WEBVTT - NFL Championship Round Lines Reactions (Ep. 44) 0:00:12.200 --> 0:00:15.320 Hey there, everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL Podcast, 0:00:15.440 --> 0:00:18.560 brought to you by Bett MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris. 0:00:18.600 --> 0:00:21.440 You can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. 0:00:21.800 --> 0:00:24.480 It was a wild divisional round weekend and we have 0:00:24.560 --> 0:00:27.040 a ton to talk about. With me to break things 0:00:27.040 --> 0:00:29.520 down this week is Ian McMillan, a writer over at 0:00:29.520 --> 0:00:32.200 oddshark dot com. You can find them on Twitter at 0:00:32.560 --> 0:00:35.519 Ian macOS Ian. Thanks for coming back on how you doing. 0:00:35.840 --> 0:00:38.839 I'm doing fantastic. It was an absolute whirlwind of a 0:00:38.880 --> 0:00:41.479 weekend of games, some wild games. So yeah, let's get 0:00:41.520 --> 0:00:41.879 into it. 0:00:41.960 --> 0:00:44.640 You knew one of the big favorites was gonna lose, right, 0:00:44.680 --> 0:00:46.800 I mean, the books aren't going to take a bath 0:00:46.840 --> 0:00:49.839 on all these moneyline parlays. You knew that somewhere one 0:00:49.920 --> 0:00:52.320 of these teams, either the Chiefs or the Ravens, probably 0:00:52.360 --> 0:00:55.000 something was gonna go crazy. I mean I didn't expect it, 0:00:55.040 --> 0:00:56.920 but I mean this is the way it works, right, 0:00:56.960 --> 0:01:00.120 This is how gambling works. The unexpected happens, and somehow, 0:01:00.160 --> 0:01:02.600 I'm sure the books made a total killing on that game. 0:01:02.800 --> 0:01:05.319 Oh absolutely. And I mean like something I was looking 0:01:05.360 --> 0:01:07.319 at all week was I was tempted. I looked at 0:01:07.360 --> 0:01:09.319 it almost every day. I was tempted just to take 0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:12.840 a three team money line parlay of the forty nine Ers, Ravens, 0:01:12.840 --> 0:01:15.280 and Chiefs. But something kept telling me, now, one of 0:01:15.280 --> 0:01:17.360 those teams are gonna lose, and sure enough they did. 0:01:17.360 --> 0:01:18.720 So I'm glad I held off on that. Now. 0:01:18.720 --> 0:01:20.520 You've been on quite a run actually lately. I mean 0:01:20.560 --> 0:01:22.680 I follow you on Twitter. You've been doing very well 0:01:22.680 --> 0:01:24.720 with your picks to that hold for the divisional round 0:01:24.760 --> 0:01:26.840 in the NFL. Or did you take a bath like 0:01:26.880 --> 0:01:27.560 a lot of betters. 0:01:27.680 --> 0:01:30.039 Yeah, no, I've Yeah, I've done pretty well this year. 0:01:30.080 --> 0:01:32.240 That held in the divisional round. It went three to 0:01:32.240 --> 0:01:34.520 one and one in the divisional round that I lost 0:01:34.520 --> 0:01:36.720 in the last game the my Packers Seahawks pick so 0:01:36.920 --> 0:01:39.360 six one and one total in the NFL playoffs so far. 0:01:39.400 --> 0:01:40.080 So I'm doing well. 0:01:40.160 --> 0:01:42.080 All right, let's keep it going then into next week. 0:01:42.160 --> 0:01:44.360 So we are doing things a little bit differently this week. 0:01:44.360 --> 0:01:47.080 We usually record and publish on Monday night, but we 0:01:47.120 --> 0:01:50.320 figured why wait, football's fresh on everyone's mind, let's just 0:01:50.400 --> 0:01:52.680 jump into it. So we are recording this on Sunday night, 0:01:52.760 --> 0:01:56.280 like right after the Seahawks Packers game ended. Because there 0:01:56.280 --> 0:01:58.120 are only two games next week, we're going to change 0:01:58.120 --> 0:01:59.920 it up a little bit for this early show. Were 0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:02.840 to break down each of the divisional weekends games first 0:02:02.920 --> 0:02:05.440 before looking ahead to next week. And if you are 0:02:05.480 --> 0:02:07.760 at all familiar with my work, you know that this 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:10.400 is my happy place because I host the Sunday night 0:02:10.440 --> 0:02:13.280 