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Speaker 1: Welcome. Do the Favorites the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman over the Action Network. Later on

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Speaker 1: in the show, Uh, Darren Ravel, Darren Ravel, my sweet

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Speaker 1: sweet friend, Darren Ravel, and Professional Better Simon Hunter are

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Speaker 1: gonna come back on the show. We're gonna what is that?

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Speaker 1: Don't interrupt me while I'm introducing don't even speak, don't

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Speaker 1: don't respond. Dann Ravel and Simon Hunter, Professional Better are

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Speaker 1: gonna come on. We're gonna talk about our super contest picks.

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Speaker 1: Gonna win one point five million dollars this year. I

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Speaker 1: can feel it. We're three and two last week, Um,

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Speaker 1: after a down week two weeks ago when Ravelle was

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Speaker 1: back on the show. Two of the last three weeks,

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Speaker 1: ravel has not been on the show, and Simon and

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Speaker 1: I by ourselves crushed it. Darren came on the show

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Speaker 1: not so good. Let's see if he can redeem himself

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Speaker 1: this week. Also, I want to say hello to a

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Speaker 1: special guest. We have a special guest. A single fan

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Speaker 1: is recording with me right now, a fan named Royce Hall.

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Speaker 1: True story about a year ago, Royce emailed me out

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Speaker 1: of the blue. Uh said he just wanted to get

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Speaker 1: some career advice, and I said, sure, why not? Because

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Speaker 1: you know what happens when people email me, I almost

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Speaker 1: inevitably emailed them back. People did it for me. It's

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Speaker 1: part of my code. It's part of the Millman code.

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Speaker 1: If someone reaches out, you reach out, you make the time.

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Speaker 1: So Royce, I made the time for Royce. Royce. It's

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Speaker 1: a year later he emailed me this week. Turns out

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Speaker 1: he went to college with our producer Pat. He's like, Hey,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be in town. Can I come by

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Speaker 1: the podcast. Royce is now sitting in the studio with me,

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Speaker 1: watching me say these words. Royce want to say hello, Hello,

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Speaker 1: how you doing? That's good enough? Royce is here, he said, hello.

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Speaker 1: I feel like I done my duty. I feel like

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Speaker 1: I've done as much as I can. But first, before

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Speaker 1: we get to everything else later in the show, let's

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Speaker 1: welcome in Bookmaker to the world from New Orleans, representing

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Speaker 1: all the books. Uh, you know, you know the drill

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Speaker 1: boyd gaming blah blah blah. Mr Bob Scucci, my brother,

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Speaker 1: are you done coughing in the middle of my speech?

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Speaker 1: Sorry about that. It's your rough weekend. You lost a lot, huh,

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Speaker 1: we did. It was the worst weekend of the year

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Speaker 1: so far when you lost, did you go to your

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Speaker 1: boss and say, think how much worse it could have

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Speaker 1: been if I wasn't as good a bookmaker as I am. Well,

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Speaker 1: I think I wore that one out, but it's true though, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure it is. Did you tell your boss that

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Speaker 1: in Scooch trou At you picked the Redskins and then

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Speaker 1: your opponent picked the Arizona Cardinals. No, I didn't didn't

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Speaker 1: tell him that boy, that Arizona Cardinals game, that was

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Speaker 1: really something, really, really something. Tell me about where did

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Speaker 1: you get? Well with you? I must have gotten eleven

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Speaker 1: eleven and a half because I took it the day

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Speaker 1: we were recording the podcast, and you had already dropped

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Speaker 1: it from thirteen and a half to eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half in and we talked about how you skipped the

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Speaker 1: twelve we and we also talked about how I didn't

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Speaker 1: want to get off of ten. Do remember that you

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Speaker 1: said why don't you go to nine and a half?

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Speaker 1: And I said, well, because all of our liabilities at

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Speaker 1: plus thirteen plus twelve plus eleven and a half, and

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Speaker 1: if I'm going to get more Niner money, it's going

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Speaker 1: to be at minus nine and a half and if

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Speaker 1: a false ten, we lose everything. So instead I went

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Speaker 1: to ten even money and just let people lay a

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Speaker 1: dollar twenty with Zona. So that's a way that we

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Speaker 1: save money even though we lost. I walked you right

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Speaker 1: into that. Yeah, good job. Hey. I want to remind

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Speaker 1: people that Scooch and I do a radio show every Sunday.

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Speaker 1: It's from twelve to one. It's on radio dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Download the radio dot Com app Search you Better you Bet.

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Speaker 1: Search the favorites. You will find us twelve to one,

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Speaker 1: not the favorites, just sure you such you better you Bet.

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Speaker 1: I lost my train of thought there twelve to one.

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Speaker 1: We basically do this only in real time, and Scooch

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Speaker 1: is talking about the tens of thousands of dollars that

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Speaker 1: come in, like this past weekend when he was waiting

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Speaker 1: and waiting for money to come in on Philly, was

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Speaker 1: desperate for money to come on Philly. Bet finally comes

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Speaker 1: in and he started to feel much better about it. Um,

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Speaker 1: isn't that right, Scooch? Yeah? And now I wish I

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Speaker 1: had taken so much more. I know, right, Yeah, So

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Speaker 1: I got ugly in a hurry, but it wasn't and

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Speaker 1: It wasn't straight that money necessarily. It was just by

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Speaker 1: that time all the parlays from the morning favorites kicked in.

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Speaker 1: So when we posted the Patriot game, it was that

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Speaker 1: was the dagger. Well you got you got beat up

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Speaker 1: on the parlays like it's a bad weekend. People don't

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Speaker 1: forget it's a bad weekend for you because the Saints covered,

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Speaker 1: because the Cowboys covered, because the Patriots covered, because the

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Speaker 1: Eagles covered, like those are your party teams, I mean

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Speaker 1: not because the Patriots covered, Like those are your parley

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Speaker 1: teams right there? Yeah? Yeah? The bill, the Bills was

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Speaker 1: the Bills, bad one for us. Uh. And then and

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Speaker 1: then at night even the Rams, even though it wasn't

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Speaker 1: that big by that time, it's the only one left.

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Speaker 1: And then just another favorite that you know you attack on.

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Speaker 1: So it was it was bad, fascinating game on Thursday night,

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Speaker 1: first game of the week, Indianapolis visiting Houston. Uh. Jacoby Brisset,

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Speaker 1: big win, looking healthy. Um this past weekend, Deshaun Watson, Boy,

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Speaker 1: was I on the wrong side of that. I was

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Speaker 1: all over the Texans and was way wrong. First instinct

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Speaker 1: didn't bad. Um. Texans are favored by three and a

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Speaker 1: half of the Roulein's right. Now, tell me what you're thinking, Well,

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Speaker 1: we opened four, and what we're thinking is we know

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Speaker 1: that everybody is going to see the Colts finally looking

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Speaker 1: a lot better with Jacobe percent in, and they're gonna

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Speaker 1: look at that Texans loss and say, my god, they

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Speaker 1: just got roughed up, and they're going to think that

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Speaker 1: the Colts are a live dog, which which they are.

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Speaker 1: And uh, the sharp guys already took the plus four,

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Speaker 1: we went down to three and a half. But I

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Speaker 1: would not be surprised to see the Texans step up

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Speaker 1: in this one. So so that's why we're not going

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Speaker 1: crazy and suddenly making them a real short favorite at

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Speaker 1: home and making them like two and a half. We

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Speaker 1: would still like to keep them a little more than

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Speaker 1: a field goal, knowing that everyone's probably gonna at the

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Speaker 1: Colts in this one, and I think we're gonna want

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Speaker 1: to go into this needing. The Texans. You know, they

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Speaker 1: realized the importance of this game, and I don't want

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Speaker 1: to say they discounted last week's game, but at some

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Speaker 1: point you have to throw the score out. You know,

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Speaker 1: they lost, they didn't cover. You don't get like extra

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Speaker 1: points for how badly they lost. So we're not going

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Speaker 1: to just suddenly drastically dropped them in their ratings because

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Speaker 1: of how badly they lost. You know, at some point

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Speaker 1: it was just over and they're looking looking to this game.

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Speaker 1: So I wouldn't be surprised. So at three and a half,

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Speaker 1: I think we'll get good two way action from the public,

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Speaker 1: and I think will be probably a little heavier on

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Speaker 1: the cults from the sharp guys. I U, I do wonder.

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Speaker 1: I think you're right, Like I wonder if this is

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Speaker 1: a throwaway the film game, Like Bill O'Brien says, you

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Speaker 1: know what, everything that could have gone wrong went wrong.

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Speaker 1: Let's focus on what we're good at. Let's focus on

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Speaker 1: the colts. We're not going to worry about last week.

