEO, she's the c i O of really

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<v Speaker 1>one of the e t f S funds that in

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<v Speaker 1>the last seven years has just taken the world on

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<v Speaker 1>big time with her disruptive and innovative investing strategy. We

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<v Speaker 1>had a wide ranging discussion, everything from China to test

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<v Speaker 1>love course. She says ARCS base case is three thousand

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<v Speaker 1>dollars a share. We even did a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>crypto talk as well. It was timely because we sat

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<v Speaker 1>down on the day that the new pro Shares Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>e t F made its debut, and I asked her

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<v Speaker 1>about that. Speaking of crypto, Toro calls itself the world's

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<v Speaker 1>largest social trading network and it is seeing explosive growth

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<v Speaker 1>in the crypto space. We talked to Toro co founder

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<v Speaker 1>and CEO Yonia. He still expects to go public with

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<v Speaker 1>a spack in the fourth quarter of the year. We

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<v Speaker 1>also talked some politics. Former Labor and Transportation Secretary Lane

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<v Speaker 1>Chaw she stopped by to talk infrastructure, the job market,

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<v Speaker 1>and the shadow cast by former President Donald Trump over

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<v Speaker 1>the Republican Party, particularly in the wake of the January

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<v Speaker 1>six riote at the U S. Capitol Building. Plus, the

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<v Speaker 1>woman behind one of the biggest E s G stories

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<v Speaker 1>of the year, Engine Number One, CEO, Jennifer Grancio, shed

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<v Speaker 1>light on her company's impact investing rategy and the company's

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<v Speaker 1>new Total Value Framework, which establishes forward valuations of public

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<v Speaker 1>companies based on their progress with E s G initiatives.

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<v Speaker 1>You heard about the story with x On Mobile. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean it really truly was that David versus Goliath story.

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<v Speaker 1>I gotta say, I'm a fan girl. Can I say that?

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<v Speaker 1>You can say it? I'll allow it. Okay, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>all of that. More to come. We begin with Orlando Bravo.

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<v Speaker 1>He is founder and managing partner at Tomo Bravo. He

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<v Speaker 1>joined us to talk about the state of specs and

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<v Speaker 1>he could not have been more excited to get back

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<v Speaker 1>to doing business in person after a year and a

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<v Speaker 1>half of Zoom's and virtual meetings. You could just feel

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<v Speaker 1>how much happiness he had to be there in person

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<v Speaker 1>at millkne The conference is awesome. Think about it. We're

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<v Speaker 1>here in l A. A lot of it is outside.

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<v Speaker 1>The weather's perfect. I've gotten to see some of our

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<v Speaker 1>limited partners that I haven't seen in two to three years,

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<v Speaker 1>so some of the old friends, and also meet a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of new people. So it's just been great, one

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<v Speaker 1>eating after the other, right fifteen minute meetings and then

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<v Speaker 1>trying to see as many people face to face, like

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<v Speaker 1>it's remarkable, right, unbelievable. So okay, let's talk about SPACs

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<v Speaker 1>because I was looking at some of the indexes. They're

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<v Speaker 1>down as as a group about ten percent so far

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<v Speaker 1>this year. They're down about if you look at certain

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<v Speaker 1>indexes from the mid February high. Where are we because

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<v Speaker 1>people are talking about the death of SPACs um and

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<v Speaker 1>as to mentioned earlier, I mean, these are cycles that

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<v Speaker 1>things go through. SPACs are not a new investment vehicle exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>Sparks are going to come back. They are They've been

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<v Speaker 1>around for whatever five or thirty years. But why do

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<v Speaker 1>why do we think that there was this incredible craze

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<v Speaker 1>to SPACs. It's because technology companies. There's so much innovation

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<v Speaker 1>and so much new business creation and so many tech

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<v Speaker 1>companies being performed that are getting to scale that the

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<v Speaker 1>financial markets are trying to adapt of how can we

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<v Speaker 1>absorb all these new assets into the market because we're

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<v Speaker 1>not seeing a lot of I I mean, we saw

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<v Speaker 1>the I p O market fall off a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>right it didn't now it's now it's back. But I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just saying that you know that there's alternatives for going

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<v Speaker 1>public here, and the alternatives are great. Direct list things

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<v Speaker 1>are great, and The spact provides a great alternative because

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<v Speaker 1>it really really does is it allows a company to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to openly talk about its projections with its investors.

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<v Speaker 1>Every investor think about it. If you're looking to buy

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<v Speaker 1>a company, if you're if we are together going to

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<v Speaker 1>buy a private company, wouldn't we like to sit down

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<v Speaker 1>with management and say, let's see what you've done in

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<v Speaker 1>the past, and how do you think about next year

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<v Speaker 1>and the following year, and how does your operating plan

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<v Speaker 1>and strategic plan aligned with that financial plan that you have.

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<v Speaker 1>It gives you so much insights as to how management

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<v Speaker 1>thinks about their own business. But are you concerned at

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<v Speaker 1>all that there is a lack of quality companies to

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<v Speaker 1>be acquired by SPACs that are out there looking for

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<v Speaker 1>targets right now, I'm always concerned about quality. What ended

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<v Speaker 1>up happening as well with this pac boom is a

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<v Speaker 1>number of companies went public through spacts or merged with

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<v Speaker 1>SPACs that are venture capital companies that are really young

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<v Speaker 1>companies now. Retail investors in particular participated in that because

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<v Speaker 1>the regulatory environment doesn't allow them to participate in venture

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<v Speaker 1>capital and private equity, so they rushed to this market,

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<v Speaker 1>and then the regulators get worried that, oh, they're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>lose money, or these companies have lack of a track record,

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<v Speaker 1>or they're going to miss their numbers. Now we'll see

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<v Speaker 1>what ultimately happens. But one of the things you said

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<v Speaker 1>at the beginning is SPACs are out of favor. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>of course nobody likes bacs, but the trading should be

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<v Speaker 1>the underlying company. Forget of whether it was a SPAC

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<v Speaker 1>or I p O or direct listing. It's what matters

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<v Speaker 1>is the underlying business. That was Orlando Bravo, the founder

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<v Speaker 1>and managing partner at Toma. Bravo obviously enthusiastic about the

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<v Speaker 1>spack market, and look, he's undeterred with the recent struggles

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<v Speaker 1>that we've seen. Yeah, definitely, all right, coming up a

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<v Speaker 1>close look at the U S. Labor market and the

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<v Speaker 1>need for a bipartisan infrastructure spending bill. Look at that

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<v Speaker 1>from someone with deep knowledge of both areas. Former Labor

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<v Speaker 1>and Transportation Secretary A Lane chall Plus, she weighs in

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<v Speaker 1>on whether or not she'd support Donald Trump in if

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<v Speaker 1>she runs. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week. This is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovik from Bloomberg Radio. Two of the

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<v Speaker 1>hottest political topics of the nation these days. Yeah, they

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<v Speaker 1>seem to be infrastructure and the job market, rightfully, So

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<v Speaker 1>really specifically, we're talking about the tug of war between

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<v Speaker 1>employers who want people back in the office and the

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<v Speaker 1>millions of workers who want more flexibility in the wake

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<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic. Well, our next guest has expert knowledge

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<v Speaker 1>in both issues. Her career in public service has spanned

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<v Speaker 1>it nearly four decades. She's worked in three different presidential administrations,

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<v Speaker 1>including as Secretary of Labor under George W. Bush and

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<v Speaker 1>most recently, as Transportation Secretary under President Donald Trump. Were,

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<v Speaker 1>of course talking about eline show. She took part in

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<v Speaker 1>a panel discussion surrounding the future of work at this

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<v Speaker 1>year's Milk and Institute Global Conference, and then she joined

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<v Speaker 1>us to break down how companies are approaching America's labor

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<v Speaker 1>landscape and what sort of work patterns they can expect

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<v Speaker 1>from employees going forward. They're taking polling more, they're asking

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<v Speaker 1>their employees more, and clearly some kind of hybrid working

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<v Speaker 1>environment arrangement will be much more accepting two employees. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think employers are trying to work this out right.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, at first they were going to come

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<v Speaker 1>back to work. The workforce is going to come back

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<v Speaker 1>to work lass September. Then it was lost December, then

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<v Speaker 1>it was the spring, then it was going to be September,

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<v Speaker 1>and now people are talking about spring of So clearly

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<v Speaker 1>we're all feeling our way as to how to come

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<v Speaker 1>back at that. There is this imbalance happening though right

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<v Speaker 1>now when we look at the labor market, there is

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<v Speaker 1>an oversupply of workers, and but they are not actually

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<v Speaker 1>returning to the workforce. Do you think we ever get

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<v Speaker 1>back to a workforce that looks like it looked before

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic? Like is it really from those numbers? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's even more. Before the pandemic. When I was Labor secretary,

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<v Speaker 1>the labor participation rate was about sixty with the workforce

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<v Speaker 1>of about hundred and fifty seven million people. And then

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<v Speaker 1>we have a great recession and then the labor participation

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<v Speaker 1>rad dropped to about sixty three and it kind of

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<v Speaker 1>never recovered. And with the COVID then it went from

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<v Speaker 1>sixty three point you know, three or four down to

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<v Speaker 1>sixty one point seven sixty one point one. So we're

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<v Speaker 1>continuing to see declines in labor participation, which is terrible

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<v Speaker 1>because we need these workers to come back to fuel

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<v Speaker 1>a full recovery. But there's also another factor, another dynamic

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<v Speaker 1>at play here, and that is the skills gap. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we had tired of this for years, a lame just

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<v Speaker 1>like and I'm gonna throw in another problem. We've been

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<v Speaker 1>talking about infrastructure for years. How many administrations, right, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is something that has had bipartisan support. What ultimately,

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<v Speaker 1>from your perspective, do we have to start spending on

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to infrastructure, Well, look at the supply

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<v Speaker 1>chains on four obviously, you know, investing in transportation infrastructure.

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<v Speaker 1>The reason that the Trump administration was never able to

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<v Speaker 1>succeed in the infrastructure propos so was because there was

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<v Speaker 1>a big debate about whether there should be one dollar

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<v Speaker 1>or for one dollar of investment spending. And the Republicans

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<v Speaker 1>believe that there can be leverage, that we can use

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<v Speaker 1>public private partnerships and leverage you know, existing government dollars,

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<v Speaker 1>and the Democrats felt that they wanted one dollar for

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<v Speaker 1>one dollar deficits spending, which obviously the pros and const

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<v Speaker 1>to both, so we were never able to galvanize enough

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<v Speaker 1>consensus around public private partnerships this time around. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think there could be there. I think there's an

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<v Speaker 1>infrastructure bill, a transportation infrastructure bill to be had. Unfortunately

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<v Speaker 1>now it's being held hostage to the Budget Reconciliation Bill.

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<v Speaker 1>If it were to be standard alone, there is a

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<v Speaker 1>deal to be made and passed on the infrastructure bill,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm hopeful that it would be passed before your end.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like politics. I mean, I want to ask

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<v Speaker 1>you because you've been in politics or I'm not in politics.

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<v Speaker 1>I am a public servant. I've always viewed myself as

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<v Speaker 1>being in public service. Did say you are? We're a

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<v Speaker 1>long time public servant. Um the Republican Party, the You know,

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<v Speaker 1>if I think about the January six Capital riot, you

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<v Speaker 1>resigned after that. I left the Trump administration. You were there,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, almost to the to the to the end. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>do you regret being part of that administration. I'm very

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<v Speaker 1>grateful for the opportunity to serve my country. I'm an

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<v Speaker 1>immigrant to this country. I came when I was eight

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<v Speaker 1>years old. I didn't get my citizenship until nineteen and

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<v Speaker 1>it used to be that. If the president asked, the

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<v Speaker 1>only answer you can give is yes, I didn't know

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<v Speaker 1>the president very well, but I also believe that the

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<v Speaker 1>American people deserve to have a functioning government. But going

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<v Speaker 1>back to the infrastructure bill, the real drama is on

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<v Speaker 1>the Democrats side, because, as I mentioned, there's a bill

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<v Speaker 1>to be had. There was bipartisan support. Republicans signed on

0:11:45.559 --> 0:11:49.480
<v Speaker 1>to this infrastructure bill. But the Speaker, and you know

0:11:49.760 --> 0:11:52.360
<v Speaker 1>she and I share birthday, by the way, Uh, she's

0:11:52.400 --> 0:11:55.280
<v Speaker 1>in a tough Yes, she's in a tough spot because

0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:58.320
<v Speaker 1>she's got moderates who want to hold back on the spending. Well,

0:11:58.480 --> 0:12:01.600
<v Speaker 1>she's got progressive that want to spend more. So she's

0:12:01.600 --> 0:12:05.640
<v Speaker 1>trying to balance that. But if left alone, that infrastructure

0:12:05.679 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 1>bill can move on its own. Many all the drama

0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:10.959
<v Speaker 1>is on the Democrats side. And you know this, you

0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:13.439
<v Speaker 1>know you follow what's been going on the economy, certainly

0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:15.520
<v Speaker 1>in the pandemic milk and covers this left and right,

0:12:15.520 --> 0:12:18.839
<v Speaker 1>the inequities that we have seen and it's not new,

0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:20.760
<v Speaker 1>and there are people who have not shared in the

0:12:20.800 --> 0:12:24.840
<v Speaker 1>wealth creation and so that softer infrastructure that the presidents

0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:26.280
<v Speaker 1>team are trying to get through. I mean, this is

0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:28.920
<v Speaker 1>part of the battle. And I think for those people

0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:32.040
<v Speaker 1>that are questioned that they're not saying that these social

0:12:32.080 --> 0:12:37.079
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure proposals are unworthy. What they're saying basically is should

0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:39.719
<v Speaker 1>they be included? You know, what was originally going to

0:12:39.800 --> 0:12:43.600
<v Speaker 1>be called a transportation infrastructure politics works that, you know,

0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:47.240
<v Speaker 1>but therastructure done, We're done. So it was originally the

0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:50.440
<v Speaker 1>original infrastructure bill had only six percent of what is

0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:54.839
<v Speaker 1>traditionally defined as transportation infrastructure. If you expand the explanation

0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:57.360
<v Speaker 1>and the description a bit more generously, you get up

0:12:57.400 --> 0:13:00.480
<v Speaker 1>to thirty of the dollars. But clearly there's a need

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:06.280
<v Speaker 1>for transportation infrastructure. Rhodes bridges, transports, airports, drive around New York. Absolutely.

