WEBVTT - NCAA Tournament Round One Best Bets (Ep. 159) 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:01.759 It's time to place your bets. 0:00:02.160 --> 0:00:15.079 Let's talk to the pros. 0:00:16.640 --> 0:00:21.160 Welcome into the Betting Pros podcast, the March Madness episode. 0:00:21.400 --> 0:00:23.640 I'm your host, Mike Randal. He can follow me on 0:00:23.720 --> 0:00:26.960 Twitter at Randall Rant and I am thrilled to be 0:00:27.120 --> 0:00:31.160 joined tonight by my brother from another mother, Gus Kerns 0:00:31.520 --> 0:00:34.360 at Skurns twelve on Twitter. We've been on the screen 0:00:34.400 --> 0:00:36.800 the screen of podcast before and today we are here 0:00:37.320 --> 0:00:40.680 joined to preview the first round of the NCAA tournament 0:00:40.680 --> 0:00:43.520 here on Betting Pros. Gus welcome board. 0:00:43.800 --> 0:00:46.720 Thank you for the inclusion. Excited to do our thing, 0:00:47.159 --> 0:00:49.559 Please to do this on this particular platform with you 0:00:49.840 --> 0:00:51.320 couldn't ask for anything more. 0:00:51.240 --> 0:00:54.960 And what you couldn't ask more for, folks, is more 0:00:55.280 --> 0:00:59.200 March Madness free contests. You can make some bets, you 0:00:59.200 --> 0:01:02.920 can place your favorites underdogs, but what you can also 0:01:03.000 --> 0:01:06.040 do is go to Bettingpros dot com and enter the 0:01:06.080 --> 0:01:10.039 March Madness Bracket contest free to enter twenty five hundred 0:01:10.080 --> 0:01:13.200 dollars in prizes from FanDuel to the top twenty scores 0:01:13.360 --> 0:01:18.120 and additional prizes from Pristine Auction. First place a Shaquille 0:01:18.120 --> 0:01:22.559 O'Neal sign Lakers Jersey, second place, a Giannis Entitacoumpo signed 0:01:22.560 --> 0:01:27.320 Bucks Jersey, third place, John Calipari signed Kentucky Wildcats Jersey, 0:01:27.560 --> 0:01:29.880 and fourth place the one Joe and I talked about 0:01:29.920 --> 0:01:33.240 the other night, the Bob Knight signed sixteen by twenty 0:01:33.240 --> 0:01:38.920 photo inscribed best wishes. Go to Bettingpros dot Com backslash 0:01:39.000 --> 0:01:42.440 march for more info on the contest. Bettingpros dot Com 0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:46.959 NCAB tournament bracket contest terms are all there the Betting 0:01:47.000 --> 0:01:50.000 Pros optimizer. If you want to do some research, Gustin, 0:01:50.080 --> 0:01:53.200 I always research before we talk and see where people 0:01:53.240 --> 0:01:55.800 are leading. You can go to the optimizer there, use 0:01:55.880 --> 0:01:58.800 that and then go into the contest free bracket contest 0:01:58.880 --> 0:02:05.120 here Betting Pros dot backslash March, Gus, the bracket is out. 0:02:05.440 --> 0:02:08.400 We have what we need, and I think what we 0:02:08.520 --> 0:02:11.360 have partner overall, is a pretty balanced tournament. 0:02:11.360 --> 0:02:15.520 When you say, I definitely would agree. People are gonna 0:02:15.560 --> 0:02:18.040 quibble and argue over some of the numbers that stand 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:20.280 next to some of the teams, but I think as 0:02:20.320 --> 0:02:23.520 far as the inclusion of the teams in this particular 0:02:23.600 --> 0:02:26.079 bracket twenty twenty two edition. I think we're off to 0:02:26.160 --> 0:02:28.359 a pretty good start and I can't wait to pick 0:02:28.360 --> 0:02:28.880 some games. 0:02:29.120 --> 0:02:31.079 So this is what we're gonna do, folks. We will 0:02:31.120 --> 0:02:34.040 go through each of the four regions and talk about 0:02:34.080 --> 0:02:37.000 the games and the spreads in each one of those 0:02:37.040 --> 0:02:39.960 regions and give our thoughts. We'll go over the playing 0:02:40.000 --> 0:02:42.880 games for those two regions. We'll give a first round pick. 0:02:42.919 --> 0:02:45.240 Gus will give his, I'll give mine, and then we 0:02:45.320 --> 0:02:47.680 will actually predict the eight teams that we think will 0:02:47.760 --> 0:02:50.280 make the round of thirty two. So maybe somebody doesn't cover, 0:02:50.600 --> 0:02:52.760 but they do advance. That's what we'll do for each 0:02:52.760 --> 0:02:55.320 of the four regions. Break it down, let's see how 0:02:55.360 --> 0:02:58.359 we do. We will start in the West region. Gus 0:02:58.400 --> 0:03:00.960 and I have been huge fans of this za. Gonzaga 0:03:00.960 --> 0:03:04.680 Bulldogs the absolute number one seed, and looking now at 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:08.280 the spreads in this region. We have the play and game, 0:03:08.480 --> 0:03:11.040 which we'll talk about in a minute, Notre Dame minus 0:03:11.080 --> 0:03:13.880 one versus Rutgers. That's a very important game. Notre Dame 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:17.280 opened minus a half point. We have Gonzaga minus twenty 0:03:17.320 --> 0:03:19.720 three and a half versus Georgia State that went down 0:03:19.720 --> 0:03:21.720 a little bit from the opening. Memphis minus two and 0:03:21.760 --> 0:03:23.679 a half Verst Boises take us. I'm very interested in 0:03:23.760 --> 0:03:25.920 that game open minus one and a half. People are 0:03:25.919 --> 0:03:28.720 betting Memphis Connecticut minus six and a half. First, New 0:03:28.760 --> 0:03:32.600 Mexico State open at minus seven, Arkansas open minus six 0:03:32.680 --> 0:03:35.640 and a half. Vermont has now dropped. It's Arkansas minus 0:03:35.720 --> 0:03:39.200 five against Vermont, Texas Tech minus fifteen and a half 0:03:39.280 --> 0:03:41.880 versus Montana, same as the open Michigan State minus two 0:03:41.960 --> 0:03:44.720 versus Davidson that's also a critical one. And Duke minus 0:03:44.720 --> 0:03:47.640 eighteen and a half versus cal State Fullerton opened at 0:03:47.680 --> 0:03:51.880 minus seventeen, and predictably people have bet on Duke. So, partner, 0:03:51.920 --> 0:03:54.240 why did you kick us off here? Let's start with 0:03:54.320 --> 0:03:57.240 the play and game pick. Talk to me about Notre 0:03:57.360 --> 0:03:59.960 Dame minus one right now verse Rutgers. 0:04:00.560 --> 0:04:02.520 I mean, if we have this game as almost to 0:04:02.560 --> 0:04:06.400 pick them on a neutral court, my initial leaning is 0:04:06.440 --> 0:04:10.120 why not go Rutgers. Notre Dame might think they have 0:04:10.240 --> 0:04:13.200 the best player on the floor in Blake Wesley, but 0:04:13.360 --> 0:04:15.520 I'm gonna say this is gonna be a final possession 0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:19.160 type game, and we've seen Rutgers win these final possession 0:04:19.200 --> 0:04:21.279 type games. So if you're gonna go with a pick 0:04:21.320 --> 0:04:24.039 them game on a neutral court. Why wouldn't you lean 0:04:24.080 --> 0:04:27.080 towards Geo Baker and Ron Harper Junior, who's already done 0:04:27.080 --> 0:04:30.159 it twice this year. I think a late hit from 0:04:30.200 --> 0:04:34.320 one of those Rutgers scarlet Knights are you advances and 0:04:34.960 --> 0:04:35.840 makes you some money. 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:39.440 I have looked at this game since these brackets have 0:04:39.480 --> 0:04:42.200 come out, one of the toughest ones partner that I've had. 0:04:42.760 --> 0:04:47.240 My heart says Rutgers. I want Rutgers Jersey Pride. We're 0:04:47.320 --> 0:04:51.040 rooting for it. My head says Notre Dame. Here's my rationale. 0:04:51.600 --> 0:04:54.680 I looked at the metrics of this matchup, and when 0:04:54.720 --> 0:04:57.760 I've been in these situations and I've had a heart 0:04:57.880 --> 0:05:00.120 versus head pick and the metrics have been the the 0:05:00.160 --> 0:05:04.200 way I've almost always seen the win. With the metrics, 0:05:04.520 --> 0:05:06.320 I don't think Rutgers is going to be able to 0:05:06.360 --> 0:05:09.279 stop them from three. Rutgers has allowed opponents to shoot 0:05:09.320 --> 0:05:11.560 thirty four percent from beyond the arc, and you know 0:05:11.680 --> 0:05:14.799 Notre Dame can shoot it thirty seven point seven percent 0:05:14.960 --> 0:05:17.880 overall this year, top twenty in the country, thirty nine 0:05:17.880 --> 0:05:20.960 point six in the ACC. Notre Dame doesn't force a 0:05:21.000 --> 0:05:23.719 lot of turnovers. I understand that Rutgers does, but Notre 0:05:23.800 --> 0:05:27.120 Dame doesn't turn the ball over on offense either. This 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:30.000 is a tough one. Rutgers has had some big wins, 0:05:30.080 --> 0:05:33.320 but Notre Dame be Kentucky and Rutgers has had some 0:05:33.360 --> 0:05:36.680 bad losses. I am hoping I'm wrong, Gus, but I 0:05:36.760 --> 0:05:38.840 am taking Notre Dame on this game, and gosh, I 0:05:38.920 --> 0:05:39.760 felt a lot about it. 0:05:39.880 --> 0:05:42.800 You could analyze this a couple of different ways and 0:05:42.800 --> 0:05:45.359 come up with different results each different time, especially with 0:05:45.440 --> 0:05:48.080 this line being as skinny as it is. I seriously 0:05:48.080 --> 0:05:50.320 think it will be a final possession type game, and 0:05:50.360 --> 0:05:52.360 I think the score will be down, So you might 0:05:52.400 --> 0:05:54.320 want to take a peek at the under there if 0:05:54.320 --> 0:05:56.400 that's something that you take a peek at. But I'm 0:05:56.400 --> 0:05:57.680 gonna still lean Ruggers. 0:05:57.760 --> 0:05:59.599 All right, and let's go through a partner and get 0:05:59.640 --> 0:06:03.719 all your feelings on these games. I will start Gonzaga 0:06:03.800 --> 0:06:06.360 minus twenty three and a half versus Georgia State and 0:06:06.440 --> 0:06:08.360 open Gonzaga minus twenty five and a half. Where you 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:08.840 going here? 0:06:09.080 --> 0:06:11.240 All right? Pretty easy? Here, Gonzaga is going to try 0:06:11.240 --> 0:06:14.159 to like rest their guys quote unquote, and sure the 0:06:14.240 --> 0:06:17.920 other guys will excel with opportunity. Now, if we take 0:06:17.920 --> 0:06:20.240 a closer look at this, both teams were very average 0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:24.360 against the spread, Zags fifteen and twelve, Georgia State only 0:06:24.400 --> 0:06:27.960 thirteen and twelve. I think Gonzaga has too much size, 0:06:28.040 --> 0:06:29.960 and if you lean one way or the other, I 0:06:30.000 --> 0:06:34.440 think I would lean with Gonzaga covering and Georgia State 0:06:34.520 --> 0:06:36.159 falling short in the second half. 0:06:36.720 --> 0:06:39.800 Next up, Memphis minus two and a half. Money is 0:06:39.839 --> 0:06:41.880 coming in on the Tigers, so it's up to two 0:06:41.920 --> 0:06:45.240 and a half versus Boise State open one and a half. Tigers, Broncos, 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:45.800 where are you going? 0:06:46.920 --> 0:06:52.480 Since Thanksgiving? Boise has lost three games versus Wyoming seventy 0:06:52.520 --> 0:06:55.120 two to sixty five and then to Colorado State. You 0:06:55.160 --> 0:07:00.720 were Rams twice seventy seven, seventy four, seventy one, sixty nine. 