1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:12,640 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Day ba Q, a podcast available 3 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 2: every morning on Apple, Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Tuesday, 4 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 2: the seventeenth of June in London. I'm Caroline Hepke. 5 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 3: And I'm Stephen Carroll. 6 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: Coming up today, the US President tells people to evacuate 7 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: Tehran as he leaves the G seven summit early. 8 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 2: The US and UK finalize their tariff cutting agreement, as 9 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 2: the White House finds other pacts more elusive. 10 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: Plus Billionaire insights Citadel Fender, Ken Griffin on Trump, Harvard, 11 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 1: amateur investors, and the Sweet Treaty turns to to keep 12 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 1: his cool. 13 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:43,839 Speaker 2: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 14 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: US President Donald Trump has left the G seven leader 15 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: summit in Canada early hours after he called for the 16 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 1: evacuation of Iran's capital, Tehran. Trump's change of plans was 17 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: announced about an hour after he urged Iran's leadership to 18 00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 1: sign a deal to limit its nuclear program and Israel 19 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:04,320 Speaker 1: signaled strikes would continue. White House Press Secretary Carlin Levitt 20 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:07,200 Speaker 1: said Trump was leaving for Washington due to what's going. 21 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:08,039 Speaker 3: On in the Middle East. 22 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:11,119 Speaker 1: The latest news comes after the US President said Iran 23 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 1: wants to talk about de escalating the conflict with Israel. 24 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 3: I gave hern. 25 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 4: Sixty days and they said no. And the sixty first 26 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 4: year saw what happened day sixty one. So I'm in 27 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 4: constant touch, And as I've been saying, I think a 28 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 4: deal will be signed or something will happen, but a 29 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 4: deal will be signed, and I think Iran is foolish 30 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 4: not to sign. 31 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: One, the US President speaking there before he departed the 32 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: G seven. As the conflict shows no sign of letting up, 33 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 1: Iran fired several waves of drones and missiles over the 34 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: last twenty four hours, while Israel continued hitting Tehran, killing 35 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: one more senior military official and setting the state television 36 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 1: complex ablaze with a strike during a live broadcast. Israeli 37 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: officials have said their forces have taken can control over 38 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: much of Iranian airspace and severely damaged key facilities used 39 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:09,079 Speaker 1: in Iran's missile and nuclear programs since the assault was 40 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 1: launched on Friday. 41 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 2: Israeli politician Ron Dermer, who is a member of the 42 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 2: Israeli cabinet and former ambassador to the United States, says 43 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 2: that Israel will continue its military operations against Iran's missile 44 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 2: and nuclear programs, regardless of any potential US Iran negotiations. 45 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 2: Derma spoke to Bloomberg's Balance of Power podcast. 46 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 5: And the President told the Prime minister, look, he wants 47 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:34,919 Speaker 5: to give Iran a last chance to see if we 48 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 5: can reach a deal. But what were the outlines of 49 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 5: that deal is that Iran was going to have to 50 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,520 Speaker 5: dismantle its military nuclear capability. That's what was put on 51 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 5: the table. And the President has been very clear about 52 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 5: this from the beginning. That's just the beginning of his presidency. 53 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 5: He's been saying this for years. Iran must never have 54 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 5: a nuclear weapon. 55 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 2: Ron Dermer speaking there on Bloomberg's Balance of Power, as 56 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 2: the price of oil gained once again on the latest 57 00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 2: development brand crude, advancing as much as two point two 58 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 2: percent before easing back. The market remains focused on the 59 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 2: straight of Horn moves and any sign that Tehran may 60 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 2: seek to disrupt crude flows through the waterway, where about 61 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 2: a fifth of the world's daily output passes. 62 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: The UK Prime Minister Kiir Starmer and US President Donald 63 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 1: Trump have agreed a deal to implement their tariff cutting 64 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: agreement announced last month. British car exports WI see American 65 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: tariff slash to ten percent later this month on an 66 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 1: annual quota of one hundred thousand vehicles. That'll also be 67 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 1: reciprocal access to thirteen thousand metric tons of beef for 68 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: both US and British farmers, though the UK says any 69 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: imports will need to meet its food safety standards. Here's 70 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: the moment they signed off on the deal at the 71 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 1: G seven summit. 