1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: your bets. It is meet Joey Pa joe Piezapia and 3 00:00:06,400 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 1: it's Friday of week fifteen. That means it's time to 4 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: get to the props. That's right, sound the focus on 5 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: the players, who's gonna go over, who's gonna go under? 6 00:00:14,480 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: And of course to help us do it. Of course 7 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: you're raising his hand already. The Undertaker himself Andrew Erickson 8 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: also known as Andrew Anderson here around these parts. Scott Bogman, 9 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: of course, a host of our college football content over 10 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: here at Betting Pros. Lots of bowl covers going on. 11 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 1: Make sure you're subscribing to the YouTube channels. You don't 12 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: miss a single moment of that. Lots of fun things happening. Bogman. 13 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 1: Last night you and I talked about Thursday night football. 14 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: I thought the under was going to play. The under 15 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,559 Speaker 1: went over in the first quarter of that game. It 16 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: was crazy. 17 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was dead about three minutes hands. I mean, 18 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 2: what a pathetic performance from the Chargers. I mean, look, 19 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 2: we've seen bad performances before, but I mean I think 20 00:00:56,800 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 2: that if he Saley might have gotten fired. Even if 21 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 2: he had this team in a position for a playoff game. 22 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 2: This was one of the worst performances I've ever seen, 23 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,560 Speaker 2: and it just so happened to be on national TV 24 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 2: the one time that they have. You know, they're in 25 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 2: front of everybody. What a terrible, terrible performance all the 26 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,040 Speaker 2: way around by the Chargers, top to bottom. 27 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: And I look, I always said to you that I 28 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 1: thought it was slightly surprising that he still kept his 29 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 1: job after that playoff loss last year. I thought that 30 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: was one that was kind of going to turn around 31 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: bite him. But I understand to give a guy another shot. 32 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: But considering how much rope he had ericson, it feels like, 33 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: you know, if it takes this long to fire Brandon Staley, 34 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 1: that the three of us are probably gonna last at 35 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 1: least another six months here at least. 36 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 3: Hey, shout out to my guy, Andrew Alex ericson score 37 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:45,600 Speaker 3: touchdown on your cousin. 38 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 1: Your cousin, Alex. That's good. It's nice to see. So 39 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: the boys that are going to break down are props 40 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: for today, for Saturday and Sunday's games. Got a lot 41 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 1: of games over a lot of different days here. But 42 00:01:57,600 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: before we do that, don't forget Like I said, drop 43 00:01:59,920 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: your comments below, subscribe to the channel. You just might 44 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: win a one year free premium upgrade to Betting Pros, 45 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: the best betting tools on the planet to help you 46 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 1: bet smarter, not harder, and premium upgrades. If you want 47 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 1: to see what it's all about, go download the Betting 48 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: Pros app because iOS users get three free days of premium. 49 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: This is the perfect weekend to do it. Saturday football, 50 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 1: Sunday football, Monday football, so much football for you to 51 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: bet on, and that's what we want to do here 52 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,359 Speaker 1: on the Betting Pro Channel. So subscribe, drop the comments, 53 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 1: and you just might win that upgrade. Also, don't forget 54 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:32,239 Speaker 1: we've also got basketball content here on the channel. Fast 55 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:35,799 Speaker 1: Break Bets Wednesday Friday, eleven am Eastern with Matt Mody 56 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: give you the best in NBA in terms of wagering 57 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: and betting and props and everything. He's the man. He's 58 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: getting it done every Wednesday and Friday. Go check him 59 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: out as well. All right, boys, Boggs, you're theoretical guest today, 60 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: so I want you to kick things off here for 61 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: week fifteen in the NFL with the props. 62 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 2: Let's start with the Lamar Jackson over one and a 63 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:57,760 Speaker 2: half passing touchdowns at Jacksonville. It is plus one point 64 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 2: thirty five and the jack We talked about this on 65 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 2: the Straight Bet Show yesterday Joe and Joe and Ericson 66 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:11,519 Speaker 2: is this Jacksonville secondary is miserable. Since Week nine, they've 67 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 2: allowed eleven passing touchdowns that was thereby Week nine. In 68 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:20,720 Speaker 2: those five games, they are also second to last, well 69 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 2: technically third to last now that the Chargers have played, 70 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 2: but we're not going to count that game. The Bengals 71 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: are the only team that has allowed more passing yards 72 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 2: in that five game stretch than the Jacksonville Jaguars. Over 73 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 2: the last three they're the only team allowing three hundred 74 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 2: yards passing. So you can beat this team on the ground. 75 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 2: And the Ravens are usually a run first team, but 76 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 2: throw the ball, they can't stop it at all. So 77 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 2: one and a half passing touchdowns, which I think Lamar's 78 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 2: only done five times this season. But this is a 79 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 2: easy game for him to do this in. I think 80 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 2: he will do it. And you're getting plus money on this, 81 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 2: so I really like this against a miserable secondary. 