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:05.359 You gotta score seventy to beat Boise. Memphis has scored 0:07:05.400 --> 0:07:08.960 seventy in eleven of its last fourteen games, twelve of 0:07:08.960 --> 0:07:12.440 those being wins. The computers say almost pick them. I 0:07:12.480 --> 0:07:15.800 love the Dagenhart and Williams matchup, but I'm gonna say 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:20.720 Memphis has it continued to roll their direction Sansamani Bates 0:07:20.760 --> 0:07:23.320 has stopped playing, and I like that they can put 0:07:23.360 --> 0:07:26.920 up enough points against that stout Boise State defense. Give 0:07:26.920 --> 0:07:27.800 me Memphis. 0:07:27.480 --> 0:07:31.280 Here, Connectiquette minus six and a half, it's dropped a 0:07:31.280 --> 0:07:34.440 little bit in New Mexico State. We love New Mexico State, 0:07:34.480 --> 0:07:36.480 but do you like him here only getting six and 0:07:36.480 --> 0:07:37.280 a half against Yukon. 0:07:37.960 --> 0:07:40.440 You said it exactly right. Don't like them here? Love 0:07:40.480 --> 0:07:45.000 them overall? Really bad matchup. Yukon has beat both Auburn 0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:47.880 and Nova and they have zero garbage losses. If you 0:07:47.920 --> 0:07:50.880 take a look. Now, New Mexico State did beat Davidson 0:07:50.960 --> 0:07:53.640 and they house Teddy Allen and Jabari Rice, one of 0:07:53.720 --> 0:07:56.920 the most underrated backcourts in the country. I'm gonna trust 0:07:57.000 --> 0:07:59.800 Yukon's grit and size here, and I really like you 0:08:00.080 --> 0:08:00.680 on in the spot. 0:08:01.280 --> 0:08:05.080 This has been a push button topic here. We have 0:08:05.520 --> 0:08:10.920 Arkansaw minus six. It's down to minus five now Arkansas 0:08:10.960 --> 0:08:15.200 minus five versus Vermont. Very interesting game, Gus, what do 0:08:15.200 --> 0:08:17.080 you say now? 0:08:17.200 --> 0:08:19.000 The head and the heart are going to be in 0:08:19.040 --> 0:08:22.559 the same place here and also will include the mind 0:08:22.600 --> 0:08:24.520 as well. If we take a look at some of 0:08:24.560 --> 0:08:26.400 the metrics and maybe some of the metrics that might 0:08:26.400 --> 0:08:29.040 be off the radar. Like one of our good friends, 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:34.680 Evan Miakawa at evan mia on Twitter, he has a 0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:38.440 ranking of which lineups have been the most productive in 0:08:38.480 --> 0:08:42.199 college basketball this season. Guess who has a top five 0:08:42.280 --> 0:08:46.400 lineup in the nation. Yeah, that's right, Vermont. They have 0:08:46.480 --> 0:08:50.160 everybody healthy. I love Vermont in the spot, don't like them. 0:08:50.640 --> 0:08:52.800 Love Vermont in the spot. I think it's gonna be 0:08:53.679 --> 0:08:56.960 maybe even an outright win. And I think that people 0:08:57.040 --> 0:08:58.600 might be sleeping on the Catamounts a bit. 0:08:58.840 --> 0:09:02.080 Okay, So of course we don't know yet. Against Rutgers, 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:05.360 not Dame, we talked about that. Next up, Texas Tech 0:09:05.440 --> 0:09:07.880 minus fifteen and a half. This number has held firm. 0:09:08.160 --> 0:09:12.200 Against Montana State, we have basketball NARCOLEPSI. We love Montana State. 0:09:12.240 --> 0:09:12.880 What do you think here? 0:09:13.320 --> 0:09:17.640 Well, Montana State has an interesting influx from Europe. They 0:09:17.679 --> 0:09:20.959 have three players from England on their team and all 0:09:21.000 --> 0:09:24.280 of them are impactful. As much as that's charming and 0:09:24.480 --> 0:09:28.080 that we love that Montana State is the representative out West. 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:31.440 They had to go through the traditional powerhouse in the GRIZ, 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:36.439 Texas Tech. They're going to suffocate Montana State with their personnel, 0:09:36.520 --> 0:09:40.559 size and versatility. Both teams are solid against the spread. 0:09:40.840 --> 0:09:44.160 Montana State was seventeen and fourteen and Texas Tech was 0:09:44.280 --> 0:09:47.200 twenty and thirteen. I'm gonna lean Tech here and let 0:09:47.240 --> 0:09:48.959 go of all those points. I think they're going to 0:09:49.000 --> 0:09:49.400 cover here. 0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:53.720 This next one is interesting, Michigan State minus two against 0:09:53.800 --> 0:09:56.440 David's and Michigan State the seven David's in the ten. 0:09:56.840 --> 0:10:00.240 This game is not until nine forty on Friday, which 0:10:00.240 --> 0:10:03.600 of course is critical with point guard Tyson Walker's status 0:10:03.679 --> 0:10:05.560 unknown for the Spartans. Where do you go here? 0:10:05.880 --> 0:10:09.000 Davidson and Michigan State. This might be the best coaching 0:10:09.040 --> 0:10:12.280 matchup within the first round. I really think that the 0:10:12.280 --> 0:10:15.080 computers are are kind of tied up here, so if 0:10:15.080 --> 0:10:17.480 we're in a pick'em situation, I like getting a couple 0:10:17.520 --> 0:10:20.080 of points with Davidson here. And Plus this might be 0:10:20.120 --> 0:10:22.600 the Foster lawyer like wants to stick it to his 0:10:22.679 --> 0:10:27.000 old team game. Good one, Yes, so I'm gonna lean 0:10:27.559 --> 0:10:30.239 the offensive efficiency of coach McKillop. 0:10:30.559 --> 0:10:33.920 Last one. The Dukies two seed. Don't know why they 0:10:33.960 --> 0:10:35.600 were two seed over Tennessee, but we can get out 0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:40.280 another podcast. Dukies minus eighteen and a half First cal 0:10:40.320 --> 0:10:42.679 State Fullerton Open Duke minus seventeen. 0:10:43.440 --> 0:10:46.520 Understand why that went that way. Of course, Duke is 0:10:46.520 --> 0:10:50.320 going to abtract a ton of attention, whether it be 0:10:50.800 --> 0:10:55.000 TV viewers or money sending their direction. There's so much 0:10:55.040 --> 0:10:58.040 talent there with Duke, and they, of all the teams, 0:10:58.240 --> 0:11:02.200 really needed a reset, maybe as much as Texas does 0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:05.680 in this particular tournament. And I think both teams were, 0:11:05.720 --> 0:11:09.520 you know, slightly average against the spread. Cal State Fulusen 0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:13.240 was a sixteen and twelve. Duke was seventeen and fifteen. 0:11:13.280 --> 0:11:15.719 So there's nothing to stand out there. I'm gonna say 0:11:15.800 --> 0:11:18.440 Duke drop some numbers here. I think they played with 0:11:18.480 --> 0:11:20.559 a little bit of freedom now that they don't have 0:11:20.720 --> 0:11:24.520 an ACC title to contend for, and they don't have 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:28.160 the retirement game or Coach K's last game at Cameron Indoor. 0:11:28.320 --> 0:11:29.760 I think they go ahead and just win this thing 0:11:29.800 --> 0:11:30.280 by twenty. 0:11:30.480 --> 0:11:32.760 Well, there you go, folks, Now I'll run it back. 0:11:33.640 --> 0:11:36.600 We talked about the playing game. I'm going Notre Dame. 0:11:36.679 --> 0:11:39.360 Next up, Gonzaga gus I found that all the one 0:11:39.400 --> 0:11:42.560 seeds I felt were way too low, way too low 0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:45.880 with the point spreads. Gonzaga played Fairley Dickinson as a 0:11:45.920 --> 0:11:49.480 one in twenty nineteen. They beat him eighty seven forty nine. 0:11:49.640 --> 0:11:52.880 Gonzaga played Norfolk State last year as a one ninety 0:11:52.880 --> 0:11:56.120 eight to fifty five. I get Georgia State. I understand 0:11:56.160 --> 0:11:58.000 that I don't know why I'm not laying twenty five, 0:11:58.120 --> 0:12:00.600 So twenty four and a half, twenty five, whatever it is, 0:12:00.640 --> 0:12:02.559 I will lay it there with the Zags. I think 0:12:02.559 --> 0:12:05.840 they bowl ahead in the second half. Boise State first, Memphis. 0:12:05.920 --> 0:12:08.040 I'm calling it right now. This is one of the 0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:11.800 picks I am the most sure of. I am absolutely 0:12:12.040 --> 0:12:16.319 taking Boise State. There is recency bias here with the Tigers. 0:12:16.760 --> 0:12:19.320 I know that they've lost baits and now they're playing 0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:23.800 better and they're hot, and they beat CUCF, SMU lost 0:12:23.840 --> 0:12:28.000 to Houston. Boise State is disciplined. Boise State rebounds. They're 0:12:28.000 --> 0:12:31.839 gonna totally feed off the fact that Memphis is three 0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:35.120 hundred and fifty second in the nation in turnover rate. 0:12:35.760 --> 0:12:38.600 Love Boise in this game. It may be my favorite 0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:41.400 pick of the entire first round. I know the money's 0:12:41.400 --> 0:12:43.600 going to Memphis. I know people like Memphis. They see 0:12:43.600 --> 0:12:45.880 them dunky, they see them doing all these things. Folks. 0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:49.120 Boise State won a really good Mountain West this year 0:12:49.160 --> 0:12:51.560 a really good Mount West and they did it in 0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:55.520 grand fashion. They beat Nevada, Wyoming, San Diego State. I 0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:58.600 will take that over Memphis. I am taking Boise State excellent. 0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:01.640 Next up. I think you hit it on ahead with Connecticut. 0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:05.760 I find that it's very hard to upset teams in 0:13:05.800 --> 0:13:09.800 the first round that have quality bigs. I think Snogo 0:13:09.880 --> 0:13:13.160 is a quality big for Yukon. I think just like 0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:16.520 the old Tyler Hansboro, you rarely saw Roy Williams teams 0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:19.040 with the tar Heels Gus lose in the early round 0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:22.199 because they had Tyler Hansburro. And this is the situation. 0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:25.120 I don't see New Mexico State doing this. I saw 0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:29.120 in New Mexico State earlier this year they were very impressive, 0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:32.160 and there, of course they're extremely well coached. I saw 0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:34.920 in New Mexico State earlier this year against Davidson and 0:13:35.160 --> 0:13:38.720 Utah State early on they ended up beating the Davidson 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:42.240 team seventy five sixty four, and then struggled mightily with 0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:46.080 the turnovers and the craziness against Utah State bean ate 0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:49.000 them up inside. I think a similar situation happens here. 0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:53.040 I'm going to lay the points with yukon Arkansas Vermont. 