1 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning 2 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault 3 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:23,720 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt to follow me on Twitter. You 4 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: guys know that BETMGM is the title sponsor of this podcast. 5 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 1: You guys can go and check out their new offer, 6 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: Well not that new, but it's an offer for new 7 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: users thousand dollars first bet offer with the promo code 8 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: Juice at sign up at betmgm dot com. Promo code 9 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: Juice for one thousand dollars first bet offer at betmgm 10 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 1: dot com. All right, so that's a four unit week, 11 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: three straight weeks we have one. So this is a 12 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 1: very good indication, a really good run. It's been a 13 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 1: lot of fun. We keep on hitting college basketball. Drake 14 00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 1: comes in with an easy, sweat free, awesome walk to 15 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: the window, and then we get an over in the 16 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:07,039 Speaker 1: Vegas gold Knights game that I was actually at to 17 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 1: get a chance to watch that third period, which was crazy. 18 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: It was two very good periods of Jonathan Quick and 19 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 1: then Jonathan Quick went back to being Jonathan Quick and 20 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: the couch and the Canadians. We're able to score a 21 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: couple of goals Vegas wins four to three. The over 22 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: comes in over six, so we got that right. We 23 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,040 Speaker 1: got a push on the six because it was six nothing. 24 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is in a world of hurt. I mean 25 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:36,959 Speaker 1: a world of hurt. Tibbe lost six nothing to Carolina 26 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: six goals gets the push for us somehow, someway, we'll 27 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: take it. But that's a two oh and one day. 28 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 1: So it was a two and one, two and two, 29 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:51,559 Speaker 1: two and one, two and two, two and one, two 30 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: and three, two oh in one week. Not bad, Okay, 31 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: slow and steady. Look, there are going to be other 32 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 1: pots guests that are going to go up and down, 33 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 1: win more units, but they may lose more units or 34 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 1: maybe not even track it. I don't know, but we 35 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 1: track everything. So we're off to a really good start 36 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: in college basketball for the podcast. I think I'm somewhere 37 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: around like twenty three and fourteen something in that range 38 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: for college basketball. The NHL's has been really, really good, 39 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 1: and they haven't updated the weekend yet. The last time 40 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: they've updated is on Friday, So tomorrow I'll be able 41 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: to give you an up to date number as to 42 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:33,440 Speaker 1: what I'm doing in the NHL. But it's a solid number. 43 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 1: I think we're up twelve units or something like that. 44 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 1: So six or so units in college basketball, twelve units 45 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: in the NHL. It's very very good. So not gonna 46 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: stop what I'm doing, Okay, because you might go, I 47 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 1: want to bet the NBA. Okay, I get it, But 48 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 1: why am I going to stop what I'm doing when 49 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 1: I'm winning. I don't want to stop. I'm gonna keep 50 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 1: doing this. So hopefully the guys you're enjoying this. Hopefully 51 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 1: you guys are making money, and we'll keep writing with 52 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: this until we can't write it more. So, before I 53 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: give you the picks, I have two in hockey. I 54 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: have won in college basketball, let me tell you about 55 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: the return of our friends from Omaha Steaks. Their fifty 56 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 1: percent semi annual sale is back. You guys who are ogs. 57 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 1: You know that Omaha Steaks has been around for a 58 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: while here on the Daily Juice. It's very very cool. 59 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:26,400 Speaker 1: I have received packages. 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The Sabers are nineteen and eleven 94 00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: to the over. At home, they're six and four over 95 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: the last ten. First game was four to two in Edmonton. 