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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The crown

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Speaker 1: is yours. Super Bowl Sunday is inching closer. We are

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Speaker 1: almost to the finish line. Thank you to our guests

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Speaker 1: throughout the last week plus. Nick Lee covering the Seattle Seahawks,

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Speaker 1: Alex Barth on the Patriots, Matt Moore cross Sport Action,

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Speaker 1: catch him on Buckets awesome stuff. Go and check it

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Speaker 1: out in the archives. If you didn't catch it live

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Speaker 1: or already downloaded as a podcast, listen en route to

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl sixty. But we have business to attend to today.

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Speaker 1: I'm Brandon Kravitz, joined by the Favorites Croup, the Prime

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Speaker 1: Minister of djen Nation, Stucky, and the Queen of the Pod,

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Speaker 1: Miss Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we've got action or distraction.

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Speaker 1: We're back to the usual standards here on the Favorites.

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Speaker 1: We've got Stucky's random question of the Week and our

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Speaker 1: official I have been waiting weeks for this. Two Kings

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Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay courtesy of Draft Kings. But first

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Speaker 1: are stat of the Week, straight from the primer. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna give you two conflicting trends here and you guys

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Speaker 1: are gonna tell me which one holds more statistical.

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Speaker 2: Relevance to you?

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Speaker 1: So on the Patriot side, if you go back to

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Speaker 1: his time with the Titans, Mike Vrabel is the third

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Speaker 1: most profitable moneyline underdog among all coaches over the last

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Speaker 1: twenty seasons. Okay, that's the pat side. The Seahawks side

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Speaker 1: in his career as a favorite of four points or more,

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Speaker 1: Sam Darnald fifteen and one straight up, eleven and five

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Speaker 1: ats Kendra, Which of those do you think holds more relevance?

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Speaker 1: You don't have to reveal your pick here, but if

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Speaker 1: you're just looking at those two trends, which one of

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Speaker 1: those do you think is more relevant to the reality

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Speaker 1: of this Sunday?

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna say probably Sam Darnald, just because I think

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Speaker 3: that he's going to play a bigger role in the Seahawks'

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Speaker 3: success than Rabel will in the Patriots success. He's been

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Speaker 3: a great coach this season. Obviously, they've been the most

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Speaker 3: you know, profitable team against the spread, but I think

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Speaker 3: a lot more credit goes to McDaniels than people want

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Speaker 3: to give credit for. So I'm going to go with

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Speaker 3: Sam Donald just because I think so much of this

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Speaker 3: Patriots team's success on the offensive side has come from McDaniels,

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Speaker 3: and it's going to continue to have to because they're

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Speaker 3: going to have to put up more than twenty points

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Speaker 3: to beat the Seahawks defense.

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Speaker 4: So I am going to have to wind.

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Speaker 3: Up continuing to give more credit to McDaniels. Donald being

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Speaker 3: fifteen and month straight up is crazy and this is

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Speaker 3: a big moment. And I also am going to give

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Speaker 3: Sam Donald more respect than I think the national you know,

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Speaker 3: people who are on the Pats have this week.

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Speaker 2: What about you, Stuckey.

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Speaker 1: We have twenty years of data that point to Mike

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Speaker 1: Rabel being the third most profitable moneyline underdog among coaches,

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Speaker 1: and we have I'm surprised that Sam Donald has been

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Speaker 1: a fan favored to four points or more sixteen times.

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Speaker 1: To be honest with you, but where do you land

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Speaker 1: on this? Which one do you think holds more relevancy?

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Speaker 5: The Vrabel one for sure. I just think Donald has

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Speaker 5: been you know, over the past two seasons, has played

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Speaker 5: on teams with incredible defensive coordinators and defenses, and when

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Speaker 5: they get a lead, they can, you know, really pile

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Speaker 5: on teams and beat up on bad quarterbacks. And they

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Speaker 5: faced a lot of bad quarterbacks over the couple at

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Speaker 5: the past couple years. Donald's played well over the past

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Speaker 5: two years, but that's a more of a you know

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Speaker 5: who which team Donald has been on and as a

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Speaker 5: result of you know, the defenses that he's benefited from

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Speaker 5: on his own team. Whereas Vrabel, I think he is

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Speaker 5: a great coach. He is, you know, a good motivator,

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Speaker 5: and I do think he does little things in the

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Speaker 5: games that give the Patriots edges in terms of, you know,

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Speaker 5: understanding the rules, the little things that you think coaches

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Speaker 5: NFL coach is only thirty two of them. You think

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Speaker 5: everyone would understand, but they don't. But the game management,

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Speaker 5: the clock management, the little things like you know, when

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Speaker 5: the Broncos subbed with two thirty to go and he

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Speaker 5: said to his defense, they ran off like really slow

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Speaker 5: and wasted twenty five seconds. Rabel does a couple of

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Speaker 5: those things a game. So I do think that he

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Speaker 5: does provide some real alpha and I do ultimately think

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Speaker 5: that this game and most Super Bowls are decided by

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Speaker 5: not you know, not only the quarterbacks. Most importantly, the coaching,

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Speaker 5: where you have two weeks to prepare. This is when

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Speaker 5: you throw everything that you have out there. This is

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Speaker 5: when you come up with potential curve balls and potential

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Speaker 5: nuanced game plans that the other team isn't prepared for.

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Speaker 5: And those are the things that can decide games between

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Speaker 5: you know, two very good teams that are almost always

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Speaker 5: going to meet in the Super Bowl. So I do

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Speaker 5: think that the Rabel one holds more merit, and the

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Speaker 5: battle between this Patriots coaching staff and the Seahawks coaching staff,

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Speaker 5: I think is going to go along line determining who

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Speaker 5: is your Super Bowl sixty winner.

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Speaker 3: I need to know how often he was an underdog though,

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Speaker 3: because those Titans teams played in a terrible division.

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Speaker 1: I think they were underdogs quite a bit. And I'll

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Speaker 1: look up what the Patriots were as far as this

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Speaker 1: year goes, but I mean, I know they played such

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Speaker 1: an easy schedule that.

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Speaker 3: That was the reason that I was often Yeah, that

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Speaker 3: was the reason I chose Jarnald was because my initial

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Speaker 3: instinct was how often was he actually a dog with

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Speaker 3: that Titans team in that division?

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Speaker 1: Well, as far as this year goes, the New England

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Speaker 1: Patriots were four and two against the spread as an underdog.

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Speaker 1: Now that's ats that's not necessarily straight up but just

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Speaker 1: to give you an idea, if you were looking the

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Speaker 1: way of the Patriots for this year, they were dogged

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Speaker 1: six times and they covered in four of those. But

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure when it comes to Tennessee. But the

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Speaker 1: Tennessee team wasn't really known. It's not like they were

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Speaker 1: given a lot of national respect.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, he never had a good quarterback ever, but still

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Speaker 3: like that division was dog shit for so long.

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Speaker 1: So I do want to stay on this game. A

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Speaker 1: lot of people tuning in that. I want to hear

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Speaker 1: the analysis. We've been previewing it in every different direction,

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Speaker 1: even bringing NBA cross sport plays into it. We'll get

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Speaker 1: to our random question of the week in a moment, Bona,

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Speaker 1: keep this ball a roll in action or distraction time?

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Speaker 5: This is abstracted distracted.

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Speaker 4: I'm nottacky.

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Speaker 5: I want it on the action.

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Speaker 1: The Seattle Seahawks are getting sixty six percent of the

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Speaker 1: betting tickets according to the Action Network app. In the

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Speaker 1: last twenty three years of bet Labs data, only seven

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl teams have closed with sixty plus percent of

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Speaker 1: the bets. Overwhelmingly, people are betting the Seattle Seahawks. Every

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Speaker 1: analyst I hear nationally certainly the public betting numbers that

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Speaker 1: are out there, per Action Network are telling us and

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Speaker 1: a bit with a big flashing neon sign that people

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Speaker 1: are betting the Seattle Seahawks minus the points. However, the

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Speaker 1: public has been really good at betting these Super Bowls.

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Speaker 1: When things are tilted in one direction, they are five

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Speaker 1: and two straight up against the spread. When teams are

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Speaker 1: catching sixty plus percent of the tickets. Action or distraction, Kendro,

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Speaker 1: the public is Super Bowl sharp.

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Speaker 3: I think a lot of it has to do with one,

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Speaker 3: how much name in this year in particular, how much

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Speaker 3: name recognition is on this Seattle team versus this Patriots team.

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Speaker 4: Like this, it makes sense to.

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Speaker 3: Me why the public in this particular game would be

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Speaker 3: on them, because, like JSN, a lot of people are

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Speaker 3: talking about, you know, how good of a season he's had,

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Speaker 3: The kids love him. One of the highest selling jerseys

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Speaker 3: for Christmas this year, Sam Darnold's turnaround.

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Speaker 4: You can talk about, you know, Kenneth Walker.