0:13:53.160 --> 0:13:56.480 I have mentioned this to you privately. Vermont is due 0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:59.800 for another big win. We were there together watching sarantineing 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:01.960 Op and Wrath with a big win over Sarah Cues. 0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:04.720 One was that two thousand and three they are due. 0:14:04.840 --> 0:14:07.840 Everyone is picking Arkansas in this game, and the line 0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:10.760 is going down. The line is actually going the other direction. 0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:13.880 So the casinos are saying, yeah, we know you're all 0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:17.040 betting Arkansas, and here's more motivation to do so. I 0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:20.360 love Vermont. Vermont hasn't just been winning GUS. They've been 0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:22.440 covering their games at the end of the year. John 0:14:22.480 --> 0:14:26.560 Becker smashing people, beating them comfortably. John Beckert does a 0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:28.960 great job. I know there's no Anthony Lamb, but this 0:14:29.000 --> 0:14:31.720 team is solid. I will take Vermont here with the 0:14:31.760 --> 0:14:36.080 points as well. On the bottom Texas Tech Montana State 0:14:36.440 --> 0:14:39.640 Defense travels. Texas Tech is just gonna lock down Montana State. 0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:41.840 They haven't seen anyone like that this year. I will 0:14:41.920 --> 0:14:45.560 lay those points there with Texas Tech. Davidson versus Michigan State. 0:14:45.680 --> 0:14:48.280 Great call with the Forest Forster Lawyer. Revenge Game. I 0:14:48.320 --> 0:14:51.280 love revenge game narratives. You know that Davidson should have 0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:54.040 beaten Richmond. They played really well. Richmond just had a 0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:56.240 magic ride there at the end. They can shoot the 0:14:56.280 --> 0:15:00.560 three rebound inside. Well coached. Michigan State has not put 0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:02.640 it together all year. It's just been a very up 0:15:02.640 --> 0:15:05.640 and down year. They struggle to get consistent offense. I 0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.520 know they're gonna bully Davidson, but Davidson has seen games 0:15:08.560 --> 0:15:10.800 like this before throughout the year. They're not gonna be 0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:14.000 shocked playing Michigan State. When they've had games this year 0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:15.960 against these top teams. They go in and they go 0:15:15.960 --> 0:15:17.600 on the road and win at VCU sixty three to 0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:19.560 sixty one. They know what it's like to go up 0:15:19.560 --> 0:15:21.600 against one of these teams. Love Davidson to win it 0:15:21.600 --> 0:15:23.760 out right. I'll take the two and Duke versus cal 0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:26.440 State Fullerton, sure, I mean with the all, with the 0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:29.120 exception of the Lehigh game Gusts, I'm gonna take Duke 0:15:29.120 --> 0:15:31.240 here and lay the points. I don't think the cal 0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:32.920 State Fulton can hang with them, but I don't like 0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:34.560 Duke that far. But I do like them in the 0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:35.080 first round. 0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.320 I don't think that Cal State Fullerson has a CJ. 0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:39.880 McCollum on their roster, so I think We're okay. CJ. 0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:41.800 McCom as a walking through that door. So partner, really 0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:44.080 quick run it down for me. I'll give the game. 0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:46.640 You tell me who's winning it. Forget the spread. Gonzaga, 0:15:46.640 --> 0:15:51.600 Georgia State, Zachs, Boise State, Memphis, I like Memphis, Connecticut, 0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:55.200 New Mexico State, Go Huskies, Arkansas, Vermont. 0:15:55.320 --> 0:15:58.360 I mean we have to go Catamounts, Go Catamounts. This 0:15:58.400 --> 0:15:59.160 is gonna be the game. 0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:04.320 Uckers, Notre Dame, Rutgers, Texas Tech, Montana State, Texas Tech, 0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:08.720 Michigan State, Davidson, Davidson, please and Duke cal State Fullerton, Duke. 0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:14.760 I will go Zags, Boise State, Yukon, Vermont, Notre Dame, 0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:17.000 Texas Tech, Davidson and Duke. 0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:17.440 Let us. 0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:19.920 Let's move it to the other side here to the 0:16:20.000 --> 0:16:23.760 South region. Right across going down these games, we have 0:16:23.920 --> 0:16:26.280 Right State versus Bryant, which is a great game. I love, 0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:28.560 by the way, Wright State minus three out of the 0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:32.200 horizon versus Bryant open Right State minus two. We have 0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:36.160 Seat and Hall minus one versus TCU same line, Houston 0:16:36.200 --> 0:16:39.120 minus eight and a half versus UAB That is interesting. 0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:42.480 Illinois minus seven and a half versus Chatta Chattanooga opened 0:16:42.480 --> 0:16:45.240 eight and a half. Money coming in on Chattanooga. Michigan 0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:47.360 minus two and a half versus Colorado State. We can 0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:49.840 spend the whole pot on that game. Tennessee minus seven 0:16:49.920 --> 0:16:53.320 dat over Longwood, Ohio State minus a half point in 0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:56.080 lower of the Chicago guess this has gone back and forth, 0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:58.280 so depending on the way the money is loyal in 0:16:58.360 --> 0:17:01.119 Chicago has been a favorite. Now they're under dog Villanova 0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:05.360 minus fifteen and a half versus Delaware, So here we go. 0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:08.359 Talk to me all right, So number one, let's talk 0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:11.840 Wright State Bryant. You're gonna have three awesome players in 0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:15.880 this game, with Peter Kiss Charles Pride, who went off 0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:19.880 for over forty points this season already Peter Kiss's teammate, 0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:22.560 and then you're gonna have Tanner Holden on the other side, 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:25.160 who's a threat for a triple double any single time. 0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:29.120 I'm gonna go with Bryant here. And this is why 0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:33.600 they've won sixteen out of their last seventeen games. There 0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:37.000 has to be something said for the culture, for the expectation, 0:17:37.440 --> 0:17:39.639 and for like the swag and the chip on the 0:17:39.640 --> 0:17:43.000 shoulder that Bryant plays with. So I'm gonna roll with 0:17:43.080 --> 0:17:46.840 Bryant here. If I can grab a couple points, absolutely, 0:17:46.920 --> 0:17:47.479 let's do it. 0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:52.240 Seaton Hall Big East minus one versus TCU. TCU is 0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:54.680 a very nebulous team. Not a lot of people realize 0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:57.080 how good a job Jamie Dixon has done that in there. 0:17:57.119 --> 0:17:59.159 What do you think here with the Pirates and the 0:17:59.200 --> 0:17:59.800 horn Frogs. 0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:03.120 Well, one of the things that Seaton Hall has over 0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:07.320 many of its opponents is a positional length and size 0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:11.600 all over the floor. TCU can kind of match that. 0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:14.000 They have positional size kind of all over the floor 0:18:14.040 --> 0:18:16.760 as well, even at the guard position. Miles is fantastic. 0:18:17.400 --> 0:18:19.840 So I think we're gonna have a little grinded out, 0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:22.840 little rock fight here, But I'm gonna take the Hall here. 0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:26.200 I'm gonna think that they might have an impact player 0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:29.800 that has an impact game, whether it be Kale, whether 0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.280 it be Rodin. I think one of those guys is 0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:34.679 gonna go for twenty plus and that's gonna be the 0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:37.520 difference here. The computers are gonna give us the numbers 0:18:37.520 --> 0:18:40.080 that look pretty similar, but I think Seaton Hall might 0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:42.520 have more talent, And on a neutral court, let's take 0:18:42.560 --> 0:18:43.240 the further talent. 0:18:43.440 --> 0:18:48.439 This is a fascinating game. Houston Cougars versus UAB. People 0:18:48.480 --> 0:18:50.960 don't like Houston, they say they haven't played anyone. People 0:18:51.040 --> 0:18:54.120 don't like UABAE, they haven't played anyone outside of conference. 0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:56.040 Where do you go here? Houston minus eight and a 0:18:56.040 --> 0:18:57.560 half first, the Blazers. 0:18:57.560 --> 0:19:00.639 Absolute Blazers. Here's the reason why. When you take a 0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:04.359 really close look at what Houston has had issues with 0:19:04.440 --> 0:19:08.080 this season, go directly back to the games against SMU. 0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:10.800 SMU has one of the best point guards in the 0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.720 nation and Kendrick Davis, and he gave them tons of 0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:17.199 trouble and even got a win against Houston this past season. 0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:21.639 Inside the AAC, go ahead and plug in Jelly Walker 0:19:21.960 --> 0:19:26.480 for Kendrick Davis, plug in uab's defensive grit, plug in 0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:29.399 Trade Jamison on the inside, who's going to be an 0:19:29.480 --> 0:19:32.719 absolute force and a wreck around the rim. And then 0:19:32.760 --> 0:19:36.359 you have Buffin, who's a high major transfer. He's not 0:19:36.400 --> 0:19:39.000 going to be scared of anything Houston is going to 0:19:39.080 --> 0:19:42.440 throw with them. I love UABA here, I even love 0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:44.159 UAB just straight. 0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:49.040 Up ELLINOI minus seven and a half versus Chattanooga. I 0:19:49.040 --> 0:19:50.840 don't know what to make of this. Fighting a line 0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:53.200 nine team Gus. Every time I watch them, they disappoint 0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:55.000 where you're going here seven and a half point spread 0:19:55.160 --> 0:19:56.640 with Chada. 0:19:56.760 --> 0:19:58.480 I think we got to lean Shada. And the reason 0:19:58.480 --> 0:20:00.359 we have to lean Shatta is just be because of 0:20:00.400 --> 0:20:05.800 the schizophrenic nature of Illinois. I don't know what kind 0:20:05.800 --> 0:20:08.480 of andre Cabello we're gonna get. If we're gonna get 0:20:08.520 --> 0:20:12.840 like the mad hatter andre Cabello that makes unbelievably odd decisions, 0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:15.000 or if we're gonna get like the magician with the ball. 0:20:15.600 --> 0:20:18.119 Another thing to pay attention to here about Chattanooga is 0:20:18.240 --> 0:20:22.600 they own enough size at every position, and they actually 0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:26.040 have somebody that can match up against Kofe Coburn with 0:20:26.200 --> 0:20:31.560 Desuza six', nine two point fifty Former kansas. Transfer so 0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:34.320 it's not Like Kofe coburn is just gonna come in 0:20:34.359 --> 0:20:36.480 and dunk on. People he's gonna have to dunk on 0:20:36.560 --> 0:20:40.080 somebody else that's a big time player, inside and we 0:20:40.160 --> 0:20:44.400 know that Usually. Illinois then there in their veteran guards 0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:47.080 might have a little pull. HERE i don't. KNOW i 0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:50.600 Think chattanooga is really live, here SO i love getting 0:20:50.600 --> 0:20:51.000 some points. 0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:54.880 Here i'm offended by this Line michigan as the eleven 0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:58.640 seed minus two and a half Verst Colorado. State come, On, 0:20:58.720 --> 0:20:59.520 gus talk to. 0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:02.400 ME i, mean you could definitely expand on this, one 0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:04.440 But i'm gonna take rams as. Well. Yeah the one 0:21:04.440 --> 0:21:06.439 thing to find out for to look out for is 0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:09.880 The David roddy foul trouble, situation whether he's gonna Guard 0:21:09.960 --> 0:21:14.840 Hunter dickinson or Another michigan player that might cause him 0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:18.959 to be exposed or isolated out on the. Wing as 0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:21.119 long as he stays out of foul, Trouble i'm going 0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:22.800 to argue that he's the best player on the. Floor 0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:26.600 so both teams are awful against the. Spread so if 0:21:26.640 --> 0:21:29.639 we can get a couple points, here, Yeah i'm in on. 0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:34.600 That tennessee minus seventeen Versus longwood opened, Eighteen longwood's getting 0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:36.960 some points. Here the, mean nobody in the country would 0:21:36.960 --> 0:21:39.119 be hotter except For arizona maybe Than tennessee entering. This 0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:39.600 where do you go? 0:21:39.680 --> 0:21:42.879 Here i'm Going. Tennessee not sure That longwood has seen 0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:46.640 a defensive team Like, tennessee AND i think their lead 0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:51.240 Guard Justin hill will definitely have issues with all of 0:21:51.320 --> 0:21:53.080 the defenders that he's going to take a look. At 0:21:53.160 --> 0:21:56.680 whether it Be, chandler whether it be A, ziggler whether 0:21:56.720 --> 0:22:00.000 it Be vescovie, LIKE i think each one of those 0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:02.679 players are gonna Give hill some, issues AND i Like 0:22:02.720 --> 0:22:03.360 tennessee big. 0:22:03.400 --> 0:22:05.680 Here there's never been a better use of The Chris 0:22:05.720 --> 0:22:09.120 farley gift than this next. Game no, Idea Ohio state 0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:10.359 minus a half point Of loyal In. 0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:12.639 Chicago talk to, me all, right, WELL i think if 0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.560 we have no idea and you know that Loyal chicago 0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:19.199 is going to have that name and that. Clout but 0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:22.480 are they the same? Team there's No cameron Crut. WIG 0:22:22.880 --> 0:22:25.200 i know they Have, williams who's gonna is a defensive 0:22:25.240 --> 0:22:29.200 ace on the. Wing but be careful. Here The buckeys 0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:32.680 are limping in and they're very vanilla right. Now they 0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:34.480 have the best player on the floor IN. Ej, ladell 0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:36.879 and they might have one of the players that blows 0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:40.320 up in the tournament In Malachi. Brennan he is a 0:22:40.320 --> 0:22:43.080 freshman guard that's figuring it out and can drop thirty 0:22:43.200 --> 0:22:45.640 at any. Time is he gonna drop thirty Against Loyla? Chicago? 0:22:46.040 --> 0:22:48.320 No but guess what if he drops nineteen AND. Ej 0:22:48.440 --> 0:22:50.240 liddell does his normal. Stuff The buckeys are gonna. 0:22:50.240 --> 0:22:54.240 Win and last one here getting some steam as. Well 0:22:54.960 --> 0:22:59.359 delaware fifteen and a half point underdog To Villanova nova minus. 0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:03.160 Fifteen As delaware a bit of a proximity, Rivalry, gus 0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:03.680 what do you think? 0:23:03.720 --> 0:23:05.959 Here, WELL i think there's also like A division one 0:23:06.080 --> 0:23:08.960 double a football. Rivalry you, know that's kind of on 0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:11.480 the side. Here, yes and this is also The Dylan 0:23:11.520 --> 0:23:13.560 painter revenge. GAME i, mean let's not forget. 0:23:13.560 --> 0:23:13.679 That. 0:23:15.760 --> 0:23:18.879 Listen delaware has long guards that have been there for 0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:22.760 a really long. Time and plus they Have philly legend 0:23:22.920 --> 0:23:28.520 blood With Jamir Nelson junior on the. Roster so guess. 0:23:28.600 --> 0:23:31.960 WHAT i kind of like The Blue hens. Here. YEP 0:23:32.520 --> 0:23:35.760 i like them getting that many. Points if it, keeps you, 0:23:35.760 --> 0:23:38.760 know if it stays in the fifteen, range that kind 0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:39.200 of works for. 0:23:39.320 --> 0:23:42.919 Me excellent job running it back. Here i'm with you On. 0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:46.080 Bryant i've seen enough Of. Brian Peter kiss has that 0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:48.880 mojo going right. Now and, LISTEN i Like Wright. State 0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:51.359 they got over the hump they always they eliminated the last, 0:23:51.359 --> 0:23:54.080 two maybe three or four times years in the first 0:23:54.160 --> 0:23:56.200 round of The. Horizons they got over it this. Year 0:23:56.240 --> 0:23:58.679 good for. THEM i Like brian especially if you're giving me. 0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:02.359 Points absolutely THERE tcu Versus Seaton. Hall, listen you know 0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:04.920 from an other, Podcasts i'm not Backing Kevin willard in. 0:24:04.960 --> 0:24:09.159 THIS i THINK tcu is pretty. Underrated they've played particularly, 0:24:09.240 --> 0:24:14.160 well especially in. Conference they ended up Beating Texas tech 0:24:14.240 --> 0:24:17.040 And kansas back to back at. HOME i know those 0:24:17.080 --> 0:24:19.320 game were home, gusts but you Beat Texas tech And 0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:22.720 kansas back to, back you're beating elite. COMPETITION i think 0:24:22.720 --> 0:24:25.000 they get up here For Seaton hall and they're getting a. 0:24:25.080 --> 0:24:30.520 POINT i love IT, Uab Houston Peanut butter And Jelly WALKER, 0:24:31.040 --> 0:24:33.880 uab AND i understand if people don't like, it they're 0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:37.480 gonna say. LISTEN uab hasn't played that many top twenty 0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:40.400 teams this. Year they've been really, impressive but they're king 0:24:40.400 --> 0:24:45.680 of the little. People their non conference gus Unc, Asheville Morehead, State. Rhodes, 0:24:46.040 --> 0:24:49.120 okay there's One South, Carolina ALABAMA a and M New 0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:52.880 mexico lost To san Fran Saint. Louis, OKAY i get. 0:24:52.880 --> 0:24:54.840 It BUT i think that they are the type of 0:24:54.840 --> 0:24:57.080 team that's gonna get up and get. Stealed they're gonna 0:24:57.119 --> 0:25:00.920 get After. Houston they're going to be Very memphis like Against. 