82 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: I love when you say Jaguars. I love when you 83 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: call the jaguars Ericson. I also like when people say jaguars, 84 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: which do you prefer of all the different three ways 85 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 1: to say it? Ericson, you have a preference like the 86 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: British way, like the bottom legs, or just the jags, 87 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: which is the Jacksonville way. 88 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 3: I like the jaguars. I know why people call it 89 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:23,359 Speaker 3: jaguars is because in some of the versions of Madden, 90 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 3: that's why they pronounce it that way. So that's why 91 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 3: it's been informed in certain people to call them jaguars 92 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 3: because one of the broadcasters from one of the Madden 93 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 3: games would always call them jaguars. 94 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:35,279 Speaker 4: Jaguars. 95 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's ja j g W I R E s 96 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 2: that counts pronounce jaguars. 97 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know you mentioned the jaguars. The jaguars secondary 98 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: not being good. Who do you prefer OBJ or A 99 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 1: flowers in this game? If you're going to go target 100 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 1: some other props? 101 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 4: I mean, for me, I prefer OBJ. 102 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: But why are you saying it like it's a secret. 103 00:04:55,640 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 1: I don't understand. 104 00:04:58,080 --> 00:04:59,919 Speaker 3: A show sheet because I guess we'll still right to. 105 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,360 Speaker 1: Oh well, you know, okay, I'll hold it off a 106 00:05:03,400 --> 00:05:03,800 Speaker 1: little bit. 107 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 3: Uh. 108 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: Ericson, do you have something you'd like to speak about 109 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: to the rest of the class. 110 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 3: Yes, mister piece of pa obj I want to take 111 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,039 Speaker 3: the over on his receiving yardage prop thirty eight and 112 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 3: a half yards. It's just too low. He's gone over 113 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 3: forty in four of his last five games. Last week 114 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,799 Speaker 3: he had four cats for ninety seven yards and a touchdown. 115 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 3: He got ten targets last week, and he's not even 116 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 3: playing all the snaps. So the Ravens are being smart 117 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 3: about his workload because he's an older player and they 118 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 3: want him healthy in the playoffs. But they also understand like, 119 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 3: besides they flowers like, he's probably their most impactful receiver 120 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 3: without Mark Anders in the lineup. So when he's on 121 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,520 Speaker 3: the field, he gets targets and he's gonna get yards 122 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:44,719 Speaker 3: based on the defense that he's facing that has just 123 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 3: been bleeding points specifically in the passing game, but specifically 124 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 3: to wide receivers, allowing the most wide receiver yardage over 125 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 3: the last four weeks, nearly two hundred yards per game 126 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 3: to wide receivers. So there's an opportunity. I mean, I 127 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 3: love all the Jackson on his passing yardage props, and 128 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:04,400 Speaker 3: that's gonna happen it's gonna go through guys like Zay 129 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:06,720 Speaker 3: Flowers and obj. I just think the best value is 130 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 3: on Beckham just based on his number being below forty yards, 131 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,680 Speaker 3: Like it's just too low for someone in such a 132 00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 3: great matchup who's already been producing. 133 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: Last six weeks on Fantasy Pros, I would add Odell 134 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,480 Speaker 1: Beckham's name to the Waiver Wires show every single week, 135 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: and then Debro would take it off, and I'd add 136 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 1: it again right before the show, until eventually he got 137 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: to a place two weeks ago where he had to 138 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: begrudgingly agree that, yeah, it was probably smart to add 139 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: Beckham all those months ago, just for uh. 140 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 3: With Beckham, I think that there's some anchor biasing going 141 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 3: on with him where, you know, we start off the 142 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,240 Speaker 3: season it's like, oh, he's old, like he's not really 143 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 3: doing much. But I mean we're seeing him now that 144 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:46,279 Speaker 3: he's healthy and like, again, this is still Odell Beckham junior. 145 00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:48,479 Speaker 1: Like it's still wayser knee surgery. 146 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:50,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, but at the same time, like we 147 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 3: see guys get removed farther and farther away from these 148 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 3: injuries and they come back to form. I mean Cortland 149 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 3: Sutton's another guy like Look, he had devastating injury a 150 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 3: couple of years ago, and maybe just in the time 151 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:02,880 Speaker 3: for him to get back to his all star form, 152 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 3: and maybe we're seeing that from OBJ. So he's just 153 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 3: being too undervalued in the marketplace. 