72 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:44,400 Speaker 4: This is a very good day for both of our 73 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 4: country as a real signum strength. 74 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 6: So thank you again, Donald. 75 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 3: A really important day for both. 76 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 4: Of us, great people, great people. 77 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 5: Thanks. 78 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 1: Aerospace and steel exemptions are also in the deal, although 79 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 1: a quota on UK steel tariffs will be decided at 80 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: a later date. Kirs Starmer will sell the deal as 81 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: a vindication of his diplomatic approach to the US President. 82 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 2: Japan and the United States, though failed to reach a 83 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 2: trade agreement at that summit. Japan's Prime Minister should go issue, 84 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 2: but hold reporters the two sides were still not on 85 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 2: the same page. Both countries had been talking up the 86 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 2: chances of a breakthrough at the summit, with Karrs being 87 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:24,320 Speaker 2: the focus for negotiators The lack of an agreement leaves 88 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:27,919 Speaker 2: Japan closer to a possible recession as the pain of 89 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:29,920 Speaker 2: US tariffs hits the economy. 90 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,719 Speaker 1: The Bank of Japan has held interest rates steady and 91 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 1: revealed plans for a slower bond market withdrawal next year. 92 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,480 Speaker 1: The Center Bank's board kept its benchmark policy rate at 93 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 1: zero point five percent following a two day meeting. Policymakers 94 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 1: also shared intentions to ease the pace at which monthly 95 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 1: bond purchases are trenmed to quarterly reductions of two hundred 96 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:54,119 Speaker 1: billion yen from the current four hundred billion. The moves 97 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 1: are a sign of caution following heightened market volatility. 98 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 2: A damning report into group based child sexual exploitation in 99 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 2: England and Wales has found that the ethnicity of people 100 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:09,360 Speaker 2: involved in grooming gangs has been quote shied away from 101 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 2: and not recorded in two thirds of cases. Baroness Louise 102 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 2: Casey delivered a rapid review for the UK government, which 103 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,599 Speaker 2: has accepted all her recommendations and has agreed to a 104 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 2: national inquiry. Casey spoke to a number of media organizations 105 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 2: about her frustrations, including to the BBC. Some of the 106 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 2: serious case reviews they rarely talk about the perpetrators. They 107 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 2: certainly don't talk about the ethnicity of the perpetration. Yeah, 108 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 2: you felt more and more frustrated, and I thought, well, sod. 109 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 6: This, frankly, baroness. 110 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 2: Casey's report also found that for three local police forces, 111 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 2: there was enough evidence to show a quote disproportionate number 112 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 2: of men from Asian ethnic backgrounds among suspects. In these 113 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 2: types of cases, The report concludes ignorance and a fear 114 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 2: of being seen as racist meant that organization's tasked with 115 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 2: protecting children turned up blind eye to abuse. Casey makes 116 00:06:02,440 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 2: a series of recommendations, particularly to improve data collection and 117 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 2: toughen the penalties for perpetrators. 118 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: Citadel founder Ken Griffin has praised the Trump administration for 119 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:19,680 Speaker 1: pushing back against cultural dynamics he believes have divided America. 120 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:23,039 Speaker 1: In a wide ranging interview on Bloomberg's new show Bullish, 121 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 1: hosted by Shanali Bassak, the major Republican donor shared his 122 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:31,160 Speaker 1: views on President Trump and his alma mater, Harvard's university. 123 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 3: Look. 124 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 7: I think what had happened at Harvard, which was the 125 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 7: rise of Wokism, a focus away from traditional values in education. 126 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:46,320 Speaker 7: The emergence of a cancel culture. The anti Semitism that 127 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,359 Speaker 7: we witness a campus was part of a larger dynamic 128 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 7: that was gripping America culture. And I think one of 129 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:57,040 Speaker 7: the great parts of the Trump administration has been the 130 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 7: pushback on Wokism, on some of the culture dynamics I 131 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 7: think really poorized as US as a nation. 