recap show for the Fantasy Pros Football podcast. So I 0:02:13.320 --> 0:02:16.320 am all about breaking things down with zero time to 0:02:16.360 --> 0:02:18.239 think about them. So let's just jump in right here 0:02:18.280 --> 0:02:21.320 with the forty nine Ers twenty seven Vikings ten. This 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:23.960 was a seven point spread and it wasn't something I 0:02:24.040 --> 0:02:26.960 personally really wanted to get involved with at that number, 0:02:27.000 --> 0:02:29.440 the key number. It honestly felt like a little bit 0:02:29.440 --> 0:02:31.360 of value on the Vikes to me, but nothing I 0:02:31.440 --> 0:02:33.720 really wanted to trust. But as I mentioned on Thursday, 0:02:33.880 --> 0:02:36.240 I felt extremely confident that the forty nine Ers were 0:02:36.240 --> 0:02:38.120 gonna win this one. I talked about on Thursday show 0:02:38.320 --> 0:02:41.240 Kwan Alexander d Ford coming back with Tart. I mean, 0:02:41.280 --> 0:02:43.919 the key defenders on defense returning. I thought they'd be 0:02:43.960 --> 0:02:46.120 able to get pressure on Cousins without blitzing, which they 0:02:46.160 --> 0:02:49.200 did six sacks, the passing offense for the Vikings cannot 0:02:49.240 --> 0:02:52.920 get anything going. The defense is completely The defense completely 0:02:52.919 --> 0:02:56.040 shuts down Dalvin Cook just nine rushes for eighteen yards. 0:02:56.600 --> 0:03:00.000 The offense. Meanwhile, after the Garoppolo interception, they got conservative 0:03:00.200 --> 0:03:03.160 a bit. Garoppolo attempts only nineteen passes there was for 0:03:03.160 --> 0:03:05.120 one hundred and thirty one yards and a touchdown with 0:03:05.120 --> 0:03:09.160 the one pick. The running backs tally forty two carries, 0:03:09.200 --> 0:03:12.040 twenty two for Tevin Coleman of course, for one hundred 0:03:12.040 --> 0:03:14.720 and five yards and two scores, where he mostered twelve 0:03:14.720 --> 0:03:17.440 for fifty eight Mattbrita eight for seventeen. He does lose 0:03:17.480 --> 0:03:19.800 a fumble at the end. I believe Mostart hurt his 0:03:19.960 --> 0:03:22.360 calf at some point in the second half. Doesn't sound 0:03:22.400 --> 0:03:25.079 too severe, and there's rumors that Coleman banged up his elbow, 0:03:25.360 --> 0:03:28.400 So it doesn't sound like either one's availability for next 0:03:28.440 --> 0:03:30.880 week's game against the Packers is in doubt. But we'll 0:03:30.880 --> 0:03:33.320 break down that specific matchup with the Packers in a bit. 0:03:33.360 --> 0:03:35.560 But I mean, after seeing this game, you have to 0:03:35.560 --> 0:03:37.839 be pretty impressed with the forty nine ers, right, Oh. 0:03:37.880 --> 0:03:41.520 Absolutely. I mean they look like a complete team offense, defense. 0:03:42.120 --> 0:03:44.560 I mean, I thought the forty nine Ers in this game. 0:03:44.600 --> 0:03:46.800 I thought this was was this was the pick I 0:03:46.840 --> 0:03:48.960 was the most confident in this weekend. I think there 0:03:49.000 --> 0:03:51.320 was a lot of recency bias from the Vikings beating 0:03:51.360 --> 0:03:54.960 the Saints last weekend, but Kirk Cousins on the road 0:03:55.040 --> 0:03:57.640 West Coast. This time. They were playing on a grass field. 0:03:57.680 --> 0:03:59.760 It wasn't a dome like they were playing against the Saints, 0:03:59.800 --> 0:04:01.440 So I think it was a little bit of recency 0:04:01.480 --> 0:04:04.080 bias went into that line. So I like the forty 0:04:04.160 --> 0:04:06.480 nine Ers. That's why I took them the minus seven. 0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:09.280 I wasn't too afraid of that big spread. The big 0:04:09.320 --> 0:04:11.840 thing is the forty nine Ers defense, and in throughout 0:04:11.880 --> 0:04:14.560 the whole season they've been like a top two, top 0:04:14.640 --> 0:04:17.640 three defensive unit the entire season, and not too many 0:04:17.680 --> 0:04:21.200 people are talking about that, especially the pass defense as well. 0:04:21.240 --> 0:04:23.920 Outside of that long pass, I believe that was to 0:04:24.080 --> 0:04:27.279 Digs right early in the game to make it seven 0:04:27.279 --> 0:04:30.400 to seven. Other than that long pass, they completely contained 0:04:30.400 --> 0:04:33.800 the passing game with at least one interception. I know 0:04:33.920 --> 0:04:36.280 Richard Sherman got an interception, was one interception or two? 0:04:37.800 --> 0:04:39.799 Such a whirlwind the games because that was the first 0:04:39.800 --> 0:04:42.080 one but at least one interception there. I mean that 0:04:42.120 --> 0:04:44.520 forty nine ers pass defenses might be the best pass 0:04:44.560 --> 0:04:46.880 defense in the league right now, definitely the best pass 0:04:46.920 --> 0:04:48.800 defense left over to the teams that are left. So 0:04:49.640 --> 0:04:52.400 forty nine Ers they are looking good. Yeah. 0:04:52.480 --> 0:04:54.480 I mean, for me again, part of the reason why 0:04:54.480 --> 0:04:56.600 I didn't feel comfortable at the seven is just, I mean, 0:04:56.640 --> 0:04:58.560 as good as the forty nine ers are, they just 0:04:58.839 --> 0:05:01.360 they've played a ton of close games, right, I mean 0:05:01.440 --> 0:05:04.120 basically the last five or six weeks, they're within one 0:05:04.160 --> 0:05:06.880 score when they were winning. So they just didn't strike 0:05:06.920 --> 0:05:08.760 me as the type of team that's going to be 0:05:08.760 --> 0:05:11.599 able to necessarily blow out the Vikings, who I kind 0:05:11.600 --> 0:05:14.200 of feel like we're a little underrated, you know. I 0:05:14.240 --> 0:05:17.240 get that everybody was jumping on them because of the 0:05:17.720 --> 0:05:20.400 fact that they went into New Orleans and beat the Saints, 0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:22.440 but you know, part of the thing with them is 0:05:22.720 --> 0:05:25.359 they were dealing without a healthy Adam Feelin for a 0:05:25.360 --> 0:05:27.800 long time, without a healthy Dalvin Cook. So with both 0:05:27.839 --> 0:05:29.800 of those guys back, and of course you have this 0:05:29.960 --> 0:05:33.240 weird injury where theelan apparently gets spiked, you know, during 0:05:33.279 --> 0:05:36.400 practice and kind of almost messes up his Achilles or 0:05:36.440 --> 0:05:38.320 something like that. So there were all these weird things 0:05:38.320 --> 0:05:40.960 that went into it, but you made the key point, 0:05:41.000 --> 0:05:43.240 which is the defense. It was one interception, by the way, 0:05:43.279 --> 0:05:46.920 I just confirmed that. But it's Kwan Alexander coming back, 0:05:46.920 --> 0:05:49.440 which I did not expect to necessarily see him at 0:05:49.480 --> 0:05:52.120 all for the remainder of the season. D Ford, who 0:05:52.120 --> 0:05:55.799 didn't play a full complement of snaps, but he's able 0:05:55.839 --> 0:05:57.880 to get pressure so easily when you combine him with 0:05:57.920 --> 0:06:01.119 Bosa in particular, you know, in Armstead and then Tart 0:06:01.160 --> 0:06:03.599 out there just kind of helps the entire defense. And 0:06:03.600 --> 0:06:06.040 again it's got an elite pass defense coming in, of course, 0:06:06.200 --> 0:06:09.560 but Tart coming back really also kind of made everything 0:06:09.760 --> 0:06:13.080 just whole. And you see, especially playing at home. We'll 0:06:13.120 --> 0:06:16.720 get into that game against the Packers, but it's right now, 0:06:16.760 --> 0:06:19.200 they just look really scary. Does it worry you at all? 0:06:19.240 --> 0:06:22.200 I mean, look, they had the game. It wasn't though, 0:06:22.240 --> 0:06:24.280 like they were way ahead the entire time. I mean 0:06:24.279 --> 0:06:26.559 they wound up winning twenty seven to ten. But again 0:06:26.640 --> 0:06:29.800 after Garoppolo threw that pick, which was you know, not 0:06:30.400 --> 0:06:32.240 a great pick, I mean he just didn't he just 0:06:32.279 --> 0:06:35.479 didn't view the defender coming in they went really really 0:06:35.480 --> 0:06:38.280 conservative on offense, and they just ran the ball. You know, 0:06:38.320 --> 0:06:40.719 they obviously had that driver. They ran it eight times 0:06:40.960 --> 0:06:43.680 straight to get in. Does it worry you at all 0:06:43.960 --> 0:06:46.640 coming in as to whether you know Garoppolo is up 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:48.920 for the task. You know, he's got at least one 0:06:48.960 --> 0:06:51.760 more game, possibly too if he makes to the Super Bowl. 0:06:51.880 --> 0:06:54.920 Considering I mean he attempted only nineteen passes one hundred 0:06:54.920 --> 0:06:56.520 and thirty one yards. I don't know if that's necessarily 0:06:56.560 --> 0:06:57.680 going to be able to get it done, or do 0:06:57.720 --> 0:06:59.440 you just think that they said, you know, we've got 0:06:59.480 --> 0:07:01.360 this game where just gonna rely on our run game 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:03.000 because we think our defense can hold the four. 0:07:03.480 --> 0:07:06.039 I mean, for most cases, if you can just run 0:07:06.080 --> 0:07:07.600 the ball, and if you're as successful out of it 0:07:07.600 --> 0:07:09.960 as the forty nine ers are, why even why do 0:07:10.000 --> 0:07:12.200 you need to pass the ball? So, I mean, running 0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:14.480 the ball is a little bit less risky Grapplo. I mean, 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:16.960 I see where you're coming from, because I'm kind of 0:07:17.360 --> 0:07:20.440 slightly questioned the ball season, but he's played very solid 0:07:20.440 --> 0:07:22.840 throughout the entire season. He didn't he hasn't really had 0:07:22.880 --> 0:07:25.560 any games where like, oh geez, that was a stinker, 0:07:26.400 --> 0:07:28.440 and I think a huge advantage the forty nine ers 0:07:28.480 --> 0:07:32.160 have and I think this was actually showed pretty clearly 0:07:32.200 --> 0:07:34.520 in this game against the Vikings as the coaching advantage. 0:07:34.560 --> 0:07:37.560 I think Kyle Shanahan is a fantastic coach. I love 0:07:37.600 --> 0:07:40.440 how much he uses motion on offense. It's something like 0:07:40.520 --> 0:07:42.640 seventy eight percent of his plays they do a motion 0:07:42.760 --> 0:07:45.640 pre snap, which is really interesting when you watch that. 0:07:45.960 --> 0:07:48.440 And of course, me being a former Falcons fan, I 0:07:48.800 --> 0:07:50.720 try a little bit every time I see Kyle Shanahan 0:07:50.800 --> 0:07:53.200 having success him in tivin Coleman because of course he 0:07:53.320 --> 0:07:55.560 was the Falcons offensive coordinator when they went to the 0:07:55.560 --> 0:07:57.960 Super Bowl, they let him go. So I'm a big KYLEE. 0:07:57.960 --> 0:08:00.640 Shanahan fan. I think he is one of the best 0:08:00.640 --> 0:08:02.760 coaches in the NFL right now, and I think that 0:08:02.840 --> 0:08:05.240 showed a lot in that Vikings game. And we're gonna 0:08:05.240 --> 0:08:07.000 see I mean, we're gonna talk about the game against 0:08:07.000 --> 0:08:09.640 the Packers here shortly, but I think we're gonna we 0:08:09.720 --> 0:08:12.160 might see that a battle a couple of New Wish 0:08:12.160 --> 0:08:14.880 head coaches there next weekend. And I think Kyle Shanahan's 0:08:14.880 --> 0:08:15.600 gonna keep shining. 0:08:15.920 --> 0:08:19.040 Yeah, I think he is too. And speaking of winning 0:08:19.080 --> 0:08:21.600 games when your quarterback doesn't have to do much. Let's 0:08:21.640 --> 0:08:24.600 move on to the Titans twenty eight Ravens twelve. As 0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:26.840 we said, you know, this was the one game. I 0:08:27.160 --> 0:08:30.000 gotta imagine that whatever else happened this weekend for the books, 0:08:30.320 --> 0:08:32.200 the fact that this blew up all the money line 0:08:32.240 --> 0:08:36.760 parlays just completely made their weekend. The Titans, they controlled 0:08:36.760 --> 0:08:40.280 this game pretty much the entire way through. Ryan Tannehill 0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:44.240 does almost nothing again, seven completions, eighty eight yards. He 0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:46.839 does throw the two touchdowns, it's all Derreck Henry again 0:08:46.880 --> 0:08:50.160 thirty carries one hundred and ninety five yards, despite the 0:08:50.160 --> 0:08:52.200 fact that I mean he was you watch that game. 0:08:52.240 --> 0:08:55.400 He's facing eight man fronts constantly in that game, and 0:08:55.440 --> 0:08:57.599 he's just plowing right through him. He also throws for 0:08:57.640 --> 0:09:00.280 a touchdown crying out loud. I mean, I I think 0:09:00.280 --> 0:09:02.160 that really leads just to the one big question that 0:09:02.200 --> 0:09:04.480 most people have coming out of that game. How much 0:09:04.480 --> 0:09:07.440 would someone have to offer you to attempt to tackle 0:09:07.520 --> 0:09:09.559 Derek Henry coming at you with a bullhead of steam? 0:09:09.640 --> 0:09:10.679 And what's the number. 0:09:11.760 --> 0:09:13.360 I'd do for free? Just see if I could do it. 0:09:13.400 --> 0:09:14.959 I used to play football back in the day. I 0:09:15.000 --> 0:09:16.720 played a little bit of college football up here in 0:09:16.720 --> 0:09:18.400 Canada as well. I was a running back, so I 0:09:18.440 --> 0:09:20.760 was the one getting hit like Derek Henry's. I mean, 0:09:20.800 --> 0:09:23.240 he's a beast, no doubt about it. I'd like to 0:09:23.280 --> 0:09:25.120 see if I could die. I mean, I'm sure I couldn't, 0:09:25.120 --> 0:09:27.800 but it'd be fun. I wouldn't mind being run over. 0:09:27.840 --> 0:09:30.679 I've been run over a couple of times in my career. 0:09:30.840 --> 0:09:33.520 So yeah, right, I just want to know that that's 0:09:33.559 --> 0:09:37.320 a terrible answer. The correct answer is sixteen thousand, four 0:09:37.400 --> 0:09:40.120 hundred and eighty dollars. All right. But meanwhile, the Ravens 0:09:40.120 --> 0:09:42.520 in this game, they're just off. They dropped a ton 0:09:42.559 --> 0:09:45.359 of passes, Lamar Jackson, turned the ball over three times. 0:09:45.400 --> 0:09:48.160 Mark Ing was banged up at first. Let me just ask, 0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:50.200 is this a game you feel like the Titans, you know, 0:09:50.240 --> 0:09:51.840 really won and they took it, or is this a 0:09:51.880 --> 0:09:55.280 game that the Ravens just kind of gave it to them? 0:09:55.679 --> 0:09:58.200 Oh? I think the Titans won. I think they took it. 0:09:58.240 --> 0:09:59.960 I think I think they they did what they had 0:10:00.120 --> 0:10:02.360 to do. And just to stay on the topic of 0:10:02.440 --> 0:10:04.880 Derrick Henry there and what I find most impressive about 0:10:04.880 --> 0:10:07.240 Derek Henry and it showed quite a bit in this game, 0:10:07.280 --> 0:10:10.640 and I think they briefly mentioned it during the broadcast 0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:12.680 as well. It's not necessarily the big runs that he 0:10:12.760 --> 0:10:15.360 keeps busting off. It's when guys get in the backfield 0:10:15.400 --> 0:10:17.120 and then he still ends up getting like a four 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:20.199 or five yard game. It's insane. It's like he almost 0:10:20.240 --> 0:10:22.240 doesn't even need an offensive line. He's gonna get four 0:10:22.360 --> 0:10:25.000 yards every single time that he touches the ball. It's 0:10:25.000 --> 0:10:27.959 absolutely insane. Titans did exactly what they had to do 0:10:28.000 --> 0:10:30.280 with their game plan was fantastic. I was impressed with 0:10:30.320 --> 0:10:32.679 what Mike Frabele brought to the table that game. I 0:10:32.720 --> 0:10:35.160 love how he's doing like workouts with some of the 0:10:35.200 --> 0:10:37.199 other guys on the team right before kickoff. I think 0:10:37.200 --> 0:10:40.400 that's hilarious. He's passionate, and I think the whole team 0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:42.880 after that Patriots whin. They came into this game with 0:10:42.920 --> 0:10:44.880 a lot of confidence and that's just gonna keep rolling. 0:10:45.840 --> 0:10:47.600 I like the Titans right now. I think they're kind 0:10:47.600 --> 0:10:50.320 of one of those surprise teams, like we kind of 0:10:50.320 --> 0:10:52.360 saw the Giants there a handful of years ago, like 0:10:52.360 --> 0:10:54.840 a nine and seven team going to the playoffs. They're 0:10:54.840 --> 0:10:58.079 just hitting their stride at the perfect time, and I'm 0:10:58.120 --> 0:10:59.840 interested see what they're gonna do next week. But yeah, 0:11:00.240 --> 0:11:02.720 the Titans won that game. The other thing, I'm kind 0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:06.520 of Baltimore they were rusty. I think that was very 0:11:06.600 --> 0:11:09.640 clear that they're rusty. I don't know if I agree 0:11:09.640 --> 0:11:11.839 with their decision of sitting all their important starters in 0:11:11.880 --> 0:11:14.800 week seventeen when they had the bye week the next week. 0:11:14.840 --> 0:11:17.080 I mean that's two full weeks they completely took off. 0:11:17.280 --> 0:11:19.120 I think that kind of showed this weekend. 0:11:19.320 --> 0:11:21.360 Yeah, although to be fair, again, you know, the Chiefs 0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:24.640 came out completely flat and they played everybody right in 0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:27.040 Week seventeen, so you never really know what it was. 0:11:27.080 --> 0:11:29.120 And again, you know with the Ravens, the only thing 0:11:29.160 --> 0:11:32.160 I'll say is, as much as you know the Titans, 0:11:32.320 --> 0:11:35.040 really they were the better team on that day. In 0:11:35.040 --> 0:11:37.640 my opinion, I agree with you there. You know, the 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:41.040 Ravens never get stopped on fourth down, and you know 0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:42.720 they went forward a couple of times and they didn't 0:11:42.720 --> 0:11:45.080 get it. They make it both those times, the game 0:11:45.200 --> 0:11:47.720 might be completely different, right, I mean, it's those little 0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:50.320 things that sort of happened in that game. But I 0:11:50.360 --> 0:11:52.760 agree with you the Titans right now. Look, they're extremely 0:11:52.760 --> 0:11:56.040 strong defensively. Ryan Tannehill, you know, he's not being asked 0:11:56.080 --> 0:11:59.080 to do all that much, but he's playing smart football, 0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:01.520 right He's you know, you can see him when he 0:12:01.640 --> 0:12:04.480 knows it's not there. He's not going to take usually 0:12:04.520 --> 0:12:06.320 the killer sack, and he's not going to try to 0:12:06.360 --> 0:12:08.160 force it into coverage. He's going to throw it away. 0:12:08.320 --> 0:12:10.360 He's going to protect them. And Derek Henry is a 0:12:10.400 --> 0:12:11.880 beast running the ball. I mean you said it. The 0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:14.240 number of times where he runs into the line and 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:16.080 it's like, all right, there is nothing there and he 0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:19.040 just sort of plows forward for five yards. I mean, 0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:21.840 there is a huge difference when you're looking at second 0:12:21.880 --> 0:12:24.760 and five as opposed to second and eight. As much 0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:27.319 as the NFL has changed, if you play lockdown defense, 0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:29.600 if you can run the ball, you've got a chance 0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:31.680 to do something in the playoffs, right, So, I mean, 0:12:32.120 --> 0:12:34.680 I'm in agreement with you. I'm really interested to see 0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:37.040 where they go forward. Do you think, to be honest, 0:12:37.040 --> 0:12:38.440 that this team has a chance. I mean there's only 0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:40.200 four teams left, so yeah, they've got a chance, but 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.439 a realistic chance to win the Super Bowl. 0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:46.280 Yes, I think they do. And the point that you 0:12:46.280 --> 0:12:49.640 mentioned about Tannahill is dead on. He's been very efficient. 0:12:49.720 --> 0:12:51.200 I think that's the word I've been kind of using 0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:54.000 for Ryan Tannehill. He's making the throzy ass to make, 0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:56.679 he's not making too many mistakes. He's only had one 0:12:56.720 --> 0:12:59.080 interception the last four games that he started in. He's 0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:01.400 doing exactly what what he needs to do. He's managing 0:13:01.400 --> 0:13:04.800 the game and he's just letting Derek Henry take over. 0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:07.480 So yeah, I mean, if they can get through the 0:13:07.480 --> 0:13:09.720 Patriots and the Ravens, that they can beat anyone, So 0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:11.320 why not? Why not Super Bowl? 0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:13.439 And you keep waiting for their efficiency in the red 0:13:13.520 --> 0:13:15.839 zone to die out, but it's just not. I mean 0:13:15.880 --> 0:13:17.839 every time they get in the Renzo, they're basically scoring 0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:19.920 a touchdown. So yeah, it's going to be interesting. We'll 0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:21.959 break down that game against the Chiefs in a minute, 0:13:21.960 --> 0:13:24.680 but before we move on and talk about today's games, 0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:26.680 I do want to tell everyone about the sponsor of 0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:30.320 the today's show, bet MGM, and specifically the bet MGM 0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:32.960 Sports app. Like, if you've heard me talk about this 0:13:33.000 --> 0:13:35.160 app before, just listen closely this time because I've got 0:13:35.160 --> 0:13:38.040 a pretty good real life example today of why it 0:13:38.120 --> 0:13:40.360 pays to sign up with the bet MGM Sports app. 0:13:40.360 --> 0:13:42.280 You can place a bet right from your phone. Just 0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:44.480 search for the bet mgm Sports app in your app store, 0:13:44.600 --> 0:13:46.840 download it and sign up for an account. 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These winnings are paid in free bets. 0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:18.840 You must be twenty one years or older, and although 0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:21.280 you can sign up an easily deposit money anywhere, you 0:15:21.360 --> 0:15:23.000 must be in the state of New Jersey to plays 0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:26.640 a sports bet, and certain restrictions apply. Visit BETMGM dot 0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:28.840 com for the full list of terms and conditions. And 0:15:28.880 --> 0:15:31.640 if you've got a gambling problem, call one eight hundred gambler. 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:35.280 All right, Ian, let's get to the real wild one 0:15:35.280 --> 0:15:38.000 that Chiefs fifty one, Texans thirty one. All I can 0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.040 say is thank goodness for in game wagering. Okay, I 0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:43.960 mean I felt relatively confident even when the Chiefs saw 0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:45.720 way behind, that they were going to find a way 0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:48.360 to win that game. It's Bill O'Brien to Patrick Mahomes, 0:15:48.440 --> 0:15:51.160 but it's fourteen nothing. The Textans are about to come 0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:53.000 in for another score, and you know that team from Braveheart, 0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:55.800 the first big battle where the cavalry's charging and Mel 0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:59.640 Gibson the screaming hold hold, and of course right then, 0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:03.160 only the cavalry gets just close enough and he screams no, 0:16:03.840 --> 0:16:06.240 and they all pick up the long sticks as a defense. 0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:08.440 That's legit how I felt as I'm watching the in 0:16:08.520 --> 0:16:11.400 game odds. It's fourteen to nothing. The Chiefs are still 0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:14.480 in game two point favorites. It's twenty one nothing, and 0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:16.760 the money line is still just like plus one point 0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:19.840 thirty on the Chiefs. I'm like, hold, hold, And finally 0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:22.080 it's twenty four to nothing. The in game money line 0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:24.480 on the Chiefs is like plus two ten and they're 0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:27.240 getting seven, and I'm like no. And that made up 0:16:27.240 --> 0:16:29.080 for a long weekend. But that is really one of 0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:31.920 the reasons why if you are gambling, make sure you're 0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:34.240 paying attention to in game wagers, because there's certainly a 0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.360 way to maximize your winning. Anyway, the Chiefs went crazy, 0:16:37.520 --> 0:16:40.320 fourth biggest comeback and playoff history. Travis Kelcey and Damian 0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:44.000 Williams score three touchdowns each. The homes throws for five touchdowns. 0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:48.600 The offense looks borderline unstoppable. The defense, however, obviously struggled 0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:51.040 for at least the first half. Deshaun Watson threw for 0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:54.800 three hundred eighty eight yards two touchdowns. DeAndre Hopkins, Kenny Stills, 0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:57.840 Wolfeler they each had at least eighty yeards receiving. So 0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:00.600 you've got a game where the Chiefs were down twenty 0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:04.280 four to nothing at home against a mediocre team, but 0:17:04.400 --> 0:17:07.240 they ultimately win in a blowout. Do you feel better 0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:10.040 about the Chiefs worse about the Chiefs or the same 0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:11.600 that you felt coming in about the Chiefs. 0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:15.960 I think through all of that, I think I feel 0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:18.199 the same about the Chiefs, to be completely honest. I mean, 0:17:18.240 --> 0:17:20.600 I just have to say that was probably one of 0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:23.080 the most wild football games I've ever watched. I mean, 0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:26.240 I even though last year wasn't a huge comeback, I 0:17:26.280 --> 0:17:29.280 was thinking of last year's Chiefs and Rams Monday night 0:17:29.280 --> 0:17:31.719 game just with how many points were scored. Just an 0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:34.880