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Speaker 3: He's been really popular amongst you know, like casual fans

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Speaker 3: to talk about, especially because of Fantasy and all that

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Speaker 3: stuff this year. So I think in this year in particular,

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Speaker 3: it's just the lack of name recognition for people in

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Speaker 3: this Patriots team, because you want to bet on people

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Speaker 3: that you know, right, that are popular, like the general

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Speaker 3: public is going to continue to do that. And also

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Speaker 3: dogs have done really well in Super Bowls when betting,

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Speaker 3: So I would say that it's more so we talked

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Speaker 3: about this before we got on the show, right Like,

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Speaker 3: by the time that today rolled around, I had been

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Speaker 3: doing so much research and digging into this so much

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Speaker 3: that I feel like I'm starting to doubt myself in

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Speaker 3: my initial gut instincts.

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Speaker 4: So I think it's probably a little.

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Speaker 3: Bit of you know, we have watched so much of

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Speaker 3: these teams by the time this game comes around, we've

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Speaker 3: overthought it to a point that maybe that gets people

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Speaker 3: like us in trouble, and the general public is just

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Speaker 3: like we I love JSN and Cooper Cup, Let's bet

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Speaker 3: on them because it's fun, you know what I mean? Like,

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Speaker 3: I think that that's probably the way that I personally

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Speaker 3: see this.

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Speaker 4: Whether that's right or wrong, who's to say, but that I'm.

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Speaker 1: Just yeah, I'm surprised because if I was told, Okay,

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Speaker 1: you've had seven Super Bowls over the last twenty three years,

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Speaker 1: where sixty plus percent of the bets are on one side.

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Speaker 1: And then you said, Okay, now that you have that information,

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Speaker 1: predict the record of those seven Super Bowls for the

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Speaker 1: betting public. I would not have been anywhere close to

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Speaker 1: five and two. I'm surprised that they've been that successful

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Speaker 1: for a game.

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Speaker 2: That is why though at.

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Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes, so many people are for the most part,

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Speaker 3: these are probably Mahomes and Brady, So it's like those

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Speaker 3: are the that's where the public money is going to

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Speaker 3: be stucky.

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Speaker 2: How do you read that?

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Speaker 1: Because this is the most bet game of the entire year,

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Speaker 1: and this is where the percentages perhaps matter more than

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Speaker 1: any other game that we talk about throughout the year.

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Speaker 1: And yet when it's tilted, the public has done quite well.

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Speaker 5: I mean it's seven games who cares? And then it's

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Speaker 5: one game the public can win. Any one game the

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Speaker 5: football game played with an oblong ball. There's no like

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Speaker 5: the mart We pretty much know around where the spread

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Speaker 5: should be, where these teams are power rated. Like I

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Speaker 5: don't put any marriage into it at all, zero weight

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Speaker 5: into that. I will say like a lot of times

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Speaker 5: people are just gonna bet what they just saw. And

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Speaker 5: that's that's why I think this line is a little

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Speaker 5: too high. People just saw the Seahawks beat the Rams,

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Speaker 5: and then the Patriots, you know, struggle against Jared Stidham,

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Speaker 5: and their offense doesn't look great. So that's what everyone

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Speaker 5: is and they're.

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Speaker 3: Reading stuckies tweets about how easy the Patriots the Patriots' schedule.

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Speaker 5: So like, there's there's a lot of recency byes that's

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Speaker 5: always gonna happen when it comes to NFL betting, But

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Speaker 5: I think it's completely meaningless in a seven game stample size.

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Speaker 5: Plus you have to remember that, like the books, if

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Speaker 5: the Seahawks covered, they're like, who cares, Like they're they're

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Speaker 5: they're gonna get so much volume in this game, and

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Speaker 5: the props and the total and the parlays like that's

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Speaker 5: there that I think the Las Vegas sports with the

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Speaker 5: lost two Super Bowls, I think in fifty years, So yeah,

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Speaker 5: ultimately it doesn't mean anything.

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Speaker 2: I just think in general.

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Speaker 1: The last point on this is that the the idea,

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Speaker 1: I don't think that you should base your your bet

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Speaker 1: on the side off of what the public percentages say.

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Speaker 1: But what I find interesting about it is that you

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Speaker 1: have a lot of people that are rushing to the

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Speaker 1: market to bet this that typically don't bet that are

220
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Speaker 1: accounting for these numbers, and then you have folks that

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Speaker 1: are not. They're not reacting to recency bias, and those

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Speaker 1: things would be counterintuitive. Typically the bet that is counterintuitive

223
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Speaker 1: is going to be the one that gets a lower

224
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Speaker 1: percentage of the wagers.

225
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Speaker 2: And yet that bet has not won over seven games.

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Speaker 5: That it's completely meaningless as a meaning of sample size.

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Speaker 5: And I will say, like even if, just like if

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Speaker 5: you're worrying about all the public, which you shouldn't do,

229
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Speaker 5: the like with the public's gonna win this game. Most

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Speaker 5: people that are coming to bet this game like they're

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Speaker 5: they're gonna parlay with something. Sports folks would love, They

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Speaker 5: would not care, would not lose any sweat. There's all

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Speaker 5: so futures you have to consider, So the futures exposure

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Speaker 5: for certain sports books. But the sportsbook would jump for

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Speaker 5: joy and have no m no issues with the Seahawks

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Speaker 5: covering and as long as they you know, and the

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Speaker 5: game stayed under and nothing happened, and it was a

238
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Speaker 5: ten to nothing final, and no one scored touchdowns and

239
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Speaker 5: no one went over their yards.

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Speaker 2: Okay, here's a question.

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Speaker 1: Then what what results let's go for both of you

242
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Speaker 1: very quick. A result that you think would cost the

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Speaker 1: sports books money?

244
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Speaker 6: What result?

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Speaker 1: Is it even possible because of how many people bet

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Speaker 1: dumb parlays?

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Speaker 3: No, because I think wasn't the wasn't last year's Eagles

248
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Speaker 3: super Bowl like the most the public had ever won

249
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Speaker 3: or something like that, or the Super Bowl before was,

250
00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:53,000
Speaker 3: and it still wasn't even like that insane.

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Speaker 1: I believe the only time in the last twenty years

252
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Speaker 1: or so were the where the actual uh books lost

253
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Speaker 1: money was when the Giants beat the Patriots the second time.

254
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Speaker 1: I mean, it really just doesn't happen. To Stucky's point,

255
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Speaker 1: I just wonder if there's any scenario.

256
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Speaker 3: Yeah, people are dumping all their money into parlays, and

257
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Speaker 3: I think that that's just how they're how they're gonna

258
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Speaker 3: make their money. Because of all the boosts and all

259
00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,080
Speaker 3: that crap. People think, oh, yeah, this is totally gonna happen.

260
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Speaker 4: I just I don't. I don't see away unless this.

261
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Speaker 5: Is like, dude, easy that it would have to be in.

262
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Speaker 7: Total is like seventy five, Yeah, has three touchdowns thirty

263
00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:36,400
Speaker 7: eight thirty five, or like forty two thirty forty one

264
00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:42,920
Speaker 7: to thirty five final in overtime, and there's if.

265
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Speaker 4: The defense just sits down.

266
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Speaker 5: Defense Like there's a defensive special teams score, there's a safety.

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Speaker 2: Kenneth Walker hits an octopus.

268
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Speaker 5: Yeah, yeah, there's all those all those random things like

269
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Speaker 5: are very high Williams favorite wins, favorite covers parlayed to

270
00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:03,480
Speaker 5: the overs, and like everyone that was supposed to score

271
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Speaker 5: scores and gives over their yardage. That would probly the

272
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Speaker 5: worst case scenario.

273
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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about this injury Stucky. We had

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Speaker 1: a significant bit of news pop up last night. The

275
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Speaker 1: Studs safety the Unicorn, nick Emmon Warri, injured his ankle

276
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Speaker 1: and practice. Apparently coaches and players came over to comfort him.

277
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Speaker 1: There's a video of him limping into the team hotel.

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Speaker 1: Action or distraction on this injury news for Ima and.

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Speaker 5: Warri major action, Like that's something that I'm monitoring.

280
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Speaker 3: I have.

281
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Speaker 5: The Seahawks team total under I haven't bet the side

282
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Speaker 5: yet leaning Patriots. I would bet the Patriots, if even

283
00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:45,240
Speaker 5: more is not one hundred percent, are out at this number.

284
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Speaker 5: And he's so important to everything that they do. He

285
00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:52,640
Speaker 5: enables them to do all of the things that they

286
00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:56,200
Speaker 5: do that make their defense at Unicorn. He gives McDonald

287
00:14:56,360 --> 00:15:01,400
Speaker 5: ultimate flexibility he found in even more his Hamilton, and

288
00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:04,520
Speaker 5: it enables them to play a ton of dime and

289
00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,320
Speaker 5: do it effectively. They can defend the run, they can

290
00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:10,280
Speaker 5: defend heavy packages, they can defend the pass, you know,

291
00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:13,280
Speaker 5: without having to ever take even more off the field.