0:25:00.920 --> 0:25:04.600 Houston it's a little frisky, here but since you're gonna 0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:06.960 end up giving me a decent, NUMBER i will grab 0:25:07.000 --> 0:25:10.600 it with Uab Illinoid. Chattanooga you took the words out 0:25:10.640 --> 0:25:14.360 of my. Mouth teams With biggs usually do. Well chada 0:25:14.480 --> 0:25:17.359 has a Big Silvio. Desuza we know him of the 0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:21.000 chair throwing incident In. Kansas is now On. Chattanooga he 0:25:21.080 --> 0:25:23.440 can Match coburn and if you can do, That corbello 0:25:23.520 --> 0:25:25.639 has not been the same this year after getting, injured 0:25:25.720 --> 0:25:28.800 up and down. Turnovers don't Like illinoy in this game? 0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:33.000 Whatsoever going With. Chada Colorado state, First michigan. ENOUGH i 0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:35.680 Faded michigan from the beginning of the. YEAR i faded 0:25:35.720 --> 0:25:37.560 them gusting that opening game at the half when they 0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:40.280 had an incredible first half and everybody Else twitter's, like you're. Crazy. 0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:43.080 Yeah since that first half of that first, game they've 0:25:43.119 --> 0:25:46.720 gone the other. Direction howard has just Returned Colorado state 0:25:46.800 --> 0:25:49.359 veteran team Love nico medved as a head. Coach in 0:25:49.400 --> 0:25:52.199 This David roddy's. Dominant the only thing is foul. Trouble 0:25:52.440 --> 0:25:56.119 i'll take the points With Colorado State. Tennessee longwood also in. 0:25:56.160 --> 0:25:59.000 Agreement longwood hasn't seen the type of Defense tennessee's bringing. 0:25:59.040 --> 0:26:00.680 Them they're gonna get out after, You they're going to. 0:26:00.720 --> 0:26:03.440 Pressure it's just a different level. Here So i'm gonna 0:26:03.440 --> 0:26:07.920 go With tennessee as. Well Ohio State loyal In, chicago well, done. 0:26:07.960 --> 0:26:11.480 MAN i think everyone's On loyal In. Chicago there recency. 0:26:11.560 --> 0:26:15.080 Bias last Year Ohio state comes in fly into the, 0:26:15.080 --> 0:26:17.639 tournament they lose To Oral. Roberts this year they're coming in, 0:26:17.720 --> 0:26:20.080 limping AND i think they're gonna Beat loyal To. Chicago 0:26:20.160 --> 0:26:23.720 everyone's gonna Beat loyal In. Chicago Losing Porter mosier. MATTERS 0:26:23.760 --> 0:26:25.879 i know it's a veteran, team BUT i Think Ohio 0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:29.400 state is being underrated. Here And Nova delaware absolutely taking 0:26:29.400 --> 0:26:33.439 the points if just gus Because villanova doesn't really push the. 0:26:33.520 --> 0:26:36.639 Pace so we saw it Against. Creighton they Beat, creyton 0:26:36.680 --> 0:26:39.200 but they didn't cover in the biggiest. Tournament so fifteen 0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:41.280 and a half For. DELAWARE i like This delaware. TEAM 0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:44.119 i like their. Guards dylan pay a revenge, game kudos to, 0:26:44.160 --> 0:26:46.280 You so there we. Go run it down for her, 0:26:46.320 --> 0:26:48.000 Partner i'll give you the games you tell me who 0:26:48.000 --> 0:26:51.040 Wins Wright. State bryant, Said, bryant. 0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:53.159 Right, absolutely let's Go Peter kiss. 0:26:52.800 --> 0:26:59.480 Straight, Up Seaton, HALL, Tcu let's go Haul, houston uab UAB, Illinoi, 0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:05.800 Chada Chatta Street rams Or Michigan. Rams let's Go, Tennessee. 0:27:05.359 --> 0:27:07.440 Longwood tennessee, Please. 0:27:07.280 --> 0:27:11.920 Ohio, state loyal In, Chicago Buck guys And Villanova. Delaware, 0:27:12.320 --> 0:27:16.399 yeah let's Go Nova. Advancing i'm Going BRYANT, TCU i 0:27:16.440 --> 0:27:20.160 will Take i'm gonna Take. 0:27:20.280 --> 0:27:23.120 Houston i'm gonna Take, houston But i'm TAKING uav with a. Point, 0:27:23.160 --> 0:27:26.320 Okay but something about, This bob is because it's such 0:27:26.320 --> 0:27:28.600 a popular. Upsent i'll Take houston to, win BUT uobi to, 0:27:28.640 --> 0:27:32.920 Cover chatta Over illinois, Absolutely Colora state Or. Michigan, Next 0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:35.640 tennessee Beats, Longwood Ohio state to win out right Versus, 0:27:35.920 --> 0:27:39.160 chicago and, Yes villanova to win but not cover Against. 0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:46.480 Delaware. Yes moving down to The, midwest here we Go Midwest, 0:27:46.520 --> 0:27:49.840 Region Texas southern minus four Versus TEXAS a and M Corpus. 0:27:49.960 --> 0:27:54.440 Christy following, that we Have San Diego state minus two Versus. 0:27:54.480 --> 0:27:57.080 Creighton that's the same as the. Open next, up we 0:27:57.160 --> 0:27:59.119 Have iowa minus ten and a half Versus. Richmond now 0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:01.200 what Opened iowa minus nine and a, Half so people 0:28:01.200 --> 0:28:04.080 actually betting on The hawkeyes. Here number is inflated a 0:28:04.080 --> 0:28:07.639 bit to ten and a. Half we Have providence minus 0:28:07.640 --> 0:28:09.679 two of Versus South Dakota. State that could be an 0:28:09.720 --> 0:28:14.400 hour long. DISCUSSION lsu minus four VERSUS i always stayed 0:28:14.440 --> 0:28:16.159 open minus four and a, half SO i was take 0:28:16.160 --> 0:28:19.879 getting a little money, there which is. Nice wisconsin playing In. 0:28:20.040 --> 0:28:23.200 Milwaukee i've discussed that at nauseam With joe. Yesterday wisconsin 0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:25.399 minus seven and a half Versus culgated opened eight and a. 0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:27.680 Half So colgate getting some money, here even on the 0:28:27.800 --> 0:28:30.880 road In. MILWAUKEE usc minus one and a half Versus. 0:28:30.880 --> 0:28:33.159 Miami that's a bizarre game to, me open, two And 0:28:33.359 --> 0:28:35.920 auburn minus fifteen and a half Versus jacksonville stay that 0:28:36.040 --> 0:28:38.960 open sixteen and a. Half so again people betting down 0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:41.800 when you're talking about your high, seeds they're betting down 0:28:41.840 --> 0:28:44.680 the number because they like the. Underdogs so partner take it, Away. 0:28:44.760 --> 0:28:46.680 All, Right let's go with the playing game, first and 0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:48.720 when you take a look at both of these, TEAMS 0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:52.280 i kind of liked WHAT i saw With TEXAS a 0:28:52.480 --> 0:28:55.680 and m they're twenty and ten versus the spread this. 0:28:55.840 --> 0:28:58.440 Year BUT i think one thing you want to pay 0:28:58.440 --> 0:29:03.560 attention to Is Travion, tennyson the six to four. Guard 0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:06.160 is he? Healthy is he gonna? Play he only played 0:29:06.200 --> 0:29:09.400 eight minutes last. GAME i think if he's. Healthy i'm 0:29:09.440 --> 0:29:13.320 A TEXAS a and m cc person, here AND i love. 0:29:13.360 --> 0:29:14.840 THAT i might get a couple of points with. That 0:29:14.960 --> 0:29:17.840 BUT i think if you're wagering this, game this playing, 0:29:17.880 --> 0:29:20.680 game definitely check on the health Of Trevian. 0:29:20.800 --> 0:29:24.520 Tennyson San Diego state out of The Mountain, west a 0:29:24.600 --> 0:29:27.959 team That i've been slow to warm two Versus, creighton 0:29:28.000 --> 0:29:30.880 who's scalding hot right now despite not having their freshman point. 0:29:30.920 --> 0:29:33.440 GUARD i Love creighton here after we got to see 0:29:33.480 --> 0:29:36.760 them in person at The Big East. Tournament i'm really 0:29:36.840 --> 0:29:40.080 impressed with the coach with What Coach mack has. Done 0:29:41.400 --> 0:29:45.480 losing your starting point guard and then rebranding everything to 0:29:45.600 --> 0:29:48.040 figure things out and do it in a successful fashion 0:29:48.240 --> 0:29:50.760 is really. Impressive here's the way that they're doing. It 0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:56.080 kaluma is AN nba. Player he's getting he's getting more, 0:29:56.160 --> 0:29:58.360 time and you might look at the stat sheet and, say, like, 0:29:58.400 --> 0:30:01.040 ah he's not even averaging double. Digits wait till you watch. 0:30:01.160 --> 0:30:04.200 HIM i think he'll be just fine and really. Comfortable 0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:06.720 hawkins is one of their glue. Guys he's their leading, 0:30:06.800 --> 0:30:09.040 scorer but he's not going to be the leading scorer 0:30:09.120 --> 0:30:11.880 in this type of. Game kalkbrenner is defensive player of The. 0:30:12.000 --> 0:30:15.440 YEAR i really in inside The Big. EAST i really 0:30:15.640 --> 0:30:17.960 love This creighton, team AND i love that they have 0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:21.720 three freshmen playing big, minutes important minutes and pactful, minutes 0:30:21.960 --> 0:30:24.560 and they have a rim. Protector just like you mentioned. 0:30:24.600 --> 0:30:26.920 Earlier when you have a big it makes things. EASIER 0:30:27.240 --> 0:30:28.280 i Love creighton in. 0:30:28.320 --> 0:30:31.640 The, Spot iowa minus ten and a. Half it's up 0:30:31.680 --> 0:30:33.600 a little bit, now so to open eyed on minus 0:30:33.680 --> 0:30:35.920 nine and a. Half now they're getting money and it's 0:30:36.000 --> 0:30:38.200 up to ten and a. Half So iowa minus ten 0:30:38.240 --> 0:30:40.240 and a half, First, RICHMOND i still. 0:30:40.040 --> 0:30:42.320 Like, iowa even though the number inflated a tiny. Bit. Here, 0:30:43.120 --> 0:30:47.520 look we Had Jacob gilliard on the. Podcast nobody was 0:30:47.600 --> 0:30:50.360 rooting harder for him to find more success than you 0:30:50.440 --> 0:30:53.959 AND i and all The spider fans. Everywhere the picture 0:30:54.040 --> 0:30:56.240 that he had in the locker room of THE a 0:30:56.480 --> 0:31:00.760 ten title, trophy THE mvp of The tournament plaque and 0:31:00.880 --> 0:31:03.640 then you know all tournament team holding all of that. 0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:08.200 Bling that is exactly why seniors come back and want 0:31:08.240 --> 0:31:10.840 to find success in college. BASKETBALL i love that, picture 0:31:10.840 --> 0:31:12.600 AND i love that moment for, Him but you know, 0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:16.000 what they're gonna get. SMOKED i was absolutely gonna smoke. 0:31:16.080 --> 0:31:18.320 THEM i don't if it goes to, TWELVE i might 0:31:18.400 --> 0:31:19.240 even still hang around. 0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:19.400 There. 0:31:20.440 --> 0:31:23.600 Providence the line jumped out as soon AS i saw, 0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:26.280 it as soon as that brah was watching it With Missus. 0:31:26.360 --> 0:31:28.960 Randall as soon AS i came, OUT i, said that 0:31:29.280 --> 0:31:31.520 is not a good, matchup AND i guessed in my. 0:31:31.640 --> 0:31:32.840 Head she, said what do you think is going to? 0:31:32.840 --> 0:31:36.440 BE i, said three was my. Guess it Is providence 0:31:36.520 --> 0:31:38.520 minus two at opened minus two and a. Half and 0:31:38.600 --> 0:31:44.479 As i've, Mentioned providence is getting the majority of bets right. 0:31:44.560 --> 0:31:47.520 Now so what do you Think providence minus two Versus 0:31:47.560 --> 0:31:48.120 South Dakota. 0:31:48.160 --> 0:31:51.840 STATE i think the Jack rabbits are live. HERE i 0:31:51.920 --> 0:31:54.600 think they're really. LIVE i think if you take a 0:31:54.720 --> 0:31:58.560 look at if you take a look at their gaudy, 0:31:58.640 --> 0:32:00.720 record if you take a look get like how they 0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:03.560 shoot the, three if you take a look at the, 0:32:05.280 --> 0:32:08.920 scoring across the, board like they're not just gonna be 0:32:08.960 --> 0:32:11.280 able to Put justin And iah on like you, Know 0:32:11.920 --> 0:32:14.720 wilson and then shut him, down like Then shireman's gonna 0:32:14.760 --> 0:32:16.720 go off Or fredell go, off like one of those 0:32:16.760 --> 0:32:20.400 guys is gonna get. Free and we've seen this problem 0:32:20.440 --> 0:32:23.040 With providence before where they just play their guys lots of. 0:32:23.160 --> 0:32:26.400 Minutes and the one place that they could have an 0:32:26.440 --> 0:32:29.200 advantage here Is Nate, Watson and after Seeing Nate watson in, 0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:33.520 PERSON i don't know if that's necessarily an. Advantage So 0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:36.640 i'm gonna go Jack rabbits here AND i just might 0:32:36.720 --> 0:32:37.600 take them straight up as. 0:32:37.640 --> 0:32:42.960 WELL lsu minus four Versus Iowa state slow game here 0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:47.120 like the under this, GAME lsu superior and, Defense Iowa 0:32:47.200 --> 0:32:50.480 state plays with the deliberate Pace Cyclones tigers where you're. 0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:52.960 Going i'm gonna Go. Tigers and the Reason i'm gonna 0:32:52.960 --> 0:32:55.240 Go tigers is maybe that team and that roster just 0:32:55.320 --> 0:32:57.640 needed a, reset and maybe the reset is a good 0:32:57.720 --> 0:32:59.719 thing for. Them we said earlier That duke was one 0:32:59.720 --> 0:33:01.440 of those. Teams texas is one of those teams that 0:33:01.560 --> 0:33:03.840 needs a reset and just use this as a fresh. 0:33:03.880 --> 0:33:06.120 SLATE i THINK lsu falls into that category as. Well. 0:33:06.160 --> 0:33:09.720 HERE i KNOW i may be Overrating wisconsin Playing. MILWAUKEE i, 0:33:09.760 --> 0:33:11.920 MEAN i get it Like i'm making it seem like 0:33:12.400 --> 0:33:14.160 this is The celtics playing in the guard in the. 0:33:14.240 --> 0:33:17.360 EIGHTIES i understand, that but they are playing a team In. 0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:19.920 Colgate to be, fair they're favored by seven and a 0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:22.400 half open eight and a. Half that is the type 0:33:22.440 --> 0:33:25.280 of team that could give them. Trouble i'm having a 0:33:25.320 --> 0:33:26.480 trouble getting off Of milwaukee. 0:33:26.600 --> 0:33:30.480 Here what say, You, well if you look At, COLGATE i, 0:33:30.520 --> 0:33:33.080 Mean Keegan records is big enough inside to cause some, 0:33:33.160 --> 0:33:35.560 problems whether it be offensive ly, er defensive, lyer just 0:33:35.600 --> 0:33:38.560 to clog things. Up Jack ferguson the guard was one 0:33:38.560 --> 0:33:40.520 of the most efficient players in the country last. Season 0:33:40.560 --> 0:33:43.200 he's fallen off a little bit this. SEASON i just 0:33:43.280 --> 0:33:45.640 think when you push comes to shove and you have 0:33:46.640 --> 0:33:50.360 An All america on your, team and you have quality, 0:33:50.400 --> 0:33:54.520 bigs and you're playing in a dome that's going to 0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:58.560 be all covered in. RED i Like wisconsin, here AND 0:33:58.800 --> 0:34:00.280 i don't mind if it goes up to. 0:34:00.280 --> 0:34:04.480 EIGHT usc minus one and a half Versus. Miami two 0:34:04.600 --> 0:34:07.320 things shocked. Me first, OFF i couldn't Believe miami was. 0:34:07.480 --> 0:34:10.719 TEN i, mean they've they, won they beat At duke At, 0:34:10.840 --> 0:34:13.200 Duke they've had some good, wins has some bad. LOSSES 0:34:13.239 --> 0:34:15.440 i understand, that BUT i was shocked they were, ten 0:34:15.640 --> 0:34:17.759 AND i guess so Did vegas because they only made 0:34:17.760 --> 0:34:19.640 them a one and a half point underdog AGAINST usc 0:34:19.880 --> 0:34:21.160 was pretty good this. Year so where do you? 0:34:21.239 --> 0:34:23.680 GO i Like miami and the guards. HERE i like 0:34:23.760 --> 0:34:26.120 THE i Like Charlie moore has been. Everywhere do you 0:34:26.200 --> 0:34:27.759 Know he's played at four, College. 0:34:27.840 --> 0:34:30.320 He's been all. Over it's, amazing it's, great. 0:34:32.520 --> 0:34:34.600 And so like this is, his you, know final chance 0:34:34.680 --> 0:34:39.040 at success as a college student. Athlete love love loong 0:34:39.160 --> 0:34:41.640 and then you, KNOW i think that THE i LOVE 0:34:42.200 --> 0:34:44.120 i love that they have a three guard attack and 0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:47.840 then their four man is almost like the triggerman on. 0:34:48.000 --> 0:34:52.680 OFFENSE i don't know IF usc is for, Real, like, 0:34:53.520 --> 0:34:55.919 yeah we haven't stayed up late to watch. Them, yeah 0:34:56.000 --> 0:34:59.320 they have a couple of decent. WINS i. DON'T i. 0:34:59.360 --> 0:35:02.400 DON'T i think they're a little paper tiger. Ish and you, 0:35:02.480 --> 0:35:04.320 know when they got into the top ten earlier this, 0:35:04.400 --> 0:35:06.319 season were they really one of the top ten teams 0:35:06.360 --> 0:35:09.439 in the. Nation, no and are they really a team 0:35:09.480 --> 0:35:12.040 that should be favored Over miami right? Now? Yeah probably, 0:35:12.120 --> 0:35:13.520 No SO i Love miami in the. 0:35:13.560 --> 0:35:17.800 Spot last one in The Midwest auburn Versus Jacksonville State 0:35:18.440 --> 0:35:23.080 Jacksonville state coming from the A. Sun So Jacksonville state 0:35:23.239 --> 0:35:26.000 ends up winning the western side of the A sun 0:35:26.520 --> 0:35:28.719 first year that they've come over from The Ohio. Valley 0:35:29.239 --> 0:35:33.600 they lose in the semifinals To. Jacksonville, however because they 0:35:33.719 --> 0:35:37.319 won the regular season title ahead Of, jacksonville they get 0:35:37.360 --> 0:35:41.719 to go instead Of jacksonville Or, bellerman who has still 0:35:41.760 --> 0:35:44.399 not finished their four year transitional. Period the dumbest rule 0:35:44.400 --> 0:35:48.680 in college. Basketball auburn here going Into Jacksonville state playing 0:35:48.719 --> 0:35:49.840 them fifteen and a. 0:35:49.880 --> 0:35:54.040 Half all, right, ready here Are auburn's last ten. GAMES 0:35:54.440 --> 0:35:57.040 a two point, win a, loss a twenty two point, 0:35:57.080 --> 0:35:59.960 win a fourteen point, win a, loss a thirteen point, 0:36:00.160 --> 0:36:03.560 win a, loss an overt, win eleven point, win and 0:36:03.600 --> 0:36:09.080 then a. LOSS i think fifteen points is. FAT i 0:36:09.239 --> 0:36:11.239 Like Jacksonville state here to kind of keep it. Close 0:36:11.280 --> 0:36:13.040 and if the, number you, know moves in our, DIRECTION 0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:16.280 i like that even more. SO i think That auburn 0:36:17.160 --> 0:36:20.240 maybe twelve makes more. Sense they just haven't been consistent 0:36:20.280 --> 0:36:22.920 their last ten, games whether it be against the spread 0:36:23.080 --> 0:36:26.240 or just winning games. Consistently SO i think a fifteen 0:36:26.239 --> 0:36:27.360 point spread is a little. 0:36:27.120 --> 0:36:32.960 Fat excellent. Call let's run it back. HERE i Like Texas. 0:36:33.080 --> 0:36:36.000 SOUTHERN i like their. SCHEDULE i think your point about 0:36:36.040 --> 0:36:38.719 the injury is. FAIR i think the number could get 0:36:38.719 --> 0:36:40.920 it leaven a little. HIGHER i almost, feel because it's 0:36:40.960 --> 0:36:42.600 for it's almost baked in that they think he's not 0:36:42.680 --> 0:36:45.000 he's going to be. Limited SO i will Take Texas 0:36:45.120 --> 0:36:47.520 southern and lay the. POINTS i hate doing that in 0:36:47.560 --> 0:36:49.920 the playing, game BUT i really like the schedule The 0:36:49.960 --> 0:36:54.080 Texas southern plays each and every. YEAR i Like San 0:36:54.120 --> 0:36:56.440 Diego state in this. Game the only REASON i Like 0:36:56.560 --> 0:36:59.320 San Diego state Over creighton is because we did go 0:36:59.400 --> 0:37:01.640 to the biggest tournament and we watched. THEM i don't 0:37:01.680 --> 0:37:05.279 think there was a team that was able to effectively 0:37:05.480 --> 0:37:10.879 Disrupt creighton's offense Without nemhart and now With Trey. ALEXANDER 0:37:11.239 --> 0:37:13.880 i Think crayton really. Struggled you, know A villanova's not 0:37:13.920 --> 0:37:15.840 the type of team we've talked about this that's going 0:37:15.920 --> 0:37:19.160 to turn you over a. Lot San Diego state is 0:37:19.239 --> 0:37:22.160 going to Disrupt Trey alexander bringing this ball up to. 0:37:22.239 --> 0:37:25.560 Court if they were fully, HEALTHY i Think i'd Like. 0:37:25.680 --> 0:37:28.279 CREIGHTON i have not Liked San Diego. STATE i have 0:37:28.360 --> 0:37:31.319 been Doubting thomas On San Diego. STATE i made fun 0:37:31.400 --> 0:37:34.440 Of Matt bradley's successive spin. Moves but in the, END 0:37:34.960 --> 0:37:36.719 i think they're better THAN i gave them credit. For 0:37:36.840 --> 0:37:39.800 So i'll lay the small number here With Creighton iowa 0:37:39.960 --> 0:37:42.200 Versus Richmond. Man MAYBE i got a blind. SPOT i 0:37:42.360 --> 0:37:45.279 just believe In. GILLIARD i Know iowa's got a ton of, 0:37:45.360 --> 0:37:48.799 offense and This Tiagan murray And Chris murray and every Other. 0:37:48.920 --> 0:37:53.200 MURRAY i understand maybe it's fran BUT i like How 0:37:53.320 --> 0:37:55.400 richmond's going to turn them. Over they do have to 0:37:55.440 --> 0:37:57.359 shoot well from. Three if they, don't they're gonna lose 0:37:57.400 --> 0:37:59.600 by thirty in this. Game but the numbers a little. 0:37:59.680 --> 0:38:02.040 High he gets to eleven or even, twelve AND i 0:38:02.080 --> 0:38:05.000 get a backdoor COVER i was gonna. WIN i will 0:38:05.040 --> 0:38:08.840 Take richmond in the Points providence minus two Against South Dakota. 0:38:08.920 --> 0:38:13.279 State oh my. Goodness you know it's becoming such a 0:38:13.400 --> 0:38:17.000 popular pick THAT i almost want to go In providence 0:38:17.120 --> 0:38:20.880 at this point because it is becoming such a popular. 0:38:21.000 --> 0:38:25.560 Pick it's only. Two i'm gonna Take South Dakota state 0:38:25.640 --> 0:38:28.120 with the Jack rabbits because they post so many. Points, 0:38:28.680 --> 0:38:31.719 Providence you're, right we saw him right in front of. 0:38:31.840 --> 0:38:36.480 Us Nate watson is not your typical Big South Dakota 0:38:36.520 --> 0:38:39.839 state struggles inside on the. INTERIOR i don't know If 0:38:39.920 --> 0:38:42.080 providence can make him. Pay and If Nate watson gets 0:38:42.120 --> 0:38:44.160 in foul, Trouble croswell comes in and you know what, 0:38:44.239 --> 0:38:46.920 happens Then i'm Taking South Dakota state and The. 0:38:47.000 --> 0:38:49.040 Jack you just sought yourself into, it, Right i'm. 0:38:49.080 --> 0:38:50.920 DEAD i just told you right. Right living the pod 0:38:51.000 --> 0:38:55.320 HERE lsu minus four Vers Iowa State Bad mojo WITH 0:38:55.520 --> 0:38:59.080 lsu Tj osselberger has done a great job coming over FROM. 0:38:59.200 --> 0:39:03.560 Unlv This Iowa state team controls, pace gets things in 0:39:03.680 --> 0:39:06.600 their own level that they want to take control of. 0:39:06.680 --> 0:39:10.160 Things they defend the three very. Well LSU's gonna have 0:39:10.239 --> 0:39:12.880 to battle them inside and they. CAN i was impressed 0:39:12.920 --> 0:39:15.680 When Iowa state Beat Texas. Tech they also Beat. Texas 0:39:15.920 --> 0:39:18.120 they've played tough teams across the board to win A 0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:21.040 tco away should not be slept on. EITHER i am 0:39:21.120 --> 0:39:23.880 gonna end up Taking Iowa state here with these. POINTS 0:39:23.920 --> 0:39:26.839 i just negative mojo here with Will wade out the. Door, 0:39:27.239 --> 0:39:29.960 Yeah i'm gonna lay the points With. Wisconsin colgate is 0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:32.600 the type of team that can make this a. Game 0:39:32.680 --> 0:39:35.600 But i've watched them And Jack ferguson is a tremendous. 0:39:35.600 --> 0:39:38.480 SHOOTER i just don't Think wisconsin's gonna let him. Shoot Johnny, 0:39:38.560 --> 0:39:41.080 davis your, Car, larry best player on the. Floor give 0:39:41.120 --> 0:39:44.560 Me wisconsin laying the points all Over. Miami completely agree with. 0:39:44.640 --> 0:39:47.600 YOU i think they're under, seated and WHEN i found 0:39:47.680 --> 0:39:50.000 in my gut gus that a team was, UNDERSEATED i 0:39:50.040 --> 0:39:53.120 should always pick. Them going back to, gosh what was? 0:39:53.160 --> 0:39:57.480 It Oregon state last, Year Oklahoma state a couple of 0:39:57.520 --> 0:39:59.400 years before that made A sweet sixteen when they were 0:39:59.400 --> 0:40:02.080 a low. Ce i'm gonna end up going With miami. 0:40:02.160 --> 0:40:02.759 Here they have the. 0:40:02.800 --> 0:40:06.080 GUARDS i agree long THE, USC i just don't, buy 0:40:06.400 --> 0:40:09.799 especially not on a neutral. Court and, finally totally agree 0:40:09.840 --> 0:40:13.840 with you With Jacksonville state Because Brandon huffman inside is 0:40:13.920 --> 0:40:17.239 a quality big who can cause problems in this game For. 0:40:17.320 --> 0:40:22.240 Auburn he can keep things. Close Jacksonville state had PLAYED 0:40:22.360 --> 0:40:26.160 vcu earlier this. Year they dominated and played very well 0:40:26.239 --> 0:40:29.640 inside in the A sun thirteen and three. Overall Huffman 0:40:29.719 --> 0:40:31.640 inside's got to stay at a foul, trouble but he's six, 0:40:31.719 --> 0:40:34.480 ten two fifty. Five they have some good guards. Here 0:40:34.719 --> 0:40:36.960 they shoot thirty eight point two percent from three point. 0:40:37.040 --> 0:40:40.160 Range that's eleven best in the. Country backdoor cover on 0:40:40.239 --> 0:40:43.719 An auburn team that you brilliantly explained has struggled this. 0:40:43.880 --> 0:40:47.360 Year give me the outright. Winners No, Spread, Texas Southern, 0:40:47.440 --> 0:40:50.239 TEXAS a AND M Corpus. Christy i'm still gonna go 0:40:50.360 --> 0:40:56.480 With CORPORATE Chriski, Here San Diego, State, Creighton, Love, Creighton, Iowa, Richmond, Iowa, 0:40:57.000 --> 0:41:06.120 Providence South Dakota, State, JACKBITS, Lsu Iowa. State let's GO, lsu, Please, Badgers, Colgate, WHISKEY, 0:41:06.719 --> 0:41:10.880 Usc Miami, Love Miami, Here, Auburn Jacksonville, State. 0:41:11.239 --> 0:41:13.520 Auburn just to get, Through i'll. 0:41:13.360 --> 0:41:19.080 Go Texas, Southern San Diego, State, Iowa South Dakota, State Iowa, State, 0:41:19.200 --> 0:41:23.279 Wisconsin miami And, Yes auburn to, win but not cover. 0:41:23.800 --> 0:41:25.759 Partner we got one more to. Go let's bring it 0:41:25.840 --> 0:41:28.520 home with The east and finish this. Off, yes, Sir 0:41:28.960 --> 0:41:33.719 East Bracket baylor minus twenty one Versus Norfolk. State i'll 0:41:33.719 --> 0:41:35.880 have a strong opinion on, this not a strong as 0:41:36.080 --> 0:41:38.720 offer like we'll, wait but a strong. Opinion it opened 0:41:38.760 --> 0:41:44.120 minus Twenty North carolina minus three now Versus. Marquette indiana 0:41:44.280 --> 0:41:47.239 minus four Versus. Wyoming that's that playing. Game we'll get 0:41:47.239 --> 0:41:49.960 to that in a little. Bit ucla minus thirteen and 0:41:50.000 --> 0:41:53.120 a half Versus akron that. Dropped it opened at fifteen 0:41:53.200 --> 0:41:57.520 people Betting. Akron texas minus one Versus Virginia. Tech hokies 0:41:57.680 --> 0:41:59.920 absolutely would not have been in the tournament given their 0:42:00.280 --> 0:42:02.160 if they did not win that game Against. Duke but 0:42:02.239 --> 0:42:05.320 they did Open texas minus, Two so people are Betting Virginia. 0:42:05.400 --> 0:42:08.080 Tech call that gus The syracuse. Bett they always make 0:42:08.120 --> 0:42:09.839 it in and they. Shouldn't then they get hot. Yep 0:42:10.160 --> 0:42:13.080 purdue minus fifteen and a half Versus yale that dropped 0:42:13.080 --> 0:42:15.600 a little, Bit Murray state minus one and a half 0:42:15.680 --> 0:42:17.320 Vers San. FRANCISCO i have a lot to say on. 0:42:17.400 --> 0:42:21.680 That kentucky minus eighteen now Against Saint peter's opened fifteen 0:42:21.840 --> 0:42:25.960 and a. Half kick it off Partner Baylor. Norfolk, oh let's, 0:42:25.960 --> 0:42:28.680 start you know. What let's start With, Wyoming. Indiana the 0:42:28.800 --> 0:42:32.280 playing Game we'll start with the playing Game Wyoming. Indiana 0:42:32.640 --> 0:42:37.160 very interesting, Game. Gus it Opened wyoming minus three and 0:42:37.200 --> 0:42:40.800 a half and now It's indiana minus. Four that's a 0:42:40.920 --> 0:42:43.600 seven and a half point. Swing people love The, hoosiers 0:42:43.880 --> 0:42:46.120 do You, no not at. 0:42:46.120 --> 0:42:49.080 All you're looking At Trey Jackson davis one of the 0:42:49.120 --> 0:42:51.040 best players in the. Country let's call him one of 0:42:51.080 --> 0:42:53.799 the top twelve best players in the. Country he's gonna 0:42:53.800 --> 0:42:57.120 look directly across from him and be looking in The 0:42:57.200 --> 0:43:01.560 mira with a slightly less verticality in grahamy. K so 0:43:01.760 --> 0:43:03.399 that to me is a little bit of a. WASH 0:43:04.680 --> 0:43:07.879 i don't know IF i don't know If indiana has 0:43:07.920 --> 0:43:10.520 a guard that's gonna be willing to Guard Hunter. MALDONADO 0:43:11.040 --> 0:43:12.759 i don't. Know they're going to run a ton of 0:43:12.840 --> 0:43:15.759 offense through him in the, post And i'm not sure 0:43:15.800 --> 0:43:19.600 That indiana has tried to defend that type of offensive attack. 0:43:19.680 --> 0:43:24.360 BEFORE i love that the line has flipped, here AND 0:43:24.480 --> 0:43:27.200 i love that That wyoming is now the. UNDERDOG i 0:43:27.480 --> 0:43:30.440 Love wyoming straight. UP i think they're gonna win this. 0:43:30.520 --> 0:43:34.920 Game baylor minus twenty one Versus Norfolk. State who To 0:43:35.000 --> 0:43:37.480 Norfork state Beat missouri that they beat a couple in 0:43:37.520 --> 0:43:40.120 the two fifteens Advanced when was the Le High, yes 0:43:40.400 --> 0:43:43.200 that was That Kim english team KIG i got any. Time, 0:43:43.280 --> 0:43:45.000 now what do you Think norfolk they got a? 0:43:45.040 --> 0:43:47.040 Repeat, NO i don't think. SO i know that The 0:43:47.160 --> 0:43:51.440 baylor injury thing is going to affect the way that 0:43:51.600 --> 0:43:56.840 people how they invest their money. Here but just this 0:43:57.000 --> 0:44:00.320 is just My baylor take. OVERALL i think that the 0:44:00.480 --> 0:44:05.720 injuries are just gonna Provide brown and so hand further 0:44:05.920 --> 0:44:09.680 opportunity and they're gonna make themselves a lot of money 0:44:09.719 --> 0:44:12.440 in this. Tournament SO i think that as much as 0:44:12.480 --> 0:44:15.919 the injuries are gonna, hurt and of course they're gonna 0:44:15.960 --> 0:44:19.480 limit their, depth more minutes for those two, PLAYERS i 0:44:19.560 --> 0:44:21.160 think that's a recipe for success For. 0:44:21.239 --> 0:44:23.239 Baylor you always have a better rate on these team 0:44:23.280 --> 0:44:26.960 THAN i. Do North carolina minus Three marquette, hmmm. 0:44:27.360 --> 0:44:29.880 Clash of styles. Here you know That marquette's gonna, defend 0:44:30.080 --> 0:44:32.480 and you know that defending is optional FOR. Unc but 0:44:32.560 --> 0:44:34.480 they will get up and down and shoot it in. 0:44:34.600 --> 0:44:38.880 Jacket here's What i'm gonna lean on. Here morcel is probably, 0:44:39.000 --> 0:44:40.759 gonna you, know shut down one of the, guards whether 0:44:40.800 --> 0:44:42.440 it be you, Know love Or smith or something like, 0:44:42.520 --> 0:44:45.200 that and then they can put leaky black on whoever they. 0:44:45.280 --> 0:44:49.200 WANT i don't know if they necessarily have an answer For. 0:44:49.280 --> 0:44:52.319 Baykot and so when you have a line as small as, 0:44:52.400 --> 0:44:55.040 This i'm gonna go with best player on the, floor 0:44:55.760 --> 0:44:58.279 best rebounder on the, floor and best scorer on the. 0:44:58.320 --> 0:45:02.480 Floor i'll take you in see slight lean there FOR 0:45:02.680 --> 0:45:05.240 unc because the best player on the floor. 0:45:05.360 --> 0:45:09.279 OPTION ucla minus thirteen and a half Versus. 0:45:09.320 --> 0:45:12.799 Achron it's interesting Because akron is not necessarily THE mac 0:45:12.880 --> 0:45:15.839 team THAT i would be worried. ABOUT i was thinking 0:45:15.880 --> 0:45:17.560 that maybe one of the OTHER mac teams would do 0:45:17.719 --> 0:45:19.719 make a little make a little noise or do a little. 0:45:19.760 --> 0:45:23.200 Damage they've played really. Well they have an eight game winning, 0:45:23.239 --> 0:45:26.400 Streak So, akron you, know getting some attention in that 0:45:26.520 --> 0:45:31.800 line moving is. Justified i'm gonna tell you THAT i 0:45:31.840 --> 0:45:34.400 don't THINK ucla is gonna be worried About akron that much. 0:45:34.440 --> 0:45:37.879 Either And i'm gonna lead On Tiger campbell and one 0:45:37.960 --> 0:45:41.360 of the best assist to turnover ratios in the. Country 0:45:41.480 --> 0:45:43.320 makes me happy when that's what my point guard is. 0:45:43.360 --> 0:45:47.800 Doing texas minus one versus The HOKIES. 