96 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: Didn't go over six and a half or seven. But 97 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 1: it's either Eric Comery, who has a goals against average 98 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 1: of three point six seven at home eleven goals in 99 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: his last three games given up, or it's going to 100 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: be luket In, who has a four point zero eight 101 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: goals against average at home. Either one, I don't care. 102 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,839 Speaker 1: They both give up tons of goals Buffalo scores goals, 103 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 1: but they give up a ton. Jack Campbell with his 104 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:56,359 Speaker 1: three point zero three point eight zero goals against average 105 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 1: on the road is going This guy's given up sixteen 106 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:03,480 Speaker 1: goals in his last three games. Again, it doesn't matter 107 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:05,840 Speaker 1: about the goaltenders. I don't care who's in net. It 108 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. I'm betting the over over seven minus one 109 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 1: twenty five. I think, at worse we get to push 110 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: out of this. But five to three, you know, five 111 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 1: to four something along those lines, nine ten, eleven goals 112 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 1: to be scored. It's just how the Sabers and the 113 00:06:23,120 --> 00:06:26,279 Speaker 1: Oilers play most likely in how they play right now. Yes, 114 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 1: I'm laying one point twenty five units down on the over. 115 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: Is it dumb? Maybe? Don't care. I'm not betting under 116 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 1: in this game. That would be Looney Tunes over seven goals, 117 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 1: Oilers and the Sabers for minus one twenty five. Second 118 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 1: bet for the NHL, the Flames are at the Stars. 119 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 1: I don't have a total lean here. The Flames are 120 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 1: sixteen fifteen and one to the over on the road, 121 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 1: seven and three over their last ten to the over 122 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: on the road. The Stars are fifteen sixteen and one 123 00:06:57,720 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: to the over, so slightly up on the under at 124 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 1: home six three and one to the under over their 125 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: last ten. We've got Ottingery net, which is big. He's 126 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 1: sixteen and four straight up at home over his last 127 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 1: twenty games. Dallas has won three in a row. They're 128 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 1: seventeen eight and eight at home. Four of the last 129 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: five have been won overall for the Dallas Stars. Calgary 130 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:25,080 Speaker 1: has lost five games in a row and they're twelve 131 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 1: ten and ten on the road. There are going to 132 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: be teams who are going to tank. I don't know 133 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: if Calgary's necessarily one of them, but they're playing really poorly. 134 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 1: And we can fade teams at this point in the 135 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,400 Speaker 1: year because they're not playing for much. They know they're 136 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 1: just playing the string out. So when things start going 137 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: bad and they take on who I think the best 138 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 1: team in the Western Conference is in the Dallas Stars 139 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: and they have Ottinger in net only minus one twenty 140 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: six on the money line, Yeah, give me the Dallas Stars. 141 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 1: Dallas money line to beat Calgary tonight at home minus 142 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: one twenty six. Let's keep I do think the under 143 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: is a decent play. It could be a four to one, 144 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 1: four to two win. Type of situation total is six. 145 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 1: I lean towards the under because the Stars are an 146 00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 1: under team at home, but I'm just gonna take them 147 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 1: to win. It doesn't matter, shootout, overtime, what doesn't matter, 148 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 1: Stars to win minus one twenty six. I'm gonna lay 149 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 1: the one point twenty six units down on this for 150 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: the Stars to win outright money line against the Calgary Flames. Okay, 151 00:08:26,520 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 1: so one point twenty five on the over Oilers and 152 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 1: the Sabers one point two toy six down on the 153 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: Stars money line up against the Flames. Third bet is 154 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: a late one for you guys on the East Coast. 155 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: The Gonzaga Bulldogs are playing in the semi final of 156 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:48,200 Speaker 1: the West Coast Conference tournament up against San Francisco. Now 157 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: you take a look at what Gonzaga has done from 158 00:08:51,240 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 1: a total perspective. The line is fifteen. Eh, don't love it. 159 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 1: Ken Pom has this as an eleven point line, but 160 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: Gonzaga is ten six to the over in conference. Eight 161 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 1: straight games have gone over for Gonzaga. San Francisco is 162 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 1: nine to nine, two and two over their last four. 163 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 1: And you look at how San Francisco has played so 164 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 1: far in this tournament, They've scored eighty and ninety three points. 165 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: Their last game against Santa Clara went over one fifty 166 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 1: five and a half by twenty four and a half points. 167 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: The first meeting between Gonzaga and Central and South in 168 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,839 Speaker 1: San Francisco, sorry, was a game that went under by 169 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 1: five points. It was one fifty seven from a total perspective. 