292
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Speaker 5: And he is a major part of that defense. People

293
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Speaker 5: just spent a week talking about how important even where

294
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Speaker 5: it is, and how critical he's been to the success

295
00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,440
Speaker 5: of that defense, and I agree, I don't think people

296
00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,680
Speaker 5: are talking enough about his potential injury. I don't have

297
00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:37,720
Speaker 5: any insight into how serious or not it is, but

298
00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:41,120
Speaker 5: it's something that I'm monitoring, and I think it's certainly

299
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Speaker 5: a major late week storyline. And then on the other side,

300
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Speaker 5: they give roberts plane like how healthy is he going

301
00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:57,080
Speaker 5: to be? Eat in practice again yesterday. He hasn't practiced

302
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Speaker 5: in two weeks. He wasn't that effective in the Denver

303
00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:06,880
Speaker 5: game early before he left with an injury, and the

304
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:10,480
Speaker 5: Pat's defense is much better with him in there. So

305
00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:12,560
Speaker 5: that's another one that I'm monitoring. So those are two

306
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:16,840
Speaker 5: key pieces, one on each defense that could have an

307
00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:17,760
Speaker 5: impact on this game.

308
00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:21,760
Speaker 1: Harold Landry also on the more positive end of the

309
00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,720
Speaker 1: injury news was able to practice. He didn't even play

310
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Speaker 1: in the AFC Championship game. He's the sack leader for

311
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,400
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. Kenda, have you heard anything on

312
00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:33,600
Speaker 1: the optimism or lack thereof around Landry?

313
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:38,840
Speaker 3: Honestly, it's not been a huge topic of conversation around here,

314
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,960
Speaker 3: which makes me think either it's worse than people think

315
00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:43,040
Speaker 3: or better than people think.

316
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Speaker 4: And I really don't know where I side on that.

317
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Speaker 2: At the moment, they need all.

318
00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,720
Speaker 1: They can get, for sure to stop the Seattle attack.

319
00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,760
Speaker 1: The prop for the total number of songs performed by

320
00:16:55,800 --> 00:17:00,240
Speaker 1: Bad Bunny is set at eleven and a half. Mine

321
00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:03,800
Speaker 1: seems pretty high. I was doing some total song research.

322
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:08,080
Speaker 1: Rihanna got up to twelve. So Kendra, action or distraction

323
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:12,920
Speaker 1: on betting the under on Bad Bunny total songs performed.

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Speaker 3: I saw you put this in here, and I did

325
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Speaker 3: some research as well, and.

326
00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:19,400
Speaker 4: I have wound up on the under strong.

327
00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:22,600
Speaker 3: I'm gonna say probably like the nine or ten area,

328
00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,720
Speaker 3: because if you look at kind of the past performers,

329
00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,399
Speaker 3: like the reason Rihanna got that's got so high is

330
00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:30,560
Speaker 3: because when you think about her songs like she has

331
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Speaker 3: those catchy, like you know, choruses of songs, and those

332
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:36,840
Speaker 3: are easy to switch in and out of when they're

333
00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,200
Speaker 3: like that upbeat, you know, Boots and Cats style music

334
00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,080
Speaker 3: that you can bop in and out of, Whereas I

335
00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,720
Speaker 3: think his music is more comparable to some of the

336
00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,800
Speaker 3: slower artists that have hit that under in the past,

337
00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:50,080
Speaker 3: where he's a storyteller in his music, so there has

338
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:52,800
Speaker 3: to be a little bit more time for him to

339
00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,080
Speaker 3: be able to get that story across before moving on

340
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:56,160
Speaker 3: to the next song.

341
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,119
Speaker 4: And also, the rumor has it right now that Cardi

342
00:17:59,320 --> 00:17:59,960
Speaker 4: b might.

343
00:17:59,880 --> 00:18:01,959
Speaker 3: Be coming on the stage, so if they play I

344
00:18:02,119 --> 00:18:04,399
Speaker 3: like It, I think that that means that she stays

345
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:06,160
Speaker 3: around longer and that eats up more time.

346
00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:10,159
Speaker 1: Over Under one and a half Bad Bunny song streamed

347
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:13,720
Speaker 1: by Stucky after the Super bowls completed.

348
00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:15,040
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go under.

349
00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:18,880
Speaker 2: Oh well, Stucky, you want to all right?

350
00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:22,919
Speaker 1: Sharp sharp bet sharp bets across the board on the

351
00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:26,399
Speaker 1: under there, i'd Stucky, let's dig into it back to

352
00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,040
Speaker 1: football in a moment. We've got our official plays coming

353
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,199
Speaker 1: up Kendri's pickle prop for Super Bowl sixty. But it

354
00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:36,439
Speaker 1: is time to dive into the weird, the bizarre, the random.

355
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:39,480
Speaker 1: I'll kick it over to Stucky for his random super

356
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:40,600
Speaker 1: Bowl question of the week.

357
00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:41,879
Speaker 6: Hey, this is a dumb question.

358
00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,679
Speaker 2: Let me ask you a personal question kind of question?

359
00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:48,040
Speaker 2: Is that this question?

360
00:18:50,040 --> 00:18:53,159
Speaker 5: Let's go, let's keep it super Bowl. Well, actually, the

361
00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,520
Speaker 5: first thing I'll say is, I you mentioned that your

362
00:18:56,560 --> 00:19:00,640
Speaker 5: kid lost his first tooth, And did I ever tell

363
00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:05,800
Speaker 5: you that my tooth fairy story? So when I was

364
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:12,879
Speaker 5: a kid, well it was winter time, so it was

365
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:18,160
Speaker 5: like December or January, and there was a huge winter

366
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 5: storm and we lost power in our house, and we

367
00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:34,679
Speaker 5: went to my uncle's house and we slept in like

368
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,160
Speaker 5: all me and my cousins. We slept in the basement.

369
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:41,760
Speaker 5: I remember we had like sleeping bags and we just

370
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:45,680
Speaker 5: made it like this fun thing. But I lost my

371
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:47,440
Speaker 5: my tooth. What dide? Did you lose your first tooth?

372
00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 5: That is it different for everybody. I think it was

373
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Speaker 5: like seven. I don't know if it was my first

374
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:59,400
Speaker 5: tooth or not, but it was definitely at an age

375
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:03,439
Speaker 5: where my parents were still thinking that I didn't I

376
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 5: thought the tooth fairy was a thing, but I kind

377
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:07,600
Speaker 5: of knew that it wasn't.

378
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 2: But my dad had that figured out by three, So

379
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:13,080
Speaker 2: we go over.

380
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,119
Speaker 5: And so I lost my tooth that day. So I

381
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:17,560
Speaker 5: brought the tooth with me. And then I'm like, well,

382
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:19,000
Speaker 5: the tooth fairies and I didn't want to go with

383
00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:22,520
Speaker 5: my uncles because, uh I was I remember, I was

384
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:26,679
Speaker 5: like still skeptical if that the tooth fairy was was real.

385
00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:28,280
Speaker 5: But so I was like, I don't want to go

386
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 5: because the tooth fairy is not going to know to

387
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:34,520
Speaker 5: where I am if I'm not so. But my parents like,

388
00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:36,600
Speaker 5: now they they know where you are, no matter where

389
00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,240
Speaker 5: you are. So I go there. I go down the

390
00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:42,359
Speaker 5: basement in the sleep bag. I put the tooth under

391
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:48,080
Speaker 5: my pillow, and then my dad was upstairs, and uh

392
00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 5: was got pretty hammered. And then so he comes down

393
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,240
Speaker 5: at like three in the morning. We were still up

394
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:04,960
Speaker 5: the kind of still up, kind of drifting to sleep,

395
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:09,159
Speaker 5: and my dad comes down at like three in the

396
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:15,399
Speaker 5: morning in the dark, and uh, he had like a

397
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,800
Speaker 5: handful of coins. And then he comes down and then

398
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 5: he trips on my over my brother in the sleeping bag,

399
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 5: falls onto like right on top of me, and then

400
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:29,439
Speaker 5: the coins go everywhere. And then I looked at him,

401
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 5: and he looked at me. So that's how I confirmed

402
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 5: that the tooth Fairy wasn't a thing. So a very

403
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 5: awkward moment for him. I like, what do you say?

404
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 2: Then like pretend to fly away a little bit.

405
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:49,560
Speaker 5: I think he was like the tooth Fairy told me

406
00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 5: to give this to you couldn't get down here or something.

407
00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 2: I don't know who fairy got loaded on bourbon. Sorry,

408
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 2: couldn't make it downstairs.