0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:09.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean the governor got elected on this. We've got

0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:11.480
<v Speaker 1>her slogan. We have to ask because we have about

0:13:11.679 --> 0:13:13.680
<v Speaker 1>I know you consider yourself a public servant, but we

0:13:13.720 --> 0:13:17.840
<v Speaker 1>got to ask more politics. Oh shoot, why are you talking?

0:13:18.920 --> 0:13:21.480
<v Speaker 1>I heard from Donald Trump at all. Uh, we have

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:24.640
<v Speaker 1>not spoken, not at all. So but I'm not you know,

0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:28.400
<v Speaker 1>like I'm out of politics the public policy. You served

0:13:28.400 --> 0:13:30.719
<v Speaker 1>in three administrations. Do you consider President Trump is the

0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:33.280
<v Speaker 1>leader right now of the Republican party. Well, I think

0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:36.000
<v Speaker 1>that is in the process of being decided and sorted out.

0:13:36.000 --> 0:13:38.959
<v Speaker 1>There's still some time to go. There's two coming up,

0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:41.800
<v Speaker 1>and then there's should he be the leader of the

0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Republican Party. That's up to the people. You know. I

0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:47.240
<v Speaker 1>think for those who wonder about his appeal, they should

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:50.480
<v Speaker 1>be asking what is it that prompts so many Americans

0:13:50.480 --> 0:13:52.440
<v Speaker 1>to support him? And I think that's a very the

0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:55.079
<v Speaker 1>answer will be very, very revealing, and you and it's

0:13:55.080 --> 0:13:58.439
<v Speaker 1>a teaching you know, it's it's something that I think, um,

0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, the leadership should unders. But as somebody who's

0:14:01.480 --> 0:14:04.560
<v Speaker 1>came to this country as an immigrant, um and became

0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:07.920
<v Speaker 1>a citizen, do you think a voting citizen that he

0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:11.960
<v Speaker 1>should be president leader of the repeblic? I will support

0:14:12.000 --> 0:14:14.319
<v Speaker 1>the nominee. I mean, I'm a Republican, so I will

0:14:14.360 --> 0:14:16.959
<v Speaker 1>support whoever the nominee is. That was former Labor and

0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Transportation Secretary Elaine Show an important conversation, especially for lawmakers

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:24.320
<v Speaker 1>gearing up for mid term elections next year. Also, fiscal

0:14:24.360 --> 0:14:27.240
<v Speaker 1>spending will continue to be a source of contention between

0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:30.400
<v Speaker 1>now and next November. I thought her comments about not

0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:34.160
<v Speaker 1>necessarily considering herself a politician were particularly interesting. Yeah, I

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:36.920
<v Speaker 1>agree with you, considering how much time she spend in Washington.

0:14:37.040 --> 0:14:39.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean a ton of time, and she still spends

0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot of time in Washington. She is, of course

0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 1>the wife have SENTI Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. We'll dig

0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:46.200
<v Speaker 1>into the labor side of things a bit more. We're

0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 1>gonna catch up with the CEO of a company called

0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:52.240
<v Speaker 1>Bright Machines. He says automation might actually be a good thing. Yes,

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:54.680
<v Speaker 1>a good thing, you heard right for workers. Coming up

0:14:54.680 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>next on Bloomberg Business Week, Etro calls itself the world's

0:14:57.800 --> 0:15:01.240
<v Speaker 1>largest social trading network. The company is ready to go public.

0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:04.200
<v Speaker 1>It is, indeed the CEO of e Touro joining us next.

0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:13.600
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg broadcasting from the financial capital of the World,

0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:17.160
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg eleven Frio in New York to Washington, d C.

0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg one O six one to San Francisco,

0:15:22.120 --> 0:15:25.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg nine sixty to the country Sirius XM Chado one

0:15:25.640 --> 0:15:28.800
<v Speaker 1>nineteen and around the globe the Bloomberg Business app and

0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio dot Com. This is Bloomberg Business Week. Retail investors.

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.680
<v Speaker 1>They have become a dominant market moving force over the

0:15:37.760 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 1>last year and a half, and those investors are also

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:42.760
<v Speaker 1>trending younger with platforms like robin Hood and wee bull.

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 1>Those platforms give millions of novice traders easy access to

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 1>public markets just through their smartphones. Toro has also been

0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 1>working on this for more than a decade, building its

0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:54.840
<v Speaker 1>user base, and it since grown into what it says

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 1>is the world largest social trading network. It previously delayed

0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:01.120
<v Speaker 1>its planned ten point for billion dollars back public listing

0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:04.080
<v Speaker 1>due to the secs increased scrutiny of such deals. They've

0:16:04.080 --> 0:16:08.360
<v Speaker 1>been looking very deeply into the transparency of SPACs. We

0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:11.400
<v Speaker 1>know that well now. E Toro's i p O back

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:13.880
<v Speaker 1>on track. That's thanks in part to storing interest and

0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 1>investment in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. That's at least according

0:16:17.440 --> 0:16:20.120
<v Speaker 1>to the company's co founder and CEO, who expects that

0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 1>trend to continue. You see A traveled to the Milk

0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:25.800
<v Speaker 1>and Institute Global Conference all the way from Israel, where

0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:27.560
<v Speaker 1>his company is based. He told us it was his

0:16:27.600 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 1>first visit to l A in about twenty five years

0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:34.120
<v Speaker 1>as first company. He was very optimistic. We've seen explosive

0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:37.080
<v Speaker 1>growth over the past eighteen months really starting as we

0:16:37.160 --> 0:16:40.960
<v Speaker 1>talked about before, UH with the beginning of the pandemic,

0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 1>just at inflection point in the rise of retail investors,

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:48.400
<v Speaker 1>with a whole new generation across the world, millennials realizing

0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:50.640
<v Speaker 1>that they want to invest in the markets, whether it's

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:53.880
<v Speaker 1>stock markets, whether it's US stock markets, or whether it's

0:16:53.880 --> 0:16:57.600
<v Speaker 1>crypto markets, just increased interest all around the world. We

0:16:57.680 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 1>founded the company in two thousand seven with a vision

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:02.880
<v Speaker 1>of opening the global markets for everyone to trade investments

0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:07.439
<v Speaker 1>simpler and transparent way. And up until twenty twenty, beginning

0:17:07.480 --> 0:17:10.240
<v Speaker 1>of twenty twenty, we had about twelve million registered users,

0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:12.840
<v Speaker 1>and since then we added more than eleven a new

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:16.280
<v Speaker 1>million registered users by the end of the first half

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:20.159
<v Speaker 1>twenty one, so basically we doubled the company, more than

0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:25.400
<v Speaker 1>double the company. So twenty three million registered users worldwide

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:28.080
<v Speaker 1>grew by five point six million mergisitry users the first

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:31.800
<v Speaker 1>six month this year, after growing about five million registered

0:17:31.920 --> 0:17:36.160
<v Speaker 1>users the entire of last year. We've so we've grown

0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:38.959
<v Speaker 1>significantly our business, and we've seen the shift from the

0:17:39.000 --> 0:17:41.960
<v Speaker 1>first crypto rally in two thousand and seventeen, we've seen

0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 1>our business grow rapidly from sixty million dollar commission to

0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:48.840
<v Speaker 1>three nine million dollars from two thousand and sixteen to eighteen,

0:17:48.960 --> 0:17:52.199
<v Speaker 1>really driven by the first Crypto Rally, and then we

0:17:52.200 --> 0:17:55.480
<v Speaker 1>saw Crypto Winter, and then Crypto Winter we sort of drove,

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:58.199
<v Speaker 1>We drove our customers who came to it or to

0:17:58.280 --> 0:18:00.639
<v Speaker 1>trade back. Then you know, x RAP three ariam to

0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:04.600
<v Speaker 1>diversify into equities through the social network where they can

0:18:04.640 --> 0:18:08.160
<v Speaker 1>actually see what other people are trading and see each

0:18:08.160 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 1>other's performance and copy the most successful investors. And and

0:18:11.800 --> 0:18:14.920
<v Speaker 1>then we saw Crypto Winter, shifted the business into equities

0:18:14.960 --> 0:18:18.720
<v Speaker 1>and commission free stock trading worldwide, and then started this

0:18:18.800 --> 0:18:21.760
<v Speaker 1>year with Crypto Rally two point which is just an

0:18:21.760 --> 0:18:24.600
<v Speaker 1>amazing rally. Only I hear what you're saying, and imagine

0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:26.400
<v Speaker 1>some of our listeners are thinking of themselves. Wait a second.

0:18:26.440 --> 0:18:28.360
<v Speaker 1>This is a similar story as to what propelled robin

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:30.840
<v Speaker 1>Hood to the public markets in a relatively short time

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:34.920
<v Speaker 1>into such massive growth in one But we are seeing

0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:38.080
<v Speaker 1>that robin Hood shairs are down more partly due to

0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:40.639
<v Speaker 1>some softness with the company referred to as seasonality earlier

0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:43.440
<v Speaker 1>this year. Are you seeing any of that decline in activity,

0:18:43.640 --> 0:18:45.920
<v Speaker 1>any of that seasonality that we heard from Robin Hood,

0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:48.640
<v Speaker 1>so sensitive to the fact that during the process of

0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:51.600
<v Speaker 1>transforming from a private company to a public company, I

0:18:51.600 --> 0:18:54.240
<v Speaker 1>can only share company's data relevant for the first six

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:57.480
<v Speaker 1>month which we published, which were very good. We did

0:18:57.520 --> 0:19:00.600
<v Speaker 1>update the markets that Q three. And this is something

0:19:00.600 --> 0:19:03.680
<v Speaker 1>you can look at exchange data. So equities have been

0:19:03.720 --> 0:19:06.560
<v Speaker 1>software in Q three if you look just an exchange data,

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:12.120
<v Speaker 1>options data, volumes and equities and volatility September have gone

0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:15.879
<v Speaker 1>down generally in the markets. Uh. And now we're seeing

0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:20.600
<v Speaker 1>obviously crypto rally two point oh the longest crypto rally

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:24.959
<v Speaker 1>in crypto history in Q four, sort of returning with

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:28.600
<v Speaker 1>a roar. So hoping to see Bitcoin reach all time high.

0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:32.480
<v Speaker 1>Already peaked and touched actually market cap all time high

0:19:32.760 --> 0:19:35.800
<v Speaker 1>over the last forty eight hours. So very interesting to

0:19:35.840 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 1>see what's happening in crypto in Q four. Um, you

0:19:39.600 --> 0:19:42.199
<v Speaker 1>who are you competing against? Is it Robin Hood? Is it?

0:19:42.359 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 1>All of the online trading platforms, even the establishment? Who

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:47.200
<v Speaker 1>is it? So the way we see it, and again

0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:53.920
<v Speaker 1>we're very global and we have our businesses Europe, US, Asia,

0:19:54.320 --> 0:19:59.640
<v Speaker 1>Latin America, Middle East, were regulated across the world and

0:19:59.640 --> 0:20:03.000
<v Speaker 1>in I single country. What we see is the discount

0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:07.280
<v Speaker 1>brokerage one point was very much consolidated by the local banks.

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:09.679
<v Speaker 1>So here you know schwab Bot t D. Morgan Stanley

0:20:09.720 --> 0:20:12.440
<v Speaker 1>bought the trade and we see the same in Germany

0:20:12.440 --> 0:20:17.120
<v Speaker 1>and Italy and Spain, in the UK everywhere. But who

0:20:17.119 --> 0:20:21.359
<v Speaker 1>were really competing in against is those super apps, right,

0:20:21.640 --> 0:20:25.280
<v Speaker 1>apps like Toro, who are attractive to a new audience,

0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:31.240
<v Speaker 1>new customers, customers that are beginning their trading activity are

0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:34.080
<v Speaker 1>looking for new tools for ways to engage and learn

0:20:34.440 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 1>how to trade the markets, how to participate in the markets.

0:20:37.320 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 1>And there's a lot of great companies just expending the

0:20:40.520 --> 0:20:43.560
<v Speaker 1>audience and expending the markets. That's only a c He's

0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 1>the co founder and CEO already Toro. You're listening to

0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:49.159
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg business Way coming up next. One of the headliners

0:20:49.160 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 1>at Milk in this year. Our audience very familiar with her.

0:20:52.160 --> 0:20:55.840
<v Speaker 1>Our invest founder CEO and ce IO Cathy would and

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:58.760
<v Speaker 1>not surprisingly Carol her biggest bets. Well, they're continuing to

0:20:58.800 --> 0:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>pay off. Her commitments to Asslin Bitcoin as strong as ever.

0:21:01.800 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 1>She also explains the rold Jack Mo played in her

0:21:04.119 --> 0:21:17.320
<v Speaker 1>China investment strategy. This is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:26.639
<v Speaker 1>Stinovik from Bloomberg Radio. When you want to talk innovation, disruption,

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:28.400
<v Speaker 1>how to place your bets on the future. If there's

0:21:28.440 --> 0:21:31.480
<v Speaker 1>one person you need to hear from, it's Kathy would Tim.