0:45:49.239 --> 0:45:52.520 I, mean Isn't texas the most on tilt team in the. 0:45:52.600 --> 0:45:55.200 TOURNAMENT i, mean it just seems like they are just on. 0:45:55.360 --> 0:46:00.360 Tilt texas against the spread twelve nineteen and, One Virginia 0:46:00.440 --> 0:46:05.000 tech against the spread nineteen and. Sixteen give me The hokies. 0:46:05.000 --> 0:46:08.879 Please purdue fifteen and a half versus a Dangerous yale 0:46:08.960 --> 0:46:10.480 team THAT i lost money on Against. 0:46:10.520 --> 0:46:15.239 Princeton, now If princeton was the representative, HERE i don't. 0:46:15.239 --> 0:46:16.680 Know if they'd be matched up With, perdue that might 0:46:16.719 --> 0:46:18.480 be a whole different. Situation that would be a Team 0:46:18.480 --> 0:46:21.080 i'd be worried about This yale. TEAM i Know swam's, 0:46:21.080 --> 0:46:26.680 awesome unbelievable, shooter very, gifted gritty is not you, know 0:46:26.719 --> 0:46:29.120 it's not going to be. Intimidated BUT i think they're 0:46:29.120 --> 0:46:31.960 gonna be too little on the front. LINE i don't 0:46:32.000 --> 0:46:33.600 think they're gonna get you, KNOW i don't think they're 0:46:33.640 --> 0:46:36.160 gonna pull an out rebounding situation like they did With 0:46:36.200 --> 0:46:38.880 baylor a couple of years. AGO i Like purdue, here 0:46:38.880 --> 0:46:39.960 AND i like the Points. 0:46:40.280 --> 0:46:42.200 Murray state minus one and a Half. Verst San. 0:46:42.239 --> 0:46:46.000 Francisco as much AS i want to jump on Coach 0:46:46.080 --> 0:46:51.120 golden and really reinforce our backing for THE. WCC i 0:46:51.280 --> 0:46:53.960 kind of, can't can't get away From Murray. State kJ 0:46:54.120 --> 0:46:59.239 williams six,' nine, six,' ten legit big inside that can 0:46:59.280 --> 0:47:02.720 do a. Ton Of things tevin brown, six' five guard, 0:47:03.280 --> 0:47:07.240 definitely garnering SOME attention. Even some nba eyes, mike gunder 0:47:07.320 --> 0:47:09.640 your head just off the, top of, Your head no 0:47:09.719 --> 0:47:12.440 research who do you think shoots? It Better from Three San? 0:47:12.480 --> 0:47:14.520 Francisco or murray state My Instinct. 0:47:14.520 --> 0:47:16.279 Would, Be san francisco. 0:47:16.000 --> 0:47:17.960 Correct they both shoot, a thirty five percent so that, 0:47:18.160 --> 0:47:21.319 any sort, of like oh well they're gonna shoot it well. 0:47:21.360 --> 0:47:23.480 From Deep guess what murray state shoots it as well, 0:47:23.560 --> 0:47:26.880 Within A percentage Point So. I, like murray State Here. 0:47:26.960 --> 0:47:29.719 Give me murray state they might have the best, big 0:47:29.800 --> 0:47:31.839 on the floor and they definitely have the best, guard 0:47:31.880 --> 0:47:34.960 on The Floor even though San francisco's guards with shabaz 0:47:35.719 --> 0:47:37.280 are really talented And playing well. 0:47:37.840 --> 0:47:41.520 And kentucky now Minus eighteen Versus The peacocks, Of, saint. 0:47:41.400 --> 0:47:48.080 PETER'S listen katie. And defo is. Awesome he's just awesome he's. 0:47:48.160 --> 0:47:50.840 A great college player is he GONNA? PLAY in the. 0:47:50.920 --> 0:47:54.560 Nba i don't, know maybe probably not but he is. 0:47:54.600 --> 0:47:58.080 A great, defensive player he Efforts He embodies what. Saint, 0:47:58.160 --> 0:48:01.080 peter's is about now if we're gonna take a, Look 0:48:01.160 --> 0:48:04.840 The spreads here saint peter's is twenty and, nine Versus 0:48:04.840 --> 0:48:08.200 the spread and kentucky, Is fifteen And Eighteen so maybe 0:48:08.320 --> 0:48:10.640 saint peter's hangs around. FOR a little bit I Kind 0:48:10.680 --> 0:48:12.719 of like saint Peter's, in the. Point sarah tiny bit 0:48:13.560 --> 0:48:15.680 if it goes, UP to twenty ish i, like it, 0:48:15.760 --> 0:48:17.560 even more all. 0:48:17.640 --> 0:48:22.759 RIGHT running It back i liked. INDIANA when it Opened i. Don't, 0:48:22.880 --> 0:48:27.239 LIKE indiana four okay i liked them getting. THREE and 0:48:27.280 --> 0:48:29.560 a half i do not. LIKE them getting Four i 0:48:29.640 --> 0:48:33.080 will take wyoming and those points absolutely all. The Reasons 0:48:33.120 --> 0:48:35.600 you outlined the baylor line is one of. The most 0:48:35.600 --> 0:48:39.720 absurd lines i'm betting a Lot of Shekels On. Baylor 0:48:39.960 --> 0:48:43.560 and Norfolk state i'm taking baylor laying The. Points here 0:48:43.600 --> 0:48:46.320 against norfolk it's not enough that zone's. Gonna be a 0:48:46.400 --> 0:48:48.880 problem this game has at least thirty points. WRITTEN all 0:48:48.880 --> 0:48:51.200 over it i don't know. Why It's, SO low unc 0:48:51.480 --> 0:48:54.400 marquette I didn't like What. I saw from marquette THESE 0:48:54.400 --> 0:48:57.200 are two. Teams. I don't Like okay i think jacqua's 0:48:57.200 --> 0:48:58.920 done A good job, with MARQUETTE this year but I 0:48:58.960 --> 0:49:02.320 didn't like it i saw. THERE in the TOURNAMENT i 0:49:02.400 --> 0:49:05.120 will take unc because they are so hot and because 0:49:05.160 --> 0:49:07.720 of The present. Presence of baykok inside for all the Reasons, 0:49:07.760 --> 0:49:13.560 That You, Said ucla Akron. NAH i'll take ucla i 0:49:13.600 --> 0:49:16.720 mean they're gonna be chomping at the bit top Loss 0:49:16.719 --> 0:49:19.279 here in. The pac twelve finals they're gonna be ready 0:49:19.320 --> 0:49:20.840 to go to try to get back. To that final 0:49:20.920 --> 0:49:26.359 four they Have A Veteran. Team, Usan hakez tiger yeah 0:49:26.719 --> 0:49:29.759 ucla minus. Thirteen and A. HALF love The hokies i hated. 0:49:29.800 --> 0:49:31.640 TEXAS all year long, i Told You this, No trey 0:49:31.719 --> 0:49:34.880 mitchell inside they're. GONNA lock down defensively i like the, 0:49:34.960 --> 0:49:37.000 under IN this game but I Just like. What Mike 0:49:37.040 --> 0:49:39.759 young's running. HUNTER cotur's on fire i think they're the better. 0:49:39.840 --> 0:49:41.960 COACH team Right now i think texas is in a 0:49:41.960 --> 0:49:44.880 little bit Of A. TRANSITION with Chris beard, I like 0:49:45.000 --> 0:49:47.279 texas defense i, don't LIKE their Offense And i think 0:49:47.360 --> 0:49:49.759 virginia tech. CAN score on anyone I will Take The. 0:49:49.840 --> 0:49:53.560 Hokies perdue versu yale it's really. Simple For me here 0:49:53.640 --> 0:49:56.400 partner perdue has not covered ten. Games in a row 0:49:57.200 --> 0:50:00.879 the last Game they covered Was. FEBRUARY eighth against illinois I, Did, Not, Cover, 0:50:01.040 --> 0:50:05.080 Michigan Maryland, Northwestern, Rutgers, Michigan State, Wisconsin Indiana, Penn. State 0:50:05.120 --> 0:50:08.080 michigan state iowa. THANK you very Much, i DON'T like 0:50:08.200 --> 0:50:09.959 yale but i will take them In this game because 0:50:09.960 --> 0:50:12.040 bridge just hasn't covered and their defense. Is Not stopping 0:50:12.080 --> 0:50:15.480 Anyone Murray state versus san Francisco. ALL over the. RACERS 0:50:15.560 --> 0:50:17.400 i love them i know they haven't played a lot 0:50:17.400 --> 0:50:17.719 of teams. 0:50:17.760 --> 0:50:18.040 IN the non. 0:50:18.160 --> 0:50:21.239 Conference i don't care. This team is good this team is. 0:50:21.360 --> 0:50:25.080 Legit Thirty, and two, san francisco of course we're. Trying 0:50:25.120 --> 0:50:27.719 TO figure out and i. Think he's gonna play, masowski 0:50:27.800 --> 0:50:31.160 HAD an injury so i think. He is gonna play 0:50:31.160 --> 0:50:33.840 he could have played In, the Game against gonzaga but 0:50:34.080 --> 0:50:36.279 golden said. He held him out maybe. He's a Little 0:50:36.320 --> 0:50:38.399 Hampered i'll. Take murray state here It's a Short Line. 0:50:38.640 --> 0:50:42.000 KENTUCKY minus Saint peter's i think. Kentucky eventually pulls ahead 0:50:42.000 --> 0:50:44.280 if you want to Take The halftimeline for saint peter's. 0:50:44.480 --> 0:50:47.080 SURE problem with that I just think the. Wildcats, are 0:50:47.120 --> 0:50:51.800 too good. Gus here we go. Give me, The, Winners No, Spread, Baylor, Norfolk, 0:50:51.880 --> 0:50:59.840 state BAYLOR, Carolina, Marquette, U, Nc, Wyoming, Indiana wyoming, Ucla, 0:51:00.239 --> 0:51:06.160 Akron Ucla, Please Texas, Virginia, Tech, Virginia, Tech Purdue, Yale 0:51:06.560 --> 0:51:11.279 purdue Murray State, san, Fran Murray State Please Kentucky Saint, 0:51:11.320 --> 0:51:16.600 peter's Big blue Nation, And I'm, GOING baylor north Carolina. 0:51:16.880 --> 0:51:19.279 I will take indiana i think. Four is Too much 0:51:19.440 --> 0:51:21.360 i'll Take wyoming to. COVER indiana to win i, know 0:51:21.440 --> 0:51:24.000 IT'S fully four But I Do, LIKE trace jackson davis 0:51:24.000 --> 0:51:27.399 i just. Think it's, Too Much ucla absolutely brirginia tech, 0:51:27.440 --> 0:51:30.239 to win out right, Six eleven over Six, Purdue to 0:51:30.280 --> 0:51:33.000 beat yale. Let's Not go Crazy Murray. STATE over san 0:51:33.120 --> 0:51:34.840 franz i don't think they slowed them. Down Enough on 0:51:35.000 --> 0:51:39.400 Defense And. Kentucky beating saint peter's, there, You Have, it 0:51:39.520 --> 0:51:41.960 folks betting pros we went around and gave you every. 0:51:42.080 --> 0:51:45.239 Single first round game It was a pleasure gus to 0:51:45.400 --> 0:51:48.320 Have You on. The Betting Pros podcast FOLLOW Gus kerns 0:51:48.560 --> 0:51:52.560 at Ce, currents twelve, on twitter and Guys Don't forget the. 0:51:52.640 --> 0:51:56.000 March madness bracket contest It's free to enter Bettingpros dot 0:51:56.080 --> 0:51:59.400 com slash march and of course free. To enter that 0:51:59.480 --> 0:52:02.480 contest twenty five hundred. Prizes from fan Duel we got 0:52:02.520 --> 0:52:05.760 the shaquill O'Neil, Signed jersey For first Giannis and tatakupo signed, 0:52:05.760 --> 0:52:09.520 Bucks Jersey For second john calipari, wildcats jersey for third 0:52:09.600 --> 0:52:11.520 and of course it should be. The First Place prize 0:52:11.760 --> 0:52:14.719 the bob knight signed sixteen x twenty Photo, inscribed best, 0:52:14.800 --> 0:52:18.759 WISHES gus anything else. I, THINK that's it no. 0:52:19.000 --> 0:52:21.320 I can't wait to check out the optimizer that you 0:52:21.400 --> 0:52:23.520 Were Talking. ABOUT for fantasy pros i think that's going 0:52:23.560 --> 0:52:26.440 to be a really, cool tool to explore, so listeners 0:52:26.440 --> 0:52:28.840 out there if you're looking for another like avenue to 0:52:28.920 --> 0:52:32.120 find another metric or another angle that you really are are, 0:52:32.360 --> 0:52:34.160 trying to key into that might be. The Tool To 0:52:34.280 --> 0:52:36.840 use and mike pleasure spend Some. Time talking to hoops 0:52:36.840 --> 0:52:37.520 thanks For Having me On. 0:52:38.040 --> 0:52:40.960 Gus curn's On Mike. Randall For betting pros. March madness 0:52:41.040 --> 0:52:42.080 is here enjoyed