409
00:21:57,160 --> 00:22:02,160
Speaker 5: Yes, that was funny. What is your worst your best

410
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 5: end or worst super Bowl memory? Like from a day

411
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 5: viewing or it could be a player a game. My

412
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:23,840
Speaker 5: worst by far was Patriots Falcons twenty eight to three,

413
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:27,439
Speaker 5: put Falcons plus four and a half. I also had

414
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:29,200
Speaker 5: the under Falcons plus four and a half, one of

415
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 5: the biggest bets I've ever made. I always see these

416
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,120
Speaker 5: trends about the four plus point underdogs that always cover.

417
00:22:34,280 --> 00:22:35,680
Speaker 5: I had plus four and a half with the Falcons.

418
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,400
Speaker 5: They ended up closing I think three three and a half.

419
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 5: But that was I was at my friend. Our friends

420
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:43,680
Speaker 5: asked me we always have a super Bowl party. We'd

421
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 5: stay up all night the night before, we'd drink, we'd

422
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 5: roast a butt out on the smoker and then just

423
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 5: make it a whole weekend. Everyone was betting the Falcons

424
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 5: with me. It's one of my biggest bets ever. At

425
00:22:57,359 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 5: one point we were jumping around like in a circle

426
00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:02,159
Speaker 5: up twenty eight to the three in front of the

427
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 5: TV by the end of the game. By the when

428
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 5: it went to overtime the coin toss. Once the Patriots

429
00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 5: won the coin toss, it was a morgue at the party.

430
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:17,640
Speaker 5: And then the Patriots score a touchdown that was absolutely miserable.

431
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,479
Speaker 5: Had to go to work the next day. It was.

432
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,199
Speaker 5: That was brutal twenty seventeen, last time I worked in

433
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 5: corporate America. Ah, so, yeah, that was the worst by far.

434
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,479
Speaker 5: Best is Raven's winning Super Bowls. But how about you.

435
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 1: I was nine years old the forty nine Ers were

436
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:40,400
Speaker 1: playing the Chargers. That was Steve Young's Super Bowl, and

437
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:45,920
Speaker 1: my parents dragged me to their friend's house and their

438
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 1: kids sucked and they were around my age, but they

439
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 1: were just we were not friends. They were so annoying.

440
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:56,160
Speaker 1: The parents were weird. I just remember having the worst

441
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 1: time at this party. I'm nine years old, and I

442
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:04,840
Speaker 1: decided that moment, I am not doing Super Bowl parties anymore.

443
00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 2: I'm done. I gave it up. At nine. It was

444
00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 2: that bad.

445
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 1: And while my dog is freaking out, he's upset about

446
00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:15,199
Speaker 1: it too, and uh, yeah, that's that's the one for me.

447
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:16,440
Speaker 2: Super Bowl.

448
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 1: I forget what number that super Bowl was, but it

449
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:20,679
Speaker 1: was forty nine Ers, Chargers.

450
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 2: It was terrible experience.

451
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:27,000
Speaker 3: My best was gonna be when the Patriots played the

452
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,120
Speaker 3: Eagles in the Super Bowl in Jacksonville because the next

453
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,080
Speaker 3: day at school, I was in third grade and everyone

454
00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 3: was like.

455
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,040
Speaker 4: Oh my god, did you stay up and watch the

456
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 4: Super Bowl?

457
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,439
Speaker 3: And it was just super fun that we had something

458
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,840
Speaker 3: that cool in town. And it's one of my first

459
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 3: super Bowl memories. My Actually, maybe my best was my

460
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 3: junior year up here at You and H when it

461
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 3: was Brady's last super Bowl with the Patriots, because I

462
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 3: got to go out and party all night that night,

463
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 3: and the streets were flooded and people were like lighting

464
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:57,920
Speaker 3: stuff on fire and climbing all the buildings at school.

465
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 4: I don't know if I have a worst. I don't

466
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:04,720
Speaker 4: think I've had a worst. Actually, I got a fight.

467
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 3: I got a fight with a boy a couple of

468
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 3: years ago during one of the chief Super Bowls. I

469
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:11,880
Speaker 3: was pretty drunk, and I don't remember what year would

470
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 3: have been I think probably twenty twenty two.

471
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 4: But that wasn't that terrible. He kind of sucked. I

472
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 4: don't know. I don't think I have a bad one,

473
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:20,080
Speaker 4: only good.

474
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,479
Speaker 1: I did Panthers. My friend got so drunky. We had

475
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:24,919
Speaker 1: to go to the hospital and he had to get

476
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 1: a stomach pumped. That was That was a rough one.

477
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,520
Speaker 3: Actually, no, my worst My best friend got so hammered

478
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,280
Speaker 3: during the Super Bowl.

479
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 4: That was also one of my favorite nights.

480
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:35,919
Speaker 3: That she tried to punch me in the face and

481
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 3: I had to put her in an uber home.

482
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 5: That that reminded me of. That reminds me of not

483
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:45,520
Speaker 5: the punch, but the drinking I did. I don't think

484
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 5: I missed an NFL Sunday Slate. I don't in my life,

485
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:54,439
Speaker 5: you know, since I started watching football at primetime NFL

486
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 5: game anything like. I mean, I was listening at listening

487
00:25:57,800 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 5: to the red zone while my you know, right after

488
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 5: my kid was being born, I had at streaming. So

489
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 5: but I did miss the Super Bowl. I missed an

490
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 5: entire Super Bowl except for one play. I was out

491
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 5: this when I was in college.

492
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,159
Speaker 2: You were blackout at GW No.

493
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,600
Speaker 5: No, no, I like legitimately missed it. I was in college,

494
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 5: went to GW. We were down visiting my friend at JMU,

495
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 5: which was a great party school at least at the time,

496
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 5: and we were up and just partying the entire weekend.

497
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:37,639
Speaker 5: And then it was like Sunday at ten in the morning,

498
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 5: and we were My friend came down from Philly, picked

499
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 5: me up on the way, and then drove me down

500
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 5: on like a Friday. He had to go back and

501
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:50,399
Speaker 5: then he wanted to go back to get the Philly

502
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 5: bug done to Super Bowl, so he drove me back.

503
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 5: We ended up getting back and we stopped for lunch.

504
00:26:55,640 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 5: We got back at like three point thirty four o'clock. Exhausted.

505
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,239
Speaker 5: I haven't slept in a couple of days. I was

506
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:03,880
Speaker 5: so I was going to go out for the Super Bowl,

507
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 5: but then I decided against it. I was like, I'm

508
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,879
Speaker 5: just so beat. So I was like, I'm just gonna

509
00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:13,840
Speaker 5: watch it in my apartment, and so I like ordered

510
00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:20,320
Speaker 5: some food and then laid down on my couch. By

511
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:22,040
Speaker 5: the time like I got all situated, there was like

512
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 5: an hour till kick I ate, and then I was

513
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 5: just laying on my couch, had all my bets in.

514
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 5: I saw Devin Hester return the opening kick. This is

515
00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 5: Bear's Cult super Bowl. Devin has to return the opening

516
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:41,359
Speaker 5: kick that I woke up with with the news on

517
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 5: I fell asleep and didn't wake up until after the

518
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:50,359
Speaker 5: super Bowl. Weirdest feeling like I missed an entire like

519
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,879
Speaker 5: so and then I mean the Cult won. So all

520
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 5: I saw was.

521
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,600
Speaker 4: Try the last time you slept in your life.

522
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 1: And if that happened now, because Twitter wasn't a thing,

523
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,360
Speaker 1: then if that happened now and we didn't see any

524
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:04,159
Speaker 1: stucky tweets rolling through the timeline, I would be convinced

525
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:04,439
Speaker 1: you were.

526
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 3: I would call like a I would have Gifford like

527
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 3: message your wife on the internet and make sure you

528
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,119
Speaker 3: were alive. I did miss the first half of the

529
00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,400
Speaker 3: Brady Buck Super Bowl because we were coming back from

530
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:17,680
Speaker 3: Radio Row and our network cheaped out and sent us

531
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:19,760
Speaker 3: on that flight out of Tampa.

532
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:21,160
Speaker 2: Wow.

533
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:26,080
Speaker 1: That was my only experience on Radio Row that year.

534
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,959
Speaker 1: That's another worst experience was the year the Bucks were

535
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:33,639
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl in Tampa and then the Radio

536
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:35,160
Speaker 1: Row was a ghost town.

537
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 2: I mean there they were talking, it was rolling. Yeah,

538
00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 2: it was I think.

539
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 1: The most famous person I interviewed there was like the

540
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 1: city Commissioner of Tampa.

541
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 2: It was it was Arris.

542
00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:46,320
Speaker 4: Was just some drunk dude on the street. Was probably

543
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 4: the best interview I got.

544
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 2: It was such a waste of time. Still to come.

545
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 1: Two Kings and a Queen get nominated in our Super

546
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 1: Bowl parlay. But first, a word about Draft Kings from

547
00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: the first Lady.

548
00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 3: The favorite podcast has teamed up with DraftKings Book, where

549
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:03,040
Speaker 3: new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred

550
00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:03,720
Speaker 3: dollars back.

551
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 4: In bonus bets if your bet wins.