0:21:31.520 --> 0:21:34.800
<v Speaker 1>The Arc invest founder, CEO and ce IO, is known

0:21:34.840 --> 0:21:37.840
<v Speaker 1>for her foresight on game changing technology, and so far

0:21:38.000 --> 0:21:39.880
<v Speaker 1>she's proving to be right on a number of those

0:21:39.880 --> 0:21:43.800
<v Speaker 1>big bets, specifically Tesla and e VS, as well as

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:45.840
<v Speaker 1>of course Bitcoin. I sat down with her for a

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:48.119
<v Speaker 1>wide ranging discussion at Milk and she was one of

0:21:48.160 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 1>the headliners, and it happened just ahead of Tesla's latest

0:21:51.000 --> 0:21:54.280
<v Speaker 1>earnings release. The company would report third quarter revenue that

0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:57.040
<v Speaker 1>fell short of Wall Street estimates, but it did manage

0:21:57.040 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 1>to beat profit projections. In this actrap, Kathy began by

0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:02.919
<v Speaker 1>explaining her initial attraction to investing in what is now

0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the world's pre eminent EV maker, Tesla. We actually took

0:22:06.240 --> 0:22:08.920
<v Speaker 1>our cues from a value investor who said to us,

0:22:09.240 --> 0:22:12.480
<v Speaker 1>I would never buy one stock in your portfolio, but

0:22:12.720 --> 0:22:15.560
<v Speaker 1>I like your research and you might be right, So

0:22:15.640 --> 0:22:19.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to just put five, there's a value investor

0:22:19.359 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 1>five as a hedge, and as did our first institutional

0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:30.320
<v Speaker 1>investor UM, which is value oriented. Uh, and kind of

0:22:30.359 --> 0:22:35.920
<v Speaker 1>thought we were behaving like a value manager, long term

0:22:35.920 --> 0:22:41.600
<v Speaker 1>time horizon and looking for extreme values. Well, value investors

0:22:41.600 --> 0:22:44.480
<v Speaker 1>are using price to book and dividend yield and that

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:48.040
<v Speaker 1>sort of thing. We're using growth, you know, we're using

0:22:48.080 --> 0:22:52.400
<v Speaker 1>spectacular growth rates that no one is expecting. And Tesla

0:22:52.560 --> 0:22:55.919
<v Speaker 1>was our first proof of concept, I would say, a

0:22:56.040 --> 0:22:59.400
<v Speaker 1>very visible one where people are saying, what are they

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:04.120
<v Speaker 1>talking about? And all we had done was used rights law,

0:23:04.280 --> 0:23:08.040
<v Speaker 1>which is the centerpiece of our our research, to try

0:23:08.119 --> 0:23:12.440
<v Speaker 1>and figure out how quickly cost would decline in battery

0:23:12.440 --> 0:23:18.720
<v Speaker 1>pack systems and therefore how how much prices would fall

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:21.919
<v Speaker 1>for electric vehicles and how quickly the uptake would be.

0:23:22.359 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 1>And we saw Elon Musk magnificent things happening into it. It

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:28.960
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't so easy to be invested in Tesla early on.

0:23:29.760 --> 0:23:32.879
<v Speaker 1>For us, it was easy because you just believe the

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:37.240
<v Speaker 1>story or we well, the most important call that we

0:23:37.359 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>made initially with Tesla was all right, Tesla's battery technology,

0:23:43.640 --> 0:23:50.160
<v Speaker 1>who is unlike any other auto manufacturers battery technology. Tesla

0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:55.400
<v Speaker 1>was riding down the cost curve of the consumer electronics industry.

0:23:55.760 --> 0:24:00.440
<v Speaker 1>So laptop, cell phones, image volumes, right, and you get

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 1>a scaling like that, cost come down. It's called a

0:24:03.880 --> 0:24:07.720
<v Speaker 1>learning curve in in the tech industry. So, Elen, you

0:24:07.800 --> 0:24:13.640
<v Speaker 1>have auto manufacturers and auto analysts laughing at him. Ellen

0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 1>is building his car on top of cell phone batteries,

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:20.320
<v Speaker 1>isn't that funny? And what they didn't believe was that

0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:24.359
<v Speaker 1>the engineering was possible, right, So there was a It

0:24:24.520 --> 0:24:28.000
<v Speaker 1>wasn't that they just didn't think it was possible, and

0:24:28.119 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 1>he did. Uh, And so even today, Uh, these cylindrical

0:24:33.800 --> 0:24:37.719
<v Speaker 1>batteries that he's been using, relative to lithium ion pouch

0:24:38.200 --> 0:24:41.960
<v Speaker 1>lower cost and will remain lower cost for at least

0:24:42.000 --> 0:24:45.320
<v Speaker 1>three years, we think, which means that any other auto

0:24:45.359 --> 0:24:49.480
<v Speaker 1>manufacturer who wants the same performance and the same range

0:24:50.200 --> 0:24:52.399
<v Speaker 1>at the same price, we'll have to lose money on

0:24:52.440 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 1>every car sold. So it keeps him in a really

0:24:55.800 --> 0:24:59.560
<v Speaker 1>great position. And that's only one of four. Barrywte Entry. Well,

0:24:59.600 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 1>but that was the first call we had to make,

0:25:01.680 --> 0:25:05.320
<v Speaker 1>so elon Musk and Tesla. So there is a point

0:25:05.359 --> 0:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>that you would get out, I know, there's a story

0:25:07.600 --> 0:25:09.800
<v Speaker 1>you've talked about. You've put a mark on the stock price.

0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:12.280
<v Speaker 1>I think it was three thousand. Yeah, three thousand is

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:14.879
<v Speaker 1>our base case, not our bull case, but our base case. Okay,

0:25:14.880 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 1>so there is a point where you could say, okay,

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:20.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm moving on. You've gotten out of Apple. I mean,

0:25:20.480 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>these are backward looking companies or technologies that you don't

0:25:24.000 --> 0:25:27.760
<v Speaker 1>think are or not necessary, not necessarily. They are very

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:31.800
<v Speaker 1>well understood. Uh, their dynamics are well understood. They are

0:25:31.840 --> 0:25:36.679
<v Speaker 1>the fangs, They're well owned, and we just want our

0:25:36.800 --> 0:25:40.160
<v Speaker 1>clients to be exposed to the next fangs, which are

0:25:40.160 --> 0:25:42.280
<v Speaker 1>not going to be in the fang category, but the

0:25:42.320 --> 0:25:46.159
<v Speaker 1>next fangs and Tesla, Tesla is becoming a fang. You know.

0:25:46.200 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>I think I end up in that grouping at some point.

0:25:50.640 --> 0:25:55.280
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, we would sell. So our minimum hurdle rate

0:25:55.320 --> 0:25:58.840
<v Speaker 1>of return expectation for a stock is fifteen at an

0:25:58.880 --> 0:26:03.000
<v Speaker 1>annual and ALAS rate over five years, so doubling over

0:26:03.040 --> 0:26:08.240
<v Speaker 1>five years UM. Tesla is about nearly a quadrupling over

0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:11.119
<v Speaker 1>five years, so well within our range. So you know,

0:26:11.280 --> 0:26:14.960
<v Speaker 1>we we have been taking profits and uh, and that's

0:26:15.040 --> 0:26:18.240
<v Speaker 1>because Tesla in here. I think it's becoming very obvious

0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:22.639
<v Speaker 1>now that electric vehicles are taking massive share from traditional

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:25.280
<v Speaker 1>gas powered vehicles. So we've talked Tesla, we've talked a

0:26:25.320 --> 0:26:27.439
<v Speaker 1>little bit. Tell me a bit more about bitcoin and

0:26:27.480 --> 0:26:30.840
<v Speaker 1>where you see. I mean, I've never seen anything so debated. Obviously,

0:26:30.960 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing more legitimization as we see regulators, certainly in

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:37.639
<v Speaker 1>the US and around the world moving forward. Um, what

0:26:37.960 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 1>is the long term play when it comes to something

0:26:40.320 --> 0:26:45.560
<v Speaker 1>like cryptocurrencies in bitcoin? So Bitcoin specifically. Um, we we

0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:48.640
<v Speaker 1>got involved when it was a six billion dollar market cap.

0:26:48.640 --> 0:26:52.000
<v Speaker 1>And here's Art Laugher again in In My Life and

0:26:52.040 --> 0:26:56.680
<v Speaker 1>in arcs Life. Um, it was a six billion dollar cap. Fan.

0:26:56.800 --> 0:26:59.880
<v Speaker 1>Now it's over a trillion, which is But we were

0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:03.680
<v Speaker 1>asking the question, this was two thousand fifteen. Could bitcoin

0:27:03.800 --> 0:27:06.560
<v Speaker 1>serve the three rules of money? And we came to

0:27:06.600 --> 0:27:10.199
<v Speaker 1>the conclusion that it was possible. Art Laugher collaborated. He

0:27:10.400 --> 0:27:14.160
<v Speaker 1>tore our original paper up and as we were going

0:27:14.200 --> 0:27:18.399
<v Speaker 1>through it, he said, this is the first this is

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:22.879
<v Speaker 1>the rules based monastery monetary system I've been waiting for

0:27:23.119 --> 0:27:28.680
<v Speaker 1>since we left the gold exchange standards, right, And I

0:27:28.680 --> 0:27:32.399
<v Speaker 1>said to him, oh, how big could this be? And

0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:35.440
<v Speaker 1>he said, well, how big is the U S monetary

0:27:35.440 --> 0:27:38.840
<v Speaker 1>base and back then, remember this is six billion dollar cap.

0:27:39.119 --> 0:27:41.080
<v Speaker 1>Back then it was a four and a half trillion

0:27:41.080 --> 0:27:43.879
<v Speaker 1>dollar monetary base. Today where it eight and a half trillion.

0:27:44.359 --> 0:27:47.680
<v Speaker 1>China have been in, you've been out, and sometimes we're

0:27:47.680 --> 0:27:50.560
<v Speaker 1>trying to understand. So, so how are we supposed to

0:27:50.560 --> 0:27:53.639
<v Speaker 1>look at China right now and the clamptowns that we've

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 1>seen in the government, certainly on different sectors that have

0:27:56.640 --> 0:27:59.840
<v Speaker 1>just decimated those sectors in terms of the value of that.

0:28:00.440 --> 0:28:03.760
<v Speaker 1>So what is what is what do you expect kind

0:28:03.760 --> 0:28:07.119
<v Speaker 1>of to be your involvement. Yes, our first move away

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:10.720
<v Speaker 1>from China was when China was you had a very

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:14.199
<v Speaker 1>strong move and what you know, the innovation there was

0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:17.560
<v Speaker 1>being deeply appreciated while ours was not. So that was

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:21.479
<v Speaker 1>that kind of move. Um. The second time we moved

0:28:22.280 --> 0:28:25.520
<v Speaker 1>or then then we moved in why we saw the

0:28:25.600 --> 0:28:29.160
<v Speaker 1>reaction to COVID and we got more interested because it

0:28:29.280 --> 0:28:32.600
<v Speaker 1>was the most disciplined country in terms of both monetary

0:28:32.600 --> 0:28:37.000
<v Speaker 1>and fiscal policy UH during the crisis, and I thought

0:28:37.440 --> 0:28:42.240
<v Speaker 1>that China had the possibility of becoming the Germany and

0:28:42.280 --> 0:28:45.920
<v Speaker 1>Switzerland of the world, you know, in terms of discipline

0:28:46.000 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>monetary UM. As soon as jack MA was banished effectively

0:28:52.240 --> 0:28:56.800
<v Speaker 1>last November, we started pulling back because what we're doing,

0:28:56.840 --> 0:29:01.280
<v Speaker 1>and especially during February through May, where our strategy. Just

0:29:01.320 --> 0:29:03.400
<v Speaker 1>to give you a sense how volatile it is. Our

0:29:03.440 --> 0:29:07.160
<v Speaker 1>strategy from mid February through mid May. Most people wouldn't

0:29:07.200 --> 0:29:11.880
<v Speaker 1>admit this, maybe, but this, this is how volatile. Transparency

0:29:12.520 --> 0:29:17.800
<v Speaker 1>was down thirty peak to trough. So we have come back.

0:29:17.960 --> 0:29:23.120
<v Speaker 1>But during that period what we do, as we always do,

0:29:23.200 --> 0:29:27.920
<v Speaker 1>we concentrated our portfolio towards our highest conviction names. China

0:29:28.080 --> 0:29:31.560
<v Speaker 1>was moving away because almost every week and month there

0:29:31.600 --> 0:29:36.600
<v Speaker 1>was a new regulatory move, crackdown and uh so, so

0:29:36.680 --> 0:29:38.520
<v Speaker 1>it was easy to do that. It was great because

0:29:38.520 --> 0:29:41.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm always scrambling looking for cash during a correction. Okay,

0:29:41.880 --> 0:29:45.720
<v Speaker 1>where is the confidence lower? Where? Where? Where Let's buy

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:50.200
<v Speaker 1>into some of our favorites here, uh now, common prosperity.

0:29:50.280 --> 0:29:54.000
<v Speaker 1>So what have we done? No China in our flagship.

0:29:54.800 --> 0:29:58.160
<v Speaker 1>We do own some China in UM. A few of

0:29:58.160 --> 0:30:05.920
<v Speaker 1>our portfolio is the ones focused on autonomous technology and robotics.

0:30:06.680 --> 0:30:10.720
<v Speaker 1>But we're very particular, very low margin companies because margin

0:30:10.840 --> 0:30:14.880
<v Speaker 1>is clearly not appreciated by the government. Anymore common prosperity.

