WEBVTT - Benny vs The Penny, Round 8 0:00:01.440 --> 0:00:10.559 Three to one. Welcome players, You're welcome. It's time now 0:00:11.400 --> 0:00:16.680 Benny Penny. Then it is hope you're having a great weekend. 0:00:17.000 --> 0:00:20.920 And Benny versus the Penny where we talk about dogs 0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:25.000 and favorite chalk and no chalk, we give advice on 0:00:25.040 --> 0:00:29.920 the gambling market. For this particular reason, weekend rather and 0:00:30.200 --> 0:00:32.760 it's week eight now in the NFL, So we'll talk 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:34.800 about all the games coming up on Sunday and Monday. 0:00:34.880 --> 0:00:37.239 We will not talk about the Redskins and Vikings game 0:00:37.280 --> 0:00:38.800 which was played on Thursday night, if you want to 0:00:38.800 --> 0:00:42.080 call that a game. And uh Ravens and Cowboys are 0:00:42.080 --> 0:00:45.680 not playing this weekend, So no bashing of Dakota Prescott 0:00:45.800 --> 0:00:49.279 or Lamar Jackson. We don't have that. But before we 0:00:49.320 --> 0:00:52.600 look ahead, we must look back. Now. I will be 0:00:52.720 --> 0:00:58.960 giving you marginal handicapping advice on these games. And before 0:00:58.960 --> 0:01:00.840 we look back, I just want to tell you that 0:01:00.880 --> 0:01:03.360 the way I in my head that this is supposed 0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:05.880 to work. Just so you understand, if you're a new 0:01:05.959 --> 0:01:09.440 listener and don't go falling down a rabbit hole, I'm 0:01:09.440 --> 0:01:12.640 gonna handicap each game. You shouldn't just bet blindly every 0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:15.360 one of these games. That I like, but if you 0:01:15.480 --> 0:01:17.840 have an opinion on a game and I agree with you, 0:01:17.959 --> 0:01:20.240 then I would say, well, that's probably something you should 0:01:20.280 --> 0:01:22.240 go with. That's probably something you should go because we 0:01:22.280 --> 0:01:24.280 agree on that. So that's how I would advise you 0:01:24.280 --> 0:01:26.039 to handle this, and and that's that's the best way 0:01:26.080 --> 0:01:28.200 to do it. And if you win a lot of money, 0:01:28.240 --> 0:01:30.240 send us a little bit because as we we know, 0:01:30.680 --> 0:01:34.040 David Gascon at the craps table or playing cards, you 0:01:34.200 --> 0:01:36.640 you got a little taste, right, a little taste. Yeah, 0:01:36.800 --> 0:01:39.199 I'm more so of a craps guy, but black chack. 0:01:39.440 --> 0:01:41.600 If if I'm hot with a dealer and I'm only 0:01:41.640 --> 0:01:44.720 heads up, I will tip out no matter what. It's 0:01:44.720 --> 0:01:47.279 always questionable when people are on first or second base. 0:01:47.400 --> 0:01:50.920 But yeah, man, let's do this thing. Right. You've been 0:01:51.560 --> 0:01:55.320 You've been close to white hot as one can be. 0:01:56.320 --> 0:01:59.560 It's we're now a week eight, but you've had your 0:01:59.560 --> 0:02:03.760 plus five hundred every week except for one, I believe. Yeah, Yeah, 0:02:03.840 --> 0:02:06.919 I've been good. I mean I'm waiting for that apocalyptic 0:02:06.960 --> 0:02:10.480 weekend where I go all right like that everybody else. 0:02:10.720 --> 0:02:12.760 I know I will funk everyone over if I do that. 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:15.440 But I I mean, this is unrelievable. But we've made 0:02:15.440 --> 0:02:17.440 it almost to the midway point of the season. And 0:02:17.480 --> 0:02:22.760 I normally practice strategic incompetence, but I've had no malpractice 0:02:22.840 --> 0:02:26.079 picking these games so far. It's crazy. It's wild. Has 0:02:26.120 --> 0:02:28.720 this been the best you've ever been since starting Benny 0:02:28.800 --> 0:02:31.520 versus A Penny? I mean you've asked that before. I don't. 0:02:31.720 --> 0:02:34.880 I try to forget every year, you know, and every show. Um, 0:02:34.960 --> 0:02:38.840 but I would say, yes, this is the most sustained 0:02:38.880 --> 0:02:42.519 success that I have had. Um. And I'm not blowing smoke. 