552
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 3: Love the thrill of live betting, DraftKings has got you covered.

553
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,520
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554
00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:14,120
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555
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556
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557
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Speaker 3: three hundred back in bonus bets.

558
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,840
Speaker 4: If your bet wins, the crown is yours.

559
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 2: It is time for.

560
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,520
Speaker 1: The triumphant super return of Kendrew's Pickle prop.

561
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 2: Let's pop the jar back open. What are we looking at?

562
00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 5: We're in a pickle now, I'm really gonna pickle now?

563
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 6: All right, look we're gonna pickle again.

564
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 3: Hey, so this was the I've already put this in

565
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:46,600
Speaker 3: to the action app, but I put this in my

566
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 3: pickle prop because I'm hoping that it will make people

567
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 3: think as hard about Jake Bobo as I did, because

568
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:54,959
Speaker 3: I don't know if that's punishment or not.

569
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 4: But I did a lot of Jake Bobo research, and

570
00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 4: I have him over half a receiving yard.

571
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:02,880
Speaker 3: I was looking at the difference in price between him

572
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 3: to have a receiving yard and to have a reception,

573
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 3: and Kravitz and I went over this prior to us

574
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:09,680
Speaker 3: hopping on here, but it was plus one point eighty

575
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 3: for a receiving yard and plus one thirty to have

576
00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,560
Speaker 3: a reception. Obviously, he has to get beyond the line

577
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 3: of scrimmage, which is probably the discrepancy in price. But

578
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,400
Speaker 3: I think because Jake Bobo is a hometown kid here

579
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 3: in Massachusetts playing in a super Bowl against the Patriots,

580
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 3: I think that they try and target him, try and

581
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 3: get him a catch in this, just as like a

582
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 3: hey kid, you're playing in the Super Bowl against your

583
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 3: hometown team type of thing. So I thought there was

584
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 3: value in doing this, and I've had so much Jake

585
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 3: Bobo on my timeline that I want a reason to

586
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 3: low key cheer.

587
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 4: For him because he's from like North Andover or something.

588
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 3: But I, yeah, Jake Bobo, I've put way too much

589
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 3: thought into this, so it had me in a pickle.

590
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:50,719
Speaker 4: Are you in a pickle about Jake Bobo?

591
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 1: I do like the idea of going price up on

592
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 1: the yards rather than the reception, because if Bobo does

593
00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 1: get involved, we've seen him not catch the ball very

594
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,280
Speaker 1: much this yea, but when he does it's usually.

595
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:07,480
Speaker 2: Past the sticks. So energy, yes, very much so.

596
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,440
Speaker 1: But I've done no Bobo research among all the research

597
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 1: I have done, so that is all the analysis I have.

598
00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 5: You, I have no idea. I mean that just comes

599
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 5: down to the game plan. So when I would go

600
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 5: with the higher upside, like do they want to how

601
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:22,560
Speaker 5: much they want to put him on the field take

602
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 5: sheets feed off? I don't know, but uh yeah, that's

603
00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,920
Speaker 5: not my specialty. That's going to come down to game plan,

604
00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:32,960
Speaker 5: how much they want to use the snack count targets.

605
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 5: But I don't hate it.

606
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:37,880
Speaker 1: Let's get an alt line going in there too, because

607
00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:40,320
Speaker 1: if he gets a catch, he's probably going past ten yards.

608
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:43,080
Speaker 1: So I think we could get some we could have

609
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:46,040
Speaker 1: some fun with that one too. It is time for

610
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,240
Speaker 1: the reason you all came here this week, our two

611
00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen parlay. Reminder for how this works.

612
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 1: Because it's been a couple of weeks, we each nominate

613
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 1: two plays, see if we can find some general consensus

614
00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 1: on the board. Evan Abrams will break ties if they exist,

615
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 1: and we will eventually land on our team built parlay,

616
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 1: our first ever as a trio for a Super Bowl.

617
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:17,320
Speaker 1: Kendra get Us.

618
00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 3: Started, all right, So I'm going to give you guys

619
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:22,920
Speaker 3: a couple extra options just because I'm nice like that

620
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,600
Speaker 3: and I've been all over it. One Cooper Cup for

621
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 3: in anytime plus two to fifty.

622
00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:28,400
Speaker 4: I just think.

623
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 3: I'm in the camp that I expect the JSN Christian

624
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 3: Gonzalez battle to be the primary matchup for him. So

625
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,480
Speaker 3: I think that that's going to free up Cooper Cup.

626
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 3: Plus two to fifty feels like really good odds for him.

627
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 3: He's obviously played in a super Bowl before, scored in

628
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:43,400
Speaker 3: Super Bowl before, has played really well in big moments

629
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: in his career. I mean, I get the angle that

630
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,760
Speaker 3: people have had that he scored against the Rams last week,

631
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 3: because it's like the revenge thing they wanted to get

632
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 3: him involved, get him in the end zone, whatever. For me,

633
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 3: it's more so him showing up in those big moments,

634
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:55,760
Speaker 3: and I think that that's a good price for that.

635
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 3: Or I'll be nice and go either quarterback for a pick,

636
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:01,520
Speaker 3: because I expect both of them to have one in

637
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 3: this game.

638
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 1: I think I like the quarterback pick. We have to

639
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 1: pick one. I'm gonna go with Sam Darnold.

640
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:10,480
Speaker 3: Because I've got both of them logged in the app,

641
00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 3: so I'm open to either.

642
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 1: I think the pressure that New England can create in

643
00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 1: the interior of the offensive line of Seattle is going

644
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 1: to force Donald into some old habits. And I think

645
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,000
Speaker 1: he's also going to try and force feed JSN.

646
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 2: Why wouldn't you so, I think.

647
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 5: Over I think there is there an over one and

648
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 5: a half interceptions.

649
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 2: In the game. Yeah, there's gotta be. I mean there's

650
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 2: there just has to be.

651
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:42,600
Speaker 5: What is that? I kind of like that. Do you

652
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 5: like that? Over one and a totally yeah?

653
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 4: I would go with that.

654
00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 3: I mean, I parlayed both of them to have an interception.

655
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 5: So because I like, I don't mind either they throw

656
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 5: two interceptions either. I think there's a chance.

657
00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 3: That it's a parlay though, So if we want like

658
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 3: the more likely scenario, we don't have to get too

659
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:03,000
Speaker 3: crazy with it.

660
00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 4: But I really don't care. I'm open to that as well.

661
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 1: Let me Yeah, this is going to be the toughest

662
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:12,640
Speaker 1: time that we have had trying to actually put this

663
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,800
Speaker 1: together on the site on the fly, because.

664
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:18,720
Speaker 2: There is so there's so much stuff.

665
00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 1: So if anybody wants to try and figure that out

666
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 1: as we continue to come through this, definitely we'll do

667
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 1: something with the interceptions.

668
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:27,359
Speaker 5: I'll look as we're going moving on.

669
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:32,160
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, so we're good on the interceptions. Yeah,

670
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:33,920
Speaker 1: all right, Stucky, you're up.

671
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 5: First. One is going to be Seattle team total under

672
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 5: twenty five and a half points. I like the under.

673
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 5: I like the Patriots from a numbers perspective. Combine them

674
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 5: you get Seattle going under. I think this will be

675
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:57,680
Speaker 5: a lower scoring game. I like. Here's how I think

676
00:34:57,680 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 5: the game plays out. I think it's gonna start slow,

677
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:00,840
Speaker 5: as most Super Bowls. I think it's gonna be a

678
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 5: fuel position battle. I think both offenses are gonna be

679
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,439
Speaker 5: in the third and long known passing situations a lot.

680
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,839
Speaker 5: What does that mean, Well, that's gonna lead to Drake

681
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,520
Speaker 5: may sacks potential mistakes. One thing I'm worried about with

682
00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:17,480
Speaker 5: his total is just where do those mistakes happen the

683
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:19,360
Speaker 5: variants and that, but they could also happen in the

684
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 5: red zone. They could kill drives, but it's gonna lead

685
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 5: to kill drive killing sacks because I do think you

686
00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 5: know that, especially the left side of that Patriots offensive line,

687
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:33,279
Speaker 5: with the simulated pressures that the Seahawks use their inability

688
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 5: of their receivers to get separation against the Seattle secondary,

689
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:39,359
Speaker 5: I think it's gonna be tough sledding because remember, both

690
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,200
Speaker 5: of these run defenses are elite, and I don't think

691
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 5: any either team is going to have much success running

692
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:48,760
Speaker 5: the ball on a consistent basis, which means you're gonna

693
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:52,360
Speaker 5: have third and seven, third and eight going up against

694
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 5: the Seahawks defense. Good luck. On the other side, I

695
00:35:55,160 --> 00:35:57,320
Speaker 5: think it's going to be just as difficult for Sam Darnold.