154 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 1: All right, let's continue well with the marketplace of Week fifteen, Bogs, 155 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 1: you want to go with the Giants on a prop? 156 00:07:12,840 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: What do you have? 157 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:17,200 Speaker 2: Let's go with the over on Saquon Barkley rushing yards 158 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 2: at sixty seven and a half. And yesterday Ericson talked 159 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 2: about this as well, and I was looking into it 160 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 2: for Saquon. I'm sorry if I sold this from you, Ericson, 161 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 2: But let's look at what the Saints have been giving 162 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 2: up on the ground Week fourteen, eighty seven yards to Hubbard, 163 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 2: seventy four to Sanders, and forty to Bryce Young lots 164 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 2: of yards. Week thirteen, Gibbs had sixty, Montgomery had fifty six. 165 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 2: Week twelve, Beijon had ninety one, Algier had sixty four, 166 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 2: and Patterson had forty three. Why do I mention all 167 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 2: of these broken up carries because they don't break up 168 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:54,239 Speaker 2: carries for the Giants. They're all given to Saquon Barkley. 169 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:56,640 Speaker 2: He's gonna have all these opportunities. Tommy DeVito has been 170 00:07:56,720 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 2: running a lot too. Don't hate his rushing prop against 171 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 2: this miserable rush defense here with the Saints. So I 172 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 2: think it with fifteen to twenty carries, like Saquon always has, 173 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 2: he's gonna sail past this number. I don't think this 174 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 2: one is high enough at all. So I got over 175 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 2: on Saquon rushing yard. 176 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: I got a lot of Saquon and DFS this week 177 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:16,480 Speaker 1: deeper and I talked about yesterday on the DFS pod. 178 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: By the way, that's audio only, so if you're looking 179 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: for the DFS show, it's on the audio side wherever 180 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:24,000 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts Betting pros. All right, Eric, so 181 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: let's go to you with an under that I absolutely love. 182 00:08:26,800 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: So I can't make fun of you on this one 183 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 1: because this was an under last week against the same 184 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 1: team I was in on and now this is like 185 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 1: free money, So give everybody the free money this week 186 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: with Clyde Edwards Hilaire. 187 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 3: This line is just too funny for Clyde Edwards hilarious. 188 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 1: It's so hilarious. 189 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 3: Under forty five and a half rushing yards is the 190 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:47,880 Speaker 3: prop here, guys like you don't play running backs against Patriots, 191 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:51,000 Speaker 3: Like it's bizarre how this three and ten team could 192 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:53,920 Speaker 3: somehow allow the least rushing yard it'ge to running backs. 193 00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 3: But that's where we're at with the Patriots allowing three 194 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 3: point three yards per carry. We're vocal about fading this 195 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 3: o Thos running backs last week facing the Patriots, neither 196 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:05,679 Speaker 3: of them got to fifty rushing yards and Edwards Lair's 197 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 3: at forty five and a half rushing yards and I 198 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 3: don't really understand where the line is coming from. Again, 199 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 3: in a great matchup last week against a horrible Bills 200 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 3: run defense, he got thirty nine yards. So I just 201 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 3: anytime I can bet on a backup running back even 202 00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 3: seeing so so volume. Just the matchup is so bad 203 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 3: for Edwards Hlaiir and he's not even seeing all the 204 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:29,320 Speaker 3: carries in the backfield. Jared McKinnon sprinkles here and there, 205 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 3: and last week he was under this in a much 206 00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 3: better matchup. So no reason to think that Edward Teler's 207 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 3: is going to break out randomly in Week fifteen against 208 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 3: the Patriots who just again you can't run on them. 209 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:42,439 Speaker 3: So going under on the Chiefs running back of rushing yardage. 210 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 1: I love it again. That's just easy money this week. Man, 211 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: there is no way around It's hilarious. Yeah, I didn't 212 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,200 Speaker 1: even know he was going there. It was beautiful. 213 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:53,240 Speaker 4: And how do you have the best dad joke on 214 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:53,720 Speaker 4: the show? 215 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: Are you a dad? All? As? He always has always been, 216 00:09:56,240 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 1: like colege, Eric's five years now, something like that, long time, 217 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 1: and he was doing this at like, you know, twenty 218 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: four years old. He was rocking these dad jokes. And 219 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 1: you know, someday you're gonna make some family very proud. 220 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 1: That's all we know. Not your own. I think we 221 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 1: already know how they feel about you. All right, let's 222 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: go to another prop here, another running back too that 223 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 1: Bogs has. Is it an over and under? We'll have 224 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 1: to see when it comes to James Connor this week. 225 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go under. The fifty one and a 226 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:30,760 Speaker 2: half rushing yards versus San Francisco. This is the Niners 227 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 2: peak right now, what we're seeing. And since week ten 228 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 2: they've allowed fifty nine yards to Jacksonville leading Russia. There 229 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 2: was Etn with thirty five, Tampa Bay had sixty six, 230 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:43,840 Speaker 2: where Shod White had thirty. Seattle had eighty eight. Total yards. 