0:30:15.440 --> 0:30:19.920
<v Speaker 1>Uh and uh and very beneficially beneficial to Tier three

0:30:20.000 --> 0:30:23.760
<v Speaker 1>tier four cities common prosperity so j D Logistics, JD

0:30:23.880 --> 0:30:26.400
<v Speaker 1>dot Com, Pindo. Does it stay this way? Do you

0:30:26.440 --> 0:30:28.560
<v Speaker 1>think in China for a while? Well, I mean it's

0:30:28.560 --> 0:30:31.400
<v Speaker 1>hard to say, but China is a certainly country. When

0:30:31.400 --> 0:30:34.520
<v Speaker 1>they make a decision, it's long longer term, it's longer

0:30:34.600 --> 0:30:37.320
<v Speaker 1>term planning to President g certainly seems to be on

0:30:37.360 --> 0:30:40.640
<v Speaker 1>this mission, and I think he is very unsettled that

0:30:40.920 --> 0:30:46.880
<v Speaker 1>the three child policy is not working, and so there's

0:30:46.920 --> 0:30:50.200
<v Speaker 1>a big social engineering um. And by the way, this

0:30:50.240 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 1>is all very forecastable, right, I mean demographics, he knew,

0:30:53.880 --> 0:30:56.720
<v Speaker 1>they knew fifty years ago what was going to happen, right,

0:30:56.880 --> 0:31:01.120
<v Speaker 1>So I think that that's part of it. And uh,

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:04.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, there there is, there is, There are the

0:31:04.920 --> 0:31:07.600
<v Speaker 1>halves and the have nots in China like there are

0:31:09.120 --> 0:31:11.960
<v Speaker 1>like there is around the world. I think China is

0:31:12.000 --> 0:31:14.920
<v Speaker 1>taking it more seriously because there's probably more social unrest

0:31:14.920 --> 0:31:18.000
<v Speaker 1>than we now appreciate. What I don't understand is they're

0:31:18.000 --> 0:31:21.920
<v Speaker 1>going after real estate, which is seventy of the consumer

0:31:22.000 --> 0:31:25.040
<v Speaker 1>savings in China that was Ark invest CEO c I

0:31:25.080 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 1>O and of course founder Cathy Wood from the Milk

0:31:27.640 --> 0:31:30.280
<v Speaker 1>and Institute Global Conference. Check out the full interview on

0:31:30.320 --> 0:31:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal and at Bloomberg dot com. And that

0:31:32.600 --> 0:31:34.600
<v Speaker 1>wraps up the first hour of the weekend edition of

0:31:34.640 --> 0:31:38.040
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week from Bloomberg Radio, a special edition the

0:31:38.240 --> 0:31:41.720
<v Speaker 1>West Coast l a cool Beverly Hills edition. I'm Carol

0:31:41.760 --> 0:31:43.880
<v Speaker 1>Masser and I'm Tim Staniver. I had in our next

0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:48.080
<v Speaker 1>hour more heavyweights for milk. We'll talk supply chain troubles

0:31:48.080 --> 0:31:51.320
<v Speaker 1>and the buying administration's planned to ease the pain. Siemens

0:31:51.440 --> 0:31:54.480
<v Speaker 1>USA President and CEO Barbara Humpton takes us inside the

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:56.960
<v Speaker 1>White House. She was there talking about some of the problems.

0:31:57.120 --> 0:31:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Plus we'll hear from one executive who sees a parallel

0:31:59.520 --> 0:32:03.120
<v Speaker 1>between current market conditions and the post World War two economy.

0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Tim and I were talking about this a lot after

0:32:05.000 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 1>this conversation. And then we've got another one who expects

0:32:08.120 --> 0:32:12.120
<v Speaker 1>increased automation to be a potential net positive for the workforce.

0:32:12.240 --> 0:32:14.320
<v Speaker 1>You heard that right, And one of the biggest names

0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:17.320
<v Speaker 1>in the growing field of impact investing, Engine Number one CEO,

0:32:17.520 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Jennifer grants. She got Excen's attention and everyone else's. It's

0:32:21.600 --> 0:32:24.880
<v Speaker 1>a David and Goliath story. You know it. This is Bloomberg.

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:34.640
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week inside from the reporters and

0:32:34.800 --> 0:32:38.400
<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

0:32:38.480 --> 0:32:42.440
<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news as it happened, Sloomberg

0:32:42.440 --> 0:32:46.000
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:32:46.040 --> 0:32:50.479
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. I am Carol Messer and I'm

0:32:50.520 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stanovick. Plenty ahead in our second hour of the

0:32:52.840 --> 0:32:55.960
<v Speaker 1>weekend edition of Bloomberg Business Week, as we bring back

0:32:56.000 --> 0:32:58.400
<v Speaker 1>some of our favorite conversations from the Milk and Institute

0:32:58.440 --> 0:33:01.240
<v Speaker 1>Global Conference, back in full force this year after the

0:33:02.000 --> 0:33:05.040
<v Speaker 1>event was completely remote due to the COVID pandemic and

0:33:05.080 --> 0:33:06.960
<v Speaker 1>just a bit in fact, we'll here from Barbara Humpton,

0:33:07.280 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 1>PRESIDENTCY of Siemens USA, who says the White House has

0:33:10.400 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 1>a good plan to help relieve certain supply chain bottlenecks.

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:15.440
<v Speaker 1>She should know being involved in a meeting at the

0:33:15.440 --> 0:33:18.360
<v Speaker 1>White House. Plus we'll talk with Bright Machine CEO Amar

0:33:18.440 --> 0:33:20.720
<v Speaker 1>Hans Ball on what the next wave of automation and

0:33:20.760 --> 0:33:24.320
<v Speaker 1>AI technology means for the modern worker. Maybe it's not

0:33:24.480 --> 0:33:27.600
<v Speaker 1>all bad. Also it Scott minored of Guggenheim investments on

0:33:27.720 --> 0:33:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Modern Monetary Theory MMT becoming a reality hashtag MMT. It's happening.

0:33:33.480 --> 0:33:36.720
<v Speaker 1>First up this hour, let's focus on impact investing. Earlier

0:33:36.720 --> 0:33:39.240
<v Speaker 1>this year, a company called Engine number one. You know

0:33:39.280 --> 0:33:41.800
<v Speaker 1>who we're talking about, Well, they scooped up three seats

0:33:41.800 --> 0:33:44.360
<v Speaker 1>on Exon's board of directors. It was a big, big

0:33:44.400 --> 0:33:47.080
<v Speaker 1>win for investors who are demanding that their profits come

0:33:47.280 --> 0:33:50.040
<v Speaker 1>with a greater purpose. The Small Activist Fund now is

0:33:50.040 --> 0:33:52.520
<v Speaker 1>the world's attention as it pushes for more emphasis on

0:33:52.560 --> 0:33:55.360
<v Speaker 1>sustainability at the oil giant, and it's touting what it

0:33:55.400 --> 0:33:58.560
<v Speaker 1>calls a total value framework. It ties progress on E

0:33:58.720 --> 0:34:01.520
<v Speaker 1>S G initiatives directly to the financial value creation. The

0:34:01.560 --> 0:34:05.480
<v Speaker 1>company CEO, Jennifer Grantsio explains, we've set out with Engine

0:34:05.560 --> 0:34:07.880
<v Speaker 1>number one to do things in a different way, and

0:34:08.000 --> 0:34:10.840
<v Speaker 1>so instead of what we all think of as slightly

0:34:10.880 --> 0:34:13.799
<v Speaker 1>older school E S and G. People aren't sure if

0:34:13.840 --> 0:34:16.600
<v Speaker 1>it works, people aren't sure. I think it returns. We

0:34:16.680 --> 0:34:19.320
<v Speaker 1>built Engine number one to take the data, the environmental

0:34:19.400 --> 0:34:21.200
<v Speaker 1>or the climate or the governments data and use it

0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:24.480
<v Speaker 1>to drive returns, and so as I've watched and talked

0:34:24.960 --> 0:34:26.919
<v Speaker 1>with lots of people over the last couple of days,

0:34:27.320 --> 0:34:29.960
<v Speaker 1>large pools of assets as well as younger people. People

0:34:30.000 --> 0:34:32.920
<v Speaker 1>are ready, but they're ready because the performance is there,

0:34:33.000 --> 0:34:34.600
<v Speaker 1>or they're just ready because it's the right thing to do.

0:34:34.680 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 1>What is it they're they're ready, they're ready to have

0:34:38.640 --> 0:34:41.120
<v Speaker 1>impact in their investments, but they're not willing to do

0:34:41.160 --> 0:34:43.480
<v Speaker 1>it with giving up returns. So the way they think

0:34:43.480 --> 0:34:46.000
<v Speaker 1>about it is, we care. We care about people and

0:34:46.040 --> 0:34:48.919
<v Speaker 1>wages and workers would care about climate, but we need

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:50.960
<v Speaker 1>investors to do it for us in a way where

0:34:50.960 --> 0:34:53.520
<v Speaker 1>we don't give up returns. So, Jennifer, is it harder

0:34:53.520 --> 0:34:56.799
<v Speaker 1>though for a company that is delivering their returns to

0:34:56.960 --> 0:34:59.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of get them to make the changes? And investors

0:34:59.520 --> 0:35:02.240
<v Speaker 1>are We're not going to be so supportive because they're like, listen,

0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:05.480
<v Speaker 1>I like these returns. So give me an idea. Yeah,

0:35:05.600 --> 0:35:07.680
<v Speaker 1>we think it's all We think it's all about using

0:35:08.239 --> 0:35:12.840
<v Speaker 1>the data on climate or environment people using it to

0:35:12.960 --> 0:35:15.200
<v Speaker 1>drive returns over time. So to take an example, let's

0:35:15.200 --> 0:35:17.799
<v Speaker 1>take General Motors. Um. So, Mary bar has got up

0:35:17.800 --> 0:35:19.840
<v Speaker 1>a great business, she's a great CEO, she's got a

0:35:19.840 --> 0:35:23.320
<v Speaker 1>strong board um, but they can actually make more money

0:35:23.680 --> 0:35:27.200
<v Speaker 1>if they get to an e V transition faster, longer term.

0:35:27.400 --> 0:35:29.680
<v Speaker 1>Longer term. But if you think about it from a

0:35:29.719 --> 0:35:32.880
<v Speaker 1>scale perspective, So what's the you know, the what's the

0:35:32.960 --> 0:35:36.320
<v Speaker 1>multiple of GM today compared to Tesla. Let's take that example.

0:35:36.760 --> 0:35:38.880
<v Speaker 1>If you can get to an e V transition sooner

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:42.720
<v Speaker 1>and you're doing nine million electric cars a year, that's

0:35:42.760 --> 0:35:45.560
<v Speaker 1>a huge increase in multiple for GM, and we get

0:35:45.600 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 1>to the climate transition sooner. So yes, it takes more

0:35:48.280 --> 0:35:50.319
<v Speaker 1>than a quarter, but it's the way to do it

0:35:50.360 --> 0:35:53.080
<v Speaker 1>at scale. Hey talked to us about your investing framework

0:35:53.120 --> 0:35:56.400
<v Speaker 1>and how you think about potential targets. Our audience absolutely

0:35:56.400 --> 0:35:59.279
<v Speaker 1>familiar with what Engine number one has done and did

0:35:59.400 --> 0:36:02.080
<v Speaker 1>earlier the here at x on Mobile and also of

0:36:02.080 --> 0:36:05.080
<v Speaker 1>course at General Motors too, But how do you think

0:36:05.120 --> 0:36:07.880
<v Speaker 1>about your next potential targets. Yeah, we think about it

0:36:07.960 --> 0:36:11.000
<v Speaker 1>as being active owners in all these companies, as opposed

0:36:11.040 --> 0:36:14.160
<v Speaker 1>to target or old school activism. And so what does

0:36:14.200 --> 0:36:17.280
<v Speaker 1>that mean. That means we're running with all the public companies,

0:36:17.560 --> 0:36:20.760
<v Speaker 1>every single one. We run through their wages, their workers,

0:36:20.800 --> 0:36:23.799
<v Speaker 1>their social impact, and their climate and environmental impact. We

0:36:23.840 --> 0:36:26.719
<v Speaker 1>do it in dollar sense, and then we forecast how

0:36:26.760 --> 0:36:29.799
<v Speaker 1>does that change their evaluation over time. And so we

0:36:29.840 --> 0:36:32.520
<v Speaker 1>will work with both companies that are laggards where we

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:35.000
<v Speaker 1>think they're not managing the business as well as they could,

0:36:35.200 --> 0:36:37.719
<v Speaker 1>and we'll do that constructively. We won't try to do it,

0:36:38.040 --> 0:36:39.680
<v Speaker 1>uh you know the way we did with that Exon

0:36:39.880 --> 0:36:42.520
<v Speaker 1>better to do it working constructively with companies. And so

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:45.520
<v Speaker 1>we're working with a number of companies now. But behind

0:36:45.520 --> 0:36:47.759
<v Speaker 1>the scenes, we don't talk about that as much. Tim

0:36:47.840 --> 0:36:49.640
<v Speaker 1>was doing. You know, we're doing some research. Tim shared

0:36:49.680 --> 0:36:51.920
<v Speaker 1>a story with me and we've been following this down. Jones,

0:36:51.960 --> 0:36:54.759
<v Speaker 1>you know, had reported that X and x On is

0:36:54.800 --> 0:36:57.240
<v Speaker 1>debating abandoning some of its biggest oil and gas projects.

0:36:57.320 --> 0:37:00.840
<v Speaker 1>Do you feel like when Well, I think the first

0:37:00.840 --> 0:37:03.440
<v Speaker 1>win is get the right people on the board. So

0:37:03.600 --> 0:37:06.080
<v Speaker 1>that was a big victory in getting three people with

0:37:06.160 --> 0:37:09.680
<v Speaker 1>great energy transition experience UM and the second win we're

0:37:09.719 --> 0:37:12.800
<v Speaker 1>looking for is what's the long term capital all occasion strategy.

0:37:13.080 --> 0:37:15.439
<v Speaker 1>And if X and we're not in the boardroom, they're

0:37:15.520 --> 0:37:18.280
<v Speaker 1>independent directors. But if X in with the new people

0:37:18.280 --> 0:37:21.959
<v Speaker 1>on the board, comes to a decision to rethink long

0:37:22.080 --> 0:37:25.880
<v Speaker 1>term petroleum development, we think that's very smart for business

0:37:26.360 --> 0:37:28.719
<v Speaker 1>and the environment and the environment. Well, what does that

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:30.600
<v Speaker 1>Excel mobile look like to you? I mean, help us

0:37:30.680 --> 0:37:32.360
<v Speaker 1>understand that, because I think people think of ex On

0:37:32.440 --> 0:37:35.959
<v Speaker 1>mobile is like the opposite of a It's think about

0:37:35.960 --> 0:37:39.440
<v Speaker 1>the business that it's in, right, it drills for fossil fuels. Uh,

0:37:39.520 --> 0:37:41.520
<v Speaker 1>it's an energy company. And so if you think about

0:37:41.560 --> 0:37:44.120
<v Speaker 1>the expertise that Exon has, they have, you know, they

0:37:44.160 --> 0:37:48.279
<v Speaker 1>have huge I p in great technologies and lithium batteries.