696
00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 5: He's gonna have to deal with some Patriot it's blitz

697
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:01,920
Speaker 5: looks he's gonna have to deal with a lot of

698
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 5: the stunts that the Patriots use. And then you mentioned

699
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 5: this the interior pressure. The Patriots have two of the

700
00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 5: better interior defensive line and in terms of pressure rate

701
00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:14,480
Speaker 5: in the league, going up against a vulnerable interior offensive line.

702
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 5: When is Sam Darnold most vulnerable when he's dealing with

703
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 5: interior pressure. So I think it's gonna be tough sledding

704
00:36:22,200 --> 00:36:24,920
Speaker 5: for both offenses. I think both defensive lines have a

705
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 5: major advantage in this game, and that will be the

706
00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 5: key storyline and trend throughout. So kind of like the

707
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:33,800
Speaker 5: under kind of like taking the points of the Patriots,

708
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:37,360
Speaker 5: let's combine them, go with Seahawks team total under twenty

709
00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:42,919
Speaker 5: five and a half. The other will go with let's

710
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,239
Speaker 5: go Hunter Henry over thirty nine and a half for

711
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:51,080
Speaker 5: seeding yards. I just think this is a great matchup

712
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 5: for him. By the way, he had I think one

713
00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 5: hundred and ten yards against this Seattle, this McDonald defense

714
00:36:57,560 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 5: last year when these two teams played in the when

715
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:03,279
Speaker 5: the Patriot it's were absolutely terrible on the season. The

716
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 5: Seahawks are they funneled to tight ends, they funnel to

717
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,480
Speaker 5: running backs. They don't give up explosive plays like they're

718
00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:10,919
Speaker 5: going to allow looks to the tight ends. And Drake

719
00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 5: May's gonna have to do that with it. The state

720
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:15,400
Speaker 5: of his offensive line, with the simulated pressures. With the

721
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:17,040
Speaker 5: ability of Seattle to ge pressure, He's gonna have to

722
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 5: mump it off. He's gonna have to get rid of

723
00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:20,680
Speaker 5: the ball quick. He's gonna have to, you know, throw

724
00:37:20,760 --> 00:37:22,960
Speaker 5: to Henry a bunch. I think he could get a

725
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:27,440
Speaker 5: ton of targets here. The Seahawks on the season allowed

726
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 5: an average of six catches on eight about eight and

727
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 5: a half targets for sixty four yards to tight ends. Henry,

728
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:38,600
Speaker 5: you know, he averaged three point three catches on four

729
00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:41,400
Speaker 5: point seven targets for about forty two and a half yards.

730
00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 5: But keep in mind, the Patriots played a clown car schedule,

731
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,040
Speaker 5: and even in the playoffs.

732
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:51,640
Speaker 4: They fled lightly.

733
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,439
Speaker 5: They were in weather, and but all year they were

734
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:58,840
Speaker 5: up a lot right so that they weren't in trailing

735
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:00,840
Speaker 5: game scripts. They didn't have to throw a bunch in

736
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:02,759
Speaker 5: the second half of games like they were blowing out

737
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:05,080
Speaker 5: a ton of teams. Like when you play the you know,

738
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 5: the Jets and the Dolphins every other week, you didn't

739
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,319
Speaker 5: have to throw that much. So like Henry's Henry, if

740
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:13,279
Speaker 5: the Patriots, and they're more likely than not to be

741
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 5: in a trailing game script have to throw more and

742
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:17,719
Speaker 5: in this matchup in particular there, I don't think you'll

743
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 5: be able to run the ball at all, So like

744
00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 5: where and I don't think the ride receivers are going

745
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 5: to be able to get separations. Where are all the

746
00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 5: targets going? They gotta go to Henry a lot of them,

747
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:28,800
Speaker 5: Like it's going to be Henry in the backs?

748
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:31,399
Speaker 2: Why not receptions? Then on?

749
00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:33,600
Speaker 5: I like receptions too, but I think that there's a

750
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 5: chance he gets I like the over longest reception of

751
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:40,160
Speaker 5: seventeen and a half. Two.

752
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 4: You just said something that made me think about my pick. Though.

753
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:47,919
Speaker 3: If you're in the camp that they're going to beat,

754
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,360
Speaker 3: the Drake's going to be kind of playing from behind

755
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:53,799
Speaker 3: and that's going to be their mo. Do you think

756
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,879
Speaker 3: that he is more likely to throw an interception if

757
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 3: he's playing from behind and kind of getting you know,

758
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:00,120
Speaker 3: crazy or lazy with that.

759
00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:05,239
Speaker 5: I mean, that's just like the more likely snaro. Yeah,

760
00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:10,440
Speaker 5: I I think both at quarterbacks are going to throw

761
00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:13,880
Speaker 5: an interception. I mean, yeah, it's the odds are probably close.

762
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:15,719
Speaker 4: I put him in the chat.

763
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:22,000
Speaker 5: Minus one thirty eight may minus one forty two over

764
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:23,040
Speaker 5: two and a half.

765
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:26,759
Speaker 1: So there there is no prop on DK from what

766
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 1: I've researched very quickly of over one and a half

767
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 1: total interceptions in the game, but there is an over

768
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,839
Speaker 1: two and a half total turnovers, So then we would

769
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,040
Speaker 1: also have Drake May and Sam Darnold fumbles in there.

770
00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:39,279
Speaker 2: Yah.

771
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:39,759
Speaker 4: I like that.

772
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,480
Speaker 5: Okay, I'm gonna put Evan on the case to see

773
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:44,800
Speaker 5: if there's anything else, but I don't mind that as now,

774
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 5: but to get back to just to finish off Henry,

775
00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 5: So yeah, I mean on the over the course of

776
00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:56,759
Speaker 5: the season, the Seahawks allowed twenty two This is in

777
00:39:56,840 --> 00:39:59,800
Speaker 5: nineteen games, twenty two catches of seventeen plus yards to

778
00:39:59,840 --> 00:40:05,319
Speaker 5: tie ends. And Henry had a seventeen plus yard catch

779
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,400
Speaker 5: in twelve of twenty games. And remember clown car schedule.

780
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 5: They were not playing from behind a lot, and they

781
00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 5: were playing teams that they could run on, which they're

782
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:13,440
Speaker 5: not gonna be able to do here. And speaking of

783
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:18,480
Speaker 5: tight end targets, McDaniels his last five Super Bowls, and

784
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 5: it's not all Gronk was three of the five. He

785
00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 5: had Aaron Hernandez and Martell's Bennett were the primary tight

786
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:26,800
Speaker 5: ends and two of the five. But his last five

787
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 5: Super Bowls, McDaniels offenses at the primary tight end averaged

788
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,640
Speaker 5: six point eight catches for eighty yards. Here are the

789
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:42,799
Speaker 5: target numbers seventeen, eleven, six, fifteen, and seven. I think

790
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:47,759
Speaker 5: Henry gets like seven or eight targets here, and I

791
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,399
Speaker 5: think he gets fifty plus yards, but we'll go over

792
00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:54,839
Speaker 5: thirty nine and a half for Hunter Henry. I'm also

793
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:57,120
Speaker 5: on his over receptions and over longest catch.

794
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 1: I do like receptions better. The number week get is

795
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,560
Speaker 1: four plus or over three and a half. If Emon

796
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:06,520
Speaker 1: Worri is alright, which we're not one hundred percent sure

797
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:09,839
Speaker 1: on right now, he's going to erase somebody. It could

798
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:13,120
Speaker 1: be de Mario Douglas, could be Hunter Henry, and that's

799
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:15,360
Speaker 1: my concern with going that route, as if that is

800
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,360
Speaker 1: the game plan, then that could be dead on arrival.

801
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:23,480
Speaker 1: I think I like both. I think I would vote

802
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:25,839
Speaker 1: Seattle team total under twenty five and a half.

803
00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:27,400
Speaker 2: I'd be surprised if they get past that.

804
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:30,880
Speaker 3: I was gonna say, I'm gonna be the Hunter Henry

805
00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 3: receptions over because I see this game going one of

806
00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:36,680
Speaker 3: two ways. Either this is like a seventeen to ten

807
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:41,040
Speaker 3: outcome if both of these quarterbacks, you know, play really

808
00:41:41,080 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 3: bad versions of their worst football, which would be obviously

809
00:41:44,719 --> 00:41:45,319
Speaker 3: a hit for the.

810
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:47,799
Speaker 4: Team total under. But the other way I see this.

811
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,560
Speaker 3: Going is Seattle just beats the shit out of them,

812
00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:54,440
Speaker 3: And that's my fear is that this offense just takes

813
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:57,279
Speaker 3: it to the pads, and the pads scoring can't keep up.

814
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 4: So I'm probably and once again that will to them

815
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:01,280
Speaker 4: playing from behind.

816
00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:05,080
Speaker 3: So I want to say Hunter Henry receptions over Evan.

817
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:08,920
Speaker 8: I love both of these, to be honest with you,

818
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:11,120
Speaker 8: So I think it's difficult kind of choosing between the two.