231 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 2: Sharbona led with forty seven, Billy had forty six, Hurtz 232 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 2: led with twenty, and then last week they allowed seventy 233 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:54,199 Speaker 2: total rushing yards to Seattle and Charbonay had forty four. 234 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 2: This is a low total for James Connor. He's gone 235 00:10:56,920 --> 00:11:00,280 Speaker 2: over this most weeks, right, I think he will right 236 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:04,080 Speaker 2: at fifty one the last game against the Niners as well. 237 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 2: But look, the Niners are playing so well on offense 238 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 2: that these teams are getting way behind and they can't 239 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 2: afford to run the ball. It's gonna bleed too much 240 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 2: clock because they're already behind so much. So I feel 241 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 2: if that is the same scenario, which it has been 242 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 2: when they've been on this heater ever since their bye week, 243 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 2: James Connor is just not going to hit this total. 244 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be passing the ball a lot. 245 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 2: I think we see a lot of Michael Carter in 246 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 2: this game as well. So I'm gonna go with the 247 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 2: under on James Connor rushing yards. 248 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:34,920 Speaker 1: For you, Bogman, when you're looking back in the season, 249 00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 1: you know, James Connor was I think a fail safe 250 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,199 Speaker 1: running back for a lot of people where there's you know, 251 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:41,440 Speaker 1: a little later. I'll wait my drafts, we'll get James Connor, 252 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:43,680 Speaker 1: and I understand the thought process, and on paper, I 253 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: think was a very good one, but really it has 254 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 1: not worked. Next year, what do you think that backfield 255 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 1: looks like for Arizona? 256 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 2: I mean, you know, with Carter there, I think it's 257 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 2: very it's gonna be very, very split. I think Carter 258 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 2: is a good running back. I think he's super underrated, 259 00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 2: and you know, he was cast aside in the Cardinals 260 00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:03,600 Speaker 2: were quick to pick him up, so I think they 261 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 2: have an idea of what they want to do with him. 262 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 2: This is, you know, a new staff and front office there, 263 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:12,320 Speaker 2: so they're kind of this is a year to weed 264 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 2: out who they like and who they don't like, which 265 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 2: is why Kyanty Ingram has gone and Michael Carter was 266 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:19,600 Speaker 2: brought in. So I think it's probably gonna be more split. 267 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 2: And the deeper Connor gets into his career, the more 268 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 2: he's going to have to seed work to someone else 269 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 2: because he is a bell cow back. But we also 270 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 2: know he breaks down a lot. So I think it's 271 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 2: going to be fairly split next season. 272 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:33,839 Speaker 1: All right, we might as well continue to pile on 273 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 1: James Connor poor James Connors in an edible arrangement because Erickson, 274 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 1: of course you've got another under when it comes to 275 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 1: Connor as well this week. 276 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean we could send him multiple ones as 277 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 3: long as he makes us money by not delivering on 278 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 3: his player props. 279 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 1: So James in season for James thea. 280 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:51,760 Speaker 3: For not getting over nine and a half receiving yards 281 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 3: in week fifteen when you face the forty nine ers, 282 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 3: because that's what's gonna happen here, guys. He has gone 283 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 3: over this number nine and a half receiving guards one time. 284 00:12:58,880 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 1: This year. 285 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 3: He's played nine games. He's gone over nine a half 286 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 3: receiving yards once. 287 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 4: So they brought in Carter to catch all those passes. Exactly. 288 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:10,440 Speaker 3: James Connor's not playing on third down, whether it's Michael Carter, 289 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 3: whether it's a Mario de Macado, like, there's someone else 290 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 3: that's operating as the third down back. So, as Bogs 291 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 3: just alluded to, we're projecting negative game script. James Connor 292 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:22,000 Speaker 3: may not even be in the game. So I think 293 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 3: this is another look stone cold lock of the week. 294 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:26,959 Speaker 3: This is mine. James Connor under nine and a half receiving 295 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 3: yards again, He's done it. One time in nine games 296 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 3: played this year. I don't understand why the line is 297 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,199 Speaker 3: this high, so I'm gonna take it easy. 298 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:37,079 Speaker 1: Under speaking of the unders, you know, we go back 299 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:38,679 Speaker 1: to the clydwords A lair one real quick. We're just 300 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: kind of messing around here, trying to see, you know, 301 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: put things together. I love the Barkley one so much. 302 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:44,320 Speaker 1: I love the cly words A lair one too much. 303 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:45,439 Speaker 1: I wanted to see what I can put them to 304 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: both together because they both have juice bound the minus 305 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:50,360 Speaker 1: one fourteen range exactly on Vandal. But he put them together, 306 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: get plus two fifty two. That's an easy day at 307 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 1: the office right there. That's an easy You can lay 308 00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 1: a couple of units on that, and I think that's 309 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: gonna absolutely smash. All right, let's get to another one 310 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 1: here for you, Scott Bogman. But before we do, just 311 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: a reminder make all your picks count with our NFL contest. 