0:37:48.320 --> 0:37:52.040
<v Speaker 1>Traditionally they were a founder pioneer from research perspective, and

0:37:52.080 --> 0:37:55.160
<v Speaker 1>then they have an ability to execute things at huge scale.

0:37:55.480 --> 0:37:58.359
<v Speaker 1>If you want to do energy, even a new kind

0:37:58.400 --> 0:38:01.480
<v Speaker 1>of energy at scale, think about the engineering capability of

0:38:01.480 --> 0:38:04.000
<v Speaker 1>a Chevron or an Exxon to do that. So they're

0:38:04.040 --> 0:38:06.560
<v Speaker 1>an energy company. They don't only have to be an

0:38:06.560 --> 0:38:09.520
<v Speaker 1>oil company ten and twenty years in the future. So

0:38:09.719 --> 0:38:11.840
<v Speaker 1>in terms of industries, I know you can't probably reveal

0:38:12.400 --> 0:38:13.799
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to say the word targets. I know

0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:15.480
<v Speaker 1>that's what we keep thinking. But I mean, what are

0:38:15.480 --> 0:38:17.719
<v Speaker 1>the industries that you think you are going to be

0:38:17.760 --> 0:38:21.279
<v Speaker 1>looking at or are currently looking at pretty um aggressively.

0:38:21.400 --> 0:38:23.640
<v Speaker 1>When it comes to doing the research that you know

0:38:23.719 --> 0:38:26.360
<v Speaker 1>are transitioning, need to be transitioning for the better of

0:38:26.400 --> 0:38:29.200
<v Speaker 1>all mankind. Yeah, I think. I think the heavy fossil

0:38:29.239 --> 0:38:32.399
<v Speaker 1>fuel industries are definitely, I mean definitely, That's an obvious one,

0:38:32.600 --> 0:38:34.600
<v Speaker 1>which is why you see us talking about energy and

0:38:34.640 --> 0:38:37.799
<v Speaker 1>talking about transportation. That's a place where you transform and

0:38:37.840 --> 0:38:40.480
<v Speaker 1>companies can be much more profitable and you get to

0:38:40.560 --> 0:38:45.360
<v Speaker 1>climate better, climate impacts sooner. They're also financial services Squares

0:38:45.360 --> 0:38:50.000
<v Speaker 1>an example where Squares business is cash app in particular

0:38:50.200 --> 0:38:53.799
<v Speaker 1>serving underserved communities. It's driving financial inclusion that has huge

0:38:53.840 --> 0:38:57.000
<v Speaker 1>positive benefit. That was Jennifer Grancio, the CEO of Engine

0:38:57.080 --> 0:38:59.760
<v Speaker 1>Number One, the activist hedge fund. She joined us earlier

0:38:59.760 --> 0:39:02.040
<v Speaker 1>this week at the milk In Institute Global Conference. You're

0:39:02.040 --> 0:39:05.120
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week coming up more of our conversations.

0:39:05.160 --> 0:39:07.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, the Biden administration pulling out all the stops

0:39:07.760 --> 0:39:11.240
<v Speaker 1>to relieve bottlenecks at the nation's most critical ports of entry,

0:39:11.520 --> 0:39:15.239
<v Speaker 1>and industrial executives definitely taken notice. Siemens USA President and

0:39:15.280 --> 0:39:18.320
<v Speaker 1>CEO Barbara Humpton takes us inside the White House's blueprint

0:39:18.320 --> 0:39:31.040
<v Speaker 1>to fix America's fractured supply chains. This is Bloomberg. This

0:39:31.560 --> 0:39:35.200
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick

0:39:35.280 --> 0:39:40.279
<v Speaker 1>Takes Tim Stinovik from Bloomberg Radio. So, supply chains, that

0:39:40.320 --> 0:39:42.000
<v Speaker 1>was definitely one of the topics we talked about a

0:39:42.000 --> 0:39:45.120
<v Speaker 1>lot at Milk in this past week. Supply chains, they

0:39:45.120 --> 0:39:47.960
<v Speaker 1>connect nearly every component of the global economy, and even

0:39:48.000 --> 0:39:51.400
<v Speaker 1>the world's wealthiest and most powerful companies are proving vulnerable

0:39:51.480 --> 0:39:55.000
<v Speaker 1>to shocks. Among those. As Semens, the engineering and manufacturing company,

0:39:55.040 --> 0:40:00.359
<v Speaker 1>it focuses on areas of electrification, automation, digitization, transportation, all

0:40:00.400 --> 0:40:03.200
<v Speaker 1>of those being hit by the global semiconductor shortage. Right.

0:40:03.200 --> 0:40:04.560
<v Speaker 1>We've seen a play out a lot of the earnings

0:40:04.560 --> 0:40:07.400
<v Speaker 1>reports as well that have been coming out fast and

0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:11.040
<v Speaker 1>furiously well. We spoke with Siemens USA President and CEO

0:40:11.480 --> 0:40:14.719
<v Speaker 1>Barbara Humpton at this week's Milk and Institute Global Conference.

0:40:15.000 --> 0:40:16.880
<v Speaker 1>She was among a group of executives tapped by the

0:40:16.920 --> 0:40:19.120
<v Speaker 1>White House to help figure out how to remove the

0:40:19.200 --> 0:40:22.760
<v Speaker 1>roadblocks to critical US imports. While we're a net exporter

0:40:22.840 --> 0:40:26.520
<v Speaker 1>in the US, we actually do rely on supplies coming

0:40:26.560 --> 0:40:29.800
<v Speaker 1>from elsewhere in the world. Our supply chain team that

0:40:29.920 --> 0:40:34.200
<v Speaker 1>maybe they became unsung here heroes of our pandemic time frame,

0:40:34.560 --> 0:40:38.360
<v Speaker 1>where they just came forward with all kinds of creative workarounds,

0:40:38.800 --> 0:40:43.279
<v Speaker 1>risk management, UM, diversifying our supply chain, making sure that

0:40:43.360 --> 0:40:46.759
<v Speaker 1>we could be on station for our customers. Well, give

0:40:46.840 --> 0:40:48.719
<v Speaker 1>us some examples of that, Barbara, and how the team

0:40:48.760 --> 0:40:50.200
<v Speaker 1>has been able to do that, because how do you

0:40:50.200 --> 0:40:53.000
<v Speaker 1>diversify of supplies are just not there. Well, what we

0:40:53.040 --> 0:40:55.400
<v Speaker 1>are finding is that this is a moment when the

0:40:55.400 --> 0:40:59.120
<v Speaker 1>supply chain is becoming very creative. You know that there

0:40:59.120 --> 0:41:01.960
<v Speaker 1>are certain things like some conductors, where it will literally

0:41:02.000 --> 0:41:05.200
<v Speaker 1>take years for us to increase supply in the US.

0:41:05.320 --> 0:41:08.200
<v Speaker 1>But meanwhile, you know you're seeing this. I'm sure companies

0:41:08.239 --> 0:41:10.680
<v Speaker 1>all over the world are doing the same thing, aggregating

0:41:11.120 --> 0:41:15.759
<v Speaker 1>chips from multiple suppliers and then understanding priorities across the business.

0:41:15.800 --> 0:41:19.239
<v Speaker 1>In our case, it's making sure that our customers who

0:41:19.400 --> 0:41:22.000
<v Speaker 1>are most critical to the societies they serve. We're in

0:41:22.040 --> 0:41:24.920
<v Speaker 1>the backbone of economies around the world, and so we

0:41:24.960 --> 0:41:27.239
<v Speaker 1>really do have to prioritize where are these chips going.

0:41:27.680 --> 0:41:29.040
<v Speaker 1>We have to stay with chips. Because you were at

0:41:29.040 --> 0:41:31.040
<v Speaker 1>the White House right or you were in that meeting,

0:41:31.160 --> 0:41:34.080
<v Speaker 1>tell us about that. The conversations and what are the

0:41:34.080 --> 0:41:36.279
<v Speaker 1>expectations coming out of it. Yeah, well, kudos to the

0:41:36.280 --> 0:41:39.440
<v Speaker 1>White House and Department of Commerce for bringing together players

0:41:39.880 --> 0:41:42.279
<v Speaker 1>all along the supply chain, those who are you know,

0:41:42.400 --> 0:41:44.879
<v Speaker 1>end users putting chips into end products, all the way

0:41:44.880 --> 0:41:48.960
<v Speaker 1>back to fabs, etcetera. And and really what they're what

0:41:49.080 --> 0:41:52.279
<v Speaker 1>the White House and and Commerce are looking for is

0:41:52.760 --> 0:41:55.839
<v Speaker 1>how can they remove roadblocks? How can they help set

0:41:55.880 --> 0:41:59.440
<v Speaker 1>up set up systems so that we improve the supply

0:41:59.520 --> 0:42:02.200
<v Speaker 1>chain all long. One of the big things is transparency.

0:42:02.719 --> 0:42:06.400
<v Speaker 1>It's very much like cyber chips. I'll tell you and

0:42:06.600 --> 0:42:08.839
<v Speaker 1>you know how in cybersecurity, what we've committed as an

0:42:08.840 --> 0:42:12.360
<v Speaker 1>industry is to tell each other when we encounter issues,

0:42:12.440 --> 0:42:15.200
<v Speaker 1>and it keeps everybody else alert and aware. We know

0:42:15.400 --> 0:42:17.359
<v Speaker 1>that a threat to one is a threat to all.

0:42:17.440 --> 0:42:20.479
<v Speaker 1>Same things with chips, where are we encountering bottlenecks? Where

0:42:20.560 --> 0:42:23.759
<v Speaker 1>what types of chips are we having issues with? And

0:42:23.800 --> 0:42:27.319
<v Speaker 1>by sharing that information, then where the federal government can

0:42:27.360 --> 0:42:30.360
<v Speaker 1>help is if there's anything they can do, regulatory or

0:42:30.400 --> 0:42:34.680
<v Speaker 1>otherwise to unblock those blockades, then they'll get involved. Has

0:42:34.719 --> 0:42:37.520
<v Speaker 1>that happened yet? Have you been able to see anything

0:42:37.600 --> 0:42:39.640
<v Speaker 1>changed since that meeting just a couple of weeks ago. Well,

0:42:39.640 --> 0:42:41.840
<v Speaker 1>the number one thing is we've just started the reporting,

0:42:41.920 --> 0:42:44.399
<v Speaker 1>so you know, yes, and and I do know that

0:42:44.440 --> 0:42:47.440
<v Speaker 1>this is a very open administration. They're taking phone calls

0:42:47.480 --> 0:42:50.839
<v Speaker 1>incessantly from folks who are dealing with issues. It's easy

0:42:50.840 --> 0:42:52.120
<v Speaker 1>to get to the White House right now in this

0:42:52.320 --> 0:42:55.040
<v Speaker 1>absolutely a top top issue for when you talk about

0:42:55.080 --> 0:42:57.759
<v Speaker 1>chips and like just the problems. What is the problem.

0:42:58.000 --> 0:43:00.320
<v Speaker 1>Is it just that there's just not enough being manufact Actually,

0:43:00.320 --> 0:43:02.759
<v Speaker 1>like what is the real nut that we're trying to crack? Here?

0:43:02.880 --> 0:43:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Here's where we are. We were absolutely we had a

0:43:05.719 --> 0:43:09.160
<v Speaker 1>global supply chain that was tuned to just in time.

0:43:09.920 --> 0:43:12.440
<v Speaker 1>And when folks looked at forecasts of what's going to

0:43:12.520 --> 0:43:15.560
<v Speaker 1>be the demand post COVID, right midst of code, I

0:43:15.560 --> 0:43:17.960
<v Speaker 1>could say, con COVID and post COVID, you know what's

0:43:17.960 --> 0:43:20.560
<v Speaker 1>the demand going to be, and they reduced their orders

0:43:20.760 --> 0:43:22.920
<v Speaker 1>when they did that. What that meant is there was

0:43:22.960 --> 0:43:25.919
<v Speaker 1>going to be a surge, when in fact demand came

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:29.920
<v Speaker 1>surging back and now there's huge demand everywhere for those parts.

0:43:30.040 --> 0:43:32.279
<v Speaker 1>He is just in time over was COVID the end

0:43:32.320 --> 0:43:33.839
<v Speaker 1>of just in time. I've heard a lot of things

0:43:33.840 --> 0:43:36.399
<v Speaker 1>I've heard just in time, just in case, right, But

0:43:36.400 --> 0:43:40.000
<v Speaker 1>but actually one of the things we're looking at is glocalization.

0:43:40.719 --> 0:43:45.720
<v Speaker 1>What I think is actually localization localization, taking global technologies

0:43:45.840 --> 0:43:49.960
<v Speaker 1>and then manufacturing making them in regions all around the

0:43:49.960 --> 0:43:53.440
<v Speaker 1>world so that there can be more immediate sources of supply.

0:43:53.560 --> 0:43:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Easier said than done, though it can take three years

0:43:55.600 --> 0:43:58.600
<v Speaker 1>to build a chet manufacturing facilities, well it can. I mean,

0:43:58.640 --> 0:44:01.120
<v Speaker 1>what I've been doing is talking to adiences everywhere about

0:44:01.160 --> 0:44:04.440
<v Speaker 1>the idea of a smart investment these days would be

0:44:04.480 --> 0:44:06.560
<v Speaker 1>in flex factories. By the way, this is something the

0:44:06.640 --> 0:44:08.759
<v Speaker 1>US government can do. Some people don't know that there's

0:44:08.800 --> 0:44:12.320
<v Speaker 1>a organic industrial base maintained by the Department of Defense.