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:45.079 It is. It's wild, this is a dream. This is 0:02:45.120 --> 0:02:48.320 actually this like sage advice I'm giving out here. It 0:02:48.480 --> 0:02:53.720 is right. I mean, I mean, I'm not I'm not bullshit, 0:02:53.800 --> 0:02:55.840 and I mean this is I I uh, you know, 0:02:55.880 --> 0:03:00.359 intelligent advice from a wise experienced person like myself. Let's 0:03:00.360 --> 0:03:02.400 get to work. So I was ten and four last week, right, 0:03:02.400 --> 0:03:05.520 ten and four again, that's a seven fourteen winning percentage 0:03:05.560 --> 0:03:07.880 if you bet every game. Let's get to it. The 0:03:07.919 --> 0:03:10.680 New York Giants two and five at the Detroit Lions 0:03:10.680 --> 0:03:13.960 to three and one. It's on Fox. You better watch 0:03:14.040 --> 0:03:17.280 with Kenny Albert and Charles Davis, one of the voices 0:03:17.280 --> 0:03:20.120 of Madden Football. Doesn't it seem that Kenny Albert does 0:03:20.160 --> 0:03:23.160 either a Giants or a Jets game every weekend? Yeah, 0:03:23.200 --> 0:03:25.400 it does. And he mixes in a little hockey and 0:03:25.440 --> 0:03:27.959 a little baseball too, so well, he's the only guy 0:03:28.000 --> 0:03:32.200 that does every major professional sport in America. Yeah, and 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:35.680 he does boxing, which is great. And uh, I think 0:03:35.720 --> 0:03:37.240 the only thing I haven't heard him on his tennis. 0:03:37.520 --> 0:03:39.760 And he's a Mallard militia guy. So I liked it. 0:03:39.800 --> 0:03:41.880 We need he doesn't like you. Wow, I need to 0:03:41.880 --> 0:03:44.440 meet him first of all, then he'll definitely not like you. 0:03:45.120 --> 0:03:47.560 The Lions open a seven and a point favorite. They 0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:49.760 are currently a six and a point favorite. Will be 0:03:49.800 --> 0:03:52.760 mostly cloudy in Detroit fifty seven degrees, but it's a 0:03:52.840 --> 0:03:56.600 dome at Ford Field. I'm gonna take the Lions in 0:03:56.680 --> 0:03:59.840 this game. And I don't generally lean towards the favorite. 0:04:00.240 --> 0:04:03.120 This is a good spot. They say that styles make fights, 0:04:03.120 --> 0:04:07.640 and this is a huge mismatch Stylistically, the Lions what 0:04:07.680 --> 0:04:10.880 do they do? They throw the ball deep with Matthew Stafford. 0:04:10.960 --> 0:04:13.680 The Giants what do they do? They don't defend the 0:04:13.720 --> 0:04:17.880 big pass. They don't Matthew Stafford is second in deep 0:04:17.920 --> 0:04:22.400 passing attempts. He's seventh in air yards. The Giants on 0:04:22.440 --> 0:04:27.680 the other side are out of thirty two in stopping 0:04:27.760 --> 0:04:31.920 deep passes. You know what, that is a mismatch situation. Meanwhile, 0:04:32.400 --> 0:04:35.520 you've got the growing pains of Daniel Jones trying to 0:04:35.600 --> 0:04:38.359 keep up with the Jones Jones is he was sacked 0:04:38.400 --> 0:04:43.080 eight times last week against the Cardinals. Cardinals, and since 0:04:43.120 --> 0:04:45.160 taking over as a starter in Week three, he has 0:04:45.240 --> 0:04:47.919 taken eighteen sacks. That's tied with Joe Flacco for the 0:04:47.960 --> 0:04:50.279 second most in the NFL. So I'm saying, even the 0:04:50.320 --> 0:04:53.120 Lions defense is not very good, it's still gonna have 0:04:53.120 --> 0:04:57.719 an opportunity to mess around with Daniel Jones. And and 0:04:57.720 --> 0:05:00.680 suddenly the Lions have played the toughest edule in the 0:05:00.839 --> 0:05:02.800 NFL so far. Do you know that they played the 0:05:02.800 --> 0:05:07.040 toughest schedule in the NFL? Packers and Vikings and whatnot, 0:05:07.160 --> 0:05:09.880 all these good teams. Now they get to feast on 0:05:09.920 --> 0:05:12.640 a cream puff and this is one of those get 0:05:12.720 --> 0:05:16.640 back on track games. The only concern here for me 0:05:16.960 --> 0:05:19.520 and and I did think about this and handicapped this 0:05:19.600 --> 0:05:22.120 in is the locker room destroy traded one of the 0:05:22.240 --> 0:05:25.680 more popular players to Seattle in a surprising trade, and 0:05:25.720 --> 0:05:28.800 so will we see a Dolphin like revolt where some 0:05:28.880 --> 0:05:31.520 of the other players are like, screw this organization and 0:05:31.520 --> 0:05:36.160 and in the trade deadlines next Tuesday. It shouldn't matter, though, 0:05:36.560 --> 0:05:40.479 because the Giants have been held under two seventy net 0:05:40.520 --> 0:05:45.040 yards in three straight games, first time since three and 0:05:45.120 --> 0:05:48.800 only the Jets have had a longer such streak. Even 0:05:48.800 --> 0:05:52.040 the Dolphins have been more productive than the Giants as 0:05:52.040 --> 0:05:56.240 far as that's concerned. Lions twenty four, Giants Tenure Final. 0:05:59.440 --> 0:06:02.359 I'm penny thanks to the way you're thinking going Lions 0:06:02.400 --> 0:06:04.680 all right? Next up, Tampa Bay two and four at 0:06:04.800 --> 0:06:09.400 Tennessee three and four. It's on Fox. You better watch. 