170 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:38,839 Speaker 1: The second meeting went over by twenty four points, went way, 171 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:43,679 Speaker 1: way over, and that game was at home at Gonzaga. 172 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:46,959 Speaker 1: Total was one fifty six. Now we have a total 173 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 1: of one sixty. This is a difficult total. Okay, Totals 174 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: of one sixty are rare in college basketball. It's sort 175 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 1: of the threshold that books don't want to go to, 176 00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: but you're given the numbers. On this run. San Diego 177 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: was one sixty six and a half, went over one 178 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:09,680 Speaker 1: seventy two and a half, went over one fifty six, 179 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: two times went over, one fifty nine, went over, won sixty, 180 00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 1: went over by thirty nine points with Pepperdine. Now it's 181 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 1: a neutral court, but it might as well be a 182 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: home court. Gonzaga plays one game, they kill who they play, 183 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 1: and then will play Saint Mary's tomorrow night. In the 184 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 1: West Coast Conference championship game, which is what everybody wants. 185 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: They get a triple by. Okay, they get a triple by, 186 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:38,480 Speaker 1: which is just absolutely wild to me that they go 187 00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:41,199 Speaker 1: all the way here to a Monday semi final and 188 00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:45,200 Speaker 1: then a Tuesday final. But I think Gonzaga will give 189 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:47,840 Speaker 1: up enough points here. You look at Gonzaga being the 190 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 1: number one adjusted efficiency offensively, the number two effective field 191 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 1: goal percentage. They are number twelve in the country. Internal 192 00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 1: percentage really low, great offensive re bounding. They are number 193 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 1: two in two point field goal percentage. They're number three, sorry, 194 00:11:06,080 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 1: number eighteen rather in three point percentage. They don't shoot 195 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:11,719 Speaker 1: the free throws all that well, but they don't get 196 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:13,719 Speaker 1: to the line that much, so they don't really need to. 197 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:18,439 Speaker 1: This team in San Francisco is not bad, sixty second 198 00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:22,360 Speaker 1: in the country three point percentage, seventy fifth in the country. 199 00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 1: Two point field goal percentage and effective field goal percentage 200 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:29,679 Speaker 1: they're fortieth. We need that type of offense. Beazega's defense 201 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:33,720 Speaker 1: is not that good. They play with incredible pace. This 202 00:11:33,880 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 1: is a fast moving defense. It's a fast moving offense. 203 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 1: Gonzaga is sort of middle of the pack with average 204 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:46,120 Speaker 1: possession defensively, but they're twenty sixth in the country for 205 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:50,320 Speaker 1: average length of possession and the defense for Central first 206 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 1: San Francisco they're eighth sixteen point five seconds, meaning it's fast. 207 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:57,840 Speaker 1: They don't play defense for long. They give up points, 208 00:11:57,920 --> 00:12:00,120 Speaker 1: they give up buckets. This is going to be a 209 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:04,440 Speaker 1: fast moving game. I'm going over one sixty San Francisco 210 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: in Gonzaga. This game tips off at eleven thirty Eastern 211 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 1: time on ESPN two. Sorry you guys on the East Coast, 212 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 1: it's an eight to thirty star time here in Vegas. 213 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 1: Should be a fun game with San Francisco and Gonzaga. 214 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 1: We're going over San Francisco and Gonzaga over one sixty. 215 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:24,320 Speaker 1: In case you're curious, kempom has it at one sixty three, 216 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 1: but it's a neutral court. But kemp I'm still thinks 217 00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 1: this goes over one sixty one point one units down 218 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 1: on Gonzaga in San Francisco over one sixty. All right, 219 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 1: three bets on a Monday. If I add anything, I'll 220 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:38,320 Speaker 1: jump in on the Discord channel. But I don't think 221 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 1: I'm adding much. That's a good start to the week 222 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:43,720 Speaker 1: with three bets and three units plus one point twenty 223 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 1: five over seven Boilers, Sabers, one point twenty six stars 224 00:12:48,280 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 1: money line against the Flames, and one point one on 225 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 1: the Zags over one sixty against San Francisco. Discord channel 226 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: easy to get into. Come on in link underneath me 227 00:12:58,080 --> 00:13:01,840 Speaker 1: on YouTube, or you guys can simply lee type in 228 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash chat to get into the discot 229 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 1: channel all free. I'll see in their letter today, mind's 230 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:10,560 Speaker 1: Matt Parle's following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. 231 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: Every single morning, it's the Dale Juice Podcast being brought 232 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:21,439 Speaker 1: to you by BETEMGM