312 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 1: If you haven't already joined, there still time Betting pros 313 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:09,280 Speaker 1: dot Com slash NFL Contest. You can join on the 314 00:14:09,280 --> 00:14:11,760 Speaker 1: app to just click the community tab. We're giving away 315 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 1: weekly prizes and monthly prizes, so there's still a little 316 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,200 Speaker 1: bit of time there left for you in December. Just 317 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: make five picks a week over it bettingpros dot Com 318 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 1: slash NFL contest, whin yourself a Hava T shirt or 319 00:14:22,160 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 1: something nights. All right, let's go. So what are we 320 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 1: gonna do here, Bogman for our next pick. 321 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 2: Let's go James Cook over twenty three and a half 322 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 2: receiving yards versus Dallas. And this is you know, one 323 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 2: of the biggest changes for Joe Brady since taking over 324 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:36,920 Speaker 2: is getting James Cook to Balmer. In his three weeks 325 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 2: that he's been the OC, James Cook has touched the 326 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 2: ball twenty twenty two and fifteen times. He only had 327 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 2: fifteen or more touches in five of his previous ten games, 328 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:49,920 Speaker 2: and he has fourteen receptions in those three games, which 329 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 2: is right at thirty seven percent of his entire total 330 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 2: for the season. Because you only had twenty four catches 331 00:14:55,800 --> 00:15:00,160 Speaker 2: going into the last three weeks here, so he been 332 00:15:00,160 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 2: getting way more work. The focus has been getting him 333 00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 2: the ball. I do think Dallas. I like Dallas in 334 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,680 Speaker 2: this game outright, So I do think maybe the Bills 335 00:15:08,720 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 2: will be playing from behind, which should lead to more 336 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 2: receptions for everybody, including James Cook. So let's go this 337 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 2: total is so low for him, he catches a screen pass, 338 00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:20,480 Speaker 2: he can get all of it because he is, you know, 339 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 2: he is very, very explosive. So let's go with the 340 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 2: over twenty three and a half receiving yards for James 341 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 2: Cook this week. 342 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 1: Now. I like this one too, and I keep telling 343 00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 1: people to start cooking this game. I think this is 344 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 1: gonna be a fun game here between these two teams. 345 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 1: I still like Dallas on the money line. By the way, 346 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 1: did you see that weird little uh stat nugget that 347 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:38,080 Speaker 1: the Cowboys haven't lost a game since they announced that 348 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: Jerry Jones was going to go into the Ring of Honor? 349 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:41,680 Speaker 4: Did you Y Johnson? 350 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 1: Jim Jones? Jerry Jones announced that Jimmy Johnson, I get 351 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:47,800 Speaker 1: my Jerry jon was all next cup. Sometimes they all 352 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 1: make sausage, that's all. 353 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 2: What Jerry Jones also said was he was going to 354 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 2: be announced in the ring in nineteen twenty three instead 355 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 2: of twenty twenty three. 356 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 1: That was so I don't look nearly so I only 357 00:15:57,720 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 1: look half a snile as he does. 358 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 2: That's right, Well, I would say that you're only half 359 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 2: a senile as so I think that's the nicest thing 360 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 2: I've ever said about I. 361 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 1: Think that's the best compliment I've ever seen from you 362 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 1: in our many, many years of friendship. All Right, so 363 00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: let's move on after that. Let's continue on with this 364 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 1: game though, because Ericson, you've got a prop in this 365 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 1: one too, with another running back. But this guy's on 366 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 1: the opposite end here. This guy's on the Cowboys. So 367 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 1: let's talk about Tony Pollard. 368 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:30,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, Tony Pollard over fifty one and a half rushing yards. Look, 369 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 3: he's been improving since the slow start of the season. 370 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 3: He's gone over this number and at five straight games. 371 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 3: He's gone over fifty one yards in seven straight games. 372 00:16:39,160 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 3: And again, I know Edward Tailor didn't have a massive 373 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,480 Speaker 3: rushing game, but that's because Edward Talier is not a 374 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 3: very good running back. Tony Pollard is a very explosive 375 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 3: running back. And the Bill's run defense is allowed the 376 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 3: third highest explosive run rate this season. So I know 377 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:54,560 Speaker 3: you guys like the Cowboys, So if they're be playing 378 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 3: with some positive game script here, playing with a lead 379 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 3: on the road, I think they might lean a little 380 00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 3: bit more on the run game with Tony Pollard. Matchup 381 00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 3: that they can exploit. So I just think the number 382 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 3: just really popped out, and he's like fifty one and 383 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 3: a half yards, Like it seems really low, especial for 384 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,359 Speaker 3: a guy like Pollard who's really explosive. He can get 385 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:12,360 Speaker 3: this in one run. And given how explosive the bill 386 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:15,359 Speaker 3: Stevens has been in terms of allowing rushing yards, I 387 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:17,359 Speaker 3: really like the over here all right. 388 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 4: Kids would call the bills run d mid. 389 00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:22,639 Speaker 1: I like the mid expression that that's one of the 390 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 1: few expressions that I like that the kids are using. 391 00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 1: Mid is a good one. 392 00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:29,080 Speaker 3: And on Desmond Midter. 