0:06:09.520 --> 0:06:13.080 Kevin Coogler and Matt Millen, who has a new heart, 0:06:13.720 --> 0:06:16.680 are calling this game. The Titans open to two and 0:06:16.720 --> 0:06:18.560 a half point favorite. The line has stayed the same 0:06:18.600 --> 0:06:21.480 at two and a half and your forecast for our 0:06:21.520 --> 0:06:24.200 friend Clay Travis, who's a Titan season ticket older. At 0:06:24.240 --> 0:06:29.120 Nissan Stadium in Nashville, cloudy and gloomy and sixty degrees 0:06:29.160 --> 0:06:32.960 that kick off for Tampa and Tennessee. H Now, I'm 0:06:32.960 --> 0:06:35.840 gonna take the Titans here small favorite at home. First 0:06:35.839 --> 0:06:38.680 of all, the main wager here is against Jamis Winston, 0:06:38.960 --> 0:06:43.640 who is a mistake prone mess against even second rate defenses. 0:06:44.000 --> 0:06:46.400 The Titans have one of the top defenses in the NFL. 0:06:46.440 --> 0:06:50.080 They bring the beef Tennessee. They're filled with some monsters 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:52.960 up front and really up and down the defensive side. 0:06:52.960 --> 0:06:56.920 Their fourth in the NFL and scoring defense the Tennessee Titans, 0:06:57.400 --> 0:06:59.800 and they've allowed just sixteen points per game. This is 0:06:59.839 --> 0:07:02.880 a bad matchup for Jamis Winston, a guy that turns 0:07:02.920 --> 0:07:06.159 the ball over a lot, although sporadically he has a 0:07:06.240 --> 0:07:10.400 masterpiece mixed in now. Secondly, I don't love Ryan Tanhill. 0:07:11.160 --> 0:07:14.480 I don't even like Ryan Tanhill, but he had obviously 0:07:14.520 --> 0:07:17.360 been an upgrade over Marcus Mariota. Tells you what kind 0:07:17.360 --> 0:07:20.360 of deep dark place Mariota was in at quarterback for 0:07:20.400 --> 0:07:24.320 the Titans. In the last two games, Ryan Tannehill has 0:07:24.320 --> 0:07:26.680 completed eight of his passes. Now, one of those games 0:07:26.680 --> 0:07:28.640 he came in as the backup and then he started 0:07:28.680 --> 0:07:32.360 the last game. Uh, not that it should have mattered, 0:07:32.400 --> 0:07:35.840 because the Chargers did gag away that game. Shout out 0:07:35.880 --> 0:07:39.559 Melvin Gordon. But this week is really not even about 0:07:39.720 --> 0:07:43.640 Ryan Tannehill. It's all about Derrick Henry in the running 0:07:43.640 --> 0:07:46.360 game for the Tennessee Tits. Now, why is that Tampa 0:07:46.440 --> 0:07:50.360 Bay is allowing two point eight nine yards per Russia 0:07:50.440 --> 0:07:55.480 tempt best in the NFL, but seven point seven per 0:07:55.520 --> 0:07:58.080 passing tips, so they they're twenty one in the NFL. 0:07:58.160 --> 0:08:00.920 So there, if Henry can get through an open up 0:08:00.920 --> 0:08:04.280 the passing game, Tannehill will have an opportunity. The Buccaneers 0:08:04.400 --> 0:08:07.880 have five games this season defensively allowing thirty points or 0:08:07.920 --> 0:08:10.960 more and are still tied for the most in the NFL, 0:08:11.000 --> 0:08:13.120 even though they had to buy They're tied with the Dolphins. 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:15.880 I don't think that game will This game will be 0:08:16.480 --> 0:08:20.320 where Tennessee gets into the thirties. But they should win 0:08:20.440 --> 0:08:29.080 a workman like effort. Here Titans twenty three Buccaneers, Benny, 0:08:29.120 --> 0:08:31.960 I like this spot for you to Penny's going with 0:08:32.000 --> 0:08:34.880 the Titans. Be sure to catch live editions of The 0:08:34.880 --> 0:08:38.080 Ben Meller Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm 0:08:38.080 --> 0:08:41.679 Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio 0:08:41.760 --> 0:08:45.079 app al Right. Next up the l A Chargers of Carson, California, 0:08:45.160 --> 0:08:48.439 formerly of San Diego, that reminds me ben Y Can, 0:08:48.679 --> 0:08:51.440 because I know you do. You do some trivia during 0:08:51.480 --> 0:08:55.480 this Benny trivial, Yes you do. Can. I ask this 0:08:55.559 --> 0:08:58.840 week that I can pick the Dick Stockton game. I'm 0:08:58.880 --> 0:09:01.800 gonna find Dick stock didn't one of these games because okay, 0:09:01.880 --> 0:09:03.719 oh yeah, okay, that's good. All right. Well do you 0:09:03.760 --> 0:09:07.480 think Dick Stockton is doing this game? It's Chargers Bears. 0:09:07.640 --> 0:09:10.960 Chargers Bears. No, he's not, he is not. Uh. The 0:09:11.120 --> 0:09:14.080 l A Chargers two and five at Chicago three and three. 