0:44:12.600 --> 0:44:16.000
<v Speaker 1>They have the ability to put new automation technology in

0:44:16.080 --> 0:44:18.720
<v Speaker 1>that will make them more flexible. This is so interesting

0:44:18.719 --> 0:44:20.640
<v Speaker 1>because you go back several decades, right, and the government

0:44:20.680 --> 0:44:23.000
<v Speaker 1>got so involved in the semi the U S semi

0:44:23.080 --> 0:44:25.360
<v Speaker 1>industry because we were falling behind. The government has to

0:44:25.360 --> 0:44:27.640
<v Speaker 1>play a much more active role in your view, Well,

0:44:27.880 --> 0:44:30.279
<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing is things like the Chips Act. We

0:44:30.360 --> 0:44:34.360
<v Speaker 1>are such fans of this idea of the government actually

0:44:34.400 --> 0:44:37.360
<v Speaker 1>making an investment to help jump start chip production. The

0:44:37.360 --> 0:44:39.360
<v Speaker 1>demand will be there. You know that as we go

0:44:39.440 --> 0:44:42.560
<v Speaker 1>from the Internet of people right into this next decade

0:44:42.600 --> 0:44:45.920
<v Speaker 1>where it will be people creating the Internet of things,

0:44:46.480 --> 0:44:49.200
<v Speaker 1>that there's going to be demand for semi conductors everywhere.

0:44:49.200 --> 0:44:51.000
<v Speaker 1>We need to talk about people. Yeah, I want to

0:44:51.000 --> 0:44:52.920
<v Speaker 1>get an update because a few months ago, You're did

0:44:52.960 --> 0:44:55.080
<v Speaker 1>an interview with Bloomberg TV said there were two thousand

0:44:55.160 --> 0:44:58.480
<v Speaker 1>open roles at Semens US. Give us an update. There

0:44:58.480 --> 0:45:01.160
<v Speaker 1>are you able to fill those roles. We are constantly,

0:45:01.640 --> 0:45:04.719
<v Speaker 1>constantly working to fill open jobs, and I will tell

0:45:04.760 --> 0:45:07.480
<v Speaker 1>you today we still have about two thousand open jobs. Yes,

0:45:07.480 --> 0:45:10.759
<v Speaker 1>we're experiencing growth, and we are also experiencing what so

0:45:10.800 --> 0:45:13.400
<v Speaker 1>many companies are, with people saying, hey, I'd like to

0:45:13.440 --> 0:45:15.640
<v Speaker 1>do something different. So a couple of things I want

0:45:15.680 --> 0:45:18.319
<v Speaker 1>to do. I want to change the great resignation to

0:45:18.360 --> 0:45:21.640
<v Speaker 1>the great reassignment. Get managers thinking about you know what,

0:45:21.719 --> 0:45:24.600
<v Speaker 1>I may lose an employee, but I'd rather lose them

0:45:24.640 --> 0:45:27.240
<v Speaker 1>to one of my colleagues and semens if there's somebody

0:45:27.239 --> 0:45:29.719
<v Speaker 1>who wants to do something different, so let's keep them

0:45:29.719 --> 0:45:32.160
<v Speaker 1>in the family. I'm really hoping a lot of folks

0:45:32.239 --> 0:45:34.839
<v Speaker 1>are will be coming back as well, because We've got

0:45:34.840 --> 0:45:38.600
<v Speaker 1>this vibrant, growing business. Meanwhile, we're putting a ton of

0:45:38.680 --> 0:45:42.680
<v Speaker 1>investment into creating programs that will bring young people into

0:45:42.680 --> 0:45:45.960
<v Speaker 1>the fields we and our customers are engaged in. Most recently,

0:45:46.280 --> 0:45:50.360
<v Speaker 1>working with Wake techn Wake Technical Community College in North Carolina,

0:45:50.680 --> 0:45:54.399
<v Speaker 1>we've created an apprenticeship program for eleventh graders to come

0:45:54.440 --> 0:45:57.760
<v Speaker 1>out learn the tools of the trade for building electric

0:45:57.840 --> 0:46:01.480
<v Speaker 1>vehicle starting earlier and earlier. High school apprenticeship is the

0:46:01.560 --> 0:46:04.480
<v Speaker 1>new wave of the future. What is the thing that

0:46:04.560 --> 0:46:07.239
<v Speaker 1>keeps you up at night? Because I think about all right,

0:46:07.239 --> 0:46:08.880
<v Speaker 1>supply chain, we talked about it, chips. I mean, these

0:46:08.920 --> 0:46:11.359
<v Speaker 1>are still issues. We're not over COVID yet, there are

0:46:11.400 --> 0:46:14.080
<v Speaker 1>still some questions about the economy trying to fill all

0:46:14.120 --> 0:46:16.040
<v Speaker 1>these jobs. What is it that really kind of stresses

0:46:16.040 --> 0:46:18.080
<v Speaker 1>you out right? Yeah? Now, Carol, I I sleep well

0:46:18.320 --> 0:46:20.400
<v Speaker 1>because I've got a great I've got a great team.

0:46:20.400 --> 0:46:22.960
<v Speaker 1>But the thing we focus on as a number one priority,

0:46:23.640 --> 0:46:26.160
<v Speaker 1>we use the term sustainability. It means a lot of

0:46:26.200 --> 0:46:28.040
<v Speaker 1>things to a lot of people. But look at where

0:46:28.040 --> 0:46:31.200
<v Speaker 1>we are right now. We're entering a winter where there's

0:46:31.239 --> 0:46:34.040
<v Speaker 1>a real question about where will the power come from?

0:46:34.120 --> 0:46:36.960
<v Speaker 1>So we're doing our part at Siemens to make sure

0:46:37.120 --> 0:46:41.160
<v Speaker 1>that utilities are prepared, that communities are prepared. We've been

0:46:41.200 --> 0:46:46.040
<v Speaker 1>installing micro grids, nano grids, helping people get ready and

0:46:46.120 --> 0:46:48.600
<v Speaker 1>so that they'll have greater flexibility control on how they

0:46:48.680 --> 0:46:52.280
<v Speaker 1>use power. That Semens USA President and CEO Barbara Humpton

0:46:52.480 --> 0:46:54.880
<v Speaker 1>a nice follow on to our discussion with Jennifer Granzio

0:46:54.960 --> 0:46:57.880
<v Speaker 1>of Engine Number One. Sustainability not just key to fighting

0:46:57.920 --> 0:47:01.120
<v Speaker 1>climate change, but also to maintaining supply chains and sources

0:47:01.120 --> 0:47:03.200
<v Speaker 1>of energy. We did see these common threads through all

0:47:03.200 --> 0:47:06.319
<v Speaker 1>of our conversations. Barbara Hampton of Siemens also touched on

0:47:06.400 --> 0:47:08.880
<v Speaker 1>something that we'll get into with our next guest, giving

0:47:08.960 --> 0:47:12.080
<v Speaker 1>workers the skills they need to succeed and stay viable

0:47:12.160 --> 0:47:15.359
<v Speaker 1>in the post pandemic economy. Coming up on Bloomberg Business Week,

0:47:15.440 --> 0:47:18.000
<v Speaker 1>the CEO of Bright Machines, mar Hants Ball on the

0:47:18.080 --> 0:47:21.560
<v Speaker 1>next level of industrial automation. As we continue our coverage

0:47:21.560 --> 0:47:24.960
<v Speaker 1>from the Milk and Institute Global Conference, this is Bloomberg

0:47:30.000 --> 0:47:33.960
<v Speaker 1>broadcasting from the financial capital of the World Bloomberg eleven

0:47:34.080 --> 0:47:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Frio in New York to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to

0:47:38.239 --> 0:47:41.920
<v Speaker 1>Boston Bloomberg one oh six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg

0:47:41.960 --> 0:47:45.320
<v Speaker 1>nine sixty to the country, Sirius XM Chado one nineteen

0:47:45.440 --> 0:47:48.600
<v Speaker 1>and around the globe the Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg

0:47:48.680 --> 0:47:53.719
<v Speaker 1>Radio dot com. This is Bloomberg Business Week. So Bright

0:47:53.800 --> 0:47:56.719
<v Speaker 1>Machines was founded back in just a few years ago.

0:47:56.920 --> 0:47:59.880
<v Speaker 1>It's an industrial company that's leveraging a software first of

0:48:00.000 --> 0:48:03.840
<v Speaker 1>approach to help reimagine how we manufacture various goods. The

0:48:03.880 --> 0:48:06.359
<v Speaker 1>company is set out to bring automation to assembly lines

0:48:06.360 --> 0:48:09.240
<v Speaker 1>around the world, essentially giving eyes and brains two machines

0:48:09.320 --> 0:48:12.319
<v Speaker 1>to help speed up the production process. The company's CEO, Mr.

0:48:12.440 --> 0:48:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Haunts Ball stop By are set at the Milk and

0:48:14.600 --> 0:48:17.640
<v Speaker 1>Global Conference this past week to talk about the potential

0:48:17.719 --> 0:48:20.440
<v Speaker 1>for the tools his company provides and the net effect

0:48:20.480 --> 0:48:23.440
<v Speaker 1>on the global labor force. Look at the products surrounding us,

0:48:23.440 --> 0:48:26.719
<v Speaker 1>So you think think of the network infrastructure that's connecting

0:48:26.719 --> 0:48:30.720
<v Speaker 1>our computers to the Internet. You think of the electric vehicles,

0:48:30.760 --> 0:48:34.040
<v Speaker 1>all the components that go in them, all those pieces.

0:48:34.040 --> 0:48:36.160
<v Speaker 1>So let's take a piece of network infrastructure. You look

0:48:36.200 --> 0:48:40.360
<v Speaker 1>at a modern day router. Assembling that router used to

0:48:40.400 --> 0:48:42.760
<v Speaker 1>be done by hand in a place like China or Mexico.

0:48:43.360 --> 0:48:46.520
<v Speaker 1>That's the thing that we have replaced using our autonomous

0:48:46.520 --> 0:48:49.880
<v Speaker 1>assembly lines or robots and other machines are basically putting

0:48:49.880 --> 0:48:53.120
<v Speaker 1>all the pieces in place and building network boxes. And

0:48:53.120 --> 0:48:55.600
<v Speaker 1>we're doing that. I think that's what was kind of

0:48:55.640 --> 0:48:57.759
<v Speaker 1>surprising and kind of reading in for this is that

0:48:57.960 --> 0:49:01.240
<v Speaker 1>I think I had thought so much was all ready automated.

0:49:01.600 --> 0:49:03.600
<v Speaker 1>Give us you are snaps out of what you see.

0:49:03.719 --> 0:49:06.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the reality is less than eight percent of

0:49:06.920 --> 0:49:10.640
<v Speaker 1>the assembly lines in the world are automated. And you

0:49:10.680 --> 0:49:12.960
<v Speaker 1>see all you know, robots moving around for forty years.

0:49:13.360 --> 0:49:15.919
<v Speaker 1>But the reality has been that to set up these

0:49:15.960 --> 0:49:19.319
<v Speaker 1>systems takes so much time and cost so much and

0:49:19.400 --> 0:49:22.319
<v Speaker 1>requires the level of expertise that only you know, the

0:49:22.360 --> 0:49:26.120
<v Speaker 1>big automotive or the big aerospace companies that have lots

0:49:26.120 --> 0:49:28.319
<v Speaker 1>of money and a five year product cycles have been

0:49:28.360 --> 0:49:31.080
<v Speaker 1>able to automate. You look at the you know, any

0:49:31.200 --> 0:49:34.799
<v Speaker 1>kitchen appliance in your house that's not automated because it

0:49:34.840 --> 0:49:37.879
<v Speaker 1>takes too long to configure or cost too much. You're saying,

0:49:37.920 --> 0:49:41.200
<v Speaker 1>my bullet that I used to make my shake good example,

0:49:41.320 --> 0:49:44.920
<v Speaker 1>Really it's not automated. It's the again, the like you

0:49:44.920 --> 0:49:47.360
<v Speaker 1>look at that bullet pieces of the steel and the

0:49:47.360 --> 0:49:49.799
<v Speaker 1>plastic are made by machines, but they're all assembled by hand.

0:49:50.120 --> 0:49:52.279
<v Speaker 1>And that's the kind of thing that when you you know,

0:49:52.360 --> 0:49:55.399
<v Speaker 1>and and you bring it, you bring technology like arts

0:49:55.440 --> 0:49:59.440
<v Speaker 1>to bear, you can you know, assemble that using a

0:49:59.520 --> 0:50:03.400
<v Speaker 1>modern When if ultimately we reached the point where humans

0:50:03.400 --> 0:50:07.359
<v Speaker 1>are replaced on automation, knew were going to go there,

0:50:08.200 --> 0:50:10.759
<v Speaker 1>then it creates a massive it's a transformational shift when

0:50:10.760 --> 0:50:12.600
<v Speaker 1>it comes to labor market. It's something we talked about

0:50:12.840 --> 0:50:15.960
<v Speaker 1>earlier with David hunting Piga. Right, you know, this is

0:50:16.000 --> 0:50:18.480
<v Speaker 1>the type of thing that that can actually prevent inflation

0:50:18.520 --> 0:50:21.680
<v Speaker 1>from getting out of control exactly. But yeah, when does

0:50:21.680 --> 0:50:23.720
<v Speaker 1>that happen and what is what is the massive shifts?

0:50:23.840 --> 0:50:25.719
<v Speaker 1>So let me give you three parts of the ends.

0:50:25.800 --> 0:50:28.440
<v Speaker 1>First of all, this kind of high level of automation

0:50:28.440 --> 0:50:31.600
<v Speaker 1>has happened in other industries and bank banks are a

0:50:31.600 --> 0:50:34.280
<v Speaker 1>great example. When a t m S came, it didn't

0:50:34.760 --> 0:50:38.719
<v Speaker 1>result in like unemployment for all the people that you know,

0:50:38.800 --> 0:50:45.400
<v Speaker 1>you automated the most repetitive and kind of mind taxing

0:50:46.160 --> 0:50:50.279
<v Speaker 1>um work. And that's what's happening in manufacturing. If you

0:50:50.320 --> 0:50:53.800
<v Speaker 1>think about people and this is it's not meant to

0:50:53.840 --> 0:50:56.799
<v Speaker 1>be dystopian. But when you go into factories today, there

0:50:56.840 --> 0:50:59.719
<v Speaker 1>are robots everywhere, but the robots are humans, and you

0:51:00.040 --> 0:51:04.280
<v Speaker 1>see humans in factories doing the same operation a hundred

0:51:04.360 --> 0:51:08.279
<v Speaker 1>thousand times a day. Literally insert screws, you know, four

0:51:08.360 --> 0:51:10.640
<v Speaker 1>screws into a box and screw like that is my

0:51:10.920 --> 0:51:13.560
<v Speaker 1>numbing work, right, And so that's the kind of thing

0:51:13.600 --> 0:51:17.479
<v Speaker 1>that the systems like us replaces. But you're right, when

0:51:17.520 --> 0:51:20.960
<v Speaker 1>we do that, there is somebody that's affected. But what

0:51:21.040 --> 0:51:25.040
<v Speaker 1>we've seen our customers do is that this they look

0:51:25.040 --> 0:51:29.520
<v Speaker 1>at automation as an augmentation exercise, that they're increasing the

0:51:29.560 --> 0:51:32.440
<v Speaker 1>ability of a single person to do multiple, you know,

0:51:32.520 --> 0:51:35.480
<v Speaker 1>more work, or have them do more valuable work like

0:51:36.320 --> 0:51:40.200
<v Speaker 1>better customer service, to better engineering, do better design. And

0:51:40.239 --> 0:51:43.960
<v Speaker 1>that's what I think will happen. It will take definitely

0:51:44.000 --> 0:51:46.360
<v Speaker 1>you go through a curve where people need to be retrained,

0:51:46.640 --> 0:51:48.279
<v Speaker 1>but on the other side of it, it's a much

0:51:48.480 --> 0:51:51.799
<v Speaker 1>better experience for everybody. Aymar, how do you future prove

0:51:52.239 --> 0:51:55.440
<v Speaker 1>these assembly lines? If the customer makes a big purchase,

0:51:55.520 --> 0:51:57.440
<v Speaker 1>it's a good point. It automates it. How do they

0:51:57.440 --> 0:51:59.040
<v Speaker 1>know two years from now it's going to be so

0:51:59.760 --> 0:52:02.280
<v Speaker 1>glad you ask that questions. Software is a secret sauce

0:52:02.600 --> 0:52:06.160
<v Speaker 1>because what we do through software is make our lines

0:52:06.280 --> 0:52:11.359
<v Speaker 1>programmable so effectively, since our our secret sources, we use

0:52:11.440 --> 0:52:15.799
<v Speaker 1>software to configure and run these machines. That software can

0:52:15.840 --> 0:52:19.160
<v Speaker 1>be used to modify the same line to build a

0:52:19.200 --> 0:52:22.480
<v Speaker 1>different product. So it's so we can upgrade. The software

0:52:22.880 --> 0:52:26.400
<v Speaker 1>doesn't impact the hardware, the existing hardware if you completely

0:52:26.480 --> 0:52:29.680
<v Speaker 1>change the product. Let's say you're building your bullet and

0:52:29.719 --> 0:52:31.880
<v Speaker 1>now you're going to build a network rowder. Yes, you

0:52:31.920 --> 0:52:34.279
<v Speaker 1>need to change the end of armed grippers and some

0:52:34.400 --> 0:52:37.040
<v Speaker 1>of the feeding systems. But if you're you know, you're

0:52:37.160 --> 0:52:40.000
<v Speaker 1>upgrading the bullet or you're doing a second model of that,

0:52:40.120 --> 0:52:41.960
<v Speaker 1>then you don't need to do this. So you're public

0:52:42.000 --> 0:52:46.279
<v Speaker 1>this year. That is the plan. We announced ours transaction,

0:52:46.520 --> 0:52:49.840
<v Speaker 1>yeah and uh seventeenth of May or a SPAC merger,

0:52:50.280 --> 0:52:52.279
<v Speaker 1>and we are in the process of these packing. We

0:52:52.400 --> 0:52:54.920
<v Speaker 1>filed our s for today and you know, when the

0:52:55.000 --> 0:52:56.920
<v Speaker 1>SEC gives us to go ahead, then we shall be

0:52:57.080 --> 0:53:00.279
<v Speaker 1>a public company. That's our haunts ball to see of

0:53:00.320 --> 0:53:02.719
<v Speaker 1>Bright Machines. Looking forward to speaking with him again once

0:53:02.800 --> 0:53:05.480
<v Speaker 1>his company hits the public markets. Definitely you're listening to

0:53:05.480 --> 0:53:07.839
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Coming up more from Milk In We're

0:53:07.840 --> 0:53:10.160
<v Speaker 1>gonna wrap up our coverage with Scott Minored. He's the

0:53:10.200 --> 0:53:12.719
<v Speaker 1>ce IO over at Guggenheim Investments, very well known to

0:53:12.719 --> 0:53:14.640
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg audience. Yeah he is. He's going to tell

0:53:14.680 --> 0:53:16.480
<v Speaker 1>us why the search for value has never been more

0:53:16.520 --> 0:53:18.799
<v Speaker 1>difficult and why the US is starting to resemble a

0:53:18.840 --> 0:53:31.759
<v Speaker 1>post war economy. This is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg

0:53:31.760 --> 0:53:35.399
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim

0:53:35.440 --> 0:53:40.560
<v Speaker 1>Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. All Right, everybody, it's the question

0:53:40.600 --> 0:53:44.279
<v Speaker 1>of one inflation, transitory or perpetual. We're gonna put a

0:53:44.320 --> 0:53:48.040
<v Speaker 1>buck in the jar. Who's doing that? Bostick? Afael Bostick

0:53:48.040 --> 0:53:50.959
<v Speaker 1>of the Atlanta Fette. Every time somebody in the office

0:53:50.960 --> 0:53:52.840
<v Speaker 1>says transitory inflation, they have to put a buck in

0:53:52.840 --> 0:53:55.799
<v Speaker 1>the jar. Well, anyway, the never ending question came up

0:53:55.880 --> 0:53:58.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot at the Milk and Global conference this past

0:53:58.719 --> 0:54:00.719
<v Speaker 1>week out on the West coast. It's getting to a

0:54:00.719 --> 0:54:03.240
<v Speaker 1>point where even market experts are really kind of unsure

0:54:03.320 --> 0:54:05.600
<v Speaker 1>where to find value. As a result, that's the story

0:54:05.640 --> 0:54:08.840
<v Speaker 1>we heard from Scott Minor, the CEO over at Googenheim Investments.

0:54:08.920 --> 0:54:11.480
<v Speaker 1>He's a familiar name, of course to the Bloomberg audience,

0:54:11.480 --> 0:54:13.720
<v Speaker 1>and he told us the upward movements and asset prices

0:54:13.719 --> 0:54:16.440
<v Speaker 1>are unlike any he's seen in his career, and then

0:54:16.440 --> 0:54:21.080
<v Speaker 1>he sees modern monetary theory MMT becoming a reality. I

0:54:21.120 --> 0:54:24.839
<v Speaker 1>have never seen a time like this where there is

0:54:25.040 --> 0:54:27.720
<v Speaker 1>nothing that I can point to that I can call cheap.

0:54:28.800 --> 0:54:32.080
<v Speaker 1>You know, historically, I remember being interviewed on Bloomberg in

0:54:32.120 --> 0:54:35.799
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and six and telling, uh, the interviewer that

0:54:36.120 --> 0:54:39.279
<v Speaker 1>the cheap thing was ten year treasury notes at five

0:54:39.320 --> 0:54:41.560
<v Speaker 1>and a quarter and I said, want who would want

0:54:41.600 --> 0:54:43.960
<v Speaker 1>ten year treasury notes? Well, you know, I was concerned

0:54:44.000 --> 0:54:48.440
<v Speaker 1>about the housing crisis. Today, I can't point to anything

0:54:48.960 --> 0:54:51.440
<v Speaker 1>that I think that if we got ourselves into trouble

0:54:52.080 --> 0:54:56.120
<v Speaker 1>that would actually be cheap to buy today that has value.

0:54:56.760 --> 0:55:00.840
<v Speaker 1>So you're left in this world, which I'm not comfortable in,

0:55:01.239 --> 0:55:04.960
<v Speaker 1>where you have to find things that are expensive, they

0:55:04.960 --> 0:55:08.880
<v Speaker 1>are probably going to become more expensive. And so you know,

0:55:10.080 --> 0:55:14.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, well, I mean cryptocurrency, right, you know, I

0:55:14.560 --> 0:55:17.680
<v Speaker 1>mean Sheba If you'd invested in Sheba coin back in

0:55:17.920 --> 0:55:21.600
<v Speaker 1>the first quarter of this year, A thousand dollars today

0:55:21.640 --> 0:55:24.279
<v Speaker 1>would be worth two point one million, right, I mean,

0:55:24.920 --> 0:55:28.040
<v Speaker 1>can I find another sheba coin? I don't know, but okay,

0:55:28.040 --> 0:55:29.440
<v Speaker 1>but we're talking about I mean that a lot of

0:55:29.480 --> 0:55:32.759
<v Speaker 1>people think it's a joke. Well sheba coin was a

0:55:32.840 --> 0:55:37.680
<v Speaker 1>joke created to mimic doze coin, which was a joke, right,

0:55:37.840 --> 0:55:40.600
<v Speaker 1>So I mean, yeah, well I don't know it's it's

0:55:40.600 --> 0:55:44.960
<v Speaker 1>a second derivative joker cryptocurrency. But you know, it just

0:55:45.040 --> 0:55:48.319
<v Speaker 1>shows you how much cash is out there, how it's

0:55:48.360 --> 0:55:51.640
<v Speaker 1>lifting asset prices. Like I was asked that the Federal

0:55:51.680 --> 0:55:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Reserve to do a thing on bubbles and what markets

0:55:55.000 --> 0:55:57.640
<v Speaker 1>did I think we're in bubbles? And I went through

0:55:57.680 --> 0:56:00.839
<v Speaker 1>every market I could think of, and the one, I uh,

0:56:01.680 --> 0:56:05.440
<v Speaker 1>sports memorabilia isn't a bubble. Baseball cards are clearly in

0:56:05.480 --> 0:56:09.719
<v Speaker 1>a bubble, right, Um? But you know you look at stocks, right,

0:56:09.880 --> 0:56:12.440
<v Speaker 1>are they in a bubble? Well? Not with interest rates

0:56:12.440 --> 0:56:14.239
<v Speaker 1>where they're at. It isn't it? And isn't it so

0:56:14.320 --> 0:56:17.280
<v Speaker 1>much of it's got kind of bounced back from falling

0:56:17.280 --> 0:56:20.080
<v Speaker 1>off a cliff and things recovering or do you think

0:56:20.440 --> 0:56:22.239
<v Speaker 1>you know we've done that? And then we've gone a

0:56:22.280 --> 0:56:25.839
<v Speaker 1>little bit more. Well, I think, you know, normally at

0:56:25.880 --> 0:56:27.880
<v Speaker 1>this point in a recovery, I would say, oh, you know,

0:56:27.880 --> 0:56:30.319
<v Speaker 1>we're kind of in the second or third ending, right

0:56:30.760 --> 0:56:33.319
<v Speaker 1>like when the Dodgers are winning the World Series. But

0:56:33.800 --> 0:56:38.200
<v Speaker 1>uh that you know, this is like we went right

0:56:38.239 --> 0:56:42.160
<v Speaker 1>to the fifth ending, you know, the immedately, the incredible

0:56:42.280 --> 0:56:45.640
<v Speaker 1>rally that we've got coming out of the pandemic and

0:56:45.680 --> 0:56:50.160
<v Speaker 1>the amount of stimulus. You know, people compare this to uh,

0:56:50.280 --> 0:56:53.640
<v Speaker 1>a war, right, the pandemic was a war. And so

0:56:53.719 --> 0:56:56.759
<v Speaker 1>I've gone back and I've studied wars, and when you

0:56:56.800 --> 0:57:00.840
<v Speaker 1>get what's there is an interesting corollarya is you you

0:57:00.840 --> 0:57:03.160
<v Speaker 1>you have a major war, like the First World War,

0:57:03.320 --> 0:57:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the Second World War. Right after the war is over

0:57:06.760 --> 0:57:10.239
<v Speaker 1>and there's been all this stimulus from defense spending and

0:57:10.280 --> 0:57:15.440
<v Speaker 1>money printing, you get a spike in inflation, which is transitory.

0:57:15.719 --> 0:57:18.480
<v Speaker 1>So when people talk to me about is this transitory,

0:57:18.600 --> 0:57:22.600
<v Speaker 1>which I'm always like, everything's transitory. Life is transitory. But

0:57:22.600 --> 0:57:25.000
<v Speaker 1>but you know, is you know, is this something that

0:57:25.280 --> 0:57:27.960
<v Speaker 1>is permanent and should we be worried about it in

0:57:28.000 --> 0:57:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the long run? And I think today the answer is no. Well,

0:57:32.280 --> 0:57:34.080
<v Speaker 1>if you look at all the things that have gone

0:57:34.120 --> 0:57:37.040
<v Speaker 1>up in price that have that are in the CPI components.

0:57:37.320 --> 0:57:43.000
<v Speaker 1>You've got hospitality industries to hotels, airlines, automobiles, right, which

0:57:43.040 --> 0:57:46.320
<v Speaker 1>are due to the supply chain interruption. Um, you know,

0:57:46.400 --> 0:57:49.920
<v Speaker 1>it's really a bounce back from what we had in

0:57:49.920 --> 0:57:53.360
<v Speaker 1>the decline. And you can say, wait a minute's got autos. Well,

0:57:54.080 --> 0:57:58.240
<v Speaker 1>the supply chain interruption to me looks like the retooling

0:57:58.280 --> 0:58:00.840
<v Speaker 1>that occurred at the end of the Second World War. Right,

0:58:01.440 --> 0:58:04.640
<v Speaker 1>all of every all output auto plants, everything had been

0:58:04.680 --> 0:58:08.640
<v Speaker 1>converted to wartime production. There was a transition period in

0:58:08.680 --> 0:58:11.280
<v Speaker 1>the in the earl in the mid forties, and during

0:58:11.280 --> 0:58:14.880
<v Speaker 1>that transition period, people who had saved all this money

0:58:14.920 --> 0:58:17.840
<v Speaker 1>from the stimulus from the war wanted to spend it,

0:58:17.920 --> 0:58:20.720
<v Speaker 1>and so auto prices went up. But you know it's

0:58:20.720 --> 0:58:23.920
<v Speaker 1>interesting is there was one one period in there, I

0:58:23.920 --> 0:58:26.320
<v Speaker 1>think it was in forty six or forty seven where

0:58:26.320 --> 0:58:30.960
<v Speaker 1>inflation actually was at twenty but bond yields never went

0:58:31.000 --> 0:58:33.760
<v Speaker 1>above two and a quarter, which doesn't quite make sense,

0:58:33.800 --> 0:58:36.120
<v Speaker 1>does it. Well, I think we're living in it today,

0:58:36.480 --> 0:58:41.520
<v Speaker 1>So that's interesting. So so what's the interest rate environment?

0:58:41.520 --> 0:58:43.960
<v Speaker 1>Can we make a projection here? Scott longer term. Is

0:58:43.960 --> 0:58:47.600
<v Speaker 1>there's something different about the relationships here? Well, you know,

0:58:47.680 --> 0:58:52.040
<v Speaker 1>I love the the phrase is there's something different? You know,

0:58:52.960 --> 0:58:57.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm a great had I loved the Ken Rogue Off

0:58:57.600 --> 0:59:00.520
<v Speaker 1>and Carmen Ryknocks book. This time it's different. And when

0:59:00.520 --> 0:59:02.440
<v Speaker 1>I met Ken Rogoff, I had to ask him where

0:59:02.480 --> 0:59:05.680
<v Speaker 1>did this title come from? I guess it's never different, right,

0:59:06.240 --> 0:59:09.919
<v Speaker 1>So you know, to to your point, I don't think

0:59:09.920 --> 0:59:12.360
<v Speaker 1>it's different from the standpoint of what I just talked

0:59:12.400 --> 0:59:16.600
<v Speaker 1>about in the periods of time that we're talking about,

0:59:16.600 --> 0:59:19.520
<v Speaker 1>where you had lots of government spending, lots of money printing,

0:59:19.840 --> 0:59:23.720
<v Speaker 1>and then you transition, your transition, but there is something

0:59:23.760 --> 0:59:29.800
<v Speaker 1>fundamentally different in it. We now have socialized credit. We

0:59:29.880 --> 0:59:34.120
<v Speaker 1>have now made the central bank the backstop for everything,

0:59:34.920 --> 0:59:38.640
<v Speaker 1>and this is really unusual because central banks were never

0:59:38.800 --> 0:59:42.080
<v Speaker 1>designed for this. The Federal Reserve was created after the

0:59:42.120 --> 0:59:47.040
<v Speaker 1>Panic of n to provide some short term elasticity to

0:59:47.200 --> 0:59:50.560
<v Speaker 1>money to avoid periods of time where you had spikes

0:59:50.560 --> 0:59:55.200
<v Speaker 1>and interest rates because of exogenous events like the earthquake

0:59:55.240 --> 1:00:00.600
<v Speaker 1>in San Francisco right so um that of course ended

1:00:00.680 --> 1:00:04.360
<v Speaker 1>up setting off a financial crisis. So the idea was Okay,

1:00:04.360 --> 1:00:08.400
<v Speaker 1>we had this, this temporary elasticity of credit. This is permanent.

1:00:08.840 --> 1:00:11.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is MMT. No, no matter what any

1:00:12.120 --> 1:00:15.840
<v Speaker 1>rhetoric ors out there, we are living in MMT. Well.

1:00:15.880 --> 1:00:18.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, as I tell people, the history of money

1:00:18.560 --> 1:00:23.080
<v Speaker 1>is checkered. Right, Kings would scrape the engine edges of

1:00:23.440 --> 1:00:26.800
<v Speaker 1>silver coins so they could build palaces or flight wars,

1:00:27.040 --> 1:00:31.120
<v Speaker 1>and they slowly debase their currency. Right. Well, the history

1:00:31.160 --> 1:00:34.640
<v Speaker 1>of paper money is a more. Right, there has never

1:00:34.720 --> 1:00:38.080
<v Speaker 1>been a paper money regime that doesn't ultimately end in

1:00:38.200 --> 1:00:40.880
<v Speaker 1>some sort of hyper inflation. Right. And if you go

1:00:40.960 --> 1:00:43.760
<v Speaker 1>back and you look at Rogos work on this subject,

1:00:43.960 --> 1:00:47.440
<v Speaker 1>he says, you get three options. Right. You default if

1:00:47.440 --> 1:00:51.760
<v Speaker 1>you're a government, Okay, not likely, right, unless we can't

1:00:51.760 --> 1:00:55.680
<v Speaker 1>get a budget ceiling pass. You can you can restructure,

1:00:56.240 --> 1:01:01.320
<v Speaker 1>but that's what people like Argentina do, right, Or you

1:01:01.360 --> 1:01:04.480
<v Speaker 1>can inflate your way out of it, and so ultimately,

1:01:05.160 --> 1:01:07.760
<v Speaker 1>And it's interesting because you know, people say, oh, you know,

1:01:07.880 --> 1:01:10.600
<v Speaker 1>all this money is inflationary, and I agree with that,

1:01:11.120 --> 1:01:14.600
<v Speaker 1>but you know, Milton Friedman famously said that, you know,

1:01:14.680 --> 1:01:19.120
<v Speaker 1>inflation is always in everywhere a monetary phenomenon. It isn't

1:01:19.120 --> 1:01:21.439
<v Speaker 1>based on the size of the budget deficit. It isn't

1:01:21.480 --> 1:01:24.720
<v Speaker 1>based on physical spending. It's a monetary phenomenon. But the

1:01:24.720 --> 1:01:27.080
<v Speaker 1>thing that people forget is the rest of the statement,

1:01:27.760 --> 1:01:32.760
<v Speaker 1>which is inflation is always in everywhere a monetary phenomenon

1:01:33.160 --> 1:01:37.880
<v Speaker 1>subject to long and variable lags, right, and we're living

1:01:37.920 --> 1:01:40.840
<v Speaker 1>in the age of a long and variable leg thirty seconds?

1:01:41.040 --> 1:01:42.960
<v Speaker 1>What then do investors do? How do they need to

1:01:43.000 --> 1:01:44.920
<v Speaker 1>approach the market? You said there's a lot of bubbles

1:01:44.960 --> 1:01:48.200
<v Speaker 1>out there just well, you know, it's interesting because every

1:01:48.200 --> 1:01:50.720
<v Speaker 1>investor I have is a long term investor, and after

1:01:50.760 --> 1:01:52.880
<v Speaker 1>about three months I find out what the definition of

1:01:52.880 --> 1:01:55.600
<v Speaker 1>the long terms. If you're truly a long term investor,

1:01:55.840 --> 1:01:59.120
<v Speaker 1>what you really need to do is buy things that

1:01:59.240 --> 1:02:02.960
<v Speaker 1>will perform them well in the long run. Real estate,

1:02:03.640 --> 1:02:07.800
<v Speaker 1>residential real estate, despite everything people say, is still more

1:02:07.880 --> 1:02:11.320
<v Speaker 1>affordable than any other period except right after the Great

1:02:11.320 --> 1:02:15.360
<v Speaker 1>Financial Crisis. The difference today is there's financing available, you know,

1:02:15.560 --> 1:02:19.560
<v Speaker 1>uh there exactly, and you get the option to prepay

1:02:19.560 --> 1:02:21.480
<v Speaker 1>in our country. So you know, there are a lot

1:02:21.520 --> 1:02:24.560
<v Speaker 1>of things out there like that. I like. Also, you

1:02:24.600 --> 1:02:26.720
<v Speaker 1>know a lot of the unicorn stocks that are out there.

1:02:26.720 --> 1:02:29.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to mention anything names because we're invested

1:02:29.080 --> 1:02:31.760
<v Speaker 1>in some of them. But you know, this is gonna

1:02:31.800 --> 1:02:35.440
<v Speaker 1>be like the Internet, this is gonna be transformational. We

1:02:35.520 --> 1:02:38.440
<v Speaker 1>will probably go through a washout. So if you're a

1:02:38.440 --> 1:02:40.880
<v Speaker 1>short term investor, you know, if you're worried about the

1:02:40.880 --> 1:02:43.120
<v Speaker 1>next year or two, maybe you don't want to go there.

1:02:43.480 --> 1:02:46.040
<v Speaker 1>But the reality is, intend to twenty years, it'll be

1:02:46.280 --> 1:02:48.200
<v Speaker 1>There are the companies out there today that are that

1:02:48.280 --> 1:02:51.640
<v Speaker 1>are Amazon, and I was a genius. I bought Amazon

1:02:51.680 --> 1:02:55.480
<v Speaker 1>at nine dollars of share and I sold it at fourteen.

1:02:56.360 --> 1:03:00.240
<v Speaker 1>So you know, so there's a big opportunity out there

1:03:00.280 --> 1:03:03.440
<v Speaker 1>for people who who want to wait for the crash.

1:03:03.480 --> 1:03:05.880
<v Speaker 1>But you know, ultimately, if you're in it for the

1:03:05.920 --> 1:03:08.120
<v Speaker 1>long run, it's Mary Meeker pointed out back in the

1:03:08.160 --> 1:03:11.960
<v Speaker 1>Internet bubble, by a broad portfolio of these companies and

1:03:12.000 --> 1:03:13.200
<v Speaker 1>at the end of the day, you're going to do

1:03:13.320 --> 1:03:15.840
<v Speaker 1>really well. That was Scott Minor, the ce IO over

1:03:15.840 --> 1:03:18.919
<v Speaker 1>at googen Him Investments. Well, a ton of great conversations.

1:03:18.920 --> 1:03:21.640
<v Speaker 1>It was so much fun to be back live and

1:03:21.680 --> 1:03:25.080
<v Speaker 1>in person there at the Beverly Hilton. Um it was

1:03:25.160 --> 1:03:27.520
<v Speaker 1>it was your first time, right, my first time being

1:03:27.640 --> 1:03:30.840
<v Speaker 1>at the Milk and Institute Global Conference, and it was fun.

1:03:30.960 --> 1:03:32.560
<v Speaker 1>It was a lot of fun. What it's what's great

1:03:32.560 --> 1:03:36.080
<v Speaker 1>about it? It is really um across section of obviously

1:03:36.120 --> 1:03:41.040
<v Speaker 1>the financial community, but there's wellness, there's technology, there's media,

1:03:41.120 --> 1:03:44.320
<v Speaker 1>there's entertainment. It's just you know what business week is

1:03:44.360 --> 1:03:47.120
<v Speaker 1>all about, right, a snapshot of our world. Right, you

1:03:47.120 --> 1:03:49.280
<v Speaker 1>can be walking around in the hotel and bump into

1:03:49.320 --> 1:03:52.840
<v Speaker 1>a movie star, the governor. I didn't. I didn't either,

1:03:53.200 --> 1:03:55.680
<v Speaker 1>but I could have. She was there. She was there

1:03:55.720 --> 1:03:58.280
<v Speaker 1>as well as were many others. All Right. That reps

1:03:58.360 --> 1:04:00.840
<v Speaker 1>up the weekend edition of Bloomberg Busines this week from

1:04:00.840 --> 1:04:03.640
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. If you missed any of our interviews or

1:04:03.680 --> 1:04:06.840
<v Speaker 1>want to hear the full interviews, just from milk and

1:04:07.160 --> 1:04:10.160
<v Speaker 1>just go to the Bloomberg terminal also at Bloomberg dot com.

1:04:10.160 --> 1:04:12.320
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for joining us. I'm Carol Masser and

1:04:12.320 --> 1:04:14.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm Tim Stanavak. Be sure to tune into our Bloomberg

1:04:14.320 --> 1:04:16.520
<v Speaker 1>Business Week Daily show Monday through Friday. It starts at

1:04:16.560 --> 1:04:18.880
<v Speaker 1>two pm Wall Street Time on Bloomberg Radio. You can

1:04:18.880 --> 1:04:21.640
<v Speaker 1>also watch our daily broadcast on YouTube. Just search Bloomberg

1:04:21.680 --> 1:04:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Global News. Also check out our Bloomberg Business Week podcast

1:04:24.640 --> 1:04:26.480
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1:04:26.520 --> 1:04:29.400
<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcast. Bloomberg Business Week is available

1:04:29.400 --> 1:04:32.600
<v Speaker 1>on newsstands now. It's the special Double Persuasion issue, so

1:04:32.720 --> 1:04:34.880
<v Speaker 1>check that out. Lots of great stories there. Find it

1:04:34.880 --> 1:04:37.280
<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com, business Week dot com, and on

1:04:37.320 --> 1:04:39.280
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal, and you can also see me on

1:04:39.320 --> 1:04:42.560
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1:04:42.720 --> 1:04:46.479
<v Speaker 1>and streaming platforms like Roku, Apple TV, Samsung TV and more.

1:04:46.680 --> 1:04:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Have a great weekend. Stay safe everyone. This is Bloomberg