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Speaker 1: Is that constructive or is that hiding your head in

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Speaker 1: the sand? And it probably probably a little bit of both,

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Speaker 1: But just give me an answer. Don't want Royce? Is

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Speaker 1: that constructed? Hold on? Hold on? Royce is a professional?

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Speaker 1: Is that constructive or hiding your head? I'm good than good.

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Speaker 1: I think it's hiding your hand of the Wow. See

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Speaker 1: Royce likes to confront things head on. Got you. Yeah, Well,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna We're gonna go into this hoping to leave

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Speaker 1: the Texans, uh, And we're okay with that. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you know, we lost a lot this weekend. We're not

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Speaker 1: afraid to lose a little more. Cleveland Browns are eleven

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Speaker 1: point favorites in their first game since Myles Garrett was

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Speaker 1: suspended since that ugly, ugly incident on the field. They're

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Speaker 1: playing the Miami Dolphins eleven points. But they've also won

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Speaker 1: a couple of games in a row. You know, they're

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Speaker 1: looking better. They still look a little bit like a

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Speaker 1: train wreck, clearly from a disciplined point of view. Um,

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Speaker 1: how do you book this game? It's tough because we've

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Speaker 1: been giving the Dolphins uh double digit points in so

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Speaker 1: many games, and uh, the Dolphins have covered in just

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Speaker 1: so many of those games. So here's just another instance

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Speaker 1: where I think you're going to be able to get

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Speaker 1: a little bit more value on the Dolphins than on

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Speaker 1: the Browns. Like you said that, the Browns are finally

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Speaker 1: starting to kind of get to where people expected them

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Speaker 1: to be in the beginning of the season after so

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Speaker 1: many games of just disappointing and dropping uh in the

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Speaker 1: power rankings. They're slightly creeping up. I don't think we're

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Speaker 1: gonna get much public support on a team like the

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Speaker 1: Browns land double digits against almost anybody, So I think,

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Speaker 1: if anything, we're gonna this is about as high as

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Speaker 1: it's going to get, and you'll see this line come

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Speaker 1: down kind of similar to what we saw with the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals, how dropped the low ten. I think I

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Speaker 1: think this will close at ten. I hate that game.

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Speaker 1: I know I have to bet because I'm betting all

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Speaker 1: two and fifty six games and this was a ugly,

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Speaker 1: ugly weekend. Don't forget. You can follow me in the

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Speaker 1: act Network app to fifty or bust. You can get

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Speaker 1: all the information that I am talking about in the

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Speaker 1: Action Network app for free. It's a free app. Royce

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Speaker 1: loves it. Royce loves it. Right there, he's he's already

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Speaker 1: stopped listening to me, Honest to God, I swear to god.

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Speaker 1: I looked at him and he was just staring at

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Speaker 1: into the wilderness ahead. Well, I'm trying to excite things

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Speaker 1: now because I just went to ten and a half

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Speaker 1: on that game. Mine change ten and a half, all right, yea,

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Speaker 1: I am so all over this next game. Denver visiting Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo a very short, very short home favorite. Buffalo is

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Speaker 1: only a four point favorite. I think you're making a mistake.

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Speaker 1: You hung a bad line. You are going to get popped.

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Speaker 1: You you like Buffalo, do well? We we hung Buffalo higher.

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Speaker 1: We we opened this game five and we took a

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Speaker 1: lot of Broncos money so that they don't deserve my name.

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Speaker 1: They are the Millman millions. Mm hmmm, they don't deserve it.

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Speaker 1: You know what they're doing. You know what they're doing.

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Speaker 1: They're so smart. They're setting you up, They're buying it down.

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Speaker 1: You're gonna eventually have to go to three and a half,

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Speaker 1: maybe even three, and they're gonna middle. They're gonna middle

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Speaker 1: this fucker, and it's gonna be like a Buffalo blood

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Speaker 1: bath for you, you know. So yeah, so we have

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Speaker 1: to be real careful about that, especially with the public team.

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Speaker 1: So in other words, right now about of the tickets

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Speaker 1: are are on Buffalo, So we know this is gonna

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Speaker 1: be a huge parlay game. We know that of the

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Speaker 1: money from the public is going to commit on Saturday

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Speaker 1: night Sunday morning, and it's going to be all on Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: So I hate when we do this and the sharp

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Speaker 1: guys make us drive this number down on a public team.

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Speaker 1: They did it last week on the Patriots, if you're remembered.

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Speaker 1: I wanted to stay at four, and they drove me

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Speaker 1: down the three and a half and I had to

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Speaker 1: make that decision of you know, whether they just stay

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Speaker 1: at four, and then ultimately I closed it at five

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Speaker 1: and a half. So it's kind of the same thing here.

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Speaker 1: I've got to be real careful not to move it

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Speaker 1: too far down. But having said that, I respect their opinions,

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Speaker 1: and especially on a team like the Broncos, who, I mean,

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Speaker 1: how many times have you seen it? Game after game

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Speaker 1: after games just comes down to the wire. They end

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Speaker 1: up losing the game outright, a game that they could

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Speaker 1: have won very easily. They just they go into so

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Speaker 1: many games winning in the fourth quarter and then blow

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Speaker 1: the lead. But they end up getting the covers in

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Speaker 1: a lot of these instances. The cover last week against

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Speaker 1: the Vikings was one of the saving graces from you know,

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Speaker 1: total devastation for for us. I think we won two games.

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Speaker 1: We won that Broncos Vikings and we won the uh

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Speaker 1: the Bengals Raiders because the Bengal didn't cover. But uh,

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Speaker 1: this Broncos team that has gotten a lot of big

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Speaker 1: covers for us, so here getting a little bit more

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Speaker 1: than a field goal. They have to do is keep

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Speaker 1: the game close. Speaking of the Bengals, they're now going

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Speaker 1: to be seven point home dogs against the Steelers. Look,

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Speaker 1: it's an automatic take if you believe in betting bad

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Speaker 1: teams and you believe in betting big home dogs. They

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Speaker 1: looked decent against the Raiders, which also means in the

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Speaker 1: Bengals world, it's time to get off the Bengals. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I mean, so, you know, we talked about how you

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Speaker 1: keep dropping and dropping a team, and and you know,

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Speaker 1: they still haven't gotten their first win. But I don't

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Speaker 1: know how much more we can drop them. Uh. I

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Speaker 1: think we had set a pretty good line last week,

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Speaker 1: even though ultimately it got driven up to thirteam. We opened,

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Speaker 1: I said to look aheadline on that Raiders Bengals game

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Speaker 1: last week was about eight and a half, and because

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Speaker 1: the Bengals look so bad and the Raiders look so good,

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Speaker 1: we adjusted it a little bit like nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: It got driven up to thirteen, which I thought was

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Speaker 1: really inflated. And I think our producer on our the

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Speaker 1: other show even asked me what's the most inflated line

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Speaker 1: on the board, and I said it was the Raiders Bengals.

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Speaker 1: I thirteen. But it's hard to bet these bad teams.

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Speaker 1: It's like you've always said, you got to hold your

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Speaker 1: nose and better because they're just so awful and they

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Speaker 1: just find ways to not only lose the game, but

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Speaker 1: just not cover that at the end. Now, having said

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Speaker 1: all that, seven seems like it's it's a solid number.

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Speaker 1: We haven't gotten off that the sharp guys haven't weighed in,

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Speaker 1: and we have gotten almost nothing on the Bengals. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's almost nothing on on the Bengals so far. I

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Speaker 1: know it's early, but because of the because we've gotten

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Speaker 1: so little now, I can't imagine them coming in later

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Speaker 1: in the week, which leads me to believe I might

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Speaker 1: actually go a little higher on this. Well, then you'll

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Speaker 1: get the money for sure. I don't wise seven and

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Speaker 1: a half though. Some wise guys are gonna come in

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Speaker 1: there and he's gonna bet the Bengals just because he

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Speaker 1: thinks he's getting the hook and he's going to be

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Speaker 1: wasting his money. Hey, what do we do about the Bears?

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Speaker 1: Like the world blew up on Sunday night when all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, there's two and a half minutes left,

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Speaker 1: the Bears are down by ten and Mitch Truebisky is

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Speaker 1: not in the field. Even Al Michael's and Chris Collinsworth

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Speaker 1: were going insane, and the text chains that I had

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Speaker 1: going on with my friends from Chicago were nuts, Like

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Speaker 1: what the f is going on? How did this happen?

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Speaker 1: Some of us were like, is it finally over? Is

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Speaker 1: this Mitch Truebisky national nightmare over? What does this mean?