132 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 1: Griffin's comments come as a US federal judge says Harvard 133 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: is likely to prove it would suffer a reparable harm 134 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 1: if the government is able to proceed with plans to 135 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 1: block international students from attending the university. Regarding the Trump 136 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 1: administration's approach to policy, the Citadel founders said that while 137 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 1: on many fronts the President has done a spectacular job, 138 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 1: it's still too early to grade him on economic policy. 139 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 2: Well, those are our top stories for you this morning. 140 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 2: In a moment, we'll bring you more on what's been 141 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 2: said at the G seven on the Middle East and 142 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 2: on trade and what's happening indeed in the Iran is 143 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 2: Well conflict too. 144 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 1: Well, I wanted to bring you a little bit more 145 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 1: of that conversation between Shnali bask and Ken Griffin, and 146 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 1: a moment that perhaps some of us can identify with let's. 147 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 6: Listen in what does Ken Griffin look like under pressure? 148 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 3: Right on your toughest day? 149 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 8: How do you let off steam and how do you 150 00:07:57,840 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 8: navigate a tough time. 151 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 7: A scroup of anil chip ice cream from Hagenda's with 152 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 7: hot fudge. 153 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 3: Seriously? 154 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:09,840 Speaker 7: Oh yes, yes, no, there's a bit of a joke 155 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 7: that you can tell how stress al spent by how 156 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 7: much my waistlines grown over the last few months. And 157 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 7: one of my colleagues his waistline goes in exactly the 158 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 7: opposite direction. So there you go, love the hagen DAW's 159 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 7: vinold ship with hot fudge on that stressful day. 160 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: So Ken Griffin there speaking to Shnali bask about how 161 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 1: he copes with stressful situations. Ken Griffin, I should remind you, 162 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:32,440 Speaker 1: according to Boomberg's Billionaire's List, has a networth of over 163 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 1: forty eight billion dollars. Wow, and yet he still goes 164 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:36,320 Speaker 1: for the ice cream. 165 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 5: Yeah. 166 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 2: Look, I thought it was really nice. It was a 167 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 2: lovely moment that you've highlighted, Stephen, because it does. It 168 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 2: brings to the full You know how people deal with stress, 169 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 2: They deal with stress in very different ways. 170 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 6: Yeah, there's not. 171 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: Some magic formula that I wasn't aware of that if 172 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 1: you had essentially infinite money that you couldn't there wouldn't 173 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:57,559 Speaker 1: be something else that would be much much more effective. 174 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 1: So at least it's comforting to know that there isn't 175 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 1: an option out there that we didn't know about beforehand. 176 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:04,679 Speaker 2: But yeah, it was a great question though to how 177 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 2: to deal with stress on very very busy days. You can, 178 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 2: of course see the extended interview. It's on our New 179 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 2: Bullish program at Shanali Bassek interviewing Ken Griffin. It's on 180 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 2: Bloomberg dot com, and you can also tune in to 181 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 2: New Bullish episodes on Bloomberg TV on Tuesdays at six pm. 182 00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:24,839 Speaker 1: On the markets, this morning, the Mscish Pacific Index is 183 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: up by a tenth of one percent. We're looking at 184 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: the Japanese yen a tenth of one percent weeker this 185 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: morning after the Bank of Japan decisions. One hundred and 186 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,319 Speaker 1: forty four to fifty six is where that's trading amid 187 00:09:34,320 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 1: a touch of dollar weakness as well. On European stock futures, 188 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 1: they're pointing lower down six tenths of one percent for 189 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 1: eurostocks fifty after the games that we saw in those 190 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 1: markets yesterday, and futures on Wall Street are in the 191 00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 1: red as well, down four tenths for smp EM and 192 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: E's this morning, as Nasdak futures are four tenths of 193 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:50,880 Speaker 1: one percent lower as well. 194 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 2: So those are the markets. Now, let's bring you up 195 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 2: to date on the latest developments in the Middle East 196 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 2: after President Trump warned that people should evacuate the Iranian capital. 