0:09:14.600 --> 0:09:18.240 It's on Fox. Tom Brenneman and Chris Spielman have the 0:09:18.320 --> 0:09:21.760 call and the line on this game. The Bears opened 0:09:21.800 --> 0:09:23.559 five and a half. It is now four and a 0:09:23.640 --> 0:09:25.520 half in favor of the home team. It's gonna be 0:09:25.559 --> 0:09:30.600 mostly cloudy fifty four degrees at Soldier Fields, Chicago for 0:09:30.640 --> 0:09:34.000 the kickoff. Now, I'm gonna take the Chargers in this game. 0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:35.920 I'm gonna take the charge. Now, these are two teams 0:09:36.000 --> 0:09:38.440 that can't get out of their own shadow. Here a 0:09:38.600 --> 0:09:46.280 flawed football teams, careless bungling misdeeds of football. Uh. Both 0:09:46.400 --> 0:09:49.200 these teams were supposed to be top teams in the NFL. 0:09:49.280 --> 0:09:52.880 Neither one is Uh, it's embarrassing, but I'm gonna take 0:09:52.880 --> 0:09:55.599 the Chargers. It's really more bet against the Bears. The 0:09:55.640 --> 0:09:57.760 Bears have been unable to build up any kind of 0:09:57.760 --> 0:10:01.160 head of steam here. They are a pedestrian in team, 0:10:01.280 --> 0:10:05.880 held back by the incompetence of Mitchell Trubisky and to 0:10:06.000 --> 0:10:08.040 some degree the offensive line. Although I don't blame the 0:10:08.040 --> 0:10:10.920 fat guys. I don't do fat shaming. But Chicago is 0:10:11.040 --> 0:10:14.760 sixth defensively their first and special teams according to the 0:10:14.800 --> 0:10:19.040 Advanced Statistics in the NFL twenty five and offense. And 0:10:19.120 --> 0:10:21.880 this is another opportunity you would think for the Bears 0:10:21.920 --> 0:10:24.080 to get out of the doll drums against the Charger 0:10:24.120 --> 0:10:28.880 team that's also struggling to find success. I just I 0:10:28.920 --> 0:10:32.800 don't see it, you know. And be the professional gamblers, 0:10:32.800 --> 0:10:36.000 the Whales, the Sharps, uh, they're known as the Sharps. 0:10:36.040 --> 0:10:40.240 They are loading up on the Chargers, and so again 0:10:40.240 --> 0:10:42.920 I'm more going against the Bears. I'm also writing the 0:10:42.920 --> 0:10:45.520 big time gamblers here. A loss in this game would 0:10:45.600 --> 0:10:49.240 leave the Bolts with a winless October that has not 0:10:49.400 --> 0:10:52.960 happened since two thousand when they were one. In fifteen, 0:10:53.000 --> 0:10:56.839 I believe Ryan Leaf was the quarterback at that time, 0:10:56.960 --> 0:11:01.160 and so the Charges are entering a saviors season situation. 0:11:01.240 --> 0:11:03.839 The Bears are also in that spot because they're in 0:11:03.880 --> 0:11:06.880 the NFC and in the division with the Vikings and 0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:10.040 the Green Bay Packers, so they're in a uh, pretty 0:11:10.600 --> 0:11:13.600 difficult situation right now. L A is the thirteenth seed 0:11:13.640 --> 0:11:16.480 in the a f C, only the top six get in. 0:11:16.600 --> 0:11:18.880 They got a shot still, though it's not over for 0:11:18.920 --> 0:11:21.120 the Chargers, even though the eyeball test says they have 0:11:21.160 --> 0:11:24.760 no chance. Houston is the last team in the playoffs 0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:26.640 right now in the a f C. There four and three. 0:11:27.080 --> 0:11:29.640 The Chargers are two and five, so there are already 0:11:29.640 --> 0:11:32.200 two games back in the lost column and really three 0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:35.360 games back of Houston because they lost head to head 0:11:35.880 --> 0:11:39.559 to the Houston Texans. But this is a very workable matchup. 0:11:39.600 --> 0:11:43.160 Philip Rivers historically has been great as a road underdog 0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:45.320 of three and a half or more, has got a 0:11:45.360 --> 0:11:48.760 six seventies six winning percentage in his career, and the 0:11:48.840 --> 0:11:51.760 Bears are missing their starting tackles. I believe in this 0:11:52.240 --> 0:11:54.600 or two of their offensive linemen are out in this game, 0:11:55.440 --> 0:11:58.360 and so I expect the Bears to yet again sync 0:11:58.440 --> 0:12:04.319 through the Soldier Field, Turf Chargers twenty seven, Bears twenty 0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:08.880 go on the other way on this one. Penny is 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:12.240 going with the Bears. That's Penny versus the Penny. Next up, 0:12:12.240 --> 0:12:16.560 Seattle five and two at Atlanta one in six. It's 0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:19.280 on Fox, all right, guess on go ahead? And this 0:12:19.360 --> 0:12:22.839 is not a Stockton game either, not a Dick Stockton game. 0:12:23.120 --> 0:12:26.480 You're correct. He is a Sam Rosen Rande Barber game. 0:12:27.840 --> 0:12:31.240 They've got the call. Sam does hockey too, right, doesn't 0:12:31.280 --> 0:12:33.719 do the Rangers? Does the Rangers? Yeah? So him and 0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:37.520 Kenny Albert do Rangers Devils and then they do some 0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:43.679 NBC games as well. Yeah, but Sam doesn't do baseball thing, No, 0:12:43.800 --> 0:12:46.719 he does not. Good guys said we we shta have 0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:48.880 him on the Blitz when I did that. Nice guy, 0:12:48.880 --> 0:12:53.160 all right. So anyway, Seattle Atlanta Seahawks opened at three 0:12:53.200 --> 0:12:54.880 and a half point favorite. They're still favored by three 0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:58.040 and a half. Mostly cloudy in Atlanta sixties seven at kickoff. 0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:01.200 But again, it's a dome. I believe it's a retractable rule, 0:13:01.280 --> 0:13:04.280 so it could be could be open. I'm gonna take 0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:06.280 the Seahawks here as a small road favorite. I don't 0:13:06.320 --> 0:13:08.839 really like home underdogs. I tried to find an angle 0:13:08.880 --> 0:13:11.360 for Atlantic, couldn't do it. Maybe you're a better gambler 0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:13.080 than me, and you can find an angle for Atlanta. 0:13:14.120 --> 0:13:16.719 At first glance, this point spread seemed for gazy. The 0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:20.920 Falcons just got blown out by the Rams. Matt Ryan 0:13:21.080 --> 0:13:25.280 is dinged up, and they have started to unload veteran players. 0:13:25.640 --> 0:13:29.720 They traded Mohammed Sanu to the Patriots earlier in in 0:13:29.800 --> 0:13:32.960 the week, and in the Seahawks, you know the many 0:13:32.960 --> 0:13:34.640 reasons for Like in Seattle, this is a hungry team. 0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:37.720 They coughed up a game at home to the Ravens. 0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:41.760 Something doesn't pass the smell test. Now, my theory is history. 0:13:42.280 --> 0:13:45.960 Seattle has not been a great road team. Matt Ryan 0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:50.160 has dominated head to head against some good Seattle teams. 0:13:50.160 --> 0:13:53.640 He's five and two all time, including the postseason sixteen 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.760 touchdowns foreign receptions against the Seahawks. He's really done well. 0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:00.120 No matter who's played defense for Seattle, this is not 0:14:00.160 --> 0:14:03.320 a great defensive team for the Seahawks. Now. Secondly, Russell Wilson, 0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:06.720 you would assume will be locked in the entire Seahawks 0:14:06.720 --> 0:14:08.480 team is gonna be locked in because of the loss 0:14:08.559 --> 0:14:12.600 last week. Wilson also check this out after a loss 0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:16.000 in his Seahawks career, as long as he's not favored 0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:18.480 by ten or more points, which is not here. Russell 0:14:18.520 --> 0:14:22.080 Wilson has a six eighty winning percentage against the spread 0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:25.440 the following week after a Seattle loss. That is wonderful. 0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:29.160 That is great, and the Seahawks can can really jump 0:14:29.200 --> 0:14:33.960 out and boat race Atlanta. The Falcons are doing these 0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:37.720 come to Jesus meetings and all that, trying to figure 0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:40.720 things out with their head coach, and it's a mess. 0:14:41.240 --> 0:14:44.800 So if Seattle loses game, Pete Carrolls will be fired. 0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:52.360 Seahawks thirty, Falcons twenty. The dirty birds have given up. 0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:54.800 Penny is gone with the Seahawks as well. Be sure 0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:57.560 to catch live editions of The Ben Meller Show weekdays 0:14:57.560 --> 0:15:00.480 at two a m. Eastern eleven pm Pacific. Alright, let's 0:15:00.480 --> 0:15:02.720 get trivial. You want to get trivial. All right, let's 0:15:02.720 --> 0:15:06.720 get trivial. Levian Bell and Leonard for Nett, are accounting 0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:09.880 for fifty four point seven percent and fifty point nine 0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:13.960 percent of their team's total touches this season. Two of 0:15:14.000 --> 0:15:17.560 the four players currently over fifty who are the other two. 0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:22.600 The answer answer coming up? All right, Next up, New 0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:27.360 York Jets one in five at Jacksonville three and four. 0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:34.120 It's on CBS. Spiroa Adidas and Adam Archiletta have the call. 0:15:34.800 --> 0:15:37.360 The Jags opened to four point favorite. They are a 0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:42.800 six and a half point favorite. Sweet baby Jesus Wow. 0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:46.720 All right, light Light reign eighty four degrees that kick 0:15:46.800 --> 0:15:51.000 off at that corporately named stadium with a swimming pool 0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:55.600 in the end zone there in Jacksonville. H boy, I 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:57.720 hate to do this, but I you know, sometimes in life, 0:15:57.720 --> 0:15:59.680 you gotta you gotta do it. I'm taking the Jets. 0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:03.840 I'm taking the Jets. I'm not proud of it. Um. 0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:07.360 First of all, yeah, I don't wonder what's going on 0:16:07.400 --> 0:16:09.320 with Donald, obviously, I mean that's the story here. Do 0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:12.760 you either nail biting, the cold sweats, the stomach clenching 0:16:12.760 --> 0:16:15.480 and all that. That's Sam Donald. Um. And how does 0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:23.040 Sam Donald respond after Ghost Week? Uh? Traumatic life changing experience. Uh? 0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.680 The Jets house of cards came tumbling down in that 0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:30.800 game against the Patriots, and so it's a short week. 0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:32.440 Doesn't have a lot of time here, a lot of 0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:36.080 time to recover and and you know, Sam Donald, according 0:16:36.120 --> 0:16:39.320 to the advanced stats, has been forty four point seven 0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:42.880 percent worse than an average quarterback. That's how bad he 0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:46.280 has been since he came back from the mono and whatnot. 0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:48.880 And in Jacksonville's defense, has a chance here, I I 0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:52.400 know this to seize the opportunity. Historically they don't. The 0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:55.720 Jags are eight and fifteen against the spread, his favorites 0:16:55.720 --> 0:16:58.480 of six and a half or more and in their 0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:01.000 twelve and twenty two is home favorites in the last 0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:03.920 thirty four games. I just don't trust Jacksonville. I was 0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.720 on Jacksonville last week. I they were trailing going to 0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:08.800 the fourth quarter against the Bengals. I know it was 0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:12.960 a road game. Uh And and the Jacks also have 0:17:13.040 --> 0:17:15.960 a big game against the Texans next week in London, 0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:19.600 so it's a peek a boost spot also. And secondly, 0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:23.000 as much as I have Minshew mania, my man Gardner 0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:25.880 Minshew is cooled off. He is not playing as well 0:17:25.920 --> 0:17:29.280 as he did early in his run in Jacksonville. He's 0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:33.119 still better than Dak Prescott the last four weeks. But um, 0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:37.200 maybe he he should get a mega contract Gardner Minshew 0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:40.200 because he's better than but Minshew was only three point 0:17:40.280 --> 0:17:45.480 seven percent above an average quarterback. How about that Jacksonville 0:17:46.200 --> 0:17:48.399 in the middle of the pack defensively, the twelfth in 0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:52.720 the NFL. The Jags are the first team to rush 0:17:52.800 --> 0:17:55.280 for at least nine hundred yards through seven games while 0:17:55.359 --> 0:18:01.000 rushing for just one touchdown since nineteen seventies seven. Uh, 0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:03.560 how the setting is that like Leonard for net you know, 0:18:03.560 --> 0:18:06.119 the big Star Bowl running back, and he doesn't get 0:18:06.160 --> 0:18:09.320 in the end zone on the ground very often. Now, 0:18:09.400 --> 0:18:11.840 no team has ranked in the top three in yards 0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:15.760 per rush and bottom three and rushing touchdowns for a 0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:23.320 full season since And so my main thinking here is 0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:26.120 that Jacksonville shouldn't be favored by six and a half 0:18:26.160 --> 0:18:29.680 against anybody. And you're gonna if the Jets have anything, 0:18:30.400 --> 0:18:33.800 anything at all, you gotta think they bring it here. 0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:36.240 This is a game you should compete. I'm I don't 0:18:36.240 --> 0:18:39.800 believe the Jets will actually win the game, but you've 0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:42.919 gotta be a contrarian. There's some line value in this 0:18:43.080 --> 0:18:45.560 because there's not that much separating the Jets and jackson 0:18:45.560 --> 0:18:48.920 Even though it sounds seems ridiculous to say that Jacksonville 0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:54.920 twenty four the Jets twenty The couple. Pett is gonna 0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:56.960 say they went out right going with the Jets as well, 0:18:57.040 --> 0:19:00.600 and Ben, as you were making that proclamat about the 0:19:00.680 --> 0:19:04.480 Jets covering Patriots trading defensive and Michael Bennett to the 0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:07.440 Dallas Cowboys for seventh round picks. So just the heads 0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:10.159 up as you factor in everything, all right with this weekend? Well, 0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:13.560 Michael Bennett got suspended and now they've traded him here, 0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:16.800 and I don't think that's a a big loss. He 0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:19.480 had done anything as a Patriots. Let's get trivial the 0:19:19.520 --> 0:19:22.040 answer I said, Levian Bell and Leonard four Nett are 0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:25.480 accounting for fifty four point seven and fifty nine percent 0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:28.560 of their team's total touches this season. Two of the 0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:33.440 four players currently over, who are the other two? Gascon 0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:35.000 you want to give a shot, I'm gonna go with 0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:39.760 se Kwon Barkley and the underrated Chase Edmonds of your 0:19:40.040 --> 0:19:44.399 Arizona Cardinals. My Arizona. Uh No, that is incorrect. The 0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:49.160 correct answer you're over to Christian McCaffrey of Carolina and 0:19:49.680 --> 0:19:54.200 Nick Chubble loub Loub the Cleveland Browns running back. They're 0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:56.840 gonna be in a world of pain coming up alright, 0:19:56.840 --> 0:20:00.280 moving on Philadelphia three and four at Buffalo five one. 0:20:00.320 --> 0:20:06.720 It's on Fox. Who's calling this game? Not Dick Stockton, 0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:10.480 Mark Slat is on the call with somebody. No, Well, 0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:14.080 it's Chris Myers and Darryl moose Johnson. I'm over two. 0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:17.399 The you're over for two. Bills opened a one and 0:20:17.440 --> 0:20:19.440 a half point favorite, their favorite body two. It's starting 0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:22.399 to get into Buffalo weather. No snow but rain showers 0:20:22.880 --> 0:20:25.160 and fifty seven degrees at kick off at New Era 0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:29.920 of Field and Orchard Park, New York. It's another one. 0:20:29.960 --> 0:20:32.600 I picked the Jets last. I'm taking the Eagles. I'm 0:20:32.680 --> 0:20:36.000 taking the Eagles. I'm taking Philly. Uh And And here's 0:20:36.040 --> 0:20:38.919 my thinking. Everyone and their mother is waiting for the 0:20:38.960 --> 0:20:41.560 Eagles to play with a sense of urgency. They can't 0:20:41.600 --> 0:20:43.560 fight their way out of a paper bag right now. 0:20:43.600 --> 0:20:46.040 Blah blah blah blah blah. And I've seen no evidence 0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:48.720 that Doug Peterson will get this group focused. It was 0:20:48.760 --> 0:20:53.720 a fiasco in Dallas last week. Phillies past defense has 0:20:53.760 --> 0:20:56.720 been like the filling in the tasty cake. Uh. They 0:20:56.720 --> 0:21:00.440 are so soft they have they have allowed seven ceebers 0:21:00.480 --> 0:21:04.399 to top a hundred yards against them. Now that said, 0:21:04.840 --> 0:21:08.440 this is a value play because I think people are 0:21:08.480 --> 0:21:13.720 overreacting to both the Bills and to the Eagles, because 0:21:13.760 --> 0:21:18.560 Buffalo was trailing themselves late against the Miami Dolphins last week. 0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:22.760 And you know, Philadelphia, they're terrible, but they're not as 0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:24.800 terrible as they played the last couple of weeks. They've 0:21:24.840 --> 0:21:27.280 had a couple of stink bombs here and be The 0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:31.080 Bills are a zero sum team, meaning that they have 0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:35.800 the number three defense in the NFL, but they give 0:21:35.840 --> 0:21:38.840 that up because they have the compass Rows at quarterback 0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:42.000 and Josh Allen, who can't seem to put a whole 0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:45.720 game together. He sucked against the Dolphins until the fourth quarter. 0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:48.320 The Bills actually, as I said, they trailed going to 0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:51.440 the fourth quarter against Miami, a team that's not even 0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:54.960 trying um and so that should be worth a loss 0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:57.680 or at least half a loss. So again, these things 0:21:58.359 --> 0:22:01.080 equal themselves out. But this is almost a must win 0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:04.760 game for the Eagles in the NFC NFC East. You 0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:06.520 don't want to get too far away from the Cowboys 0:22:06.560 --> 0:22:08.959 because you got another game with him. I expect a 0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:12.440 better effort here, but we have said that before. The 0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.520 Eagles have a six eleven winning percentage against the spread 0:22:15.560 --> 0:22:20.359 his road underdogs in recent years with Doug Peterson. I 0:22:20.359 --> 0:22:23.560 believe Philly wins the game outright Philadelphia twenty four, Bills 0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:29.480 twenty three going against Bills Mafia, Penny not going with 0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:32.760 the Bills. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk 0:22:32.840 --> 0:22:35.520 lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at 0:22:35.560 --> 0:22:38.920 Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart 0:22:39.000 --> 0:22:42.560 Radio app. Search f s R to listen live good luck, 0:22:42.920 --> 0:22:47.159 Let's get trivial. Let's get trivial. Jerry or Rice and 0:22:47.359 --> 0:22:50.720 Blank are the only players from a non D one 0:22:50.880 --> 0:22:54.600