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Speaker 1: It was like people were a combination of enthused and

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Speaker 1: just sort of confused. So what do you do about

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Speaker 1: this game? Like it's still technically undecided who's starting? Right? Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we'll just kind of what we hung six And we've

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Speaker 1: gotten absolutely nothing from the Sharp guys, which means okay,

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Speaker 1: they don't know either. So the Bears are minus six. Um,

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Speaker 1: I don't see that he has been so ineffective, like

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Speaker 1: you've been saying week after week after week, I don't

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Speaker 1: know how much value we can really place on them. Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, even if he even if he doesn't get

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Speaker 1: the start. So I and and the fact that they're

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Speaker 1: playing another bad team helps us out in this one,

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Speaker 1: Um that it's not like one of those high profile games.

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Speaker 1: I think. I think the more interest in this is

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Speaker 1: just like you said, that is how how bad can

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Speaker 1: can Trabinsky get and when do they when do they

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Speaker 1: pull the plug? And so so there's some intrigue on

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Speaker 1: that respect, but very little is being bet on the game.

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Speaker 1: A matter of fact that I'm looking at this, there's

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Speaker 1: less bet on this game than any other game bet

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Speaker 1: on the board. Yeah, although don't forget, we've got an

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Speaker 1: epic battle for the Pantheon Cup between two teams from

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Speaker 1: the Southeast that no one is ever going to care

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Speaker 1: about that might as well not even exist. We haven't

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Speaker 1: even talked about it yet. So that game, I think

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Speaker 1: the Bears will have more interest in their drama than

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Speaker 1: those two teams that are irrelevant and will never be relevant. Um,

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Speaker 1: the clash of the Titans. Ah Jesus, this game is interesting.

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Speaker 1: This mixed game is very interesting. Oakland is visiting the

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Speaker 1: New York Jets. Oakland is a three point favorite right now.

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Speaker 1: Jets are showing something the past few weeks. No they're not.

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Speaker 1: They were awful this past weekend. No, the Jets were good.

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Speaker 1: That's right. The Redskins were bad. Yeah, the Jets have

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Speaker 1: been showing Yeah, talk me through this. Now. This was

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Speaker 1: a real, real tough one because Oakland has been flying

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Speaker 1: under the radar with the better so far. We we

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Speaker 1: have needed Oakland in almost every game this year, and

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Speaker 1: coming into this game at six and four, they pulled

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Speaker 1: through for us and many occasions. We did not need

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Speaker 1: them last week and we need the Bengals last week,

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Speaker 1: and so we're batting a thousand on Oakland. When we

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Speaker 1: need them, they win and cover, and when we don't

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Speaker 1: need them, they don't cover. So but this one was

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Speaker 1: a tough one. You know, we were debating between kind

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Speaker 1: of three three and a half of realizing kind of

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Speaker 1: the the last couple of games the Jets, you know,

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Speaker 1: they played well with Donald against the Cowboys. Then Donald

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Speaker 1: goes out and you really can't judge just how good

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Speaker 1: or bad they are without them. Then Donald comes back

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Speaker 1: and they still look bad. But then well, the next

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Speaker 1: couple of games they look good. So they're hard team

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Speaker 1: to figure out too. The sharp guy seemed to think

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Speaker 1: that the Jets are the play here. Uh, we opened

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Speaker 1: three and I really thought that they would lay Oakland

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Speaker 1: on this. So this one surprised me that they came

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Speaker 1: in took the plus three. I'm not going to two

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Speaker 1: and a half. We went to three even money, and

333
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Speaker 1: so we're letting anyone who wants to bet the Jets

334
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Speaker 1: to plus three, they're gonna have to lay a dollar

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Speaker 1: twenty on this one. Um. But it didn't surprise another public.

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Speaker 1: It's all over the Raiders. Um, so we're we're seeing

337
00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:08,479
Speaker 1: somewhere in the neighbor the tickets coming in is going

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Speaker 1: to be on the Raiders. So I think they finally

339
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:14,000
Speaker 1: like betting on the Raiders and uh so against the Jed.

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Speaker 1: This is gonna be a tough one because the public

341
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Speaker 1: is gonna be on one side and Sharpie's are on another.

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Speaker 1: And I think I just want to stay at three

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Speaker 1: and just move money all week. The other day on

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Speaker 1: our show on Sunday, someone called in and they asked

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Speaker 1: you a question, which team do you need for your lungs?

346
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:33,679
Speaker 1: And they referenced, you know, need for your lungs is

347
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 1: a long time scooch is um on the show. Um

348
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Speaker 1: Royce is shaking his head. He enjoys that he appreciates

349
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Speaker 1: that is a long time listener. Um, I feel like

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Speaker 1: I feel a little bit like Kelly Clarkson right now,

351
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Speaker 1: like we have a studio audience. Pat isn't that nice?

352
00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:52,560
Speaker 1: Pats Pets shaking his head. But my point is like

353
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Speaker 1: when the public jumps on a team, it's time to

354
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Speaker 1: jump off him. And like the public has jumped on,

355
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 1: we are at peak Raiders right now, you know what

356
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Speaker 1: I mean? Yeah, So give me the New York j

357
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,800
Speaker 1: E T S Jets Jet Jets. Pat producer is excited

358
00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:10,720
Speaker 1: about that. He loves the Jets. The last the last

359
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:12,000
Speaker 1: time I knew it was time to get off the

360
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 1: Jets was after they beat up the Cowboys and Pat

361
00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 1: came in wearing his Jets hat that week, and I'm like,

362
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Speaker 1: Jets fans are walking around proud as Peacock's I'm going

363
00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 1: to fade those fuckers all day this week. Sure enough,

364
00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 1: it worked out. Yeah, this next game is fascinating. I

365
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: want to ask you a question three weeks ago, coming

366
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Speaker 1: out of there By, what is the look aheadline for

367
00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers visiting the New Orleans Saints Probably five

368
00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:44,320
Speaker 1: and a half. It is now nine and a half.

369
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Speaker 1: The Saints are favored by nine and a half. Give

370
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Speaker 1: me one other team that has had a bigger fall

371
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Speaker 1: the last three weeks in the Carolina Panthers getting blown

372
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Speaker 1: out at home by the Falcons, getting blown out in

373
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Speaker 1: prime time by the Niners in a game a lot

374
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Speaker 1: of people pegged than as having a chance to win.

375
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Speaker 1: Out Right, it has been an ugly fall for Kyle

376
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:07,640
Speaker 1: Allen and the Panthers. Yeah, it really has. Uh And

377
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:09,760
Speaker 1: we you know, we see that so often with a

378
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Speaker 1: quarterback that steps in for you know, a top tier

379
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,120
Speaker 1: quarterback like Cam Newton. And you see a quarterback come

380
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 1: in and have a lot of success and then it's

381
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,439
Speaker 1: like they get figured out really quickly in this league

382
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 1: and then uh, and then they just look like rookie quarterbacks.

383
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Speaker 1: I mean, you can go down the line with how

384
00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:31,120
Speaker 1: many quarterbacks have stepped in looked really good first game,

385
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,120
Speaker 1: maybe even two games, possibly even three games, and then

386
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,359
Speaker 1: reality sets in and they come come back down to

387
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:42,040
Speaker 1: the ground and come back really hard. Uh. Yeah, the Saints,

388
00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:44,359
Speaker 1: this is going to be one of our biggest parley games,

389
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 1: probably our second biggest decision on the board. And as

390
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 1: a matter of fact, I was just before the show,

391
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Speaker 1: I was gonna move this. I'm gonna go to ten

392
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:58,199
Speaker 1: and only because it's going to be such a huge

393
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:02,000
Speaker 1: teaser game, is I don't want to give people the

394
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,080
Speaker 1: opportunity to get the Saints at minus two and a

395
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 1: half on a seven point teaser. I'd rather than get

396
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:10,080
Speaker 1: laid minus three. So just for the time being, I'm

397
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:12,119
Speaker 1: gonna go to ten. I'll see what they do with it.

398
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:17,040
Speaker 1: I will tell you right now, if I were able

399
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 1: to win this moment, I would bet Carolina plus ten. Yeah.

400
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 1: So New Orleans, I mean, as good as they looked

401
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:29,360
Speaker 1: at uh earlier, they they have not been a team.

402
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, we've made a big adjustment to the Panthers,

403
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 1: but New Orleans has gone kind of up and down

404
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:39,439
Speaker 1: this year as well. I mean, it was kind of

405
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 1: good for us that they didn't get a couple of covers,

406
00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 1: but um, judging from last week and how much money

407
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 1: was better him last week, I think they're just gonna

408
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 1: roll over whatever their winnings were on the Saints last

409
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:56,399
Speaker 1: week and come right back this week on them. Speaking

410
00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 1: of Tampa Bay which didn't which had a chance in

411
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:07,200
Speaker 1: that Saints game, going against Atlanta which destroyed uh Carolina. Boy,

412
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 1: they're making these NFC South games really exciting. But Atlantalist

413
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 1: got the past couple of weeks. They come out of

414
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: the by their energized Tampa Bay. You just can't bet them,

415
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: like there's too much of um. You just can't do

416
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:22,639
Speaker 1: it anymore. Like Jameis Winston is too inconsistent to me.

