WEBVTT - MAYDAY! Extension week recap

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<v Speaker 1>Many extensions in the first week of the season, something

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<v Speaker 1>that we don't quite see at this I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>rate kind of a lot going on all at the

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<v Speaker 1>same time. It's almost as if and it's not only

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<v Speaker 1>the same team doing it. It's a bunch of different teams.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's gonna be interesting to see how it plays out.

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<v Speaker 2>But we're going to go through them.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to do take some time here at the

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<v Speaker 1>top of the show talk a little bit about the

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<v Speaker 1>young kids, the kids getting paid, the young buck extensions.

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<v Speaker 1>We had four guys, one of which happened I believe yesterday,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe early this morning.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll be honest, I've been very busy. I just knew

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<v Speaker 2>that it happened.

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<v Speaker 1>And there's four big ones, all guys that are that

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<v Speaker 1>weren't quite free agency yet or didn't already have a

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<v Speaker 1>deal in place.

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<v Speaker 2>And I want to talk to you about whether or not.

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<v Speaker 1>They are team friendly or they are player friendly, or

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<v Speaker 1>somewhere in between. There's very interesting I think elements happening

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<v Speaker 1>here with these. So I just think it's it's it's time.

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<v Speaker 1>It's time to talk about contracts. I mean, we got

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<v Speaker 1>the CBA coming up, and I think that the market

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<v Speaker 1>forces are going to change a little bit then too,

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<v Speaker 1>So it's just something to pay attention to. Butuola, we

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<v Speaker 1>shall see. All right, let's get into it. First contract,

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<v Speaker 1>we had San Diego Padres, Phenom Jackson Merrill. Jackson Merrill

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<v Speaker 1>signs a nine year, one and thirty five million dollar

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<v Speaker 1>extension that begins next year, not this year, next year,

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<v Speaker 1>which actually changes my analysis just a little bit. But

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<v Speaker 1>this guy was absolutely electric last year. He did He

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<v Speaker 1>was huge for their team. He is a guy that

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<v Speaker 1>we are mentioning within the big three of Bogart's, of

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<v Speaker 1>Tatis and of Manny Machado in the future for this organization.

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<v Speaker 1>So he is going to be there for most of

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<v Speaker 1>the next decade into what would have been his free

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<v Speaker 1>agency years, and he's twenty one years old. But is

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<v Speaker 1>it a player friendly or team friendly? Well, it's about

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<v Speaker 1>even I'll be honest. This is a good deal I

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<v Speaker 1>think for both sides. One hundred and thirty five million

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<v Speaker 1>dollars is not something to shake a stick at.

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<v Speaker 2>I understand.

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<v Speaker 1>He is the middle of the field position player aka

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<v Speaker 1>the centerfielder and the shortstop sometimes second base, with the

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<v Speaker 1>shortstop centerfielder usually the highest value defensive metrically and also

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<v Speaker 1>with a from a band standpoint, you want a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of production out of those two positions.

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<v Speaker 2>So he went from shorts, he played shortstop, went to.

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<v Speaker 1>Center field, picked it up immediately because of course he did,

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<v Speaker 1>and did an amazing job. So this deal, let me

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<v Speaker 1>break it down for you, because it starts next year,

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<v Speaker 1>he is going to be have five years of free

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<v Speaker 1>agency bought out. He is twenty one years old, so

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<v Speaker 1>he'll become a free agent again.

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<v Speaker 2>At the.

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<v Speaker 1>Reason this is even is kind of come from both directions. One,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a fifteen million dollar advanced value or advanced annual value,

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<v Speaker 1>So AAV that is solid, like a really good center fielder,

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<v Speaker 1>will get upwards of twenty five. But the nice thing

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<v Speaker 1>about this deal is when it is done, he'll be

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<v Speaker 1>thirty years old, so if his performance dictates this, he

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<v Speaker 1>will get another opportunity to go into free agency, which

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<v Speaker 1>is the point that is when you make the most money.

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<v Speaker 1>Usually signing extensions with the team that you were brought

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<v Speaker 1>up with doesn't produce as much dollars as many dollars

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<v Speaker 1>rather than signing with a team that isn't your team

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<v Speaker 1>that you're already on. So I think him having the

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<v Speaker 1>opportunity to go in free agency again if he wants to,

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<v Speaker 1>while having one hundred and thirty five million dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>the bank is positive for him. But the team generally

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<v Speaker 1>gets a guy for fifteen million dollars a year that

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<v Speaker 1>could very easily become a twenty five to thirty million

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<v Speaker 1>dollars a year player. That is why this is kind

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<v Speaker 1>of cross board, and this is why I kind of

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<v Speaker 1>like it. I like the idea that he's going to

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<v Speaker 1>get a second free agency opportunity and it doesn't affect

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<v Speaker 1>the markets for centerfielders as much either. So I enjoy

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<v Speaker 1>that because he is twenty one years old, and if

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to do it, do it then and make

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<v Speaker 1>sure you get over one hundred million dollars please. Second off,

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<v Speaker 1>we have Christian Campbell signing a smaller deal after just

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of weeks in the major leagues with the

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<v Speaker 1>Boston Red Sox eight year sixty million, which comes out

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<v Speaker 1>to an aav of just about seven point five million dollars,

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<v Speaker 1>which right now, that's just over about a war a year,

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<v Speaker 1>one win above replacement. So this one kind of goes

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<v Speaker 1>advantage team. Sixty million dollars is not a lot of money,

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<v Speaker 1>as we see with the Ozzy Albi's deal. We got

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<v Speaker 1>even the Couna deal. It's more in that realm. But

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<v Speaker 1>and based on what the Red Sox have said and

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<v Speaker 1>people who've watched him play in real life, he's getting

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<v Speaker 1>Mookie Bets comps. If that guy turns in Mookie bets.

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<v Speaker 1>This is wild value for the team. But I like

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<v Speaker 1>that he took advantage of it. And again, he's twenty two.

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<v Speaker 1>He's going to be a free agent at thirty. Again,

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<v Speaker 1>he's gonna get another opportunity for free agency. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>why he gets a little bit on the old bar

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<v Speaker 1>here in his direction. But for the most part, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not a huge investment for the Red Sox. They got

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<v Speaker 1>their second basement. By all accounts, he's just a pure

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<v Speaker 1>hitter and then he's going to be a quality player

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<v Speaker 1>move forward. But it's just not that risky. It's just

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<v Speaker 1>not that risky. So I like that for him, And

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<v Speaker 1>it only buys out two years of his free agency

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<v Speaker 1>because he's barely got any time in the big leagues.

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<v Speaker 2>Third guy, Garrett Crochet. This one was interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>Garret Crochet six years, one hundred seventy million, dollars from

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<v Speaker 1>the Boston Red Sox. Also, this comes out to an

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<v Speaker 1>aav of just over twenty eight million dollars twenty eight

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<v Speaker 1>point three to be exact. He is the ace of

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<v Speaker 1>the Red Sox, so the Red Sox check one on

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<v Speaker 1>the Red Sox side for getting their ace. It buys

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<v Speaker 1>out four years of free agency, so that is obviously

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<v Speaker 1>a benefit as well, but he will still be a

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<v Speaker 1>free agent at thirty one years old because he's currently

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five.

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<v Speaker 2>I think he just turned twenty six.

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<v Speaker 1>Actually, and he's going to get another opportunity for free

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<v Speaker 1>agency as well, so that's more on his side. This

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<v Speaker 1>is mostly a player or this is mostly a player

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<v Speaker 1>deal because he got more money than any and more extension,

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest extension than anyone has ever gotten. With the

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<v Speaker 1>amount of work he's done. He only has two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty four innings and thirty six starts in his career.

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<v Speaker 1>That is the risk for the Red Sox and that's

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<v Speaker 1>why I give him the benefit of the doubt here.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a high it's a high value contract.

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<v Speaker 2>Sure, could he make more.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe, but he doesn't have the track record and he's

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<v Speaker 1>had in injury problems to show that that might not happen.

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<v Speaker 1>So but I think this is just necessary. I think

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<v Speaker 1>the Red Sox had to do this, especially because Christian

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<v Speaker 1>Campbell signed a team friendly you can afford to then

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<v Speaker 1>go out and get your true ac guy who's going

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<v Speaker 1>to want to start in game one in any playoff

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<v Speaker 1>series to be paid. But he got paid with very little.

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<v Speaker 1>Usually track record is a big part of this, and

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<v Speaker 1>for the first time in a long time or ever, honestly,

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<v Speaker 1>track record didn't factor into this one as much I

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<v Speaker 1>like it. But it's definitely Garrett won that one for sure.

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<v Speaker 1>And lastly, flag Flad grojernaland finally I think gets his

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<v Speaker 1>stupid contract done so we can stop talking about it.

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<v Speaker 1>Fourteen years, five hundred million. This one will not be

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<v Speaker 1>seeing another free agency most of the time, I hear Isaiah,

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<v Speaker 1>this flatty signing is restored to hope in life they

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<v Speaker 1>get their centerpiece of their franchise. But this is definitely

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<v Speaker 1>a player W. This is definitely player W. Five hundre

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<v Speaker 1>million dollars is the second biggest value contract for anybody,

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<v Speaker 1>even because there is noted for money. It is beyond

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<v Speaker 1>sho Heo Tani seven hundred million in real value. Excuse

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<v Speaker 1>me when you fire and off words like I am

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<v Speaker 1>you gotta take a drink, and it buys out all

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<v Speaker 1>of his free agency. He's not gonna hit free agency again.

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<v Speaker 1>And it comes out to an avy of thirty five

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<v Speaker 1>point seven million. So I really can't say the benefit.

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<v Speaker 1>Here's the benefit of the Blue Jays get They're not

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<v Speaker 1>to worry about it anymore. They got their franchise players

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<v Speaker 1>that they can build all their media around, and preferably

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of production in middle of the order. The

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<v Speaker 1>problem is he's a first baseman. They don't tend to

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<v Speaker 1>age well. And this is until he's forty years old.

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<v Speaker 1>At some point, this is probably going to turn into

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<v Speaker 1>a contract. It's inevitable that everyone's gonna be like kind

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of money for a guy who can't really move.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's just what happens when you age. So I

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<v Speaker 1>will definitely say Flatty won this one. I will definitely

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<v Speaker 1>say Vladdie won this one. But it was a necessary

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<v Speaker 1>move for the Blue just similar to the Red Sox.

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<v Speaker 1>They had to go do it. We've been talking about

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<v Speaker 1>this all off season, myself included. They had to go

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<v Speaker 1>do this. I wish they would have done it before

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<v Speaker 1>they at all came out where they offered everyone else

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<v Speaker 1>all the money. But I'm glad it's done so now

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<v Speaker 1>we don't have to talk about it anymore. And uh

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<v Speaker 1>and I am also really excited to bring in our

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<v Speaker 1>first guest here on May Day, first guest ever, first

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<v Speaker 1>time we've ever tried this little apparatus we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>do so. Cross your fingers everyone at home. Scottie Brown

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<v Speaker 1>is here. Yeah you hear me, Yeah, yes I can everyone.

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<v Speaker 1>You can hear him too. Scott Bron, host of Foul

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<v Speaker 1>Territory and number one in all of our hearts. Thanks

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<v Speaker 1>for coming on man, thanks for being the number one,

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<v Speaker 1>number one guest on the show.

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<v Speaker 3>Do I get an extension?

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<v Speaker 2>You wait, you got to give me an extension? What

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<v Speaker 2>do you mean? I'm on your network right now? What

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<v Speaker 2>are we talking about?

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<v Speaker 3>True? True? True, I forgot. I can't ask for my

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<v Speaker 3>own extension, although I mean when I think about Bladdy

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<v Speaker 3>Junior show, we'll get into it at some point. I

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<v Speaker 3>bet the front office, who is that Atkins and Shapiro

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<v Speaker 3>going ownership like, Look, we got to done extension for us.

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<v Speaker 3>It only cost you double when we could have done

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<v Speaker 3>this several years ago.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, well you shouldn't have let Sodo go first,

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<v Speaker 1>and that, you know all brokely.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, let's talk about a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>I know, I know, I just rapid fired like four

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<v Speaker 1>of them real quick, and all the young guys are

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<v Speaker 1>signing contracts. What was your first I mean, obviously we

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<v Speaker 1>could start with latt What was your first reaction to

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<v Speaker 1>hearing about the blad news.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Laddie won. Laddie wanted five hundred. He said it publicly.

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<v Speaker 3>Often this stuff doesn't get that public where you actually

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<v Speaker 3>know the exact numbers. I mean, Ken Rosenthal was so

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<v Speaker 3>on this story that he already had that out for weeks.

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<v Speaker 3>Thirty five point seven at fourteen would get you to

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<v Speaker 3>five hundred. That's the number. And then eventually you just

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<v Speaker 3>get that out of Laddie where he's like, yeah, that'll

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<v Speaker 3>get it done, and the Blue Jays are like, we

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<v Speaker 3>already went past your value, and he's like, cool, I

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<v Speaker 3>don't care, I'm going to publicize this. You've lost out

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<v Speaker 3>on many other big names. You've gotten some. It's not

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<v Speaker 3>like they had a bad offseason. It's just that the

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<v Speaker 3>way they're aiming for players these days has not gone

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<v Speaker 3>well for them, right, like an Otani Roki Sazaki was

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<v Speaker 3>a tough loss for them. It would have helped if

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<v Speaker 3>Vladdie Junior was locked up for a while, would it

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<v Speaker 3>have mattered. No, he was going to sign with the

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<v Speaker 3>Dodgers either way. But they also went after Juan Soto

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<v Speaker 3>and as far as we heard, they didn't go past

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<v Speaker 3>the seven hundred marks, So you weren't even close. And

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<v Speaker 3>you're showing that you're going to spend that much money

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<v Speaker 3>on a player. Laddie's sitting there like, oh, hey, I'm

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<v Speaker 3>Canada's baseball son and I'm a star and I'm young,

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<v Speaker 3>and you're going to let me get the free agency

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<v Speaker 3>no way. So I think that he just had him.

0:11:30.640 --> 0:11:32.840
<v Speaker 3>I mean I think he had him by the balls, Trevor.

0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:33.800
<v Speaker 2>And I think that's what happened.

0:11:33.840 --> 0:11:35.880
<v Speaker 3>And he said, five hundred is the number, baby, and

0:11:35.920 --> 0:11:37.760
<v Speaker 3>when you get there, you call me and I will

0:11:37.800 --> 0:11:39.640
<v Speaker 3>sign it. And I don't care how long it takes.

0:11:39.720 --> 0:11:41.839
<v Speaker 3>You want to wait until June when I'm off to

0:11:41.920 --> 0:11:43.959
<v Speaker 3>a great start or I'm not. Whatever it is. Right,

0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:46.320
<v Speaker 3>unless there was an injury, which is not as common

0:11:46.360 --> 0:11:48.440
<v Speaker 3>for a position player, and he's been pretty damn durable

0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:50.800
<v Speaker 3>they were going to get screwed on this one. But

0:11:51.080 --> 0:11:52.959
<v Speaker 3>the thing for me is I'm happy in the end

0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:56.120
<v Speaker 3>for the Blue Jays to get him for life, right,

0:11:56.520 --> 0:12:00.040
<v Speaker 3>But if I'm a Blue Jays fan, this is a

0:11:59.880 --> 0:12:03.840
<v Speaker 3>loss for the front office because everybody has a spending

0:12:03.880 --> 0:12:06.280
<v Speaker 3>limit and this is going to be an expensive player

0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:08.840
<v Speaker 3>for a while. That's great, But like I mentioned at

0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:11.760
<v Speaker 3>the top here, they could have had him for much less.

0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:14.200
<v Speaker 3>Go back a few years ago. Ken did homework on

0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:16.199
<v Speaker 3>this and said they could have put out a similar,

0:12:16.240 --> 0:12:19.360
<v Speaker 3>if not probably a little lower deal than what TATISC

0:12:19.360 --> 0:12:21.920
<v Speaker 3>got in twenty twenty one in the three hundreds, and

0:12:21.960 --> 0:12:24.040
<v Speaker 3>that would have gotten it done. Right, If you put

0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:26.360
<v Speaker 3>at that point two seventy five to three hundred in

0:12:26.440 --> 0:12:28.840
<v Speaker 3>front of Laddie, I'm sure that would have gotten it done.

0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:32.480
<v Speaker 3>It sounded like they kept lowballing him through the entire operation. Here.

0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:35.960
<v Speaker 3>They delayed his service time, they lowballed him on offers

0:12:35.960 --> 0:12:38.240
<v Speaker 3>compared to the market. They took him to arbitration I

0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:41.400
<v Speaker 3>think once or twice, so they were just doing everything

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 3>wrong as a front office. And then, like you mentioned,

0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:45.680
<v Speaker 3>they could have done this in October and had a

0:12:45.720 --> 0:12:49.160
<v Speaker 3>conversation and it would have probably ended with I don't know,

0:12:49.280 --> 0:12:52.080
<v Speaker 3>four hundred, So then they cost themselves another one hundred

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:55.360
<v Speaker 3>million dollars when Sodo set the market for someone of

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:59.280
<v Speaker 3>his age without a full skill set as a baseball player. Right,

0:12:59.320 --> 0:13:01.440
<v Speaker 3>he is not a five tool player. He is a

0:13:01.520 --> 0:13:03.960
<v Speaker 3>hitting legend, but he is not a five tool player.

0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:05.720
<v Speaker 3>So when you add it all up, huge win for

0:13:05.760 --> 0:13:08.880
<v Speaker 3>Bladdie Junior, Huge win for Blue Jays fans because who cares.

0:13:09.360 --> 0:13:11.960
<v Speaker 3>Big loss for the front office. And if they don't

0:13:12.000 --> 0:13:15.040
<v Speaker 3>make the playoffs this year and I'm running the Blue Jays,

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:17.839
<v Speaker 3>I am sweeping that up and starting over because their

0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 3>firm system sucks too.

0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:19.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:22.600
<v Speaker 1>They it feels like they stumble, stumble, stumble. They're holding

0:13:22.600 --> 0:13:25.520
<v Speaker 1>the bag of stumbling and then they just like fumbled

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:29.240
<v Speaker 1>it right into his hands. But you know, I can't

0:13:29.280 --> 0:13:31.120
<v Speaker 1>fault it. I was a player. I got to be

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:34.240
<v Speaker 1>on the player side here. And this wasn't just the

0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:39.479
<v Speaker 1>only crazy extension in my opinion. Garret Crochet also unprecedented,

0:13:40.000 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>and then contrasts that with with Christian Campbell a little

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 1>bit because the same team, they got two very different

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of players in terms of like length of time

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:52.000
<v Speaker 1>and also dollar amounts. So how'd you feel about the

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:54.440
<v Speaker 1>Crochet and the Christian Campbell signings.

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 3>I thought Crochet did really well. Remember last year he

0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:00.520
<v Speaker 3>was getting criticized for not wanting to get moved to

0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:02.440
<v Speaker 3>a team that's gonna throw him in the bullpen or

0:14:02.480 --> 0:14:05.240
<v Speaker 3>just mess around with him. In general, I don't blame him.

0:14:05.240 --> 0:14:07.559
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you can give us the pitcher perspective on this,

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 3>but he had been hurt. He's on a White Sox

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.199
<v Speaker 3>team that does not have a great reputation for a

0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 3>lot of things right now as far as player development,

0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:16.400
<v Speaker 3>and then you're going to ask him to move teams

0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:18.920
<v Speaker 3>and get on a different plan during his breakout season

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:21.360
<v Speaker 3>when he hasn't really gotten paid much yet. No thanks,

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 3>So I thought, good for you for standing up for yourself.

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:26.160
<v Speaker 3>He ends up getting the trade to a destination like this,

0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:27.880
<v Speaker 3>and I don't really feel like there was much of

0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:30.480
<v Speaker 3>a discount here, and he had two years still left

0:14:30.480 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 3>of team control if we're including this year. So I

0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:35.160
<v Speaker 3>thought him and his team did really well on that front.

0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:38.360
<v Speaker 3>I know you mentioned you set some records. He to

0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:40.400
<v Speaker 3>me looks like an ace and to everyone else, but

0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:42.960
<v Speaker 3>he does come with injury questions. So for him to

0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:45.920
<v Speaker 3>secure the bag as a pitcher before you hit free agency.

0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:48.080
<v Speaker 3>That was a no brainer. If you asked me what

0:14:48.160 --> 0:14:49.400
<v Speaker 3>I thought he was going to get, I thought it

0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 3>would have been more in the mid one hundreds. Instead

0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:53.640
<v Speaker 3>it gets the upper one hundreds. I would have guessed

0:14:53.680 --> 0:14:55.360
<v Speaker 3>like one thirty to one forty.

0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:56.080
<v Speaker 2>So good for.

0:14:56.080 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 3>Him for landing some of that money where I think,

0:14:58.120 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 3>what the two or three years of it gets some

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:03.200
<v Speaker 3>thirty somethingter mill per season. So for the Red Sox,

0:15:03.360 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 3>I mean, you traded a lot for this guy. Keep

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:08.240
<v Speaker 3>the guy. It's fine. It's not going to crush them.

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:10.800
<v Speaker 3>Of course, you have injury concerns, very at least catching

0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 3>him early on in his career doesn't have crazy mileage

0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 3>on the arm, So fine, fine for both sides there

0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:18.360
<v Speaker 3>and then Christian Campbell. Of course they're going to get

0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:20.680
<v Speaker 3>a bargain. But you're asking a player who was a

0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:23.320
<v Speaker 3>fourth or fifth round pick if he wants sixty million

0:15:23.360 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 3>dollars when he didn't even know that they traveled on

0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:29.200
<v Speaker 3>a private plane and that he wouldn't have a roommate. Okay,

0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:33.120
<v Speaker 3>so he's going to say yes to that. A year ago, Trevor,

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:35.880
<v Speaker 3>nobody knows who he is, so I think he got

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:38.960
<v Speaker 3>low balled, but I can't fault him. I mean, he

0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 3>didn't know where it was going to be as a player,

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 3>Like he is the kind of guy where you looked

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:45.680
<v Speaker 3>and you're like tons of potential red sox are going

0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 3>to work on his swing path. It either works or

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:49.280
<v Speaker 3>we never hear from him again. And now all of

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:50.880
<v Speaker 3>a sudden, he's in the bigs, playing on a good

0:15:50.880 --> 0:15:53.720
<v Speaker 3>team and he's getting thrown sixty million dollars. Who doesn't

0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:54.080
<v Speaker 3>take that?

0:15:54.720 --> 0:15:56.920
<v Speaker 2>Oh? I you know when I was playing, I would

0:15:56.960 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 2>have been like hesitant. I had to look and do it.

0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 1>But again, the fact that all these guys have a

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 1>second they have free agency on the table still like

0:16:03.040 --> 0:16:05.320
<v Speaker 1>in technically in the prime window that still exists twenty

0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:07.360
<v Speaker 1>eight to thirty two, so when you can maximize your

0:16:07.360 --> 0:16:10.320
<v Speaker 1>free agency, so they're like, yeah, if I'm better, if

0:16:10.360 --> 0:16:12.000
<v Speaker 1>I need to make more money, I have an opportunity

0:16:12.000 --> 0:16:14.200
<v Speaker 1>to make more money later. If I don't, then I

0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:18.119
<v Speaker 1>got sixty million. Like it's it's it's that's it's that straightforward.

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:19.920
<v Speaker 1>And also you know who else was the fifth rounder

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:21.680
<v Speaker 1>who wasn't expected to be as good as they are?

0:16:21.800 --> 0:16:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Mookie Bets so, uh, there's a lot of that. There's

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:26.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of that. Comp They're like, we just don't

0:16:26.760 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 1>want to mess this up. Maybe they're getting a little

0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:30.120
<v Speaker 1>bit of like we don't mess up the Mookie Bets

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:34.520
<v Speaker 1>thing again either. Okay, last one really quickly, Jax Merril,

0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 1>how do you feel about that one?

0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 3>So I'm gonna tie Campbell and Meryl together because I

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:40.600
<v Speaker 3>spoke to a couple of agents behind the scenes. Oh,

0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:44.200
<v Speaker 3>I mean, terrible job for Meryl and for Campbell. They

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:47.040
<v Speaker 3>left so much money on the table. The whole first

0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:50.000
<v Speaker 3>big contract thing applies here. So I don't know really

0:16:50.200 --> 0:16:53.680
<v Speaker 3>what to say right again with Jackson, Merril loves the team,

0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 3>wants to win on this team. He said he's gonna

0:16:56.400 --> 0:16:59.080
<v Speaker 3>give them a little room for spending power. Like, okay,

0:16:59.120 --> 0:17:01.480
<v Speaker 3>I mean that's a great thing to say. He's a star.

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.879
<v Speaker 3>He's playing center field. That position actually usually doesn't age

0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:07.160
<v Speaker 3>well getting deep into your thirties, based on how much

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:09.080
<v Speaker 3>of a toll it takes. So I don't fault him

0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:12.480
<v Speaker 3>for doing this. I don't fault him or his reps

0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:14.880
<v Speaker 3>for getting this done either, because I think if he's

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 3>so damn good, they'll keep adding an extension or two

0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:21.360
<v Speaker 3>on top of what he's doing, right, he just he screams,

0:17:21.400 --> 0:17:25.600
<v Speaker 3>Padre's player for life. In my mind, Ken Rosenthal bring

0:17:25.640 --> 0:17:28.680
<v Speaker 3>him up again, said, maybe one to two hundred million

0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:31.160
<v Speaker 3>dollars left on the table, but you would have had

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:33.919
<v Speaker 3>to go deep into the arbitration process and then you know,

0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:37.560
<v Speaker 3>eventually get yourself to free agencies. So generally, with these

0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:39.600
<v Speaker 3>it's hard not to look at them as wins for

0:17:39.680 --> 0:17:42.040
<v Speaker 3>both sides. The only thing with Merrill is I think

0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:45.040
<v Speaker 3>he doesn't get to free agency until thirty two. If

0:17:45.040 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 3>he even gets there. At that point, how many teams

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 3>are investing major long term dollars in a thirty two

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:52.560
<v Speaker 3>year old center fielder. I don't care who you are.

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:55.760
<v Speaker 3>Not many, right, I mean that you just have to

0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:57.800
<v Speaker 3>play the law of averages in the past. But that

0:17:57.840 --> 0:18:01.919
<v Speaker 3>position just takes a hit suddenly giving him another You know,

0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 3>he's not signing a ten year contract at that point,

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:06.200
<v Speaker 3>even if he is a star. Based on how front

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 3>offices evaluate, so best case scenario, he's four or five

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:12.399
<v Speaker 3>years into this thing, he's a stud. They add you know,

0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 3>three to five more years on top of that, and

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:17.240
<v Speaker 3>that's his whole career and he ends up making two

0:18:17.280 --> 0:18:20.679
<v Speaker 3>hundred something million dollars instead of maybe four hundred million dollars.

0:18:21.440 --> 0:18:24.480
<v Speaker 3>I mean whatever, he could also run into a wall

0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 3>and it could end his career. And now he's got

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:29.199
<v Speaker 3>the security. So I mean, you tell me, do you

0:18:29.200 --> 0:18:32.359
<v Speaker 3>ever look at these and go, oh man, player got robbed.

0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:33.760
<v Speaker 3>It's his first millions.

0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:34.879
<v Speaker 2>He got robbed.

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:36.399
<v Speaker 3>Like what are you supposed to do?

0:18:37.040 --> 0:18:38.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:42.919
<v Speaker 1>I having never been offered anything remotely close to this,

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:45.719
<v Speaker 1>even before it was my time to negotiate it.

0:18:45.960 --> 0:18:47.040
<v Speaker 2>You know, I can't say.

0:18:47.359 --> 0:18:48.760
<v Speaker 1>I can't say that I wouldn't be like yep, I

0:18:48.800 --> 0:18:53.680
<v Speaker 1>will even as a starting pitcher, right. I just feel

0:18:53.680 --> 0:18:55.760
<v Speaker 1>like one hundred if anything over one hundred million dollars.

0:18:55.800 --> 0:18:58.879
<v Speaker 1>It's just like you can go from you can go

0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:01.280
<v Speaker 1>from making over one hundred, or you can go to

0:19:01.320 --> 0:19:03.360
<v Speaker 1>making like twenty. If it doesn't work out, you're gonna

0:19:03.359 --> 0:19:05.520
<v Speaker 1>make way less than that. It's not gonna be like close.

0:19:05.560 --> 0:19:07.240
<v Speaker 1>It's gonna be way less. If you try to go

0:19:07.280 --> 0:19:09.520
<v Speaker 1>through the system and say your fourth year, some some

0:19:09.520 --> 0:19:11.720
<v Speaker 1>some break your leg and it never heals right, and

0:19:11.720 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 1>then you're you know, you made fifteen million, Like you

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:16.000
<v Speaker 1>gotta take on in thirty five.

0:19:16.440 --> 0:19:18.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Christian Campbell. That type of thing.

0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 1>When it's a less than ten ten in your position

0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:23.400
<v Speaker 1>player less than ten av that's when you think long

0:19:23.440 --> 0:19:25.640
<v Speaker 1>and hard about it. But like if you have fifteen,

0:19:25.680 --> 0:19:28.680
<v Speaker 1>if you get fifteen guaranteed for nine years every year,

0:19:29.640 --> 0:19:32.960
<v Speaker 1>it just like the difference you get dimission returns after that.

0:19:33.200 --> 0:19:35.520
<v Speaker 1>And also, like you said, he's gonna hit for agency again,

0:19:35.760 --> 0:19:38.120
<v Speaker 1>so he has an opportunity to correct if things are

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:41.879
<v Speaker 1>drastically different, but they're not. They're not gonna be because

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:43.800
<v Speaker 1>he's also not gonna be moving on a center field.

0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:46.240
<v Speaker 1>I don't hate it. And also when they sign this early,

0:19:46.960 --> 0:19:49.240
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't affect markets as much as people think it

0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:50.840
<v Speaker 1>does either, And that's what I always think about. I'm like,

0:19:50.840 --> 0:19:53.800
<v Speaker 1>are you ruining markets for the future? And these guys

0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 1>are so young that they're kind of in their own category.

0:19:57.320 --> 0:19:59.119
<v Speaker 1>But so okay, And the last, the last question I

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:01.720
<v Speaker 1>have before I let you go, If you had to

0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:04.680
<v Speaker 1>make a prediction of these four, which one of these

0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 1>do you think is most likely to have both sides benefit?

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:10.680
<v Speaker 2>Like, which one's gonna work out the best for both sides?

0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:15.919
<v Speaker 3>Ooh, the question. I'll go Meryl. I'll go Meryl on

0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:17.840
<v Speaker 3>this one because I think that it's in the right

0:20:17.880 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 3>price range that like I mentioned, he's going to get

0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:22.440
<v Speaker 3>the extensions on top of it. And I'm just surprised

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:25.879
<v Speaker 3>that teams don't do this more in general, they don't

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:28.640
<v Speaker 3>grab a player who, now Merril is a prime example,

0:20:28.680 --> 0:20:32.479
<v Speaker 3>already give you a star, if not superstar, first season,

0:20:33.200 --> 0:20:35.960
<v Speaker 3>first week. You know, he looks like the same guy already.

0:20:36.000 --> 0:20:37.800
<v Speaker 3>Not that I think that really mattered. I'm sure they

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:39.879
<v Speaker 3>had been talking about this for a minute, but the

0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:42.640
<v Speaker 3>maryl one for me because you're catching a center fielder

0:20:43.280 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 3>not even entering his prime years, but you're gonna get

0:20:45.640 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 3>basically all of the prime years in this deal unless

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:50.439
<v Speaker 3>he just falls off the face of the earth. And

0:20:50.560 --> 0:20:52.720
<v Speaker 3>he's a position player, that to me looks like the

0:20:52.720 --> 0:20:55.440
<v Speaker 3>biggest win Glad. He's going to go deep into his

0:20:55.520 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 3>career where you're going to get to the thirty eight

0:20:57.520 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 3>to thirty nine range, and who knows what he'll look

0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:02.720
<v Speaker 3>like at that point. So the length Crochet is a pitcher,

0:21:02.880 --> 0:21:05.320
<v Speaker 3>arms are taking time bomb. I'm always going to trust

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:07.680
<v Speaker 3>a position player over a pitcher, and we just don't

0:21:07.720 --> 0:21:10.440
<v Speaker 3>know Campbell enough as a player yet, So I think

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 3>Merril is the safe bet here. And I'll finish my

0:21:14.119 --> 0:21:17.520
<v Speaker 3>statement with a question back to you, why don't more

0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 3>teams do this? We see it frequently, but then there's

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:23.359
<v Speaker 3>still some teams that pop up where I'm like, what

0:21:23.560 --> 0:21:25.720
<v Speaker 3>is going on here? Like our offer is being thrown

0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:27.879
<v Speaker 3>out and we're just missing something. I mean, the Orioles

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:31.680
<v Speaker 3>are the prime example. Right now, nobody of that vaunted

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:34.840
<v Speaker 3>young position player corps is signed long term. And even

0:21:34.880 --> 0:21:37.879
<v Speaker 3>if you're gonna blame Gunner on betting on himself and

0:21:37.920 --> 0:21:40.480
<v Speaker 3>he's a Boris guy, fine, but there's four or five

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:43.919
<v Speaker 3>other guys on that roster that could be extension worthy

0:21:43.960 --> 0:21:46.280
<v Speaker 3>and they have not signed any of them. Adley Rutchman

0:21:46.359 --> 0:21:48.040
<v Speaker 3>coming off a down year sounds to me like a

0:21:48.080 --> 0:21:50.919
<v Speaker 3>great time to have a conversation with him, if unless

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:52.639
<v Speaker 3>you don't believe in him, and now he looks like

0:21:52.800 --> 0:21:55.520
<v Speaker 3>two years ago Adley Colton Kasrew I know is hurt

0:21:55.560 --> 0:21:57.399
<v Speaker 3>right now, but in the offseason that could have been

0:21:57.400 --> 0:21:59.359
<v Speaker 3>a discussion too. And I could come up with a

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:02.159
<v Speaker 3>few others. I mean, even Jackson Holliday, right, throw a

0:22:02.240 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 3>ton of money at him. Again. I think he's a

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:06.680
<v Speaker 3>bors guy, but I just don't believe that the Oriols

0:22:06.680 --> 0:22:09.280
<v Speaker 3>throughout all these extension offers to these players, and I'm

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:11.919
<v Speaker 3>wondering why you don't try and at least lock up

0:22:11.960 --> 0:22:13.640
<v Speaker 3>one or two to get some cost control.

0:22:14.040 --> 0:22:17.159
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, especially with the Orioles. I'll be honest, I'm not

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:21.400
<v Speaker 1>convinced that the new ownership group is willing to They

0:22:21.400 --> 0:22:24.080
<v Speaker 1>haven't really shown me anything that they're willing to do

0:22:24.119 --> 0:22:27.359
<v Speaker 1>more than the previous owner, the Angelo's people family was like,

0:22:27.520 --> 0:22:30.199
<v Speaker 1>honestly they bought it. Yeah great, but like they had

0:22:30.240 --> 0:22:32.240
<v Speaker 1>opportunities all kinds of sign free agents and all kinds

0:22:32.240 --> 0:22:34.000
<v Speaker 1>of stuff. This obviouselyason they're just not doing it. So

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:36.280
<v Speaker 1>maybe they're out there, Maybe they're just not taking them.

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:39.119
<v Speaker 1>They're getting like shut down by their agents.

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:39.639
<v Speaker 2>Maybe not.

0:22:40.240 --> 0:22:42.119
<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of teams, though, are are the

0:22:42.240 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 1>last I think dominant to fall in the development and

0:22:46.080 --> 0:22:49.720
<v Speaker 1>projectability of their of their players is having the confidence

0:22:49.760 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 1>to then sign them long term. And I think maybe

0:22:52.840 --> 0:22:56.640
<v Speaker 1>this Crochet thing and this Christian Campbell thing might get

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.119
<v Speaker 1>a couple of teams thinking about like the teams like

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the Twins, all right, like go you gotta if roys Leus,

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:04.880
<v Speaker 1>say royce Luis was healthy all the time. Let's say

0:23:04.920 --> 0:23:07.120
<v Speaker 1>he didn't have the injury problems yet, like he would

0:23:07.119 --> 0:23:09.719
<v Speaker 1>have been a prime candidate to get something like this, but

0:23:09.760 --> 0:23:12.280
<v Speaker 1>they their offers are like four years twenty right, Like

0:23:12.320 --> 0:23:14.359
<v Speaker 1>so like that's that's just not gonna happen for a

0:23:14.359 --> 0:23:16.240
<v Speaker 1>position player anymore. You're not gonna get a Max Kepler

0:23:16.240 --> 0:23:18.040
<v Speaker 1>deal or or Hiplanco deal anymore.

0:23:18.160 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 2>So.

0:23:18.840 --> 0:23:21.679
<v Speaker 1>But if you can project and you feel comfortable in

0:23:21.720 --> 0:23:24.640
<v Speaker 1>your development and you're like, we know this guy's gonna

0:23:24.640 --> 0:23:26.000
<v Speaker 1>be good even though he doesn't have a track record,

0:23:26.080 --> 0:23:29.320
<v Speaker 1>I think still teams are still really really really wanting

0:23:29.359 --> 0:23:31.320
<v Speaker 1>to see track record before they make decisions like this.

0:23:32.040 --> 0:23:34.320
<v Speaker 1>And but I think some more teams, like we saw

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:36.239
<v Speaker 1>the Red Sox teams are going to start making more

0:23:36.280 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 1>decisions based on their models and how they project these

0:23:39.040 --> 0:23:41.600
<v Speaker 1>guys because they're confident in those and we just might

0:23:41.640 --> 0:23:44.600
<v Speaker 1>just be seeing that transition happening. More teams will probably follow,

0:23:44.640 --> 0:23:48.320
<v Speaker 1>that's my guess. Yeah, all right, but Scott, thank you

0:23:48.400 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 1>so much for joining The show Man. You were the

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:53.360
<v Speaker 1>first inaugural guest, so you can put that back there

0:23:53.359 --> 0:23:57.200
<v Speaker 1>with that emmy, I'll get you, I'll get you a plaque. No, yeah,

0:23:57.320 --> 0:23:59.520
<v Speaker 1>give me something, no extension, but you can get like

0:23:59.520 --> 0:24:01.120
<v Speaker 1>a three D in a plaque or something.

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:03.359
<v Speaker 2>We'll do that, or a may Day hat, something like that.

0:24:03.480 --> 0:24:06.640
<v Speaker 1>Hat. Yeah, may Day, may Day out shop anyone who

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:07.240
<v Speaker 1>wants to make a hat?

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:10.399
<v Speaker 2>All right, guys, I accompany then, thanks to Ron joining

0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:10.800
<v Speaker 2>the show.

0:24:12.600 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 3>M hm.

0:24:19.520 --> 0:24:25.080
<v Speaker 2>M m m mm hmmmmmmm