197 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 2: Middle East Managing editor Honor And joins us Now for 198 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 2: more on a good morning in terms of the latest 199 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 2: from Israel and Iran this morning, what do we know 200 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:10,720 Speaker 2: about the conflict now? 201 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:14,319 Speaker 9: The conflict is now in its fifth day and both 202 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 9: parties continue to exchange fire, with the Iranian side relying 203 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 9: on long range missile Barajas like it has since the 204 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 9: beginning of the conflict last Friday, whereas Israel seems to 205 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 9: have focused at least some of its firepower in the 206 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 9: Iranian capital Tehran. In the meantime, we have also seen 207 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:40,439 Speaker 9: that US President Donald Trump way in on the conflict 208 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 9: more heavily than he has over the weekend. He was 209 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 9: in Canadian Rockies at the G seven meeting, where he 210 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 9: first said that he would have to leave, and he 211 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:54,319 Speaker 9: did hastily so, saying that he would have to attend 212 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 9: to the Middle East matter, saying that he would like 213 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 9: to see a peace, but he still kept vague stands 214 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 9: on what is next for the US in terms of 215 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 9: this latest war in our region. 216 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 1: We've paid a lot of attention to this comment where 217 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,079 Speaker 1: President Trump, in his social media. 218 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 3: Post called for people to leave Tehran. 219 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: Was that thought to be a warning about something in 220 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 1: particular from the US president? 221 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,559 Speaker 9: It was thought to be so, but obviously we don't 222 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:23,680 Speaker 9: actually know whether or not he was in particular aware 223 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 9: of any upcoming attack on Tehran. Having said that, that 224 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 9: tweet alone or those social media posts alone, had a 225 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 9: huge impact. We have seen videos of traffic jams in 226 00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:39,560 Speaker 9: Tehran as people tried to leave now. To be fair, though, 227 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:43,559 Speaker 9: there were similar warnings from various Israeli officials throughout the 228 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 9: day before Trump's social media posts, so it is possible 229 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 9: that both those and Trump's comments themselves may have affected 230 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 9: people's thoughts, and some of them obviously felt obliged to 231 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:57,200 Speaker 9: leave the capital as soon as possible. 232 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:02,439 Speaker 2: The G seven state and talks about Iran is the 233 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 2: principal source of regional instability. And terror, while also reiterating 234 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:10,319 Speaker 2: support for the security of Israel. Are there any hopes 235 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 2: for talks or any hopes for de escalation in this fight? 236 00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 9: This is really the most tricky part. Since the conflict 237 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 9: began last week, we have seen Trump immediately dangle two 238 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:29,440 Speaker 9: different outcomes for the administration in Iran. On the one hand, 239 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:33,959 Speaker 9: he has been pushing them to reach a quick nuclear 240 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 9: deal to curb Iran's nuclear activities on the one hand, 241 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 9: but on the other he kept this vague stance on 242 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 9: whether or not he will support Israel in this offensive 243 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:51,560 Speaker 9: against Iran and what exactly might happen to Iran itself. 244 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 9: He made comments suggesting really crippling Israeli military action targeting 245 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 9: nuclear and military sites in Tehran. So he's been trying 246 00:12:59,920 --> 00:13:03,319 Speaker 9: to show to Iran that a, on the one hand, 247 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 9: the US is open to a diplomatic solution, and b 248 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 9: on the other hand, if that doesn't work out, something 249 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 9: terrible will happen in Iran. And his most recent comments 250 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 9: while he was still in Canada on Monday, suggests that 251 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 9: there is there are efforts on the way to bring 252 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:26,040 Speaker 9: is Iranian and American officials together, possibly the reign and 253 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 9: foreign Minister Arakchi and US Special Envoy to the Region 254 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:34,559 Speaker 9: Witkov later this week, according to a report by Axios 255 00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 9: earlier this morning. But all of this is highly uncertain, 256 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:42,480 Speaker 9: and it looks though that missus Trump is keeping both 257 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 9: avenues open. On the one hand, yes, he is pushing 258 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 9: for a diplomatic solution. On the other hand, the US 259 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:52,640 Speaker 9: is moving an aircraft carrier group to the region, which 260 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 9: is never a good sign. And basically, yeah, the US 261 00:13:56,200 --> 00:13:58,840 Speaker 9: is keeping it vague whether or not it will intervene. 