417
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:24,920
Speaker 1: This is a first time I'm saying that's all your

418
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:30,040
Speaker 1: Falcons or nothing you have. You have not liked the

419
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:31,919
Speaker 1: Falcons all the year, so it was really kind of

420
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 1: funny when you loved him. Was it last week or

421
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 1: the week before? You you've been on on a couple

422
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,520
Speaker 1: of couple of weeks, so you talk about how the

423
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 1: right time to get off the team and the right

424
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,040
Speaker 1: time to get on a team. Uh, So you've been

425
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:47,399
Speaker 1: pretty good with the Falcons so far this year. I

426
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 1: have been. But what do I do in this game?

427
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:53,120
Speaker 1: I guess I take the Falcons. I really am favoring

428
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:56,600
Speaker 1: the Falcons myself, and I think I've talked myself into it.

429
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:58,440
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to four and a half on this game.

430
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:03,640
Speaker 1: I'm at four now, but just judging from the ticket

431
00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 1: account and how much money we have on the Falcons already,

432
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 1: I think if I stay at four, I'm just gonna

433
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 1: be giving uh more people value. So I'm gonna let

434
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 1: it lay four and a half. I'd rather they take

435
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers in this one than lay the Falcons. Line change.

436
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,359
Speaker 1: You just did it right. You want to throw a

437
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 1: line change? Line change? Oh? I love it. That was great.

438
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 1: Our studio audience is bringing enthusiasm. He's a class act.

439
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:39,719
Speaker 1: He's a professional. Yeah. Detroit is a three point favorite

440
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 1: on the road against the craptastic Washington Redskins. Good lord

441
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 1: scirit like, this is hold your nose, Like, what are

442
00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 1: you gonna do here? Yeah, we've gotten a lot of

443
00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: money on Detroit already. I know some places opened two

444
00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:55,719
Speaker 1: and a half. We opened three. They laid it right

445
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 1: out of the gate. We went to three minus twenty.

446
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 1: Wouldn't be surprised to see this go up three and

447
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 1: a half regardless of who's at quarterback for Detroit. Uh,

448
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 1: Washington is I can't make up my mind which team

449
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 1: is at the bottom of the league right now between

450
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,760
Speaker 1: the Bengals in Washington. Um, and really last week is

451
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 1: like you pointed out my best bet if they couldn't

452
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:20,400
Speaker 1: win at home against the Jets. Uh, you know, laying

453
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 1: only a point. Uh. If this team is really bad

454
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 1: and they and they're and they're dysfunctional. So um, even

455
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 1: though they're at home here, I don't have a whole

456
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: lot of confidence here. Of the money is on Detroit

457
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 1: so far, and I would expect that to continue throughout

458
00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 1: the week. So I'm pretty close to going to three

459
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 1: and a half. I'm just not not there yet. I'm

460
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 1: going to have to bet the Redskins in this hold

461
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:47,119
Speaker 1: your nose of the money is coming in a home dog, like,

462
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: I gotta do it, just what I gotta do, all right?

463
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 1: Can we listen? The sequel to the Pantheon Cup is

464
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:01,320
Speaker 1: happening in Tennessee this weekend, where the Exeville Jaguars, which

465
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 1: would only be recognized by fans in London in terms

466
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 1: of their logo, playing the Tennessee Titans, a team that

467
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:13,560
Speaker 1: I couldn't tell you five players on their team right now. Um,

468
00:26:13,600 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 1: they are three point favorites. They're getting eighty seven percent

469
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:18,400
Speaker 1: of the money, whatever the hell that means, because there's

470
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:21,719
Speaker 1: like two bets on them. So why are we even

471
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:23,920
Speaker 1: talking about this game? There's three point favorites, Like, there's

472
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:26,679
Speaker 1: no value anywhere here where those guys are not going

473
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:28,920
Speaker 1: to bet this game. I don't think I'm going to

474
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 1: move this game all week. I might not even move

475
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,680
Speaker 1: the money. Well, I might move tennessee them three months

476
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 1: twenty later in the week, but I'll bless you, I

477
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,199
Speaker 1: don't get off it. I'm not gonna go to two

478
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 1: and a half. I'm not gonna go to three and

479
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 1: a half. Next to the Giants game. It's the worst

480
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,200
Speaker 1: bet game on the board. So definitely a corner TV game.

481
00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 1: We're done the best because we gotta get to the

482
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 1: good games. Dallas visiting New England. New England's a six

483
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,160
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. New England does not look good.

484
00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 1: Dallas is starting to look better. They got some injuries though.

485
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 1: They're worrying me a little bit. New England's defense is

486
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,320
Speaker 1: showing that it's not as great as it was. So

487
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 1: can Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott moved the ball? Can

488
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 1: Marii Cooper you know, beat Stefan Gilmore. Um, we're the

489
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 1: wise guys doing here six and a half. Uh, they're

490
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 1: taking the Cowboys, but not for a great deal. And

491
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:20,760
Speaker 1: uh we've got actually a great two way action in

492
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: terms of money. In terms of ticket account it's slightly

493
00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 1: heavier on the Patriots, but not by much. It's the

494
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 1: second most bet game on the board, so obviously there's

495
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:34,159
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of attention on this one. I

496
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,400
Speaker 1: think the initial reaction was that six and a half

497
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 1: was too high. Um. As great as the Patriots are,

498
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 1: and we you know, we talked about it a lot,

499
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 1: there's seems to be a lot of chinks in the

500
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: armor and the offense doesn't seem to be able to

501
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: put up the like you know, the big points that

502
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,719
Speaker 1: we're seeing being put up by the Ravens. That's kind

503
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:55,199
Speaker 1: of what they expected of the Patriots. You know, we

504
00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:57,640
Speaker 1: saw it early on when the Patriots were playing really

505
00:27:57,680 --> 00:28:01,560
Speaker 1: bad teams like like the Dolphins and and Jets. But

506
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,120
Speaker 1: they're not They're not able to put up those those

507
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 1: big numbers against teams with a decent, decent defense. So

508
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 1: so the great great two way acts on this one.

509
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: If anything, I think the line will come down. I

510
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: can't see this line going up to seven barring an

511
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,399
Speaker 1: injury or something happened during the during the week with

512
00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 1: an illness. But I take six and a half, you

513
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,520
Speaker 1: almost have to take Dallas. Well, then I'm just gonna

514
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,720
Speaker 1: wait until later in the week, and I'm gonna take

515
00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 1: New England because I'm not betting against the freaking Patriots

516
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:34,200
Speaker 1: at home, Like, are you kidding me? That's idiot. Yeah,

517
00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:37,720
Speaker 1: of course I'm taking the Patriots this next game. Everybody

518
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,280
Speaker 1: knows we're doing Fade Revel with points Bad Points bet

519
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 1: dot Com. It's been an unbelievably fun promotion. You bet

520
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 1: opposite Darren Revel and you get boosted odds to make

521
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 1: the play against him. So the first week, Darren Revel

522
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 1: bet on the New York Giants to cover against the

523
00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,040
Speaker 1: New York Jets. People who wanted to bet on the

524
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 1: New York New York Jets got plus one ten. Normally

525
00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 1: you get minus one ten. They got plus one ten

526
00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: on the Jets at plus two and a half. What

527
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 1: happened the Jets one? Everyone made extra money. What happened

528
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 1: last weekend? Darren took the Patriots on the road against

529
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 1: the Eagles. Eagles were three and a half point. Dogs

530
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 1: came so close to working out for people. Darren would

531
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,080
Speaker 1: have been in the parking lot of Patch Cheese Steaks

532
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:24,560
Speaker 1: and had thirty six pounds of cheese was dumped on

533
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: his head. Instead, he got to send out a video

534
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:31,160
Speaker 1: taunting everybody who bet against him in Fade Revel. This

535
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:35,959
Speaker 1: week's Fade Revel game is gonna be Aaron Rodgers visiting

536
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: San Francisco. What we have cooked up for Darren in

537
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 1: case he loses his bet, well, honest to God, be

538
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:45,719
Speaker 1: the most painful thing he's ever done. I'm not even joking.

539
00:29:46,200 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to stick around and follow Darren on Twitter.

540
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:51,320
Speaker 1: If you're one of the people who wasn't following him

541
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 1: on Twitter, follow Action Network at Action Network HQ, follow

542
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 1: me at Chad Moment. You'll see the video from one

543
00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 1: of those will post it tomorrow and then you'll be

544
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:00,640
Speaker 1: able to go to Points bet and bet on Fade

545
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 1: Revel if you're in New Jersey. Um, and we will

546
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 1: hope to God that he loses because I so want

547
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:09,960
Speaker 1: him to have to do this stunt. If they lose,

548
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,800
Speaker 1: that's enough set. I'm excited for it. I can see

549
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 1: Royce is smiling right now. It's kind of I don't know.

550
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,400
Speaker 1: He may like, he may be like, I can't believe

551
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:23,400
Speaker 1: I came to this podcast, but uh, Green Bay is

552
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 1: a three point dog on the road, perfectly lined game.

553
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,960
Speaker 1: I would take the Packers here. If you're gonna take

554
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 1: the Packers. You should be able to get three and

555
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 1: a half. If not now, then then at some point

556
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 1: we're at three minus fifteen on the Niners. We hung three.

557
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 1: We got a little money on the Niners, but not

558
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 1: enough to get us there yet. But I think that's

559
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 1: what the trend now. The public is on the Packers,

560
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 1: but only at about like fifty with us UM. Packers

561
00:30:56,720 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 1: have such a great following around the country. It particularly

562
00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 1: with betters here in Las Vegas, that they're all the

563
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 1: usually attract money regardless of the game or the point spread,

564
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 1: but in this matchup, it's that it's the biggest bet

565
00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:11,800
Speaker 1: game on the board. On both sides, we have action

566
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 1: on both sides. So but I do feel we're going

567
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 1: to bounce back and forth a little bit on this one,

568
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,040
Speaker 1: which I hate to have happened, because it seems like

569
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 1: it's setting up to be a pretty competitive game and

570
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:24,719
Speaker 1: chances of it full and three are pretty high. So

571
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 1: I'm gonna try not to bounce back. I think I'm

572
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 1: gonna stay at three, let them lay the Niners and

573
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 1: try to go into the game needing. The Packers. Seattle

574
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:38,120
Speaker 1: visiting Philly. There is a theory called the Pythagorean win theory,

575
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 1: where basically, if you're scoring fewer points than than your

576
00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 1: opponent and your record is better, then then there's a

577
00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:51,880
Speaker 1: sort of expected record. I'm not doing you justice expected

578
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 1: record and actual record. And right now the Seattle Seahawks

579
00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,760
Speaker 1: are like a team that you want to fade. Yet

580
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:00,760
Speaker 1: they are getting eight two per cent of the money

581
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 1: as two point home underdog or two point road dogs

582
00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:09,720
Speaker 1: in Philadelphia. Yeah, boy, that was a nice I don't

583
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 1: think I've ever heard the Pythagrian theory and referenced in

584
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 1: in a sports betting reference. But we're getting good the

585
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 1: way you worked that in there. Thanks Copernicus, Copernicus. What

586
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:32,320
Speaker 1: are you breaking out your USC degree? Copernicus, call me no,

587
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:36,239
Speaker 1: because that's how good I am at this. You are.

588
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 1: I'm telling you you're having some year. Yeah, I agree

589
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,360
Speaker 1: with you on this one. And you know when we

590
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 1: when we hung this line, we hung two and a

591
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 1: half and on Philly the favorite minus two and a

592
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 1: half and the first statch out of the gate where

593
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 1: the Seahawks we're we're probably the only two out there.

594
00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 1: As a matter of fact, I'm looking out there. Every

595
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 1: every place here in Vegas is at one and a

596
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:02,920
Speaker 1: half and we're the only two. So you know, we

597
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 1: certainly feel the same way that even though the Seahawks

598
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,600
Speaker 1: are getting so much money and and they're getting a

599
00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:12,520
Speaker 1: lot of these wins, they haven't really shown that much

600
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 1: that they can uh win on the road and games

601
00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 1: like games like these. Um, another one where I mean,

602
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: this is the most lopsided game on the board, even

603
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 1: more so than uh than the than the Patriots are,

604
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:29,440
Speaker 1: more so than the Saints. Uh. We have just got

605
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 1: so much money and tickets on the Seahawks, who are

606
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 1: completely lopsided. But we feel the same way. We're just

607
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,560
Speaker 1: going to go into this one needed the Eagles, of course.

608
00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 1: They we need the Eagles last week and they didn't

609
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 1: get it for us. So hopefully it's not two weeks

610
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 1: in a row. We uh guess wrong. I think I'm

611
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:47,000
Speaker 1: gonna be on the Eagles this week. I just wrote

612
00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:48,200
Speaker 1: him down. I might want to put them in the

613
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:49,959
Speaker 1: super Contest later on in the show. I'm gonna ask

614
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter about that. Um, I like him. I like him.

615
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 1: Next week. I mean, they're they're banged up a lot still.

616
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 1: They mean they went into last week's game about al

617
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 1: Shan Jeffrey and he still lifted his question while going

618
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 1: into this game. Uh, you know, they've been without Sprowls

619
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:10,239
Speaker 1: and uh so, so they're still kind of still kind

620
00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:14,799
Speaker 1: of banged up. But I think I think this is

621
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 1: the game they win. Monday Night, Baltimore, Lamar Jackson, most

622
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 1: exciting player in the NFL against Jared Goff, the least

623
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:26,720
Speaker 1: exciting player in the NFL. Baltimore on the road, three

624
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:32,279
Speaker 1: point favorite. That's a tricky one, it really is. There's

625
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:35,319
Speaker 1: no team that is getting more love and support than

626
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:39,879
Speaker 1: the Ravens right now, and rightfully so. Uh second most

627
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 1: lopsided game in terms of tickets. However, the sharp guy

628
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:47,120
Speaker 1: has bet the Rams in this one, and I'm not surprised.

629
00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:50,480
Speaker 1: I would too. I mean, it just seems like the

630
00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 1: Spot as bad as you know, the Rams have looked,

631
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:56,840
Speaker 1: and you really can't take much from you know, beating

632
00:34:56,920 --> 00:35:01,200
Speaker 1: up on a bad Bears team, Um, you know, Monday

633
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:03,360
Speaker 1: night game, going up against the best team in the

634
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:07,279
Speaker 1: NFL at at home. I mean, it seems like the

635
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 1: Spot form in terms of value, you know, the beginning

636
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:12,560
Speaker 1: of the year. If you look at this game and

637
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:14,640
Speaker 1: said what would the line be, say the Rams three

638
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:17,400
Speaker 1: so it looks kind of like a six point adjustment

639
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:19,600
Speaker 1: at least since the beginning of the year, which is huge.

640
00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:21,720
Speaker 1: I mean, it's a testament to how great the Ravens

641
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,960
Speaker 1: are playing. But if there's value and a game that

642
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:27,120
Speaker 1: you know you might get tripped up, this might be

643
00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 1: the game. There's so many like short home dogs or

644
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:39,479
Speaker 1: short home phaves. Can fill my whole card with those.

645
00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 1: That's what I'm doing. I'm sticking to my guns, getting

646
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 1: back to basics. I'm not going to worry about what

647
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 1: happened last week. I'm not gonna let sort of anomalies dictate. Scooch,

648
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:53,440
Speaker 1: guess what time it is? What time is it, baby,

649
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:02,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna put him on the spot right now. We're

650
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:06,560
Speaker 1: gonna let our super guest, our studio audience is gonna

651
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:10,239
Speaker 1: make a choice right now. Collectively, our studio audience this

652
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:17,320
Speaker 1: week is choosing Philadelphia Eagles. Philadelphia Eagles. Royce is choosing

653
00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 1: the Eagles minus two. I like it, Scooch, I get

654
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 1: to go next because you know I want and I

655
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:31,640
Speaker 1: think I am gonna go with the uh Buffalo Bills

656
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:36,120
Speaker 1: minus four. Nice, not bad. I'm gonna go with another

657
00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:39,360
Speaker 1: four point favorite. I am gonna go with the Falcons

658
00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 1: over the Buccaneers. Wow, what either of us chosen the

659
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:47,359
Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles if Royce hadn't chosen them, I like them.

660
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:50,279
Speaker 1: That's my second choice. I do too. I'd like him

661
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:54,120
Speaker 1: a lot. It's through it. I'm sticking with the Bills.

662
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 1: Race isn't gonna be here next week. We can choose

663
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:59,920
Speaker 1: ever we want. I'm sticking with the Bills, all right,

664
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:03,200
Speaker 1: all right, Bob Scucci. Listen. People can listen up to us.

665
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:05,839
Speaker 1: Aunt can listen up, can listen to us on Sunday

666
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:10,879
Speaker 1: afternoon noon Eastern Radio dot com. Search for you better

667
00:37:10,920 --> 00:37:13,759
Speaker 1: you bet you will find us live. You can call in.

668
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:15,239
Speaker 1: By the way, we had a lot of callers this

669
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 1: past week, which was really exciting. We are breaking down

670
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:21,080
Speaker 1: all the games in the hour before kick off. Its

671
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 1: most exciting sixty minutes in sports media probably ever. Probably

672
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:29,480
Speaker 1: over Scooch, I will talk to I'll talk to you Sunday. Alright,

673
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:33,839
Speaker 1: take care, thanks, alright, as promised, we're gonna go over

674
00:37:33,840 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: our super contest picks because we are crushing lately. As

675
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:40,879
Speaker 1: I reminded everybody, we were four oh and one three

676
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,239
Speaker 1: weeks ago when Darren was not on the show one,

677
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 1: three and one, two weeks ago, when Darren was on

678
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:47,759
Speaker 1: the show, three and two last week, when Darren was

679
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,480
Speaker 1: not on the show. This week, we've allowed Darren to

680
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 1: come back on the show. Um, but you worked very hard,

681
00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:56,239
Speaker 1: and so I just wanted to give you that and

682
00:37:56,480 --> 00:38:00,359
Speaker 1: honor that. Uh, you had a massive story your day

683
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:04,280
Speaker 1: before we could start talking about it, tell us about

684
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 1: the Parlay Heater that the subject of your latest story

685
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:11,360
Speaker 1: is on that blew up the internet last night. Yeah.

686
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 1: So there was there's this guy who actually DM me

687
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:20,600
Speaker 1: on Instagram saying on October what is it twenty nine?

688
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 1: D m me saying, hey, just I just want two

689
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 1: thirty nine thousand at William Hill. And I'm like okay,

690
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 1: like that was something, and I said we're gonna we'll

691
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:32,840
Speaker 1: do a story, and we didn't connect for some reason

692
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:36,439
Speaker 1: or another. And then he came back to me and said, hey,

693
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 1: I just won three thirty three thousand and and I

694
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:43,480
Speaker 1: was like, okay, that does not happen, Like people aren't

695
00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 1: doing that now. I don't know what his in between is,

696
00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 1: but the fact that he had to within twenty one

697
00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:53,600
Speaker 1: days is ridiculous. And so we pieced together this story

698
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 1: of a twenty three year old kid who travels to

699
00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:01,760
Speaker 1: a Korean grocery uh working lot in Fort Lee, New Jersey,

700
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:03,640
Speaker 1: because he lives in New York in camp at mobile

701
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 1: in New York and and has has gotten you know,

702
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:12,000
Speaker 1: made six seventy two dollars in parlays in twenty one days.

703
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:16,600
Speaker 1: Admittedly he's lost at least seventy five thousand and other parlays,

704
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 1: but just the fact that he hit four parlays for

705
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 1: six seventy two over three weeks is just incredible. I

706
00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:26,879
Speaker 1: would take down. I would take a net of six

707
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 1: d grand in you know, a month. But then would

708
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:42,160
Speaker 1: you retire from betting? No? Okay would you Maybe I

709
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:44,320
Speaker 1: might not retire from betting, but I might bet less.

710
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 1: I might just bet, like, you know, instead of my

711
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 1: usual hundred grand a weekend, I would do like ten

712
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:52,319
Speaker 1: grand a weekends. Right, your usual under grand, which is

713
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:55,520
Speaker 1: what your usual is? Right? You know. It's like, you know,

714
00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 1: I'm playing a little bit of the houses money there um.

715
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:01,520
Speaker 1: But that's awesome. So we got this kid. People can

716
00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:03,840
Speaker 1: go check out that story. I think you did a

717
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:07,360
Speaker 1: nice job teasing it their Action Network dot Com download

718
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 1: the Action Network app. It's all in there. It's all free.

719
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 1: You will love it. Darren did a great job reporting

720
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:19,920
Speaker 1: the story. Darren. Yes, let's talk about the picks you

721
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 1: want to make this week and how you're going to

722
00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:26,160
Speaker 1: screw us up. Okay, I want to go back to Miami.

723
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:30,759
Speaker 1: Shut up for my third street time. Yep. Ten and

724
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 1: a half. I think everyone's just high on Cleveland, you know,

725
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 1: after Pittsburgh. I like getting ten and a half. I

726
00:40:39,200 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 1: like Miami ten and a half. I also terrible call.

727
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 1: I also like the Giants. Uh, we don't even know

728
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 1: who's playing quarterback? Can we not choose the team if

729
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 1: we don't know who's playing quarterback? Can we please do that? What? Okay,

730
00:40:57,760 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 1: I'll have an alternate then. But I like the Giant

731
00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:05,400
Speaker 1: m hm um. I like Oakland minus three against the Jets.

732
00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:08,440
Speaker 1: I don't think I think everyone wants to write this

733
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:11,200
Speaker 1: narrative as Sam Donald says that they could still make

734
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 1: the playoff. Uh, I don't buy it. I think, uh

735
00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:20,200
Speaker 1: that was just a fluke and then not putting anything together.

736
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 1: So Oakland minus three. I do think that Lamar Jackson

737
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:27,960
Speaker 1: is the real deal anywhere he plays, including on the

738
00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:32,840
Speaker 1: road in the Colisseum. I'll take Baltimore minus three against

739
00:41:32,840 --> 00:41:38,040
Speaker 1: the Rams, and I want I think people have been

740
00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:41,200
Speaker 1: confused because of their last two games, but I do

741
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 1: think the forty Niners are the real deal, even in Lambeau.

742
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 1: I'll take the forty minus three against the Packers. Okay,

743
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 1: let me just say this. I disagree. Um, not just

744
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:57,840
Speaker 1: do I disagree, but we talked about on the podcast

745
00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:04,359
Speaker 1: earlier with Scooch. With every one of your picks, I'm

746
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:07,360
Speaker 1: not looking at the Fins and the Giants. Like the

747
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:11,359
Speaker 1: Browns too much, too much trauma there. Giants, I don't

748
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:14,760
Speaker 1: know who's playing quarterback. Hate the Raiders in this spot,

749
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:19,200
Speaker 1: hate the Ravens in this spot. Would favor then favorite

750
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 1: the Packers in the spot. I love the Buffalo Bills, um.

751
00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:35,280
Speaker 1: I like Carolina, I like the Falcons. I like the Eagles, um,

752
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:40,560
Speaker 1: and I love the Jets. You're not gonna get me

753
00:42:40,640 --> 00:42:44,799
Speaker 1: to love the Jets, that's for sure. The Eagles one

754
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 1: and a half at home against Seattle. I would take that,

755
00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:52,719
Speaker 1: all right, let's put the Eagles on our list. Okay,

756
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:56,399
Speaker 1: what about I would also say I would also take

757
00:42:56,440 --> 00:42:59,160
Speaker 1: the Bills minus four at home against Denver. I would

758
00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:03,360
Speaker 1: take that. Okay, I really like Carolina. I feel like

759
00:43:03,400 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 1: they're way undervalued right now to really bad weeks, and

760
00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:10,359
Speaker 1: the Saints have not performed up to their capabilities. This

761
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,880
Speaker 1: past weekend against the Bucks easily could have been a

762
00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:15,759
Speaker 1: blowout like they I think nine and a half if

763
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:18,480
Speaker 1: we get something like that is a lot of points

764
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 1: for a team that you're right, um, you know before

765
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,080
Speaker 1: their two losses, nine and a half, even against these

766
00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:28,440
Speaker 1: Saints would be absurd, even though it is in New Orleans,

767
00:43:29,320 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 1: I would take that. I do not want to take

768
00:43:31,520 --> 00:43:35,759
Speaker 1: the Packers against San Francisco. I just don't want that.

769
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:38,720
Speaker 1: But I've given you more than I've ever given you

770
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:41,439
Speaker 1: half and I think I'm okay. You rolled over, rolled

771
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:48,160
Speaker 1: over nicely. Okay, Let's bring in Simon and now a

772
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:56,359
Speaker 1: word from a wise guy with Simon Hunter, Simon, I've

773
00:43:56,360 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 1: set the stage. I let the world know Darren is

774
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,000
Speaker 1: back on the show this way. But then in two

775
00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:03,600
Speaker 1: of the past three weeks, we've had winning records, and

776
00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 1: it happened to coincide with when he wasn't on the show,

777
00:44:06,200 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 1: and the one week we lost was when he was

778
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 1: on the show, and then and then he and then

779
00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:15,160
Speaker 1: he proceeded to look at my five picks and say

780
00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 1: no to all of them. So it's like I'm not

781
00:44:20,200 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 1: even on there. I'm actually not on the show, Simon.

782
00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 1: I'm not technically I'm not on the show. I'm not

783
00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 1: doing what we're doing, which is selecting team. I'm not

784
00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 1: doing that. Well, you're here to tell us that you

785
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 1: like the Dolphins, right, is correct, Simon, So we definitely

786
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 1: need to change them to the Rebels instead of calling

787
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:40,160
Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins, because I think it's like six weeks

788
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:47,720
Speaker 1: in a round street for me. You are so right, hey, Siling.

789
00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:51,279
Speaker 1: By the way, Uh, we have a studio audience in

790
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:54,279
Speaker 1: the on the show today, And by studio audience, I

791
00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 1: mean we have one fan who I met about a

792
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 1: year ago. He was a guy who was to the

793
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:03,440
Speaker 1: show and then just emailed me. Not unlike you, Simon.

794
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,160
Speaker 1: Oh my god. You guys are like kinship in more

795
00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:09,280
Speaker 1: ways than one. Emailed me, cold emailed me. I return

796
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:11,359
Speaker 1: almost to all the emails and tweets that I get.

797
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:14,759
Speaker 1: Um emailed me, want to have a conversation. We had

798
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:17,320
Speaker 1: a conversation. We stayed in touch. He happens to be

799
00:45:17,360 --> 00:45:19,280
Speaker 1: in New York. He went to college with our producer

800
00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,880
Speaker 1: pat uh and emailed me and pats at him in

801
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,479
Speaker 1: New York. Can I come by the show? We said, sure.

802
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:28,399
Speaker 1: Royce Hall who also by the way, Simon, he's from

803
00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 1: South He's from South Jersey. Good Man, it's always good

804
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:35,399
Speaker 1: people from suctors. And that's what I hear. That's right,

805
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:39,960
Speaker 1: that's right. Say hello to roy Simon. Good How are

806
00:45:39,960 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 1: you doing so man? So is Darren? Are Darren and

807
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:46,879
Speaker 1: Chad as small as they look on Cameron's person or oh,

808
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:51,479
Speaker 1: don't go small with me. Listen, No, I'm getting five eutes,

809
00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 1: average height five average seven seven, Diane. All right, here

810
00:45:57,640 --> 00:46:02,600
Speaker 1: we go, Simon, you there, I'm here boys. Here's what

811
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:06,680
Speaker 1: we got so far. We are committed Eagles minus one

812
00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 1: and a half, Bills minus four, Panthers plus nine and

813
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:15,400
Speaker 1: a half or ten. Um, I love, I love Eagles.

814
00:46:15,400 --> 00:46:17,480
Speaker 1: That's gonna be the sharp play of the week. So

815
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:21,080
Speaker 1: this is this is kind of a funny week where um, like,

816
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,279
Speaker 1: I was at the sports book last two weeks on

817
00:46:23,320 --> 00:46:25,960
Speaker 1: Sunday and it was empty because the house just cleaned up.

818
00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 1: So this week when I go to sports book, it's

819
00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:30,200
Speaker 1: gonna be packed. I mean everyone's gonna be back down

820
00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:32,040
Speaker 1: in your see because everyone won last week, it was

821
00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:34,920
Speaker 1: a nice public week, So this is a This is

822
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:36,839
Speaker 1: definitely a nice week where a lot of these lines

823
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:38,560
Speaker 1: are gonna look off to people and they're gonna think

824
00:46:38,560 --> 00:46:40,800
Speaker 1: they're getting good value this week, where it's gonna be

825
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:42,440
Speaker 1: a good week to be a sharp, it's gonna be

826
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:44,440
Speaker 1: a good week to be riding with the book. So

827
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:49,080
Speaker 1: I like that Eagles pick the Carolina. One's funny where

828
00:46:49,400 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 1: it's a divisional game and we've already seen the Saints

829
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 1: lay eggs with these big lines and divisional games. So

830
00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 1: I do like your heads out with the Pantings and

831
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:00,640
Speaker 1: then with the Bills. I still think that the numbers

832
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:04,400
Speaker 1: high like these. I know the records are way different,

833
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 1: like one team seven and three, other ones three and seven, um,

834
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 1: But when I look at this number team, the Bills team,

835
00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:12,480
Speaker 1: I think they're honestly the same team. I mean, I

836
00:47:12,520 --> 00:47:14,439
Speaker 1: know the home field advantage and they're getting a bump,

837
00:47:15,080 --> 00:47:18,920
Speaker 1: but I would honestly stay away from that Bill's line. Interesting,

838
00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:21,880
Speaker 1: I could be way off on that. Sometimes my first instinct,

839
00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 1: almost always, my first instinct is way off. So okay,

840
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 1: we'll get rid of the Bills. We will stick with

841
00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:30,440
Speaker 1: the Eagles and the Panthers. Um, let me throw a

842
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,560
Speaker 1: couple more games at you that Darren loved, so we

843
00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:34,600
Speaker 1: can cross those off the list and then we can

844
00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,879
Speaker 1: get on to the other games that we really wanted.

845
00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:42,839
Speaker 1: Bet uh, he likes Oakland minus three. I will say this,

846
00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:50,640
Speaker 1: I love the Jets in this spot. UM, I honestly would,

847
00:47:50,640 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 1: honestly would probably go with the Raiders here. I like right.

848
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:56,600
Speaker 1: The only the only thing I don't like about is

849
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:59,000
Speaker 1: it's the same thing with Seattle. It's a West Coast

850
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:02,040
Speaker 1: team compan East playing in the early slot. So that

851
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:04,360
Speaker 1: sounds like I know, there's numbers that back up to

852
00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,839
Speaker 1: say it's not that big of a deal, but later

853
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:08,640
Speaker 1: in the season like this, that actually is kind of

854
00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:13,080
Speaker 1: the bigger of a deal. UM, I would stay away.

855
00:48:13,080 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't want to back the Jets after

856
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:18,719
Speaker 1: that big win last week. UM, we were talking about

857
00:48:18,800 --> 00:48:20,520
Speaker 1: here how the Redskins like we don't want to put

858
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:22,279
Speaker 1: them in, and it just felt like a weird spot

859
00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:23,719
Speaker 1: where you couldn't really get a good read on the

860
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:26,200
Speaker 1: Jets or the Redskins, and the Jets really came out

861
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:29,200
Speaker 1: and and just crushed them. This is a nice little

862
00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:31,200
Speaker 1: left down spot for the Jets. So I mean, can

863
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:34,360
Speaker 1: I sell you some Lamar Jackson anywhere in the country,

864
00:48:34,520 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 1: any game on the road at the Colisseum? Who cares?

865
00:48:38,239 --> 00:48:42,480
Speaker 1: Can I sell you some of him? Well? Thank god?

866
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:45,080
Speaker 1: I came in yet last week and I was just like, guys,

867
00:48:45,120 --> 00:48:47,520
Speaker 1: we just can we just not go against Lamar again?

868
00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:50,640
Speaker 1: And we switched out the Texans, thank god. But this

869
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:53,399
Speaker 1: is this is one of those spots where I get

870
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:55,360
Speaker 1: why you love him. He's the m v P of

871
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:57,799
Speaker 1: the league, but as a gambler, I have to be

872
00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:00,720
Speaker 1: on the ramps here. This is just a great, great

873
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:05,959
Speaker 1: spot where the Ravens loose. But I can't. I can't

874
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,759
Speaker 1: give you all the reasons why. But this is this

875
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:10,439
Speaker 1: is the reason. This is one of these games where

876
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:12,400
Speaker 1: he comes in with all the hypees, the MVP of

877
00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:15,319
Speaker 1: the league, and they just don't. They don't cover this game,

878
00:49:15,360 --> 00:49:17,320
Speaker 1: maybe even win by Philbill, but the line is probably

879
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:19,680
Speaker 1: gonna close up four. So that's why I wouldn't take that.

880
00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:22,640
Speaker 1: I love the Rams in this spot. Yeah, you gotta

881
00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:24,640
Speaker 1: love the Rams on the spot. Do you love them

882
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:29,759
Speaker 1: enough to put him in? No? No? I mean, if

883
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:33,000
Speaker 1: like they're Sharper Sharper lines. I like, um and that

884
00:49:33,120 --> 00:49:36,239
Speaker 1: with like a good a good sharp line this week, UM,

885
00:49:36,280 --> 00:49:39,359
Speaker 1: just because people saw them thories like how awful Pittsburgh looked.

886
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:43,160
Speaker 1: I like Pittsburgh. That's since it's Pittsburgh. They're five five

887
00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:46,000
Speaker 1: planet oh intent team and this is there. They gotta

888
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 1: they gotta win big here, they gotta make a playoff push.

889
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,120
Speaker 1: This team still believes in themselves. And and since he

890
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,720
Speaker 1: that was, I don't know how they didn't beat Oakland.

891
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:57,880
Speaker 1: Oakland played absolutely horrible and they still lost by seven.

892
00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 1: So I just think the Bengals are team that's just quit.

893
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:02,160
Speaker 1: And they covered last week, so I think it's a

894
00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:04,880
Speaker 1: good week ago Again, since you want you want us

895
00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 1: to put a road favorite of a touchdown or more,

896
00:50:08,640 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 1: getting eighty percent of the money into the super contest,

897
00:50:14,760 --> 00:50:16,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I get what you're saying, Like I don't

898
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 1: play percentages like that, so like I mean, I know

899
00:50:18,640 --> 00:50:20,560
Speaker 1: you mean so we can stay away, I guess from Pittsburgh.

900
00:50:20,560 --> 00:50:22,000
Speaker 1: But the eight percent of the money, that's a lot

901
00:50:22,000 --> 00:50:24,040
Speaker 1: of sharp money. That's just not Joe public money. You

902
00:50:24,080 --> 00:50:27,600
Speaker 1: know what, you know what, you know what. I'm willing

903
00:50:27,600 --> 00:50:28,960
Speaker 1: to go with it. Like sometimes you've got to go

904
00:50:29,000 --> 00:50:31,799
Speaker 1: against your instincts. I've lost this thing every year. I'm

905
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:36,120
Speaker 1: winning this year. So I feel like we cracked thirty.

906
00:50:36,120 --> 00:50:38,040
Speaker 1: I'm pretty I'm pretty excited where we're heading run. We

907
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:40,279
Speaker 1: already cracked thirty before week twelve, so we got thirty

908
00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:42,799
Speaker 1: wins right now going in, so we're doing good. Thirty wins.

909
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't have any place, but I

910
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:45,799
Speaker 1: don't know if any idea of what place we're in.

911
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:49,960
Speaker 1: I've like assiduously of we're looking. I'm not looking at

912
00:50:49,960 --> 00:50:51,360
Speaker 1: the end of the year, we're doing the money or

913
00:50:51,360 --> 00:50:54,200
Speaker 1: we're not. It's not going to impact, like my choice

914
00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:56,799
Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh. All right, let's take Pittsburgh. So we got

915
00:50:56,840 --> 00:50:58,719
Speaker 1: the Eagles minus one and a half, the Panthers plus

916
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:02,239
Speaker 1: nine and a half or ten Pittsburgh minus seven. Give

917
00:51:02,280 --> 00:51:06,520
Speaker 1: me another sharp line. You're looking at Simon. You're gonna

918
00:51:06,560 --> 00:51:12,839
Speaker 1: hate it. And I know I already know that. Um

919
00:51:13,040 --> 00:51:15,759
Speaker 1: just said the masses would like would scold us. We

920
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:18,279
Speaker 1: did again, but you have to love the Buccaneers here.

921
00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:19,920
Speaker 1: But we can't do it. I know we can't do

922
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:25,960
Speaker 1: is thank you next? You know what, as Ariniana Grande says,

923
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:31,560
Speaker 1: thank you next, how do you guys feel? And it's

924
00:51:31,880 --> 00:51:34,600
Speaker 1: it's it's a no, no, no, you can't do mine.

925
00:51:34,680 --> 00:51:37,799
Speaker 1: It's an ugly spot. But do you guys like the Patriots?

926
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:42,600
Speaker 1: I do? Um, I'm I'm actually I do like the Patriots.

927
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:45,360
Speaker 1: I'm actually hoping the number goes lower. I'm hoping, like

928
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:47,640
Speaker 1: when the lines are posted it's at six, not six

929
00:51:47,680 --> 00:51:50,520
Speaker 1: and a half. You're right, I would love it at six.

930
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:52,760
Speaker 1: I do in my system. I got this at seven,

931
00:51:52,840 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 1: so we're not getting crazy value. But this is just

932
00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:59,319
Speaker 1: such a I mean, no one likes the Patriots. They

933
00:51:59,360 --> 00:52:01,839
Speaker 1: look horrible. The Eagles did everything that could to lose

934
00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:04,600
Speaker 1: and not cover that game. So I do like the

935
00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:07,360
Speaker 1: Patriots bouncing back here? Damon? What do you think of that? Like?

936
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:10,640
Speaker 1: I like the Patriots? All right? Eagles minus one and

937
00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:12,959
Speaker 1: a half, Pittsburgh minus seven, Pats minus six and a half,

938
00:52:13,120 --> 00:52:18,440
Speaker 1: Panthers plus ten. We got one more game. We gotta choose.

939
00:52:19,480 --> 00:52:26,640
Speaker 1: We're not fucking taking Oakland. And you guys said you

940
00:52:26,960 --> 00:52:33,960
Speaker 1: like San frances I do. I don't, so you don't. Yeah,

941
00:52:34,320 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 1: that's it makes you a little word because it is

942
00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:40,040
Speaker 1: prime time and uh, everything we've seen from Jimmy g

943
00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:42,560
Speaker 1: he hasn't looked good in Prime TWN, like that that

944
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:47,800
Speaker 1: Seahawks game. He was terrible on the Monday night. Um, okay,

945
00:52:47,840 --> 00:52:49,919
Speaker 1: I do like that. I do like the forty Niners there.

946
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:57,120
Speaker 1: Um how about Jacksonville plus three in Tennessee. That's a

947
00:52:57,120 --> 00:53:02,400
Speaker 1: waste of a game. We only laugh. I know, I know.

948
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:04,120
Speaker 1: I mean, do you want to do the Thursday Night?

949
00:53:04,160 --> 00:53:06,640
Speaker 1: You guys want to take the Colds tonight on on Thursday,

950
00:53:08,120 --> 00:53:13,759
Speaker 1: Let's take the Niners. Okay, Oh, I'll take the night.

951
00:53:15,080 --> 00:53:17,359
Speaker 1: So we got a lot of chalk here. We got

952
00:53:18,040 --> 00:53:21,279
Speaker 1: the Eagles minus Yeah, Eagles minus four and a half,

953
00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:24,200
Speaker 1: Pats minus six and a half, Pittsburgh minus seven, the

954
00:53:25,040 --> 00:53:27,239
Speaker 1: Niners minus nine and a half, and the Panthers or

955
00:53:27,280 --> 00:53:29,279
Speaker 1: minus three and a half. In the Panthers plus nine

956
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:34,239
Speaker 1: and a half or ten Maybe I like it, mine,

957
00:53:35,120 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 1: I like mine. I like it. I like it. If

958
00:53:38,120 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 1: they feel like winners, I know, it's real chalk. And

959
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:41,959
Speaker 1: we did chalk last week. But we went three and two,

960
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:45,320
Speaker 1: so we're staying the course. We are gonna win some money. Boys,

961
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:52,600
Speaker 1: Let's go. Simon Hunter, professional better from South Jersey who

962
00:53:52,640 --> 00:53:55,960
Speaker 1: emailed who DM me once? And now he is talking

963
00:53:55,960 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 1: to Royce Hall from South Jersey who emailed me once

964
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:02,080
Speaker 1: in his studio audience. That's what we do here at

965
00:54:02,120 --> 00:54:05,480
Speaker 1: the Favorites. We bring people together. Dan revel as always

966
00:54:05,520 --> 00:54:08,480
Speaker 1: go read his latest story on the Parley Heat or

967
00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:11,080
Speaker 1: that has one of guys six dollars. Read Action Network

968
00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:13,960
Speaker 1: dot Com, download the Action Network Gap, don't forget favor

969
00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:17,400
Speaker 1: Revel points. Bet it will be the Packers Niners this week.

970
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:19,600
Speaker 1: And if you are on the opposite side of Revel

971
00:54:19,600 --> 00:54:21,520
Speaker 1: he's going to announce his choice tomorrow, but you'll probably

972
00:54:21,520 --> 00:54:23,719
Speaker 1: get an idea. Listen to this podcast. He's going to

973
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:26,360
Speaker 1: have to do something so painful if he loses. We

974
00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:28,799
Speaker 1: all got to be rooting the other side. This has

975
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:33,120
Speaker 1: been The Favorites from the Action Network. Download the podcast

976
00:54:33,280 --> 00:54:36,640
Speaker 1: at iTunes or anywhere you get your Apple podcast from

977
00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:39,759
Speaker 1: Radio dot com search for the Favorites, or anywhere else.

978
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:41,959
Speaker 1: Until next time, I Love you,