393 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 1: That they said you can't call him that anymore. And now, yeah, 394 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,639 Speaker 1: Desmond his family wrote a very strongly worded letter h 395 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 1: to betting pros and he can't say it anymore. So 396 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 1: but no, it's look, mid is a good one, and 397 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 1: they've got all these other ones. My kids come home. 398 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:49,480 Speaker 1: I barely know what they're saying at this point, Like 399 00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 1: it is crazy. 400 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:53,800 Speaker 4: The biggest fan of Riz, the biggest fan of Riz. 401 00:17:53,840 --> 00:17:54,640 Speaker 4: But I do like mid. 402 00:17:54,800 --> 00:17:57,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, Riz, Yeah, Rizz is overrated. You know you got 403 00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 1: the yacht, which I understand, and you know what does 404 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 1: that than I'm younger in hipper than Erickson. 405 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:09,240 Speaker 4: I'm not younger and hipper to his age. 406 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 1: There is a lot of Sleigh Queen going on here, 407 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 1: a lot of that in everything is Sleigh, everything is 408 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:21,119 Speaker 1: Yes Queen, a lot of that. Okay, that's good, all right, 409 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 1: Let's get to some more props here this next one. Look, 410 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:29,119 Speaker 1: I can't possibly love the Rams anymore if the Rams 411 00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:37,359 Speaker 1: don't work out on Sundays since like Monday morning, Oh 412 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,359 Speaker 1: I woke up, actually not even Sunday night. 413 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 4: No cap you love the Rams, no cat bro, no 414 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:43,919 Speaker 4: cat ass. 415 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: Seriously, and I love the Rams so much so heavily 416 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:49,919 Speaker 1: invested in the Rams and betting a DFS and everything. 417 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: So if things go sideways, you're gonna see a miserable 418 00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:55,320 Speaker 1: s o B on Monday morning here on this program. 419 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:57,400 Speaker 1: But I don't think it's going to and it looks 420 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,199 Speaker 1: like you don't either, because you've gone Cooper Cup year 421 00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 1: with the over Let's talk about that number and talk 422 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:03,280 Speaker 1: about the why. 423 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, he's back. 424 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:07,639 Speaker 2: All it takes is one good week of seeing Cooper 425 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:10,359 Speaker 2: Cup go off and you're like, Okay, he's back. He 426 00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:14,199 Speaker 2: did it last week over one hundred yards, and Washington 427 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 2: is still miserable against the pass they on. They rank 428 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:22,080 Speaker 2: dead last in passing yards allowed, they are bottom ten 429 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:25,280 Speaker 2: and PFF coverage grade. The last two games before their 430 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 2: bye week, they didn't have a sack on Dallas or Miami. 431 00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 2: So they're real bad in the secondary. And they're also 432 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 2: not putting pressure on quarterbacks. Not a great combo, especially 433 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 2: against Matthew Stafford, who will sit back and carve you 434 00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 2: up if you are not putting pressure on him. I 435 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:45,879 Speaker 2: think everybody for the Rams eat in this game. I 436 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 2: think this is going to be a lopsided victory for them. 437 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 2: I know Washington has gassed up, they're coming off of bye. 438 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,880 Speaker 2: But Brian Robinson, their best running back, may not even 439 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:57,800 Speaker 2: play in this game. So give me the Rams and 440 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 2: give me not even just. 441 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 1: Rolled out literally a minute ago. I got just got 442 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:05,120 Speaker 1: the up playbook. So it's funny he said that because 443 00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 1: I was gonna mention it. I was like, by the way, also, 444 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 1: now Brian Robbinson not playing in that game too, so 445 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 1: it's another piece that they're missing. 446 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 2: I like Antonio Gibson, but I Sam Howe. We've talked 447 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:16,880 Speaker 2: about this all year. Joe, it's Jekyl and how right. 448 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 2: That is what I've called it some some days he's great, 449 00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:21,879 Speaker 2: some days he's horrific. 450 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,880 Speaker 1: I want to get great, like I want him. Look, 451 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:26,880 Speaker 1: I want him to be great enough that they keep 452 00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:28,399 Speaker 1: pushing the total a little bit. And I think he 453 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,240 Speaker 1: could do that. Like I think he can chuck the 454 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:32,159 Speaker 1: ball around a little bit, and I think that's fine. Uh, 455 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 1: the stat when he. 456 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:34,680 Speaker 2: Gets in a rhythm, he's good, but I just don't 457 00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,199 Speaker 2: buy it. And then look, there's also an out for this. 458 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 2: If Washington is passing the ball really well, then we 459 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 2: have to go point for point, which lead swords Cooper 460 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 2: getting you know, more targets and catches as well. So 461 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna be the case, but I 462 00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,640 Speaker 2: this could be four catches for Cooper Cup. 463 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 1: Stafford two sixty four and a half plus Cooper Cup 464 00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 1: seventy two and a half both overs gets you plus 465 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: one sixty eight On FanDuel. By the way, Kian Williams 466 00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 1: numbers eighty seven and a half. Very high high for 467 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,040 Speaker 1: this game too, So very interesting on that one if 468 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 1: you want to take another pivot point there. But that's 469 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,719 Speaker 1: a high number for I know Current's had some good 470 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 1: days at the office recently, but still that's a that's a. 471 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,320 Speaker 3: The Commanders have been equalis bad against the run. 472 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,919 Speaker 1: I know, it's just a matter of like. 473 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 2: At least they traded their two best defensive players, so 474 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:18,720 Speaker 2: that's good. 475 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:23,919 Speaker 1: Like, Hey, Brandon, mister Staley, I'm gonna be right behind you, 476 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: gonna hang out. You guys want to go to brun cheap? 477 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:28,280 Speaker 4: Keep my place warm? 478 00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, pretty much? All right, let's get to the last 479 00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 1: one here from Ericson before he gets anytime touchdown. By 480 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: the way, the anytime TD is not out for Cooper 481 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:38,159 Speaker 1: Cup yet, but I'm gonna smash that too whenever I 482 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,320 Speaker 1: get a chance. All right, let's go with you Ericson. 483 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,480 Speaker 1: You've got some feelings on the West coast too, But 484 00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: this one has to do with the forty nine ers. 485 00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:47,159 Speaker 3: Yep, George Kittle under three and a half reception. So 486 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:48,919 Speaker 3: George Kittle, you always want to be looking at his 487 00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 3: reception crops. Not because George Kittle rips off big props 488 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 3: shaken or stirred shaken? Not fair. 489 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:00,080 Speaker 1: Do you even know who Sean Connery is? 490 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,480 Speaker 3: Br Yes, I do I know who that is. So 491 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:06,600 Speaker 3: back to George Kittle under his receptions prop because he's 492 00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:10,040 Speaker 3: only gone over this number in two games played alongside 493 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:13,119 Speaker 3: of healthy Deebo, Samuel and brand Nay you like, he 494 00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:14,879 Speaker 3: is fourth in the pegging order when it comes to 495 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,440 Speaker 3: actually getting targets and receptions in this lane up. I 496 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:22,240 Speaker 3: don't understand why I can't say catches. Gonna just gonna 497 00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:25,320 Speaker 3: change it, throw it out of the dictionary catches than 498 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:29,119 Speaker 3: those two other players. So the Cardinals are allowing the 499 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 3: fourth fewest catches the tight ends this season, and when 500 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,960 Speaker 3: everybody was healthy in the lineup. When they played back 501 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 3: in Week four, George Kittle had one catch for nine yards. 502 00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: So with that any more touches. 503 00:22:44,960 --> 00:22:49,080 Speaker 3: One catch nine yards under on George Kittle and his catches. 504 00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:51,200 Speaker 1: Prop you mean receptions. 505 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:53,520 Speaker 3: I'm not gonna try to say it again. I'm not 506 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:57,879 Speaker 3: I'm not sure what's going on. I'm concerned my well being. 507 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:01,480 Speaker 1: I think you're very well rashived by our audience. That's 508 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:01,960 Speaker 1: what I think. 509 00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 4: I'm leading the league in redness of face. Oh my god, because. 510 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 1: It happened twice. The second time. 511 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,639 Speaker 2: The first one I thought Ericson was screwing with us, 512 00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 2: and then the second one, Oh man. 513 00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:20,360 Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, courageous. All right, so Ericson, before your 514 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:22,960 Speaker 1: mind completely shuts down. Why don't you give us your 515 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 1: anytime touchdown call and make sure we clear you out 516 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,320 Speaker 1: of here before things go down hill. Further, I can't 517 00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:31,400 Speaker 1: believe this pick you've got to. This one is really stunning. 518 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:34,920 Speaker 3: Any time touchdown reception. There you go. I did it, 519 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 3: Jerry Judy for me, for the Denver Broncos. You look 520 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,480 Speaker 3: at the Detroit Lions. They are allowing the most red 521 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:42,760 Speaker 3: zone red zone touches. 522 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 4: To Jesus, mute yourself for Christ's sake, if you're a long. 523 00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 3: Week Okay, everybody, Jerry, everybody knows Eric starts drinking at 524 00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:59,439 Speaker 3: noon on Fridays, allowing the most red zone looks to 525 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 3: try wide receivers this season, and Jerry Judy's overdue for touchdowns. 526 00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 3: He expected touchdowns are four. He only has one, and 527 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 3: you should have called one last week. So I think 528 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,400 Speaker 3: that they're going to write the ship Judy scores. Maybe 529 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 3: Courton sunt scores too, but Judy's gonna get one today 530 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 3: or on Saturday. 531 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,600 Speaker 2: I mean, Ericson, let me just ask you this, how 532 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,359 Speaker 2: mad are you going to be when Jerry Judy is 533 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,919 Speaker 2: wide open for a touchdown and just straight up drops it? 534 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:27,679 Speaker 2: I mean, is this like remote control through the window 535 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:28,399 Speaker 2: type anger? 536 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:29,880 Speaker 4: What type of anger is this? 537 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 3: Probably? 538 00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:35,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, tunnies. 539 00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:38,640 Speaker 3: And Russell is going to throw it to Curlton Sun 540 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 3: in triple coverage. Son's going to catch it, and Judy's 541 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:41,880 Speaker 3: getting on the side by. 542 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:43,680 Speaker 1: Being like what you told me? The ball? 543 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 3: It's like, dude, in this triple cover man, that means 544 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:46,160 Speaker 3: he's open. 545 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:46,840 Speaker 2: Man. 546 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 1: That's tremendous. All right, Bogs close us out here with 547 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: an anytime touchdown call, and I think you've got a 548 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:54,679 Speaker 1: tight end for yours. 549 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought mine was absurd until I heard Jerry Judy. 550 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Tucker Craft. He's he's at plus 551 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 2: two seventy five, so he's getting a little bit better 552 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:08,920 Speaker 2: odds here and Jordan Love has been passing the ball 553 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:14,399 Speaker 2: until last week pretty decently. But Tucker Craft has been 554 00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,800 Speaker 2: on the field a ton. With Luke Musgrave down, I 555 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:21,639 Speaker 2: believe it was. His snapshare has been ninety six, ninety 556 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,359 Speaker 2: five and one percent in the last three weeks. He 557 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,840 Speaker 2: has twelve targets and one score in that three week stretch. 558 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,640 Speaker 2: He only had seven targets before Musgrave went down, So 559 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,520 Speaker 2: he's being used more and more, and I feel like 560 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:39,040 Speaker 2: the Packers have every single two point conversion in their playbook. 561 00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:42,480 Speaker 2: Lafleur is very very good at drawing those up. And 562 00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 2: those are the same thing as goalline plays guys. So 563 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 2: you know, if you see some of those plays, Craft 564 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 2: has been involved in those, so is Musgrave. The tight 565 00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 2: ends are getting involved so little little plus number and 566 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:55,920 Speaker 2: I think if credit they throw it to a Craft, 567 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:57,119 Speaker 2: he'll definitely catch it. 568 00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,160 Speaker 1: So it's really good number two plus two seventy five, 569 00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:01,240 Speaker 1: really nice two, especially with some of those guys on 570 00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,359 Speaker 1: that wide receiving corp banged up. But you know, the 571 00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:06,359 Speaker 1: options are becoming, you know, sort of very few and 572 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:08,679 Speaker 1: far between for Jordan Love here as the season kind 573 00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:10,760 Speaker 1: of wanes on, you know, dealing dealing with an injury. 574 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 1: Jones never plays. You've also got, you know, everything going 575 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:16,160 Speaker 1: on there with Watson and Reed. So I like this one. 576 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 2: A lot of this is And by the way, Derekson, 577 00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:20,439 Speaker 2: I saw your face. Judy is way more likely to 578 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:24,160 Speaker 2: score a touchdown than Tucker Craft. I just I would 579 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 2: never put my money on Judy because he drops many footballs. 580 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 2: You haven't really know what, you know, what I'm gonna 581 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 2: live this weekend just for you. I'm gonna were you 582 00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 2: and I are gonna be rooting for it on Saturday. 583 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:40,800 Speaker 4: One touchdown for Jerry Judy. 584 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,119 Speaker 1: Please let's go just to recap with the boys are 585 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 1: in on Bogman's and Lamar Jackson over one and a 586 00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:47,840 Speaker 1: half passing touchdowns, Saquon over sixty seven and a half 587 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,880 Speaker 1: rushing yards, Connor under fifty one and a half rushing yards, 588 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,360 Speaker 1: James Cook over twenty three and a half receiving yards, 589 00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 1: Cooper Cup over seventy five and a half receiving yards, 590 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 1: and the Tucker Craft TD at plus two seventy five 591 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,879 Speaker 1: Ericson is on the OBJ over thirty eight and a 592 00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 1: half receiving yards. It's a great short number there, CLYI 593 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,920 Speaker 1: word's a layer over forty five and a half rushing yards, 594 00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,520 Speaker 1: which is a huge number against the Patriots. Under excuse me, 595 00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:12,679 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I said over my apologies. Under geez, I 596 00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:14,840 Speaker 1: was so excited to put your taker. I was so 597 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,000 Speaker 1: excited about it that I lost my mind for a moment. 598 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,080 Speaker 1: James Connor under nine and a half receiving yards, Tony 599 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,600 Speaker 1: Poward over fifty one and a half rushing yards, Kittle 600 00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 1: under three and a half receptions and Jerry Judy versus 601 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,360 Speaker 1: The Lions plus two twenty. There you have it, everybody, 602 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:30,399 Speaker 1: but we want to hear from you. Drop your comments below. 603 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:32,720 Speaker 1: What are your favorite props of the week. We love 604 00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 1: to hear from our crew. Don't forget to subscribe to 605 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: the Betting Bros. YouTube channel and the podcast. Wherever you 606 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,840 Speaker 1: get your pods, drop your comments below. Leave reviews too. 607 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: If you've enjoyed the show all year, it's a great 608 00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:44,880 Speaker 1: time of year to drop some reviews on the program 609 00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,680 Speaker 1: too wherever you get your podcasts or here on YouTube 610 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:49,359 Speaker 1: as well. That'll do it for us, but the story 611 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: of the game goes on for Bogman and Erickson. I'm 612 00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 1: Joey p Well she you next time, kids, Sure you go. 613 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:01,800 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 614 00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 615 00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:06,680 Speaker 2: us is by leaving a positive review on. 616 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:08,240 Speaker 4: Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 617 00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:11,199 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 618 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:13,120 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 619 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:14,600 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our 620 00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,480 Speaker 2: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros