1
00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:15,320
Speaker 1: Hey there, everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL Podcast,

2
00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:18,560
Speaker 1: brought to you by Bett MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.

3
00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,440
Speaker 1: You can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty.

4
00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,480
Speaker 1: It was a wild divisional round weekend and we have

5
00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,040
Speaker 1: a ton to talk about. With me to break things

6
00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:29,520
Speaker 1: down this week is Ian McMillan, a writer over at

7
00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:32,200
Speaker 1: oddshark dot com. You can find them on Twitter at

8
00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,519
Speaker 1: Ian macOS Ian. Thanks for coming back on how you doing.

9
00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:38,839
Speaker 2: I'm doing fantastic. It was an absolute whirlwind of a

10
00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:41,479
Speaker 2: weekend of games, some wild games. So yeah, let's get

11
00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:41,879
Speaker 2: into it.

12
00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,640
Speaker 1: You knew one of the big favorites was gonna lose, right,

13
00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:46,800
Speaker 1: I mean, the books aren't going to take a bath

14
00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,839
Speaker 1: on all these moneyline parlays. You knew that somewhere one

15
00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,320
Speaker 1: of these teams, either the Chiefs or the Ravens, probably

16
00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,000
Speaker 1: something was gonna go crazy. I mean I didn't expect it,

17
00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:56,920
Speaker 1: but I mean this is the way it works, right,

18
00:00:56,960 --> 00:01:00,120
Speaker 1: This is how gambling works. The unexpected happens, and somehow,

19
00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:02,600
Speaker 1: I'm sure the books made a total killing on that game.

20
00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,319
Speaker 2: Oh absolutely. And I mean like something I was looking

21
00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,319
Speaker 2: at all week was I was tempted. I looked at

22
00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,319
Speaker 2: it almost every day. I was tempted just to take

23
00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:12,840
Speaker 2: a three team money line parlay of the forty nine Ers, Ravens,

24
00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:15,280
Speaker 2: and Chiefs. But something kept telling me, now, one of

25
00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:17,360
Speaker 2: those teams are gonna lose, and sure enough they did.

26
00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:18,720
Speaker 2: So I'm glad I held off on that. Now.

27
00:01:18,720 --> 00:01:20,520
Speaker 1: You've been on quite a run actually lately. I mean

28
00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:22,680
Speaker 1: I follow you on Twitter. You've been doing very well

29
00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:24,720
Speaker 1: with your picks to that hold for the divisional round

30
00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:26,840
Speaker 1: in the NFL. Or did you take a bath like

31
00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:27,560
Speaker 1: a lot of betters.

32
00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:30,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I've Yeah, I've done pretty well this year.

33
00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,240
Speaker 2: That held in the divisional round. It went three to

34
00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:34,520
Speaker 2: one and one in the divisional round that I lost

35
00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:36,720
Speaker 2: in the last game the my Packers Seahawks pick so

36
00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,360
Speaker 2: six one and one total in the NFL playoffs so far.

37
00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:40,080
Speaker 2: So I'm doing well.

38
00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:42,080
Speaker 1: All right, let's keep it going then into next week.

39
00:01:42,160 --> 00:01:44,360
Speaker 1: So we are doing things a little bit differently this week.

40
00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,080
Speaker 1: We usually record and publish on Monday night, but we

41
00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:50,320
Speaker 1: figured why wait, football's fresh on everyone's mind, let's just

42
00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:52,680
Speaker 1: jump into it. So we are recording this on Sunday night,

43
00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:56,280
Speaker 1: like right after the Seahawks Packers game ended. Because there

44
00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,120
Speaker 1: are only two games next week, we're going to change

45
00:01:58,120 --> 00:01:59,920
Speaker 1: it up a little bit for this early show. Were

46
00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,840
Speaker 1: to break down each of the divisional weekends games first

47
00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:05,440
Speaker 1: before looking ahead to next week. And if you are

48
00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:07,760
Speaker 1: at all familiar with my work, you know that this

49
00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,400
Speaker 1: is my happy place because I host the Sunday night

50
00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:13,280
Speaker 1: recap show for the Fantasy Pros Football podcast. So I

51
00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:16,320
Speaker 1: am all about breaking things down with zero time to

52
00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:18,239
Speaker 1: think about them. So let's just jump in right here

53
00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,320
Speaker 1: with the forty nine Ers twenty seven Vikings ten. This

54
00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,960
Speaker 1: was a seven point spread and it wasn't something I

55
00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,960
Speaker 1: personally really wanted to get involved with at that number,

56
00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:29,440
Speaker 1: the key number. It honestly felt like a little bit

57
00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:31,360
Speaker 1: of value on the Vikes to me, but nothing I

58
00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:33,720
Speaker 1: really wanted to trust. But as I mentioned on Thursday,

59
00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,240
Speaker 1: I felt extremely confident that the forty nine Ers were

60
00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:38,120
Speaker 1: gonna win this one. I talked about on Thursday show

61
00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:41,240
Speaker 1: Kwan Alexander d Ford coming back with Tart. I mean,

62
00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:43,919
Speaker 1: the key defenders on defense returning. I thought they'd be

63
00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,120
Speaker 1: able to get pressure on Cousins without blitzing, which they

64
00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:49,200
Speaker 1: did six sacks, the passing offense for the Vikings cannot

65
00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:52,920
Speaker 1: get anything going. The defense is completely The defense completely

66
00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:56,040
Speaker 1: shuts down Dalvin Cook just nine rushes for eighteen yards.

67
00:02:56,600 --> 00:03:00,000
Speaker 1: The offense. Meanwhile, after the Garoppolo interception, they got conservative

68
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:03,160
Speaker 1: a bit. Garoppolo attempts only nineteen passes there was for

69
00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:05,120
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty one yards and a touchdown with

70
00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:09,160
Speaker 1: the one pick. The running backs tally forty two carries,

71
00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,040
Speaker 1: twenty two for Tevin Coleman of course, for one hundred

72
00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:14,720
Speaker 1: and five yards and two scores, where he mostered twelve

73
00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,440
Speaker 1: for fifty eight Mattbrita eight for seventeen. He does lose

74
00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:19,800
Speaker 1: a fumble at the end. I believe Mostart hurt his

75
00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,360
Speaker 1: calf at some point in the second half. Doesn't sound

76
00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:25,079
Speaker 1: too severe, and there's rumors that Coleman banged up his elbow,

77
00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:28,400
Speaker 1: So it doesn't sound like either one's availability for next

78
00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:30,880
Speaker 1: week's game against the Packers is in doubt. But we'll

79
00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,320
Speaker 1: break down that specific matchup with the Packers in a bit.

80
00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:35,560
Speaker 1: But I mean, after seeing this game, you have to

81
00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:37,839
Speaker 1: be pretty impressed with the forty nine ers, right, Oh.

82
00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:41,520
Speaker 2: Absolutely. I mean they look like a complete team offense, defense.

83
00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:44,560
Speaker 2: I mean, I thought the forty nine Ers in this game.

84
00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:46,800
Speaker 2: I thought this was was this was the pick I

85
00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:48,960
Speaker 2: was the most confident in this weekend. I think there

86
00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,320
Speaker 2: was a lot of recency bias from the Vikings beating

87
00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,960
Speaker 2: the Saints last weekend, but Kirk Cousins on the road

88
00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,640
Speaker 2: West Coast. This time. They were playing on a grass field.

89
00:03:57,680 --> 00:03:59,760
Speaker 2: It wasn't a dome like they were playing against the Saints,

90
00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:01,440
Speaker 2: So I think it was a little bit of recency

91
00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,080
Speaker 2: bias went into that line. So I like the forty

92
00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:06,480
Speaker 2: nine Ers. That's why I took them the minus seven.

93
00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,280
Speaker 2: I wasn't too afraid of that big spread. The big

94
00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:11,840
Speaker 2: thing is the forty nine Ers defense, and in throughout

95
00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,560
Speaker 2: the whole season they've been like a top two, top

96
00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,640
Speaker 2: three defensive unit the entire season, and not too many

97
00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:21,200
Speaker 2: people are talking about that, especially the pass defense as well.

98
00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:23,920
Speaker 2: Outside of that long pass, I believe that was to

99
00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:27,279
Speaker 2: Digs right early in the game to make it seven

100
00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:30,400
Speaker 2: to seven. Other than that long pass, they completely contained

101
00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:33,800
Speaker 2: the passing game with at least one interception. I know

102
00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,280
Speaker 2: Richard Sherman got an interception, was one interception or two?

103
00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:39,799
Speaker 2: Such a whirlwind the games because that was the first

104
00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:42,080
Speaker 2: one but at least one interception there. I mean that

105
00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,520
Speaker 2: forty nine ers pass defenses might be the best pass

106
00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:46,880
Speaker 2: defense in the league right now, definitely the best pass

107
00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:48,800
Speaker 2: defense left over to the teams that are left. So

108
00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:52,400
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers they are looking good. Yeah.

109
00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:54,480
Speaker 1: I mean, for me again, part of the reason why

110
00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:56,600
Speaker 1: I didn't feel comfortable at the seven is just, I mean,

111
00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:58,560
Speaker 1: as good as the forty nine ers are, they just

112
00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,360
Speaker 1: they've played a ton of close games, right, I mean

113
00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,120
Speaker 1: basically the last five or six weeks, they're within one

114
00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,880
Speaker 1: score when they were winning. So they just didn't strike

115
00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:08,760
Speaker 1: me as the type of team that's going to be

116
00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:11,599
Speaker 1: able to necessarily blow out the Vikings, who I kind

117
00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,200
Speaker 1: of feel like we're a little underrated, you know. I

118
00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,240
Speaker 1: get that everybody was jumping on them because of the

119
00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:20,400
Speaker 1: fact that they went into New Orleans and beat the Saints,

120
00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:22,440
Speaker 1: but you know, part of the thing with them is

121
00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:25,359
Speaker 1: they were dealing without a healthy Adam Feelin for a

122
00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:27,800
Speaker 1: long time, without a healthy Dalvin Cook. So with both

123
00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:29,800
Speaker 1: of those guys back, and of course you have this

124
00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:33,240
Speaker 1: weird injury where theelan apparently gets spiked, you know, during

125
00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:36,400
Speaker 1: practice and kind of almost messes up his Achilles or

126
00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,320
Speaker 1: something like that. So there were all these weird things

127
00:05:38,320 --> 00:05:40,960
Speaker 1: that went into it, but you made the key point,

128
00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,240
Speaker 1: which is the defense. It was one interception, by the way,

129
00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:46,920
Speaker 1: I just confirmed that. But it's Kwan Alexander coming back,

130
00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,440
Speaker 1: which I did not expect to necessarily see him at

131
00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,120
Speaker 1: all for the remainder of the season. D Ford, who

132
00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:55,799
Speaker 1: didn't play a full complement of snaps, but he's able

133
00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:57,880
Speaker 1: to get pressure so easily when you combine him with

134
00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:01,119
Speaker 1: Bosa in particular, you know, in Armstead and then Tart

135
00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:03,599
Speaker 1: out there just kind of helps the entire defense. And

136
00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,040
Speaker 1: again it's got an elite pass defense coming in, of course,

137
00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:09,560
Speaker 1: but Tart coming back really also kind of made everything

138
00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:13,080
Speaker 1: just whole. And you see, especially playing at home. We'll

139
00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:16,720
Speaker 1: get into that game against the Packers, but it's right now,

140
00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:19,200
Speaker 1: they just look really scary. Does it worry you at all?

141
00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:22,200
Speaker 1: I mean, look, they had the game. It wasn't though,

142
00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,280
Speaker 1: like they were way ahead the entire time. I mean

143
00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:26,559
Speaker 1: they wound up winning twenty seven to ten. But again

144
00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:29,800
Speaker 1: after Garoppolo threw that pick, which was you know, not

145
00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:32,240
Speaker 1: a great pick, I mean he just didn't he just

146
00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:35,479
Speaker 1: didn't view the defender coming in they went really really

147
00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:38,280
Speaker 1: conservative on offense, and they just ran the ball. You know,

148
00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:40,719
Speaker 1: they obviously had that driver. They ran it eight times

149
00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:43,680
Speaker 1: straight to get in. Does it worry you at all

150
00:06:43,960 --> 00:06:46,640
Speaker 1: coming in as to whether you know Garoppolo is up

151
00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:48,920
Speaker 1: for the task. You know, he's got at least one

152
00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,760
Speaker 1: more game, possibly too if he makes to the Super Bowl.

153
00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,920
Speaker 1: Considering I mean he attempted only nineteen passes one hundred

154
00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:56,520
Speaker 1: and thirty one yards. I don't know if that's necessarily

155
00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:57,680
Speaker 1: going to be able to get it done, or do

156
00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,440
Speaker 1: you just think that they said, you know, we've got

157
00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:01,360
Speaker 1: this game where just gonna rely on our run game

158
00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:03,000
Speaker 1: because we think our defense can hold the four.

159
00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:06,039
Speaker 2: I mean, for most cases, if you can just run

160
00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:07,600
Speaker 2: the ball, and if you're as successful out of it

161
00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,960
Speaker 2: as the forty nine ers are, why even why do

162
00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,200
Speaker 2: you need to pass the ball? So, I mean, running

163
00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:14,480
Speaker 2: the ball is a little bit less risky Grapplo. I mean,

164
00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:16,960
Speaker 2: I see where you're coming from, because I'm kind of

165
00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:20,440
Speaker 2: slightly questioned the ball season, but he's played very solid

166
00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,840
Speaker 2: throughout the entire season. He didn't he hasn't really had

167
00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:25,560
Speaker 2: any games where like, oh geez, that was a stinker,

168
00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:28,440
Speaker 2: and I think a huge advantage the forty nine ers

169
00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:32,160
Speaker 2: have and I think this was actually showed pretty clearly

170
00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,520
Speaker 2: in this game against the Vikings as the coaching advantage.

171
00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:37,560
Speaker 2: I think Kyle Shanahan is a fantastic coach. I love

172
00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,440
Speaker 2: how much he uses motion on offense. It's something like

173
00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:42,640
Speaker 2: seventy eight percent of his plays they do a motion

174
00:07:42,760 --> 00:07:45,640
Speaker 2: pre snap, which is really interesting when you watch that.

175
00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,440
Speaker 2: And of course, me being a former Falcons fan, I

176
00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:50,720
Speaker 2: try a little bit every time I see Kyle Shanahan

177
00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,200
Speaker 2: having success him in tivin Coleman because of course he

178
00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:55,560
Speaker 2: was the Falcons offensive coordinator when they went to the

179
00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:57,960
Speaker 2: Super Bowl, they let him go. So I'm a big KYLEE.

180
00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,640
Speaker 2: Shanahan fan. I think he is one of the best

181
00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:02,760
Speaker 2: coaches in the NFL right now, and I think that

182
00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:05,240
Speaker 2: showed a lot in that Vikings game. And we're gonna

183
00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:07,000
Speaker 2: see I mean, we're gonna talk about the game against

184
00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:09,640
Speaker 2: the Packers here shortly, but I think we're gonna we

185
00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:12,160
Speaker 2: might see that a battle a couple of New Wish

186
00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:14,880
Speaker 2: head coaches there next weekend. And I think Kyle Shanahan's

187
00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:15,600
Speaker 2: gonna keep shining.

188
00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he is too. And speaking of winning

189
00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,600
Speaker 1: games when your quarterback doesn't have to do much. Let's

190
00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,600
Speaker 1: move on to the Titans twenty eight Ravens twelve. As

191
00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:26,840
Speaker 1: we said, you know, this was the one game. I

192
00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:30,000
Speaker 1: gotta imagine that whatever else happened this weekend for the books,

193
00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,200
Speaker 1: the fact that this blew up all the money line

194
00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:36,760
Speaker 1: parlays just completely made their weekend. The Titans, they controlled

195
00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:40,280
Speaker 1: this game pretty much the entire way through. Ryan Tannehill

196
00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:44,240
Speaker 1: does almost nothing again, seven completions, eighty eight yards. He

197
00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,839
Speaker 1: does throw the two touchdowns, it's all Derreck Henry again

198
00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:50,160
Speaker 1: thirty carries one hundred and ninety five yards, despite the

199
00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:52,200
Speaker 1: fact that I mean he was you watch that game.

200
00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:55,400
Speaker 1: He's facing eight man fronts constantly in that game, and

201
00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:57,599
Speaker 1: he's just plowing right through him. He also throws for

202
00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,280
Speaker 1: a touchdown crying out loud. I mean, I I think

203
00:09:00,280 --> 00:09:02,160
Speaker 1: that really leads just to the one big question that

204
00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:04,480
Speaker 1: most people have coming out of that game. How much

205
00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:07,440
Speaker 1: would someone have to offer you to attempt to tackle

206
00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:09,559
Speaker 1: Derek Henry coming at you with a bullhead of steam?

207
00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:10,679
Speaker 1: And what's the number.

208
00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:13,360
Speaker 2: I'd do for free? Just see if I could do it.

209
00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:14,959
Speaker 2: I used to play football back in the day. I

210
00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:16,720
Speaker 2: played a little bit of college football up here in

211
00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:18,400
Speaker 2: Canada as well. I was a running back, so I

212
00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,760
Speaker 2: was the one getting hit like Derek Henry's. I mean,

213
00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,240
Speaker 2: he's a beast, no doubt about it. I'd like to

214
00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:25,120
Speaker 2: see if I could die. I mean, I'm sure I couldn't,

215
00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:27,800
Speaker 2: but it'd be fun. I wouldn't mind being run over.

216
00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,679
Speaker 2: I've been run over a couple of times in my career.

217
00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:33,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, right, I just want to know that that's

218
00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:37,320
Speaker 1: a terrible answer. The correct answer is sixteen thousand, four

219
00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:40,120
Speaker 1: hundred and eighty dollars. All right. But meanwhile, the Ravens

220
00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:42,520
Speaker 1: in this game, they're just off. They dropped a ton

221
00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,359
Speaker 1: of passes, Lamar Jackson, turned the ball over three times.

222
00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,160
Speaker 1: Mark Ing was banged up at first. Let me just ask,

223
00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:50,200
Speaker 1: is this a game you feel like the Titans, you know,

224
00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:51,840
Speaker 1: really won and they took it, or is this a

225
00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:55,280
Speaker 1: game that the Ravens just kind of gave it to them?

226
00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:58,200
Speaker 2: Oh? I think the Titans won. I think they took it.

227
00:09:58,240 --> 00:09:59,960
Speaker 2: I think I think they they did what they had

228
00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,360
Speaker 2: to do. And just to stay on the topic of

229
00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:04,880
Speaker 2: Derrick Henry there and what I find most impressive about

230
00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:07,240
Speaker 2: Derek Henry and it showed quite a bit in this game,

231
00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,640
Speaker 2: and I think they briefly mentioned it during the broadcast

232
00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:12,680
Speaker 2: as well. It's not necessarily the big runs that he

233
00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,360
Speaker 2: keeps busting off. It's when guys get in the backfield

234
00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:17,120
Speaker 2: and then he still ends up getting like a four

235
00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:20,199
Speaker 2: or five yard game. It's insane. It's like he almost

236
00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:22,240
Speaker 2: doesn't even need an offensive line. He's gonna get four

237
00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:25,000
Speaker 2: yards every single time that he touches the ball. It's

238
00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,959
Speaker 2: absolutely insane. Titans did exactly what they had to do

239
00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,280
Speaker 2: with their game plan was fantastic. I was impressed with

240
00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:32,679
Speaker 2: what Mike Frabele brought to the table that game. I

241
00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:35,160
Speaker 2: love how he's doing like workouts with some of the

242
00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,199
Speaker 2: other guys on the team right before kickoff. I think

243
00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:40,400
Speaker 2: that's hilarious. He's passionate, and I think the whole team

244
00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:42,880
Speaker 2: after that Patriots whin. They came into this game with

245
00:10:42,920 --> 00:10:44,880
Speaker 2: a lot of confidence and that's just gonna keep rolling.

246
00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:47,600
Speaker 2: I like the Titans right now. I think they're kind

247
00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:50,320
Speaker 2: of one of those surprise teams, like we kind of

248
00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:52,360
Speaker 2: saw the Giants there a handful of years ago, like

249
00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:54,840
Speaker 2: a nine and seven team going to the playoffs. They're

250
00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:58,079
Speaker 2: just hitting their stride at the perfect time, and I'm

251
00:10:58,120 --> 00:10:59,840
Speaker 2: interested see what they're gonna do next week. But yeah,

252
00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,720
Speaker 2: the Titans won that game. The other thing, I'm kind

253
00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:06,520
Speaker 2: of Baltimore they were rusty. I think that was very

254
00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,640
Speaker 2: clear that they're rusty. I don't know if I agree

255
00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:11,839
Speaker 2: with their decision of sitting all their important starters in

256
00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:14,800
Speaker 2: week seventeen when they had the bye week the next week.

257
00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,080
Speaker 2: I mean that's two full weeks they completely took off.

258
00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:19,120
Speaker 2: I think that kind of showed this weekend.

259
00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:21,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, although to be fair, again, you know, the Chiefs

260
00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:24,640
Speaker 1: came out completely flat and they played everybody right in

261
00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:27,040
Speaker 1: Week seventeen, so you never really know what it was.

262
00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,120
Speaker 1: And again, you know with the Ravens, the only thing

263
00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:32,160
Speaker 1: I'll say is, as much as you know the Titans,

264
00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:35,040
Speaker 1: really they were the better team on that day. In

265
00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,640
Speaker 1: my opinion, I agree with you there. You know, the

266
00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:41,040
Speaker 1: Ravens never get stopped on fourth down, and you know

267
00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:42,720
Speaker 1: they went forward a couple of times and they didn't

268
00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,080
Speaker 1: get it. They make it both those times, the game

269
00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,720
Speaker 1: might be completely different, right, I mean, it's those little

270
00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,320
Speaker 1: things that sort of happened in that game. But I

271
00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:52,760
Speaker 1: agree with you the Titans right now. Look, they're extremely

272
00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:56,040
Speaker 1: strong defensively. Ryan Tannehill, you know, he's not being asked

273
00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:59,080
Speaker 1: to do all that much, but he's playing smart football,

274
00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:01,520
Speaker 1: right He's you know, you can see him when he

275
00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:04,480
Speaker 1: knows it's not there. He's not going to take usually

276
00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:06,320
Speaker 1: the killer sack, and he's not going to try to

277
00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,160
Speaker 1: force it into coverage. He's going to throw it away.

278
00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,360
Speaker 1: He's going to protect them. And Derek Henry is a

279
00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:11,880
Speaker 1: beast running the ball. I mean you said it. The

280
00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:14,240
Speaker 1: number of times where he runs into the line and

281
00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:16,080
Speaker 1: it's like, all right, there is nothing there and he

282
00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:19,040
Speaker 1: just sort of plows forward for five yards. I mean,

283
00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:21,840
Speaker 1: there is a huge difference when you're looking at second

284
00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,760
Speaker 1: and five as opposed to second and eight. As much

285
00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:27,319
Speaker 1: as the NFL has changed, if you play lockdown defense,

286
00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:29,600
Speaker 1: if you can run the ball, you've got a chance

287
00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:31,680
Speaker 1: to do something in the playoffs, right, So, I mean,

288
00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,680
Speaker 1: I'm in agreement with you. I'm really interested to see

289
00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,040
Speaker 1: where they go forward. Do you think, to be honest,

290
00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:38,440
Speaker 1: that this team has a chance. I mean there's only

291
00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:40,200
Speaker 1: four teams left, so yeah, they've got a chance, but

292
00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:42,439
Speaker 1: a realistic chance to win the Super Bowl.

293
00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:46,280
Speaker 2: Yes, I think they do. And the point that you

294
00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:49,640
Speaker 2: mentioned about Tannahill is dead on. He's been very efficient.

295
00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:51,200
Speaker 2: I think that's the word I've been kind of using

296
00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:54,000
Speaker 2: for Ryan Tannehill. He's making the throzy ass to make,

297
00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:56,679
Speaker 2: he's not making too many mistakes. He's only had one

298
00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,080
Speaker 2: interception the last four games that he started in. He's

299
00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,400
Speaker 2: doing exactly what what he needs to do. He's managing

300
00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,800
Speaker 2: the game and he's just letting Derek Henry take over.

301
00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,480
Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, if they can get through the

302
00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,720
Speaker 2: Patriots and the Ravens, that they can beat anyone, So

303
00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:11,320
Speaker 2: why not? Why not Super Bowl?

304
00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,439
Speaker 1: And you keep waiting for their efficiency in the red

305
00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:15,839
Speaker 1: zone to die out, but it's just not. I mean

306
00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:17,839
Speaker 1: every time they get in the Renzo, they're basically scoring

307
00:13:17,880 --> 00:13:19,920
Speaker 1: a touchdown. So yeah, it's going to be interesting. We'll

308
00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:21,959
Speaker 1: break down that game against the Chiefs in a minute,

309
00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:24,680
Speaker 1: but before we move on and talk about today's games,

310
00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:26,680
Speaker 1: I do want to tell everyone about the sponsor of

311
00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:30,320
Speaker 1: the today's show, bet MGM, and specifically the bet MGM

312
00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:32,960
Speaker 1: Sports app. Like, if you've heard me talk about this

313
00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:35,160
Speaker 1: app before, just listen closely this time because I've got

314
00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:38,040
Speaker 1: a pretty good real life example today of why it

315
00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,360
Speaker 1: pays to sign up with the bet MGM Sports app.

316
00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,280
Speaker 1: You can place a bet right from your phone. Just

317
00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:44,480
Speaker 1: search for the bet mgm Sports app in your app store,

318
00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:46,840
Speaker 1: download it and sign up for an account. If you

319
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,720
Speaker 1: sign up, you're gonna want to use our promo code Harris,

320
00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,640
Speaker 1: because when you do, you get a risk free five

321
00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:54,920
Speaker 1: hundred dollars bet. If you lose your first bet, bet

322
00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:57,480
Speaker 1: mgm is going to refund it up to five hundred

323
00:13:57,520 --> 00:14:00,240
Speaker 1: dollars for future wagers. And let me just explain the

324
00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:03,200
Speaker 1: wonders of the free wager of up to five hundred dollars.

325
00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:05,360
Speaker 1: If you feel real good about a bet, then great,

326
00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,680
Speaker 1: go ahead and use your five hundred dollars wager on that. Alternatively,

327
00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:11,320
Speaker 1: a listener who had just signed up for bet mgm

328
00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:14,160
Speaker 1: and had lost his first bet of four hundred dollars

329
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:16,840
Speaker 1: had the free bet now. He took my advice this

330
00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:19,280
Speaker 1: week and placed a large wager on the two team

331
00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:22,120
Speaker 1: teaser of the forty nine Ers, laying one and teasing

332
00:14:22,160 --> 00:14:24,840
Speaker 1: the total on the Packers and the Seahawks game up

333
00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:28,160
Speaker 1: to fifty three and taking the under. So he reached

334
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,160
Speaker 1: out to me after the forty nine Ers one and

335
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,160
Speaker 1: asked if I had any bets I felt great about

336
00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:34,120
Speaker 1: for the rest of the divisional round so he could

337
00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:37,040
Speaker 1: use his free wager. I noticed that the Packers Seahawks

338
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:39,720
Speaker 1: total had dropped to forty six at one point, so

339
00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:42,240
Speaker 1: I said, given what he's got riding on the under

340
00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:44,520
Speaker 1: fifty three on that game, take his free four hundred

341
00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:47,280
Speaker 1: dollars bet. Take the over on the forty six. If

342
00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:50,000
Speaker 1: the game went over forty six, he wins his free bet.

343
00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,800
Speaker 1: The game goes under fifty three, he wins his teaser.

344
00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:55,800
Speaker 1: The game lands between forty six and fifty three, he

345
00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:58,320
Speaker 1: wins both. And it was dicey for a minute, but

346
00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:00,280
Speaker 1: he did middle it. He won both bets, and he's

347
00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:02,280
Speaker 1: a happier man for it. Having a free bet is

348
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,880
Speaker 1: not only like having an extra life, but it's also

349
00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,480
Speaker 1: a great way to try to maximize your winning. So again,

350
00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:10,600
Speaker 1: download the bet MGM Sports app, sign up for an account,

351
00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:13,440
Speaker 1: use our promo code Harris, and get your risk free

352
00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:16,520
Speaker 1: five hundred dollars bet. These winnings are paid in free bets.

353
00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:18,840
Speaker 1: You must be twenty one years or older, and although

354
00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:21,280
Speaker 1: you can sign up an easily deposit money anywhere, you

355
00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:23,000
Speaker 1: must be in the state of New Jersey to plays

356
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,640
Speaker 1: a sports bet, and certain restrictions apply. Visit BETMGM dot

357
00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:28,840
Speaker 1: com for the full list of terms and conditions. And

358
00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:31,640
Speaker 1: if you've got a gambling problem, call one eight hundred gambler.

359
00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:35,280
Speaker 1: All right, Ian, let's get to the real wild one

360
00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:38,000
Speaker 1: that Chiefs fifty one, Texans thirty one. All I can

361
00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:41,040
Speaker 1: say is thank goodness for in game wagering. Okay, I

362
00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,960
Speaker 1: mean I felt relatively confident even when the Chiefs saw

363
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:45,720
Speaker 1: way behind, that they were going to find a way

364
00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:48,360
Speaker 1: to win that game. It's Bill O'Brien to Patrick Mahomes,

365
00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:51,160
Speaker 1: but it's fourteen nothing. The Textans are about to come

366
00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:53,000
Speaker 1: in for another score, and you know that team from Braveheart,

367
00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,800
Speaker 1: the first big battle where the cavalry's charging and Mel

368
00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:59,640
Speaker 1: Gibson the screaming hold hold, and of course right then,

369
00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:03,160
Speaker 1: only the cavalry gets just close enough and he screams no,

370
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,240
Speaker 1: and they all pick up the long sticks as a defense.

371
00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:08,440
Speaker 1: That's legit how I felt as I'm watching the in

372
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,400
Speaker 1: game odds. It's fourteen to nothing. The Chiefs are still

373
00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,480
Speaker 1: in game two point favorites. It's twenty one nothing, and

374
00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:16,760
Speaker 1: the money line is still just like plus one point

375
00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:19,840
Speaker 1: thirty on the Chiefs. I'm like, hold, hold, And finally

376
00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:22,080
Speaker 1: it's twenty four to nothing. The in game money line

377
00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,480
Speaker 1: on the Chiefs is like plus two ten and they're

378
00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:27,240
Speaker 1: getting seven, and I'm like no. And that made up

379
00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,080
Speaker 1: for a long weekend. But that is really one of

380
00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:31,920
Speaker 1: the reasons why if you are gambling, make sure you're

381
00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:34,240
Speaker 1: paying attention to in game wagers, because there's certainly a

382
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,360
Speaker 1: way to maximize your winning. Anyway, the Chiefs went crazy,

383
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,320
Speaker 1: fourth biggest comeback and playoff history. Travis Kelcey and Damian

384
00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:44,000
Speaker 1: Williams score three touchdowns each. The homes throws for five touchdowns.

385
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:48,600
Speaker 1: The offense looks borderline unstoppable. The defense, however, obviously struggled

386
00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:51,040
Speaker 1: for at least the first half. Deshaun Watson threw for

387
00:16:51,040 --> 00:16:54,800
Speaker 1: three hundred eighty eight yards two touchdowns. DeAndre Hopkins, Kenny Stills,

388
00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,840
Speaker 1: Wolfeler they each had at least eighty yeards receiving. So

389
00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 1: you've got a game where the Chiefs were down twenty

390
00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:04,280
Speaker 1: four to nothing at home against a mediocre team, but

391
00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:07,240
Speaker 1: they ultimately win in a blowout. Do you feel better

392
00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:10,040
Speaker 1: about the Chiefs worse about the Chiefs or the same

393
00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:11,600
Speaker 1: that you felt coming in about the Chiefs.

394
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,960
Speaker 2: I think through all of that, I think I feel

395
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:18,199
Speaker 2: the same about the Chiefs, to be completely honest. I mean,

396
00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:20,600
Speaker 2: I just have to say that was probably one of

397
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,080
Speaker 2: the most wild football games I've ever watched. I mean,

398
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,240
Speaker 2: I even though last year wasn't a huge comeback, I

399
00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:29,280
Speaker 2: was thinking of last year's Chiefs and Rams Monday night

400
00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:31,719
Speaker 2: game just with how many points were scored. Just an

401
00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,880
Speaker 2: insane game to watch. I was just laughing out loud

402
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,480
Speaker 2: watching the game. It was nuts to see that twenty

403
00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:39,119
Speaker 2: four and then they not only did they make the

404
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,160
Speaker 2: comeback from twenty four to nothing, they did it all

405
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,440
Speaker 2: in one quarter. They were winning at halftime. It was insane.

406
00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:47,120
Speaker 2: But that's I mean, that is the Chiefs. They are extreme.

407
00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:50,879
Speaker 2: They have an extremely explosive offense that can do that

408
00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:53,520
Speaker 2: to any team. And don't forget Tech. The Texans were

409
00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:55,600
Speaker 2: one of the worst defenses all year as well, so

410
00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:58,960
Speaker 2: it wasn't totally surprising to see an explosive offense like

411
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:02,360
Speaker 2: that put up one points against that bad of a defense.

412
00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:04,920
Speaker 2: So I mean, it's kind of what I expected. Also,

413
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:07,480
Speaker 2: I think Bill O'Brien kind of shot himself in the

414
00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:09,320
Speaker 2: foot there a couple times when they did have the

415
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,760
Speaker 2: lead as well, so it wasn't totally surprising. But man,

416
00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:13,879
Speaker 2: that was a fun game to watch.

417
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:16,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know, man, I feel a little worse

418
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:18,840
Speaker 1: about them, And that sounds insane, right, because they just

419
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 1: had this incredible comeback. They wound up winning by twenty points.

420
00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:26,280
Speaker 1: But you said it that Texans do not have an

421
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:28,879
Speaker 1: imposing defense, right, I mean, you should be able to

422
00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,960
Speaker 1: basically do what you want to do. After they're coming

423
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:35,560
Speaker 1: off a very hard fought game against the Bills. You've had,

424
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,159
Speaker 1: you know, a week to rest, and again, you're not

425
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,240
Speaker 1: supposed to really be rusty. You had the game against

426
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,600
Speaker 1: the Charters in week seventeen where you should be ready

427
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:44,919
Speaker 1: to go, And the fact that they fall behind like

428
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 1: that initially is kind of scary, especially because one of

429
00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:50,920
Speaker 1: the reasons I really like the Chiefs is how well

430
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:54,520
Speaker 1: the defense had been playing, right. I mean, realistically, they

431
00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:57,000
Speaker 1: had just started to put it all together over the

432
00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,040
Speaker 1: last I don't know, five or six weeks. They were

433
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,639
Speaker 1: holding opponents way down. I don't know whether or not

434
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:03,520
Speaker 1: it was the injury to Thornhill or whatever that kind

435
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:05,920
Speaker 1: of messed them up a little bit. But it makes

436
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:09,400
Speaker 1: me a little worried about them because you know, they're

437
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:10,879
Speaker 1: going to go up against the Titans, and again, we'll

438
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:14,239
Speaker 1: talk about that game specifically in a minute, but I

439
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:16,080
Speaker 1: don't think they're going to be able to just do

440
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,439
Speaker 1: whatever they want offensively. I mean, the Titans are in

441
00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:22,359
Speaker 1: a completely different class off defensively than the Texans. And

442
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,720
Speaker 1: I realized that the Texans beat the Titans a couple

443
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:26,720
Speaker 1: of weeks ago, so you know, but that's just kind

444
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:30,160
Speaker 1: of what football in right now. You don't really feel

445
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,119
Speaker 1: confident that, you know, the Texans would be able to

446
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,119
Speaker 1: hang with the Titans if they played with them. The

447
00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 1: Titans defense is very strong, they're playing well, you know,

448
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 1: given the struggles of the Chiefs defense. This actually makes

449
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 1: me a little more worried about them than I was

450
00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 1: coming in. Is that crazy?

451
00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:49,520
Speaker 2: No, I mean, no, that's not crazy at all. And

452
00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:51,280
Speaker 2: to be honest, like you said, I mean, we're going

453
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:53,640
Speaker 2: to talk about with this AFC Championship game here soon,

454
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 2: but I'm I'm just from a betting percent for a perspective.

455
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 2: I'm kind of glad that they had that's such a

456
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 2: huge offensive burst there because the public is. I guarantee

457
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:05,040
Speaker 2: you the public's gonna love them next week because of

458
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 2: that recency bias, and I think just because that offensive explained,

459
00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 2: I mean fifty one points, the public's gonna see that,

460
00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:12,040
Speaker 2: and I think they're gonna they're gonna bet on them.

461
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 2: So yeah, from the eye like that, and we're gonna

462
00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 2: get in that game here soon. But yeah, I mean

463
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:19,879
Speaker 2: I wasn't too sold on the Chiefs going into the

464
00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:21,520
Speaker 2: game to begin with, though, so that's why I kind

465
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,080
Speaker 2: of still feel the same. It's kind of what I expected.

466
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:27,680
Speaker 2: Their defenses is decent, They're not great, They're not bad.

467
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,160
Speaker 2: I mean, Deshaun Watson is a winner, so I think

468
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 2: you have to kind of put you have to take

469
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 2: that into consideration as well. He was gonna have a

470
00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 2: good game today regardless. I think it's Deshaun Watson. He

471
00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:39,400
Speaker 2: can bring it when the pressure's on. So I think

472
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:41,360
Speaker 2: part of that was just kind of Deshaun Watson doing

473
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 2: Deshaun Watson things as well, So I think you have

474
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:44,879
Speaker 2: to kind of take that in consideration.

475
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,240
Speaker 1: I think that's certainly a fair spin. So we'll talk

476
00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:49,680
Speaker 1: about that Titans Chiefs game in the second, but first

477
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:51,560
Speaker 1: let's get to the last game of this past weekend

478
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:55,280
Speaker 1: Packers twenty eight, Seahawks twenty three. This ended right before

479
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 1: we started recording, so it's real fresh in our minds.

480
00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 1: I don't think it's rocket science to say that the

481
00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,240
Speaker 1: Seahawks should probably just le Russell Wilson do his thing

482
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,800
Speaker 1: right from the start instead of trying to run the

483
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,479
Speaker 1: ball with you know, old and backup running backs. That's

484
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:09,919
Speaker 1: a story for another time, though. I'm interested to hear

485
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,399
Speaker 1: your thoughts here because this feels like another game in

486
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,119
Speaker 1: a long list of games for the Packers where you

487
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,960
Speaker 1: leave and you think they're not that good of a team.

488
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:20,960
Speaker 1: I mean, Aaron Rodgers sixteen to twenty seven for two

489
00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:23,560
Speaker 1: hundred and forty three yards and two touchdowns, both to

490
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 1: Devontae Adams, who had a huge game with one hundred

491
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,480
Speaker 1: and six yards. I'll admit that Rogers made a couple

492
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,399
Speaker 1: of incredible throws, especially right at the end there to

493
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 1: Devontae Adams, where he just dropped it in. Aaron Jones

494
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:36,160
Speaker 1: rushes twenty one times only sixty two yards. He does

495
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,679
Speaker 1: score two touchdowns. I mean, the Seahawks are not a

496
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:42,160
Speaker 1: particularly imposing defense, so they didn't look great offensively. Here

497
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 1: the defense for the Packers. They do sack Russell Wilson

498
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:48,439
Speaker 1: five times, but it certainly didn't have this dominant defensive

499
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,399
Speaker 1: effort feel to the whole thing. So I asked it

500
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,720
Speaker 1: with the Chiefs. How about the Packers after this game? Better, worse?

501
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:56,680
Speaker 1: The same? How are you feeling this idea?

502
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 2: Yeah? The same. I'm not a huge believer in the Packers.

503
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,120
Speaker 2: I think, to be completely frank and blunt, I think

504
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 2: they're one of the worst thirteen to three teams ever.

505
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,719
Speaker 2: And actually, if you look at the stats, they do

506
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 2: have the worst point differential, like the plus minus point

507
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 2: differential of any thirteen to three team. Ever, they barely

508
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,160
Speaker 2: held on to that against the Seahawks. And I read

509
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 2: something earlier today about the Seahawks. If you took every

510
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,520
Speaker 2: single score game that was decided by a single score

511
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,160
Speaker 2: in the NFL season this year and flipped the result,

512
00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 2: the Seahawks would have been the worst team in the NFC.

513
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 2: They would have been three and thirteen if you flipped

514
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,560
Speaker 2: all those singles score games. So the Seahawks really worn't

515
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 2: that great of a team, and the Packers barely held

516
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 2: on to that win. I mean a big reason of that,

517
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 2: but just because, like you said, Russell Wilson can just

518
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:45,440
Speaker 2: completely take over the game. And that's why the Seahawks

519
00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 2: got into the playoffs just because of Russell Wilson. So

520
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 2: but I mean for the Packers to have impressed me,

521
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,720
Speaker 2: they would have had to really have handled the Seahawks,

522
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,239
Speaker 2: and they did at the start, but then they let

523
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 2: them completely climb back in and the Seahawks could have

524
00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:00,399
Speaker 2: won that game. If Russell Wilson didn't take that there

525
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 2: on third down, the Seahawks could have went down and

526
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:05,199
Speaker 2: scored a touchdown and won the game. So I'm not

527
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 2: sold on the Packers whatsoever. And that's that's how I

528
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,560
Speaker 2: felt going into it. I didn't bet on a side

529
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:12,600
Speaker 2: in this game. I ended up taking the under, so

530
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 2: I that was my first loss in the NFL playoffs.

531
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:19,640
Speaker 2: But I didn't really trust either offense. But that's why

532
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,440
Speaker 2: I didn't bet on the side, because I think both

533
00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,119
Speaker 2: the Seahawks and the Packers aren't as good as the

534
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 2: records have shown. So I didn't believe in the Packers

535
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 2: before the game. I don't believe in the Packers moving forward.

536
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I completely agree. And the thing is it's probably

537
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 1: not going to be an issue next week. But they

538
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:38,840
Speaker 1: have to learn how to essentially put their foot on

539
00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,640
Speaker 1: the throat of their opponents, right because the second half

540
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 1: they barely score. They just they just ease up and

541
00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,000
Speaker 1: they sort of play keep away. And it really could

542
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 1: have and probably should have cost them in this game,

543
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 1: because you're right, I mean that last drive Wilson got

544
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 1: the ball back with you know, four or five minutes left,

545
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,680
Speaker 1: and you thought, okay, you can drive them right down

546
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 1: and square the touchdown. So yeah, I have a feeling

547
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 1: Ian that you and I are probably both going to

548
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 1: be looking at the games next week similarly. But I agree,

549
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 1: I was not impressed with this performance. And again, the

550
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,240
Speaker 1: Seahawks aren't that good a team. I mean, it's really Wilson.

551
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 1: So the fact that the Packers wound up victorious in

552
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,400
Speaker 1: their home field by five points not like a huge

553
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 1: sign that, Wow, this team really has what it takes.

554
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:21,200
Speaker 1: I'm certainly worried about them going into San Francisco next week,

555
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,439
Speaker 1: and we'll talk about that in a second, but before

556
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,439
Speaker 1: we do, I want to mind everyone about our giveaway.

557
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 1: It's a sign Michael Thomas Saint's helmet running through the

558
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:29,880
Speaker 1: end of January. You can go to betting pros dot

559
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 1: com slash contest for more details, but to enter, just

560
00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 1: leave a review for the show on Apple Podcasts or Stitcher.

561
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: Send a screenshot of that review to contest at bettingpros

562
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 1: dot com. If you have already entered a prior contest,

563
00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,119
Speaker 1: you're automatically entered for this one, so you don't have

564
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:45,880
Speaker 1: to worry about that. That Thomas helmet comes from our

565
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,360
Speaker 1: friends over at Pristine Auction, where they offer a ton

566
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 1: of great memorabilia with thousands of auctions every single day.

567
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 1: Just go to Pristine Auction dot com. That's p r

568
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 1: I S t i n E Auction dot com. When

569
00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:00,040
Speaker 1: you go there, use our promo code betting pro so

570
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:04,640
Speaker 1: you can win a three five dollars voucher instantly. All right,

571
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 1: enough about this past week, and let's move on to

572
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 1: next week. The Chiefs are hosting the Titans. So the

573
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 1: early consensus lines here, and I want to stress this,

574
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,160
Speaker 1: they're probably all over the point at the place this

575
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 1: line in particular, I've seen differences of two points. But

576
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:20,320
Speaker 1: the consensus line I've got right now is the Chiefs

577
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,640
Speaker 1: laying seven and a half with the total at fifty

578
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:26,160
Speaker 1: one and a half. So again, I've seen this at

579
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:28,160
Speaker 1: nine and a half at some places when they open.

580
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:30,439
Speaker 1: I don't know where their gunment, but it's gonna move around.

581
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:33,160
Speaker 1: So bear that in mind. But for our purposes, we'll

582
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 1: take it at the Chiefs laying seven and a half

583
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 1: with the total at fifty one and a half, it's

584
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 1: a really interesting game to me. I mean, they've obviously

585
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:42,160
Speaker 1: they've met before the Titans one thirty five, thirty two,

586
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 1: although they probably did not deserve to win that game.

587
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 1: But forget that for a second. Go back to the

588
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,720
Speaker 1: middle of the year. There became this formula for trying

589
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: to beat the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes right, run the

590
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,160
Speaker 1: ball a ton, control the clock, keep Mahomes off the field.

591
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:56,800
Speaker 1: That's how the Colts did it when they won. That's

592
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 1: how the Texans did it when they won. And that's

593
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,680
Speaker 1: really the exact forma that the Titans look to use

594
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:04,399
Speaker 1: in pretty much every game. And you look at this

595
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:06,400
Speaker 1: game with the Chiefs putting up fifty one, and you think,

596
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 1: how is any defense supposed to stop Mahomes at this point?

597
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,119
Speaker 1: But the Titans just legitimately shut down what looked to

598
00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 1: be the most unstoppable offense in the NFL. So look,

599
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,440
Speaker 1: you've had a couple of minutes to digest this entire weekend.

600
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 1: How do you feel here with the consensus line just

601
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 1: over a touchdown and the big total at fifty one

602
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:23,240
Speaker 1: and a half.

603
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:26,560
Speaker 2: I absolutely love the Titans. I mean I touched on

604
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,679
Speaker 2: this earlier. I think it's the recency bias of seeing

605
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 2: the Chiefs put up that many points is why the

606
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,640
Speaker 2: line is where it's at right now. The big thing

607
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 2: I'm looking at, I mean, we have it. Like you mentioned,

608
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 2: these two teams played earlier in the season, so we can.

609
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:40,679
Speaker 2: I mean it's gonna be different. They're gonna make coaching

610
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 2: changes or strategy changes, i should say, heading into this game.

611
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,719
Speaker 2: But the big thing that I'm looking at when I

612
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 2: look at the box score of their thirty five thirty

613
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 2: two win over the Chiefs earlier in the season, Dereck

614
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 2: Henry in that game twenty three carries one hundred and

615
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:59,360
Speaker 2: eighty eight yards two touchdowns. That's an average of eight

616
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 2: point two yards per carrying that game. So you're given

617
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:06,199
Speaker 2: a team more than a touchdown worth of points in

618
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,360
Speaker 2: a game where they beat them earlier in the year,

619
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:10,399
Speaker 2: and their star player who they're leaning on now in

620
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 2: the playoffs, just absolutely torch them. That doesn't make any

621
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,199
Speaker 2: sense to me, especially with I mean, the Titans have

622
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 2: to be riding high right now, the amount of confidence

623
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:20,560
Speaker 2: they have to be feeling going into this game, after

624
00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 2: beating the Patriots, after beating the top team in the league,

625
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens. I mean, they are going to be a

626
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 2: very confident team heading into this year. Now. When they

627
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 2: did play early in the season, it was in Tennessee,

628
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:31,720
Speaker 2: so this time it is obviously going to be in

629
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 2: Kansas City, so that might make a little bit of

630
00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:37,639
Speaker 2: a difference. But I absolutely love the Titans at that number.

631
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 2: I think I should lock that in soon because I

632
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 2: think money might start to come in on the Titans

633
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:46,639
Speaker 2: once people get over the recency bias of seeing the

634
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,000
Speaker 2: Chiefs put up fifty one points there today. So I

635
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:50,679
Speaker 2: think it might be good to get in on the

636
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 2: Titans early. As far as the total, I think I

637
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 2: would have to lean. I would have to lean the over.

638
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:00,479
Speaker 2: I mean, Patrick mahomes with put up fifty fifty one

639
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:02,879
Speaker 2: points today and then Derek Henry is gonna get them

640
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:04,640
Speaker 2: a lot of a lot of yards and points there

641
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 2: when they play as well, So I'd have to lean

642
00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:08,120
Speaker 2: the over a little bit. It makes me a little

643
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:10,399
Speaker 2: bit nervous because anytime there's there's a team that runs

644
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:12,440
Speaker 2: the ball a lot, I think you want to look

645
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 2: more at the under because the more you run the ball, obviously,

646
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 2: the more clock you eat up, which is less time

647
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 2: for points. But at that number where it's at right now,

648
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: I would lean the over in that. So I like

649
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 2: the Titans in the over.

650
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like the Titans too, as long as it's

651
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 1: above a touchdown. I do do you have any interest?

652
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 1: By the way, I mean, the Titans are plus two

653
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 1: eighty five on the money line. That doesn't really entice

654
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,359
Speaker 1: me there. I feel like the points, but I'm just

655
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:35,040
Speaker 1: wondering about you.

656
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I wouldn't. I wouldn't take No. I mean

657
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:39,880
Speaker 2: I was on Titans plus ten against the Ravens and

658
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 2: then hindsight, obviously I wish I took that huge is

659
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 2: like a plus three fifty money line. So maybe I

660
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,560
Speaker 2: should learn from that mistake and sprinkle the money line

661
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 2: a little bit this weekend. But no, I think I

662
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 2: think I'll just stick with the with with with the

663
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 2: points and you and you mentioned that briefly there too,

664
00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:57,120
Speaker 2: as long as it stays at seven or above, that's

665
00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 2: where like the Titans. If it dips, blow that magic

666
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 2: number of seven, and that's where I would be a

667
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:02,600
Speaker 2: little bit more cautious.

668
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I completely agree. I above seven, I like the Titans.

669
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: It's interesting because you mentioned it, so you think that this,

670
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 1: as the week goes on, is probably going to come

671
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 1: down then, right?

672
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean maybe because I just think

673
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:16,520
Speaker 2: it opened up such a big line because of the

674
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:18,640
Speaker 2: game today. We saw the Chiefs put up fifty one

675
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 2: points in three quarters, So I would think maybe people

676
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 2: are going to start thinking about a little bit more too.

677
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:25,720
Speaker 2: Logically as the week goes on, and sharp money was

678
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 2: probably going to come in on the Titans, I would think, so, yes, yes, yeah,

679
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,239
Speaker 2: I would think it's going to get closer closer, it's

680
00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:34,239
Speaker 2: going to go lower as the week goes on.

681
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,719
Speaker 1: I don't know why. I guess I feel that this

682
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 1: is the way it's going to go because you've got

683
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 1: the Titans who have just knocked off the Patriots and

684
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 1: the Ravens, so you feel like that the public would

685
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 1: be on them. But I feel like the public is

686
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:47,920
Speaker 1: the Titan. You know, the public's going to just be

687
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 1: enamored of the fifty one points right and Patrick Mahomes

688
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 1: and just going to want to go all over the Chiefs.

689
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:55,400
Speaker 1: And I agree that the Sharps are probably going to

690
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:57,480
Speaker 1: be hitting the Titans and that's going to at least

691
00:29:57,600 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 1: keep it in check. But yeah, I don't have a

692
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 1: good feeling for but I agree with you that I'm

693
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,880
Speaker 1: gonna get a planet now while it's seven and a

694
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 1: half because I do like that number, and it could

695
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 1: you know, it's not gonna rise anywhere crazy. It's not

696
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: gonna go up to like ten or anything like that.

697
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 1: So you know, as long as you're above seven, you know,

698
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:14,680
Speaker 1: the difference between seven and a half eight eight and

699
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:16,480
Speaker 1: a half, it's not that big a deal. So I

700
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 1: feel like locking in it now. And with the total

701
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 1: look I to say it. I mean I went with

702
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: the under this week, which was over by halftime, so

703
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 1: it's certainly not something that I feel great about. I

704
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,400
Speaker 1: would still lean the under here, man, I mean I

705
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 1: get it. I just I see this as more of

706
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 1: you know, the Titans putting up a pretty big defensive

707
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 1: effort going into this game, and you know, I could

708
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 1: see it being close. It's probably not one the I'm

709
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:43,000
Speaker 1: going to pull the trigger on but at the opening number,

710
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 1: despite what you know, the fact that the Chiefs basically

711
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 1: just went over this number by themselves, I think I

712
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 1: would still probably lean towards the under, but not enough

713
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,760
Speaker 1: to make a play on it. Forty nine Ers hosting

714
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:57,520
Speaker 1: the Packers, so their early consensus lines again the forty

715
00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 1: nine Ers laying seven with the total at forty five.

716
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:03,720
Speaker 1: Another rematch here. The previous game in Week twelve was

717
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 1: a dominant performance by the Niners thirty seven to eight.

718
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:09,560
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times. George Kittle had one

719
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,720
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty nine yards. Look, it's a significant spread.

720
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 1: Both these spreads are pretty significant for a conference. You know,

721
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 1: seven points in a playoff game, it's no joke. I

722
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 1: think I know how you feel here. I think I

723
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 1: probably feel the same. But what are your thoughts here

724
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,120
Speaker 1: on the spread of seven with the total at forty five.

725
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, just just quickly mentioned two pretty big spreads for

726
00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:30,240
Speaker 2: championship games. I'm gonna look into it tomorrow, but I

727
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 2: wonder if this is the first time that both championship

728
00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 2: games have been lines of a touchdown or more. That's

729
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:40,080
Speaker 2: kind of interesting. But yes, I am definitely going with

730
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,120
Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers here. I just think they're underrated

731
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 2: and the Packers are overrated. I mean, I've said my

732
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 2: piece about the Packers. I think they're the worst thirteen

733
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 2: to three team ever. And now they're going on the road.

734
00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 2: They've got to go to San Francisco, where where they

735
00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 2: just they got walloped in San Francisco earlier in the season.

736
00:31:57,840 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 2: I love the forty nine Ers. I love their coaching.

737
00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 2: I think this is another game where there's gonna be

738
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,640
Speaker 2: coaching advantage. I'm not a huge fan of Matt Lafleur,

739
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,040
Speaker 2: and I think that was part of the reason why

740
00:32:07,040 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 2: they barely squeaked by the Seahawks today. I didn't love

741
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 2: the game plan by Matt Lafleur, so in a coaching

742
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 2: matchup between him and Kyle Shanahan as well. I love

743
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:19,200
Speaker 2: Kyle Shanahan and that coaching matchup. I just I don't

744
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 2: see how the Packers are gonna be able to slow

745
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 2: down the forty nine Ers, and then I don't see

746
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 2: how the Packers are gonna score points either. So I

747
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 2: mean the spreads at seven, I would even take the

748
00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:31,160
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers close to at like nine, and a half.

749
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 2: I would probably still take the forty nine ers. I

750
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:35,080
Speaker 2: might even take the forty nine ers if it was ten.

751
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:38,120
Speaker 2: So at seven, yes, give me that all day.

752
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna I don't see this dropping under a touchdown.

753
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 1: If it does, I'm pushing all my chips into the

754
00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:46,760
Speaker 1: middle on the forty nine ers for sure, if you

755
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:48,280
Speaker 1: get at six and a half or something like that.

756
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 1: But I agree with you, I like it at seven.

757
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 1: I think this is finally gonna be the game. I mean,

758
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 1: we look, I mean you go back to the game

759
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:57,320
Speaker 1: they played against the nine Ers earlier and you were like,

760
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,600
Speaker 1: oh boy, this is not These two teams are not

761
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,920
Speaker 1: in the same class. Nothing has changed at all. And

762
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 1: you know with the forty nine ers just being healthy.

763
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 1: I mean the one thing people forget. They hadn't had

764
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 1: a buy since week four. I mean, they were exhausted,

765
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 1: they were banged up, they had that buy. They got healthy.

766
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:18,680
Speaker 1: Bosa is a maniac, and he's just you know, they

767
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: don't have a second receiver the Packers. It's really really

768
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 1: difficult to see the Packers winning this game, certainly, but

769
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 1: keeping this game close. Man. So I agree with you

770
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:30,160
Speaker 1: at this point. I don't have a real good feel

771
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 1: for the total. By the way, at forty five. I mean,

772
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 1: you know, the first game was exactly forty five thirty

773
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 1: seven eight, So I don't personally have any play on that.

774
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 1: But in terms of the spread, yeah, I mean, and

775
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 1: I'm not too worried by the way about where this

776
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:45,120
Speaker 1: is going. Like you said, it's not going to go

777
00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:48,000
Speaker 1: to ten or anything like that, so I don't feel

778
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,680
Speaker 1: the big rush to get in if the public somehow

779
00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 1: becomes you know, Packers are a very public team. If

780
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 1: the public somehow pushes this to six and a half,

781
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 1: then I'd be all over it. So for me, I

782
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 1: don't feel all that crazy about going after it. I'll

783
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 1: probably put some on it at seven for now, but

784
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:04,480
Speaker 1: I don't feel crazy about going that because if it

785
00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 1: goes to seven and a half, it goes to eight whatever,

786
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:07,600
Speaker 1: not the big deal for me. But do you have

787
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: any feeling on the total whatsoever?

788
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:12,560
Speaker 2: No, I'm with you. I won't be betting on the

789
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:15,279
Speaker 2: total at that number because I think, I honestly think,

790
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,719
Speaker 2: I mean, it sounds like an easy answer, but I

791
00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:19,960
Speaker 2: honestly think it's gonna be a very similar score to

792
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 2: what the regular season game was just because I think

793
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,319
Speaker 2: there are forty nine Ers offense is just a lot

794
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:27,560
Speaker 2: better than the Packers defense and their defense forty nine

795
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,840
Speaker 2: Ers defense a lot better than the Packers' offense thirty

796
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:32,399
Speaker 2: seven to eight in the regular season. I think it's

797
00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:34,800
Speaker 2: gonna be similar. I just don't see the Packers. I

798
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:37,239
Speaker 2: mean the Packers. I think what they'll have to do

799
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 2: on offense is they need to get Aaron Jones going,

800
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:41,040
Speaker 2: and they need to get him going early, and they

801
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:42,600
Speaker 2: need to get him going in more than just the

802
00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 2: running game as well. If they can get him in

803
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:45,920
Speaker 2: the past involved in the passing game a little bit,

804
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:48,800
Speaker 2: then that will take a little bit of the pressure

805
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,440
Speaker 2: off Davante Adams and not in them not having a

806
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 2: second receiver that they can go too. So I mean,

807
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,440
Speaker 2: and it's always hard to discount Aaron Rodgers, one of

808
00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:00,840
Speaker 2: the greatest quarterbacks of all time, obviously, but no, I

809
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:03,239
Speaker 2: would stay away from the total just because I think

810
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:06,400
Speaker 2: it's gonna be I think it's gonna be a similar

811
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 2: to what it was last last game. So I think

812
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:10,399
Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers are gonna win by I don't

813
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:12,040
Speaker 2: think I think forty nine is gonna win by a lot.

814
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:13,279
Speaker 2: And I don't think the Packers are gonna score a

815
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,920
Speaker 2: lot of points, so yeah, I'll stay away from the total.

816
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, we we view this game very similarly. And again,

817
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,799
Speaker 1: I really think that if the Saints had managed to

818
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:23,520
Speaker 1: beat the Vikings, that the Saints would have come into

819
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:27,279
Speaker 1: Lambo and beat them, and you know, pretty you know,

820
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,759
Speaker 1: I think this was really the best that you know, God,

821
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:32,560
Speaker 1: I don't want to say it like this, but it

822
00:35:32,680 --> 00:35:35,399
Speaker 1: just feels like a like a fraudulent season a little

823
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:36,120
Speaker 1: bit for the Packers.

824
00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:36,319
Speaker 2: Right.

825
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 1: Again, they're not a thirteen to three team. They wind

826
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,520
Speaker 1: up drawing another team that's not all that good, you know,

827
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:45,440
Speaker 1: the Seahawks, as well as Russell Wilson gets them to play,

828
00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: they wind up getting a very favorable draw there. You know,

829
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:50,800
Speaker 1: they're a decent team, they're a solid team. They're a

830
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 1: playoff team, but they're not a team that deserved really

831
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: a BIGE, you know, obviously for the reasons that we discussed.

832
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:57,960
Speaker 1: And they're not a team that I feel like is

833
00:35:58,000 --> 00:36:00,919
Speaker 1: a super Bowl caliber team. So I grew you go ahead.

834
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 2: Yes, sorry, Well I was just gonna say I will

835
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 2: say something about about the Packers positive. There is something

836
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 2: to say about just being able to squeak out these

837
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 2: just dirty, grimy close games. I mean, they do have

838
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 2: a thirteen and three record. There is something you have

839
00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:15,720
Speaker 2: to say for that. They didn't lose the close games.

840
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 2: They they managed to win these dirty, grimy close games.

841
00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 2: So there is something to say for that. So if

842
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:23,239
Speaker 2: they can turn this into a slugfest with the forty

843
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 2: nine ers, maybe Aaron Rodgers can pull it out. Yeah,

844
00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:27,759
Speaker 2: but yeah, there's something to say for that.

845
00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:29,399
Speaker 1: I don't want I don't want to hate mail from

846
00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:33,920
Speaker 1: Packers that I picked them early on in our preseason

847
00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:36,359
Speaker 1: episodes to win the division and everything like that. I

848
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:38,680
Speaker 1: love Aaron Rodgers. He's one of my favorite players of

849
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: all time. They're a very very solid team. But I

850
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,439
Speaker 1: really do think that there's a class difference right now

851
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 1: with the forty nine Ers and the Packers. So I

852
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 1: do see this line creeping up sort of sounds like

853
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:52,279
Speaker 1: you do, and I'm not afraid to go after it

854
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 1: because I don't think if they beat the forty nine ers,

855
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:56,799
Speaker 1: kudos to them, and I you know, I'll eat crow

856
00:36:56,880 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 1: because you know, I really really it's it's very difficul

857
00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:02,719
Speaker 1: well to see it happening. I could much to me

858
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 1: I could so much easier to see the Titans beating

859
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 1: the Chiefs than I could the Packers beating the forty

860
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:10,400
Speaker 1: nine ers A a way. I see right. Yeah, so

861
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:12,279
Speaker 1: that's how I say, Well, it should be fun. But

862
00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 1: that is it for today's show. Thanks a lot for

863
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:16,640
Speaker 1: joining me, Ian, especially on a Sunday night with very

864
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:18,719
Speaker 1: little time to think about the games. Did a great job.

865
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 1: Remind everybody where they can find more of you in

866
00:37:20,960 --> 00:37:21,359
Speaker 1: your work.

867
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:24,759
Speaker 2: Yeah. Absolutely. The main area where you can find me

868
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,840
Speaker 2: is on Twitter at Ian mac Os, I A I

869
00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:33,319
Speaker 2: N m ac Os. Also, obviously I worked for odd Shark.

870
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:37,200
Speaker 2: We also have a Monday to Friday live stream on YouTube,

871
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 2: so just search odd Shark on YouTube. It's called Guys

872
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 2: and Bets. I'm on that from Monday to Thursday as well,

873
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:43,880
Speaker 2: so check that out.

874
00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,680
Speaker 1: Awesome, thanks again for coming on. I want to remind

875
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:49,200
Speaker 1: everyone about bet MGM, where you can get a risk

876
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:51,279
Speaker 1: free five hundred dollars bet if you sign up for

877
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:54,200
Speaker 1: the bet MGM Sports app using our promo code Harris,

878
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:56,640
Speaker 1: and don't forget to leave this review on Apple Podcasts

879
00:37:56,719 --> 00:37:59,200
Speaker 1: or Stitcher. Send a screenshot of that review to contest

880
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:02,080
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros doc to be entered into our Michael

881
00:38:02,120 --> 00:38:05,239
Speaker 1: Thomas signed helmet giveaway. We'll be back on Thursday getting

882
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 1: into some of our best bets for the Championship round.

883
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you that