819
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:14,160
Speaker 6: The one thing I did just look out quickly the Patriots.

820
00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:16,080
Speaker 6: Yeah there give me tails.

821
00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:19,520
Speaker 8: When the Patriots have trailed this year, Henry is twenty.

822
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:20,359
Speaker 6: Three of two point fifty two.

823
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 8: Diggs is twenty six to two eighty six, So they

824
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:28,400
Speaker 8: are both equally as involved in the very small amount

825
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 8: of time New England has trailed this year. If I

826
00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:34,080
Speaker 8: had to pick one of the two, though, I think

827
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:37,360
Speaker 8: I would go as stuck in Henry. I think you know,

828
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:40,760
Speaker 8: he's also it's eleven yards per reception when they've trailed,

829
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 8: which is kind of ridiculous for its height end, So

830
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:45,440
Speaker 8: I'll go Hunter Henry, and.

831
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:47,719
Speaker 6: I think they both hit though to be honest with you.

832
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:50,520
Speaker 5: Are we going over yards or over receptions? I'll let

833
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:51,360
Speaker 5: you decide of them.

834
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:53,600
Speaker 8: I mean I kind of like the over is three

835
00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 8: and a half, so you're asking for four more? Yeah,

836
00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:57,879
Speaker 8: I think I'd go four and more.

837
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:01,239
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, we got that, got that locked in.

838
00:43:01,960 --> 00:43:06,280
Speaker 1: My nominees will be the first quarter under at seven

839
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:10,480
Speaker 1: and a half or the Patriots plus the four and

840
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 1: a half.

841
00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:14,200
Speaker 2: I do think a five could pop up, as it did.

842
00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:15,839
Speaker 1: Earlier in the week. I think New England is being

843
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:18,480
Speaker 1: underestimated here. I firmly believe that if this game were

844
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:22,240
Speaker 1: played in the regular season, if these two are still even,

845
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:24,960
Speaker 1: let's neutral cite this, they're playing in Brazil or something,

846
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:27,520
Speaker 1: the line would be slice in a half of where

847
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,960
Speaker 1: it is right now. This is recency bias. This is

848
00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:37,040
Speaker 1: Drake May's shoulder paranoia that hit the market and Seattle

849
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 1: love that continues to fuel. Why would the books move

850
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:43,880
Speaker 1: it they continue taking Seattle money. What I mean, it

851
00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:46,600
Speaker 1: feels like exclusively at this point. We've talked about the

852
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:49,440
Speaker 1: betting splits earlier, over sixty percent of the bets on

853
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,440
Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks. I think we're getting major value on

854
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:55,239
Speaker 1: the Patriots here and if this game or any other

855
00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:58,120
Speaker 1: game throughout the season, all three of us would be

856
00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:00,480
Speaker 1: pounding the table for New England play plus four and

857
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:03,000
Speaker 1: a half, no doubt in my mind. I think one

858
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:05,319
Speaker 1: of the biggest mistakes anybody can make going into the

859
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: Super Bowl is to treat the game as if it's

860
00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:11,920
Speaker 1: like a different just a completely different game that we're playing.

861
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:12,319
Speaker 2: It's not.

862
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 1: It's still football game. It's still sixty minutes. The field

863
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:20,439
Speaker 1: dimensions are the exact same. There are pressure aspects, there's

864
00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:23,240
Speaker 1: a long halftime show, there are things to take into account,

865
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:26,279
Speaker 1: but it's still a football game, and Pats plus four

866
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 1: and a half is simply good value. The other one

867
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 1: is the first quarter under seven and a half, and

868
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 1: that is more in line with looking at this from

869
00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:38,319
Speaker 1: a Super Bowl perspective. Pretty strong trend here, and it

870
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:40,320
Speaker 1: makes sense too, especially with these two teams. You have

871
00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:44,280
Speaker 1: Drake may Sam Darnold that have never been in this position.

872
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:47,880
Speaker 1: I would expect their offensive coordinators to be pretty cautious

873
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:51,240
Speaker 1: with the game plan early on. And we've seen teams

874
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,279
Speaker 1: with much better offenses than these two, at least much

875
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:58,560
Speaker 1: better quarterback play go under in the first quarter. Last year,

876
00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:02,880
Speaker 1: Mahomes and Hurts Round two seven points scored in the

877
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:06,239
Speaker 1: first quarter. Those two also had Super Bowl experience. The

878
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:09,280
Speaker 1: game still went under in the first quarter. Chiefs Niners

879
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:12,520
Speaker 1: zero points scored in the first quarter in Seattle's defense

880
00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:14,520
Speaker 1: number two in the NFL in terms of points per

881
00:45:14,520 --> 00:45:19,040
Speaker 1: game allowed in the first So those are my nominees.

882
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:20,560
Speaker 2: Kendrick, where do you vote?

883
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:24,239
Speaker 3: I say first quarter under because both teams obviously have

884
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:25,520
Speaker 3: baller defenses, and I'm with you.

885
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 4: I expect some.

886
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:30,719
Speaker 3: Jitters from Donald and May to start, and definitely some

887
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:33,000
Speaker 3: conservative play calling to start as well.

888
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:35,920
Speaker 5: Stucky, I can't go with the first quarter under. I

889
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:37,719
Speaker 5: mean I used to bet the first quarter under every year,

890
00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 5: but it was always it would have been ten five

891
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:43,400
Speaker 5: years ago, so I mean books have caught up on this,

892
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,520
Speaker 5: but I think they're over the past ten years. It's

893
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:47,840
Speaker 5: the average has been less than seven.

894
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:48,440
Speaker 2: But this is.

895
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:56,120
Speaker 5: You're you're really paying for this one now, I I mean,

896
00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:58,439
Speaker 5: Big Daniels, for what it's worth, For like twenty years,

897
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 5: the Patriots didn't score in the first quarter, even with Brady.

898
00:46:01,960 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 5: It would always be like seven zero zeros earo three zero.

899
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:07,719
Speaker 5: But I do find it funny that you were like,

900
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:11,080
Speaker 5: don't treat this game as this is just the same

901
00:46:11,680 --> 00:46:13,520
Speaker 5: as any other game, and then your next bet is

902
00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:14,960
Speaker 5: about this being a different game.

903
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,920
Speaker 1: I think it starts a different game and then it

904
00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:20,520
Speaker 1: becomes it's just a regular game.

905
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:26,120
Speaker 5: It starts a regular game, it starts it starts with

906
00:46:26,320 --> 00:46:31,759
Speaker 5: irregular and then it's a long time and then it

907
00:46:31,760 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 5: comes back to the regular game.

908
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,719
Speaker 1: There are there are two scenarios where I think the

909
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:39,160
Speaker 1: game is very different the beginning because of the pressure involved.

910
00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 1: This is the most important moment in all of these

911
00:46:41,040 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 1: people's lives, and it hits you the adrenaline that's been

912
00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:46,839
Speaker 1: pumping through your veins throughout the course of the day.

913
00:46:46,920 --> 00:46:49,879
Speaker 1: It's this crescendo moment everybody's nervous to fuck up.

914
00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 2: And then at the end of halftime.

915
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:56,600
Speaker 1: Where you've been sitting around for thirty five minutes waiting

916
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:58,799
Speaker 1: for bad Bunny to finish up his set list. I

917
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:03,959
Speaker 1: think those two scenario they're playable. There are playable angles there.

918
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:07,200
Speaker 1: Outside of that, it's a football games.

919
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:10,280
Speaker 4: I'm going to be shaking as on hooters.

920
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:11,759
Speaker 2: That's my stance on.

921
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,520
Speaker 5: I think it's a very different game, and for you know, obviously,

922
00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:18,680
Speaker 5: the pressure the you have everything else. By the way,

923
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 5: I haven't heard a lot of people about Brable after

924
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:22,799
Speaker 5: a bye ye. I mean he's been very been very

925
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:28,560
Speaker 5: good after buy historically. I I think it's very different

926
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 5: in that. In addition to like the pressure and the

927
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,239
Speaker 5: crowd and all the hoopla and all the stuff you

928
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 5: have to deal with around it, it's the the what

929
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,920
Speaker 5: you do to change, as you know, going into the

930
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:45,799
Speaker 5: highest leverage game possible, right, So you could like the

931
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:48,239
Speaker 5: curve balls that you come up with, the game plans have,

932
00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 5: you know, two weeks to prepare for the highest leverage game.

933
00:47:51,280 --> 00:47:54,319
Speaker 5: You that that is what makes it so different to me,

934
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:56,800
Speaker 5: Like you could see some teams completely change up things,

935
00:47:56,880 --> 00:47:59,320
Speaker 5: come in with a curve about the other team isn't expecting.