262 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 9: It might intervene this war on the side of this release. 263 00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:04,600 Speaker 3: Okay, all around our metalleas managing editor. 264 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 2: Well, the statement from the G seven was agreed after 265 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 2: President Trump announced that he'd be leaving the meeting in 266 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 2: Canada early to return to Washington. That means that some 267 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 2: leaders hoping for a chance to talk about trade were 268 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 2: left disappointed, but President Trump announced progress on implementing the 269 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 2: tariff deal with the UK. Our correspondent Oliver Crook has 270 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 2: been monitoring developments for US and he joins US now. 271 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 2: Good morning, Oliver. So the UK was the first country 272 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 2: to get a deal with the Trump White House so 273 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 2: lower tariffs last month. What did Trump and Kis Starmer 274 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:36,440 Speaker 2: agree to in Canada. 275 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 6: Yeah, good morning, Caroline. 276 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 8: This is broadly sort of an implementation of the framework 277 00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 8: that we had announced a little while ago between the 278 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 8: UK and the United States, and as you say, the 279 00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 8: first of what we've been promised of many many, many 280 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 8: trade deals that are supposed to be coming over the 281 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 8: next couple of weeks, but one that has taken, you know, 282 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 8: a little bit of time to actually get over the line. 283 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 8: You know, they had this, they showed this sort of 284 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 8: folder and they showed them kind of this agreement that 285 00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:01,400 Speaker 8: they put together, and it basically includes measures on many 286 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 8: of the things we've talked about throughout this sort of 287 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 8: tariff war about cars, agriculture, excuse me, agricultural products, and 288 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 8: you know, for one of the things, it's interesting because 289 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 8: the United you know, the UK, and it's auto exports 290 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 8: for example. Though, so that tariff came down from about 291 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 8: thirty percent twenty seven and a half percent down to 292 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 8: ten percent. They're also going to be adding quotas of 293 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 8: about one hundred thousand vehicles to export into the United States. 294 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 8: There were also some things struck on aluminum and steel. 295 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 8: It's a little bit less clear what was struck there 296 00:15:31,520 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 8: because it's a little bit more complicated. They want the 297 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 8: US to implement some guarantees in terms of securing the 298 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 8: supply chain because of course the US government, the UK 299 00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:42,440 Speaker 8: government controls are British steal but its legal. 300 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 6: Owner is Chinese. 301 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 8: We should say that this is at a time when 302 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 8: the Trump administration itself just to prove the acquisition of 303 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 8: US steal by a Japanese group, albeit with some sort 304 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 8: of caveats and important things there. But I think that 305 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 8: really the big puiketure here when you take a step back, remember, 306 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 8: the UK is arguably one of the countries that poses 307 00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 8: the sort of small all his trade threat. 308 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 6: To the United States. 309 00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 8: It was one of the only nations that had a 310 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 8: deficit with the United States. So it's maybe not that 311 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 8: impressive that this is the deal that got signed while 312 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 8: all the others are still sort of waiting, when by 313 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 8: sort of Trump standards, you know, the United States is 314 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 8: already taking advantage of the United Kingdom. If you basically, 315 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,560 Speaker 8: you know, accept the Trump logic, the trade surplus means 316 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 8: you're taking advantage of the other This is the lowest 317 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 8: hanging fruit, and it's taken a little while to get 318 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 8: over the line. 319 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 3: Oliver. 320 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: We had been discussing Donald Trump's early departure from the 321 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 1: g SAVNA and a post on social media now saying 322 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 1: that he has, I suppose added to some of the 323 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 1: commentary that's come both from the White House but other 324 00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 1: world leaders as well, that perhaps he was returning to 325 00:16:39,800 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 1: Washington to make progress on efforts in the Middle East, 326 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: and his post on social media says that that's wrong. 327 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,320 Speaker 1: He says that he's not going back to work on 328 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 1: a ceasefire in Washington. He says it's much bigger than that, 329 00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:54,680 Speaker 1: and he's taken a bit of a job at Emmanuel 330 00:16:54,680 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 1: Macro and the French president for suggesting that the departure 331 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 1: was to do with working on a ceasefire in the 332 00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:04,000 Speaker 1: Middle East. So that's perhaps some more information for those 333 00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 1: leaders who were left disappointed by the fact that they 334 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:10,159 Speaker 1: didn't get a chance to meet Donald Trump at this event, 335 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 1: because many had been hoping to talk to him about trade. 336 00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, I think that if we've learned anything 337 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 8: about Donald Trump, it's probably better not to speak for him, 338 00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:20,000 Speaker 8: otherwise you will get corrected and maybe you know a 339 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:21,880 Speaker 8: lot worse. But as you say, you know, I mean, 340 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 8: these G seven formats theoretically are a sort of form 341 00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 8: for collective action by like minded Western developed nations in 342 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:33,800 Speaker 8: order to try to bring economic, military, social political stability 343 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:36,239 Speaker 8: across the globe. And this is not a moment in 344 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,919 Speaker 8: which a year is any sort of collective action that 345 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 8: is being led by the United States, because this is 346 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:44,320 Speaker 8: a system in which that you know, the Trump administration 347 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 8: fundamentally does not believe in. And it is a time 348 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 8: when you went into the meeting with a highly tense 349 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,159 Speaker 8: situation in Iran, in Iran. 350 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 6: In Israel, and you leave with an even more explosive one. 351 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 8: So all of those, I would say, are kind of 352 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 8: failures to the architecture of the G seven. What it 353 00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 8: did provide theoretically was an opportunity for a lot of 354 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:04,119 Speaker 8: bilateral meetings with the Trump administration. With Donald Trump himself, 355 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,800 Speaker 8: we understand he met with Emmanuel Macon, Keir Starmer, We 356 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:09,480 Speaker 8: saw Ursua, Lavanderline, Georgia Maloney. 357 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:11,920 Speaker 6: He had been scheduled to meet with Frederick Mertz. 358 00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:13,919 Speaker 8: But at this point, you know, there was not a 359 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:15,919 Speaker 8: great deal of progress, it seems, made on any of 360 00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:18,560 Speaker 8: the other sort of trade fronts, certainly with the European Union. 361 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,479 Speaker 8: I think that it has sort of been accepted by 362 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:23,919 Speaker 8: the Trump administration and maybe the Europeans that they're kind 363 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 8: of last in line in terms of getting a negotiation. 364 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 8: You know, we heard from Howard Lutnik last week saying 365 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:30,679 Speaker 8: that he's optimistic that a deal could get there, but 366 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 8: basically that the Europeans will be the very the very last, 367 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 8: because of course, this is an enormous trading relationship worth 368 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:39,320 Speaker 8: more than a trillion dollars, So for the Europeans and 369 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 8: the United States, it's both fundamentally important that they get 370 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 8: it right. That being said, we are counting down to 371 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:48,880 Speaker 8: that deadline for the European Union to strike some kind 372 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 8: of deal July the ninth, at which point, basically the 373 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:54,920 Speaker 8: United States would put up fifty percent tariffs on the EU. 374 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 8: The EU has said that they're committed to hitting that target, 375 00:18:58,119 --> 00:18:59,880 Speaker 8: but you know, from our reporting, we may not get 376 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,000 Speaker 8: kind of final deal there. We may see the same 377 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 8: structure that we start from the UK, a broad framework 378 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 8: that basically buys from more time because this is going 379 00:19:06,600 --> 00:19:07,879 Speaker 8: to be a complex negotiation. 380 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,119 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 381 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 382 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning on Apple, Spotify, 383 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 384 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 385 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,359 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 386 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,160 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 387 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:34,879 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 388 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,200 Speaker 3: I'm Caroline Hepka and I'm Stephen Carroll. 389 00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 1: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 390 00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:42,320 Speaker 1: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg day 391 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 1: Break Europe