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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action all.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go throwing in so spec I'm saying it's

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Speaker 2: a cash touch time.

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Speaker 1: We see most gambles when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible being bank small banks, I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabine if you want to.

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Speaker 1: Pa and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am your host,

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Speaker 2: Evan Abrams, and I am joined as always Bets Bets

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Speaker 2: Pod Recat Pod Brandon Anderson. He's in his Vikings, Jersey today,

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Speaker 2: which is kind of looking forward to the game that

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Speaker 2: we are going to preview at the end of this podcast.

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Speaker 2: But first first, Brandon, what's up? How are you happy

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Speaker 2: Sunday night?

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Speaker 3: I mean happy Super Wildcard weekend. Happy. We finally got

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Speaker 3: a fun game to talk about at the end of

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Speaker 3: the day on Sunday. It took us four games to

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Speaker 3: get there. It's been a little college football playoff for

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Speaker 3: a while. We all complained about all those blowouts. We

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Speaker 3: got a lot of blowouts here. We'll talk about them,

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Speaker 3: but we talked about it Thursday Friday about the margin

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Speaker 3: of victory in this opening round has been pretty high.

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Speaker 3: And we saw a lot of those here, so I

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Speaker 3: think it's interesting to say, Okay, what did we learn

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Speaker 3: from these games? Were the blowouts actually blowouts? Did some

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Speaker 3: teams win by less impressively than it looked, even more

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Speaker 3: impressively than it looked, And then we'll have things set

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Speaker 3: up going forward. So fun weekend, lots of football. We

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Speaker 3: still get one more tomorrow night, and then we got

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Speaker 3: to do it all again next weekend. We just getting

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Speaker 3: started here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean just getting started. But also to the

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Speaker 2: fact we've had five games, You've had I believe four unders,

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Speaker 2: so it's been pretty you know, a little mundane, you know,

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Speaker 2: the favorites have been winning. Aside from the game we're

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Speaker 2: going to talk about right now, which is also the

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Speaker 2: closest margin of victory by far. It was the best game.

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Speaker 2: Maybe not definitely, not the best performance of the way,

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Speaker 2: but definitely probably the best game, which is Washington wins

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Speaker 2: Sunday Night Football twenty three to twenty is three point

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Speaker 2: underdogs against the Bucks on the road. Total goes under

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Speaker 2: fifty one and a half. Again, yeah, closest game of

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Speaker 2: the weekend. We had a margin issue prior to this

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Speaker 2: game starting, and then Honestly, I thought we were going

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Speaker 2: to get overtime, and a few people had betted as

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Speaker 2: well in our discord, but didn't actually ended up getting

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Speaker 2: there and everyone was talking about it. But it's the

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Speaker 2: DC doink is probably the way that this has to

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Speaker 2: be labeled going forward. But field goal goes in at

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Speaker 2: the end. But before you even get to that point,

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Speaker 2: the thing that was pretty intriguing to me is just

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Speaker 2: how composed and really just efficient Jayden Daniels was the

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Speaker 2: entire night. I mean even early first two drives. He

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Speaker 2: was seven of seven against zone coverage, eighty two yards

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Speaker 2: in a touchdown. And then it's Baker Mayfield on the

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Speaker 2: other side with the big runs early on. Really he

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Speaker 2: led them in rushing at the end of the first half,

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Speaker 2: and you know, end of the first half it is

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Speaker 2: ten to ten and the Stars doing much better than

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Speaker 2: the second and third wide receivers McLaurin and Evans having

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Speaker 2: big days. But I'll give you a few stats in

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Speaker 2: terms of how this game ended. But before we talk

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Speaker 2: about the rest of the NFC, in like a few minutes,

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Speaker 2: what did you think of Tampa Bay and Washington?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, this was the game we thought would

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Speaker 3: be pretty fun and back and forth, and it sort

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Speaker 3: of feels like what we got, like I wish maybe

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Speaker 3: in the future years. I know they're not going to

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Speaker 3: do it, but we have like the Texans Saturday afternoon game.

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Speaker 3: Why isn't this the Saturday afternoon game, Like we all

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Speaker 3: knew this was going to be more fun. Why don't

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Speaker 3: they give us this at the start of the week

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Speaker 3: to just kind of like get the juices flowing a

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Speaker 3: little bit. Just they want us to.

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Speaker 2: Remember the good They want us to remember the good games.

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Speaker 3: At the end of the weekend day Sunday night, and

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Speaker 3: we're all watching, We're waiting all day for Sunday and night.

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Speaker 3: I'm just giving Roger Goodell some tips. I'm sure he's

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Speaker 3: listening right now. Yeah, Washington, I thought really in control

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Speaker 3: of the game the first half. They felt like they

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Speaker 3: had the ball the entire second quarter. And then yeah,

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Speaker 3: Baker had that I think an eighteen yard run. It's

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Speaker 3: like bouncing off of dudes. We've seen him do that

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Speaker 3: down the stretch. Here. You and I talked about the

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Speaker 3: Bucks I think like two months ago as seven to

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Speaker 3: one division underdogs, and they came through and really made

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Speaker 3: it run late. We saw a Baker take off and

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Speaker 3: make plays with his legs. He talked about in the broadcast,

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Speaker 3: or they talked about him saying how he knows when

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Speaker 3: his team kind of needs a lift, he's got to

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Speaker 3: just go, do you know, full Baker? Basically like run,

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Speaker 3: go crazy, fire the team up. I thought, honestly, especially

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Speaker 3: since we knew the Bucks are more of a second

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Speaker 3: half team, when they stole that touchdown to get a

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Speaker 3: ten ten and a half time, I thought they stole

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Speaker 3: the game. I thought the Bucks at home would have

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Speaker 3: settled in and get there. Washington this season lived on

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Speaker 3: the outliers on fourth down. I think there was something

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Speaker 3: like twenty of twenty three for the season. Just an

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Speaker 3: absurd conversion rate. Yeah, their epas and all their different

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Speaker 3: stats on late downs, We're just crazy all year. So

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Speaker 3: what happens are stats are a real dick sometimes. So

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Speaker 3: they get into the red zone early in the game,

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Speaker 3: they turn it over on fourth down on about the twenty.

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Speaker 3: Then later in the game they get in the red

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Speaker 3: zone again, they get down to the I think like

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Speaker 3: the three, they get stopped again. I'm going crazy because

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Speaker 3: I got the Jane Daniels escalator and all the different

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Speaker 3: rushing stuff. Move him around, man, get out of the pocket,

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Speaker 3: let him use his legs. On all these red zone plays,

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Speaker 3: he's just standing in the pocket looking to make a

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Speaker 3: throw and not finding guys open. But finally they get

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Speaker 3: stopped again. But why do you go for it on

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Speaker 3: fourth down so close to the goal line, In part

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Speaker 3: because if you don't get it, you might get a

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Speaker 3: stop and get the ball back in a pretty good position.

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Speaker 3: And they got a little help here. Tampa Bay a

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Speaker 3: couple of plays later, fumbles the snap. That's the big swing.

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Speaker 3: Washington gets it back, gets to fourth down again, and

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Speaker 3: finally this time they convert on fourth down, another pocket

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Speaker 3: pass for the touchdown. Then Tampa the other kind of

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Speaker 3: babble that really them is they get down. They're driving

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Speaker 3: right after that to either tie or retake the lead.

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Speaker 3: They had like third in inches, and I think they

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Speaker 3: just got the snap count wrong. The center snaps the

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Speaker 3: ball before anyone else, including Baker knew was coming, and

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Speaker 3: so third and inches turns into like a loss of

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Speaker 3: three or four where it should have been a first

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Speaker 3: down in the red zone, chance to bleed the clock,

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Speaker 3: a little more, chance to maybe get a touchdown and

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Speaker 3: the lead. Instead they set out for the field goal.

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Speaker 3: It's a tie game, and you know what happens from

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Speaker 3: their Washington to what they did the whole game. They

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Speaker 3: just bled the clock out. They just went on these

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Speaker 3: long drives and it's very clear, like you said, Jane

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Speaker 3: Daniels was the best player on the field by a

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Speaker 3: wide margin, totally in control of the game, got them

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Speaker 3: down the field, got the big run when they needed

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Speaker 3: to to, basically bleed the clock out to the end.

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Speaker 3: And then, man, the dc doint is that we're calling

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Speaker 3: it that it's crazy field good.

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Speaker 2: My only two notes here before I get into some

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Speaker 2: crazy stats from this one is Tampa Bay's first in

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Speaker 2: goal on the one incomplete pass debates Brian Robinson minus

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Speaker 2: two yard rush in completion to Brian Robinson, which I

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Speaker 2: have no idea why they were throwing to Robinson so

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Speaker 2: much in the game when they ended up throwing to

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Speaker 2: Eckler at the end and worked out so well, and

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Speaker 2: then incompletion over the middle. So it was the Tampa

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Speaker 2: Bay first and goal from the one that I felt

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Speaker 2: like didn't turn into the touchdown that kind of cost them.

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Speaker 2: And then vintage Mike Evans third downstretch that ends up

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Speaker 2: giving him the first down and then they blow at

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Speaker 2: the next play. So to me, those were probably the

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Speaker 2: two points in the game that ended up swinging it.

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Speaker 2: The stat that I just put out, which is incredible,

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Speaker 2: so two quarterbacks have engineered an offense on the road

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Speaker 2: in the playoffs was zero punts and zero turnovers. And

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Speaker 2: this could be my big stat of the day, but

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Speaker 2: it's twenty twenty four Jayden Daniels in this game tonight

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Speaker 2: and then twenty two thousand and three Peyton Manning. So

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Speaker 2: only two quarterbacks to ever do that. Only three teams

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Speaker 2: I've ever had to zero puns and zero turnovers in

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Speaker 2: the game, and three Manning would be the one that

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Speaker 2: did it on the road. So I mean, just in

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Speaker 2: terms of rookies on the road in the playoffs, Jane Daniels,

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Speaker 2: Russell Wilson, Mark Sanchez, Joe Flacco. But Jane Daniels looked

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Speaker 2: great tonight, composed all around, and like I talked about earlier,

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Speaker 2: great against that zone early in the game. He really

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Speaker 2: did his job against Tampa Bay's defense, and Brian Robinson,

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Speaker 2: I don't know what he ended with. He had like

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Speaker 2: ten rushes and sixteen yards before I typed into our discord.

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Speaker 2: What the heck are we doing here? But that's kind

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Speaker 2: of my thought process. We'll go forward and talk about

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Speaker 2: how this result Washington and the Lions and a little bit,

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Speaker 2: but anything else in this game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, neither team really ran the ball much, so it

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Speaker 3: just came down to the passing. And honestly, I don't

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Speaker 3: think the Bucks offense was all that bad. They just

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Speaker 3: couldn't get on the field. They only ran forty four

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Speaker 3: plays to sixty nine for Washington twenty five more plays. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: sixty percent of the possession. I thought the Bucks moved

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Speaker 3: the ball just fine. But all that said, Washington really

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Speaker 3: should comfortably. There were two of five in the red

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Speaker 3: zone because they had those two turnover and downs. Otherwise

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Speaker 3: they're probably win even more comfortably. Washington eight to fifteen

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Speaker 3: on third down, three of five on fourth down. That

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Speaker 3: is a lot of completions and a lot of attempts.

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Speaker 3: Five fourth down attempts in this game. And look their aggression,

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Speaker 3: Guy rewored, maybe Dan Campbell or maybe Dan Quinn is

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Speaker 3: a new Dan Campbell here with how aggressive that they

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Speaker 3: were going. Yeah, well, we'll talk about the matchup next,

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Speaker 3: but I think the way Jane Daniels is playing definitely

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Speaker 3: dangerous Washington in Detroit. They're gonna put up some points.

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Speaker 3: This offense is going to score some points. The way

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Speaker 3: McDaniels is playing, Daniels and McLaurin are playing, I think

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Speaker 3: that they are very live to at least turn that

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Speaker 3: into a shootout, as we expect. And then the last

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Speaker 3: note I had, I tweeted this out. I know you

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Speaker 3: know this Washington's first playoff win since two thousand and five.

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Speaker 3: Here's the stats from that game. Mark Brinnell is the

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Speaker 3: winning quarterback in that game. That's how long ago this

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Speaker 3: has been. He completed seven passes out of fifteen for

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Speaker 3: forty one yards in the win against two the Tampa

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Speaker 3: Bay Buccaneers. So here we are twenty years later, Washington.

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Speaker 3: You're in the second round. So should be a fun one.

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Speaker 3: I gotta say, if you, at the beginning of the

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Speaker 3: season said, Okay, let's name the eight teams that we're

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Speaker 3: gonna be down to the final late in the NFL,

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Speaker 3: I might have gotten like twenty five teams in before

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Speaker 3: I got to Washington, and that might still be generous.

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Speaker 3: To be honest, like, I did not give this team

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Speaker 3: any shot to get here, and I think you gotta

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Speaker 3: give most of the credit to Jayden Daniels.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not sure I'm giving it to Dan Quinn,

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Speaker 2: as everyone was yelling and screaming early in the game

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Speaker 2: when he didn't go for two when they got the

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Speaker 2: penalty moved to the one yard line. I have just

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Speaker 2: a gut feeling that if Washington keeps advancing, you're gonna

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Speaker 2: be giving the credit to Daniels. And if the decision

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Speaker 2: comes up to Quinn at some point in the game,

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Speaker 2: you're you're probably gonna see Washington going home, all right?

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Speaker 2: Green Bay and Philly. So Philly ends up winning the

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Speaker 2: game twenty two to ten as a five and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorite on clothes and the total went under.

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Speaker 2: I didn't even see what the clothes on the under was.

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Speaker 2: Let's see total is under forty six, so really not

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Speaker 2: too much of a sweat there. And listen, green Bay

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Speaker 2: opens the game with a fumble on the first on

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Speaker 2: the opening kickoff, and then you get a Barkley long

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Speaker 2: run hurts the Dotson and before you really even sat

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Speaker 2: down with your popcorner your sandwich, it was seven to

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Speaker 2: nothing off the bat, and at that point you kind

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Speaker 2: of said to yourself, when's green Bay gonna turn on right?

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Speaker 2: Like six first half drives fumble, punt, punt interception, missfield

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Speaker 2: goal interception, but down just ten nothing, So going into

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Speaker 2: the half, green Bay does absolutely zero. Everyone is basically

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Speaker 2: heard for them. So Dobbs goes down, Reid goes down,

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Speaker 2: John Myers, Josh Jacobs end ends up actually getting injured

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Speaker 2: and coming back into the game, Kway Walker and then

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Speaker 2: the big one, Jenkins the guard, which ends up being

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Speaker 2: like an absolute issue for them the entire game. As

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Speaker 2: it does feel like that the Eagles pass rush ends up,

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Speaker 2: you know, at least pressuring Love where he ends up

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Speaker 2: having three interceptions in the game. I mean, honestly, it's

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Speaker 2: a weird game to say, Green Bay obviously messed up

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Speaker 2: a ton, But I don't leave the game feeling amazing

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Speaker 2: about the Eagles. I mean, Saquon Barklay most of the

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Speaker 2: night gets bottled up. I think his longest run was

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Speaker 2: seventeen yards, so he's really, you know, not getting to

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Speaker 2: that second level a ton. Now. Obviously I think he

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Speaker 2: would have gotten all the way to the end zone

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Speaker 2: at the end of the game there, so maybe a

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Speaker 2: bit of an asterisk, but I mean most of the

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Speaker 2: night he's bottled up. In this one. They don't find

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Speaker 2: aj Brown almost at all. I think it was one reception,

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Speaker 2: one book read in this one. So I mean DeVonta

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Speaker 2: Smith gets, he gets his targets, but to me, it

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Speaker 2: just didn't feel great. And Philly one in four in

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Speaker 2: the red zone, and obviously you're going to get the

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Speaker 2: Vikings and Rams now in their next game. So I

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Speaker 2: think if you're Philly, you probably want to see the

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Speaker 2: Rams and you probably don't want to see the Vikings.

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Speaker 3: In my opinion, Yeah, I don't know. I'm not so

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Speaker 3: sure about that because do you rather face Matthew Stafford

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Speaker 3: or Sam Donald? And I know there are twenty one

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Speaker 3: other guys starting in the game too, but Sam Donald

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Speaker 3: on the road in Philly and that environment against this defense,

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Speaker 3: I guess that's fair. If I'm the Eagles, I feel

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Speaker 3: pretty good about that, I say in my Vikings Jersey,

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Speaker 3: but I don't know's it's interesting. Certainly the Rams defense

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Speaker 3: is more gettable, and yeah, I think to come back

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Speaker 3: to this game, I don't feel great about Philadelphia's offense

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Speaker 3: from what I saw in this game. I had that

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Speaker 3: in my notes that I don't think that this is

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Speaker 3: a championship offense right now, we bet or I bet

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Speaker 3: NFC futures for Philadelphia. The reason I didn't want to

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Speaker 3: bet them in the Super Bowl is because I didn't

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Speaker 3: know if I believed in Jalen Hurts when we got there.

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Speaker 3: I really don't see that based on this game. Hurts

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Speaker 3: was terrible in this game. I thought the stats aren't

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Speaker 3: so bad, but like Jill look, Jo Love three interceptions,

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Speaker 3: clearly a bad game, inaccurate all game overthrowing some guys.

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Speaker 3: His very first pass, he almost gets picked off. Jordan

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Speaker 3: Love was not good this game. Jordan Love may not

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Speaker 3: be healthy. Jalen Hurts may not be healthy, but we

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Speaker 3: knew that coming in that both of them would be

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Speaker 3: a little rusty and shaky. I honestly thought Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 3: might have had a worse game than Jordan Love by

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Speaker 3: the eye test, Like not really, because he threw two touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: Love had none plus three interceptions, so like that's just

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Speaker 3: enough on its own to swing it. Hurts was not good.

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Speaker 3: Hurts did not look good getting this game. Aj Brown

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Speaker 3: three targets, one catch. The most we saw of aj

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Speaker 3: Brown all day was him reading a book on the sideline,

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Speaker 3: like literally, that's that one involved in the game that

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Speaker 3: he was He's reading a book during the game as

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Speaker 3: Green Bay has the buzzs very weird processed. I was

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Speaker 3: on Davante and Jane Reid. We hit that they both

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Speaker 3: love their team and receptions. Davante led the game and

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Speaker 3: receiving yards. Reid probably would have, but went out hurt.

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Speaker 3: We did get some fun nasty boy football Dallas Guardard

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Speaker 3: with a triple stiff arm touchdown. That was the one

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Speaker 3: that kind of blew the game open to get to

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Speaker 3: sixteen to three Port Carrington Valentine. I think he has

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Speaker 3: to retire after that one, Like Goddard gave him the

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Speaker 3: stiff from the guillot room, gave them one more to

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Speaker 3: get in and I the third one was just for fun.

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Speaker 3: I think you're just like, you know what, I'm already

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Speaker 3: good now, but let me just give you give you

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Speaker 3: one more on the way out for the touchdown. And

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Speaker 3: then right after that, Josh Jacobs has like a nasty

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Speaker 3: boy run through like four or five defenders. Rule of cool,

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Speaker 3: just leave that be a touchdown they're getting in anyways,

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Speaker 3: Like come on, that play deserved to be a touchdown.

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Speaker 3: Jacobs was really the only offense for green Bay. He

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Speaker 3: had eighteen for eighty one, three catches forty yards. They

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Speaker 3: just didn't do much. But if you look at the

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Speaker 3: offensive numbers, the Eagles, not the Packers, had worse offensive numbers.

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Speaker 3: The Eagles had a thirty four percent success rate, one

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Speaker 3: in three of their plays were successful. And we talked

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Speaker 3: about the Packers. Was their defense for real? Would it

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Speaker 3: hold up? I thought it held up. You look at

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Speaker 3: the stats. Everything is base even all the way across

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Speaker 3: the board, first downs off by a one, even time

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Speaker 3: of possession, even on the yardage. The Packers led in

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Speaker 3: yardage and first downs by just a play. Basically, they're

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Speaker 3: better on third downs by a lot. Philadelphia was two

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Speaker 3: of eleven on third down. The problem is four turnovers

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Speaker 3: to none. That's it. Four turnovers do none. You're not

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Speaker 3: winning the playoff game on the road. It's not happening.

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Speaker 3: So you can't just you know, all the rest doesn't

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Speaker 3: matter when you turn over that much. I get it,

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I don't come away two things. I don't

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Speaker 3: come away saying, ah, we were wrong about the Packers.

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Speaker 3: They were terrible this year. What a bad read. The

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Speaker 3: Packers had nobody left on offense, everyone was injured. They

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Speaker 3: still played them statistically pretty even. You can't turn over

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Speaker 3: four times in a win. You're just not going to

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Speaker 3: do that. But football is a weird game. The ball

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Speaker 3: is oblong. It's going to give you some bad bounces sometimes. Honestly,

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Speaker 3: that opening kickoff Kishawn Nixon, we all watched it. He

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Speaker 3: recovered the ball, they had the ball. We all saw

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Speaker 3: him have the ball. I don't know what the rest

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Speaker 3: are doing on that one. It's a very weird way

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Speaker 3: to start the game. And look all year long, what's

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Speaker 3: Philadelphia's thing? Bad? Can't score in the first quarter. The

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Speaker 3: one thing you couldn't do if you're Green Bay is

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Speaker 3: give them seven out of the gates on the road. Hey,

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Speaker 3: you got the lead, run the ball and play your style.

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Speaker 3: That's like the worst possible outcome. Our old colleague, Grahem

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Speaker 3: Palmer over at the Ringer Now has been saying for weeks,

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Speaker 3: I think it's just not the Packers year. And I

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Speaker 3: don't buy into that stuff. I don't bind it isn't

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Speaker 3: there year, it's not the Packers year. It just wasn't

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Speaker 3: the Packers year. And this was the game that wasn't

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Speaker 3: the Packers game, because how are you gonna explain away

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Speaker 3: fumbling the open kickoff, multiple interceptions, all the injuries, multiple

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Speaker 3: pre weak penalty calls where I think they got the

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Speaker 3: crowd talked him into like a late hit or something

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Speaker 3: that was like, ah, okay, we're giving fifteen yards for

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Speaker 3: that now. I think this is a game where the

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Speaker 3: Packers played them well enough, but not well enough because

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Speaker 3: the turnovers. It's a game for me that I feel

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Speaker 3: like I'm gonna down great the Eagles a little bit

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Speaker 3: after this. I do not feel good about Jalen hurts

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Speaker 3: Are the offense.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's the passing game for me that

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Speaker 2: just feels very inconsistent. Like Hertz scrambles, Barkley finds his

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Speaker 2: lanes even if it wasn't a long one, and they

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Speaker 2: contained them a little bit in this game, but to me,

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Speaker 2: that was it. I was very confused with the inconsistency

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Speaker 2: there from Hertz, and I think he had thirty nine

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Speaker 2: yards passing in the first half and it got a

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Speaker 2: little bit better in the second half. Find a DeVante,

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Speaker 2: but that is just not If their goal is Detroit,

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Speaker 2: which we can talk about in a second, that is

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Speaker 2: just not even going to be close enough to beat

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Speaker 2: them in one of those types of games, especially if

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Speaker 2: the game's got to be in Detroit. Okay, So the

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Speaker 2: NFC bracket, and we can talk about that right now

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Speaker 2: since it is set for the divisional round. You've got

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Speaker 2: Washington at Detroit right now as we're speaking Sunday night.

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Speaker 2: Detroit is an eight and a half point favorite at home.

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Speaker 2: The total is fifty five and a half. I did

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Speaker 2: see a fifty six, but it looks like I think

390
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Speaker 2: it opened fifty four and a half, up to fifty six,

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Speaker 2: back down to fifty five and a half. Now, at

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Speaker 2: fifty five and a half, it would be the largest

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Speaker 2: total since Chiefs Browns in twenty twenty one, close fifty

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Speaker 2: five and a half. And if it gets to fifty six,

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Speaker 2: then it's chief Patriots twenty nineteen Brady Mahomes, which is

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Speaker 2: which would be a fun note in itself. I haven't

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Speaker 2: looked this up. I could do it quickly, but I'm

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Speaker 2: pretty sure with these high totals, unders tend to be

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Speaker 2: the advantage. Play a little bit there as teams are

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Speaker 2: a bit tighter now, this one in Detroit, obviously in

401
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Speaker 2: the dome faster, you know, play there a little bit,

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Speaker 2: especially trying to keep up with Detroit. I mean, initial

403
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Speaker 2: look for me, eight and a half feels a little high,

404
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Speaker 2: especially if Jade Daniels is gonna get ten to you know,

405
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Speaker 2: twelve carries in the game. I think the game they

406
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Speaker 2: could try to slow it down a little bit. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I kind of like Washington walking into this playoff stretch

408
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Speaker 2: a little bit. I think they're a little underrated, and

409
00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:08,480
Speaker 2: the defense did well tonight. They really held Baker in

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Speaker 2: some form, only twenty points in the game. So I

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Speaker 2: would kind of lean Washington at least keep it close.

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Speaker 2: So what's your first instinct t your Washington Detroit.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so first instinct. The first thing I start with

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Speaker 3: this round is that the trends in the wildcard around

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Speaker 3: are to back the big home favorites. We did that

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Speaker 3: with Buffalo, we did that with Baltimore. We saw those

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Speaker 3: teams come through. The trends in the division round. The

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Speaker 3: one we're going to is to fade the big home favorites,

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Speaker 3: especially the teams coming off the bye week, especially the

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Speaker 3: one seed. So that is going to be the trend here.

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Speaker 3: Detroit is six and two against playoff teams, but six

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Speaker 3: of those eight games were close games, so I think

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Speaker 3: there's definitely potential for Detroit to win a close game

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Speaker 3: and or Detroit to leave the back door open even

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Speaker 3: in a game where they're relatively comfortably in it, because

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Speaker 3: of the defense. So I think the big question here

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Speaker 3: is if you look at the numbers from season long,

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Speaker 3: then that's where I start all is and I say, Okay,

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Speaker 3: what's the weak link in the game.

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Speaker 2: Oh?

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Speaker 3: Easy, Washington's defense clearly the week link in the game,

432
00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:12,640
Speaker 3: Ben Johnson, Detroit will gain anything they want, and look,

433
00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:14,040
Speaker 3: I think they should be able to get a lot

434
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:16,480
Speaker 3: because Washington middle of the field is very near the

435
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,879
Speaker 3: bottom of the league. I think Alvin Rossi and Brown

436
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 3: should carve them up and have a big game. I'll

437
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,520
Speaker 3: definitely be looking for props for him for Goff, I

438
00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 3: think that that makes sense. However, if you look at

439
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,199
Speaker 3: stats from just the last six weeks of games to

440
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 3: close the season, Washington finished tenth in DVA defensively during

441
00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:39,199
Speaker 3: that stretch, Detroit was bottom five. So I'm gonna have

442
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:40,800
Speaker 3: to ask myself, and we're gonna have to figure it

443
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:44,280
Speaker 3: out this week. Are we sure that Washington's defense is

444
00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:47,360
Speaker 3: the bad unit not Detroit's defense, because that's not what

445
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:51,400
Speaker 3: we have seen on the field. And look, Washington before

446
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:54,680
Speaker 3: tonight had only faced three offenses in the top ten

447
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:57,840
Speaker 3: all season long, and they were terrible. They gave thirty

448
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 3: three points a game in those games. But tonight they

449
00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:04,920
Speaker 3: held the box only twenty. Now, not really that spectacular defensively,

450
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,119
Speaker 3: mostly because the offense was so good, they say on

451
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 3: the field. But guess what that works. If they could

452
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,320
Speaker 3: do that in Detroit, what better way to take the

453
00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:14,560
Speaker 3: crowd out of it than to just go two up

454
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 3: the clock to play Detroit ball basically and go on

455
00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:20,359
Speaker 3: these long drives. So yeah, I think it makes a

456
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,680
Speaker 3: lot of sense to lean Washington initially over a touchdown.

457
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,439
Speaker 3: My number is pretty similar to this. I have Detroit

458
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:29,359
Speaker 3: by about eight or nine. But you know, the numbers

459
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 3: don't always tell the whole story here. I think two

460
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:35,200
Speaker 3: some props that I'll definitely be looking for. I mentioned

461
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 3: aman Ra Jared Goff. I think should be able to

462
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 3: get some stuff there. Jadeen Daniels rushing escalator again. I

463
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,640
Speaker 3: know he just whipped on all of that today while

464
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,639
Speaker 3: he was close. He had thirteen carries. We're fourteen to

465
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:51,160
Speaker 3: one on fifteen carries. Detroit has been bottom five against

466
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,679
Speaker 3: fantasy points to quarterbacks, and a lot of that's been rushing.

467
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 3: So Aaron Glynn we saw last year in the playoffs,

468
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 3: especially outmanned. What he does brings pressure a lot, so

469
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:03,679
Speaker 3: it's gonna be the exact same case with Todd Bowles.

470
00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:06,320
Speaker 3: Bring pressure. How is he going to react to pressure?

471
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:09,120
Speaker 3: Daniel is probably gonna run again, so I think I'll

472
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 3: look for that. Detroit is also bottom five against running

473
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 3: back receptions. If you watch the game tonight, they could

474
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 3: not stop talking about Austin Eckler and how important he was,

475
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:20,760
Speaker 3: and I think having him out there for blitz protection

476
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:24,080
Speaker 3: them for some catches, maybe some Echoler receiving overs as well.

477
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:26,320
Speaker 3: So that's what I got my eye on early. But

478
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,160
Speaker 3: a lot of fun stuff for this one. I think

479
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 3: definitely this will be the shootout of the week next weekend.

480
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, for anybody watching on video right now, I'm laughing

481
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:37,840
Speaker 2: as well, because I was literally gonna say versus number one,

482
00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 2: wide receivers, number two, wide receivers, number three, wide receivers

483
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:44,640
Speaker 2: end tight ends. Detroit is basically top ten, maybe even

484
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 2: top seven. DVOA against running backs is where they show

485
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 2: some weakness and I think it's honestly just the fact

486
00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:53,880
Speaker 2: that they lead so many times in games that there

487
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 2: just becomes an opportunity there. Now Robinson tonight, Robinson tonight

488
00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 2: had a lot of looks in the receiving game which

489
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,320
Speaker 2: I was a little shocked by. I mean, a healthy Eckler,

490
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 2: I mean, this is exactly why you brought him here.

491
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:07,480
Speaker 2: Now you saw some of it at the end there,

492
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:09,920
Speaker 2: Maybe they learn a little bit. But I also think

493
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 2: you're one hundred percent right on Daniels and rushing. I

494
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,760
Speaker 2: almost would say, and I think you played this, but

495
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:19,040
Speaker 2: the rushing attempts all like next game, I would not

496
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 2: be shocked to have him like get fifteen carries in

497
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 2: the game or something like that, because even tonight Robinson

498
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 2: was ten of sixteen at last. Look in the fourth quarter,

499
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,560
Speaker 2: Like they just need to figure out something else. And

500
00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 2: I think all that pressure from Glenn could make Daniels

501
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: kind of get upfield a little bit more. I know,

502
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 2: Minnesota and the Rams against the Eagles, we don't really

503
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:41,520
Speaker 2: have a situation, you know, we don't really know the

504
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 2: matchup yet being recorded before Monday Night Football, But just

505
00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 2: any thoughts on the matchups either way or the game.

506
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:51,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think initially, just what I said earlier,

507
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 3: I think, if you're Philadelphia, the defense is the identity

508
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,640
Speaker 3: right now, the defense and running the football, And I think,

509
00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:59,760
Speaker 3: if that's my identity, and I don't necessarily want to

510
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:02,440
Speaker 3: have to have my quarterback go head to head, I

511
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 3: don't know if I want Jalen Hurts against Matthew Stafford

512
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,719
Speaker 3: right now. Stafford, I don't think he's quite as good

513
00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:09,159
Speaker 3: as a lot of folks make him out to be.

514
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 3: He's inconsistent, but Stafford definitely has the high re ceiling,

515
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,679
Speaker 3: and I don't think you want that smoke if you're

516
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 3: Philadelphia and you have the chance of Stafford and Puka

517
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 3: and Cooper Cup and I look, obviously you got Justin

518
00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 3: Jefferson on the other side. But Jefferson has not done

519
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:27,399
Speaker 3: well against the Eagles. The Vikings have not done well

520
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 3: against the Eagles. I can tell you that as a

521
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 3: Vikings fan without looking it up. So I don't know

522
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 3: Philadelphia fans. They would probably like Minnesota because there's some

523
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 3: recent history there. But I think matchup wise for the Eagles,

524
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:45,200
Speaker 3: their defense against Rhodes Sam Darnold, I think you look

525
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 3: like Minnesota is a defensive identity as well. But the

526
00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,320
Speaker 3: Eagles defense has been better than Minnesota's down the stretch,

527
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,440
Speaker 3: and the offenses are somewhat inconsistent. I think your advantage

528
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:57,159
Speaker 3: Eagles Philadelphia playing the Rams. That's a little more up

529
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,120
Speaker 3: in the air, just because you never know what sort

530
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,480
Speaker 3: of games Stafford might have on you. And now I

531
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:05,600
Speaker 3: think the advantage there is the Eagles offense against the

532
00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 3: Rams defense. But if I'm Philly, I'd rather just get

533
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:10,399
Speaker 3: my bread and butter. I want to stick with the

534
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:13,320
Speaker 3: defense on the running. I don't want to have it say, okay, great,

535
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,960
Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts will just pass all over And I don't

536
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:17,359
Speaker 3: know if I want to put my money on Jalen

537
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 3: Hurts passing all over everyone. Maybe he can get it

538
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 3: to the receivers I trust, but he's gonna have to

539
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:25,880
Speaker 3: get it to them. So I think if it's Eagles Vikings,

540
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,160
Speaker 3: I will probably feel better about the Eagles just kind

541
00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:31,199
Speaker 3: of taking care of business as the home favorite with

542
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 3: the better defense. Right now, this Eagles Rams feels a

543
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 3: little bit more volatile to me because you just might

544
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 3: not have the better quarterback there.

545
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:42,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think after the performance today, I

546
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,920
Speaker 2: think I'm a little shaky about both opponents. Like either

547
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 2: team with a little momentum off of a win tomorrow night,

548
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:51,720
Speaker 2: even though it would it be short rest, it would

549
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:53,439
Speaker 2: be right. Yeah, either way, it's going to be a

550
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,960
Speaker 2: little bit of short rest. But to me, I think

551
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 2: Minnesota if you took any any other quarterback, competent or not,

552
00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 2: Donald had a fantastic season, but you know, no one's

553
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 2: gonna forget who he was in the past and you

554
00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 2: put another quarterback on that team. With what you've seen,

555
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,080
Speaker 2: I think Minnesota is as scary as it comes, especially

556
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 2: with the Blitz and Flores and and you know the

557
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 2: I would say positive coaching decisions by O'Connell. I think,

558
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,199
Speaker 2: you know, over some of the decisions we've seen and

559
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 2: some of the clock management stuff, he's really good in

560
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,680
Speaker 2: one score games. Like I don't know if I necessarily

561
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:33,160
Speaker 2: want to see Minnesota off of a win and some confidence,

562
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 2: sure like Donald is their weakness, but off of a

563
00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 2: win in a neutral site game against an experienced Rams team.

564
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 2: I think both opponents. I'm gonna like against Philly based

565
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 2: off of what I've seen this weekend. Some I just

566
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:49,480
Speaker 2: wanted to see more in the passing game, and we

567
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 2: just didn't really see him.

568
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 3: All right, let me ask you one question before we

569
00:27:54,040 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 3: move on to the AFS. Please, So Philly looks vulnerable

570
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,720
Speaker 3: base on we saw today, Detroy look vulnerable last month

571
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 3: down the stretch. If I told you right now, tomorrow

572
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 3: is the super Bowl. Evan, Detroit and Philly both didn't

573
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,480
Speaker 3: make it here, he got three choices left. Who came

574
00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:11,360
Speaker 3: out of the NFC.

575
00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 2: Oh, it's Washington.

576
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:18,480
Speaker 3: That's my instinct too, that Washington, Jade Daniels being that dude,

577
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 3: being the best quarterback in the conference, putting up points

578
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 3: in Detroit and then winning maybe in Philly where we

579
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 3: just saw him win a couple you know, weeks ago

580
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:30,399
Speaker 3: that it's crazy to say that, but Washington is my

581
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:31,840
Speaker 3: instinct too.

582
00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:35,160
Speaker 2: Thirty eight to thirty five in Detroit and then nobody

583
00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 2: stops talking about him and all this different type of stuff.

584
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:42,000
Speaker 2: I think. I think there's just an underrated aspect of

585
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 2: the team. I also think there's veterans on the team

586
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 2: like I do think like an Austin Eckler really does help.

587
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:49,720
Speaker 2: I mean, he's been through a ton and he's going

588
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 2: to become more of the offense every week. And again

589
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,400
Speaker 2: we talked about the weaknesses with Detroit. I don't know,

590
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,200
Speaker 2: but I think Washington would be the team with the shot.

591
00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:00,200
Speaker 2: All right, one big stat before we go into the AFE,

592
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 2: I just want to talk about Washington's win tonight. So

593
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 2: favorites in night games this season were forty eight and

594
00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 2: twelve straight up eighty percent this season, best mark of

595
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:15,320
Speaker 2: enny years since nineteen seventy one. And then obviously Washington

596
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 2: comes and kind of blows it out the window. But

597
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,920
Speaker 2: only the thirteenth underdog to win in a night game

598
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 2: this year. And ironically enough, obviously did the Lions six

599
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,440
Speaker 2: and zero as favorites and night games this year, and

600
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 2: they will be in a night game against Washington next week,

601
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:33,320
Speaker 2: so Washington has the opportunity to win back to back

602
00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 2: games here. But honestly, that stat I gave earlier on

603
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 2: Jaden and Peyton could have been my stat of the

604
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:42,520
Speaker 2: day as well, because that was pretty ridiculous. Okay, AFC

605
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 2: time Chargers Texans. So Texans win this game thirty two

606
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 2: to twelve, even tough to say believe. It was a

607
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 2: score of gami as well, which is very exciting. Two

608
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 2: and a half point underdogs Houston and the close there

609
00:29:55,800 --> 00:30:00,040
Speaker 2: total goes over forty one under was no no, I

610
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 2: guess was the over over forty one and a half.

611
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 2: So this game started to me and it exactly felt

612
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 2: like a three thirty pm Saturday game. It was just

613
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 2: every Houston playoff game I can ever imagine, and they

614
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 2: always play in this slot, which is the funny thing

615
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 2: we've been talking about all week. But we saw six punts,

616
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:23,080
Speaker 2: two field goals, two interceptions in a fumble before we

617
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:26,200
Speaker 2: saw the first touchdown of the playoffs, and it was

618
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 2: absolutely terrible from all fronts. And that's why you were saying,

619
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,720
Speaker 2: why didn't we get this damn Tampa Washington game in

620
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:37,720
Speaker 2: that slot? I can understand it. But seven total turnovers

621
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:41,080
Speaker 2: in the game, I mean ten penalties and eight were

622
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:43,920
Speaker 2: on Houston. So no matter who was going to end

623
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:45,719
Speaker 2: up winning this game, after a while, I think we

624
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,520
Speaker 2: weren't going to feel great about them considering the circumstances.

625
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 2: I don't think either team played well. But Herbert does

626
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,880
Speaker 2: end up throwing four interceptions, three of twelve on third

627
00:30:56,920 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 2: down and fourth down and his average the target being

628
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:04,280
Speaker 2: almost thirteen yards. At some point they're trailing in the

629
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 2: game and he's just literally chucking it downfield, two of

630
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 2: eight passing on fifteen plus yards down downfield. You know,

631
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 2: throws the touchdown to Ladd, but has two interceptions. I

632
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 2: mean talked about three Peyton Manning, but Herbert becomes the

633
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:23,440
Speaker 2: first quarterback with four plus picks and four plus sacks

634
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,640
Speaker 2: with fourteen points or lessons Peyton in two thousand and four.

635
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:30,680
Speaker 2: So this is just overall a terrible experience. That was

636
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:34,680
Speaker 2: six nothing Chargers for what felt like two hours. But

637
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 2: what was your feeling on Houston and the Chargers? Then

638
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 2: we could talk about Houston going forward.

639
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, this was a lot of what we

640
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,520
Speaker 3: saw in other games the Chargers played this year against

641
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 3: playoff teams where they came out, looked pretty good, felt

642
00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 3: in control somewhat early, but didn't put it away, and

643
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 3: then the other teams came back. That's the sixth nothing.

644
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,920
Speaker 3: Easily could have been ten nothing or fourteen nothing, but

645
00:31:55,960 --> 00:31:57,320
Speaker 3: they left some points on the table.

646
00:31:57,520 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 2: Very true.

647
00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 3: You get that drive right before halftime, the Texas going

648
00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 3: a thirteen plain ninety nine yard touchdown drive I thought

649
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:05,960
Speaker 3: should have been a safety that they didn't call a

650
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,480
Speaker 3: penalty on on a throwaway, and then you have the

651
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:13,239
Speaker 3: play where like CJ. Scott basically dribbles the snap, recovers it,

652
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 3: and then throws a thirty four yard pass and suddenly

653
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,239
Speaker 3: they're kicking and they get down the field. They get

654
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 3: the touchdown. Then a little bit later, Strout has like

655
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 3: a long scramble he never runs, and he gets a

656
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,520
Speaker 3: long scramble into a field goal, and suddenly it's ten

657
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 3: to six at the half, and you're like, what just happened?

658
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 3: Like the Chargers were dominating this entire half. The other thing,

659
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 3: to me, the big story from a betting standpoint, I

660
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:36,880
Speaker 3: thought was the total. Because we gave out the total

661
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 3: under forty four and a half on the hot read,

662
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 3: that total kept dropping. I think I had it at

663
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 3: forty two and a half closed, but somewhere in that range,

664
00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 3: and here's where it went wonky. It looked under all

665
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 3: the way, like clearly an under game is the right

666
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 3: decision there. But you get the late touchdown to well,

667
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 3: you get a pick six throw mcconkey's hands, the guy

668
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 3: that's been just nails catching the ball all year. That's

669
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 3: not Herbert's fault. Two of the interceptions were off his

670
00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 3: receiver's hands. Then later you could kind of have broken

671
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:08,200
Speaker 3: play mcconauckie touchdown a long one, but then they blocked

672
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,840
Speaker 3: the extra point. Dick or the kicker just bats it

673
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 3: down like he's a quarterback. That's not a thing, and

674
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 3: it gets returned for two points. Well, those two points

675
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 3: swung the entire total in this game. And if you

676
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 3: bet the under late in the week or at the close,

677
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 3: that is a brutal beat for you, and it goes

678
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:27,240
Speaker 3: over on that one. So I think from a betting standpoint,

679
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 3: that was the crazy part. I had my notes on

680
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 3: Herbert mcconackie nine catches, one hundred and ninety seven yards.

681
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 3: Other than him, the other rest of the Chargers team

682
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 3: five receptions from Herbert Texans four receptions from Herbert. Not

683
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:45,840
Speaker 3: a great ratio that you want there for Herbert. I

684
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 3: didn't come away feeling super impressed from Houston to watching.

685
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:52,520
Speaker 3: But by the stats, four hundred and twenty nine yards

686
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 3: to two hundred and sixty one yards if I hadn't

687
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:57,880
Speaker 3: watched the game, four turnovers plus like practically double the

688
00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 3: yardage or close to it, that's a pretty dominant sort

689
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:04,479
Speaker 3: of performance. But Texans thirty nine percent success rate not

690
00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 3: really that great. Chargers were thirty four percent. Just a

691
00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 3: lot of defense in this game and a lot of

692
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 3: Saturday afternoon in this game. It felt like it swung

693
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 3: on late down plays. Houston was zero point six to

694
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 3: six epa per play on sixteen late down plays. That's

695
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,759
Speaker 3: really the only spot they found some offense all game

696
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:26,839
Speaker 3: and just kind of some fluky stuff. Honestly, they got

697
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:28,920
Speaker 3: the right bounces. It's hard to call it the fluke

698
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 3: when you win by twenty. I think the right team

699
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 3: won this game pretty clearly. But I don't know that

700
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:38,920
Speaker 3: I'm necessarily like thrilled about Houston going forward. But we'll

701
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,120
Speaker 3: get there. When we talk about Houston versus Kansas City,

702
00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:43,320
Speaker 3: they're gonna be interesting underdog in that matchup.

703
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I tend to agree. I think the focus should

704
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 2: be solely on Houston here for a second. I mean

705
00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:53,080
Speaker 2: Stroud does, now, I guess, have like a tiny bit

706
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 2: of playoff experience, I mean, winning a playoff game in

707
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 2: each of his first two seasons. I mean, you like

708
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:02,040
Speaker 2: some of them having to go to Kansas City at

709
00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:05,720
Speaker 2: this point because this is going to be a completely

710
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 2: different animal, especially against I mean I tend to fade

711
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:13,080
Speaker 2: the teams off of the buys, which is why I

712
00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 2: kind of like the Washington Detroit situation, but there's just something,

713
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:19,319
Speaker 2: There's just something in there that makes me think that

714
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:22,240
Speaker 2: this Houston Casey situation could be a little bit different.

715
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 2: I just with wish Houston had a little bit more

716
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:28,319
Speaker 2: like the Tank del thing to me just means so

717
00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,680
Speaker 2: much when there just isn't a second option. And you know,

718
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 2: Nico played great in this game, and I think the

719
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 2: final score, like you said, just wasn't indicative of what

720
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 2: the play was overall. And listen, the first half Joe

721
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,439
Speaker 2: Mixon and second half Joe Mixon actually kind of looked

722
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:49,440
Speaker 2: like two completely different running backs. He really felt like

723
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:51,919
Speaker 2: he got his groove there, and in the first half,

724
00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:53,439
Speaker 2: I was saying to myself, well, this is the same

725
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:56,240
Speaker 2: guy we've seen over the last five weeks, which hasn't

726
00:35:56,239 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 2: been great, a little bit up and down. But if

727
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:03,000
Speaker 2: Houston's going to win that other game against Kansas City,

728
00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:05,240
Speaker 2: it's going to be about their defense. I mean, Herbert

729
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:09,360
Speaker 2: was three of eleven passing outside the numbers really struggled

730
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 2: in this one, which they're going to have to do

731
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 2: that against Kansas City and try to force them down

732
00:36:13,280 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 2: the middle, which is going to be Kelsey, but at

733
00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,520
Speaker 2: least you know who they're going to because at this

734
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:20,319
Speaker 2: point Casey has way more options than I think they've

735
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:24,480
Speaker 2: had in recent years. The other thing with Houston fourteen

736
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:28,319
Speaker 2: and four first half ats now, as they did win

737
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,040
Speaker 2: the first half, coming back down six to nothing, twenty

738
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 2: six and nine first half ats with CJ. Stroud, so

739
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:38,239
Speaker 2: really starting fast, which with that defense putting a lot

740
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 2: of pressure on other teams. To me, Houston had the

741
00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 2: most impressive performance of the weekend. And that's probably saying

742
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:49,200
Speaker 2: a lot about what Jayden Daniels did tonight, but in

743
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 2: the end, they really held down a Chargers team. So

744
00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 2: I not much else to say about that.

745
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 3: Anything else there, Yeah, I think just we're kind of

746
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:00,319
Speaker 3: on the Houston, Kansas city of things, so I think

747
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 3: just to kind of wrap up our previewish for that. Yeah,

748
00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:06,600
Speaker 3: for me too, I can tell you right now this

749
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 3: is going to be the trends spot of the week

750
00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 3: when all my trends pop up, every one of them

751
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:12,360
Speaker 3: is going to tell me I have to take the

752
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 3: Texans here, like I'm already writing seeing them all because

753
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,640
Speaker 3: we know I've talked about this team all season long. However,

754
00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:21,080
Speaker 3: two key matchups here that I think are going to

755
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 3: really be in Houston's favor and give the Texans a shot.

756
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 3: Number One, what's the best thing on Houston. It's either

757
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:30,239
Speaker 3: Nico Collins or it's the pass rush. Both of those

758
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:33,200
Speaker 3: are big problems the pass rush from the edge. Kansas

759
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 3: City's weak spot on the offense has been their tackles

760
00:37:35,560 --> 00:37:38,920
Speaker 3: all season. Now, does Tony stay over at tackle they

761
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:41,320
Speaker 3: move him back inside now that they're a little bit healthier.

762
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:45,680
Speaker 3: That's a big question and both tackles. Even Jamar Taylor

763
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,560
Speaker 3: has not been good at right tackle this year, even

764
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 3: though he's been out there, so that to me can

765
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 3: change a whole game in a hurry. We've seen Mahomes

766
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 3: and the rare playoff losses. It's usually when he's under

767
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:58,840
Speaker 3: pressure and can't get the ball away. On the other side,

768
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:02,400
Speaker 3: the Chiefs defense, though it's been better lately for the

769
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:06,160
Speaker 3: entire season, is bottom ten against a wide receiver one

770
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:08,880
Speaker 3: by DVA. So that was something we liked about the

771
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 3: Chargers in the matchup, is that they were good against

772
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 3: wide receiver ones. I think Nico can eat a little bit.

773
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:16,759
Speaker 3: Only the Chiefs have that shut down cornerback. Now that

774
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 3: Lugerius Sneed is not on the roster anymore. They've been

775
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:23,160
Speaker 3: a good pass defense. But if I'm the Texans and

776
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 3: I can get Nico going a little bit, and I

777
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,920
Speaker 3: can get the edge rushers coming a little bit, man,

778
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:29,760
Speaker 3: I might have a chance there. And we know Houston

779
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 3: is early in the game. Maybe I only end up

780
00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 3: just taking a first half ats Houston. But all the

781
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:37,399
Speaker 3: trends and we'll get back to them when we get

782
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:39,640
Speaker 3: to our picks later in the week. They're gonna be

783
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,400
Speaker 3: staring at me in the face, begging me to believe

784
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:44,640
Speaker 3: in Houston this week, and that's gonna be probably my

785
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:45,880
Speaker 3: toughest decision of the week.

786
00:38:46,640 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, it looks like right now, just talking about that

787
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,359
Speaker 2: line was eight and a half, it's now moved down

788
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 2: to eight as of deep into Sunday night turning into

789
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 2: Monday morning. The interesting thing as well, first half line, God,

790
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 2: I wish it was six right now it is five

791
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:04,719
Speaker 2: and a half. So and honestly, the line moving the

792
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:06,959
Speaker 2: other way five and a half might be disappearing as well,

793
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:08,839
Speaker 2: But that is a situation with that one.

794
00:39:08,920 --> 00:39:10,759
Speaker 3: Let all go, I think it could get on and

795
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 3: getting back the other way, we'll see yeah, like it's

796
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,439
Speaker 3: hard to get a read on. Will the sentiment be, man,

797
00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:18,840
Speaker 3: these Chiefs have been overrated, they're there for the picking,

798
00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:21,239
Speaker 3: or will it be come on man, Patrick Mahomes and

799
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:24,439
Speaker 3: the Chiefs inevitable because right in that range, like, it's

800
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 3: not gonna stick there, It's gonna move one way or

801
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 3: the other. And I just think what book out there

802
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:32,839
Speaker 3: wants to give you Chiefs over under a field goal

803
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 3: on a teaser because everyone knows that what's gonna happen

804
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:38,160
Speaker 3: in this game is the Chiefs just win by three

805
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:39,920
Speaker 3: in the end, Like this is the game we watched

806
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:43,200
Speaker 3: eight times already this season. I think it's gonna get

807
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,040
Speaker 3: higher because the teaser protection. But maybe I'm overreaching on

808
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 3: the teaser stuff.

809
00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 2: Well yeah, listen, it's definitely not seven, so sure, I

810
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 2: mean if it's seven and a half, like yeah, but

811
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:55,440
Speaker 2: right now sitting at eight, so we'll see. All right,

812
00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 2: let's keep rolling here. Pittsburgh Baltimore. So Baltimore wins this

813
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 2: game twenty eight to fourteen. And honestly just saying this

814
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,839
Speaker 2: Sunday night, this feels like twelve years ago after all

815
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:08,440
Speaker 2: these games, but twenty eight to fourteen as a nine

816
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:11,239
Speaker 2: and a half point. Favorite total goes under forty four

817
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:16,480
Speaker 2: and a half. The really only big point that we

818
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:18,319
Speaker 2: need to talk about in this game was probably the

819
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 2: rushing game, and it was very simple. So four yards,

820
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:24,800
Speaker 2: four yards, three yards. Those are the first three running

821
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:28,040
Speaker 2: back plays for Pittsburgh in this game. They go four yards,

822
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:32,120
Speaker 2: four yards in three yards. Not terrible. Pittsburgh four first

823
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 2: half drives, all punts, all third downs ending with the

824
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:40,839
Speaker 2: ball in Russ's hands that turn into incompletions. Pittsburgh ends

825
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:44,040
Speaker 2: the game with just eleven carries for twenty nine yards

826
00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:48,920
Speaker 2: after honestly starting the game okay, but Russ's third down

827
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:53,480
Speaker 2: incompletion punt turned into what Baltimore had. Baltimore ends the

828
00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 2: game with fifty carries for two hundred and ninety nine

829
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 2: yards and two touchdowns. Baltimore ends up having sixteen rush

830
00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:07,239
Speaker 2: first downs while Pittsburgh had two. So, I mean, we

831
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 2: talked about Za Flowers and we talked about the impact there,

832
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:13,080
Speaker 2: but we didn't even allow Jay Flowers to have any

833
00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:16,520
Speaker 2: impact on the game because it just didn't matter because

834
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:19,439
Speaker 2: he didn't throw to wide receivers at all. And it's

835
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:22,000
Speaker 2: not that he's not gonna throw to Lamar's not gonna

836
00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:23,920
Speaker 2: throw to the wide receivers next week. It's just the

837
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 2: fact that it didn't matter in this game. Yeah, So,

838
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:33,120
Speaker 2: I mean, I believe his targets to players in this

839
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:38,600
Speaker 2: game was basically four to likely four to Justice Hill

840
00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:42,040
Speaker 2: and then after that it was three to Mark Andrews.

841
00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:45,120
Speaker 2: Like wide receivers didn't even get looked at. So to me,

842
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:48,319
Speaker 2: I don't necessarily want to say you throw this out

843
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 2: the window. But the way Baltimore decided to play against Pittsburgh,

844
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 2: I think the question should be are they going to

845
00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:56,480
Speaker 2: play that same way against Buffalo? Like are we going

846
00:41:56,560 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 2: to expect Derrick Henry and Justice Hill and Lamar Jacks

847
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 2: and to basically just carry the ball fifty times? And

848
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:04,800
Speaker 2: that's the way they're going to try to be Buffalo

849
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,360
Speaker 2: Because they definitely made the decision that this is the

850
00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:10,800
Speaker 2: way they were gonna be Pittsburgh. And honestly, when you

851
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:12,960
Speaker 2: look at the two games they played against Pittsburgh this year,

852
00:42:13,560 --> 00:42:15,360
Speaker 2: one game they were like, Yeah, we're gonna give this

853
00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 2: ball to Derrick Henry. The other game they were like

854
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 2: we're not. So obviously they figured something out that worked.

855
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:22,960
Speaker 2: But I think that's the interesting question is how they

856
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 2: play next week against Buffalo.

857
00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think, I guess maybe because I'm more

858
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 3: of an optimist on Baltimore right now, But to me,

859
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 3: I think that that's not necessarily like, Okay, how do

860
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:36,239
Speaker 3: you takeaway too much? You can't just have no receivers.

861
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 3: Basically like they they weren't not throwing their receivers. They

862
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 3: weren't on the field. They were just running up and

863
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:44,800
Speaker 3: pounding the ball on guys. To me, the takeaway optimistically

864
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:49,120
Speaker 3: is versatility and the ability to just do that if

865
00:42:49,160 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 3: you can. And no, you know what, why are even

866
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,360
Speaker 3: risk anything going wrong passing the ball? We don't need to.

867
00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 3: We're just gonna run on you anyway. And like, frankly,

868
00:42:58,080 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 3: I'm kind of pissed that they did because they screwed

869
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 3: up all my escalators. Is twenty one nothing. At the halftime,

870
00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:06,000
Speaker 3: I'm thinking like, Okay, great, we're gonna win by like fifty.

871
00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:08,080
Speaker 3: We're gonna hit a reescalator all the way up. We

872
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:10,840
Speaker 3: had nothing, I like, crushed exactly what we thought was

873
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,479
Speaker 3: gonna have on this game. Here's the half, twenty one nothing,

874
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:17,759
Speaker 3: nineteen first downs to two for Baltimore. Henry has one

875
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:20,880
Speaker 3: hundred yards already Baltimore has three hundred and eight yards

876
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:24,640
Speaker 3: to fifty nine for Pittsburgh, including Baltimore at a thirteen

877
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 3: play eighty five year drive with only runs. They only

878
00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:30,440
Speaker 3: really that that is what you do on video games

879
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:33,759
Speaker 3: to embarrass your your biggest enemy is just run the

880
00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:35,800
Speaker 3: ball thirteen times in a row and get a touchdown.

881
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:38,520
Speaker 3: That's what they were doing this game, and then they

882
00:43:38,600 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 3: just kind of like, eah, only one touchdown the second half, Pittsburgh,

883
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:44,879
Speaker 3: do your thing whatever, Like I can't believe we didn't

884
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 3: hit any of these stupid alt Escalators. To me, I

885
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 3: think the takeaway for Baltimore is just that they can

886
00:43:51,160 --> 00:43:54,080
Speaker 3: do this, and quite frankly, we'll come back to when

887
00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 3: we get to my hot read. I think Buffalo's defense

888
00:43:57,680 --> 00:43:59,879
Speaker 3: has a bit of an undersized unit and not great

889
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:02,479
Speaker 3: against power run. I think they might see a little

890
00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:04,480
Speaker 3: more of this thing, you think coming up next week,

891
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 3: and I think that Baltimore already showed they could do

892
00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:10,120
Speaker 3: it that way, at least somewhat against them. What better

893
00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:13,600
Speaker 3: way to keep possibly the MVP Josh Allen off the

894
00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:17,240
Speaker 3: field than keeping possibly the MVP Lamar Jackson on the field.

895
00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 3: With ten twelve fourteen play drives up and down the field.

896
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 3: So I don't know that it's like, Okay, here's Baltimore's

897
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:27,919
Speaker 3: formula for every game. But if you're gonna play Josh

898
00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 3: Allen next and then Patrick Mahomes after that, the ability

899
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:33,560
Speaker 3: to do that and keep the opponent off the field

900
00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:36,280
Speaker 3: is a pretty good ability and one that they didn't

901
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,880
Speaker 3: have because they didn't have Derrick Henry these last years.

902
00:44:39,160 --> 00:44:42,080
Speaker 3: So I think, to me, that's the thing. They can

903
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:44,759
Speaker 3: beat you when Lamar does crazy stuff, or they can

904
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:48,040
Speaker 3: be you when Lamar is the decoy. Here he like

905
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:51,920
Speaker 3: credit where it's due. On the one long Henry touchdown.

906
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:55,240
Speaker 3: Lamar is the reason Henry had the long touchdown because

907
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:59,040
Speaker 3: like three linebackers follow Lamar on the decoy and Henry's

908
00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:02,000
Speaker 3: just gone up the middle. Like that's both dudes. They

909
00:45:02,040 --> 00:45:03,719
Speaker 3: both guys have to be as good as there to

910
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 3: get that play. So I'm finally there to give credit

911
00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:10,799
Speaker 3: to both of the guys. But the ability to have

912
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:14,520
Speaker 3: them and be able to read the defense basically and

913
00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:16,759
Speaker 3: make that decision, who are you gonna let us beat

914
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:18,840
Speaker 3: you with right now? Because we have two guys that

915
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 3: can do it at any given game, any given play.

916
00:45:22,040 --> 00:45:24,520
Speaker 3: So to me from a Baltimore's standpoint, that was the

917
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:25,240
Speaker 3: big takeaway.

918
00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I probably agree. It's just if Flowers

919
00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 2: doesn't play, does it have the same impact against the

920
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:36,480
Speaker 2: Buffalo team, which we'll talk about Buffalo Denver in a second.

921
00:45:36,640 --> 00:45:39,840
Speaker 2: But their defense playing against Denver isn't the defense I

922
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:42,200
Speaker 2: think we're gonna see against Baltimore. Denver just didn't put

923
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 2: up the fight Baltimore obviously is going to put up.

924
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 2: And in the games this year that Buffalo has faced

925
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:52,399
Speaker 2: better offenses, I mean, they've gotten torched. So I think

926
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 2: it's something to consider next week. Is how much of

927
00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:58,799
Speaker 2: an offense without the run game like from a pass standpoint,

928
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 2: we're gonna see now. I think it's probably just worth

929
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:06,000
Speaker 2: two seconds on Pittsburgh. I mean, they just absolutely kind

930
00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:07,840
Speaker 2: of get embarrassed here. I mean I don't feel like

931
00:46:07,880 --> 00:46:11,120
Speaker 2: at any point in this game we thought the upset

932
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 2: was possible after the game had started because they started

933
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:16,200
Speaker 2: so slowly. And I put this out, but I think

934
00:46:16,200 --> 00:46:18,719
Speaker 2: it's worth talking about in terms of a funeral for Pittsburgh.

935
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:21,840
Speaker 2: Here eleven and twenty five against a first half spread

936
00:46:21,920 --> 00:46:24,960
Speaker 2: last two seasons twenty five and forty six first half

937
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:27,640
Speaker 2: Ats since twenty twenty one, worst mark in the NFL

938
00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:30,840
Speaker 2: of any team, So they are just not starting fast

939
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:34,080
Speaker 2: at all last four years or so. And then you

940
00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:37,640
Speaker 2: talk the playoffs. Six straight losses straight up and against

941
00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:41,279
Speaker 2: the spread, Tomlin joins only Marvin Lewis, Marty Schottenheimer, and

942
00:46:41,360 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 2: Jim Morris Senior to ever lose six straight playoff games

943
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 2: straight up and ats. I mean, the list goes on

944
00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 2: and on here, and I just feel like I believe

945
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,799
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh and the Giants are the only two teams not

946
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:56,600
Speaker 2: to have a quarterback on their roster going into next year,

947
00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,240
Speaker 2: and I think that should probably stay that way because

948
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:02,120
Speaker 2: I don't think of these guys should be coming back.

949
00:47:02,160 --> 00:47:04,960
Speaker 2: I mean, I think Fields showed something this year, but

950
00:47:05,080 --> 00:47:08,319
Speaker 2: I think based off of how bad the playoffs have been,

951
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:11,279
Speaker 2: I think they need a reset. Yeah.

952
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:14,560
Speaker 3: I mean, look, if you are newer ish to football,

953
00:47:14,880 --> 00:47:19,080
Speaker 3: hearing the names Marvin Lewis, Marty Schottenheimer, and Demora should

954
00:47:19,160 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 3: send a chill down your spine. Like we talk about

955
00:47:22,239 --> 00:47:26,200
Speaker 3: those dudes as like the greatest playoff losers of all time. Now,

956
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:29,440
Speaker 3: I think it's unfair because I think, similar to Tomlin,

957
00:47:29,840 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 3: those are guys whose teams overachieved getting to the playoffs

958
00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:34,920
Speaker 3: and then weren't good enough when they got there. But

959
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,480
Speaker 3: at some point each one of their teams had to

960
00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 3: be like, you know what, that's not gonna cut it

961
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 3: for us anymore. We got to actually try to win

962
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:45,279
Speaker 3: something that matters when we get there. Steelers have now

963
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 3: trailed at the half in five straight playoff games. You're

964
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:50,480
Speaker 3: not gonna win a lot of playoff games when you

965
00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:53,600
Speaker 3: come out double digits down at the half. Pittsburgh last

966
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:57,239
Speaker 3: Lady game anytime this season for even one second on

967
00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:01,080
Speaker 3: December eighth against the Browns, So not at any point

968
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:04,879
Speaker 3: over the last five games. Now, as a Vikings fan,

969
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 3: I feel a little bit of the Tomlin thing. Steelers

970
00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:10,000
Speaker 3: fans are ready to be done. They're ready to move

971
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:12,680
Speaker 3: on from Tomlin. The Vikings for a long time at

972
00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,359
Speaker 3: Danny Green, and I think Danny Green kind of similar thing.

973
00:48:15,800 --> 00:48:18,560
Speaker 3: Vikings would be nine and seven every year and get

974
00:48:18,600 --> 00:48:20,719
Speaker 3: blown out in the playoffs every year, and I was like,

975
00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 3: all right, we gotta get out, get get Danny Green

976
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,160
Speaker 3: out of here. Well guess what. The Vikings got Danny

977
00:48:25,200 --> 00:48:27,680
Speaker 3: Green out of here and then didn't make the playoffs

978
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:30,120
Speaker 3: or do anything useful or successful for like a big

979
00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:33,759
Speaker 3: chunk of time. I don't know, man, it'd be great

980
00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:36,520
Speaker 3: to win playoff games and win Super Bowls, but you

981
00:48:36,520 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 3: don't have quarterbacks. Like, it's not Mike Tomlin's fault that

982
00:48:39,680 --> 00:48:43,040
Speaker 3: he's been given a Russell Wilson and Charlie Batch and

983
00:48:43,080 --> 00:48:46,120
Speaker 3: the corpse of Big Ben and Justin feels like I

984
00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 3: think Tomlin's a victim of his own success. I would, personally,

985
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:52,680
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna get there soon because there's no quarterback.

986
00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:55,279
Speaker 3: In the defense of getting old, I would let him

987
00:48:55,680 --> 00:48:58,080
Speaker 3: go out the way that coaches go out, which is

988
00:48:58,120 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 3: to finally finish under five hundred some season, which he

989
00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 3: will eventually, and then move on after that. I don't know, man,

990
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:08,200
Speaker 3: to this is a franchise that never ever goes on

991
00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:10,880
Speaker 3: from head coaches, whether they have like four and fifty

992
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:14,800
Speaker 3: years or something crazy. I think that he's not going anywhere,

993
00:49:15,120 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 3: and I think he shouldn't. I think that he's earned

994
00:49:18,000 --> 00:49:20,560
Speaker 3: the right and then some to play this out, and

995
00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:23,080
Speaker 3: they're gonna keep doing the thing. It's kind of frustrating

996
00:49:23,239 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 3: a wildcare weekend, but hey, we're better as we can

997
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:26,239
Speaker 3: at least profit off of it.

998
00:49:27,000 --> 00:49:30,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's Steelers head coaches and Packers quarterbacks, the two

999
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:32,919
Speaker 2: things that never change. All right, let's keep going here

1000
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:36,120
Speaker 2: Denver and Buffalo, so we don't have to spend too

1001
00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:38,399
Speaker 2: much time here. But Buffalo wins the game thirty one

1002
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 2: to seven as a seven and a half point favorite

1003
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 2: on clothes. Total GOO is under forty nine. So it's

1004
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:47,120
Speaker 2: just one of those games where we will forget how

1005
00:49:47,160 --> 00:49:50,839
Speaker 2: it started by Wednesday. But boy, for a second there,

1006
00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:53,360
Speaker 2: I thought we were gonna have a little bit of fun,

1007
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:56,240
Speaker 2: and it was, you know, it was like one o'clock,

1008
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:59,720
Speaker 2: one oh eight, and you know, Bonnicks forty three yards

1009
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 2: to Troy Franklin. H He ends up having sixty two

1010
00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:07,239
Speaker 2: pass yards on the first drive, which turns out was

1011
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 2: forty three percent of his passyards for the entire game

1012
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 2: because and I don't even really want to paint it

1013
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:18,640
Speaker 2: this way, because bo Nicks didn't play terribly, but he

1014
00:50:18,760 --> 00:50:21,720
Speaker 2: ends up having one trip to the red zone. They're

1015
00:50:21,960 --> 00:50:24,480
Speaker 2: three of twelve on third down, fourth down. It just

1016
00:50:25,160 --> 00:50:28,600
Speaker 2: ends up not being enough when Josh Allen's like tossing

1017
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:30,759
Speaker 2: bunnies out of his hat all over the place and

1018
00:50:31,040 --> 00:50:33,880
Speaker 2: fourth and one chucking it downfield for touchdowns. It just

1019
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:37,279
Speaker 2: there's there seemed to be some magic on one side

1020
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:39,239
Speaker 2: of the field and then on the other side of

1021
00:50:39,239 --> 00:50:41,720
Speaker 2: the field. For Denver, as soon as you heard Audric

1022
00:50:41,840 --> 00:50:44,560
Speaker 2: Estime was inactive, you were like, oh, well, what's going

1023
00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:48,920
Speaker 2: on here? And it just they didn't find enough offense

1024
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:51,439
Speaker 2: in this game at all. And I don't necessarily even

1025
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 2: think it was Buffalo's defense that did a whole bunch,

1026
00:50:56,160 --> 00:51:00,360
Speaker 2: but yeah, I mean both teams had eight drives. Buffalo

1027
00:51:00,360 --> 00:51:03,440
Speaker 2: a seventy two plays, Denver had forty two. It just

1028
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:07,759
Speaker 2: felt like a completely different game here. But you know,

1029
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:12,600
Speaker 2: thirty one unanswered, twenty one to zero second half. I mean,

1030
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:14,120
Speaker 2: is there anything you want to add here? I can

1031
00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:16,319
Speaker 2: give you one step before we go, but could talk

1032
00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:17,799
Speaker 2: about the AFC bracket after this.

1033
00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:21,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the only real drama was the fourth

1034
00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:23,719
Speaker 3: down play. Josh Allen kind of scrambling around and then

1035
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 3: hits Ty Johnson and we had to see the replay.

1036
00:51:26,719 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 3: Was his foot up? Did he get the catch? That

1037
00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:31,040
Speaker 3: was just a great play. But if that doesn't hit,

1038
00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:34,080
Speaker 3: you're taking seven points off the board. And I think

1039
00:51:34,080 --> 00:51:36,960
Speaker 3: it's still like whatever it was, fourteen to seven or

1040
00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:39,600
Speaker 3: something like you're right, the Broncos hung around here for

1041
00:51:39,600 --> 00:51:42,239
Speaker 3: a while. Definitely as somebody that went all in on

1042
00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 3: Bill's escalator and hot red and everything Bills. Definitely, I

1043
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:48,000
Speaker 3: can admit that first quarter. So I was like, man,

1044
00:51:48,640 --> 00:51:52,120
Speaker 3: they the long Denver touchdown, Buffalo seven for field goals.

1045
00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:54,120
Speaker 3: It was not the way we wanted things to start.

1046
00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:57,759
Speaker 3: Buffalo by a score line, had the biggest win of

1047
00:51:57,760 --> 00:51:59,799
Speaker 3: the weekend. I did not think Buffalo had the most

1048
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:02,640
Speaker 3: win of the weekend. Like they got there late. The

1049
00:52:02,640 --> 00:52:06,359
Speaker 3: stat I had here late down EPA per play, that's

1050
00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:09,120
Speaker 3: where the Bills won the game. The Bills were zero

1051
00:52:09,160 --> 00:52:11,640
Speaker 3: point nine to five ep per playing late down. The

1052
00:52:11,680 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 3: Broncos were negative point sixty three. So let me put

1053
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:18,840
Speaker 3: that perspective. Every time Denver and the Buffalo rany a

1054
00:52:18,920 --> 00:52:22,239
Speaker 3: late down play, two times the Bills gained the field

1055
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:25,000
Speaker 3: goal in the game. Like, that's what's happening. Is every

1056
00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:26,759
Speaker 3: two times there was a third or fourth down in

1057
00:52:26,800 --> 00:52:29,279
Speaker 3: the game, the Bills were up another field goal. And

1058
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:32,600
Speaker 3: that's Josh Allen, and that's Bo Nicks, and credit to Nix.

1059
00:52:32,719 --> 00:52:35,160
Speaker 3: Next played pretty well in this game, but Next is

1060
00:52:35,200 --> 00:52:39,480
Speaker 3: not Josh Allen. I believe the Bills now are fifteen

1061
00:52:39,520 --> 00:52:41,880
Speaker 3: and three ats in the second half. They won the

1062
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:44,799
Speaker 3: second half twenty one to nothing, so that continues to

1063
00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:47,759
Speaker 3: hit well. And yeah, Bill's escalator to the moon. We

1064
00:52:47,800 --> 00:52:49,799
Speaker 3: got the seven and a half, fifteen and a half

1065
00:52:49,880 --> 00:52:53,360
Speaker 3: plus two, fifteen, twenty, three and a half plus five twenty.

1066
00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:55,880
Speaker 3: I thought we might get one more touchdown at the end,

1067
00:52:55,960 --> 00:52:57,439
Speaker 3: but I think we would come up a point short

1068
00:52:57,520 --> 00:52:59,919
Speaker 3: on the minus thirty one and a half all the way.

1069
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:02,319
Speaker 3: Like when you give up a bomb touchdown the first

1070
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:05,240
Speaker 3: play of the game, basically your escalators are in trouble,

1071
00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:07,680
Speaker 3: so we'll take what we can get. We didn't get

1072
00:53:07,680 --> 00:53:09,719
Speaker 3: the Baltimore one. We got the Buffalo one. I think

1073
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:10,920
Speaker 3: it came out even in the end.

1074
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:15,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, you started down seven and still hit a ring

1075
00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:18,719
Speaker 2: of an escalator. I mean that doesn't happen often to

1076
00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:21,920
Speaker 2: jump on that second half. Josh allenstat so yeah, I

1077
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 2: mean he's fifteen and two this year because he didn't

1078
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,680
Speaker 2: even play the second half of that New England game. Career,

1079
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:31,000
Speaker 2: he's seventy four and forty four, so this has been

1080
00:53:31,040 --> 00:53:34,040
Speaker 2: a trend. And that's seventy four and forty four second

1081
00:53:34,080 --> 00:53:37,239
Speaker 2: half ats in his career, So I mean, we'll see

1082
00:53:37,239 --> 00:53:39,920
Speaker 2: what happens next week. Is on the other side, Lamar

1083
00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:44,480
Speaker 2: is usually very good in the first half, so we

1084
00:53:44,520 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 2: will see how that goes. The interesting thing before we

1085
00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:49,760
Speaker 2: move on to the AFC bracket, so Buffalo just tends

1086
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:51,839
Speaker 2: to kind of blow teams out, and they've been doing

1087
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:53,879
Speaker 2: it well this year. I don't think that really comes

1088
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:55,719
Speaker 2: into play next week. This is their fifth home game

1089
00:53:55,760 --> 00:53:58,160
Speaker 2: where they won by twenty plus points, and they've won

1090
00:53:58,200 --> 00:54:00,160
Speaker 2: by twenty plus and three of their last four game

1091
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:04,080
Speaker 2: Next week completely different animal, but they definitely did their

1092
00:54:04,160 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 2: job in this one. All Right. AFC bracket, We've kind

1093
00:54:09,239 --> 00:54:11,200
Speaker 2: of been teasing this and talking about it throughout, but

1094
00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:14,960
Speaker 2: Houston Kansas City right now, line down to eight forty

1095
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:17,360
Speaker 2: two and a half. I'll let you go first. I

1096
00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 2: had like two or three bullets here.

1097
00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:21,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think I kind of said what

1098
00:54:21,320 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 3: I thought about this one so far that the Texans

1099
00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:26,520
Speaker 3: with the points is going to be staring at me

1100
00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:29,080
Speaker 3: in the face all week long. Like the matchup for

1101
00:54:29,160 --> 00:54:31,759
Speaker 3: Houston's not a team that I believe in, and the

1102
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:34,520
Speaker 3: Chiefs have come on strong down the stretch here, but

1103
00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:37,840
Speaker 3: it's definitely going to be looking I very much. It

1104
00:54:37,880 --> 00:54:40,120
Speaker 3: may fade the one seas off the bye week. That's

1105
00:54:40,120 --> 00:54:42,200
Speaker 3: what the trends begged me to do in this round.

1106
00:54:42,719 --> 00:54:46,160
Speaker 3: And I already tweeted earlier I don't want the Texans,

1107
00:54:46,200 --> 00:54:47,279
Speaker 3: but I might have to take them.

1108
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:50,840
Speaker 2: Yeah. So Houston and Casey, just as a reminder, played

1109
00:54:50,960 --> 00:54:53,080
Speaker 2: less than a month ago, Casey wins the game twenty

1110
00:54:53,160 --> 00:54:57,239
Speaker 2: seven to nineteen. Closed about Casey minus three at home. Now,

1111
00:54:57,480 --> 00:55:00,440
Speaker 2: this was coming off of Mahomes hurt his ankle the

1112
00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:04,080
Speaker 2: week before. Both teams were also on short rest. The

1113
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:06,120
Speaker 2: other thing I thought that was interesting from the box

1114
00:55:06,120 --> 00:55:09,279
Speaker 2: score there, Tank Dell had a massive day, six of

1115
00:55:09,400 --> 00:55:12,080
Speaker 2: ninety eight in a touchdown, So I'm not sure if

1116
00:55:12,080 --> 00:55:14,840
Speaker 2: that's necessarily a coverage thing or if that's going to

1117
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:17,000
Speaker 2: be missing from the lineup. And then you look in

1118
00:55:17,040 --> 00:55:21,160
Speaker 2: the first matchup, Mahomes ten yards or shorter, he was

1119
00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:24,960
Speaker 2: seventeen of twenty two for a touchdown. He was seven

1120
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:28,600
Speaker 2: of seven on screens. So just an absolute magician in

1121
00:55:28,640 --> 00:55:31,719
Speaker 2: the backfield. I'm not you know, we always talk about

1122
00:55:31,760 --> 00:55:35,279
Speaker 2: Houston's pass rush. Well, in that situation, I mean, he

1123
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:37,279
Speaker 2: was doing his job. So we will have to see

1124
00:55:37,320 --> 00:55:39,480
Speaker 2: it on the other side of the ball. Stroud was

1125
00:55:39,560 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 2: seven of nineteen under pressure under six yards per attempt

1126
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:46,360
Speaker 2: against Kansas City in that spot, so that was definitely

1127
00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:48,560
Speaker 2: an achilles heel. So we will see if Casey can

1128
00:55:48,560 --> 00:55:51,239
Speaker 2: get to him in that game. Next one would be

1129
00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:56,160
Speaker 2: Baltimore in Buffalo. This is I just feel giddy. I

1130
00:55:56,200 --> 00:55:58,960
Speaker 2: couldn't like with the fact that Denver could have won

1131
00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:01,920
Speaker 2: that game and we weren't to see this MVP matchup,

1132
00:56:01,920 --> 00:56:05,480
Speaker 2: but just we're just so fortunate because sometimes in sports,

1133
00:56:05,880 --> 00:56:08,520
Speaker 2: the really good teams just lay an egg, and we're

1134
00:56:08,560 --> 00:56:10,839
Speaker 2: just I feel so great that this one is going

1135
00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:13,560
Speaker 2: to be one that we're going to see. So right line,

1136
00:56:13,600 --> 00:56:16,279
Speaker 2: right now, Buffalo minus one and a half up to

1137
00:56:16,440 --> 00:56:19,720
Speaker 2: right now at home against Baltimore, total set at fifty

1138
00:56:19,760 --> 00:56:21,880
Speaker 2: one and a half. What are your initial thoughts.

1139
00:56:21,640 --> 00:56:24,839
Speaker 3: Here, Yeah, I mean, look, this is the matchup, this

1140
00:56:24,920 --> 00:56:26,799
Speaker 3: is the bracket. We thought we're getting the AFC for

1141
00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:28,839
Speaker 3: the last month already, right so I think we kind

1142
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:31,680
Speaker 3: of know what we think about these matchups. And what

1143
00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:34,520
Speaker 3: I will say for now is this, I've been giving

1144
00:56:34,520 --> 00:56:37,360
Speaker 3: out Baltimore futures for a month for a reason, now

1145
00:56:37,360 --> 00:56:40,640
Speaker 3: knowing this was the matchup coming knowing who I liked here,

1146
00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:42,960
Speaker 3: and I will add to it more in our hot

1147
00:56:43,040 --> 00:56:45,000
Speaker 3: raid because I will be on Baltimore. That's my hot

1148
00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:45,719
Speaker 3: red for the week.

1149
00:56:46,239 --> 00:56:47,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll give you the same treatment here. So this

1150
00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:50,640
Speaker 2: is another matchup. So Week four, Baltimore won the game

1151
00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:53,320
Speaker 2: thirty five to ten. Buffalo was on a little short

1152
00:56:53,320 --> 00:56:57,000
Speaker 2: rest in that game. Buffalo scores three points in the

1153
00:56:57,000 --> 00:56:59,840
Speaker 2: first half, punted on four of their first five d

1154
00:57:00,640 --> 00:57:03,680
Speaker 2: Baltimore ends up scoring a touchdown of their first three drives.

1155
00:57:03,719 --> 00:57:06,600
Speaker 2: This game was pretty much over before it started. And

1156
00:57:06,640 --> 00:57:09,960
Speaker 2: I think the reason you might like Baltimore here the

1157
00:57:10,040 --> 00:57:12,600
Speaker 2: run game, which is eight yards per carry in that

1158
00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:16,600
Speaker 2: game against Buffalo and Baltimore in the red zone couldn't

1159
00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 2: be more efficient was four or four. I will say this,

1160
00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:22,959
Speaker 2: I look this up before jumping on here. So since

1161
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:27,000
Speaker 2: twenty twenty, Buffalo is twenty seven and five straight up

1162
00:57:27,000 --> 00:57:29,680
Speaker 2: in revenge game. So basically, did you lose to the

1163
00:57:29,720 --> 00:57:32,840
Speaker 2: previous team, If yes, had you play in their next game.

1164
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 2: So that is at least a decent sign after getting

1165
00:57:36,160 --> 00:57:40,320
Speaker 2: blown out. But the thing that kind of I'm on

1166
00:57:40,400 --> 00:57:43,040
Speaker 2: Baltimore too. I like Baltimore in the spot but I'll

1167
00:57:43,080 --> 00:57:45,720
Speaker 2: give you one stat that I looked at, So Buffalo

1168
00:57:46,080 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 2: twenty fourth in second level and thirty first in open

1169
00:57:49,600 --> 00:57:53,640
Speaker 2: field against rushing. So if Derek Henry even gets close

1170
00:57:53,680 --> 00:57:56,440
Speaker 2: to that market, even Lamar Jackson up the field, I

1171
00:57:56,440 --> 00:57:59,440
Speaker 2: think it's going to make them lose their minds in

1172
00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:04,000
Speaker 2: that game. All right, Minnesota and the Rams. This game

1173
00:58:04,200 --> 00:58:09,440
Speaker 2: is being played in Arizona because of the wildfires. Minnesota

1174
00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:12,560
Speaker 2: is a two and a half point favorite. Total is

1175
00:58:12,600 --> 00:58:15,880
Speaker 2: forty seven and a half, so this was a rematch

1176
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:18,680
Speaker 2: as well. Back in Week eight we saw Los Angeles

1177
00:58:18,760 --> 00:58:22,680
Speaker 2: beat the Vikings thirty to twenty. Was also the last

1178
00:58:22,800 --> 00:58:26,440
Speaker 2: Vikings loss prior to facing the Lions on Sunday Night Football,

1179
00:58:26,640 --> 00:58:30,760
Speaker 2: which broke a nine game win streak for Minnesota. I mean,

1180
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:33,040
Speaker 2: the one trend that I feel like we keep having

1181
00:58:33,040 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 2: to discuss is Stafford not being able to hold the lead.

1182
00:58:35,960 --> 00:58:38,920
Speaker 2: So he is zero to five second half ats this

1183
00:58:38,960 --> 00:58:42,880
Speaker 2: season when leading at the half and two and fifteen

1184
00:58:43,480 --> 00:58:46,440
Speaker 2: second half ats of the last three seasons in that spot.

1185
00:58:46,560 --> 00:58:49,520
Speaker 2: So if the Rams lead early, is there a door

1186
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:53,080
Speaker 2: open for Minnesota? What is your feeling? First on your

1187
00:58:53,080 --> 00:58:54,920
Speaker 2: best bets, and then we could talk about maybe some

1188
00:58:55,000 --> 00:58:56,080
Speaker 2: fun escalators.

1189
00:58:56,880 --> 00:58:59,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I think one thing too. Obviously have to

1190
00:58:59,520 --> 00:59:02,240
Speaker 3: mention that the game's not in Los Angeles. It gets

1191
00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:05,760
Speaker 3: moves to Arizona because of the fires, praying, thinking of

1192
00:59:05,800 --> 00:59:08,960
Speaker 3: everyone out there. Obviously a football game comes in distant

1193
00:59:09,040 --> 00:59:12,000
Speaker 3: second to anything like that. What does that do for

1194
00:59:12,080 --> 00:59:16,000
Speaker 3: this game? Because as a Vikings fan or possible better,

1195
00:59:16,520 --> 00:59:18,920
Speaker 3: I'm worried that the Vikings come off of an emotional

1196
00:59:19,000 --> 00:59:22,200
Speaker 3: letdown spot. They thought they might be home watching this week,

1197
00:59:22,520 --> 00:59:24,720
Speaker 3: they lose to Detroit and now they got to go

1198
00:59:24,760 --> 00:59:28,080
Speaker 3: on the road. Whereas the Rams are an emotional up spot.

1199
00:59:28,160 --> 00:59:30,080
Speaker 3: I think you want to show up and show your

1200
00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:32,840
Speaker 3: fans like that that they didn't miss out on this

1201
00:59:32,960 --> 00:59:35,560
Speaker 3: that you can like get the team going, get the win,

1202
00:59:36,040 --> 00:59:38,560
Speaker 3: like we've seen teams do that again, like the Hurricane

1203
00:59:38,640 --> 00:59:41,920
Speaker 3: Katrina thing before the Saints got their run to the

1204
00:59:41,920 --> 00:59:45,440
Speaker 3: super Bowl. Like to me, the emotion up versus emotion

1205
00:59:45,600 --> 00:59:48,880
Speaker 3: down spot is a worry as a Vikings fan. The

1206
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:51,240
Speaker 3: other thing that I have an eye on two I'm

1207
00:59:51,280 --> 00:59:54,200
Speaker 3: not positive that I trust Minnesota's defense in this game,

1208
00:59:54,520 --> 00:59:57,040
Speaker 3: and that is the identity. That's what Brian Flores is

1209
00:59:57,080 --> 01:00:00,439
Speaker 3: there to do. But the defense started the yearnumber one

1210
01:00:00,880 --> 01:00:03,320
Speaker 3: for about half of the year. They've been good but

1211
01:00:03,360 --> 01:00:05,840
Speaker 3: not number one since then, more like top ten second

1212
01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:09,440
Speaker 3: half of the season, and in particular, Vikings defense against

1213
01:00:09,480 --> 01:00:12,840
Speaker 3: top twelve offense by DVA seven games, twenty six and

1214
01:00:12,840 --> 01:00:15,640
Speaker 3: a half points per game, allowed twenty nine or more

1215
01:00:15,880 --> 01:00:18,160
Speaker 3: in over half of those games. And I think that

1216
01:00:18,200 --> 01:00:21,200
Speaker 3: makes sense because bran Flores blitzes a lot. About forty

1217
01:00:21,200 --> 01:00:23,720
Speaker 3: percent of the time, bran Flores brings the heat. The

1218
01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:27,200
Speaker 3: Rams this season were top four by DVA and EPA

1219
01:00:27,280 --> 01:00:31,240
Speaker 3: per play against the blitz Matthew Stafford shredded this blitzing

1220
01:00:31,320 --> 01:00:34,400
Speaker 3: team when you play them the first game. If you

1221
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:39,560
Speaker 3: separate quarterbacks thirty two teams top and bottom separate him

1222
01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:43,520
Speaker 3: right and a half by EPA plus CPOE. Vikings defense

1223
01:00:43,520 --> 01:00:47,439
Speaker 3: against the bottom sixteen quarterbacks this season thirteen point seven

1224
01:00:47,480 --> 01:00:50,400
Speaker 3: points a game allowed twenty one or less all but once.

1225
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:54,240
Speaker 3: Against the top sixteen quarterbacks, twenty six and a half

1226
01:00:54,320 --> 01:00:57,320
Speaker 3: points a game allowed almost double twenty two or more

1227
01:00:57,360 --> 01:01:00,680
Speaker 3: all but once. Now, look, quarterbacks, be better, make you

1228
01:01:00,720 --> 01:01:04,040
Speaker 3: score more points. Not exactly a novel concept here, but

1229
01:01:04,120 --> 01:01:07,520
Speaker 3: I think that pressure can make the defense look really,

1230
01:01:07,560 --> 01:01:11,600
Speaker 3: really good. Against bad quarterbacks. Frankly, this is the case

1231
01:01:11,640 --> 01:01:13,960
Speaker 3: I made against Denver and why I thought Denver's defense

1232
01:01:14,080 --> 01:01:17,360
Speaker 3: was fraudulent and couldn't hold up to Josh Allen. And

1233
01:01:17,400 --> 01:01:19,440
Speaker 3: they didn't hold up to Josh Allen. They could not

1234
01:01:19,480 --> 01:01:21,920
Speaker 3: get out the field in that game. So to me,

1235
01:01:22,600 --> 01:01:25,320
Speaker 3: that's the worry here, is Kanadas of Brian Floor is

1236
01:01:25,360 --> 01:01:28,000
Speaker 3: defense hold up. I had a bunch of trends in

1237
01:01:28,080 --> 01:01:30,240
Speaker 3: the game, but they'll have to do with a road

1238
01:01:30,280 --> 01:01:32,160
Speaker 3: team or home team, and I don't really know if

1239
01:01:32,200 --> 01:01:35,000
Speaker 3: those trends count anymore now that there's like not officially

1240
01:01:35,040 --> 01:01:37,520
Speaker 3: a home team. A couple of trends that still do

1241
01:01:37,600 --> 01:01:41,160
Speaker 3: pop here. We've talked about this a bunch debut quarterback

1242
01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 3: versus experienced quarterback. Now after the weekend, they went one

1243
01:01:44,840 --> 01:01:48,200
Speaker 3: to one, BOONICKX takes the lost big Jane Daniels gets

1244
01:01:48,200 --> 01:01:51,800
Speaker 3: the win on the road. But debut quarterbacks twenty thirty

1245
01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:55,040
Speaker 3: eight and one ATS since two thousand and two, so

1246
01:01:55,160 --> 01:01:57,920
Speaker 3: not a great spot there. Playoff teams coming off a

1247
01:01:57,960 --> 01:02:00,160
Speaker 3: loss of seventeen or more so a three score were

1248
01:02:00,240 --> 01:02:04,360
Speaker 3: lost two and eleven ats since twenty ten. Average margin

1249
01:02:04,400 --> 01:02:06,480
Speaker 3: to defeat is sixteen points. A game, all but two

1250
01:02:06,480 --> 01:02:09,400
Speaker 3: of those by double digits. So that's the Vikings here.

1251
01:02:09,440 --> 01:02:12,000
Speaker 3: That is not a great look. Here's where I'm at.

1252
01:02:12,640 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 3: I'm a Vikings fan. My heart's already invested. I don't

1253
01:02:15,800 --> 01:02:18,120
Speaker 3: need a side. I am the side in this game.

1254
01:02:19,000 --> 01:02:23,040
Speaker 3: I think that the Rams are the right side if

1255
01:02:23,040 --> 01:02:25,960
Speaker 3: I had to pick one with the points getting near

1256
01:02:26,000 --> 01:02:28,800
Speaker 3: the field goal, especially the way the line moved after

1257
01:02:28,840 --> 01:02:33,480
Speaker 3: the game moved to Arizona. However, I can't bring myself

1258
01:02:33,520 --> 01:02:35,520
Speaker 3: to tell you to bet it. The Vikings have been

1259
01:02:35,560 --> 01:02:38,520
Speaker 3: a top five first quarter team offense and defense all season.

1260
01:02:38,560 --> 01:02:41,400
Speaker 3: The Rams are the worst first quarter off or defense

1261
01:02:41,520 --> 01:02:44,920
Speaker 3: in the season. Vikings first quarter looks like the right play,

1262
01:02:45,000 --> 01:02:46,919
Speaker 3: But I don't think I hit a first quarter bet

1263
01:02:46,960 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 3: the entire season. But if I want to bet the

1264
01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:51,600
Speaker 3: Rams and I think the Vikings will be better early,

1265
01:02:52,120 --> 01:02:54,160
Speaker 3: maybe you wait and get them above a field goal.

1266
01:02:54,240 --> 01:02:56,920
Speaker 3: Maybe that's the angle. Here's the one angle that I

1267
01:02:56,960 --> 01:02:59,440
Speaker 3: will give you to sprinkle just a little bit. I

1268
01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:01,439
Speaker 3: almost feel like I need to take the jersey off

1269
01:03:01,480 --> 01:03:06,040
Speaker 3: to make this one. We've seen all weekend, big margin

1270
01:03:06,120 --> 01:03:09,600
Speaker 3: of victory for whoever team wins and tells tonight the

1271
01:03:09,640 --> 01:03:12,000
Speaker 3: teams are winning by like fourteen points. Again, I believe

1272
01:03:12,040 --> 01:03:14,720
Speaker 3: now it's something like fourteen to the last twenty two

1273
01:03:14,800 --> 01:03:18,320
Speaker 3: games this round by fourteen or more points. So if

1274
01:03:18,360 --> 01:03:21,120
Speaker 3: I like the Rams as the value, you can click

1275
01:03:21,160 --> 01:03:25,320
Speaker 3: the quicksip link in the link here. Rams minus twelve

1276
01:03:25,320 --> 01:03:28,440
Speaker 3: and a half six to one at fan Duel. It's

1277
01:03:28,480 --> 01:03:30,680
Speaker 3: crazy to think they'd win by that much. But these

1278
01:03:30,760 --> 01:03:33,880
Speaker 3: games are turning the blowouts. I think because the team

1279
01:03:33,920 --> 01:03:36,760
Speaker 3: gets behind, they get crazy, they get desperate, they turn

1280
01:03:36,800 --> 01:03:39,520
Speaker 3: it over on downs inside their own possession, and suddenly

1281
01:03:39,520 --> 01:03:41,720
Speaker 3: the other team gets an easy touchdown something like that.

1282
01:03:42,120 --> 01:03:43,920
Speaker 3: You're just going all out. You don't really care how

1283
01:03:44,000 --> 01:03:47,120
Speaker 3: much you lose by, So Rams minus twelve and a

1284
01:03:47,160 --> 01:03:51,120
Speaker 3: half to just win comfortably. They won by ten last time.

1285
01:03:51,160 --> 01:03:53,760
Speaker 3: It's sound as crazy as it sounds. It's six to one.

1286
01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:56,479
Speaker 3: I'm a trader. I gotta take the purple jersey off.

1287
01:03:56,680 --> 01:03:59,080
Speaker 3: But if I had to play aside, I think an

1288
01:03:59,080 --> 01:04:01,400
Speaker 3: aggressive RAM play could be the right move.

1289
01:04:02,280 --> 01:04:05,280
Speaker 2: Okay, so that link will be in the description. So

1290
01:04:05,320 --> 01:04:07,440
Speaker 2: if you guys like that bet from Brandon, you can

1291
01:04:07,440 --> 01:04:10,200
Speaker 2: click away there. You said a quote which I wrote

1292
01:04:10,200 --> 01:04:12,520
Speaker 2: down and won't forget, which is I don't need a side.

1293
01:04:12,600 --> 01:04:15,000
Speaker 2: I am the side that needs to be on a

1294
01:04:15,040 --> 01:04:17,600
Speaker 2: T shirt. There's no question. One thing I did look

1295
01:04:17,640 --> 01:04:19,040
Speaker 2: up and then I'll give you a few bets that

1296
01:04:19,080 --> 01:04:21,720
Speaker 2: I like. So you would mention the two and eleven

1297
01:04:21,840 --> 01:04:25,040
Speaker 2: stat on the Vikings, I kind of found something similar.

1298
01:04:25,080 --> 01:04:27,600
Speaker 2: I was curious. So Vikings were a great offense all year.

1299
01:04:28,200 --> 01:04:31,360
Speaker 2: Week eighteen absolute dud. So I was looking at since

1300
01:04:31,400 --> 01:04:33,680
Speaker 2: two thousand and three, teams to average twenty five points

1301
01:04:33,680 --> 01:04:36,960
Speaker 2: per game or more coming off a fourteen point game

1302
01:04:37,040 --> 01:04:39,040
Speaker 2: or less the week before having to play in the

1303
01:04:39,040 --> 01:04:42,800
Speaker 2: wildcard game, just two to nine against the spread, failing

1304
01:04:42,800 --> 01:04:45,000
Speaker 2: the cover of the spread by nine point four points

1305
01:04:45,000 --> 01:04:48,320
Speaker 2: per game. Last year. That was the Eagles and Dolphins,

1306
01:04:48,720 --> 01:04:52,960
Speaker 2: and they scored sixteen points between them in those two games.

1307
01:04:53,000 --> 01:04:55,840
Speaker 2: So to me, not a great sign when you're just

1308
01:04:55,920 --> 01:04:57,920
Speaker 2: kind of limping into the playoffs. We saw it with

1309
01:04:57,920 --> 01:05:00,440
Speaker 2: the Steelers as well, So we will see what happens

1310
01:05:00,440 --> 01:05:02,960
Speaker 2: between Minnesota and the Rams tomorrow night. And the three

1311
01:05:03,000 --> 01:05:06,360
Speaker 2: props that I like, I'm on two to two at

1312
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:08,600
Speaker 2: well under one and a half receptions. It's like minus

1313
01:05:08,680 --> 01:05:12,600
Speaker 2: one seventy five Week eighteen to two saw pass snaps

1314
01:05:12,640 --> 01:05:16,439
Speaker 2: behind DeMarcus Robinson and Tyler Johnson. Now that's a week

1315
01:05:16,480 --> 01:05:19,240
Speaker 2: where you're sitting Pooka in Cup and you're supposed to

1316
01:05:19,240 --> 01:05:22,920
Speaker 2: be seeing people, and he is third and pass naps

1317
01:05:23,440 --> 01:05:26,960
Speaker 2: now week seventeen. He just saw five pass naps in

1318
01:05:27,040 --> 01:05:30,800
Speaker 2: week sixteen eight in week fifteen eleven, So he has

1319
01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:34,680
Speaker 2: been decreasing week to week. And to me, between Cup

1320
01:05:34,920 --> 01:05:38,480
Speaker 2: Pookah to Marcus, and they're showing Whittingham as well, and

1321
01:05:38,520 --> 01:05:41,240
Speaker 2: you have Parkinson and Higbee, there's just lots of options there.

1322
01:05:41,520 --> 01:05:46,360
Speaker 2: The other prop, I like Minnesota's kicker Reiker over one

1323
01:05:46,360 --> 01:05:49,160
Speaker 2: and a half field goals. Opponents are just twenty eight

1324
01:05:49,200 --> 01:05:52,200
Speaker 2: and fifty six in the red zone against the Rams

1325
01:05:52,200 --> 01:05:54,520
Speaker 2: this year, fifty percent, which is tied for fifth worst.

1326
01:05:54,680 --> 01:05:58,080
Speaker 2: I think the Rams can stop Minnesota's offense, especially maybe

1327
01:05:58,120 --> 01:05:59,880
Speaker 2: a sack or two on Darnold which will force some

1328
01:06:00,000 --> 01:06:02,720
Speaker 2: field goals. Record's got two plus field goals in four

1329
01:06:02,760 --> 01:06:06,560
Speaker 2: straight and last two primetime games, he's kicked three field goals. Uh.

1330
01:06:06,720 --> 01:06:08,760
Speaker 2: And the Sean Kerner prop of the day, which I'm

1331
01:06:08,760 --> 01:06:11,040
Speaker 2: gonna give out because I'm just trying to be tackles

1332
01:06:11,040 --> 01:06:13,640
Speaker 2: and assists is Jared Verse under four and a half

1333
01:06:13,640 --> 01:06:15,920
Speaker 2: tackles and assists two or fewer and four of the

1334
01:06:16,000 --> 01:06:20,320
Speaker 2: last five games. It's like, let me see what I

1335
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:22,720
Speaker 2: had here. Oh, to me, the most likely outcome is four.

1336
01:06:22,920 --> 01:06:24,440
Speaker 2: So to me, it's gonna be a sweaty one. But

1337
01:06:24,480 --> 01:06:26,920
Speaker 2: he's averaging like three point nine on the year and

1338
01:06:27,080 --> 01:06:29,960
Speaker 2: he only has five or more and five of seventeen games.

1339
01:06:30,240 --> 01:06:32,560
Speaker 2: So I think Fisk is gonna get some sacks, he's

1340
01:06:32,560 --> 01:06:35,240
Speaker 2: gonna get the attention, and they'll double team Verse. So

1341
01:06:36,160 --> 01:06:37,360
Speaker 2: that is what I have there.

1342
01:06:37,560 --> 01:06:40,160
Speaker 3: I hope, I hope for your sake that to two

1343
01:06:40,200 --> 01:06:42,640
Speaker 3: out well at least like plays a special team snap,

1344
01:06:42,720 --> 01:06:45,880
Speaker 3: like returns a kick or something, because like I would

1345
01:06:45,920 --> 01:06:48,040
Speaker 3: hate to see him be like a healthy scratch before

1346
01:06:48,080 --> 01:06:50,120
Speaker 3: the game. Like you're so right that he's so far

1347
01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:51,800
Speaker 3: down the depth chart he doesn't even get on the

1348
01:06:51,800 --> 01:06:54,800
Speaker 3: field somehow. So hopefully two two plays some special team

1349
01:06:54,840 --> 01:06:57,200
Speaker 3: snaps and then nothing else and that will hitch your

1350
01:06:57,200 --> 01:06:57,840
Speaker 3: bet for you.

1351
01:06:57,920 --> 01:07:00,520
Speaker 2: But I think he's gonna get three pass now, three

1352
01:07:00,560 --> 01:07:01,160
Speaker 2: pass snatch.

1353
01:07:01,400 --> 01:07:04,240
Speaker 3: Beautiful. There you go. So I have one escalator here

1354
01:07:04,320 --> 01:07:08,000
Speaker 3: that probably won't be a super surprise. I'm away from

1355
01:07:08,040 --> 01:07:12,000
Speaker 3: these minus one seventy unders. Build you for bankroll that way,

1356
01:07:12,040 --> 01:07:14,880
Speaker 3: then pull it on the escalator. Give me Puka Nakula

1357
01:07:15,000 --> 01:07:18,600
Speaker 3: receiving yards. Vikings allowed the most fancy points to receivers

1358
01:07:18,600 --> 01:07:21,080
Speaker 3: this year. They were allowed the second most or top

1359
01:07:21,120 --> 01:07:24,800
Speaker 3: two most receive exceptions and yards to receivers. Here are

1360
01:07:24,840 --> 01:07:28,200
Speaker 3: some lines against the Vikings this season by guys that

1361
01:07:28,240 --> 01:07:31,640
Speaker 3: are very similar to Puka Nakula stylistically. Geebo Samuel eight

1362
01:07:31,640 --> 01:07:34,400
Speaker 3: for one hundred and ten, Stefon Diggs ten for ninety four,

1363
01:07:34,440 --> 01:07:38,240
Speaker 3: Garrett Wilson thirteen one hundred and one, Amanra thirteen four

1364
01:07:38,320 --> 01:07:41,320
Speaker 3: hundred and one, six for seventy seven, Keenan Allen nine

1365
01:07:41,440 --> 01:07:44,440
Speaker 3: forty six and six forty two, and then Puka seven

1366
01:07:44,480 --> 01:07:47,040
Speaker 3: for one hundred and six. These are all dudes chewing

1367
01:07:47,120 --> 01:07:48,720
Speaker 3: up the middle of the field and area that the

1368
01:07:48,800 --> 01:07:50,960
Speaker 3: Vikings are weak are at compared to the rest of

1369
01:07:51,000 --> 01:07:55,040
Speaker 3: the very good defense. Minnesota allowed ninety four yards or

1370
01:07:55,080 --> 01:07:58,600
Speaker 3: more to eleven receivers this year. So here's the Puka stat.

1371
01:07:58,840 --> 01:08:01,840
Speaker 3: Puka's played eleven game this year, but really nine because

1372
01:08:01,880 --> 01:08:04,600
Speaker 3: two games he left early played under half the snaps.

1373
01:08:04,960 --> 01:08:07,520
Speaker 3: Out of the nine full games he played, he had

1374
01:08:07,600 --> 01:08:10,640
Speaker 3: ninety seven or more yards seven of nine games, he's

1375
01:08:10,680 --> 01:08:14,000
Speaker 3: basically putting up one hundred yards routinely. He had one

1376
01:08:14,080 --> 01:08:17,040
Speaker 3: hundred and seventeen yards almost half of his games. So

1377
01:08:17,600 --> 01:08:20,040
Speaker 3: I'm taking the Puka escalator, not super all the way

1378
01:08:20,040 --> 01:08:22,439
Speaker 3: to the top, but I grabbed the over eighty eight

1379
01:08:22,439 --> 01:08:24,559
Speaker 3: and a half. I believe the lines like ninety one

1380
01:08:24,600 --> 01:08:26,640
Speaker 3: and a half. Now, by the way, this whole thing,

1381
01:08:26,800 --> 01:08:29,240
Speaker 3: the whole escalator will be a quick slip link for you.

1382
01:08:29,640 --> 01:08:32,120
Speaker 3: Is all at DraftKings. If you want to just skip

1383
01:08:32,200 --> 01:08:33,600
Speaker 3: the ninety one half and you go straight to one

1384
01:08:33,640 --> 01:08:36,599
Speaker 3: hundred one hundred yards at plus one thirty five, one

1385
01:08:36,680 --> 01:08:39,519
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty yards plus two sixty five, I'm gonna

1386
01:08:39,520 --> 01:08:42,240
Speaker 3: stop the escalator there. He hasn't had huge, huge lines,

1387
01:08:42,439 --> 01:08:43,840
Speaker 3: so I think we're just gonna get one of these

1388
01:08:43,920 --> 01:08:46,719
Speaker 3: like eight to ten catches one hundred yards one hundred

1389
01:08:46,720 --> 01:08:49,640
Speaker 3: and twenty yards ranged. And I just think that on

1390
01:08:49,840 --> 01:08:52,720
Speaker 3: third down in the red zone when Stafford has to

1391
01:08:52,760 --> 01:08:54,680
Speaker 3: make a play, I think we're gonna see a lot

1392
01:08:54,680 --> 01:08:56,479
Speaker 3: of pukah in this game. That's another reason I'm a

1393
01:08:56,479 --> 01:09:00,200
Speaker 3: little concerned about the Viking. So Puka reception receive even

1394
01:09:00,280 --> 01:09:02,720
Speaker 3: yards Escalator. You can get the quick slip for DraftKings

1395
01:09:03,360 --> 01:09:05,600
Speaker 3: over ninety one and a half one hundred yards one

1396
01:09:05,640 --> 01:09:07,200
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty yards.

1397
01:09:06,960 --> 01:09:08,680
Speaker 2: And I didn't even look it up quick enough. But

1398
01:09:08,840 --> 01:09:11,880
Speaker 2: I hope Pook has actually done well in Arizona because

1399
01:09:11,920 --> 01:09:14,639
Speaker 2: then he's used to the place and he's been there already,

1400
01:09:14,960 --> 01:09:18,080
Speaker 2: so he should know the stadium pretty well. All right,

1401
01:09:18,160 --> 01:09:20,360
Speaker 2: we're gonna get to Brandon's hot read now. So we've

1402
01:09:20,400 --> 01:09:23,080
Speaker 2: talked about all these games. So what's your favorite bet

1403
01:09:23,120 --> 01:09:26,799
Speaker 2: of all the games next weekend? Now? Hot rap booth

1404
01:09:26,840 --> 01:09:31,920
Speaker 2: every day on ice rights, ice cream, how real trade.

1405
01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:37,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm on Ravens. So I teased it earlier. Ravens

1406
01:09:37,680 --> 01:09:39,679
Speaker 3: plus one and a half plus two. If it's still

1407
01:09:39,680 --> 01:09:41,800
Speaker 3: out there, just get the best plus number you can

1408
01:09:42,000 --> 01:09:43,400
Speaker 3: because I don't think it's going to close it a

1409
01:09:43,400 --> 01:09:45,840
Speaker 3: plus number. I think the Ravens may close as favorites.

1410
01:09:46,160 --> 01:09:47,880
Speaker 3: So you kind of set up this game that they

1411
01:09:47,880 --> 01:09:51,519
Speaker 3: played earlier Week four. First Baltimore offensive play of the game,

1412
01:09:51,560 --> 01:09:55,080
Speaker 3: Derek Henry goes eighty seven yards, house call thirty five ten.

1413
01:09:55,200 --> 01:09:58,760
Speaker 3: They absolutely dominate. I think right now Baltimore is better

1414
01:09:58,760 --> 01:10:02,280
Speaker 3: at almost everything, as good as Buffalo's offense has been

1415
01:10:02,320 --> 01:10:05,000
Speaker 3: all season. Baltimore is even better. They're the one offense

1416
01:10:05,040 --> 01:10:08,160
Speaker 3: I think that's been better. Baltimore is now better defensively.

1417
01:10:08,200 --> 01:10:11,040
Speaker 3: Buffalo's defense is pretty clearly the weakest unit in this

1418
01:10:11,200 --> 01:10:15,000
Speaker 3: game by DV way on the season. Baltimore is better running,

1419
01:10:15,040 --> 01:10:18,559
Speaker 3: in passing, offense and defense. They're even better special teams.

1420
01:10:18,560 --> 01:10:20,360
Speaker 3: The one thing Baltimore is supposed to be kind of

1421
01:10:20,400 --> 01:10:22,880
Speaker 3: weak at Buffalo has been even worse at. I like

1422
01:10:22,920 --> 01:10:27,080
Speaker 3: Baltimore's coaches better. If Baltimore does not win this game.

1423
01:10:27,840 --> 01:10:31,000
Speaker 3: The only path I come up with is that Josh

1424
01:10:31,040 --> 01:10:34,280
Speaker 3: Allen took it to Lamar Jackson and was that much

1425
01:10:34,320 --> 01:10:36,320
Speaker 3: better than him, And we are going to have the

1426
01:10:36,400 --> 01:10:39,559
Speaker 3: Lamar Jackson James Harden conversation if they don't win this game.

1427
01:10:39,960 --> 01:10:43,680
Speaker 3: Because the rest of the team, everything around it is Baltimore,

1428
01:10:43,720 --> 01:10:46,639
Speaker 3: and in particular I think it's a very bad matchup

1429
01:10:46,680 --> 01:10:50,360
Speaker 3: stylistically for Buffalo. Baltimore in that game scored touchdown its

1430
01:10:50,400 --> 01:10:53,240
Speaker 3: first three drives. Buffalo is not great defending mill of

1431
01:10:53,280 --> 01:10:55,240
Speaker 3: the field, sort of by design, you can only cover

1432
01:10:55,360 --> 01:10:58,959
Speaker 3: so much. They leave that open. In particularly, they've struggled

1433
01:10:58,960 --> 01:11:02,040
Speaker 3: this year against big power rushing attacks, and this is it.

1434
01:11:02,200 --> 01:11:05,360
Speaker 3: This is the one that you can't struggle against. Henry

1435
01:11:05,360 --> 01:11:08,360
Speaker 3: had almost two hundred yards last game, and the Bills

1436
01:11:08,360 --> 01:11:11,880
Speaker 3: also had been worth defensively early in games. So if

1437
01:11:11,920 --> 01:11:15,000
Speaker 3: Baltimore gets up ahead that second half allon stat may

1438
01:11:15,040 --> 01:11:17,960
Speaker 3: not be so helpful because Baltimore is so good at

1439
01:11:18,040 --> 01:11:20,960
Speaker 3: just front running like they did in this game this week.

1440
01:11:21,200 --> 01:11:23,919
Speaker 3: So I think it's a bad matchup for the Bills defense.

1441
01:11:24,280 --> 01:11:26,640
Speaker 3: If you look so far this season before today, the

1442
01:11:26,680 --> 01:11:29,599
Speaker 3: Bills had only beaten two playoff teams. That was Chiefs Line,

1443
01:11:29,640 --> 01:11:31,840
Speaker 3: so pretty good wins to have, but they gave up

1444
01:11:31,880 --> 01:11:35,400
Speaker 3: sixty three points in those games, so this defense can

1445
01:11:35,439 --> 01:11:37,920
Speaker 3: be had. Frankly, I thought Denver moved the ball relatively

1446
01:11:37,920 --> 01:11:41,200
Speaker 3: well on Buffalo today until some of those late down plays.

1447
01:11:41,520 --> 01:11:45,360
Speaker 3: Baltimore now eight wins against playoff teams, every one of

1448
01:11:45,400 --> 01:11:47,679
Speaker 3: them by at least a touchdown. So you can bet

1449
01:11:47,720 --> 01:11:49,880
Speaker 3: that we'll be back on this one for the Friday

1450
01:11:49,960 --> 01:11:53,360
Speaker 3: podcast with the Escalators, because I think that Baltimore has

1451
01:11:53,360 --> 01:11:56,519
Speaker 3: a chance to possibly really put this team away and

1452
01:11:56,600 --> 01:11:58,000
Speaker 3: show just how good they are. I think they're the

1453
01:11:58,040 --> 01:12:01,360
Speaker 3: better team, and they're better in this match, So Ravens

1454
01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:04,040
Speaker 3: plus one and a half again quick slip. You can

1455
01:12:04,080 --> 01:12:06,120
Speaker 3: get that one in the link as well, and get

1456
01:12:06,120 --> 01:12:07,880
Speaker 3: that one into the app. I think that they will

1457
01:12:07,960 --> 01:12:10,639
Speaker 3: end up closing as favorites at the end of the week.

1458
01:12:10,960 --> 01:12:13,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, something like minus five and a half Baltimore would

1459
01:12:13,920 --> 01:12:16,080
Speaker 2: be fun or something like that to try to alt

1460
01:12:16,120 --> 01:12:18,800
Speaker 2: it a little bit. And it's interesting as well. Buffalo's

1461
01:12:18,840 --> 01:12:20,920
Speaker 2: favorite in the first half, so even if it ties

1462
01:12:20,960 --> 01:12:24,320
Speaker 2: and you like Baltimore first half, you would cash your ticket.

1463
01:12:24,520 --> 01:12:27,720
Speaker 2: All right. So I'm with Brandon. I like Baltimore in

1464
01:12:27,760 --> 01:12:29,760
Speaker 2: that game, and I think we've talked about it for

1465
01:12:29,800 --> 01:12:32,360
Speaker 2: weeks in terms of buying futures, and we got the

1466
01:12:32,400 --> 01:12:34,280
Speaker 2: game we wanted, and I think we got the game

1467
01:12:34,280 --> 01:12:37,479
Speaker 2: that everybody wanted. So we cannot wait as that is.

1468
01:12:37,800 --> 01:12:40,320
Speaker 2: Looks like it's going to be six thirty on Sunday

1469
01:12:40,800 --> 01:12:44,240
Speaker 2: at the moment, all right. That yeah, the finale, last

1470
01:12:44,280 --> 01:12:46,519
Speaker 2: game of the weekend. All right. Before we wrap up,

1471
01:12:46,640 --> 01:12:49,360
Speaker 2: let's hear from Patrick Everson from Vegas Insiders and how

1472
01:12:49,400 --> 01:12:50,759
Speaker 2: things looked in Las Vegas.

1473
01:12:50,840 --> 01:12:52,760
Speaker 1: All right, Evin, thanks again for having me back on

1474
01:12:52,800 --> 01:12:56,400
Speaker 1: the Action Network podcast as we recap a wild card

1475
01:12:56,479 --> 01:13:00,320
Speaker 1: weekend that had some wild back and forth between the

1476
01:13:00,320 --> 01:13:03,880
Speaker 1: betters and the bookmakers. The public betting masses certainly had

1477
01:13:03,920 --> 01:13:07,880
Speaker 1: their say in three of these games at least, but

1478
01:13:08,120 --> 01:13:10,200
Speaker 1: the sportsbooks also got some back on a couple of

1479
01:13:10,240 --> 01:13:12,800
Speaker 1: these games. Best place to start, I would say, is

1480
01:13:12,840 --> 01:13:14,680
Speaker 1: just where the tickets and money were going on the

1481
01:13:14,680 --> 01:13:17,479
Speaker 1: spread this weekend at betam GM specifically, and this is

1482
01:13:17,560 --> 01:13:20,479
Speaker 1: nationally for beteam GYM, the most bet teams by ticket

1483
01:13:20,520 --> 01:13:22,880
Speaker 1: count on the spread Bills and Eagles, most bet teams

1484
01:13:22,880 --> 01:13:24,479
Speaker 1: by money Bills and Eagles.

1485
01:13:25,120 --> 01:13:25,920
Speaker 4: And those two.

1486
01:13:25,840 --> 01:13:28,160
Speaker 1: Teams played in back to back games on Sunday and

1487
01:13:28,280 --> 01:13:32,360
Speaker 1: both teams won and covered, So those were really good

1488
01:13:32,520 --> 01:13:35,240
Speaker 1: for the betting public masses. And on top of that,

1489
01:13:35,280 --> 01:13:37,960
Speaker 1: when you look back to Saturday night, the game that

1490
01:13:38,040 --> 01:13:42,360
Speaker 1: preceded those two games was the Steelers Ravens matchup, and

1491
01:13:42,640 --> 01:13:45,400
Speaker 1: a lot of the public betters had moneyline parlays of

1492
01:13:46,080 --> 01:13:49,519
Speaker 1: Ravens to Bills to Eagles, and they just stopped with

1493
01:13:49,560 --> 01:13:51,640
Speaker 1: the Eagles game. They didn't futs around and try and

1494
01:13:51,680 --> 01:13:53,919
Speaker 1: figure out what was going to happen with the Commanders

1495
01:13:53,920 --> 01:13:56,880
Speaker 1: and Buccaneers, or with the Monday night game of the

1496
01:13:57,000 --> 01:14:00,599
Speaker 1: Vikings and the Rams, so all those moneyline parlay cashed.

1497
01:14:00,920 --> 01:14:06,120
Speaker 1: Christian Sibelini at BETMGM said, no doubt that the Packers

1498
01:14:06,520 --> 01:14:09,800
Speaker 1: were in need in that second game, and the Broncos

1499
01:14:09,840 --> 01:14:12,479
Speaker 1: game was a little interesting, kind of wanted a Bill's

1500
01:14:12,560 --> 01:14:16,120
Speaker 1: win and a Broncos cover, but again that's tied to

1501
01:14:16,120 --> 01:14:17,320
Speaker 1: those money line parlays.

1502
01:14:17,560 --> 01:14:19,599
Speaker 4: You had an interesting dichotomy.

1503
01:14:19,040 --> 01:14:23,240
Speaker 1: There where the Broncos were seeing money line play, in

1504
01:14:23,280 --> 01:14:26,800
Speaker 1: this case attractive plus money price, so they just wanted

1505
01:14:26,800 --> 01:14:28,639
Speaker 1: the Bills to win and the Broncos to cover that game.

1506
01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:31,920
Speaker 1: Bills end up winning and covering, so not the result

1507
01:14:31,920 --> 01:14:36,599
Speaker 1: that betem gym was necessarily looking for, but they also

1508
01:14:36,760 --> 01:14:39,800
Speaker 1: really wanted to see a Ravens Bill's Divisional round game,

1509
01:14:39,880 --> 01:14:41,320
Speaker 1: so they're getting that out of it.

1510
01:14:41,640 --> 01:14:43,040
Speaker 4: That game's going to be really really.

1511
01:14:42,960 --> 01:14:45,320
Speaker 1: Well bet and they're hoping they can maybe make up

1512
01:14:45,320 --> 01:14:48,200
Speaker 1: whatever they lost in the Wildcard round on that by

1513
01:14:48,240 --> 01:14:51,840
Speaker 1: having a great matchup next week between Lamar Jackson and

1514
01:14:52,160 --> 01:14:55,559
Speaker 1: Josh Allen. Now, a couple of the matchups that went

1515
01:14:55,800 --> 01:14:59,280
Speaker 1: the sports books way absolutely the first one of wild

1516
01:14:59,360 --> 01:15:02,599
Speaker 1: Card weekend with the Texans beating the Chargers. The Chargers

1517
01:15:03,479 --> 01:15:05,800
Speaker 1: were definitely the public play of the weekend. Everybody thought

1518
01:15:05,880 --> 01:15:09,000
Speaker 1: Jim Harbaugh and co. Were going to go into Houston

1519
01:15:09,040 --> 01:15:11,599
Speaker 1: and win that game and cover. In that game, they

1520
01:15:11,680 --> 01:15:14,400
Speaker 1: neither won nor covered. Actually lost by twenty points thirty

1521
01:15:14,400 --> 01:15:17,840
Speaker 1: two to twelve, So that was a pretty significant game.

1522
01:15:17,880 --> 01:15:20,840
Speaker 1: There was one odds maker here in Vegas who said

1523
01:15:21,280 --> 01:15:24,679
Speaker 1: the Texans winning that game outright was a seven figure

1524
01:15:24,880 --> 01:15:28,240
Speaker 1: swing in favor of the books, So a really big

1525
01:15:28,280 --> 01:15:30,280
Speaker 1: decision that fell the book's way.

1526
01:15:30,320 --> 01:15:31,559
Speaker 4: They got to go in the right direction.

1527
01:15:32,000 --> 01:15:35,640
Speaker 1: But again, when you follow that with Ravens, Bills, Eagles,

1528
01:15:35,680 --> 01:15:39,519
Speaker 1: all winning, all covering, cashing money line parlays and all that,

1529
01:15:40,439 --> 01:15:43,280
Speaker 1: the public just got a ton of money back. Then

1530
01:15:43,320 --> 01:15:47,200
Speaker 1: you had Sunday Night Commanders at Bucks. This game sawd

1531
01:15:47,280 --> 01:15:50,759
Speaker 1: you know, generally two way action. It wasn't really lopsided

1532
01:15:50,840 --> 01:15:53,679
Speaker 1: heavily one way or the other, but multiple sports books,

1533
01:15:53,880 --> 01:15:55,280
Speaker 1: including BETEMGM nationally.

1534
01:15:55,320 --> 01:15:57,160
Speaker 4: Tristan Davis, a senior trader for.

1535
01:15:57,080 --> 01:16:00,240
Speaker 1: Bedem JAM, said they needed the Commanders outright tonight, and

1536
01:16:00,280 --> 01:16:03,519
Speaker 1: they just did get there. Off that joinked in field goal.

1537
01:16:04,080 --> 01:16:06,800
Speaker 1: Locally here in Vegas, Chris Andrews at the South Point said,

1538
01:16:06,920 --> 01:16:10,920
Speaker 1: we need Commanders outright. Scott Shelton of Betham GM, Nevada,

1539
01:16:11,000 --> 01:16:12,840
Speaker 1: so kind of a microcosmo what was going on with

1540
01:16:12,840 --> 01:16:16,160
Speaker 1: Benham Gym nationally said we need commanders outright to be

1541
01:16:16,760 --> 01:16:20,920
Speaker 1: a parlay and teaser buster, and indeed that's what the

1542
01:16:20,920 --> 01:16:23,880
Speaker 1: commanders were to help bust up any parlays that were

1543
01:16:23,880 --> 01:16:26,120
Speaker 1: still running into the night game, and maybe even some

1544
01:16:26,640 --> 01:16:27,639
Speaker 1: that run to Monday night.

1545
01:16:27,720 --> 01:16:29,800
Speaker 4: So all in all, a back and.

1546
01:16:29,840 --> 01:16:33,800
Speaker 1: Forth weekend where the books probably didn't lose a lot

1547
01:16:33,880 --> 01:16:36,559
Speaker 1: or win a lot, and the public doesn't necessarily lose

1548
01:16:36,600 --> 01:16:39,360
Speaker 1: a lot, probably comes out ahead because really you just

1549
01:16:39,479 --> 01:16:42,879
Speaker 1: can't overstate the Ravens to the Bills to the Eagles,

1550
01:16:43,439 --> 01:16:45,439
Speaker 1: or what a couple of other odds makers told me about,

1551
01:16:45,479 --> 01:16:46,920
Speaker 1: including John Murray at the super Book.

1552
01:16:46,920 --> 01:16:48,920
Speaker 4: A lot of people were starting their money line parlays for.

1553
01:16:48,920 --> 01:16:51,799
Speaker 1: The weekend on Friday night with the Ohio State Texas

1554
01:16:51,800 --> 01:16:54,559
Speaker 1: game in the college football playoffs, so they went Ohio

1555
01:16:54,600 --> 01:16:57,760
Speaker 1: State to Ravens to Bills to Eagles, and those all

1556
01:16:57,800 --> 01:17:01,599
Speaker 1: cashed as well. Looking ahead to Monday night, this has

1557
01:17:01,680 --> 01:17:05,519
Speaker 1: been a fairly i wouldn't say it's lopsided, but fairly

1558
01:17:05,680 --> 01:17:09,439
Speaker 1: solid action on the vikings going into tomorrow you're looking

1559
01:17:09,439 --> 01:17:11,559
Speaker 1: at about two to one, almost two and a half

1560
01:17:11,640 --> 01:17:14,280
Speaker 1: to one tickets on the Vikings on the spread and

1561
01:17:14,320 --> 01:17:16,120
Speaker 1: two to one money on the Vikings on the spread.

1562
01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:19,840
Speaker 1: These are stats from bet MGM, so they're definitely looking

1563
01:17:19,840 --> 01:17:22,800
Speaker 1: at the Vikings in this game. And as all of

1564
01:17:22,800 --> 01:17:25,000
Speaker 1: you probably know, this is now a neutral site game

1565
01:17:25,040 --> 01:17:28,799
Speaker 1: at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, home of the Cardinals,

1566
01:17:28,800 --> 01:17:32,280
Speaker 1: so the venue changed led to some more action and

1567
01:17:32,360 --> 01:17:34,519
Speaker 1: to a move on this line. The Vikings were minus one,

1568
01:17:34,560 --> 01:17:35,960
Speaker 1: it went out, got out to minus two and a

1569
01:17:36,000 --> 01:17:39,519
Speaker 1: half with it no longer being a Rams home game.

1570
01:17:40,000 --> 01:17:43,840
Speaker 4: DraftKings very similar splits to what BETMGM is seeing.

1571
01:17:44,280 --> 01:17:47,719
Speaker 1: Sixty six percent of spread bets on the Vikings, seventy

1572
01:17:47,760 --> 01:17:50,759
Speaker 1: one percent of spread money on the Vikings. That's almost

1573
01:17:50,800 --> 01:17:52,280
Speaker 1: a mirror image of what.

1574
01:17:52,280 --> 01:17:53,280
Speaker 4: BETMGM is seeing.

1575
01:17:54,040 --> 01:17:57,880
Speaker 1: And likely if there are money line parlays you know,

1576
01:17:57,920 --> 01:18:00,120
Speaker 1: running from the weekend to Tomorrow night, those are probably

1577
01:18:00,160 --> 01:18:02,599
Speaker 1: running to the Vikings as well. Wouldn't be surprised by

1578
01:18:02,600 --> 01:18:04,000
Speaker 1: that if those are running to the.

1579
01:18:04,000 --> 01:18:05,000
Speaker 4: Favorite, all right?

1580
01:18:05,040 --> 01:18:09,960
Speaker 2: That has been the Action Network podcast. We recapped all

1581
01:18:10,200 --> 01:18:13,920
Speaker 2: five games and previewed Monday Night football between the vikings

1582
01:18:13,960 --> 01:18:17,000
Speaker 2: and rams, and we will be back next week to

1583
01:18:17,080 --> 01:18:19,879
Speaker 2: talk about the Divisional Round and all the great games,

1584
01:18:20,400 --> 01:18:23,960
Speaker 2: and obviously check out all the Best Bets episodes and

1585
01:18:24,400 --> 01:18:27,640
Speaker 2: everything we will bring you on actionnetwork dot com and

1586
01:18:27,760 --> 01:18:31,599
Speaker 2: the Action Network App all week before the Divisional Round. Well,

1587
01:18:31,840 --> 01:18:34,479
Speaker 2: enjoy Monday Night football and see you guys soon.

1588
01:18:50,080 --> 01:18:54,600
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1589
01:18:54,600 --> 01:18:57,400
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1590
01:18:57,439 --> 01:19:00,559
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at Gambler