936
00:47:59,360 --> 00:48:02,280
Speaker 5: That completely changes the game. And from a handicapping perspective,

937
00:48:02,520 --> 00:48:05,759
Speaker 5: that's what makes this game, you know, a little bit

938
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:07,920
Speaker 5: more difficult than you know. Not only is it the

939
00:48:07,960 --> 00:48:09,720
Speaker 5: last game and we have data for all the teams

940
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:13,040
Speaker 5: in a very efficient market already, but you know, in

941
00:48:13,080 --> 00:48:17,239
Speaker 5: a week thirteen game, you can one of the things

942
00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 5: I would spend a lot of my time doing, and

943
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:20,080
Speaker 5: I spend a lot of my time doing it for

944
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:24,680
Speaker 5: this game. But is you know, diving into the matchup

945
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:29,200
Speaker 5: and coverages and and schematics on both ends. But both

946
00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:32,040
Speaker 5: teams know that, and that's so this is when you

947
00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:34,200
Speaker 5: would like change it up right, need to see how

948
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:38,399
Speaker 5: maybe go more man coverage and you know things like that,

949
00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:41,360
Speaker 5: maybe blitz rates you change them and all kinds of

950
00:48:41,440 --> 00:48:43,520
Speaker 5: things that you can do. So that's what makes it

951
00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:45,720
Speaker 5: a different game to me. But I can't go understand

952
00:48:45,719 --> 00:48:47,719
Speaker 5: and asks. So I'm going to go Patriots plus four

953
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:49,239
Speaker 5: and a half mine. I think this should be close

954
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:49,920
Speaker 5: to for three and a half.

955
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:55,400
Speaker 8: Then stuck, He's right about one thing the total first

956
00:48:55,480 --> 00:49:01,040
Speaker 8: quarter r one thing, one at the moment, one thing

957
00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:04,240
Speaker 8: at the moment. Listen, it's you know, not everybody's perfect,

958
00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:07,960
Speaker 8: but seven and a half is very very low. Last year,

959
00:49:08,239 --> 00:49:10,239
Speaker 8: nine and a half year before that, nine and a half,

960
00:49:10,280 --> 00:49:12,880
Speaker 8: then you got some tens. It hasn't been seven and

961
00:49:12,880 --> 00:49:15,759
Speaker 8: a half in the Super Bowl since twenty nineteen. So

962
00:49:16,160 --> 00:49:19,080
Speaker 8: I'll go at the Patriots, especially at the four and

963
00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:21,040
Speaker 8: a half them and Warry injury.

964
00:49:22,400 --> 00:49:22,839
Speaker 6: For the dog.

965
00:49:23,120 --> 00:49:28,120
Speaker 5: What about this Patriots plus four and a half Seahawks

966
00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:33,839
Speaker 5: team total under twenty five and a half Drake made

967
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:38,399
Speaker 5: a thrown interception. Sam Donald a throw an interception eight

968
00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:38,920
Speaker 5: to one.

969
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:40,799
Speaker 4: That's it.

970
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 5: Seahawks and Patriots are kind of cool.

971
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:48,480
Speaker 1: I mean that goes counter to what has been voted

972
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:50,359
Speaker 1: on here. This is a democracy stuck.

973
00:49:50,440 --> 00:49:53,120
Speaker 4: But that's that's what we voted on, right, No, we

974
00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:54,920
Speaker 4: voted for Hunter Henry.

975
00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:56,680
Speaker 5: Oh Henry.

976
00:49:56,719 --> 00:49:57,080
Speaker 6: Yeah.

977
00:49:57,120 --> 00:49:59,319
Speaker 5: I mean, if it's gonna be there on the I'll

978
00:49:59,400 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 5: change it. That is hate the one. Sorry I just

979
00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:08,680
Speaker 5: misspoke Hunter Henry four plus Patriots plus four and a

980
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:10,720
Speaker 5: half and then.

981
00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:13,080
Speaker 2: Uh an interception from both.

982
00:50:13,800 --> 00:50:14,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, I hate the one.

983
00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 2: That's that's.

984
00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:21,399
Speaker 1: I kind of I kind of love this guys too.

985
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 1: I think something all right.

986
00:50:27,280 --> 00:50:28,600
Speaker 5: I mean we want to just to choose one of

987
00:50:28,640 --> 00:50:30,480
Speaker 5: the quarterbacks and it's going to be around five to one.

988
00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:32,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I hate that you got to keep the eight.

989
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 4: I'm hoping that this is kind of a ship show.

990
00:50:37,440 --> 00:50:40,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I think production is upset with us

991
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 1: because I believe the graphic is built for three legs.

992
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,880
Speaker 2: But you know, it's the Super Bowl.

993
00:50:47,000 --> 00:50:49,640
Speaker 5: So we'll go back to the turnovers.

994
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:51,560
Speaker 4: Okay, so what do we wint?

995
00:50:52,600 --> 00:50:55,000
Speaker 1: Well, so the other the other option, would we rather

996
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:58,239
Speaker 1: have each quarterback to throw at least one pick or

997
00:50:58,280 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 1: would we rather.

998
00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:00,879
Speaker 2: Have let's do and a half?

999
00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:02,600
Speaker 4: What does that change it?

1000
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:02,839
Speaker 2: Two?

1001
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:10,360
Speaker 1: I just xed out of this. I'm gonna sorry, don't worry.

1002
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:12,719
Speaker 1: We can find this very quickly. Here we go over

1003
00:51:12,760 --> 00:51:14,720
Speaker 1: two and a half. We are going to X out

1004
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:16,719
Speaker 1: of the interceptions.

1005
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:22,719
Speaker 8: Yeah for us saying this isn't a high profile game,

1006
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:23,920
Speaker 8: we're sure treating it like it.

1007
00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 2: It is very true.

1008
00:51:25,200 --> 00:51:26,719
Speaker 4: It's just like every other football game.

1009
00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:33,200
Speaker 1: Evan, Ah, not sgpe able. Okay, Wow, we're all right.

1010
00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 1: We're wrapping this podcast on this. We're going to stick

1011
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 1: to three.

1012
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:39,680
Speaker 2: Let's pick. Let's now decide.

1013
00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:41,880
Speaker 1: This will be the next vote, last vote before the

1014
00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:45,239
Speaker 1: end of the episode, Sam Darnald or Drake May who

1015
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:49,320
Speaker 1: is more likely back to the original question from Kendrick Middleton,

1016
00:51:49,320 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 1: who's more likely to throw an?

1017
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:51,880
Speaker 2: I n T.

1018
00:51:52,760 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 7: I think it's Darnald, stucky Evan, Uh, Well, let's thought

1019
00:51:59,680 --> 00:52:00,640
Speaker 7: that this would.

1020
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:02,120
Speaker 4: Be the one that put people in a blender.

1021
00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:06,440
Speaker 6: It's for our for our bet, you want Donald do

1022
00:52:06,600 --> 00:52:07,080
Speaker 6: do it right?

1023
00:52:07,160 --> 00:52:09,719
Speaker 5: Yeah? For our bet, we want Donald. Well, that's but

1024
00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:11,560
Speaker 5: that's gonna that's only gonna be like three to one

1025
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:13,959
Speaker 5: now because it's correlated. I assume.

1026
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, plus that one is plus three forty five. If

1027
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:23,000
Speaker 1: you go Drake May, it's plus five twenty five, So

1028
00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:26,279
Speaker 1: Drake May, all right, there we go. Our two Kings

1029
00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:29,879
Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay in a roundabout way has been

1030
00:52:30,719 --> 00:52:34,960
Speaker 1: nominated four plus receptions for Hunter Henry Patriots plus four

1031
00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:37,840
Speaker 1: and a half. Drake May throws at least one I

1032
00:52:38,239 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 1: n T plus five twenty five over on Draft Kings

1033
00:52:42,160 --> 00:52:46,560
Speaker 1: where the crown is yours. That'll do it for our

1034
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:50,600
Speaker 1: episodes plural over the course of the last couple of weeks.

1035
00:52:50,640 --> 00:52:54,240
Speaker 1: Special thanks to everybody involved, our producers as well, Gifford Gould,

1036
00:52:54,680 --> 00:52:58,200
Speaker 1: David Payne, our statsound, Evan Abrams. Thank you all for

1037
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:01,560
Speaker 1: listening all season long. Doing the show has been an

1038
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:05,200
Speaker 1: absolute joy. But we're not going anywhere. The Favorites will

1039
00:53:05,200 --> 00:53:08,680
Speaker 1: return next Tuesday as we get you prepped for the

1040
00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:11,120
Speaker 1: off season, and as always, you can catch it right

1041
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:14,120
Speaker 1: here on the Action Network YouTube page and wherever you

1042
00:53:14,200 --> 00:53:17,160
Speaker 1: download your favorite podcast. Thanks for hanging out, enjoy the

1043
00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:18,840
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, and we'll see you next time here on

1044
00:53:18,880 --> 00:53:25,960
Speaker 1: the Favorites presented by Drafting.

1045
00:53:31,560 --> 00:53:36,080
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if you or

1046
00:53:36,120 --> 00:53:38,920
Speaker 4: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is

1047
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:42,040
Speaker 4: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler